2019-20 Championnat National Season

223 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Avranches

11.48 points above expected

42 points · 30.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Toulon

19.27 points below expected

13 points · 32.27 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Pau FC	25	13	9	3	48	43	20	+23	42.9	+5.07
2	Dunkerque	25	14	5	6	47	42	26	+16	38.8	+8.19
3	Boulogne	25	14	4	7	46	32	17	+15	37.7	+8.31
4	Bourg-Peronnas	25	11	9	5	42	38	30	+8	33.1	+8.91
5	Red Star	25	12	6	7	42	27	22	+5	41.7	+0.25
6	Avranches	24	13	3	8	42	30	26	+4	30.5	+11.48
7	Villefranche Beaujolais	25	10	11	4	41	34	24	+10	37.9	+3.08
8	Lyon Duchere	25	11	7	7	40	37	32	+5	35.4	+4.60
9	Creteil-Lusitanos	25	9	8	8	35	33	27	+6	28.5	+6.47
10	Laval	25	9	8	8	35	26	24	+2	35.1	-0.10
11	Concarneau	25	8	7	10	31	21	25	-4	29.0	+1.97
12	Cholet	25	7	7	11	28	32	40	-8	29.5	-1.53
13	Quevilly-Rouen	24	6	6	12	24	26	34	-8	29.1	-5.12
14	Bastia-Borgo	23	5	9	9	24	22	32	-10	32.1	-8.09
15	Le Puy Foot 43	25	6	5	14	23	27	40	-13	33.7	-10.71
16	Beziers	25	5	8	12	23	26	43	-17	34.0	-10.98
17	Gazelec Ajaccio	25	4	8	13	20	15	32	-17	30.6	-10.57
18	Toulon	25	1	10	14	13	17	34	-17	32.3	-19.27

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Pau FC	1552	48	55.28	-7.28	17.0%	36	44	50	54	60	68	76
Boulogne	1527	46	50.04	-4.04	31.0%	27	35	46	50	55	62	68
Dunkerque	1519	47	51.16	-4.16	32.0%	30	40	47	51	55	63	73
Red Star	1499	42	54.10	-12.10	3.0%	39	44	49	54	57	65	71
Bourg-Peronnas	1491	42	45.44	-3.44	40.0%	29	34	39	45	51	57	65
Villefranche Beaujolais	1483	41	50.27	-9.27	8.0%	34	38	45	50	54	62	68
Avranches	1458	42	44.24	-2.24	39.0%	23	29	40	45	49	56	58
Lyon Duchere	1457	40	47.75	-7.75	18.0%	31	35	43	48	52	60	69
Laval	1447	35	47.45	-12.45	5.0%	29	35	42	47	52	59	72
Bastia-Borgo	1432	24	47.18	-23.18	1.0%	22	33	42	48	52	58	66
Creteil-Lusitanos	1422	35	40.88	-5.88	24.0%	24	28	36	41	45	53	56
Le Puy Foot 43	1420	23	46.06	-23.06	0.0%	28	35	41	45	52	59	66
Concarneau	1414	31	41.38	-10.38	10.0%	21	30	36	42	47	56	60
Beziers	1413	23	46.33	-23.33	0.0%	29	34	42	47	51	57	67
Quevilly-Rouen	1409	24	42.84	-18.84	0.0%	26	29	38	43	48	54	57
Toulon	1397	13	44.62	-31.62	0.0%	28	34	40	44	49	54	64
Cholet	1395	28	41.88	-13.88	1.0%	27	32	36	41	47	56	60
Gazelec Ajaccio	1394	20	42.92	-22.92	0.0%	31	33	38	42	47	56	67

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AVR	BAS	BEZ	BOU	BOU	CHO	CON	CRE	DUN	GA	LAV	LPF4	LD	PAU	QUE	RS	TOU	VB
Avranches	—	1-0-0 1.31	0-1-1 2.90	0-0-2 2.56	0-1-0 1.06	2-0-0 2.87	0-0-1 1.14	1-0-0 1.63	1-0-0 1.46	2-0-0 2.51	0-0-1 0.98	1-1-0 2.61	2-0-0 2.54	0-0-1 0.89	2-0-0 3.14	0-0-1 1.00	1-0-0 1.56	0-0-1 1.52
Bastia-Borgo	0-0-1 1.42	—	0-1-0 1.09	1-0-1 2.58	0-0-1 1.79	1-1-0 3.11	1-1-0 3.31	0-1-0 1.55	0-1-0 1.02	1-1-0 2.96	0-1-0 1.54	0-0-2 2.93	0-1-1 2.79	0-0-1 1.48	1-0-0 2.03	0-0-1 1.70	0-1-0 1.13	0-0-1 0.96
Beziers	1-1-0 2.56	0-1-0 1.64	—	1-0-0 1.73	1-1-0 2.98	0-0-1 1.23	1-0-1 3.01	0-0-2 3.04	0-0-2 2.66	1-0-0 1.18	0-1-1 2.71	0-1-0 1.19	0-0-1 1.77	0-0-2 2.72	0-1-0 1.26	0-0-1 1.53	0-1-0 1.11	0-1-1 2.49
Boulogne	2-0-0 2.93	1-0-1 2.88	0-0-1 1.01	—	1-0-0 1.56	1-0-1 3.28	2-0-0 3.21	1-0-1 3.15	0-1-0 0.97	1-1-0 3.01	1-1-0 2.57	2-0-0 2.80	0-0-1 1.09	0-1-0 1.45	1-0-0 1.88	0-0-1 1.51	1-0-0 1.07	0-0-1 1.04
Bourg-Peronnas	0-1-0 1.68	1-0-0 0.96	0-1-1 2.53	0-0-1 1.17	—	1-0-0 1.70	1-0-0 1.14	0-1-0 1.71	2-0-0 2.21	0-2-0 2.67	2-0-0 2.69	1-0-0 1.72	0-0-1 1.02	0-1-1 2.18	0-1-0 1.63	0-1-1 2.33	1-1-0 2.61	2-0-0 2.34
Cholet	0-0-2 2.63	0-1-1 2.38	1-0-0 1.49	1-0-1 2.21	0-0-1 1.04	—	0-2-0 2.93	1-0-1 2.86	0-0-1 1.51	0-1-0 0.94	0-1-1 2.49	2-0-0 2.36	1-0-0 1.56	0-1-0 1.03	0-0-1 1.35	0-0-1 0.91	1-0-0 1.62	0-1-1 2.39
Concarneau	1-0-0 1.59	0-1-1 2.20	1-0-1 2.50	0-0-2 2.27	0-0-1 1.60	0-2-0 2.55	—	0-0-1 0.93	0-0-1 0.83	0-0-1 0.98	0-0-1 1.41	1-1-0 2.23	1-1-0 2.02	0-0-1 1.25	1-1-0 2.71	2-0-0 2.13	1-0-0 0.86	0-1-0 0.78
Creteil-Lusitanos	0-0-1 1.11	0-1-0 1.18	2-0-0 2.43	1-0-1 2.35	0-1-0 1.03	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-0 1.83	—	0-0-1 1.46	1-0-0 1.59	0-1-0 0.93	1-0-1 2.45	0-0-2 2.30	0-1-0 0.80	1-0-1 2.72	0-2-0 2.18	1-1-0 2.58	0-1-0 1.39
Dunkerque	0-0-1 1.27	0-1-0 1.72	2-0-0 2.80	0-1-0 1.79	0-0-2 3.29	1-0-0 1.22	1-0-0 1.95	1-0-0 1.27	—	1-0-1 3.15	0-0-1 1.81	1-0-0 1.31	1-0-0 1.67	1-0-1 2.60	2-0-0 3.13	1-1-0 2.69	2-0-0 3.13	0-2-0 2.91
Gazelec Ajaccio	0-0-2 3.00	0-1-1 2.52	0-0-1 1.56	0-1-1 2.53	0-2-0 2.79	0-1-0 1.82	1-0-0 1.76	0-0-1 1.14	1-0-1 2.32	—	0-0-1 1.07	1-0-1 2.55	0-0-1 1.73	1-0-1 2.14	0-1-0 1.80	0-0-1 1.10	0-2-0 2.65	0-0-1 1.06
Laval	1-0-0 1.77	0-1-0 1.19	1-1-0 2.78	0-1-1 2.91	0-0-2 2.81	1-1-0 2.98	1-0-0 1.32	0-1-0 1.83	1-0-0 0.94	1-0-0 1.67	—	1-0-0 1.47	0-1-1 2.68	0-0-1 1.52	0-1-1 3.16	0-0-2 2.60	2-0-0 2.74	0-1-0 0.94
Le Puy Foot 43	0-1-1 2.89	2-0-0 2.55	0-1-0 1.54	0-0-2 2.72	0-0-1 1.02	0-0-2 3.12	0-1-1 3.26	1-0-1 3.09	0-0-1 1.42	1-0-1 2.93	0-0-1 1.25	—	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-0 0.74	0-0-1 1.44	0-0-1 0.93	0-1-0 1.60	0-1-0 1.32
Lyon Duchere	0-0-2 2.94	1-1-0 2.68	1-0-0 0.98	1-0-0 1.64	1-0-0 1.72	0-0-1 1.17	0-1-1 3.47	2-0-0 3.20	0-0-1 1.07	1-0-0 1.01	1-1-0 2.79	1-0-1 2.86	—	0-2-0 2.60	0-0-1 1.91	1-0-0 1.57	0-1-0 1.25	1-1-0 2.59
Pau FC	1-0-0 1.87	1-0-0 1.25	2-0-0 2.81	0-1-0 1.28	1-1-0 3.32	0-1-0 1.71	1-0-0 1.48	0-1-0 1.97	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 3.34	1-0-0 1.21	0-0-1 2.05	0-2-0 2.87	—	1-1-0 3.22	2-0-0 2.73	1-1-0 3.19	0-1-0 1.74
Quevilly-Rouen	0-0-2 2.35	0-0-1 0.76	0-1-0 1.47	0-0-1 0.88	0-1-0 1.11	1-0-0 1.38	0-1-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.77	0-0-2 2.40	0-1-0 0.96	1-1-0 2.34	1-0-0 1.29	1-0-0 0.86	0-1-1 2.26	—	0-0-1 0.81	1-0-0 1.53	0-0-2 2.36
Red Star	1-0-0 1.75	1-0-0 1.04	1-0-0 1.21	1-0-0 1.22	1-1-0 3.17	1-0-0 1.85	0-0-2 3.39	0-2-0 3.30	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-0 1.64	2-0-0 2.90	1-0-0 1.82	0-0-1 1.16	0-0-2 2.73	1-0-0 1.97	—	1-1-0 3.01	0-1-1 2.72
Toulon	0-0-1 1.18	0-1-0 1.60	0-1-0 1.62	0-0-1 1.66	0-1-1 2.92	0-0-1 1.12	0-0-1 1.91	0-1-1 2.88	0-0-2 2.34	0-2-0 2.83	0-0-2 2.77	0-1-0 1.14	0-1-0 1.48	0-1-1 2.36	0-0-1 1.20	0-1-1 2.45	—	1-0-1 2.27
Villefranche Beaujolais	1-0-0 1.21	1-0-0 1.80	1-1-0 2.97	1-0-0 1.70	0-0-2 3.14	1-1-0 3.12	0-1-0 2.00	0-1-0 1.34	0-2-0 2.59	1-0-0 1.68	0-1-0 1.82	0-1-0 1.41	0-1-1 2.90	0-1-0 1.00	2-0-0 3.16	1-1-0 2.77	1-0-1 3.20	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.56%	9.42%	6.73%	3.36%	0.67%	0.22%	32.96%
1	9.42%	11.21%	8.07%	2.02%	1.35%	0.22%	32.29%
2	6.73%	8.07%	4.93%	1.79%	0.45%	0.67%	22.65%
3	3.36%	2.02%	1.79%	0.45%	0.22%	—	7.85%
4	0.67%	1.35%	0.45%	0.22%	—	—	2.69%
5+	0.22%	0.22%	0.67%	—	—	0.45%	1.57%
Total	32.96%	32.29%	22.65%	7.85%	2.69%	1.57%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.18
Mean allowed	1.18
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	2.36
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.043
Sample size (games)	223

