2022-23 2. Bundesliga Season
306 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams
Promoted
1. FC Heidenheim
67 pts
SV Darmstadt 98 · 67 pts
Relegated
SV Sandhausen
28 pts
Jahn Regnsburg · 31 pts
Arminia Bielefeld · via playoff
Biggest Overachiever
1. FC Heidenheim
14.90 points above expected
67 points · 52.10 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Arminia Bielefeld
16.38 points below expected
34 points · 50.38 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Heidenheim Promoted | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 67 | 67 | 36 | +31 | 52.10 | +14.90 |
| 2 | SV Darmstadt 98 Promoted | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 50 | 33 | +17 | 57.37 | +9.63 |
| 3 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 66 | 70 | 45 | +25 | 60.82 | +5.18 |
| 4 | Dusseldorf | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 60 | 43 | +17 | 51.54 | +6.46 |
| 5 | St. Pauli | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 58 | 55 | 39 | +16 | 49.97 | +8.03 |
| 6 | Paderborn 07 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 68 | 44 | +24 | 55.29 | -0.29 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 56 | 53 | +3 | 46.58 | -0.58 |
| 8 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 46.57 | -0.57 |
| 9 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 45 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 40.18 | +4.82 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 45.46 | -1.46 |
| 11 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 40.46 | +2.54 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 47.01 | -6.01 |
| 13 | Hansa Rostock | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 39.23 | +1.77 |
| 14 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 42.83 | -3.83 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 37.54 | -1.54 |
| 16 | Arminia Bielefeld Relegated | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 50.38 | -16.38 |
| 17 | Jahn Regensburg | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 40.89 | -9.89 |
| 18 | SV Sandhausen Relegated | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 28 | 35 | 63 | -28 | 39.52 | -11.52 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Promotion Playoff
The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.
Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 1830 | 66 | 60.82 | +5.18 | 77.7% | 31 | 49 | 56 | 61 | 66 | 73 | 87 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 1806 | 67 | 52.10 | +14.90 | 97.9% | 25 | 40 | 47 | 52 | 57 | 65 | 80 |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 1806 | 67 | 57.37 | +9.63 | 91.6% | 28 | 45 | 52 | 57 | 62 | 69 | 83 |
| St. Pauli | 1791 | 58 | 49.97 | +8.03 | 87.7% | 23 | 38 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 62 | 82 |
| Paderborn 07 | 1791 | 55 | 55.29 | -0.29 | 51.0% | 27 | 43 | 50 | 55 | 60 | 68 | 82 |
| Dusseldorf | 1786 | 58 | 51.54 | +6.46 | 82.6% | 22 | 39 | 47 | 52 | 57 | 64 | 80 |
| Karlsruher SC | 1739 | 46 | 46.58 | -0.58 | 50.1% | 19 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 52 | 59 | 76 |
| Greuther Furth | 1734 | 41 | 47.01 | -6.01 | 23.1% | 21 | 35 | 42 | 47 | 52 | 59 | 76 |
| Holstein Kiel | 1725 | 46 | 46.57 | -0.57 | 50.2% | 23 | 35 | 42 | 46 | 52 | 59 | 73 |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 1711 | 34 | 50.38 | -16.38 | 1.5% | 21 | 38 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 63 | 81 |
| Hannover 96 | 1703 | 44 | 45.46 | -1.46 | 44.7% | 21 | 33 | 40 | 46 | 50 | 58 | 78 |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 1693 | 43 | 40.46 | +2.54 | 66.5% | 12 | 29 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 73 |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 1688 | 39 | 42.83 | -3.83 | 33.3% | 16 | 31 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 55 | 70 |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1670 | 45 | 40.18 | +4.82 | 77.0% | 15 | 28 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 66 |
| Hansa Rostock | 1664 | 41 | 39.23 | +1.77 | 63.0% | 13 | 27 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 72 |
| Jahn Regensburg | 1655 | 31 | 40.89 | -9.89 | 9.6% | 15 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 69 |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 1649 | 36 | 37.54 | -1.54 | 45.8% | 13 | 26 | 33 | 37 | 42 | 50 | 64 |
| SV Sandhausen | 1633 | 28 | 39.52 | -11.52 | 6.4% | 14 | 28 | 35 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 68 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | 1FH | 1FK | 1FM | 1FN | AB | DUS | EB | GF | HS | H9 | HR | HK | JR | KS | P0 | SD9 | SS | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | — |
0-2-0
3.47
|
0-2-0
3.53
|
2-0-0
3.06
|
1-1-0
2.80
|
1-1-0
2.76
|
1-0-1
3.51
|
2-0-0
3.14
|
0-1-1
2.21
|
2-0-0
3.16
|
2-0-0
3.28
|
1-0-1
3.08
|
2-0-0
3.64
|
1-1-0
2.97
|
1-0-1
2.62
|
1-1-0
2.40
|
2-0-0
3.60
|
0-1-1
2.85
|
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
0-2-0
2.05
|
— |
0-1-1
2.82
|
0-2-0
2.63
|
1-0-1
2.26
|
1-0-1
2.06
|
0-1-1
2.95
|
2-0-0
2.34
|
1-1-0
1.62
|
2-0-0
2.37
|
1-0-1
2.87
|
1-1-0
2.33
|
0-1-1
2.76
|
1-0-1
2.38
|
0-0-2
1.96
|
0-1-1
1.85
|
0-2-0
2.77
|
1-0-1
2.21
|
| 1. FC Magdeburg |
0-2-0
2.01
|
1-1-0
2.67
|
— |
1-1-0
2.63
|
1-0-1
2.21
|
0-0-2
2.23
|
1-0-1
2.86
|
1-0-1
2.38
|
2-0-0
1.64
|
1-0-1
2.51
|
1-0-1
2.82
|
1-0-1
2.41
|
1-1-0
2.69
|
1-1-0
2.50
|
0-1-1
1.93
|
0-0-2
1.79
|
0-0-2
2.85
|
0-0-2
2.25
|
| 1. FC Nurnberg |
0-0-2
2.46
|
0-2-0
2.86
|
0-1-1
2.87
|
— |
1-1-0
2.29
|
2-0-0
2.14
|
1-0-1
3.15
|
1-0-1
2.54
|
0-0-2
1.87
|
0-1-1
2.58
|
0-2-0
2.93
|
0-0-2
2.50
|
1-1-0
2.82
|
0-1-1
2.46
|
2-0-0
2.05
|
0-0-2
1.94
|
2-0-0
2.89
|
0-0-2
2.51
|
| Arminia Bielefeld |
0-1-1
2.69
|
1-0-1
3.26
|
1-0-1
3.31
|
0-1-1
3.22
|
— |
0-1-1
2.71
|
1-1-0
3.53
|
0-1-1
2.96
|
0-0-2
2.26
|
0-0-2
3.07
|
0-0-2
3.44
|
2-0-0
2.96
|
1-0-1
3.31
|
0-0-2
2.90
|
1-1-0
2.39
|
1-1-0
2.33
|
0-0-2
3.39
|
1-0-1
2.66
|
| Dusseldorf |
0-1-1
2.73
|
1-0-1
3.47
|
2-0-0
3.30
|
0-0-2
3.37
|
1-1-0
2.78
|
— |
1-1-0
3.56
|
0-1-1
2.96
|
0-1-1
2.25
|
0-1-1
3.15
|
2-0-0
3.48
|
2-0-0
3.08
|
2-0-0
3.34
|
2-0-0
2.93
|
1-0-1
2.60
|
1-0-1
2.40
|
1-0-1
3.28
|
1-1-0
2.82
|
| Eintracht Braunschweig |
1-0-1
2.01
|
1-1-0
2.55
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
1-0-1
2.35
|
0-1-1
2.00
|
0-1-1
1.97
|
— |
0-1-1
2.28
|
0-0-2
1.64
|
1-1-0
2.22
|
0-0-2
2.67
|
0-0-2
2.20
|
0-1-1
2.67
|
1-1-0
2.11
|
0-1-1
1.79
|
0-0-2
1.76
|
1-1-0
2.70
|
2-0-0
2.01
|
| Greuther Furth |
0-0-2
2.36
|
0-0-2
3.18
|
1-0-1
3.12
|
1-0-1
2.96
|
1-1-0
2.54
|
1-1-0
2.54
|
1-1-0
3.23
|
— |
1-0-1
1.96
|
0-1-1
2.82
|
0-1-1
3.34
|
0-1-1
2.79
|
1-1-0
3.12
|
0-1-1
2.92
|
1-0-1
2.25
|
1-1-0
2.07
|
1-1-0
3.22
|
0-1-1
2.55
|
| Hamburger SV |
1-1-0
3.31
|
0-1-1
3.96
|
0-0-2
3.94
|
2-0-0
3.69
|
2-0-0
3.26
|
1-1-0
3.26
|
2-0-0
3.94
|
1-0-1
3.58
|
— |
2-0-0
3.62
|
1-0-1
3.89
|
1-1-0
3.54
|
2-0-0
3.91
|
1-0-1
3.51
|
1-1-0
2.98
|
0-1-1
2.93
|
2-0-0
4.03
|
1-0-1
3.40
|
| Hannover 96 |
0-0-2
2.34
|
0-0-2
3.14
|
1-0-1
3.00
|
1-1-0
2.92
|
2-0-0
2.44
|
1-1-0
2.37
|
0-1-1
3.30
|
1-1-0
2.68
|
0-0-2
1.92
|
— |
1-1-0
3.11
|
0-1-1
2.75
|
1-1-0
2.85
|
1-0-1
2.66
|
0-0-2
2.25
|
1-0-1
2.05
|
2-0-0
3.10
|
0-1-1
2.52
|
| Hansa Rostock |
0-0-2
2.24
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
1-0-1
2.69
|
0-2-0
2.57
|
2-0-0
2.09
|
0-0-2
2.05
|
2-0-0
2.83
|
1-1-0
2.17
|
1-0-1
1.68
|
0-1-1
2.40
|
— |
0-1-1
2.26
|
2-0-0
2.56
|
0-0-2
2.33
|
0-0-2
1.88
|
0-0-2
1.83
|
1-0-1
2.77
|
1-0-1
2.18
|
| Holstein Kiel |
1-0-1
2.43
|
0-1-1
3.18
|
1-0-1
3.11
|
2-0-0
3.01
|
0-0-2
2.54
|
0-0-2
2.43
|
2-0-0
3.32
|
1-1-0
2.71
|
0-1-1
2.00
|
1-1-0
2.74
|
1-1-0
3.25
|
— |
0-1-1
3.16
|
2-0-0
2.64
|
0-1-1
2.36
|
0-1-1
2.09
|
1-1-0
3.17
|
0-1-1
2.45
|
| Jahn Regensburg |
0-0-2
1.89
|
1-1-0
2.73
|
0-1-1
2.80
|
0-1-1
2.68
|
1-0-1
2.20
|
0-0-2
2.17
|
1-1-0
2.84
|
0-1-1
2.39
|
0-0-2
1.66
|
0-1-1
2.64
|
0-0-2
2.95
|
1-1-0
2.35
|
— |
0-0-2
2.60
|
1-0-1
1.94
|
1-0-1
2.03
|
1-0-1
2.90
|
1-0-1
2.18
|
| Karlsruher SC |
0-1-1
2.54
|
1-0-1
3.13
|
0-1-1
3.00
|
1-1-0
3.04
|
2-0-0
2.60
|
0-0-2
2.57
|
0-1-1
3.41
|
1-1-0
2.58
|
1-0-1
2.01
|
1-0-1
2.84
|
2-0-0
3.17
|
0-0-2
2.85
|
2-0-0
2.92
|
— |
0-0-2
2.34
|
0-0-2
2.24
|
2-0-0
2.93
|
0-2-0
2.48
|
| Paderborn 07 |
1-0-1
2.87
|
2-0-0
3.57
|
1-1-0
3.61
|
0-0-2
3.49
|
0-1-1
3.11
|
1-0-1
2.90
|
1-1-0
3.76
|
1-0-1
3.25
|
0-1-1
2.53
|
2-0-0
3.27
|
2-0-0
3.67
|
1-1-0
3.15
|
1-0-1
3.59
|
2-0-0
3.16
|
— |
0-0-2
2.60
|
1-1-0
3.71
|
0-1-1
3.07
|
| SV Darmstadt 98 |
0-1-1
3.10
|
1-1-0
3.70
|
2-0-0
3.76
|
2-0-0
3.59
|
0-1-1
3.17
|
1-0-1
3.10
|
2-0-0
3.80
|
0-1-1
3.45
|
1-1-0
2.58
|
1-0-1
3.47
|
2-0-0
3.71
|
1-1-0
3.42
|
1-0-1
3.52
|
2-0-0
3.28
|
2-0-0
2.91
|
— |
2-0-0
3.54
|
0-1-1
3.23
|
| SV Sandhausen |
0-0-2
1.96
|
0-2-0
2.74
|
2-0-0
2.67
|
0-0-2
2.61
|
2-0-0
2.13
|
1-0-1
2.24
|
0-1-1
2.80
|
0-1-1
2.28
|
0-0-2
1.55
|
0-0-2
2.41
|
1-0-1
2.72
|
0-1-1
2.33
|
1-0-1
2.60
|
0-0-2
2.56
|
0-1-1
1.83
|
0-0-2
1.99
|
— |
0-1-1
2.16
|
| St. Pauli |
1-1-0
2.65
|
1-0-1
3.30
|
2-0-0
3.25
|
2-0-0
2.99
|
1-0-1
2.85
|
0-1-1
2.69
|
0-0-2
3.53
|
1-1-0
2.95
|
1-0-1
2.11
|
1-1-0
2.97
|
1-0-1
3.34
|
1-1-0
3.04
|
1-0-1
3.34
|
0-2-0
3.03
|
1-1-0
2.43
|
1-1-0
2.28
|
1-1-0
3.35
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.60 | +7.9 |
| Allowed | 0.75 | -11.9 |
| Differential | 0.91 | +6.5 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.90% | 8.33% | 5.72% | 4.08% | 0.98% | 0.65% | 24.67% |
| 1 | 8.33% | 9.15% | 9.15% | 2.29% | 0.65% | 0.65% | 30.23% |
| 2 | 5.72% | 9.15% | 7.52% | 3.10% | 1.14% | 0.49% | 27.12% |
| 3 | 4.08% | 2.29% | 3.10% | 1.63% | 0.65% | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 0.98% | 0.65% | 1.14% | 0.65% | 0.65% | 0.16% | 4.25% |
| 5+ | 0.65% | 0.65% | 0.49% | — | 0.16% | — | 1.96% |
| Total | 24.67% | 30.23% | 27.12% | 11.76% | 4.25% | 1.96% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 1.47 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.24 | 1.24 | 1.75 |
| CV | 0.84 | 0.84 | — |
| Max | 7 | 7 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 306
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 8.82% |
| Total | 44.12% | 23.53% | 17.65% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.97 | 1.06 | +0.91 |
| SD | 1.47 | 1.18 | 1.58 |
| CV | 0.74 | 1.11 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 1 | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 41.18% | 26.47% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.38 | 1.41 | -0.03 |
| SD | 1.26 | 1.02 | 1.40 |
| CV | 0.91 | 0.72 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | 11.76% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 29.41% | 32.35% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.41 | 1.62 | -0.21 |
| SD | 1.23 | 1.13 | 1.67 |
| CV | 0.87 | 0.70 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | 41.18% |
| 1 | 14.71% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 35.29% | 20.59% | 17.65% | 20.59% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.94 | 1.44 | -0.50 |
| SD | 0.92 | 1.40 | 1.66 |
| CV | 0.98 | 0.97 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | — | 8.82% | 17.65% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 5.88% | 35.29% | 38.24% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 1.82 | -0.35 |
| SD | 1.19 | 1.03 | 1.67 |
| CV | 0.81 | 0.56 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 26.47% | 29.41% | 38.24% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.76 | 1.26 | +0.50 |
| SD | 1.33 | 0.99 | 1.69 |
| CV | 0.75 | 0.79 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 38.24% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 14.71% | 32.35% | 29.41% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.24 | 1.74 | -0.50 |
| SD | 0.96 | 1.24 | 1.52 |
| CV | 0.77 | 0.71 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 14.71% | 17.65% | 8.82% | — | — | 52.94% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 17.65% | 2.94% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 23.53% | 44.12% | 11.76% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.38 | 1.47 | -0.09 |
| SD | 0.82 | 0.96 | 1.42 |
| CV | 0.59 | 0.65 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 2 | 14.71% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 29.41% | 29.41% | 23.53% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.06 | 1.32 | +0.74 |
| SD | 1.43 | 1.15 | 1.69 |
| CV | 0.70 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 47.06% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 32.35% | 23.53% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 1.62 | -0.15 |
| SD | 1.05 | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.93 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 44.12% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 26.47% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 35.29% | 17.65% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.94 | 1.41 | -0.47 |
| SD | 0.98 | 1.28 | 1.80 |
| CV | 1.04 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | — | — | 8.82% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | — | 11.76% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 14.71% | 35.29% | 23.53% | 17.65% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.71 | 1.79 | -0.09 |
| SD | 1.22 | 1.45 | 1.82 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 5 | 7 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 17.65% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 44.12% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 32.35% | 17.65% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.71 | -0.71 |
