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1973-74 Football League First Division Season

462 games

Final

Champion

Leeds United

62 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1968-69

Relegated

Norwich City

29 pts

Manchester United · 32 pts

Southampton · 36 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Leeds United

7.87 points above expected

62 points · 54.13 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Newcastle United

6.02 points below expected

38 points · 44.02 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Leeds United Champion 42 24 14 4 62 66 31 +35 54.13 +7.87
2 Liverpool 42 22 13 7 57 52 31 +21 51.09 +5.91
3 Derby County 42 17 14 11 48 52 42 +10 45.16 +2.84
4 Ipswich Town 42 18 11 13 47 67 58 +9 42.93 +4.07
5 Stoke City 42 15 16 11 46 54 42 +12 42.19 +3.81
6 Burnley 42 16 14 12 46 56 53 +3 42.34 +3.66
7 Everton 42 16 12 14 44 50 48 +2 41.20 +2.80
8 Queens Park Rangers 42 13 17 12 43 56 52 +4 41.82 +1.18
9 Leicester City 42 13 16 13 42 51 41 +10 41.78 +0.22
10 Arsenal 42 14 14 14 42 49 51 -2 44.27 -2.27
11 Tottenham 42 14 14 14 42 45 50 -5 41.77 +0.23
12 Wolverhampton 42 13 15 14 41 49 49 0 41.80 -0.80
13 Sheffield United 42 14 12 16 40 44 49 -5 40.32 -0.32
14 Manchester City 42 14 12 16 40 39 46 -7 42.73 -2.73
15 Newcastle United 42 13 12 17 38 49 48 +1 44.02 -6.02
16 Coventry City 42 14 10 18 38 43 54 -11 37.33 +0.67
17 Chelsea 42 12 13 17 37 56 60 -4 40.72 -3.72
18 West Ham 42 11 15 16 37 55 60 -5 40.39 -3.39
19 Birmingham City 42 12 13 17 37 52 64 -12 38.23 -1.23
20 Southampton Relegated 42 11 14 17 36 47 68 -21 38.73 -2.73
21 Manchester United Relegated 42 10 12 20 32 38 48 -10 37.86 -5.86
22 Norwich City Relegated 42 7 15 20 29 37 62 -25 33.19 -4.19

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Leeds United 2047 62 54.13 +7.87 96.6% 36 46 51 54 57 62 69
Liverpool 2014 57 51.09 +5.91 91.3% 33 43 48 51 54 59 70
Derby County 1936 48 45.16 +2.84 76.0% 27 37 42 45 48 53 62
Ipswich Town 1927 47 42.93 +4.07 83.1% 24 35 40 43 46 51 59
Arsenal 1919 42 44.27 -2.27 35.2% 26 37 41 44 47 52 61
Stoke City 1917 46 42.19 +3.81 81.6% 24 34 39 42 45 50 59
Wolverhampton 1904 41 41.80 -0.80 47.2% 25 34 38 42 45 50 60
Leicester City 1897 42 41.78 +0.22 55.7% 25 34 38 42 45 50 61
Burnley 1892 46 42.34 +3.66 80.4% 25 34 39 42 46 50 58
Queens Park Rangers 1882 43 41.82 +1.18 63.9% 23 34 39 42 45 50 62
Manchester City 1882 40 42.73 -2.73 32.5% 26 35 39 43 46 51 59
Tottenham 1882 42 41.77 +0.23 56.0% 26 34 39 42 45 50 61
West Ham 1882 37 40.39 -3.39 27.9% 24 33 37 40 44 48 61
Newcastle United 1874 38 44.02 -6.02 12.7% 27 36 41 44 47 52 62
Birmingham City 1866 37 38.23 -1.23 43.4% 20 30 35 38 41 46 55
Everton 1865 44 41.20 +2.80 75.4% 23 33 38 41 44 49 59
Sheffield United 1851 40 40.32 -0.32 51.8% 23 32 37 40 44 48 62
Chelsea 1845 37 40.72 -3.72 25.0% 24 33 37 41 44 49 60
Manchester United 1843 32 37.86 -5.86 12.8% 21 30 35 38 41 46 58
Coventry City 1826 38 37.33 +0.67 59.6% 20 29 34 37 41 45 57
Southampton 1824 36 38.73 -2.73 32.5% 21 31 35 39 42 47 58
Norwich City 1772 29 33.19 -4.19 22.0% 16 25 30 33 36 41 51

