2006-07 Bundesliga Season
306 games
Champion
VfB Stuttgart
70 points · 3rd Title
Last Title: 1991-92
Relegated
Borussia Monchengladbach
26 pts
Mainz 05 · 34 pts
Alemannia Aachen · 34 pts
Biggest Overachiever
VfB Stuttgart
17.59 points above expected
70 points · 52.41 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Borussia Monchengladbach
12.87 points below expected
26 points · 38.87 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfB Stuttgart Champion | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 61 | 37 | +24 | 52.41 | +17.59 |
| 2 | Schalke 04 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 68 | 53 | 32 | +21 | 56.63 | +11.37 |
| 3 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 66 | 76 | 40 | +36 | 63.68 | +2.32 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 60 | 55 | 40 | +15 | 60.27 | -0.27 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 51 | 54 | 49 | +5 | 53.83 | -2.83 |
| 6 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 32 | +11 | 50.47 | -2.47 |
| 7 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 37 | +6 | 51.25 | -6.25 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 40.32 | +4.68 |
| 9 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 47.19 | -3.19 |
| 10 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 49.53 | -5.53 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 41.71 | +2.29 |
| 12 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 40.23 | +1.77 |
| 13 | Energie Cottbus | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 35.44 | +5.56 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 40 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 40.72 | -0.72 |
| 15 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 39.01 | -2.01 |
| 16 | Mainz 05 Relegated | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 39.26 | -5.26 |
| 17 | Alemannia Aachen Relegated | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 38.24 | -4.24 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach Relegated | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 38.87 | -12.87 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 1965 | 66 | 63.68 | +2.32 | 65.0% | 37 | 52 | 59 | 64 | 69 | 76 | 87 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 1925 | 70 | 52.41 | +17.59 | 99.3% | 25 | 40 | 47 | 52 | 57 | 64 | 79 |
| Bayern Munich | 1922 | 60 | 60.27 | -0.27 | 50.9% | 33 | 48 | 55 | 60 | 65 | 72 | 88 |
| Schalke 04 | 1912 | 68 | 56.63 | +11.37 | 94.5% | 29 | 44 | 52 | 57 | 62 | 69 | 83 |
| Hamburger SV | 1875 | 45 | 51.25 | -6.25 | 21.6% | 20 | 39 | 46 | 51 | 56 | 64 | 79 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 1868 | 51 | 53.83 | -2.83 | 37.9% | 24 | 42 | 49 | 54 | 59 | 66 | 85 |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 1856 | 48 | 50.47 | -2.47 | 39.7% | 24 | 39 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 63 | 79 |
| VfL Bochum | 1831 | 45 | 40.32 | +4.68 | 76.4% | 17 | 28 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 68 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 1824 | 44 | 47.19 | -3.19 | 35.7% | 18 | 35 | 42 | 47 | 52 | 59 | 74 |
| Hertha BSC | 1807 | 44 | 49.53 | -5.53 | 24.8% | 22 | 37 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 62 | 80 |
| Hannover 96 | 1777 | 44 | 41.71 | +2.29 | 65.1% | 14 | 30 | 37 | 42 | 47 | 54 | 69 |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 1770 | 42 | 40.23 | +1.77 | 62.7% | 15 | 28 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 69 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1754 | 40 | 40.72 | -0.72 | 49.1% | 15 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 67 |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 1745 | 37 | 39.01 | -2.01 | 42.3% | 14 | 27 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 67 |
| Mainz 05 | 1740 | 34 | 39.26 | -5.26 | 25.7% | 16 | 28 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 71 |
| Energie Cottbus | 1728 | 41 | 35.44 | +5.56 | 80.5% | 13 | 24 | 31 | 35 | 40 | 47 | 68 |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 1703 | 26 | 38.87 | -12.87 | 3.6% | 14 | 27 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 68 |
| Alemannia Aachen | 1691 | 34 | 38.24 | -4.24 | 30.6% | 15 | 27 | 33 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 69 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | 1FN | AA | AB | BL | BM | BD | BM | EF | EC | HS | H9 | HB | M0 | S0 | VS | VB | VW | WB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nurnberg | — |
1-1-0
3.43
|
0-1-1
3.49
|
1-0-1
2.56
|
1-1-0
2.07
|
0-2-0
3.05
|
1-1-0
3.35
|
0-2-0
3.28
|
1-1-0
3.64
|
0-1-1
2.75
|
2-0-0
3.14
|
1-0-1
2.91
|
0-1-1
3.35
|
0-1-1
2.26
|
2-0-0
2.57
|
1-1-0
3.41
|
0-2-0
3.32
|
0-0-2
1.93
|
| Alemannia Aachen |
0-1-1
2.06
|
— |
1-0-1
2.79
|
0-0-2
1.81
|
1-0-1
1.58
|
0-1-1
2.39
|
1-1-0
2.55
|
0-0-2
2.58
|
1-0-1
3.00
|
0-1-1
1.94
|
1-0-1
2.44
|
0-0-2
2.15
|
2-0-0
2.52
|
0-0-2
1.79
|
0-0-2
2.05
|
1-1-0
2.61
|
1-1-0
2.45
|
0-1-1
1.40
|
| Arminia Bielefeld |
1-1-0
1.99
|
1-0-1
2.67
|
— |
1-1-0
2.06
|
1-0-1
1.62
|
1-1-0
2.38
|
0-0-2
2.82
|
1-0-1
2.68
|
1-0-1
2.93
|
0-2-0
2.26
|
1-1-0
2.67
|
0-2-0
2.28
|
1-0-1
2.61
|
0-0-2
1.90
|
0-0-2
2.35
|
0-0-2
2.75
|
1-1-0
2.77
|
1-0-1
1.50
|
| Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0-1
2.90
|
2-0-0
3.69
|
0-1-1
3.43
|
— |
0-0-2
2.39
|
2-0-0
3.01
|
2-0-0
3.47
|
0-1-1
3.52
|
1-0-1
3.69
|
0-1-1
2.82
|
0-1-1
3.44
|
2-0-0
2.98
|
1-1-0
3.57
|
2-0-0
2.48
|
1-0-1
2.94
|
1-0-1
3.60
|
0-1-1
3.67
|
0-0-2
2.25
|
| Bayern Munich |
0-1-1
3.41
|
1-0-1
3.95
|
1-0-1
3.91
|
2-0-0
3.07
|
— |
1-0-1
3.50
|
0-2-0
4.02
|
1-0-1
3.78
|
2-0-0
4.01
|
1-0-1
3.26
|
1-0-1
3.81
|
2-0-0
3.27
|
2-0-0
4.01
|
1-1-0
2.97
|
1-0-1
3.04
|
1-1-0
3.88
|
1-0-1
3.92
|
0-1-1
2.55
|
| Borussia Dortmund |
0-2-0
2.40
|
1-1-0
3.09
|
0-1-1
3.09
|
0-0-2
2.45
|
1-0-1
1.98
|
— |
1-0-1
3.18
|
1-1-0
3.20
|
1-0-1
3.42
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
0-1-1
3.01
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
0-1-1
3.19
|
1-0-1
2.13
|
1-0-1
2.68
|
0-1-1
3.22
|
2-0-0
3.15
|
1-0-1
1.70
|
| Borussia Monchengladbach |
0-1-1
2.12
|
0-1-1
2.91
|
2-0-0
2.66
|
0-0-2
2.02
|
0-2-0
1.52
|
1-0-1
2.29
|
— |
0-1-1
2.60
|
1-0-1
3.00
|
0-1-1
1.97
|
0-0-2
2.59
|
1-0-1
2.15
|
0-1-1
2.75
|
0-0-2
1.89
|
0-0-2
1.70
|
0-0-2
2.27
|
1-0-1
2.77
|
0-1-1
1.64
|
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
0-2-0
2.21
|
2-0-0
2.88
|
1-0-1
2.79
|
1-1-0
1.97
|
1-0-1
1.73
|
0-1-1
2.27
|
1-1-0
2.86
|
— |
1-0-1
3.03
|
0-1-1
2.15
|
1-1-0
2.55
|
0-0-2
2.28
|
0-2-0
2.71
|
0-1-1
1.95
|
0-1-1
2.23
|
0-0-2
2.79
|
0-2-0
2.87
|
1-0-1
1.45
|
| Energie Cottbus |
0-1-1
1.87
|
1-0-1
2.47
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
1-0-1
1.81
|
0-0-2
1.53
|
1-0-1
2.06
|
1-0-1
2.47
|
1-0-1
2.44
|
— |
0-2-0
1.87
|
0-0-2
2.45
|
2-0-0
1.92
|
1-0-1
2.36
|
0-0-2
1.69
|
0-1-1
1.62
|
1-1-0
2.42
|
1-1-0
2.52
|
0-2-0
1.34
|
| Hamburger SV |
1-1-0
2.70
|
1-1-0
3.57
|
0-2-0
3.22
|
1-1-0
2.64
|
1-0-1
2.20
|
1-0-1
2.81
|
1-1-0
3.52
|
1-1-0
3.33
|
0-2-0
3.62
|
— |
0-2-0
3.35
|
0-1-1
2.71
|
0-2-0
3.54
|
1-0-1
2.45
|
0-0-2
2.68
|
0-0-2
3.31
|
1-0-1
3.48
|
1-1-0
2.13
|
| Hannover 96 |
0-0-2
2.33
|
1-0-1
3.02
|
0-1-1
2.78
|
1-1-0
2.03
|
1-0-1
1.71
|
1-1-0
2.47
|
2-0-0
2.88
|
0-1-1
2.90
|
2-0-0
3.01
|
0-2-0
2.13
|
— |
1-0-1
2.10
|
2-0-0
2.97
|
0-1-1
1.94
|
0-0-2
1.96
|
0-0-2
2.99
|
1-1-0
2.86
|
0-0-2
1.67
|
| Hertha BSC |
1-0-1
2.56
|
2-0-0
3.33
|
0-2-0
3.18
|
0-0-2
2.48
|
0-0-2
2.19
|
1-0-1
2.82
|
1-0-1
3.32
|
2-0-0
3.19
|
0-0-2
3.56
|
1-1-0
2.75
|
1-0-1
3.37
|
— |
0-1-1
3.29
|
1-0-1
2.35
|
0-2-0
2.71
|
1-1-0
3.12
|
1-1-0
3.44
|
0-0-2
1.87
|
| Mainz 05 |
1-1-0
2.12
|
0-0-2
2.95
|
1-0-1
2.85
|
0-1-1
1.92
|
0-0-2
1.53
|
1-1-0
2.27
|
1-1-0
2.71
|
0-2-0
2.76
|
1-0-1
3.10
|
0-2-0
1.96
|
0-0-2
2.49
|
1-1-0
2.18
|
— |
0-0-2
1.77
|
0-1-1
1.72
|
2-0-0
2.66
|
0-0-2
2.70
|
0-0-2
1.58
|
| Schalke 04 |
1-1-0
3.21
|
2-0-0
3.72
|
2-0-0
3.61
|
0-0-2
3.00
|
0-1-1
2.49
|
1-0-1
3.34
|
2-0-0
3.62
|
1-1-0
3.54
|
2-0-0
3.84
|
1-0-1
3.02
|
1-1-0
3.55
|
1-0-1
3.13
|
2-0-0
3.73
|
— |
1-0-1
3.03
|
1-0-1
3.71
|
1-1-0
3.80
|
2-0-0
2.21
|
| VfB Stuttgart |
0-0-2
2.89
|
2-0-0
3.44
|
2-0-0
3.12
|
1-0-1
2.52
|
1-0-1
2.43
|
1-0-1
2.77
|
2-0-0
3.81
|
1-1-0
3.23
|
1-1-0
3.92
|
2-0-0
2.78
|
2-0-0
3.54
|
0-2-0
2.78
|
1-1-0
3.81
|
1-0-1
2.43
|
— |
2-0-0
3.48
|
0-2-0
3.47
|
2-0-0
1.90
|
| VfL Bochum |
0-1-1
2.07
|
0-1-1
2.85
|
2-0-0
2.72
|
1-0-1
1.90
|
0-1-1
1.65
|
1-1-0
2.26
|
2-0-0
3.19
|
2-0-0
2.67
|
0-1-1
3.05
|
2-0-0
2.16
|
2-0-0
2.47
|
0-1-1
2.37
|
0-0-2
2.81
|
1-0-1
1.79
|
0-0-2
2.01
|
— |
0-0-2
2.74
|
0-0-2
1.66
|
| VfL Wolfsburg |
0-2-0
2.16
|
0-1-1
3.01
|
0-1-1
2.70
|
1-1-0
1.83
|
1-0-1
1.61
|
0-0-2
2.32
|
1-0-1
2.70
|
0-2-0
2.59
|
0-1-1
2.94
|
1-0-1
2.01
|
0-1-1
2.61
|
0-1-1
2.04
|
2-0-0
2.76
|
0-1-1
1.71
|
0-2-0
2.02
|
2-0-0
2.72
|
— |
0-0-2
1.37
|
| Werder Bremen |
2-0-0
3.55
|
1-1-0
4.16
|
1-0-1
4.04
|
2-0-0
3.22
|
1-1-0
2.91
|
1-0-1
3.81
|
1-1-0
3.88
|
1-0-1
4.12
|
0-2-0
4.24
|
0-1-1
3.36
|
2-0-0
3.87
|
2-0-0
3.62
|
2-0-0
3.96
|
0-0-2
3.26
|
0-0-2
3.59
|
2-0-0
3.87
|
2-0-0
4.20
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.71 | +9.0 |
| Allowed | 0.37 | -7.6 |
| Differential | 0.87 | +6.9 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.84% | 7.35% | 6.54% | 2.94% | 1.14% | 0.33% | 26.14% |
| 1 | 7.35% | 11.76% | 8.17% | 4.25% | 1.14% | 0.33% | 33.01% |
| 2 | 6.54% | 8.17% | 5.56% | 3.10% | 1.31% | 0.33% | 25.00% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 4.25% | 3.10% | 0.65% | 0.16% | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | 1.14% | 1.14% | 1.31% | 0.16% | — | — | 3.76% |
| 5+ | 0.33% | 0.33% | 0.33% | — | — | — | 0.98% |
| Total | 26.14% | 33.01% | 25.00% | 11.11% | 3.76% | 0.98% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.37 | 1.37 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.69 |
| CV | 0.85 | 0.85 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 306
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.71% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 23.53% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 41.18% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 35.29% | 38.24% | 23.53% | 2.94% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.26 | 0.94 | +0.32 |
| SD | 1.11 | 0.85 | 1.34 |
| CV | 0.88 | 0.90 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 20.59% | 23.53% | 17.65% | 17.65% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.35 | 2.06 | -0.71 |
| SD | 1.04 | 1.46 | 1.93 |
| CV | 0.77 | 0.71 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 17.65% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 14.71% | 44.12% | 26.47% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.38 | 1.44 | -0.06 |
| SD | 1.23 | 0.99 | 1.50 |
| CV | 0.89 | 0.69 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 35.29% | 26.47% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.59 | 1.44 | +0.15 |
| SD | 1.02 | 1.08 | 1.54 |
| CV | 0.64 | 0.75 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 23.53% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 23.53% | 44.12% | 23.53% | 8.82% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.62 | 1.18 | +0.44 |
| SD | 1.28 | 0.90 | 1.54 |
| CV | 0.79 | 0.77 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 35.29% | 26.47% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.21 | 1.26 | -0.06 |
| SD | 1.09 | 1.05 | 1.48 |
| CV | 0.91 | 0.83 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 29.41% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | 55.88% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 50.00% | 20.59% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.68 | 1.29 | -0.62 |
| SD | 0.91 | 0.97 | 1.37 |
| CV | 1.35 | 0.75 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 17.65% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 14.71% | — | — | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 26.47% | 29.41% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.35 | 1.71 | -0.35 |
