2026-27 Ligue 1 Season
33 games played · 18 teams
Season Status
In Progress
Awaiting final results
Title Favorite
Monaco
29.77% chance to win the title
Biggest Overachiever
Monaco
4.86 points above expected
10 points · 5.14 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Nice
3.49 points below expected
2 points · 5.49 expected points
League Table
Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 5.14 | +4.86 |
| 2 | Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 6.51 | +3.49 |
| 3 | Lyon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6.59 | +1.41 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 5.41 | +2.59 |
| 5 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4.54 | +2.46 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 4.95 | +2.05 |
| 7 | Brest | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 4.11 | +0.89 |
| 8 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5.51 | -0.51 |
| 9 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 10 | Troyes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3.95 | +0.05 |
| 11 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 5.44 | -2.44 |
| 12 | Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5.66 | -2.66 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4.96 | -1.96 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 15 | Paris Saint-Germain | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4.73 | -2.73 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 5.20 | -3.20 |
| 17 | Toulouse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4.82 | -2.82 |
| 18 | Nice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 5.49 | -3.49 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 10 | 5.14 | +4.86 |
| 2 | Rennes | 10 | 6.51 | +3.49 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 8 | 5.41 | +2.59 |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 4.54 | +2.46 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 7 | 4.95 | +2.05 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nice | 2 | 5.49 | -3.49 |
| 2 | Le Havre | 2 | 5.20 | -3.20 |
| 3 | Toulouse | 2 | 4.82 | -2.82 |
| 4 | Paris Saint-Germain | 2 | 4.73 | -2.73 |
| 5 | Marseille | 3 | 5.66 | -2.66 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 3 | Aug 23 – Sep 4 | 1 in 29 |
| 2 | Strasbourg | 2 | Aug 29 – Sep 6 | 1 in 10 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 2 | Aug 30 – Sep 6 | 1 in 8 |
| 4 | Rennes | 3 | Aug 30 – Sep 11 | 1 in 8 |
| 5 | Lorient | 1 | Sep 5 – Sep 5 | 1 in 5 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 3 | Aug 30 – Sep 11 | 1 in 20 |
| 2 | Lens | 2 | Aug 29 – Sep 5 | 1 in 18 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 3 | Aug 22 – Sep 4 | 1 in 14 |
| 4 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | Sep 4 – Sep 4 | 1 in 5 |
| 5 | Lorient | 1 | Aug 29 – Aug 29 | 1 in 4 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 4 | Aug 23 – Sep 12 | 1 in 8 |
| 2 | Paris FC | 4 | Aug 22 – Sep 12 | 1 in 7 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 3 | Aug 29 – Sep 12 | 1 in 5 |
| 4 | Brest | 3 | Aug 22 – Sep 5 | 1 in 4 |
| 5 | Rennes | 4 | Aug 23 – Sep 11 | 1 in 4 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nice | 4 | Aug 22 – Sep 12 | 1 in 7 |
| 2 | Le Havre | 4 | Aug 23 – Sep 12 | 1 in 6 |
| 3 | Paris Saint-Germain | 3 | Aug 23 – Sep 4 | 1 in 6 |
| 4 | Toulouse | 4 | Aug 22 – Sep 12 | 1 in 5 |
| 5 | Lens | 2 | Aug 29 – Sep 5 | 1 in 4 |
Position Race
Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.
Recent Elo Movers
Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?
Biggest Elo Gainers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris FC | +44.70 | 1994 |
| 2 | Monaco | +41.58 | 2045 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | +37.29 | 1999 |
| 4 | Rennes | +27.93 | 2029 |
| 5 | Lorient | +17.74 | 1956 |
Biggest Elo Losers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | -51.81 | 1983 |
| 2 | Nice | -45.19 | 1888 |
| 3 | Troyes | -39.30 | 1892 |
| 4 | Lens | -20.93 | 2017 |
| 5 | Paris Saint-Germain | -18.62 | 2074 |
Recent Form
Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.
| Team | Elo | Season Pts | Form | Elo Δ (5) | Points (5) | Expected (5) | Actual − Exp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 2045 | 10 | +56 | 10 | 5.1 | +4.9 | |
| Rennes | 2029 | 10 | +29 | 10 | 6.5 | +3.5 | |
| Paris FC | 1994 | 8 | +46 | 8 | 5.4 | +2.6 | |
| Lyon | 2034 | 8 | +37 | 8 | 6.6 | +1.4 | |
| Strasbourg | 1999 | 7 | +12 | 7 | 4.9 | +2.1 | |
| Lille | 2045 | 7 | +34 | 7 | 4.5 | +2.5 | |
| Brest | 1941 | 5 | +14 | 5 | 4.1 | +0.9 | |
| Lorient | 1956 | 5 | +3 | 5 | 5.5 | -0.5 | |
| Troyes | 1892 | 4 | -22 | 4 | 3.9 | +0.1 | |
| Angers | 1888 | 4 | -1 | 4 | 4.3 | -0.3 | |
| Marseille | 1983 | 3 | -10 | 3 | 5.7 | -2.7 | |
| Lens | 2017 | 3 | -18 | 3 | 5.4 | -2.4 | |
| Auxerre | 1899 | 3 | -47 | 3 | 5.0 | -2.0 | |
| Toulouse | 1923 | 2 | -38 | 2 | 4.8 | -2.8 | |
| Le Mans | 1878 | 2 | -5 | 2 | 3.2 | -1.2 | |
| Nice | 1888 | 2 | -45 | 2 | 5.5 | -3.5 | |
| Le Havre | 1890 | 2 | -26 | 2 | 5.2 | -3.2 | |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 2074 | 2 | -18 | 2 | 4.7 | -2.7 |
Upcoming Matches
The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.
| Date | Favored By | Home | Win% – Draw% – Win% | Away | Favored By | Excitement | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Le Mans | 2 pts·1878 | 26% – 26% – 48% | Lens | 3 pts·2017 | 0.43 | 57.3 | |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.13 | Lille | 7 pts·2045 | 62% – 23% – 15% | Troyes | 4 pts·1892 | 49.4 | |
| 2026-09-13 | Brest | 5 pts·1941 | 27% – 26% – 47% | Paris Saint-Germain | 2 pts·2074 | 0.40 | 57.8 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.08 | Auxerre | 3 pts·1899 | 39% – 26% – 35% | Brest | 5 pts·1941 | 70.0 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.46 | Monaco | 10 pts·2045 | 49% – 26% – 26% | Lens | 3 pts·2017 | 73.4 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.29 | Paris FC | 8 pts·1994 | 45% – 26% – 30% | Strasbourg | 7 pts·1999 | 78.8 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.49 | Toulouse | 2 pts·1923 | 49% – 26% – 25% | Le Havre | 2 pts·1890 | 60.8 | |
| 2026-09-19 | Le Mans | 2 pts·1878 | 34% – 26% – 40% | Lorient | 5 pts·1956 | 0.10 | 59.4 | |
| 2026-09-19 | Nice | 2 pts·1888 | 24% – 25% – 50% | Lille | 7 pts·2045 | 0.53 | 45.0 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.34 | Lyon | 8 pts·2034 | 46% – 26% – 29% | Rennes | 10 pts·2029 | 77.3 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.29 | Angers | 4 pts·1888 | 45% – 26% – 30% | Troyes | 4 pts·1892 | 69.9 | |
| 2026-09-19 | Marseille | 3 pts·1983 | 32% – 26% – 42% | Paris Saint-Germain | 2 pts·2074 | 0.17 | 60.4 |
Recent Matches
The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.
| Date | Favored By | Home | Score | Away | Favored By | Excitement | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 0.33 | Le Havre | 2 pts·1891·-1.44 | 0 – 0 | Angers | 4 pts·1887·+1.45 | 67.6 | |
| 2026-09-12 | 0.24 | Auxerre | 3 pts·1886·+12.26 | 1 – 0 | Nice | 2 pts·1900·-12.26 | 58.2 | |
| 2026-09-12 | 0.50 | Lorient | 5 pts·1957·-1.43 | 2 – 2 | Toulouse | 2 pts·1921·+1.43 | 77.1 | |
| 2026-09-12 | 0.10 | Paris FC | 8 pts·1995·-0.45 | 0 – 0 | Lyon | 8 pts·2034·+0.45 | 67.6 | |
| 2026-09-12 | 0.07 | Strasbourg | 7 pts·1999·-0.25 | 1 – 1 | Monaco | 10 pts·2045·+0.25 | 71.8 | |
| 2026-09-11 | 0.44 | Rennes | 10 pts·2018·+10.77 | 1 – 0 | Marseille | 3 pts·1994·-10.76 | 56.7 | |
| 2026-09-06 | 0.15 | Troyes | 4 pts·1930·-38.43 | 2 – 6 | Strasbourg | 7 pts·1960·+38.43 | 61.0 | |
| 2026-09-06 | Angers | 4 pts·1898·-11.34 | 1 – 2 | Rennes | 10 pts·2007·+11.33 | 0.27 | 62.9 | |
| 2026-09-06 | 0.48 | Marseille | 3 pts·2010·-15.73 | 2 – 3 | Paris FC | 8 pts·1979·+15.72 | 73.2 | |
| 2026-09-05 | 0.20 | Le Havre | 2 pts·1906·-14.68 | 1 – 2 | Brest | 5 pts·1926·+14.68 | 66.6 | |
| 2026-09-05 | 0.45 | Nice | 2 pts·1902·-1.72 | 1 – 1 | Le Mans | 2 pts·1877·+1.72 | 71.9 | |
| 2026-09-05 | 0.85 | Lens | 3 pts·2037·-20.06 | 0 – 1 | Lorient | 5 pts·1937·+20.06 | 65.6 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | ANG | AUX | BRE | LH | LM | LEN | LIL | LOR | LYO | MAR | MON | NIC | PAR | PS | REN | STR | TOU | TRO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | — |
1-0-0
0.92
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.12
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.11
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.16
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Auxerre |
0-0-1
1.83
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.83
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.74
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.56
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Brest |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
1-0-0
1.21
|
0-1-0
1.31
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.59
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Le Havre |
0-1-0
1.63
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.53
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
0.74
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.31
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Le Mans |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.43
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.04
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.76
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Lens |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.92
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.95
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.57
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Lille |
1-0-0
1.63
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.37
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.54
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Lorient |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
0.80
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.21
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.74
|
0-0-1
1.76
|
| Lyon |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
2.02
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
2.02
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.29
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.27
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Marseille |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-1
1.26
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.73
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.04
|
1-0-0
1.64
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Monaco |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.44
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.48
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
0.91
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.32
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Nice |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.19
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.71
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.53
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-1
1.07
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Paris FC |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.45
|
1-0-0
1.02
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.67
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.27
|
| Paris Saint-Germain |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.37
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.84
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-1-0
1.51
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Rennes |
1-0-0
1.58
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
2.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.70
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.23
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Strasbourg |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.17
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.10
|
0-1-0
1.42
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.25
|
| Toulouse |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.15