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	12.50%	12.50%	4.17%	—	—	29.17%
1	16.67%	12.50%	—	4.17%	—	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
3	—	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	50.00%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Avranches — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.25
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	0.88
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.244
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	26.09%	13.04%	—	4.35%	—	—	43.48%
1	4.35%	4.35%	13.04%	—	4.35%	—	26.09%
2	4.35%	4.35%	8.70%	—	—	4.35%	21.74%
3	—	—	8.70%	—	—	—	8.70%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.78%	21.74%	30.43%	4.35%	4.35%	4.35%	100%

Bastia-Borgo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.96
Mean allowed	1.39
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	2.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.427
Games played	23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.00%	8.00%	—	—	—	4.00%	24.00%
1	8.00%	8.00%	20.00%	8.00%	4.00%	—	48.00%
2	8.00%	4.00%	12.00%	—	—	4.00%	28.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.00%	20.00%	32.00%	8.00%	4.00%	8.00%	100%

Beziers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	1.72
StdDev scored	0.73
StdDev allowed	1.72
Mean total goals/game	2.76
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.042
Games played	25

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.00%	16.00%	8.00%	—	—	—	32.00%
1	16.00%	8.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	28.00%
2	12.00%	12.00%	—	—	—	—	24.00%
3	8.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—	12.00%
4	—	4.00%	—	—	—	—	4.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.00%	44.00%	12.00%	—	—	—	100%

Boulogne — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.28
Mean allowed	0.68
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	0.69
Mean total goals/game	1.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.245
Games played	25

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—	16.00%
1	12.00%	12.00%	8.00%	—	4.00%	4.00%	40.00%
2	4.00%	12.00%	12.00%	—	—	—	28.00%
3	4.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—	8.00%
4	4.00%	—	—	4.00%	—	—	8.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.00%	32.00%	20.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	100%

Bourg-Peronnas — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.52
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	1.32
Mean total goals/game	2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.095
Games played	25

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.00%	4.00%	8.00%	8.00%	4.00%	—	32.00%
1	4.00%	12.00%	8.00%	4.00%	—	—	28.00%
2	4.00%	12.00%	8.00%	8.00%	—	—	32.00%
3	4.00%	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.00%	—	—	—	4.00%
Total	20.00%	28.00%	28.00%	20.00%	4.00%	—	100%

Cholet — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.28
Mean allowed	1.60
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.086
Games played	25

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.00%	16.00%	16.00%	—	—	—	48.00%
1	12.00%	8.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	24.00%
2	4.00%	12.00%	4.00%	—	4.00%	—	24.00%
3	4.00%	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.00%	36.00%	24.00%	—	4.00%	—	100%

Concarneau — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.84
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	1.84
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.044
Games played	25

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	16.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	40.00%
1	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	—	16.00%
2	4.00%	8.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	—	20.00%
3	8.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	—	20.00%
4	—	—	4.00%	—	—	—	4.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.00%	32.00%	20.00%	12.00%	—	—	100%

Creteil-Lusitanos — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.32
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.31
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	2.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.317
Games played	25

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.00%	8.00%	8.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	8.00%	12.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	24.00%
2	8.00%	20.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	32.00%
3	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	4.00%	—	16.00%
4	4.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—	8.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.00%	48.00%	20.00%	—	4.00%	—	100%

Dunkerque — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.68
Mean allowed	1.04
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	0.93
Mean total goals/game	2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.012
Games played	25

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.00%	12.00%	20.00%	—	4.00%	—	52.00%
1	4.00%	12.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	28.00%
2	8.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	16.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%	4.00%
Total	28.00%	28.00%	28.00%	4.00%	8.00%	4.00%	100%

Gazelec Ajaccio — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.56
Mean allowed	1.24
StdDev scored	0.82
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	1.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.066
Games played	25

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.00%	12.00%	4.00%	8.00%	—	—	32.00%
1	16.00%	16.00%	8.00%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	8.00%	4.00%	8.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	8.00%	—	—	—	—	—	8.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	32.00%	20.00%	8.00%	—	—	100%

Laval — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	0.96
StdDev scored	0.93
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.317
Games played	25

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.00%	16.00%	8.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	40.00%
1	8.00%	12.00%	12.00%	4.00%	—	—	36.00%
2	4.00%	—	—	4.00%	—	4.00%	12.00%
3	4.00%	—	4.00%	—	—	—	8.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.00%	—	—	—	4.00%
Total	24.00%	28.00%	28.00%	12.00%	4.00%	4.00%	100%

Le Puy Foot 43 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.08
Mean allowed	1.60
StdDev scored	1.38
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	2.68
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.100
Games played	25

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.00%	4.00%	—	12.00%	—	—	24.00%
1	8.00%	16.00%	8.00%	—	4.00%	—	36.00%
2	8.00%	8.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	—	8.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	12.00%
4	—	4.00%	—	—	—	—	4.00%
5+	—	4.00%	—	—	—	—	4.00%
Total	24.00%	44.00%	16.00%	12.00%	4.00%	—	100%

Lyon Duchere — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.48
Mean allowed	1.28
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.76
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.182
Games played	25

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	—	—	—	—	—	20.00%
1	16.00%	12.00%	4.00%	—	4.00%	—	36.00%
2	4.00%	12.00%	—	4.00%	—	—	20.00%
3	8.00%	—	—	4.00%	—	—	12.00%
4	4.00%	—	4.00%	—	—	—	8.00%
5+	4.00%	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%
Total	56.00%	24.00%	8.00%	8.00%	4.00%	—	100%

Pau FC — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.72
Mean allowed	0.80
StdDev scored	1.62
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	2.52
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.080
Games played	25

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	12.50%	12.50%	4.17%	—	—	45.83%
1	—	4.17%	—	4.17%	—	—	8.33%
2	8.33%	8.33%	4.17%	12.50%	4.17%	—	37.50%
3	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	29.17%	29.17%	16.67%	20.83%	4.17%	—	100%

Quevilly-Rouen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.08
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.132
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.00%	—	4.00%	4.00%	—	—	20.00%
1	24.00%	12.00%	16.00%	4.00%	—	—	56.00%
2	8.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—	12.00%
3	—	4.00%	—	—	—	—	4.00%
4	—	4.00%	—	—	—	—	4.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%	4.00%
Total	44.00%	24.00%	20.00%	8.00%	—	4.00%	100%

Red Star — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	0.84
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	1.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.083
Games played	25

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.00%	16.00%	8.00%	8.00%	—	—	48.00%
1	—	16.00%	24.00%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	—	—	8.00%	—	—	—	8.00%
3	4.00%	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	32.00%	40.00%	8.00%	—	—	100%

Toulon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.68
Mean allowed	1.36
StdDev scored	0.80
StdDev allowed	0.91
Mean total goals/game	2.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.050
Games played	25

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.00%	—	8.00%	4.00%	—	—	28.00%
1	8.00%	20.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	32.00%
2	16.00%	4.00%	8.00%	—	—	—	28.00%
3	—	—	4.00%	—	—	—	4.00%
4	—	4.00%	—	—	—	—	4.00%
5+	—	—	4.00%	—	—	—	4.00%
Total	40.00%	28.00%	28.00%	4.00%	—	—	100%

Villefranche Beaujolais — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.36
Mean allowed	0.96
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	0.93
Mean total goals/game	2.32
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.151
Games played	25

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Avranches	42	30.5	+11.48
2	Bourg-Peronnas	42	33.1	+8.91
3	Boulogne	46	37.7	+8.31
4	Dunkerque	47	38.8	+8.19
5	Creteil-Lusitanos	35	28.5	+6.47

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Toulon	13	32.3	-19.27
2	Beziers	23	34.0	-10.98
3	Le Puy Foot 43	23	33.7	-10.71
4	Gazelec Ajaccio	20	30.6	-10.57
5	Bastia-Borgo	24	32.1	-8.09

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Concarneau	4	Feb 14 – Mar 6	1 in 179
2	Dunkerque	5	Aug 2 – Aug 30	1 in 167
3	Red Star	5	Oct 4 – Nov 22	1 in 86
4	Boulogne	4	Aug 23 – Sep 13	1 in 76
5	Villefranche Beaujolais	4	Aug 23 – Sep 13	1 in 65

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Le Puy Foot 43	5	Sep 6 – Oct 4	1 in 318
2	Red Star	3	Aug 23 – Sep 6	1 in 35
3	Beziers	3	Aug 16 – Aug 30	1 in 26
4	Quevilly-Rouen	3	Aug 9 – Aug 23	1 in 24
5	Gazelec Ajaccio	3	Oct 18 – Nov 8	1 in 18

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Villefranche Beaujolais	14	Sep 27 – Feb 14	1 in 190
2	Bourg-Peronnas	8	Jan 10 – Mar 6	1 in 63
3	Boulogne	8	Nov 29 – Feb 7	1 in 41
4	Lyon Duchere	8	Nov 22 – Feb 7	1 in 37
5	Creteil-Lusitanos	5	Sep 6 – Oct 4	1 in 19