| SD | 1.10 | 1.59 | 1.95 |
| CV | 1.10 | 0.93 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 2.94% | 20.59% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 26.47% |
| 3 | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 23.53% | 32.35% | 26.47% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.65 | 1.56 | +0.09 |
| SD | 1.41 | 1.40 | 2.05 |
| CV | 0.86 | 0.90 | — |
| Max | 6 | 5 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 2.94% | 17.65% | — | — | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | — | — | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | 11.76% | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| Total | 32.35% | 14.71% | 44.12% | 8.82% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 1.29 | +0.71 |
| SD | 1.71 | 1.03 | 1.96 |
| CV | 0.85 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 7 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 1 | 20.59% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 38.24% | 41.18% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 0.97 | +0.50 |
| SD | 1.02 | 1.06 | 1.69 |
| CV | 0.69 | 1.09 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | — | 11.76% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 11.76% | 32.35% | 29.41% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.03 | 1.85 | -0.82 |
| SD | 0.87 | 1.26 | 1.47 |
| CV | 0.85 | 0.68 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | 14.71% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 38.24% | 23.53% | 29.41% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.62 | 1.15 | +0.47 |
| SD | 1.30 | 1.16 | 1.52 |
| CV | 0.81 | 1.01 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 67 | 52.10 | +14.90 |
| 2 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 67 | 57.37 | +9.63 |
| 3 | St. Pauli | 58 | 49.97 | +8.03 |
| 4 | Dusseldorf | 58 | 51.54 | +6.46 |
| 5 | Hamburger SV | 66 | 60.82 | +5.18 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 50.38 | -16.38 |
| 2 | SV Sandhausen | 28 | 39.52 | -11.52 |
| 3 | Jahn Regensburg | 31 | 40.89 | -9.89 |
| 4 | Greuther Furth | 41 | 47.01 | -6.01 |
| 5 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 39 | 42.83 | -3.83 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Pauli | 10 | Jan 29 – Apr 8 | 1 in 6,425 |
| 2 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 5 | Nov 5 – Feb 4 | 1 in 687 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 5 | Feb 10 – Mar 12 | 1 in 113 |
| 4 | Hansa Rostock | 4 | Apr 22 – May 12 | 1 in 96 |
| 5 | Hannover 96 | 4 | Aug 14 – Sep 4 | 1 in 51 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karlsruher SC | 5 | Oct 15 – Nov 8 | 1 in 182 |
| 2 | Arminia Bielefeld | 4 | Jul 16 – Aug 13 | 1 in 117 |
| 3 | Paderborn 07 | 4 | Oct 30 – Nov 13 | 1 in 98 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 3 | Jan 28 – Feb 11 | 1 in 25 |
| 5 | SV Sandhausen | 4 | Feb 3 – Feb 25 | 1 in 23 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 21 | Jul 22 – Feb 25 | 1 in 990 |
| 2 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 8 | Sep 2 – Oct 30 | 1 in 151 |
| 3 | St. Pauli | 12 | Nov 8 – Apr 8 | 1 in 143 |
| 4 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 7 | Aug 21 – Oct 8 | 1 in 118 |
| 5 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 8 | Aug 12 – Oct 9 | 1 in 41 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hannover 96 | 9 | Nov 11 – Mar 19 | 1 in 103 |
| 2 | Greuther Furth | 8 | Jul 16 – Sep 11 | 1 in 68 |
| 3 | Jahn Regensburg | 10 | Oct 29 – Mar 4 | 1 in 52 |
| 4 | Karlsruher SC | 8 | Oct 15 – Feb 5 | 1 in 51 |
| 5 | St. Pauli | 7 | Aug 21 – Oct 8 | 1 in 39 |
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 7.62% | 9.74% | 10.90% | 10.16% | 9.81% | 8.98% | 7.85% | 7.43% | 6.01% | 5.60% | 4.04% | 3.47% | 2.64% | 2.06% | 1.58% | 1.02% | 0.85% | 0.24% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 19.79% | 18.65% | 15.14% | 12.13% | 8.91% | 6.32% | 5.26% | 3.71% | 2.84% | 2.35% | 1.63% | 1.13% | 0.83% | 0.64% | 0.26% | 0.26% | 0.08% | 0.07% |
| Hamburger SV | 38.55% | 21.35% | 12.57% | 8.56% | 5.80% | 4.32% | 2.77% | 1.89% | 1.47% | 0.88% | 0.81% | 0.38% | 0.34% | 0.12% | 0.05% | 0.09% | 0.04% | 0.01% |
| Dusseldorf | 5.80% | 8.30% | 10.08% | 10.07% | 10.33% | 8.87% | 8.57% | 7.70% | 6.12% | 5.84% | 4.61% | 3.93% | 2.91% | 2.52% | 1.68% | 1.21% | 0.92% | 0.54% |
| St. Pauli | 3.46% | 6.51% | 7.87% | 9.02% | 9.16% | 9.13% | 8.73% | 7.91% | 7.39% | 6.16% | 6.18% | 4.47% | 4.07% | 3.52% | 2.60% | 1.99% | 1.19% | 0.64% |
| Paderborn 07 | 14.18% | 15.25% | 13.78% | 11.88% | 9.34% | 8.16% | 6.62% | 5.37% | 4.24% | 3.10% | 2.26% | 1.82% | 1.53% | 1.01% | 0.77% | 0.39% | 0.23% | 0.07% |
| Karlsruher SC | 1.41% | 2.89% | 4.54% | 5.45% | 6.35% | 6.97% | 7.85% | 6.98% | 8.05% | 7.99% | 7.54% | 6.37% | 6.53% | 6.02% | 5.73% | 4.17% | 3.10% | 2.06% |
| Holstein Kiel | 1.37% | 2.64% | 4.19% | 5.02% | 6.36% | 6.70% | 8.06% | 7.69% | 7.84% | 8.05% | 7.88% | 7.60% | 6.54% | 5.48% | 5.12% | 4.16% | 3.11% | 2.19% |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0.14% | 0.52% | 0.83% | 1.33% | 1.86% | 2.81% | 3.24% | 4.17% | 4.61% | 5.49% | 6.76% | 7.45% | 9.21% | 9.03% | 10.27% | 10.61% | 10.96% | 10.71% |
| Hannover 96 | 1.08% | 1.83% | 3.22% | 4.33% | 5.24% | 6.23% | 6.83% | 7.58% | 7.97% | 7.39% | 8.04% | 7.72% | 6.95% | 6.74% | 5.96% | 5.49% | 4.36% | 3.04% |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 0.23% | 0.58% | 0.83% | 1.35% | 1.87% | 2.62% | 2.94% | 4.08% | 5.10% | 6.02% | 6.92% | 7.97% | 8.72% | 9.59% | 9.53% | 10.73% | 10.39% | 10.53% |
| Greuther Furth | 1.83% | 3.04% | 4.48% | 5.18% | 6.92% | 7.05% | 7.74% | 8.00% | 8.35% | 8.02% | 7.16% | 6.59% | 6.30% | 5.99% | 4.56% | 3.76% | 2.79% | 2.24% |
| Hansa Rostock | 0.12% | 0.36% | 0.48% | 1.08% | 1.45% | 2.09% | 2.63% | 3.35% | 3.64% | 4.86% | 5.73% | 7.05% | 8.00% | 9.33% | 10.68% | 11.75% | 13.05% | 14.35% |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 0.37% | 1.00% | 1.61% | 2.52% | 3.33% | 3.89% | 4.74% | 5.67% | 6.62% | 7.01% | 7.31% | 8.24% | 8.33% | 8.76% | 7.92% | 8.34% | 7.24% | 7.10% |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 0.05% | 0.20% | 0.38% | 0.52% | 1.02% | 1.47% | 1.76% | 2.67% | 3.16% | 3.62% | 4.77% | 5.69% | 7.35% | 8.07% | 9.63% | 12.48% | 16.61% | 20.55% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 3.74% | 6.27% | 7.55% | 8.90% | 8.97% | 9.48% | 8.32% | 8.38% | 7.13% | 6.92% | 5.54% | 4.89% | 3.84% | 3.46% | 2.90% | 1.60% | 1.29% | 0.82% |
| Jahn Regensburg | 0.14% | 0.50% | 0.90% | 1.50% | 1.85% | 2.98% | 3.39% | 4.16% | 5.04% | 5.98% | 6.80% | 8.26% | 7.99% | 8.75% | 10.37% | 10.31% | 10.91% | 10.17% |
| SV Sandhausen | 0.12% | 0.37% | 0.65% | 1.00% | 1.43% | 1.93% | 2.70% | 3.26% | 4.42% | 4.72% | 6.02% | 6.97% | 7.92% | 8.91% | 10.39% | 11.64% | 12.88% | 14.67% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
- Title Margin
- Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.As Expected: under 5.9 * Some Luck: 5.9 to 8.85 * Lucky: 8.85 to 11.8 * Wild Swing: 11.8 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.Pinpoint: under 2.63 * Close: 2.63 to 3.95 * Off: 3.95 to 5.27 * Way Off: 5.27 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
- Unexpected Relegations
- Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.As Expected: under 2.08 * A Surprise: 2.08 to 3.33 * Several Surprises: 3.33 to 4.57 * Many Surprises: 4.57 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
- Close Games
- Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
- Strangeness
- How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.
| Team | Direct promotion | Lost promotion playoff | Same level | Qualified for relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 38.44% | 15.14% | 46.01% | 0.26% | 0.15% |
| Paderborn 07 | 29.44% | 13.78% | 56.09% | 0.39% | 0.30% |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 17.36% | 10.90% | 69.63% | 1.02% | 1.09% |
| Dusseldorf | 14.11% | 10.08% | 73.14% | 1.21% | 1.46% |
| St. Pauli | 9.97% | 7.87% | 78.34% | 1.99% | 1.83% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 10.01% | 7.55% | 78.73% | 1.60% | 2.11% |
| Hamburger SV | — | 100% | — | — | — |
| Greuther Furth | 4.87% | 4.48% | 81.86% | 3.76% | 5.03% |
| Karlsruher SC | 4.30% | 4.54% | 81.83% | 4.17% | 5.16% |
| Holstein Kiel | 4.01% | 4.19% | 82.34% | 4.16% | 5.30% |
| Hannover 96 | 2.91% | 3.22% | 80.98% | 5.49% | 7.40% |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 1.37% | 1.61% | 74.34% | 8.34% | 14.34% |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 0.81% | 0.83% | 66.71% | 10.73% | 20.92% |
| Jahn Regensburg | 0.64% | 0.90% | 67.07% | 10.31% | 21.08% |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0.66% | 0.83% | 66.23% | 10.61% | 21.67% |
| Hansa Rostock | 0.48% | 0.48% | 59.89% | 11.75% | 27.40% |
| SV Sandhausen | 0.49% | 0.65% | 59.67% | 11.64% | 27.55% |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 0.25% | 0.38% | 49.73% | 12.48% | 37.16% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | 1. FC Heidenheim | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1. FC Koln | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1. FC Nurnberg | Arminia Bielefeld | Bayer Leverkusen | Borussia Dortmund | Borussia Monchengladbach | Dusseldorf | Eintracht Braunschweig | Eintracht Frankfurt | FC Augsburg | Greuther Furth | Hamburger SV | Hannover 96 | Hansa Rostock | Hertha BSC | Hoffenheim | Holstein Kiel | Jahn Regensburg | Karlsruher SC | Mainz 05 | Paderborn 07 | RB Leipzig | SC Freiburg | SV Darmstadt 98 | SV Sandhausen | Schalke 04 | St. Pauli | Union Berlin | VfB Stuttgart | VfL Bochum | VfL Wolfsburg | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 36.1%61.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 45.2%31.00% | 36.4%22.00% | 47.0%132.00% | 55.2%163.00% | 48.5%66.00% | 27.8%36.00% | 10.0%10.00% | 55.3%152.00% | 28.6%7.00% | 40.3%124.00% | 44.1%145.00% | 42.9%21.00% | 39.8%113.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0.0%5.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 7.1%14.00% | 29.4%17.00% | 0.0%5.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 13.3%15.00% | 35.7%14.00% | 22.2%18.00% | 14.3%14.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Koln | 63.9%61.00% | 100.0%5.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 50.0%8.00% | 67.6%37.00% | 51.0%49.00% | 79.2%24.00% | 65.8%79.00% | 93.8%16.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 73.9%23.00% | 87.5%8.00% | 72.7%22.00% | 71.6%67.00% | 55.0%80.00% | 100.0%5.00% | 80.0%55.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 0.0%4.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 30.0%10.00% | 57.1%7.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 28.6%7.00% | 10.0%10.00% | 12.5%16.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 22.2%9.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 50.0%8.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 26.3%19.00% | 34.6%26.00% | 37.5%8.00% | 28.6%7.00% | 26.3%19.00% | 25.0%20.00% | 33.3%18.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 30.8%26.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Arminia Bielefeld | 32.4%37.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 30.3%33.00% | 33.3%15.00% | 34.7%98.00% | 32.7%110.00% | 17.6%51.00% | 19.4%36.00% | 0.0%5.00% | 32.3%93.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 27.0%100.00% | 38.1%105.00% | 18.2%11.00% | 34.1%88.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Bayer Leverkusen | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 100.0%2.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Borussia Dortmund | 100.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 54.8%31.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 69.7%33.00% | 78.3%23.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 90.9%11.00% | 55.8%43.00% | 81.8%11.00% | 83.3%12.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 78.6%14.00% | 67.2%61.00% | 65.0%40.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 68.2%22.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| Dusseldorf | 49.0%49.00% | 14.3%7.00% | 21.7%23.00% | 22.7%22.00% | 45.9%122.00% | 36.3%135.00% | 43.1%58.00% | 36.4%33.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 11.1%9.00% | 44.3%122.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 39.0%118.00% | 44.7%141.00% | 15.4%13.00% | 38.0%92.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 0.0%7.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 25.0%12.00% | 40.0%5.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 33.3%6.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 63.6%22.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 66.7%15.00% | 77.3%22.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 65.5%29.00% | 71.4%7.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 60.0%10.00% | 81.8%22.00% | 79.3%29.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 81.2%16.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| FC Augsburg | 53.0%132.00% | 92.9%14.00% | 70.0%10.00% | 73.7%19.00% | 65.3%98.00% | 54.1%122.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 64.8%54.00% | 47.2%163.00% | 72.9%48.00% | 100.0%6.00% | 64.8%54.00% | 52.9%17.00% | 61.5%39.00% | 55.2%163.00% | 59.6%178.00% | 63.6%11.00% | 54.9%91.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Greuther Furth | 20.8%24.