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS BC BUR CHE CC DC EVE IT LU LC LIV MC MU NU NC QPR SU SOU SC TOT WH WOL
Arsenal —
1-0-1
3.13
0-1-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.81
0-2-0
3.20
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.97
0-2-0
2.68
0-0-2
2.29
0-0-2
2.86
1-0-1
2.24
2-0-0
2.63
1-1-0
3.14
0-1-1
2.76
2-0-0
3.25
0-1-1
2.89
1-0-1
3.03
1-1-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.84
0-0-2
2.84
1-1-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.82
Birmingham City
1-0-1
2.23
 —
0-1-1
2.44
0-0-2
2.70
2-0-0
2.67
0-2-0
2.30
0-0-2
2.40
0-0-2
2.48
0-1-1
1.52
1-1-0
2.33
0-1-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
2.15
1-0-1
3.09
1-1-0
2.45
1-1-0
2.50
1-1-0
2.47
0-1-1
2.36
0-0-2
2.47
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.38
Burnley
1-1-0
2.58
1-1-0
2.89
 —
1-0-1
2.69
0-2-0
3.00
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.71
0-0-2
2.74
1-1-0
1.86
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.04
1-0-1
2.63
0-2-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.70
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.58
1-1-0
2.82
1-1-0
2.67
Chelsea
0-1-1
2.52
2-0-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.64
 —
1-1-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.37
1-1-0
2.60
0-1-1
2.56
0-1-1
1.71
1-0-1
2.63
0-0-2
1.96
1-0-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.90
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
3.17
0-2-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.84
0-0-2
2.44
1-1-0
2.66
0-0-2
2.83
0-1-1
2.72
Coventry City
0-2-0
2.15
0-0-2
2.66
0-2-0
2.33
0-1-1
2.47
 —
1-0-1
2.14
0-0-2
2.52
0-0-2
2.28
0-1-1
1.52
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
1.78
1-0-1
2.28
2-0-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.24
1-1-0
2.99
0-0-2
2.30
2-0-0
2.39
1-1-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.55
1-1-0
2.36
Derby County
0-1-1
2.73
0-2-0
3.05
1-1-0
2.81
1-1-0
2.97
1-0-1
3.22
 —
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.01
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
3.19
2-0-0
2.64
1-1-0
3.55
0-1-1
2.92
1-0-1
3.01
1-1-0
3.20
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.93
0-2-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.90
Everton
1-0-1
2.36
2-0-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.73
2-0-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.40
 —
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
1.73
0-1-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.02
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.91
0-1-1
2.52
2-0-0
3.27
1-0-1
2.58
0-2-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.99
0-2-0
2.55
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.61
Ipswich Town
0-2-0
2.66
2-0-0
2.87
2-0-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.78
2-0-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.80
 —
0-0-2
2.03
0-1-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.23
2-0-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.96
0-0-2
2.47
1-1-0
3.42
2-0-0
2.79
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.82
0-2-0
2.66
0-2-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.80
Leeds United
2-0-0
3.09
1-1-0
3.87
0-1-1
3.54
1-1-0
3.69
1-1-0
3.89
1-1-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.64
2-0-0
3.33
 —
0-2-0
3.54
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
3.43
1-1-0
3.97
1-1-0
3.54
2-0-0
4.08
1-1-0
3.55
1-1-0
3.72
2-0-0
3.71
0-1-1
3.64
1-1-0
3.28
1-0-1
3.68
2-0-0
3.25
Leicester City
2-0-0
2.48
0-1-1
3.01
1-1-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.93
0-0-2
2.46
1-1-0
2.79
1-1-0
2.59
0-2-0
1.85
 —
0-2-0
2.09
0-1-1
2.65
2-0-0
2.83
1-1-0
2.39
1-0-1
3.22
1-1-0
2.61
0-2-0
2.77
0-0-2
2.92
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
2.89
0-1-1
2.68
Liverpool
1-0-1
3.12
1-1-0
3.49
1-0-1
3.32
2-0-0
3.40
1-0-1
3.61
1-0-1
2.98
1-1-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.38
0-2-0
3.26
 —
1-1-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.47
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
4.02
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
3.56
1-0-1
3.49
1-1-0
3.27
1-1-0
3.40
1-1-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.41
Manchester City
0-0-2
2.70
1-1-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.77
0-0-2
2.57
0-0-2
1.94
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
1.88
 —
1-1-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.59
1-1-0
3.35