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Toulon	22	Aug 2 – Feb 14	1 in 35,007
2	Gazelec Ajaccio	13	Sep 20 – Feb 7	1 in 617
3	Le Puy Foot 43	10	Sep 6 – Nov 29	1 in 135
4	Bastia-Borgo	9	Oct 4 – Jan 10	1 in 61
5	Quevilly-Rouen	9	Aug 2 – Sep 27	1 in 41

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18
Pau FC	25.00%	17.00%	10.00%	8.00%	7.00%	14.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	3.00%	—	—	—
Dunkerque	8.00%	13.00%	10.00%	12.00%	8.00%	5.00%	5.00%	11.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	8.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Boulogne	9.00%	10.00%	11.00%	8.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%	3.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%
Bourg-Peronnas	1.00%	5.00%	6.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	10.00%	4.00%	7.00%	12.00%	3.00%	9.00%	3.00%
Red Star	16.00%	16.00%	9.00%	14.00%	11.00%	8.00%	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	2.00%	—	—	—
Avranches	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	6.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%
Villefranche Beaujolais	7.00%	11.00%	7.00%	9.00%	4.00%	11.00%	6.00%	10.00%	6.00%	4.00%	8.00%	2.00%	7.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Lyon Duchere	8.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	11.00%	7.00%	6.00%	10.00%	13.00%	7.00%	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%
Creteil-Lusitanos	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	2.00%	8.00%	6.00%	5.00%	10.00%	9.00%	10.00%	12.00%	13.00%
Laval	3.00%	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%	6.00%	7.00%	10.00%	5.00%	11.00%	7.00%	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%
Concarneau	1.00%	—	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%	7.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%	4.00%	8.00%	10.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%	4.00%	16.00%	16.00%
Cholet	3.00%	—	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	7.00%	2.00%	6.00%	9.00%	5.00%	4.00%	10.00%	5.00%	16.00%	11.00%	12.00%
Quevilly-Rouen	—	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	6.00%	6.00%	8.00%	15.00%	6.00%	7.00%	4.00%	12.00%
Bastia-Borgo	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	9.00%	6.00%	11.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	4.00%	4.00%
Le Puy Foot 43	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	4.00%	6.00%	7.00%	4.00%	11.00%	6.00%	8.00%	4.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Beziers	3.00%	2.00%	6.00%	5.00%	7.00%	4.00%	10.00%	7.00%	7.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	8.00%	5.00%	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	6.00%
Gazelec Ajaccio	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	8.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	9.00%	14.00%	14.00%	10.00%	6.00%
Toulon	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	4.00%	11.00%	11.00%	7.00%	5.00%	10.00%	4.00%	5.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Direct relegation
Pau FC	42.0%	55.0%	3.0%
Red Star	32.0%	66.0%	2.0%
Dunkerque	21.0%	73.0%	6.0%
Villefranche Beaujolais	18.0%	76.0%	6.0%
Boulogne	19.0%	71.0%	10.0%
Laval	8.0%	82.0%	10.0%
Lyon Duchere	10.0%	74.0%	16.0%
Bastia-Borgo	8.0%	70.0%	22.0%
Beziers	5.0%	74.0%	21.0%
Le Puy Foot 43	7.0%	70.0%	23.0%
Avranches	6.0%	69.0%	25.0%
Toulon	5.0%	71.0%	24.0%
Bourg-Peronnas	6.0%	67.0%	27.0%
Quevilly-Rouen	3.0%	68.0%	29.0%
Gazelec Ajaccio	5.0%	51.0%	44.0%
Cholet	3.0%	53.0%	44.0%
Concarneau	1.0%	55.0%	44.0%
Creteil-Lusitanos	1.0%	55.0%	44.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2019-08-02	Gazelec Ajaccio	W —-—	1479	1487	45.8%	26.3%	27.9%	+0.0	3
2019-08-02	@ Red Star	L —-—	1487	1479	27.9%	26.3%	45.8%	+0.0	0
2019-08-02	Quevilly-Rouen	D 0-0	1427	1438	45.5%	26.4%	28.2%	-0.7	1
2019-08-02	@ Bourg-Peronnas	D 0-0	1438	1427	28.2%	26.4%	45.5%	+0.8	1
2019-08-02	Avranches	W 2-0	1402	1421	44.3%	26.6%	29.1%	+11.2	3
2019-08-02	@ Concarneau	L 0-2	1421	1402	29.1%	26.6%	44.3%	-11.2	0
2019-08-02	Bastia-Borgo	D 0-0	1380	1500	30.4%	26.8%	42.8%	+0.5	1
2019-08-02	@ Creteil-Lusitanos	D 0-0	1500	1380	42.8%	26.8%	30.4%	-0.5	1
2019-08-02	Lyon Duchere	W 3-0	1435	1436	46.9%	26.1%	27.1%	+15.3	3
2019-08-02	@ Dunkerque	L 0-3	1436	1435	27.1%	26.1%	46.9%	-15.3	0
2019-08-02	Le Puy Foot 43	W 1-0	1452	1500	40.1%	27.1%	32.8%	+6.6	3
2019-08-02	@ Laval	L 0-1	1500	1452	32.8%	27.1%	40.1%	-6.6	0
2019-08-02	Cholet	D 1-1	1447	1436	48.6%	25.7%	25.8%	-0.9	1
2019-08-02	@ Pau FC	D 1-1	1436	1447	25.8%	25.7%	48.6%	+0.9	1
2019-08-02	Beziers	D 0-0	1493	1504	45.4%	26.4%	28.2%	-0.7	1
2019-08-02	@ Toulon	D 0-0	1504	1493	28.2%	26.4%	45.4%	+0.7	1
2019-08-02	Boulogne	W 1-0	1451	1442	48.2%	25.7%	26.1%	+5.4	3
2019-08-02	@ Villefranche Beaujolais	L 0-1	1442	1451	26.1%	25.7%	48.2%	-5.4	0
2019-08-09	Bourg-Peronnas	W 2-1	1505	1427	57.5%	22.6%	20.0%	+3.9	4
2019-08-09	@ Beziers	L 1-2	1427	1505	20.0%	22.6%	57.5%	-3.9	1
2019-08-09	Concarneau	W 2-0	1499	1413	58.5%	22.1%	19.4%	+7.6	4
2019-08-09	@ Bastia-Borgo	L 0-2	1413	1499	19.4%	22.1%	58.5%	-7.6	3
2019-08-09	Laval	D 1-1	1436	1458	43.9%	26.6%	29.5%	-0.6	1
2019-08-09	@ Boulogne	D 1-1	1458	1436	29.5%	26.6%	43.9%	+0.5	4
2019-08-09	Villefranche Beaujolais	D 1-1	1436	1456	44.2%	26.6%	29.2%	-0.6	2
2019-08-09	@ Cholet	D 1-1	1456	1436	29.2%	26.6%	44.2%	+0.6	4
2019-08-09	Avranches	L 0-1	1487	1410	57.3%	22.6%	20.1%	-10.0	0
2019-08-09	@ Gazelec Ajaccio	W 1-0	1410	1487	20.1%	22.6%	57.3%	+10.0	3
2019-08-09	Creteil-Lusitanos	L 2-3	1493	1381	61.8%	20.5%	17.6%	-9.5	0
2019-08-09	@ Le Puy Foot 43	W 3-2	1381	1493	17.6%	20.5%	61.8%	+9.5	4
2019-08-09	Pau FC	D 0-0	1420	1446	43.4%	26.7%	29.9%	-0.6	1
2019-08-09	@ Lyon Duchere	D 0-0	1446	1420	29.9%	26.7%	43.4%	+0.6	2
2019-08-09	Dunkerque	L 1-3	1439	1450	45.4%	26.4%	28.3%	-13.7	1
2019-08-09	@ Quevilly-Rouen	W 3-1	1450	1439	28.3%	26.4%	45.4%	+13.7	6
2019-08-09	Toulon	D 1-1	1479	1492	45.1%	26.4%	28.4%	-0.6	4
2019-08-09	@ Red Star	D 1-1	1492	1479	28.4%	26.4%	45.1%	+0.6	2
2019-08-16	Bastia-Borgo	W 1-0	1420	1507	34.6%	27.2%	38.2%	+7.3	6
2019-08-16	@ Avranches	L 0-1	1507	1420	38.2%	27.2%	34.6%	-7.3	4
