2003-04 2. Bundesliga Season
306 games
Promoted
1. FC Nurnberg
61 pts
Arminia Bielefeld · 56 pts
Mainz 05 · 54 pts
Relegated
VfL Osnabruck
28 pts
Union Berlin · 33 pts
VfB Lubeck · 39 pts
Jahn Regensburg · 39 pts
Biggest Overachiever
Alemannia Aachen
5.55 points above expected
53 points · 47.45 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
VfL Osnabruck
10.63 points below expected
28 points · 38.63 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nurnberg Promoted | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 61 | 68 | 45 | +23 | 55.88 | +5.12 |
| 2 | Arminia Bielefeld Promoted | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56 | 50 | 37 | +13 | 54.14 | +1.86 |
| 3 | Mainz 05 Promoted | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 54 | 49 | 34 | +15 | 54.06 | -0.06 |
| 4 | Energie Cottbus | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 52 | 44 | +8 | 53.51 | +0.49 |
| 5 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 53 | 52 | 48 | +4 | 48.16 | +4.84 |
| 6 | Alemannia Aachen | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 53 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 47.45 | +5.55 |
| 7 | MSV Duisburg | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 46.32 | +1.68 |
| 8 | Erzgebirge Aue | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 48 | 47 | 45 | +2 | 44.95 | +3.05 |
| 9 | Greuther Furth | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 45 | 58 | 51 | +7 | 50.61 | -5.61 |
| 10 | Wacker Burghausen | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 40 | 39 | +1 | 46.66 | -1.66 |
| 11 | Eintracht Trier | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 43.65 | +1.35 |
| 12 | LR Ahlen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 40.46 | +3.54 |
| 13 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 47.56 | -4.56 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43.15 | -0.15 |
| 15 | VfB Lubeck Relegated | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 45.72 | -6.72 |
| 16 | Jahn Regensburg Relegated | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 41.20 | -2.20 |
| 17 | Union Berlin Relegated | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43.36 | -10.36 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabruck Relegated | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 28 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 38.63 | -10.63 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 1729 | 61 | 55.88 | +5.12 | 77.2% | 26 | 44 | 51 | 56 | 61 | 68 | 82 |
| Mainz 05 | 1710 | 54 | 54.06 | -0.06 | 52.9% | 28 | 42 | 49 | 54 | 59 | 66 | 81 |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 1708 | 56 | 54.14 | +1.86 | 62.1% | 26 | 42 | 49 | 54 | 59 | 66 | 85 |
| Greuther Furth | 1673 | 45 | 50.61 | -5.61 | 25.0% | 23 | 38 | 45 | 51 | 56 | 63 | 81 |
| Energie Cottbus | 1671 | 54 | 53.51 | +0.49 | 55.1% | 25 | 41 | 49 | 54 | 58 | 65 | 82 |
| MSV Duisburg | 1663 | 48 | 46.32 | +1.68 | 61.5% | 20 | 35 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 58 | 74 |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 1644 | 48 | 44.95 | +3.05 | 68.7% | 17 | 33 | 40 | 45 | 50 | 57 | 71 |
| Alemannia Aachen | 1629 | 53 | 47.45 | +5.55 | 79.4% | 18 | 35 | 42 | 47 | 52 | 60 | 74 |
| Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 1628 | 53 | 48.16 | +4.84 | 76.8% | 22 | 36 | 43 | 48 | 53 | 60 | 77 |
| Eintracht Trier | 1625 | 45 | 43.65 | +1.35 | 59.6% | 16 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 72 |
| Wacker Burghausen | 1624 | 45 | 46.66 | -1.66 | 43.9% | 19 | 35 | 42 | 47 | 52 | 59 | 73 |
| SpVgg Unterhaching | 1612 | 43 | 47.56 | -4.56 | 29.1% | 22 | 36 | 43 | 48 | 52 | 60 | 73 |
| LR Ahlen | 1604 | 44 | 40.46 | +3.54 | 71.6% | 16 | 29 | 36 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 66 |
| Karlsruher SC | 1580 | 43 | 43.15 | -0.15 | 52.4% | 18 | 31 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 55 | 72 |
| Union Berlin | 1575 | 33 | 43.36 | -10.36 | 8.7% | 17 | 31 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 55 | 73 |
| VfB Lubeck | 1562 | 39 | 45.72 | -6.72 | 20.1% | 22 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 58 | 74 |
| Jahn Regensburg | 1539 | 39 | 41.20 | -2.20 | 41.3% | 16 | 30 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 71 |
| VfL Osnabruck | 1527 | 28 | 38.63 | -10.63 | 7.7% | 12 | 27 | 34 | 39 | 43 | 51 | 68 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | 1FN | AA | AB | ET | EC | EA | GF | JR | KS | LA | MD | M0 | RO | SU | UB | VL | VO | WB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nurnberg | — |
1-0-1
3.25
|
2-0-0
2.86
|
2-0-0
3.26
|
1-1-0
2.79
|
1-1-0
3.44
|
0-2-0
3.09
|
1-0-1
3.64
|
2-0-0
3.28
|
1-0-1
3.74
|
1-0-1
3.23
|
0-1-1
2.81
|
0-0-2
3.39
|
1-1-0
3.12
|
2-0-0
3.53
|
0-0-2
3.45
|
2-0-0
3.97
|
1-1-0
3.10
|
| Alemannia Aachen |
1-0-1
2.29
|
— |
1-0-1
2.38
|
1-1-0
2.91
|
0-0-2
2.48
|
2-0-0
2.89
|
0-1-1
2.63
|
2-0-0
3.13
|
0-1-1
3.19
|
0-2-0
3.21
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
0-1-1
2.41
|
2-0-0
2.74
|
1-1-0
2.61
|
1-0-1
3.07
|
2-0-0
2.72
|
1-0-1
3.33
|
0-1-1
2.79
|
| Arminia Bielefeld |
0-0-2
2.66
|
1-0-1
3.16
|
— |
2-0-0
3.27
|
1-0-1
2.96
|
0-2-0
3.31
|
1-1-0
2.89
|
1-1-0
3.46
|
1-1-0
3.28
|
1-1-0
3.38
|
1-0-1
3.29
|
2-0-0
2.85
|
0-0-2
3.07
|
1-0-1
2.96
|
1-0-1
3.55
|
0-1-1
3.17
|
1-1-0
3.80
|
2-0-0
3.05
|
| Eintracht Trier |
0-0-2
2.28
|
0-1-1
2.61
|
0-0-2
2.26
|
— |
2-0-0
2.10
|
1-0-1
2.77
|
1-0-1
2.36
|
1-0-1
2.98
|
1-1-0
2.77
|
1-0-1
2.87
|
0-1-1
2.66
|
1-0-1
1.98
|
1-0-1
2.46
|
1-1-0
2.49
|
1-1-0
2.80
|
1-1-0
2.55
|
0-1-1
3.02
|
0-2-0
2.59
|
| Energie Cottbus |
0-1-1
2.73
|
2-0-0
3.04
|
1-0-1
2.56
|
0-0-2
3.42
|
— |
1-0-1
3.16
|
1-0-1
2.87
|
1-1-0
3.46
|
1-0-1
3.37
|
1-1-0
3.58
|
0-1-1
3.16
|
0-1-1
2.85
|
1-1-0
3.11
|
1-0-1
3.18
|
2-0-0
3.20
|
0-2-0
3.28
|
2-0-0
3.50
|
1-1-0
3.15
|
| Erzgebirge Aue |
0-1-1
2.10
|
0-0-2
2.63
|
0-2-0
2.21
|
1-0-1
2.77
|
1-0-1
2.37
|
— |
0-1-1
2.45
|
0-1-1
2.82
|
2-0-0
2.77
|
1-0-1
2.95
|
1-1-0
2.67
|
0-2-0
2.31
|
1-1-0
2.53
|
1-1-0
2.75
|
1-0-1
2.86
|
0-2-0
2.93
|
2-0-0
2.92
|
1-0-1
2.71
|
| Greuther Furth |
0-2-0
2.43
|
1-1-0
2.89
|
0-1-1
2.62
|
1-0-1
3.15
|
1-0-1
2.65
|
1-1-0
3.06
|
— |
0-2-0
3.11
|
1-0-1
3.13
|
1-0-1
3.24
|
0-2-0
3.05
|
2-0-0
2.58
|
0-0-2
3.03
|
0-0-2
3.06
|
0-1-1
3.16
|
1-0-1
3.23
|
1-1-0
3.45
|
1-1-0
2.89
|
| Jahn Regensburg |
1-0-1
1.89
|
0-0-2
2.39
|
0-1-1
2.08
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
0-1-1
2.08
|
1-1-0
2.70
|
0-2-0
2.42
|
— |
1-1-0
2.57
|
1-0-1
2.72
|
0-1-1
2.78
|
0-2-0
1.87
|
0-1-1
2.35
|
1-1-0
2.31
|
1-1-0
2.49
|
1-0-1
2.52
|
1-0-1
2.90
|
0-0-2
2.61
|
| Karlsruher SC |
0-0-2
2.26
|
1-1-0
2.34
|
0-1-1
2.25
|
0-1-1
2.73
|
1-0-1
2.16
|
0-0-2
2.74
|
1-0-1
2.39
|
0-1-1
2.95
|
— |
2-0-0
2.86
|
2-0-0
2.40
|
0-2-0
2.15
|
0-0-2
2.45
|
0-0-2
2.79
|
1-1-0
2.69
|
1-1-0
2.69
|
2-0-0
2.86
|
0-2-0
2.49
|
| LR Ahlen |
1-0-1
1.80
|
0-2-0
2.31
|
0-1-1
2.14
|
1-0-1
2.66
|
0-1-1
1.96
|
1-0-1
2.58
|
1-0-1
2.29
|
1-0-1
2.80
|
0-0-2
2.67
|
— |
1-0-1
2.34
|
0-1-1
2.06
|
1-0-1
2.22
|
0-2-0
2.51
|
2-0-0
2.53
|
0-1-1
2.54
|
1-0-1
2.83
|
2-0-0
2.29
|
| MSV Duisburg |
1-0-1
2.30
|
1-0-1
2.88
|
1-0-1
2.24
|
1-1-0
2.87
|
1-1-0
2.37
|
0-1-1
2.85
|
0-2-0
2.48
|
1-1-0
2.74
|
0-0-2
3.11
|
1-0-1
3.20
|
— |
0-0-2
2.52
|
1-1-0
2.76
|
0-0-2
2.54
|
1-0-1
2.92
|
1-1-0
2.55
|
1-1-0
3.25
|
2-0-0
2.84
|
| Mainz 05 |
1-1-0
2.71
|
1-1-0
3.11
|
0-0-2
2.68
|
1-0-1
3.54
|
1-1-0
2.68
|
0-2-0
3.21
|
0-0-2
2.95
|
0-2-0
3.67
|
0-2-0
3.39
|
1-1-0
3.48
|
2-0-0
2.99
|
— |
1-1-0
3.05
|
1-1-0
3.21
|
1-1-0
3.34
|
2-0-0
3.25
|
0-2-0
3.52
|
1-0-1
3.23
|
| Rot-Weiss Oberhausen |
2-0-0
2.17
|
0-0-2
2.77
|
2-0-0
2.46
|
1-0-1
3.05
|
0-1-1
2.41
|
0-1-1
3.01
|
2-0-0
2.48
|
1-1-0
3.17
|
2-0-0
3.09
|
1-0-1
3.30
|
0-1-1
2.76
|
0-1-1
2.48
|
— |
2-0-0
2.69
|
0-2-0
3.00
|
0-1-1
2.81
|
2-0-0
3.46
|
0-0-2
3.04
|
| SpVgg Unterhaching |
0-1-1
2.43
|
0-1-1
2.90
|
1-0-1
2.57
|
0-1-1
3.03
|
1-0-1
2.34
|
0-1-1
2.79
|
2-0-0
2.46
|
0-1-1
3.23
|
2-0-0
2.72
|
0-2-0
3.01
|
2-0-0
2.98
|
0-1-1
2.33
|
0-0-2
2.84
|
— |
0-2-0
2.96
|
1-0-1
2.87
|
1-0-1
3.24
|
1-0-1
2.81
|
| Union Berlin |
0-0-2
1.99
|
1-0-1
2.45
|
1-0-1
1.99
|
0-1-1
2.73
|
0-0-2
2.33
|
1-0-1
2.66
|
1-1-0
2.36
|
0-1-1
3.03
|
0-1-1
2.83
|
0-0-2
3.00
|
1-0-1
2.59
|
0-1-1
2.19
|
0-2-0
2.52
|
0-2-0
2.57
|
— |
1-0-1
2.64
|
2-0-0
2.87
|
0-0-2
2.51
|
| VfB Lubeck |
2-0-0
2.07
|
0-0-2
2.81
|
1-1-0
2.36
|
0-1-1
2.96
|
0-2-0
2.26
|
0-2-0
2.58
|
1-0-1
2.30
|
1-0-1
3.03
|
0-1-1
2.83
|
1-1-0
2.99
|
0-1-1
2.99
|
0-0-2
2.27
|
1-1-0
2.70
|
1-0-1
2.65
|
1-0-1
2.88
|
— |
0-1-1
3.23
|
0-1-1
2.79
|
| VfL Osnabruck |
0-0-2
1.58
|
1-0-1
2.20
|
0-1-1
1.74
|
1-1-0
2.51
|
0-0-2
2.03
|
0-0-2
2.60
|
0-1-1
2.08
|
1-0-1
2.61
|
0-0-2
2.67
|
1-0-1
2.68
|
0-1-1
2.29
|
0-2-0
2.03
|
0-0-2
2.08
|
1-0-1
2.28
|
0-0-2
2.65
|
1-1-0
2.29
|
— |
1-0-1
2.25
|
| Wacker Burghausen |
0-1-1
2.42
|
1-1-0
2.74
|
0-0-2
2.48
|
0-2-0
2.96
|
0-1-1
2.37
|
1-0-1
2.81
|
0-1-1
2.62
|
2-0-0
2.91
|
0-2-0
3.04
|
0-0-2
3.23
|
0-0-2
2.70
|
1-0-1
2.29
|
2-0-0
2.47
|
1-0-1
2.71
|
2-0-0
3.01
|
1-1-0
2.73
|
1-0-1
3.27
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.54 | +7.2 |
| Allowed | 0.38 | -8.5 |
| Differential | 0.82 | +6.9 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.50% | 7.03% | 6.21% | 3.59% | 0.33% | 0.49% | 26.14% |
| 1 | 7.03% | 11.44% | 7.68% | 5.39% | 1.14% | 0.49% | 33.17% |
| 2 | 6.21% | 7.68% | 6.86% | 1.80% | 0.98% | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 3.59% | 5.39% | 1.80% | 1.63% | 0.16% | 0.49% | 13.07% |
| 4 | 0.33% | 1.14% | 0.98% | 0.16% | — | — | 2.61% |
| 5+ | 0.49% | 0.49% | — | 0.49% | — | — | 1.47% |
| Total | 26.14% | 33.17% | 23.53% | 13.07% | 2.61% | 1.47% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.38 | 1.38 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.68 |
| CV | 0.86 | 0.86 | — |
| Max | 7 | 7 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 306
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 20.59% | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 35.29% | 14.71% | 32.35% | 17.65% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 1.32 | +0.68 |
| SD | 1.10 | 1.15 | 1.53 |
| CV | 0.55 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 35.29% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 26.47% | 32.35% | 17.65% | 20.59% | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.50 | 1.50 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.35 | 1.46 | 1.87 |
| CV | 0.90 | 0.97 | — |
| Max | 5 | 7 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | 14.71% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 35.29% | 38.24% | 8.82% | 17.65% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 1.09 | +0.38 |
| SD | 1.21 | 1.08 | 1.69 |
| CV | 0.82 | 1.00 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | — | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 23.53% | 26.47% | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.35 | 1.50 | -0.15 |
| SD | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.78 |
| CV | 0.89 | 0.79 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 38.24% | 20.59% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.53 | 1.29 | +0.24 |
| SD | 1.13 | 1.14 | 1.56 |
| CV | 0.74 | 0.88 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 20.59% | 5.88% | — | — | 2.94% | 38.24% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 20.59% | 47.06% | 17.65% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.38 | 1.32 | +0.06 |
| SD | 1.21 | 1.12 | 1.52 |