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.95
0-2-0
2.76
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.77
0-2-0
2.83
Manchester United
0-1-1
2.21
1-0-1
2.68
0-2-0
2.31
1-1-0
2.45
0-0-2
2.67
0-1-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.37
0-1-1
1.44
0-0-2
2.50
0-1-1
1.91
0-1-1
2.39
 —
1-0-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.36
0-2-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.39
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.38
Newcastle United
1-1-0
2.56
0-1-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
3.11
0-0-2
2.71
1-1-0
2.81
2-0-0
2.87
0-1-1
1.84
0-1-1
2.94
0-1-1
2.21
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
3.07
 —
0-2-0
3.34
0-0-2
2.89
1-1-0
2.85
0-0-2
3.02
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.88
Norwich City
0-0-2
2.12
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.00
0-1-1
2.17
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
1.83
0-0-2
2.09
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
1.38
1-0-1
2.14
0-1-1
1.42
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.41
0-2-0
2.02
 —
1-1-0
2.23
1-0-1
2.09
1-1-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.02
0-2-0
2.04
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.03
Queens Park Rangers
1-1-0
2.45
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.61
0-2-0
2.71
2-0-0
3.05
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.75
0-0-2
2.55
0-1-1
1.82
0-1-1
2.72
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.86
2-0-0
2.45
0-1-1
3.14
 —
0-2-0
2.93
0-2-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.67
1-1-0
2.83
1-1-0
2.54
1-1-0
2.69
Sheffield United
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
2.95
1-0-1
2.34
0-2-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.39
0-1-1
1.67
0-2-0
2.57
1-0-1
1.80
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.99
0-1-1
2.48
1-0-1
3.26
0-2-0
2.40
 —
1-0-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.57
1-1-0
2.62
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.50
Southampton
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.86
0-1-1
2.40
0-1-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.15
2-0-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
1.69
2-0-0
2.41
1-0-1
1.89
0-1-1
2.39
0-2-0
2.60
2-0-0
2.32
0-1-1
2.93
0-2-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.55
 —
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.47
Stoke City
0-1-1
2.50
1-1-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.60
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
3.02
0-2-0
2.45
0-2-0
2.79
0-2-0
2.68
1-1-0
1.74
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.08
0-2-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
3.33
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.88
 —
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
2.77
0-1-1
2.73
Tottenham
2-0-0
2.50
2-0-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.67
0-2-0
2.63
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.61
0-1-1
1.95
0-1-1
2.54
2-0-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.55
0-2-0
3.31
0-1-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.55
 —
2-0-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.71
West Ham
0-1-1
2.46
0-1-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.51
2-0-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.80
0-2-0
2.28
1-0-1
2.56
1-1-0
2.52
1-0-1
1.71
1-1-0
2.45
0-1-1
1.90
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.48
1-1-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.68
1-1-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.56
0-0-2
2.62
 —
0-2-0
2.63
Wolverhampton
1-1-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.96
0-1-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-2
2.10
1-1-0
2.66
0-0-2
1.96
0-2-0
2.51
1-1-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.46
1-1-0
3.32
0-1-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.86
1-1-0
2.61
1-1-0
2.64
0-2-0
2.71
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.45 +6.4
Allowed 0.56 -5.8
Differential 0.86 +5.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.31%10.93%5.30%3.25%0.76%0.32%29.87%
110.93%16.45%6.28%2.92%0.97%0.22%37.77%
25.30%6.28%5.19%1.73%0.87%0.22%19.59%
33.25%2.92%1.73%1.30%0.11%—9.31%
40.76%0.97%0.87%0.11%——2.71%
5+0.32%0.22%0.22%———0.76%
Total29.87%37.77%19.59%9.31%2.71%0.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.20 +0.00
SD 1.11 1.11 1.57
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 462