2019-08-16	Le Puy Foot 43	D 1-1	1406	1484	35.9%	27.2%	36.9%	+0.0	4
2019-08-16	@ Concarneau	D 1-1	1484	1406	36.9%	27.2%	35.9%	-0.0	1
2019-08-16	Boulogne	W 1-0	1390	1436	40.6%	27.0%	32.4%	+6.5	7
2019-08-16	@ Creteil-Lusitanos	L 0-1	1436	1390	32.4%	27.0%	40.6%	-6.5	1
2019-08-16	Beziers	W 2-1	1464	1509	40.7%	27.0%	32.3%	+6.1	9
2019-08-16	@ Dunkerque	L 1-2	1509	1464	32.3%	27.0%	40.7%	-6.1	4
2019-08-16	Cholet	W 2-0	1459	1436	50.1%	25.2%	24.7%	+9.7	7
2019-08-16	@ Laval	L 0-2	1436	1459	24.7%	25.2%	50.1%	-9.7	2
2019-08-16	Quevilly-Rouen	W 4-2	1447	1425	49.9%	25.3%	24.8%	+7.6	5
2019-08-16	@ Pau FC	L 2-4	1425	1447	24.8%	25.3%	49.9%	-7.6	1
2019-08-16	Gazelec Ajaccio	D 1-1	1492	1477	49.1%	25.5%	25.4%	-0.9	3
2019-08-16	@ Toulon	D 1-1	1477	1492	25.4%	25.5%	49.1%	+0.9	1
2019-08-16	Lyon Duchere	L 0-2	1457	1420	52.0%	24.6%	23.4%	-17.5	4
2019-08-16	@ Villefranche Beaujolais	W 2-0	1420	1457	23.4%	24.6%	52.0%	+17.5	4
2019-08-17	Red Star	L 1-4	1423	1478	39.2%	27.2%	33.7%	-17.3	1
2019-08-17	@ Bourg-Peronnas	W 4-1	1478	1423	33.7%	27.2%	39.2%	+17.3	7
2019-08-23	Pau FC	L 0-1	1503	1454	53.5%	24.1%	22.4%	-9.5	4
2019-08-23	@ Beziers	W 1-0	1454	1503	22.4%	24.1%	53.5%	+9.5	8
2019-08-23	Concarneau	W 2-1	1429	1406	50.2%	25.2%	24.6%	+4.8	4
2019-08-23	@ Boulogne	L 1-2	1406	1429	24.6%	25.2%	50.2%	-4.8	4
2019-08-23	Creteil-Lusitanos	W 1-0	1426	1397	51.0%	25.0%	24.0%	+5.0	5
2019-08-23	@ Cholet	L 0-1	1397	1426	24.0%	25.0%	51.0%	-5.0	7
2019-08-23	Bastia-Borgo	D 0-0	1478	1500	43.9%	26.6%	29.4%	-0.6	2
2019-08-23	@ Gazelec Ajaccio	D 0-0	1500	1478	29.4%	26.6%	43.9%	+0.6	5
2019-08-23	Avranches	D 1-1	1484	1427	54.6%	23.7%	21.7%	-1.3	2
2019-08-23	@ Le Puy Foot 43	D 1-1	1427	1484	21.7%	23.7%	54.6%	+1.3	7
2019-08-23	Laval	W 2-1	1437	1468	42.6%	26.8%	30.6%	+5.9	7
2019-08-23	@ Lyon Duchere	L 1-2	1468	1437	30.6%	26.8%	42.6%	-5.8	7
2019-08-23	Villefranche Beaujolais	L 0-2	1418	1439	44.0%	26.6%	29.4%	-15.4	1
2019-08-23	@ Quevilly-Rouen	W 2-0	1439	1418	29.4%	26.6%	44.0%	+15.4	7
2019-08-23	Dunkerque	L 1-2	1495	1470	50.4%	25.1%	24.4%	-8.5	7
2019-08-23	@ Red Star	W 2-1	1470	1495	24.4%	25.1%	50.4%	+8.6	12
2019-08-23	Bourg-Peronnas	D 2-2	1492	1405	58.5%	22.1%	19.4%	-1.2	4
2019-08-23	@ Toulon	D 2-2	1405	1492	19.4%	22.1%	58.5%	+1.2	2
2019-08-30	Boulogne	L 0-1	1429	1434	46.2%	26.2%	27.6%	-8.5	7
2019-08-30	@ Avranches	W 1-0	1434	1429	27.6%	26.2%	46.2%	+8.5	7
2019-08-30	Le Puy Foot 43	L 2-6	1500	1483	49.4%	25.4%	25.2%	-22.6	5
2019-08-30	@ Bastia-Borgo	W 6-2	1483	1500	25.2%	25.4%	49.4%	+22.6	5
2019-08-30	Gazelec Ajaccio	D 2-2	1407	1477	36.9%	27.2%	35.8%	-0.0	3
2019-08-30	@ Bourg-Peronnas	D 2-2	1477	1407	35.8%	27.2%	36.9%	+0.0	3
2019-08-30	Cholet	D 2-2	1401	1431	42.7%	26.8%	30.5%	-0.4	5
2019-08-30	@ Concarneau	D 2-2	1431	1401	30.5%	26.8%	42.7%	+0.3	6
2019-08-30	Lyon Duchere	L 0-1	1392	1443	39.7%	27.1%	33.2%	-7.6	7
2019-08-30	@ Creteil-Lusitanos	W 1-0	1443	1392	33.2%	27.1%	39.7%	+7.6	10
2019-08-30	Toulon	W 2-1	1479	1490	45.4%	26.4%	28.3%	+5.5	15
2019-08-30	@ Dunkerque	L 1-2	1490	1479	28.3%	26.4%	45.4%	-5.5	4
2019-08-30	Quevilly-Rouen	D 1-1	1462	1402	55.1%	23.5%	21.4%	-1.3	8
2019-08-30	@ Laval	D 1-1	1402	1462	21.4%	23.5%	55.1%	+1.4	2
2019-08-30	Red Star	W 3-0	1464	1487	43.8%	26.7%	29.6%	+16.5	11
2019-08-30	@ Pau FC	L 0-3	1487	1464	29.6%	26.7%	43.8%	-16.5	7
2019-08-30	Beziers	W 5-2	1454	1493	41.5%	27.0%	31.5%	+12.7	10
2019-08-30	@ Villefranche Beaujolais	L 2-5	1493	1454	31.5%	27.0%	41.5%	-12.7	4
2019-09-06	Laval	D 2-2	1480	1461	49.6%	25.4%	25.0%	-0.7	5
2019-09-06	@ Beziers	D 2-2	1461	1480	25.0%	25.4%	49.6%	+0.7	9
2019-09-06	Bastia-Borgo	W 2-1	1442	1478	42.0%	26.9%	31.1%	+5.9	10
2019-09-06	@ Boulogne	L 1-2	1478	1442	31.1%	26.9%	42.0%	-5.9	5
2019-09-06	Dunkerque	W 1-0	1407	1484	35.9%	27.2%	36.8%	+7.2	6
2019-09-06	@ Bourg-Peronnas	L 0-1	1484	1407	36.8%	27.2%	35.9%	-7.1	15
2019-09-06	Avranches	L 1-2	1432	1420	48.5%	25.7%	25.8%	-8.3	6
2019-09-06	@ Cholet	W 2-1	1420	1432	25.8%	25.7%	48.5%	+8.3	10
2019-09-06	Le Puy Foot 43	W 2-0	1477	1505	43.1%	26.8%	30.2%	+11.6	6
2019-09-06	@ Gazelec Ajaccio	L 0-2	1505	1477	30.2%	26.8%	43.1%	-11.6	5
2019-09-06	Concarneau	D 1-1	1451	1401	53.8%	24.0%	22.2%	-1.3	11
2019-09-06	@ Lyon Duchere	D 1-1	1401	1451	22.2%	24.0%	53.8%	+1.3	6
2019-09-06	Creteil-Lusitanos	L 0-3	1404	1384	49.6%	25.4%	25.0%	-24.6	2
2019-09-06	@ Quevilly-Rouen	W 3-0	1384	1404	25.0%	25.4%	49.6%	+24.5	10
2019-09-06	Villefranche Beaujolais	L 0-2	1470	1467	47.4%	25.9%	26.7%	-16.3	7
2019-09-06	@ Red Star	W 2-0	1467	1470	26.7%	25.9%	47.4%	+16.3	13
2019-09-06	Pau FC	D 0-0	1485	1480	47.6%	25.9%	26.5%	-0.9	5
2019-09-06	@ Toulon	D 0-0	1480	1485	26.5%	25.9%	47.6%	+0.9	12
2019-09-13	Lyon Duchere	W 2-1	1428	1449	44.0%	26.6%	29.4%	+5.7	13
2019-09-13	@ Avranches	L 1-2	1449	1428	29.4%	26.6%	44.0%	-5.7	11
2019-09-13	Cholet	W 3-2	1472	1423	53.6%	24.1%	22.3%	+4.2	8
2019-09-13	@ Bastia-Borgo	L 2-3	1423	1472	22.3%	24.1%	53.6%	-4.2	6
2019-09-13	Quevilly-Rouen	D 0-0	1402	1379	50.1%	25.2%	24.7%	-1.1	7
2019-09-13	@ Concarneau	D 0-0	1379	1402	24.7%	25.2%	50.1%	+1.1	3
2019-09-13	Beziers	W 3-1	1409	1480	36.9%	27.2%	35.8%	+11.5	13
2019-09-13	@ Creteil-Lusitanos	L 1-3	1480	1409	35.8%	27.2%	36.9%	-11.4	5
2019-09-13	Gazelec Ajaccio	L 0-1	1477	1489	45.3%	26.4%	28.3%	-8.4	15
2019-09-13	@ Dunkerque	W 1-0	1489	1477	28.3%	26.4%	45.3%	+8.4	9
2019-09-13	Red Star	L 0-2	1462	1454	48.1%	25.8%	26.1%	-16.5	9
2019-09-13	@ Laval	W 2-0	1454	1462	26.1%	25.8%	48.1%	+16.5	10
2019-09-13	Boulogne	L 0-2	1494	1448	53.1%	24.3%	22.6%	-17.8	5
2019-09-13	@ Le Puy Foot 43	W 2-0	1448	1494	22.6%	24.3%	53.1%	+17.8	13
2019-09-13	Bourg-Peronnas	W 2-1	1481	1414	56.1%	23.1%	20.8%	+4.1	15
2019-09-13	@ Pau FC	L 1-2	1414	1481	20.8%	23.1%	56.1%	-4.1	6
2019-09-13	Toulon	W 2-1	1483	1484	46.9%	26.1%	27.0%	+5.3	16
2019-09-13	@ Villefranche Beaujolais	L 1-2	1484	1483	27.0%	26.1%	46.9%	-5.3	5
2019-09-20	Concarneau	W 1-0	1468	1401	56.1%	23.2%	20.8%	+4.3	8
2019-09-20	@ Beziers	L 0-1	1401	1468	20.8%	23.2%	56.1%	-4.3	7
2019-09-20	Villefranche Beaujolais	W 2-0	1410	1489	35.7%	27.2%	37.0%	+13.5	9
2019-09-20	@ Bourg-Peronnas	L 0-2	1489	1410	37.0%	27.2%	35.7%	-13.5	16