| CV | 0.87 | 0.85 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 35.29% |
| 3 | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 17.65% | 41.18% | 20.59% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.71 | 1.50 | +0.21 |
| SD | 1.51 | 1.13 | 1.84 |
| CV | 0.88 | 0.76 | — |
| Max | 7 | 4 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 35.29% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | — | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 29.41% | 23.53% | 26.47% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.09 | 1.50 | -0.41 |
| SD | 1.03 | 1.35 | 1.92 |
| CV | 0.94 | 0.90 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 14.71% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 29.41% | 32.35% | 23.53% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.12 | 1.29 | -0.18 |
| SD | 0.95 | 1.19 | 1.40 |
| CV | 0.85 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.71% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 32.35% | 26.47% | 20.59% | 17.65% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.06 | 1.32 | -0.26 |
| SD | 1.07 | 1.20 | 1.64 |
| CV | 1.01 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 14.71% | 44.12% | 35.29% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.53 | 1.35 | +0.18 |
| SD | 1.24 | 0.88 | 1.60 |
| CV | 0.81 | 0.65 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.71% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 20.59% | — | 5.88% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 29.41% | 47.06% | 17.65% | 5.88% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.44 | 1.00 | +0.44 |
| SD | 1.26 | 0.85 | 1.44 |
| CV | 0.87 | 0.85 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 38.24% | 20.59% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.53 | 1.41 | +0.12 |
| SD | 1.21 | 1.23 | 1.84 |
| CV | 0.79 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 47.06% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 32.35% | 26.47% | 23.53% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.21 | 1.35 | -0.15 |
| SD | 1.01 | 1.30 | 1.62 |
| CV | 0.84 | 0.96 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 20.59% | 8.82% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 23.53% | 35.29% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.26 | 1.56 | -0.29 |
| SD | 0.90 | 1.24 | 1.49 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.79 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 41.18% |
| 2 | — | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 32.35% | 26.47% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.38 | 1.68 | -0.29 |
| SD | 1.10 | 1.27 | 1.61 |
| CV | 0.80 | 0.76 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 44.12% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 29.41% | 29.41% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.03 | 1.62 | -0.59 |
| SD | 1.14 | 1.28 | 1.81 |
| CV | 1.11 | 0.79 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 29.41% | 38.24% | 20.59% | 11.76% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.18 | 1.15 | +0.03 |
| SD | 1.24 | 0.99 | 1.77 |
| CV | 1.06 | 0.86 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alemannia Aachen | 53 | 47.45 | +5.55 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 61 | 55.88 | +5.12 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 53 | 48.16 | +4.84 |
| 4 | LR Ahlen | 44 | 40.46 | +3.54 |
| 5 | Erzgebirge Aue | 48 | 44.95 | +3.05 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 28 | 38.63 | -10.63 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 33 | 43.36 | -10.36 |
| 3 | VfB Lubeck | 39 | 45.72 | -6.72 |
| 4 | Greuther Furth | 45 | 50.61 | -5.61 |
| 5 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 43 | 47.56 | -4.56 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | Mar 14 – Apr 19 | 1 in 226 |
| 2 | Alemannia Aachen | 5 | Sep 19 – Oct 26 | 1 in 136 |
| 3 | Erzgebirge Aue | 5 | Mar 7 – Apr 4 | 1 in 134 |
| 4 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 4 | Aug 3 – Aug 24 | 1 in 64 |
| 5 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 5 | Dec 12 – Feb 13 | 1 in 49 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfB Lubeck | 4 | Feb 22 – Mar 12 | 1 in 118 |
| 2 | Eintracht Trier | 5 | Oct 26 – Nov 30 | 1 in 79 |
| 3 | Union Berlin | 5 | Mar 21 – Apr 18 | 1 in 59 |
| 4 | VfL Osnabruck | 5 | Dec 7 – Feb 6 | 1 in 46 |
| 5 | Arminia Bielefeld | 3 | Oct 26 – Nov 9 | 1 in 28 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | Feb 15 – Apr 25 | 1 in 88 |
| 2 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 9 | Sep 21 – Nov 30 | 1 in 77 |
| 3 | Erzgebirge Aue | 8 | Mar 7 – Apr 25 | 1 in 49 |
| 4 | Mainz 05 | 8 | Feb 1 – Mar 21 | 1 in 24 |
| 5 | VfB Lubeck | 6 | Dec 7 – Feb 15 | 1 in 23 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greuther Furth | 10 | Nov 30 – Mar 7 | 1 in 204 |
| 2 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 8 | Sep 14 – Nov 9 | 1 in 114 |
| 3 | Eintracht Trier | 10 | Sep 28 – Dec 14 | 1 in 95 |
| 4 | Wacker Burghausen | 8 | Mar 5 – Apr 18 | 1 in 48 |
| 5 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 7 | Aug 18 – Oct 20 | 1 in 40 |
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 24.44% | 16.82% | 12.69% | 9.11% | 7.88% | 6.14% | 4.95% | 3.87% | 3.45% | 2.76% | 2.10% | 1.79% | 1.36% | 0.77% | 0.89% | 0.51% | 0.31% | 0.16% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 16.84% | 14.04% | 12.06% | 9.74% | 8.83% | 7.15% | 6.04% | 5.07% | 4.46% | 3.52% | 3.17% | 2.63% | 2.02% | 1.50% | 1.13% | 0.97% | 0.59% | 0.24% |
| Mainz 05 | 16.25% | 14.14% | 12.12% | 10.74% | 8.47% | 7.77% | 6.05% | 5.14% | 3.94% | 3.24% | 3.31% | 2.33% | 1.94% | 1.64% | 1.22% | 0.90% | 0.48% | 0.32% |
| Energie Cottbus | 13.57% | 13.15% | 12.08% | 10.28% | 8.89% | 7.65% | 6.59% | 5.49% | 4.72% | 4.12% | 3.35% | 2.74% | 2.28% | 1.57% | 1.41% | 1.02% | 0.71% | 0.38% |
| Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 3.68% | 5.33% | 5.78% | 7.08% | 7.26% | 7.32% | 7.54% | 6.94% | 7.05% | 6.16% | 6.37% | 5.80% | 5.40% | 4.97% | 4.46% | 3.97% | 2.91% | 1.98% |
| Alemannia Aachen | 3.19% | 4.35% | 5.40% | 6.20% | 6.40% | 6.94% | 6.82% | 7.44% | 6.56% | 6.59% | 6.20% | 6.86% | 6.50% | 5.41% | 4.94% | 4.40% | 3.55% | 2.25% |
| MSV Duisburg | 2.32% | 3.71% | 4.56% | 5.03% | 5.93% | 6.70% | 6.68% | 6.67% | 7.07% | 6.58% | 6.94% | 6.42% | 6.44% | 6.25% | 5.72% | 5.15% | 4.67% | 3.16% |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 1.39% | 2.37% | 3.29% | 4.25% | 4.93% | 5.37% | 5.90% | 6.04% | 6.89% | 6.73% | 6.63% | 7.14% | 7.47% | 7.49% | 6.84% | 6.56% | 5.81% | 4.90% |
| Greuther Furth | 7.46% | 8.48% | 8.53% | 9.43% | 8.12% | 7.78% | 7.12% | 6.79% | 6.17% | 5.76% | 5.19% | 4.50% | 4.18% | 3.07% | 2.63% | 2.26% | 1.66% | 0.87% |
| Wacker Burghausen | 2.39% | 3.90% | 4.69% | 4.96% | 6.16% | 6.38% | 7.18% | 6.72% | 6.48% | 7.57% | 6.90% | 6.60% | 6.23% | 6.07% | 5.73% | 4.82% | 4.27% | 2.95% |
| Eintracht Trier | 0.91% | 1.63% | 2.37% | 3.42% | 3.68% | 4.37% | 4.86% | 5.60% | 6.35% | 6.50% | 6.74% | 7.15% | 7.37% | 7.72% | 8.02% | 7.88% | 7.87% | 7.56% |
| LR Ahlen | 0.21% | 0.65% | 1.08% | 1.44% | 1.92% | 2.42% | 3.04% | 3.26% | 4.35% | 5.02% | 5.44% | 6.18% | 7.04% | 8.72% | 9.77% | 11.14% | 13.33% | 14.99% |
| SpVgg Unterhaching | 3.12% | 4.77% | 5.33% | 6.23% | 5.90% | 6.59% | 6.97% | 7.41% | 6.78% | 7.03% | 6.66% | 6.08% | 5.72% | 5.71% | 5.09% | 4.48% | 3.63% | 2.50% |
| Karlsruher SC | 0.97% | 1.46% | 2.10% | 2.46% | 3.65% | 3.66% | 4.49% | 5.27% | 5.68% | 5.95% | 6.94% | 7.29% | 8.01% | 8.29% | 8.24% | 8.67% | 8.98% | 7.89% |
| VfB Lubeck | 1.95% | 2.73% | 3.75% | 4.34% | 5.26% | 5.05% | 5.99% | 6.74% | 6.41% | 7.27% | 7.13% | 7.47% | 6.60% | 6.75% | 6.27% | 6.17% | 5.68% | 4.44% |
| Jahn Regensburg | 0.35% | 0.77% | 1.21% | 1.67% | 2.18% | 2.79% | 3.24% | 3.76% | 4.68% | 5.25% | 6.07% | 6.25% | 7.36% | 8.56% | 9.80% | 10.84% | 11.54% | 13.68% |
| Union Berlin | 0.80% | 1.30% | 2.24% | 2.84% | 3.37% | 4.38% | 4.60% | 5.61% | 5.69% | 6.25% | 6.50% | 7.19% | 7.52% | 7.91% | 8.40% | 8.89% | 8.60% | 7.91% |
| VfL Osnabruck | 0.16% | 0.40% | 0.72% | 0.78% | 1.17% | 1.54% | 1.94% | 2.18% | 3.27% | 3.70% | 4.36% | 5.58% | 6.56% | 7.60% | 9.44% | 11.37% | 15.41% | 23.82% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
- Title Margin
- Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.As Expected: under 5.85 * Some Luck: 5.85 to 8.77 * Lucky: 8.77 to 11.69 * Wild Swing: 11.69 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.Pinpoint: under 3.07 * Close: 3.07 to 4.6 * Off: 4.6 to 6.13 * Way Off: 6.13 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
- Unexpected Relegations
- Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.As Expected: under 2.11 * A Surprise: 2.11 to 3.38 * Several Surprises: 3.38 to 4.64 * Many Surprises: 4.64 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
- Close Games
- Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
- Strangeness
- How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.13 * Above Noise: 0.13 to 0.18 * Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Direct promotion | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 53.95% | 44.18% | 1.87% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 42.94% | 54.13% | 2.93% |
| Mainz 05 | 42.51% | 54.57% | 2.92% |
| Energie Cottbus | 38.80% | 57.68% | 3.52% |
| Greuther Furth | 24.47% | 68.11% | 7.42% |
| Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 14.79% | 71.89% | 13.32% |
| Alemannia Aachen | 12.94% | 71.92% | 15.14% |
| SpVgg Unterhaching | 13.22% | 71.08% | 15.70% |
| Wacker Burghausen | 10.98% | 71.25% | 17.77% |
| MSV Duisburg | 10.59% | 70.71% | 18.70% |
| VfB Lubeck | 8.43% | 69.01% | 22.56% |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 7.05% | 68.84% | 24.11% |
| Eintracht Trier | 4.91% | 63.76% | 31.33% |
| Karlsruher SC | 4.53% | 61.69% | 33.78% |
| Union Berlin | 4.34% | 61.86% | 33.80% |
| Jahn Regensburg | 2.33% | 51.81% | 45.86% |
| LR Ahlen | 1.94% | 48.83% | 49.23% |
| VfL Osnabruck | 1.28% | 38.68% | 60.04% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-08-03 | Alemannia Aachen | D 1-1 | 1624 | 1614 | 52.4% | 23.8% | 23.8% | -1.3 | 1 |
| 2003-08-03 | @ Wacker Burghausen | D 1-1 | 1614 | 1624 | 23.8% | 23.8% | 52.4% | +1.3 | 1 |
| 2003-08-03 | Eintracht Trier | L 2-3 | 1663 | 1626 | 55.5% | 23.3% | 21.2% | -9.8 | 0 |
| 2003-08-03 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 3-2 | 1626 | 1663 | 21.2% | 23.3% | 55.5% | +9.8 | 3 |
| 2003-08-03 | Jahn Regensburg | L 0-1 | 1609 | 1603 | 51.8% | 23.9% | 24.2% | -10.3 | 0 |
| 2003-08-03 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | W 1-0 | 1603 | 1609 | 24.2% | 23.9% | 51.8% | +10.3 | 3 |
| 2003-08-03 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 1-3 | 1688 | 1606 | 60.4% | 22.1% | 17.5% | -19.2 | 0 |
| 2003-08-03 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-1 | 1606 | 1688 | 17.5% | 22.1% | 60.4% | +19.2 | 3 |
| 2003-08-03 | SpVgg Unterhaching | L 2-4 | 1668 | 1624 | 56.4% | 23.1% | 20.5% | -16.2 | 0 |
| 2003-08-03 | @ Greuther Furth | W 4-2 | 1624 | 1668 | 20.5% | 23.1% | 56.4% | +16.2 | 3 |
| 2003-08-03 | Union Berlin | W 2-1 | 1670 | 1614 | 57.6% | 22.8% | 19.5% | +4.3 | 3 |
| 2003-08-03 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1614 | 1670 | 19.5% | 22.8% | 57.6% | -4.3 | 0 |
| 2003-08-03 | VfB Lubeck | W 2-1 | 1613 | 1615 | 50.8% | 24.1% | 25.1% | +5.4 | 3 |