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.20
|
0-1-0
1.00
|
0-0-1
1.47
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Troyes |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
0.99
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.47
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.49
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.39 | +9.4 |
| Allowed | 0.26 | -6.1 |
| Differential | 0.66 | +7.8 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.12% | 7.58% | 4.55% | 1.52% | 1.52% | — | 27.27% |
| 1 | 7.58% | 9.09% | 7.58% | 3.03% | — | — | 27.27% |
| 2 | 4.55% | 7.58% | 15.15% | 3.03% | — | 3.03% | 33.33% |
| 3 | 1.52% | 3.03% | 3.03% | — | — | — | 7.58% |
| 4 | 1.52% | — | — | — | — | — | 1.52% |
| 5+ | — | — | 3.03% | — | — | — | 3.03% |
| Total | 27.27% | 27.27% | 33.33% | 7.58% | 1.52% | 3.03% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.39 | 1.39 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.24 | 1.24 | 1.59 |
| CV | 0.89 | 0.89 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 33
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25.00% | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 1 | — | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 25.00% | 25.00% | 50.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.25 | -0.25 |
| SD | 1.41 | 0.96 | 1.71 |
| CV | 1.41 | 0.77 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 4
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 25.00% | — | — | 50.00% | — | — | 75.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 25.00% | 25.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 25.00% | — | — | 50.00% | — | 25.00% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.25 | 2.75 | -1.50 |
| SD | 0.50 | 2.06 | 1.73 |
| CV | 0.40 | 0.75 | — |
| Max | 2 | 5 | +1 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 4
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | 33.33% | 66.67% | — | — | — | 100.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 33.33% | 66.67% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 1.67 | +0.33 |
| SD | 0.00 | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| CV | 0.00 | 0.35 | — |
| Max | 2 | 2 | +1 |
| Min | 2 | 1 | +0 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25.00% | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 1 | — | 25.00% | 25.00% | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 25.00% | 50.00% | 25.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.50 | 1.00 | -0.50 |
| SD | 0.58 | 0.82 | 0.58 |
| CV | 1.15 | 0.82 | — |
| Max | 1 | 2 | +0 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 4
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | — | 33.33% | 33.33% | — | — | 66.67% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 33.33% | 33.33% | 33.33% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.67 | 2.00 | -0.33 |
| SD | 0.58 | 1.00 | 0.58 |
| CV | 0.35 | 0.50 | — |
| Max | 2 | 3 | +0 |
| Min | 1 | 1 | -1 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | — | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| Total | — | 33.33% | 66.67% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 1.67 | +0.33 |
| SD | 2.65 | 0.58 | 2.31 |
| CV | 1.32 | 0.35 | — |
| Max | 5 | 2 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | 33.33% | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | 66.67% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 66.67% | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.67 | 0.67 | +1.00 |
| SD | 0.58 | 1.15 | 1.00 |
| CV | 0.35 | 1.73 | — |
| Max | 2 | 2 | +2 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 1 | 25.00% | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | — | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 50.00% | — | 50.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.00 | +0.00 |
| SD | 0.82 | 1.15 | 0.82 |
| CV | 0.82 | 1.15 | — |
| Max | 2 | 2 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 4
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 1 | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 2 | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 3 | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 50.00% | 50.00% | — | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.50 | 0.50 | +1.00 |
| SD | 1.29 | 0.58 | 1.15 |
| CV | 0.86 | 1.15 | — |
| Max | 3 | 1 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 4
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 25.00% | 25.00% | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | — | — | 25.00% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 25.00% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 25.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.50 | 1.50 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.91 | 1.29 | 2.71 |
| CV | 1.28 | 0.86 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 4
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 25.00% | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | 25.00% | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 50.00% | 50.00% | — | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.50 | 0.50 | +1.00 |
| SD | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.82 |
| CV | 0.38 | 1.15 | — |
| Max | 2 | 1 | +2 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 4
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25.00% | 25.00% | — | 25.00% | — | — | 75.00% |
| 1 | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 25.00% | 50.00% | — | 25.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.25 | 1.25 | -1.00 |
| SD | 0.50 | 1.26 | 1.41 |
| CV | 2.00 | 1.01 | — |
| Max | 1 | 3 | +0 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 4
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 50.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 25.00% | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 75.00% | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.50 | 0.50 | +1.00 |
| SD | 1.73 | 1.00 | 1.41 |
| CV | 1.15 | 2.00 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 4
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | — | 66.67% | — | — | — | 66.67% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | 100.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.67 | 2.00 | -0.33 |
| SD | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.58 |
| CV | 0.35 | 0.00 | — |
| Max | 2 | 2 | +0 |
| Min | 1 | 2 | -1 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 2 | — | 25.00% | 25.00% | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 3 | — | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 25.00% | 25.00% | 50.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 1.25 | +0.75 |
| SD | 0.82 | 0.96 | 0.50 |
| CV | 0.41 | 0.77 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +1 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 4
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | 25.00% | — | 25.00% |
| 1 | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 2 | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | 25.00% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| Total | — | 50.00% | 25.00% | — | 25.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.25 | 2.00 | +0.25 |
| SD | 2.63 | 1.41 | 3.30 |
| CV | 1.17 | 0.71 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -4 |
Games Played: 4
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 25.00% | 25.00% | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | — | 50.00% | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 25.00% | 75.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.75 | -0.75 |
| SD | 1.15 | 0.50 | 0.96 |
| CV | 1.15 | 0.29 | — |
| Max | 2 | 2 | +0 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Games Played: 4
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | 33.33% | 66.67% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 33.33% | — | — | — | 33.33% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.33 | 2.33 | -1.00 |
| SD | 1.15 | 3.21 | 2.65 |
| CV | 0.87 | 1.38 | — |
| Max | 2 | 6 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 3
Season Summary
Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Exp. Pts. Rem. | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 2074 | 2 | 57.91 | 55.91 | 32 | 46 | 53 | 58 | 63 | 69 | 84 |
| Lille | 2045 | 7 | 59.13 | 52.13 | 33 | 47 | 54 | 59 | 64 | 71 | 81 |
| Monaco | 2045 | 10 | 61.19 | 51.19 | 31 | 50 | 56 | 61 | 66 | 73 | 88 |
| Lyon | 2034 | 8 | 56.70 | 48.70 | 30 | 45 | 52 | 57 | 62 | 68 | 82 |
| Rennes | 2029 | 10 | 58.50 | 48.50 | 33 | 47 | 54 | 58 | 63 | 71 | 85 |
| Lens | 2017 | 3 | 51.51 | 48.51 | 25 | 40 | 47 | 52 | 56 | 63 | 76 |
| Strasbourg | 1999 | 7 | 52.29 | 45.29 | 27 | 41 | 48 | 52 | 57 | 64 | 82 |
| Paris FC | 1994 | 8 | 52.29 | 44.29 | 28 | 41 | 47 | 52 | 57 | 64 | 78 |
| Marseille | 1983 | 3 | 47.12 | 44.12 | 23 | 36 | 42 | 47 | 52 | 58 | 74 |
| Lorient | 1956 | 5 | 44.46 | 39.46 | 17 | 33 | 40 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 72 |
| Brest | 1941 | 5 | 44.15 | 39.15 | 20 | 33 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 70 |
| Toulouse | 1923 | 2 | 38.68 | 36.68 | 13 | 28 | 34 | 39 | 43 | 50 | 64 |
| Auxerre | 1899 | 3 | 36.32 | 33.32 | 13 | 26 | 32 | 36 | 41 | 48 | 62 |
| Troyes | 1892 | 4 | 37.89 | 33.89 | 17 | 27 | 33 | 38 | 42 | 49 | 65 |
| Le Havre | 1890 | 2 | 34.23 | 32.23 | 13 | 23 | 30 | 34 | 39 | 45 | 61 |
| Angers | 1888 | 4 | 36.47 | 32.47 | 16 | 26 | 32 | 36 | 41 | 48 | 60 |
| Nice | 1888 | 2 | 33.82 | 31.82 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 34 | 38 | 45 | 60 |
| Le Mans | 1878 | 2 | 34.29 | 32.29 | 11 | 23 | 30 | 34 | 39 | 46 | 64 |
Point Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Final Table Odds
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 29.77% | 19.96% | 14.52% | 11.34% | 7.92% | 6.35% | 4.07% | 2.91% | 1.73% | 0.85% | 0.23% | 0.21% | 0.07% | 0.06% | — | — | 0.01% | — |
| Rennes | 15.38% | 16.52% | 15.28% | 12.89% | 11.61% | 9.36% | 6.84% | 4.63% | 3.37% | 1.91% | 1.13% | 0.54% | 0.31% | 0.09% | 0.06% | 0.06% | 0.02% | — |
| Lyon | 12.15% | 13.15% | 13.45% | 13.22% | 12.29% | 9.87% | 8.59% | 6.49% | 4.04% | 3.02% | 1.85% | 1.02% | 0.52% | 0.19% | 0.07% | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
| Paris FC | 3.75% | 6.08% | 8.27% | 9.93% | 11.17% | 11.95% | 11.74% | 10.50% | 8.66% | 6.60% | 4.48% | 2.91% | 1.81% | 0.98% | 0.65% | 0.34% | 0.08% | 0.10% |
| Lille | 19.04% | 16.05% | 15.43% | 13.50% | 10.69% | 8.23% | 6.21% | 4.60% | 2.75% | 1.48% | 0.93% | 0.65% | 0.22% | 0.14% | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.01% | — |
| Strasbourg | 3.25% | 5.82% | 7.33% | 8.92% | 10.69% | 12.43% | 12.60% | 10.89% | 9.61% | 6.99% | 4.54% | 3.07% | 1.83% | 1.06% | 0.60% | 0.24% | 0.11% | 0.02% |
| Brest | 0.18% | 0.65% | 1.39% | 2.15% | 3.19% | 4.58% | 6.69% | 8.68% | 11.32% | 11.66% | 12.29% | 10.29% | 8.58% | 6.26% | 5.19% | 3.61% | 2.09% | 1.20% |
| Lorient | 0.24% | 0.63% | 1.19% | 2.08% | 2.98% | 4.44% | 6.53% | 9.33% | 11.14% | 12.85% | 11.99% | 11.13% | 8.59% | 6.49% | 4.67% | 2.76% | 1.99% | 0.97% |
| Angers | 0.02% | — | 0.06% | 0.12% | 0.24% | 0.66% | 1.07% | 1.97% | 3.06% | 4.97% | 7.04% | 9.60% | 11.29% | 12.18% | 12.50% | 13.08% | 11.54% | 10.60% |
| Troyes | 0.03% | 0.06% | 0.18% | 0.24% | 0.47% | 0.89% | 1.63% | 2.46% | 4.12% | 6.35% | 8.55% | 10.09% | 10.98% | 11.98% | 11.95% | 11.42% | 9.99% | 8.61% |
| Lens | 2.75% | 4.83% | 6.29% | 8.35% | 9.78% | 11.19% | 11.97% | 12.21% | 10.24% | 7.97% | 5.75% | 3.47% | 2.16% | 1.47% | 0.84% | 0.40% | 0.21% | 0.12% |
| Marseille | 0.62% | 1.34% | 2.51% | 3.36% | 5.73% | 7.29% | 9.10% | 11.60% | 12.99% | 12.10% | 10.73% | 7.77% | 5.32% | 4.06% | 2.36% | 1.62% | 1.06% | 0.44% |
| Auxerre | — | 0.02% | 0.08% | 0.14% | 0.23% | 0.63% | 1.05% | 1.82% | 3.15% | 4.61% | 6.10% | 8.10% | 10.18% | 11.33% | 12.85% | 13.22% | 13.66% | 12.83% |
| Le Mans | — | — | 0.04% | 0.10% | 0.14% | 0.32% | 0.60% | 1.10% | 2.17% | 3.50% | 5.11% | 6.46% | 8.93% | 10.74% | 12.60% | 13.97% | 16.67% | 17.55% |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 12.79% | 14.84% | 13.80% | 13.28% | 11.95% | 10.23% | 8.11% | 5.73% | 3.84% | 2.39% | 1.59% | 0.71% | 0.41% | 0.16% | 0.09% | 0.04% | 0.04% | — |
