2012-13 Bundesliga Season
306 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams
Champion
Bayern Munich
91 points · 22nd Title
Last Title: 2009-10
Relegated
Greuther Furth
21 pts
Fortuna Dusseldorf · 30 pts
Biggest Overachiever
Bayern Munich
17.23 points above expected
91 points · 73.77 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Greuther Furth
14.45 points below expected
21 points · 35.45 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich Champion | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 91 | 98 | 18 | +80 | 73.77 | +17.23 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 66 | 81 | 42 | +39 | 68.23 | -2.23 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 65 | 39 | +26 | 54.80 | +10.20 |
| 4 | Schalke 04 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 58 | 50 | +8 | 53.77 | +1.23 |
| 5 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 40 | +5 | 45.85 | +5.15 |
| 6 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 46 | +3 | 45.85 | +5.15 |
| 7 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 38.88 | +9.12 |
| 8 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 47 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 51.23 | -4.23 |
| 9 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 60 | 62 | -2 | 46.40 | -1.40 |
| 10 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41.74 | +2.26 |
| 11 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 39.45 | +3.55 |
| 12 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 45.43 | -2.43 |
| 13 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 46.45 | -4.45 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 50 | 66 | -16 | 41.44 | -7.44 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 35.32 | -2.32 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 42 | 67 | -25 | 37.12 | -6.12 |
| 17 | Dusseldorf | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 39.91 | -9.91 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth Relegated | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 35.45 | -14.45 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Promotion Playoff
The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.
Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 2230 | 91 | 73.77 | +17.23 | 99.8% | 45 | 63 | 69 | 74 | 78 | 85 | 96 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2113 | 66 | 68.23 | -2.23 | 39.9% | 39 | 56 | 64 | 68 | 73 | 80 | 93 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2040 | 65 | 54.80 | +10.20 | 92.8% | 29 | 43 | 50 | 55 | 60 | 67 | 83 |
| Schalke 04 | 1971 | 55 | 53.77 | +1.23 | 58.9% | 26 | 42 | 49 | 54 | 59 | 66 | 85 |
| SC Freiburg | 1934 | 51 | 45.85 | +5.15 | 77.8% | 20 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 58 | 75 |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 1928 | 47 | 51.23 | -4.23 | 30.9% | 25 | 39 | 46 | 51 | 56 | 64 | 79 |
| Hannover 96 | 1913 | 45 | 46.40 | -1.40 | 45.0% | 19 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 59 | 72 |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 1904 | 43 | 39.45 | +3.55 | 71.5% | 16 | 28 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 77 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1902 | 51 | 45.85 | +5.15 | 77.7% | 18 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 58 | 72 |
| Mainz 05 | 1901 | 42 | 46.45 | -4.45 | 29.9% | 20 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 52 | 59 | 76 |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 1887 | 44 | 41.74 | +2.26 | 65.1% | 16 | 30 | 37 | 42 | 47 | 54 | 70 |
| Hamburger SV | 1872 | 48 | 38.88 | +9.12 | 90.4% | 13 | 27 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 66 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 1863 | 43 | 45.43 | -2.43 | 39.8% | 19 | 34 | 40 | 45 | 50 | 58 | 71 |
| FC Augsburg | 1843 | 33 | 35.32 | -2.32 | 40.0% | 11 | 24 | 30 | 35 | 40 | 47 | 65 |
| Hoffenheim | 1838 | 31 | 37.12 | -6.12 | 21.6% | 9 | 25 | 32 | 37 | 42 | 49 | 66 |
| Werder Bremen | 1832 | 34 | 41.44 | -7.44 | 17.1% | 14 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 71 |
| Dusseldorf | 1803 | 30 | 39.91 | -9.91 | 9.1% | 16 | 28 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 68 |
| Greuther Furth | 1776 | 21 | 35.45 | -14.45 | 1.7% | 13 | 24 | 31 | 35 | 40 | 47 | 65 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | 1FN | BL | BM | BD | BM | DUS | EF | FA | GF | HS | H9 | HOF | M0 | SF | S0 | VS | VW | WB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nurnberg | — |
0-0-2
1.80
|
0-1-1
1.03
|
0-1-1
1.43
|
2-0-0
2.04
|
2-0-0
2.83
|
0-1-1
2.51
|
1-1-0
2.98
|
0-1-1
3.26
|
1-1-0
2.96
|
0-1-1
2.54
|
1-0-1
3.04
|
1-0-1
2.40
|
0-1-1
2.50
|
1-0-1
1.90
|
0-1-1
2.63
|
1-1-0
2.91
|
1-1-0
2.85
|
| Bayer Leverkusen |
2-0-0
3.71
|
— |
1-0-1
1.45
|
0-0-2
1.87
|
0-2-0
2.74
|
2-0-0
3.59
|
1-0-1
3.30
|
2-0-0
3.72
|
1-1-0
3.75
|
2-0-0
3.75
|
1-0-1
3.49
|
2-0-0
3.73
|
0-1-1
3.23
|
1-1-0
3.23
|
1-1-0
2.65
|
1-1-0
3.29
|
0-1-1
3.73
|
2-0-0
3.62
|
| Bayern Munich |
1-1-0
4.60
|
1-0-1
4.10
|
— |
0-2-0
3.37
|
1-1-0
4.40
|
2-0-0
4.48
|
2-0-0
4.43
|
2-0-0
4.91
|
2-0-0
4.26
|
2-0-0
4.60
|
2-0-0
4.45
|
2-0-0
4.66
|
2-0-0
4.18
|
2-0-0
4.44
|
2-0-0
3.86
|
2-0-0
4.04
|
2-0-0
4.52
|
2-0-0
4.43
|
| Borussia Dortmund |
1-1-0
4.13
|
2-0-0
3.62
|
0-2-0
2.11
|
— |
1-1-0
3.68
|
1-1-0
4.48
|
1-1-0
3.87
|
2-0-0
4.53
|
2-0-0
4.60
|
0-0-2
4.44
|
1-1-0
3.96
|
1-0-1
4.59
|
2-0-0
4.08
|
2-0-0
4.02
|
0-0-2
3.64
|
1-1-0
4.10
|
0-1-1
4.31
|
2-0-0
4.14
|
| Borussia Monchengladbach |
0-0-2
3.44
|
0-2-0
2.72
|
0-1-1
1.19
|
0-1-1
1.81
|
— |
1-1-0
3.46
|
2-0-0
2.96
|
1-1-0
3.64
|
2-0-0
3.65
|
0-1-1
3.52
|
2-0-0
2.95
|
1-1-0
3.63
|
2-0-0
2.85
|
0-1-1
3.15
|
0-1-1
2.45
|
0-0-2
3.15
|
1-0-1
3.21
|
0-1-1
3.45
|
| Dusseldorf |
0-0-2
2.63
|
0-0-2
1.90
|
0-0-2
1.14
|
0-1-1
1.13
|
0-1-1
2.02
|
— |
1-0-1
2.29
|
1-0-1
3.00
|
2-0-0
2.98
|
1-0-1
2.57
|
1-0-1
2.25
|
0-1-1
2.84
|
0-1-1
2.52
|
0-1-1
2.58
|
0-1-1
2.16
|
1-1-0
2.40
|
0-1-1
2.96
|
0-1-1
2.48
|
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
1-1-0
2.96
|
1-0-1
2.18
|
0-0-2
1.16
|
0-1-1
1.65
|
0-0-2
2.51
|
1-0-1
3.18
|
— |
1-0-1
3.47
|
1-1-0
3.47
|
2-0-0
3.22
|
1-1-0
2.66
|
2-0-0
3.05
|
0-1-1
2.73
|
1-1-0
2.85
|
1-1-0
2.16
|
0-0-2
2.91
|
1-1-0
2.87
|
1-1-0
2.94
|
| FC Augsburg |
0-1-1
2.48
|
0-0-2
1.80
|
0-0-2
0.79
|
0-0-2
1.09
|
0-1-1
1.86
|
1-0-1
2.48
|
1-0-1
2.02
|
— |
1-1-0
2.85
|
1-0-1
2.51
|
0-0-2
2.11
|
1-1-0
2.53
|
0-1-1
2.14
|
0-1-1
2.01
|
0-1-1
1.80
|
1-0-1
2.09
|
0-2-0
2.49
|
2-0-0
2.32
|
| Greuther Furth |
1-1-0
2.23
|
0-1-1
1.75
|
0-0-2
1.34
|
0-0-2
1.03
|
0-0-2
1.86
|
0-0-2
2.49
|
0-1-1
2.01
|
0-1-1
2.62
|
— |
0-1-1
2.55
|
0-0-2
1.98
|
0-1-1
2.63
|
1-0-1
2.27
|
0-0-2
1.86
|
1-0-1
1.93
|
1-0-1
2.04
|
0-1-1
2.61
|
0-2-0
2.24
|
| Hamburger SV |
0-1-1
2.50
|
0-0-2
1.75
|
0-0-2
1.04
|
2-0-0
1.16
|
1-1-0
1.98
|
1-0-1
2.89
|
0-0-2
2.25
|
1-0-1
2.96
|
1-1-0
2.93
|
— |
1-0-1
2.28
|
2-0-0
3.01
|
2-0-0
2.21
|
0-1-1
2.35
|
1-0-1
1.87
|
1-0-1
2.44
|
0-2-0
2.58
|
1-0-1
2.60
|
| Hannover 96 |
1-1-0
2.93
|
1-0-1
2.00
|
0-0-2
1.15
|
0-1-1
1.57
|
0-0-2
2.52
|
1-0-1
3.23
|
0-1-1
2.80
|
2-0-0
3.37
|
2-0-0
3.50
|
1-0-1
3.19
|
— |
1-0-1
3.37
|
0-1-1
2.71
|
0-0-2
2.87
|
0-1-1
2.31
|
1-1-0
2.86
|
2-0-0
2.91
|
1-0-1
3.14
|
| Hoffenheim |
1-0-1
2.42
|
0-0-2
1.78
|
0-0-2
0.98
|
1-0-1
1.04
|
0-1-1
1.87
|
1-1-0
2.62
|
0-0-2
2.43
|
0-1-1
2.94
|
1-1-0
2.84
|
0-0-2
2.46
|
1-0-1
2.11
|
— |
0-1-1
2.20
|
1-0-1
2.20
|
1-0-1
1.77
|
1-0-1
2.25
|
0-1-1
2.68
|
0-1-1
2.52
|
| Mainz 05 |
1-0-1
3.07
|
1-1-0
2.24
|
0-0-2
1.37
|
0-0-2
1.46
|
0-0-2
2.62
|
1-1-0
2.94
|
1-1-0
2.73
|
1-1-0
3.33
|
1-0-1
3.20
|
0-0-2
3.27
|
1-1-0
2.76
|
1-1-0
3.27
|
— |
0-2-0
2.77
|
0-1-1
2.43
|
1-1-0
2.80
|
1-1-0
3.07
|
0-1-1
3.08
|
| SC Freiburg |
1-1-0
2.96
|
0-1-1
2.24
|
0-0-2
1.17
|
0-0-2
1.52
|
1-1-0
2.32
|
1-1-0
2.89
|
0-1-1
2.63
|
1-1-0
3.47
|
2-0-0
3.63
|
1-1-0
3.12
|
2-0-0
2.60
|
1-0-1
3.27
|
0-2-0
2.70
|
— |
1-0-1
2.46
|
1-0-1
2.81
|
1-0-1
3.26
|
1-0-1
2.90
|
| Schalke 04 |
1-0-1
3.60
|
0-1-1
2.81
|
0-0-2
1.68
|
2-0-0
1.85
|
1-1-0
3.02
|
1-1-0
3.32
|
0-1-1
3.32
|
1-1-0
3.70
|
1-0-1
3.57
|
1-0-1
3.62
|
1-1-0
3.16
|
1-0-1
3.73
|
1-1-0
3.05
|
1-0-1
3.01
|
— |
0-0-2
3.39
|
2-0-0
3.54
|
2-0-0
3.44
|
| VfB Stuttgart |
1-1-0
2.83
|
0-1-1
2.20
|
0-0-2
1.50
|
0-1-1
1.45
|
2-0-0
2.32
|
0-1-1
3.07
|
2-0-0
2.56
|
1-0-1
3.39
|
1-0-1
3.45
|
1-0-1
3.03
|
0-1-1
2.61
|
1-0-1
3.23
|
0-1-1
2.66
|
1-0-1
2.65
|
2-0-0
2.10
|
— |
0-0-2
3.30
|
0-1-1
3.03
|
| VfL Wolfsburg |
0-1-1
2.55
|
1-1-0
1.78
|
0-0-2
1.10
|
1-1-0
1.27
|
1-0-1
2.27
|
1-1-0
2.51
|
0-1-1
2.59
|
0-2-0
2.98
|
1-1-0
2.85
|
0-2-0
2.88
|
0-0-2
2.56
|
1-1-0
2.79
|
0-1-1
2.40
|
1-0-1
2.22
|
0-0-2
1.96
|
2-0-0
2.17
|
— |
1-1-0
2.61
|
| Werder Bremen |
0-1-1
2.62
|
0-0-2
1.90
|
0-0-2
1.17
|
0-0-2
1.42
|
1-1-0
2.03
|
1-1-0
2.99
|
0-1-1
2.53
|
0-0-2
3.16
|
0-2-0
3.24
|
1-0-1
2.86
|
1-0-1
2.33
|
1-1-0
2.94
|
1-1-0
2.39
|
1-0-1
2.56
|
0-0-2
2.05
|
1-1-0
2.43
|
0-1-1
2.85
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.81 | +8.3 |
| Allowed | 0.74 | -12.0 |
| Differential | 0.94 | +5.9 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.54% | 5.88% | 7.03% | 3.76% | 0.98% | 0.82% | 25.00% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 12.09% | 7.52% | 3.92% | 1.80% | 0.98% | 32.19% |
| 2 | 7.03% | 7.52% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 0.98% | 0.33% | 24.18% |
| 3 | 3.76% | 3.92% | 2.78% | 1.31% | 0.16% | 0.16% | 12.09% |
| 4 | 0.98% | 1.80% | 0.98% | 0.16% | — | 0.16% | 4.08% |
| 5+ | 0.82% | 0.98% | 0.33% | 0.16% | 0.16% | — | 2.45% |
| Total | 25.00% | 32.19% | 24.18% | 12.09% | 4.08% | 2.45% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 1.47 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.91 |
| CV | 0.88 | 0.88 | — |
| Max | 9 | 9 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 306
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 17.65% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 38.24% | 29.41% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.15 | 1.38 | -0.24 |
| SD | 1.08 | 1.07 | 1.56 |
| CV | 0.94 | 0.78 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 32.35% | 35.29% | 17.65% | 14.71% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.91 | 1.15 | +0.76 |
| SD | 1.19 | 1.05 | 1.62 |
| CV | 0.62 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | 26.47% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 4 | 5.88% | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| Total | 61.76% | 26.47% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.88 | 0.53 | +2.35 |
| SD | 1.87 | 0.79 | 1.82 |
| CV | 0.65 | 1.49 | — |
| Max | 9 | 3 | +7 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 1 | — | 17.65% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| Total | 23.53% | 47.06% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.38 | 1.24 | +1.15 |
| SD | 1.41 | 1.05 | 1.91 |
| CV | 0.59 | 0.85 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 32.35% | 23.53% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.32 | 1.44 | -0.12 |
| SD | 1.12 | 1.31 | 1.61 |
| CV | 0.85 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 26.47% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 17.65% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 41.18% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 23.53% | 26.47% | 17.65% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.15 | 1.68 | -0.53 |
| SD | 0.96 | 1.34 | 1.78 |
| CV | 0.83 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 35.29% | 26.47% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.44 | 1.35 | +0.09 |
| SD | 1.33 | 1.07 | 1.75 |
| CV | 0.92 | 0.79 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 2.94% | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 26.47% | 32.35% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.97 | 1.50 | -0.53 |
| SD | 1.00 | 1.16 | 1.52 |
| CV | 1.03 | 0.77 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 17.65% | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | — | 47.06% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 14.71% | 35.29% | 20.59% | 23.53% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.76 | 1.76 | -1.00 |
| SD | 0.85 | 1.33 | 1.41 |
| CV | 1.12 | 0.75 | — |
| Max | 3 | 6 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 1 | 14.71% | 11.76% | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 20.59% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 41.18% | 17.65% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.24 | 1.56 | -0.32 |
| SD | 1.18 | 1.78 | 2.10 |
| CV | 0.96 | 1.14 | — |
| Max | 4 | 9 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | 17.65% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 14.71% | — | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | 11.76% |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 23.53% | 17.65% | 32.35% | 17.65% | — | 8.82% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.76 | 1.82 | -0.06 |
| SD | 1.37 | 1.53 | 2.15 |
| CV | 0.78 | 0.84 | — |
| Max | 5 | 6 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 35.29% |