| 2003-08-03 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 1-2 | 1615 | 1613 | 25.1% | 24.1% | 50.8% | -5.4 | 0 |
| 2003-08-03 | VfL Osnabruck | L 0-1 | 1602 | 1601 | 51.2% | 24.0% | 24.8% | -10.2 | 0 |
| 2003-08-03 | @ LR Ahlen | W 1-0 | 1601 | 1602 | 24.8% | 24.0% | 51.2% | +10.2 | 3 |
| 2003-08-04 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 2-3 | 1603 | 1661 | 43.4% | 24.8% | 31.8% | -8.0 | 0 |
| 2003-08-04 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 3-2 | 1661 | 1603 | 31.8% | 24.8% | 43.4% | +8.0 | 3 |
| 2003-08-08 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1610 | 1669 | 43.4% | 24.8% | 31.9% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2003-08-08 | @ VfB Lubeck | D 0-0 | 1669 | 1610 | 31.9% | 24.8% | 43.4% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2003-08-08 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 2-1 | 1636 | 1598 | 55.6% | 23.3% | 21.2% | +4.7 | 6 |
| 2003-08-08 | @ Eintracht Trier | L 1-2 | 1598 | 1636 | 21.2% | 23.3% | 55.6% | -4.7 | 0 |
| 2003-08-08 | Greuther Furth | D 0-0 | 1613 | 1652 | 46.1% | 24.6% | 29.3% | -0.8 | 4 |
| 2003-08-08 | @ Jahn Regensburg | D 0-0 | 1652 | 1613 | 29.3% | 24.6% | 46.1% | +0.8 | 1 |
| 2003-08-10 | Energie Cottbus | L 0-1 | 1610 | 1653 | 45.6% | 24.6% | 29.8% | -9.3 | 0 |
| 2003-08-10 | @ Union Berlin | W 1-0 | 1653 | 1610 | 29.8% | 24.6% | 45.6% | +9.3 | 3 |
| 2003-08-10 | Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1611 | 1595 | 53.1% | 23.7% | 23.2% | -9.9 | 3 |
| 2003-08-10 | @ VfL Osnabruck | W 2-1 | 1595 | 1611 | 23.2% | 23.7% | 53.1% | +9.9 | 3 |
| 2003-08-10 | MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1640 | 1618 | 53.7% | 23.6% | 22.7% | +5.3 | 6 |
| 2003-08-10 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-1 | 1618 | 1640 | 22.7% | 23.6% | 53.7% | -5.3 | 3 |
| 2003-08-10 | LR Ahlen | L 1-3 | 1625 | 1592 | 55.1% | 23.4% | 21.5% | -17.8 | 3 |
| 2003-08-10 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 3-1 | 1592 | 1625 | 21.5% | 23.4% | 55.1% | +17.7 | 3 |
| 2003-08-10 | Wacker Burghausen | W 2-0 | 1669 | 1623 | 56.5% | 23.1% | 20.4% | +9.0 | 6 |
| 2003-08-10 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1623 | 1669 | 20.4% | 23.1% | 56.5% | -9.0 | 1 |
| 2003-08-11 | Mainz 05 | D 2-2 | 1615 | 1675 | 43.2% | 24.8% | 32.0% | -0.3 | 2 |
| 2003-08-11 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 2-2 | 1675 | 1615 | 32.0% | 24.8% | 43.2% | +0.4 | 4 |
| 2003-08-15 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 1-2 | 1605 | 1608 | 50.7% | 24.1% | 25.2% | -9.5 | 3 |
| 2003-08-15 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1608 | 1605 | 25.2% | 24.1% | 50.7% | +9.5 | 6 |
| 2003-08-15 | SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-2 | 1609 | 1645 | 46.5% | 24.6% | 29.0% | -17.7 | 1 |
| 2003-08-15 | @ VfB Lubeck | W 2-0 | 1645 | 1609 | 29.0% | 24.6% | 46.5% | +17.7 | 9 |
| 2003-08-15 | Union Berlin | W 2-1 | 1594 | 1601 | 50.2% | 24.2% | 25.7% | +5.5 | 3 |
| 2003-08-15 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 1-2 | 1601 | 1594 | 25.7% | 24.2% | 50.2% | -5.5 | 0 |
| 2003-08-17 | Alemannia Aachen | W 3-1 | 1662 | 1614 | 56.7% | 23.0% | 20.2% | +7.8 | 6 |
| 2003-08-17 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-3 | 1614 | 1662 | 20.2% | 23.0% | 56.7% | -7.8 | 2 |
| 2003-08-17 | Eintracht Trier | W 4-2 | 1653 | 1640 | 52.6% | 23.8% | 23.6% | +8.0 | 4 |
| 2003-08-17 | @ Greuther Furth | L 2-4 | 1640 | 1653 | 23.6% | 23.8% | 52.6% | -8.0 | 6 |
| 2003-08-17 | Jahn Regensburg | D 2-2 | 1613 | 1612 | 51.2% | 24.0% | 24.8% | -0.9 | 4 |
| 2003-08-17 | @ MSV Duisburg | D 2-2 | 1612 | 1613 | 24.8% | 24.0% | 51.2% | +0.9 | 5 |
| 2003-08-17 | LR Ahlen | W 3-0 | 1669 | 1610 | 58.1% | 22.7% | 19.2% | +12.4 | 4 |
| 2003-08-17 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-3 | 1610 | 1669 | 19.2% | 22.7% | 58.1% | -12.4 | 3 |
| 2003-08-17 | VfL Osnabruck | W 4-1 | 1614 | 1601 | 52.6% | 23.8% | 23.6% | +12.6 | 4 |
| 2003-08-17 | @ Wacker Burghausen | L 1-4 | 1601 | 1614 | 23.6% | 23.8% | 52.6% | -12.6 | 3 |
| 2003-08-18 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1675 | 1678 | 50.7% | 24.1% | 25.2% | +5.5 | 7 |
| 2003-08-18 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1678 | 1675 | 25.2% | 24.1% | 50.7% | -5.4 | 6 |
| 2003-08-22 | Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1597 | 1595 | 51.3% | 24.0% | 24.7% | -9.6 | 3 |
| 2003-08-22 | @ LR Ahlen | W 2-1 | 1595 | 1597 | 24.7% | 24.0% | 51.3% | +9.6 | 6 |
| 2003-08-22 | MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1632 | 1612 | 53.5% | 23.6% | 22.8% | -1.4 | 7 |
| 2003-08-22 | @ Eintracht Trier | D 1-1 | 1612 | 1632 | 22.8% | 23.6% | 53.5% | +1.4 | 5 |
| 2003-08-22 | VfB Lubeck | L 0-4 | 1613 | 1591 | 53.7% | 23.6% | 22.7% | -38.0 | 5 |
| 2003-08-22 | @ Jahn Regensburg | W 4-0 | 1591 | 1613 | 22.7% | 23.6% | 53.7% | +38.0 | 4 |
| 2003-08-24 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1663 | 1682 | 48.7% | 24.3% | 26.9% | +6.1 | 12 |
| 2003-08-24 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-1 | 1682 | 1663 | 26.9% | 24.3% | 48.7% | -6.1 | 4 |
| 2003-08-24 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 1-0 | 1607 | 1599 | 52.0% | 23.9% | 24.1% | +5.5 | 5 |
| 2003-08-24 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 0-1 | 1599 | 1607 | 24.1% | 23.9% | 52.0% | -5.6 | 3 |
| 2003-08-24 | Greuther Furth | W 3-0 | 1595 | 1661 | 42.5% | 24.8% | 32.7% | +19.6 | 3 |
| 2003-08-24 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-3 | 1661 | 1595 | 32.7% | 24.8% | 42.5% | -19.6 | 4 |
| 2003-08-24 | Mainz 05 | D 2-2 | 1589 | 1680 | 38.8% | 24.9% | 36.3% | -0.1 | 4 |
| 2003-08-24 | @ VfL Osnabruck | D 2-2 | 1680 | 1589 | 36.3% | 24.9% | 38.8% | +0.1 | 8 |
| 2003-08-24 | Wacker Burghausen | L 1-2 | 1617 | 1627 | 49.9% | 24.2% | 25.9% | -9.4 | 6 |
| 2003-08-24 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 2-1 | 1627 | 1617 | 25.9% | 24.2% | 49.9% | +9.4 | 7 |
| 2003-08-25 | Energie Cottbus | D 2-2 | 1673 | 1670 | 51.4% | 24.0% | 24.6% | -0.9 | 7 |
| 2003-08-25 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1670 | 1673 | 24.6% | 24.0% | 51.4% | +0.9 | 7 |
| 2003-09-12 | LR Ahlen | L 0-1 | 1636 | 1588 | 56.8% | 23.0% | 20.2% | -11.2 | 7 |
| 2003-09-12 | @ Wacker Burghausen | W 1-0 | 1588 | 1636 | 20.2% | 23.0% | 56.8% | +11.2 | 6 |
| 2003-09-12 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 2-0 | 1681 | 1608 | 59.5% | 22.4% | 18.1% | +8.1 | 11 |
| 2003-09-12 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-2 | 1608 | 1681 | 18.1% | 22.4% | 59.5% | -8.1 | 6 |
| 2003-09-12 | Union Berlin | W 1-0 | 1614 | 1615 | 50.9% | 24.1% | 25.0% | +5.7 | 8 |
| 2003-09-12 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-1 | 1615 | 1614 | 25.0% | 24.1% | 50.9% | -5.7 | 3 |
| 2003-09-14 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 3-3 | 1594 | 1672 | 40.7% | 24.9% | 34.4% | -0.2 | 4 |
| 2003-09-14 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 3-3 | 1672 | 1594 | 34.4% | 24.9% | 40.7% | +0.2 | 8 |
| 2003-09-14 | Alemannia Aachen | W 7-1 | 1641 | 1612 | 54.6% | 23.5% | 22.0% | +22.1 | 7 |
| 2003-09-14 | @ Greuther Furth | L 1-7 | 1612 | 1641 | 22.0% | 23.5% | 54.6% | -22.1 | 5 |
| 2003-09-14 | Eintracht Trier | D 2-2 | 1629 | 1631 | 50.9% | 24.1% | 25.0% | -0.9 | 5 |
| 2003-09-14 | @ VfB Lubeck | D 2-2 | 1631 | 1629 | 25.0% | 24.1% | 50.9% | +0.8 | 8 |
| 2003-09-14 | Jahn Regensburg | D 2-2 | 1669 | 1575 | 61.7% | 21.8% | 16.6% | -1.5 | 13 |
| 2003-09-14 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | D 2-2 | 1575 | 1669 | 16.6% | 21.8% | 61.7% | +1.5 | 6 |
| 2003-09-14 | VfL Osnabruck | W 3-0 | 1671 | 1589 | 60.5% | 22.1% | 17.4% | +11.3 | 10 |
| 2003-09-14 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-3 | 1589 | 1671 | 17.4% | 22.1% | 60.5% | -11.3 | 4 |
| 2003-09-15 | Karlsruher SC | W 3-1 | 1675 | 1605 | 59.3% | 22.4% | 18.3% | +7.1 | 7 |
| 2003-09-15 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-3 | 1605 | 1675 | 18.3% | 22.4% | 59.3% | -7.1 | 6 |
| 2003-09-19 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-2 | 1577 | 1683 | 36.7% | 24.9% | 38.3% | -7.4 | 6 |
| 2003-09-19 | @ Jahn Regensburg | W 2-1 | 1683 | 1577 | 38.3% | 24.9% | 36.7% | +7.4 | 10 |
| 2003-09-19 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-1 | 1590 | 1619 | 47.4% | 24.5% | 28.2% | +6.0 | 8 |
| 2003-09-19 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 1-2 | 1619 | 1590 | 28.2% | 24.5% | 47.4% | -6.0 | 8 |
| 2003-09-19 | VfB Lubeck | L 1-2 | 1609 | 1629 | 48.6% | 24.3% | 27.0% | -9.2 | 3 |
| 2003-09-19 | @ Union Berlin | W 2-1 | 1629 | 1609 | 27.0% | 24.3% | 48.6% | +9.2 | 8 |
| 2003-09-21 | Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1600 | 1682 | 40.1% | 24.9% | 35.0% | -0.2 | 7 |
| 2003-09-21 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 0-0 | 1682 | 1600 | 35.0% | 24.9% | 40.1% | +0.2 | 11 |
| 2003-09-21 | Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-1 | 1578 | 1593 | 49.1% | 24.3% | 26.6% | -9.8 | 4 |
| 2003-09-21 | @ VfL Osnabruck | W 1-0 | 1593 | 1578 | 26.6% | 24.3% | 49.1% | +9.8 | 7 |
| 2003-09-21 | Mainz 05 | L 1-3 | 1599 | 1689 | 39.0% | 24.9% | 36.0% | -13.4 | 6 |
| 2003-09-21 | @ LR Ahlen | W 3-1 | 1689 | 1599 | 36.0% | 24.9% | 39.0% | +13.4 | 14 |
| 2003-09-21 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 2-1 | 1632 | 1667 | 46.5% | 24.6% | 28.9% | +6.1 | 11 |
| 2003-09-21 | @ Eintracht Trier | L 1-2 | 1667 | 1632 | 28.9% | 24.6% | 46.5% | -6.1 | 13 |
| 2003-09-21 | Wacker Burghausen | D 0-0 | 1598 | 1625 | 47.6% | 24.5% | 27.9% | -1.0 | 7 |
| 2003-09-21 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1625 | 1598 | 27.9% | 24.5% | 47.6% | +1.0 | 8 |
| 2003-09-22 | Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1672 | 1663 | 52.1% | 23.9% | 24.0% | -1.2 | 9 |
| 2003-09-22 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1663 | 1672 | 24.0% | 23.9% | 52.1% | +1.2 | 8 |
| 2003-09-26 | Alemannia Aachen | L 3-5 | 1638 | 1596 | 56.0% | 23.2% | 20.8% | -15.2 | 8 |
| 2003-09-26 | @ VfB Lubeck | W 5-3 | 1596 | 1638 | 20.8% | 23.2% | 56.0% | +15.2 | 11 |
| 2003-09-26 | LR Ahlen | W 3-2 | 1682 | 1585 | 62.0% | 21.7% | 16.3% | +3.5 | 14 |
| 2003-09-26 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 2-3 | 1585 | 1682 | 16.3% | 21.7% | 62.0% | -3.5 | 6 |
| 2003-09-26 | Union Berlin | D 1-1 | 1661 | 1600 | 58.2% | 22.7% | 19.1% | -1.8 | 14 |
| 2003-09-26 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | D 1-1 | 1600 | 1661 | 19.1% | 22.7% | 58.2% | +1.8 | 4 |
| 2003-09-28 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1613 | 1671 | 43.6% | 24.8% | 31.6% | +6.6 | 11 |
| 2003-09-28 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 1-2 | 1671 | 1613 | 31.6% | 24.8% | 43.6% | -6.6 | 9 |
| 2003-09-28 | Eintracht Trier | W 2-1 | 1569 | 1638 | 42.0% | 24.9% | 33.1% | +6.8 | 9 |
| 2003-09-28 | @ Jahn Regensburg | L 1-2 | 1638 | 1569 | 33.1% | 24.9% | 42.0% | -6.8 | 11 |
| 2003-09-28 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 1-1 | 1603 | 1599 | 51.5% | 24.0% | 24.5% | -1.2 | 8 |
| 2003-09-28 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1599 | 1603 | 24.5% | 24.0% | 51.5% | +1.2 | 8 |
| 2003-09-28 | VfL Osnabruck | D 1-1 | 1664 | 1568 | 62.0% | 21.7% | 16.4% | -2.1 | 9 |
| 2003-09-28 | @ Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1568 | 1664 | 16.4% | 21.7% | 62.0% | +2.1 | 5 |
| 2003-09-28 | Wacker Burghausen | W 3-1 | 1690 | 1626 | 58.6% | 22.6% | 18.9% | +7.2 | 13 |