| SD | 1.12 | 1.38 | 1.76 |
| CV | 0.83 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 32.35% | 26.47% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.12 | 1.44 | -0.32 |
| SD | 1.04 | 1.16 | 1.47 |
| CV | 0.93 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 17.65% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 35.29% | 32.35% | 23.53% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.26 | 1.09 | +0.18 |
| SD | 1.05 | 1.06 | 1.42 |
| CV | 0.83 | 0.97 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | — | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 17.65% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | 47.06% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 29.41% | 20.59% | 29.41% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.21 | 1.47 | -0.26 |
| SD | 1.20 | 1.24 | 1.90 |
| CV | 1.00 | 0.84 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 2.94% | 20.59% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 38.24% | 20.59% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 1.62 | -0.15 |
| SD | 1.08 | 1.28 | 1.81 |
| CV | 0.73 | 0.79 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 32.35% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 17.65% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 44.12% |
| 2 | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 17.65% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 35.29% | 20.59% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.68 | -0.68 |
| SD | 0.95 | 1.49 | 1.82 |
| CV | 0.95 | 0.89 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | 20.59% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 41.18% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 41.18% | 29.41% | 23.53% | 5.88% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.56 | 0.94 | +0.62 |
| SD | 1.11 | 0.95 | 1.67 |
| CV | 0.71 | 1.01 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 41.18% | 23.53% | 23.53% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.79 | 1.09 | +0.71 |
| SD | 1.30 | 1.14 | 1.64 |
| CV | 0.72 | 1.05 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 26.47% |
| 1 | — | 5.88% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 14.71% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 32.35% | 17.65% | 20.59% | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.44 | 1.47 | -0.03 |
| SD | 1.19 | 1.35 | 1.95 |
| CV | 0.82 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.71% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 11.76% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 2 | — | 2.94% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 23.53% | 41.18% | 8.82% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.09 | 1.32 | -0.24 |
| SD | 0.93 | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| CV | 0.86 | 0.74 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 20.59% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| Total | 32.35% | 32.35% | 23.53% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.24 | 1.18 | +1.06 |
| SD | 1.60 | 1.09 | 2.12 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfB Stuttgart | 70 | 52.41 | +17.59 |
| 2 | Schalke 04 | 68 | 56.63 | +11.37 |
| 3 | Energie Cottbus | 41 | 35.44 | +5.56 |
| 4 | VfL Bochum | 45 | 40.32 | +4.68 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 66 | 63.68 | +2.32 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 26 | 38.87 | -12.87 |
| 2 | Hamburger SV | 45 | 51.25 | -6.25 |
| 3 | Hertha BSC | 44 | 49.53 | -5.53 |
| 4 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 39.26 | -5.26 |
| 5 | Alemannia Aachen | 34 | 38.24 | -4.24 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arminia Bielefeld | 4 | Apr 21 – May 12 | 1 in 297 |
| 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | Mar 31 – May 19 | 1 in 255 |
| 3 | Schalke 04 | 6 | Dec 10 – Feb 10 | 1 in 130 |
| 4 | Hamburger SV | 4 | Feb 10 – Mar 2 | 1 in 106 |
| 5 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | Apr 21 – May 12 | 1 in 71 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arminia Bielefeld | 5 | Jan 30 – Feb 24 | 1 in 131 |
| 2 | Werder Bremen | 3 | Feb 4 – Feb 17 | 1 in 92 |
| 3 | Alemannia Aachen | 6 | Mar 31 – May 5 | 1 in 82 |
| 4 | Hertha BSC | 4 | Mar 3 – Mar 31 | 1 in 67 |
| 5 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 4 | Oct 21 – Nov 8 | 1 in 25 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | Sep 16 – Nov 12 | 1 in 80 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 11 | Nov 12 – Feb 18 | 1 in 77 |
| 3 | Schalke 04 | 13 | Nov 5 – Feb 17 | 1 in 76 |
| 4 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | Aug 12 – Oct 22 | 1 in 67 |
| 5 | Arminia Bielefeld | 8 | Sep 30 – Nov 19 | 1 in 51 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamburger SV | 12 | Oct 28 – Feb 3 | 1 in 683 |
| 2 | Mainz 05 | 16 | Aug 19 – Dec 16 | 1 in 428 |
| 3 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 10 | Aug 26 – Nov 12 | 1 in 150 |
| 4 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | Nov 19 – Feb 24 | 1 in 108 |
| 5 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 12 | Oct 21 – Jan 30 | 1 in 66 |
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 4.76% | 7.92% | 10.75% | 12.56% | 11.65% | 10.56% | 9.81% | 7.72% | 5.85% | 5.56% | 4.08% | 2.95% | 2.05% | 1.37% | 1.17% | 0.71% | 0.38% | 0.15% |
| Schalke 04 | 11.94% | 16.27% | 16.59% | 13.23% | 11.38% | 8.71% | 6.52% | 4.88% | 3.43% | 2.57% | 1.65% | 1.04% | 0.84% | 0.42% | 0.26% | 0.11% | 0.09% | 0.07% |
| Werder Bremen | 45.28% | 22.89% | 12.82% | 7.39% | 4.52% | 2.66% | 1.86% | 1.07% | 0.60% | 0.41% | 0.18% | 0.13% | 0.12% | 0.05% | 0.02% | — | — | — |
| Bayern Munich | 23.77% | 22.96% | 16.65% | 11.43% | 8.56% | 5.79% | 4.07% | 2.40% | 1.58% | 1.12% | 0.72% | 0.47% | 0.20% | 0.17% | 0.07% | 0.04% | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 5.63% | 10.14% | 12.25% | 13.27% | 11.89% | 10.23% | 9.59% | 7.25% | 5.67% | 4.24% | 3.03% | 2.08% | 1.74% | 1.23% | 0.75% | 0.59% | 0.31% | 0.11% |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 2.33% | 5.44% | 7.96% | 9.80% | 10.38% | 10.81% | 10.00% | 9.49% | 8.26% | 6.93% | 4.93% | 4.30% | 3.21% | 2.37% | 1.61% | 1.23% | 0.66% | 0.29% |
| Hamburger SV | 3.22% | 5.90% | 8.46% | 10.02% | 11.46% | 11.22% | 9.90% | 9.56% | 7.90% | 5.85% | 5.24% | 3.42% | 2.79% | 2.01% | 1.42% | 0.87% | 0.54% | 0.22% |
| VfL Bochum | 0.10% | 0.25% | 0.71% | 1.20% | 1.66% | 2.62% | 4.04% | 5.45% | 6.58% | 7.70% | 8.04% | 9.04% | 9.36% | 9.52% | 8.49% | 9.08% | 8.70% | 7.46% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 0.63% | 2.26% | 3.61% | 5.82% | 7.08% | 8.93% | 9.64% | 9.54% | 9.60% | 9.20% | 7.90% | 6.49% | 5.48% | 4.49% | 3.65% | 2.72% | 1.89% | 1.07% |
| Hertha BSC | 1.77% | 4.09% | 6.16% | 7.85% | 9.47% | 10.46% | 10.26% | 9.62% | 8.81% | 7.59% | 6.44% | 4.95% | 3.77% | 3.06% | 2.32% | 1.74% | 1.07% | 0.57% |
| Hannover 96 | 0.16% | 0.43% | 0.91% | 1.75% | 2.45% | 3.97% | 4.76% | 6.37% | 7.23% | 7.52% | 8.74% | 9.13% | 8.74% | 8.94% | 8.47% | 7.95% | 6.82% | 5.66% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 0.07% | 0.31% | 0.67% | 1.09% | 1.73% | 2.90% | 3.67% | 4.94% | 6.46% | 7.06% | 8.51% | 9.35% | 9.49% | 8.97% | 9.62% | 8.90% | 8.69% | 7.57% |
| Energie Cottbus | — | 0.02% | 0.08% | 0.25% | 0.51% | 0.78% | 1.15% | 1.91% | 2.35% | 3.28% | 4.75% | 6.23% | 7.41% | 8.91% | 10.47% | 12.69% | 16.56% | 22.65% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.11% | 0.33% | 0.89% | 1.39% | 2.01% | 2.78% | 3.70% | 5.05% | 6.54% | 7.72% | 8.67% | 8.54% | 8.96% | 8.95% | 9.39% | 9.21% | 8.63% | 7.13% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 0.08% | 0.22% | 0.39% | 0.69% | 1.23% | 2.03% | 3.10% | 4.02% | 5.24% | 6.41% | 7.16% | 8.75% | 8.97% | 9.64% | 10.21% | 10.57% | 10.72% | 10.57% |
| Mainz 05 | 0.07% | 0.21% | 0.29% | 0.91% | 1.44% | 2.31% | 2.74% | 3.92% | 4.99% | 5.85% | 6.88% | 7.86% | 9.18% | 10.19% | 10.58% | 10.68% | 11.02% | 10.88% |
| Alemannia Aachen | 0.04% | 0.16% | 0.33% | 0.60% | 1.17% | 1.52% | 2.41% | 3.17% | 4.14% | 5.37% | 6.18% | 7.87% | 8.34% | 9.98% | 11.19% | 11.31% | 12.18% | 14.04% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 0.04% | 0.20% | 0.48% | 0.75% | 1.41% | 1.72% | 2.78% | 3.64% | 4.77% | 5.62% | 6.90% | 7.40% | 9.35% | 9.73% | 10.31% | 11.60% | 11.74% | 11.56% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
- Title Margin
- Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.As Expected: under 5.83 * Some Luck: 5.83 to 8.75 * Lucky: 8.75 to 11.66 * Wild Swing: 11.66 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.Pinpoint: under 2.34 * Close: 2.34 to 3.5 * Off: 3.5 to 4.67 * Way Off: 4.67 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
- Unexpected Relegations
- Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.As Expected: under 1.76 * A Surprise: 1.76 to 2.81 * Several Surprises: 2.81 to 3.86 * Many Surprises: 3.86 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
- Close Games
- Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
- Strangeness
- How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 100% | — |
| Bayern Munich | 99.96% | 0.04% |
| Schalke 04 | 99.73% | 0.27% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 98.99% | 1.01% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 98.76% | 1.24% |
| Hamburger SV | 98.37% | 1.63% |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 97.82% | 2.18% |
| Hertha BSC | 96.62% | 3.38% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 94.32% | 5.68% |
| Hannover 96 | 79.57% | 20.43% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 75.03% | 24.97% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 74.84% | 25.16% |
| VfL Bochum | 74.76% | 25.24% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 68.14% | 31.86% |
| Mainz 05 | 67.42% | 32.58% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 65.10% | 34.90% |
| Alemannia Aachen | 62.47% | 37.53% |
| Energie Cottbus | 48.10% | 51.90% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006-08-11 | Borussia Dortmund | W 2-0 | 1917 | 1828 | 54.6% | 24.7% | 20.7% | +7.3 | 3 |
| 2006-08-11 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1828 | 1917 | 20.7% | 24.7% | 54.6% | -7.3 | 0 |
| 2006-08-12 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-3 | 1821 | 1809 | 44.5% | 26.9% | 28.6% | -19.9 | 0 |
| 2006-08-12 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 3-0 | 1809 | 1821 | 28.6% | 26.9% | 44.5% | +19.8 | 3 |
| 2006-08-12 | Alemannia Aachen | W 3-0 | 1883 | 1756 | 59.1% | 23.1% | 17.8% | +9.1 | 3 |
| 2006-08-12 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-3 | 1756 | 1883 | 17.8% | 23.1% | 59.1% | -9.1 | 0 |
| 2006-08-12 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1862 | 1759 | 56.2% | 24.1% | 19.6% | -1.3 | 1 |
| 2006-08-12 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1759 | 1862 | 19.6% | 24.1% | 56.2% | +1.3 | 1 |
| 2006-08-12 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1858 | 1785 | 52.6% | 25.2% | 22.1% | -1.1 | 1 |
| 2006-08-12 | @ Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1785 | 1858 | 22.1% | 25.2% | 52.6% | +1.1 | 1 |
| 2006-08-12 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1785 | 1727 | 50.6% | 25.7% | 23.6% | +8.3 | 3 |
| 2006-08-12 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-2 | 1727 | 1785 | 23.6% | 25.7% | 50.6% | -8.3 | 0 |
| 2006-08-12 | VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1805 | 1790 | 45.0% | 26.8% | 28.2% | +4.8 | 3 |
| 2006-08-12 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1790 | 1805 | 28.2% | 26.8% | 45.0% | -4.8 | 0 |
| 2006-08-13 | Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1759 | 1843 | 31.2% | 27.2% | 41.6% | +0.4 | 1 |
| 2006-08-13 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 0-0 | 1843 | 1759 | 41.6% | 27.2% | 31.2% | -0.4 | 1 |