| 1 | — | 2.94% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | — | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 20.59% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 23.53% | 26.47% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.24 | 1.97 | -0.74 |
| SD | 1.16 | 1.47 | 1.94 |
| CV | 0.94 | 0.74 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 32.35% | 29.41% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.24 | 1.29 | -0.06 |
| SD | 0.99 | 1.06 | 1.54 |
| CV | 0.80 | 0.82 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.71% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 14.71% | — | — | 2.94% | 38.24% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 2.94% | 17.65% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 38.24% | 26.47% | 26.47% | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.32 | 1.18 | +0.15 |
| SD | 1.20 | 1.31 | 1.65 |
| CV | 0.91 | 1.12 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 23.53% | 32.35% | 23.53% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.71 | 1.47 | +0.24 |
| SD | 1.24 | 1.19 | 1.84 |
| CV | 0.73 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 29.41% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 17.65% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 29.41% | 23.53% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.09 | 1.62 | -0.53 |
| SD | 0.90 | 1.41 | 1.74 |
| CV | 0.83 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 3 | 6 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 23.53% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 2.94% | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 14.71% | 38.24% | 32.35% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.38 | 1.53 | -0.15 |
| SD | 1.33 | 1.05 | 1.83 |
| CV | 0.96 | 0.69 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 17.65% |
| 1 | — | 17.65% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 35.29% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 11.76% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 8.82% | 38.24% | 23.53% | 17.65% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 1.94 | -0.47 |
| SD | 1.08 | 1.39 | 2.02 |
| CV | 0.73 | 0.72 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 91 | 73.77 | +17.23 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 65 | 54.80 | +10.20 |
| 3 | Hamburger SV | 48 | 38.88 | +9.12 |
| 4 | SC Freiburg | 51 | 45.85 | +5.15 |
| 5 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 51 | 45.85 | +5.15 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greuther Furth | 21 | 35.45 | -14.45 |
| 2 | Dusseldorf | 30 | 39.91 | -9.91 |
| 3 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 41.44 | -7.44 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 37.12 | -6.12 |
| 5 | Mainz 05 | 42 | 46.45 | -4.45 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 14 | Jan 19 – Apr 27 | 1 in 147 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | Aug 25 – Sep 21 | 1 in 57 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 3 | Mar 30 – Apr 12 | 1 in 18 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | Apr 20 – May 18 | 1 in 17 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | Nov 11 – Nov 18 | 1 in 14 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hoffenheim | 6 | Nov 18 – Dec 16 | 1 in 168 |
| 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | Dec 15 – Feb 9 | 1 in 118 |
| 3 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 4 | Sep 21 – Oct 6 | 1 in 49 |
| 4 | Dusseldorf | 5 | Apr 20 – May 18 | 1 in 32 |
| 5 | Greuther Furth | 3 | Sep 25 – Oct 6 | 1 in 22 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | Mar 9 – May 18 | 1 in 294 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 9 | Feb 3 – Apr 7 | 1 in 103 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 25 | Nov 3 – May 18 | 1 in 33 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 5 | Dec 15 – Feb 10 | 1 in 28 |
| 5 | Dusseldorf | 6 | Aug 25 – Sep 28 | 1 in 28 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greuther Furth | 17 | Sep 15 – Jan 26 | 1 in 440 |
| 2 | Werder Bremen | 13 | Feb 16 – May 18 | 1 in 199 |
| 3 | Mainz 05 | 9 | Mar 16 – May 18 | 1 in 98 |
| 4 | Dusseldorf | 12 | Feb 23 – May 18 | 1 in 48 |
| 5 | Schalke 04 | 6 | Nov 17 – Dec 15 | 1 in 40 |
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 71.14% | 24.10% | 3.61% | 0.82% | 0.23% | 0.05% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.01% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 25.97% | 54.91% | 12.08% | 3.98% | 1.68% | 0.71% | 0.33% | 0.14% | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.03% | 0.04% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 1.29% | 7.46% | 25.07% | 19.93% | 12.94% | 9.48% | 6.76% | 4.92% | 3.59% | 2.62% | 2.15% | 1.46% | 0.93% | 0.51% | 0.34% | 0.30% | 0.20% | 0.05% |
| Schalke 04 | 0.87% | 5.87% | 20.88% | 17.75% | 14.20% | 10.97% | 7.73% | 6.10% | 4.17% | 3.25% | 2.76% | 2.01% | 1.31% | 0.84% | 0.57% | 0.36% | 0.25% | 0.11% |
| SC Freiburg | 0.03% | 0.76% | 4.27% | 6.86% | 8.78% | 8.12% | 9.44% | 9.50% | 8.78% | 8.17% | 7.19% | 6.80% | 5.54% | 4.89% | 4.21% | 2.85% | 2.52% | 1.29% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.05% | 0.64% | 4.36% | 6.62% | 8.32% | 8.90% | 9.10% | 9.36% | 8.58% | 8.36% | 7.31% | 6.54% | 5.70% | 5.14% | 4.06% | 3.21% | 2.22% | 1.53% |
| Hamburger SV | — | 0.07% | 0.46% | 1.29% | 2.06% | 2.62% | 3.14% | 4.59% | 5.62% | 6.53% | 7.22% | 7.88% | 9.13% | 9.49% | 9.88% | 10.41% | 10.09% | 9.52% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 0.40% | 3.36% | 12.74% | 13.81% | 13.54% | 12.03% | 9.86% | 8.06% | 6.31% | 4.96% | 4.25% | 3.39% | 2.58% | 1.73% | 1.36% | 0.94% | 0.40% | 0.28% |
| Hannover 96 | 0.09% | 0.81% | 4.42% | 7.12% | 8.71% | 9.30% | 9.67% | 9.57% | 9.20% | 7.76% | 7.09% | 6.60% | 5.62% | 4.32% | 3.44% | 3.04% | 2.02% | 1.22% |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 0.02% | 0.14% | 1.19% | 2.62% | 3.78% | 5.06% | 5.76% | 6.65% | 7.38% | 8.21% | 8.39% | 8.28% | 8.64% | 8.11% | 8.01% | 6.97% | 6.29% | 4.50% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.56% | 1.37% | 2.27% | 3.11% | 3.97% | 5.14% | 6.00% | 6.87% | 8.09% | 8.03% | 8.73% | 9.65% | 9.42% | 9.63% | 9.33% | 7.75% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 0.05% | 0.60% | 3.60% | 5.49% | 6.83% | 7.95% | 8.86% | 8.60% | 9.20% | 8.19% | 7.69% | 7.16% | 6.38% | 5.78% | 5.15% | 3.60% | 3.16% | 1.71% |
| Mainz 05 | 0.07% | 0.90% | 4.68% | 7.29% | 8.66% | 10.06% | 9.60% | 8.99% | 8.62% | 7.53% | 6.79% | 5.97% | 5.85% | 4.49% | 3.79% | 3.33% | 2.19% | 1.19% |
| Werder Bremen | — | 0.19% | 1.13% | 2.34% | 3.17% | 4.65% | 5.76% | 6.06% | 7.20% | 8.42% | 7.99% | 8.04% | 8.88% | 8.36% | 8.31% | 7.65% | 6.45% | 5.40% |
| FC Augsburg | — | — | 0.10% | 0.48% | 0.64% | 1.08% | 1.53% | 2.07% | 2.50% | 3.41% | 4.77% | 6.30% | 7.06% | 9.51% | 10.95% | 12.48% | 16.32% | 20.80% |
| Hoffenheim | — | 0.02% | 0.20% | 0.63% | 0.97% | 1.66% | 2.61% | 3.13% | 4.12% | 5.01% | 5.64% | 6.65% | 7.93% | 9.46% | 10.77% | 12.62% | 13.44% | 15.14% |
| Dusseldorf | 0.01% | 0.09% | 0.54% | 1.28% | 2.48% | 3.25% | 4.19% | 5.05% | 5.53% | 7.09% | 8.31% | 9.15% | 8.64% | 8.92% | 9.47% | 9.56% | 8.94% | 7.50% |
| Greuther Furth | — | 0.01% | 0.11% | 0.32% | 0.74% | 1.00% | 1.66% | 2.06% | 3.11% | 3.57% | 4.33% | 5.70% | 7.08% | 8.80% | 10.27% | 13.05% | 16.18% | 22.01% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
- Title Margin
- Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.As Expected: under 5.79 * Some Luck: 5.79 to 8.68 * Lucky: 8.68 to 11.58 * Wild Swing: 11.58 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.Pinpoint: under 2.26 * Close: 2.26 to 3.39 * Off: 3.39 to 4.52 * Way Off: 4.52 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
- Unexpected Relegations
- Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
- Close Games
- Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
- Strangeness
- How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.
| Team | Same level | Lost relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 100% | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 100% | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 99.45% | 0.30% | 0.25% |
| Schalke 04 | 99.28% | 0.36% | 0.36% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 98.38% | 0.94% | 0.68% |
| Hannover 96 | 93.72% | 3.04% | 3.24% |
| SC Freiburg | 93.34% | 2.85% | 3.81% |
| Mainz 05 | 93.29% | 3.33% | 3.38% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 93.04% | 3.21% | 3.75% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 91.53% | 3.60% | 4.87% |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 82.24% | 6.97% | 10.79% |
| Werder Bremen | 80.50% | 7.65% | 11.85% |
| Dusseldorf | 74.00% | 9.56% | 16.44% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 73.29% | 9.63% | 17.08% |
| Hamburger SV | 69.98% | 10.41% | 19.61% |
| FC Augsburg | 50.40% | 12.48% | 37.12% |
| Greuther Furth | 48.76% | 13.05% | 38.19% |
| Hoffenheim | — | 100% | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1. FC Koln | 1. FC Nurnberg | 1860 Munich | Bayer Leverkusen | Borussia Dortmund | Borussia Monchengladbach | Dusseldorf | Dynamo Dresden | Eintracht Braunschweig | Eintracht Frankfurt | Energie Cottbus | Erzgebirge Aue | FC Augsburg | FC Ingolstadt 04 | FSV Frankfurt | Greuther Furth | Hamburger SV | Hannover 96 | Hertha BSC | Hoffenheim | Jahn Regensburg | MSV Duisburg | Mainz 05 | Paderborn 07 | SC Freiburg | SV Sandhausen | Schalke 04 | St. Pauli | Union Berlin | VfB Stuttgart | VfL Bochum | VfL Wolfsburg | VfR Aalen | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 40.2%107.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 35.7%14.00% | 55.9%136.00% | 42.9%56.00% | 49.2%197.00% | 61.5%208.00% | 39.9%143.00% | 40.4%47.00% | 57.7%194.00% | 47.1%51.00% | 35.8%53.00% | 33.3%9.00% | 35.0%60.00% | 38.2%173.00% | 47.5%118.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Koln | 36.5%85.00% | 16.7%6.00% | 16.7%6.00% | 49.5%97.00% | 35.0%40.00% | 40.7%118.00% | 44.6%130.00% | 49.6%115.00% | 29.2%24.00% | 40.7%108.00% | 27.5%40.00% | 31.4%35.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 30.6%36.00% | 34.4%96.00% | 45.9%85.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 59.8%107.00% | 63.5%85.00% | 57.3%89.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 63.4%112.00% | 81.8%22.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 77.8%18.00% | 66.7%42.00% | 39.4%99.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 60.0%10.00% | 75.9%58.00% | 72.3%65.00% | 76.5%34.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 100.0%2.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1860 Munich | 42.7%89.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 16.7%12.00% | 45.0%140.00% | 20.0%40.00% | 36.5%170.00% | 54.3%188.00% | 33.3%135.00% | 28.9%45.00% | 41.6%178.00% | 17.9%39.00% | 20.0%40.00% | 14.3%7.00% | 44.7%38.00% | 32.4%111.00% | 37.0%108.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| Bayer Leverkusen | 66.7%3.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Borussia Dortmund | 100.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 64.3%14.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 83.3%12.00% | 56.2%16.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%7.00% | 53.8%13.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 66.7%6.00% | 80.0%5.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dusseldorf | 44.1%136.00% | 50.5%97.00% | 55.0%140.00% | 100.0%8.00% | 55.0%140.00% | 52.2%23.00% | 60.0%5.00% | 88.0%25.00% | 64.4%45.00% | 27.2%114.00% | 37.5%8.00% | 58.2%55.00% | 60.0%80.00% | 66.7%33.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 83.3%6.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Dynamo Dresden | 20.0%5.00% | 0.0%8.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 50.0%10.00% | 7.7%13.00% | 60.0%10.00% | 40.0%5.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 40.0%10.00% | 11.1%9.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 36.6%112.00% | 14.3%7.00% | 43.8%16.00% | 45.0%140.00% | 38.9%54.00% | 40.1%182.00% | 54.9%184.00% | 35.8%179.00% | 30.2%43.00% | 42.6%190.00% | 43.4%53.00% | 30.4%56.00% | 0.0%5.00% | 37.3%67.00% | 34.6%136.00% | 40.8%120.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 57.1%56.00% | 65.0%40.00% | 80.0%40.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 61.1%54.00% | 69.2%13.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 66.7%9.00% | 68.8%32.00% | 50.0%6.00% | 85.0%20.00% | 74.2%31.00% | 87.5%8.00% | 100.0%2.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Energie Cottbus | 18.2%22.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 47.8%23.00% | 30.8%13.00% | 30.0%40.00% | 58.6%29.00% | 24.2%33.00% | 0.0%18.00% | 27.5%40.00% | 42.9%7.00% | 0.0%8.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 58.3%12.00% | 22.2%36.00% | 23.5%17.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Erzgebirge Aue | 0.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 40.0%5.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 40.0%10.00% | 66.7%6.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 14.3%7.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 66.7%3.