| 2003-09-28 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-3 | 1626 | 1690 | 18.9% | 22.6% | 58.6% | -7.2 | 8 |
| 2003-09-29 | Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1702 | 1597 | 62.8% | 21.4% | 15.8% | -2.2 | 15 |
| 2003-09-29 | @ Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1597 | 1702 | 15.8% | 21.4% | 62.8% | +2.2 | 8 |
| 2003-10-03 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 2-3 | 1631 | 1697 | 42.4% | 24.8% | 32.8% | -7.8 | 11 |
| 2003-10-03 | @ Eintracht Trier | W 3-2 | 1697 | 1631 | 32.8% | 24.8% | 42.4% | +7.8 | 16 |
| 2003-10-03 | Energie Cottbus | W 3-1 | 1599 | 1686 | 39.5% | 24.9% | 35.6% | +12.5 | 11 |
| 2003-10-03 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-3 | 1686 | 1599 | 35.6% | 24.9% | 39.5% | -12.5 | 14 |
| 2003-10-03 | MSV Duisburg | D 2-2 | 1570 | 1620 | 44.6% | 24.7% | 30.7% | -0.4 | 6 |
| 2003-10-03 | @ VfL Osnabruck | D 2-2 | 1620 | 1570 | 30.7% | 24.7% | 44.6% | +0.4 | 12 |
| 2003-10-05 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 1-0 | 1582 | 1602 | 48.5% | 24.4% | 27.1% | +6.1 | 9 |
| 2003-10-05 | @ LR Ahlen | L 0-1 | 1602 | 1582 | 27.1% | 24.4% | 48.5% | -6.2 | 8 |
| 2003-10-05 | Greuther Furth | W 3-1 | 1601 | 1662 | 43.0% | 24.8% | 32.2% | +11.5 | 11 |
| 2003-10-05 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 1-3 | 1662 | 1601 | 32.2% | 24.8% | 43.0% | -11.5 | 9 |
| 2003-10-05 | Jahn Regensburg | D 2-2 | 1602 | 1576 | 54.2% | 23.5% | 22.3% | -1.1 | 5 |
| 2003-10-05 | @ Union Berlin | D 2-2 | 1576 | 1602 | 22.3% | 23.5% | 54.2% | +1.1 | 10 |
| 2003-10-05 | Mainz 05 | W 2-0 | 1619 | 1700 | 40.2% | 24.9% | 34.8% | +14.2 | 11 |
| 2003-10-05 | @ Wacker Burghausen | L 0-2 | 1700 | 1619 | 34.8% | 24.9% | 40.2% | -14.2 | 15 |
| 2003-10-05 | VfB Lubeck | L 1-2 | 1664 | 1623 | 56.0% | 23.2% | 20.8% | -10.4 | 9 |
| 2003-10-05 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1623 | 1664 | 20.8% | 23.2% | 56.0% | +10.4 | 11 |
| 2003-10-06 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 5-1 | 1611 | 1660 | 44.8% | 24.7% | 30.5% | +20.2 | 14 |
| 2003-10-06 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 1-5 | 1660 | 1611 | 30.5% | 24.7% | 44.8% | -20.2 | 14 |
| 2003-10-17 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 1-1 | 1620 | 1612 | 52.1% | 23.9% | 24.0% | -1.2 | 13 |
| 2003-10-17 | @ MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1612 | 1620 | 24.0% | 23.9% | 52.1% | +1.2 | 12 |
| 2003-10-17 | Union Berlin | D 1-1 | 1623 | 1601 | 53.8% | 23.6% | 22.6% | -1.4 | 12 |
| 2003-10-17 | @ Eintracht Trier | D 1-1 | 1601 | 1623 | 22.6% | 23.6% | 53.8% | +1.4 | 6 |
| 2003-10-17 | VfL Osnabruck | D 1-1 | 1633 | 1569 | 58.5% | 22.6% | 18.9% | -1.8 | 12 |
| 2003-10-17 | @ VfB Lubeck | D 1-1 | 1569 | 1633 | 18.9% | 22.6% | 58.5% | +1.8 | 7 |
| 2003-10-19 | Alemannia Aachen | L 1-2 | 1577 | 1631 | 44.0% | 24.8% | 31.3% | -8.5 | 10 |
| 2003-10-19 | @ Jahn Regensburg | W 2-1 | 1631 | 1577 | 31.3% | 24.8% | 44.0% | +8.5 | 17 |
| 2003-10-19 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1596 | 1611 | 49.1% | 24.3% | 26.6% | +11.4 | 11 |
| 2003-10-19 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-2 | 1611 | 1596 | 26.6% | 24.3% | 49.1% | -11.4 | 11 |
| 2003-10-19 | Mainz 05 | W 1-0 | 1705 | 1686 | 53.4% | 23.7% | 22.9% | +5.3 | 19 |
| 2003-10-19 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-1 | 1686 | 1705 | 22.9% | 23.7% | 53.4% | -5.3 | 15 |
| 2003-10-19 | LR Ahlen | W 2-0 | 1651 | 1588 | 58.4% | 22.6% | 19.0% | +8.4 | 12 |
| 2003-10-19 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-2 | 1588 | 1651 | 19.0% | 22.6% | 58.4% | -8.4 | 9 |
| 2003-10-19 | Wacker Burghausen | W 2-1 | 1673 | 1633 | 55.9% | 23.2% | 20.9% | +4.6 | 17 |
| 2003-10-19 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-2 | 1633 | 1673 | 20.9% | 23.2% | 55.9% | -4.6 | 11 |
| 2003-10-20 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1639 | 1654 | 49.3% | 24.3% | 26.5% | -1.0 | 15 |
| 2003-10-20 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | D 1-1 | 1654 | 1639 | 26.5% | 24.3% | 49.3% | +1.0 | 10 |
| 2003-10-24 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 2-0 | 1628 | 1607 | 53.6% | 23.6% | 22.8% | +10.0 | 14 |
| 2003-10-24 | @ Wacker Burghausen | L 0-2 | 1607 | 1628 | 22.8% | 23.6% | 53.6% | -10.0 | 11 |
| 2003-10-24 | Jahn Regensburg | W 3-2 | 1655 | 1569 | 60.9% | 22.0% | 17.1% | +3.6 | 13 |
| 2003-10-24 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 2-3 | 1569 | 1655 | 17.1% | 22.0% | 60.9% | -3.6 | 10 |
| 2003-10-24 | VfB Lubeck | D 3-3 | 1613 | 1631 | 48.8% | 24.3% | 26.8% | -0.6 | 13 |
| 2003-10-24 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 3-3 | 1631 | 1613 | 26.8% | 24.3% | 48.8% | +0.6 | 13 |
| 2003-10-26 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1602 | 1710 | 36.4% | 24.9% | 38.6% | +8.1 | 9 |
| 2003-10-26 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-1 | 1710 | 1602 | 38.6% | 24.9% | 36.4% | -8.1 | 19 |
| 2003-10-26 | Eintracht Trier | W 2-0 | 1640 | 1622 | 53.3% | 23.7% | 23.0% | +10.1 | 20 |
| 2003-10-26 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 0-2 | 1622 | 1640 | 23.0% | 23.7% | 53.3% | -10.1 | 12 |
| 2003-10-26 | Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1600 | 1659 | 43.3% | 24.8% | 31.9% | +7.0 | 14 |
| 2003-10-26 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1659 | 1600 | 31.9% | 24.8% | 43.3% | -7.0 | 12 |
| 2003-10-26 | MSV Duisburg | L 2-3 | 1580 | 1619 | 46.0% | 24.6% | 29.4% | -8.3 | 9 |
| 2003-10-26 | @ LR Ahlen | W 3-2 | 1619 | 1580 | 29.4% | 24.6% | 46.0% | +8.3 | 16 |
| 2003-10-26 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 2-1 | 1571 | 1638 | 42.2% | 24.9% | 32.9% | +6.8 | 10 |
| 2003-10-26 | @ VfL Osnabruck | L 1-2 | 1638 | 1571 | 32.9% | 24.9% | 42.2% | -6.8 | 15 |
| 2003-10-27 | Energie Cottbus | W 4-1 | 1680 | 1678 | 51.4% | 24.0% | 24.6% | +13.1 | 18 |
| 2003-10-27 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-4 | 1678 | 1680 | 24.6% | 24.0% | 51.4% | -13.1 | 17 |
| 2003-10-31 | Energie Cottbus | L 1-3 | 1702 | 1665 | 55.6% | 23.3% | 21.2% | -17.9 | 19 |
| 2003-10-31 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-1 | 1665 | 1702 | 21.2% | 23.3% | 55.6% | +17.9 | 20 |
| 2003-10-31 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1597 | 1693 | 38.1% | 24.9% | 36.9% | -0.0 | 12 |
| 2003-10-31 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1693 | 1597 | 36.9% | 24.9% | 38.1% | +0.0 | 19 |
| 2003-10-31 | LR Ahlen | W 4-1 | 1632 | 1571 | 58.1% | 22.7% | 19.1% | +10.4 | 16 |
| 2003-10-31 | @ VfB Lubeck | L 1-4 | 1571 | 1632 | 19.1% | 22.7% | 58.1% | -10.4 | 9 |
| 2003-11-02 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1612 | 1658 | 45.1% | 24.7% | 30.3% | -17.3 | 12 |
| 2003-11-02 | @ Eintracht Trier | W 2-0 | 1658 | 1612 | 30.3% | 24.7% | 45.1% | +17.3 | 16 |
| 2003-11-02 | Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1627 | 1607 | 53.6% | 23.6% | 22.8% | -20.0 | 16 |
| 2003-11-02 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1607 | 1627 | 22.8% | 23.6% | 53.6% | +20.0 | 17 |
| 2003-11-02 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 1-4 | 1632 | 1613 | 53.4% | 23.7% | 22.9% | -24.4 | 15 |
| 2003-11-02 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | W 4-1 | 1613 | 1632 | 22.9% | 23.7% | 53.4% | +24.4 | 16 |
| 2003-11-02 | VfL Osnabruck | W 1-0 | 1565 | 1578 | 49.5% | 24.2% | 26.3% | +6.0 | 13 |
| 2003-11-02 | @ Jahn Regensburg | L 0-1 | 1578 | 1565 | 26.3% | 24.2% | 49.5% | -6.0 | 10 |
| 2003-11-02 | Wacker Burghausen | D 2-2 | 1652 | 1638 | 52.8% | 23.8% | 23.4% | -1.0 | 13 |
| 2003-11-02 | @ Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1638 | 1652 | 23.4% | 23.8% | 52.8% | +1.0 | 15 |
| 2003-11-03 | Alemannia Aachen | W 2-1 | 1610 | 1650 | 46.0% | 24.6% | 29.4% | +6.2 | 12 |
| 2003-11-03 | @ Union Berlin | L 1-2 | 1650 | 1610 | 29.4% | 24.6% | 46.0% | -6.2 | 20 |
| 2003-11-07 | Eintracht Trier | W 3-0 | 1572 | 1595 | 48.2% | 24.4% | 27.4% | +17.0 | 13 |
| 2003-11-07 | @ VfL Osnabruck | L 0-3 | 1595 | 1572 | 27.4% | 24.4% | 48.2% | -17.0 | 12 |
| 2003-11-07 | Greuther Furth | L 1-3 | 1693 | 1651 | 56.1% | 23.2% | 20.7% | -18.0 | 19 |
| 2003-11-07 | @ Mainz 05 | W 3-1 | 1651 | 1693 | 20.7% | 23.2% | 56.1% | +18.0 | 16 |
| 2003-11-07 | Jahn Regensburg | W 2-1 | 1637 | 1571 | 58.8% | 22.5% | 18.7% | +4.2 | 19 |
| 2003-11-07 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 1-2 | 1571 | 1637 | 18.7% | 22.5% | 58.8% | -4.2 | 13 |
| 2003-11-09 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1644 | 1684 | 45.9% | 24.6% | 29.5% | +12.4 | 23 |
| 2003-11-09 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 0-2 | 1684 | 1644 | 29.5% | 24.6% | 45.9% | -12.4 | 19 |
| 2003-11-09 | MSV Duisburg | L 1-2 | 1639 | 1607 | 54.9% | 23.4% | 21.7% | -10.2 | 15 |
| 2003-11-09 | @ Wacker Burghausen | W 2-1 | 1607 | 1639 | 21.7% | 23.4% | 54.9% | +10.2 | 19 |
| 2003-11-09 | SpVgg Unterhaching | D 2-2 | 1561 | 1607 | 45.1% | 24.7% | 30.2% | -0.5 | 10 |
| 2003-11-09 | @ LR Ahlen | D 2-2 | 1607 | 1561 | 30.2% | 24.7% | 45.1% | +0.5 | 16 |
| 2003-11-09 | Union Berlin | W 3-0 | 1676 | 1616 | 58.0% | 22.7% | 19.3% | +12.4 | 19 |
| 2003-11-09 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-3 | 1616 | 1676 | 19.3% | 22.7% | 58.0% | -12.4 | 12 |
| 2003-11-09 | VfB Lubeck | W 1-0 | 1627 | 1642 | 49.2% | 24.3% | 26.5% | +6.0 | 20 |
| 2003-11-09 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1642 | 1627 | 26.5% | 24.3% | 49.2% | -6.0 | 16 |
| 2003-11-10 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 2-1 | 1683 | 1597 | 60.8% | 22.0% | 17.2% | +3.8 | 23 |
| 2003-11-10 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-2 | 1597 | 1683 | 17.2% | 22.0% | 60.8% | -3.8 | 12 |
| 2003-11-21 | Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1672 | 1593 | 60.1% | 22.2% | 17.7% | -2.0 | 20 |
| 2003-11-21 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1593 | 1672 | 17.7% | 22.2% | 60.1% | +2.0 | 13 |
| 2003-11-21 | Mainz 05 | L 0-1 | 1618 | 1675 | 43.5% | 24.8% | 31.7% | -8.9 | 19 |
| 2003-11-21 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1675 | 1618 | 31.7% | 24.8% | 43.5% | +8.9 | 22 |
| 2003-11-21 | VfL Osnabruck | W 2-0 | 1604 | 1589 | 52.9% | 23.8% | 23.3% | +10.2 | 15 |
| 2003-11-21 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-2 | 1589 | 1604 | 23.3% | 23.8% | 52.9% | -10.2 | 13 |
| 2003-11-21 | Wacker Burghausen | D 2-2 | 1636 | 1629 | 52.0% | 23.9% | 24.1% | -0.9 | 17 |
| 2003-11-21 | @ VfB Lubeck | D 2-2 | 1629 | 1636 | 24.1% | 23.9% | 52.0% | +0.9 | 16 |
| 2003-11-23 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-1 | 1669 | 1686 | 48.9% | 24.3% | 26.8% | +5.7 | 19 |
| 2003-11-23 | @ Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1686 | 1669 | 26.8% | 24.3% | 48.9% | -5.7 | 23 |
| 2003-11-23 | Karlsruher SC | W 3-0 | 1608 | 1633 | 47.8% | 24.4% | 27.7% | +17.1 | 19 |
| 2003-11-23 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-3 | 1633 | 1608 | 27.7% | 24.4% | 47.8% | -17.1 | 20 |
| 2003-11-23 | LR Ahlen | W 3-0 | 1567 | 1560 | 51.9% | 23.9% | 24.2% | +15.3 | 16 |
| 2003-11-23 | @ Jahn Regensburg | L 0-3 | 1560 | 1567 | 24.2% | 23.9% | 51.9% | -15.3 | 10 |
| 2003-11-23 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 0-3 | 1578 | 1641 | 42.7% | 24.8% | 32.5% | -24.0 | 12 |
| 2003-11-23 | @ Eintracht Trier | W 3-0 | 1641 | 1578 | 32.5% | 24.8% | 42.7% | +24.0 | 22 |
| 2003-11-28 | Alemannia Aachen | W 3-1 | 1579 | 1656 | 40.8% | 24.9% | 34.3% | +12.1 | 16 |