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 9.1%11.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 35.2%54.00% | 46.7%60.00% | 24.2%33.00% | 27.3%11.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 29.0%69.00% | 37.5%8.00% | 37.7%61.00% | 36.4%66.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 35.3%51.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Hamburger SV | 34.2%79.00% | 44.2%43.00% | 34.5%29.00% | 52.8%163.00% | 56.0%184.00% | 40.6%69.00% | 31.7%41.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 50.0%8.00% | 56.4%188.00% | 11.1%9.00% | 48.4%159.00% | 50.3%179.00% | 45.7%35.00% | 45.0%131.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Hannover 96 | 6.2%16.00% | 18.2%11.00% | 28.6%7.00% | 27.1%48.00% | 29.7%37.00% | 26.9%26.00% | 12.5%8.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 38.3%47.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 40.6%32.00% | 37.9%29.00% | 50.0%6.00% | 27.8%36.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Hansa Rostock | 16.7%6.00% | 0.0%6.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 60.0%5.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%6.00% | 0.0%9.00% | 0.0%4.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Hertha BSC | 44.8%163.00% | 70.6%17.00% | 42.9%7.00% | 65.4%26.00% | 67.3%110.00% | 63.7%135.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 53.3%60.00% | 44.0%184.00% | 70.3%37.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 61.3%62.00% | 46.7%15.00% | 56.9%65.00% | 57.1%184.00% | 57.6%217.00% | 100.0%9.00% | 54.5%112.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Hoffenheim | 51.5%66.00% | 100.0%5.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 62.5%8.00% | 82.4%51.00% | 56.9%58.00% | 100.0%7.00% | 75.8%33.00% | 59.4%69.00% | 73.1%26.00% | 40.0%5.00% | 77.8%27.00% | 77.8%9.00% | 66.7%24.00% | 63.0%73.00% | 62.2%74.00% | 100.0%7.00% | 63.2%38.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Holstein Kiel | 26.1%23.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 16.7%12.00% | 16.7%6.00% | 35.2%54.00% | 38.7%62.00% | 22.2%27.00% | 41.7%12.00% | 0.0%5.00% | 32.3%65.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 29.2%48.00% | 20.8%48.00% | 0.0%5.00% | 32.4%37.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Jahn Regensburg | 12.5%8.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 47.1%17.00% | 53.3%15.00% | 22.2%9.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 26.3%19.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 16.7%12.00% | 12.5%16.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 23.1%13.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Karlsruher SC | 27.3%22.00% | 21.4%14.00% | 40.0%10.00% | 38.5%39.00% | 43.1%65.00% | 33.3%24.00% | 42.9%7.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 39.4%66.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 28.0%50.00% | 36.1%61.00% | 9.1%11.00% | 33.3%45.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Mainz 05 | 72.2%36.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 71.4%7.00% | 80.6%36.00% | 63.6%33.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 72.7%11.00% | 68.3%41.00% | 87.5%8.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 58.3%12.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 57.1%7.00% | 77.5%40.00% | 73.3%45.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 69.6%23.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Paderborn 07 | 28.4%67.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 32.8%61.00% | 18.2%22.00% | 44.8%163.00% | 42.9%184.00% | 37.0%73.00% | 22.5%40.00% | 12.5%16.00% | 42.2%187.00% | 12.5%8.00% | 40.5%158.00% | 40.5%195.00% | 27.3%33.00% | 40.0%150.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| RB Leipzig | 50.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| SC Freiburg | 90.0%10.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%5.00% | 88.9%9.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 50.0%8.00% | 66.7%6.00% | 100.0%5.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 87.5%16.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 100.0%6.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 45.0%80.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 35.0%40.00% | 20.7%29.00% | 40.4%178.00% | 42.4%217.00% | 37.8%74.00% | 26.7%45.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 16.7%6.00% | 49.7%195.00% | 37.5%8.00% | 40.6%170.00% | 50.4%252.00% | 23.5%17.00% | 41.3%150.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| SV Sandhausen | 0.0%5.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 36.4%11.00% | 0.0%9.00% | 0.0%7.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 57.1%7.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 30.8%13.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 33.3%3.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Schalke 04 | 44.7%152.00% | 86.7%15.00% | 71.4%7.00% | 73.7%19.00% | 67.7%93.00% | 55.7%122.00% | 75.0%12.00% | 71.0%69.00% | 43.6%188.00% | 61.7%47.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 67.7%65.00% | 73.7%19.00% | 60.6%66.00% | 57.8%187.00% | 50.3%195.00% | 42.9%7.00% | 48.1%108.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| St. Pauli | 20.0%55.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 31.8%22.00% | 18.8%16.00% | 45.1%91.00% | 45.5%112.00% | 36.8%38.00% | 30.4%23.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%6.00% | 51.9%108.00% | 50.0%8.00% | 37.1%97.00% | 45.3%117.00% | 14.3%7.00% | 44.3%97.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Union Berlin | 71.4%7.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 62.5%8.00% | 88.9%9.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 66.7%6.00% | 87.5%8.00% | 62.5%8.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 50.0%8.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| VfB Stuttgart | 59.7%124.00% | 64.3%14.00% | 90.0%10.00% | 75.0%20.00% | 73.0%100.00% | 61.0%118.00% | 60.0%5.00% | 62.3%61.00% | 51.6%159.00% | 59.4%32.00% | 100.0%6.00% | 70.8%48.00% | 83.3%12.00% | 72.0%50.00% | 59.5%158.00% | 59.4%170.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 62.9%97.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| VfL Bochum | 55.9%145.00% | 77.8%18.00% | 87.5%16.00% | 66.7%18.00% | 61.9%105.00% | 55.3%141.00% | 66.7%6.00% | 63.6%66.00% | 49.7%179.00% | 62.1%29.00% | 100.0%9.00% | 79.2%48.00% | 87.5%16.00% | 63.9%61.00% | 59.5%195.00% | 49.6%252.00% | 69.2%13.00% | 54.7%117.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| VfL Wolfsburg | 57.1%21.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 81.8%11.00% | 84.6%13.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 54.3%35.00% | 50.0%6.00% | 100.0%5.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 90.9%11.00% | 72.7%33.00% | 76.5%17.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 85.7%7.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Werder Bremen | 60.2%113.00% | 85.7%14.00% | 77.8%9.00% | 69.2%26.00% | 65.9%88.00% | 62.0%92.00% | 66.7%6.00% | 64.7%51.00% | 55.0%131.00% | 72.2%36.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 67.6%37.00% | 76.9%13.00% | 66.7%45.00% | 60.0%150.00% | 58.7%150.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 55.7%97.00% |
Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes
Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.
| Team | Finals |
|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 52.92% |
| Hamburger SV | 47.08% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Hamburger SV | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 47.1%100.00% | |
| VfB Stuttgart | 52.9%100.00% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-15 | Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1656 | 1707 | 39.5% | 25.9% | 34.6% | +3.2 | 3 |
| 2022-07-15 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-2 | 1707 | 1656 | 34.6% | 25.9% | 39.5% | -3.2 | 0 |
| 2022-07-16 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-2 | 1746 | 1721 | 50.0% | 24.4% | 25.5% | +2.4 | 3 |
| 2022-07-16 | @ St. Pauli | L 2-3 | 1721 | 1746 | 25.5% | 24.4% | 50.0% | -2.4 | 0 |
| 2022-07-16 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1697 | 1788 | 33.8% | 25.9% | 40.3% | +3.6 | 3 |
| 2022-07-16 | @ SV Sandhausen | L 1-2 | 1788 | 1697 | 40.3% | 25.9% | 33.8% | -3.6 | 0 |
| 2022-07-16 | Dusseldorf | L 1-2 | 1699 | 1753 | 39.0% | 25.9% | 35.0% | -3.5 | 0 |
| 2022-07-16 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 2-1 | 1753 | 1699 | 35.0% | 25.9% | 39.0% | +3.5 | 3 |
| 2022-07-16 | Holstein Kiel | D 2-2 | 1742 | 1724 | 49.0% | 24.7% | 26.4% | -0.3 | 1 |
| 2022-07-16 | @ Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1724 | 1742 | 26.4% | 24.7% | 49.0% | +0.3 | 1 |
| 2022-07-16 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 2-0 | 1703 | 1784 | 35.1% | 25.9% | 39.0% | +7.0 | 3 |
| 2022-07-16 | @ Jahn Regensburg | L 0-2 | 1784 | 1703 | 39.0% | 25.9% | 35.1% | -7.0 | 0 |
| 2022-07-17 | 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-1 | 1681 | 1732 | 39.4% | 25.9% | 34.7% | -3.8 | 0 |
| 2022-07-17 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 1-0 | 1732 | 1681 | 34.7% | 25.9% | 39.4% | +3.8 | 3 |
| 2022-07-17 | Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1664 | 1819 | 26.2% | 24.6% | 49.2% | -5.1 | 0 |
| 2022-07-17 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-0 | 1819 | 1664 | 49.2% | 24.6% | 26.2% | +5.1 | 3 |
| 2022-07-17 | Karlsruher SC | W 5-0 | 1767 | 1724 | 52.4% | 23.8% | 23.8% | +10.9 | 3 |
| 2022-07-17 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 0-5 | 1724 | 1767 | 23.8% | 23.8% | 52.4% | -10.9 | 0 |
| 2022-07-22 | Paderborn 07 | W 2-1 | 1756 | 1778 | 43.5% | 25.6% | 30.9% | +2.9 | 6 |
| 2022-07-22 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-2 | 1778 | 1756 | 30.9% | 25.6% | 43.5% | -2.9 | 3 |
| 2022-07-22 | SV Sandhausen | W 2-1 | 1777 | 1701 | 56.7% | 22.4% | 20.9% | +2.1 | 3 |
| 2022-07-22 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 1-2 | 1701 | 1777 | 20.9% | 22.4% | 56.7% | -2.1 | 3 |
| 2022-07-23 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 2-2 | 1725 | 1660 | 55.3% | 22.9% | 21.8% | -0.5 | 2 |
| 2022-07-23 | @ Holstein Kiel | D 2-2 | 1660 | 1725 | 21.8% | 22.9% | 55.3% | +0.5 | 4 |
| 2022-07-23 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 3-0 | 1736 | 1659 | 56.7% | 22.4% | 20.9% | +6.0 | 6 |
| 2022-07-23 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-3 | 1659 | 1736 | 20.9% | 22.4% | 56.7% | -6.0 | 0 |
| 2022-07-23 | Greuther Furth | W 2-0 | 1718 | 1741 | 43.4% | 25.6% | 31.0% | +5.9 | 3 |
| 2022-07-23 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1741 | 1718 | 31.0% | 25.6% | 43.4% | -5.9 | 1 |
| 2022-07-23 | St. Pauli | D 2-2 | 1704 | 1748 | 40.3% | 25.9% | 33.8% | -0.1 | 1 |
| 2022-07-23 | @ Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1748 | 1704 | 33.8% | 25.9% | 40.3% | +0.1 | 4 |
| 2022-07-24 | 1. FC Magdeburg | L 2-3 | 1713 | 1695 | 49.1% | 24.6% | 26.3% | -4.0 | 0 |
| 2022-07-24 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 3-2 | 1695 | 1713 | 26.3% | 24.6% | 49.1% | +4.0 | 3 |
| 2022-07-24 | Hansa Rostock | L 0-1 | 1824 | 1677 | 65.3% | 18.9% | 15.9% | -5.6 | 3 |
| 2022-07-24 | @ Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1677 | 1824 | 15.9% | 18.9% | 65.3% | +5.6 | 3 |
| 2022-07-24 | Jahn Regensburg | L 0-3 | 1784 | 1710 | 56.4% | 22.5% | 21.1% | -13.6 | 0 |
| 2022-07-24 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-0 | 1710 | 1784 | 21.1% | 22.5% | 56.4% | +13.6 | 6 |
| 2022-08-05 | Dusseldorf | W 1-0 | 1699 | 1759 | 38.0% | 26.0% | 36.0% | +3.5 | 6 |
| 2022-08-05 | @ SV Sandhausen | L 0-1 | 1759 | 1699 | 36.0% | 26.0% | 38.0% | -3.5 | 6 |
| 2022-08-05 | Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1735 | 1709 | 50.1% | 24.4% | 25.5% | -0.5 | 2 |
| 2022-08-05 | @ Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1709 | 1735 | 25.5% | 24.4% | 50.1% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2022-08-06 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 1-0 | 1819 | 1742 | 56.8% | 22.4% | 20.8% | +2.2 | 6 |
| 2022-08-06 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1742 | 1819 | 20.8% | 22.4% | 56.8% | -2.2 | 6 |
| 2022-08-06 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1724 | 1724 | 46.5% | 25.1% | 28.3% | -0.4 | 7 |
| 2022-08-06 | @ Jahn Regensburg | D 0-0 | 1724 | 1724 | 28.3% | 25.1% | 46.5% | +0.4 | 4 |
| 2022-08-06 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1682 | 1770 | 34.2% | 25.9% | 39.9% | +3.6 | 6 |
| 2022-08-06 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 1-2 | 1770 | 1682 | 39.9% | 25.9% | 34.2% | -3.6 | 0 |
| 2022-08-06 | Hannover 96 | W 4-2 | 1775 | 1703 | 56.1% | 22.6% | 21.2% | +3.2 | 6 |
| 2022-08-06 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 2-4 | 1703 | 1775 | 21.2% | 22.6% | 56.1% | -3.2 | 1 |
| 2022-08-07 | Holstein Kiel | L 1-2 | 1699 | 1724 | 43.1% | 25.6% | 31.2% | -3.8 | 3 |
| 2022-08-07 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 2-1 | 1724 | 1699 | 31.2% | 25.6% | 43.1% | +3.8 | 5 |
| 2022-08-07 | St. Pauli | W 2-1 | 1660 | 1749 | 34.1% | 25.9% | 40.0% | +3.6 | 7 |
| 2022-08-07 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-2 | 1749 | 1660 | 40.0% | 25.9% | 34.1% | -3.6 | 4 |
| 2022-08-07 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-1 | 1653 | 1779 | 29.4% | 25.4% | 45.3% | -3.0 | 0 |