| 2006-08-13 | Werder Bremen | L 2-4 | 1797 | 1909 | 27.8% | 26.7% | 45.5% | -7.4 | 0 |
| 2006-08-13 | @ Hannover 96 | W 4-2 | 1909 | 1797 | 45.5% | 26.7% | 27.8% | +7.4 | 3 |
| 2006-08-18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1829 | 1793 | 47.9% | 26.3% | 25.8% | +4.8 | 6 |
| 2006-08-18 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1793 | 1829 | 25.8% | 26.3% | 47.9% | -4.8 | 3 |
| 2006-08-19 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 1916 | 1892 | 46.3% | 26.6% | 27.1% | +4.7 | 6 |
| 2006-08-19 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1892 | 1916 | 27.1% | 26.6% | 46.3% | -4.7 | 3 |
| 2006-08-19 | Hamburger SV | D 2-2 | 1719 | 1861 | 24.6% | 26.0% | 49.4% | +0.6 | 1 |
| 2006-08-19 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 2-2 | 1861 | 1719 | 49.4% | 26.0% | 24.6% | -0.6 | 2 |
| 2006-08-19 | Hannover 96 | W 4-0 | 1842 | 1789 | 50.0% | 25.9% | 24.1% | +16.0 | 4 |
| 2006-08-19 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-4 | 1789 | 1842 | 24.1% | 25.9% | 50.0% | -16.0 | 0 |
| 2006-08-19 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1821 | 1810 | 44.4% | 26.9% | 28.7% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2006-08-19 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1810 | 1821 | 28.7% | 26.9% | 44.4% | +0.5 | 4 |
| 2006-08-19 | Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1746 | 1857 | 28.0% | 26.8% | 45.2% | -5.1 | 0 |
| 2006-08-19 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 1-0 | 1857 | 1746 | 45.2% | 26.8% | 28.0% | +5.1 | 4 |
| 2006-08-19 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 0-0 | 1786 | 1759 | 46.6% | 26.6% | 26.9% | -0.8 | 2 |
| 2006-08-19 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1759 | 1786 | 26.9% | 26.6% | 46.6% | +0.7 | 2 |
| 2006-08-20 | Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1785 | 1925 | 24.8% | 26.1% | 49.1% | -4.3 | 0 |
| 2006-08-20 | @ VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1925 | 1785 | 49.1% | 26.1% | 24.8% | +4.3 | 6 |
| 2006-08-20 | VfB Stuttgart | L 2-3 | 1761 | 1801 | 37.2% | 27.4% | 35.4% | -5.7 | 1 |
| 2006-08-20 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-2 | 1801 | 1761 | 35.4% | 27.4% | 37.2% | +5.7 | 3 |
| 2006-08-25 | Werder Bremen | W 2-0 | 1862 | 1921 | 34.6% | 27.4% | 38.1% | +12.1 | 7 |
| 2006-08-25 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1921 | 1862 | 38.1% | 27.4% | 34.6% | -12.1 | 6 |
| 2006-08-26 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1929 | 1834 | 55.3% | 24.4% | 20.3% | -1.4 | 7 |
| 2006-08-26 | @ Bayern Munich | D 0-0 | 1834 | 1929 | 20.3% | 24.4% | 55.3% | +1.4 | 7 |
| 2006-08-26 | Alemannia Aachen | L 0-3 | 1773 | 1741 | 47.2% | 26.4% | 26.3% | -20.8 | 0 |
| 2006-08-26 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 1741 | 1773 | 26.3% | 26.4% | 47.2% | +20.8 | 3 |
| 2006-08-26 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1788 | 1755 | 47.4% | 26.4% | 26.2% | +4.8 | 6 |
| 2006-08-26 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-1 | 1755 | 1788 | 26.2% | 26.4% | 47.4% | -4.8 | 1 |
| 2006-08-26 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-3 | 1807 | 1820 | 41.1% | 27.2% | 31.7% | -11.1 | 3 |
| 2006-08-26 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 3-1 | 1820 | 1807 | 31.7% | 27.2% | 41.1% | +11.1 | 4 |
| 2006-08-26 | Energie Cottbus | L 0-1 | 1781 | 1719 | 51.1% | 25.6% | 23.2% | -8.1 | 0 |
| 2006-08-26 | @ VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1719 | 1781 | 23.2% | 25.6% | 51.1% | +8.1 | 4 |
| 2006-08-26 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1887 | 1760 | 59.1% | 23.1% | 17.8% | -1.5 | 4 |
| 2006-08-26 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1760 | 1887 | 17.8% | 23.1% | 59.1% | +1.5 | 3 |
| 2006-08-27 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1810 | 1785 | 46.4% | 26.6% | 27.0% | -0.7 | 5 |
| 2006-08-27 | @ Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1785 | 1810 | 27.0% | 26.6% | 46.4% | +0.7 | 3 |
| 2006-08-27 | Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1860 | 1858 | 43.2% | 27.0% | 29.8% | -0.5 | 3 |
| 2006-08-27 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1858 | 1860 | 29.8% | 27.0% | 43.2% | +0.5 | 5 |
| 2006-09-15 | Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1761 | 1752 | 44.2% | 26.9% | 28.9% | -6.8 | 3 |
| 2006-09-15 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1752 | 1761 | 28.9% | 26.9% | 44.2% | +6.8 | 3 |
| 2006-09-16 | Bayern Munich | W 2-1 | 1750 | 1928 | 21.2% | 24.9% | 53.9% | +8.0 | 4 |
| 2006-09-16 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-2 | 1928 | 1750 | 53.9% | 24.9% | 21.2% | -8.0 | 7 |
| 2006-09-16 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 4-2 | 1762 | 1793 | 38.6% | 27.3% | 34.1% | +8.7 | 6 |
| 2006-09-16 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 2-4 | 1793 | 1762 | 34.1% | 27.3% | 38.6% | -8.7 | 6 |
| 2006-09-16 | Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1831 | 1860 | 38.9% | 27.3% | 33.8% | +5.9 | 7 |
| 2006-09-16 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1860 | 1831 | 33.8% | 27.3% | 38.9% | -5.9 | 3 |
| 2006-09-16 | Mainz 05 | W 2-0 | 1728 | 1810 | 31.5% | 27.2% | 41.3% | +12.9 | 7 |
| 2006-09-16 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-2 | 1810 | 1728 | 41.3% | 27.2% | 31.5% | -12.9 | 5 |
| 2006-09-16 | VfB Stuttgart | L 2-3 | 1909 | 1796 | 57.5% | 23.7% | 18.8% | -8.0 | 6 |
| 2006-09-16 | @ Werder Bremen | W 3-2 | 1796 | 1909 | 18.8% | 23.7% | 57.5% | +8.0 | 6 |
| 2006-09-16 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1835 | 1773 | 51.3% | 25.6% | 23.2% | -1.0 | 8 |
| 2006-09-16 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1773 | 1835 | 23.2% | 25.6% | 51.3% | +1.0 | 1 |
| 2006-09-17 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-1 | 1786 | 1886 | 29.2% | 26.9% | 43.8% | +11.7 | 6 |
| 2006-09-17 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-3 | 1886 | 1786 | 43.8% | 26.9% | 29.2% | -11.7 | 4 |
| 2006-09-17 | Schalke 04 | W 2-0 | 1859 | 1874 | 40.8% | 27.2% | 32.0% | +10.7 | 8 |
| 2006-09-17 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-2 | 1874 | 1859 | 32.0% | 27.2% | 40.8% | -10.7 | 7 |
| 2006-09-22 | Borussia Dortmund | W 1-0 | 1784 | 1837 | 35.5% | 27.4% | 37.2% | +6.3 | 9 |
| 2006-09-22 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-1 | 1837 | 1784 | 37.2% | 27.4% | 35.5% | -6.3 | 7 |
| 2006-09-23 | Alemannia Aachen | W 2-1 | 1920 | 1771 | 61.6% | 22.1% | 16.3% | +2.9 | 10 |
| 2006-09-23 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1771 | 1920 | 16.3% | 22.1% | 61.6% | -2.9 | 6 |
| 2006-09-23 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1759 | 1874 | 27.5% | 26.7% | 45.9% | +0.6 | 4 |
| 2006-09-23 | @ Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1874 | 1759 | 45.9% | 26.7% | 27.5% | -0.6 | 5 |
| 2006-09-23 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1804 | 1797 | 43.8% | 26.9% | 29.2% | -0.5 | 7 |
| 2006-09-23 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 1-1 | 1797 | 1804 | 29.2% | 26.9% | 43.8% | +0.5 | 7 |
| 2006-09-23 | Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1797 | 1869 | 32.7% | 27.3% | 40.0% | +0.2 | 6 |
| 2006-09-23 | @ Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1869 | 1797 | 40.0% | 27.3% | 32.7% | -0.2 | 9 |
| 2006-09-23 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-0 | 1863 | 1754 | 57.0% | 23.9% | 19.1% | +6.8 | 10 |
| 2006-09-23 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1754 | 1863 | 19.1% | 23.9% | 57.0% | -6.8 | 3 |
| 2006-09-23 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1854 | 1901 | 36.3% | 27.4% | 36.3% | +0.0 | 4 |
| 2006-09-23 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1901 | 1854 | 36.3% | 27.4% | 36.3% | +0.0 | 7 |
| 2006-09-24 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1740 | 1835 | 30.0% | 27.0% | 43.0% | +0.4 | 8 |
| 2006-09-24 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1835 | 1740 | 43.0% | 27.0% | 30.0% | -0.4 | 9 |
| 2006-09-24 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1774 | 1758 | 45.1% | 26.8% | 28.1% | +4.8 | 4 |
| 2006-09-24 | @ VfL Bochum | L 1-2 | 1758 | 1774 | 28.1% | 26.8% | 45.1% | -4.8 | 4 |
| 2006-09-29 | Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1831 | 1760 | 52.3% | 25.3% | 22.4% | -0.8 | 8 |
| 2006-09-29 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 2-2 | 1760 | 1831 | 22.4% | 25.3% | 52.3% | +0.8 | 5 |
| 2006-09-30 | Bayern Munich | W 1-0 | 1748 | 1923 | 21.4% | 25.0% | 53.6% | +8.4 | 6 |
| 2006-09-30 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-1 | 1923 | 1748 | 53.6% | 25.0% | 21.4% | -8.4 | 10 |
| 2006-09-30 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-0 | 1901 | 1791 | 57.1% | 23.8% | 19.0% | +9.8 | 10 |
| 2006-09-30 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-3 | 1791 | 1901 | 19.0% | 23.8% | 57.1% | -9.8 | 9 |
| 2006-09-30 | Energie Cottbus | W 3-1 | 1753 | 1741 | 44.6% | 26.8% | 28.5% | +8.4 | 7 |
| 2006-09-30 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-3 | 1741 | 1753 | 28.5% | 26.8% | 44.6% | -8.4 | 8 |
| 2006-09-30 | Hamburger SV | D 2-2 | 1798 | 1854 | 35.0% | 27.4% | 37.6% | +0.1 | 8 |
| 2006-09-30 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1854 | 1798 | 37.6% | 27.4% | 35.0% | -0.1 | 5 |
| 2006-09-30 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1834 | 1797 | 47.9% | 26.3% | 25.7% | -0.8 | 10 |
| 2006-09-30 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1797 | 1834 | 25.7% | 26.3% | 47.9% | +0.8 | 7 |
| 2006-09-30 | VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1768 | 1779 | 41.4% | 27.2% | 31.4% | +5.3 | 9 |
| 2006-09-30 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 1-2 | 1779 | 1768 | 31.4% | 27.2% | 41.4% | -5.3 | 4 |
| 2006-10-01 | Schalke 04 | W 3-1 | 1874 | 1870 | 43.4% | 27.0% | 29.6% | +8.7 | 8 |
| 2006-10-01 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-3 | 1870 | 1874 | 29.6% | 27.0% | 43.4% | -8.7 | 10 |
| 2006-10-01 | VfB Stuttgart | D 2-2 | 1869 | 1803 | 51.7% | 25.5% | 22.8% | -0.8 | 10 |
| 2006-10-01 | @ Hertha BSC | D 2-2 | 1803 | 1869 | 22.8% | 25.5% | 51.7% | +0.8 | 8 |
| 2006-10-13 | Alemannia Aachen | L 1-3 | 1798 | 1773 | 46.3% | 26.6% | 27.1% | -12.2 | 7 |
| 2006-10-13 | @ Mainz 05 | W 3-1 | 1773 | 1798 | 27.1% | 26.6% | 46.3% | +12.2 | 12 |
| 2006-10-14 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-0 | 1804 | 1882 | 32.0% | 27.2% | 40.8% | +18.5 | 11 |
| 2006-10-14 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-3 | 1882 | 1804 | 40.8% | 27.2% | 32.0% | -18.5 | 8 |
| 2006-10-14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1761 | 1798 | 37.7% | 27.4% | 35.0% | -0.1 | 6 |
| 2006-10-14 | @ Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1798 | 1761 | 35.0% | 27.4% | 37.7% | +0.1 | 9 |
| 2006-10-14 | Hertha BSC | W 4-2 | 1914 | 1868 | 49.1% | 26.1% | 24.8% | +6.7 | 13 |
| 2006-10-14 | @ Bayern Munich | L 2-4 | 1868 | 1914 | 24.8% | 26.1% | 49.1% | -6.7 | 10 |
| 2006-10-14 | Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1854 | 1862 | 41.9% | 27.1% | 31.0% | -6.5 | 5 |
| 2006-10-14 | @ Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1862 | 1854 | 31.0% | 27.1% | 41.9% | +6.5 | 13 |
| 2006-10-14 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-1 | 1781 | 1756 | 46.3% | 26.6% | 27.1% | +8.1 | 12 |
| 2006-10-14 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-3 | 1756 | 1781 | 27.1% | 26.6% | 46.3% | -8.1 | 6 |
| 2006-10-14 | Werder Bremen | L 0-6 | 1773 | 1911 | 25.0% | 26.1% | 48.8% | -24.3 | 4 |
| 2006-10-14 | @ VfL Bochum | W 6-0 | 1911 | 1773 | 48.8% | 26.1% | 25.0% | +24.3 | 13 |
| 2006-10-15 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1833 | 1762 | 52.4% | 25.3% | 22.3% | -1.0 | 11 |
| 2006-10-15 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1762 | 1833 | 22.3% | 25.3% | 52.4% | +1.1 | 8 |
| 2006-10-15 | Borussia Dortmund | L 2-3 | 1732 | 1830 | 29.5% | 27.0% | 43.5% | -4.8 | 8 |