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%11.90%——2.38%28.57%
111.90%16.67%4.76%7.14%——40.48%
27.14%4.76%7.14%———19.05%
32.38%4.76%—2.38%——9.52%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+———————
Total30.95%33.33%23.81%9.52%—2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.21 -0.05
SD 1.03 1.14 1.67
CV 0.89 0.94 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%2.38%7.14%——23.81%
111.90%16.67%7.14%4.76%2.38%—42.86%
22.38%4.76%4.76%2.38%4.76%2.38%21.43%
32.38%4.76%—2.38%——9.52%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+———————
Total26.19%33.33%14.29%16.67%7.14%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.52 -0.29
SD 1.01 1.37 1.66
CV 0.81 0.90 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%9.52%4.76%2.38%2.38%—26.19%
19.52%14.29%4.76%——2.38%30.95%
24.76%11.90%9.52%2.38%——28.57%
34.76%2.38%2.38%2.38%——11.90%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+———————
Total26.19%40.48%21.43%7.14%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.26 +0.07
SD 1.07 1.15 1.60
CV 0.81 0.91 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%4.76%4.76%——30.95%
17.14%11.90%4.76%4.76%——28.57%
2—4.76%9.52%4.76%2.38%—21.43%
34.76%4.76%2.38%2.38%——14.29%
42.38%—2.38%———4.76%
5+———————
Total21.43%35.71%23.81%16.67%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.43 -0.10
SD 1.20 1.09 1.56
CV 0.90 0.76 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%21.43%—9.52%——35.71%
116.67%7.14%9.52%——2.38%35.71%
27.14%2.38%9.52%———19.05%
3—2.38%4.76%2.38%——9.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%33.33%23.81%11.90%—2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.02 1.29 -0.26
SD 0.98 1.15 1.47
CV 0.95 0.90 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%7.14%7.14%4.76%2.38%—33.33%
114.29%19.05%4.76%———38.10%
29.52%4.76%2.38%———16.67%
3—2.38%————2.38%
4—2.38%2.38%———4.76%
5+—2.38%2.38%———4.76%
Total35.71%38.10%19.05%4.76%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.00 +0.24
SD 1.41 0.99 1.72
CV 1.14 0.99 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%2.38%7.14%——23.81%
114.29%21.43%7.14%7.14%——50.00%
27.14%7.14%————14.29%
32.38%2.38%——2.38%—7.14%
4—4.76%————4.76%
5+———————
Total30.95%42.86%9.52%14.29%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.14 +0.05
SD 1.04 1.09 1.58
CV 0.87 0.96 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%2.38%7.14%4.76%—2.38%19.05%
19.52%19.05%—9.52%——38.10%
22.38%7.14%2.38%2.38%2.38%—16.67%
314.29%2.38%4.76%2.38%——23.81%
4———————
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total30.95%30.95%14.29%19.05%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.38 +0.21
SD 1.36 1.31 2.18
CV 0.85 0.95 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%2.38%————16.67%
116.67%14.29%—2.38%2.38%—35.71%
29.52%9.52%4.76%2.38%——26.19%
39.52%4.76%2.38%———16.67%
4—4.76%————4.76%
5+———————
Total50.00%35.71%7.14%4.76%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 0.74 +0.83
SD 1.11 0.96 1.36
CV 0.70 1.31 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%19.05%4.76%2.38%——30.95%
14.76%26.19%2.38%———33.33%
29.52%7.14%4.76%2.38%——23.81%
37.14%——2.38%——9.52%
4———————
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total28.57%52.38%11.90%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 0.98 +0.24
SD 1.14 0.84 1.54
CV 0.94 0.86 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%11.90%————19.05%
128.57%19.05%2.38%2.38%——52.38%
27.14%7.14%4.76%———19.05%
3——4.76%———4.76%
42.38%—2.38%———4.76%
5+———————
Total45.24%38.10%14.29%2.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 0.74 +0.50
SD 0.98 0.80 1.09
CV 0.79 1.08 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%14.29%4.76%4.76%2.38%—35.71%
