2008-09 Bundesliga Season
306 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams
Champion
VfL Wolfsburg
69 points · 1st Title
Relegated
Arminia Bielefeld
28 pts
Karlsruher SC · 29 pts
Energie Cottbus · via playoff
Biggest Overachiever
VfL Wolfsburg
13.08 points above expected
69 points · 55.92 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Werder Bremen
11.96 points below expected
45 points · 56.96 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg Champion | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 80 | 41 | +39 | 55.92 | +13.08 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 71 | 42 | +29 | 63.27 | +3.73 |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 64 | 63 | 43 | +20 | 51.85 | +12.15 |
| 4 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 63 | 48 | 41 | +7 | 50.86 | +12.14 |
| 5 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 61 | 49 | 47 | +2 | 52.54 | +8.46 |
| 6 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 59 | 60 | 37 | +23 | 50.06 | +8.94 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 55 | 63 | 49 | +14 | 48.60 | +6.40 |
| 8 | Schalke 04 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 35 | +12 | 57.29 | -7.29 |
| 9 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 59 | 46 | +13 | 56.36 | -7.36 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 64 | 50 | +14 | 56.96 | -11.96 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 49 | 69 | -20 | 41.63 | -1.63 |
| 12 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 37.17 | +1.83 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 39 | 60 | -21 | 40.80 | -7.80 |
| 14 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 41.00 | -9.00 |
| 15 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36.37 | -5.37 |
| 16 | Energie Cottbus Relegated | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30 | 30 | 57 | -27 | 34.11 | -4.11 |
| 17 | Karlsruher SC Relegated | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 29 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 33.55 | -4.55 |
| 18 | Arminia Bielefeld Relegated | 34 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 28 | 29 | 56 | -27 | 36.01 | -8.01 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Promotion Playoff
The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.
Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg | 2046 | 69 | 55.92 | +13.08 | 96.8% | 30 | 44 | 51 | 56 | 61 | 68 | 82 |
| Bayern Munich | 2033 | 67 | 63.27 | +3.73 | 71.9% | 33 | 51 | 58 | 63 | 68 | 75 | 90 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 1981 | 64 | 51.85 | +12.15 | 95.6% | 26 | 40 | 47 | 52 | 57 | 64 | 81 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 1959 | 59 | 50.06 | +8.94 | 90.1% | 20 | 38 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 62 | 76 |
| Werder Bremen | 1938 | 45 | 56.96 | -11.96 | 6.0% | 30 | 45 | 52 | 57 | 62 | 69 | 84 |
| Schalke 04 | 1930 | 50 | 57.29 | -7.29 | 17.9% | 33 | 45 | 52 | 57 | 62 | 69 | 90 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 1909 | 49 | 56.36 | -7.36 | 17.2% | 29 | 44 | 51 | 56 | 61 | 68 | 82 |
| Hamburger SV | 1890 | 61 | 52.54 | +8.46 | 88.5% | 23 | 41 | 48 | 52 | 57 | 65 | 78 |
| Hertha BSC | 1881 | 63 | 50.86 | +12.14 | 95.7% | 24 | 39 | 46 | 51 | 56 | 63 | 78 |
| Hoffenheim | 1879 | 55 | 48.60 | +6.40 | 82.6% | 22 | 37 | 44 | 49 | 53 | 61 | 76 |
| Hannover 96 | 1808 | 40 | 41.63 | -1.63 | 44.2% | 15 | 30 | 37 | 42 | 47 | 54 | 72 |
| VfL Bochum | 1790 | 32 | 41.00 | -9.00 | 11.8% | 15 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 68 |
| Karlsruher SC | 1772 | 29 | 33.55 | -4.55 | 28.9% | 10 | 22 | 29 | 33 | 38 | 45 | 62 |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 1770 | 31 | 36.37 | -5.37 | 24.4% | 13 | 25 | 32 | 36 | 41 | 48 | 64 |
| 1. FC Koln | 1769 | 39 | 37.17 | +1.83 | 63.3% | 14 | 26 | 32 | 37 | 42 | 49 | 65 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1757 | 33 | 40.80 | -7.80 | 15.4% | 16 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 69 |
| Energie Cottbus | 1729 | 30 | 34.11 | -4.11 | 31.1% | 11 | 23 | 29 | 34 | 39 | 46 | 62 |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 1727 | 28 | 36.01 | -8.01 | 14.4% | 12 | 25 | 31 | 36 | 41 | 48 | 64 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | 1FK | AB | BL | BM | BD | BM | EF | EC | HS | H9 | HB | HOF | KS | S0 | VS | VB | VW | WB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Koln | — |
0-1-1
2.81
|
0-0-2
1.81
|
1-0-1
1.47
|
0-0-2
2.11
|
1-0-1
2.81
|
0-2-0
2.46
|
2-0-0
2.94
|
1-0-1
1.89
|
1-0-1
2.49
|
0-0-2
1.83
|
0-0-2
2.11
|
1-1-0
2.78
|
1-0-1
1.63
|
1-0-1
1.84
|
1-1-0
2.63
|
0-1-1
1.91
|
1-0-1
1.63
|
| Arminia Bielefeld |
1-1-0
2.69
|
— |
1-1-0
1.45
|
0-0-2
1.29
|
0-1-1
1.71
|
0-1-1
2.75
|
0-2-0
2.56
|
0-1-1
2.97
|
0-0-2
1.96
|
0-2-0
2.30
|
0-2-0
2.05
|
0-0-2
1.94
|
1-0-1
2.98
|
0-1-1
1.67
|
0-2-0
1.66
|
0-1-1
2.55
|
0-0-2
1.71
|
1-1-0
1.73
|
| Bayer Leverkusen |
2-0-0
3.72
|
0-1-1
4.11
|
— |
0-0-2
2.36
|
0-1-1
3.19
|
2-0-0
3.91
|
1-1-0
3.58
|
0-1-1
4.18
|
0-0-2
2.86
|
1-0-1
3.57
|
0-0-2
3.07
|
2-0-0
3.06
|
0-1-1
4.20
|
2-0-0
2.65
|
1-0-1
2.94
|
1-1-0
3.49
|
1-0-1
2.69
|
1-1-0
2.73
|
| Bayern Munich |
1-0-1
4.10
|
2-0-0
4.29
|
2-0-0
3.15
|
— |
1-1-0
3.63
|
1-1-0
4.24
|
2-0-0
3.94
|
2-0-0
4.39
|
0-1-1
3.42
|
1-0-1
3.89
|
1-0-1
3.54
|
1-1-0
3.70
|
2-0-0
4.16
|
1-0-1
3.03
|
1-1-0
3.45
|
1-1-0
3.92
|
1-0-1
3.10
|
0-1-1
3.24
|
| Borussia Dortmund |
2-0-0
3.41
|
1-1-0
3.84
|
1-1-0
2.31
|
0-1-1
1.89
|
— |
1-1-0
3.92
|
2-0-0
3.41
|
1-1-0
3.40
|
1-0-1
2.74
|
0-2-0
3.16
|
1-1-0
2.60
|
0-1-1
2.82
|
2-0-0
3.90
|
0-2-0
2.20
|
1-0-1
2.43
|
1-1-0
3.27
|
0-1-1
2.53
|
1-1-0
2.21
|
| Borussia Monchengladbach |
1-0-1
2.70
|
1-1-0
2.75
|
0-0-2
1.63
|
0-1-1
1.35
|
0-1-1
1.61
|
— |
0-0-2
2.52
|
1-0-1
3.00
|
1-0-1
1.76
|
1-0-1
2.49
|
0-0-2
2.08
|
0-1-1
2.02
|
1-1-0
2.96
|
1-0-1
1.53
|
0-0-2
2.17
|
0-1-1
2.54
|
0-0-2
1.56
|
1-1-0
1.72
|
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
0-2-0
3.04
|
0-2-0
2.94
|
0-1-1
1.95
|
0-0-2
1.61
|
0-0-2
2.09
|
2-0-0
2.98
|
— |
2-0-0
3.17
|
0-0-2
2.02
|
1-1-0
2.55
|
0-0-2
2.47
|
0-1-1
2.32
|
2-0-0
2.99
|
0-0-2
1.90
|
0-1-1
2.19
|
1-0-1
2.71
|
0-1-1
2.10
|
0-0-2
1.82
|
| Energie Cottbus |
0-0-2
2.55
|
1-1-0
2.53
|
1-1-0
1.39
|
0-0-2
1.20
|
0-1-1
2.13
|
1-0-1
2.50
|
0-0-2
2.34
|
— |
0-0-2
1.82
|
1-1-0
2.27
|
1-0-1
1.85
|
0-0-2
2.35
|
1-1-0
2.76
|
0-0-2
1.45
|
0-0-2
1.72
|
0-1-1
2.33
|
1-0-1
1.31
|
1-0-1
1.64
|
| Hamburger SV |
1-0-1
3.63
|
2-0-0
3.57
|
2-0-0
2.65
|
1-1-0
2.09
|
1-0-1
2.77
|
1-0-1
3.77
|
2-0-0
3.49
|
2-0-0
3.71
|
— |
1-0-1
3.49
|
0-1-1
2.80
|
1-0-1
3.01
|
1-0-1
3.77
|
1-1-0
2.52
|
1-0-1
2.73
|
1-1-0
3.42
|
0-0-2
2.84
|
1-0-1
2.39
|
| Hannover 96 |
1-0-1
3.01
|
0-2-0
3.20
|
1-0-1
1.94
|
1-0-1
1.66
|
0-2-0
2.34
|
1-0-1
3.00
|
0-1-1
2.95
|
0-1-1
3.23
|
1-0-1
2.02
|
— |
1-0-1
2.13
|
0-1-1
2.44
|
2-0-0
3.37
|
1-0-1
1.94
|
0-1-1
2.20
|
1-1-0
2.77
|
0-0-2
1.72
|
0-1-1
1.85
|
| Hertha BSC |
2-0-0
3.69
|
0-2-0
3.46
|
2-0-0
2.44
|
1-0-1
1.98
|
0-1-1
2.90
|
2-0-0
3.45
|
2-0-0
3.04
|
1-0-1
3.67
|
1-1-0
2.70
|
1-0-1
3.38
|
— |
2-0-0
2.73
|
1-0-1
3.90
|
0-1-1
2.51
|
1-0-1
2.76
|
2-0-0
3.36
|
0-1-1
2.55
|
1-0-1
2.36
|
| Hoffenheim |
2-0-0
3.40
|
2-0-0
3.59
|
0-0-2
2.45
|
0-1-1
1.82
|
1-1-0
2.67
|
1-1-0
3.48
|
1-1-0
3.17
|
2-0-0
3.19
|
1-0-1
2.48
|
1-1-0
3.09
|
0-0-2
2.76
|
— |
1-1-0
3.76
|
1-1-0
2.41
|
0-2-0
2.47
|
1-0-1
3.27
|
1-0-1
2.28
|
0-1-1
2.31
|
| Karlsruher SC |
0-1-1
2.73
|
1-0-1
2.52
|
1-1-0
1.37
|
0-0-2
1.43
|
0-0-2
1.66
|
0-1-1
2.53
|
0-0-2
2.50
|
0-1-1
2.73
|
1-0-1
1.75
|
0-0-2
2.13
|
1-0-1
1.64
|
0-1-1
1.76
|
— |
0-0-2
1.56
|
0-0-2
1.80
|
1-0-1
2.47
|
1-0-1
1.67
|
2-0-0
1.30
|
| Schalke 04 |
1-0-1
3.91
|
1-1-0
3.87
|
0-0-2
2.86
|
1-0-1
2.47
|
0-2-0
3.30
|
1-0-1
4.02
|
2-0-0
3.63
|
2-0-0
4.12
|
0-1-1
2.98
|
1-0-1
3.57
|
1-1-0
2.99
|
0-1-1
3.10
|
2-0-0
4.00
|
— |
0-0-2
3.09
|
1-0-1
3.72
|
0-1-1
2.83
|
1-1-0
2.76
|
| VfB Stuttgart |
1-0-1
3.68
|
0-2-0
3.88
|
1-0-1
2.57
|
0-1-1
2.06
|
1-0-1
3.07
|
2-0-0
3.35
|
1-1-0
3.33
|
2-0-0
3.85
|
1-0-1
2.77
|
1-1-0
3.30
|
1-0-1
2.73
|
0-2-0
3.02
|
2-0-0
3.72
|
2-0-0
2.40
|
— |
2-0-0
3.36
|
1-0-1
2.38
|
1-0-1
2.37
|
| VfL Bochum |
0-1-1
2.87
|
1-1-0
2.96
|
0-1-1
2.04
|
0-1-1
1.61
|
0-1-1
2.23
|
1-1-0
2.97
|
1-0-1
2.79
|
1-1-0
3.17
|
0-1-1
2.10
|
0-1-1
2.73
|
0-0-2
2.16
|
1-0-1
2.25
|
1-0-1
3.03
|
1-0-1
1.81
|
0-0-2
2.14
|
— |
0-1-1
2.20
|
0-1-1
1.87
|
| VfL Wolfsburg |
1-1-0
3.61
|
2-0-0
3.82
|
1-0-1
2.83
|
1-0-1
2.41
|
1-1-0
2.97
|
2-0-0
3.98
|
1-1-0
3.40
|
1-0-1
4.27
|
2-0-0
2.65
|
2-0-0
3.81
|
1-1-0
2.95
|
1-0-1
3.25
|
1-0-1
3.89
|
1-1-0
2.67
|
1-0-1
3.12
|
1-1-0
3.32
|
— |
1-0-1
2.94
|
| Werder Bremen |
1-0-1
3.90
|
0-1-1
3.81
|
0-1-1
2.77
|
1-1-0
2.26
|
0-1-1
3.30
|
0-1-1
3.83
|
2-0-0
3.71
|
1-0-1
3.90
|
1-0-1
3.11
|
1-1-0
3.68
|
1-0-1
3.13
|
1-1-0
3.22
|
0-0-2
4.29
|
0-1-1
2.74
|
1-0-1
3.12
|
1-1-0
3.66
|
1-0-1
2.57
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.72 | +8.2 |
| Allowed | 0.58 | -12.1 |
| Differential | 0.84 | +6.2 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.90% | 7.03% | 6.86% | 3.43% | 1.80% | 0.82% | 24.84% |
| 1 | 7.03% | 11.44% | 8.17% | 3.10% | 1.96% | 0.82% | 32.52% |
| 2 | 6.86% | 8.17% | 5.56% | 2.45% | 0.65% | 0.49% | 24.18% |
| 3 | 3.43% | 3.10% | 2.45% | 1.96% | 0.16% | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | 1.80% | 1.96% | 0.65% | 0.16% | 0.33% | 0.16% | 5.07% |
| 5+ | 0.82% | 0.82% | 0.49% | — | 0.16% | — | 2.29% |
| Total | 24.84% | 32.52% | 24.18% | 11.11% | 5.07% | 2.29% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.46 | 1.46 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.89 |
| CV | 0.86 | 0.86 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 306
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 11.76% | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | — | 47.06% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 32.35% | 29.41% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.03 | 1.47 | -0.44 |
| SD | 0.80 | 1.08 | 1.46 |
| CV | 0.77 | 0.73 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 2.94% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 38.24% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 23.53% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 32.35% | 32.35% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.85 | 1.65 | -0.79 |
| SD | 0.78 | 1.32 | 1.55 |
| CV | 0.92 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 2 | 6 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 11.76% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | — | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | 17.65% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 23.53% | 38.24% | 20.59% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.74 | 1.35 | +0.38 |
| SD | 1.38 | 1.10 | 1.91 |
| CV | 0.79 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 2.94% | 20.59% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 11.76% | — | — | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 26.47% | 44.12% | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.09 | 1.24 | +0.85 |
| SD | 1.29 | 1.23 | 1.83 |
| CV | 0.62 | 1.00 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 23.53% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 47.06% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | 5.88% | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 41.18% | 32.35% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.76 | 1.09 | +0.68 |
| SD | 1.39 | 1.24 | 1.84 |
| CV | 0.79 | 1.14 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 17.65% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 55.88% |
| 2 | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 3 | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 14.71% | 26.47% | 35.29% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.15 | 1.82 | -0.68 |
| SD | 1.05 | 1.29 | 1.70 |
| CV | 0.91 | 0.71 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 17.65% | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 38.24% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | — | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 11.76% | 32.35% | 41.18% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.15 | 1.76 | -0.62 |
| SD | 1.23 | 1.26 | 2.10 |
| CV | 1.08 | 0.71 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 44.12% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 32.35% | 20.59% | 23.53% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.88 | 1.68 | -0.79 |
| SD | 0.98 | 1.20 | 1.74 |
| CV | 1.11 | 0.72 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 23.53% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 41.18% | 20.59% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.44 | 1.38 | +0.06 |
| SD | 1.02 | 1.07 | 1.61 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.78 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 20.59% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 41.18% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 20.59% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 20.59% | 20.59% | 23.53% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.44 | 2.03 | -0.59 |
| SD | 1.21 | 1.59 | 2.12 |
| CV | 0.84 | 0.78 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 14.71% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 38.24% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 23.53% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 29.41% | 44.12% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.41 | 1.21 | +0.21 |