| 2022-08-07 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 1-0 | 1779 | 1653 | 45.3% | 25.4% | 29.4% | +3.0 | 6 |
| 2022-08-12 | 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-3 | 1725 | 1740 | 44.5% | 25.5% | 30.0% | -11.3 | 4 |
| 2022-08-12 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-0 | 1740 | 1725 | 30.0% | 25.5% | 44.5% | +11.3 | 9 |
| 2022-08-12 | Paderborn 07 | L 0-1 | 1664 | 1779 | 30.7% | 25.6% | 43.7% | -3.1 | 7 |
| 2022-08-12 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 1-0 | 1779 | 1664 | 43.7% | 25.6% | 30.7% | +3.1 | 9 |
| 2022-08-13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 3-0 | 1728 | 1650 | 56.9% | 22.4% | 20.8% | +5.9 | 8 |
| 2022-08-13 | @ Holstein Kiel | L 0-3 | 1650 | 1728 | 20.8% | 22.4% | 56.9% | -5.9 | 0 |
| 2022-08-13 | Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1767 | 1821 | 39.0% | 25.9% | 35.0% | -7.0 | 0 |
| 2022-08-13 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1821 | 1767 | 35.0% | 25.9% | 39.0% | +7.0 | 9 |
| 2022-08-13 | Hansa Rostock | W 4-0 | 1782 | 1686 | 59.2% | 21.5% | 19.3% | +7.2 | 9 |
| 2022-08-13 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-4 | 1686 | 1782 | 19.3% | 21.5% | 59.2% | -7.2 | 6 |
| 2022-08-13 | SV Sandhausen | W 3-2 | 1710 | 1702 | 47.7% | 24.9% | 27.4% | +2.5 | 4 |
| 2022-08-13 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 2-3 | 1702 | 1710 | 27.4% | 24.9% | 47.7% | -2.5 | 6 |
| 2022-08-14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 3-0 | 1745 | 1696 | 53.2% | 23.5% | 23.2% | +6.6 | 7 |
| 2022-08-14 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-3 | 1696 | 1745 | 23.2% | 23.5% | 53.2% | -6.6 | 3 |
| 2022-08-14 | Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1756 | 1735 | 49.5% | 24.6% | 26.0% | -0.3 | 7 |
| 2022-08-14 | @ Dusseldorf | D 2-2 | 1735 | 1756 | 26.0% | 24.6% | 49.5% | +0.3 | 3 |
| 2022-08-14 | Jahn Regensburg | W 1-0 | 1700 | 1723 | 43.4% | 25.6% | 31.0% | +3.1 | 4 |
| 2022-08-14 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1723 | 1700 | 31.0% | 25.6% | 43.4% | -3.1 | 7 |
| 2022-08-19 | Hannover 96 | L 0-4 | 1689 | 1703 | 44.6% | 25.4% | 29.9% | -14.8 | 3 |
| 2022-08-19 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 4-0 | 1703 | 1689 | 29.9% | 25.4% | 44.6% | +14.8 | 7 |
| 2022-08-19 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 1-2 | 1828 | 1790 | 51.8% | 24.0% | 24.2% | -4.4 | 9 |
| 2022-08-19 | @ Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1790 | 1828 | 24.2% | 24.0% | 51.8% | +4.4 | 12 |
| 2022-08-20 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1700 | 1713 | 44.7% | 25.4% | 29.9% | -3.9 | 6 |
| 2022-08-20 | @ SV Sandhausen | W 2-1 | 1713 | 1700 | 29.9% | 25.4% | 44.7% | +3.9 | 7 |
| 2022-08-20 | Dusseldorf | D 2-2 | 1644 | 1755 | 31.2% | 25.6% | 43.2% | +0.2 | 1 |
| 2022-08-20 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 2-2 | 1755 | 1644 | 43.2% | 25.6% | 31.2% | -0.2 | 8 |
| 2022-08-20 | Holstein Kiel | W 7-2 | 1782 | 1734 | 53.0% | 23.6% | 23.4% | +7.4 | 12 |
| 2022-08-20 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 2-7 | 1734 | 1782 | 23.4% | 23.6% | 53.0% | -7.4 | 8 |
| 2022-08-20 | Karlsruher SC | L 0-6 | 1720 | 1712 | 47.7% | 24.9% | 27.4% | -22.8 | 7 |
| 2022-08-20 | @ Jahn Regensburg | W 6-0 | 1712 | 1720 | 27.4% | 24.9% | 47.7% | +22.8 | 7 |
| 2022-08-21 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-3 | 1735 | 1661 | 56.5% | 22.5% | 21.0% | -8.1 | 3 |
| 2022-08-21 | @ Greuther Furth | W 3-1 | 1661 | 1735 | 21.0% | 22.5% | 56.5% | +8.1 | 10 |
| 2022-08-21 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1751 | 1760 | 45.4% | 25.3% | 29.3% | -0.3 | 10 |
| 2022-08-21 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | D 1-1 | 1760 | 1751 | 29.3% | 25.3% | 45.4% | +0.3 | 1 |
| 2022-08-21 | St. Pauli | W 2-0 | 1679 | 1752 | 36.3% | 26.0% | 37.7% | +6.9 | 9 |
| 2022-08-21 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 0-2 | 1752 | 1679 | 37.7% | 26.0% | 36.3% | -6.9 | 7 |
| 2022-08-26 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 4-1 | 1760 | 1644 | 61.5% | 20.5% | 17.9% | +4.3 | 4 |
| 2022-08-26 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-4 | 1644 | 1760 | 17.9% | 20.5% | 61.5% | -4.3 | 1 |
| 2022-08-26 | Jahn Regensburg | W 4-0 | 1755 | 1697 | 54.4% | 23.2% | 22.4% | +8.4 | 11 |
| 2022-08-26 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-4 | 1697 | 1755 | 22.4% | 23.2% | 54.4% | -8.4 | 7 |
| 2022-08-27 | 1. FC Heidenheim | D 2-2 | 1794 | 1751 | 52.4% | 23.8% | 23.8% | -0.4 | 13 |
| 2022-08-27 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | D 2-2 | 1751 | 1794 | 23.8% | 23.8% | 52.4% | +0.4 | 11 |
| 2022-08-27 | Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1717 | 1824 | 31.8% | 25.7% | 42.5% | -6.0 | 7 |
| 2022-08-27 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-0 | 1824 | 1717 | 42.5% | 25.7% | 31.8% | +6.0 | 12 |
| 2022-08-27 | Hansa Rostock | W 2-0 | 1735 | 1686 | 53.3% | 23.5% | 23.2% | +4.6 | 10 |
| 2022-08-27 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1686 | 1735 | 23.2% | 23.5% | 53.3% | -4.6 | 9 |
| 2022-08-27 | Paderborn 07 | D 2-2 | 1745 | 1789 | 40.4% | 25.9% | 33.8% | -0.1 | 8 |
| 2022-08-27 | @ St. Pauli | D 2-2 | 1789 | 1745 | 33.8% | 25.9% | 40.4% | +0.1 | 13 |
| 2022-08-28 | 1. FC Magdeburg | D 4-4 | 1669 | 1674 | 45.8% | 25.3% | 28.9% | -0.2 | 11 |
| 2022-08-28 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 4-4 | 1674 | 1669 | 28.9% | 25.3% | 45.8% | +0.2 | 4 |
| 2022-08-28 | Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1718 | 1727 | 45.4% | 25.3% | 29.3% | +2.8 | 10 |
| 2022-08-28 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1727 | 1718 | 29.3% | 25.3% | 45.4% | -2.8 | 3 |
| 2022-08-28 | SV Sandhausen | W 1-0 | 1726 | 1696 | 50.8% | 24.2% | 25.0% | +2.6 | 11 |
| 2022-08-28 | @ Holstein Kiel | L 0-1 | 1696 | 1726 | 25.0% | 24.2% | 50.8% | -2.6 | 6 |
| 2022-09-02 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 4-2 | 1640 | 1711 | 36.5% | 26.0% | 37.5% | +5.3 | 4 |
| 2022-09-02 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 2-4 | 1711 | 1640 | 37.5% | 26.0% | 36.5% | -5.3 | 7 |
| 2022-09-02 | Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1751 | 1764 | 44.9% | 25.4% | 29.7% | +2.8 | 14 |
| 2022-09-02 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 1-2 | 1764 | 1751 | 29.7% | 25.4% | 44.9% | -2.9 | 11 |
| 2022-09-03 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 1-0 | 1789 | 1674 | 61.5% | 20.6% | 18.0% | +1.9 | 16 |
| 2022-09-03 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 0-1 | 1674 | 1789 | 18.0% | 20.6% | 61.5% | -1.9 | 4 |
| 2022-09-03 | Holstein Kiel | D 0-0 | 1689 | 1729 | 41.0% | 25.8% | 33.2% | -0.2 | 8 |
| 2022-09-03 | @ Jahn Regensburg | D 0-0 | 1729 | 1689 | 33.2% | 25.8% | 41.0% | +0.2 | 12 |
| 2022-09-03 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1830 | 1740 | 58.4% | 21.8% | 19.8% | +2.1 | 15 |
| 2022-09-03 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1740 | 1830 | 19.8% | 21.8% | 58.4% | -2.1 | 10 |
| 2022-09-03 | St. Pauli | D 2-2 | 1724 | 1745 | 43.8% | 25.6% | 30.7% | -0.2 | 4 |
| 2022-09-03 | @ Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1745 | 1724 | 30.7% | 25.6% | 43.8% | +0.2 | 9 |
| 2022-09-04 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 0-0 | 1693 | 1668 | 50.0% | 24.4% | 25.6% | -0.5 | 7 |
| 2022-09-04 | @ SV Sandhausen | D 0-0 | 1668 | 1693 | 25.6% | 24.4% | 50.0% | +0.5 | 12 |
| 2022-09-04 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1794 | 1764 | 50.6% | 24.3% | 25.2% | -0.5 | 14 |
| 2022-09-04 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | D 1-1 | 1764 | 1794 | 25.2% | 24.3% | 50.6% | +0.5 | 5 |
| 2022-09-04 | Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1681 | 1721 | 41.0% | 25.8% | 33.1% | -3.9 | 9 |
| 2022-09-04 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 1-0 | 1721 | 1681 | 33.1% | 25.8% | 41.0% | +3.9 | 13 |
| 2022-09-09 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1706 | 1765 | 38.3% | 26.0% | 35.7% | +3.5 | 10 |
| 2022-09-09 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1765 | 1706 | 35.7% | 26.0% | 38.3% | -3.5 | 5 |
| 2022-09-09 | Hamburger SV | L 2-3 | 1729 | 1832 | 32.3% | 25.8% | 41.9% | -2.9 | 12 |
| 2022-09-09 | @ Holstein Kiel | W 3-2 | 1832 | 1729 | 41.9% | 25.8% | 32.3% | +2.9 | 18 |
| 2022-09-10 | 1. FC Heidenheim | D 0-0 | 1738 | 1754 | 44.4% | 25.5% | 30.1% | -0.3 | 11 |
| 2022-09-10 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1754 | 1738 | 30.1% | 25.5% | 44.4% | +0.3 | 15 |
| 2022-09-10 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1725 | 1646 | 57.1% | 22.3% | 20.6% | -0.7 | 14 |
| 2022-09-10 | @ Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1646 | 1725 | 20.6% | 22.3% | 57.1% | +0.7 | 5 |
| 2022-09-10 | Hansa Rostock | W 3-1 | 1761 | 1677 | 57.6% | 22.1% | 20.3% | +3.5 | 14 |
| 2022-09-10 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-3 | 1677 | 1761 | 20.3% | 22.1% | 57.6% | -3.5 | 9 |
| 2022-09-10 | Jahn Regensburg | W 3-0 | 1791 | 1689 | 59.9% | 21.2% | 18.9% | +5.4 | 19 |
| 2022-09-10 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 0-3 | 1689 | 1791 | 18.9% | 21.2% | 59.9% | -5.4 | 8 |
| 2022-09-11 | Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1672 | 1724 | 39.3% | 25.9% | 34.7% | +3.2 | 7 |
| 2022-09-11 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | L 1-2 | 1724 | 1672 | 34.7% | 25.9% | 39.3% | -3.2 | 4 |
| 2022-09-11 | SV Darmstadt 98 | D 3-3 | 1669 | 1793 | 29.6% | 25.4% | 45.0% | +0.2 | 13 |
| 2022-09-11 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 3-3 | 1793 | 1669 | 45.0% | 25.4% | 29.6% | -0.2 | 15 |
| 2022-09-11 | SV Sandhausen | D 1-1 | 1745 | 1693 | 53.6% | 23.4% | 23.0% | -0.6 | 10 |
| 2022-09-11 | @ St. Pauli | D 1-1 | 1693 | 1745 | 23.0% | 23.4% | 53.6% | +0.6 | 8 |
| 2022-09-16 | Hannover 96 | L 2-3 | 1693 | 1724 | 42.3% | 25.7% | 32.0% | -3.5 | 8 |
| 2022-09-16 | @ SV Sandhausen | W 3-2 | 1724 | 1693 | 32.0% | 25.7% | 42.3% | +3.5 | 17 |
| 2022-09-16 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1646 | 1737 | 33.8% | 25.9% | 40.4% | +3.6 | 8 |
| 2022-09-16 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 1-2 | 1737 | 1646 | 40.4% | 25.9% | 33.8% | -3.6 | 11 |
| 2022-09-17 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 3-1 | 1674 | 1676 | 46.3% | 25.2% | 28.5% | +4.8 | 12 |
| 2022-09-17 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 1-3 | 1676 | 1674 | 28.5% | 25.2% | 46.3% | -4.8 | 7 |
| 2022-09-17 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-0 | 1793 | 1709 | 57.6% | 22.1% | 20.3% | +4.0 | 18 |
| 2022-09-17 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-2 | 1709 | 1793 | 20.3% | 22.1% | 57.6% | -4.0 | 10 |
| 2022-09-17 | Dusseldorf | W 2-0 | 1834 | 1764 | 55.9% | 22.7% | 21.4% | +4.2 | 21 |
| 2022-09-17 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1764 | 1834 | 21.4% | 22.7% | 55.9% | -4.2 | 14 |
| 2022-09-17 | Holstein Kiel | W 4-2 | 1761 | 1726 | 51.4% | 24.1% | 24.6% | +3.7 | 8 |
| 2022-09-17 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 2-4 | 1726 | 1761 | 24.6% | 24.1% | 51.4% | -3.7 | 12 |
| 2022-09-18 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 2-2 | 1754 | 1669 | 57.8% | 22.0% | 20.2% | -0.6 | 16 |
| 2022-09-18 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | D 2-2 | 1669 | 1754 | 20.2% | 22.0% | 57.8% | +0.6 | 14 |
| 2022-09-18 | Paderborn 07 | W 2-1 | 1721 | 1796 | 35.9% | 26.0% | 38.1% | +3.5 | 7 |
| 2022-09-18 | @ Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1796 | 1721 | 38.1% | 26.0% | 35.9% | -3.5 | 19 |
| 2022-09-18 | St. Pauli | W 2-0 | 1683 | 1744 | 38.0% | 26.0% | 36.0% | +6.6 | 11 |
| 2022-09-18 | @ Jahn Regensburg | L 0-2 | 1744 | 1683 | 36.0% | 26.0% | 38.0% | -6.6 | 10 |
| 2022-09-30 | Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1728 | 1839 | 31.2% | 25.6% | 43.2% | -3.0 | 17 |
| 2022-09-30 | @ Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1839 | 1728 | 43.2% | 25.6% | 31.2% | +3.0 | 24 |
| 2022-09-30 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 1-2 | 1793 | 1797 | 46.1% | 25.2% | 28.7% | -4.0 | 19 |
| 2022-09-30 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 2-1 | 1797 | 1793 | 28.7% | 25.2% | 46.1% | +4.0 | 21 |
| 2022-10-01 | 1. FC Heidenheim | D 0-0 | 1738 | 1754 | 44.4% | 25.5% | 30.1% | -0.3 | 11 |
| 2022-10-01 | @ St. Pauli | D 0-0 | 1754 | 1738 | 30.1% | 25.5% | 44.4% | +0.3 | 17 |
| 2022-10-01 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 4-1 | 1760 | 1765 | 45.9% | 25.3% | 28.8% | +6.8 | 17 |
| 2022-10-01 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-4 | 1765 | 1760 | 28.8% | 25.3% | 45.9% | -6.8 | 8 |
| 2022-10-01 | Hansa Rostock | D 1-1 | 1723 | 1678 | 52.5% | 23.8% | 23.7% | -0.6 | 13 |
| 2022-10-01 | @ Holstein Kiel | D 1-1 | 1678 | 1723 | 23.7% | 23.8% | 52.5% | +0.6 | 13 |
| 2022-10-01 | SV Sandhausen | D 1-1 | 1724 | 1690 | 51.3% | 24.1% | 24.6% | -0.5 | 8 |
| 2022-10-01 | @ Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1690 | 1724 | 24.6% | 24.1% | 51.3% | +0.5 | 9 |
| 2022-10-02 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-0 | 1734 | 1706 | 50.4% | 24.3% | 25.2% | +7.2 | 14 |
| 2022-10-02 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-3 | 1706 | 1734 | 25.2% | 24.3% | 50.4% | -7.2 | 10 |
| 2022-10-02 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1670 | 1650 | 49.3% | 24.6% | 26.1% | -0.5 | 15 |
| 2022-10-02 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 1-1 | 1650 | 1670 | 26.1% | 24.6% | 49.3% | +0.5 | 9 |