| 2003-11-28 | @ VfL Osnabruck | L 1-3 | 1656 | 1579 | 34.3% | 24.9% | 40.8% | -12.1 | 23 |
| 2003-11-28 | Jahn Regensburg | L 0-3 | 1616 | 1582 | 55.2% | 23.4% | 21.5% | -29.8 | 20 |
| 2003-11-28 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 3-0 | 1582 | 1616 | 21.5% | 23.4% | 55.2% | +29.8 | 19 |
| 2003-11-28 | MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1681 | 1609 | 59.4% | 22.4% | 18.2% | -1.9 | 24 |
| 2003-11-28 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1609 | 1681 | 18.2% | 22.4% | 59.4% | +1.9 | 20 |
| 2003-11-30 | Eintracht Trier | W 2-0 | 1545 | 1554 | 50.0% | 24.2% | 25.8% | +11.1 | 13 |
| 2003-11-30 | @ LR Ahlen | L 0-2 | 1554 | 1545 | 25.8% | 24.2% | 50.0% | -11.1 | 12 |
| 2003-11-30 | Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1595 | 1675 | 40.5% | 24.9% | 34.6% | -0.2 | 14 |
| 2003-11-30 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1675 | 1595 | 34.6% | 24.9% | 40.5% | +0.2 | 20 |
| 2003-11-30 | SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-2 | 1630 | 1625 | 51.7% | 23.9% | 24.4% | -19.4 | 16 |
| 2003-11-30 | @ Wacker Burghausen | W 2-0 | 1625 | 1630 | 24.4% | 23.9% | 51.7% | +19.4 | 22 |
| 2003-11-30 | Union Berlin | D 0-0 | 1665 | 1614 | 57.1% | 22.9% | 19.9% | -1.9 | 23 |
| 2003-11-30 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 0-0 | 1614 | 1665 | 19.9% | 22.9% | 57.1% | +1.9 | 16 |
| 2003-11-30 | VfB Lubeck | W 3-1 | 1684 | 1635 | 56.9% | 23.0% | 20.1% | +7.7 | 25 |
| 2003-11-30 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-3 | 1635 | 1684 | 20.1% | 23.0% | 56.9% | -7.7 | 17 |
| 2003-12-01 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1688 | 1670 | 53.3% | 23.7% | 23.0% | +5.3 | 22 |
| 2003-12-01 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1670 | 1688 | 23.0% | 23.7% | 53.3% | -5.3 | 20 |
| 2003-12-05 | Erzgebirge Aue | D 2-2 | 1611 | 1595 | 53.0% | 23.7% | 23.3% | -1.0 | 21 |
| 2003-12-05 | @ MSV Duisburg | D 2-2 | 1595 | 1611 | 23.3% | 23.7% | 53.0% | +1.0 | 15 |
| 2003-12-05 | Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1542 | 1586 | 45.4% | 24.6% | 29.9% | -0.7 | 13 |
| 2003-12-05 | @ Eintracht Trier | D 1-1 | 1586 | 1542 | 29.9% | 24.6% | 45.4% | +0.7 | 21 |
| 2003-12-05 | Wacker Burghausen | L 0-2 | 1612 | 1610 | 51.3% | 24.0% | 24.7% | -19.3 | 19 |
| 2003-12-05 | @ Jahn Regensburg | W 2-0 | 1610 | 1612 | 24.7% | 24.0% | 51.3% | +19.3 | 19 |
| 2003-12-07 | Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1628 | 1679 | 44.4% | 24.7% | 30.9% | -0.6 | 18 |
| 2003-12-07 | @ VfB Lubeck | D 1-1 | 1679 | 1628 | 30.9% | 24.7% | 44.4% | +0.6 | 25 |
| 2003-12-07 | Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1665 | 1675 | 49.7% | 24.2% | 26.0% | -1.0 | 21 |
| 2003-12-07 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1675 | 1665 | 26.0% | 24.2% | 49.7% | +1.0 | 21 |
| 2003-12-07 | LR Ahlen | L 0-2 | 1616 | 1556 | 58.1% | 22.7% | 19.2% | -21.4 | 16 |
| 2003-12-07 | @ Union Berlin | W 2-0 | 1556 | 1616 | 19.2% | 22.7% | 58.1% | +21.5 | 16 |
| 2003-12-07 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 1-0 | 1644 | 1664 | 48.6% | 24.3% | 27.0% | +6.1 | 26 |
| 2003-12-07 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 0-1 | 1664 | 1644 | 27.0% | 24.3% | 48.6% | -6.1 | 23 |
| 2003-12-07 | VfL Osnabruck | W 2-0 | 1693 | 1591 | 62.6% | 21.5% | 16.0% | +7.1 | 25 |
| 2003-12-07 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1591 | 1693 | 16.0% | 21.5% | 62.6% | -7.1 | 16 |
| 2003-12-08 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1644 | 1692 | 44.9% | 24.7% | 30.4% | -0.6 | 23 |
| 2003-12-08 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | D 1-1 | 1692 | 1644 | 30.4% | 24.7% | 44.9% | +0.6 | 26 |
| 2003-12-12 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-1 | 1657 | 1700 | 45.5% | 24.6% | 29.8% | +10.9 | 26 |
| 2003-12-12 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 1-3 | 1700 | 1657 | 29.8% | 24.6% | 45.5% | -10.9 | 25 |
| 2003-12-12 | Alemannia Aachen | D 0-0 | 1578 | 1650 | 41.5% | 24.9% | 33.7% | -0.4 | 17 |
| 2003-12-12 | @ LR Ahlen | D 0-0 | 1650 | 1578 | 33.7% | 24.9% | 41.5% | +0.4 | 27 |
| 2003-12-12 | MSV Duisburg | D 3-3 | 1676 | 1610 | 58.8% | 22.5% | 18.6% | -1.1 | 22 |
| 2003-12-12 | @ Greuther Furth | D 3-3 | 1610 | 1676 | 18.6% | 22.5% | 58.8% | +1.1 | 22 |
| 2003-12-12 | VfL Osnabruck | W 5-0 | 1664 | 1584 | 60.2% | 22.2% | 17.6% | +18.3 | 24 |
| 2003-12-12 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-5 | 1584 | 1664 | 17.6% | 22.2% | 60.2% | -18.3 | 16 |
| 2003-12-14 | Eintracht Trier | D 1-1 | 1630 | 1542 | 61.1% | 21.9% | 17.0% | -2.0 | 20 |
| 2003-12-14 | @ Wacker Burghausen | D 1-1 | 1542 | 1630 | 17.0% | 21.9% | 61.1% | +2.0 | 14 |
| 2003-12-14 | Jahn Regensburg | D 1-1 | 1693 | 1593 | 62.3% | 21.6% | 16.1% | -2.1 | 27 |
| 2003-12-14 | @ Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1593 | 1693 | 16.1% | 21.6% | 62.3% | +2.1 | 20 |
| 2003-12-14 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 3-1 | 1679 | 1644 | 55.4% | 23.3% | 21.3% | +8.1 | 28 |
| 2003-12-14 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-3 | 1644 | 1679 | 21.3% | 23.3% | 55.4% | -8.1 | 23 |
| 2003-12-14 | Union Berlin | W 2-1 | 1587 | 1595 | 50.1% | 24.2% | 25.7% | +5.5 | 24 |
| 2003-12-14 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1595 | 1587 | 25.7% | 24.2% | 50.1% | -5.6 | 16 |
| 2003-12-14 | VfB Lubeck | D 0-0 | 1596 | 1627 | 47.1% | 24.5% | 28.3% | -0.9 | 16 |
| 2003-12-14 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 0-0 | 1627 | 1596 | 28.3% | 24.5% | 47.1% | +0.9 | 19 |
| 2003-12-16 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-2 | 1611 | 1682 | 41.7% | 24.9% | 33.5% | -16.2 | 22 |
| 2003-12-16 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1682 | 1611 | 33.5% | 24.9% | 41.7% | +16.2 | 27 |
| 2003-12-16 | LR Ahlen | W 2-0 | 1690 | 1577 | 63.5% | 21.2% | 15.3% | +6.8 | 28 |
| 2003-12-16 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1577 | 1690 | 15.3% | 21.2% | 63.5% | -6.8 | 17 |
| 2003-12-16 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 0-2 | 1565 | 1668 | 37.2% | 24.9% | 37.9% | -14.9 | 16 |
| 2003-12-16 | @ VfL Osnabruck | W 2-0 | 1668 | 1565 | 37.9% | 24.9% | 37.2% | +14.9 | 29 |
| 2003-12-17 | Erzgebirge Aue | L 1-2 | 1635 | 1595 | 55.9% | 23.2% | 20.9% | -10.4 | 23 |
| 2003-12-17 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | W 2-1 | 1595 | 1635 | 20.9% | 23.2% | 55.9% | +10.4 | 19 |
| 2003-12-17 | Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1628 | 1675 | 44.9% | 24.7% | 30.4% | +6.8 | 22 |
| 2003-12-17 | @ VfB Lubeck | L 0-1 | 1675 | 1628 | 30.4% | 24.7% | 44.9% | -6.8 | 22 |
| 2003-12-17 | Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1651 | 1592 | 57.9% | 22.8% | 19.3% | -2.0 | 28 |
| 2003-12-17 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 0-0 | 1592 | 1651 | 19.3% | 22.8% | 57.9% | +2.0 | 25 |
| 2003-12-17 | Mainz 05 | W 1-0 | 1544 | 1691 | 31.2% | 24.8% | 44.0% | +9.0 | 17 |
| 2003-12-17 | @ Eintracht Trier | L 0-1 | 1691 | 1544 | 44.0% | 24.8% | 31.2% | -9.0 | 27 |
| 2003-12-17 | Wacker Burghausen | L 1-2 | 1589 | 1628 | 46.1% | 24.6% | 29.3% | -8.8 | 16 |
| 2003-12-17 | @ Union Berlin | W 2-1 | 1628 | 1589 | 29.3% | 24.6% | 46.1% | +8.8 | 23 |
| 2003-12-18 | Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1595 | 1688 | 38.6% | 24.9% | 36.5% | -0.1 | 21 |
| 2003-12-18 | @ Jahn Regensburg | D 0-0 | 1688 | 1595 | 36.5% | 24.9% | 38.6% | +0.1 | 29 |
| 2004-01-26 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-2 | 1649 | 1696 | 44.9% | 24.7% | 30.4% | +6.0 | 31 |
| 2004-01-26 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 2-3 | 1696 | 1649 | 30.4% | 24.7% | 44.9% | -6.0 | 28 |
| 2004-01-31 | Greuther Furth | W 3-1 | 1625 | 1668 | 45.5% | 24.6% | 29.9% | +10.9 | 26 |
| 2004-01-31 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | L 1-3 | 1668 | 1625 | 29.9% | 24.6% | 45.5% | -10.9 | 22 |
| 2004-01-31 | Wacker Burghausen | L 0-1 | 1655 | 1636 | 53.3% | 23.7% | 23.0% | -10.6 | 31 |
| 2004-01-31 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 1-0 | 1636 | 1655 | 23.0% | 23.7% | 53.3% | +10.6 | 26 |
| 2004-02-01 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1553 | 1688 | 32.8% | 24.8% | 42.4% | +16.5 | 20 |
| 2004-02-01 | @ Eintracht Trier | L 0-2 | 1688 | 1553 | 42.4% | 24.8% | 32.8% | -16.5 | 29 |
| 2004-02-01 | Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1595 | 1606 | 49.7% | 24.2% | 26.1% | -1.0 | 22 |
| 2004-02-01 | @ Jahn Regensburg | D 1-1 | 1606 | 1595 | 26.1% | 24.2% | 49.7% | +1.0 | 20 |
| 2004-02-01 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1690 | 1594 | 61.9% | 21.7% | 16.4% | +7.3 | 31 |
| 2004-02-01 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1594 | 1690 | 16.4% | 21.7% | 61.9% | -7.3 | 25 |
| 2004-02-01 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1580 | 1682 | 37.4% | 24.9% | 37.7% | +0.0 | 17 |
| 2004-02-01 | @ Union Berlin | D 1-1 | 1682 | 1580 | 37.7% | 24.9% | 37.4% | -0.0 | 28 |
| 2004-02-01 | LR Ahlen | L 1-2 | 1551 | 1570 | 48.6% | 24.4% | 27.1% | -9.2 | 16 |
| 2004-02-01 | @ VfL Osnabruck | W 2-1 | 1570 | 1551 | 27.1% | 24.4% | 48.6% | +9.2 | 20 |
| 2004-02-02 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-2 | 1683 | 1698 | 49.2% | 24.3% | 26.5% | +5.4 | 32 |
| 2004-02-02 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 2-3 | 1698 | 1683 | 26.5% | 24.3% | 49.2% | -5.4 | 27 |
| 2004-02-06 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1647 | 1698 | 44.5% | 24.7% | 30.8% | -0.7 | 27 |
| 2004-02-06 | @ Wacker Burghausen | D 0-0 | 1698 | 1647 | 30.8% | 24.7% | 44.5% | +0.7 | 32 |
| 2004-02-06 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 0-2 | 1580 | 1689 | 36.3% | 24.9% | 38.8% | -14.6 | 20 |
| 2004-02-06 | @ LR Ahlen | W 2-0 | 1689 | 1580 | 38.8% | 24.9% | 36.3% | +14.6 | 35 |
| 2004-02-06 | VfL Osnabruck | W 3-0 | 1587 | 1541 | 56.5% | 23.1% | 20.4% | +13.1 | 28 |
| 2004-02-06 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-3 | 1541 | 1587 | 20.4% | 23.1% | 56.5% | -13.1 | 16 |
| 2004-02-08 | Alemannia Aachen | W 3-2 | 1682 | 1644 | 55.6% | 23.3% | 21.2% | +4.4 | 31 |
| 2004-02-08 | @ Mainz 05 | L 2-3 | 1644 | 1682 | 21.2% | 23.3% | 55.6% | -4.4 | 31 |
| 2004-02-08 | Eintracht Trier | W 2-1 | 1607 | 1569 | 55.5% | 23.3% | 21.2% | +4.7 | 23 |
| 2004-02-08 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 1-2 | 1569 | 1607 | 21.2% | 23.3% | 55.5% | -4.7 | 20 |
| 2004-02-08 | Jahn Regensburg | D 2-2 | 1658 | 1594 | 58.5% | 22.6% | 18.9% | -1.3 | 23 |
| 2004-02-08 | @ Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1594 | 1658 | 18.9% | 22.6% | 58.5% | +1.4 | 23 |
| 2004-02-08 | SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-1 | 1595 | 1636 | 45.7% | 24.6% | 29.6% | -9.3 | 22 |
| 2004-02-08 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1636 | 1595 | 29.6% | 24.6% | 45.7% | +9.3 | 29 |
| 2004-02-08 | VfB Lubeck | L 1-3 | 1693 | 1635 | 57.9% | 22.8% | 19.4% | -18.5 | 27 |
| 2004-02-08 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-1 | 1635 | 1693 | 19.4% | 22.8% | 57.9% | +18.5 | 25 |
| 2004-02-09 | Union Berlin | W 2-1 | 1671 | 1580 | 61.4% | 21.8% | 16.8% | +3.7 | 32 |
| 2004-02-09 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-2 | 1580 | 1671 | 16.8% | 21.8% | 61.4% | -3.7 | 17 |
| 2004-02-11 | MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1653 | 1585 | 59.0% | 22.5% | 18.6% | -1.8 | 26 |
| 2004-02-11 | @ VfB Lubeck | D 1-1 | 1585 | 1653 | 18.6% | 22.5% | 59.0% | +1.8 | 23 |