| SD | 0.99 | 1.25 | 1.79 |
| CV | 0.70 | 1.04 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 4 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 29.41% | 32.35% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.85 | 1.44 | +0.41 |
| SD | 1.42 | 1.44 | 1.91 |
| CV | 0.76 | 1.00 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 23.53% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 52.94% |
| 1 | 8.82% | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 20.59% |
| 2 | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 32.35% | 23.53% | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.88 | 1.59 | -0.71 |
| SD | 1.15 | 1.23 | 1.66 |
| CV | 1.30 | 0.78 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 17.65% | 11.76% | 17.65% | — | — | — | 47.06% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 41.18% | 26.47% | 23.53% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.38 | 1.03 | +0.35 |
| SD | 1.04 | 1.09 | 1.43 |
| CV | 0.76 | 1.06 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 2 | 23.53% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 41.18% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 38.24% | 20.59% | 23.53% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.85 | 1.26 | +0.59 |
| SD | 1.18 | 1.26 | 1.91 |
| CV | 0.64 | 1.00 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 29.41% | 29.41% | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.15 | 1.62 | -0.47 |
| SD | 0.96 | 1.10 | 1.52 |
| CV | 0.83 | 0.68 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 3 | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| Total | 32.35% | 32.35% | 23.53% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.35 | 1.21 | +1.15 |
| SD | 1.37 | 1.15 | 2.02 |
| CV | 0.58 | 0.95 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | — | 11.76% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| Total | 23.53% | 35.29% | 23.53% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.88 | 1.47 | +0.41 |
| SD | 1.74 | 1.28 | 2.18 |
| CV | 0.92 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 69 | 55.92 | +13.08 |
| 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 64 | 51.85 | +12.15 |
| 3 | Hertha BSC | 63 | 50.86 | +12.14 |
| 4 | Borussia Dortmund | 59 | 50.06 | +8.94 |
| 5 | Hamburger SV | 61 | 52.54 | +8.46 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Werder Bremen | 45 | 56.96 | -11.96 |
| 2 | VfL Bochum | 32 | 41.00 | -9.00 |
| 3 | Arminia Bielefeld | 28 | 36.01 | -8.01 |
| 4 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 33 | 40.80 | -7.80 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 49 | 56.36 | -7.36 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | Feb 7 – Apr 18 | 1 in 1,034 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | Mar 21 – May 9 | 1 in 294 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 5 | Oct 4 – Nov 1 | 1 in 97 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich | 5 | Oct 18 – Nov 9 | 1 in 38 |
| 5 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | Mar 21 – Apr 25 | 1 in 37 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke 04 | 3 | May 2 – May 13 | 1 in 63 |
| 2 | VfL Bochum | 5 | Apr 18 – May 13 | 1 in 42 |
| 3 | Energie Cottbus | 5 | Feb 28 – Apr 4 | 1 in 35 |
| 4 | Karlsruher SC | 5 | Oct 18 – Nov 1 | 1 in 33 |
| 5 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 5 | Nov 22 – Jan 31 | 1 in 31 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | Nov 30 – Mar 7 | 1 in 44 |
| 2 | 1. FC Koln | 6 | Dec 13 – Feb 27 | 1 in 42 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | Jan 31 – Apr 18 | 1 in 27 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich | 11 | Oct 4 – Dec 13 | 1 in 25 |
| 5 | Arminia Bielefeld | 4 | Dec 6 – Feb 6 | 1 in 20 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hoffenheim | 12 | Feb 7 – May 2 | 1 in 772 |
| 2 | VfL Bochum | 13 | Sep 20 – Dec 13 | 1 in 269 |
| 3 | Werder Bremen | 6 | Feb 1 – Mar 7 | 1 in 60 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | Feb 22 – Mar 21 | 1 in 42 |
| 5 | Schalke 04 | 5 | May 2 – May 23 | 1 in 26 |
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg | 10.38% | 13.61% | 12.85% | 12.23% | 10.78% | 9.93% | 7.86% | 6.61% | 5.51% | 3.78% | 2.46% | 1.64% | 1.21% | 0.71% | 0.23% | 0.12% | 0.09% | — |
| Bayern Munich | 41.27% | 20.01% | 13.16% | 8.48% | 5.92% | 4.05% | 2.92% | 1.65% | 0.98% | 0.81% | 0.35% | 0.19% | 0.11% | 0.08% | 0.02% | — | — | — |
| VfB Stuttgart | 3.70% | 6.20% | 7.57% | 9.30% | 9.56% | 10.51% | 10.20% | 10.10% | 8.59% | 7.26% | 6.11% | 4.40% | 2.47% | 1.75% | 1.21% | 0.68% | 0.29% | 0.10% |
| Hertha BSC | 2.30% | 4.74% | 6.23% | 7.64% | 8.72% | 9.87% | 10.90% | 10.24% | 10.12% | 8.46% | 6.99% | 5.00% | 3.53% | 2.21% | 1.40% | 0.93% | 0.47% | 0.25% |
| Hamburger SV | 4.16% | 6.01% | 7.77% | 9.15% | 9.89% | 10.10% | 10.76% | 10.41% | 8.89% | 7.60% | 5.47% | 4.03% | 2.62% | 1.55% | 0.89% | 0.46% | 0.18% | 0.06% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2.25% | 4.35% | 6.04% | 7.45% | 8.31% | 9.32% | 10.14% | 10.13% | 10.33% | 8.92% | 7.19% | 5.50% | 3.89% | 2.60% | 1.72% | 1.12% | 0.52% | 0.22% |
| Hoffenheim | 1.38% | 2.87% | 4.04% | 5.38% | 6.53% | 8.29% | 9.60% | 10.87% | 10.72% | 10.34% | 9.02% | 7.00% | 5.50% | 3.32% | 2.41% | 1.56% | 0.77% | 0.40% |
| Schalke 04 | 12.54% | 14.43% | 13.69% | 12.02% | 11.50% | 9.13% | 7.90% | 6.32% | 4.49% | 3.18% | 2.17% | 1.18% | 0.70% | 0.42% | 0.25% | 0.05% | 0.03% | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 9.96% | 12.75% | 12.83% | 13.05% | 11.44% | 10.01% | 8.11% | 6.74% | 5.33% | 3.86% | 2.56% | 1.73% | 0.72% | 0.41% | 0.25% | 0.19% | 0.06% | — |
| Werder Bremen | 11.64% | 14.12% | 13.48% | 11.98% | 11.21% | 9.75% | 7.86% | 6.31% | 5.10% | 3.26% | 2.43% | 1.24% | 0.86% | 0.43% | 0.17% | 0.12% | 0.03% | 0.01% |
| Hannover 96 | 0.16% | 0.31% | 0.73% | 0.99% | 1.69% | 2.50% | 3.78% | 4.68% | 6.70% | 9.37% | 10.74% | 11.13% | 11.02% | 10.11% | 9.19% | 7.05% | 5.86% | 3.99% |
| 1. FC Koln | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.14% | 0.20% | 0.55% | 0.78% | 1.17% | 2.14% | 3.29% | 4.88% | 6.61% | 8.66% | 10.69% | 11.92% | 13.31% | 13.08% | 12.40% | 10.11% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.11% | 0.27% | 0.58% | 0.83% | 1.36% | 2.14% | 2.87% | 4.31% | 5.56% | 7.65% | 10.18% | 11.29% | 11.57% | 10.99% | 10.19% | 8.69% | 6.61% | 4.80% |
| VfL Bochum | 0.10% | 0.22% | 0.64% | 0.79% | 1.60% | 2.25% | 2.98% | 4.69% | 6.52% | 8.30% | 10.15% | 11.31% | 11.22% | 10.96% | 9.70% | 8.38% | 6.15% | 4.04% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | — | 0.04% | 0.11% | 0.19% | 0.36% | 0.46% | 1.07% | 1.62% | 2.54% | 4.18% | 5.59% | 7.77% | 9.99% | 11.47% | 12.56% | 14.19% | 14.27% | 13.59% |
| Energie Cottbus | — | — | 0.06% | 0.08% | 0.11% | 0.20% | 0.49% | 0.90% | 1.44% | 2.36% | 3.60% | 5.63% | 7.99% | 9.50% | 12.28% | 14.25% | 18.70% | 22.41% |
| Karlsruher SC | — | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.06% | 0.18% | 0.20% | 0.37% | 0.72% | 1.50% | 2.26% | 3.38% | 4.98% | 6.93% | 10.10% | 10.98% | 14.60% | 18.34% | 25.36% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | — | 0.04% | 0.05% | 0.18% | 0.29% | 0.51% | 1.02% | 1.56% | 2.39% | 3.53% | 5.00% | 7.32% | 8.98% | 11.47% | 13.24% | 14.53% | 15.23% | 14.66% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
- Title Margin
- Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.As Expected: under 5.77 * Some Luck: 5.77 to 8.65 * Lucky: 8.65 to 11.54 * Wild Swing: 11.54 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.Pinpoint: under 2.1 * Close: 2.1 to 3.14 * Off: 3.14 to 4.19 * Way Off: 4.19 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
- Unexpected Relegations
- Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.As Expected: under 0.97 * A Surprise: 0.97 to 1.56 * Several Surprises: 1.56 to 2.14 * Many Surprises: 2.14 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
- Close Games
- Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
- Strangeness
- How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.18 * Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.
Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.
| Team | Same level | Lost relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 100% | — | — |
| Schalke 04 | 99.92% | 0.05% | 0.03% |
| Werder Bremen | 99.84% | 0.12% | 0.04% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 99.79% | 0.12% | 0.09% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 99.75% | 0.19% | 0.06% |
| Hamburger SV | 99.30% | 0.46% | 0.24% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 98.93% | 0.68% | 0.39% |
| Hertha BSC | 98.35% | 0.93% | 0.72% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 98.14% | 1.12% | 0.74% |
| Hoffenheim | 97.27% | 1.56% | 1.17% |
| Hannover 96 | 83.10% | 7.05% | 9.85% |
| VfL Bochum | 81.43% | 8.38% | 10.19% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 79.90% | 8.69% | 11.41% |
| 1. FC Koln | 64.41% | 13.08% | 22.51% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 57.95% | 14.19% | 27.86% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 55.58% | 14.53% | 29.89% |
| Karlsruher SC | 41.70% | 14.60% | 43.70% |
| Energie Cottbus | — | 100% | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1. FC Koln | 1. FC Nurnberg | 1860 Munich | Alemannia Aachen | Arminia Bielefeld | Bayer Leverkusen | Bayern Munich | Borussia Dortmund | Borussia Monchengladbach | Eintracht Frankfurt | Energie Cottbus | FC Augsburg | FC Ingolstadt 04 | FSV Frankfurt | Greuther Furth | Hamburger SV | Hannover 96 | Hansa Rostock | Hertha BSC | Hoffenheim | Karlsruher SC | MSV Duisburg | Mainz 05 | Rot Weiss Ahlen | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | SC Freiburg | Schalke 04 | St. Pauli | TuS Koblenz | VfB Stuttgart | VfL Bochum | VfL Osnabruck | VfL Wolfsburg | Wehen Wiesbaden | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 29.5%88.00% | 43.2%132.00% | 66.7%9.00% | 43.4%122.00% | 43.4%83.00% | 33.1%124.00% | 16.7%6.00% | 25.7%70.00% | 8.3%12.00% | 17.6%17.00% | 41.1%141.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 33.8%68.00% | 0.0%3.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Koln | 70.5%88.00% | 39.6%192.00% | 63.2%19.00% | 51.9%154.00% | 65.2%23.00% | 87.5%8.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 52.7%110.00% | 62.0%92.00% | 49.1%175.00% | 52.3%176.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 45.1%162.00% | 76.2%21.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 100.0%5.00% | 100.0%2.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 60.4%192.00% | 66.8%208.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 27.3%11.00% | 62.8%188.00% | 63.1%103.00% | 63.2%204.00% | 7.7%13.00% | 51.3%115.00% | 37.5%8.00% | 36.4%22.00% | 57.2%208.00% | 15.4%13.00% | 56.3%119.00% | 0.0%3.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1860 Munich | 36.8%19.00% | 32.4%34.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 15.4%26.00% | 50.0%12.00% | 36.1%36.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 20.0%15.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 45.2%31.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 18.8%16.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Alemannia Aachen | 48.1%154.00% | 58.6%140.00% | 75.0%8.00% | 47.6%147.00% | 48.7%76.00% | 52.9%172.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 43.2%74.00% | 40.0%10.00% | 47.6%21.00% | 39.4%155.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 46.2%80.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 25.0%4.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Arminia Bielefeld | 56.8%132.00% | 33.2%208.00% | 67.6%34.00% | 41.4%140.00% | 70.8%24.00% | 75.0%20.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 53.8%160.00% | 51.4%72.00% | 42.0%207.00% | 43.0%244.00% | 75.0%8.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 35.7%185.00% | 54.2%24.00% | 72.7%11.00% | 40.0%5.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Bayer Leverkusen | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bayern Munich | 100.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Borussia Dortmund | 33.3%9.00% | 72.7%11.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 25.0%8.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 75.0%8.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 92.3%13.00% | 84.6%13.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 88.2%17.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 56.6%122.00% | 37.2%188.00% | 84.6%26.00% | 52.4%147.00% | 62.5%24.00% | 80.0%15.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 59.5%126.00% | 71.4%84.00% | 41.3%196.00% | 51.2%172.00% | 100.0%7.00% | 53.1%179.00% | 84.6%26.00% | 81.2%16.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 50.0%2.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 56.6%83.00% | 36.9%103.00% | 50.0%12.00% | 51.3%76.00% | 92.3%13.00% | 83.3%12.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 64.2%81.00% | 57.1%63.00% | 42.6%122.00% | 50.8%118.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 46.7%92.00% | 50.0%10.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 100.0%2.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| Energie Cottbus | 66.9%124.00% | 36.8%204.00% | 63.9%36.00% | 47.1%172.00% | 68.2%22.00% | 80.0%20.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 54.1%133.00% | 56.2%89.00% | 48.9%229.00% | 48.1%210.00% | 81.8%11.