| 2006-10-15 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 3-2 | 1830 | 1732 | 43.5% | 27.0% | 29.5% | +4.8 | 11 |
| 2006-10-20 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1835 | 1749 | 54.1% | 24.8% | 21.1% | -1.2 | 12 |
| 2006-10-20 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1749 | 1835 | 21.1% | 24.8% | 54.1% | +1.2 | 5 |
| 2006-10-21 | Bayern Munich | W 3-1 | 1935 | 1921 | 44.9% | 26.8% | 28.3% | +8.4 | 16 |
| 2006-10-21 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-3 | 1921 | 1935 | 28.3% | 26.8% | 44.9% | -8.4 | 13 |
| 2006-10-21 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 1862 | 1789 | 52.6% | 25.2% | 22.2% | +3.9 | 13 |
| 2006-10-21 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1789 | 1862 | 22.2% | 25.2% | 52.6% | -3.9 | 12 |
| 2006-10-21 | Energie Cottbus | L 1-2 | 1785 | 1728 | 50.6% | 25.7% | 23.6% | -7.6 | 12 |
| 2006-10-21 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 2-1 | 1728 | 1785 | 23.6% | 25.7% | 50.6% | +7.6 | 11 |
| 2006-10-21 | Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1868 | 1760 | 56.8% | 23.9% | 19.2% | +3.4 | 16 |
| 2006-10-21 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1760 | 1868 | 19.2% | 23.9% | 56.8% | -3.4 | 6 |
| 2006-10-21 | Mainz 05 | W 1-0 | 1763 | 1786 | 39.8% | 27.3% | 33.0% | +5.8 | 11 |
| 2006-10-21 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-1 | 1786 | 1763 | 33.0% | 27.3% | 39.8% | -5.8 | 7 |
| 2006-10-21 | VfB Stuttgart | D 1-1 | 1748 | 1823 | 32.5% | 27.3% | 40.3% | +0.3 | 7 |
| 2006-10-21 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1823 | 1748 | 40.3% | 27.3% | 32.5% | -0.2 | 12 |
| 2006-10-22 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1798 | 1832 | 38.1% | 27.4% | 34.5% | -0.1 | 10 |
| 2006-10-22 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1832 | 1798 | 34.5% | 27.4% | 38.1% | +0.1 | 12 |
| 2006-10-22 | Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1864 | 1847 | 45.2% | 26.8% | 28.1% | -6.9 | 8 |
| 2006-10-22 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 1847 | 1864 | 28.1% | 26.8% | 45.2% | +6.9 | 8 |
| 2006-10-27 | Werder Bremen | L 1-6 | 1780 | 1943 | 22.4% | 25.4% | 52.2% | -15.3 | 7 |
| 2006-10-27 | @ Mainz 05 | W 6-1 | 1943 | 1780 | 52.2% | 25.4% | 22.4% | +15.3 | 19 |
| 2006-10-28 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1785 | 1857 | 32.8% | 27.3% | 39.9% | -10.9 | 12 |
| 2006-10-28 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-0 | 1857 | 1785 | 39.9% | 27.3% | 32.8% | +10.9 | 11 |
| 2006-10-28 | Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1832 | 1834 | 42.8% | 27.1% | 30.2% | -0.4 | 13 |
| 2006-10-28 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1834 | 1832 | 30.2% | 27.1% | 42.8% | +0.4 | 13 |
| 2006-10-28 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1913 | 1798 | 57.6% | 23.7% | 18.7% | +6.6 | 16 |
| 2006-10-28 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1798 | 1913 | 18.7% | 23.7% | 57.6% | -6.6 | 10 |
| 2006-10-28 | Hannover 96 | D 0-0 | 1854 | 1757 | 55.6% | 24.4% | 20.1% | -1.4 | 9 |
| 2006-10-28 | @ Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1757 | 1854 | 20.1% | 24.4% | 55.6% | +1.4 | 7 |
| 2006-10-28 | Hertha BSC | W 2-0 | 1735 | 1866 | 25.8% | 26.3% | 47.9% | +14.5 | 14 |
| 2006-10-28 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-2 | 1866 | 1735 | 47.9% | 26.3% | 25.8% | -14.5 | 13 |
| 2006-10-28 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-1 | 1750 | 1748 | 43.2% | 27.0% | 29.8% | -7.1 | 5 |
| 2006-10-28 | @ VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1748 | 1750 | 29.8% | 27.0% | 43.2% | +7.1 | 10 |
| 2006-10-29 | Alemannia Aachen | W 5-1 | 1769 | 1778 | 41.6% | 27.2% | 31.2% | +16.5 | 14 |
| 2006-10-29 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-5 | 1778 | 1769 | 31.2% | 27.2% | 41.6% | -16.5 | 12 |
| 2006-10-29 | Schalke 04 | W 3-0 | 1822 | 1872 | 36.0% | 27.4% | 36.6% | +17.1 | 15 |
| 2006-10-29 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-3 | 1872 | 1822 | 36.6% | 27.4% | 36.0% | -17.1 | 16 |
| 2006-11-03 | VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1758 | 1743 | 45.0% | 26.8% | 28.2% | -13.8 | 7 |
| 2006-11-03 | @ Hannover 96 | W 2-0 | 1743 | 1758 | 28.2% | 26.8% | 45.0% | +13.8 | 8 |
| 2006-11-04 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1851 | 1832 | 45.6% | 26.7% | 27.7% | +4.8 | 16 |
| 2006-11-04 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1832 | 1851 | 27.7% | 26.7% | 45.6% | -4.8 | 13 |
| 2006-11-04 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1834 | 1785 | 49.5% | 26.0% | 24.5% | -0.9 | 14 |
| 2006-11-04 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1785 | 1834 | 24.5% | 26.0% | 49.5% | +0.9 | 15 |
| 2006-11-04 | Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1959 | 1750 | 68.0% | 19.2% | 12.8% | -2.0 | 20 |
| 2006-11-04 | @ Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1750 | 1959 | 12.8% | 19.2% | 68.0% | +2.0 | 15 |
| 2006-11-04 | Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1755 | 1853 | 29.5% | 27.0% | 43.5% | +7.1 | 13 |
| 2006-11-04 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-1 | 1853 | 1755 | 43.5% | 27.0% | 29.5% | -7.1 | 9 |
| 2006-11-04 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1868 | 1764 | 56.3% | 24.1% | 19.6% | -1.3 | 12 |
| 2006-11-04 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1764 | 1868 | 19.6% | 24.1% | 56.3% | +1.3 | 8 |
| 2006-11-04 | VfB Stuttgart | L 2-4 | 1761 | 1839 | 32.0% | 27.2% | 40.8% | -8.3 | 12 |
| 2006-11-04 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 4-2 | 1839 | 1761 | 40.8% | 27.2% | 32.0% | +8.3 | 18 |
| 2006-11-05 | Bayern Munich | D 2-2 | 1854 | 1919 | 33.8% | 27.3% | 38.9% | +0.1 | 17 |
| 2006-11-05 | @ Schalke 04 | D 2-2 | 1919 | 1854 | 38.9% | 27.3% | 33.8% | -0.1 | 17 |
| 2006-11-05 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1791 | 1774 | 45.3% | 26.8% | 28.0% | +5.1 | 13 |
| 2006-11-05 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1774 | 1791 | 28.0% | 26.8% | 45.3% | -5.1 | 12 |
| 2006-11-07 | Alemannia Aachen | D 0-0 | 1833 | 1753 | 53.5% | 25.0% | 21.5% | -1.3 | 15 |
| 2006-11-07 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 0-0 | 1753 | 1833 | 21.5% | 25.0% | 53.5% | +1.2 | 13 |
| 2006-11-07 | Hamburger SV | W 2-0 | 1848 | 1846 | 43.2% | 27.0% | 29.8% | +10.1 | 21 |
| 2006-11-07 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1846 | 1848 | 29.8% | 27.0% | 43.2% | -10.1 | 9 |
| 2006-11-07 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1766 | 1762 | 43.4% | 27.0% | 29.6% | -6.7 | 8 |
| 2006-11-07 | @ Mainz 05 | W 2-1 | 1762 | 1766 | 29.6% | 27.0% | 43.4% | +6.7 | 16 |
| 2006-11-07 | Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1827 | 1957 | 25.9% | 26.3% | 47.8% | -4.5 | 13 |
| 2006-11-07 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1957 | 1827 | 47.8% | 26.3% | 25.9% | +4.5 | 23 |
| 2006-11-08 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-3 | 1757 | 1866 | 28.1% | 26.8% | 45.1% | -8.3 | 8 |
| 2006-11-08 | @ VfL Bochum | W 3-1 | 1866 | 1757 | 45.1% | 26.8% | 28.1% | +8.3 | 15 |
| 2006-11-08 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1752 | 1796 | 36.6% | 27.4% | 36.0% | -6.2 | 15 |
| 2006-11-08 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 1-0 | 1796 | 1752 | 36.0% | 27.4% | 36.6% | +6.3 | 16 |
| 2006-11-08 | Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1919 | 1745 | 64.3% | 20.9% | 14.7% | -9.7 | 17 |
| 2006-11-08 | @ Bayern Munich | W 1-0 | 1745 | 1919 | 14.7% | 20.9% | 64.3% | +9.7 | 10 |
| 2006-11-08 | Hertha BSC | D 2-2 | 1786 | 1856 | 33.1% | 27.3% | 39.6% | +0.2 | 16 |
| 2006-11-08 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1856 | 1786 | 39.6% | 27.3% | 33.1% | -0.2 | 17 |
| 2006-11-08 | Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1769 | 1854 | 31.1% | 27.2% | 41.8% | -10.4 | 12 |
| 2006-11-08 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-0 | 1854 | 1769 | 41.8% | 27.2% | 31.1% | +10.4 | 20 |
| 2006-11-10 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-3 | 1961 | 1832 | 59.4% | 23.0% | 17.6% | -14.9 | 23 |
| 2006-11-10 | @ Werder Bremen | W 3-1 | 1832 | 1961 | 17.6% | 23.0% | 59.4% | +14.9 | 18 |
| 2006-11-11 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-3 | 1803 | 1786 | 45.2% | 26.8% | 28.0% | -20.1 | 16 |
| 2006-11-11 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-0 | 1786 | 1803 | 28.0% | 26.8% | 45.2% | +20.1 | 19 |
| 2006-11-11 | Bayern Munich | L 2-3 | 1875 | 1909 | 38.0% | 27.4% | 34.6% | -5.8 | 15 |
| 2006-11-11 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-2 | 1909 | 1875 | 34.6% | 27.4% | 38.0% | +5.8 | 20 |
| 2006-11-11 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1836 | 1759 | 53.1% | 25.1% | 21.8% | -1.1 | 10 |
| 2006-11-11 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1759 | 1836 | 21.8% | 25.1% | 53.1% | +1.1 | 13 |
| 2006-11-11 | Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1769 | 1746 | 46.2% | 26.6% | 27.2% | -0.7 | 17 |
| 2006-11-11 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 0-0 | 1746 | 1769 | 27.2% | 26.6% | 46.2% | +0.7 | 16 |
| 2006-11-11 | Mainz 05 | W 4-0 | 1865 | 1759 | 56.6% | 24.0% | 19.4% | +13.0 | 23 |
| 2006-11-11 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-4 | 1759 | 1865 | 19.4% | 24.0% | 56.6% | -13.0 | 8 |
| 2006-11-11 | VfL Bochum | D 3-3 | 1856 | 1749 | 56.7% | 24.0% | 19.3% | -0.8 | 18 |
| 2006-11-11 | @ Hertha BSC | D 3-3 | 1749 | 1856 | 19.3% | 24.0% | 56.7% | +0.8 | 9 |
| 2006-11-12 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1754 | 1823 | 33.3% | 27.3% | 39.4% | +0.2 | 14 |
| 2006-11-12 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 1-1 | 1823 | 1754 | 39.4% | 27.3% | 33.3% | -0.2 | 14 |
| 2006-11-12 | VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1754 | 1858 | 28.8% | 26.9% | 44.3% | -4.9 | 10 |
| 2006-11-12 | @ Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1858 | 1754 | 44.3% | 26.9% | 28.8% | +4.9 | 24 |
| 2006-11-17 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 4-3 | 1750 | 1783 | 38.3% | 27.4% | 34.4% | +5.2 | 12 |
| 2006-11-17 | @ VfL Bochum | L 3-4 | 1783 | 1750 | 34.4% | 27.4% | 38.3% | -5.2 | 16 |
| 2006-11-18 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-2 | 1822 | 1869 | 36.4% | 27.4% | 36.2% | +5.5 | 17 |
| 2006-11-18 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 2-3 | 1869 | 1822 | 36.2% | 27.4% | 36.4% | -5.6 | 15 |
| 2006-11-18 | Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1746 | 1835 | 30.7% | 27.1% | 42.2% | +0.4 | 9 |
| 2006-11-18 | @ Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1835 | 1746 | 42.2% | 27.1% | 30.7% | -0.4 | 11 |
| 2006-11-18 | Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1847 | 1855 | 41.8% | 27.2% | 31.1% | -6.5 | 18 |
| 2006-11-18 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 2-1 | 1855 | 1847 | 31.1% | 27.2% | 41.8% | +6.5 | 21 |
| 2006-11-18 | Schalke 04 | L 2-4 | 1746 | 1878 | 25.6% | 26.3% | 48.1% | -6.9 | 16 |
| 2006-11-18 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 4-2 | 1878 | 1746 | 48.1% | 26.3% | 25.6% | +6.9 | 26 |
| 2006-11-18 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-1 | 1915 | 1863 | 50.0% | 25.9% | 24.1% | +4.2 | 23 |
| 2006-11-18 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1863 | 1915 | 24.1% | 25.9% | 50.0% | -4.2 | 24 |
| 2006-11-18 | Werder Bremen | D 2-2 | 1754 | 1946 | 20.0% | 24.3% | 55.7% | +0.9 | 15 |
| 2006-11-18 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 2-2 | 1946 | 1754 | 55.7% | 24.3% | 20.0% | -0.9 | 24 |
| 2006-11-19 | Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1760 | 1749 | 44.3% | 26.9% | 28.8% | -7.2 | 13 |
| 2006-11-19 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1749 | 1760 | 28.8% | 26.9% | 44.3% | +7.2 | 13 |
| 2006-11-19 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 0-0 | 1806 | 1768 | 48.0% | 26.3% | 25.7% | -0.9 | 20 |