| 2022-10-02 | Jahn Regensburg | W 1-0 | 1671 | 1690 | 44.0% | 25.5% | 30.5% | +3.1 | 10 |
| 2022-10-02 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | L 0-1 | 1690 | 1671 | 30.5% | 25.5% | 44.0% | -3.1 | 11 |
| 2022-10-07 | Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1687 | 1724 | 41.4% | 25.8% | 32.8% | -0.1 | 12 |
| 2022-10-07 | @ Jahn Regensburg | D 2-2 | 1724 | 1687 | 32.8% | 25.8% | 41.4% | +0.1 | 9 |
| 2022-10-07 | Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1758 | 1741 | 49.0% | 24.7% | 26.4% | -4.2 | 8 |
| 2022-10-07 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1741 | 1758 | 26.4% | 24.7% | 49.0% | +4.2 | 17 |
| 2022-10-08 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 1-1 | 1842 | 1669 | 68.0% | 17.5% | 14.4% | -1.1 | 25 |
| 2022-10-08 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1669 | 1842 | 14.4% | 17.5% | 68.0% | +1.1 | 16 |
| 2022-10-08 | Dusseldorf | W 1-0 | 1801 | 1767 | 51.2% | 24.1% | 24.7% | +2.6 | 24 |
| 2022-10-08 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-1 | 1767 | 1801 | 24.7% | 24.1% | 51.2% | -2.6 | 17 |
| 2022-10-08 | Paderborn 07 | L 0-3 | 1679 | 1789 | 31.3% | 25.7% | 43.0% | -8.6 | 13 |
| 2022-10-08 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 3-0 | 1789 | 1679 | 43.0% | 25.7% | 31.3% | +8.6 | 22 |
| 2022-10-08 | St. Pauli | W 2-1 | 1650 | 1737 | 34.3% | 25.9% | 39.8% | +3.6 | 12 |
| 2022-10-08 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 1-2 | 1737 | 1650 | 39.8% | 25.9% | 34.3% | -3.6 | 11 |
| 2022-10-09 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 1-0 | 1690 | 1674 | 48.8% | 24.7% | 26.5% | +2.7 | 12 |
| 2022-10-09 | @ SV Sandhausen | L 0-1 | 1674 | 1690 | 26.5% | 24.7% | 48.8% | -2.7 | 10 |
| 2022-10-09 | Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1754 | 1725 | 50.6% | 24.3% | 25.1% | +2.5 | 20 |
| 2022-10-09 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 1-2 | 1725 | 1754 | 25.1% | 24.3% | 50.6% | -2.5 | 17 |
| 2022-10-09 | Holstein Kiel | L 2-3 | 1698 | 1722 | 43.3% | 25.6% | 31.1% | -3.6 | 10 |
| 2022-10-09 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-2 | 1722 | 1698 | 31.1% | 25.6% | 43.3% | +3.6 | 16 |
| 2022-10-14 | Hamburger SV | W 3-0 | 1734 | 1841 | 31.7% | 25.7% | 42.6% | +10.9 | 14 |
| 2022-10-14 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-3 | 1841 | 1734 | 42.6% | 25.7% | 31.7% | -10.9 | 25 |
| 2022-10-14 | Hansa Rostock | D 2-2 | 1724 | 1670 | 53.8% | 23.4% | 22.8% | -0.5 | 10 |
| 2022-10-14 | @ Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1670 | 1724 | 22.8% | 23.4% | 53.8% | +0.5 | 14 |
| 2022-10-15 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1764 | 1695 | 55.8% | 22.7% | 21.4% | -4.9 | 17 |
| 2022-10-15 | @ Dusseldorf | W 1-0 | 1695 | 1764 | 21.4% | 22.7% | 55.8% | +4.9 | 13 |
| 2022-10-15 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1722 | 1754 | 42.1% | 25.8% | 32.1% | +6.1 | 20 |
| 2022-10-15 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1754 | 1722 | 32.1% | 25.8% | 42.1% | -6.1 | 8 |
| 2022-10-15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-2 | 1671 | 1654 | 49.0% | 24.7% | 26.4% | -8.4 | 10 |
| 2022-10-15 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 2-0 | 1654 | 1671 | 26.4% | 24.7% | 49.0% | +8.4 | 15 |
| 2022-10-15 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 1-2 | 1745 | 1803 | 38.4% | 26.0% | 35.6% | -3.5 | 17 |
| 2022-10-15 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1803 | 1745 | 35.6% | 26.0% | 38.4% | +3.5 | 27 |
| 2022-10-16 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 3-1 | 1726 | 1756 | 42.3% | 25.7% | 32.0% | +5.2 | 19 |
| 2022-10-16 | @ Holstein Kiel | L 1-3 | 1756 | 1726 | 32.0% | 25.7% | 42.3% | -5.2 | 20 |
| 2022-10-16 | Jahn Regensburg | L 0-3 | 1670 | 1687 | 44.3% | 25.5% | 30.2% | -11.3 | 16 |
| 2022-10-16 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 3-0 | 1687 | 1670 | 30.2% | 25.5% | 44.3% | +11.3 | 15 |
| 2022-10-16 | SV Sandhausen | W 3-0 | 1798 | 1693 | 60.2% | 21.1% | 18.7% | +5.3 | 25 |
| 2022-10-16 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 0-3 | 1693 | 1798 | 18.7% | 21.1% | 60.2% | -5.3 | 12 |
| 2022-10-21 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-2 | 1671 | 1659 | 48.2% | 24.8% | 27.0% | -8.3 | 14 |
| 2022-10-21 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 2-0 | 1659 | 1671 | 27.0% | 24.8% | 48.2% | +8.3 | 19 |
| 2022-10-21 | Holstein Kiel | D 1-1 | 1807 | 1731 | 56.7% | 22.4% | 20.9% | -0.7 | 28 |
| 2022-10-21 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | D 1-1 | 1731 | 1807 | 20.9% | 22.4% | 56.7% | +0.7 | 20 |
| 2022-10-22 | Hannover 96 | D 0-0 | 1700 | 1728 | 42.6% | 25.7% | 31.7% | -0.2 | 14 |
| 2022-10-22 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1728 | 1700 | 31.7% | 25.7% | 42.6% | +0.2 | 21 |
| 2022-10-22 | Paderborn 07 | D 0-0 | 1662 | 1803 | 27.7% | 25.0% | 47.3% | +0.4 | 16 |
| 2022-10-22 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 0-0 | 1803 | 1662 | 47.3% | 25.0% | 27.7% | -0.4 | 26 |
| 2022-10-22 | St. Pauli | W 2-0 | 1748 | 1745 | 47.1% | 25.1% | 27.9% | +5.4 | 11 |
| 2022-10-22 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-2 | 1745 | 1748 | 27.9% | 25.1% | 47.1% | -5.4 | 14 |
| 2022-10-22 | SV Sandhausen | W 2-1 | 1698 | 1688 | 48.0% | 24.9% | 27.1% | +2.6 | 18 |
| 2022-10-22 | @ Jahn Regensburg | L 1-2 | 1688 | 1698 | 27.1% | 24.9% | 48.0% | -2.6 | 12 |
| 2022-10-23 | 1. FC Magdeburg | L 2-3 | 1830 | 1663 | 67.4% | 17.8% | 14.8% | -5.1 | 25 |
| 2022-10-23 | @ Hamburger SV | W 3-2 | 1663 | 1830 | 14.8% | 17.8% | 67.4% | +5.1 | 13 |
| 2022-10-23 | Dusseldorf | L 0-2 | 1742 | 1759 | 44.1% | 25.5% | 30.3% | -7.7 | 17 |
| 2022-10-23 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1759 | 1742 | 30.3% | 25.5% | 44.1% | +7.7 | 20 |
| 2022-10-23 | Greuther Furth | W 3-1 | 1751 | 1724 | 50.4% | 24.3% | 25.3% | +4.3 | 23 |
| 2022-10-23 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 1-3 | 1724 | 1751 | 25.3% | 24.3% | 50.4% | -4.3 | 10 |
| 2022-10-28 | 1. FC Heidenheim | D 1-1 | 1668 | 1755 | 34.3% | 25.9% | 39.8% | +0.1 | 14 |
| 2022-10-28 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | D 1-1 | 1755 | 1668 | 39.8% | 25.9% | 34.3% | -0.1 | 24 |
| 2022-10-28 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1719 | 1753 | 41.8% | 25.8% | 32.4% | +3.2 | 13 |
| 2022-10-28 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1753 | 1719 | 32.4% | 25.8% | 41.8% | -3.2 | 11 |
| 2022-10-29 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1667 | 1699 | 42.1% | 25.8% | 32.1% | -0.2 | 20 |
| 2022-10-29 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 0-0 | 1699 | 1667 | 32.1% | 25.8% | 42.1% | +0.2 | 15 |
| 2022-10-29 | Dusseldorf | L 1-2 | 1732 | 1767 | 41.6% | 25.8% | 32.6% | -3.7 | 20 |
| 2022-10-29 | @ Holstein Kiel | W 2-1 | 1767 | 1732 | 32.6% | 25.8% | 41.6% | +3.7 | 23 |
| 2022-10-29 | Hansa Rostock | L 0-3 | 1701 | 1663 | 51.8% | 24.0% | 24.3% | -12.7 | 18 |
| 2022-10-29 | @ Jahn Regensburg | W 3-0 | 1663 | 1701 | 24.3% | 24.0% | 51.8% | +12.7 | 17 |
| 2022-10-29 | SV Darmstadt 98 | D 1-1 | 1739 | 1806 | 37.1% | 26.0% | 36.9% | -0.0 | 15 |
| 2022-10-29 | @ St. Pauli | D 1-1 | 1806 | 1739 | 36.9% | 26.0% | 37.1% | +0.0 | 29 |
| 2022-10-30 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 2-2 | 1685 | 1663 | 49.6% | 24.5% | 25.9% | -0.3 | 13 |
| 2022-10-30 | @ SV Sandhausen | D 2-2 | 1663 | 1685 | 25.9% | 24.5% | 49.6% | +0.3 | 17 |
| 2022-10-30 | Hamburger SV | L 2-3 | 1803 | 1825 | 43.5% | 25.6% | 30.9% | -3.6 | 26 |
| 2022-10-30 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 3-2 | 1825 | 1803 | 30.9% | 25.6% | 43.5% | +3.6 | 28 |
| 2022-10-30 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1728 | 1734 | 45.9% | 25.3% | 28.9% | +3.0 | 24 |
| 2022-10-30 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1734 | 1728 | 28.9% | 25.3% | 45.9% | -3.0 | 17 |
| 2022-11-04 | Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1806 | 1731 | 56.5% | 22.5% | 21.0% | +2.2 | 32 |
| 2022-11-04 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-1 | 1731 | 1806 | 21.0% | 22.5% | 56.5% | -2.2 | 24 |
| 2022-11-04 | SV Sandhausen | L 0-1 | 1675 | 1685 | 45.3% | 25.4% | 29.3% | -4.2 | 17 |
| 2022-11-04 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 1-0 | 1685 | 1675 | 29.3% | 25.4% | 45.3% | +4.2 | 16 |
| 2022-11-05 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 2-3 | 1750 | 1667 | 57.5% | 22.1% | 20.3% | -4.5 | 11 |
| 2022-11-05 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-2 | 1667 | 1750 | 20.3% | 22.1% | 57.5% | +4.5 | 23 |
| 2022-11-05 | Holstein Kiel | L 1-4 | 1731 | 1728 | 47.0% | 25.1% | 27.9% | -10.0 | 17 |
| 2022-11-05 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 4-1 | 1728 | 1731 | 27.9% | 25.1% | 47.0% | +10.0 | 23 |
| 2022-11-05 | Paderborn 07 | W 3-0 | 1755 | 1799 | 40.5% | 25.9% | 33.6% | +9.1 | 27 |
| 2022-11-05 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-3 | 1799 | 1755 | 33.6% | 25.9% | 40.5% | -9.1 | 26 |
| 2022-11-05 | St. Pauli | W 1-0 | 1771 | 1739 | 50.9% | 24.2% | 24.9% | +2.6 | 26 |
| 2022-11-05 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-1 | 1739 | 1771 | 24.9% | 24.2% | 50.9% | -2.6 | 15 |
| 2022-11-06 | 1. FC Magdeburg | L 1-2 | 1700 | 1668 | 50.9% | 24.2% | 24.9% | -4.3 | 15 |
| 2022-11-06 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1668 | 1700 | 24.9% | 24.2% | 50.9% | +4.3 | 17 |
| 2022-11-06 | Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1663 | 1722 | 38.2% | 26.0% | 35.8% | -3.7 | 17 |
| 2022-11-06 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 1-0 | 1722 | 1663 | 35.8% | 26.0% | 38.2% | +3.7 | 16 |
| 2022-11-06 | Jahn Regensburg | W 3-1 | 1828 | 1688 | 64.4% | 19.2% | 16.3% | +2.7 | 31 |
| 2022-11-06 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-3 | 1688 | 1828 | 16.3% | 19.2% | 64.4% | -2.7 | 18 |
| 2022-11-08 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-2 | 1790 | 1746 | 52.5% | 23.8% | 23.7% | -8.9 | 26 |
| 2022-11-08 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 2-0 | 1746 | 1790 | 23.7% | 23.8% | 52.5% | +8.9 | 14 |
| 2022-11-08 | Dusseldorf | W 2-0 | 1729 | 1773 | 40.4% | 25.9% | 33.7% | +6.3 | 27 |
| 2022-11-08 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1773 | 1729 | 33.7% | 25.9% | 40.4% | -6.3 | 26 |
| 2022-11-08 | Holstein Kiel | D 0-0 | 1737 | 1738 | 46.4% | 25.2% | 28.4% | -0.4 | 16 |
| 2022-11-08 | @ St. Pauli | D 0-0 | 1738 | 1737 | 28.4% | 25.2% | 46.4% | +0.4 | 24 |
| 2022-11-08 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1672 | 1721 | 39.7% | 25.9% | 34.4% | +6.4 | 26 |
| 2022-11-08 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-2 | 1721 | 1672 | 34.4% | 25.9% | 39.7% | -6.4 | 17 |
| 2022-11-09 | 1. FC Heidenheim | L 3-4 | 1689 | 1764 | 35.9% | 26.0% | 38.1% | -3.1 | 16 |
| 2022-11-09 | @ SV Sandhausen | W 4-3 | 1764 | 1689 | 38.1% | 26.0% | 35.9% | +3.1 | 30 |
| 2022-11-09 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1671 | 1695 | 43.2% | 25.6% | 31.1% | -0.2 | 18 |
| 2022-11-09 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 1-1 | 1695 | 1671 | 31.1% | 25.6% | 43.2% | +0.2 | 16 |
| 2022-11-09 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1685 | 1659 | 50.1% | 24.4% | 25.5% | -0.5 | 19 |
| 2022-11-09 | @ Jahn Regensburg | D 1-1 | 1659 | 1685 | 25.5% | 24.4% | 50.1% | +0.5 | 18 |
| 2022-11-09 | Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1726 | 1831 | 32.0% | 25.7% | 42.3% | +4.0 | 19 |
| 2022-11-09 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1831 | 1726 | 42.3% | 25.7% | 32.0% | -4.0 | 31 |
| 2022-11-10 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-1 | 1672 | 1808 | 28.2% | 25.1% | 46.6% | -2.9 | 17 |
| 2022-11-10 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 1-0 | 1808 | 1672 | 46.6% | 25.1% | 28.2% | +2.9 | 35 |
| 2022-11-11 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-2 | 1767 | 1678 | 58.3% | 21.8% | 19.9% | -4.8 | 26 |
| 2022-11-11 | @ Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1678 | 1767 | 19.9% | 21.8% | 58.3% | +4.8 | 29 |
| 2022-11-11 | Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1738 | 1736 | 47.0% | 25.1% | 28.0% | -0.4 | 25 |
| 2022-11-11 | @ Holstein Kiel | D 1-1 | 1736 | 1738 | 28.0% | 25.1% | 47.0% | +0.4 | 28 |
| 2022-11-12 | Hansa Rostock | L 0-1 | 1660 | 1671 | 45.1% | 25.4% | 29.5% | -4.2 | 18 |
| 2022-11-12 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 1-0 | 1671 | 1660 | 29.5% | 25.4% | 45.1% | +4.2 | 21 |
| 2022-11-12 | Jahn Regensburg | W 5-4 | 1768 | 1685 | 57.5% | 22.1% | 20.4% | +1.8 | 33 |
| 2022-11-12 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 4-5 | 1685 | 1768 | 20.4% | 22.1% | 57.5% | -1.8 | 19 |
| 2022-11-12 | St. Pauli | D 4-4 | 1715 | 1736 | 43.6% | 25.6% | 30.8% | -0.1 | 18 |
| 2022-11-12 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 4-4 | 1736 | 1715 | 30.8% | 25.6% | 43.6% | +0.1 | 17 |
| 2022-11-12 | SV Sandhausen | W 4-2 | 1827 | 1686 | 64.5% | 19.2% | 16.3% | +2.4 | 34 |
| 2022-11-12 | @ Hamburger SV | L 2-4 | 1686 | 1827 | 16.3% | 19.2% | 64.5% | -2.4 | 16 |
| 2022-11-13 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 3-1 | 1755 | 1670 | 57.8% | 22.0% | 20.2% | +3.4 | 17 |
| 2022-11-13 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-3 | 1670 | 1755 | 20.2% | 22.0% | 57.8% | -3.4 | 17 |
| 2022-11-13 | Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1811 | 1730 | 57.3% | 22.2% | 20.5% | -0.8 | 36 |