| 2004-02-13 | Greuther Furth | W 2-0 | 1565 | 1656 | 38.8% | 24.9% | 36.3% | +14.6 | 23 |
| 2004-02-13 | @ Eintracht Trier | L 0-2 | 1656 | 1565 | 36.3% | 24.9% | 38.8% | -14.6 | 23 |
| 2004-02-13 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1703 | 1600 | 62.6% | 21.5% | 15.9% | +3.8 | 38 |
| 2004-02-13 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 0-1 | 1600 | 1703 | 15.9% | 21.5% | 62.6% | -3.8 | 28 |
| 2004-02-13 | Wacker Burghausen | W 3-0 | 1528 | 1646 | 35.0% | 24.9% | 40.1% | +22.9 | 19 |
| 2004-02-13 | @ VfL Osnabruck | L 0-3 | 1646 | 1528 | 40.1% | 24.9% | 35.0% | -22.9 | 27 |
| 2004-02-15 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1565 | 1674 | 36.3% | 24.9% | 38.8% | +0.1 | 21 |
| 2004-02-15 | @ LR Ahlen | D 0-0 | 1674 | 1565 | 38.8% | 24.9% | 36.3% | -0.1 | 28 |
| 2004-02-15 | Energie Cottbus | L 0-2 | 1640 | 1675 | 46.6% | 24.6% | 28.9% | -17.8 | 31 |
| 2004-02-15 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 2-0 | 1675 | 1640 | 28.9% | 24.6% | 46.6% | +17.8 | 35 |
| 2004-02-15 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 3-0 | 1577 | 1611 | 46.6% | 24.6% | 28.8% | +17.7 | 20 |
| 2004-02-15 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-3 | 1611 | 1577 | 28.8% | 24.6% | 46.6% | -17.7 | 23 |
| 2004-02-15 | MSV Duisburg | L 0-5 | 1595 | 1587 | 52.0% | 23.9% | 24.1% | -45.6 | 23 |
| 2004-02-15 | @ Jahn Regensburg | W 5-0 | 1587 | 1595 | 24.1% | 23.9% | 52.0% | +45.6 | 26 |
| 2004-02-15 | VfB Lubeck | L 0-1 | 1645 | 1651 | 50.3% | 24.1% | 25.5% | -10.0 | 29 |
| 2004-02-15 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | W 1-0 | 1651 | 1645 | 25.5% | 24.1% | 50.3% | +10.1 | 29 |
| 2004-02-16 | Mainz 05 | D 2-2 | 1698 | 1686 | 52.6% | 23.8% | 23.6% | -1.0 | 33 |
| 2004-02-16 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1686 | 1698 | 23.6% | 23.8% | 52.6% | +1.0 | 32 |
| 2004-02-20 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-3 | 1693 | 1697 | 50.5% | 24.1% | 25.4% | -16.5 | 35 |
| 2004-02-20 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 3-1 | 1697 | 1693 | 25.4% | 24.1% | 50.5% | +16.5 | 36 |
| 2004-02-20 | Eintracht Trier | W 2-0 | 1633 | 1579 | 57.4% | 22.9% | 19.7% | +8.8 | 29 |
| 2004-02-20 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-2 | 1579 | 1633 | 19.7% | 22.9% | 57.4% | -8.8 | 23 |
| 2004-02-20 | VfL Osnabruck | D 0-0 | 1687 | 1551 | 65.8% | 20.4% | 13.8% | -2.7 | 33 |
| 2004-02-20 | @ Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1551 | 1687 | 13.8% | 20.4% | 65.8% | +2.7 | 20 |
| 2004-02-22 | Alemannia Aachen | L 0-1 | 1594 | 1622 | 47.5% | 24.5% | 28.1% | -9.6 | 23 |
| 2004-02-22 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | W 1-0 | 1622 | 1594 | 28.1% | 24.5% | 47.5% | +9.6 | 34 |
| 2004-02-22 | Jahn Regensburg | L 0-3 | 1661 | 1549 | 63.5% | 21.2% | 15.3% | -33.6 | 29 |
| 2004-02-22 | @ VfB Lubeck | W 3-0 | 1549 | 1661 | 15.3% | 21.2% | 63.5% | +33.6 | 26 |
| 2004-02-22 | LR Ahlen | W 1-0 | 1596 | 1565 | 54.8% | 23.4% | 21.8% | +5.1 | 31 |
| 2004-02-22 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1565 | 1596 | 21.8% | 23.4% | 54.8% | -5.1 | 21 |
| 2004-02-22 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 5-0 | 1623 | 1707 | 39.9% | 24.9% | 35.1% | +33.4 | 30 |
| 2004-02-22 | @ Wacker Burghausen | L 0-5 | 1707 | 1623 | 35.1% | 24.9% | 39.9% | -33.4 | 38 |
| 2004-02-22 | Union Berlin | D 2-2 | 1642 | 1594 | 56.7% | 23.0% | 20.3% | -1.2 | 24 |
| 2004-02-22 | @ Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1594 | 1642 | 20.3% | 23.0% | 56.7% | +1.2 | 21 |
| 2004-02-23 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 1-0 | 1674 | 1635 | 55.7% | 23.2% | 21.0% | +4.9 | 31 |
| 2004-02-23 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-1 | 1635 | 1674 | 21.0% | 23.2% | 55.7% | -4.9 | 29 |
| 2004-02-27 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1601 | 1679 | 40.8% | 24.9% | 34.3% | -0.2 | 32 |
| 2004-02-27 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1679 | 1601 | 34.3% | 24.9% | 40.8% | +0.2 | 32 |
| 2004-02-27 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 2-0 | 1714 | 1584 | 65.2% | 20.6% | 14.2% | +6.3 | 39 |
| 2004-02-27 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1584 | 1714 | 14.2% | 20.6% | 65.2% | -6.3 | 23 |
| 2004-02-27 | Greuther Furth | D 0-0 | 1632 | 1640 | 50.0% | 24.2% | 25.8% | -1.2 | 35 |
| 2004-02-27 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 0-0 | 1640 | 1632 | 25.8% | 24.2% | 50.0% | +1.2 | 25 |
| 2004-02-29 | Energie Cottbus | L 0-1 | 1554 | 1676 | 34.4% | 24.9% | 40.7% | -7.4 | 20 |
| 2004-02-29 | @ VfL Osnabruck | W 1-0 | 1676 | 1554 | 40.7% | 24.9% | 34.4% | +7.4 | 38 |
| 2004-02-29 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-1 | 1595 | 1641 | 45.1% | 24.7% | 30.2% | +6.3 | 24 |
| 2004-02-29 | @ Union Berlin | L 1-2 | 1641 | 1595 | 30.2% | 24.7% | 45.1% | -6.3 | 29 |
| 2004-02-29 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 1-0 | 1583 | 1630 | 45.0% | 24.7% | 30.4% | +6.7 | 29 |
| 2004-02-29 | @ Jahn Regensburg | L 0-1 | 1630 | 1583 | 30.4% | 24.7% | 45.0% | -6.7 | 29 |
| 2004-03-01 | VfB Lubeck | W 4-2 | 1570 | 1628 | 43.6% | 24.8% | 31.6% | +10.2 | 26 |
| 2004-03-01 | @ Eintracht Trier | L 2-4 | 1628 | 1570 | 31.6% | 24.8% | 43.6% | -10.2 | 29 |
| 2004-03-05 | Eintracht Trier | D 0-0 | 1624 | 1581 | 56.2% | 23.1% | 20.7% | -1.8 | 30 |
| 2004-03-05 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | D 0-0 | 1581 | 1624 | 20.7% | 23.1% | 56.2% | +1.8 | 27 |
| 2004-03-05 | Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1657 | 1601 | 57.6% | 22.8% | 19.6% | -1.9 | 31 |
| 2004-03-05 | @ Wacker Burghausen | D 0-0 | 1601 | 1657 | 19.6% | 22.8% | 57.6% | +1.9 | 33 |
| 2004-03-05 | Union Berlin | L 0-2 | 1618 | 1602 | 53.0% | 23.7% | 23.3% | -19.8 | 29 |
| 2004-03-05 | @ VfB Lubeck | W 2-0 | 1602 | 1618 | 23.3% | 23.7% | 53.0% | +19.8 | 27 |
| 2004-03-07 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1642 | 1720 | 40.6% | 24.9% | 34.5% | -0.2 | 26 |
| 2004-03-07 | @ Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1720 | 1642 | 34.5% | 24.9% | 40.6% | +0.2 | 40 |
| 2004-03-07 | Jahn Regensburg | D 0-0 | 1679 | 1590 | 61.3% | 21.9% | 16.9% | -2.3 | 33 |
| 2004-03-07 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1590 | 1679 | 16.9% | 21.9% | 61.3% | +2.3 | 30 |
| 2004-03-07 | LR Ahlen | D 0-0 | 1684 | 1560 | 64.7% | 20.8% | 14.5% | -2.6 | 34 |
| 2004-03-07 | @ Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1560 | 1684 | 14.5% | 20.8% | 64.7% | +2.6 | 22 |
| 2004-03-07 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 3-1 | 1684 | 1674 | 52.3% | 23.8% | 23.8% | +9.0 | 41 |
| 2004-03-07 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-3 | 1674 | 1684 | 23.8% | 23.8% | 52.3% | -9.0 | 38 |
| 2004-03-07 | VfL Osnabruck | W 1-0 | 1578 | 1546 | 54.9% | 23.4% | 21.7% | +5.1 | 26 |
| 2004-03-07 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-1 | 1546 | 1578 | 21.7% | 23.4% | 54.9% | -5.1 | 20 |
| 2004-03-08 | Alemannia Aachen | W 2-1 | 1635 | 1630 | 51.7% | 23.9% | 24.4% | +5.3 | 32 |
| 2004-03-08 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 1-2 | 1630 | 1635 | 24.4% | 23.9% | 51.7% | -5.3 | 35 |
| 2004-03-10 | Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1665 | 1682 | 48.9% | 24.3% | 26.8% | -1.1 | 39 |
| 2004-03-10 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 0-0 | 1682 | 1665 | 26.8% | 24.3% | 48.9% | +1.1 | 35 |
| 2004-03-12 | Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1563 | 1693 | 33.4% | 24.9% | 41.7% | +0.4 | 23 |
| 2004-03-12 | @ LR Ahlen | D 0-0 | 1693 | 1563 | 41.7% | 24.9% | 33.4% | -0.4 | 42 |
| 2004-03-12 | Jahn Regensburg | W 4-0 | 1582 | 1592 | 49.9% | 24.2% | 25.9% | +21.2 | 30 |
| 2004-03-12 | @ Eintracht Trier | L 0-4 | 1592 | 1582 | 25.9% | 24.2% | 49.9% | -21.2 | 30 |
| 2004-03-12 | VfB Lubeck | W 3-1 | 1625 | 1598 | 54.4% | 23.5% | 22.1% | +8.4 | 38 |
| 2004-03-12 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 1-3 | 1598 | 1625 | 22.1% | 23.5% | 54.4% | -8.4 | 29 |
| 2004-03-14 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-1 | 1655 | 1677 | 48.3% | 24.4% | 27.3% | -9.7 | 31 |
| 2004-03-14 | @ Wacker Burghausen | W 1-0 | 1677 | 1655 | 27.3% | 24.4% | 48.3% | +9.7 | 36 |
| 2004-03-14 | Erzgebirge Aue | L 1-4 | 1664 | 1583 | 60.3% | 22.1% | 17.5% | -27.1 | 39 |
| 2004-03-14 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 4-1 | 1583 | 1664 | 17.5% | 22.1% | 60.3% | +27.1 | 29 |
| 2004-03-14 | Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1541 | 1641 | 37.6% | 24.9% | 37.5% | -8.0 | 20 |
| 2004-03-14 | @ VfL Osnabruck | W 1-0 | 1641 | 1541 | 37.5% | 24.9% | 37.6% | +8.0 | 29 |
| 2004-03-14 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1720 | 1640 | 60.2% | 22.2% | 17.6% | +7.8 | 43 |
| 2004-03-14 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1640 | 1720 | 17.6% | 22.2% | 60.2% | -7.8 | 32 |
| 2004-03-14 | SpVgg Unterhaching | D 0-0 | 1622 | 1622 | 51.1% | 24.0% | 24.9% | -1.3 | 28 |
| 2004-03-14 | @ Union Berlin | D 0-0 | 1622 | 1622 | 24.9% | 24.0% | 51.1% | +1.3 | 31 |
| 2004-03-15 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1603 | 1683 | 40.5% | 24.9% | 34.6% | -0.2 | 34 |
| 2004-03-15 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1683 | 1603 | 34.6% | 24.9% | 40.5% | +0.2 | 36 |
| 2004-03-17 | Wacker Burghausen | W 3-1 | 1563 | 1645 | 40.1% | 24.9% | 34.9% | +12.3 | 26 |
| 2004-03-17 | @ LR Ahlen | L 1-3 | 1645 | 1563 | 34.9% | 24.9% | 40.1% | -12.3 | 31 |
| 2004-03-19 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1692 | 1603 | 61.2% | 21.9% | 16.9% | +3.8 | 45 |
| 2004-03-19 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-2 | 1603 | 1692 | 16.9% | 21.9% | 61.2% | -3.8 | 34 |
| 2004-03-19 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 0-1 | 1649 | 1636 | 52.7% | 23.8% | 23.5% | -10.4 | 29 |
| 2004-03-19 | @ Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1636 | 1649 | 23.5% | 23.8% | 52.7% | +10.5 | 42 |
| 2004-03-19 | VfL Osnabruck | W 3-1 | 1633 | 1533 | 62.2% | 21.6% | 16.2% | +6.2 | 35 |
| 2004-03-19 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 1-3 | 1533 | 1633 | 16.2% | 21.6% | 62.2% | -6.2 | 20 |
| 2004-03-21 | Alemannia Aachen | D 1-1 | 1623 | 1633 | 49.8% | 24.2% | 26.0% | -1.0 | 32 |
| 2004-03-21 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | D 1-1 | 1633 | 1623 | 26.0% | 24.2% | 49.8% | +1.0 | 39 |
| 2004-03-21 | Eintracht Trier | W 3-1 | 1687 | 1604 | 60.6% | 22.1% | 17.4% | +6.7 | 39 |
| 2004-03-21 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-3 | 1604 | 1687 | 17.4% | 22.1% | 60.6% | -6.7 | 30 |
| 2004-03-21 | LR Ahlen | W 2-0 | 1610 | 1575 | 55.2% | 23.3% | 21.4% | +9.4 | 32 |
| 2004-03-21 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-2 | 1575 | 1610 | 21.4% | 23.3% | 55.2% | -9.5 | 26 |
| 2004-03-21 | Union Berlin | W 3-1 | 1571 | 1620 | 44.6% | 24.7% | 30.6% | +11.1 | 33 |
| 2004-03-21 | @ Jahn Regensburg | L 1-3 | 1620 | 1571 | 30.6% | 24.7% | 44.6% | -11.1 | 28 |
| 2004-03-21 | Wacker Burghausen | W 1-0 | 1683 | 1633 | 57.0% | 23.0% | 20.0% | +4.7 | 39 |
| 2004-03-21 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-1 | 1633 | 1683 | 20.0% | 23.0% | 57.0% | -4.7 | 31 |
| 2004-03-22 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1589 | 1728 | 32.2% | 24.8% | 43.0% | +8.3 | 32 |
| 2004-03-22 | @ VfB Lubeck | L 1-2 | 1728 | 1589 | 43.0% | 24.8% | 32.2% | -8.3 | 43 |