| 2006-11-19 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1768 | 1806 | 25.7% | 26.3% | 48.0% | +0.9 | 18 |
| 2006-11-24 | VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1885 | 1755 | 59.4% | 23.0% | 17.6% | +3.1 | 29 |
| 2006-11-24 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1755 | 1885 | 17.6% | 23.0% | 59.4% | -3.1 | 12 |
| 2006-11-25 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1769 | 1828 | 34.6% | 27.4% | 38.0% | +0.1 | 19 |
| 2006-11-25 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1828 | 1769 | 38.0% | 27.4% | 34.6% | -0.1 | 18 |
| 2006-11-25 | Alemannia Aachen | W 2-1 | 1861 | 1755 | 56.6% | 24.0% | 19.4% | +3.4 | 24 |
| 2006-11-25 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1755 | 1861 | 19.4% | 24.0% | 56.6% | -3.4 | 15 |
| 2006-11-25 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-0 | 1945 | 1805 | 60.6% | 22.6% | 16.9% | +8.6 | 27 |
| 2006-11-25 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-3 | 1805 | 1945 | 16.9% | 22.6% | 60.6% | -8.7 | 20 |
| 2006-11-25 | Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1834 | 1919 | 31.1% | 27.2% | 41.8% | -5.2 | 11 |
| 2006-11-25 | @ Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1919 | 1834 | 41.8% | 27.2% | 31.1% | +5.2 | 26 |
| 2006-11-25 | Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1777 | 1840 | 34.1% | 27.3% | 38.6% | +0.1 | 17 |
| 2006-11-25 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1840 | 1777 | 38.6% | 27.3% | 34.1% | -0.2 | 19 |
| 2006-11-25 | Mainz 05 | W 1-0 | 1757 | 1746 | 44.3% | 26.9% | 28.8% | +5.2 | 16 |
| 2006-11-25 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1746 | 1757 | 28.8% | 26.9% | 44.3% | -5.2 | 9 |
| 2006-11-26 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1858 | 1752 | 56.6% | 24.0% | 19.4% | +3.6 | 27 |
| 2006-11-26 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1752 | 1858 | 19.4% | 24.0% | 56.6% | -3.6 | 13 |
| 2006-11-26 | Energie Cottbus | W 3-1 | 1863 | 1739 | 58.7% | 23.3% | 18.0% | +5.5 | 18 |
| 2006-11-26 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-3 | 1739 | 1863 | 18.0% | 23.3% | 58.7% | -5.5 | 16 |
| 2006-12-01 | VfB Stuttgart | D 0-0 | 1741 | 1862 | 26.8% | 26.5% | 46.6% | +0.8 | 10 |
| 2006-12-01 | @ Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1862 | 1741 | 46.6% | 26.5% | 26.8% | -0.8 | 28 |
| 2006-12-02 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 0-0 | 1797 | 1869 | 32.8% | 27.3% | 39.9% | +0.3 | 21 |
| 2006-12-02 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1869 | 1797 | 39.9% | 27.3% | 32.8% | -0.3 | 19 |
| 2006-12-02 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1925 | 1749 | 64.5% | 20.9% | 14.6% | -1.8 | 27 |
| 2006-12-02 | @ Bayern Munich | D 1-1 | 1749 | 1925 | 14.6% | 20.9% | 64.5% | +1.8 | 14 |
| 2006-12-02 | Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1752 | 1829 | 32.1% | 27.2% | 40.6% | +6.4 | 15 |
| 2006-12-02 | @ VfL Bochum | L 1-2 | 1829 | 1752 | 40.6% | 27.2% | 32.1% | -6.4 | 11 |
| 2006-12-02 | Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1734 | 1762 | 39.0% | 27.3% | 33.7% | -6.5 | 16 |
| 2006-12-02 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 1-0 | 1762 | 1734 | 33.7% | 27.3% | 39.0% | +6.5 | 19 |
| 2006-12-02 | Hertha BSC | W 3-1 | 1954 | 1865 | 54.6% | 24.7% | 20.7% | +6.4 | 30 |
| 2006-12-02 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-3 | 1865 | 1954 | 20.7% | 24.7% | 54.6% | -6.4 | 24 |
| 2006-12-02 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 1-0 | 1840 | 1769 | 52.3% | 25.3% | 22.4% | +4.2 | 22 |
| 2006-12-02 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1769 | 1840 | 22.4% | 25.3% | 52.3% | -4.2 | 19 |
| 2006-12-03 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 2-3 | 1752 | 1778 | 39.4% | 27.3% | 33.3% | -5.9 | 15 |
| 2006-12-03 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 3-2 | 1778 | 1752 | 33.3% | 27.3% | 39.4% | +5.9 | 20 |
| 2006-12-03 | Schalke 04 | D 0-0 | 1828 | 1888 | 34.4% | 27.4% | 38.2% | +0.1 | 19 |
| 2006-12-03 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1888 | 1828 | 38.2% | 27.4% | 34.4% | -0.1 | 30 |
| 2006-12-08 | Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1869 | 1858 | 44.3% | 26.9% | 28.8% | +4.9 | 22 |
| 2006-12-08 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1858 | 1869 | 28.8% | 26.9% | 44.3% | -4.9 | 24 |
| 2006-12-09 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1823 | 1828 | 42.2% | 27.1% | 30.7% | -0.4 | 12 |
| 2006-12-09 | @ Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1828 | 1823 | 30.7% | 27.1% | 42.2% | +0.4 | 20 |
| 2006-12-09 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1768 | 1797 | 38.9% | 27.3% | 33.8% | -0.2 | 20 |
| 2006-12-09 | @ Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1797 | 1768 | 33.8% | 27.3% | 38.9% | +0.2 | 22 |
| 2006-12-09 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-1 | 1923 | 1727 | 66.6% | 19.9% | 13.5% | +2.3 | 30 |
| 2006-12-09 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1727 | 1923 | 13.5% | 19.9% | 66.6% | -2.3 | 16 |
| 2006-12-09 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1751 | 1742 | 44.1% | 26.9% | 29.0% | -0.5 | 15 |
| 2006-12-09 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1742 | 1751 | 29.0% | 26.9% | 44.1% | +0.5 | 11 |
| 2006-12-09 | VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1861 | 1758 | 56.3% | 24.1% | 19.6% | +3.7 | 31 |
| 2006-12-09 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1758 | 1861 | 19.6% | 24.1% | 56.3% | -3.7 | 15 |
| 2006-12-09 | Werder Bremen | L 2-6 | 1783 | 1960 | 21.2% | 24.9% | 53.9% | -10.1 | 20 |
| 2006-12-09 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 6-2 | 1960 | 1783 | 53.9% | 24.9% | 21.2% | +10.1 | 33 |
| 2006-12-10 | Alemannia Aachen | L 1-2 | 1765 | 1746 | 45.6% | 26.7% | 27.7% | -7.0 | 19 |
| 2006-12-10 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1746 | 1765 | 27.7% | 26.7% | 45.6% | +7.0 | 18 |
| 2006-12-10 | Borussia Dortmund | W 3-1 | 1888 | 1844 | 48.8% | 26.1% | 25.1% | +7.6 | 33 |
| 2006-12-10 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-3 | 1844 | 1888 | 25.1% | 26.1% | 48.8% | -7.6 | 22 |
| 2006-12-15 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-0 | 1754 | 1750 | 43.5% | 27.0% | 29.5% | +10.0 | 18 |
| 2006-12-15 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1750 | 1754 | 29.5% | 27.0% | 43.5% | -10.0 | 15 |
| 2006-12-16 | Bayern Munich | L 0-4 | 1742 | 1925 | 20.8% | 24.7% | 54.5% | -14.0 | 11 |
| 2006-12-16 | @ Mainz 05 | W 4-0 | 1925 | 1742 | 54.5% | 24.7% | 20.8% | +14.0 | 33 |
| 2006-12-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1854 | 1773 | 53.5% | 25.0% | 21.5% | +4.0 | 27 |
| 2006-12-16 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1773 | 1854 | 21.5% | 25.0% | 53.5% | -4.0 | 20 |
| 2006-12-16 | Hamburger SV | D 3-3 | 1753 | 1822 | 33.2% | 27.3% | 39.5% | +0.1 | 19 |
| 2006-12-16 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 3-3 | 1822 | 1753 | 39.5% | 27.3% | 33.2% | -0.1 | 13 |
| 2006-12-16 | Hannover 96 | W 3-1 | 1828 | 1768 | 51.0% | 25.7% | 23.4% | +7.1 | 23 |
| 2006-12-16 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-3 | 1768 | 1828 | 23.4% | 25.7% | 51.0% | -7.1 | 20 |
| 2006-12-16 | Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1797 | 1895 | 29.5% | 27.0% | 43.6% | -5.3 | 22 |
| 2006-12-16 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1895 | 1797 | 43.6% | 27.0% | 29.5% | +5.3 | 36 |
| 2006-12-16 | VfB Stuttgart | D 0-0 | 1725 | 1865 | 24.8% | 26.1% | 49.2% | +0.9 | 17 |
| 2006-12-16 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1865 | 1725 | 49.2% | 26.1% | 24.8% | -0.9 | 32 |
| 2006-12-17 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1837 | 1874 | 37.8% | 27.4% | 34.9% | -6.0 | 22 |
| 2006-12-17 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 2-1 | 1874 | 1837 | 34.9% | 27.4% | 37.8% | +6.0 | 25 |
| 2006-12-17 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1971 | 1758 | 68.3% | 19.1% | 12.7% | +2.2 | 36 |
| 2006-12-17 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1758 | 1971 | 12.7% | 19.1% | 68.3% | -2.2 | 19 |
| 2007-01-26 | Bayern Munich | W 3-2 | 1831 | 1939 | 28.2% | 26.8% | 45.0% | +6.5 | 25 |
| 2007-01-26 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 2-3 | 1939 | 1831 | 45.0% | 26.8% | 28.2% | -6.5 | 33 |
| 2007-01-27 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-1 | 1726 | 1740 | 40.9% | 27.2% | 31.8% | +9.2 | 20 |
| 2007-01-27 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-3 | 1740 | 1726 | 31.8% | 27.2% | 40.9% | -9.2 | 15 |
| 2007-01-27 | Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1792 | 1822 | 38.7% | 27.3% | 34.0% | -0.2 | 23 |
| 2007-01-27 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1822 | 1792 | 34.0% | 27.3% | 38.7% | +0.2 | 14 |
| 2007-01-27 | Mainz 05 | L 0-1 | 1764 | 1729 | 47.8% | 26.3% | 25.9% | -7.7 | 18 |
| 2007-01-27 | @ VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1729 | 1764 | 25.9% | 26.3% | 47.8% | +7.7 | 14 |
| 2007-01-27 | Schalke 04 | L 1-3 | 1769 | 1901 | 25.7% | 26.3% | 48.0% | -7.7 | 20 |
| 2007-01-27 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-1 | 1901 | 1769 | 48.0% | 26.3% | 25.7% | +7.7 | 39 |
| 2007-01-27 | VfB Stuttgart | W 4-1 | 1836 | 1864 | 38.9% | 27.3% | 33.7% | +13.6 | 26 |
| 2007-01-27 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-4 | 1864 | 1836 | 33.7% | 27.3% | 38.9% | -13.6 | 32 |
| 2007-01-27 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1858 | 1756 | 56.1% | 24.2% | 19.7% | +3.5 | 30 |
| 2007-01-27 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1756 | 1858 | 19.7% | 24.2% | 56.1% | -3.5 | 19 |
| 2007-01-28 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 2-3 | 1753 | 1880 | 26.2% | 26.4% | 47.4% | -4.3 | 19 |
| 2007-01-28 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 3-2 | 1880 | 1753 | 47.4% | 26.4% | 26.2% | +4.3 | 28 |
| 2007-01-28 | Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 1973 | 1761 | 68.2% | 19.1% | 12.7% | +6.3 | 39 |
| 2007-01-28 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-3 | 1761 | 1973 | 12.7% | 19.1% | 68.2% | -6.3 | 20 |
| 2007-01-30 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1731 | 1849 | 27.1% | 26.6% | 46.3% | +0.7 | 16 |
| 2007-01-30 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 0-0 | 1849 | 1731 | 46.3% | 26.6% | 27.1% | -0.7 | 27 |
| 2007-01-30 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-2 | 1850 | 1792 | 50.8% | 25.7% | 23.5% | +3.9 | 35 |
| 2007-01-30 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 2-3 | 1792 | 1850 | 23.5% | 25.7% | 50.8% | -3.9 | 23 |
| 2007-01-30 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1753 | 1762 | 41.7% | 27.2% | 31.1% | -0.3 | 20 |
| 2007-01-30 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 1762 | 1753 | 31.1% | 27.2% | 41.7% | +0.3 | 21 |
| 2007-01-30 | VfL Bochum | D 0-0 | 1932 | 1757 | 64.5% | 20.9% | 14.6% | -2.0 | 34 |
| 2007-01-30 | @ Bayern Munich | D 0-0 | 1757 | 1932 | 14.6% | 20.9% | 64.5% | +2.0 | 19 |
| 2007-01-31 | Alemannia Aachen | W 2-1 | 1908 | 1749 | 62.7% | 21.6% | 15.6% | +2.7 | 42 |
| 2007-01-31 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1749 | 1908 | 15.6% | 21.6% | 62.7% | -2.7 | 19 |
| 2007-01-31 | Borussia Dortmund | W 1-0 | 1736 | 1837 | 29.1% | 26.9% | 44.0% | +7.2 | 17 |
| 2007-01-31 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-1 | 1837 | 1736 | 44.0% | 26.9% | 29.1% | -7.2 | 25 |
| 2007-01-31 | Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1822 | 1735 | 54.3% | 24.8% | 20.9% | -1.2 | 15 |
| 2007-01-31 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1735 | 1822 | 20.9% | 24.8% | 54.3% | +1.2 | 21 |
| 2007-01-31 | Hertha BSC | W 5-0 | 1755 | 1861 | 28.5% | 26.8% | 44.7% | +32.1 | 23 |
| 2007-01-31 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-5 | 1861 | 1755 | 44.7% | 26.8% | 28.5% | -32.1 | 30 |