| 2022-11-13 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | D 1-1 | 1730 | 1811 | 20.5% | 22.2% | 57.3% | +0.8 | 20 |
| 2022-11-13 | Paderborn 07 | W 2-1 | 1696 | 1781 | 34.5% | 25.9% | 39.5% | +3.6 | 19 |
| 2022-11-13 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1781 | 1696 | 39.5% | 25.9% | 34.5% | -3.6 | 26 |
| 2023-01-27 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 3-2 | 1762 | 1666 | 59.2% | 21.5% | 19.4% | +1.8 | 29 |
| 2023-01-27 | @ Dusseldorf | L 2-3 | 1666 | 1762 | 19.4% | 21.5% | 59.2% | -1.8 | 17 |
| 2023-01-27 | Paderborn 07 | L 0-1 | 1714 | 1777 | 37.7% | 26.0% | 36.3% | -3.6 | 18 |
| 2023-01-27 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1777 | 1714 | 36.3% | 26.0% | 37.7% | +3.6 | 29 |
| 2023-01-28 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-3 | 1736 | 1683 | 53.7% | 23.4% | 22.9% | -7.8 | 28 |
| 2023-01-28 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-1 | 1683 | 1736 | 22.9% | 23.4% | 53.7% | +7.8 | 32 |
| 2023-01-28 | Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1738 | 1731 | 47.6% | 24.9% | 27.5% | +2.7 | 28 |
| 2023-01-28 | @ Holstein Kiel | L 1-2 | 1731 | 1738 | 27.5% | 24.9% | 47.6% | -2.7 | 20 |
| 2023-01-28 | Hansa Rostock | W 2-0 | 1769 | 1675 | 58.9% | 21.6% | 19.5% | +3.8 | 36 |
| 2023-01-28 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-2 | 1675 | 1769 | 19.5% | 21.6% | 58.9% | -3.8 | 21 |
| 2023-01-28 | Jahn Regensburg | W 2-0 | 1810 | 1683 | 62.9% | 19.9% | 17.2% | +3.3 | 39 |
| 2023-01-28 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-2 | 1683 | 1810 | 17.2% | 19.9% | 62.9% | -3.3 | 19 |
| 2023-01-29 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 4-2 | 1829 | 1656 | 68.2% | 17.4% | 14.4% | +2.1 | 37 |
| 2023-01-29 | @ Hamburger SV | L 2-4 | 1656 | 1829 | 14.4% | 17.4% | 68.2% | -2.1 | 18 |
| 2023-01-29 | St. Pauli | L 0-1 | 1699 | 1736 | 41.4% | 25.8% | 32.8% | -3.9 | 19 |
| 2023-01-29 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1736 | 1699 | 32.8% | 25.8% | 41.4% | +3.9 | 20 |
| 2023-01-29 | SV Sandhausen | L 1-2 | 1758 | 1683 | 56.5% | 22.5% | 21.0% | -4.7 | 17 |
| 2023-01-29 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1683 | 1758 | 21.0% | 22.5% | 56.5% | +4.7 | 19 |
| 2023-02-03 | Dusseldorf | W 4-1 | 1781 | 1764 | 48.9% | 24.7% | 26.4% | +6.3 | 32 |
| 2023-02-03 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 1-4 | 1764 | 1781 | 26.4% | 24.7% | 48.9% | -6.3 | 29 |
| 2023-02-03 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-4 | 1688 | 1814 | 29.4% | 25.4% | 45.2% | -10.7 | 19 |
| 2023-02-03 | @ SV Sandhausen | W 4-0 | 1814 | 1688 | 45.2% | 25.4% | 29.4% | +10.7 | 42 |
| 2023-02-04 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 2-0 | 1654 | 1773 | 30.1% | 25.5% | 44.4% | +7.8 | 21 |
| 2023-02-04 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-2 | 1773 | 1654 | 44.4% | 25.5% | 30.1% | -7.8 | 36 |
| 2023-02-04 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1728 | 1695 | 51.1% | 24.1% | 24.8% | +2.6 | 23 |
| 2023-02-04 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1695 | 1728 | 24.8% | 24.1% | 51.1% | -2.6 | 19 |
| 2023-02-04 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-3 | 1680 | 1753 | 36.2% | 26.0% | 37.9% | -5.8 | 19 |
| 2023-02-04 | @ Jahn Regensburg | W 3-1 | 1753 | 1680 | 37.9% | 26.0% | 36.2% | +5.8 | 20 |
| 2023-02-04 | Holstein Kiel | W 2-1 | 1691 | 1741 | 39.6% | 25.9% | 34.5% | +3.2 | 35 |
| 2023-02-04 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-2 | 1741 | 1691 | 34.5% | 25.9% | 39.6% | -3.2 | 28 |
| 2023-02-05 | Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1671 | 1831 | 25.6% | 24.4% | 49.9% | -5.0 | 21 |
| 2023-02-05 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 2-0 | 1831 | 1671 | 49.9% | 24.4% | 25.6% | +5.0 | 40 |
| 2023-02-05 | Hannover 96 | W 2-0 | 1740 | 1728 | 48.3% | 24.8% | 26.9% | +5.2 | 23 |
| 2023-02-05 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-2 | 1728 | 1740 | 26.9% | 24.8% | 48.3% | -5.2 | 28 |
| 2023-02-05 | Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1664 | 1711 | 40.1% | 25.9% | 34.0% | -0.1 | 18 |
| 2023-02-05 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | D 1-1 | 1711 | 1664 | 34.0% | 25.9% | 40.1% | +0.1 | 19 |
| 2023-02-10 | Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1711 | 1731 | 43.9% | 25.6% | 30.6% | +2.9 | 22 |
| 2023-02-10 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1731 | 1711 | 30.6% | 25.6% | 43.9% | -2.9 | 23 |
| 2023-02-10 | Hansa Rostock | L 0-1 | 1759 | 1666 | 58.8% | 21.6% | 19.6% | -5.1 | 20 |
| 2023-02-10 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1666 | 1759 | 19.6% | 21.6% | 58.8% | +5.1 | 24 |
| 2023-02-11 | 1. FC Magdeburg | L 2-3 | 1737 | 1664 | 56.3% | 22.6% | 21.1% | -4.4 | 28 |
| 2023-02-11 | @ Holstein Kiel | W 3-2 | 1664 | 1737 | 21.1% | 22.6% | 56.3% | +4.4 | 21 |
| 2023-02-11 | Hamburger SV | D 3-3 | 1765 | 1836 | 36.5% | 26.0% | 37.5% | +0.0 | 37 |
| 2023-02-11 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | D 3-3 | 1836 | 1765 | 37.5% | 26.0% | 36.5% | -0.0 | 41 |
| 2023-02-11 | Jahn Regensburg | W 1-0 | 1693 | 1674 | 49.2% | 24.6% | 26.2% | +2.7 | 22 |
| 2023-02-11 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1674 | 1693 | 26.2% | 24.6% | 49.2% | -2.7 | 19 |
| 2023-02-11 | Paderborn 07 | L 3-4 | 1723 | 1787 | 37.5% | 26.0% | 36.5% | -3.2 | 28 |
| 2023-02-11 | @ Hannover 96 | W 4-3 | 1787 | 1723 | 36.5% | 26.0% | 37.5% | +3.2 | 35 |
| 2023-02-12 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 1-0 | 1746 | 1694 | 53.5% | 23.5% | 23.0% | +2.4 | 26 |
| 2023-02-12 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-1 | 1694 | 1746 | 23.0% | 23.5% | 53.5% | -2.4 | 35 |
| 2023-02-12 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-1 | 1825 | 1661 | 67.0% | 18.0% | 15.0% | +1.4 | 45 |
| 2023-02-12 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 1-2 | 1661 | 1825 | 15.0% | 18.0% | 67.0% | -1.4 | 21 |
| 2023-02-12 | SV Sandhausen | W 2-0 | 1758 | 1677 | 57.2% | 22.2% | 20.6% | +4.0 | 32 |
| 2023-02-12 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-2 | 1677 | 1758 | 20.6% | 22.2% | 57.2% | -4.0 | 19 |
| 2023-02-17 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 1-0 | 1790 | 1692 | 59.5% | 21.3% | 19.1% | +2.0 | 38 |
| 2023-02-17 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 0-1 | 1692 | 1790 | 19.1% | 21.3% | 59.5% | -2.0 | 35 |
| 2023-02-17 | Holstein Kiel | L 2-3 | 1660 | 1733 | 36.3% | 26.0% | 37.7% | -3.2 | 21 |
| 2023-02-17 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 3-2 | 1733 | 1660 | 37.7% | 26.0% | 36.3% | +3.2 | 31 |
| 2023-02-18 | Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1728 | 1762 | 41.9% | 25.8% | 32.4% | +3.1 | 26 |
| 2023-02-18 | @ Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1762 | 1728 | 32.4% | 25.8% | 41.9% | -3.1 | 32 |
| 2023-02-18 | Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1671 | 1720 | 39.8% | 25.9% | 34.3% | -0.1 | 20 |
| 2023-02-18 | @ Jahn Regensburg | D 1-1 | 1720 | 1671 | 34.3% | 25.9% | 39.8% | +0.1 | 29 |
| 2023-02-18 | St. Pauli | L 1-2 | 1669 | 1748 | 35.4% | 26.0% | 38.6% | -3.3 | 21 |
| 2023-02-18 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 2-1 | 1748 | 1669 | 38.6% | 26.0% | 35.4% | +3.3 | 29 |
| 2023-02-18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-1 | 1671 | 1826 | 26.2% | 24.6% | 49.2% | -2.7 | 24 |
| 2023-02-18 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 1-0 | 1826 | 1671 | 49.2% | 24.6% | 26.2% | +2.7 | 48 |
| 2023-02-19 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 5-0 | 1765 | 1695 | 55.9% | 22.7% | 21.4% | +9.8 | 40 |
| 2023-02-19 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-5 | 1695 | 1765 | 21.4% | 22.7% | 55.9% | -9.8 | 22 |
| 2023-02-19 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1836 | 1754 | 57.5% | 22.1% | 20.4% | +2.0 | 44 |
| 2023-02-19 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1754 | 1836 | 20.4% | 22.1% | 57.5% | -2.0 | 20 |
| 2023-02-19 | Karlsruher SC | L 0-3 | 1673 | 1714 | 40.9% | 25.9% | 33.2% | -10.6 | 19 |
| 2023-02-19 | @ SV Sandhausen | W 3-0 | 1714 | 1673 | 33.2% | 25.9% | 40.9% | +10.6 | 25 |
| 2023-02-24 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 3-1 | 1759 | 1657 | 59.9% | 21.2% | 18.9% | +3.2 | 35 |
| 2023-02-24 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-3 | 1657 | 1759 | 18.9% | 21.2% | 59.9% | -3.2 | 21 |
| 2023-02-24 | Jahn Regensburg | W 1-0 | 1724 | 1671 | 53.8% | 23.4% | 22.9% | +2.4 | 28 |
| 2023-02-24 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1671 | 1724 | 22.9% | 23.4% | 53.8% | -2.4 | 20 |
| 2023-02-25 | Greuther Furth | W 3-1 | 1690 | 1731 | 40.8% | 25.9% | 33.3% | +5.4 | 38 |
| 2023-02-25 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-3 | 1731 | 1690 | 33.3% | 25.9% | 40.8% | -5.4 | 26 |
| 2023-02-25 | Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1829 | 1838 | 45.2% | 25.4% | 29.4% | -0.3 | 49 |
| 2023-02-25 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | D 1-1 | 1838 | 1829 | 29.4% | 25.4% | 45.2% | +0.3 | 45 |
| 2023-02-25 | Paderborn 07 | D 1-1 | 1736 | 1792 | 38.6% | 26.0% | 35.4% | -0.1 | 32 |
| 2023-02-25 | @ Holstein Kiel | D 1-1 | 1792 | 1736 | 35.4% | 26.0% | 38.6% | +0.1 | 39 |
| 2023-02-25 | SV Sandhausen | W 1-0 | 1685 | 1663 | 49.7% | 24.5% | 25.8% | +2.7 | 25 |
| 2023-02-25 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1663 | 1685 | 25.8% | 24.5% | 49.7% | -2.7 | 19 |
| 2023-02-26 | 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-1 | 1752 | 1775 | 43.4% | 25.6% | 31.0% | -4.0 | 20 |
| 2023-02-26 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1775 | 1752 | 31.0% | 25.6% | 43.4% | +4.0 | 43 |
| 2023-02-26 | 1. FC Magdeburg | L 1-2 | 1720 | 1665 | 53.9% | 23.4% | 22.8% | -4.5 | 29 |
| 2023-02-26 | @ Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1665 | 1720 | 22.8% | 23.4% | 53.9% | +4.5 | 24 |
| 2023-02-26 | Hansa Rostock | W 1-0 | 1751 | 1669 | 57.5% | 22.1% | 20.4% | +2.1 | 32 |
| 2023-02-26 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-1 | 1669 | 1751 | 20.4% | 22.1% | 57.5% | -2.1 | 24 |
| 2023-03-03 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-0 | 1670 | 1695 | 43.1% | 25.7% | 31.2% | +5.9 | 27 |
| 2023-03-03 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | L 0-2 | 1695 | 1670 | 31.2% | 25.7% | 43.1% | -5.9 | 38 |
| 2023-03-03 | St. Pauli | L 1-2 | 1792 | 1753 | 51.9% | 23.9% | 24.2% | -4.4 | 39 |
| 2023-03-03 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 2-1 | 1753 | 1792 | 24.2% | 23.9% | 51.9% | +4.4 | 35 |
| 2023-03-04 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-0 | 1839 | 1688 | 65.6% | 18.7% | 15.7% | +4.3 | 48 |
| 2023-03-04 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-3 | 1688 | 1839 | 15.7% | 18.7% | 65.6% | -4.4 | 25 |
| 2023-03-04 | Dusseldorf | L 0-1 | 1669 | 1762 | 33.5% | 25.9% | 40.6% | -3.3 | 20 |
| 2023-03-04 | @ Jahn Regensburg | W 1-0 | 1762 | 1669 | 40.6% | 25.9% | 33.5% | +3.3 | 38 |
| 2023-03-04 | Holstein Kiel | D 1-1 | 1660 | 1736 | 35.9% | 26.0% | 38.2% | +0.0 | 20 |
| 2023-03-04 | @ SV Sandhausen | D 1-1 | 1736 | 1660 | 38.2% | 26.0% | 35.9% | -0.0 | 33 |
| 2023-03-04 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 1-0 | 1779 | 1828 | 39.7% | 25.9% | 34.4% | +3.4 | 46 |
| 2023-03-04 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-1 | 1828 | 1779 | 34.4% | 25.9% | 39.7% | -3.4 | 49 |
| 2023-03-05 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 3-3 | 1654 | 1748 | 33.3% | 25.9% | 40.8% | +0.1 | 22 |
| 2023-03-05 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 3-3 | 1748 | 1654 | 40.8% | 25.9% | 33.3% | -0.1 | 21 |
| 2023-03-05 | Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1725 | 1715 | 48.0% | 24.9% | 27.1% | -0.4 | 27 |
| 2023-03-05 | @ Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1715 | 1725 | 27.1% | 24.9% | 48.0% | +0.4 | 30 |
| 2023-03-05 | Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1667 | 1727 | 38.1% | 26.0% | 35.9% | -6.9 | 24 |
| 2023-03-05 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 2-0 | 1727 | 1667 | 35.9% | 26.0% | 38.1% | +6.9 | 31 |
| 2023-03-10 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-0 | 1684 | 1654 | 50.7% | 24.2% | 25.1% | +4.9 | 28 |
| 2023-03-10 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1654 | 1684 | 25.1% | 24.2% | 50.7% | -4.9 | 22 |
| 2023-03-10 | SV Sandhausen | D 2-2 | 1689 | 1660 | 50.5% | 24.3% | 25.2% | -0.4 | 39 |
| 2023-03-10 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 2-2 | 1660 | 1689 | 25.2% | 24.3% | 50.5% | +0.4 | 21 |
| 2023-03-11 | 1. FC Heidenheim | D 1-1 | 1765 | 1783 | 44.2% | 25.5% | 30.3% | -0.3 | 39 |
| 2023-03-11 | @ Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1783 | 1765 | 30.3% | 25.5% | 44.2% | +0.3 | 47 |
| 2023-03-11 | Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1758 | 1725 | 51.0% | 24.2% | 24.8% | +2.4 | 38 |
| 2023-03-11 | @ St. Pauli | L 1-2 | 1725 | 1758 | 24.8% | 24.2% | 51.0% | -2.4 | 27 |
| 2023-03-11 | Paderborn 07 | D 0-0 | 1676 | 1788 | 31.0% | 25.6% | 43.3% | +0.3 | 28 |
| 2023-03-11 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | D 0-0 | 1788 | 1676 | 43.3% | 25.6% | 31.0% | -0.3 | 40 |
| 2023-03-11 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 3-1 | 1748 | 1825 | 35.7% | 26.0% | 38.3% | +6.0 | 24 |
| 2023-03-11 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-3 | 1825 | 1748 | 38.3% | 26.0% | 35.7% | -6.0 | 49 |
| 2023-03-12 | Hamburger SV | W 4-2 | 1734 | 1843 | 31.4% | 25.7% | 42.9% | +5.9 | 34 |