19.52%19.05%9.52%2.38%——40.48%
29.52%9.52%————19.05%
3—2.38%2.38%———4.76%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%45.24%16.67%7.14%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.10 -0.17
SD 0.87 0.98 1.43
CV 0.93 0.90 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%19.05%4.76%4.76%——45.24%
19.52%4.76%14.29%———28.57%
24.76%2.38%4.76%4.76%——16.67%
32.38%4.76%—2.38%——9.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%30.95%23.81%11.90%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.14 -0.24
SD 1.01 1.03 1.30
CV 1.11 0.90 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%19.05%4.76%———28.57%
17.14%21.43%9.52%2.38%——40.48%
27.14%7.14%2.38%4.76%——21.43%
3—4.76%2.38%———7.14%
4———————
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total19.05%54.76%19.05%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.14 +0.02
SD 1.08 0.81 1.30
CV 0.93 0.71 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%14.29%7.14%4.76%2.38%—40.48%
14.76%16.67%7.14%4.76%2.38%—35.71%
22.38%7.14%7.14%—4.76%—21.43%
3———————
42.38%—————2.38%
5+———————
Total21.43%38.10%21.43%9.52%9.52%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.48 -0.60
SD 0.92 1.21 1.48
CV 1.04 0.82 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.90%2.38%—2.38%—33.33%
14.76%9.52%9.52%—2.38%—26.19%
22.38%4.76%9.52%———16.67%
37.14%2.38%7.14%4.76%——21.43%
4——2.38%———2.38%
5+———————
Total30.95%28.57%30.95%4.76%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.24 +0.10
SD 1.22 1.10 1.43
CV 0.92 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%4.76%——33.33%
114.29%16.67%7.14%2.38%2.38%—42.86%
2—11.90%4.76%———16.67%
32.38%—————2.38%
4——2.38%———2.38%
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total26.19%42.86%21.43%7.14%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.17 -0.12
SD 1.10 0.99 1.56
CV 1.05 0.84 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%4.76%9.52%2.38%2.38%2.38%26.19%
19.52%21.43%7.14%2.38%4.76%—45.24%
24.76%2.38%7.14%—2.38%2.38%19.05%
37.14%2.38%————9.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.19%30.95%23.81%4.76%9.52%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.62 -0.50
SD 0.92 1.64 2.04
CV 0.82 1.01 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%2.38%2.38%2.38%—28.57%
111.90%21.43%9.52%———42.86%
27.14%2.38%—2.38%——11.90%
32.38%—2.38%2.38%——7.14%
42.38%4.76%————7.14%
5+——2.38%———2.38%
Total38.10%35.71%16.67%7.14%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.00 +0.29
SD 1.29 1.04 1.60
CV 1.01 1.04 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%4.76%9.52%4.76%——30.95%
111.90%16.67%4.76%4.76%——38.10%
27.14%9.52%4.76%4.76%——26.19%
3—2.38%————2.38%
4——2.38%———2.38%
5+———————
Total30.95%33.33%21.43%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.19 -0.12
SD 0.95 1.04 1.37
CV 0.88 0.87 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%11.90%7.14%———33.33%
14.76%11.90%4.76%7.14%2.38%—30.95%
2—4.76%7.14%4.76%——16.67%
32.38%4.76%—2.38%——9.52%
4—2.38%4.76%2.38%——9.52%
5+———————
Total21.43%35.71%23.81%16.67%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.43 -0.12
SD 1.30 1.09 1.40
CV 0.99 0.76 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%9.52%11.90%———33.33%
17.14%16.67%7.14%—2.38%—33.33%
24.76%4.76%7.14%—2.38%—19.05%
3—9.52%2.38%———11.90%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+———————
Total26.19%40.48%28.57%—4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.17 +0.00
SD 1.10 0.99 1.45
CV 0.94 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Leeds United 62 54.13 +7.87
2 Liverpool 57 51.09 +5.91
3 Ipswich Town 47 42.93 +4.07
4 Stoke City 46 42.19 +3.81
5 Burnley 46 42.34 +3.66