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| FC Augsburg | 50.8%197.00% | 59.3%118.00% | 63.5%170.00% | 66.7%6.00% | 59.9%182.00% | 70.0%40.00% | 60.0%10.00% | 68.6%35.00% | 70.6%51.00% | 45.6%147.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 66.7%9.00% | 72.4%76.00% | 60.3%116.00% | 71.9%57.00% | 75.0%12.00% | 33.3%3.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 22.2%18.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 12.0%25.00% | 16.7%6.00% | 31.4%35.00% | 27.3%33.00% | 16.7%30.00% | 0.0%6.00% | 21.9%32.00% | 23.1%13.00% | 37.5%8.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 10.0%10.00% | 25.0%32.00% | 33.3%18.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| FSV Frankfurt | 33.3%42.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 0.0%7.00% | 35.6%45.00% | 33.3%9.00% | 29.4%51.00% | 55.0%60.00% | 27.3%44.00% | 23.1%13.00% | 39.7%63.00% | 28.6%14.00% | 0.0%18.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 35.7%14.00% | 36.8%38.00% | 37.5%24.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Greuther Furth | 38.5%208.00% | 55.4%130.00% | 45.7%188.00% | 50.0%10.00% | 45.1%184.00% | 41.4%29.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 72.7%33.00% | 45.0%60.00% | 31.8%154.00% | 50.0%16.00% | 60.6%99.00% | 50.0%104.00% | 56.1%57.00% | 75.0%8.00% | 57.1%7.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Hamburger SV | 60.1%143.00% | 50.4%115.00% | 66.7%135.00% | 92.3%13.00% | 64.2%179.00% | 75.8%33.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 83.3%30.00% | 72.7%44.00% | 42.6%129.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 74.7%75.00% | 75.9%83.00% | 78.3%46.00% | 100.0%7.00% | 100.0%2.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Hannover 96 | 59.6%47.00% | 70.8%24.00% | 71.1%45.00% | 69.8%43.00% | 100.0%18.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 100.0%6.00% | 76.9%13.00% | 59.4%32.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 65.0%20.00% | 77.8%18.00% | 90.9%11.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 100.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Hertha BSC | 60.6%99.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 46.2%13.00% | 72.8%114.00% | 31.2%32.00% | 54.4%147.00% | 68.2%154.00% | 57.4%129.00% | 40.6%32.00% | 57.0%172.00% | 61.1%36.00% | 45.1%51.00% | 55.6%9.00% | 51.7%58.00% | 40.8%125.00% | 55.6%81.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Hoffenheim | 42.3%194.00% | 59.3%108.00% | 58.4%178.00% | 40.0%10.00% | 57.4%190.00% | 72.5%40.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 78.1%32.00% | 60.3%63.00% | 43.0%172.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 60.0%5.00% | 61.0%77.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 60.6%109.00% | 55.8%52.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 100.0%3.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Jahn Regensburg | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MSV Duisburg | 40.0%10.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 62.5%8.00% | 50.0%6.00% | 33.3%9.00% | 50.0%16.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 40.0%5.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 27.3%11.00% | 45.5%11.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Mainz 05 | 52.9%51.00% | 72.5%40.00% | 82.1%39.00% | 60.0%5.00% | 56.6%53.00% | 57.1%7.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 76.9%13.00% | 71.4%14.00% | 38.9%36.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 89.5%19.00% | 78.3%23.00% | 92.3%13.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Paderborn 07 | 24.1%58.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 41.8%55.00% | 15.0%20.00% | 27.6%76.00% | 39.4%99.00% | 25.3%75.00% | 35.0%20.00% | 39.0%77.00% | 10.5%19.00% | 21.7%23.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 45.5%22.00% | 20.3%69.00% | 31.0%29.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| SC Freiburg | 64.2%53.00% | 68.6%35.00% | 80.0%40.00% | 69.6%56.00% | 100.0%8.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 62.5%8.00% | 100.0%18.00% | 54.9%51.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 78.3%23.00% | 85.0%20.00% | 83.3%18.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| SV Sandhausen | 0.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Schalke 04 | 66.7%9.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 100.0%5.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 44.4%9.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 100.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| St. Pauli | 27.7%65.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 40.0%80.00% | 25.8%31.00% | 39.7%116.00% | 50.0%104.00% | 24.1%83.00% | 22.2%18.00% | 39.4%109.00% | 21.7%23.00% | 15.0%20.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 25.7%35.00% | 35.1%74.00% | 38.5%65.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Union Berlin | 23.5%34.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 33.3%33.00% | 12.5%8.00% | 28.1%57.00% | 43.9%57.00% | 21.7%46.00% | 9.1%11.00% | 44.2%52.00% | 7.7%13.00% | 16.7%18.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 25.0%16.00% | 19.0%42.00% | 22.5%40.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| VfB Stuttgart | 65.0%60.00% | 69.4%36.00% | 55.3%38.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 62.7%67.00% | 41.7%12.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 90.0%10.00% | 64.3%14.00% | 48.3%58.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 54.5%22.00% | 74.3%35.00% | 75.0%16.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%2.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| VfL Bochum | 14.3%7.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 25.0%12.00% | 25.0%8.00% | 0.0%7.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 33.3%3.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| VfL Wolfsburg | 61.8%173.00% | 65.6%96.00% | 67.6%111.00% | 60.0%10.00% | 65.4%136.00% | 77.8%36.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 75.0%32.00% | 63.2%38.00% | 59.2%125.00% | 72.7%11.00% | 79.7%69.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 64.9%74.00% | 81.0%42.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 100.0%3.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| VfR Aalen | 0.0%2.00% | 16.7%6.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 42.9%7.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 33.3%3.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Werder Bremen | 52.5%118.00% | 54.1%85.00% | 63.0%108.00% | 88.9%9.00% | 59.2%120.00% | 76.5%17.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 66.7%18.00% | 62.5%24.00% | 44.4%81.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 54.5%11.00% | 69.0%29.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 61.5%65.00% | 77.5%40.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 66.7%3.00% |
Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes
Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.
| Team | Finals |
|---|---|
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 50.87% |
| Hoffenheim | 49.13% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 50.9%100.00% | |
| Hoffenheim | 49.1%100.00% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-08-24 | Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 2063 | 1870 | 64.9% | 21.2% | 14.0% | +2.9 | 3 |
| 2012-08-24 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-2 | 1870 | 2063 | 14.0% | 21.2% | 64.9% | -2.8 | 0 |
| 2012-08-25 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1846 | 1890 | 35.3% | 27.0% | 37.7% | -7.0 | 0 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1890 | 1846 | 37.7% | 27.0% | 35.3% | +7.0 | 3 |
| 2012-08-25 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 1876 | 1940 | 32.8% | 26.9% | 40.3% | +7.3 | 3 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1940 | 1876 | 40.3% | 26.9% | 32.8% | -7.3 | 0 |
| 2012-08-25 | Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1904 | 2050 | 23.2% | 25.5% | 51.3% | -13.7 | 0 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Greuther Furth | W 3-0 | 2050 | 1904 | 51.3% | 25.5% | 23.2% | +13.7 | 3 |
| 2012-08-25 | Dusseldorf | L 0-2 | 1874 | 1866 | 42.7% | 26.8% | 30.5% | -15.3 | 0 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ FC Augsburg | W 2-0 | 1866 | 1874 | 30.5% | 26.8% | 42.7% | +15.3 | 3 |
| 2012-08-25 | Hoffenheim | W 2-1 | 1976 | 1893 | 52.5% | 25.2% | 22.2% | +4.6 | 3 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-2 | 1893 | 1976 | 22.2% | 25.2% | 52.5% | -4.5 | 0 |
| 2012-08-25 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1882 | 1896 | 39.7% | 27.0% | 33.3% | -0.2 | 1 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ SC Freiburg | D 1-1 | 1896 | 1882 | 33.3% | 27.0% | 39.7% | +0.2 | 1 |
| 2012-08-25 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-1 | 1957 | 1885 | 51.3% | 25.5% | 23.2% | -9.4 | 0 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 1-0 | 1885 | 1957 | 23.2% | 25.5% | 51.3% | +9.4 | 3 |
| 2012-08-26 | Schalke 04 | D 2-2 | 1899 | 1968 | 32.0% | 26.9% | 41.1% | +0.3 | 1 |
| 2012-08-26 | @ Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1968 | 1899 | 41.1% | 26.9% | 32.0% | -0.3 | 1 |
| 2012-08-31 | Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1896 | 1890 | 42.5% | 26.8% | 30.7% | -8.1 | 1 |
| 2012-08-31 | @ Mainz 05 | W 1-0 | 1890 | 1896 | 30.7% | 26.8% | 42.5% | +8.1 | 3 |
| 2012-09-01 | Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1897 | 2066 | 21.0% | 24.9% | 54.1% | +1.4 | 4 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 2066 | 1897 | 54.1% | 24.9% | 21.0% | -1.4 | 4 |
| 2012-09-01 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 0-0 | 1882 | 1980 | 28.3% | 26.5% | 45.2% | +0.7 | 4 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ Dusseldorf | D 0-0 | 1980 | 1882 | 45.2% | 26.5% | 28.3% | -0.7 | 4 |
| 2012-09-01 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-4 | 1888 | 1884 | 42.2% | 26.8% | 30.9% | -28.8 | 0 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ Hoffenheim | W 4-0 | 1884 | 1888 | 30.9% | 26.8% | 42.2% | +28.8 | 6 |
| 2012-09-01 | FC Augsburg | W 3-1 | 1967 | 1859 | 55.6% | 24.5% | 19.9% | +7.1 | 4 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-3 | 1859 | 1967 | 19.9% | 24.5% | 55.6% | -7.1 | 0 |
| 2012-09-01 | SC Freiburg | W 2-0 | 1932 | 1882 | 48.4% | 26.1% | 25.5% | +10.3 | 3 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1882 | 1932 | 25.5% | 26.1% | 48.4% | -10.3 | 1 |
| 2012-09-01 | Hamburger SV | W 2-0 | 1867 | 1838 | 45.5% | 26.5% | 28.0% | +11.1 | 3 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-2 | 1838 | 1867 | 28.0% | 26.5% | 45.5% | -11.1 | 0 |
| 2012-09-02 | Hannover 96 | L 0-4 | 1894 | 1899 | 41.0% | 26.9% | 32.1% | -28.1 | 3 |
| 2012-09-02 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 4-0 | 1899 | 1894 | 32.1% | 26.9% | 41.0% | +28.1 | 4 |
| 2012-09-02 | VfB Stuttgart | W 6-1 | 2063 | 1948 | 56.4% | 24.2% | 19.4% | +15.5 | 6 |
| 2012-09-02 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-6 | 1948 | 2063 | 19.4% | 24.2% | 56.4% | -15.5 | 0 |
| 2012-09-14 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 0-0 | 1851 | 1866 | 39.6% | 27.0% | 33.4% | -0.3 | 1 |
| 2012-09-14 | @ FC Augsburg | D 0-0 | 1866 | 1851 | 33.4% | 27.0% | 39.6% | +0.3 | 4 |
| 2012-09-15 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 2-3 | 1979 | 1899 | 52.3% | 25.3% | 22.4% | -8.5 | 4 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-2 | 1899 | 1979 | 22.4% | 25.3% | 52.3% | +8.6 | 7 |
| 2012-09-15 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-0 | 2065 | 1943 | 57.2% | 24.0% | 18.8% | +11.3 | 7 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-3 | 1943 | 2065 | 18.8% | 24.0% | 57.2% | -11.3 | 3 |
| 2012-09-15 | Dusseldorf | D 0-0 | 1933 | 1882 | 48.4% | 26.1% | 25.5% | -1.0 | 1 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 0-0 | 1882 | 1933 | 25.5% | 26.1% | 48.4% | +1.0 | 5 |
| 2012-09-15 | Mainz 05 | W 3-1 | 2079 | 1888 | 64.6% | 21.3% | 14.1% | +5.0 | 9 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1888 | 2079 | 14.1% | 21.3% | 64.6% | -5.0 | 1 |
| 2012-09-15 | Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1898 | 1975 | 31.0% | 26.8% | 42.1% | -12.0 | 3 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Greuther Furth | W 2-0 | 1975 | 1898 | 42.1% | 26.8% | 31.0% | +12.0 | 7 |
| 2012-09-15 | Werder Bremen | W 3-2 | 1927 | 1878 | 48.3% | 26.1% | 25.6% | +4.9 | 7 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Hannover 96 | L 2-3 | 1878 | 1927 | 25.6% | 26.1% | 48.3% | -4.9 | 3 |
| 2012-09-16 | Hamburger SV | W 3-2 | 1913 | 1827 | 52.8% | 25.2% | 22.0% | +4.3 | 9 |
| 2012-09-16 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 2-3 | 1827 | 1913 | 22.0% | 25.2% | 52.8% | -4.3 | 0 |
| 2012-09-16 | Hoffenheim | W 5-3 | 1872 | 1859 | 43.4% | 26.7% | 29.9% | +8.6 | 4 |
| 2012-09-16 | @ SC Freiburg | L 3-5 | 1859 | 1872 | 29.9% | 26.7% | 43.4% | -8.6 | 0 |
| 2012-09-21 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1907 | 1917 | 40.3% | 26.9% | 32.8% | -7.3 | 7 |