| Le Havre | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.13% | 0.34% | 0.58% | 1.04% | 1.84% | 2.84% | 4.75% | 6.82% | 8.89% | 10.82% | 12.66% | 14.10% | 16.19% | 18.92% |
| Toulouse | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.15% | 0.22% | 0.69% | 0.98% | 2.23% | 3.12% | 4.59% | 7.46% | 8.98% | 11.06% | 11.95% | 11.78% | 10.58% | 10.40% | 8.95% | 6.81% |
| Nice | — | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.11% | 0.10% | 0.26% | 0.39% | 0.92% | 1.38% | 2.45% | 3.96% | 6.10% | 7.96% | 10.21% | 12.28% | 14.67% | 17.36% | 21.82% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Lost relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 99.99% | — | 0.01% |
| Lille | 99.97% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
| Lyon | 99.92% | 0.05% | 0.03% |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 99.92% | 0.04% | 0.04% |
| Rennes | 99.92% | 0.06% | 0.02% |
| Strasbourg | 99.63% | 0.24% | 0.13% |
| Paris FC | 99.48% | 0.34% | 0.18% |
| Lens | 99.27% | 0.40% | 0.33% |
| Marseille | 96.88% | 1.62% | 1.50% |
| Lorient | 94.28% | 2.76% | 2.96% |
| Brest | 93.10% | 3.61% | 3.29% |
| Toulouse | 73.84% | 10.40% | 15.76% |
| Troyes | 69.98% | 11.42% | 18.60% |
| Angers | 64.78% | 13.08% | 22.14% |
| Auxerre | 60.29% | 13.22% | 26.49% |
| Le Mans | 51.81% | 13.97% | 34.22% |
| Le Havre | 50.79% | 14.10% | 35.11% |
| Nice | 46.15% | 14.67% | 39.18% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Excitement | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Strasbourg | W 4-0 | 51.4 | 1993 | 1986 | 46.04% | 25.73% | 28.22% | +0.35 | +40.8 | 3 |
| 2026-08-21 | @ Marseille | L 0-4 | 51.4 | 1986 | 1993 | 28.22% | 25.73% | 46.04% | -0.35 | -40.8 | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Auxerre | W 5-2 | 56.0 | 2036 | 1945 | 55.80% | 24.72% | 19.48% | +0.79 | +16.8 | 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Lens | L 2-5 | 56.0 | 1945 | 2036 | 19.48% | 24.72% | 55.80% | -0.79 | -16.8 | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Paris FC | D 0-0 | 67.6 | 1914 | 1948 | 40.44% | 25.95% | 33.61% | +0.13 | -0.6 | 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Troyes | D 0-0 | 67.6 | 1948 | 1914 | 33.61% | 25.95% | 40.44% | -0.13 | +0.6 | 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Lyon | L 0-2 | 57.1 | 1961 | 1997 | 40.21% | 25.96% | 33.83% | +0.12 | -28.2 | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Toulouse | W 2-0 | 57.1 | 1997 | 1961 | 33.83% | 25.96% | 40.21% | -0.12 | +28.2 | 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | Brest | D 2-2 | 77.0 | 1884 | 1927 | 39.13% | 25.98% | 34.89% | +0.08 | -0.2 | 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Le Mans | D 2-2 | 77.0 | 1927 | 1884 | 34.89% | 25.98% | 39.13% | -0.08 | +0.2 | 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Lorient | D 0-0 | 67.6 | 1933 | 1953 | 42.43% | 25.90% | 31.67% | +0.21 | -0.9 | 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Nice | D 0-0 | 67.6 | 1953 | 1933 | 31.67% | 25.90% | 42.43% | -0.21 | +0.9 | 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Lille | L 0-2 | 53.5 | 1889 | 2011 | 28.52% | 25.75% | 45.72% | -0.34 | -21.7 | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Angers | W 2-0 | 53.5 | 2011 | 1889 | 45.72% | 25.75% | 28.52% | +0.34 | +21.7 | 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | Monaco | L 0-1 | 59.4 | 1916 | 1989 | 34.85% | 25.98% | 39.18% | -0.08 | -13.4 | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Le Havre | W 1-0 | 59.4 | 1989 | 1916 | 39.18% | 25.98% | 34.85% | +0.08 | +13.4 | 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | Paris Saint-Germain | D 2-2 | 77.0 | 2000 | 2093 | 32.23% | 25.92% | 41.85% | -0.18 | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Rennes | D 2-2 | 77.0 | 2093 | 2000 | 41.85% | 25.92% | 32.23% | +0.18 | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Paris Saint-Germain | D 2-2 | 77.0 | 2033 | 2092 | 36.90% | 25.99% | 37.11% | +0.00 | +0.0 | 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | @ Lille | D 2-2 | 77.0 | 2092 | 2033 | 37.11% | 25.99% | 36.90% | +0.00 | -0.0 | 2 |
| 2026-08-29 | Lens | W 2-1 | 67.0 | 1945 | 2052 | 30.36% | 25.85% | 43.79% | -0.26 | +15.1 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Strasbourg | L 1-2 | 67.0 | 2052 | 1945 | 43.79% | 25.85% | 30.36% | +0.26 | -15.1 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | Angers | L 1-3 | 65.7 | 1929 | 1868 | 52.59% | 25.16% | 22.25% | +0.64 | -30.5 | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Auxerre | W 3-1 | 65.7 | 1868 | 1929 | 22.25% | 25.16% | 52.59% | -0.64 | +30.5 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | Troyes | L 1-2 | 68.8 | 1954 | 1913 | 50.20% | 25.42% | 24.39% | +0.53 | -16.9 | 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Lorient | W 2-1 | 68.8 | 1913 | 1954 | 24.39% | 25.42% | 50.20% | -0.53 | +16.9 | 4 |
| 2026-08-29 | Le Havre | D 1-1 | 72.4 | 2025 | 1902 | 59.14% | 24.13% | 16.73% | +0.97 | -3.5 | 4 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Lyon | D 1-1 | 72.4 | 1902 | 2025 | 16.73% | 24.13% | 59.14% | -0.97 | +3.5 | 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Toulouse | D 2-2 | 77.0 | 1927 | 1933 | 44.33% | 25.83% | 29.85% | +0.28 | -0.8 | 2 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Brest | D 2-2 | 77.0 | 1933 | 1927 | 29.85% | 25.83% | 44.33% | -0.28 | +0.8 | 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | Nice | W 3-0 | 51.1 | 1949 | 1932 | 47.19% | 25.66% | 27.15% | +0.40 | +30.3 | 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Paris FC | L 0-3 | 51.1 | 1932 | 1949 | 27.15% | 25.66% | 47.19% | -0.40 | -30.3 | 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | Le Mans | W 3-2 | 63.3 | 2000 | 1883 | 58.55% | 24.24% | 17.20% | +0.94 | +6.7 | 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Rennes | L 2-3 | 63.3 | 1883 | 2000 | 17.20% | 24.24% | 58.55% | -0.94 | -6.7 | 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | Marseille | W 2-0 | 55.0 | 2003 | 2034 | 40.82% | 25.95% | 33.23% | +0.14 | +24.4 | 6 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Monaco | L 0-2 | 55.0 | 2034 | 2003 | 33.23% | 25.95% | 40.82% | -0.14 | -24.4 | 3 |
| 2026-09-03 | Lille | L 0-1 | 58.4 | 1934 | 2033 | 31.40% | 25.89% | 42.71% | -0.22 | -12.4 | 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | @ Toulouse | W 1-0 | 58.4 | 2033 | 1934 | 42.71% | 25.89% | 31.40% | +0.22 | +12.4 | 7 |
| 2026-09-04 | Auxerre | W 3-1 | 54.6 | 2022 | 1898 | 59.20% | 24.12% | 16.69% | +0.97 | +11.9 | 7 |
| 2026-09-04 | @ Lyon | L 1-3 | 54.6 | 1898 | 2022 | 16.69% | 24.12% | 59.20% | -0.97 | -11.9 | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Monaco | L 1-2 | 69.6 | 2092 | 2027 | 53.03% | 25.11% | 21.87% | +0.66 | -17.8 | 2 |
| 2026-09-04 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | W 2-1 | 69.6 | 2027 | 2092 | 21.87% | 25.11% | 53.03% | -0.66 | +17.8 | 9 |
| 2026-09-05 | Brest | L 1-2 | 66.6 | 1906 | 1926 | 42.30% | 25.91% | 31.79% | +0.20 | -14.7 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Le Havre | W 2-1 | 66.6 | 1926 | 1906 | 31.79% | 25.91% | 42.30% | -0.20 | +14.7 | 5 |
| 2026-09-05 | Le Mans | D 1-1 | 71.9 | 1902 | 1877 | 48.33% | 25.58% | 26.09% | +0.45 | -1.7 | 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Nice | D 1-1 | 71.9 | 1877 | 1902 | 26.09% | 25.58% | 48.33% | -0.45 | +1.7 | 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | Lorient | L 0-1 | 65.6 | 2037 | 1937 | 56.86% | 24.55% | 18.59% | +0.85 | -20.1 | 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Lens | W 1-0 | 65.6 | 1937 | 2037 | 18.59% | 24.55% | 56.86% | -0.85 | +20.1 | 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | Strasbourg | L 2-6 | 61.0 | 1930 | 1960 | 41.01% | 25.94% | 33.05% | +0.15 | -38.4 | 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Troyes | W 6-2 | 61.0 | 1960 | 1930 | 33.05% | 25.94% | 41.01% | -0.15 | +38.4 | 6 |
| 2026-09-06 | Rennes | L 1-2 | 62.9 | 1898 | 2007 | 30.15% | 25.84% | 44.01% | -0.27 | -11.3 | 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Angers | W 2-1 | 62.9 | 2007 | 1898 | 44.01% | 25.84% | 30.15% | +0.27 | +11.3 | 7 |
| 2026-09-06 | Paris FC | L 2-3 | 73.2 | 2010 | 1979 | 49.02% | 25.52% | 25.46% | +0.48 | -15.7 | 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Marseille | W 3-2 | 73.2 | 1979 | 2010 | 25.46% | 25.52% | 49.02% | -0.48 | +15.7 | 7 |
| 2026-09-11 | Marseille | W 1-0 | 56.7 | 2018 | 1994 | 48.19% | 25.59% | 26.22% | +0.44 | +10.8 | 10 |
| 2026-09-11 | @ Rennes | L 0-1 | 56.7 | 1994 | 2018 | 26.22% | 25.59% | 48.19% | -0.44 | -10.8 | 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | Angers | D 0-0 | 67.6 | 1891 | 1887 | 45.63% | 25.76% | 28.61% | +0.33 | -1.4 | 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Le Havre | D 0-0 | 67.6 | 1887 | 1891 | 28.61% | 25.76% | 45.63% | -0.33 | +1.4 | 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | Nice | W 1-0 | 58.2 | 1886 | 1900 | 43.22% | 25.87% | 30.91% | +0.24 | +12.3 | 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Auxerre | L 0-1 | 58.2 | 1900 | 1886 | 30.91% | 25.87% | 43.22% | -0.24 | -12.3 | 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Toulouse | D 2-2 | 77.1 | 1957 | 1921 | 49.59% | 25.47% | 24.94% | +0.50 | -1.4 | 5 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Lorient | D 2-2 | 77.1 | 1921 | 1957 | 24.94% | 25.47% | 49.59% | -0.50 | +1.4 | 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Lyon | D 0-0 | 67.6 | 1995 | 2034 | 39.76% | 25.97% | 34.27% | +0.10 | -0.5 | 8 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Paris FC | D 0-0 | 67.6 | 2034 | 1995 | 34.27% | 25.97% | 39.76% | -0.10 | +0.5 | 8 |
| 2026-09-12 | Monaco | D 1-1 | 71.8 | 1999 | 2045 | 38.75% | 25.98% | 35.27% | +0.07 | -0.2 | 7 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Strasbourg | D 1-1 | 71.8 | 2045 | 1999 | 35.27% | 25.98% | 38.75% | -0.07 | +0.2 | 10 |
Upcoming Games
Remaining games on the team's schedule
| Date | Opponent | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Excitement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Lens | 1878 | 2017 | 26.47% | 25.61% | 47.92% | -0.43 | 57.3 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Le Mans | 2017 | 1878 | 47.92% | 25.61% | 26.47% | +0.43 | 57.3 |
| 2026-09-13 | Troyes | 2045 | 1892 | 61.99% | 23.49% | 14.52% | +1.13 | 49.4 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Lille | 1892 | 2045 | 14.52% | 23.49% | 61.99% | -1.13 | 49.4 |
| 2026-09-13 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1941 | 2074 | 27.15% | 25.66% | 47.19% | -0.40 | 57.8 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Brest | 2074 | 1941 | 47.19% | 25.66% | 27.15% | +0.40 | 57.8 |
| 2026-09-19 | Brest | 1899 | 1941 | 39.26% | 25.97% | 34.76% | +0.08 | 70.0 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Auxerre | 1941 | 1899 | 34.76% | 25.97% | 39.26% | -0.08 | 70.0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Lens | 2045 | 2017 | 48.66% | 25.55% | 25.79% | +0.46 | 73.4 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Monaco | 2017 | 2045 | 25.79% | 25.55% | 48.66% | -0.46 | 73.4 |
| 2026-09-19 | Strasbourg | 1994 | 1999 | 44.52% | 25.82% | 29.67% | +0.29 | 78.8 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Paris FC | 1999 | 1994 | 29.67% | 25.82% | 44.52% | -0.29 | 78.8 |
| 2026-09-19 | Le Havre | 1923 | 1890 | 49.30% | 25.50% | 25.21% | +0.49 | 60.8 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Toulouse | 1890 | 1923 | 25.21% | 25.50% | 49.30% | -0.49 | 60.8 |
| 2026-09-19 | Lorient | 1878 | 1956 | 34.34% | 25.97% | 39.69% | -0.10 | 59.4 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Le Mans | 1956 | 1878 | 39.69% | 25.97% | 34.34% | +0.10 | 59.4 |
| 2026-09-19 | Lille | 1888 | 2045 | 24.41% | 25.42% | 50.17% | -0.53 | 45.0 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Nice | 2045 | 1888 | 50.17% | 25.42% | 24.41% | +0.53 | 45.0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Rennes | 2034 | 2029 | 45.74% | 25.75% | 28.51% | +0.34 | 77.3 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Lyon | 2029 | 2034 | 28.51% | 25.75% | 45.74% | -0.34 | 77.3 |