2019-09-20	Le Puy Foot 43	W 2-1	1419	1476	39.0%	27.2%	33.9%	+6.3	9
2019-09-20	@ Cholet	L 1-2	1476	1419	33.9%	27.2%	39.0%	-6.3	5
2019-09-20	Pau FC	W 4-1	1469	1485	44.6%	26.5%	28.8%	+13.7	18
2019-09-20	@ Dunkerque	L 1-4	1485	1469	28.8%	26.5%	44.6%	-13.7	15
2019-09-20	Boulogne	D 0-0	1497	1466	51.2%	24.9%	23.9%	-1.2	10
2019-09-20	@ Gazelec Ajaccio	D 0-0	1466	1497	23.9%	24.9%	51.2%	+1.2	14
2019-09-20	Bastia-Borgo	D 0-0	1444	1476	42.5%	26.8%	30.7%	-0.5	12
2019-09-20	@ Lyon Duchere	D 0-0	1476	1444	30.7%	26.8%	42.5%	+0.5	9
2019-09-20	Avranches	L 0-1	1380	1434	39.4%	27.1%	33.5%	-7.5	3
2019-09-20	@ Quevilly-Rouen	W 1-0	1434	1380	33.5%	27.1%	39.4%	+7.5	16
2019-09-20	Creteil-Lusitanos	D 0-0	1470	1420	53.8%	24.0%	22.2%	-1.4	11
2019-09-20	@ Red Star	D 0-0	1420	1470	22.2%	24.0%	53.8%	+1.4	14
2019-09-20	Laval	L 0-1	1479	1445	51.5%	24.8%	23.7%	-9.2	5
2019-09-20	@ Toulon	W 1-0	1445	1479	23.7%	24.8%	51.5%	+9.2	12
2019-09-27	Beziers	D 1-1	1442	1473	42.6%	26.8%	30.6%	-0.5	17
2019-09-27	@ Avranches	D 1-1	1473	1442	30.6%	26.8%	42.6%	+0.5	9
2019-09-27	Quevilly-Rouen	W 3-2	1476	1373	60.7%	21.1%	18.2%	+3.3	12
2019-09-27	@ Bastia-Borgo	L 2-3	1373	1476	18.2%	21.1%	60.7%	-3.4	3
2019-09-27	Cholet	L 1-2	1467	1425	52.7%	24.4%	22.9%	-8.9	14
2019-09-27	@ Boulogne	W 2-1	1425	1467	22.9%	24.4%	52.7%	+8.8	12
2019-09-27	Red Star	W 2-1	1396	1469	36.7%	27.2%	36.1%	+6.6	10
2019-09-27	@ Concarneau	L 1-2	1469	1396	36.1%	27.2%	36.7%	-6.6	11
2019-09-27	Toulon	D 1-1	1422	1469	40.2%	27.1%	32.7%	-0.3	15
2019-09-27	@ Creteil-Lusitanos	D 1-1	1469	1422	32.7%	27.1%	40.2%	+0.3	6
2019-09-27	Bourg-Peronnas	L 0-1	1455	1423	51.3%	24.9%	23.8%	-9.2	12
2019-09-27	@ Laval	W 1-0	1423	1455	23.8%	24.9%	51.3%	+9.2	12
2019-09-27	Lyon Duchere	L 1-2	1469	1443	50.5%	25.1%	24.3%	-8.6	5
2019-09-27	@ Le Puy Foot 43	W 2-1	1443	1469	24.3%	25.1%	50.5%	+8.6	15
2019-09-27	Gazelec Ajaccio	W 4-0	1472	1496	43.6%	26.7%	29.8%	+21.7	18
2019-09-27	@ Pau FC	L 0-4	1496	1472	29.8%	26.7%	43.6%	-21.7	10
2019-09-27	Dunkerque	D 0-0	1475	1482	46.0%	26.3%	27.8%	-0.8	17
2019-09-27	@ Villefranche Beaujolais	D 0-0	1482	1475	27.8%	26.3%	46.0%	+0.8	19
2019-10-04	Bastia-Borgo	D 1-1	1473	1480	46.0%	26.2%	27.7%	-0.7	10
2019-10-04	@ Beziers	D 1-1	1480	1473	27.7%	26.2%	46.0%	+0.7	13
2019-10-04	Creteil-Lusitanos	D 0-0	1432	1421	48.5%	25.7%	25.8%	-1.0	13
2019-10-04	@ Bourg-Peronnas	D 0-0	1421	1432	25.8%	25.7%	48.5%	+1.0	16
2019-10-04	Laval	L 1-2	1483	1445	52.1%	24.6%	23.3%	-8.8	19
2019-10-04	@ Dunkerque	W 2-1	1445	1483	23.3%	24.6%	52.1%	+8.8	15
2019-10-04	Cholet	D 1-1	1474	1434	52.4%	24.5%	23.1%	-1.2	11
2019-10-04	@ Gazelec Ajaccio	D 1-1	1434	1474	23.1%	24.5%	52.4%	+1.2	13
2019-10-04	Boulogne	W 2-0	1452	1459	46.0%	26.2%	27.7%	+10.8	18
2019-10-04	@ Lyon Duchere	L 0-2	1459	1452	27.7%	26.2%	46.0%	-10.8	14
2019-10-04	Villefranche Beaujolais	D 1-1	1494	1474	49.6%	25.4%	25.0%	-1.0	19
2019-10-04	@ Pau FC	D 1-1	1474	1494	25.0%	25.4%	49.6%	+1.0	18
2019-10-04	Le Puy Foot 43	W 3-0	1369	1461	34.0%	27.2%	38.8%	+20.4	6
2019-10-04	@ Quevilly-Rouen	L 0-3	1461	1369	38.8%	27.2%	34.0%	-20.4	5
2019-10-04	Avranches	W 2-0	1462	1441	49.9%	25.3%	24.8%	+9.8	14
2019-10-04	@ Red Star	L 0-2	1441	1462	24.8%	25.3%	49.9%	-9.8	17
2019-10-04	Concarneau	L 0-1	1470	1403	56.0%	23.2%	20.8%	-9.8	6
2019-10-04	@ Toulon	W 1-0	1403	1470	20.8%	23.2%	56.0%	+9.8	13
2019-10-18	Toulon	W 2-1	1431	1460	43.0%	26.8%	30.2%	+5.8	20
2019-10-18	@ Avranches	L 1-2	1460	1431	30.2%	26.8%	43.0%	-5.8	6
2019-10-18	Red Star	L 0-1	1480	1472	48.1%	25.8%	26.1%	-8.8	13
2019-10-18	@ Bastia-Borgo	W 1-0	1472	1480	26.1%	25.8%	48.1%	+8.8	17
2019-10-18	Quevilly-Rouen	W 2-0	1448	1390	54.8%	23.6%	21.5%	+8.5	17
2019-10-18	@ Boulogne	L 0-2	1390	1448	21.5%	23.6%	54.8%	-8.5	6
2019-10-18	Lyon Duchere	W 3-0	1435	1463	43.1%	26.7%	30.1%	+16.8	16
2019-10-18	@ Cholet	L 0-3	1463	1435	30.1%	26.7%	43.1%	-16.8	18
2019-10-18	Bourg-Peronnas	L 0-1	1413	1431	44.4%	26.6%	29.1%	-8.2	13
2019-10-18	@ Concarneau	W 1-0	1431	1413	29.1%	26.6%	44.4%	+8.2	16
2019-10-18	Dunkerque	L 0-1	1422	1474	39.6%	27.1%	33.3%	-7.5	16
2019-10-18	@ Creteil-Lusitanos	W 1-0	1474	1422	33.3%	27.1%	39.6%	+7.5	22
2019-10-18	Pau FC	L 0-1	1454	1493	41.6%	27.0%	31.5%	-7.8	15
2019-10-18	@ Laval	W 1-0	1493	1454	31.5%	27.0%	41.6%	+7.8	22
2019-10-18	Beziers	D 0-0	1440	1472	42.5%	26.8%	30.6%	-0.5	6
2019-10-18	@ Le Puy Foot 43	D 0-0	1472	1440	30.6%	26.8%	42.5%	+0.5	11
2019-10-18	Gazelec Ajaccio	W 2-0	1475	1473	47.3%	26.0%	26.8%	+10.5	21
2019-10-18	@ Villefranche Beaujolais	L 0-2	1473	1475	26.8%	26.0%	47.3%	-10.5	11
2019-11-01	Boulogne	W 2-0	1473	1456	49.2%	25.5%	25.3%	+10.0	14
2019-11-01	@ Beziers	L 0-2	1456	1473	25.3%	25.5%	49.2%	-9.9	17
2019-11-01	Concarneau	W 2-0	1482	1405	57.4%	22.6%	20.0%	+7.9	25
2019-11-01	@ Dunkerque	L 0-2	1405	1482	20.0%	22.6%	57.4%	-7.9	13
2019-11-01	Lyon Duchere	L 1-3	1463	1446	49.3%	25.5%	25.2%	-14.5	11
2019-11-01	@ Gazelec Ajaccio	W 3-1	1446	1463	25.2%	25.5%	49.3%	+14.6	21
2019-11-01	Creteil-Lusitanos	D 3-3	1500	1415	58.4%	22.1%	19.4%	-1.0	23
2019-11-01	@ Pau FC	D 3-3	1415	1500	19.4%	22.1%	58.4%	+1.0	17
2019-11-01	Cholet	W 2-0	1381	1452	36.9%	27.2%	35.9%	+13.2	9
2019-11-01	@ Quevilly-Rouen	L 0-2	1452	1381	35.9%	27.2%	36.9%	-13.2	16
2019-11-01	Le Puy Foot 43	W 1-0	1481	1440	52.5%	24.5%	23.0%	+4.8	20
2019-11-01	@ Red Star	L 0-1	1440	1481	23.0%	24.5%	52.5%	-4.8	6
2019-11-01	Bastia-Borgo	D 2-2	1454	1472	44.5%	26.5%	29.0%	-0.4	7
2019-11-01	@ Toulon	D 2-2	1472	1454	29.0%	26.5%	44.5%	+0.4	14
2019-11-01	Laval	D 1-1	1486	1446	52.4%	24.5%	23.1%	-1.2	22
2019-11-01	@ Villefranche Beaujolais	D 1-1	1446	1486	23.1%	24.5%	52.4%	+1.2	16
2019-11-02	Avranches	D 1-1	1440	1437	47.3%	26.0%	26.7%	-0.8	17
2019-11-02	@ Bourg-Peronnas	D 1-1	1437	1440	26.7%	26.0%	47.3%	+0.8	21
2019-11-08	Dunkerque	W 2-0	1438	1490	39.6%	27.1%	33.2%	+12.5	24
2019-11-08	@ Avranches	L 0-2	1490	1438	33.2%	27.1%	39.6%	-12.5	25
2019-11-08	Bourg-Peronnas	L 1-2	1472	1439	51.5%	24.8%	23.7%	-8.7	14
2019-11-08	@ Bastia-Borgo	W 2-1	1439	1472	23.7%	24.8%	51.5%	+8.7	20
2019-11-08	Red Star	L 0-1	1446	1486	41.4%	27.0%	31.6%	-7.8	17
2019-11-08	@ Boulogne	W 1-0	1486	1446	31.6%	27.0%	41.4%	+7.8	23
2019-11-08	Beziers	W 2-1	1439	1483	40.8%	27.0%	32.2%	+6.1	19