| 2007-01-31 | Werder Bremen | L 0-2 | 1884 | 1979 | 29.8% | 27.0% | 43.1% | -10.1 | 28 |
| 2007-01-31 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-0 | 1979 | 1884 | 43.1% | 27.0% | 29.8% | +10.1 | 42 |
| 2007-02-02 | Bayern Munich | W 3-0 | 1848 | 1930 | 31.5% | 27.2% | 41.3% | +18.7 | 30 |
| 2007-02-02 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-3 | 1930 | 1848 | 41.3% | 27.2% | 31.5% | -18.7 | 34 |
| 2007-02-03 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-2 | 1752 | 1874 | 26.8% | 26.5% | 46.7% | +6.7 | 23 |
| 2007-02-03 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 2-3 | 1874 | 1752 | 46.7% | 26.5% | 26.8% | -6.7 | 28 |
| 2007-02-03 | Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-2 | 1788 | 1732 | 50.4% | 25.8% | 23.8% | -15.1 | 23 |
| 2007-02-03 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1732 | 1788 | 23.8% | 25.8% | 50.4% | +15.1 | 19 |
| 2007-02-03 | Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1829 | 1821 | 44.0% | 26.9% | 29.0% | +4.9 | 33 |
| 2007-02-03 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1821 | 1829 | 29.0% | 26.9% | 44.0% | -4.9 | 15 |
| 2007-02-03 | Hannover 96 | L 1-4 | 1746 | 1787 | 37.2% | 27.4% | 35.4% | -14.6 | 19 |
| 2007-02-03 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 4-1 | 1787 | 1746 | 35.4% | 27.4% | 37.2% | +14.6 | 26 |
| 2007-02-03 | Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1762 | 1743 | 45.5% | 26.7% | 27.8% | -0.7 | 22 |
| 2007-02-03 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1743 | 1762 | 27.8% | 26.7% | 45.5% | +0.7 | 18 |
| 2007-02-03 | VfL Bochum | D 0-0 | 1736 | 1759 | 39.8% | 27.3% | 32.9% | -0.2 | 22 |
| 2007-02-03 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1759 | 1736 | 32.9% | 27.3% | 39.8% | +0.2 | 20 |
| 2007-02-04 | Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1989 | 1911 | 53.2% | 25.1% | 21.7% | -15.8 | 42 |
| 2007-02-04 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-0 | 1911 | 1989 | 21.7% | 25.1% | 53.2% | +15.8 | 45 |
| 2007-02-04 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1830 | 1854 | 39.5% | 27.3% | 33.2% | -6.6 | 25 |
| 2007-02-04 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 1-0 | 1854 | 1830 | 33.2% | 27.3% | 39.5% | +6.6 | 38 |
| 2007-02-09 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 1802 | 1759 | 48.7% | 26.2% | 25.2% | -0.6 | 27 |
| 2007-02-09 | @ Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1759 | 1802 | 25.2% | 26.2% | 48.7% | +0.6 | 24 |
| 2007-02-10 | Alemannia Aachen | D 0-0 | 1747 | 1732 | 45.0% | 26.8% | 28.2% | -0.6 | 20 |
| 2007-02-10 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 0-0 | 1732 | 1747 | 28.2% | 26.8% | 45.0% | +0.6 | 20 |
| 2007-02-10 | Borussia Dortmund | W 3-0 | 1816 | 1823 | 41.9% | 27.1% | 30.9% | +15.1 | 18 |
| 2007-02-10 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-3 | 1823 | 1816 | 30.9% | 27.1% | 41.9% | -15.1 | 25 |
| 2007-02-10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1867 | 1761 | 56.6% | 24.0% | 19.4% | -1.0 | 29 |
| 2007-02-10 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 2-2 | 1761 | 1867 | 19.4% | 24.0% | 56.6% | +1.0 | 23 |
| 2007-02-10 | Energie Cottbus | W 4-1 | 1744 | 1736 | 44.0% | 26.9% | 29.0% | +12.1 | 21 |
| 2007-02-10 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-4 | 1736 | 1744 | 29.0% | 26.9% | 44.0% | -12.1 | 22 |
| 2007-02-10 | Hertha BSC | W 2-0 | 1927 | 1834 | 55.0% | 24.5% | 20.4% | +7.2 | 48 |
| 2007-02-10 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1834 | 1927 | 20.4% | 24.5% | 55.0% | -7.2 | 33 |
| 2007-02-10 | Werder Bremen | W 4-1 | 1861 | 1973 | 27.8% | 26.7% | 45.5% | +17.0 | 41 |
| 2007-02-10 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-4 | 1973 | 1861 | 45.5% | 26.7% | 27.8% | -17.0 | 42 |
| 2007-02-11 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1759 | 1867 | 28.3% | 26.8% | 44.9% | -9.7 | 20 |
| 2007-02-11 | @ VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1867 | 1759 | 44.9% | 26.8% | 28.3% | +9.7 | 33 |
| 2007-02-11 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1912 | 1773 | 60.5% | 22.6% | 17.0% | +3.2 | 37 |
| 2007-02-11 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1773 | 1912 | 17.0% | 22.6% | 60.5% | -3.2 | 23 |
| 2007-02-16 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-4 | 1762 | 1878 | 27.4% | 26.7% | 46.0% | -17.9 | 23 |
| 2007-02-16 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 4-0 | 1878 | 1762 | 46.0% | 26.7% | 27.4% | +17.9 | 44 |
| 2007-02-17 | Bayern Munich | W 1-0 | 1732 | 1915 | 20.8% | 24.7% | 54.6% | +8.5 | 23 |
| 2007-02-17 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 0-1 | 1915 | 1732 | 54.6% | 24.7% | 20.8% | -8.5 | 37 |
| 2007-02-17 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1808 | 1746 | 51.2% | 25.6% | 23.2% | +4.3 | 28 |
| 2007-02-17 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1746 | 1808 | 23.2% | 25.6% | 51.2% | -4.3 | 20 |
| 2007-02-17 | Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1956 | 1831 | 58.9% | 23.2% | 17.9% | -17.1 | 42 |
| 2007-02-17 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-0 | 1831 | 1956 | 17.9% | 23.2% | 58.9% | +17.1 | 21 |
| 2007-02-17 | Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1866 | 1801 | 51.6% | 25.5% | 22.9% | -8.1 | 29 |
| 2007-02-17 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1801 | 1866 | 22.9% | 25.5% | 51.6% | +8.1 | 30 |
| 2007-02-17 | Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1827 | 1756 | 52.3% | 25.3% | 22.4% | -7.8 | 33 |
| 2007-02-17 | @ Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1756 | 1827 | 22.4% | 25.3% | 52.3% | +7.8 | 24 |
| 2007-02-17 | Schalke 04 | D 2-2 | 1760 | 1934 | 21.5% | 25.0% | 53.5% | +0.8 | 25 |
| 2007-02-17 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 1934 | 1760 | 53.5% | 25.0% | 21.5% | -0.8 | 49 |
| 2007-02-18 | Energie Cottbus | W 1-0 | 1877 | 1724 | 62.0% | 22.0% | 16.0% | +3.0 | 36 |
| 2007-02-18 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1724 | 1877 | 16.0% | 22.0% | 62.0% | -3.0 | 22 |
| 2007-02-18 | VfL Bochum | L 1-3 | 1770 | 1749 | 45.7% | 26.7% | 27.6% | -12.1 | 23 |
| 2007-02-18 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-1 | 1749 | 1770 | 27.6% | 26.7% | 45.7% | +12.1 | 23 |
| 2007-02-23 | Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1896 | 1819 | 53.1% | 25.1% | 21.8% | -1.2 | 45 |
| 2007-02-23 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 0-0 | 1819 | 1896 | 21.8% | 25.1% | 53.1% | +1.2 | 34 |
| 2007-02-24 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1764 | 1880 | 27.4% | 26.6% | 46.0% | +7.0 | 27 |
| 2007-02-24 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1880 | 1764 | 46.0% | 26.6% | 27.4% | -7.0 | 36 |
| 2007-02-24 | Alemannia Aachen | D 2-2 | 1761 | 1741 | 45.8% | 26.7% | 27.6% | -0.5 | 24 |
| 2007-02-24 | @ VfL Bochum | D 2-2 | 1741 | 1761 | 27.6% | 26.7% | 45.8% | +0.5 | 24 |
| 2007-02-24 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1721 | 1757 | 37.8% | 27.4% | 34.8% | +5.7 | 25 |
| 2007-02-24 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-2 | 1757 | 1721 | 34.8% | 27.4% | 37.8% | -5.7 | 23 |
| 2007-02-24 | Borussia Dortmund | W 4-2 | 1809 | 1813 | 42.4% | 27.1% | 30.5% | +8.0 | 33 |
| 2007-02-24 | @ Hannover 96 | L 2-4 | 1813 | 1809 | 30.5% | 27.1% | 42.4% | -8.0 | 28 |
| 2007-02-24 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-1 | 1848 | 1744 | 56.4% | 24.1% | 19.5% | +6.0 | 24 |
| 2007-02-24 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-3 | 1744 | 1848 | 19.5% | 24.1% | 56.4% | -6.0 | 23 |
| 2007-02-24 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1906 | 1761 | 61.2% | 22.3% | 16.5% | +2.9 | 40 |
| 2007-02-24 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1761 | 1906 | 16.5% | 22.3% | 61.2% | -2.9 | 25 |
| 2007-02-25 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-1 | 1933 | 1858 | 52.9% | 25.2% | 21.9% | -8.3 | 49 |
| 2007-02-25 | @ Schalke 04 | W 1-0 | 1858 | 1933 | 21.9% | 25.2% | 52.9% | +8.3 | 32 |
| 2007-02-25 | Werder Bremen | D 2-2 | 1742 | 1939 | 19.5% | 24.1% | 56.4% | +1.0 | 21 |
| 2007-02-25 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 2-2 | 1939 | 1742 | 56.4% | 24.1% | 19.5% | -1.0 | 43 |
| 2007-03-02 | Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1925 | 1854 | 52.3% | 25.3% | 22.4% | -15.5 | 49 |
| 2007-03-02 | @ Schalke 04 | W 2-0 | 1854 | 1925 | 22.4% | 25.3% | 52.3% | +15.5 | 27 |
| 2007-03-03 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-2 | 1752 | 1873 | 26.8% | 26.5% | 46.7% | +6.7 | 26 |
| 2007-03-03 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 2-3 | 1873 | 1752 | 46.7% | 26.5% | 26.8% | -6.7 | 36 |
| 2007-03-03 | Bayern Munich | L 2-3 | 1820 | 1909 | 30.6% | 27.1% | 42.3% | -4.9 | 34 |
| 2007-03-03 | @ Hertha BSC | W 3-2 | 1909 | 1820 | 42.3% | 27.1% | 30.6% | +4.9 | 43 |
| 2007-03-03 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1758 | 1743 | 45.0% | 26.8% | 28.2% | +5.1 | 28 |
| 2007-03-03 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-1 | 1743 | 1758 | 28.2% | 26.8% | 45.0% | -5.1 | 21 |
| 2007-03-03 | Hannover 96 | W 2-0 | 1738 | 1817 | 31.9% | 27.2% | 40.9% | +12.8 | 26 |
| 2007-03-03 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-2 | 1817 | 1738 | 40.9% | 27.2% | 31.9% | -12.8 | 33 |
| 2007-03-03 | VfB Stuttgart | W 3-1 | 1866 | 1895 | 38.9% | 27.3% | 33.7% | +9.6 | 35 |
| 2007-03-03 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-3 | 1895 | 1866 | 33.7% | 27.3% | 38.9% | -9.6 | 45 |
| 2007-03-03 | VfL Bochum | W 3-0 | 1938 | 1761 | 64.7% | 20.8% | 14.5% | +7.3 | 46 |
| 2007-03-03 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-3 | 1761 | 1938 | 14.5% | 20.8% | 64.7% | -7.4 | 24 |
| 2007-03-04 | Energie Cottbus | L 2-3 | 1805 | 1727 | 53.2% | 25.1% | 21.7% | -7.5 | 28 |
| 2007-03-04 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 3-2 | 1727 | 1805 | 21.7% | 25.1% | 53.2% | +7.5 | 28 |
| 2007-03-04 | Mainz 05 | W 2-1 | 1741 | 1771 | 38.8% | 27.3% | 33.9% | +5.6 | 27 |
| 2007-03-04 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 1-2 | 1771 | 1741 | 33.9% | 27.3% | 38.8% | -5.6 | 27 |
| 2007-03-09 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1866 | 1751 | 57.7% | 23.6% | 18.7% | -1.0 | 37 |
| 2007-03-09 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1751 | 1866 | 18.7% | 23.6% | 57.7% | +1.0 | 27 |
| 2007-03-10 | Alemannia Aachen | L 0-2 | 1734 | 1747 | 41.2% | 27.2% | 31.6% | -12.9 | 28 |
| 2007-03-10 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1747 | 1734 | 31.6% | 27.2% | 41.2% | +12.9 | 30 |
| 2007-03-10 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1765 | 1758 | 43.9% | 26.9% | 29.2% | +5.3 | 30 |
| 2007-03-10 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-1 | 1758 | 1765 | 29.2% | 26.9% | 43.9% | -5.3 | 26 |
| 2007-03-10 | Borussia Dortmund | W 2-0 | 1754 | 1797 | 36.8% | 27.4% | 35.9% | +11.6 | 27 |
| 2007-03-10 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1797 | 1754 | 35.9% | 27.4% | 36.8% | -11.6 | 28 |
| 2007-03-10 | Hertha BSC | W 3-1 | 1738 | 1815 | 32.1% | 27.2% | 40.7% | +11.1 | 24 |
| 2007-03-10 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-3 | 1815 | 1738 | 40.7% | 27.2% | 32.1% | -11.0 | 34 |
| 2007-03-10 | Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1804 | 1909 | 28.6% | 26.9% | 44.5% | +0.5 | 34 |
| 2007-03-10 | @ Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1909 | 1804 | 44.5% | 26.9% | 28.6% | -0.5 | 50 |
| 2007-03-10 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 0-0 | 1885 | 1763 | 58.5% | 23.3% | 18.1% | -1.6 | 46 |
| 2007-03-10 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 0-0 | 1763 | 1885 | 18.1% | 23.3% | 58.5% | +1.6 | 29 |
| 2007-03-11 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 0-0 | 1870 | 1876 | 42.1% | 27.1% | 30.8% | -0.4 | 28 |