| 2026-09-19 | Troyes | 1888 | 1892 | 44.63% | 25.81% | 29.56% | +0.29 | 69.9 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Angers | 1892 | 1888 | 29.56% | 25.81% | 44.63% | -0.29 | 69.9 |
| 2026-09-19 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1983 | 2074 | 32.48% | 25.93% | 41.59% | -0.17 | 60.4 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Marseille | 2074 | 1983 | 41.59% | 25.93% | 32.48% | +0.17 | 60.4 |
| 2026-10-10 | Toulouse | 2045 | 1923 | 59.08% | 24.14% | 16.78% | +0.97 | 49.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Monaco | 1923 | 2045 | 16.78% | 24.14% | 59.08% | -0.97 | 49.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | Marseille | 1892 | 1983 | 32.39% | 25.92% | 41.68% | -0.18 | 58.0 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Troyes | 1983 | 1892 | 41.68% | 25.92% | 32.39% | +0.18 | 58.0 |
| 2026-10-10 | Paris FC | 1956 | 1994 | 39.82% | 25.97% | 34.21% | +0.11 | 65.7 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Lorient | 1994 | 1956 | 34.21% | 25.97% | 39.82% | -0.11 | 65.7 |
| 2026-10-10 | Strasbourg | 1888 | 1999 | 29.94% | 25.83% | 44.23% | -0.28 | 52.9 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Nice | 1999 | 1888 | 44.23% | 25.83% | 29.94% | +0.28 | 52.9 |
| 2026-10-10 | Le Havre | 2045 | 1890 | 62.18% | 23.45% | 14.37% | +1.15 | 43.8 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Lille | 1890 | 2045 | 14.37% | 23.45% | 62.18% | -1.15 | 43.8 |
| 2026-10-10 | Le Mans | 2074 | 1878 | 65.60% | 22.49% | 11.91% | +1.36 | 49.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1878 | 2074 | 11.91% | 22.49% | 65.60% | -1.36 | 49.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | Lyon | 2017 | 2034 | 42.82% | 25.89% | 31.29% | +0.22 | 75.8 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Lens | 2034 | 2017 | 31.29% | 25.89% | 42.82% | -0.22 | 75.8 |
| 2026-10-10 | Angers | 1941 | 1888 | 51.64% | 25.27% | 23.09% | +0.60 | 65.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Brest | 1888 | 1941 | 23.09% | 25.27% | 51.64% | -0.60 | 65.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | Auxerre | 2029 | 1899 | 59.87% | 23.98% | 16.15% | +1.01 | 53.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Rennes | 1899 | 2029 | 16.15% | 23.98% | 59.87% | -1.01 | 53.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | Auxerre | 1890 | 1899 | 43.90% | 25.84% | 30.26% | +0.26 | 66.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Le Havre | 1899 | 1890 | 30.26% | 25.84% | 43.90% | -0.26 | 66.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | Lens | 1892 | 2017 | 28.07% | 25.72% | 46.20% | -0.36 | 56.7 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Troyes | 2017 | 1892 | 46.20% | 25.72% | 28.07% | +0.36 | 56.7 |
| 2026-10-17 | Monaco | 1956 | 2045 | 32.66% | 25.93% | 41.41% | -0.17 | 56.1 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Lorient | 2045 | 1956 | 41.41% | 25.93% | 32.66% | +0.17 | 56.1 |
| 2026-10-17 | Rennes | 1994 | 2029 | 40.34% | 25.96% | 33.71% | +0.13 | 73.0 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Paris FC | 2029 | 1994 | 33.71% | 25.96% | 40.34% | -0.13 | 73.0 |
| 2026-10-17 | Toulouse | 1878 | 1923 | 38.99% | 25.98% | 35.03% | +0.07 | 65.7 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Le Mans | 1923 | 1878 | 35.03% | 25.98% | 38.99% | -0.07 | 65.7 |
| 2026-10-17 | Nice | 2034 | 1888 | 61.32% | 23.65% | 15.03% | +1.09 | 42.6 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Lyon | 1888 | 2034 | 15.03% | 23.65% | 61.32% | -1.09 | 42.6 |
| 2026-10-17 | Brest | 2045 | 1941 | 57.26% | 24.48% | 18.26% | +0.87 | 59.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Lille | 1941 | 2045 | 18.26% | 24.48% | 57.26% | -0.87 | 59.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1999 | 2074 | 34.54% | 25.97% | 39.49% | -0.09 | 67.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Strasbourg | 2074 | 1999 | 39.49% | 25.97% | 34.54% | +0.09 | 67.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | Marseille | 1888 | 1983 | 31.94% | 25.91% | 42.15% | -0.20 | 55.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Angers | 1983 | 1888 | 42.15% | 25.91% | 31.94% | +0.20 | 55.2 |
| 2026-10-24 | Le Mans | 1899 | 1878 | 47.69% | 25.63% | 26.69% | +0.42 | 71.0 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Auxerre | 1878 | 1899 | 26.69% | 25.63% | 47.69% | -0.42 | 71.0 |
| 2026-10-24 | Lille | 2045 | 2045 | 45.07% | 25.79% | 29.14% | +0.31 | 75.9 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Monaco | 2045 | 2045 | 29.14% | 25.79% | 45.07% | -0.31 | 75.9 |
| 2026-10-24 | Troyes | 1923 | 1892 | 49.04% | 25.52% | 25.44% | +0.48 | 65.2 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Toulouse | 1892 | 1923 | 25.44% | 25.52% | 49.04% | -0.48 | 65.2 |
| 2026-10-24 | Le Havre | 1983 | 1890 | 56.18% | 24.66% | 19.16% | +0.81 | 50.5 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Marseille | 1890 | 1983 | 19.16% | 24.66% | 56.18% | -0.81 | 50.5 |
| 2026-10-24 | Paris FC | 2017 | 1994 | 48.04% | 25.60% | 26.36% | +0.44 | 74.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Lens | 1994 | 2017 | 26.36% | 25.60% | 48.04% | -0.44 | 74.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | Lorient | 1888 | 1956 | 35.75% | 25.99% | 38.27% | -0.05 | 57.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Angers | 1956 | 1888 | 38.27% | 25.99% | 35.75% | +0.05 | 57.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | Nice | 1941 | 1888 | 51.68% | 25.26% | 23.06% | +0.60 | 60.1 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Brest | 1888 | 1941 | 23.06% | 25.26% | 51.68% | -0.60 | 60.1 |
| 2026-10-24 | Strasbourg | 2029 | 1999 | 48.99% | 25.52% | 25.49% | +0.48 | 76.2 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Rennes | 1999 | 2029 | 25.49% | 25.52% | 48.99% | -0.48 | 76.2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Lyon | 2074 | 2034 | 50.14% | 25.42% | 24.44% | +0.53 | 69.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 2034 | 2074 | 24.44% | 25.42% | 50.14% | -0.53 | 69.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1890 | 2074 | 21.57% | 25.07% | 53.36% | -0.68 | 44.8 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Le Havre | 2074 | 1890 | 53.36% | 25.07% | 21.57% | +0.68 | 44.8 |
| 2026-10-31 | Le Mans | 1892 | 1878 | 46.83% | 25.69% | 27.49% | +0.38 | 72.8 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Troyes | 1878 | 1892 | 27.49% | 25.69% | 46.83% | -0.38 | 72.8 |
| 2026-10-31 | Brest | 1956 | 1941 | 46.95% | 25.68% | 27.37% | +0.39 | 72.6 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Lorient | 1941 | 1956 | 27.37% | 25.68% | 46.95% | -0.39 | 72.6 |
| 2026-10-31 | Monaco | 1994 | 2045 | 38.07% | 25.99% | 35.95% | +0.04 | 66.8 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Paris FC | 2045 | 1994 | 35.95% | 25.99% | 38.07% | -0.04 | 66.8 |
| 2026-10-31 | Rennes | 1888 | 2029 | 26.22% | 25.59% | 48.19% | -0.44 | 48.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Nice | 2029 | 1888 | 48.19% | 25.59% | 26.22% | +0.44 | 48.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | Angers | 2034 | 1888 | 61.29% | 23.66% | 15.05% | +1.09 | 46.7 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Lyon | 1888 | 2034 | 15.05% | 23.66% | 61.29% | -1.09 | 46.7 |
| 2026-10-31 | Toulouse | 1983 | 1923 | 52.53% | 25.17% | 22.30% | +0.64 | 60.1 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Marseille | 1923 | 1983 | 22.30% | 25.17% | 52.53% | -0.64 | 60.1 |
| 2026-10-31 | Lens | 2045 | 2017 | 48.67% | 25.55% | 25.78% | +0.46 | 74.3 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Lille | 2017 | 2045 | 25.78% | 25.55% | 48.67% | -0.46 | 74.3 |
| 2026-10-31 | Auxerre | 1999 | 1899 | 56.82% | 24.56% | 18.62% | +0.85 | 59.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Strasbourg | 1899 | 1999 | 18.62% | 24.56% | 56.82% | -0.85 | 59.0 |
| 2026-11-07 | Lorient | 1890 | 1956 | 35.93% | 25.99% | 38.08% | -0.04 | 55.5 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Le Havre | 1956 | 1890 | 38.08% | 25.99% | 35.93% | +0.04 | 55.5 |
| 2026-11-07 | Paris FC | 1899 | 1994 | 31.86% | 25.91% | 42.23% | -0.20 | 56.8 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Auxerre | 1994 | 1899 | 42.23% | 25.91% | 31.86% | +0.20 | 56.8 |
| 2026-11-07 | Strasbourg | 1923 | 1999 | 34.57% | 25.97% | 39.46% | -0.09 | 63.7 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Toulouse | 1999 | 1923 | 39.46% | 25.97% | 34.57% | +0.09 | 63.7 |
| 2026-11-07 | Monaco | 1878 | 2045 | 23.38% | 25.30% | 51.32% | -0.58 | 52.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Le Mans | 2045 | 1878 | 51.32% | 25.30% | 23.38% | +0.58 | 52.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | Troyes | 2074 | 1892 | 64.50% | 22.82% | 12.68% | +1.29 | 47.6 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1892 | 2074 | 12.68% | 22.82% | 64.50% | -1.29 | 47.6 |
| 2026-11-07 | Nice | 1888 | 1888 | 45.12% | 25.79% | 29.09% | +0.31 | 65.6 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Angers | 1888 | 1888 | 29.09% | 25.79% | 45.12% | -0.31 | 65.6 |
| 2026-11-07 | Lyon | 1941 | 2034 | 32.21% | 25.92% | 41.87% | -0.18 | 62.1 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Brest | 2034 | 1941 | 41.87% | 25.92% | 32.21% | +0.18 | 62.1 |
| 2026-11-07 | Lille | 2029 | 2045 | 42.92% | 25.88% | 31.19% | +0.23 | 76.8 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Rennes | 2045 | 2029 | 31.19% | 25.88% | 42.92% | -0.23 | 76.8 |
| 2026-11-07 | Marseille | 2017 | 1983 | 49.38% | 25.49% | 25.13% | +0.49 | 72.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Lens | 1983 | 2017 | 25.13% | 25.49% | 49.38% | -0.49 | 72.3 |
| 2026-11-21 | Auxerre | 2045 | 1899 | 61.37% | 23.64% | 14.99% | +1.10 | 48.3 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Monaco | 1899 | 2045 | 14.99% | 23.64% | 61.37% | -1.10 | 48.3 |
| 2026-11-21 | Le Havre | 1892 | 1890 | 45.36% | 25.77% | 28.87% | +0.32 | 67.3 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Troyes | 1890 | 1892 | 28.87% | 25.77% | 45.36% | -0.32 | 67.3 |
| 2026-11-21 | Rennes | 1956 | 2029 | 34.86% | 25.98% | 39.16% | -0.08 | 62.4 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Lorient | 2029 | 1956 | 39.16% | 25.98% | 34.86% | +0.08 | 62.4 |
| 2026-11-21 | Angers | 1994 | 1888 | 57.43% | 24.45% | 18.12% | +0.88 | 51.4 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Paris FC | 1888 | 1994 | 18.12% | 24.45% | 57.43% | -0.88 | 51.4 |
| 2026-11-21 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1888 | 2074 | 21.42% | 25.04% | 53.54% | -0.68 | 43.4 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Nice | 2074 | 1888 | 53.54% | 25.04% | 21.42% | +0.68 | 43.4 |
| 2026-11-21 | Le Mans | 1983 | 1878 | 57.35% | 24.46% | 18.18% | +0.87 | 56.1 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Marseille | 1878 | 1983 | 18.18% | 24.46% | 57.35% | -0.87 | 56.1 |
| 2026-11-21 | Lyon | 2045 | 2034 | 46.53% | 25.70% | 27.76% | +0.37 | 74.3 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Lille | 2034 | 2045 | 27.76% | 25.70% | 46.53% | -0.37 | 74.3 |
| 2026-11-21 | Brest | 1999 | 1941 | 52.17% | 25.21% | 22.63% | +0.62 | 70.6 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Strasbourg | 1941 | 1999 | 22.63% | 25.21% | 52.17% | -0.62 | 70.6 |
| 2026-11-21 | Toulouse | 2017 | 1923 | 56.25% | 24.65% | 19.10% | +0.82 | 56.7 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Lens | 1923 | 2017 | 19.10% | 24.65% | 56.25% | -0.82 | 56.7 |
| 2026-11-28 | Strasbourg | 1890 | 1999 | 30.14% | 25.84% | 44.02% | -0.27 | 54.8 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Le Havre | 1999 | 1890 | 44.02% | 25.84% | 30.14% | +0.27 | 54.8 |
| 2026-11-28 | Marseille | 1899 | 1983 | 33.31% | 25.95% | 40.74% | -0.14 | 58.6 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Auxerre | 1983 | 1899 | 40.74% | 25.95% | 33.31% | +0.14 | 58.6 |
| 2026-11-28 | Rennes | 1923 | 2029 | 30.47% | 25.85% | 43.68% | -0.26 | 56.9 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Toulouse | 2029 | 1923 | 43.68% | 25.85% | 30.47% | +0.26 | 56.9 |