2019-11-08	@ Cholet	L 1-2	1483	1439	32.2%	27.0%	40.8%	-6.1	14
2019-11-08	Pau FC	L 0-1	1397	1499	32.5%	27.1%	40.4%	-6.5	13
2019-11-08	@ Concarneau	W 1-0	1499	1397	40.4%	27.1%	32.5%	+6.5	26
2019-11-08	Villefranche Beaujolais	D 2-2	1416	1485	37.2%	27.2%	35.6%	-0.0	18
2019-11-08	@ Creteil-Lusitanos	D 2-2	1485	1416	35.6%	27.2%	37.2%	+0.0	23
2019-11-08	Gazelec Ajaccio	W 2-0	1448	1448	46.9%	26.1%	27.1%	+10.6	19
2019-11-08	@ Laval	L 0-2	1448	1448	27.1%	26.1%	46.9%	-10.6	11
2019-11-08	Toulon	D 0-0	1435	1454	44.4%	26.6%	29.0%	-0.7	7
2019-11-08	@ Le Puy Foot 43	D 0-0	1454	1435	29.0%	26.6%	44.4%	+0.6	8
2019-11-08	Quevilly-Rouen	L 1-2	1460	1394	55.9%	23.2%	20.9%	-9.2	21
2019-11-08	@ Lyon Duchere	W 2-1	1394	1460	20.9%	23.2%	55.9%	+9.2	12
2019-11-22	Lyon Duchere	L 1-4	1477	1451	50.5%	25.1%	24.4%	-21.0	14
2019-11-22	@ Beziers	W 4-1	1451	1477	24.4%	25.1%	50.5%	+21.0	24
2019-11-22	Le Puy Foot 43	W 4-0	1448	1435	48.8%	25.6%	25.6%	+19.1	23
2019-11-22	@ Bourg-Peronnas	L 0-4	1435	1448	25.6%	25.6%	48.8%	-19.1	7
2019-11-22	Bastia-Borgo	D 2-2	1477	1463	48.9%	25.6%	25.5%	-0.7	26
2019-11-22	@ Dunkerque	D 2-2	1463	1477	25.5%	25.6%	48.9%	+0.7	15
2019-11-22	Quevilly-Rouen	D 0-0	1438	1404	51.6%	24.8%	23.6%	-1.2	12
2019-11-22	@ Gazelec Ajaccio	D 0-0	1404	1438	23.6%	24.8%	51.6%	+1.2	13
2019-11-22	Creteil-Lusitanos	D 0-0	1458	1416	52.7%	24.4%	22.9%	-1.3	20
2019-11-22	@ Laval	D 0-0	1416	1458	22.9%	24.4%	52.7%	+1.3	19
2019-11-22	Avranches	W 1-0	1506	1450	54.5%	23.8%	21.8%	+4.6	29
2019-11-22	@ Pau FC	L 0-1	1450	1506	21.8%	23.8%	54.5%	-4.6	24
2019-11-22	Cholet	W 2-1	1493	1445	53.5%	24.1%	22.3%	+4.4	26
2019-11-22	@ Red Star	L 1-2	1445	1493	22.3%	24.1%	53.5%	-4.4	19
2019-11-22	Concarneau	D 0-0	1485	1390	59.6%	21.6%	18.8%	-1.8	24
2019-11-22	@ Villefranche Beaujolais	D 0-0	1390	1485	18.8%	21.6%	59.6%	+1.8	14
2019-11-29	Villefranche Beaujolais	L 0-1	1446	1483	41.8%	26.9%	31.3%	-7.9	24
2019-11-29	@ Avranches	W 1-0	1483	1446	31.3%	26.9%	41.8%	+7.8	27
2019-11-29	Pau FC	L 1-2	1464	1510	40.4%	27.1%	32.5%	-7.2	15
2019-11-29	@ Bastia-Borgo	W 2-1	1510	1464	32.5%	27.1%	40.4%	+7.2	32
2019-11-29	Bourg-Peronnas	W 1-0	1439	1467	43.0%	26.8%	30.2%	+6.2	20
2019-11-29	@ Boulogne	L 0-1	1467	1439	30.2%	26.8%	43.0%	-6.1	23
2019-11-29	Toulon	W 2-0	1441	1454	45.1%	26.4%	28.5%	+11.0	22
2019-11-29	@ Cholet	L 0-2	1454	1441	28.5%	26.4%	45.1%	-11.0	8
2019-11-29	Laval	L 0-1	1392	1457	37.8%	27.2%	35.0%	-7.3	14
2019-11-29	@ Concarneau	W 1-0	1457	1392	35.0%	27.2%	37.8%	+7.3	23
2019-11-29	Gazelec Ajaccio	W 2-0	1417	1436	44.3%	26.6%	29.1%	+11.3	22
2019-11-29	@ Creteil-Lusitanos	L 0-2	1436	1417	29.1%	26.6%	44.3%	-11.3	12
2019-11-29	Dunkerque	L 1-2	1415	1477	38.3%	27.2%	34.5%	-6.9	7
2019-11-29	@ Le Puy Foot 43	W 2-1	1477	1415	34.5%	27.2%	38.3%	+6.9	29
2019-11-29	Red Star	W 3-1	1472	1498	43.4%	26.7%	29.9%	+10.0	27
2019-11-29	@ Lyon Duchere	L 1-3	1498	1472	29.9%	26.7%	43.4%	-10.0	26
2019-11-29	Beziers	D 2-2	1405	1456	39.8%	27.1%	33.1%	-0.2	14
2019-11-29	@ Quevilly-Rouen	D 2-2	1456	1405	33.1%	27.1%	39.8%	+0.2	15
2019-12-06	Boulogne	L 1-2	1443	1445	46.8%	26.1%	27.1%	-8.1	8
2019-12-06	@ Toulon	W 2-1	1445	1443	27.1%	26.1%	46.8%	+8.1	23
2019-12-13	Cholet	W 3-1	1460	1452	48.2%	25.8%	26.1%	+8.8	26
2019-12-13	@ Bourg-Peronnas	L 1-3	1452	1460	26.1%	25.8%	48.2%	-8.9	22
2019-12-13	Concarneau	W 4-2	1428	1385	52.9%	24.3%	22.8%	+7.0	25
2019-12-13	@ Creteil-Lusitanos	L 2-4	1385	1428	22.8%	24.3%	52.9%	-7.0	14
2019-12-13	Boulogne	D 1-1	1484	1453	51.2%	24.9%	23.9%	-1.1	30
2019-12-13	@ Dunkerque	D 1-1	1453	1484	23.9%	24.9%	51.2%	+1.1	24
2019-12-13	Avranches	W 3-0	1464	1438	50.5%	25.1%	24.4%	+14.0	26
2019-12-13	@ Laval	L 0-3	1438	1464	24.4%	25.1%	50.5%	-14.0	24
2019-12-13	Quevilly-Rouen	W 1-0	1488	1405	58.1%	22.3%	19.6%	+4.1	29
2019-12-13	@ Red Star	L 0-1	1405	1488	19.6%	22.3%	58.1%	-4.1	14
2019-12-13	Lyon Duchere	D 1-1	1435	1482	40.4%	27.1%	32.6%	-0.3	9
2019-12-13	@ Toulon	D 1-1	1482	1435	32.6%	27.1%	40.4%	+0.3	28
2019-12-13	Bastia-Borgo	W 4-1	1491	1457	51.6%	24.8%	23.6%	+11.4	30
2019-12-13	@ Villefranche Beaujolais	L 1-4	1457	1491	23.6%	24.8%	51.6%	-11.4	15
2019-12-14	Le Puy Foot 43	L 2-3	1518	1408	61.4%	20.8%	17.8%	-9.4	32
2019-12-14	@ Pau FC	W 3-2	1408	1518	17.8%	20.8%	61.4%	+9.4	10
2019-12-20	Creteil-Lusitanos	W 2-1	1424	1435	45.4%	26.4%	28.2%	+5.5	27
2019-12-20	@ Avranches	L 1-2	1435	1424	28.2%	26.4%	45.4%	-5.5	25
2019-12-20	Red Star	L 1-3	1456	1492	41.9%	26.9%	31.2%	-12.9	15
2019-12-20	@ Beziers	W 3-1	1492	1456	31.2%	26.9%	41.9%	+12.8	32
2019-12-20	Laval	D 0-0	1446	1478	42.4%	26.9%	30.7%	-0.5	16
2019-12-20	@ Bastia-Borgo	D 0-0	1478	1446	30.7%	26.9%	42.4%	+0.5	27
2019-12-20	Pau FC	D 0-0	1454	1508	39.3%	27.1%	33.6%	-0.2	25
2019-12-20	@ Boulogne	D 0-0	1508	1454	33.6%	27.1%	39.3%	+0.2	33
2019-12-20	Dunkerque	L 0-4	1443	1483	41.4%	27.0%	31.6%	-27.9	22
2019-12-20	@ Cholet	W 4-0	1483	1443	31.6%	27.0%	41.4%	+27.9	33
2019-12-20	Villefranche Beaujolais	D 1-1	1418	1502	35.0%	27.2%	37.8%	+0.1	11
2019-12-20	@ Le Puy Foot 43	D 1-1	1502	1418	37.8%	27.2%	35.0%	-0.1	31
2019-12-20	Bourg-Peronnas	W 5-1	1482	1469	48.8%	25.6%	25.6%	+15.9	31
2019-12-20	@ Lyon Duchere	L 1-5	1469	1482	25.6%	25.6%	48.8%	-15.9	26
2019-12-20	Toulon	W 2-0	1401	1435	42.2%	26.9%	30.9%	+11.8	17
2019-12-20	@ Quevilly-Rouen	L 0-2	1435	1401	30.9%	26.9%	42.2%	-11.8	9
2020-01-10	Gazelec Ajaccio	W 2-0	1430	1425	47.6%	25.9%	26.5%	+10.4	30
2020-01-10	@ Avranches	L 0-2	1425	1430	26.5%	25.9%	47.6%	-10.4	12
2020-01-10	Beziers	D 2-2	1453	1443	48.4%	25.7%	25.9%	-0.7	27
2020-01-10	@ Bourg-Peronnas	D 2-2	1443	1453	25.9%	25.7%	48.4%	+0.7	16
2020-01-10	Bastia-Borgo	D 0-0	1378	1445	37.5%	27.2%	35.3%	-0.1	15
2020-01-10	@ Concarneau	D 0-0	1445	1378	35.3%	27.2%	37.5%	+0.1	17
2020-01-10	Le Puy Foot 43	L 0-2	1430	1418	48.6%	25.6%	25.8%	-16.6	25
2020-01-10	@ Creteil-Lusitanos	W 2-0	1418	1430	25.8%	25.6%	48.6%	+16.6	14
2020-01-10	Quevilly-Rouen	W 3-2	1510	1413	60.0%	21.4%	18.6%	+3.4	36
2020-01-10	@ Dunkerque	L 2-3	1413	1510	18.6%	21.4%	60.0%	-3.4	17
2020-01-10	Boulogne	L 0-3	1478	1454	50.4%	25.1%	24.5%	-24.8	27
2020-01-10	@ Laval	W 3-0	1454	1478	24.5%	25.1%	50.4%	+24.8	28