| 2012-09-21 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1917 | 1907 | 32.8% | 26.9% | 40.3% | +7.3 | 12 |
| 2012-09-22 | Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1987 | 2084 | 28.4% | 26.6% | 45.0% | -11.2 | 7 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ Schalke 04 | W 2-0 | 2084 | 1987 | 45.0% | 26.6% | 28.4% | +11.2 | 12 |
| 2012-09-22 | Borussia Dortmund | W 3-2 | 1823 | 2076 | 14.8% | 21.7% | 63.5% | +10.0 | 3 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ Hamburger SV | L 2-3 | 2076 | 1823 | 63.5% | 21.7% | 14.8% | -10.0 | 7 |
| 2012-09-22 | FC Augsburg | W 2-0 | 1883 | 1851 | 46.0% | 26.4% | 27.6% | +11.0 | 4 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-2 | 1851 | 1883 | 27.6% | 26.4% | 46.0% | -11.0 | 1 |
| 2012-09-22 | SC Freiburg | D 0-0 | 1883 | 1880 | 42.1% | 26.8% | 31.1% | -0.5 | 6 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ Dusseldorf | D 0-0 | 1880 | 1883 | 31.1% | 26.8% | 42.1% | +0.5 | 5 |
| 2012-09-22 | Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1866 | 1886 | 38.9% | 27.0% | 34.2% | -0.2 | 5 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1886 | 1866 | 34.2% | 27.0% | 38.9% | +0.2 | 4 |
| 2012-09-23 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1931 | 1971 | 36.1% | 27.0% | 36.9% | +0.0 | 4 |
| 2012-09-23 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1971 | 1931 | 36.9% | 27.0% | 36.1% | -0.0 | 5 |
| 2012-09-23 | Hannover 96 | W 3-1 | 1851 | 1932 | 30.4% | 26.8% | 42.8% | +13.3 | 3 |
| 2012-09-23 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-3 | 1932 | 1851 | 42.8% | 26.8% | 30.4% | -13.3 | 7 |
| 2012-09-23 | VfB Stuttgart | D 2-2 | 1873 | 1932 | 33.4% | 27.0% | 39.6% | +0.2 | 4 |
| 2012-09-23 | @ Werder Bremen | D 2-2 | 1932 | 1873 | 39.6% | 27.0% | 33.4% | -0.2 | 2 |
| 2012-09-25 | Borussia Dortmund | D 3-3 | 1924 | 2066 | 23.6% | 25.6% | 50.8% | +0.7 | 13 |
| 2012-09-25 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 3-3 | 2066 | 1924 | 50.8% | 25.6% | 23.6% | -0.7 | 8 |
| 2012-09-25 | Dusseldorf | L 0-2 | 1886 | 1883 | 42.1% | 26.8% | 31.1% | -15.2 | 4 |
| 2012-09-25 | @ Greuther Furth | W 2-0 | 1883 | 1886 | 31.1% | 26.8% | 42.1% | +15.2 | 9 |
| 2012-09-25 | Mainz 05 | W 3-0 | 1975 | 1894 | 52.3% | 25.3% | 22.4% | +13.3 | 10 |
| 2012-09-25 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-3 | 1894 | 1975 | 22.4% | 25.3% | 52.3% | -13.3 | 4 |
| 2012-09-25 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-0 | 2095 | 1866 | 68.3% | 19.6% | 12.1% | +7.0 | 15 |
| 2012-09-25 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1866 | 2095 | 12.1% | 19.6% | 68.3% | -7.0 | 5 |
| 2012-09-26 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 4-1 | 1919 | 1900 | 44.2% | 26.6% | 29.1% | +14.0 | 10 |
| 2012-09-26 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-4 | 1900 | 1919 | 29.1% | 26.6% | 44.2% | -14.0 | 7 |
| 2012-09-26 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-3 | 1840 | 1931 | 29.2% | 26.6% | 44.2% | -9.9 | 1 |
| 2012-09-26 | @ FC Augsburg | W 3-1 | 1931 | 1840 | 44.2% | 26.6% | 29.2% | +9.9 | 7 |
| 2012-09-26 | Hamburger SV | D 2-2 | 1971 | 1833 | 58.9% | 23.4% | 17.6% | -1.3 | 6 |
| 2012-09-26 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 2-2 | 1833 | 1971 | 17.6% | 23.4% | 58.9% | +1.3 | 4 |
| 2012-09-26 | Hoffenheim | L 0-3 | 1931 | 1864 | 50.6% | 25.7% | 23.7% | -25.5 | 2 |
| 2012-09-26 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 3-0 | 1864 | 1931 | 23.7% | 25.7% | 50.6% | +25.5 | 6 |
| 2012-09-26 | Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1881 | 1873 | 42.7% | 26.8% | 30.5% | -7.7 | 5 |
| 2012-09-26 | @ SC Freiburg | W 2-1 | 1873 | 1881 | 30.5% | 26.8% | 42.7% | +7.7 | 7 |
| 2012-09-28 | Schalke 04 | D 2-2 | 1898 | 1989 | 29.2% | 26.7% | 44.1% | +0.4 | 10 |
| 2012-09-28 | @ Dusseldorf | D 2-2 | 1989 | 1898 | 44.1% | 26.7% | 29.2% | -0.4 | 11 |
| 2012-09-29 | Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1881 | 2102 | 16.9% | 23.0% | 60.1% | -7.0 | 7 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-0 | 2102 | 1881 | 60.1% | 23.0% | 16.9% | +7.0 | 18 |
| 2012-09-29 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 5-0 | 2065 | 1970 | 54.1% | 24.9% | 21.0% | +20.2 | 11 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-5 | 1970 | 2065 | 21.0% | 24.9% | 54.1% | -20.2 | 6 |
| 2012-09-29 | FC Augsburg | D 0-0 | 1889 | 1830 | 49.6% | 25.9% | 24.6% | -1.1 | 7 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Hoffenheim | D 0-0 | 1830 | 1889 | 24.6% | 25.9% | 49.6% | +1.1 | 2 |
| 2012-09-29 | Greuther Furth | W 2-0 | 1941 | 1871 | 51.0% | 25.6% | 23.4% | +9.5 | 10 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1871 | 1941 | 23.4% | 25.6% | 51.0% | -9.5 | 4 |
| 2012-09-29 | Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1834 | 1933 | 28.3% | 26.5% | 45.1% | +8.5 | 7 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1933 | 1834 | 45.1% | 26.5% | 28.3% | -8.5 | 10 |
| 2012-09-29 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1886 | 1906 | 38.8% | 27.0% | 34.2% | -14.2 | 7 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-0 | 1906 | 1886 | 34.2% | 27.0% | 38.8% | +14.2 | 5 |
| 2012-09-30 | SC Freiburg | W 2-1 | 1925 | 1873 | 48.6% | 26.0% | 25.3% | +5.1 | 16 |
| 2012-09-30 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1873 | 1925 | 25.3% | 26.0% | 48.6% | -5.1 | 5 |
| 2012-09-30 | Mainz 05 | L 0-2 | 1859 | 1881 | 38.6% | 27.0% | 34.4% | -14.2 | 5 |
| 2012-09-30 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-0 | 1881 | 1859 | 34.4% | 27.0% | 38.6% | +14.2 | 7 |
| 2012-10-05 | Werder Bremen | W 3-1 | 1831 | 1874 | 35.6% | 27.0% | 37.3% | +12.0 | 5 |
| 2012-10-05 | @ FC Augsburg | L 1-3 | 1874 | 1831 | 37.3% | 27.0% | 35.6% | -12.0 | 7 |
| 2012-10-06 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-0 | 1868 | 1872 | 41.1% | 26.9% | 32.0% | +17.9 | 8 |
| 2012-10-06 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-3 | 1872 | 1868 | 32.0% | 26.9% | 41.1% | -17.9 | 7 |
| 2012-10-06 | Dusseldorf | W 1-0 | 1895 | 1898 | 41.1% | 26.9% | 32.0% | +6.5 | 10 |
| 2012-10-06 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-1 | 1898 | 1895 | 32.0% | 26.9% | 41.1% | -6.5 | 10 |
| 2012-10-06 | Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1861 | 1843 | 44.2% | 26.6% | 29.1% | -8.4 | 4 |
| 2012-10-06 | @ Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1843 | 1861 | 29.1% | 26.6% | 44.2% | +8.3 | 10 |
| 2012-10-06 | Hoffenheim | W 2-0 | 2109 | 1888 | 67.5% | 20.0% | 12.5% | +5.0 | 21 |
| 2012-10-06 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1888 | 2109 | 12.5% | 20.0% | 67.5% | -5.0 | 7 |
| 2012-10-06 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-0 | 1988 | 1845 | 59.6% | 23.2% | 17.2% | +10.3 | 14 |
| 2012-10-06 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-3 | 1845 | 1988 | 17.2% | 23.2% | 59.6% | -10.3 | 5 |
| 2012-10-07 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 2-2 | 1920 | 1951 | 37.3% | 27.0% | 35.7% | -0.0 | 6 |
| 2012-10-07 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 2-2 | 1951 | 1920 | 35.7% | 27.0% | 37.3% | +0.0 | 11 |
| 2012-10-07 | Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1924 | 2086 | 21.7% | 25.1% | 53.2% | +1.3 | 11 |
| 2012-10-07 | @ Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 2086 | 1924 | 53.2% | 25.1% | 21.7% | -1.3 | 12 |
| 2012-10-07 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1949 | 1930 | 44.3% | 26.6% | 29.1% | +11.4 | 9 |
| 2012-10-07 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-2 | 1930 | 1949 | 29.1% | 26.6% | 44.3% | -11.4 | 16 |
| 2012-10-19 | Greuther Furth | D 3-3 | 1883 | 1853 | 45.8% | 26.5% | 27.8% | -0.4 | 8 |
| 2012-10-19 | @ Hoffenheim | D 3-3 | 1853 | 1883 | 27.8% | 26.5% | 45.8% | +0.4 | 5 |
| 2012-10-20 | Bayern Munich | L 0-5 | 1892 | 2114 | 16.8% | 23.0% | 60.2% | -16.2 | 10 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ Dusseldorf | W 5-0 | 2114 | 1892 | 60.2% | 23.0% | 16.8% | +16.2 | 24 |
| 2012-10-20 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 4-0 | 1862 | 1961 | 28.3% | 26.5% | 45.2% | +30.4 | 10 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-4 | 1961 | 1862 | 45.2% | 26.5% | 28.3% | -30.4 | 9 |
| 2012-10-20 | SC Freiburg | L 0-2 | 1834 | 1886 | 34.4% | 27.0% | 38.6% | -13.0 | 5 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-0 | 1886 | 1834 | 38.6% | 27.0% | 34.4% | +13.0 | 11 |
| 2012-10-20 | Hannover 96 | W 3-1 | 1919 | 1926 | 40.7% | 26.9% | 32.4% | +10.8 | 19 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-3 | 1926 | 1919 | 32.4% | 26.9% | 40.7% | -10.8 | 11 |
| 2012-10-20 | Mainz 05 | D 2-2 | 1951 | 1901 | 48.3% | 26.1% | 25.6% | -0.7 | 12 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 2-2 | 1901 | 1951 | 25.6% | 26.1% | 48.3% | +0.7 | 11 |
| 2012-10-20 | Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 2084 | 1999 | 52.9% | 25.2% | 21.9% | -9.1 | 12 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 2-1 | 1999 | 2084 | 21.9% | 25.2% | 52.9% | +9.1 | 17 |
| 2012-10-21 | FC Augsburg | D 0-0 | 1854 | 1843 | 43.1% | 26.8% | 30.2% | -0.6 | 8 |
| 2012-10-21 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1843 | 1854 | 30.2% | 26.8% | 43.1% | +0.6 | 6 |
| 2012-10-21 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1851 | 1920 | 32.0% | 26.9% | 41.1% | -6.5 | 10 |
| 2012-10-21 | @ Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1920 | 1851 | 41.1% | 26.9% | 32.0% | +6.5 | 9 |
| 2012-10-26 | Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1844 | 1845 | 41.5% | 26.9% | 31.6% | -15.0 | 6 |
| 2012-10-26 | @ FC Augsburg | W 2-0 | 1845 | 1844 | 31.6% | 26.9% | 41.5% | +15.0 | 13 |
| 2012-10-27 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 2008 | 1853 | 60.8% | 22.8% | 16.4% | +3.6 | 20 |
| 2012-10-27 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1853 | 2008 | 16.4% | 22.8% | 60.8% | -3.6 | 8 |
| 2012-10-27 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1899 | 2075 | 20.4% | 24.6% | 55.0% | -8.4 | 11 |
| 2012-10-27 | @ SC Freiburg | W 2-0 | 2075 | 1899 | 55.0% | 24.6% | 20.4% | +8.4 | 15 |
| 2012-10-27 | Hoffenheim | W 3-0 | 1902 | 1883 | 44.3% | 26.6% | 29.1% | +16.6 | 14 |
| 2012-10-27 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-3 | 1883 | 1902 | 29.1% | 26.6% | 44.3% | -16.6 | 8 |
| 2012-10-27 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-4 | 1876 | 1821 | 48.9% | 26.0% | 25.1% | -20.9 | 10 |
| 2012-10-27 | @ Dusseldorf | W 4-1 | 1821 | 1876 | 25.1% | 26.0% | 48.9% | +20.9 | 8 |
| 2012-10-27 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1854 | 1892 | 36.2% | 27.0% | 36.8% | +0.0 | 6 |
| 2012-10-27 | @ Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1892 | 1854 | 36.8% | 27.0% | 36.2% | -0.0 | 11 |
| 2012-10-28 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 2131 | 1950 | 63.5% | 21.7% | 14.8% | -10.6 | 24 |
| 2012-10-28 | @ Bayern Munich | W 2-1 | 1950 | 2131 | 14.8% | 21.7% | 63.5% | +10.6 | 15 |
| 2012-10-28 | Borussia Monchengladbach | L 2-3 | 1915 | 1930 | 39.5% | 27.0% | 33.6% | -6.8 | 11 |
| 2012-10-28 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-2 | 1930 | 1915 | 33.6% | 27.0% | 39.5% | +6.8 | 12 |
| 2012-10-28 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1927 | 1929 | 41.3% | 26.9% | 31.8% | +6.1 | 12 |
| 2012-10-28 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1929 | 1927 | 31.8% | 26.9% | 41.3% | -6.1 | 19 |
| 2012-11-02 | Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1923 | 1854 | 50.9% | 25.6% | 23.5% | -1.1 | 20 |
| 2012-11-02 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1854 | 1923 | 23.5% | 25.6% | 50.9% | +1.1 | 7 |
| 2012-11-03 | Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1860 | 2120 | 14.3% | 21.4% | 64.2% | -8.5 | 13 |
| 2012-11-03 | @ Hamburger SV | W 3-0 | 2120 | 1860 | 64.2% | 21.4% | 14.3% | +8.5 | 27 |
| 2012-11-03 | FC Augsburg | W 2-0 | 1908 | 1829 | 52.0% | 25.4% | 22.6% | +9.2 | 14 |
| 2012-11-03 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1829 | 1908 | 22.6% | 25.4% | 52.0% | -9.2 | 6 |
| 2012-11-03 | SC Freiburg | D 1-1 | 1937 | 1890 | 48.0% | 26.2% | 25.9% | -0.9 | 13 |
| 2012-11-03 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1890 | 1937 | 25.9% | 26.2% | 48.0% | +0.9 | 12 |
| 2012-11-03 | Schalke 04 | W 3-2 | 1866 | 2011 | 23.3% | 25.6% | 51.2% | +8.4 | 11 |
| 2012-11-03 | @ Hoffenheim | L 2-3 | 2011 | 1866 | 51.2% | 25.6% | 23.3% | -8.4 | 20 |
| 2012-11-03 | VfB Stuttgart | D 0-0 | 2084 | 1933 | 60.4% | 22.9% | 16.7% | -2.0 | 16 |
| 2012-11-03 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 0-0 | 1933 | 2084 | 16.7% | 22.9% | 60.4% | +2.0 | 13 |
| 2012-11-03 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 1-0 | 1850 | 1842 | 42.6% | 26.8% | 30.6% | +6.3 | 11 |
| 2012-11-03 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1842 | 1850 | 30.6% | 26.8% | 42.6% | -6.3 | 8 |
| 2012-11-04 | Dusseldorf | W 3-2 | 1961 | 1855 | 55.3% | 24.6% | 20.1% | +3.9 | 18 |
| 2012-11-04 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 2-3 | 1855 | 1961 | 20.1% | 24.6% | 55.3% | -3.9 | 10 |