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 52.0%202.00% | 77.3%22.00% | 71.4%14.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 66.7%3.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| FC Augsburg | 34.8%23.00% | 29.2%24.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 37.5%24.00% | 7.7%13.00% | 31.8%22.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 22.2%9.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 13.9%36.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 20.0%20.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 12.5%8.00% | 25.0%20.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 20.0%15.00% | 16.7%12.00% | 20.0%20.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 33.3%12.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 28.6%21.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 21.4%14.00% | 0.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| FSV Frankfurt | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Greuther Furth | 47.3%110.00% | 46.2%160.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 25.0%8.00% | 40.5%126.00% | 35.8%81.00% | 45.9%133.00% | 14.3%7.00% | 25.0%64.00% | 23.8%21.00% | 50.0%14.00% | 41.5%147.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%6.00% | 37.5%72.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Hamburger SV | 83.3%6.00% | 92.3%13.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 66.7%6.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 50.0%10.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Hannover 96 | 74.3%70.00% | 48.7%115.00% | 80.0%15.00% | 56.8%74.00% | 77.8%9.00% | 66.7%12.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 75.0%64.00% | 77.5%40.00% | 51.8%110.00% | 54.4%125.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 46.0%100.00% | 57.9%19.00% | 100.0%8.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%3.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Hansa Rostock | 38.0%92.00% | 48.6%72.00% | 16.7%6.00% | 28.6%84.00% | 42.9%63.00% | 43.8%89.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 22.5%40.00% | 12.5%8.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 41.9%86.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 28.2%39.00% | 0.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Hertha BSC | 91.7%12.00% | 62.5%8.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 60.0%10.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 76.2%21.00% | 87.5%8.00% | 20.0%10.00% | 72.7%22.00% | 84.6%13.00% | 100.0%5.00% | 0.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Hoffenheim | 82.4%17.00% | 63.6%22.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 52.4%21.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 50.0%14.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 55.6%18.00% | 88.9%27.00% | 69.0%29.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Karlsruher SC | 58.9%141.00% | 42.8%208.00% | 54.8%31.00% | 60.6%155.00% | 86.1%36.00% | 71.4%21.00% | 58.5%147.00% | 58.1%86.00% | 48.8%203.00% | 50.7%205.00% | 100.0%8.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 55.7%201.00% | 76.9%26.00% | 63.6%11.00% | 66.7%6.00% | 100.0%4.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| MSV Duisburg | 50.9%175.00% | 58.0%207.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 7.7%13.00% | 58.7%196.00% | 57.4%122.00% | 51.1%229.00% | 50.0%10.00% | 48.2%110.00% | 80.0%10.00% | 44.4%18.00% | 51.2%203.00% | 57.1%7.00% | 48.4%124.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 100.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Mainz 05 | 47.7%176.00% | 57.0%244.00% | 15.4%13.00% | 48.8%172.00% | 49.2%118.00% | 51.9%210.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 45.6%125.00% | 27.3%22.00% | 11.1%27.00% | 49.3%205.00% | 60.0%10.00% | 47.6%126.00% | 0.0%2.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rot Weiss Ahlen | 14.3%7.00% | 25.0%8.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%7.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 18.2%11.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 0.0%8.00% | 50.0%2.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 0.0%2.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 0.0%2.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| SC Freiburg | 54.9%162.00% | 64.3%185.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 11.8%17.00% | 46.9%179.00% | 53.3%92.00% | 48.0%202.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 54.0%100.00% | 15.4%13.00% | 31.0%29.00% | 44.3%201.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 45.5%11.00% | 45.9%122.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Schalke 04 | 0.0%1.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| St. Pauli | 23.8%21.00% | 45.8%24.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 15.4%26.00% | 50.0%10.00% | 22.7%22.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 42.1%19.00% | 0.0%5.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 23.1%26.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 25.0%12.00% | 0.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TuS Koblenz | 16.7%6.00% | 27.3%11.00% | 18.8%16.00% | 14.3%7.00% | 28.6%14.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%8.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 36.4%11.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 0.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| VfB Stuttgart | 100.0%3.00% | 84.6%13.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%6.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 42.9%7.00% | 40.0%10.00% | 54.5%11.00% | 75.0%4.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| VfL Bochum | 66.2%68.00% | 43.7%119.00% | 81.2%16.00% | 53.8%80.00% | 80.0%20.00% | 78.6%14.00% | 62.5%72.00% | 71.8%39.00% | 51.6%124.00% | 52.4%126.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 54.1%122.00% | 75.0%12.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 50.0%6.00% | 100.0%6.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| VfL Osnabruck | 0.0%5.00% | 60.0%5.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 50.0%6.00% | 0.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| VfL Wolfsburg | 100.0%3.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wehen Wiesbaden | 0.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 0.0%6.00% | 0.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Werder Bremen | 75.0%4.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% |
Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes
Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.
| Team | Finals |
|---|---|
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 59.58% |
| Energie Cottbus | 40.42% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | 1. FC Nurnberg | Energie Cottbus |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 59.6%100.00% | |
| Energie Cottbus | 40.4%100.00% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008-08-15 | Hamburger SV | D 2-2 | 1976 | 1916 | 54.6% | 24.0% | 21.4% | -1.1 | 1 |
| 2008-08-15 | @ Bayern Munich | D 2-2 | 1916 | 1976 | 21.4% | 24.0% | 54.6% | +1.1 | 1 |
| 2008-08-16 | 1. FC Koln | W 2-1 | 1890 | 1789 | 59.2% | 22.9% | 17.9% | +4.1 | 3 |
| 2008-08-16 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1789 | 1890 | 17.9% | 22.9% | 59.2% | -4.1 | 0 |
| 2008-08-16 | Borussia Dortmund | L 2-3 | 1899 | 1844 | 54.0% | 24.1% | 21.9% | -9.7 | 0 |
| 2008-08-16 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-2 | 1844 | 1899 | 21.9% | 24.1% | 54.0% | +9.7 | 3 |
| 2008-08-16 | Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 1935 | 1866 | 55.7% | 23.7% | 20.5% | +13.5 | 3 |
| 2008-08-16 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-3 | 1866 | 1935 | 20.5% | 23.7% | 55.7% | -13.5 | 0 |
| 2008-08-16 | Hoffenheim | L 0-3 | 1823 | 1800 | 50.2% | 24.8% | 25.1% | -27.9 | 0 |
| 2008-08-16 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 3-0 | 1800 | 1823 | 25.1% | 24.8% | 50.2% | +27.9 | 3 |
| 2008-08-16 | VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1821 | 1857 | 42.3% | 25.5% | 32.2% | +7.2 | 3 |
| 2008-08-16 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1857 | 1821 | 32.2% | 25.5% | 42.3% | -7.2 | 0 |
| 2008-08-16 | Werder Bremen | D 2-2 | 1818 | 1944 | 30.0% | 25.4% | 44.7% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2008-08-16 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1944 | 1818 | 44.7% | 25.4% | 30.0% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2008-08-17 | Hertha BSC | L 0-2 | 1848 | 1855 | 46.3% | 25.2% | 28.5% | -18.0 | 0 |
| 2008-08-17 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1855 | 1848 | 28.5% | 25.2% | 46.3% | +18.0 | 3 |
| 2008-08-17 | VfB Stuttgart | L 1-3 | 1836 | 1881 | 41.0% | 25.6% | 33.4% | -14.1 | 0 |
| 2008-08-17 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-1 | 1881 | 1836 | 33.4% | 25.6% | 41.0% | +14.1 | 3 |
| 2008-08-22 | Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1853 | 1795 | 54.4% | 24.0% | 21.6% | -1.7 | 1 |
| 2008-08-22 | @ Hannover 96 | D 0-0 | 1795 | 1853 | 21.6% | 24.0% | 54.4% | +1.7 | 1 |
| 2008-08-23 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1873 | 1818 | 54.1% | 24.1% | 21.8% | -1.5 | 4 |
| 2008-08-23 | @ Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1818 | 1873 | 21.8% | 24.1% | 54.1% | +1.5 | 2 |
| 2008-08-23 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1896 | 1889 | 48.1% | 25.0% | 26.9% | -18.5 | 3 |
| 2008-08-23 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 2-0 | 1889 | 1896 | 26.9% | 25.0% | 48.1% | +18.5 | 3 |
| 2008-08-23 | Bayern Munich | D 1-1 | 1854 | 1975 | 30.7% | 25.4% | 43.9% | +0.6 | 4 |
| 2008-08-23 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1975 | 1854 | 43.9% | 25.4% | 30.7% | -0.6 | 2 |
| 2008-08-23 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1828 | 1822 | 48.0% | 25.0% | 26.9% | +6.2 | 6 |
| 2008-08-23 | @ Hoffenheim | L 0-1 | 1822 | 1828 | 26.9% | 25.0% | 48.0% | -6.2 | 0 |
| 2008-08-23 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1917 | 1828 | 58.0% | 23.2% | 18.8% | +4.3 | 4 |
| 2008-08-23 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1828 | 1917 | 18.8% | 23.2% | 58.0% | -4.3 | 3 |
| 2008-08-23 | Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1944 | 1949 | 46.6% | 25.2% | 28.2% | -0.8 | 2 |
| 2008-08-23 | @ Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1949 | 1944 | 28.2% | 25.2% | 46.6% | +0.8 | 4 |
| 2008-08-24 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1785 | 1830 | 41.0% | 25.6% | 33.4% | -0.3 | 1 |
| 2008-08-24 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 1830 | 1785 | 33.4% | 25.6% | 41.0% | +0.3 | 1 |
| 2008-08-24 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 1850 | 1894 | 41.3% | 25.6% | 33.1% | -0.3 | 1 |
| 2008-08-24 | @ VfL Bochum | D 2-2 | 1894 | 1850 | 33.1% | 25.6% | 41.3% | +0.3 | 4 |
| 2008-08-29 | 1. FC Koln | L 0-2 | 1824 | 1784 | 52.2% | 24.4% | 23.4% | -19.9 | 3 |
| 2008-08-29 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1784 | 1824 | 23.4% | 24.4% | 52.2% | +19.9 | 4 |
| 2008-08-30 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1797 | 1855 | 39.3% | 25.6% | 35.1% | -8.4 | 1 |
| 2008-08-30 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 1-0 | 1855 | 1797 | 35.1% | 25.6% | 39.3% | +8.4 | 7 |
| 2008-08-30 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1894 | 1831 | 55.0% | 23.9% | 21.1% | -1.1 | 5 |
| 2008-08-30 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 1831 | 1894 | 21.1% | 23.9% | 55.0% | +1.1 | 2 |
| 2008-08-30 | Hamburger SV | L 2-4 | 1820 | 1922 | 33.1% | 25.6% | 41.3% | -10.8 | 2 |
| 2008-08-30 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 4-2 | 1922 | 1820 | 41.3% | 25.6% | 33.1% | +10.8 | 7 |
| 2008-08-30 | Hoffenheim | W 5-2 | 1908 | 1834 | 56.2% | 23.6% | 20.2% | +9.7 | 6 |
| 2008-08-30 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 2-5 | 1834 | 1908 | 20.2% | 23.6% | 56.2% | -9.7 | 6 |
| 2008-08-30 | VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1950 | 1850 | 59.1% | 22.9% | 18.0% | +4.3 | 7 |
| 2008-08-30 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1850 | 1950 | 18.0% | 22.9% | 59.1% | -4.4 | 1 |
| 2008-08-30 | Werder Bremen | W 3-2 | 1815 | 1943 | 29.8% | 25.4% | 44.8% | +8.3 | 3 |
| 2008-08-30 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 2-3 | 1943 | 1815 | 44.8% | 25.4% | 29.8% | -8.3 | 2 |
| 2008-08-31 | Hannover 96 | W 2-0 | 1877 | 1851 | 50.6% | 24.7% | 24.7% | +11.0 | 6 |
| 2008-08-31 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1851 | 1877 | 24.7% | 24.7% | 50.6% | -10.9 | 1 |
| 2008-08-31 | Hertha BSC | W 4-1 | 1974 | 1872 | 59.4% | 22.8% | 17.8% | +9.9 | 5 |
| 2008-08-31 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-4 | 1872 | 1974 | 17.8% | 22.8% | 59.4% | -9.9 | 4 |
| 2008-09-13 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-2 | 1932 | 1917 | 49.2% | 24.9% | 25.9% | +5.4 | 10 |
| 2008-09-13 | @ Hamburger SV | L 2-3 | 1917 | 1932 | 25.9% | 24.9% | 49.2% | -5.4 | 6 |
| 2008-09-13 | Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1804 | 1984 | 23.9% | 24.5% | 51.6% | -15.4 | 4 |
| 2008-09-13 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 3-0 | 1984 | 1804 | 51.6% | 24.5% | 23.9% | +15.4 | 8 |
| 2008-09-13 | Energie Cottbus | W 3-0 | 1935 | 1789 | 63.9% | 21.4% | 14.7% | +9.7 | 5 |