| 2023-03-12 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 2-4 | 1843 | 1734 | 42.9% | 25.7% | 31.4% | -5.9 | 48 |
| 2023-03-12 | Hansa Rostock | D 1-1 | 1716 | 1660 | 54.1% | 23.3% | 22.6% | -0.6 | 31 |
| 2023-03-12 | @ Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1660 | 1716 | 22.6% | 23.3% | 54.1% | +0.6 | 25 |
| 2023-03-12 | Jahn Regensburg | L 1-2 | 1736 | 1665 | 56.0% | 22.7% | 21.4% | -4.7 | 33 |
| 2023-03-12 | @ Holstein Kiel | W 2-1 | 1665 | 1736 | 21.4% | 22.7% | 56.0% | +4.7 | 23 |
| 2023-03-17 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1754 | 1689 | 55.3% | 22.9% | 21.8% | -0.5 | 25 |
| 2023-03-17 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1689 | 1754 | 21.8% | 22.9% | 55.3% | +0.5 | 29 |
| 2023-03-17 | Karlsruher SC | W 5-2 | 1783 | 1740 | 52.4% | 23.8% | 23.8% | +5.0 | 50 |
| 2023-03-17 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 2-5 | 1740 | 1783 | 23.8% | 23.8% | 52.4% | -5.0 | 34 |
| 2023-03-18 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-0 | 1819 | 1689 | 63.3% | 19.8% | 17.0% | +3.3 | 52 |
| 2023-03-18 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-2 | 1689 | 1819 | 17.0% | 19.8% | 63.3% | -3.3 | 39 |
| 2023-03-18 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 3-0 | 1723 | 1676 | 52.9% | 23.7% | 23.5% | +6.7 | 30 |
| 2023-03-18 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-3 | 1676 | 1723 | 23.5% | 23.7% | 52.9% | -6.7 | 28 |
| 2023-03-18 | Holstein Kiel | D 0-0 | 1837 | 1731 | 60.4% | 21.0% | 18.6% | -1.0 | 49 |
| 2023-03-18 | @ Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1731 | 1837 | 18.6% | 21.0% | 60.4% | +1.0 | 34 |
| 2023-03-18 | Paderborn 07 | W 1-0 | 1670 | 1788 | 30.3% | 25.5% | 44.1% | +4.1 | 26 |
| 2023-03-18 | @ Jahn Regensburg | L 0-1 | 1788 | 1670 | 44.1% | 25.5% | 30.3% | -4.1 | 40 |
| 2023-03-19 | Dusseldorf | L 2-5 | 1660 | 1765 | 32.0% | 25.7% | 42.3% | -6.4 | 25 |
| 2023-03-19 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 5-2 | 1765 | 1660 | 42.3% | 25.7% | 32.0% | +6.4 | 42 |
| 2023-03-19 | Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1649 | 1715 | 37.2% | 26.0% | 36.8% | +3.6 | 25 |
| 2023-03-19 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-1 | 1715 | 1649 | 36.8% | 26.0% | 37.2% | -3.6 | 31 |
| 2023-03-19 | St. Pauli | L 0-5 | 1660 | 1760 | 32.6% | 25.8% | 41.6% | -14.4 | 21 |
| 2023-03-19 | @ SV Sandhausen | W 5-0 | 1760 | 1660 | 41.6% | 25.8% | 32.6% | +14.4 | 41 |
| 2023-03-31 | Hamburger SV | D 2-2 | 1771 | 1836 | 37.4% | 26.0% | 36.6% | -0.0 | 43 |
| 2023-03-31 | @ Dusseldorf | D 2-2 | 1836 | 1771 | 36.6% | 26.0% | 37.4% | +0.0 | 50 |
| 2023-03-31 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-1 | 1689 | 1822 | 28.6% | 25.2% | 46.2% | -2.9 | 29 |
| 2023-03-31 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1822 | 1689 | 46.2% | 25.2% | 28.6% | +2.9 | 55 |
| 2023-04-01 | 1. FC Heidenheim | D 2-2 | 1685 | 1788 | 32.3% | 25.8% | 42.0% | +0.1 | 40 |
| 2023-04-01 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 2-2 | 1788 | 1685 | 42.0% | 25.8% | 32.3% | -0.1 | 51 |
| 2023-04-01 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1735 | 1652 | 57.5% | 22.1% | 20.4% | -0.8 | 35 |
| 2023-04-01 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1652 | 1735 | 20.4% | 22.1% | 57.5% | +0.8 | 26 |
| 2023-04-01 | Jahn Regensburg | W 1-0 | 1775 | 1674 | 59.7% | 21.3% | 19.0% | +2.0 | 44 |
| 2023-04-01 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-1 | 1674 | 1775 | 19.0% | 21.3% | 59.7% | -2.0 | 26 |
| 2023-04-01 | SV Sandhausen | W 3-1 | 1711 | 1646 | 55.3% | 22.9% | 21.8% | +3.7 | 34 |
| 2023-04-01 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-3 | 1646 | 1711 | 21.8% | 22.9% | 55.3% | -3.7 | 21 |
| 2023-04-02 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 2-3 | 1732 | 1753 | 43.7% | 25.6% | 30.8% | -3.6 | 34 |
| 2023-04-02 | @ Holstein Kiel | W 3-2 | 1753 | 1732 | 30.8% | 25.6% | 43.7% | +3.6 | 28 |
| 2023-04-02 | Greuther Furth | W 3-2 | 1784 | 1729 | 53.9% | 23.4% | 22.8% | +2.1 | 43 |
| 2023-04-02 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 2-3 | 1729 | 1784 | 22.8% | 23.4% | 53.9% | -2.1 | 30 |
| 2023-04-02 | Hansa Rostock | W 3-0 | 1669 | 1654 | 48.7% | 24.7% | 26.6% | +7.5 | 31 |
| 2023-04-02 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | L 0-3 | 1654 | 1669 | 26.6% | 24.7% | 48.7% | -7.5 | 25 |
| 2023-04-08 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 1-0 | 1653 | 1686 | 42.1% | 25.8% | 32.2% | +3.2 | 29 |
| 2023-04-08 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-1 | 1686 | 1653 | 32.2% | 25.8% | 42.1% | -3.2 | 40 |
| 2023-04-08 | Hannover 96 | W 6-1 | 1836 | 1715 | 62.2% | 20.2% | 17.6% | +6.6 | 53 |
| 2023-04-08 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-6 | 1715 | 1836 | 17.6% | 20.2% | 62.2% | -6.6 | 34 |
| 2023-04-08 | Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1686 | 1734 | 39.9% | 25.9% | 34.2% | -0.1 | 30 |
| 2023-04-08 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1734 | 1686 | 34.2% | 25.9% | 39.9% | +0.1 | 36 |
| 2023-04-08 | St. Pauli | L 0-1 | 1788 | 1776 | 48.1% | 24.8% | 27.0% | -4.4 | 51 |
| 2023-04-08 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | W 1-0 | 1776 | 1788 | 27.0% | 24.8% | 48.1% | +4.4 | 47 |
| 2023-04-09 | 1. FC Magdeburg | D 2-2 | 1672 | 1677 | 45.9% | 25.2% | 28.8% | -0.2 | 27 |
| 2023-04-09 | @ Jahn Regensburg | D 2-2 | 1677 | 1672 | 28.8% | 25.2% | 45.9% | +0.2 | 32 |
| 2023-04-09 | Dusseldorf | D 2-2 | 1757 | 1771 | 44.6% | 25.5% | 29.9% | -0.2 | 29 |
| 2023-04-09 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1771 | 1757 | 29.9% | 25.5% | 44.6% | +0.2 | 44 |
| 2023-04-09 | Greuther Furth | L 0-2 | 1642 | 1727 | 34.6% | 25.9% | 39.5% | -6.4 | 21 |
| 2023-04-09 | @ SV Sandhausen | W 2-0 | 1727 | 1642 | 39.5% | 25.9% | 34.6% | +6.4 | 33 |
| 2023-04-09 | Holstein Kiel | L 2-3 | 1646 | 1729 | 35.0% | 25.9% | 39.1% | -3.1 | 25 |
| 2023-04-09 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 3-2 | 1729 | 1646 | 39.1% | 25.9% | 35.0% | +3.1 | 37 |
| 2023-04-09 | Paderborn 07 | W 2-1 | 1825 | 1786 | 51.9% | 23.9% | 24.2% | +2.4 | 58 |
| 2023-04-09 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 1-2 | 1786 | 1825 | 24.2% | 23.9% | 51.9% | -2.4 | 43 |
| 2023-04-14 | 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-3 | 1709 | 1783 | 36.0% | 26.0% | 38.0% | -9.6 | 34 |
| 2023-04-14 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 1783 | 1709 | 38.0% | 26.0% | 36.0% | +9.6 | 54 |
| 2023-04-14 | Jahn Regensburg | W 2-1 | 1734 | 1672 | 54.9% | 23.0% | 22.1% | +2.2 | 36 |
| 2023-04-14 | @ Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1672 | 1734 | 22.1% | 23.0% | 54.9% | -2.2 | 27 |
| 2023-04-15 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1732 | 1686 | 52.7% | 23.7% | 23.6% | +2.3 | 40 |
| 2023-04-15 | @ Holstein Kiel | L 1-2 | 1686 | 1732 | 23.6% | 23.7% | 52.7% | -2.3 | 30 |
| 2023-04-15 | Hamburger SV | W 2-0 | 1682 | 1843 | 25.6% | 24.4% | 50.0% | +8.5 | 43 |
| 2023-04-15 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-2 | 1843 | 1682 | 50.0% | 24.4% | 25.6% | -8.5 | 53 |
| 2023-04-15 | Hansa Rostock | W 3-0 | 1783 | 1643 | 64.4% | 19.2% | 16.3% | +4.6 | 46 |
| 2023-04-15 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 0-3 | 1643 | 1783 | 16.3% | 19.2% | 64.4% | -4.6 | 25 |
| 2023-04-15 | SV Sandhausen | L 1-2 | 1677 | 1636 | 52.2% | 23.9% | 24.0% | -4.4 | 32 |
| 2023-04-15 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 2-1 | 1636 | 1677 | 24.0% | 23.9% | 52.2% | +4.4 | 24 |
| 2023-04-16 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 4-2 | 1734 | 1757 | 43.4% | 25.6% | 30.9% | +4.6 | 39 |
| 2023-04-16 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 2-4 | 1757 | 1734 | 30.9% | 25.6% | 43.4% | -4.6 | 29 |
| 2023-04-16 | Eintracht Braunschweig | L 1-2 | 1781 | 1656 | 62.6% | 20.1% | 17.3% | -5.1 | 47 |
| 2023-04-16 | @ St. Pauli | W 2-1 | 1656 | 1781 | 17.3% | 20.1% | 62.6% | +5.1 | 32 |
| 2023-04-16 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 1-0 | 1772 | 1827 | 38.7% | 26.0% | 35.3% | +3.5 | 47 |
| 2023-04-16 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-1 | 1827 | 1772 | 35.3% | 26.0% | 38.7% | -3.5 | 58 |
| 2023-04-21 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1824 | 1739 | 57.8% | 22.0% | 20.2% | +2.0 | 61 |
| 2023-04-21 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 1-2 | 1739 | 1824 | 20.2% | 22.0% | 57.8% | -2.0 | 39 |
| 2023-04-21 | St. Pauli | W 4-3 | 1834 | 1776 | 54.4% | 23.2% | 22.4% | +2.0 | 56 |
| 2023-04-21 | @ Hamburger SV | L 3-4 | 1776 | 1834 | 22.4% | 23.2% | 54.4% | -2.0 | 47 |
| 2023-04-22 | 1. FC Magdeburg | L 1-2 | 1661 | 1673 | 45.0% | 25.4% | 29.6% | -3.9 | 32 |
| 2023-04-22 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-1 | 1673 | 1661 | 29.6% | 25.4% | 45.0% | +3.9 | 35 |
| 2023-04-22 | Dusseldorf | W 2-0 | 1684 | 1775 | 33.8% | 25.9% | 40.4% | +7.2 | 33 |
| 2023-04-22 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1775 | 1684 | 40.4% | 25.9% | 33.8% | -7.2 | 47 |
| 2023-04-22 | Greuther Furth | W 2-0 | 1639 | 1736 | 33.0% | 25.8% | 41.2% | +7.3 | 28 |
| 2023-04-22 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 0-2 | 1736 | 1639 | 41.2% | 25.8% | 33.0% | -7.3 | 36 |
| 2023-04-22 | Hannover 96 | L 1-3 | 1752 | 1699 | 53.7% | 23.4% | 22.9% | -7.8 | 29 |
| 2023-04-22 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-1 | 1699 | 1752 | 22.9% | 23.4% | 53.7% | +7.8 | 37 |
| 2023-04-23 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 0-0 | 1670 | 1691 | 43.7% | 25.6% | 30.8% | -0.3 | 28 |
| 2023-04-23 | @ Jahn Regensburg | D 0-0 | 1691 | 1670 | 30.8% | 25.6% | 43.7% | +0.3 | 44 |
| 2023-04-23 | Holstein Kiel | W 3-0 | 1793 | 1734 | 54.5% | 23.2% | 22.4% | +6.4 | 57 |
| 2023-04-23 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-3 | 1734 | 1793 | 22.4% | 23.2% | 54.5% | -6.4 | 40 |
| 2023-04-23 | Paderborn 07 | D 2-2 | 1640 | 1788 | 26.9% | 24.8% | 48.2% | +0.3 | 25 |
| 2023-04-23 | @ SV Sandhausen | D 2-2 | 1788 | 1640 | 48.2% | 24.8% | 26.9% | -0.3 | 47 |
| 2023-04-28 | 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-2 | 1728 | 1799 | 36.6% | 26.0% | 37.5% | -6.7 | 36 |
| 2023-04-28 | @ Greuther Furth | W 2-0 | 1799 | 1728 | 37.5% | 26.0% | 36.6% | +6.7 | 60 |
| 2023-04-28 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 5-1 | 1788 | 1657 | 63.3% | 19.8% | 17.0% | +5.2 | 50 |
| 2023-04-28 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 1-5 | 1657 | 1788 | 17.0% | 19.8% | 63.3% | -5.2 | 32 |
| 2023-04-29 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-0 | 1707 | 1691 | 48.8% | 24.7% | 26.5% | +7.5 | 40 |
| 2023-04-29 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-3 | 1691 | 1707 | 26.5% | 24.7% | 48.8% | -7.5 | 33 |
| 2023-04-29 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1774 | 1744 | 50.6% | 24.3% | 25.1% | +2.5 | 50 |
| 2023-04-29 | @ St. Pauli | L 1-2 | 1744 | 1774 | 25.1% | 24.3% | 50.6% | -2.5 | 29 |
| 2023-04-29 | Hamburger SV | W 3-2 | 1677 | 1836 | 25.7% | 24.4% | 49.9% | +4.0 | 38 |
| 2023-04-29 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | L 2-3 | 1836 | 1677 | 49.9% | 24.4% | 25.7% | -4.0 | 56 |
| 2023-04-29 | Hansa Rostock | L 0-1 | 1691 | 1646 | 52.7% | 23.7% | 23.6% | -4.7 | 44 |
| 2023-04-29 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 1-0 | 1646 | 1691 | 23.6% | 23.7% | 52.7% | +4.7 | 31 |
| 2023-04-30 | Jahn Regensburg | W 2-1 | 1641 | 1669 | 42.6% | 25.7% | 31.7% | +3.0 | 28 |
| 2023-04-30 | @ SV Sandhausen | L 1-2 | 1669 | 1641 | 31.7% | 25.7% | 42.6% | -3.0 | 28 |
| 2023-04-30 | Karlsruher SC | W 3-2 | 1768 | 1737 | 50.8% | 24.2% | 24.9% | +2.3 | 50 |
| 2023-04-30 | @ Dusseldorf | L 2-3 | 1737 | 1768 | 24.9% | 24.2% | 50.8% | -2.3 | 39 |
| 2023-04-30 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-3 | 1728 | 1826 | 32.8% | 25.8% | 41.4% | -9.0 | 40 |
| 2023-04-30 | @ Holstein Kiel | W 3-0 | 1826 | 1728 | 41.4% | 25.8% | 32.8% | +9.0 | 64 |
| 2023-05-05 | Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1742 | 1722 | 49.4% | 24.6% | 26.1% | -0.5 | 30 |
| 2023-05-05 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1722 | 1742 | 26.1% | 24.6% | 49.4% | +0.5 | 37 |
| 2023-05-05 | Paderborn 07 | D 2-2 | 1832 | 1793 | 51.9% | 23.9% | 24.1% | -0.4 | 57 |
| 2023-05-05 | @ Hamburger SV | D 2-2 | 1793 | 1832 | 24.1% | 23.9% | 51.9% | +0.4 | 51 |
| 2023-05-06 | Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1734 | 1714 | 49.3% | 24.6% | 26.1% | +2.5 | 42 |
| 2023-05-06 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1714 | 1734 | 26.1% | 24.6% | 49.3% | -2.5 | 40 |
| 2023-05-06 | Holstein Kiel | W 3-0 | 1770 | 1719 | 53.5% | 23.5% | 23.0% | +6.6 | 53 |
| 2023-05-06 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-3 | 1719 | 1770 | 23.0% | 23.5% | 53.5% | -6.6 | 40 |
| 2023-05-06 | Jahn Regensburg | W 2-0 | 1651 | 1666 | 44.4% | 25.5% | 30.1% | +5.8 | 34 |
| 2023-05-06 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 0-2 | 1666 | 1651 | 30.1% | 25.5% | 44.4% | -5.8 | 28 |
| 2023-05-06 | St. Pauli | L 0-3 | 1835 | 1776 | 54.5% | 23.2% | 22.4% | -13.3 | 64 |
| 2023-05-06 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | W 3-0 | 1776 | 1835 | 22.4% | 23.2% | 54.5% | +13.3 | 53 |
| 2023-05-07 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 3-3 | 1684 | 1686 | 46.2% | 25.2% | 28.6% | -0.2 | 34 |
| 2023-05-07 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 3-3 | 1686 | 1684 | 28.6% | 25.2% | 46.2% | +0.2 | 45 |