| 2007-03-11 | @ Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1876 | 1870 | 30.8% | 27.1% | 42.1% | +0.4 | 36 |
| 2007-03-11 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1914 | 1946 | 38.5% | 27.3% | 34.1% | -0.1 | 44 |
| 2007-03-11 | @ Bayern Munich | D 1-1 | 1946 | 1914 | 34.1% | 27.3% | 38.5% | +0.1 | 47 |
| 2007-03-16 | Energie Cottbus | L 0-1 | 1804 | 1721 | 53.8% | 24.9% | 21.3% | -8.4 | 34 |
| 2007-03-16 | @ Hertha BSC | W 1-0 | 1721 | 1804 | 21.3% | 24.9% | 53.8% | +8.4 | 31 |
| 2007-03-17 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1786 | 1865 | 31.8% | 27.2% | 41.0% | +0.3 | 29 |
| 2007-03-17 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 0-0 | 1865 | 1786 | 41.0% | 27.2% | 31.8% | -0.3 | 38 |
| 2007-03-17 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1760 | 1753 | 43.8% | 26.9% | 29.2% | +9.9 | 33 |
| 2007-03-17 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 0-2 | 1753 | 1760 | 29.2% | 26.9% | 43.8% | -9.9 | 26 |
| 2007-03-17 | Bayern Munich | W 1-0 | 1752 | 1914 | 22.6% | 25.4% | 52.0% | +8.2 | 30 |
| 2007-03-17 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1914 | 1752 | 52.0% | 25.4% | 22.6% | -8.2 | 44 |
| 2007-03-17 | Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1805 | 1869 | 33.8% | 27.3% | 38.9% | +0.2 | 35 |
| 2007-03-17 | @ Hannover 96 | D 0-0 | 1869 | 1805 | 38.9% | 27.3% | 33.8% | -0.2 | 29 |
| 2007-03-17 | VfB Stuttgart | W 1-0 | 1909 | 1883 | 46.4% | 26.6% | 27.0% | +4.9 | 53 |
| 2007-03-17 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1883 | 1909 | 27.0% | 26.6% | 46.4% | -4.9 | 46 |
| 2007-03-17 | VfL Bochum | W 3-1 | 1764 | 1765 | 42.8% | 27.1% | 30.1% | +8.8 | 32 |
| 2007-03-17 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-3 | 1765 | 1764 | 30.1% | 27.1% | 42.8% | -8.8 | 27 |
| 2007-03-18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1876 | 1749 | 59.1% | 23.1% | 17.7% | +3.3 | 39 |
| 2007-03-18 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-1 | 1749 | 1876 | 17.7% | 23.1% | 59.1% | -3.3 | 24 |
| 2007-03-18 | Mainz 05 | W 2-0 | 1946 | 1771 | 64.4% | 20.9% | 14.7% | +5.1 | 50 |
| 2007-03-18 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-2 | 1771 | 1946 | 14.7% | 20.9% | 64.4% | -5.1 | 30 |
| 2007-03-30 | Borussia Dortmund | W 1-0 | 1743 | 1786 | 36.9% | 27.4% | 35.7% | +6.1 | 29 |
| 2007-03-30 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-1 | 1786 | 1743 | 35.7% | 27.4% | 36.9% | -6.1 | 29 |
| 2007-03-31 | Alemannia Aachen | W 3-1 | 1879 | 1770 | 57.0% | 23.9% | 19.1% | +5.9 | 49 |
| 2007-03-31 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-3 | 1770 | 1879 | 19.1% | 23.9% | 57.0% | -5.9 | 33 |
| 2007-03-31 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-3 | 1766 | 1880 | 27.6% | 26.7% | 45.7% | -8.2 | 30 |
| 2007-03-31 | @ Mainz 05 | W 3-1 | 1880 | 1766 | 45.7% | 26.7% | 27.6% | +8.2 | 42 |
| 2007-03-31 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1745 | 1760 | 40.8% | 27.2% | 31.9% | -0.3 | 25 |
| 2007-03-31 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1760 | 1745 | 31.9% | 27.2% | 40.8% | +0.3 | 31 |
| 2007-03-31 | Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1865 | 1796 | 52.1% | 25.4% | 22.6% | +4.0 | 41 |
| 2007-03-31 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1796 | 1865 | 22.6% | 25.4% | 52.1% | -4.0 | 34 |
| 2007-03-31 | Schalke 04 | W 2-0 | 1906 | 1914 | 41.8% | 27.2% | 31.0% | +10.4 | 47 |
| 2007-03-31 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1914 | 1906 | 31.0% | 27.2% | 41.8% | -10.4 | 53 |
| 2007-03-31 | Werder Bremen | D 0-0 | 1730 | 1951 | 17.8% | 23.1% | 59.1% | +1.7 | 32 |
| 2007-03-31 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1951 | 1730 | 59.1% | 23.1% | 17.8% | -1.7 | 51 |
| 2007-04-01 | Hannover 96 | W 2-0 | 1756 | 1805 | 36.1% | 27.4% | 36.6% | +11.8 | 30 |
| 2007-04-01 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1805 | 1756 | 36.6% | 27.4% | 36.1% | -11.8 | 35 |
| 2007-04-01 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 1-0 | 1869 | 1773 | 55.4% | 24.4% | 20.2% | +3.8 | 32 |
| 2007-04-01 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1773 | 1869 | 20.2% | 24.4% | 55.4% | -3.8 | 32 |
| 2007-04-07 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1792 | 1749 | 48.7% | 26.2% | 25.2% | -0.8 | 35 |
| 2007-04-07 | @ Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1749 | 1792 | 25.2% | 26.2% | 48.7% | +0.8 | 30 |
| 2007-04-07 | Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1793 | 1916 | 26.6% | 26.5% | 46.9% | -4.6 | 35 |
| 2007-04-07 | @ Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1916 | 1793 | 46.9% | 26.5% | 26.6% | +4.6 | 50 |
| 2007-04-07 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-4 | 1764 | 1780 | 40.7% | 27.2% | 32.1% | -15.6 | 33 |
| 2007-04-07 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 4-1 | 1780 | 1764 | 32.1% | 27.2% | 40.7% | +15.6 | 32 |
| 2007-04-07 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-0 | 1903 | 1745 | 62.6% | 21.7% | 15.7% | +5.5 | 56 |
| 2007-04-07 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1745 | 1903 | 15.7% | 21.7% | 62.6% | -5.5 | 25 |
| 2007-04-07 | Energie Cottbus | L 1-3 | 1761 | 1731 | 46.9% | 26.5% | 26.6% | -12.3 | 31 |
| 2007-04-07 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-1 | 1731 | 1761 | 26.6% | 26.5% | 46.9% | +12.3 | 35 |
| 2007-04-07 | Mainz 05 | W 3-2 | 1769 | 1757 | 44.6% | 26.8% | 28.6% | +4.6 | 35 |
| 2007-04-07 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 2-3 | 1757 | 1769 | 28.6% | 26.8% | 44.6% | -4.6 | 30 |
| 2007-04-07 | VfB Stuttgart | L 2-4 | 1873 | 1884 | 41.3% | 27.2% | 31.5% | -10.0 | 32 |
| 2007-04-07 | @ Hamburger SV | W 4-2 | 1884 | 1873 | 31.5% | 27.2% | 41.3% | +10.0 | 52 |
| 2007-04-08 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1949 | 1869 | 53.5% | 25.0% | 21.5% | +4.0 | 54 |
| 2007-04-08 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-1 | 1869 | 1949 | 21.5% | 25.0% | 53.5% | -4.0 | 41 |
| 2007-04-08 | VfL Bochum | L 1-4 | 1888 | 1768 | 58.2% | 23.5% | 18.3% | -20.7 | 42 |
| 2007-04-08 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 4-1 | 1768 | 1888 | 18.3% | 23.5% | 58.2% | +20.8 | 33 |
| 2007-04-13 | Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1740 | 1863 | 26.5% | 26.5% | 47.0% | -4.9 | 25 |
| 2007-04-13 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1863 | 1740 | 47.0% | 26.5% | 26.5% | +4.9 | 35 |
| 2007-04-14 | Alemannia Aachen | W 1-0 | 1865 | 1748 | 57.9% | 23.6% | 18.6% | +3.5 | 44 |
| 2007-04-14 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1748 | 1865 | 18.6% | 23.6% | 57.9% | -3.5 | 33 |
| 2007-04-14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 2-4 | 1750 | 1748 | 43.2% | 27.0% | 29.8% | -10.3 | 30 |
| 2007-04-14 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 4-2 | 1748 | 1750 | 29.8% | 27.0% | 43.2% | +10.3 | 34 |
| 2007-04-14 | Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1894 | 1789 | 56.6% | 24.0% | 19.4% | +3.4 | 55 |
| 2007-04-14 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1789 | 1894 | 19.4% | 24.0% | 56.6% | -3.4 | 35 |
| 2007-04-14 | Hertha BSC | L 1-3 | 1789 | 1791 | 42.6% | 27.1% | 30.3% | -11.5 | 33 |
| 2007-04-14 | @ VfL Bochum | W 3-1 | 1791 | 1789 | 30.3% | 27.1% | 42.6% | +11.4 | 38 |
| 2007-04-14 | Schalke 04 | L 0-3 | 1753 | 1909 | 23.2% | 25.6% | 51.3% | -11.8 | 30 |
| 2007-04-14 | @ Mainz 05 | W 3-0 | 1909 | 1753 | 51.3% | 25.6% | 23.2% | +11.8 | 59 |
| 2007-04-14 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-2 | 1744 | 1774 | 38.7% | 27.3% | 34.0% | +5.3 | 38 |
| 2007-04-14 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 2-3 | 1774 | 1744 | 34.0% | 27.3% | 38.7% | -5.3 | 35 |
| 2007-04-15 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 1921 | 1867 | 50.1% | 25.9% | 24.0% | +4.2 | 53 |
| 2007-04-15 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1867 | 1921 | 24.0% | 25.9% | 50.1% | -4.2 | 42 |
| 2007-04-15 | Werder Bremen | L 0-2 | 1795 | 1953 | 23.0% | 25.5% | 51.5% | -8.1 | 32 |
| 2007-04-15 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 2-0 | 1953 | 1795 | 51.5% | 25.5% | 23.0% | +8.1 | 57 |
| 2007-04-20 | Alemannia Aachen | W 3-1 | 1961 | 1745 | 68.7% | 18.8% | 12.4% | +3.7 | 60 |
| 2007-04-20 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-3 | 1745 | 1961 | 12.4% | 18.8% | 68.7% | -3.6 | 33 |
| 2007-04-21 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-0 | 1863 | 1868 | 42.2% | 27.1% | 30.7% | +10.3 | 45 |
| 2007-04-21 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1868 | 1863 | 30.7% | 27.1% | 42.2% | -10.3 | 44 |
| 2007-04-21 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 2-3 | 1769 | 1740 | 46.9% | 26.5% | 26.6% | -6.8 | 35 |
| 2007-04-21 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-2 | 1740 | 1769 | 26.6% | 26.5% | 46.9% | +6.8 | 33 |
| 2007-04-21 | Bayern Munich | W 2-0 | 1898 | 1925 | 39.1% | 27.3% | 33.6% | +11.1 | 58 |
| 2007-04-21 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1925 | 1898 | 33.6% | 27.3% | 39.1% | -11.1 | 53 |
| 2007-04-21 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1803 | 1787 | 45.0% | 26.8% | 28.2% | -7.3 | 38 |
| 2007-04-21 | @ Hertha BSC | W 1-0 | 1787 | 1803 | 28.2% | 26.8% | 45.0% | +7.3 | 35 |
| 2007-04-21 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1921 | 1749 | 64.1% | 21.1% | 14.9% | +5.2 | 62 |
| 2007-04-21 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1749 | 1921 | 14.9% | 21.1% | 64.1% | -5.2 | 38 |
| 2007-04-21 | VfL Bochum | L 0-3 | 1759 | 1777 | 40.3% | 27.3% | 32.4% | -18.4 | 34 |
| 2007-04-21 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-0 | 1777 | 1759 | 32.4% | 27.3% | 40.3% | +18.4 | 36 |
| 2007-04-22 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1785 | 1735 | 49.7% | 25.9% | 24.3% | +4.5 | 38 |
| 2007-04-22 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1735 | 1785 | 24.3% | 25.9% | 49.7% | -4.5 | 25 |
| 2007-04-22 | Mainz 05 | D 2-2 | 1868 | 1741 | 59.1% | 23.1% | 17.8% | -1.1 | 36 |
| 2007-04-22 | @ Hamburger SV | D 2-2 | 1741 | 1868 | 17.8% | 23.1% | 59.1% | +1.1 | 31 |
| 2007-04-27 | Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1796 | 1926 | 25.8% | 26.3% | 47.9% | +7.2 | 39 |
| 2007-04-27 | @ VfL Bochum | L 1-2 | 1926 | 1796 | 47.9% | 26.3% | 25.8% | -7.2 | 62 |
| 2007-04-28 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1795 | 1740 | 50.2% | 25.8% | 23.9% | +8.4 | 38 |
| 2007-04-28 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1740 | 1795 | 23.9% | 25.8% | 50.2% | -8.4 | 34 |
| 2007-04-28 | Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1914 | 1867 | 49.3% | 26.0% | 24.7% | -7.4 | 53 |
| 2007-04-28 | @ Bayern Munich | W 2-1 | 1867 | 1914 | 24.7% | 26.0% | 49.3% | +7.4 | 39 |
| 2007-04-28 | Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1742 | 1790 | 36.2% | 27.4% | 36.4% | -5.8 | 31 |
| 2007-04-28 | @ Mainz 05 | W 2-1 | 1790 | 1742 | 36.4% | 27.4% | 36.2% | +5.8 | 41 |
| 2007-04-28 | Hertha BSC | L 0-4 | 1741 | 1795 | 35.2% | 27.4% | 37.4% | -21.8 | 33 |
| 2007-04-28 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 4-0 | 1795 | 1741 | 37.4% | 27.4% | 35.2% | +21.8 | 41 |
| 2007-04-28 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1730 | 1909 | 21.1% | 24.8% | 54.1% | -4.0 | 25 |
| 2007-04-28 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1909 | 1730 | 54.1% | 24.8% | 21.1% | +4.0 | 61 |
| 2007-04-28 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1858 | 1762 | 55.4% | 24.4% | 20.2% | -1.2 | 45 |
| 2007-04-28 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1762 | 1858 | 20.2% | 24.4% | 55.4% | +1.2 | 36 |
| 2007-04-29 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 1744 | 1873 | 25.9% | 26.3% | 47.8% | +7.2 | 41 |
| 2007-04-29 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-2 | 1873 | 1744 | 47.8% | 26.3% | 25.9% | -7.2 | 45 |
| 2007-04-29 | Werder Bremen | W 3-2 | 1747 | 1965 | 17.9% | 23.2% | 58.8% | +8.1 | 36 |