| 2008-09-13 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-3 | 1789 | 1935 | 14.7% | 21.4% | 63.9% | -9.7 | 1 |
| 2008-09-13 | Schalke 04 | D 3-3 | 1863 | 1954 | 34.6% | 25.6% | 39.7% | +0.1 | 8 |
| 2008-09-13 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 3-3 | 1954 | 1863 | 39.7% | 25.6% | 34.6% | -0.1 | 8 |
| 2008-09-13 | VfB Stuttgart | D 0-0 | 1824 | 1888 | 38.5% | 25.7% | 35.9% | -0.1 | 7 |
| 2008-09-13 | @ Hoffenheim | D 0-0 | 1888 | 1824 | 35.9% | 25.7% | 38.5% | +0.1 | 7 |
| 2008-09-13 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 1862 | 1893 | 43.1% | 25.5% | 31.4% | -0.4 | 5 |
| 2008-09-13 | @ Hertha BSC | D 2-2 | 1893 | 1862 | 31.4% | 25.5% | 43.1% | +0.4 | 6 |
| 2008-09-14 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1846 | 1809 | 51.8% | 24.5% | 23.6% | +10.5 | 4 |
| 2008-09-14 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1809 | 1846 | 23.6% | 24.5% | 51.8% | -10.5 | 2 |
| 2008-09-14 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 5-1 | 1840 | 1824 | 49.3% | 24.9% | 25.8% | +17.9 | 4 |
| 2008-09-14 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-5 | 1824 | 1840 | 25.8% | 24.9% | 49.3% | -17.9 | 3 |
| 2008-09-19 | Hannover 96 | W 4-0 | 1912 | 1858 | 53.9% | 24.1% | 21.9% | +18.7 | 9 |
| 2008-09-19 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-4 | 1858 | 1912 | 21.9% | 24.1% | 53.9% | -18.7 | 4 |
| 2008-09-20 | 1. FC Koln | W 2-0 | 1799 | 1789 | 48.5% | 25.0% | 26.5% | +11.6 | 5 |
| 2008-09-20 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-2 | 1789 | 1799 | 26.5% | 25.0% | 48.5% | -11.6 | 4 |
| 2008-09-20 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1954 | 1832 | 61.4% | 22.2% | 16.4% | +4.0 | 11 |
| 2008-09-20 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1832 | 1954 | 16.4% | 22.2% | 61.4% | -3.9 | 2 |
| 2008-09-20 | Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1806 | 1862 | 39.6% | 25.6% | 34.8% | -8.4 | 3 |
| 2008-09-20 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1862 | 1806 | 34.8% | 25.6% | 39.6% | +8.4 | 8 |
| 2008-09-20 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1779 | 1856 | 36.5% | 25.7% | 37.8% | +0.1 | 2 |
| 2008-09-20 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1856 | 1779 | 37.8% | 25.7% | 36.5% | -0.0 | 5 |
| 2008-09-20 | Werder Bremen | L 2-5 | 2000 | 1944 | 54.1% | 24.1% | 21.8% | -21.7 | 8 |
| 2008-09-20 | @ Bayern Munich | W 5-2 | 1944 | 2000 | 21.8% | 24.1% | 54.1% | +21.7 | 8 |
| 2008-09-21 | Borussia Dortmund | W 4-1 | 1824 | 1863 | 42.0% | 25.5% | 32.5% | +16.7 | 10 |
| 2008-09-21 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-4 | 1863 | 1824 | 32.5% | 25.5% | 42.0% | -16.7 | 8 |
| 2008-09-21 | Hamburger SV | W 3-0 | 1893 | 1938 | 41.2% | 25.6% | 33.3% | +20.2 | 9 |
| 2008-09-21 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-3 | 1938 | 1893 | 33.3% | 25.6% | 41.2% | -20.2 | 10 |
| 2008-09-21 | Karlsruher SC | W 3-1 | 1888 | 1804 | 57.4% | 23.3% | 19.2% | +7.6 | 10 |
| 2008-09-21 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-3 | 1804 | 1888 | 19.2% | 23.3% | 57.4% | -7.5 | 3 |
| 2008-09-26 | Schalke 04 | W 1-0 | 1777 | 1958 | 23.8% | 24.5% | 51.6% | +10.4 | 7 |
| 2008-09-26 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 0-1 | 1958 | 1777 | 51.6% | 24.5% | 23.8% | -10.4 | 11 |
| 2008-09-27 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 2-3 | 1856 | 1931 | 36.9% | 25.7% | 37.4% | -7.1 | 5 |
| 2008-09-27 | @ VfL Bochum | W 3-2 | 1931 | 1856 | 37.4% | 25.7% | 36.9% | +7.2 | 12 |
| 2008-09-27 | Bayern Munich | W 1-0 | 1839 | 1978 | 28.5% | 25.2% | 46.3% | +9.5 | 7 |
| 2008-09-27 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1978 | 1839 | 46.3% | 25.2% | 28.5% | -9.5 | 8 |
| 2008-09-27 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1918 | 1797 | 61.3% | 22.3% | 16.5% | +4.0 | 13 |
| 2008-09-27 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1797 | 1918 | 16.5% | 22.3% | 61.3% | -4.0 | 3 |
| 2008-09-27 | Energie Cottbus | L 0-1 | 1870 | 1779 | 58.2% | 23.1% | 18.7% | -11.6 | 8 |
| 2008-09-27 | @ Hertha BSC | W 1-0 | 1779 | 1870 | 18.7% | 23.1% | 58.2% | +11.6 | 5 |
| 2008-09-27 | Hoffenheim | W 5-4 | 1966 | 1841 | 61.8% | 22.1% | 16.1% | +3.4 | 11 |
| 2008-09-27 | @ Werder Bremen | L 4-5 | 1841 | 1966 | 16.1% | 22.1% | 61.8% | -3.3 | 10 |
| 2008-09-27 | VfB Stuttgart | W 3-0 | 1847 | 1896 | 40.5% | 25.6% | 33.9% | +20.5 | 11 |
| 2008-09-27 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-3 | 1896 | 1847 | 33.9% | 25.6% | 40.5% | -20.5 | 10 |
| 2008-09-28 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1828 | 1810 | 49.5% | 24.9% | 25.6% | -1.1 | 3 |
| 2008-09-28 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1810 | 1828 | 25.6% | 24.9% | 49.5% | +1.0 | 6 |
| 2008-09-28 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1796 | 1913 | 31.1% | 25.5% | 43.4% | +8.5 | 6 |
| 2008-09-28 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1913 | 1796 | 43.4% | 25.5% | 31.1% | -8.5 | 9 |
| 2008-10-03 | Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1811 | 1805 | 48.1% | 25.0% | 26.9% | -9.3 | 6 |
| 2008-10-03 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1805 | 1811 | 26.9% | 25.0% | 48.1% | +9.3 | 9 |
| 2008-10-04 | 1. FC Koln | L 1-2 | 1793 | 1788 | 48.0% | 25.1% | 27.0% | -9.3 | 3 |
| 2008-10-04 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 1788 | 1793 | 27.0% | 25.1% | 48.0% | +9.2 | 10 |
| 2008-10-04 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1838 | 1827 | 48.6% | 25.0% | 26.4% | +5.8 | 13 |
| 2008-10-04 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-2 | 1827 | 1838 | 26.4% | 25.0% | 48.6% | -5.8 | 3 |
| 2008-10-04 | Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1938 | 1859 | 56.9% | 23.5% | 19.7% | -11.3 | 12 |
| 2008-10-04 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1859 | 1938 | 19.7% | 23.5% | 56.9% | +11.3 | 11 |
| 2008-10-04 | VfL Bochum | D 3-3 | 1968 | 1849 | 61.2% | 22.3% | 16.5% | -1.3 | 9 |
| 2008-10-04 | @ Bayern Munich | D 3-3 | 1849 | 1968 | 16.5% | 22.3% | 61.2% | +1.3 | 6 |
| 2008-10-04 | Werder Bremen | W 4-1 | 1875 | 1969 | 34.2% | 25.6% | 40.2% | +19.7 | 13 |
| 2008-10-04 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-4 | 1969 | 1875 | 40.2% | 25.6% | 34.2% | -19.7 | 11 |
| 2008-10-05 | Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1790 | 1922 | 29.4% | 25.3% | 45.3% | -6.3 | 5 |
| 2008-10-05 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 2-1 | 1922 | 1790 | 45.3% | 25.3% | 29.4% | +6.3 | 16 |
| 2008-10-05 | Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1867 | 1849 | 49.6% | 24.8% | 25.6% | -1.1 | 12 |
| 2008-10-05 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1849 | 1867 | 25.6% | 24.8% | 49.6% | +1.1 | 8 |
| 2008-10-05 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 1947 | 1905 | 52.6% | 24.4% | 23.1% | -1.0 | 12 |
| 2008-10-05 | @ Schalke 04 | D 2-2 | 1905 | 1947 | 23.1% | 24.4% | 52.6% | +1.0 | 10 |
| 2008-10-17 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 2-2 | 1850 | 1784 | 55.4% | 23.8% | 20.8% | -1.2 | 7 |
| 2008-10-17 | @ VfL Bochum | D 2-2 | 1784 | 1850 | 20.8% | 23.8% | 55.4% | +1.2 | 4 |
| 2008-10-18 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 4-1 | 1906 | 1802 | 59.5% | 22.8% | 17.7% | +9.8 | 13 |
| 2008-10-18 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-4 | 1802 | 1906 | 17.7% | 22.8% | 59.5% | -9.9 | 6 |
| 2008-10-18 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1821 | 1926 | 32.7% | 25.6% | 41.8% | -13.7 | 3 |
| 2008-10-18 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1926 | 1821 | 41.8% | 25.6% | 32.7% | +13.7 | 15 |
| 2008-10-18 | Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1814 | 1967 | 26.8% | 25.0% | 48.2% | -6.2 | 9 |
| 2008-10-18 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1967 | 1814 | 48.2% | 25.0% | 26.8% | +6.2 | 12 |
| 2008-10-18 | Borussia Dortmund | D 3-3 | 1950 | 1866 | 57.4% | 23.4% | 19.3% | -1.1 | 12 |
| 2008-10-18 | @ Werder Bremen | D 3-3 | 1866 | 1950 | 19.3% | 23.4% | 57.4% | +1.1 | 13 |
| 2008-10-18 | Energie Cottbus | W 1-0 | 1797 | 1784 | 48.9% | 24.9% | 26.2% | +6.1 | 13 |
| 2008-10-18 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 0-1 | 1784 | 1797 | 26.2% | 24.9% | 48.9% | -6.1 | 5 |
| 2008-10-18 | Hoffenheim | L 2-5 | 1850 | 1844 | 48.0% | 25.0% | 26.9% | -19.6 | 8 |
| 2008-10-18 | @ Hannover 96 | W 5-2 | 1844 | 1850 | 26.9% | 25.0% | 48.0% | +19.7 | 16 |
| 2008-10-18 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-1 | 1870 | 1895 | 43.9% | 25.4% | 30.7% | +6.5 | 14 |
| 2008-10-18 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1895 | 1870 | 30.7% | 25.4% | 43.9% | -6.5 | 13 |
| 2008-10-19 | Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1928 | 1946 | 44.8% | 25.4% | 29.9% | -0.6 | 17 |
| 2008-10-19 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1946 | 1928 | 29.9% | 25.4% | 44.8% | +0.6 | 13 |
| 2008-10-22 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1807 | 1808 | 47.2% | 25.1% | 27.7% | +6.0 | 6 |
| 2008-10-22 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1808 | 1807 | 27.7% | 25.1% | 47.2% | -6.0 | 9 |
| 2008-10-24 | 1. FC Koln | W 2-0 | 1940 | 1803 | 63.0% | 21.7% | 15.3% | +7.0 | 18 |
| 2008-10-24 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1803 | 1940 | 15.3% | 21.7% | 63.0% | -7.0 | 13 |
| 2008-10-25 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1947 | 1792 | 64.7% | 21.1% | 14.2% | -2.7 | 14 |
| 2008-10-25 | @ Schalke 04 | D 0-0 | 1792 | 1947 | 14.2% | 21.1% | 64.7% | +2.7 | 7 |
| 2008-10-25 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 2-3 | 1778 | 1813 | 42.5% | 25.5% | 32.0% | -8.0 | 5 |
| 2008-10-25 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 3-2 | 1813 | 1778 | 32.0% | 25.5% | 42.5% | +8.0 | 9 |
| 2008-10-25 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1785 | 1802 | 45.0% | 25.3% | 29.6% | +6.7 | 7 |
| 2008-10-25 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-1 | 1802 | 1785 | 29.6% | 25.3% | 45.0% | -6.7 | 9 |
| 2008-10-25 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 4-2 | 1973 | 1916 | 54.4% | 24.0% | 21.6% | +7.5 | 15 |
| 2008-10-25 | @ Bayern Munich | L 2-4 | 1916 | 1973 | 21.6% | 24.0% | 54.4% | -7.5 | 13 |
| 2008-10-25 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1830 | 1949 | 31.0% | 25.4% | 43.6% | +0.5 | 9 |
| 2008-10-25 | @ Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1949 | 1830 | 43.6% | 25.4% | 31.0% | -0.5 | 13 |
| 2008-10-26 | Hamburger SV | W 3-0 | 1863 | 1927 | 38.4% | 25.7% | 35.9% | +21.4 | 19 |
| 2008-10-26 | @ Hoffenheim | L 0-3 | 1927 | 1863 | 35.9% | 25.7% | 38.4% | -21.4 | 17 |
| 2008-10-26 | Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1867 | 1876 | 46.0% | 25.3% | 28.7% | -0.8 | 14 |
| 2008-10-26 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1876 | 1867 | 28.7% | 25.3% | 46.0% | +0.8 | 15 |
| 2008-10-26 | VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1888 | 1849 | 52.2% | 24.4% | 23.4% | +10.4 | 16 |
| 2008-10-26 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1849 | 1888 | 23.4% | 24.4% | 52.2% | -10.4 | 7 |
| 2008-10-28 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1948 | 1947 | 47.3% | 25.1% | 27.5% | -18.3 | 13 |
| 2008-10-28 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-0 | 1947 | 1948 | 27.5% | 25.1% | 47.3% | +18.3 | 21 |
| 2008-10-28 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-0 | 1908 | 1792 | 60.8% | 22.4% | 16.8% | +11.1 | 16 |
| 2008-10-28 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-3 | 1792 | 1908 | 16.8% | 22.4% | 60.8% | -11.1 | 7 |
| 2008-10-28 | Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1795 | 1770 | 50.4% | 24.7% | 24.9% | -1.1 | 8 |
| 2008-10-28 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1770 | 1795 | 24.9% | 24.7% | 50.4% | +1.1 | 6 |
| 2008-10-28 | Schalke 04 | L 0-3 | 1795 | 1944 | 27.2% | 25.1% | 47.7% | -17.2 | 9 |
| 2008-10-28 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 3-0 | 1944 | 1795 | 47.7% | 25.1% | 27.2% | +17.2 | 17 |
| 2008-10-29 | Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1821 | 1981 | 26.1% | 24.9% | 49.0% | -5.7 | 9 |
| 2008-10-29 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1981 | 1821 | 49.0% | 24.9% | 26.1% | +5.7 | 18 |
| 2008-10-29 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1796 | 1866 | 37.5% | 25.7% | 36.8% | -8.1 | 13 |
| 2008-10-29 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 1-0 | 1866 | 1796 | 36.8% | 25.7% | 37.5% | +8.1 | 17 |
| 2008-10-29 | Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 1877 | 1831 | 53.0% | 24.3% | 22.7% | +14.7 | 18 |
| 2008-10-29 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-3 | 1831 | 1877 | 22.7% | 24.3% | 53.0% | -14.7 | 9 |
| 2008-10-29 | Hoffenheim | L 1-3 | 1839 | 1885 | 41.0% | 25.6% | 33.4% | -14.1 | 7 |
| 2008-10-29 | @ VfL Bochum | W 3-1 | 1885 | 1839 | 33.4% | 25.6% | 41.0% | +14.1 | 22 |
| 2008-10-29 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-0 | 1906 | 1899 | 48.1% | 25.0% | 26.8% | +11.7 | 20 |
| 2008-10-29 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1899 | 1906 | 26.8% | 25.0% | 48.1% | -11.7 | 16 |
| 2008-10-31 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-0 | 1965 | 1919 | 53.0% | 24.3% | 22.7% | +10.1 | 24 |
| 2008-10-31 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1919 | 1965 | 22.7% | 24.3% | 53.0% | -10.1 | 16 |
| 2008-11-01 | 1. FC Koln | L 1-3 | 1887 | 1788 | 59.0% | 22.9% | 18.0% | -19.1 | 16 |