| 2004-03-26 | Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1628 | 1696 | 42.1% | 24.9% | 33.0% | -0.4 | 32 |
| 2004-03-26 | @ Wacker Burghausen | D 1-1 | 1696 | 1628 | 33.0% | 24.9% | 42.1% | +0.4 | 46 |
| 2004-03-26 | MSV Duisburg | L 0-3 | 1647 | 1639 | 52.1% | 23.9% | 24.0% | -28.3 | 42 |
| 2004-03-26 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 3-0 | 1639 | 1647 | 24.0% | 23.9% | 52.1% | +28.3 | 38 |
| 2004-03-26 | VfB Lubeck | W 3-1 | 1527 | 1598 | 41.8% | 24.9% | 33.4% | +11.9 | 23 |
| 2004-03-26 | @ VfL Osnabruck | L 1-3 | 1598 | 1527 | 33.4% | 24.9% | 41.8% | -11.9 | 32 |
| 2004-03-28 | Eintracht Trier | L 1-3 | 1609 | 1597 | 52.6% | 23.8% | 23.6% | -17.0 | 28 |
| 2004-03-28 | @ Union Berlin | W 3-1 | 1597 | 1609 | 23.6% | 23.8% | 52.6% | +17.0 | 33 |
| 2004-03-28 | Erzgebirge Aue | L 3-5 | 1599 | 1619 | 48.5% | 24.4% | 27.1% | -13.5 | 34 |
| 2004-03-28 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 5-3 | 1619 | 1599 | 27.1% | 24.4% | 48.5% | +13.5 | 35 |
| 2004-03-28 | Greuther Furth | W 3-2 | 1566 | 1639 | 41.4% | 24.9% | 33.7% | +6.5 | 29 |
| 2004-03-28 | @ LR Ahlen | L 2-3 | 1639 | 1566 | 33.7% | 24.9% | 41.4% | -6.6 | 29 |
| 2004-03-28 | Jahn Regensburg | W 1-0 | 1634 | 1582 | 57.3% | 22.9% | 19.8% | +4.7 | 42 |
| 2004-03-28 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 0-1 | 1582 | 1634 | 19.8% | 22.9% | 57.3% | -4.7 | 33 |
| 2004-03-28 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 3-0 | 1720 | 1622 | 62.1% | 21.6% | 16.3% | +10.5 | 46 |
| 2004-03-28 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-3 | 1622 | 1720 | 16.3% | 21.6% | 62.1% | -10.5 | 32 |
| 2004-03-29 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-2 | 1688 | 1693 | 50.4% | 24.1% | 25.5% | -19.0 | 39 |
| 2004-03-29 | @ Mainz 05 | W 2-0 | 1693 | 1688 | 25.5% | 24.1% | 50.4% | +19.0 | 42 |
| 2004-04-02 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1577 | 1730 | 30.4% | 24.7% | 44.9% | +8.6 | 36 |
| 2004-04-02 | @ Jahn Regensburg | L 1-2 | 1730 | 1577 | 44.9% | 24.7% | 30.4% | -8.6 | 46 |
| 2004-04-02 | Alemannia Aachen | D 3-3 | 1614 | 1639 | 47.9% | 24.4% | 27.7% | -0.5 | 34 |
| 2004-04-02 | @ Eintracht Trier | D 3-3 | 1639 | 1614 | 27.7% | 24.4% | 47.9% | +0.5 | 43 |
| 2004-04-02 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 1-0 | 1586 | 1618 | 46.9% | 24.5% | 28.6% | +6.4 | 35 |
| 2004-04-02 | @ VfB Lubeck | L 0-1 | 1618 | 1586 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 46.9% | -6.4 | 42 |
| 2004-04-04 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1632 | 1586 | 56.6% | 23.1% | 20.3% | +4.5 | 32 |
| 2004-04-04 | @ Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1586 | 1632 | 20.3% | 23.1% | 56.6% | -4.5 | 34 |
| 2004-04-04 | LR Ahlen | L 1-2 | 1667 | 1572 | 61.8% | 21.7% | 16.5% | -11.3 | 38 |
| 2004-04-04 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 2-1 | 1572 | 1667 | 16.5% | 21.7% | 61.8% | +11.3 | 32 |
| 2004-04-04 | Union Berlin | W 2-1 | 1712 | 1592 | 64.3% | 20.9% | 14.8% | +3.3 | 45 |
| 2004-04-04 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-2 | 1592 | 1712 | 14.8% | 20.9% | 64.3% | -3.3 | 28 |
| 2004-04-04 | VfL Osnabruck | W 2-1 | 1611 | 1539 | 59.5% | 22.4% | 18.2% | +4.0 | 35 |
| 2004-04-04 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | L 1-2 | 1539 | 1611 | 18.2% | 22.4% | 59.5% | -4.0 | 23 |
| 2004-04-04 | Wacker Burghausen | W 3-0 | 1633 | 1628 | 51.7% | 23.9% | 24.3% | +15.4 | 38 |
| 2004-04-04 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-3 | 1628 | 1633 | 24.3% | 23.9% | 51.7% | -15.3 | 32 |
| 2004-04-05 | Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1696 | 1669 | 54.4% | 23.5% | 22.1% | -1.6 | 47 |
| 2004-04-05 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1669 | 1696 | 22.1% | 23.5% | 54.4% | +1.6 | 40 |
| 2004-04-08 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-2 | 1695 | 1716 | 48.4% | 24.4% | 27.2% | -9.2 | 47 |
| 2004-04-08 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 2-1 | 1716 | 1695 | 27.2% | 24.4% | 48.4% | +9.2 | 48 |
| 2004-04-08 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 3-1 | 1612 | 1615 | 50.7% | 24.1% | 25.2% | +9.5 | 45 |
| 2004-04-08 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 1-3 | 1615 | 1612 | 25.2% | 24.1% | 50.7% | -9.5 | 35 |
| 2004-04-08 | Union Berlin | W 4-2 | 1640 | 1589 | 57.1% | 22.9% | 20.0% | +6.8 | 46 |
| 2004-04-08 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 2-4 | 1589 | 1640 | 20.0% | 22.9% | 57.1% | -6.9 | 28 |
| 2004-04-11 | Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1670 | 1648 | 53.8% | 23.6% | 22.6% | -1.4 | 41 |
| 2004-04-11 | @ Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1648 | 1670 | 22.6% | 23.6% | 53.8% | +1.4 | 39 |
| 2004-04-11 | Greuther Furth | L 0-2 | 1612 | 1637 | 48.0% | 24.4% | 27.6% | -18.2 | 32 |
| 2004-04-11 | @ Wacker Burghausen | W 2-0 | 1637 | 1612 | 27.6% | 24.4% | 48.0% | +18.2 | 35 |
| 2004-04-11 | Jahn Regensburg | W 3-0 | 1535 | 1586 | 44.5% | 24.7% | 30.8% | +18.7 | 26 |
| 2004-04-11 | @ VfL Osnabruck | L 0-3 | 1586 | 1535 | 30.8% | 24.7% | 44.5% | -18.7 | 36 |
| 2004-04-11 | MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1581 | 1656 | 41.2% | 24.9% | 33.9% | +7.4 | 37 |
| 2004-04-11 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1656 | 1581 | 33.9% | 24.9% | 41.2% | -7.4 | 38 |
| 2004-04-11 | VfB Lubeck | D 1-1 | 1584 | 1592 | 50.0% | 24.2% | 25.8% | -1.1 | 33 |
| 2004-04-11 | @ LR Ahlen | D 1-1 | 1592 | 1584 | 25.8% | 24.2% | 50.0% | +1.1 | 36 |
| 2004-04-12 | Eintracht Trier | W 3-1 | 1722 | 1613 | 63.1% | 21.3% | 15.5% | +6.0 | 49 |
| 2004-04-12 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-3 | 1613 | 1722 | 15.5% | 21.3% | 63.1% | -6.0 | 34 |
| 2004-04-16 | Energie Cottbus | W 1-0 | 1650 | 1686 | 46.5% | 24.6% | 29.0% | +6.5 | 42 |
| 2004-04-16 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-1 | 1686 | 1650 | 29.0% | 24.6% | 46.5% | -6.5 | 47 |
| 2004-04-16 | Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1593 | 1589 | 51.7% | 23.9% | 24.4% | -0.9 | 37 |
| 2004-04-16 | @ VfB Lubeck | D 2-2 | 1589 | 1593 | 24.4% | 23.9% | 51.7% | +0.9 | 38 |
| 2004-04-16 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 1-1 | 1567 | 1622 | 44.0% | 24.8% | 31.3% | -0.5 | 37 |
| 2004-04-16 | @ Jahn Regensburg | D 1-1 | 1622 | 1567 | 31.3% | 24.8% | 44.0% | +0.5 | 46 |
| 2004-04-18 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 3-5 | 1582 | 1728 | 31.3% | 24.8% | 43.9% | -9.5 | 28 |
| 2004-04-18 | @ Union Berlin | W 5-3 | 1728 | 1582 | 43.9% | 24.8% | 31.3% | +9.5 | 52 |
| 2004-04-18 | Mainz 05 | W 3-1 | 1655 | 1669 | 49.3% | 24.3% | 26.4% | +9.8 | 38 |
| 2004-04-18 | @ Greuther Furth | L 1-3 | 1669 | 1655 | 26.4% | 24.3% | 49.3% | -9.8 | 41 |
| 2004-04-18 | LR Ahlen | D 0-0 | 1606 | 1583 | 53.9% | 23.6% | 22.5% | -1.6 | 36 |
| 2004-04-18 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | D 0-0 | 1583 | 1606 | 22.5% | 23.6% | 53.9% | +1.6 | 34 |
| 2004-04-18 | VfL Osnabruck | D 0-0 | 1607 | 1554 | 57.4% | 22.9% | 19.7% | -1.9 | 35 |
| 2004-04-18 | @ Eintracht Trier | D 0-0 | 1554 | 1607 | 19.7% | 22.9% | 57.4% | +1.9 | 27 |
| 2004-04-18 | Wacker Burghausen | W 1-0 | 1649 | 1594 | 57.5% | 22.9% | 19.7% | +4.6 | 41 |
| 2004-04-18 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-1 | 1594 | 1649 | 19.7% | 22.9% | 57.5% | -4.6 | 32 |
| 2004-04-19 | Alemannia Aachen | W 3-0 | 1725 | 1647 | 60.1% | 22.2% | 17.7% | +11.5 | 51 |
| 2004-04-19 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-3 | 1647 | 1725 | 17.7% | 22.2% | 60.1% | -11.5 | 46 |
| 2004-04-23 | MSV Duisburg | W 4-1 | 1659 | 1653 | 51.8% | 23.9% | 24.2% | +12.9 | 44 |
| 2004-04-23 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-4 | 1653 | 1659 | 24.2% | 23.9% | 51.8% | -12.9 | 41 |
| 2004-04-23 | Union Berlin | L 0-2 | 1556 | 1573 | 48.9% | 24.3% | 26.8% | -18.5 | 27 |
| 2004-04-23 | @ VfL Osnabruck | W 2-0 | 1573 | 1556 | 26.8% | 24.3% | 48.9% | +18.5 | 31 |
| 2004-04-23 | VfB Lubeck | W 2-1 | 1590 | 1592 | 50.7% | 24.1% | 25.2% | +5.4 | 35 |
| 2004-04-23 | @ Wacker Burghausen | L 1-2 | 1592 | 1590 | 25.2% | 24.1% | 50.7% | -5.4 | 37 |
| 2004-04-25 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1656 | 1736 | 40.4% | 24.9% | 34.7% | -0.2 | 43 |
| 2004-04-25 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1736 | 1656 | 34.7% | 24.9% | 40.4% | +0.2 | 52 |
| 2004-04-25 | Eintracht Trier | L 1-2 | 1622 | 1605 | 53.1% | 23.7% | 23.2% | -9.9 | 46 |
| 2004-04-25 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 2-1 | 1605 | 1622 | 23.2% | 23.7% | 53.1% | +9.9 | 38 |
| 2004-04-25 | Greuther Furth | W 4-2 | 1679 | 1665 | 52.8% | 23.8% | 23.4% | +7.9 | 50 |
| 2004-04-25 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 2-4 | 1665 | 1679 | 23.4% | 23.8% | 52.8% | -7.9 | 38 |
| 2004-04-25 | Jahn Regensburg | W 3-1 | 1584 | 1567 | 53.2% | 23.7% | 23.1% | +8.7 | 37 |
| 2004-04-25 | @ LR Ahlen | L 1-3 | 1567 | 1584 | 23.1% | 23.7% | 53.2% | -8.7 | 37 |
| 2004-04-25 | SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-1 | 1589 | 1604 | 49.2% | 24.3% | 26.5% | -9.9 | 38 |
| 2004-04-25 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1604 | 1589 | 26.5% | 24.3% | 49.2% | +9.9 | 39 |
| 2004-04-26 | Alemannia Aachen | W 3-0 | 1737 | 1635 | 62.5% | 21.5% | 16.0% | +10.3 | 55 |
| 2004-04-26 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-3 | 1635 | 1737 | 16.0% | 21.5% | 62.5% | -10.3 | 46 |
| 2004-04-30 | Mainz 05 | L 1-4 | 1587 | 1672 | 39.7% | 24.9% | 35.4% | -19.2 | 37 |
| 2004-04-30 | @ VfB Lubeck | W 4-1 | 1672 | 1587 | 35.4% | 24.9% | 39.7% | +19.2 | 47 |
| 2004-04-30 | LR Ahlen | W 3-0 | 1615 | 1593 | 53.8% | 23.6% | 22.6% | +14.4 | 41 |
| 2004-04-30 | @ Eintracht Trier | L 0-3 | 1593 | 1615 | 22.6% | 23.6% | 53.8% | -14.4 | 37 |
| 2004-04-30 | VfL Osnabruck | W 2-1 | 1625 | 1537 | 61.1% | 21.9% | 17.0% | +3.8 | 49 |
| 2004-04-30 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 1-2 | 1537 | 1625 | 17.0% | 21.9% | 61.1% | -3.8 | 27 |
| 2004-05-02 | Energie Cottbus | W 4-2 | 1640 | 1687 | 45.0% | 24.7% | 30.3% | +9.8 | 44 |
| 2004-05-02 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 2-4 | 1687 | 1640 | 30.3% | 24.7% | 45.0% | -9.8 | 50 |
| 2004-05-02 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 5-1 | 1657 | 1656 | 51.2% | 24.0% | 24.8% | +17.0 | 41 |
| 2004-05-02 | @ Greuther Furth | L 1-5 | 1656 | 1657 | 24.8% | 24.0% | 51.2% | -17.0 | 43 |
| 2004-05-02 | Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1558 | 1580 | 48.3% | 24.4% | 27.3% | -0.9 | 38 |
| 2004-05-02 | @ Jahn Regensburg | D 1-1 | 1580 | 1558 | 27.3% | 24.4% | 48.3% | +0.9 | 39 |
| 2004-05-02 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 2-2 | 1591 | 1612 | 48.4% | 24.4% | 27.2% | -0.7 | 32 |
| 2004-05-02 | @ Union Berlin | D 2-2 | 1612 | 1591 | 27.2% | 24.4% | 48.4% | +0.7 | 47 |
| 2004-05-02 | Wacker Burghausen | L 1-2 | 1614 | 1595 | 53.4% | 23.7% | 22.9% | -10.0 | 39 |
| 2004-05-02 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | W 2-1 | 1595 | 1614 | 22.9% | 23.7% | 53.4% | +10.0 | 38 |
| 2004-05-03 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-3 | 1737 | 1748 | 49.7% | 24.2% | 26.1% | -16.2 | 52 |
| 2004-05-03 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-1 | 1748 | 1737 | 26.1% | 24.2% | 49.7% | +16.2 | 58 |
| 2004-05-07 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 3-4 | 1533 | 1764 | 21.9% | 23.4% | 54.7% | -4.5 | 27 |
| 2004-05-07 | @ VfL Osnabruck | W 4-3 | 1764 | 1533 | 54.7% | 23.4% | 21.9% | +4.5 | 61 |