| 2007-04-29 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 2-3 | 1965 | 1747 | 58.8% | 23.2% | 17.9% | -8.1 | 60 |
| 2007-05-04 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1796 | 1751 | 48.9% | 26.1% | 24.9% | +8.7 | 44 |
| 2007-05-04 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1751 | 1796 | 24.9% | 26.1% | 48.9% | -8.7 | 41 |
| 2007-05-05 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1919 | 1857 | 51.2% | 25.6% | 23.2% | +4.3 | 65 |
| 2007-05-05 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1857 | 1919 | 23.2% | 25.6% | 51.2% | -4.3 | 45 |
| 2007-05-05 | Alemannia Aachen | W 4-0 | 1732 | 1719 | 44.7% | 26.8% | 28.5% | +18.5 | 37 |
| 2007-05-05 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-4 | 1719 | 1732 | 28.5% | 26.8% | 44.7% | -18.5 | 33 |
| 2007-05-05 | Bayern Munich | D 1-1 | 1726 | 1907 | 21.0% | 24.8% | 54.3% | +1.2 | 26 |
| 2007-05-05 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1907 | 1726 | 54.3% | 24.8% | 21.0% | -1.2 | 54 |
| 2007-05-05 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1763 | 1803 | 37.3% | 27.4% | 35.3% | -12.0 | 36 |
| 2007-05-05 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-0 | 1803 | 1763 | 35.3% | 27.4% | 37.3% | +12.0 | 41 |
| 2007-05-05 | Mainz 05 | W 2-0 | 1913 | 1736 | 64.6% | 20.8% | 14.6% | +5.1 | 64 |
| 2007-05-05 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1736 | 1913 | 14.6% | 20.8% | 64.6% | -5.1 | 31 |
| 2007-05-05 | VfL Bochum | L 0-3 | 1874 | 1803 | 52.3% | 25.3% | 22.4% | -22.6 | 39 |
| 2007-05-05 | @ Hamburger SV | W 3-0 | 1803 | 1874 | 22.4% | 25.3% | 52.3% | +22.6 | 42 |
| 2007-05-06 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-2 | 1866 | 1755 | 57.2% | 23.8% | 19.0% | -8.4 | 45 |
| 2007-05-06 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 1755 | 1866 | 19.0% | 23.8% | 57.2% | +8.4 | 39 |
| 2007-05-06 | Werder Bremen | L 1-4 | 1817 | 1957 | 24.8% | 26.1% | 49.2% | -10.6 | 41 |
| 2007-05-06 | @ Hertha BSC | W 4-1 | 1957 | 1817 | 49.2% | 26.1% | 24.8% | +10.6 | 63 |
| 2007-05-12 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 2-3 | 1806 | 1858 | 35.7% | 27.4% | 36.9% | -5.5 | 41 |
| 2007-05-12 | @ Hertha BSC | W 3-2 | 1858 | 1806 | 36.9% | 27.4% | 35.7% | +5.5 | 48 |
| 2007-05-12 | Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1742 | 1905 | 22.5% | 25.4% | 52.1% | -11.5 | 41 |
| 2007-05-12 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 3-0 | 1905 | 1742 | 52.1% | 25.4% | 22.5% | +11.5 | 57 |
| 2007-05-12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-0 | 1731 | 1727 | 43.4% | 27.0% | 29.6% | +14.6 | 34 |
| 2007-05-12 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-3 | 1727 | 1731 | 29.6% | 27.0% | 43.4% | -14.6 | 26 |
| 2007-05-12 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1967 | 1750 | 68.8% | 18.8% | 12.4% | -9.6 | 63 |
| 2007-05-12 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1750 | 1967 | 12.4% | 18.8% | 68.8% | +9.6 | 40 |
| 2007-05-12 | Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1852 | 1852 | 43.0% | 27.0% | 29.9% | -13.3 | 45 |
| 2007-05-12 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-0 | 1852 | 1852 | 29.9% | 27.0% | 43.0% | +13.3 | 42 |
| 2007-05-12 | Hannover 96 | W 3-1 | 1763 | 1804 | 37.1% | 27.4% | 35.5% | +10.0 | 42 |
| 2007-05-12 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-3 | 1804 | 1763 | 35.5% | 27.4% | 37.1% | -10.0 | 44 |
| 2007-05-12 | Schalke 04 | W 2-0 | 1815 | 1923 | 28.3% | 26.8% | 44.9% | +13.8 | 44 |
| 2007-05-12 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1923 | 1815 | 44.9% | 26.8% | 28.3% | -13.8 | 65 |
| 2007-05-12 | VfB Stuttgart | L 2-3 | 1826 | 1918 | 30.2% | 27.1% | 42.7% | -4.8 | 42 |
| 2007-05-12 | @ VfL Bochum | W 3-2 | 1918 | 1826 | 42.7% | 27.1% | 30.2% | +4.8 | 67 |
| 2007-05-12 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 1701 | 1751 | 35.8% | 27.4% | 36.9% | +0.0 | 34 |
| 2007-05-12 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 2-2 | 1751 | 1701 | 36.9% | 27.4% | 35.8% | -0.0 | 37 |
| 2007-05-19 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-3 | 1794 | 1839 | 36.6% | 27.4% | 36.0% | -17.1 | 44 |
| 2007-05-19 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 1839 | 1794 | 36.0% | 27.4% | 36.6% | +17.1 | 48 |
| 2007-05-19 | Alemannia Aachen | W 4-0 | 1865 | 1701 | 63.2% | 21.4% | 15.3% | +10.2 | 45 |
| 2007-05-19 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-4 | 1701 | 1865 | 15.3% | 21.4% | 63.2% | -10.2 | 34 |
| 2007-05-19 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1909 | 1773 | 60.1% | 22.7% | 17.1% | +3.0 | 68 |
| 2007-05-19 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1773 | 1909 | 17.1% | 22.7% | 60.1% | -3.0 | 42 |
| 2007-05-19 | Borussia Dortmund | W 2-1 | 1863 | 1829 | 47.6% | 26.4% | 26.0% | +4.5 | 51 |
| 2007-05-19 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1829 | 1863 | 26.0% | 26.4% | 47.6% | -4.5 | 44 |
| 2007-05-19 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-1 | 1923 | 1731 | 66.2% | 20.1% | 13.7% | +2.4 | 70 |
| 2007-05-19 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1731 | 1923 | 13.7% | 20.1% | 66.2% | -2.4 | 41 |
| 2007-05-19 | Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1760 | 1801 | 37.1% | 27.4% | 35.5% | -6.0 | 40 |
| 2007-05-19 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1801 | 1760 | 35.5% | 27.4% | 37.1% | +6.0 | 44 |
| 2007-05-19 | Mainz 05 | W 5-2 | 1917 | 1746 | 64.0% | 21.1% | 14.9% | +5.5 | 60 |
| 2007-05-19 | @ Bayern Munich | L 2-5 | 1746 | 1917 | 14.9% | 21.1% | 64.0% | -5.5 | 34 |
| 2007-05-19 | VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1713 | 1821 | 28.3% | 26.8% | 44.9% | -9.7 | 26 |
| 2007-05-19 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-0 | 1821 | 1713 | 44.9% | 26.8% | 28.3% | +9.7 | 45 |
| 2007-05-19 | Werder Bremen | L 0-2 | 1751 | 1958 | 18.8% | 23.7% | 57.4% | -6.7 | 37 |
| 2007-05-19 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-0 | 1958 | 1751 | 57.4% | 23.7% | 18.8% | +6.7 | 66 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2007-05-12 | 12.41% | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1750 | 2 | @ Werder Bremen | 1967 | 1 |
| 2 | 2006-11-08 | 14.71% | Hannover 96 | 1745 | 1 | @ Bayern Munich | 1919 | 0 |
| 3 | 2006-11-10 | 17.61% | Borussia Dortmund | 1832 | 3 | @ Werder Bremen | 1961 | 1 |
| 4 | 2007-02-17 | 17.92% | Hamburger SV | 1831 | 2 | @ Werder Bremen | 1956 | 0 |
| 5 | 2007-04-29 | 17.95% | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1747 | 3 | Werder Bremen | 1965 | 2 |
| 6 | 2007-04-08 | 18.32% | VfL Bochum | 1768 | 4 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1888 | 1 |
| 7 | 2006-09-16 | 18.81% | VfB Stuttgart | 1796 | 3 | @ Werder Bremen | 1909 | 2 |
| 8 | 2007-05-06 | 18.96% | Arminia Bielefeld | 1755 | 2 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1866 | 1 |
| 9 | 2007-02-17 | 20.76% | @ Alemannia Aachen | 1732 | 1 | Bayern Munich | 1915 | 0 |
| 10 | 2006-09-16 | 21.21% | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1750 | 2 | Bayern Munich | 1928 | 1 |
| 11 | 2007-03-16 | 21.27% | Energie Cottbus | 1721 | 1 | @ Hertha BSC | 1804 | 0 |
| 12 | 2006-09-30 | 21.43% | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 1748 | 1 | Bayern Munich | 1923 | 0 |
| 13 | 2007-03-04 | 21.71% | Energie Cottbus | 1727 | 3 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 1805 | 2 |
| 14 | 2007-02-04 | 21.73% | Schalke 04 | 1911 | 2 | @ Werder Bremen | 1989 | 0 |
| 15 | 2007-02-25 | 21.95% | Bayer Leverkusen | 1858 | 1 | @ Schalke 04 | 1933 | 0 |
| 16 | 2007-05-05 | 22.35% | VfL Bochum | 1803 | 3 | @ Hamburger SV | 1874 | 0 |
| 17 | 2007-03-02 | 22.38% | Hamburger SV | 1854 | 2 | @ Schalke 04 | 1925 | 0 |
| 18 | 2007-02-17 | 22.39% | Mainz 05 | 1756 | 2 | @ Hertha BSC | 1827 | 1 |
| 19 | 2007-03-17 | 22.61% | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1752 | 1 | Bayern Munich | 1914 | 0 |
| 20 | 2007-02-17 | 22.91% | Hannover 96 | 1801 | 1 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1866 | 0 |
| 21 | 2006-08-26 | 23.25% | Energie Cottbus | 1719 | 1 | @ VfL Bochum | 1781 | 0 |
| 22 | 2006-10-21 | 23.62% | Energie Cottbus | 1728 | 2 | @ Alemannia Aachen | 1785 | 1 |
| 23 | 2007-02-03 | 23.78% | Borussia Monchengladbach | 1732 | 2 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1788 | 0 |
| 24 | 2007-04-28 | 24.67% | Hamburger SV | 1867 | 2 | @ Bayern Munich | 1914 | 1 |
| 25 | 2006-10-28 | 25.78% | @ Energie Cottbus | 1735 | 2 | Hertha BSC | 1866 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2007-01-31 | 32.05 | @ Hannover 96 | 5 | 1755 | 28.50% | Hertha BSC | 0 | 1861 | 44.67% | 26.83% |
| 2 | 2006-10-14 | 24.26 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 1911 | 48.82% | @ VfL Bochum | 0 | 1773 | 25.04% | 26.13% |
| 3 | 2007-05-05 | 22.58 | VfL Bochum | 3 | 1803 | 22.35% | @ Hamburger SV | 0 | 1874 | 52.33% | 25.31% |
| 4 | 2007-04-28 | 21.76 | Hertha BSC | 4 | 1795 | 37.38% | @ Alemannia Aachen | 0 | 1741 | 35.24% | 27.37% |
| 5 | 2006-08-26 | 20.81 | Alemannia Aachen | 3 | 1741 | 26.31% | @ Hannover 96 | 0 | 1773 | 47.25% | 26.43% |
| 6 | 2007-04-08 | 20.75 | VfL Bochum | 4 | 1768 | 18.32% | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1888 | 58.22% | 23.46% |
| 7 | 2006-11-11 | 20.09 | Arminia Bielefeld | 3 | 1786 | 28.04% | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 1803 | 45.20% | 26.76% |
| 8 | 2006-08-12 | 19.86 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 3 | 1809 | 28.61% | @ VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1821 | 44.53% | 26.85% |
| 9 | 2007-02-02 | 18.74 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 3 | 1848 | 31.50% | Bayern Munich | 0 | 1930 | 41.31% | 27.19% |
| 10 | 2006-10-14 | 18.55 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 1804 | 31.99% | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 1882 | 40.78% | 27.23% |
| 11 | 2007-05-05 | 18.47 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1732 | 44.68% | Alemannia Aachen | 0 | 1719 | 28.49% | 26.83% |
| 12 | 2007-04-21 | 18.39 | VfL Bochum | 3 | 1777 | 32.44% | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 1759 | 40.30% | 27.26% |
| 13 | 2007-02-16 | 17.88 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1878 | 45.98% | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 1762 | 27.38% | 26.65% |
| 14 | 2006-10-29 | 17.14 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 1822 | 35.97% | Schalke 04 | 0 | 1872 | 36.65% | 27.38% |
| 15 | 2007-05-19 | 17.12 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 3 | 1839 | 36.01% | @ Hannover 96 | 0 | 1794 | 36.61% | 27.38% |
| 16 | 2007-02-17 | 17.09 | Hamburger SV | 2 | 1831 | 17.92% | @ Werder Bremen | 0 | 1956 | 58.86% | 23.22% |
| 17 | 2007-02-10 | 17.02 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1861 | 27.79% | Werder Bremen | 1 | 1973 | 45.49% | 26.72% |
| 18 | 2006-10-29 | 16.54 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 5 | 1769 | 41.65% | Alemannia Aachen | 1 | 1778 | 31.19% | 27.16% |
| 19 | 2006-08-19 | 16.01 | @ Hertha BSC | 4 | 1842 | 50.05% | Hannover 96 | 0 | 1789 | 24.08% | 25.87% |
| 20 | 2007-02-04 | 15.76 | Schalke 04 | 2 | 1911 | 21.73% | @ Werder Bremen | 0 | 1989 | 53.19% | 25.08% |
| 21 | 2007-04-07 | 15.62 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 1780 | 32.08% | @ Alemannia Aachen | 1 | 1764 | 40.68% | 27.23% |
| 22 | 2007-03-02 | 15.54 | Hamburger SV | 2 | 1854 | 22.38% | @ Schalke 04 | 0 | 1925 | 52.30% | 25.32% |
| 23 | 2006-10-27 | 15.34 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 1943 | 52.20% | @ Mainz 05 | 1 | 1780 | 22.45% | 25.35% |
| 24 | 2007-02-03 | 15.10 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 2 | 1732 | 23.78% | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 1788 | 50.44% | 25.78% |
| 25 | 2007-02-10 | 15.09 | @ Hamburger SV | 3 | 1816 | 41.91% | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 1823 | 30.95% | 27.14% |