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Newcastle United 38 44.02 -6.02
2 Manchester United 32 37.86 -5.86
3 Norwich City 29 33.19 -4.19
4 Chelsea 37 40.72 -3.72
5 West Ham 37 40.39 -3.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Leeds United 7 Aug 25 – Sep 15 1 in 1,086
2 Everton 5 Sep 29 – Oct 27 1 in 269
3 Queens Park Rangers 4 Oct 20 – Nov 10 1 in 181
4 West Ham 3 Feb 5 – Feb 16 1 in 139
5 Leicester City 3 Sep 5 – Sep 12 1 in 71

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wolverhampton 5 Sep 1 – Sep 15 1 in 176
2 Chelsea 4 Dec 15 – Dec 29 1 in 147
3 Coventry City 5 Oct 20 – Nov 17 1 in 137
4 Newcastle United 4 Dec 8 – Dec 26 1 in 121
5 Leeds United 3 Mar 16 – Mar 30 1 in 111

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Leeds United 29 Aug 25 – Feb 9 1 in 1,315
2 Stoke City 11 Dec 22 – Mar 2 1 in 267
3 West Ham 10 Jan 1 – Mar 9 1 in 135
4 Tottenham 9 Dec 26 – Feb 23 1 in 72
5 Ipswich Town 9 Sep 15 – Nov 10 1 in 64

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 West Ham 11 Aug 25 – Oct 13 1 in 167
2 Newcastle United 7 Apr 10 – May 11 1 in 54
3 Burnley 10 Dec 29 – Mar 13 1 in 52
4 Manchester United 9 Oct 27 – Dec 26 1 in 50
5 Birmingham City 10 Aug 25 – Oct 6 1 in 42