| 2012-11-04 | Mainz 05 | W 2-1 | 1892 | 1919 | 37.9% | 27.0% | 35.1% | +6.6 | 14 |
| 2012-11-04 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1919 | 1892 | 35.1% | 27.0% | 37.9% | -6.6 | 14 |
| 2012-11-09 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1912 | 1856 | 49.2% | 25.9% | 24.9% | +5.0 | 17 |
| 2012-11-09 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1856 | 1912 | 24.9% | 25.9% | 49.2% | -5.0 | 11 |
| 2012-11-10 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-3 | 1820 | 2082 | 14.2% | 21.4% | 64.4% | -5.1 | 6 |
| 2012-11-10 | @ FC Augsburg | W 3-1 | 2082 | 1820 | 64.4% | 21.4% | 14.2% | +5.0 | 19 |
| 2012-11-10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 2128 | 1922 | 66.1% | 20.6% | 13.3% | +5.4 | 30 |
| 2012-11-10 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1922 | 2128 | 13.3% | 20.6% | 66.1% | -5.4 | 20 |
| 2012-11-10 | Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1891 | 1851 | 47.1% | 26.3% | 26.6% | -0.9 | 13 |
| 2012-11-10 | @ SC Freiburg | D 0-0 | 1851 | 1891 | 26.6% | 26.3% | 47.1% | +0.9 | 14 |
| 2012-11-10 | Hoffenheim | D 1-1 | 1851 | 1875 | 38.3% | 27.0% | 34.7% | -0.1 | 11 |
| 2012-11-10 | @ Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1875 | 1851 | 34.7% | 27.0% | 38.3% | +0.1 | 12 |
| 2012-11-10 | Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 2003 | 1899 | 55.1% | 24.6% | 20.3% | +4.2 | 23 |
| 2012-11-10 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1899 | 2003 | 20.3% | 24.6% | 55.1% | -4.2 | 14 |
| 2012-11-11 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-1 | 1836 | 1965 | 24.9% | 25.9% | 49.1% | +14.8 | 11 |
| 2012-11-11 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-3 | 1965 | 1836 | 49.1% | 25.9% | 24.9% | -14.8 | 18 |
| 2012-11-11 | Borussia Monchengladbach | L 2-4 | 1855 | 1936 | 30.4% | 26.8% | 42.9% | -9.2 | 7 |
| 2012-11-11 | @ Greuther Furth | W 4-2 | 1936 | 1855 | 42.9% | 26.8% | 30.4% | +9.2 | 16 |
| 2012-11-11 | Hannover 96 | L 2-4 | 1935 | 1917 | 44.1% | 26.7% | 29.3% | -12.2 | 13 |
| 2012-11-11 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 4-2 | 1917 | 1935 | 29.3% | 26.7% | 44.1% | +12.2 | 17 |
| 2012-11-17 | Bayern Munich | D 1-1 | 1851 | 2134 | 13.1% | 20.4% | 66.5% | +2.3 | 12 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 2134 | 1851 | 66.5% | 20.4% | 13.1% | -2.3 | 31 |
| 2012-11-17 | FC Augsburg | W 4-2 | 1917 | 1815 | 54.8% | 24.7% | 20.5% | +6.5 | 23 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 2-4 | 1815 | 1917 | 20.5% | 24.7% | 54.8% | -6.5 | 6 |
| 2012-11-17 | SC Freiburg | L 1-2 | 1929 | 1890 | 46.9% | 26.3% | 26.8% | -8.3 | 17 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1890 | 1929 | 26.8% | 26.3% | 46.9% | +8.2 | 16 |
| 2012-11-17 | Greuther Furth | W 3-1 | 2087 | 1846 | 69.5% | 19.1% | 11.5% | +4.0 | 22 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-3 | 1846 | 2087 | 11.5% | 19.1% | 69.5% | -4.0 | 7 |
| 2012-11-17 | Mainz 05 | W 1-0 | 1852 | 1917 | 32.5% | 26.9% | 40.5% | +7.8 | 17 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1917 | 1852 | 40.5% | 26.9% | 32.5% | -7.8 | 17 |
| 2012-11-17 | Schalke 04 | W 2-0 | 1950 | 2007 | 33.6% | 27.0% | 39.4% | +14.4 | 21 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 2007 | 1950 | 39.4% | 27.0% | 33.6% | -14.4 | 23 |
| 2012-11-17 | VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1945 | 1923 | 44.8% | 26.6% | 28.6% | -8.0 | 16 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 1923 | 1945 | 28.6% | 26.6% | 44.8% | +8.0 | 16 |
| 2012-11-18 | Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1895 | 1851 | 47.6% | 26.2% | 26.2% | +5.2 | 17 |
| 2012-11-18 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1851 | 1895 | 26.2% | 26.2% | 47.6% | -5.2 | 11 |
| 2012-11-18 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-3 | 1875 | 1851 | 44.9% | 26.6% | 28.5% | -13.8 | 12 |
| 2012-11-18 | @ Hoffenheim | W 3-1 | 1851 | 1875 | 28.5% | 26.6% | 44.9% | +13.8 | 14 |
| 2012-11-23 | Hamburger SV | W 2-0 | 1845 | 1860 | 39.6% | 27.0% | 33.4% | +12.7 | 14 |
| 2012-11-23 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-2 | 1860 | 1845 | 33.4% | 27.0% | 39.6% | -12.7 | 17 |
| 2012-11-24 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1842 | 1853 | 40.0% | 27.0% | 33.0% | -0.3 | 8 |
| 2012-11-24 | @ Greuther Furth | D 0-0 | 1853 | 1842 | 33.0% | 27.0% | 40.0% | +0.3 | 13 |
| 2012-11-24 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-2 | 1909 | 2091 | 19.9% | 24.5% | 55.6% | -4.1 | 17 |
| 2012-11-24 | @ Mainz 05 | W 2-1 | 2091 | 1909 | 55.6% | 24.5% | 19.9% | +4.1 | 25 |
| 2012-11-24 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1993 | 1923 | 50.8% | 25.6% | 23.5% | -1.1 | 24 |
| 2012-11-24 | @ Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1923 | 1993 | 23.5% | 25.6% | 50.8% | +1.1 | 24 |
| 2012-11-24 | Hannover 96 | W 5-0 | 2132 | 1921 | 66.5% | 20.4% | 13.0% | +12.4 | 34 |
| 2012-11-24 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-5 | 1921 | 2132 | 13.0% | 20.4% | 66.5% | -12.4 | 17 |
| 2012-11-24 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1865 | 1900 | 36.7% | 27.0% | 36.3% | -0.0 | 15 |
| 2012-11-24 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1900 | 1865 | 36.3% | 27.0% | 36.7% | +0.0 | 18 |
| 2012-11-25 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1861 | 1964 | 27.7% | 26.5% | 45.8% | -5.5 | 12 |
| 2012-11-25 | @ Hoffenheim | W 2-1 | 1964 | 1861 | 45.8% | 26.5% | 27.7% | +5.5 | 24 |
| 2012-11-25 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1808 | 1938 | 24.9% | 25.9% | 49.2% | +1.0 | 7 |
| 2012-11-25 | @ FC Augsburg | D 1-1 | 1938 | 1808 | 49.2% | 25.9% | 24.9% | -1.0 | 17 |
| 2012-11-25 | VfB Stuttgart | W 3-0 | 1899 | 1931 | 37.1% | 27.0% | 35.8% | +19.5 | 19 |
| 2012-11-25 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-3 | 1931 | 1899 | 35.8% | 27.0% | 37.1% | -19.5 | 16 |
| 2012-11-27 | Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 2095 | 1858 | 69.0% | 19.2% | 11.7% | -2.4 | 26 |
| 2012-11-27 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1858 | 2095 | 11.7% | 19.2% | 69.0% | +2.5 | 15 |
| 2012-11-27 | Greuther Furth | W 2-0 | 1909 | 1841 | 50.6% | 25.7% | 23.7% | +9.6 | 20 |
| 2012-11-27 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1841 | 1909 | 23.7% | 25.7% | 50.6% | -9.7 | 8 |
| 2012-11-27 | Mainz 05 | L 1-3 | 1924 | 1905 | 44.3% | 26.6% | 29.1% | -13.6 | 24 |
| 2012-11-27 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-1 | 1905 | 1924 | 29.1% | 26.6% | 44.3% | +13.7 | 20 |
| 2012-11-27 | Schalke 04 | W 3-1 | 1847 | 1992 | 23.3% | 25.6% | 51.1% | +15.3 | 20 |
| 2012-11-27 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-3 | 1992 | 1847 | 51.1% | 25.6% | 23.3% | -15.3 | 24 |
| 2012-11-28 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-4 | 1900 | 1970 | 31.9% | 26.9% | 41.2% | -15.1 | 18 |
| 2012-11-28 | @ Werder Bremen | W 4-1 | 1970 | 1900 | 41.2% | 26.9% | 31.9% | +15.0 | 27 |
| 2012-11-28 | Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1918 | 2144 | 16.6% | 22.9% | 60.6% | -6.8 | 19 |
| 2012-11-28 | @ SC Freiburg | W 2-0 | 2144 | 1918 | 60.6% | 22.9% | 16.6% | +6.9 | 37 |
| 2012-11-28 | FC Augsburg | W 2-1 | 1911 | 1809 | 54.8% | 24.7% | 20.5% | +4.2 | 19 |
| 2012-11-28 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1809 | 1911 | 20.5% | 24.7% | 54.8% | -4.2 | 7 |
| 2012-11-28 | Hoffenheim | W 4-2 | 1853 | 1855 | 41.4% | 26.9% | 31.8% | +9.5 | 16 |
| 2012-11-28 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 2-4 | 1855 | 1853 | 31.8% | 26.9% | 41.4% | -9.5 | 12 |
| 2012-11-28 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-0 | 1937 | 1865 | 51.2% | 25.6% | 23.3% | +9.5 | 20 |
| 2012-11-28 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-2 | 1865 | 1937 | 23.3% | 25.6% | 51.2% | -9.5 | 15 |
| 2012-11-30 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 4-0 | 1861 | 1911 | 34.5% | 27.0% | 38.4% | +26.8 | 18 |
| 2012-11-30 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-4 | 1911 | 1861 | 38.4% | 27.0% | 34.5% | -26.8 | 24 |
| 2012-12-01 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1985 | 1863 | 57.2% | 24.0% | 18.8% | +4.1 | 30 |
| 2012-12-01 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-1 | 1863 | 1985 | 18.8% | 24.0% | 57.2% | -4.1 | 16 |
| 2012-12-01 | Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 2151 | 2092 | 49.5% | 25.9% | 24.6% | -1.0 | 38 |
| 2012-12-01 | @ Bayern Munich | D 1-1 | 2092 | 2151 | 24.6% | 25.9% | 49.5% | +1.0 | 27 |
| 2012-12-01 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1976 | 1946 | 45.8% | 26.5% | 27.8% | -0.7 | 25 |
| 2012-12-01 | @ Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1946 | 1976 | 27.8% | 26.5% | 45.8% | +0.7 | 21 |
| 2012-12-01 | SC Freiburg | D 1-1 | 1805 | 1911 | 27.4% | 26.4% | 46.2% | +0.7 | 8 |
| 2012-12-01 | @ FC Augsburg | D 1-1 | 1911 | 1805 | 46.2% | 26.4% | 27.4% | -0.7 | 20 |
| 2012-12-01 | Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1919 | 1918 | 41.7% | 26.9% | 31.4% | +6.1 | 23 |
| 2012-12-01 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1918 | 1919 | 31.4% | 26.9% | 41.7% | -6.1 | 20 |
| 2012-12-01 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1832 | 1915 | 30.1% | 26.7% | 43.1% | -6.2 | 8 |
| 2012-12-01 | @ Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1915 | 1832 | 43.1% | 26.7% | 30.1% | +6.2 | 22 |
| 2012-12-02 | Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1855 | 1862 | 40.6% | 26.9% | 32.5% | -0.3 | 16 |
| 2012-12-02 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1862 | 1855 | 32.5% | 26.9% | 40.6% | +0.3 | 21 |
| 2012-12-02 | Werder Bremen | L 1-4 | 1846 | 1885 | 36.1% | 27.0% | 36.8% | -16.5 | 12 |
| 2012-12-02 | @ Hoffenheim | W 4-1 | 1885 | 1846 | 36.8% | 27.0% | 36.1% | +16.5 | 21 |
| 2012-12-07 | Hoffenheim | W 2-0 | 1863 | 1829 | 46.2% | 26.4% | 27.4% | +10.9 | 24 |
| 2012-12-07 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1829 | 1863 | 27.4% | 26.4% | 46.2% | -10.9 | 12 |
| 2012-12-08 | Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1806 | 2150 | 10.1% | 17.7% | 72.2% | -4.0 | 8 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ FC Augsburg | W 2-0 | 2150 | 1806 | 72.2% | 17.7% | 10.1% | +4.0 | 41 |
| 2012-12-08 | Dusseldorf | W 2-0 | 1859 | 1887 | 37.6% | 27.0% | 35.4% | +13.3 | 19 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1887 | 1859 | 35.4% | 27.0% | 37.6% | -13.3 | 18 |
| 2012-12-08 | Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1911 | 1825 | 52.8% | 25.2% | 22.0% | +4.8 | 23 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-1 | 1825 | 1911 | 22.0% | 25.2% | 52.8% | -4.8 | 8 |
| 2012-12-08 | Schalke 04 | W 3-1 | 1922 | 1976 | 34.0% | 27.0% | 39.0% | +12.4 | 25 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-3 | 1976 | 1922 | 39.0% | 27.0% | 34.0% | -12.4 | 25 |
| 2012-12-08 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 2-3 | 2093 | 1855 | 69.2% | 19.2% | 11.6% | -10.7 | 27 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 3-2 | 1855 | 2093 | 11.6% | 19.2% | 69.2% | +10.7 | 19 |
| 2012-12-08 | Werder Bremen | W 4-1 | 1884 | 1901 | 39.2% | 27.0% | 33.8% | +15.8 | 27 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-4 | 1901 | 1884 | 33.8% | 27.0% | 39.2% | -15.8 | 21 |
| 2012-12-09 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-2 | 1912 | 1989 | 31.0% | 26.8% | 42.2% | +7.2 | 23 |
| 2012-12-09 | @ Hannover 96 | L 2-3 | 1989 | 1912 | 42.2% | 26.8% | 31.0% | -7.2 | 30 |
| 2012-12-09 | Mainz 05 | W 2-0 | 1947 | 1925 | 44.7% | 26.6% | 28.7% | +11.3 | 24 |
| 2012-12-09 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-2 | 1925 | 1947 | 28.7% | 26.6% | 44.7% | -11.3 | 23 |
| 2012-12-14 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 2154 | 1958 | 65.1% | 21.1% | 13.9% | -2.2 | 42 |
| 2012-12-14 | @ Bayern Munich | D 1-1 | 1958 | 2154 | 13.9% | 21.1% | 65.1% | +2.2 | 25 |
| 2012-12-15 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-2 | 1866 | 1900 | 36.8% | 27.0% | 36.1% | -13.7 | 19 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-0 | 1900 | 1866 | 36.1% | 27.0% | 36.8% | +13.7 | 30 |
| 2012-12-15 | FC Augsburg | D 1-1 | 1821 | 1802 | 44.3% | 26.6% | 29.1% | -0.6 | 9 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1802 | 1821 | 29.1% | 26.6% | 44.3% | +0.6 | 9 |
| 2012-12-15 | SC Freiburg | L 1-3 | 1963 | 1915 | 48.1% | 26.1% | 25.8% | -14.6 | 25 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ Schalke 04 | W 3-1 | 1915 | 1963 | 25.8% | 26.1% | 48.1% | +14.6 | 26 |
| 2012-12-15 | Hamburger SV | W 3-0 | 1982 | 1874 | 55.6% | 24.5% | 20.0% | +12.0 | 33 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-3 | 1874 | 1982 | 20.0% | 24.5% | 55.6% | -12.0 | 24 |
| 2012-12-15 | Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1874 | 1919 | 35.2% | 27.0% | 37.8% | +7.0 | 21 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-2 | 1919 | 1874 | 37.8% | 27.0% | 35.2% | -7.0 | 23 |
| 2012-12-15 | VfB Stuttgart | W 3-1 | 1913 | 1934 | 38.8% | 27.0% | 34.2% | +11.2 | 26 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-3 | 1934 | 1913 | 34.2% | 27.0% | 38.8% | -11.2 | 25 |