| 2008-11-01 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 3-1 | 1788 | 1887 | 18.0% | 22.9% | 59.0% | +19.1 | 16 |
| 2008-11-01 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-1 | 1986 | 1794 | 68.2% | 19.7% | 12.0% | +4.7 | 21 |
| 2008-11-01 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1794 | 1986 | 12.0% | 19.7% | 68.2% | -4.7 | 8 |
| 2008-11-01 | Hamburger SV | W 3-0 | 1816 | 1917 | 33.2% | 25.6% | 41.2% | +23.8 | 12 |
| 2008-11-01 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-3 | 1917 | 1816 | 41.2% | 25.6% | 33.2% | -23.8 | 20 |
| 2008-11-01 | Hertha BSC | W 5-1 | 1930 | 1892 | 52.0% | 24.5% | 23.5% | +16.6 | 16 |
| 2008-11-01 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-5 | 1892 | 1930 | 23.5% | 24.5% | 52.0% | -16.5 | 18 |
| 2008-11-01 | Karlsruher SC | W 4-1 | 1899 | 1778 | 61.3% | 22.2% | 16.4% | +9.1 | 25 |
| 2008-11-01 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-4 | 1778 | 1899 | 16.4% | 22.2% | 61.3% | -9.1 | 9 |
| 2008-11-01 | Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1771 | 1961 | 22.8% | 24.3% | 52.8% | -10.2 | 6 |
| 2008-11-01 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1961 | 1771 | 52.8% | 24.3% | 22.8% | +10.2 | 20 |
| 2008-11-02 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1781 | 1816 | 42.6% | 25.5% | 31.9% | -8.4 | 7 |
| 2008-11-02 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 1816 | 1781 | 31.9% | 25.5% | 42.6% | +8.4 | 12 |
| 2008-11-02 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1874 | 1824 | 53.5% | 24.2% | 22.3% | -1.4 | 18 |
| 2008-11-02 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1824 | 1874 | 22.3% | 24.2% | 53.5% | +1.4 | 8 |
| 2008-11-07 | Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1807 | 1840 | 42.8% | 25.5% | 31.7% | +6.7 | 19 |
| 2008-11-07 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 1-2 | 1840 | 1807 | 31.7% | 25.5% | 42.8% | -6.7 | 12 |
| 2008-11-08 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 3-3 | 1769 | 1976 | 21.3% | 23.9% | 54.8% | +0.9 | 10 |
| 2008-11-08 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 3-3 | 1976 | 1769 | 54.8% | 23.9% | 21.3% | -1.0 | 25 |
| 2008-11-08 | Borussia Dortmund | W 2-1 | 1894 | 1873 | 49.9% | 24.8% | 25.3% | +5.6 | 23 |
| 2008-11-08 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1873 | 1894 | 25.3% | 24.8% | 49.9% | -5.6 | 18 |
| 2008-11-08 | Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-2 | 1789 | 1773 | 49.3% | 24.9% | 25.8% | -19.0 | 8 |
| 2008-11-08 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1773 | 1789 | 25.8% | 24.9% | 49.3% | +18.9 | 10 |
| 2008-11-08 | Energie Cottbus | W 3-0 | 1909 | 1761 | 64.0% | 21.3% | 14.6% | +9.6 | 19 |
| 2008-11-08 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-3 | 1761 | 1909 | 14.6% | 21.3% | 64.0% | -9.6 | 6 |
| 2008-11-08 | Werder Bremen | D 0-0 | 1826 | 1946 | 30.7% | 25.4% | 43.9% | +0.6 | 9 |
| 2008-11-08 | @ VfL Bochum | D 0-0 | 1946 | 1826 | 43.9% | 25.4% | 30.7% | -0.6 | 17 |
| 2008-11-09 | Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1972 | 1991 | 44.6% | 25.4% | 30.0% | -8.7 | 20 |
| 2008-11-09 | @ Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1991 | 1972 | 30.0% | 25.4% | 44.6% | +8.7 | 24 |
| 2008-11-09 | Hoffenheim | W 1-0 | 1875 | 1908 | 42.9% | 25.5% | 31.7% | +7.1 | 21 |
| 2008-11-09 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1908 | 1875 | 31.7% | 25.5% | 42.9% | -7.1 | 25 |
| 2008-11-09 | VfB Stuttgart | D 2-2 | 1824 | 1868 | 41.3% | 25.6% | 33.2% | -0.3 | 13 |
| 2008-11-09 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1868 | 1824 | 33.2% | 25.6% | 41.3% | +0.3 | 17 |
| 2008-11-14 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1833 | 1827 | 48.1% | 25.0% | 26.9% | -0.9 | 13 |
| 2008-11-14 | @ Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1827 | 1833 | 26.9% | 25.0% | 48.1% | +0.9 | 10 |
| 2008-11-15 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1868 | 1770 | 58.9% | 22.9% | 18.1% | -2.1 | 18 |
| 2008-11-15 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 0-0 | 1770 | 1868 | 18.1% | 22.9% | 58.9% | +2.1 | 9 |
| 2008-11-15 | Bayern Munich | D 2-2 | 1791 | 2000 | 21.1% | 23.9% | 55.0% | +1.1 | 11 |
| 2008-11-15 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 2-2 | 2000 | 1791 | 55.0% | 23.9% | 21.1% | -1.1 | 25 |
| 2008-11-15 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 4-0 | 1867 | 1824 | 52.7% | 24.3% | 22.9% | +19.4 | 21 |
| 2008-11-15 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-4 | 1824 | 1867 | 22.9% | 24.3% | 52.7% | -19.4 | 13 |
| 2008-11-15 | Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1882 | 1899 | 45.0% | 25.4% | 29.7% | +6.4 | 24 |
| 2008-11-15 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1899 | 1882 | 29.7% | 25.4% | 45.0% | -6.4 | 23 |
| 2008-11-15 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1751 | 1770 | 44.8% | 25.4% | 29.8% | +6.8 | 9 |
| 2008-11-15 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-1 | 1770 | 1751 | 29.8% | 25.4% | 44.8% | -6.8 | 10 |
| 2008-11-15 | Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1975 | 1963 | 48.7% | 25.0% | 26.3% | +5.8 | 28 |
| 2008-11-15 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1963 | 1975 | 26.3% | 25.0% | 48.7% | -5.8 | 20 |
| 2008-11-15 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-2 | 1901 | 1919 | 44.9% | 25.4% | 29.8% | +6.0 | 28 |
| 2008-11-15 | @ Hoffenheim | L 2-3 | 1919 | 1901 | 29.8% | 25.4% | 44.9% | -6.1 | 19 |
| 2008-11-16 | 1. FC Koln | W 3-1 | 1946 | 1814 | 62.5% | 21.9% | 15.7% | +6.2 | 20 |
| 2008-11-16 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-3 | 1814 | 1946 | 15.7% | 21.9% | 62.5% | -6.2 | 19 |
| 2008-11-21 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1763 | 1887 | 30.3% | 25.4% | 44.4% | -6.8 | 10 |
| 2008-11-21 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1887 | 1763 | 44.4% | 25.4% | 30.3% | +6.9 | 24 |
| 2008-11-22 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 1772 | 1980 | 21.1% | 23.9% | 55.0% | +10.4 | 12 |
| 2008-11-22 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-2 | 1980 | 1772 | 55.0% | 23.9% | 21.1% | -10.4 | 28 |
| 2008-11-22 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-1 | 1957 | 1793 | 65.6% | 20.8% | 13.6% | +5.3 | 23 |
| 2008-11-22 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-3 | 1793 | 1957 | 13.6% | 20.8% | 65.6% | -5.3 | 11 |
| 2008-11-22 | Energie Cottbus | W 4-1 | 1999 | 1758 | 72.3% | 17.9% | 9.8% | +5.2 | 28 |
| 2008-11-22 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-4 | 1758 | 1999 | 9.8% | 17.9% | 72.3% | -5.2 | 9 |
| 2008-11-22 | Hannover 96 | W 4-0 | 1804 | 1832 | 43.5% | 25.5% | 31.1% | +25.0 | 16 |
| 2008-11-22 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-4 | 1832 | 1804 | 31.1% | 25.5% | 43.5% | -25.0 | 13 |
| 2008-11-22 | Hertha BSC | L 2-3 | 1827 | 1889 | 38.8% | 25.6% | 35.5% | -7.4 | 10 |
| 2008-11-22 | @ VfL Bochum | W 3-2 | 1889 | 1827 | 35.5% | 25.6% | 38.8% | +7.4 | 27 |
| 2008-11-22 | Hoffenheim | L 1-3 | 1808 | 1907 | 33.5% | 25.6% | 40.9% | -12.1 | 19 |
| 2008-11-22 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 3-1 | 1907 | 1808 | 40.9% | 25.6% | 33.5% | +12.1 | 31 |
| 2008-11-22 | VfB Stuttgart | W 4-1 | 1913 | 1866 | 53.1% | 24.3% | 22.7% | +12.4 | 22 |
| 2008-11-22 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-4 | 1866 | 1913 | 22.7% | 24.3% | 53.1% | -12.4 | 18 |
| 2008-11-23 | Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1893 | 1952 | 39.1% | 25.6% | 35.2% | +7.3 | 26 |
| 2008-11-23 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1952 | 1893 | 35.2% | 25.6% | 39.1% | -7.3 | 20 |
| 2008-11-28 | 1. FC Koln | W 2-1 | 1896 | 1795 | 59.2% | 22.9% | 17.9% | +4.1 | 30 |
| 2008-11-28 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1795 | 1896 | 17.9% | 22.9% | 59.2% | -4.1 | 19 |
| 2008-11-29 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-0 | 1919 | 1782 | 62.9% | 21.7% | 15.3% | +10.1 | 34 |
| 2008-11-29 | @ Hoffenheim | L 0-3 | 1782 | 1919 | 15.3% | 21.7% | 62.9% | -10.1 | 12 |
| 2008-11-29 | Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1970 | 2004 | 42.7% | 25.5% | 31.8% | -16.8 | 28 |
| 2008-11-29 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-0 | 2004 | 1970 | 31.8% | 25.5% | 42.7% | +16.8 | 31 |
| 2008-11-29 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 5-0 | 1945 | 1829 | 60.8% | 22.4% | 16.8% | +17.9 | 23 |
| 2008-11-29 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-5 | 1829 | 1945 | 16.8% | 22.4% | 60.8% | -17.9 | 16 |
| 2008-11-29 | Energie Cottbus | L 1-3 | 1787 | 1753 | 51.6% | 24.5% | 23.9% | -17.0 | 11 |
| 2008-11-29 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-1 | 1753 | 1787 | 23.9% | 24.5% | 51.6% | +17.0 | 12 |
| 2008-11-29 | Karlsruher SC | W 3-2 | 1807 | 1756 | 53.6% | 24.2% | 22.2% | +4.7 | 16 |
| 2008-11-29 | @ Hannover 96 | L 2-3 | 1756 | 1807 | 22.2% | 24.2% | 53.6% | -4.7 | 10 |
| 2008-11-30 | Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1820 | 1900 | 36.1% | 25.7% | 38.2% | +0.1 | 11 |
| 2008-11-30 | @ VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1900 | 1820 | 38.2% | 25.7% | 36.1% | -0.1 | 27 |
| 2008-11-30 | Schalke 04 | W 2-0 | 1854 | 1962 | 32.2% | 25.5% | 42.3% | +16.7 | 21 |
| 2008-11-30 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1962 | 1854 | 42.3% | 25.5% | 32.2% | -16.7 | 23 |
| 2008-11-30 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 0-0 | 1894 | 1925 | 43.0% | 25.5% | 31.5% | -0.5 | 25 |
| 2008-11-30 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 0-0 | 1925 | 1894 | 31.5% | 25.5% | 43.0% | +0.5 | 23 |
| 2008-12-05 | Hoffenheim | W 2-1 | 2021 | 1929 | 58.2% | 23.1% | 18.6% | +4.2 | 34 |
| 2008-12-05 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1929 | 2021 | 18.6% | 23.1% | 58.2% | -4.2 | 34 |
| 2008-12-06 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-3 | 1770 | 1953 | 23.6% | 24.5% | 51.9% | -9.1 | 11 |
| 2008-12-06 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-1 | 1953 | 1770 | 51.9% | 24.5% | 23.6% | +9.1 | 31 |
| 2008-12-06 | Borussia Dortmund | D 0-0 | 1772 | 1893 | 30.7% | 25.4% | 43.9% | +0.6 | 13 |
| 2008-12-06 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1893 | 1772 | 43.9% | 25.4% | 30.7% | -0.6 | 26 |
| 2008-12-06 | Hertha BSC | W 1-0 | 1946 | 1900 | 52.9% | 24.3% | 22.8% | +5.4 | 26 |
| 2008-12-06 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1900 | 1946 | 22.8% | 24.3% | 52.9% | -5.4 | 30 |
| 2008-12-06 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-3 | 1770 | 1870 | 33.3% | 25.6% | 41.1% | -20.2 | 12 |
| 2008-12-06 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 3-0 | 1870 | 1770 | 41.1% | 25.6% | 33.3% | +20.2 | 24 |
| 2008-12-06 | VfL Bochum | W 4-0 | 1811 | 1820 | 46.1% | 25.2% | 28.7% | +23.5 | 19 |
| 2008-12-06 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-4 | 1820 | 1811 | 28.7% | 25.2% | 46.1% | -23.5 | 11 |
| 2008-12-06 | Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 1751 | 1963 | 20.9% | 23.8% | 55.3% | +11.1 | 13 |
| 2008-12-06 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1963 | 1751 | 55.3% | 23.8% | 20.9% | -11.1 | 23 |
| 2008-12-07 | Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1791 | 1900 | 32.2% | 25.5% | 42.2% | -6.8 | 19 |
| 2008-12-07 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 2-1 | 1900 | 1791 | 42.2% | 25.5% | 32.2% | +6.8 | 30 |
| 2008-12-07 | Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1926 | 1812 | 60.6% | 22.5% | 16.9% | +3.9 | 26 |
| 2008-12-07 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1812 | 1926 | 16.9% | 22.5% | 60.6% | -3.9 | 16 |
| 2008-12-12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 1892 | 1761 | 62.4% | 21.9% | 15.7% | +3.6 | 29 |
| 2008-12-12 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-2 | 1761 | 1892 | 15.7% | 21.9% | 62.4% | -3.6 | 11 |
| 2008-12-13 | 1. FC Koln | L 1-2 | 1797 | 1785 | 48.8% | 24.9% | 26.3% | -9.4 | 11 |
| 2008-12-13 | @ VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1785 | 1797 | 26.3% | 24.9% | 48.8% | +9.4 | 22 |
| 2008-12-13 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1808 | 1773 | 51.7% | 24.5% | 23.8% | -1.2 | 17 |
| 2008-12-13 | @ Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1773 | 1808 | 23.8% | 24.5% | 51.7% | +1.2 | 14 |
| 2008-12-13 | Bayern Munich | D 2-2 | 1891 | 2025 | 29.0% | 25.3% | 45.7% | +0.5 | 25 |
| 2008-12-13 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 2-2 | 2025 | 1891 | 45.7% | 25.3% | 29.0% | -0.5 | 35 |
| 2008-12-13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1907 | 1835 | 56.0% | 23.7% | 20.3% | +4.9 | 33 |
| 2008-12-13 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1835 | 1907 | 20.3% | 23.7% | 56.0% | -4.9 | 19 |
| 2008-12-13 | Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1962 | 1750 | 70.0% | 19.0% | 11.1% | -2.8 | 32 |
| 2008-12-13 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1750 | 1962 | 11.1% | 19.0% | 70.0% | +2.8 | 13 |
| 2008-12-13 | Karlsruher SC | W 4-0 | 1895 | 1762 | 62.5% | 21.9% | 15.6% | +13.5 | 33 |
| 2008-12-13 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-4 | 1762 | 1895 | 15.6% | 21.9% | 62.5% | -13.5 | 13 |
| 2008-12-13 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1951 | 1929 | 50.0% | 24.8% | 25.2% | +5.6 | 26 |
| 2008-12-13 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1929 | 1951 | 25.2% | 24.8% | 50.0% | -5.6 | 26 |