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516171819202122
Leeds United59.46%20.94%8.25%4.12%2.43%1.65%0.98%0.60%0.46%0.45%0.21%0.15%0.13%0.05%0.02%0.02%0.04%0.02%0.01%—0.01%—
Liverpool24.74%32.25%14.71%8.29%5.74%3.70%2.70%1.97%1.39%1.16%0.84%0.75%0.49%0.34%0.31%0.20%0.14%0.11%0.11%0.03%0.02%0.01%
Derby County3.35%8.15%10.69%9.83%9.08%7.83%7.32%6.30%6.01%4.76%4.23%4.13%3.65%2.98%2.95%2.30%1.87%1.46%1.41%0.93%0.53%0.24%
Ipswich Town1.22%3.28%6.24%7.16%6.77%6.83%6.39%6.21%6.25%5.75%5.54%5.09%5.26%4.91%4.40%4.21%3.98%2.90%2.72%2.10%1.82%0.97%
Stoke City0.86%2.81%4.99%5.84%5.90%6.42%6.02%5.83%5.95%5.93%6.02%5.69%5.43%5.07%4.77%4.36%4.60%3.79%3.35%2.98%2.24%1.15%
Burnley0.84%2.76%4.94%5.82%5.96%6.13%6.34%6.07%5.98%6.21%5.66%5.24%4.94%4.90%4.89%4.80%4.25%4.00%3.58%3.11%2.25%1.33%
Everton0.49%1.69%3.36%4.45%4.54%4.95%4.73%5.39%5.51%5.64%5.47%5.78%5.88%5.91%5.82%5.20%5.21%5.17%4.79%4.39%3.65%1.98%
Queens Park Rangers0.76%2.45%3.81%4.88%4.92%5.38%5.78%6.37%5.91%5.81%6.24%6.03%5.62%5.44%5.12%5.02%4.67%4.24%3.86%3.43%2.63%1.63%
Leicester City0.65%2.66%4.04%5.27%5.62%5.79%6.10%5.80%5.74%5.82%5.71%5.65%5.09%5.01%5.19%5.36%4.99%4.13%3.80%3.17%2.89%1.52%
Arsenal2.06%5.46%8.01%7.82%7.74%7.61%7.33%6.98%6.19%5.16%5.27%4.93%4.40%3.75%3.97%2.90%3.08%2.36%1.98%1.51%0.97%0.52%
Tottenham0.67%1.94%3.65%4.56%5.09%5.43%5.11%5.37%6.00%6.05%5.72%5.57%5.96%6.05%5.15%4.80%4.88%4.82%4.23%4.19%3.19%1.57%
Wolverhampton0.70%2.29%3.89%4.57%5.29%5.29%5.84%5.77%6.29%5.68%5.58%5.84%5.30%5.51%4.95%5.00%5.17%4.58%3.88%3.77%2.99%1.82%
Sheffield United0.34%1.11%2.28%2.75%3.33%3.84%4.37%4.50%4.62%4.94%5.27%5.65%5.80%6.09%6.24%6.22%6.34%6.11%6.23%5.80%4.87%3.30%
Manchester City1.09%3.07%5.01%5.91%5.83%6.01%6.08%6.10%5.76%5.97%5.64%5.60%5.08%5.01%5.24%5.10%4.09%4.16%3.20%2.87%2.15%1.03%
Newcastle United1.68%5.12%8.21%7.97%7.83%7.34%7.21%6.63%6.06%5.36%5.27%4.56%4.73%4.06%3.43%3.53%2.86%2.73%2.23%1.40%1.24%0.55%
Coventry City0.05%0.31%0.54%0.71%1.10%1.34%1.84%2.24%2.46%2.98%3.16%3.93%4.87%4.80%5.60%5.84%7.28%7.70%9.24%11.01%12.03%10.97%
Chelsea0.33%1.37%2.54%3.35%4.09%4.04%4.55%4.97%4.94%5.05%5.44%5.76%5.94%6.05%5.84%5.86%5.86%6.34%5.49%5.20%4.21%2.78%
West Ham0.40%1.14%2.27%2.80%3.63%3.76%4.32%4.38%4.80%5.01%5.49%5.61%5.88%5.64%5.88%6.47%6.02%6.42%6.63%5.41%5.05%2.99%
Birmingham City0.05%0.43%0.65%1.32%1.67%1.98%2.02%2.32%3.18%4.00%4.41%4.51%4.69%5.66%6.01%6.52%7.19%7.52%8.32%9.28%10.19%8.08%
Southampton0.16%0.49%1.06%1.47%1.98%2.59%2.57%3.11%3.24%4.16%3.98%4.42%4.83%5.55%5.88%6.63%6.56%7.68%8.03%8.62%9.17%7.82%
Manchester United0.10%0.26%0.84%1.00%1.35%1.81%2.16%2.50%2.72%3.51%3.92%3.90%4.46%5.47%5.89%6.52%6.92%8.09%9.47%9.99%10.18%8.94%
Norwich City—0.02%0.02%0.11%0.11%0.28%0.24%0.59%0.54%0.60%0.93%1.21%1.57%1.75%2.45%3.14%4.00%5.67%7.44%10.81%17.72%40.80%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+26.62%
Strong Edge
47.19%32.25%20.56%
Elo Value
Home Edge
219 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
094.78600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.52 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.43+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th * Middle of the Pack: 5th to 11th * Longshot: 12th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
59%
Leeds United, 1st of 22
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Photo Finish
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.84 * Some Luck: 3.84 to 5.76 * Lucky: 5.76 to 7.68 * Wild Swing: 7.68 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 3.6 * Close: 3.6 to 5.4 * Off: 5.4 to 7.2 * Way Off: 7.2 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 22 * As Expected: 22 to 35.2 * Several Outliers: 35.2 to 48.4 * Many Outliers: 48.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.68 * A Surprise: 1.68 to 2.68 * Several Surprises: 2.68 to 3.69 * Many Surprises: 3.69 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.66 points
As Expected
04.8012
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.82
Pinpoint
04.5010
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.73%
96.60%
Leeds United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.27%
12.68%
Newcastle United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 22
Minimal Outliers
02.211
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.73