| 2012-12-16 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1886 | 1872 | 43.5% | 26.7% | 29.8% | -0.5 | 22 |
| 2012-12-16 | @ Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1872 | 1886 | 29.8% | 26.7% | 43.5% | +0.5 | 20 |
| 2012-12-16 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-3 | 1819 | 2083 | 14.1% | 21.3% | 64.6% | -5.0 | 12 |
| 2012-12-16 | @ Hoffenheim | W 3-1 | 2083 | 1819 | 64.6% | 21.3% | 14.1% | +5.0 | 30 |
| 2013-01-18 | Hannover 96 | W 5-4 | 1949 | 1912 | 46.6% | 26.4% | 27.1% | +4.9 | 28 |
| 2013-01-18 | @ Schalke 04 | L 4-5 | 1912 | 1949 | 27.1% | 26.4% | 46.6% | -4.9 | 23 |
| 2013-01-19 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-5 | 1885 | 2088 | 18.2% | 23.7% | 58.0% | -17.7 | 22 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ Werder Bremen | W 5-0 | 2088 | 1885 | 58.0% | 23.7% | 18.2% | +17.7 | 33 |
| 2013-01-19 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 0-0 | 1814 | 1960 | 23.1% | 25.5% | 51.4% | +1.3 | 13 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ Hoffenheim | D 0-0 | 1960 | 1814 | 51.4% | 25.5% | 23.1% | -1.3 | 26 |
| 2013-01-19 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-1 | 1994 | 1913 | 52.2% | 25.3% | 22.4% | +8.0 | 36 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-3 | 1913 | 1994 | 22.4% | 25.3% | 52.2% | -8.0 | 30 |
| 2013-01-19 | SC Freiburg | D 0-0 | 1925 | 1930 | 40.9% | 26.9% | 32.2% | -0.4 | 27 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1930 | 1925 | 32.2% | 26.9% | 40.9% | +0.4 | 27 |
| 2013-01-19 | Greuther Furth | W 2-0 | 2152 | 1820 | 77.2% | 15.0% | 7.9% | +2.9 | 45 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1820 | 2152 | 7.9% | 15.0% | 77.2% | -2.9 | 9 |
| 2013-01-19 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-0 | 1852 | 1923 | 31.8% | 26.9% | 41.4% | +15.0 | 22 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-2 | 1923 | 1852 | 41.4% | 26.9% | 31.8% | -14.9 | 25 |
| 2013-01-20 | FC Augsburg | L 2-3 | 1881 | 1802 | 52.0% | 25.4% | 22.6% | -8.5 | 21 |
| 2013-01-20 | @ Dusseldorf | W 3-2 | 1802 | 1881 | 22.6% | 25.4% | 52.0% | +8.5 | 12 |
| 2013-01-20 | Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1873 | 1862 | 43.1% | 26.7% | 30.1% | -0.5 | 21 |
| 2013-01-20 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1862 | 1873 | 30.1% | 26.7% | 43.1% | +0.5 | 25 |
| 2013-01-25 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-0 | 2105 | 1872 | 68.7% | 19.4% | 11.9% | +6.9 | 36 |
| 2013-01-25 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-3 | 1872 | 2105 | 11.9% | 19.4% | 68.7% | -6.9 | 21 |
| 2013-01-26 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 0-0 | 1930 | 2002 | 31.7% | 26.9% | 41.4% | +0.4 | 28 |
| 2013-01-26 | @ SC Freiburg | D 0-0 | 2002 | 1930 | 41.4% | 26.9% | 31.7% | -0.4 | 37 |
| 2013-01-26 | Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1959 | 1873 | 53.0% | 25.2% | 21.9% | +4.5 | 29 |
| 2013-01-26 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-2 | 1873 | 1959 | 21.9% | 25.2% | 53.0% | -4.5 | 21 |
| 2013-01-26 | Hoffenheim | W 2-1 | 1905 | 1815 | 53.4% | 25.0% | 21.5% | +4.4 | 33 |
| 2013-01-26 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1815 | 1905 | 21.5% | 25.0% | 53.4% | -4.4 | 13 |
| 2013-01-26 | Mainz 05 | L 0-3 | 1817 | 1924 | 27.3% | 26.4% | 46.3% | -15.8 | 9 |
| 2013-01-26 | @ Greuther Furth | W 3-0 | 1924 | 1817 | 46.3% | 26.4% | 27.3% | +15.8 | 30 |
| 2013-01-26 | Schalke 04 | D 0-0 | 1811 | 1953 | 23.5% | 25.6% | 50.9% | +1.2 | 13 |
| 2013-01-26 | @ FC Augsburg | D 0-0 | 1953 | 1811 | 50.9% | 25.6% | 23.5% | -1.2 | 29 |
| 2013-01-26 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1908 | 1867 | 47.2% | 26.3% | 26.6% | +5.3 | 26 |
| 2013-01-26 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1867 | 1908 | 26.6% | 26.3% | 47.2% | -5.3 | 22 |
| 2013-01-27 | Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1908 | 2155 | 15.2% | 22.0% | 62.8% | -6.2 | 25 |
| 2013-01-27 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 2-0 | 2155 | 1908 | 62.8% | 22.0% | 15.2% | +6.2 | 48 |
| 2013-01-27 | Werder Bremen | W 3-2 | 1862 | 1867 | 40.9% | 26.9% | 32.2% | +5.9 | 28 |
| 2013-01-27 | @ Hamburger SV | L 2-3 | 1867 | 1862 | 32.2% | 26.9% | 40.9% | -5.9 | 22 |
| 2013-02-01 | Hannover 96 | W 2-0 | 1862 | 1913 | 34.4% | 27.0% | 38.6% | +14.2 | 25 |
| 2013-02-01 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-2 | 1913 | 1862 | 38.6% | 27.0% | 34.4% | -14.2 | 26 |
| 2013-02-02 | Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1940 | 2161 | 16.9% | 23.1% | 60.0% | -10.2 | 30 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ Mainz 05 | W 3-0 | 2161 | 1940 | 60.0% | 23.1% | 16.9% | +10.2 | 51 |
| 2013-02-02 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-2 | 1868 | 1910 | 35.7% | 27.0% | 37.2% | -13.4 | 28 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ Hamburger SV | W 2-0 | 1910 | 1868 | 37.2% | 27.0% | 35.7% | +13.4 | 36 |
| 2013-02-02 | FC Augsburg | D 1-1 | 1861 | 1812 | 48.3% | 26.1% | 25.6% | -0.9 | 23 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1812 | 1861 | 25.6% | 26.1% | 48.3% | +0.9 | 14 |
| 2013-02-02 | SC Freiburg | W 2-1 | 1810 | 1931 | 25.8% | 26.1% | 48.0% | +8.4 | 16 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-2 | 1931 | 1810 | 48.0% | 26.1% | 25.8% | -8.4 | 28 |
| 2013-02-02 | Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1952 | 1801 | 60.4% | 22.9% | 16.7% | -10.2 | 29 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1801 | 1952 | 16.7% | 22.9% | 60.4% | +10.2 | 12 |
| 2013-02-02 | VfB Stuttgart | W 3-1 | 1868 | 1901 | 36.9% | 27.0% | 36.0% | +11.7 | 24 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-3 | 1901 | 1868 | 36.0% | 27.0% | 36.9% | -11.7 | 25 |
| 2013-02-03 | Borussia Dortmund | L 2-3 | 2001 | 2112 | 26.9% | 26.3% | 46.8% | -5.1 | 37 |
| 2013-02-03 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-2 | 2112 | 2001 | 46.8% | 26.3% | 26.9% | +5.1 | 39 |
| 2013-02-03 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 1865 | 1963 | 28.3% | 26.5% | 45.1% | +8.0 | 24 |
| 2013-02-03 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1963 | 1865 | 45.1% | 26.5% | 28.3% | -8.0 | 29 |
| 2013-02-09 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1923 | 1873 | 48.4% | 26.1% | 25.5% | -1.0 | 37 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1873 | 1923 | 25.5% | 26.1% | 48.4% | +1.0 | 25 |
| 2013-02-09 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 3-3 | 1955 | 1996 | 35.9% | 27.0% | 37.1% | +0.0 | 30 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 3-3 | 1996 | 1955 | 37.1% | 27.0% | 35.9% | -0.0 | 38 |
| 2013-02-09 | Hamburger SV | L 1-4 | 2117 | 1855 | 71.4% | 18.1% | 10.5% | -28.3 | 39 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 4-1 | 1855 | 2117 | 10.5% | 18.1% | 71.4% | +28.3 | 31 |
| 2013-02-09 | Hoffenheim | W 1-0 | 1899 | 1819 | 52.2% | 25.3% | 22.5% | +4.9 | 29 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1819 | 1899 | 22.5% | 25.3% | 52.2% | -4.9 | 16 |
| 2013-02-09 | Schalke 04 | W 4-0 | 2171 | 1942 | 68.3% | 19.6% | 12.1% | +9.2 | 54 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-4 | 1942 | 2171 | 12.1% | 19.6% | 68.3% | -9.2 | 29 |
| 2013-02-09 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-1 | 1811 | 1861 | 34.7% | 27.0% | 38.3% | -7.0 | 12 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1861 | 1811 | 38.3% | 27.0% | 34.7% | +7.0 | 26 |
| 2013-02-09 | Werder Bremen | L 1-4 | 1890 | 1876 | 43.6% | 26.7% | 29.7% | -19.1 | 25 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 4-1 | 1876 | 1890 | 29.7% | 26.7% | 43.6% | +19.1 | 28 |
| 2013-02-10 | Dusseldorf | W 1-0 | 1922 | 1880 | 47.4% | 26.2% | 26.4% | +5.6 | 31 |
| 2013-02-10 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-1 | 1880 | 1922 | 26.4% | 26.2% | 47.4% | -5.6 | 24 |
| 2013-02-10 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1813 | 1930 | 26.2% | 26.2% | 47.6% | +0.9 | 15 |
| 2013-02-10 | @ FC Augsburg | D 1-1 | 1930 | 1813 | 47.6% | 26.2% | 26.2% | -0.8 | 31 |
| 2013-02-15 | Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1867 | 2180 | 11.6% | 19.1% | 69.3% | -4.6 | 26 |
| 2013-02-15 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-0 | 2180 | 1867 | 69.3% | 19.1% | 11.6% | +4.6 | 57 |
| 2013-02-16 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1883 | 1956 | 31.5% | 26.9% | 41.6% | +8.0 | 34 |
| 2013-02-16 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1956 | 1883 | 41.6% | 26.9% | 31.5% | -8.0 | 30 |
| 2013-02-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-0 | 2089 | 1922 | 62.1% | 22.3% | 15.6% | +9.3 | 42 |
| 2013-02-16 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-3 | 1922 | 2089 | 15.6% | 22.3% | 62.1% | -9.4 | 37 |
| 2013-02-16 | FC Augsburg | W 2-1 | 1996 | 1814 | 63.7% | 21.6% | 14.6% | +3.0 | 41 |
| 2013-02-16 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1814 | 1996 | 14.6% | 21.6% | 63.7% | -3.0 | 15 |
| 2013-02-16 | SC Freiburg | L 2-3 | 1895 | 1928 | 37.0% | 27.0% | 36.0% | -6.5 | 28 |
| 2013-02-16 | @ Werder Bremen | W 3-2 | 1928 | 1895 | 36.0% | 27.0% | 37.0% | +6.5 | 34 |
| 2013-02-16 | Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1874 | 1804 | 50.9% | 25.6% | 23.5% | +5.1 | 27 |
| 2013-02-16 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-1 | 1804 | 1874 | 23.5% | 25.6% | 50.9% | -5.1 | 12 |
| 2013-02-16 | Schalke 04 | D 2-2 | 1929 | 1933 | 41.1% | 26.9% | 32.0% | -0.3 | 32 |
| 2013-02-16 | @ Mainz 05 | D 2-2 | 1933 | 1929 | 32.0% | 26.9% | 41.1% | +0.3 | 30 |
| 2013-02-17 | Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1874 | 1904 | 37.5% | 27.0% | 35.5% | -0.1 | 26 |
| 2013-02-17 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1904 | 1874 | 35.5% | 27.0% | 37.5% | +0.1 | 30 |
| 2013-02-17 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1814 | 1871 | 33.6% | 27.0% | 39.4% | -6.8 | 16 |
| 2013-02-17 | @ Hoffenheim | W 1-0 | 1871 | 1814 | 39.4% | 27.0% | 33.6% | +6.8 | 28 |
| 2013-02-22 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1934 | 1913 | 44.6% | 26.6% | 28.8% | -0.7 | 35 |
| 2013-02-22 | @ SC Freiburg | D 0-0 | 1913 | 1934 | 28.8% | 26.6% | 44.6% | +0.7 | 38 |
| 2013-02-23 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1878 | 1874 | 42.1% | 26.8% | 31.1% | -0.4 | 29 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 1-1 | 1874 | 1878 | 31.1% | 26.8% | 42.1% | +0.4 | 27 |
| 2013-02-23 | Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1933 | 1879 | 48.9% | 26.0% | 25.1% | +5.1 | 33 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1879 | 1933 | 25.1% | 26.0% | 48.9% | -5.1 | 27 |
| 2013-02-23 | Hamburger SV | W 5-1 | 1904 | 1891 | 43.4% | 26.7% | 29.9% | +18.5 | 33 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-5 | 1891 | 1904 | 29.9% | 26.7% | 43.4% | -18.5 | 34 |
| 2013-02-23 | Hoffenheim | W 2-1 | 1811 | 1807 | 42.1% | 26.8% | 31.0% | +6.0 | 18 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ FC Augsburg | L 1-2 | 1807 | 1811 | 31.0% | 26.8% | 42.1% | -6.0 | 16 |
| 2013-02-23 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1929 | 1863 | 50.4% | 25.7% | 23.9% | -1.1 | 33 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1863 | 1929 | 23.9% | 25.7% | 50.4% | +1.1 | 27 |
| 2013-02-23 | Werder Bremen | W 6-1 | 2185 | 1888 | 74.3% | 16.5% | 9.1% | +6.8 | 60 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-6 | 1888 | 2185 | 9.1% | 16.5% | 74.3% | -6.8 | 28 |
| 2013-02-24 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 0-0 | 1799 | 1999 | 18.4% | 23.8% | 57.7% | +1.8 | 13 |
| 2013-02-24 | @ Greuther Furth | D 0-0 | 1999 | 1799 | 57.7% | 23.8% | 18.4% | -1.8 | 42 |
| 2013-02-24 | Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1948 | 2098 | 22.7% | 25.4% | 51.9% | +1.2 | 31 |
| 2013-02-24 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 2098 | 1948 | 51.9% | 25.4% | 22.7% | -1.2 | 43 |
| 2013-03-01 | Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-1 | 1913 | 1949 | 36.7% | 27.0% | 36.3% | -7.2 | 38 |
| 2013-03-01 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1949 | 1913 | 36.3% | 27.0% | 36.7% | +7.2 | 34 |
| 2013-03-02 | FC Augsburg | L 0-1 | 1882 | 1817 | 50.3% | 25.7% | 24.0% | -9.3 | 28 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 1817 | 1882 | 24.0% | 25.7% | 50.3% | +9.3 | 21 |
| 2013-03-02 | SC Freiburg | D 1-1 | 1875 | 1934 | 33.3% | 27.0% | 39.7% | +0.2 | 28 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1934 | 1875 | 39.7% | 27.0% | 33.3% | -0.2 | 36 |
| 2013-03-02 | Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1872 | 1801 | 51.1% | 25.6% | 23.4% | -1.1 | 35 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1801 | 1872 | 23.4% | 25.6% | 51.1% | +1.1 | 14 |
| 2013-03-02 | Hannover 96 | W 3-1 | 2097 | 1922 | 62.9% | 21.9% | 15.1% | +5.4 | 46 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-3 | 1922 | 2097 | 15.1% | 21.9% | 62.9% | -5.4 | 33 |
| 2013-03-02 | Schalke 04 | L 1-4 | 1864 | 1938 | 31.3% | 26.8% | 41.8% | -14.9 | 27 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 4-1 | 1938 | 1864 | 41.8% | 26.8% | 31.3% | +14.9 | 36 |