| 2008-12-14 | Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1925 | 1951 | 43.7% | 25.4% | 30.9% | -0.5 | 35 |
| 2008-12-14 | @ Hoffenheim | D 1-1 | 1951 | 1925 | 30.9% | 25.4% | 43.7% | +0.6 | 27 |
| 2009-01-30 | Bayern Munich | W 1-0 | 1912 | 2024 | 31.7% | 25.5% | 42.8% | +9.0 | 36 |
| 2009-01-30 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 2024 | 1912 | 42.8% | 25.5% | 31.7% | -8.9 | 35 |
| 2009-01-31 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1896 | 1959 | 38.5% | 25.7% | 35.8% | -0.1 | 30 |
| 2009-01-31 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1959 | 1896 | 35.8% | 25.7% | 38.5% | +0.1 | 33 |
| 2009-01-31 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-0 | 1891 | 1758 | 62.6% | 21.8% | 15.6% | +7.1 | 28 |
| 2009-01-31 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1758 | 1891 | 15.6% | 21.8% | 62.6% | -7.1 | 11 |
| 2009-01-31 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1908 | 1830 | 56.8% | 23.5% | 19.7% | +4.5 | 36 |
| 2009-01-31 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1830 | 1908 | 19.7% | 23.5% | 56.8% | -4.5 | 19 |
| 2009-01-31 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1924 | 1752 | 66.3% | 20.5% | 13.2% | +6.0 | 38 |
| 2009-01-31 | @ Hoffenheim | L 0-2 | 1752 | 1924 | 13.2% | 20.5% | 66.3% | -6.0 | 13 |
| 2009-01-31 | Schalke 04 | W 1-0 | 1807 | 1952 | 27.7% | 25.1% | 47.1% | +9.7 | 20 |
| 2009-01-31 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1952 | 1807 | 47.1% | 25.1% | 27.7% | -9.7 | 27 |
| 2009-01-31 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1794 | 1924 | 29.5% | 25.3% | 45.1% | +0.7 | 23 |
| 2009-01-31 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 1924 | 1794 | 45.1% | 25.3% | 29.5% | -0.7 | 27 |
| 2009-02-01 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-2 | 1957 | 1774 | 67.3% | 20.1% | 12.6% | -12.3 | 26 |
| 2009-02-01 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1774 | 1957 | 12.6% | 20.1% | 67.3% | +12.3 | 17 |
| 2009-02-01 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1787 | 1749 | 52.1% | 24.5% | 23.5% | +10.5 | 14 |
| 2009-02-01 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1749 | 1787 | 23.5% | 24.5% | 52.1% | -10.4 | 13 |
| 2009-02-06 | Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1787 | 1913 | 30.0% | 25.4% | 44.6% | +0.6 | 18 |
| 2009-02-06 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1913 | 1787 | 44.6% | 25.4% | 30.0% | -0.6 | 37 |
| 2009-02-07 | 1. FC Koln | D 2-2 | 1826 | 1795 | 51.2% | 24.6% | 24.2% | -0.9 | 20 |
| 2009-02-07 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1795 | 1826 | 24.2% | 24.6% | 51.2% | +0.9 | 24 |
| 2009-02-07 | Hamburger SV | W 3-2 | 1738 | 1921 | 23.6% | 24.5% | 51.9% | +9.4 | 16 |
| 2009-02-07 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 2-3 | 1921 | 1738 | 51.9% | 24.5% | 23.6% | -9.4 | 36 |
| 2009-02-07 | Hoffenheim | D 1-1 | 1751 | 1930 | 23.9% | 24.6% | 51.5% | +1.2 | 12 |
| 2009-02-07 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1930 | 1751 | 51.5% | 24.6% | 23.9% | -1.2 | 39 |
| 2009-02-07 | VfB Stuttgart | L 2-4 | 1960 | 1898 | 54.8% | 23.9% | 21.2% | -16.0 | 33 |
| 2009-02-07 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 4-2 | 1898 | 1960 | 21.2% | 23.9% | 54.8% | +16.0 | 31 |
| 2009-02-07 | VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1923 | 1798 | 61.8% | 22.1% | 16.1% | +7.3 | 30 |
| 2009-02-07 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-2 | 1798 | 1923 | 16.1% | 22.1% | 61.8% | -7.3 | 14 |
| 2009-02-07 | Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 1942 | 1945 | 46.9% | 25.2% | 28.0% | +6.4 | 30 |
| 2009-02-07 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1945 | 1942 | 28.0% | 25.2% | 46.9% | -6.4 | 26 |
| 2009-02-08 | Borussia Dortmund | W 3-1 | 2015 | 1896 | 61.2% | 22.3% | 16.5% | +6.5 | 38 |
| 2009-02-08 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1896 | 2015 | 16.5% | 22.3% | 61.2% | -6.5 | 30 |
| 2009-02-08 | Hannover 96 | W 3-1 | 1747 | 1816 | 37.6% | 25.7% | 36.8% | +13.0 | 16 |
| 2009-02-08 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-3 | 1816 | 1747 | 36.8% | 25.7% | 37.6% | -13.0 | 20 |
| 2009-02-13 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-4 | 1929 | 1944 | 45.3% | 25.3% | 29.4% | -21.6 | 39 |
| 2009-02-13 | @ Hoffenheim | W 4-1 | 1944 | 1929 | 29.4% | 25.3% | 45.3% | +21.6 | 36 |
| 2009-02-14 | Bayern Munich | W 2-1 | 1912 | 2022 | 32.1% | 25.5% | 42.4% | +8.4 | 40 |
| 2009-02-14 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 2022 | 1912 | 42.4% | 25.5% | 32.1% | -8.4 | 38 |
| 2009-02-14 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1938 | 1752 | 67.7% | 20.0% | 12.4% | -2.6 | 27 |
| 2009-02-14 | @ Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1752 | 1938 | 12.4% | 20.0% | 67.7% | +2.6 | 13 |
| 2009-02-14 | Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1796 | 1748 | 53.2% | 24.3% | 22.5% | -1.5 | 25 |
| 2009-02-14 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 0-0 | 1748 | 1796 | 22.5% | 24.3% | 53.2% | +1.5 | 17 |
| 2009-02-14 | Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1790 | 1948 | 26.2% | 24.9% | 48.8% | +9.4 | 17 |
| 2009-02-14 | @ VfL Bochum | L 1-2 | 1948 | 1790 | 48.8% | 24.9% | 26.2% | -9.4 | 30 |
| 2009-02-14 | VfB Stuttgart | D 3-3 | 1803 | 1914 | 31.9% | 25.5% | 42.5% | +0.3 | 21 |
| 2009-02-14 | @ Hannover 96 | D 3-3 | 1914 | 1803 | 42.5% | 25.5% | 31.9% | -0.3 | 32 |
| 2009-02-14 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-2 | 1825 | 1930 | 32.6% | 25.6% | 41.9% | -13.7 | 20 |
| 2009-02-14 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1930 | 1825 | 41.9% | 25.6% | 32.6% | +13.7 | 33 |
| 2009-02-15 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1911 | 1787 | 61.7% | 22.1% | 16.2% | +7.4 | 39 |
| 2009-02-15 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1787 | 1911 | 16.2% | 22.1% | 61.7% | -7.4 | 18 |
| 2009-02-15 | Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1889 | 1760 | 62.3% | 21.9% | 15.8% | -2.2 | 31 |
| 2009-02-15 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1760 | 1889 | 15.8% | 21.9% | 62.3% | +2.2 | 17 |
| 2009-02-20 | Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1939 | 1887 | 53.7% | 24.2% | 22.1% | -1.4 | 31 |
| 2009-02-20 | @ Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1887 | 1939 | 22.1% | 24.2% | 53.7% | +1.4 | 32 |
| 2009-02-21 | 1. FC Koln | L 1-2 | 2014 | 1794 | 70.6% | 18.7% | 10.7% | -12.8 | 38 |
| 2009-02-21 | @ Bayern Munich | W 2-1 | 1794 | 2014 | 10.7% | 18.7% | 70.6% | +12.8 | 28 |
| 2009-02-21 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1749 | 1811 | 38.8% | 25.6% | 35.6% | -8.3 | 17 |
| 2009-02-21 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1811 | 1749 | 35.6% | 25.6% | 38.8% | +8.3 | 23 |
| 2009-02-21 | Hannover 96 | W 3-2 | 1754 | 1804 | 40.5% | 25.6% | 33.9% | +6.7 | 16 |
| 2009-02-21 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 2-3 | 1804 | 1754 | 33.9% | 25.6% | 40.5% | -6.7 | 21 |
| 2009-02-21 | Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1944 | 1921 | 50.3% | 24.8% | 25.0% | +5.5 | 36 |
| 2009-02-21 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1921 | 1944 | 25.0% | 24.8% | 50.3% | -5.5 | 40 |
| 2009-02-21 | Hoffenheim | D 3-3 | 1914 | 1907 | 48.1% | 25.0% | 26.9% | -0.6 | 33 |
| 2009-02-21 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 3-3 | 1907 | 1914 | 26.9% | 25.0% | 48.1% | +0.6 | 40 |
| 2009-02-21 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1780 | 1800 | 44.6% | 25.4% | 30.0% | -0.6 | 19 |
| 2009-02-21 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1800 | 1780 | 30.0% | 25.4% | 44.6% | +0.6 | 18 |
| 2009-02-21 | Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1762 | 1936 | 24.5% | 24.7% | 50.8% | +9.7 | 20 |
| 2009-02-21 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-2 | 1936 | 1762 | 50.8% | 24.7% | 24.5% | -9.7 | 27 |
| 2009-02-22 | Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1965 | 1919 | 53.0% | 24.3% | 22.7% | -10.1 | 36 |
| 2009-02-22 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 1919 | 1965 | 22.7% | 24.3% | 53.0% | +10.1 | 42 |
| 2009-02-27 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1807 | 1779 | 50.7% | 24.7% | 24.6% | -1.2 | 29 |
| 2009-02-27 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 1779 | 1807 | 24.6% | 24.7% | 50.7% | +1.2 | 20 |
| 2009-02-28 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1797 | 1955 | 26.2% | 24.9% | 48.8% | +10.0 | 24 |
| 2009-02-28 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1955 | 1797 | 48.8% | 24.9% | 26.2% | -10.0 | 36 |
| 2009-02-28 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 1915 | 1761 | 64.6% | 21.1% | 14.2% | +3.2 | 43 |
| 2009-02-28 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1761 | 1915 | 14.2% | 21.1% | 64.6% | -3.2 | 16 |
| 2009-02-28 | Energie Cottbus | W 3-2 | 1800 | 1771 | 50.9% | 24.6% | 24.4% | +5.1 | 21 |
| 2009-02-28 | @ VfL Bochum | L 2-3 | 1771 | 1800 | 24.4% | 24.6% | 50.9% | -5.1 | 20 |
| 2009-02-28 | Hoffenheim | D 0-0 | 1889 | 1908 | 44.7% | 25.4% | 30.0% | -0.7 | 33 |
| 2009-02-28 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 0-0 | 1908 | 1889 | 30.0% | 25.4% | 44.7% | +0.7 | 41 |
| 2009-02-28 | Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1819 | 1938 | 31.0% | 25.4% | 43.6% | -6.6 | 23 |
| 2009-02-28 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1938 | 1819 | 43.6% | 25.4% | 31.0% | +6.6 | 34 |
| 2009-03-01 | Bayern Munich | D 0-0 | 1926 | 2001 | 36.9% | 25.7% | 37.5% | +0.0 | 28 |
| 2009-03-01 | @ Werder Bremen | D 0-0 | 2001 | 1926 | 37.5% | 25.7% | 36.9% | -0.0 | 39 |
| 2009-03-01 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1741 | 1913 | 24.7% | 24.7% | 50.6% | -10.9 | 17 |
| 2009-03-01 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1913 | 1741 | 50.6% | 24.7% | 24.7% | +10.9 | 36 |
| 2009-03-01 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-3 | 1929 | 1950 | 44.4% | 25.4% | 30.2% | -15.1 | 42 |
| 2009-03-01 | @ Hamburger SV | W 3-1 | 1950 | 1929 | 30.2% | 25.4% | 44.4% | +15.0 | 39 |
| 2009-03-06 | 1. FC Koln | W 1-0 | 1944 | 1806 | 63.1% | 21.7% | 15.2% | +3.7 | 37 |
| 2009-03-06 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1806 | 1944 | 15.2% | 21.7% | 63.1% | -3.7 | 29 |
| 2009-03-07 | Borussia Dortmund | W 2-1 | 1924 | 1888 | 51.8% | 24.5% | 23.7% | +5.3 | 39 |
| 2009-03-07 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1888 | 1924 | 23.7% | 24.5% | 51.8% | -5.3 | 33 |
| 2009-03-07 | Hamburger SV | W 4-1 | 1758 | 1914 | 26.5% | 25.0% | 48.5% | +22.9 | 19 |
| 2009-03-07 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-4 | 1914 | 1758 | 48.5% | 25.0% | 26.5% | -22.9 | 42 |
| 2009-03-07 | Hannover 96 | W 5-1 | 2001 | 1807 | 68.3% | 19.7% | 12.0% | +8.5 | 42 |
| 2009-03-07 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-5 | 1807 | 2001 | 12.0% | 19.7% | 68.3% | -8.5 | 24 |
| 2009-03-07 | Hertha BSC | L 1-3 | 1766 | 1918 | 26.9% | 25.0% | 48.0% | -10.2 | 20 |
| 2009-03-07 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 3-1 | 1918 | 1766 | 48.0% | 25.0% | 26.9% | +10.2 | 46 |
| 2009-03-07 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1965 | 1730 | 71.8% | 18.1% | 10.1% | +2.3 | 42 |
| 2009-03-07 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-1 | 1730 | 1965 | 10.1% | 18.1% | 71.8% | -2.3 | 17 |
| 2009-03-07 | Werder Bremen | D 0-0 | 1909 | 1926 | 44.9% | 25.4% | 29.7% | -0.7 | 42 |
| 2009-03-07 | @ Hoffenheim | D 0-0 | 1926 | 1909 | 29.7% | 25.4% | 44.9% | +0.7 | 29 |
| 2009-03-08 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1780 | 1813 | 42.9% | 25.5% | 31.6% | -0.5 | 21 |
| 2009-03-08 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1813 | 1780 | 31.6% | 25.5% | 42.9% | +0.5 | 24 |
| 2009-03-08 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1945 | 1806 | 63.2% | 21.6% | 15.2% | -2.3 | 37 |
| 2009-03-08 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1806 | 1945 | 15.2% | 21.6% | 63.2% | +2.3 | 22 |
| 2009-03-13 | Schalke 04 | W 4-3 | 1967 | 1948 | 49.7% | 24.8% | 25.5% | +5.2 | 45 |
| 2009-03-13 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 3-4 | 1948 | 1967 | 25.5% | 24.8% | 49.7% | -5.2 | 37 |
| 2009-03-14 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-1 | 1728 | 1780 | 40.1% | 25.6% | 34.2% | -8.5 | 17 |
| 2009-03-14 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1780 | 1728 | 34.2% | 25.6% | 40.1% | +8.5 | 24 |
| 2009-03-14 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1928 | 1943 | 45.3% | 25.3% | 29.4% | +6.7 | 49 |
| 2009-03-14 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1943 | 1928 | 29.4% | 25.3% | 45.3% | -6.7 | 37 |
| 2009-03-14 | Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1808 | 2009 | 21.8% | 24.1% | 54.2% | -14.2 | 22 |
| 2009-03-14 | @ VfL Bochum | W 3-0 | 2009 | 1808 | 54.2% | 24.1% | 21.8% | +14.2 | 45 |
| 2009-03-14 | Borussia Dortmund | D 4-4 | 1798 | 1883 | 35.5% | 25.6% | 38.8% | +0.1 | 25 |
| 2009-03-14 | @ Hannover 96 | D 4-4 | 1883 | 1798 | 38.8% | 25.6% | 35.5% | -0.1 | 34 |
| 2009-03-14 | Borussia Monchengladbach | L 2-4 | 1802 | 1781 | 49.9% | 24.8% | 25.3% | -14.8 | 29 |
| 2009-03-14 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 4-2 | 1781 | 1802 | 25.3% | 24.8% | 49.9% | +14.8 | 22 |
| 2009-03-14 | Hoffenheim | D 1-1 | 1813 | 1908 | 34.1% | 25.6% | 40.3% | +0.3 | 25 |
| 2009-03-14 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1908 | 1813 | 40.3% | 25.6% | 34.1% | -0.3 | 43 |