| 2026-11-28 | Lille | 1878 | 2045 | 23.37% | 25.30% | 51.33% | -0.58 | 53.4 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Le Mans | 2045 | 1878 | 51.33% | 25.30% | 23.37% | +0.58 | 53.4 |
| 2026-11-28 | Troyes | 1888 | 1892 | 44.59% | 25.81% | 29.60% | +0.29 | 66.2 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Nice | 1892 | 1888 | 29.60% | 25.81% | 44.59% | -0.29 | 66.2 |
| 2026-11-28 | Monaco | 2034 | 2045 | 43.61% | 25.86% | 30.53% | +0.25 | 73.5 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Lyon | 2045 | 2034 | 30.53% | 25.86% | 43.61% | -0.25 | 73.5 |
| 2026-11-28 | Lorient | 2074 | 1956 | 58.72% | 24.21% | 17.07% | +0.95 | 50.7 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1956 | 2074 | 17.07% | 24.21% | 58.72% | -0.95 | 50.7 |
| 2026-11-28 | Lens | 1888 | 2017 | 27.66% | 25.70% | 46.64% | -0.38 | 54.2 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Angers | 2017 | 1888 | 46.64% | 25.70% | 27.66% | +0.38 | 54.2 |
| 2026-11-28 | Paris FC | 1941 | 1994 | 37.78% | 25.99% | 36.23% | +0.03 | 69.6 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Brest | 1994 | 1941 | 36.23% | 25.99% | 37.78% | -0.03 | 69.6 |
| 2026-12-05 | Angers | 2045 | 1888 | 62.29% | 23.42% | 14.29% | +1.15 | 45.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Monaco | 1888 | 2045 | 14.29% | 23.42% | 62.29% | -1.15 | 45.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | Lyon | 1892 | 2034 | 26.07% | 25.58% | 48.35% | -0.45 | 51.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Troyes | 2034 | 1892 | 48.35% | 25.58% | 26.07% | +0.45 | 51.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | Le Mans | 1994 | 1878 | 58.44% | 24.27% | 17.29% | +0.93 | 54.5 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Paris FC | 1878 | 1994 | 17.29% | 24.27% | 58.44% | -0.93 | 54.5 |
| 2026-12-05 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1923 | 2074 | 25.05% | 25.48% | 49.47% | -0.50 | 49.9 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Toulouse | 2074 | 1923 | 49.47% | 25.48% | 25.05% | +0.50 | 49.9 |
| 2026-12-05 | Nice | 1983 | 1888 | 56.35% | 24.63% | 19.02% | +0.82 | 49.1 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Marseille | 1888 | 1983 | 19.02% | 24.63% | 56.35% | -0.82 | 49.1 |
| 2026-12-05 | Auxerre | 2045 | 1899 | 61.38% | 23.64% | 14.98% | +1.10 | 49.4 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Lille | 1899 | 2045 | 14.98% | 23.64% | 61.38% | -1.10 | 49.4 |
| 2026-12-05 | Lorient | 1999 | 1956 | 50.47% | 25.39% | 24.14% | +0.54 | 68.9 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Strasbourg | 1956 | 1999 | 24.14% | 25.39% | 50.47% | -0.54 | 68.9 |
| 2026-12-05 | Le Havre | 2017 | 1890 | 59.58% | 24.04% | 16.38% | +0.99 | 48.5 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Lens | 1890 | 2017 | 16.38% | 24.04% | 59.58% | -0.99 | 48.5 |
| 2026-12-05 | Brest | 2029 | 1941 | 55.57% | 24.76% | 19.67% | +0.78 | 63.5 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Rennes | 1941 | 2029 | 19.67% | 24.76% | 55.57% | -0.78 | 63.5 |
| 2026-12-12 | Le Mans | 1890 | 1878 | 46.55% | 25.70% | 27.74% | +0.37 | 67.6 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Le Havre | 1878 | 1890 | 27.74% | 25.70% | 46.55% | -0.37 | 67.6 |
| 2026-12-12 | Toulouse | 1899 | 1923 | 41.82% | 25.92% | 32.26% | +0.18 | 66.5 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Auxerre | 1923 | 1899 | 32.26% | 25.92% | 41.82% | -0.18 | 66.5 |
| 2026-12-12 | Lille | 1956 | 2045 | 32.65% | 25.93% | 41.42% | -0.17 | 57.2 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Lorient | 2045 | 1956 | 41.42% | 25.93% | 32.65% | +0.17 | 57.2 |
| 2026-12-12 | Lens | 1888 | 2017 | 27.62% | 25.69% | 46.68% | -0.38 | 49.2 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Nice | 2017 | 1888 | 46.68% | 25.69% | 27.62% | +0.38 | 49.2 |
| 2026-12-12 | Paris FC | 2074 | 1994 | 54.72% | 24.88% | 20.39% | +0.74 | 60.5 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1994 | 2074 | 20.39% | 24.88% | 54.72% | -0.74 | 60.5 |
| 2026-12-12 | Strasbourg | 1888 | 1999 | 29.98% | 25.83% | 44.19% | -0.28 | 58.1 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Angers | 1999 | 1888 | 44.19% | 25.83% | 29.98% | +0.28 | 58.1 |
| 2026-12-12 | Troyes | 1941 | 1892 | 51.24% | 25.31% | 23.45% | +0.58 | 68.1 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Brest | 1892 | 1941 | 23.45% | 25.31% | 51.24% | -0.58 | 68.1 |
| 2026-12-12 | Monaco | 2029 | 2045 | 42.93% | 25.88% | 31.18% | +0.23 | 76.0 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Rennes | 2045 | 2029 | 31.18% | 25.88% | 42.93% | -0.23 | 76.0 |
| 2026-12-13 | Marseille | 2034 | 1983 | 51.41% | 25.29% | 23.30% | +0.58 | 65.6 |
| 2026-12-13 | @ Lyon | 1983 | 2034 | 23.30% | 25.29% | 51.41% | -0.58 | 65.6 |
| 2027-01-02 | Nice | 2045 | 1888 | 62.32% | 23.41% | 14.27% | +1.15 | 41.7 |
| 2027-01-02 | @ Monaco | 1888 | 2045 | 14.27% | 23.41% | 62.32% | -1.15 | 41.7 |
| 2027-01-02 | Rennes | 1892 | 2029 | 26.65% | 25.62% | 47.72% | -0.42 | 55.5 |
| 2027-01-02 | @ Troyes | 2029 | 1892 | 47.72% | 25.62% | 26.65% | +0.42 | 55.5 |
| 2027-01-02 | Auxerre | 1956 | 1899 | 52.13% | 25.21% | 22.65% | +0.62 | 59.3 |
| 2027-01-02 | @ Lorient | 1899 | 1956 | 22.65% | 25.21% | 52.13% | -0.62 | 59.3 |
| 2027-01-02 | Le Havre | 1994 | 1890 | 57.30% | 24.47% | 18.23% | +0.87 | 48.7 |
| 2027-01-02 | @ Paris FC | 1890 | 1994 | 18.23% | 24.47% | 57.30% | -0.87 | 48.7 |
| 2027-01-02 | Angers | 1923 | 1888 | 49.45% | 25.48% | 25.06% | +0.50 | 62.6 |
| 2027-01-02 | @ Toulouse | 1888 | 1923 | 25.06% | 25.48% | 49.45% | -0.50 | 62.6 |
| 2027-01-02 | Lyon | 1878 | 2034 | 24.57% | 25.43% | 50.00% | -0.52 | 53.0 |
| 2027-01-02 | @ Le Mans | 2034 | 1878 | 50.00% | 25.43% | 24.57% | +0.52 | 53.0 |
| 2027-01-02 | Strasbourg | 2045 | 1999 | 50.94% | 25.34% | 23.72% | +0.56 | 71.7 |
| 2027-01-02 | @ Lille | 1999 | 2045 | 23.72% | 25.34% | 50.94% | -0.56 | 71.7 |
| 2027-01-02 | Marseille | 1941 | 1983 | 39.32% | 25.97% | 34.71% | +0.09 | 71.6 |
| 2027-01-02 | @ Brest | 1983 | 1941 | 34.71% | 25.97% | 39.32% | -0.09 | 71.6 |
| 2027-01-03 | Paris Saint-Germain | 2017 | 2074 | 37.20% | 25.99% | 36.81% | +0.01 | 69.7 |
| 2027-01-03 | @ Lens | 2074 | 2017 | 36.81% | 25.99% | 37.20% | -0.01 | 69.7 |
| 2027-01-16 | Troyes | 1899 | 1892 | 45.97% | 25.74% | 28.29% | +0.35 | 70.9 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Auxerre | 1892 | 1899 | 28.29% | 25.74% | 45.97% | -0.35 | 70.9 |
| 2027-01-16 | Brest | 2045 | 1941 | 57.25% | 24.48% | 18.27% | +0.87 | 58.3 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Monaco | 1941 | 2045 | 18.27% | 24.48% | 57.25% | -0.87 | 58.3 |
| 2027-01-16 | Toulouse | 1994 | 1923 | 53.76% | 25.01% | 21.23% | +0.69 | 57.8 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Paris FC | 1923 | 1994 | 21.23% | 25.01% | 53.76% | -0.69 | 57.8 |
| 2027-01-16 | Le Havre | 1888 | 1890 | 44.87% | 25.80% | 29.33% | +0.30 | 64.5 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Nice | 1890 | 1888 | 29.33% | 25.80% | 44.87% | -0.30 | 64.5 |
| 2027-01-16 | Lorient | 2034 | 1956 | 54.55% | 24.91% | 20.54% | +0.73 | 56.3 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Lyon | 1956 | 2034 | 20.54% | 24.91% | 54.55% | -0.73 | 56.3 |
| 2027-01-16 | Lille | 1983 | 2045 | 36.50% | 25.99% | 37.51% | -0.02 | 65.8 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Marseille | 2045 | 1983 | 37.51% | 25.99% | 36.50% | +0.02 | 65.8 |
| 2027-01-16 | Le Mans | 1999 | 1878 | 58.86% | 24.18% | 16.95% | +0.96 | 58.0 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Strasbourg | 1878 | 1999 | 16.95% | 24.18% | 58.86% | -0.96 | 58.0 |
| 2027-01-16 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1888 | 2074 | 21.45% | 25.05% | 53.51% | -0.68 | 47.9 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Angers | 2074 | 1888 | 53.51% | 25.05% | 21.45% | +0.68 | 47.9 |
| 2027-01-16 | Lens | 2029 | 2017 | 46.63% | 25.70% | 27.67% | +0.38 | 78.6 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Rennes | 2017 | 2029 | 27.67% | 25.70% | 46.63% | -0.38 | 78.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | Rennes | 1890 | 2029 | 26.41% | 25.60% | 47.99% | -0.43 | 49.7 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Le Havre | 2029 | 1890 | 47.99% | 25.60% | 26.41% | +0.43 | 49.7 |
| 2027-01-23 | Monaco | 1892 | 2045 | 24.83% | 25.46% | 49.71% | -0.51 | 50.9 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Troyes | 2045 | 1892 | 49.71% | 25.46% | 24.83% | +0.51 | 50.9 |
| 2027-01-23 | Marseille | 1956 | 1983 | 41.33% | 25.93% | 32.73% | +0.16 | 67.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Lorient | 1983 | 1956 | 32.73% | 25.93% | 41.33% | -0.16 | 67.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | Nice | 1923 | 1888 | 49.49% | 25.48% | 25.03% | +0.50 | 59.8 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Toulouse | 1888 | 1923 | 25.03% | 25.48% | 49.49% | -0.50 | 59.8 |
| 2027-01-23 | Angers | 1878 | 1888 | 43.75% | 25.85% | 30.40% | +0.26 | 71.2 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Le Mans | 1888 | 1878 | 30.40% | 25.85% | 43.75% | -0.26 | 71.2 |
| 2027-01-23 | Paris FC | 2045 | 1994 | 51.44% | 25.29% | 23.27% | +0.59 | 66.7 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Lille | 1994 | 2045 | 23.27% | 25.29% | 51.44% | -0.59 | 66.7 |
| 2027-01-23 | Auxerre | 2074 | 1899 | 63.93% | 22.99% | 13.09% | +1.25 | 47.4 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1899 | 2074 | 13.09% | 22.99% | 63.93% | -1.25 | 47.4 |
| 2027-01-23 | Lyon | 1999 | 2034 | 40.24% | 25.96% | 33.80% | +0.12 | 74.1 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Strasbourg | 2034 | 1999 | 33.80% | 25.96% | 40.24% | -0.12 | 74.1 |
| 2027-01-23 | Brest | 2017 | 1941 | 54.28% | 24.94% | 20.78% | +0.72 | 65.8 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Lens | 1941 | 2017 | 20.78% | 24.94% | 54.28% | -0.72 | 65.8 |
| 2027-01-30 | Paris Saint-Germain | 2045 | 2074 | 41.15% | 25.94% | 32.91% | +0.16 | 71.9 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Monaco | 2074 | 2045 | 32.91% | 25.94% | 41.15% | -0.16 | 71.9 |
| 2027-01-30 | Auxerre | 1994 | 1899 | 56.38% | 24.63% | 18.99% | +0.82 | 54.8 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Paris FC | 1899 | 1994 | 18.99% | 24.63% | 56.38% | -0.82 | 54.8 |
| 2027-01-30 | Lens | 1923 | 2017 | 32.02% | 25.91% | 42.06% | -0.19 | 58.7 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Toulouse | 2017 | 1923 | 42.06% | 25.91% | 32.02% | +0.19 | 58.7 |
| 2027-01-30 | Nice | 1878 | 1888 | 43.79% | 25.85% | 30.36% | +0.26 | 66.8 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Le Mans | 1888 | 1878 | 30.36% | 25.85% | 43.79% | -0.26 | 66.8 |
| 2027-01-30 | Lille | 2034 | 2045 | 43.60% | 25.86% | 30.54% | +0.25 | 74.6 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Lyon | 2045 | 2034 | 30.54% | 25.86% | 43.60% | -0.25 | 74.6 |
| 2027-01-30 | Troyes | 1983 | 1892 | 55.95% | 24.70% | 19.35% | +0.80 | 56.1 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Marseille | 1892 | 1983 | 19.35% | 24.70% | 55.95% | -0.80 | 56.1 |
| 2027-01-30 | Le Havre | 1888 | 1890 | 44.91% | 25.80% | 29.29% | +0.31 | 66.2 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Angers | 1890 | 1888 | 29.29% | 25.80% | 44.91% | -0.31 | 66.2 |
| 2027-01-30 | Strasbourg | 1941 | 1999 | 37.17% | 25.99% | 36.85% | +0.01 | 72.0 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Brest | 1999 | 1941 | 36.85% | 25.99% | 37.17% | -0.01 | 72.0 |
| 2027-01-30 | Lorient | 2029 | 1956 | 54.00% | 24.98% | 21.02% | +0.71 | 60.8 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Rennes | 1956 | 2029 | 21.02% | 24.98% | 54.00% | -0.71 | 60.8 |
| 2027-02-06 | Toulouse | 1890 | 1923 | 40.58% | 25.95% | 33.47% | +0.14 | 61.7 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Le Havre | 1923 | 1890 | 33.47% | 25.95% | 40.58% | -0.14 | 61.7 |
| 2027-02-06 | Monaco | 1899 | 2045 | 25.59% | 25.53% | 48.88% | -0.47 | 50.8 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Auxerre | 2045 | 1899 | 48.88% | 25.53% | 25.59% | +0.47 | 50.8 |
| 2027-02-06 | Lille | 1892 | 2045 | 24.82% | 25.46% | 49.72% | -0.51 | 52.1 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Troyes | 2045 | 1892 | 49.72% | 25.46% | 24.82% | +0.51 | 52.1 |