| 2013-03-02 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-1 | 1997 | 1877 | 57.0% | 24.1% | 19.0% | +3.9 | 45 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1877 | 1997 | 19.0% | 24.1% | 57.0% | -3.9 | 29 |
| 2013-03-03 | Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1801 | 2192 | 8.3% | 15.6% | 76.1% | -1.7 | 16 |
| 2013-03-03 | @ Hoffenheim | W 1-0 | 2192 | 1801 | 76.1% | 15.6% | 8.3% | +1.7 | 63 |
| 2013-03-03 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1874 | 1928 | 34.1% | 27.0% | 39.0% | +0.2 | 28 |
| 2013-03-03 | @ Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1928 | 1874 | 39.0% | 27.0% | 34.1% | -0.2 | 34 |
| 2013-03-08 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1826 | 1875 | 34.7% | 27.0% | 38.2% | -6.6 | 21 |
| 2013-03-08 | @ FC Augsburg | W 2-1 | 1875 | 1826 | 38.2% | 27.0% | 34.7% | +6.6 | 31 |
| 2013-03-09 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1928 | 2001 | 31.4% | 26.9% | 41.8% | +8.0 | 37 |
| 2013-03-09 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-1 | 2001 | 1928 | 41.8% | 26.9% | 31.4% | -8.0 | 45 |
| 2013-03-09 | Borussia Dortmund | W 2-1 | 1953 | 2103 | 22.8% | 25.4% | 51.7% | +8.9 | 39 |
| 2013-03-09 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 2103 | 1953 | 51.7% | 25.4% | 22.8% | -8.9 | 46 |
| 2013-03-09 | Dusseldorf | W 3-2 | 2193 | 1874 | 76.2% | 15.5% | 8.3% | +1.5 | 66 |
| 2013-03-09 | @ Bayern Munich | L 2-3 | 1874 | 2193 | 8.3% | 15.5% | 76.2% | -1.5 | 28 |
| 2013-03-09 | Hoffenheim | L 0-3 | 1802 | 1799 | 42.1% | 26.8% | 31.1% | -22.0 | 14 |
| 2013-03-09 | @ Greuther Furth | W 3-0 | 1799 | 1802 | 31.1% | 26.8% | 42.1% | +22.0 | 19 |
| 2013-03-09 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 2-5 | 1933 | 1849 | 52.7% | 25.2% | 22.1% | -19.3 | 36 |
| 2013-03-09 | @ SC Freiburg | W 5-2 | 1849 | 1933 | 22.1% | 25.2% | 52.7% | +19.2 | 30 |
| 2013-03-09 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1956 | 1872 | 52.6% | 25.2% | 22.1% | -1.2 | 35 |
| 2013-03-09 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1872 | 1956 | 22.1% | 25.2% | 52.6% | +1.2 | 29 |
| 2013-03-10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1917 | 1906 | 43.1% | 26.7% | 30.1% | -0.6 | 34 |
| 2013-03-10 | @ Hannover 96 | D 0-0 | 1906 | 1917 | 30.1% | 26.7% | 43.1% | +0.6 | 39 |
| 2013-03-10 | Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1873 | 1871 | 41.9% | 26.8% | 31.2% | -8.0 | 29 |
| 2013-03-10 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 1-0 | 1871 | 1873 | 31.2% | 26.8% | 41.9% | +8.0 | 38 |
| 2013-03-15 | Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1868 | 1873 | 41.0% | 26.9% | 32.1% | -0.3 | 31 |
| 2013-03-15 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1873 | 1868 | 32.1% | 26.9% | 41.0% | +0.4 | 29 |
| 2013-03-16 | Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1993 | 2195 | 18.3% | 23.8% | 57.9% | -3.8 | 45 |
| 2013-03-16 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 2195 | 1993 | 57.9% | 23.8% | 18.3% | +3.8 | 69 |
| 2013-03-16 | FC Augsburg | L 0-1 | 1879 | 1819 | 49.6% | 25.9% | 24.5% | -9.2 | 38 |
| 2013-03-16 | @ Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1819 | 1879 | 24.5% | 25.9% | 49.6% | +9.2 | 24 |
| 2013-03-16 | SC Freiburg | W 5-1 | 2094 | 1914 | 63.4% | 21.8% | 14.8% | +9.6 | 49 |
| 2013-03-16 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-5 | 1914 | 2094 | 14.8% | 21.8% | 63.4% | -9.6 | 36 |
| 2013-03-16 | Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1873 | 1780 | 53.8% | 25.0% | 21.3% | -1.0 | 30 |
| 2013-03-16 | @ Werder Bremen | D 2-2 | 1780 | 1873 | 21.3% | 25.0% | 53.8% | +1.0 | 15 |
| 2013-03-16 | Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1821 | 1936 | 26.5% | 26.3% | 47.2% | +0.9 | 20 |
| 2013-03-16 | @ Hoffenheim | D 0-0 | 1936 | 1821 | 47.2% | 26.3% | 26.5% | -0.9 | 38 |
| 2013-03-16 | Schalke 04 | W 3-0 | 1881 | 1962 | 30.5% | 26.8% | 42.7% | +22.3 | 34 |
| 2013-03-16 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-3 | 1962 | 1881 | 42.7% | 26.8% | 30.5% | -22.3 | 39 |
| 2013-03-17 | Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1955 | 1916 | 46.9% | 26.3% | 26.8% | +5.7 | 38 |
| 2013-03-17 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-1 | 1916 | 1955 | 26.8% | 26.3% | 46.9% | -5.7 | 34 |
| 2013-03-17 | VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1907 | 1865 | 47.3% | 26.2% | 26.5% | -8.3 | 39 |
| 2013-03-17 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1865 | 1907 | 26.5% | 26.2% | 47.3% | +8.3 | 32 |
| 2013-03-30 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-4 | 1873 | 1990 | 26.3% | 26.2% | 47.5% | -12.9 | 29 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ Dusseldorf | W 4-1 | 1990 | 1873 | 47.5% | 26.2% | 26.3% | +12.9 | 48 |
| 2013-03-30 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-2 | 1873 | 2103 | 16.3% | 22.7% | 61.0% | -3.4 | 32 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 2-1 | 2103 | 1873 | 61.0% | 22.7% | 16.3% | +3.4 | 52 |
| 2013-03-30 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-0 | 1905 | 1960 | 33.8% | 27.0% | 39.2% | +14.4 | 39 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-2 | 1960 | 1905 | 39.2% | 27.0% | 33.8% | -14.4 | 38 |
| 2013-03-30 | Hamburger SV | W 9-2 | 2198 | 1870 | 76.9% | 15.1% | 8.0% | +6.5 | 72 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ Bayern Munich | L 2-9 | 1870 | 2198 | 8.0% | 15.1% | 76.9% | -6.5 | 38 |
| 2013-03-30 | Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1829 | 1910 | 30.3% | 26.8% | 42.9% | -11.8 | 24 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ FC Augsburg | W 2-0 | 1910 | 1829 | 42.9% | 26.8% | 30.3% | +11.8 | 37 |
| 2013-03-30 | Hoffenheim | W 3-0 | 1940 | 1822 | 56.6% | 24.2% | 19.2% | +11.5 | 42 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-3 | 1822 | 1940 | 19.2% | 24.2% | 56.6% | -11.5 | 20 |
| 2013-03-30 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1935 | 1872 | 49.9% | 25.8% | 24.3% | -1.0 | 39 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1872 | 1935 | 24.3% | 25.8% | 49.9% | +1.0 | 31 |
| 2013-03-31 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1868 | 1904 | 36.6% | 27.0% | 36.4% | -0.0 | 32 |
| 2013-03-31 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 1904 | 1868 | 36.4% | 27.0% | 36.6% | +0.0 | 35 |
| 2013-03-31 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 2-3 | 1781 | 1898 | 26.2% | 26.2% | 47.6% | -5.0 | 15 |
| 2013-03-31 | @ Greuther Furth | W 3-2 | 1898 | 1781 | 47.6% | 26.2% | 26.2% | +5.0 | 42 |
| 2013-04-05 | Dusseldorf | W 3-0 | 1811 | 1860 | 34.6% | 27.0% | 38.4% | +20.5 | 23 |
| 2013-04-05 | @ Hoffenheim | L 0-3 | 1860 | 1811 | 38.4% | 27.0% | 34.6% | -20.5 | 29 |
| 2013-04-06 | Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1903 | 2205 | 12.1% | 19.6% | 68.3% | -2.6 | 42 |
| 2013-04-06 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 2205 | 1903 | 68.3% | 19.6% | 12.1% | +2.6 | 75 |
| 2013-04-06 | FC Augsburg | W 4-2 | 2107 | 1817 | 73.8% | 16.8% | 9.4% | +2.8 | 55 |
| 2013-04-06 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 2-4 | 1817 | 2107 | 9.4% | 16.8% | 73.8% | -2.8 | 24 |
| 2013-04-06 | SC Freiburg | L 0-1 | 1864 | 1919 | 33.9% | 27.0% | 39.2% | -6.8 | 38 |
| 2013-04-06 | @ Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1919 | 1864 | 39.2% | 27.0% | 33.9% | +6.8 | 42 |
| 2013-04-06 | Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1946 | 1776 | 62.4% | 22.2% | 15.4% | +3.4 | 41 |
| 2013-04-06 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-1 | 1776 | 1946 | 15.4% | 22.2% | 62.4% | -3.4 | 15 |
| 2013-04-06 | Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1874 | 1951 | 30.9% | 26.8% | 42.3% | -12.0 | 31 |
| 2013-04-06 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-0 | 1951 | 1874 | 42.3% | 26.8% | 30.9% | +12.0 | 45 |
| 2013-04-06 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 2002 | 1868 | 58.6% | 23.6% | 17.9% | -1.7 | 49 |
| 2013-04-06 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1868 | 2002 | 17.9% | 23.6% | 58.6% | +1.7 | 33 |
| 2013-04-07 | Mainz 05 | W 2-1 | 1904 | 1934 | 37.4% | 27.0% | 35.6% | +6.7 | 38 |
| 2013-04-07 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1934 | 1904 | 35.6% | 27.0% | 37.4% | -6.7 | 39 |
| 2013-04-07 | VfB Stuttgart | D 0-0 | 1922 | 1870 | 48.7% | 26.0% | 25.3% | -1.0 | 38 |
| 2013-04-07 | @ Hannover 96 | D 0-0 | 1870 | 1922 | 25.3% | 26.0% | 48.7% | +1.0 | 33 |
| 2013-04-12 | Hannover 96 | W 3-1 | 1926 | 1921 | 42.3% | 26.8% | 30.9% | +10.4 | 45 |
| 2013-04-12 | @ SC Freiburg | L 1-3 | 1921 | 1926 | 30.9% | 26.8% | 42.3% | -10.4 | 38 |
| 2013-04-13 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 4-0 | 2207 | 1910 | 74.4% | 16.5% | 9.1% | +6.6 | 78 |
| 2013-04-13 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-4 | 1910 | 2207 | 9.1% | 16.5% | 74.4% | -6.6 | 38 |
| 2013-04-13 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 2-2 | 1963 | 2001 | 36.3% | 27.0% | 36.6% | +0.0 | 46 |
| 2013-04-13 | @ Schalke 04 | D 2-2 | 2001 | 1963 | 36.6% | 27.0% | 36.3% | -0.0 | 50 |
| 2013-04-13 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-6 | 1773 | 2109 | 10.5% | 18.0% | 71.5% | -8.0 | 15 |
| 2013-04-13 | @ Greuther Furth | W 6-1 | 2109 | 1773 | 71.5% | 18.0% | 10.5% | +7.9 | 58 |
| 2013-04-13 | Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1927 | 1857 | 50.9% | 25.6% | 23.5% | -8.8 | 39 |
| 2013-04-13 | @ Mainz 05 | W 2-1 | 1857 | 1927 | 23.5% | 25.6% | 50.9% | +8.8 | 41 |
| 2013-04-13 | Hoffenheim | D 2-2 | 1870 | 1831 | 46.9% | 26.3% | 26.8% | -0.6 | 34 |
| 2013-04-13 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 1831 | 1870 | 26.8% | 26.3% | 46.9% | +0.6 | 24 |
| 2013-04-13 | Werder Bremen | D 2-2 | 1840 | 1862 | 38.6% | 27.0% | 34.4% | -0.1 | 30 |
| 2013-04-13 | @ Dusseldorf | D 2-2 | 1862 | 1840 | 34.4% | 27.0% | 38.6% | +0.1 | 32 |
| 2013-04-14 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-0 | 1871 | 1949 | 30.8% | 26.8% | 42.4% | +15.2 | 36 |
| 2013-04-14 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1949 | 1871 | 42.4% | 26.8% | 30.8% | -15.2 | 41 |
| 2013-04-14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1814 | 1901 | 29.7% | 26.7% | 43.6% | +15.6 | 27 |
| 2013-04-14 | @ FC Augsburg | L 0-2 | 1901 | 1814 | 43.6% | 26.7% | 29.7% | -15.6 | 42 |
| 2013-04-19 | FC Augsburg | W 1-0 | 1934 | 1830 | 55.1% | 24.6% | 20.3% | +4.4 | 44 |
| 2013-04-19 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-1 | 1830 | 1934 | 20.3% | 24.6% | 55.1% | -4.4 | 27 |
| 2013-04-20 | Bayern Munich | L 1-6 | 1911 | 2214 | 12.0% | 19.5% | 68.4% | -9.3 | 38 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Hannover 96 | W 6-1 | 2214 | 1911 | 68.4% | 19.5% | 12.0% | +9.3 | 81 |
| 2013-04-20 | Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1866 | 1840 | 45.2% | 26.5% | 28.3% | +5.6 | 44 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1840 | 1866 | 28.3% | 26.5% | 45.2% | -5.6 | 30 |
| 2013-04-20 | Hoffenheim | W 5-0 | 2001 | 1832 | 62.3% | 22.2% | 15.5% | +14.9 | 53 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-5 | 1832 | 2001 | 15.5% | 22.2% | 62.3% | -14.9 | 24 |
| 2013-04-20 | Mainz 05 | W 2-0 | 2117 | 1918 | 65.4% | 20.9% | 13.7% | +5.6 | 61 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1918 | 2117 | 13.7% | 20.9% | 65.4% | -5.6 | 39 |
| 2013-04-20 | Schalke 04 | W 1-0 | 1885 | 1963 | 30.8% | 26.8% | 42.4% | +8.1 | 45 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1963 | 1885 | 42.4% | 26.8% | 30.8% | -8.1 | 46 |
| 2013-04-20 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-3 | 1862 | 1869 | 40.6% | 26.9% | 32.5% | -21.4 | 32 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Werder Bremen | W 3-0 | 1869 | 1862 | 32.5% | 26.9% | 40.6% | +21.4 | 37 |
| 2013-04-21 | SC Freiburg | W 2-1 | 1886 | 1936 | 34.6% | 27.0% | 38.4% | +7.1 | 39 |
| 2013-04-21 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1936 | 1886 | 38.4% | 27.0% | 34.6% | -7.1 | 45 |
| 2013-04-21 | Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1904 | 1765 | 59.0% | 23.4% | 17.6% | -10.6 | 38 |
| 2013-04-21 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1765 | 1904 | 17.6% | 23.4% | 59.0% | +10.6 | 18 |
| 2013-04-26 | Hannover 96 | L 2-3 | 1776 | 1902 | 25.2% | 26.0% | 48.8% | -4.8 | 18 |
| 2013-04-26 | @ Greuther Furth | W 3-2 | 1902 | 1776 | 48.8% | 26.0% | 25.2% | +4.8 | 41 |
| 2013-04-27 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1817 | 1893 | 31.1% | 26.8% | 42.1% | +7.6 | 27 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-2 | 1893 | 1817 | 42.1% | 26.8% | 31.1% | -7.6 | 38 |
| 2013-04-27 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-2 | 1834 | 2123 | 12.8% | 20.2% | 67.1% | -2.6 | 30 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 2123 | 1834 | 67.1% | 20.2% | 12.8% | +2.6 | 64 |
| 2013-04-27 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-1 | 1891 | 1939 | 34.8% | 27.0% | 38.2% | +12.2 | 40 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-3 | 1939 | 1891 | 38.2% | 27.0% | 34.8% | -12.2 | 44 |
| 2013-04-27 | SC Freiburg | W 1-0 | 2223 | 1929 | 74.2% | 16.6% | 9.2% | +1.9 | 84 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1929 | 2223 | 9.2% | 16.6% | 74.2% | -1.9 | 45 |