| 2009-03-15 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1891 | 1756 | 62.7% | 21.8% | 15.5% | +7.0 | 45 |
| 2009-03-15 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1756 | 1891 | 15.5% | 21.8% | 62.7% | -7.0 | 20 |
| 2009-03-15 | VfB Stuttgart | W 4-0 | 1927 | 1930 | 46.9% | 25.2% | 28.0% | +23.0 | 32 |
| 2009-03-15 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-4 | 1930 | 1927 | 28.0% | 25.2% | 46.9% | -23.0 | 39 |
| 2009-03-20 | VfL Bochum | L 0-1 | 1796 | 1794 | 47.5% | 25.1% | 27.4% | -9.7 | 22 |
| 2009-03-20 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1794 | 1796 | 27.4% | 25.1% | 47.5% | +9.7 | 25 |
| 2009-03-21 | 1. FC Koln | L 0-2 | 1749 | 1787 | 42.1% | 25.5% | 32.4% | -16.6 | 20 |
| 2009-03-21 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1787 | 1749 | 32.4% | 25.5% | 42.1% | +16.7 | 32 |
| 2009-03-21 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1936 | 1813 | 61.5% | 22.2% | 16.3% | -2.1 | 38 |
| 2009-03-21 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1813 | 1936 | 16.3% | 22.2% | 61.5% | +2.1 | 26 |
| 2009-03-21 | Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1908 | 1799 | 60.1% | 22.6% | 17.3% | -1.5 | 44 |
| 2009-03-21 | @ Hoffenheim | D 2-2 | 1799 | 1908 | 17.3% | 22.6% | 60.1% | +1.5 | 26 |
| 2009-03-21 | Hertha BSC | W 2-0 | 1907 | 1935 | 43.4% | 25.5% | 31.1% | +13.2 | 42 |
| 2009-03-21 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1935 | 1907 | 31.1% | 25.5% | 43.4% | -13.2 | 49 |
| 2009-03-21 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 2024 | 1719 | 77.2% | 15.4% | 7.4% | +1.7 | 48 |
| 2009-03-21 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1719 | 2024 | 7.4% | 15.4% | 77.2% | -1.7 | 17 |
| 2009-03-21 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-3 | 1788 | 1972 | 23.5% | 24.5% | 52.1% | -15.2 | 24 |
| 2009-03-21 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-0 | 1972 | 1788 | 52.1% | 24.5% | 23.5% | +15.2 | 48 |
| 2009-03-21 | Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 1883 | 1950 | 38.0% | 25.7% | 36.4% | +7.9 | 37 |
| 2009-03-21 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1950 | 1883 | 36.4% | 25.7% | 38.0% | -7.9 | 32 |
| 2009-03-22 | Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1943 | 1898 | 52.9% | 24.3% | 22.8% | -10.0 | 37 |
| 2009-03-22 | @ Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1898 | 1943 | 22.8% | 24.3% | 52.9% | +10.0 | 48 |
| 2009-04-03 | Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1773 | 1933 | 26.1% | 24.9% | 49.0% | -11.4 | 24 |
| 2009-04-03 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1933 | 1773 | 49.0% | 24.9% | 26.1% | +11.4 | 40 |
| 2009-04-04 | Bayern Munich | W 5-1 | 1987 | 2025 | 42.1% | 25.5% | 32.3% | +21.5 | 51 |
| 2009-04-04 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-5 | 2025 | 1987 | 32.3% | 25.5% | 42.1% | -21.5 | 48 |
| 2009-04-04 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-3 | 1922 | 1891 | 51.2% | 24.6% | 24.2% | -16.9 | 49 |
| 2009-04-04 | @ Hertha BSC | W 3-1 | 1891 | 1922 | 24.2% | 24.6% | 51.2% | +16.9 | 40 |
| 2009-04-04 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-1 | 1816 | 1732 | 57.3% | 23.4% | 19.3% | +4.4 | 29 |
| 2009-04-04 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1732 | 1816 | 19.3% | 23.4% | 57.3% | -4.4 | 20 |
| 2009-04-04 | Hoffenheim | W 1-0 | 1908 | 1906 | 47.4% | 25.1% | 27.4% | +6.3 | 51 |
| 2009-04-04 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1906 | 1908 | 27.4% | 25.1% | 47.4% | -6.3 | 44 |
| 2009-04-04 | VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1803 | 1920 | 31.2% | 25.5% | 43.3% | -6.6 | 25 |
| 2009-04-04 | @ VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1920 | 1803 | 43.3% | 25.5% | 31.2% | +6.6 | 45 |
| 2009-04-05 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1804 | 1934 | 29.5% | 25.3% | 45.2% | -12.7 | 32 |
| 2009-04-05 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 2-0 | 1934 | 1804 | 45.2% | 25.3% | 29.5% | +12.7 | 41 |
| 2009-04-05 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 0-0 | 1718 | 1786 | 37.8% | 25.7% | 36.5% | -0.1 | 18 |
| 2009-04-05 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1786 | 1718 | 36.5% | 25.7% | 37.8% | +0.1 | 23 |
| 2009-04-05 | Hannover 96 | W 4-1 | 1942 | 1800 | 63.4% | 21.6% | 15.0% | +8.4 | 35 |
| 2009-04-05 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-4 | 1800 | 1942 | 15.0% | 21.6% | 63.4% | -8.4 | 26 |
| 2009-04-11 | 1. FC Koln | W 3-1 | 1907 | 1791 | 60.9% | 22.4% | 16.7% | +6.6 | 43 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-3 | 1791 | 1907 | 16.7% | 22.4% | 60.9% | -6.6 | 32 |
| 2009-04-11 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1728 | 1762 | 42.7% | 25.5% | 31.8% | +6.7 | 23 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-2 | 1762 | 1728 | 31.8% | 25.5% | 42.7% | -6.7 | 24 |
| 2009-04-11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 4-0 | 2004 | 1820 | 67.4% | 20.1% | 12.5% | +10.7 | 51 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-4 | 1820 | 2004 | 12.5% | 20.1% | 67.4% | -10.7 | 29 |
| 2009-04-11 | Hertha BSC | W 2-0 | 1792 | 1905 | 31.6% | 25.5% | 42.9% | +16.9 | 29 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1905 | 1792 | 42.9% | 25.5% | 31.6% | -16.9 | 49 |
| 2009-04-11 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1944 | 1718 | 71.2% | 18.4% | 10.4% | +4.6 | 43 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1718 | 1944 | 10.4% | 18.4% | 71.2% | -4.6 | 18 |
| 2009-04-11 | VfL Bochum | L 0-3 | 1900 | 1797 | 59.5% | 22.8% | 17.7% | -32.2 | 44 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Hoffenheim | W 3-0 | 1797 | 1900 | 17.7% | 22.8% | 59.5% | +32.2 | 28 |
| 2009-04-11 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1786 | 2009 | 19.8% | 23.5% | 56.7% | -4.5 | 23 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 2009 | 1786 | 56.7% | 23.5% | 19.8% | +4.5 | 54 |
| 2009-04-12 | Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1926 | 1914 | 48.8% | 24.9% | 26.2% | +6.1 | 48 |
| 2009-04-12 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1914 | 1926 | 26.2% | 24.9% | 48.8% | -6.1 | 51 |
| 2009-04-12 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1947 | 1950 | 46.8% | 25.2% | 28.1% | -0.8 | 42 |
| 2009-04-12 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1950 | 1947 | 28.1% | 25.2% | 46.8% | +0.8 | 36 |
| 2009-04-17 | Energie Cottbus | W 4-0 | 1949 | 1735 | 70.1% | 18.9% | 11.0% | +9.2 | 46 |
| 2009-04-17 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-4 | 1735 | 1949 | 11.0% | 18.9% | 70.1% | -9.2 | 23 |
| 2009-04-18 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 2014 | 1946 | 55.5% | 23.8% | 20.7% | +4.7 | 57 |
| 2009-04-18 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1946 | 2014 | 20.7% | 23.8% | 55.5% | -4.7 | 42 |
| 2009-04-18 | Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1755 | 2014 | 16.9% | 22.5% | 60.6% | -4.1 | 24 |
| 2009-04-18 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 2014 | 1755 | 60.6% | 22.5% | 16.9% | +4.1 | 54 |
| 2009-04-18 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1829 | 1914 | 35.4% | 25.6% | 38.9% | -14.6 | 28 |
| 2009-04-18 | @ VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1914 | 1829 | 38.9% | 25.6% | 35.4% | +14.6 | 46 |
| 2009-04-18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 4-1 | 1809 | 1781 | 50.8% | 24.7% | 24.6% | +13.3 | 32 |
| 2009-04-18 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-4 | 1781 | 1809 | 24.6% | 24.7% | 50.8% | -13.3 | 23 |
| 2009-04-18 | Hoffenheim | D 2-2 | 1713 | 1868 | 26.6% | 25.0% | 48.4% | +0.7 | 19 |
| 2009-04-18 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1868 | 1713 | 48.4% | 25.0% | 26.6% | -0.7 | 45 |
| 2009-04-18 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-3 | 1784 | 1932 | 27.4% | 25.1% | 47.5% | -17.3 | 32 |
| 2009-04-18 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 3-0 | 1932 | 1784 | 47.5% | 25.1% | 27.4% | +17.3 | 51 |
| 2009-04-19 | Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1908 | 1809 | 59.1% | 22.9% | 18.0% | +4.1 | 54 |
| 2009-04-19 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1809 | 1908 | 18.0% | 22.9% | 59.1% | -4.1 | 29 |
| 2009-04-19 | Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1888 | 1951 | 38.6% | 25.7% | 35.8% | +7.4 | 52 |
| 2009-04-19 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1951 | 1888 | 35.8% | 25.7% | 38.6% | -7.3 | 36 |
| 2009-04-24 | Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1867 | 1895 | 43.4% | 25.5% | 31.1% | -9.0 | 45 |
| 2009-04-24 | @ Hoffenheim | W 1-0 | 1895 | 1867 | 31.1% | 25.5% | 43.4% | +9.0 | 55 |
| 2009-04-25 | 1. FC Koln | W 2-1 | 1804 | 1767 | 51.9% | 24.5% | 23.6% | +5.2 | 32 |
| 2009-04-25 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1767 | 1804 | 23.6% | 24.5% | 51.9% | -5.2 | 32 |
| 2009-04-25 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1950 | 1823 | 62.0% | 22.0% | 16.0% | +7.3 | 54 |
| 2009-04-25 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1823 | 1950 | 16.0% | 22.0% | 62.0% | -7.3 | 32 |
| 2009-04-25 | Hamburger SV | W 2-0 | 1929 | 1912 | 49.4% | 24.9% | 25.8% | +11.3 | 49 |
| 2009-04-25 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1912 | 1929 | 25.8% | 24.9% | 49.4% | -11.3 | 54 |
| 2009-04-25 | Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1941 | 1714 | 71.2% | 18.4% | 10.4% | -13.6 | 42 |
| 2009-04-25 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1714 | 1941 | 10.4% | 18.4% | 71.2% | +13.6 | 22 |
| 2009-04-25 | Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 2018 | 1958 | 54.7% | 24.0% | 21.3% | -11.0 | 54 |
| 2009-04-25 | @ Bayern Munich | W 1-0 | 1958 | 2018 | 21.3% | 24.0% | 54.7% | +11.0 | 49 |
| 2009-04-25 | VfL Bochum | W 3-2 | 1944 | 1814 | 62.2% | 22.0% | 15.8% | +3.4 | 39 |
| 2009-04-25 | @ Werder Bremen | L 2-3 | 1814 | 1944 | 15.8% | 22.0% | 62.2% | -3.4 | 28 |
| 2009-04-26 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1768 | 1751 | 49.4% | 24.9% | 25.7% | -1.0 | 24 |
| 2009-04-26 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1751 | 1768 | 25.7% | 24.9% | 49.4% | +1.0 | 25 |
| 2009-04-26 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-0 | 1726 | 2018 | 14.7% | 21.4% | 64.0% | +23.6 | 26 |
| 2009-04-26 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-2 | 2018 | 1726 | 64.0% | 21.4% | 14.7% | -23.6 | 57 |
| 2009-05-01 | Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1811 | 1810 | 47.4% | 25.1% | 27.5% | -18.3 | 28 |
| 2009-05-01 | @ VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1810 | 1811 | 27.5% | 25.1% | 47.4% | +18.3 | 35 |
| 2009-05-02 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1969 | 1928 | 52.4% | 24.4% | 23.2% | -10.0 | 49 |
| 2009-05-02 | @ Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1928 | 1969 | 23.2% | 24.4% | 52.4% | +10.0 | 45 |
| 2009-05-02 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1815 | 1940 | 30.2% | 25.4% | 44.4% | -12.9 | 32 |
| 2009-05-02 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1940 | 1815 | 44.4% | 25.4% | 30.2% | +12.9 | 52 |
| 2009-05-02 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 2007 | 1767 | 72.3% | 17.9% | 9.8% | +2.1 | 57 |
| 2009-05-02 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1767 | 2007 | 9.8% | 17.9% | 72.3% | -2.1 | 24 |
| 2009-05-02 | Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1727 | 1749 | 44.3% | 25.4% | 30.3% | -0.7 | 23 |
| 2009-05-02 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1749 | 1727 | 30.3% | 25.4% | 44.3% | +0.7 | 27 |
| 2009-05-02 | Hoffenheim | W 4-0 | 1995 | 1858 | 62.9% | 21.7% | 15.3% | +13.2 | 60 |
| 2009-05-02 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-4 | 1858 | 1995 | 15.3% | 21.7% | 62.9% | -13.2 | 45 |
| 2009-05-02 | VfB Stuttgart | D 2-2 | 1752 | 1957 | 21.4% | 24.0% | 54.6% | +1.1 | 26 |
| 2009-05-02 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1957 | 1752 | 54.6% | 24.0% | 21.4% | -1.1 | 55 |
| 2009-05-03 | Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1901 | 1904 | 46.8% | 25.2% | 28.1% | -0.8 | 55 |
| 2009-05-03 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1904 | 1901 | 28.1% | 25.2% | 46.8% | +0.8 | 56 |
| 2009-05-03 | Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 1762 | 1947 | 23.4% | 24.4% | 52.2% | +10.5 | 35 |
| 2009-05-03 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 0-1 | 1947 | 1762 | 52.2% | 24.4% | 23.4% | -10.5 | 39 |
| 2009-05-08 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1938 | 1753 | 67.5% | 20.0% | 12.5% | -2.0 | 46 |
| 2009-05-08 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 2-2 | 1753 | 1938 | 12.5% | 20.0% | 67.5% | +2.0 | 27 |
| 2009-05-09 | 1. FC Koln | W 2-0 | 1845 | 1772 | 56.0% | 23.7% | 20.3% | +9.2 | 48 |
| 2009-05-09 | @ Hoffenheim | L 0-2 | 1772 | 1845 | 20.3% | 23.7% | 56.0% | -9.2 | 35 |
| 2009-05-09 | Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1750 | 2010 | 16.9% | 22.5% | 60.6% | -6.7 | 27 |
| 2009-05-09 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 3-1 | 2010 | 1750 | 60.6% | 22.5% | 16.9% | +6.7 | 60 |
| 2009-05-09 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1828 | 1802 | 50.5% | 24.7% | 24.8% | -1.1 | 36 |
| 2009-05-09 | @ Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1802 | 1828 | 24.8% | 24.7% | 50.5% | +1.1 | 33 |
| 2009-05-09 | Karlsruher SC | W 4-0 | 1953 | 1727 | 71.1% | 18.4% | 10.4% | +8.7 | 55 |