| 2027-02-06 | Le Mans | 1956 | 1878 | 54.41% | 24.93% | 20.66% | +0.73 | 57.7 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Lorient | 1878 | 1956 | 20.66% | 24.93% | 54.41% | -0.73 | 57.7 |
| 2027-02-06 | Brest | 1888 | 1941 | 37.76% | 25.99% | 36.25% | +0.03 | 61.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Nice | 1941 | 1888 | 36.25% | 25.99% | 37.76% | -0.03 | 61.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | Paris FC | 1999 | 1994 | 45.64% | 25.76% | 28.60% | +0.34 | 78.7 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Strasbourg | 1994 | 1999 | 28.60% | 25.76% | 45.64% | -0.34 | 78.7 |
| 2027-02-06 | Angers | 2017 | 1888 | 59.71% | 24.01% | 16.28% | +1.00 | 51.8 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Lens | 1888 | 2017 | 16.28% | 24.01% | 59.71% | -1.00 | 51.8 |
| 2027-02-06 | Lyon | 2029 | 2034 | 44.42% | 25.82% | 29.76% | +0.29 | 77.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Rennes | 2034 | 2029 | 29.76% | 25.82% | 44.42% | -0.29 | 77.4 |
| 2027-02-07 | Marseille | 2074 | 1983 | 55.89% | 24.71% | 19.41% | +0.80 | 58.5 |
| 2027-02-07 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1983 | 2074 | 19.41% | 24.71% | 55.89% | -0.80 | 58.5 |
| 2027-02-13 | Strasbourg | 1899 | 1999 | 31.29% | 25.89% | 42.82% | -0.22 | 61.0 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Auxerre | 1999 | 1899 | 42.82% | 25.89% | 31.29% | +0.22 | 61.0 |
| 2027-02-13 | Le Havre | 1956 | 1890 | 53.15% | 25.09% | 21.76% | +0.67 | 53.9 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Lorient | 1890 | 1956 | 21.76% | 25.09% | 53.15% | -0.67 | 53.9 |
| 2027-02-13 | Troyes | 1994 | 1892 | 57.08% | 24.51% | 18.41% | +0.86 | 54.2 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Paris FC | 1892 | 1994 | 18.41% | 24.51% | 57.08% | -0.86 | 54.2 |
| 2027-02-13 | Monaco | 1923 | 2045 | 28.45% | 25.75% | 45.80% | -0.34 | 51.5 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Toulouse | 2045 | 1923 | 45.80% | 25.75% | 28.45% | +0.34 | 51.5 |
| 2027-02-13 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1878 | 2074 | 20.49% | 24.90% | 54.62% | -0.74 | 52.0 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Le Mans | 2074 | 1878 | 54.62% | 24.90% | 20.49% | +0.74 | 52.0 |
| 2027-02-13 | Lens | 2034 | 2017 | 47.27% | 25.66% | 27.08% | +0.40 | 75.4 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Lyon | 2017 | 2034 | 27.08% | 25.66% | 47.27% | -0.40 | 75.4 |
| 2027-02-13 | Angers | 1983 | 1888 | 56.31% | 24.64% | 19.05% | +0.82 | 53.2 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Marseille | 1888 | 1983 | 19.05% | 24.64% | 56.31% | -0.82 | 53.2 |
| 2027-02-13 | Nice | 2045 | 1888 | 62.32% | 23.41% | 14.27% | +1.15 | 42.4 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Lille | 1888 | 2045 | 14.27% | 23.41% | 62.32% | -1.15 | 42.4 |
| 2027-02-13 | Rennes | 1941 | 2029 | 32.88% | 25.94% | 41.18% | -0.16 | 65.4 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Brest | 2029 | 1941 | 41.18% | 25.94% | 32.88% | +0.16 | 65.4 |
| 2027-02-20 | Lyon | 1890 | 2034 | 25.83% | 25.55% | 48.61% | -0.46 | 46.4 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Le Havre | 2034 | 1890 | 48.61% | 25.55% | 25.83% | +0.46 | 46.4 |
| 2027-02-20 | Le Mans | 2045 | 1878 | 63.17% | 23.19% | 13.64% | +1.21 | 49.6 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Monaco | 1878 | 2045 | 13.64% | 23.19% | 63.17% | -1.21 | 49.6 |
| 2027-02-20 | Auxerre | 1888 | 1899 | 43.68% | 25.85% | 30.46% | +0.26 | 65.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Nice | 1899 | 1888 | 30.46% | 25.85% | 43.68% | -0.26 | 65.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | Lorient | 2045 | 1956 | 55.76% | 24.73% | 19.52% | +0.79 | 55.3 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Lille | 1956 | 2045 | 19.52% | 24.73% | 55.76% | -0.79 | 55.3 |
| 2027-02-20 | Brest | 2074 | 1941 | 60.11% | 23.93% | 15.96% | +1.02 | 55.4 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1941 | 2074 | 15.96% | 23.93% | 60.11% | -1.02 | 55.4 |
| 2027-02-20 | Marseille | 1999 | 1983 | 47.04% | 25.67% | 27.29% | +0.39 | 77.0 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Strasbourg | 1983 | 1999 | 27.29% | 25.67% | 47.04% | -0.39 | 77.0 |
| 2027-02-20 | Troyes | 2017 | 1892 | 59.38% | 24.08% | 16.54% | +0.98 | 54.3 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Lens | 1892 | 2017 | 16.54% | 24.08% | 59.38% | -0.98 | 54.3 |
| 2027-02-20 | Paris FC | 1888 | 1994 | 30.53% | 25.86% | 43.62% | -0.25 | 53.6 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Angers | 1994 | 1888 | 43.62% | 25.86% | 30.53% | +0.25 | 53.6 |
| 2027-02-20 | Toulouse | 2029 | 1923 | 57.48% | 24.44% | 18.08% | +0.88 | 54.8 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Rennes | 1923 | 2029 | 18.08% | 24.44% | 57.48% | -0.88 | 54.8 |
| 2027-02-27 | Lille | 1899 | 2045 | 25.58% | 25.53% | 48.89% | -0.47 | 52.0 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Auxerre | 2045 | 1899 | 48.89% | 25.53% | 25.58% | +0.47 | 52.0 |
| 2027-02-27 | Nice | 1892 | 1888 | 45.57% | 25.76% | 28.67% | +0.33 | 66.1 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Troyes | 1888 | 1892 | 28.67% | 25.76% | 45.57% | -0.33 | 66.1 |
| 2027-02-27 | Angers | 1956 | 1888 | 53.30% | 25.07% | 21.63% | +0.67 | 55.7 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Lorient | 1888 | 1956 | 21.63% | 25.07% | 53.30% | -0.67 | 55.7 |
| 2027-02-27 | Paris FC | 1878 | 1994 | 29.25% | 25.79% | 44.95% | -0.31 | 56.8 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Le Mans | 1994 | 1878 | 44.95% | 25.79% | 29.25% | +0.31 | 56.8 |
| 2027-02-27 | Toulouse | 2034 | 1923 | 57.98% | 24.35% | 17.66% | +0.91 | 50.6 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Lyon | 1923 | 2034 | 17.66% | 24.35% | 57.98% | -0.91 | 50.6 |
| 2027-02-27 | Rennes | 1983 | 2029 | 38.81% | 25.98% | 35.21% | +0.07 | 71.0 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Marseille | 2029 | 1983 | 35.21% | 25.98% | 38.81% | -0.07 | 71.0 |
| 2027-02-27 | Le Havre | 1999 | 1890 | 57.73% | 24.40% | 17.87% | +0.89 | 52.6 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Strasbourg | 1890 | 1999 | 17.87% | 24.40% | 57.73% | -0.89 | 52.6 |
| 2027-02-27 | Monaco | 1941 | 2045 | 30.76% | 25.87% | 43.38% | -0.24 | 60.4 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Brest | 2045 | 1941 | 43.38% | 25.87% | 30.76% | +0.24 | 60.4 |
| 2027-02-28 | Lens | 2074 | 2017 | 52.14% | 25.21% | 22.65% | +0.62 | 68.3 |
| 2027-02-28 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 2017 | 2074 | 22.65% | 25.21% | 52.14% | -0.62 | 68.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | Nice | 1890 | 1888 | 45.29% | 25.78% | 28.93% | +0.32 | 64.5 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Le Havre | 1888 | 1890 | 28.93% | 25.78% | 45.29% | -0.32 | 64.5 |
| 2027-03-06 | Lyon | 2045 | 2034 | 46.52% | 25.70% | 27.77% | +0.37 | 73.2 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Monaco | 2034 | 2045 | 27.77% | 25.70% | 46.52% | -0.37 | 73.2 |
| 2027-03-06 | Lorient | 1892 | 1956 | 36.23% | 25.99% | 37.78% | -0.03 | 59.8 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Troyes | 1956 | 1892 | 37.78% | 25.99% | 36.23% | +0.03 | 59.8 |
| 2027-03-06 | Brest | 1994 | 1941 | 51.67% | 25.27% | 23.07% | +0.60 | 68.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Paris FC | 1941 | 1994 | 23.07% | 25.27% | 51.67% | -0.60 | 68.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | Le Mans | 1923 | 1878 | 50.66% | 25.37% | 23.97% | +0.55 | 64.6 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Toulouse | 1878 | 1923 | 23.97% | 25.37% | 50.66% | -0.55 | 64.6 |
| 2027-03-06 | Marseille | 2045 | 1983 | 52.70% | 25.15% | 22.16% | +0.64 | 64.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Lille | 1983 | 2045 | 22.16% | 25.15% | 52.70% | -0.64 | 64.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | Strasbourg | 2017 | 1999 | 47.50% | 25.64% | 26.86% | +0.41 | 78.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Lens | 1999 | 2017 | 26.86% | 25.64% | 47.50% | -0.41 | 78.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | Auxerre | 1888 | 1899 | 43.73% | 25.85% | 30.42% | +0.26 | 68.6 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Angers | 1899 | 1888 | 30.42% | 25.85% | 43.73% | -0.26 | 68.6 |
| 2027-03-06 | Paris Saint-Germain | 2029 | 2074 | 38.90% | 25.98% | 35.12% | +0.07 | 72.0 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Rennes | 2074 | 2029 | 35.12% | 25.98% | 38.90% | -0.07 | 72.0 |
| 2027-03-13 | Lens | 1890 | 2017 | 27.82% | 25.71% | 46.48% | -0.37 | 50.9 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Le Havre | 2017 | 1890 | 46.48% | 25.71% | 27.82% | +0.37 | 50.9 |
| 2027-03-13 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1899 | 2074 | 22.46% | 25.19% | 52.35% | -0.63 | 50.1 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Auxerre | 2074 | 1899 | 52.35% | 25.19% | 22.46% | +0.63 | 50.1 |
| 2027-03-13 | Lorient | 1994 | 1956 | 49.95% | 25.44% | 24.61% | +0.52 | 64.7 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Paris FC | 1956 | 1994 | 24.61% | 25.44% | 49.95% | -0.52 | 64.7 |
| 2027-03-13 | Rennes | 1878 | 2029 | 25.12% | 25.49% | 49.39% | -0.49 | 56.3 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Le Mans | 2029 | 1878 | 49.39% | 25.49% | 25.12% | +0.49 | 56.3 |
| 2027-03-13 | Toulouse | 1888 | 1923 | 40.36% | 25.96% | 33.69% | +0.13 | 60.7 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Nice | 1923 | 1888 | 33.69% | 25.96% | 40.36% | -0.13 | 60.7 |
| 2027-03-13 | Troyes | 2034 | 1892 | 60.98% | 23.73% | 15.29% | +1.07 | 49.2 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Lyon | 1892 | 2034 | 15.29% | 23.73% | 60.98% | -1.07 | 49.2 |
| 2027-03-13 | Monaco | 1983 | 2045 | 36.51% | 25.99% | 37.50% | -0.02 | 64.7 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Marseille | 2045 | 1983 | 37.50% | 25.99% | 36.51% | +0.02 | 64.7 |
| 2027-03-13 | Angers | 1999 | 1888 | 57.87% | 24.37% | 17.76% | +0.90 | 55.8 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Strasbourg | 1888 | 1999 | 17.76% | 24.37% | 57.87% | -0.90 | 55.8 |
| 2027-03-13 | Lille | 1941 | 2045 | 30.74% | 25.87% | 43.39% | -0.24 | 61.3 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Brest | 2045 | 1941 | 43.39% | 25.87% | 30.74% | +0.24 | 61.3 |
| 2027-03-20 | Le Havre | 2045 | 1890 | 62.17% | 23.45% | 14.38% | +1.14 | 42.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Monaco | 1890 | 2045 | 14.38% | 23.45% | 62.17% | -1.14 | 42.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | Auxerre | 1892 | 1899 | 44.18% | 25.83% | 29.99% | +0.28 | 71.1 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Troyes | 1899 | 1892 | 29.99% | 25.83% | 44.18% | -0.28 | 71.1 |
| 2027-03-20 | Nice | 1956 | 1888 | 53.33% | 25.07% | 21.60% | +0.67 | 52.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Lorient | 1888 | 1956 | 21.60% | 25.07% | 53.33% | -0.67 | 52.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | Brest | 1923 | 1941 | 42.63% | 25.89% | 31.48% | +0.21 | 72.4 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Toulouse | 1941 | 1923 | 31.48% | 25.89% | 42.63% | -0.21 | 72.4 |
| 2027-03-20 | Strasbourg | 2074 | 1999 | 54.25% | 24.95% | 20.80% | +0.72 | 65.5 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1999 | 2074 | 20.80% | 24.95% | 54.25% | -0.72 | 65.5 |
| 2027-03-20 | Lille | 2017 | 2045 | 41.29% | 25.94% | 32.77% | +0.16 | 75.0 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Lens | 2045 | 2017 | 32.77% | 25.94% | 41.29% | -0.16 | 75.0 |
| 2027-03-20 | Le Mans | 1888 | 1878 | 46.39% | 25.71% | 27.90% | +0.37 | 71.0 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Angers | 1878 | 1888 | 27.90% | 25.71% | 46.39% | -0.37 | 71.0 |
| 2027-03-20 | Paris FC | 2029 | 1994 | 49.51% | 25.48% | 25.01% | +0.50 | 72.1 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Rennes | 1994 | 2029 | 25.01% | 25.48% | 49.51% | -0.50 | 72.1 |
| 2027-03-21 | Lyon | 1983 | 2034 | 38.10% | 25.99% | 35.91% | +0.04 | 66.8 |
| 2027-03-21 | @ Marseille | 2034 | 1983 | 35.91% | 25.99% | 38.10% | -0.04 | 66.8 |