| 2013-04-27 | VfB Stuttgart | W 3-0 | 1825 | 1893 | 32.1% | 26.9% | 41.0% | +21.6 | 30 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ FC Augsburg | L 0-3 | 1893 | 1825 | 41.0% | 26.9% | 32.1% | -21.6 | 39 |
| 2013-04-27 | Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 2016 | 1840 | 63.0% | 21.9% | 15.1% | +3.3 | 56 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-1 | 1840 | 2016 | 15.1% | 21.9% | 63.0% | -3.3 | 32 |
| 2013-04-28 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1913 | 1893 | 44.3% | 26.6% | 29.1% | -0.7 | 40 |
| 2013-04-28 | @ Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1893 | 1913 | 29.1% | 26.6% | 44.3% | +0.7 | 46 |
| 2013-04-28 | Hamburger SV | W 4-1 | 1955 | 1871 | 52.6% | 25.2% | 22.1% | +11.1 | 49 |
| 2013-04-28 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-4 | 1871 | 1955 | 22.1% | 25.2% | 52.6% | -11.1 | 44 |
| 2013-05-03 | Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1926 | 1966 | 36.0% | 27.0% | 37.0% | -7.1 | 44 |
| 2013-05-03 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1966 | 1926 | 37.0% | 27.0% | 36.0% | +7.2 | 52 |
| 2013-05-04 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1886 | 2019 | 24.4% | 25.8% | 49.7% | -9.9 | 38 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-0 | 2019 | 1886 | 49.7% | 25.8% | 24.4% | +9.9 | 59 |
| 2013-05-04 | Bayern Munich | D 1-1 | 2126 | 2225 | 28.2% | 26.5% | 45.3% | +0.7 | 65 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 2225 | 2126 | 45.3% | 26.5% | 28.2% | -0.7 | 85 |
| 2013-05-04 | Dusseldorf | W 3-1 | 1894 | 1831 | 50.0% | 25.8% | 24.2% | +8.5 | 49 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-3 | 1831 | 1894 | 24.2% | 25.8% | 50.0% | -8.5 | 30 |
| 2013-05-04 | Greuther Furth | L 0-2 | 1872 | 1771 | 54.7% | 24.7% | 20.6% | -18.7 | 39 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 2-0 | 1771 | 1872 | 20.6% | 24.7% | 54.7% | +18.7 | 21 |
| 2013-05-04 | Hoffenheim | D 2-2 | 1837 | 1825 | 43.4% | 26.7% | 29.9% | -0.4 | 33 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Werder Bremen | D 2-2 | 1825 | 1837 | 29.9% | 26.7% | 43.4% | +0.4 | 28 |
| 2013-05-04 | Mainz 05 | D 2-2 | 1906 | 1912 | 40.9% | 26.9% | 32.2% | -0.2 | 42 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1912 | 1906 | 32.2% | 26.9% | 40.9% | +0.2 | 41 |
| 2013-05-05 | FC Augsburg | W 2-0 | 1927 | 1847 | 52.2% | 25.3% | 22.4% | +9.2 | 48 |
| 2013-05-05 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-2 | 1847 | 1927 | 22.4% | 25.3% | 52.2% | -9.2 | 30 |
| 2013-05-05 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1860 | 1903 | 35.6% | 27.0% | 37.4% | +0.1 | 45 |
| 2013-05-05 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1903 | 1860 | 37.4% | 27.0% | 35.6% | -0.1 | 41 |
| 2013-05-11 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1823 | 1876 | 34.2% | 27.0% | 38.8% | -6.5 | 30 |
| 2013-05-11 | @ Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1876 | 1823 | 38.8% | 27.0% | 34.2% | +6.5 | 41 |
| 2013-05-11 | Borussia Dortmund | D 3-3 | 1903 | 2126 | 16.7% | 22.9% | 60.4% | +1.1 | 42 |
| 2013-05-11 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 3-3 | 2126 | 1903 | 60.4% | 22.9% | 16.7% | -1.1 | 66 |
| 2013-05-11 | Borussia Monchengladbach | L 2-4 | 1912 | 1919 | 40.7% | 26.9% | 32.4% | -11.4 | 41 |
| 2013-05-11 | @ Mainz 05 | W 4-2 | 1919 | 1912 | 32.4% | 26.9% | 40.7% | +11.4 | 47 |
| 2013-05-11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1837 | 1903 | 32.4% | 26.9% | 40.7% | +0.3 | 34 |
| 2013-05-11 | @ Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1903 | 1837 | 40.7% | 26.9% | 32.4% | -0.3 | 50 |
| 2013-05-11 | FC Augsburg | W 3-0 | 2225 | 1837 | 81.2% | 12.6% | 6.2% | +3.2 | 88 |
| 2013-05-11 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1837 | 2225 | 6.2% | 12.6% | 81.2% | -3.2 | 30 |
| 2013-05-11 | SC Freiburg | L 1-2 | 1790 | 1936 | 23.1% | 25.5% | 51.4% | -4.7 | 21 |
| 2013-05-11 | @ Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1936 | 1790 | 51.4% | 25.5% | 23.1% | +4.7 | 51 |
| 2013-05-11 | Hamburger SV | L 1-4 | 1825 | 1860 | 36.6% | 27.0% | 36.3% | -16.7 | 28 |
| 2013-05-11 | @ Hoffenheim | W 4-1 | 1860 | 1825 | 36.3% | 27.0% | 36.6% | +16.7 | 48 |
| 2013-05-11 | Hannover 96 | W 3-1 | 2029 | 1906 | 57.2% | 24.0% | 18.8% | +6.7 | 62 |
| 2013-05-11 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-3 | 1906 | 2029 | 18.8% | 24.0% | 57.2% | -6.7 | 42 |
| 2013-05-11 | VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1973 | 1853 | 57.0% | 24.1% | 19.0% | -9.7 | 52 |
| 2013-05-11 | @ Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1853 | 1973 | 19.0% | 24.1% | 57.0% | +9.7 | 42 |
| 2013-05-18 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-1 | 1877 | 2036 | 21.9% | 25.2% | 52.9% | -4.8 | 48 |
| 2013-05-18 | @ Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 2036 | 1877 | 52.9% | 25.2% | 21.9% | +4.8 | 65 |
| 2013-05-18 | Bayern Munich | L 3-4 | 1931 | 2228 | 12.3% | 19.8% | 67.8% | -2.3 | 47 |
| 2013-05-18 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 4-3 | 2228 | 1931 | 67.8% | 19.8% | 12.3% | +2.3 | 91 |
| 2013-05-18 | Dusseldorf | W 3-0 | 1899 | 1816 | 52.5% | 25.3% | 22.2% | +13.2 | 45 |
| 2013-05-18 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-3 | 1816 | 1899 | 22.2% | 25.3% | 52.5% | -13.2 | 30 |
| 2013-05-18 | Greuther Furth | W 3-1 | 1834 | 1785 | 48.3% | 26.1% | 25.6% | +8.9 | 33 |
| 2013-05-18 | @ FC Augsburg | L 1-3 | 1785 | 1834 | 25.6% | 26.1% | 48.3% | -8.9 | 21 |
| 2013-05-18 | Hoffenheim | L 1-2 | 2125 | 1808 | 76.0% | 15.6% | 8.4% | -12.0 | 66 |
| 2013-05-18 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 2-1 | 1808 | 2125 | 8.4% | 15.6% | 76.0% | +12.0 | 31 |
| 2013-05-18 | Mainz 05 | D 2-2 | 1863 | 1901 | 36.3% | 27.0% | 36.7% | +0.0 | 43 |
| 2013-05-18 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 2-2 | 1901 | 1863 | 36.7% | 27.0% | 36.3% | -0.0 | 42 |
| 2013-05-18 | Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1941 | 1964 | 38.5% | 27.0% | 34.5% | -7.1 | 51 |
| 2013-05-18 | @ SC Freiburg | W 2-1 | 1964 | 1941 | 34.5% | 27.0% | 38.5% | +7.1 | 55 |
| 2013-05-18 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 1902 | 1904 | 41.4% | 26.9% | 31.7% | -0.3 | 51 |
| 2013-05-18 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1904 | 1902 | 31.7% | 26.9% | 41.4% | +0.3 | 43 |
| 2013-05-18 | Werder Bremen | W 3-2 | 1882 | 1837 | 47.8% | 26.2% | 26.1% | +5.0 | 44 |
| 2013-05-18 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 2-3 | 1837 | 1882 | 26.1% | 26.2% | 47.8% | -5.0 | 34 |
Playoff Game Log
Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-05-23 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 3-1 | 1820 | 1826 | 40.9% | 26.9% | 32.2% | +10.7 | 1-0 |
| 2013-05-23 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-3 | 1826 | 1820 | 32.2% | 26.9% | 40.9% | -10.7 | 0-1 |
| 2013-05-27 | Hoffenheim | L 1-2 | 1815 | 1831 | 39.4% | 27.0% | 33.6% | -7.2 | 0-2 |
| 2013-05-27 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-1 | 1831 | 1815 | 33.6% | 27.0% | 39.4% | +7.2 | 2-0 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2013-05-18 | 8.37% | Hoffenheim | 1808 | 2 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2125 | 1 |
| 2 | 2013-02-09 | 10.51% | Hamburger SV | 1855 | 4 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2117 | 1 |
| 3 | 2012-12-08 | 11.62% | VfL Wolfsburg | 1855 | 3 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2093 | 2 |
| 4 | 2012-09-22 | 14.78% | @ Hamburger SV | 1823 | 3 | Borussia Dortmund | 2076 | 2 |
| 5 | 2012-10-28 | 14.78% | Bayer Leverkusen | 1950 | 2 | @ Bayern Munich | 2131 | 1 |
| 6 | 2013-02-02 | 16.69% | Greuther Furth | 1801 | 2 | @ Schalke 04 | 1952 | 1 |
| 7 | 2013-04-21 | 17.57% | Greuther Furth | 1765 | 1 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 1904 | 0 |
| 8 | 2013-05-11 | 18.97% | VfB Stuttgart | 1853 | 2 | @ Schalke 04 | 1973 | 1 |
| 9 | 2013-05-04 | 20.57% | Greuther Furth | 1771 | 2 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1872 | 0 |
| 10 | 2012-10-20 | 21.94% | Schalke 04 | 1999 | 2 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2084 | 1 |
| 11 | 2013-03-09 | 22.08% | VfL Wolfsburg | 1849 | 5 | @ SC Freiburg | 1933 | 2 |
| 12 | 2012-09-15 | 22.42% | 1. FC Nurnberg | 1899 | 3 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 1979 | 2 |
| 13 | 2013-01-20 | 22.60% | FC Augsburg | 1802 | 3 | @ Dusseldorf | 1881 | 2 |
| 14 | 2013-03-09 | 22.82% | @ Schalke 04 | 1953 | 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 2103 | 1 |
| 15 | 2012-08-25 | 23.19% | VfL Wolfsburg | 1885 | 1 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1957 | 0 |
| 16 | 2012-11-03 | 23.26% | @ Hoffenheim | 1866 | 3 | Schalke 04 | 2011 | 2 |
| 17 | 2012-11-27 | 23.32% | @ Hamburger SV | 1847 | 3 | Schalke 04 | 1992 | 1 |
| 18 | 2013-04-13 | 23.46% | Hamburger SV | 1857 | 2 | @ Mainz 05 | 1927 | 1 |
| 19 | 2012-09-26 | 23.73% | Hoffenheim | 1864 | 3 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1931 | 0 |
| 20 | 2013-03-02 | 23.99% | FC Augsburg | 1817 | 1 | @ Werder Bremen | 1882 | 0 |
| 21 | 2013-03-16 | 24.49% | FC Augsburg | 1819 | 1 | @ Hamburger SV | 1879 | 0 |
| 22 | 2012-11-11 | 24.91% | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 1836 | 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1965 | 1 |
| 23 | 2012-10-27 | 25.09% | VfL Wolfsburg | 1821 | 4 | @ Dusseldorf | 1876 | 1 |
| 24 | 2012-12-15 | 25.78% | SC Freiburg | 1915 | 3 | @ Schalke 04 | 1963 | 1 |
| 25 | 2013-02-02 | 25.82% | @ Hoffenheim | 1810 | 2 | SC Freiburg | 1931 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2012-10-20 | 30.40 | @ Werder Bremen | 4 | 1862 | 28.26% | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 1961 | 45.22% | 26.53% |
| 2 | 2012-09-01 | 28.82 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1884 | 30.93% | @ Hoffenheim | 0 | 1888 | 42.25% | 26.81% |
| 3 | 2013-02-09 | 28.26 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 1855 | 10.51% | @ Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 2117 | 71.42% | 18.07% |
| 4 | 2012-09-02 | 28.14 | Hannover 96 | 4 | 1899 | 32.14% | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 0 | 1894 | 40.96% | 26.90% |
| 5 | 2012-11-30 | 26.83 | @ Dusseldorf | 4 | 1861 | 34.55% | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 1911 | 38.44% | 27.00% |
| 6 | 2012-09-26 | 25.49 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 1864 | 23.73% | @ VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1931 | 50.60% | 25.67% |
| 7 | 2013-03-16 | 22.26 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 3 | 1881 | 30.50% | Schalke 04 | 0 | 1962 | 42.73% | 26.78% |
| 8 | 2013-03-09 | 21.99 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 1799 | 31.11% | @ Greuther Furth | 0 | 1802 | 42.06% | 26.83% |
| 9 | 2013-04-27 | 21.57 | @ FC Augsburg | 3 | 1825 | 32.09% | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1893 | 41.02% | 26.90% |
| 10 | 2013-04-20 | 21.40 | VfL Wolfsburg | 3 | 1869 | 32.47% | @ Werder Bremen | 0 | 1862 | 40.61% | 26.92% |
| 11 | 2012-10-27 | 20.91 | VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | 1821 | 25.09% | @ Dusseldorf | 1 | 1876 | 48.92% | 25.99% |
| 12 | 2013-04-05 | 20.49 | @ Hoffenheim | 3 | 1811 | 34.64% | Dusseldorf | 0 | 1860 | 38.35% | 27.01% |
| 13 | 2012-09-29 | 20.25 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 2065 | 54.10% | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 1970 | 21.03% | 24.87% |
| 14 | 2012-11-25 | 19.50 | @ SC Freiburg | 3 | 1899 | 37.14% | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1931 | 35.84% | 27.03% |
| 15 | 2013-03-09 | 19.26 | VfL Wolfsburg | 5 | 1849 | 22.08% | @ SC Freiburg | 2 | 1933 | 52.71% | 25.22% |
| 16 | 2013-02-09 | 19.07 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1876 | 29.70% | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1890 | 43.60% | 26.70% |
| 17 | 2013-05-04 | 18.72 | Greuther Furth | 2 | 1771 | 20.57% | @ VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1872 | 54.72% | 24.71% |
| 18 | 2013-02-23 | 18.49 | @ Hannover 96 | 5 | 1904 | 43.41% | Hamburger SV | 1 | 1891 | 29.87% | 26.72% |
| 19 | 2012-10-06 | 17.90 | @ SC Freiburg | 3 | 1868 | 41.14% | 1. FC Nurnberg | 0 | 1872 | 31.97% | 26.89% |
| 20 | 2013-01-19 | 17.66 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 2088 | 58.02% | @ Werder Bremen | 0 | 1885 | 18.24% | 23.74% |
| 21 | 2013-05-11 | 16.72 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 1860 | 36.32% | @ Hoffenheim | 1 | 1825 | 36.65% | 27.03% |
| 22 | 2012-10-27 | 16.62 | @ Mainz 05 | 3 | 1902 | 44.28% | Hoffenheim | 0 | 1883 | 29.09% | 26.63% |
| 23 | 2012-12-02 | 16.55 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1885 | 36.82% | @ Hoffenheim | 1 | 1846 | 36.15% | 27.03% |
| 24 | 2012-10-20 | 16.25 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 2114 | 60.22% | @ Dusseldorf | 0 | 1892 | 16.79% | 22.99% |
| 25 | 2013-01-26 | 15.79 | Mainz 05 | 3 | 1924 | 46.32% | @ Greuther Furth | 0 | 1817 | 27.29% | 26.39% |