| 2004-05-07 | Jahn Regensburg | W 2-0 | 1605 | 1557 | 56.8% | 23.0% | 20.2% | +9.0 | 41 |
| 2004-05-07 | @ Wacker Burghausen | L 0-2 | 1557 | 1605 | 20.2% | 23.0% | 56.8% | -9.0 | 38 |
| 2004-05-07 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 2-0 | 1691 | 1604 | 61.0% | 22.0% | 17.1% | +7.6 | 50 |
| 2004-05-07 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-2 | 1604 | 1691 | 17.1% | 22.0% | 61.0% | -7.6 | 39 |
| 2004-05-09 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-2 | 1674 | 1720 | 45.1% | 24.7% | 30.2% | -8.7 | 41 |
| 2004-05-09 | @ Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1720 | 1674 | 30.2% | 24.7% | 45.1% | +8.7 | 55 |
| 2004-05-09 | Eintracht Trier | L 0-1 | 1581 | 1630 | 44.7% | 24.7% | 30.6% | -9.1 | 39 |
| 2004-05-09 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1630 | 1581 | 30.6% | 24.7% | 44.7% | +9.1 | 44 |
| 2004-05-09 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-1 | 1639 | 1650 | 49.7% | 24.2% | 26.1% | +5.6 | 46 |
| 2004-05-09 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 1-2 | 1650 | 1639 | 26.1% | 24.2% | 49.7% | -5.6 | 44 |
| 2004-05-09 | Union Berlin | W 1-0 | 1579 | 1590 | 49.6% | 24.2% | 26.2% | +6.0 | 40 |
| 2004-05-09 | @ LR Ahlen | L 0-1 | 1590 | 1579 | 26.2% | 24.2% | 49.6% | -6.0 | 32 |
| 2004-05-09 | VfB Lubeck | D 1-1 | 1677 | 1568 | 63.3% | 21.3% | 15.5% | -2.2 | 51 |
| 2004-05-09 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1568 | 1677 | 15.5% | 21.3% | 63.3% | +2.2 | 38 |
| 2004-05-10 | Alemannia Aachen | L 1-2 | 1613 | 1629 | 49.1% | 24.3% | 26.6% | -9.3 | 47 |
| 2004-05-10 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 2-1 | 1629 | 1613 | 26.6% | 24.3% | 49.1% | +9.3 | 52 |
| 2004-05-16 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1529 | 1729 | 24.9% | 24.1% | 51.0% | +1.3 | 28 |
| 2004-05-16 | @ VfL Osnabruck | D 0-0 | 1729 | 1529 | 51.0% | 24.1% | 24.9% | -1.3 | 56 |
| 2004-05-16 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1597 | 1675 | 40.7% | 24.9% | 34.4% | +14.0 | 42 |
| 2004-05-16 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-2 | 1675 | 1597 | 34.4% | 24.9% | 40.7% | -14.0 | 51 |
| 2004-05-16 | Erzgebirge Aue | D 2-2 | 1570 | 1644 | 41.2% | 24.9% | 33.9% | -0.2 | 39 |
| 2004-05-16 | @ VfB Lubeck | D 2-2 | 1644 | 1570 | 33.9% | 24.9% | 41.2% | +0.2 | 47 |
| 2004-05-16 | Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1644 | 1665 | 48.4% | 24.4% | 27.2% | -0.9 | 45 |
| 2004-05-16 | @ MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1665 | 1644 | 27.2% | 24.4% | 48.4% | +0.9 | 42 |
| 2004-05-16 | Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1584 | 1571 | 52.7% | 23.8% | 23.5% | -1.0 | 33 |
| 2004-05-16 | @ Union Berlin | D 2-2 | 1571 | 1584 | 23.5% | 23.8% | 52.7% | +1.0 | 40 |
| 2004-05-16 | Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1548 | 1699 | 30.7% | 24.7% | 44.6% | +0.7 | 39 |
| 2004-05-16 | @ Jahn Regensburg | D 0-0 | 1699 | 1548 | 44.6% | 24.7% | 30.7% | -0.7 | 51 |
| 2004-05-16 | LR Ahlen | D 1-1 | 1638 | 1585 | 57.4% | 22.9% | 19.8% | -1.7 | 53 |
| 2004-05-16 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 1-1 | 1585 | 1638 | 19.8% | 22.9% | 57.4% | +1.7 | 41 |
| 2004-05-16 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 1-3 | 1768 | 1604 | 68.4% | 19.4% | 12.2% | -21.3 | 61 |
| 2004-05-16 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-1 | 1604 | 1768 | 12.2% | 19.4% | 68.4% | +21.3 | 50 |
| 2004-05-16 | Wacker Burghausen | D 0-0 | 1639 | 1614 | 54.1% | 23.5% | 22.3% | -1.6 | 45 |
| 2004-05-16 | @ Eintracht Trier | D 0-0 | 1614 | 1639 | 22.3% | 23.5% | 54.1% | +1.6 | 42 |
| 2004-05-23 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-0 | 1586 | 1747 | 29.5% | 24.6% | 45.9% | +17.6 | 44 |
| 2004-05-23 | @ LR Ahlen | L 0-2 | 1747 | 1586 | 45.9% | 24.6% | 29.5% | -17.6 | 61 |
| 2004-05-23 | Alemannia Aachen | W 1-0 | 1572 | 1636 | 42.7% | 24.8% | 32.5% | +7.1 | 43 |
| 2004-05-23 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1636 | 1572 | 32.5% | 24.8% | 42.7% | -7.1 | 53 |
| 2004-05-23 | Eintracht Trier | W 3-0 | 1698 | 1637 | 58.2% | 22.7% | 19.1% | +12.3 | 54 |
| 2004-05-23 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-3 | 1637 | 1698 | 19.1% | 22.7% | 58.2% | -12.3 | 45 |
| 2004-05-23 | Jahn Regensburg | W 3-0 | 1661 | 1549 | 63.5% | 21.2% | 15.3% | +9.9 | 54 |
| 2004-05-23 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-3 | 1549 | 1661 | 15.3% | 21.2% | 63.5% | -9.9 | 39 |
| 2004-05-23 | MSV Duisburg | L 1-3 | 1728 | 1644 | 60.7% | 22.0% | 17.3% | -19.3 | 56 |
| 2004-05-23 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-1 | 1644 | 1728 | 17.3% | 22.0% | 60.7% | +19.3 | 48 |
| 2004-05-23 | SpVgg Unterhaching | D 3-3 | 1645 | 1611 | 55.2% | 23.4% | 21.5% | -0.9 | 48 |
| 2004-05-23 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 3-3 | 1611 | 1645 | 21.5% | 23.4% | 55.2% | +0.9 | 43 |
| 2004-05-23 | Union Berlin | W 3-1 | 1616 | 1583 | 54.9% | 23.4% | 21.7% | +8.3 | 45 |
| 2004-05-23 | @ Wacker Burghausen | L 1-3 | 1583 | 1616 | 21.7% | 23.4% | 54.9% | -8.3 | 33 |
| 2004-05-23 | VfB Lubeck | W 2-0 | 1666 | 1570 | 62.0% | 21.7% | 16.4% | +7.3 | 45 |
| 2004-05-23 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-2 | 1570 | 1666 | 16.4% | 21.7% | 62.0% | -7.3 | 39 |
| 2004-05-23 | VfL Osnabruck | W 3-2 | 1625 | 1530 | 61.8% | 21.7% | 16.5% | +3.5 | 53 |
| 2004-05-23 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 2-3 | 1530 | 1625 | 16.5% | 21.7% | 61.8% | -3.5 | 28 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2004-05-16 | 12.16% | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 1604 | 3 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 1768 | 1 |
| 2 | 2004-02-22 | 15.30% | Jahn Regensburg | 1549 | 3 | @ VfB Lubeck | 1661 | 0 |
| 3 | 2004-04-04 | 16.50% | LR Ahlen | 1572 | 2 | @ MSV Duisburg | 1667 | 1 |
| 4 | 2004-05-23 | 17.28% | MSV Duisburg | 1644 | 3 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1728 | 1 |
| 5 | 2003-08-03 | 17.46% | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 1606 | 3 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1688 | 1 |
| 6 | 2004-03-14 | 17.54% | Erzgebirge Aue | 1583 | 4 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 1664 | 1 |
| 7 | 2003-12-07 | 19.20% | LR Ahlen | 1556 | 2 | @ Union Berlin | 1616 | 0 |
| 8 | 2004-02-08 | 19.35% | VfB Lubeck | 1635 | 3 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1693 | 1 |
| 9 | 2003-09-12 | 20.18% | LR Ahlen | 1588 | 1 | @ Wacker Burghausen | 1636 | 0 |
| 10 | 2003-08-03 | 20.54% | SpVgg Unterhaching | 1624 | 4 | @ Greuther Furth | 1668 | 2 |
| 11 | 2003-11-07 | 20.74% | Greuther Furth | 1651 | 3 | @ Mainz 05 | 1693 | 1 |
| 12 | 2003-09-26 | 20.78% | Alemannia Aachen | 1596 | 5 | @ VfB Lubeck | 1638 | 3 |
| 13 | 2003-10-05 | 20.79% | VfB Lubeck | 1623 | 2 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 1664 | 1 |
| 14 | 2003-12-17 | 20.91% | Erzgebirge Aue | 1595 | 2 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | 1635 | 1 |
| 15 | 2003-10-31 | 21.17% | Energie Cottbus | 1665 | 3 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1702 | 1 |
| 16 | 2003-08-03 | 21.23% | Eintracht Trier | 1626 | 3 | @ Energie Cottbus | 1663 | 2 |
| 17 | 2003-11-28 | 21.49% | Jahn Regensburg | 1582 | 3 | @ Karlsruher SC | 1616 | 0 |
| 18 | 2003-08-10 | 21.53% | LR Ahlen | 1592 | 3 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 1625 | 1 |
| 19 | 2003-11-09 | 21.72% | MSV Duisburg | 1607 | 2 | @ Wacker Burghausen | 1639 | 1 |
| 20 | 2003-08-22 | 22.67% | VfB Lubeck | 1591 | 4 | @ Jahn Regensburg | 1613 | 0 |
| 21 | 2003-11-02 | 22.79% | Karlsruher SC | 1607 | 2 | @ MSV Duisburg | 1627 | 0 |
| 22 | 2004-05-02 | 22.89% | Wacker Burghausen | 1595 | 2 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | 1614 | 1 |
| 23 | 2003-11-02 | 22.95% | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 1613 | 4 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | 1632 | 1 |
| 24 | 2004-01-31 | 22.99% | Wacker Burghausen | 1636 | 1 | @ Alemannia Aachen | 1655 | 0 |
| 25 | 2003-08-10 | 23.17% | Karlsruher SC | 1595 | 2 | @ VfL Osnabruck | 1611 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2004-02-15 | 45.63 | MSV Duisburg | 5 | 1587 | 24.06% | @ Jahn Regensburg | 0 | 1595 | 52.05% | 23.89% |
| 2 | 2003-08-22 | 38.03 | VfB Lubeck | 4 | 1591 | 22.67% | @ Jahn Regensburg | 0 | 1613 | 53.71% | 23.62% |
| 3 | 2004-02-22 | 33.63 | Jahn Regensburg | 3 | 1549 | 15.30% | @ VfB Lubeck | 0 | 1661 | 63.51% | 21.19% |
| 4 | 2004-02-22 | 33.36 | @ Wacker Burghausen | 5 | 1623 | 39.93% | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 0 | 1707 | 35.15% | 24.92% |
| 5 | 2003-11-28 | 29.79 | Jahn Regensburg | 3 | 1582 | 21.49% | @ Karlsruher SC | 0 | 1616 | 55.16% | 23.35% |
| 6 | 2004-03-26 | 28.35 | MSV Duisburg | 3 | 1639 | 24.04% | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 0 | 1647 | 52.07% | 23.89% |
| 7 | 2004-03-14 | 27.15 | Erzgebirge Aue | 4 | 1583 | 17.54% | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 1 | 1664 | 60.33% | 22.14% |
| 8 | 2003-11-02 | 24.42 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 4 | 1613 | 22.95% | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | 1 | 1632 | 53.37% | 23.68% |
| 9 | 2003-11-23 | 24.05 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 3 | 1641 | 32.48% | @ Eintracht Trier | 0 | 1578 | 42.69% | 24.83% |
| 10 | 2004-02-13 | 22.88 | @ VfL Osnabruck | 3 | 1528 | 35.02% | Wacker Burghausen | 0 | 1646 | 40.06% | 24.92% |
| 11 | 2003-09-14 | 22.13 | @ Greuther Furth | 7 | 1641 | 54.57% | Alemannia Aachen | 1 | 1612 | 21.97% | 23.46% |
| 12 | 2003-12-07 | 21.45 | LR Ahlen | 2 | 1556 | 19.20% | @ Union Berlin | 0 | 1616 | 58.09% | 22.71% |
| 13 | 2004-05-16 | 21.33 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 3 | 1604 | 12.16% | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 1 | 1768 | 68.43% | 19.41% |
| 14 | 2004-03-12 | 21.17 | @ Eintracht Trier | 4 | 1582 | 49.89% | Jahn Regensburg | 0 | 1592 | 25.91% | 24.20% |
| 15 | 2003-10-06 | 20.17 | @ Alemannia Aachen | 5 | 1611 | 44.82% | SpVgg Unterhaching | 1 | 1660 | 30.48% | 24.70% |
| 16 | 2003-11-02 | 19.99 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1607 | 22.79% | @ MSV Duisburg | 0 | 1627 | 53.56% | 23.64% |
| 17 | 2004-03-05 | 19.82 | Union Berlin | 2 | 1602 | 23.26% | @ VfB Lubeck | 0 | 1618 | 53.00% | 23.74% |
| 18 | 2003-08-24 | 19.59 | @ Union Berlin | 3 | 1595 | 42.48% | Greuther Furth | 0 | 1661 | 32.69% | 24.84% |
| 19 | 2003-11-30 | 19.40 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 2 | 1625 | 24.36% | @ Wacker Burghausen | 0 | 1630 | 51.69% | 23.95% |
| 20 | 2004-05-23 | 19.29 | MSV Duisburg | 3 | 1644 | 17.28% | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 1728 | 60.68% | 22.04% |
| 21 | 2003-12-05 | 19.26 | Wacker Burghausen | 2 | 1610 | 24.72% | @ Jahn Regensburg | 0 | 1612 | 51.27% | 24.01% |
| 22 | 2003-08-03 | 19.22 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 3 | 1606 | 17.46% | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 1688 | 60.43% | 22.11% |
| 23 | 2004-04-30 | 19.16 | Mainz 05 | 4 | 1672 | 35.37% | @ VfB Lubeck | 1 | 1587 | 39.70% | 24.93% |
| 24 | 2004-03-29 | 18.97 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 1693 | 25.49% | @ Mainz 05 | 0 | 1688 | 50.37% | 24.14% |
| 25 | 2004-04-11 | 18.69 | @ VfL Osnabruck | 3 | 1535 | 44.45% | Jahn Regensburg | 0 | 1586 | 30.82% | 24.72% |