2020-01-10	Lyon Duchere	D 1-1	1509	1498	48.4%	25.7%	25.9%	-0.9	34
2020-01-10	@ Pau FC	D 1-1	1498	1509	25.9%	25.7%	48.4%	+0.9	32
2020-01-10	Red Star	L 0-1	1423	1505	35.4%	27.2%	37.4%	-7.0	9
2020-01-10	@ Toulon	W 1-0	1505	1423	37.4%	27.2%	35.4%	+7.0	35
2020-01-10	Cholet	W 3-2	1502	1415	58.6%	22.1%	19.3%	+3.6	34
2020-01-10	@ Villefranche Beaujolais	L 2-3	1415	1502	19.3%	22.1%	58.6%	-3.6	22
2020-01-17	Beziers	L 0-1	1415	1444	42.9%	26.8%	30.3%	-8.0	12
2020-01-17	@ Gazelec Ajaccio	W 1-0	1444	1415	30.3%	26.8%	42.9%	+8.0	19
2020-01-23	Dunkerque	L 1-2	1452	1514	38.2%	27.2%	34.6%	-6.9	19
2020-01-23	@ Beziers	W 2-1	1514	1452	34.6%	27.2%	38.2%	+6.9	39
2020-01-24	Creteil-Lusitanos	W 1-0	1478	1413	55.8%	23.3%	21.0%	+4.4	31
2020-01-24	@ Boulogne	L 0-1	1413	1478	21.0%	23.3%	55.8%	-4.4	25
2020-01-24	Laval	D 2-2	1411	1454	41.0%	27.0%	32.0%	-0.2	23
2020-01-24	@ Cholet	D 2-2	1454	1411	32.0%	27.0%	41.0%	+0.3	28
2020-01-24	Toulon	D 0-0	1407	1416	45.7%	26.3%	28.0%	-0.8	13
2020-01-24	@ Gazelec Ajaccio	D 0-0	1416	1407	28.0%	26.3%	45.7%	+0.8	10
2020-01-24	Concarneau	L 0-1	1435	1378	54.7%	23.7%	21.6%	-9.7	14
2020-01-24	@ Le Puy Foot 43	W 1-0	1378	1435	21.6%	23.7%	54.7%	+9.7	18
2020-01-24	Villefranche Beaujolais	D 2-2	1499	1506	46.1%	26.2%	27.7%	-0.5	33
2020-01-24	@ Lyon Duchere	D 2-2	1506	1499	27.7%	26.2%	46.1%	+0.5	35
2020-01-24	Pau FC	D 0-0	1409	1508	33.1%	27.1%	39.8%	+0.3	18
2020-01-24	@ Quevilly-Rouen	D 0-0	1508	1409	39.8%	27.1%	33.1%	-0.3	35
2020-01-24	Bourg-Peronnas	D 1-1	1512	1453	54.9%	23.6%	21.5%	-1.3	36
2020-01-24	@ Red Star	D 1-1	1453	1512	21.5%	23.6%	54.9%	+1.3	28
2020-01-31	Le Puy Foot 43	W 3-1	1440	1425	49.0%	25.5%	25.4%	+8.7	33
2020-01-31	@ Avranches	L 1-3	1425	1440	25.4%	25.5%	49.0%	-8.7	14
2020-01-31	Gazelec Ajaccio	W 2-1	1445	1406	52.3%	24.5%	23.2%	+4.6	20
2020-01-31	@ Bastia-Borgo	L 1-2	1406	1445	23.2%	24.5%	52.3%	-4.6	13
2020-01-31	Toulon	W 2-1	1454	1417	52.1%	24.6%	23.3%	+4.6	31
2020-01-31	@ Bourg-Peronnas	L 1-2	1417	1454	23.3%	24.6%	52.1%	-4.6	10
2020-01-31	Boulogne	L 0-2	1387	1483	33.5%	27.1%	39.4%	-12.6	18
2020-01-31	@ Concarneau	W 2-0	1483	1387	39.4%	27.1%	33.5%	+12.6	34
2020-01-31	Cholet	W 3-0	1409	1411	46.7%	26.1%	27.2%	+15.4	28
2020-01-31	@ Creteil-Lusitanos	L 0-3	1411	1409	27.2%	26.1%	46.7%	-15.4	23
2020-01-31	Red Star	D 1-1	1521	1510	48.4%	25.7%	25.9%	-0.9	40
2020-01-31	@ Dunkerque	D 1-1	1510	1521	25.9%	25.7%	48.4%	+0.9	37
2020-01-31	Lyon Duchere	D 1-1	1454	1499	40.7%	27.0%	32.3%	-0.3	29
2020-01-31	@ Laval	D 1-1	1499	1454	32.3%	27.0%	40.7%	+0.3	34
2020-01-31	Quevilly-Rouen	W 2-0	1506	1409	59.9%	21.5%	18.6%	+7.3	38
2020-01-31	@ Villefranche Beaujolais	L 0-2	1409	1506	18.6%	21.5%	59.9%	-7.3	18
2020-02-01	Beziers	W 7-0	1507	1445	55.4%	23.4%	21.2%	+26.8	38
2020-02-01	@ Pau FC	L 0-7	1445	1507	21.2%	23.4%	55.4%	-26.8	19
2020-02-07	Villefranche Beaujolais	D 0-0	1418	1513	33.5%	27.1%	39.4%	+0.2	20
2020-02-07	@ Beziers	D 0-0	1513	1418	39.4%	27.1%	33.5%	-0.2	39
2020-02-07	Avranches	W 3-1	1495	1449	53.3%	24.2%	22.5%	+7.7	37
2020-02-07	@ Boulogne	L 1-3	1449	1495	22.5%	24.2%	53.3%	-7.7	33
2020-02-07	Concarneau	D 0-0	1396	1375	49.8%	25.3%	24.9%	-1.1	24
2020-02-07	@ Cholet	D 0-0	1375	1396	24.9%	25.3%	49.8%	+1.1	19
2020-02-07	Bourg-Peronnas	D 1-1	1401	1459	38.9%	27.2%	34.0%	-0.2	14
2020-02-07	@ Gazelec Ajaccio	D 1-1	1459	1401	34.0%	27.2%	38.9%	+0.2	32
2020-02-07	Bastia-Borgo	W 3-0	1416	1450	42.3%	26.9%	30.9%	+17.1	17
2020-02-07	@ Le Puy Foot 43	L 0-3	1450	1416	30.9%	26.9%	42.3%	-17.1	20
2020-02-07	Creteil-Lusitanos	W 3-2	1499	1424	57.0%	22.8%	20.2%	+3.8	37
2020-02-07	@ Lyon Duchere	L 2-3	1424	1499	20.2%	22.8%	57.0%	-3.8	28
2020-02-07	Laval	W 2-1	1402	1454	39.7%	27.1%	33.2%	+6.2	21
2020-02-07	@ Quevilly-Rouen	L 1-2	1454	1402	33.2%	27.1%	39.7%	-6.2	29
2020-02-07	Pau FC	L 1-2	1511	1534	43.8%	26.7%	29.6%	-7.7	37
2020-02-07	@ Red Star	W 2-1	1534	1511	29.6%	26.7%	43.8%	+7.7	41
2020-02-07	Dunkerque	L 0-1	1412	1520	31.9%	27.0%	41.1%	-6.4	10
2020-02-07	@ Toulon	W 1-0	1520	1412	41.1%	27.0%	31.9%	+6.4	43
2020-02-11	Concarneau	W 2-0	1401	1376	50.4%	25.1%	24.4%	+9.6	17
2020-02-11	@ Gazelec Ajaccio	L 0-2	1376	1401	24.4%	25.1%	50.4%	-9.6	19
2020-02-14	Cholet	W 1-0	1441	1395	53.3%	24.2%	22.5%	+4.7	36
2020-02-14	@ Avranches	L 0-1	1395	1441	22.5%	24.2%	53.3%	-4.7	24
2020-02-14	Boulogne	W 1-0	1433	1503	37.0%	27.2%	35.8%	+7.0	23
2020-02-14	@ Bastia-Borgo	L 0-1	1503	1433	35.8%	27.2%	37.0%	-7.0	37
2020-02-14	Lyon Duchere	W 3-0	1366	1503	28.4%	26.4%	45.2%	+22.8	22
2020-02-14	@ Concarneau	L 0-3	1503	1366	45.2%	26.4%	28.4%	-22.8	37
2020-02-14	Quevilly-Rouen	L 1-3	1420	1408	48.6%	25.6%	25.7%	-14.4	28
2020-02-14	@ Creteil-Lusitanos	W 3-1	1408	1420	25.7%	25.6%	48.6%	+14.4	24
2020-02-14	Bourg-Peronnas	L 3-4	1526	1459	56.1%	23.2%	20.8%	-8.6	43
2020-02-14	@ Dunkerque	W 4-3	1459	1526	20.8%	23.2%	56.1%	+8.6	35
2020-02-14	Beziers	W 1-0	1447	1418	51.0%	25.0%	24.1%	+5.0	32
2020-02-14	@ Laval	L 0-1	1418	1447	24.1%	25.0%	51.0%	-5.0	20
2020-02-14	Gazelec Ajaccio	W 1-0	1433	1411	50.1%	25.2%	24.7%	+5.2	20
2020-02-14	@ Le Puy Foot 43	L 0-1	1411	1433	24.7%	25.2%	50.1%	-5.2	17
2020-02-14	Toulon	W 3-0	1542	1406	64.8%	19.1%	16.2%	+8.9	44
2020-02-14	@ Pau FC	L 0-3	1406	1542	16.2%	19.1%	64.8%	-8.9	10
2020-02-14	Red Star	D 0-0	1513	1504	48.3%	25.7%	26.0%	-1.0	40
2020-02-14	@ Villefranche Beaujolais	D 0-0	1504	1513	26.0%	25.7%	48.3%	+1.0	38
2020-02-21	Creteil-Lusitanos	L 1-2	1413	1406	47.9%	25.8%	26.2%	-8.2	20
2020-02-21	@ Beziers	W 2-1	1406	1413	26.2%	25.8%	47.9%	+8.2	31
2020-02-21	Le Puy Foot 43	W 1-0	1496	1439	54.8%	23.7%	21.6%	+4.5	40
2020-02-21	@ Boulogne	L 0-1	1439	1496	21.6%	23.7%	54.8%	-4.5	20
2020-02-21	Pau FC	D 0-0	1467	1551	35.1%	27.2%	37.6%	+0.1	36
2020-02-21	@ Bourg-Peronnas	D 0-0	1551	1467	37.6%	27.2%	35.1%	-0.1	45
2020-02-21	Bastia-Borgo	D 0-0	1390	1440	40.0%	27.1%	32.9%	-0.3	25
2020-02-21	@ Cholet	D 0-0	1440	1390	32.9%	27.1%	40.0%	+0.3	24
2020-02-21	Dunkerque	L 0-2	1406	1518	31.3%	26.9%	41.8%	-11.9	17
2020-02-21	@ Gazelec Ajaccio	W 2-0	1518	1406	41.8%	26.9%	31.3%	+11.9	46
2020-02-21	Avranches	L 1-4	1480	1446	51.7%	24.8%	23.6%	-21.3	37
2020-02-21	@ Lyon Duchere	W 4-1	1446	1480	23.6%	24.8%	51.7%	+21.3	39