| 2027-04-03 | Troyes | 1890 | 1892 | 44.80% | 25.80% | 29.40% | +0.30 | 67.4 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Le Havre | 1892 | 1890 | 29.40% | 25.80% | 44.80% | -0.30 | 67.4 |
| 2027-04-03 | Lens | 1899 | 2017 | 28.91% | 25.78% | 45.32% | -0.32 | 57.0 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Auxerre | 2017 | 1899 | 45.32% | 25.78% | 28.91% | +0.32 | 57.0 |
| 2027-04-03 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1994 | 2074 | 33.95% | 25.96% | 40.09% | -0.12 | 62.3 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Paris FC | 2074 | 1994 | 40.09% | 25.96% | 33.95% | +0.12 | 62.3 |
| 2027-04-03 | Marseille | 1878 | 1983 | 30.63% | 25.86% | 43.51% | -0.25 | 58.2 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Le Mans | 1983 | 1878 | 43.51% | 25.86% | 30.63% | +0.25 | 58.2 |
| 2027-04-03 | Lyon | 1888 | 2034 | 25.65% | 25.54% | 48.81% | -0.47 | 45.1 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Nice | 2034 | 1888 | 48.81% | 25.54% | 25.65% | +0.47 | 45.1 |
| 2027-04-03 | Rennes | 2045 | 2029 | 47.17% | 25.66% | 27.17% | +0.40 | 76.4 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Lille | 2029 | 2045 | 27.17% | 25.66% | 47.17% | -0.40 | 76.4 |
| 2027-04-03 | Toulouse | 1999 | 1923 | 54.23% | 24.95% | 20.82% | +0.72 | 62.0 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Strasbourg | 1923 | 1999 | 20.82% | 24.95% | 54.23% | -0.72 | 62.0 |
| 2027-04-03 | Monaco | 1888 | 2045 | 24.45% | 25.42% | 50.12% | -0.53 | 48.4 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Angers | 2045 | 1888 | 50.12% | 25.42% | 24.45% | +0.53 | 48.4 |
| 2027-04-03 | Lorient | 1941 | 1956 | 43.16% | 25.88% | 30.97% | +0.24 | 73.0 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Brest | 1956 | 1941 | 30.97% | 25.88% | 43.16% | -0.24 | 73.0 |
| 2027-04-10 | Rennes | 2045 | 2029 | 47.16% | 25.66% | 27.18% | +0.40 | 75.6 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Monaco | 2029 | 2045 | 27.18% | 25.66% | 47.16% | -0.40 | 75.6 |
| 2027-04-10 | Angers | 1892 | 1888 | 45.53% | 25.76% | 28.71% | +0.33 | 69.8 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Troyes | 1888 | 1892 | 28.71% | 25.76% | 45.53% | -0.33 | 69.8 |
| 2027-04-10 | Lens | 1956 | 2017 | 36.54% | 25.99% | 37.47% | -0.02 | 64.7 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Lorient | 2017 | 1956 | 37.47% | 25.99% | 36.54% | +0.02 | 64.7 |
| 2027-04-10 | Auxerre | 1878 | 1899 | 42.37% | 25.90% | 31.73% | +0.20 | 71.6 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Le Mans | 1899 | 1878 | 31.73% | 25.90% | 42.37% | -0.20 | 71.6 |
| 2027-04-10 | Paris FC | 1888 | 1994 | 30.48% | 25.85% | 43.66% | -0.26 | 49.5 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Nice | 1994 | 1888 | 43.66% | 25.85% | 30.48% | +0.26 | 49.5 |
| 2027-04-10 | Strasbourg | 2034 | 1999 | 49.60% | 25.47% | 24.93% | +0.50 | 73.3 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Lyon | 1999 | 2034 | 24.93% | 25.47% | 49.60% | -0.50 | 73.3 |
| 2027-04-10 | Brest | 1983 | 1941 | 50.39% | 25.40% | 24.22% | +0.54 | 70.6 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Marseille | 1941 | 1983 | 24.22% | 25.40% | 50.39% | -0.54 | 70.6 |
| 2027-04-10 | Toulouse | 2045 | 1923 | 59.09% | 24.14% | 16.77% | +0.97 | 50.2 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Lille | 1923 | 2045 | 16.77% | 24.14% | 59.09% | -0.97 | 50.2 |
| 2027-04-10 | Le Havre | 2074 | 1890 | 64.67% | 22.77% | 12.56% | +1.30 | 42.1 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1890 | 2074 | 12.56% | 22.77% | 64.67% | -1.30 | 42.1 |
| 2027-04-17 | Marseille | 1890 | 1983 | 32.11% | 25.92% | 41.97% | -0.19 | 52.5 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Le Havre | 1983 | 1890 | 41.97% | 25.92% | 32.11% | +0.19 | 52.5 |
| 2027-04-17 | Lorient | 1899 | 1956 | 37.21% | 25.99% | 36.80% | +0.01 | 60.6 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Auxerre | 1956 | 1899 | 36.80% | 25.99% | 37.21% | -0.01 | 60.6 |
| 2027-04-17 | Strasbourg | 2045 | 1999 | 50.93% | 25.34% | 23.73% | +0.56 | 71.0 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Monaco | 1999 | 2045 | 23.73% | 25.34% | 50.93% | -0.56 | 71.0 |
| 2027-04-17 | Paris FC | 1923 | 1994 | 35.17% | 25.98% | 38.85% | -0.07 | 59.4 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Toulouse | 1994 | 1923 | 38.85% | 25.98% | 35.17% | +0.07 | 59.4 |
| 2027-04-17 | Lille | 2074 | 2045 | 48.78% | 25.54% | 25.68% | +0.47 | 72.3 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 2045 | 2074 | 25.68% | 25.54% | 48.78% | -0.47 | 72.3 |
| 2027-04-17 | Nice | 2017 | 1888 | 59.74% | 24.01% | 16.26% | +1.00 | 46.7 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Lens | 1888 | 2017 | 16.26% | 24.01% | 59.74% | -1.00 | 46.7 |
| 2027-04-17 | Lyon | 1888 | 2034 | 25.69% | 25.54% | 48.77% | -0.47 | 49.2 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Angers | 2034 | 1888 | 48.77% | 25.54% | 25.69% | +0.47 | 49.2 |
| 2027-04-17 | Le Mans | 1941 | 1878 | 52.80% | 25.14% | 22.07% | +0.65 | 67.1 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Brest | 1878 | 1941 | 22.07% | 25.14% | 52.80% | -0.65 | 67.1 |
| 2027-04-17 | Troyes | 2029 | 1892 | 60.51% | 23.84% | 15.65% | +1.05 | 53.0 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Rennes | 1892 | 2029 | 15.65% | 23.84% | 60.51% | -1.05 | 53.0 |
| 2027-04-24 | Toulouse | 1892 | 1923 | 40.88% | 25.95% | 33.18% | +0.15 | 65.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Troyes | 1923 | 1892 | 33.18% | 25.95% | 40.88% | -0.15 | 65.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1956 | 2074 | 28.90% | 25.77% | 45.33% | -0.32 | 53.0 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Lorient | 2074 | 1956 | 45.33% | 25.77% | 28.90% | +0.32 | 53.0 |
| 2027-04-24 | Lens | 1994 | 2017 | 41.99% | 25.92% | 32.10% | +0.19 | 74.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Paris FC | 2017 | 1994 | 32.10% | 25.92% | 41.99% | -0.19 | 74.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | Le Havre | 1878 | 1890 | 43.57% | 25.86% | 30.57% | +0.25 | 67.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Le Mans | 1890 | 1878 | 30.57% | 25.86% | 43.57% | -0.25 | 67.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | Angers | 1888 | 1888 | 45.04% | 25.79% | 29.17% | +0.31 | 65.6 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Nice | 1888 | 1888 | 29.17% | 25.79% | 45.04% | -0.31 | 65.6 |
| 2027-04-24 | Brest | 2034 | 1941 | 56.10% | 24.67% | 19.22% | +0.81 | 60.2 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Lyon | 1941 | 2034 | 19.22% | 24.67% | 56.10% | -0.81 | 60.2 |
| 2027-04-24 | Auxerre | 1983 | 1899 | 55.23% | 24.81% | 19.96% | +0.77 | 56.8 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Marseille | 1899 | 1983 | 19.96% | 24.81% | 55.23% | -0.77 | 56.8 |
| 2027-04-24 | Monaco | 2045 | 2045 | 45.09% | 25.79% | 29.12% | +0.31 | 75.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Lille | 2045 | 2045 | 29.12% | 25.79% | 45.09% | -0.31 | 75.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | Rennes | 1999 | 2029 | 40.93% | 25.94% | 33.12% | +0.15 | 76.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Strasbourg | 2029 | 1999 | 33.12% | 25.94% | 40.93% | -0.15 | 76.9 |
| 2027-05-01 | Paris FC | 1890 | 1994 | 30.69% | 25.86% | 43.44% | -0.25 | 50.8 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Le Havre | 1994 | 1890 | 43.44% | 25.86% | 30.69% | +0.25 | 50.8 |
| 2027-05-01 | Lyon | 1899 | 2034 | 26.86% | 25.64% | 47.50% | -0.41 | 51.8 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Auxerre | 2034 | 1899 | 47.50% | 25.64% | 26.86% | +0.41 | 51.8 |
| 2027-05-01 | Lorient | 2045 | 1956 | 55.75% | 24.73% | 19.52% | +0.79 | 54.2 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Monaco | 1956 | 2045 | 19.52% | 24.73% | 55.75% | -0.79 | 54.2 |
| 2027-05-01 | Brest | 1892 | 1941 | 38.30% | 25.98% | 35.72% | +0.05 | 69.3 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Troyes | 1941 | 1892 | 35.72% | 25.98% | 38.30% | -0.05 | 69.3 |
| 2027-05-01 | Marseille | 1923 | 1983 | 36.70% | 25.99% | 37.31% | -0.01 | 61.5 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Toulouse | 1983 | 1923 | 37.31% | 25.99% | 36.70% | +0.01 | 61.5 |
| 2027-05-01 | Angers | 2074 | 1888 | 64.78% | 22.74% | 12.48% | +1.31 | 45.1 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1888 | 2074 | 12.48% | 22.74% | 64.78% | -1.31 | 45.1 |
| 2027-05-01 | Lille | 1999 | 2045 | 38.66% | 25.98% | 35.35% | +0.06 | 72.8 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Strasbourg | 2045 | 1999 | 35.35% | 25.98% | 38.66% | -0.06 | 72.8 |
| 2027-05-01 | Le Mans | 2017 | 1878 | 60.65% | 23.81% | 15.54% | +1.06 | 54.8 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Lens | 1878 | 2017 | 15.54% | 23.81% | 60.65% | -1.06 | 54.8 |
| 2027-05-01 | Nice | 2029 | 1888 | 60.86% | 23.76% | 15.38% | +1.07 | 45.5 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Rennes | 1888 | 2029 | 15.38% | 23.76% | 60.86% | -1.07 | 45.5 |
| 2027-05-08 | Strasbourg | 1956 | 1999 | 39.22% | 25.98% | 34.80% | +0.08 | 70.0 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Lorient | 1999 | 1956 | 34.80% | 25.98% | 39.22% | -0.08 | 70.0 |
| 2027-05-08 | Lille | 1994 | 2045 | 38.05% | 25.99% | 35.96% | +0.04 | 67.9 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Paris FC | 2045 | 1994 | 35.96% | 25.99% | 38.05% | -0.04 | 67.9 |
| 2027-05-08 | Troyes | 1878 | 1892 | 43.29% | 25.87% | 30.84% | +0.24 | 73.1 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Le Mans | 1892 | 1878 | 30.84% | 25.87% | 43.29% | -0.24 | 73.1 |
| 2027-05-08 | Marseille | 1888 | 1983 | 31.90% | 25.91% | 42.19% | -0.20 | 51.1 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Nice | 1983 | 1888 | 42.19% | 25.91% | 31.90% | +0.20 | 51.1 |
| 2027-05-08 | Monaco | 2017 | 2045 | 41.30% | 25.93% | 32.76% | +0.16 | 74.1 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Lens | 2045 | 2017 | 32.76% | 25.93% | 41.30% | -0.16 | 74.1 |
| 2027-05-08 | Toulouse | 1888 | 1923 | 40.40% | 25.96% | 33.64% | +0.13 | 63.5 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Angers | 1923 | 1888 | 33.64% | 25.96% | 40.40% | -0.13 | 63.5 |
| 2027-05-08 | Auxerre | 1941 | 1899 | 50.44% | 25.39% | 24.17% | +0.54 | 69.0 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Brest | 1899 | 1941 | 24.17% | 25.39% | 50.44% | -0.54 | 69.0 |
| 2027-05-08 | Le Havre | 2029 | 1890 | 60.71% | 23.79% | 15.50% | +1.06 | 47.2 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Rennes | 1890 | 2029 | 15.50% | 23.79% | 60.71% | -1.06 | 47.2 |
| 2027-05-09 | Paris Saint-Germain | 2034 | 2074 | 39.61% | 25.97% | 34.42% | +0.10 | 70.0 |
| 2027-05-09 | @ Lyon | 2074 | 2034 | 34.42% | 25.97% | 39.61% | -0.10 | 70.0 |
| 2027-05-16 | Rennes | 1899 | 2029 | 27.46% | 25.68% | 46.86% | -0.39 | 55.7 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Auxerre | 2029 | 1899 | 46.86% | 25.68% | 27.46% | +0.39 | 55.7 |
| 2027-05-16 | Paris FC | 2045 | 1994 | 51.43% | 25.29% | 23.28% | +0.59 | 65.6 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Monaco | 1994 | 2045 | 23.28% | 25.29% | 51.43% | -0.59 | 65.6 |
| 2027-05-16 | Lorient | 1923 | 1956 | 40.64% | 25.95% | 33.41% | +0.14 | 63.8 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Toulouse | 1956 | 1923 | 33.41% | 25.95% | 40.64% | -0.14 | 63.8 |
| 2027-05-16 | Le Mans | 2034 | 1878 | 62.20% | 23.44% | 14.36% | +1.15 | 50.4 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Lyon | 1878 | 2034 | 14.36% | 23.44% | 62.20% | -1.15 | 50.4 |
| 2027-05-16 | Lens | 1983 | 2017 | 40.49% | 25.95% | 33.56% | +0.13 | 73.1 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Marseille | 2017 | 1983 | 33.56% | 25.95% | 40.49% | -0.13 | 73.1 |
| 2027-05-16 | Angers | 2045 | 1888 | 62.30% | 23.42% | 14.29% | +1.15 | 46.9 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Lille | 1888 | 2045 | 14.29% | 23.42% | 62.30% | -1.15 | 46.9 |
| 2027-05-16 | Nice | 2074 | 1888 | 64.81% | 22.73% | 12.46% | +1.31 | 40.7 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1888 | 2074 | 12.46% | 22.73% | 64.81% | -1.31 | 40.7 |