| 2009-05-09 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-4 | 1727 | 1953 | 10.4% | 18.4% | 71.1% | -8.7 | 23 |
| 2009-05-09 | VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1905 | 1793 | 60.5% | 22.5% | 17.0% | +7.8 | 59 |
| 2009-05-09 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-2 | 1793 | 1905 | 17.0% | 22.5% | 60.5% | -7.8 | 28 |
| 2009-05-09 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 4-1 | 1956 | 2008 | 40.2% | 25.6% | 34.2% | +17.4 | 58 |
| 2009-05-09 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-4 | 2008 | 1956 | 34.2% | 25.6% | 40.2% | -17.4 | 60 |
| 2009-05-10 | Hamburger SV | W 2-0 | 1937 | 1900 | 51.8% | 24.5% | 23.7% | +10.5 | 42 |
| 2009-05-10 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-2 | 1900 | 1937 | 23.7% | 24.5% | 51.8% | -10.5 | 55 |
| 2009-05-10 | Schalke 04 | W 1-0 | 1765 | 1959 | 22.5% | 24.2% | 53.3% | +10.7 | 27 |
| 2009-05-10 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-1 | 1959 | 1765 | 53.3% | 24.2% | 22.5% | -10.7 | 49 |
| 2009-05-12 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-0 | 2016 | 1936 | 57.0% | 23.4% | 19.6% | +12.9 | 63 |
| 2009-05-12 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1936 | 2016 | 19.6% | 23.4% | 57.0% | -12.9 | 46 |
| 2009-05-12 | Borussia Dortmund | W 3-0 | 1990 | 1962 | 50.9% | 24.6% | 24.5% | +15.7 | 63 |
| 2009-05-12 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-3 | 1962 | 1990 | 24.5% | 24.6% | 50.9% | -15.7 | 55 |
| 2009-05-12 | Hannover 96 | L 2-3 | 1718 | 1827 | 32.2% | 25.5% | 42.3% | -6.4 | 23 |
| 2009-05-12 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 3-2 | 1827 | 1718 | 42.3% | 25.5% | 32.2% | +6.4 | 39 |
| 2009-05-12 | Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1763 | 1913 | 27.2% | 25.1% | 47.8% | -5.9 | 35 |
| 2009-05-12 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 2-1 | 1913 | 1763 | 47.8% | 25.1% | 27.2% | +5.9 | 62 |
| 2009-05-13 | Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-1 | 1743 | 1776 | 42.9% | 25.5% | 31.6% | -9.0 | 27 |
| 2009-05-13 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 1-0 | 1776 | 1743 | 31.6% | 25.5% | 42.9% | +9.0 | 30 |
| 2009-05-13 | Hoffenheim | L 0-2 | 1755 | 1854 | 33.6% | 25.6% | 40.9% | -14.0 | 27 |
| 2009-05-13 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1854 | 1755 | 40.9% | 25.6% | 33.6% | +14.0 | 51 |
| 2009-05-13 | VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1948 | 1973 | 43.9% | 25.4% | 30.7% | -8.6 | 49 |
| 2009-05-13 | @ Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1973 | 1948 | 30.7% | 25.4% | 43.9% | +8.6 | 61 |
| 2009-05-13 | VfL Bochum | W 3-1 | 1890 | 1785 | 59.6% | 22.8% | 17.6% | +6.9 | 58 |
| 2009-05-13 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-3 | 1785 | 1890 | 17.6% | 22.8% | 59.6% | -6.9 | 28 |
| 2009-05-13 | Werder Bremen | L 0-5 | 1804 | 1947 | 27.9% | 25.2% | 46.9% | -28.3 | 33 |
| 2009-05-13 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 5-0 | 1947 | 1804 | 46.9% | 25.2% | 27.9% | +28.3 | 45 |
| 2009-05-16 | 1. FC Koln | L 0-1 | 1896 | 1757 | 63.2% | 21.6% | 15.2% | -12.4 | 58 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1757 | 1896 | 15.2% | 21.6% | 63.2% | +12.4 | 38 |
| 2009-05-16 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 6-0 | 1946 | 1741 | 69.3% | 19.3% | 11.4% | +14.2 | 58 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-6 | 1741 | 1946 | 11.4% | 19.3% | 69.3% | -14.1 | 27 |
| 2009-05-16 | Bayern Munich | D 2-2 | 1868 | 2029 | 25.9% | 24.9% | 49.2% | +0.8 | 52 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ Hoffenheim | D 2-2 | 2029 | 1868 | 49.2% | 24.9% | 25.9% | -0.8 | 64 |
| 2009-05-16 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 5-0 | 1923 | 1785 | 63.1% | 21.7% | 15.2% | +16.2 | 49 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-5 | 1785 | 1923 | 15.2% | 21.7% | 63.1% | -16.2 | 30 |
| 2009-05-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1778 | 1775 | 47.6% | 25.1% | 27.3% | +11.9 | 31 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1775 | 1778 | 27.3% | 25.1% | 47.6% | -11.9 | 33 |
| 2009-05-16 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1982 | 1734 | 72.9% | 17.6% | 9.5% | +4.1 | 64 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1734 | 1982 | 9.5% | 17.6% | 72.9% | -4.1 | 27 |
| 2009-05-16 | Karlsruher SC | L 1-3 | 1975 | 1711 | 74.2% | 17.0% | 8.8% | -22.9 | 45 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ Werder Bremen | W 3-1 | 1711 | 1975 | 8.8% | 17.0% | 74.2% | +22.9 | 26 |
| 2009-05-16 | Schalke 04 | D 0-0 | 1919 | 1940 | 44.5% | 25.4% | 30.1% | -0.7 | 63 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1940 | 1919 | 30.1% | 25.4% | 44.5% | +0.7 | 50 |
| 2009-05-16 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-5 | 1833 | 2006 | 24.6% | 24.7% | 50.7% | -25.5 | 39 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ Hannover 96 | W 5-0 | 2006 | 1833 | 50.7% | 24.7% | 24.6% | +25.5 | 66 |
| 2009-05-23 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-0 | 1730 | 1939 | 21.1% | 23.9% | 55.0% | +30.2 | 30 |
| 2009-05-23 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-3 | 1939 | 1730 | 55.0% | 23.9% | 21.1% | -30.2 | 49 |
| 2009-05-23 | Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1768 | 1960 | 22.7% | 24.3% | 53.0% | +1.4 | 31 |
| 2009-05-23 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1960 | 1768 | 53.0% | 24.3% | 22.7% | -1.4 | 59 |
| 2009-05-23 | Hamburger SV | L 2-3 | 1763 | 1884 | 30.7% | 25.4% | 43.9% | -6.2 | 33 |
| 2009-05-23 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-2 | 1884 | 1763 | 43.9% | 25.4% | 30.7% | +6.2 | 61 |
| 2009-05-23 | Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1727 | 1808 | 36.0% | 25.7% | 38.4% | +0.1 | 28 |
| 2009-05-23 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1808 | 1727 | 38.4% | 25.7% | 36.0% | -0.1 | 40 |
| 2009-05-23 | Hertha BSC | W 4-0 | 1734 | 1918 | 23.5% | 24.5% | 52.1% | +37.6 | 29 |
| 2009-05-23 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-4 | 1918 | 1734 | 52.1% | 24.5% | 23.5% | -37.6 | 63 |
| 2009-05-23 | Hoffenheim | L 2-3 | 1940 | 1869 | 56.0% | 23.7% | 20.3% | -10.0 | 50 |
| 2009-05-23 | @ Schalke 04 | W 3-2 | 1869 | 1940 | 20.3% | 23.7% | 56.0% | +10.0 | 55 |
| 2009-05-23 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-1 | 2028 | 1986 | 52.5% | 24.4% | 23.1% | +5.2 | 67 |
| 2009-05-23 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1986 | 2028 | 23.1% | 24.4% | 52.5% | -5.1 | 64 |
| 2009-05-23 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1770 | 1790 | 44.5% | 25.4% | 30.1% | -0.6 | 39 |
| 2009-05-23 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 1790 | 1770 | 30.1% | 25.4% | 44.5% | +0.6 | 32 |
| 2009-05-23 | Werder Bremen | W 5-1 | 2032 | 1952 | 56.9% | 23.5% | 19.7% | +14.1 | 69 |
| 2009-05-23 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-5 | 1952 | 2032 | 19.7% | 23.5% | 56.9% | -14.1 | 45 |
Playoff Game Log
Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-05-28 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-3 | 1760 | 1819 | 39.1% | 25.6% | 35.2% | -22.8 | 0-1 |
| 2009-05-28 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 3-0 | 1819 | 1760 | 35.2% | 25.6% | 39.1% | +22.8 | 1-0 |
| 2009-05-31 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1842 | 1737 | 59.7% | 22.7% | 17.6% | +8.0 | 2-0 |
| 2009-05-31 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1737 | 1842 | 17.6% | 22.7% | 59.7% | -8.0 | 0-2 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2009-05-16 | 8.85% | Karlsruher SC | 1711 | 3 | @ Werder Bremen | 1975 | 1 |
| 2 | 2009-04-25 | 10.36% | Karlsruher SC | 1714 | 1 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1941 | 0 |
| 3 | 2009-02-21 | 10.72% | 1. FC Koln | 1794 | 2 | @ Bayern Munich | 2014 | 1 |
| 4 | 2009-02-01 | 12.57% | Arminia Bielefeld | 1774 | 2 | @ Werder Bremen | 1957 | 1 |
| 5 | 2009-04-26 | 14.67% | @ Energie Cottbus | 1726 | 2 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2018 | 0 |
| 6 | 2009-05-16 | 15.18% | 1. FC Koln | 1757 | 1 | @ Hamburger SV | 1896 | 0 |
| 7 | 2009-04-11 | 17.73% | VfL Bochum | 1797 | 3 | @ Hoffenheim | 1900 | 0 |
| 8 | 2008-11-01 | 18.04% | 1. FC Koln | 1788 | 3 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1887 | 1 |
| 9 | 2008-09-27 | 18.67% | Energie Cottbus | 1779 | 1 | @ Hertha BSC | 1870 | 0 |
| 10 | 2008-10-04 | 19.67% | Hertha BSC | 1859 | 1 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1938 | 0 |
| 11 | 2009-05-23 | 20.31% | Hoffenheim | 1869 | 3 | @ Schalke 04 | 1940 | 2 |
| 12 | 2008-12-06 | 20.86% | @ Karlsruher SC | 1751 | 1 | Werder Bremen | 1963 | 0 |
| 13 | 2009-05-23 | 21.07% | @ Energie Cottbus | 1730 | 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1939 | 0 |
| 14 | 2008-11-22 | 21.13% | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1772 | 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1980 | 1 |
| 15 | 2009-02-07 | 21.25% | VfB Stuttgart | 1898 | 4 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1960 | 2 |
| 16 | 2009-04-25 | 21.33% | Schalke 04 | 1958 | 1 | @ Bayern Munich | 2018 | 0 |
| 17 | 2008-09-20 | 21.82% | Werder Bremen | 1944 | 5 | @ Bayern Munich | 2000 | 2 |
| 18 | 2008-08-16 | 21.91% | Borussia Dortmund | 1844 | 3 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1899 | 2 |
| 19 | 2009-05-10 | 22.47% | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 1765 | 1 | Schalke 04 | 1959 | 0 |
| 20 | 2009-02-22 | 22.66% | Hamburger SV | 1919 | 2 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1965 | 1 |
| 21 | 2009-03-22 | 22.82% | Hamburger SV | 1898 | 2 | @ Schalke 04 | 1943 | 1 |
| 22 | 2009-05-02 | 23.17% | Bayer Leverkusen | 1928 | 2 | @ Schalke 04 | 1969 | 1 |
| 23 | 2009-05-03 | 23.35% | @ 1. FC Koln | 1762 | 1 | Werder Bremen | 1947 | 0 |
| 24 | 2008-08-29 | 23.37% | 1. FC Koln | 1784 | 2 | @ Karlsruher SC | 1824 | 0 |
| 25 | 2009-05-23 | 23.48% | @ Karlsruher SC | 1734 | 4 | Hertha BSC | 1918 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2009-05-23 | 37.61 | @ Karlsruher SC | 4 | 1734 | 23.48% | Hertha BSC | 0 | 1918 | 52.06% | 24.46% |
| 2 | 2009-04-11 | 32.25 | VfL Bochum | 3 | 1797 | 17.73% | @ Hoffenheim | 0 | 1900 | 59.47% | 22.79% |
| 3 | 2009-05-23 | 30.18 | @ Energie Cottbus | 3 | 1730 | 21.07% | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 1939 | 55.04% | 23.89% |
| 4 | 2009-05-13 | 28.30 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 1947 | 46.95% | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 1804 | 27.89% | 25.16% |
| 5 | 2008-08-16 | 27.92 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 1800 | 25.05% | @ Energie Cottbus | 0 | 1823 | 50.20% | 24.76% |
| 6 | 2009-05-16 | 25.49 | VfL Wolfsburg | 5 | 2006 | 50.69% | @ Hannover 96 | 0 | 1833 | 24.63% | 24.68% |
| 7 | 2008-11-22 | 25.03 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1804 | 43.48% | Hannover 96 | 0 | 1832 | 31.06% | 25.46% |
| 8 | 2008-11-01 | 23.80 | @ Hannover 96 | 3 | 1816 | 33.19% | Hamburger SV | 0 | 1917 | 41.24% | 25.57% |
| 9 | 2009-04-26 | 23.62 | @ Energie Cottbus | 2 | 1726 | 14.67% | VfL Wolfsburg | 0 | 2018 | 63.96% | 21.37% |
| 10 | 2008-12-06 | 23.49 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1811 | 46.07% | VfL Bochum | 0 | 1820 | 28.68% | 25.25% |
| 11 | 2009-03-15 | 23.02 | @ Werder Bremen | 4 | 1927 | 46.85% | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1930 | 27.98% | 25.17% |
| 12 | 2009-05-16 | 22.92 | Karlsruher SC | 3 | 1711 | 8.85% | @ Werder Bremen | 1 | 1975 | 74.16% | 16.99% |
| 13 | 2009-03-07 | 22.89 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 4 | 1758 | 26.47% | Hamburger SV | 1 | 1914 | 48.55% | 24.98% |
| 14 | 2009-05-28 * | 22.84 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 3 | 1819 | 35.25% | @ Energie Cottbus | 0 | 1760 | 39.12% | 25.64% |
| 15 | 2008-09-20 | 21.72 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 1944 | 21.82% | @ Bayern Munich | 2 | 2000 | 54.09% | 24.09% |
| 16 | 2009-02-13 | 21.62 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 1944 | 29.38% | @ Hoffenheim | 1 | 1929 | 45.30% | 25.32% |
| 17 | 2009-04-04 | 21.53 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 5 | 1987 | 42.14% | Bayern Munich | 1 | 2025 | 32.32% | 25.53% |
| 18 | 2008-10-26 | 21.43 | @ Hoffenheim | 3 | 1863 | 38.43% | Hamburger SV | 0 | 1927 | 35.92% | 25.65% |
| 19 | 2008-09-27 | 20.49 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 1847 | 40.54% | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1896 | 33.86% | 25.60% |
| 20 | 2008-12-06 | 20.25 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 1870 | 41.09% | @ Energie Cottbus | 0 | 1770 | 33.33% | 25.58% |
| 21 | 2008-09-21 | 20.21 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 3 | 1893 | 41.17% | Hamburger SV | 0 | 1938 | 33.26% | 25.58% |
| 22 | 2008-08-29 | 19.86 | 1. FC Koln | 2 | 1784 | 23.37% | @ Karlsruher SC | 0 | 1824 | 52.19% | 24.44% |
| 23 | 2008-10-04 | 19.69 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1875 | 34.17% | Werder Bremen | 1 | 1969 | 40.22% | 25.61% |
| 24 | 2008-10-18 | 19.65 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1844 | 26.91% | @ Hannover 96 | 2 | 1850 | 48.05% | 25.04% |
| 25 | 2008-11-15 | 19.43 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 1867 | 52.72% | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 1824 | 22.93% | 24.35% |