| 2023-05-07 | 1. FC Magdeburg | D 0-0 | 1806 | 1681 | 62.7% | 20.0% | 17.3% | -1.0 | 61 |
| 2023-05-07 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | D 0-0 | 1681 | 1806 | 17.3% | 20.0% | 62.7% | +1.0 | 39 |
| 2023-05-07 | SV Sandhausen | W 2-1 | 1652 | 1644 | 47.8% | 24.9% | 27.3% | +2.7 | 35 |
| 2023-05-07 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 1-2 | 1644 | 1652 | 27.3% | 24.9% | 47.8% | -2.7 | 28 |
| 2023-05-12 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1682 | 1683 | 46.4% | 25.2% | 28.4% | -0.3 | 40 |
| 2023-05-12 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | D 2-2 | 1683 | 1682 | 28.4% | 25.2% | 46.4% | +0.3 | 35 |
| 2023-05-12 | Hansa Rostock | L 1-2 | 1641 | 1657 | 44.5% | 25.5% | 30.1% | -3.9 | 28 |
| 2023-05-12 | @ SV Sandhausen | W 2-1 | 1657 | 1641 | 30.1% | 25.5% | 44.5% | +3.9 | 37 |
| 2023-05-13 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-2 | 1687 | 1741 | 38.9% | 26.0% | 35.2% | -3.5 | 45 |
| 2023-05-13 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-1 | 1741 | 1687 | 35.2% | 26.0% | 38.9% | +3.5 | 33 |
| 2023-05-13 | Dusseldorf | D 0-0 | 1789 | 1777 | 48.4% | 24.8% | 26.9% | -0.5 | 54 |
| 2023-05-13 | @ St. Pauli | D 0-0 | 1777 | 1789 | 26.9% | 24.8% | 48.4% | +0.5 | 54 |
| 2023-05-13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 2-2 | 1722 | 1655 | 55.5% | 22.8% | 21.6% | -0.5 | 38 |
| 2023-05-13 | @ Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1655 | 1722 | 21.6% | 22.8% | 55.5% | +0.5 | 36 |
| 2023-05-13 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1712 | 1737 | 43.1% | 25.6% | 31.2% | +3.0 | 43 |
| 2023-05-13 | @ Holstein Kiel | L 1-2 | 1737 | 1712 | 31.2% | 25.6% | 43.1% | -3.0 | 42 |
| 2023-05-14 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 3-2 | 1793 | 1805 | 45.0% | 25.4% | 29.6% | +2.7 | 54 |
| 2023-05-14 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 2-3 | 1805 | 1793 | 29.6% | 25.4% | 45.0% | -2.7 | 61 |
| 2023-05-14 | Hamburger SV | L 1-5 | 1661 | 1832 | 24.5% | 24.1% | 51.4% | -7.6 | 28 |
| 2023-05-14 | @ Jahn Regensburg | W 5-1 | 1832 | 1661 | 51.4% | 24.1% | 24.5% | +7.6 | 60 |
| 2023-05-14 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 2-1 | 1712 | 1822 | 31.3% | 25.7% | 43.0% | +3.8 | 43 |
| 2023-05-14 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1822 | 1712 | 43.0% | 25.7% | 31.3% | -3.8 | 64 |
| 2023-05-19 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 1-0 | 1818 | 1681 | 64.0% | 19.4% | 16.6% | +1.7 | 67 |
| 2023-05-19 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-1 | 1681 | 1818 | 16.6% | 19.4% | 64.0% | -1.7 | 40 |
| 2023-05-19 | St. Pauli | L 3-4 | 1715 | 1789 | 36.1% | 26.0% | 37.9% | -3.1 | 43 |
| 2023-05-19 | @ Holstein Kiel | W 4-3 | 1789 | 1715 | 37.9% | 26.0% | 36.1% | +3.1 | 57 |
| 2023-05-20 | Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1840 | 1722 | 61.8% | 20.4% | 17.8% | +1.7 | 63 |
| 2023-05-20 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1722 | 1840 | 17.8% | 20.4% | 61.8% | -1.7 | 38 |
| 2023-05-20 | Jahn Regensburg | L 1-2 | 1655 | 1653 | 46.9% | 25.1% | 28.0% | -4.1 | 36 |
| 2023-05-20 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-1 | 1653 | 1655 | 28.0% | 25.1% | 46.9% | +4.1 | 31 |
| 2023-05-20 | Paderborn 07 | D 2-2 | 1745 | 1796 | 39.4% | 25.9% | 34.6% | -0.1 | 34 |
| 2023-05-20 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1796 | 1745 | 34.6% | 25.9% | 39.4% | +0.1 | 55 |
| 2023-05-20 | SV Sandhausen | W 1-0 | 1802 | 1637 | 67.3% | 17.9% | 14.8% | +1.5 | 64 |
| 2023-05-20 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-1 | 1637 | 1802 | 14.8% | 17.9% | 67.3% | -1.5 | 28 |
| 2023-05-21 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-0 | 1734 | 1683 | 53.4% | 23.5% | 23.1% | +4.6 | 45 |
| 2023-05-21 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1683 | 1734 | 23.1% | 23.5% | 53.4% | -4.6 | 45 |
| 2023-05-21 | Hannover 96 | D 3-3 | 1777 | 1716 | 54.8% | 23.1% | 22.1% | -0.4 | 55 |
| 2023-05-21 | @ Dusseldorf | D 3-3 | 1716 | 1777 | 22.1% | 23.1% | 54.8% | +0.4 | 44 |
| 2023-05-21 | Hansa Rostock | D 0-0 | 1684 | 1660 | 49.8% | 24.5% | 25.8% | -0.5 | 36 |
| 2023-05-21 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1660 | 1684 | 25.8% | 24.5% | 49.8% | +0.5 | 38 |
| 2023-05-28 | 1. FC Heidenheim | L 2-3 | 1657 | 1804 | 27.0% | 24.8% | 48.1% | -2.5 | 31 |
| 2023-05-28 | @ Jahn Regensburg | W 3-2 | 1804 | 1657 | 48.1% | 24.8% | 27.0% | +2.5 | 67 |
| 2023-05-28 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1796 | 1683 | 61.2% | 20.6% | 18.1% | -5.3 | 55 |
| 2023-05-28 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 1-0 | 1683 | 1796 | 18.1% | 20.6% | 61.2% | +5.3 | 39 |
| 2023-05-28 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 4-0 | 1680 | 1745 | 37.4% | 26.0% | 36.6% | +12.7 | 43 |
| 2023-05-28 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | L 0-4 | 1745 | 1680 | 36.6% | 26.0% | 37.4% | -12.7 | 34 |
| 2023-05-28 | Dusseldorf | L 0-3 | 1679 | 1777 | 32.8% | 25.8% | 41.4% | -9.0 | 45 |
| 2023-05-28 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 3-0 | 1777 | 1679 | 41.4% | 25.8% | 32.8% | +9.0 | 58 |
| 2023-05-28 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-1 | 1661 | 1651 | 47.9% | 24.9% | 27.2% | +2.6 | 41 |
| 2023-05-28 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 1-2 | 1651 | 1661 | 27.2% | 24.9% | 47.9% | -2.6 | 36 |
| 2023-05-28 | Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1636 | 1841 | 21.4% | 22.7% | 55.9% | -2.2 | 28 |
| 2023-05-28 | @ SV Sandhausen | W 1-0 | 1841 | 1636 | 55.9% | 22.7% | 21.4% | +2.2 | 66 |
| 2023-05-28 | Holstein Kiel | L 1-5 | 1716 | 1712 | 47.2% | 25.0% | 27.8% | -12.9 | 44 |
| 2023-05-28 | @ Hannover 96 | W 5-1 | 1712 | 1716 | 27.8% | 25.0% | 47.2% | +12.9 | 46 |
| 2023-05-28 | Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1792 | 1738 | 53.8% | 23.4% | 22.8% | -0.6 | 58 |
| 2023-05-28 | @ St. Pauli | D 1-1 | 1738 | 1792 | 22.8% | 23.4% | 53.8% | +0.6 | 46 |
| 2023-05-28 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 4-0 | 1720 | 1820 | 32.6% | 25.8% | 41.5% | +14.0 | 41 |
| 2023-05-28 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-4 | 1820 | 1720 | 41.5% | 25.8% | 32.6% | -14.0 | 67 |
Playoff Game Log
Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-01 | Hamburger SV | W 3-0 | 1861 | 1844 | 49.0% | 24.7% | 26.4% | +7.5 | 1-0 |
| 2023-06-01 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-3 | 1844 | 1861 | 26.4% | 24.7% | 49.0% | -7.5 | 0-1 |
| 2023-06-02 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 4-0 | 1583 | 1732 | 26.8% | 24.8% | 48.5% | +15.8 | 1-0 |
| 2023-06-02 | @ Wehen Wiesbaden | L 0-4 | 1732 | 1583 | 48.5% | 24.8% | 26.8% | -15.8 | 0-1 |
| 2023-06-05 | VfB Stuttgart | L 1-3 | 1836 | 1868 | 42.1% | 25.8% | 32.1% | -6.5 | 0-2 |
| 2023-06-05 | @ Hamburger SV | W 3-1 | 1868 | 1836 | 32.1% | 25.8% | 42.1% | +6.5 | 2-0 |
| 2023-06-06 | Wehen Wiesbaden | L 1-2 | 1716 | 1599 | 61.8% | 20.4% | 17.8% | -5.0 | 0-2 |
| 2023-06-06 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1599 | 1716 | 17.8% | 20.4% | 61.8% | +5.0 | 2-0 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2022-10-23 | 14.76% | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1663 | 3 | @ Hamburger SV | 1830 | 2 |
| 2 | 2022-07-24 | 15.89% | Hansa Rostock | 1677 | 1 | @ Hamburger SV | 1824 | 0 |
| 3 | 2023-04-16 | 17.34% | Eintracht Braunschweig | 1656 | 2 | @ St. Pauli | 1781 | 1 |
| 4 | 2023-06-06 * | 17.81% | Wehen Wiesbaden | 1599 | 2 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1716 | 1 |
| 5 | 2023-05-28 | 18.13% | 1. FC Nurnberg | 1683 | 1 | @ Paderborn 07 | 1796 | 0 |
| 6 | 2023-02-10 | 19.59% | Hansa Rostock | 1666 | 1 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1759 | 0 |
| 7 | 2022-11-11 | 19.89% | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1678 | 2 | @ Dusseldorf | 1767 | 1 |
| 8 | 2022-11-05 | 20.35% | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1667 | 3 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1750 | 2 |
| 9 | 2022-08-21 | 21.02% | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1661 | 3 | @ Greuther Furth | 1735 | 1 |
| 10 | 2023-01-29 | 21.02% | SV Sandhausen | 1683 | 2 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1758 | 1 |
| 11 | 2022-07-24 | 21.07% | Jahn Regensburg | 1710 | 3 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1784 | 0 |
| 12 | 2023-02-11 | 21.15% | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1664 | 3 | @ Holstein Kiel | 1737 | 2 |
| 13 | 2023-03-12 | 21.36% | Jahn Regensburg | 1665 | 2 | @ Holstein Kiel | 1736 | 1 |
| 14 | 2022-10-15 | 21.45% | 1. FC Nurnberg | 1695 | 1 | @ Dusseldorf | 1764 | 0 |
| 15 | 2023-05-06 | 22.37% | St. Pauli | 1776 | 3 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | 1835 | 0 |
| 16 | 2023-02-26 | 22.76% | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1665 | 2 | @ Hannover 96 | 1720 | 1 |
| 17 | 2023-04-22 | 22.86% | Hannover 96 | 1699 | 3 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1752 | 1 |
| 18 | 2023-01-28 | 22.89% | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1683 | 3 | @ Hannover 96 | 1736 | 1 |
| 19 | 2023-04-29 | 23.61% | Hansa Rostock | 1646 | 1 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1691 | 0 |
| 20 | 2022-11-08 | 23.71% | Arminia Bielefeld | 1746 | 2 | @ Paderborn 07 | 1790 | 0 |
| 21 | 2023-04-15 | 23.97% | SV Sandhausen | 1636 | 2 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | 1677 | 1 |
| 22 | 2023-03-03 | 24.17% | St. Pauli | 1753 | 2 | @ Paderborn 07 | 1792 | 1 |
| 23 | 2022-08-19 | 24.25% | SV Darmstadt 98 | 1790 | 2 | @ Hamburger SV | 1828 | 1 |
| 24 | 2022-10-29 | 24.27% | Hansa Rostock | 1663 | 3 | @ Jahn Regensburg | 1701 | 0 |
| 25 | 2022-11-06 | 24.92% | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1668 | 2 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 1700 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2022-08-20 | 22.82 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 1712 | 27.40% | @ Jahn Regensburg | 0 | 1720 | 47.67% | 24.93% |
| 2 | 2023-06-02 * | 15.80 | @ Wehen Wiesbaden | 4 | 1583 | 26.76% | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 1732 | 48.46% | 24.77% |
| 3 | 2022-08-19 | 14.80 | Hannover 96 | 4 | 1703 | 29.93% | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | 0 | 1689 | 44.61% | 25.45% |
| 4 | 2023-03-19 | 14.38 | St. Pauli | 5 | 1760 | 41.56% | @ SV Sandhausen | 0 | 1660 | 32.64% | 25.80% |
| 5 | 2023-05-28 | 14.01 | @ Greuther Furth | 4 | 1720 | 32.65% | SV Darmstadt 98 | 0 | 1820 | 41.55% | 25.80% |
| 6 | 2022-07-24 | 13.63 | Jahn Regensburg | 3 | 1710 | 21.07% | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 1784 | 56.42% | 22.51% |
| 7 | 2023-05-06 | 13.26 | St. Pauli | 3 | 1776 | 22.37% | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | 0 | 1835 | 54.46% | 23.17% |
| 8 | 2023-05-28 | 12.88 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 1712 | 27.81% | @ Hannover 96 | 1 | 1716 | 47.16% | 25.03% |
| 9 | 2022-10-29 | 12.74 | Hansa Rostock | 3 | 1663 | 24.27% | @ Jahn Regensburg | 0 | 1701 | 51.76% | 23.97% |
| 10 | 2023-05-28 | 12.74 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | 4 | 1680 | 37.40% | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 1745 | 36.61% | 25.99% |
| 11 | 2022-08-12 | 11.32 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 3 | 1740 | 29.99% | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 0 | 1725 | 44.54% | 25.46% |
| 12 | 2022-10-16 | 11.28 | Jahn Regensburg | 3 | 1687 | 30.18% | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0 | 1670 | 44.33% | 25.49% |
| 13 | 2022-07-17 | 10.94 | @ Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1767 | 52.41% | Karlsruher SC | 0 | 1724 | 23.80% | 23.79% |
| 14 | 2022-10-14 | 10.93 | @ St. Pauli | 3 | 1734 | 31.72% | Hamburger SV | 0 | 1841 | 42.58% | 25.70% |
| 15 | 2023-02-03 | 10.72 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 4 | 1814 | 45.23% | @ SV Sandhausen | 0 | 1688 | 29.41% | 25.36% |
| 16 | 2023-02-19 | 10.60 | Karlsruher SC | 3 | 1714 | 33.24% | @ SV Sandhausen | 0 | 1673 | 40.91% | 25.85% |
| 17 | 2022-11-05 | 9.96 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 1728 | 27.91% | @ Karlsruher SC | 1 | 1731 | 47.03% | 25.06% |
| 18 | 2023-02-19 | 9.85 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | 5 | 1765 | 55.91% | 1. FC Nurnberg | 0 | 1695 | 21.40% | 22.69% |
| 19 | 2023-04-14 | 9.64 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 3 | 1783 | 38.01% | @ Hannover 96 | 0 | 1709 | 36.01% | 25.98% |
| 20 | 2022-11-05 | 9.14 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | 3 | 1755 | 40.48% | Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1799 | 33.64% | 25.88% |
| 21 | 2023-05-28 | 8.97 | Dusseldorf | 3 | 1777 | 41.36% | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0 | 1679 | 32.83% | 25.82% |
| 22 | 2023-04-30 | 8.97 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 3 | 1826 | 41.38% | @ Holstein Kiel | 0 | 1728 | 32.81% | 25.81% |
| 23 | 2022-11-08 | 8.88 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 1746 | 23.71% | @ Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1790 | 52.54% | 23.75% |
| 24 | 2022-10-08 | 8.64 | Paderborn 07 | 3 | 1789 | 43.02% | @ Hansa Rostock | 0 | 1679 | 31.33% | 25.66% |
| 25 | 2023-04-15 | 8.53 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 1682 | 25.58% | Hamburger SV | 0 | 1843 | 49.99% | 24.42% |