2020-02-21	Concarneau	L 0-1	1423	1389	51.6%	24.8%	23.6%	-9.2	24
2020-02-21	@ Quevilly-Rouen	W 1-0	1389	1423	23.6%	24.8%	51.6%	+9.2	25
2020-02-21	Villefranche Beaujolais	W 3-0	1397	1512	30.9%	26.9%	42.2%	+21.7	13
2020-02-21	@ Toulon	L 0-3	1512	1397	42.2%	26.9%	30.9%	-21.7	40
2020-02-22	Laval	W 1-0	1505	1452	54.1%	23.9%	22.0%	+4.6	41
2020-02-22	@ Red Star	L 0-1	1452	1505	22.0%	23.9%	54.1%	-4.6	32
2020-02-28	Quevilly-Rouen	W 3-2	1467	1414	54.2%	23.9%	21.9%	+4.1	42
2020-02-28	@ Avranches	L 2-3	1414	1467	21.9%	23.9%	54.2%	-4.1	24
2020-02-28	Lyon Duchere	L 0-1	1440	1459	44.4%	26.6%	29.1%	-8.2	24
2020-02-28	@ Bastia-Borgo	W 1-0	1459	1440	29.1%	26.6%	44.4%	+8.2	40
2020-02-28	Gazelec Ajaccio	W 4-1	1501	1394	61.1%	20.9%	18.0%	+8.5	43
2020-02-28	@ Boulogne	L 1-4	1394	1501	18.0%	20.9%	61.1%	-8.5	17
2020-02-28	Beziers	W 2-1	1398	1405	46.1%	26.2%	27.7%	+5.4	28
2020-02-28	@ Concarneau	L 1-2	1405	1398	27.7%	26.2%	46.1%	-5.4	20
2020-02-28	Red Star	D 0-0	1414	1509	33.6%	27.1%	39.3%	+0.2	32
2020-02-28	@ Creteil-Lusitanos	D 0-0	1509	1414	39.3%	27.1%	33.6%	-0.2	42
2020-02-28	Toulon	W 3-0	1448	1419	51.0%	25.0%	24.1%	+13.8	35
2020-02-28	@ Laval	L 0-3	1419	1448	24.1%	25.0%	51.0%	-13.8	13
2020-02-28	Cholet	L 2-6	1434	1390	53.0%	24.3%	22.7%	-23.9	20
2020-02-28	@ Le Puy Foot 43	W 6-2	1390	1434	22.7%	24.3%	53.0%	+23.9	28
2020-02-28	Dunkerque	W 2-0	1551	1530	49.9%	25.3%	24.8%	+9.8	48
2020-02-28	@ Pau FC	L 0-2	1530	1551	24.8%	25.3%	49.9%	-9.8	46
2020-02-28	Bourg-Peronnas	L 1-2	1491	1468	50.1%	25.2%	24.6%	-8.5	40
2020-02-28	@ Villefranche Beaujolais	W 2-1	1468	1491	24.6%	25.2%	50.1%	+8.5	39
2020-03-06	Avranches	W 2-0	1399	1471	36.8%	27.2%	36.0%	+13.2	23
2020-03-06	@ Beziers	L 0-2	1471	1399	36.0%	27.2%	36.8%	-13.3	42
2020-03-06	Laval	W 3-0	1476	1462	49.0%	25.5%	25.5%	+14.6	42
2020-03-06	@ Bourg-Peronnas	L 0-3	1462	1476	25.5%	25.5%	49.0%	-14.5	35
2020-03-06	Boulogne	L 0-3	1413	1509	33.5%	27.1%	39.4%	-18.2	28
2020-03-06	@ Cholet	W 3-0	1509	1413	39.4%	27.1%	33.5%	+18.2	46
2020-03-06	Villefranche Beaujolais	D 1-1	1520	1482	52.1%	24.6%	23.3%	-1.2	47
2020-03-06	@ Dunkerque	D 1-1	1482	1520	23.3%	24.6%	52.1%	+1.1	41
2020-03-06	Pau FC	W 2-1	1385	1560	24.3%	25.1%	50.5%	+8.6	20
2020-03-06	@ Gazelec Ajaccio	L 1-2	1560	1385	50.5%	25.1%	24.3%	-8.6	48
2020-03-06	Le Puy Foot 43	L 0-1	1467	1410	54.6%	23.7%	21.7%	-9.6	40
2020-03-06	@ Lyon Duchere	W 1-0	1410	1467	21.7%	23.7%	54.6%	+9.6	23
2020-03-06	Concarneau	L 1-2	1509	1404	60.9%	21.0%	18.1%	-9.9	42
2020-03-06	@ Red Star	W 2-1	1404	1509	18.1%	21.0%	60.9%	+9.9	31
2020-03-06	Creteil-Lusitanos	L 1-2	1405	1415	45.6%	26.3%	28.1%	-7.9	13
2020-03-06	@ Toulon	W 2-1	1415	1405	28.1%	26.3%	45.6%	+7.9	35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2019-08-09	17.62%	Creteil-Lusitanos	1381	3	@ Le Puy Foot 43	1493	2
2	2019-12-14	17.83%	Le Puy Foot 43	1408	3	@ Pau FC	1518	2
3	2020-03-06	18.09%	Concarneau	1404	2	@ Red Star	1509	1
4	2019-08-09	20.05%	Avranches	1410	1	@ Gazelec Ajaccio	1487	0
5	2020-02-14	20.79%	Bourg-Peronnas	1459	4	@ Dunkerque	1526	3
6	2019-10-04	20.85%	Concarneau	1403	1	@ Toulon	1470	0
7	2019-11-08	20.90%	Quevilly-Rouen	1394	2	@ Lyon Duchere	1460	1
8	2020-01-24	21.63%	Concarneau	1378	1	@ Le Puy Foot 43	1435	0
9	2020-03-06	21.66%	Le Puy Foot 43	1410	1	@ Lyon Duchere	1467	0
10	2019-08-23	22.36%	Pau FC	1454	1	@ Beziers	1503	0
11	2019-09-13	22.62%	Boulogne	1448	2	@ Le Puy Foot 43	1494	0
12	2020-02-28	22.68%	Cholet	1390	6	@ Le Puy Foot 43	1434	2
13	2019-09-27	22.90%	Cholet	1425	2	@ Boulogne	1467	1
14	2019-10-04	23.27%	Laval	1445	2	@ Dunkerque	1483	1
15	2019-08-16	23.37%	Lyon Duchere	1420	2	@ Villefranche Beaujolais	1457	0
16	2020-02-21	23.59%	Avranches	1446	4	@ Lyon Duchere	1480	1
17	2020-02-21	23.65%	Concarneau	1389	1	@ Quevilly-Rouen	1423	0
18	2019-11-08	23.67%	Bourg-Peronnas	1439	2	@ Bastia-Borgo	1472	1
19	2019-09-20	23.68%	Laval	1445	1	@ Toulon	1479	0
20	2019-09-27	23.85%	Bourg-Peronnas	1423	1	@ Laval	1455	0
21	2019-09-27	24.35%	Lyon Duchere	1443	2	@ Le Puy Foot 43	1469	1
22	2020-03-06	24.35%	@ Gazelec Ajaccio	1385	2	Pau FC	1560	1
23	2019-11-22	24.42%	Lyon Duchere	1451	4	@ Beziers	1477	1
24	2019-08-23	24.45%	Dunkerque	1470	2	@ Red Star	1495	1
25	2020-01-10	24.46%	Boulogne	1454	3	@ Laval	1478	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2019-12-20	27.91	Dunkerque	4	1483	31.64%	@ Cholet	0	1443	41.39%
2	2020-02-01	26.84	@ Pau FC	7	1507	55.43%	Beziers	0	1445	21.17%
3	2020-01-10	24.84	Boulogne	3	1454	24.46%	@ Laval	0	1478	50.39%
4	2019-09-06	24.55	Creteil-Lusitanos	3	1384	25.00%	@ Quevilly-Rouen	0	1404	49.64%
5	2020-02-28	23.86	Cholet	6	1390	22.68%	@ Le Puy Foot 43	2	1434	53.03%
6	2020-02-14	22.84	@ Concarneau	3	1366	28.40%	Lyon Duchere	0	1503	45.20%
7	2019-08-30	22.60	Le Puy Foot 43	6	1483	25.16%	@ Bastia-Borgo	2	1500	49.41%
8	2019-09-27	21.73	@ Pau FC	4	1472	43.57%	Gazelec Ajaccio	0	1496	29.75%
9	2020-02-21	21.69	@ Toulon	3	1397	30.92%	Villefranche Beaujolais	0	1512	42.21%
10	2020-02-21	21.34	Avranches	4	1446	23.59%	@ Lyon Duchere	1	1480	51.66%
11	2019-11-22	20.97	Lyon Duchere	4	1451	24.42%	@ Beziers	1	1477	50.46%
12	2019-10-04	20.37	@ Quevilly-Rouen	3	1369	34.02%	Le Puy Foot 43	0	1461	38.81%
13	2019-11-22	19.11	@ Bourg-Peronnas	4	1448	48.77%	Le Puy Foot 43	0	1435	25.63%
14	2020-03-06	18.24	Boulogne	3	1509	39.41%	@ Cholet	0	1413	33.45%
15	2019-09-13	17.81	Boulogne	2	1448	22.62%	@ Le Puy Foot 43	0	1494	53.12%
16	2019-08-16	17.52	Lyon Duchere	2	1420	23.37%	@ Villefranche Beaujolais	0	1457	51.99%
17	2019-08-17	17.29	Red Star	4	1478	33.68%	@ Bourg-Peronnas	1	1423	39.17%
18	2020-02-07	17.13	@ Le Puy Foot 43	3	1416	42.29%	Bastia-Borgo	0	1450	30.85%
19	2019-10-18	16.79	@ Cholet	3	1435	43.15%	Lyon Duchere	0	1463	30.10%
20	2020-01-10	16.63	Le Puy Foot 43	2	1418	25.75%	@ Creteil-Lusitanos	0	1430	48.61%
21	2019-08-30	16.55	@ Pau FC	3	1464	43.78%	Red Star	0	1487	29.57%
22	2019-09-13	16.50	Red Star	2	1454	26.14%	@ Laval	0	1462	48.08%
23	2019-09-06	16.31	Villefranche Beaujolais	2	1467	26.67%	@ Red Star	0	1470	47.39%
24	2019-12-20	15.92	@ Lyon Duchere	5	1482	48.78%	Bourg-Peronnas	1	1469	25.63%
25	2020-01-31	15.44	@ Creteil-Lusitanos	3	1409	46.65%	Cholet	0	1411	27.24%