| 2027-05-16 | Troyes | 1999 | 1892 | 57.52% | 24.43% | 18.04% | +0.88 | 58.3 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Strasbourg | 1892 | 1999 | 18.04% | 24.43% | 57.52% | -0.88 | 58.3 |
| 2027-05-16 | Le Havre | 1941 | 1890 | 51.49% | 25.28% | 23.22% | +0.59 | 62.0 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Brest | 1890 | 1941 | 23.22% | 25.28% | 51.49% | -0.59 | 62.0 |
| 2027-05-22 | Lille | 1890 | 2045 | 24.59% | 25.44% | 49.98% | -0.52 | 46.4 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Le Havre | 2045 | 1890 | 49.98% | 25.44% | 24.59% | +0.52 | 46.4 |
| 2027-05-22 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1892 | 2074 | 21.78% | 25.10% | 53.12% | -0.66 | 50.4 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Troyes | 2074 | 1892 | 53.12% | 25.10% | 21.78% | +0.66 | 50.4 |
| 2027-05-22 | Lyon | 1956 | 2034 | 34.17% | 25.97% | 39.87% | -0.11 | 58.1 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Lorient | 2034 | 1956 | 39.87% | 25.97% | 34.17% | +0.11 | 58.1 |
| 2027-05-22 | Marseille | 1994 | 1983 | 46.49% | 25.71% | 27.80% | +0.37 | 73.2 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Paris FC | 1983 | 1994 | 27.80% | 25.71% | 46.49% | -0.37 | 73.2 |
| 2027-05-22 | Auxerre | 1923 | 1899 | 48.19% | 25.59% | 26.22% | +0.44 | 65.9 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Toulouse | 1899 | 1923 | 26.22% | 25.59% | 48.19% | -0.44 | 65.9 |
| 2027-05-22 | Strasbourg | 1878 | 1999 | 28.72% | 25.76% | 45.51% | -0.33 | 60.4 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Le Mans | 1999 | 1878 | 45.51% | 25.76% | 28.72% | +0.33 | 60.4 |
| 2027-05-22 | Monaco | 1888 | 2045 | 24.42% | 25.42% | 50.16% | -0.53 | 44.3 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Nice | 2045 | 1888 | 50.16% | 25.42% | 24.42% | +0.53 | 44.3 |
| 2027-05-22 | Rennes | 2017 | 2029 | 43.50% | 25.86% | 30.64% | +0.25 | 78.9 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Lens | 2029 | 2017 | 30.64% | 25.86% | 43.50% | -0.25 | 78.9 |
| 2027-05-22 | Brest | 1888 | 1941 | 37.81% | 25.99% | 36.20% | +0.03 | 66.4 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Angers | 1941 | 1888 | 36.20% | 25.99% | 37.81% | -0.03 | 66.4 |
| 2027-05-29 | Le Havre | 1899 | 1890 | 46.24% | 25.72% | 28.04% | +0.36 | 66.0 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Auxerre | 1890 | 1899 | 28.04% | 25.72% | 46.24% | -0.36 | 66.0 |
| 2027-05-29 | Troyes | 2045 | 1892 | 61.98% | 23.49% | 14.52% | +1.13 | 48.3 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Monaco | 1892 | 2045 | 14.52% | 23.49% | 61.98% | -1.13 | 48.3 |
| 2027-05-29 | Paris FC | 2034 | 1994 | 50.12% | 25.42% | 24.46% | +0.53 | 67.9 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Lyon | 1994 | 2034 | 24.46% | 25.42% | 50.12% | -0.53 | 67.9 |
| 2027-05-29 | Lorient | 1983 | 1956 | 48.63% | 25.55% | 25.82% | +0.46 | 66.9 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Marseille | 1956 | 1983 | 25.82% | 25.55% | 48.63% | -0.46 | 66.9 |
| 2027-05-29 | Le Mans | 2045 | 1878 | 63.18% | 23.19% | 13.63% | +1.21 | 50.7 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Lille | 1878 | 2045 | 13.63% | 23.19% | 63.18% | -1.21 | 50.7 |
| 2027-05-29 | Toulouse | 2074 | 1923 | 61.80% | 23.54% | 14.66% | +1.12 | 47.3 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1923 | 2074 | 14.66% | 23.54% | 61.80% | -1.12 | 47.3 |
| 2027-05-29 | Nice | 1999 | 1888 | 57.90% | 24.37% | 17.74% | +0.90 | 50.7 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Strasbourg | 1888 | 1999 | 17.74% | 24.37% | 57.90% | -0.90 | 50.7 |
| 2027-05-29 | Lens | 1941 | 2017 | 34.51% | 25.97% | 39.52% | -0.09 | 67.5 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Brest | 2017 | 1941 | 39.52% | 25.97% | 34.51% | +0.09 | 67.5 |
| 2027-05-29 | Angers | 2029 | 1888 | 60.83% | 23.77% | 15.40% | +1.07 | 50.5 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Rennes | 1888 | 2029 | 15.40% | 23.77% | 60.83% | -1.07 | 50.5 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2026-09-05 | 18.59% | Lorient | 1937 | 1 | @ Lens | 2037 | 0 |
| 2 | 2026-09-04 | 21.87% | Monaco | 2027 | 2 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 2092 | 1 |
| 3 | 2026-08-29 | 22.25% | Angers | 1868 | 3 | @ Auxerre | 1929 | 1 |
| 4 | 2026-08-29 | 24.39% | Troyes | 1913 | 2 | @ Lorient | 1954 | 1 |
| 5 | 2026-09-06 | 25.46% | Paris FC | 1979 | 3 | @ Marseille | 2010 | 2 |
| 6 | 2026-08-29 | 30.36% | @ Strasbourg | 1945 | 2 | Lens | 2052 | 1 |
| 7 | 2026-09-05 | 31.79% | Brest | 1926 | 2 | @ Le Havre | 1906 | 1 |
| 8 | 2026-09-06 | 33.05% | Strasbourg | 1960 | 6 | @ Troyes | 1930 | 2 |
| 9 | 2026-08-22 | 33.83% | Lyon | 1997 | 2 | @ Toulouse | 1961 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-08-21 | 40.85 | @ Marseille | 4 | 1993 | 46.04% | Strasbourg | 0 | 1986 | 28.22% | 25.73% |
| 2 | 2026-09-06 | 38.43 | Strasbourg | 6 | 1960 | 33.05% | @ Troyes | 2 | 1930 | 41.01% | 25.94% |
| 3 | 2026-08-29 | 30.53 | Angers | 3 | 1868 | 22.25% | @ Auxerre | 1 | 1929 | 52.59% | 25.16% |
| 4 | 2026-08-30 | 30.32 | @ Paris FC | 3 | 1949 | 47.19% | Nice | 0 | 1932 | 27.15% | 25.66% |
| 5 | 2026-08-22 | 28.21 | Lyon | 2 | 1997 | 33.83% | @ Toulouse | 0 | 1961 | 40.21% | 25.96% |
| 6 | 2026-08-30 | 24.44 | @ Monaco | 2 | 2003 | 40.82% | Marseille | 0 | 2034 | 33.23% | 25.95% |
| 7 | 2026-08-23 | 21.71 | Lille | 2 | 2011 | 45.72% | @ Angers | 0 | 1889 | 28.52% | 25.75% |
| 8 | 2026-09-05 | 20.06 | Lorient | 1 | 1937 | 18.59% | @ Lens | 0 | 2037 | 56.86% | 24.55% |
| 9 | 2026-09-04 | 17.76 | Monaco | 2 | 2027 | 21.87% | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 2092 | 53.03% | 25.11% |
| 10 | 2026-08-29 | 16.92 | Troyes | 2 | 1913 | 24.39% | @ Lorient | 1 | 1954 | 50.20% | 25.42% |
| 11 | 2026-08-22 | 16.76 | @ Lens | 5 | 2036 | 55.80% | Auxerre | 2 | 1945 | 19.48% | 24.72% |
| 12 | 2026-09-06 | 15.73 | Paris FC | 3 | 1979 | 25.46% | @ Marseille | 2 | 2010 | 49.02% | 25.52% |
| 13 | 2026-08-29 | 15.09 | @ Strasbourg | 2 | 1945 | 30.36% | Lens | 1 | 2052 | 43.79% | 25.85% |
| 14 | 2026-09-05 | 14.68 | Brest | 2 | 1926 | 31.79% | @ Le Havre | 1 | 1906 | 42.30% | 25.91% |
| 15 | 2026-08-23 | 13.43 | Monaco | 1 | 1989 | 39.18% | @ Le Havre | 0 | 1916 | 34.85% | 25.98% |
| 16 | 2026-09-03 | 12.41 | Lille | 1 | 2033 | 42.71% | @ Toulouse | 0 | 1934 | 31.40% | 25.89% |
| 17 | 2026-09-12 | 12.26 | @ Auxerre | 1 | 1886 | 43.22% | Nice | 0 | 1900 | 30.91% | 25.87% |
| 18 | 2026-09-04 | 11.91 | @ Lyon | 3 | 2022 | 59.20% | Auxerre | 1 | 1898 | 16.69% | 24.12% |
| 19 | 2026-09-06 | 11.34 | Rennes | 2 | 2007 | 44.01% | @ Angers | 1 | 1898 | 30.15% | 25.84% |
| 20 | 2026-09-11 | 10.77 | @ Rennes | 1 | 2018 | 48.19% | Marseille | 0 | 1994 | 26.22% | 25.59% |
| 21 | 2026-08-30 | 6.71 | @ Rennes | 3 | 2000 | 58.55% | Le Mans | 2 | 1883 | 17.20% | 24.24% |
| 22 | 2026-08-29 | 3.48 | @ Lyon | 1 | 2025 | 59.14% | Le Havre | 1 | 1902 | 16.73% | 24.13% |
| 23 | 2026-09-05 | 1.72 | @ Nice | 1 | 1902 | 48.33% | Le Mans | 1 | 1877 | 26.09% | 25.58% |
| 24 | 2026-09-12 | 1.45 | Angers | 0 | 1887 | 28.61% | @ Le Havre | 0 | 1891 | 45.63% | 25.76% |
| 25 | 2026-09-12 | 1.43 | @ Lorient | 2 | 1957 | 49.59% | Toulouse | 2 | 1921 | 24.94% | 25.47% |
Most & Least Exciting Games
The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-09-12 | 77.1 | @ Lorient | 2 | 1957 | 49.59% | Toulouse | 2 | 1921 | 24.94% | 25.47% |
| 2 | 2026-08-22 | 77.0 | @ Le Mans | 2 | 1884 | 39.13% | Brest | 2 | 1927 | 34.89% | 25.98% |
| 3 | 2026-08-23 | 77.0 | @ Rennes | 2 | 2000 | 32.23% | Paris Saint-Germain | 2 | 2093 | 41.85% | 25.92% |
| 4 | 2026-08-28 | 77.0 | @ Lille | 2 | 2033 | 36.90% | Paris Saint-Germain | 2 | 2092 | 37.11% | 25.99% |
| 5 | 2026-08-29 | 77.0 | @ Brest | 2 | 1927 | 44.33% | Toulouse | 2 | 1933 | 29.85% | 25.83% |
| 6 | 2026-09-06 | 73.2 | Paris FC | 3 | 1979 | 25.46% | @ Marseille | 2 | 2010 | 49.02% | 25.52% |
| 7 | 2026-08-29 | 72.4 | @ Lyon | 1 | 2025 | 59.14% | Le Havre | 1 | 1902 | 16.73% | 24.13% |
| 8 | 2026-09-05 | 71.9 | @ Nice | 1 | 1902 | 48.33% | Le Mans | 1 | 1877 | 26.09% | 25.58% |
| 9 | 2026-09-12 | 71.8 | @ Strasbourg | 1 | 1999 | 38.75% | Monaco | 1 | 2045 | 35.27% | 25.98% |
| 10 | 2026-09-04 | 69.6 | Monaco | 2 | 2027 | 21.87% | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 2092 | 53.03% | 25.11% |
| 11 | 2026-08-29 | 68.8 | Troyes | 2 | 1913 | 24.39% | @ Lorient | 1 | 1954 | 50.20% | 25.42% |
| 12 | 2026-08-22 | 67.6 | @ Troyes | 0 | 1914 | 40.44% | Paris FC | 0 | 1948 | 33.61% | 25.95% |
| 13 | 2026-08-22 | 67.6 | @ Nice | 0 | 1933 | 42.43% | Lorient | 0 | 1953 | 31.67% | 25.90% |
| 14 | 2026-09-12 | 67.6 | @ Le Havre | 0 | 1891 | 45.63% | Angers | 0 | 1887 | 28.61% | 25.76% |
| 15 | 2026-09-12 | 67.6 | @ Paris FC | 0 | 1995 | 39.76% | Lyon | 0 | 2034 | 34.27% | 25.97% |
| 16 | 2026-08-29 | 67.0 | @ Strasbourg | 2 | 1945 | 30.36% | Lens | 1 | 2052 | 43.79% | 25.85% |
| 17 | 2026-09-05 | 66.6 | Brest | 2 | 1926 | 31.79% | @ Le Havre | 1 | 1906 | 42.30% | 25.91% |
| 18 | 2026-08-29 | 65.7 | Angers | 3 | 1868 | 22.25% | @ Auxerre | 1 | 1929 | 52.59% | 25.16% |
| 19 | 2026-09-05 | 65.6 | Lorient | 1 | 1937 | 18.59% | @ Lens | 0 | 2037 | 56.86% | 24.55% |
| 20 | 2026-08-30 | 63.3 | @ Rennes | 3 | 2000 | 58.55% | Le Mans | 2 | 1883 | 17.20% | 24.24% |
| 21 | 2026-09-06 | 62.9 | Rennes | 2 | 2007 | 44.01% | @ Angers | 1 | 1898 | 30.15% | 25.84% |
| 22 | 2026-09-06 | 61.0 | Strasbourg | 6 | 1960 | 33.05% | @ Troyes | 2 | 1930 | 41.01% | 25.94% |
| 23 | 2026-08-23 | 59.4 | Monaco | 1 | 1989 | 39.18% | @ Le Havre | 0 | 1916 | 34.85% | 25.98% |
| 24 | 2026-09-03 | 58.4 | Lille | 1 | 2033 | 42.71% | @ Toulouse | 0 | 1934 | 31.40% | 25.89% |
| 25 | 2026-09-12 | 58.2 | @ Auxerre | 1 | 1886 | 43.22% | Nice | 0 | 1900 | 30.91% | 25.87% |
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-08-30 | 51.1 | @ Paris FC | 3 | 1949 | 47.19% | Nice | 0 | 1932 | 27.15% | 25.66% |
| 2 | 2026-08-21 | 51.4 | @ Marseille | 4 | 1993 | 46.04% | Strasbourg | 0 | 1986 | 28.22% | 25.73% |
| 3 | 2026-08-23 | 53.5 | Lille | 2 | 2011 | 45.72% | @ Angers | 0 | 1889 | 28.52% | 25.75% |
| 4 | 2026-09-04 | 54.6 | @ Lyon | 3 | 2022 | 59.20% | Auxerre | 1 | 1898 | 16.69% | 24.12% |
| 5 | 2026-08-30 | 55.0 | @ Monaco | 2 | 2003 | 40.82% | Marseille | 0 | 2034 | 33.23% | 25.95% |
| 6 | 2026-08-22 | 56.0 | @ Lens | 5 | 2036 | 55.80% | Auxerre | 2 | 1945 | 19.48% | 24.72% |
| 7 | 2026-09-11 | 56.7 | @ Rennes | 1 | 2018 | 48.19% | Marseille | 0 | 1994 | 26.22% | 25.59% |
| 8 | 2026-08-22 | 57.1 | Lyon | 2 | 1997 | 33.83% | @ Toulouse | 0 | 1961 | 40.21% | 25.96% |
| 9 | 2026-09-12 | 58.2 | @ Auxerre | 1 | 1886 | 43.22% | Nice | 0 | 1900 | 30.91% | 25.87% |
| 10 | 2026-09-03 | 58.4 | Lille | 1 | 2033 | 42.71% | @ Toulouse | 0 | 1934 | 31.40% | 25.89% |
| 11 | 2026-08-23 | 59.4 | Monaco | 1 | 1989 | 39.18% | @ Le Havre | 0 | 1916 | 34.85% | 25.98% |
| 12 | 2026-09-06 | 61.0 | Strasbourg | 6 | 1960 | 33.05% | @ Troyes | 2 | 1930 | 41.01% | 25.94% |
| 13 | 2026-09-06 | 62.9 | Rennes | 2 | 2007 | 44.01% | @ Angers | 1 | 1898 | 30.15% | 25.84% |
| 14 | 2026-08-30 | 63.3 | @ Rennes | 3 | 2000 | 58.55% | Le Mans | 2 | 1883 | 17.20% | 24.24% |
| 15 | 2026-09-05 | 65.6 | Lorient | 1 | 1937 | 18.59% | @ Lens | 0 | 2037 | 56.86% | 24.55% |
| 16 | 2026-08-29 | 65.7 | Angers | 3 | 1868 | 22.25% | @ Auxerre | 1 | 1929 | 52.59% | 25.16% |
| 17 | 2026-09-05 | 66.6 | Brest | 2 | 1926 | 31.79% | @ Le Havre | 1 | 1906 | 42.30% | 25.91% |
| 18 | 2026-08-29 | 67.0 | @ Strasbourg | 2 | 1945 | 30.36% | Lens | 1 | 2052 | 43.79% | 25.85% |
| 19 | 2026-08-22 | 67.6 | @ Troyes | 0 | 1914 | 40.44% | Paris FC | 0 | 1948 | 33.61% | 25.95% |
| 20 | 2026-08-22 | 67.6 | @ Nice | 0 | 1933 | 42.43% | Lorient | 0 | 1953 | 31.67% | 25.90% |
| 21 | 2026-09-12 | 67.6 | @ Le Havre | 0 | 1891 | 45.63% | Angers | 0 | 1887 | 28.61% | 25.76% |
| 22 | 2026-09-12 | 67.6 | @ Paris FC | 0 | 1995 | 39.76% | Lyon | 0 | 2034 | 34.27% | 25.97% |
| 23 | 2026-08-29 | 68.8 | Troyes | 2 | 1913 | 24.39% | @ Lorient | 1 | 1954 | 50.20% | 25.42% |
| 24 | 2026-09-04 | 69.6 | Monaco | 2 | 2027 | 21.87% | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 2092 | 53.03% | 25.11% |
| 25 | 2026-09-12 | 71.8 | @ Strasbourg | 1 | 1999 | 38.75% | Monaco | 1 | 2045 | 35.27% | 25.98% |