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.09
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.14
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
58%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Strong Edge
50%80%100%
Close Games
Expected
70%
Very Frequent
0%66%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Occasional
0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.48
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.59
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.50
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.07 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.07 to 0.1 * Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.13 * Well Above Noise: 0.13 and up.
Probability calibration
0.51
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.93
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.054
Well Within Noise
00.0660.15

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Leeds United 99.99% 0.01%
Liverpool 99.94% 0.06%
Derby County 98.30% 1.70%
Arsenal 97.00% 3.00%
Newcastle United 96.81% 3.19%
Ipswich Town 95.11% 4.89%
Manchester City 93.95% 6.05%
Stoke City 93.63% 6.37%
Burnley 93.31% 6.69%
Leicester City 92.42% 7.58%
Queens Park Rangers 92.31% 7.69%
Wolverhampton 91.42% 8.58%
Tottenham 91.05% 8.95%
Everton 89.98% 10.02%
Chelsea 87.81% 12.19%
West Ham 86.55% 13.45%
Sheffield United 86.03% 13.97%
Southampton 74.39% 25.61%
Birmingham City 72.45% 27.55%
Manchester United 70.89% 29.11%
Coventry City 65.99% 34.01%
Norwich City 30.67% 69.33%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1973-08-25 Manchester United W 3-0 1940 1858 57.94% 30.96% 11.09% +6.8 2
1973-08-25 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1858 1940 11.09% 30.96% 57.94% -6.8 0
1973-08-25 Tottenham W 1-0 1824 1920 39.18% 34.21% 26.61% +5.0 2
1973-08-25 @ Coventry City L 0-1 1920 1824 26.61% 34.21% 39.18% -5.0 0
1973-08-25 Chelsea W 1-0 1918 1874 54.62% 32.14% 13.24% +2.9 2
1973-08-25 @ Derby County L 0-1 1874 1918 13.24% 32.14% 54.62% -2.9 0
1973-08-25 Leicester City D 1-1 1888 1872 51.85% 32.89% 15.25% -1.3 1
1973-08-25 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 1872 1888 15.25% 32.89% 51.85% +1.3 1
1973-08-25 Everton W 3-1 1965 1852 60.55% 29.82% 9.62% +3.5 2
1973-08-25 @ Leeds United L 1-3 1852 1965 9.62% 29.82% 60.55% -3.5 0
1973-08-25 Stoke City W 1-0 1978 1888 58.68% 30.66% 10.66% +2.4 2
1973-08-25 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1888 1978 10.66% 30.66% 58.68% -2.4 0
1973-08-25 Birmingham City W 3-1 1902 1886 51.93% 32.87% 15.19% +5.4 2
1973-08-25 @ Manchester City L 1-3 1886 1902 15.19% 32.87% 51.93% -5.4 0
1973-08-25 Southampton D 1-1 1870 1853 51.94% 32.87% 15.19% -1.3 1
1973-08-25 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1853 1870 15.19% 32.87% 51.94% +1.3 1
1973-08-25 Burnley L 0-2 1866 1855 51.35% 33.01% 15.64% -15.4 0
1973-08-25 @ Sheffield United W 2-0 1855 1866 15.64% 33.01% 51.35% +15.4 2
1973-08-25 Newcastle United L 1-2 1899 1904 49.71% 33.34% 16.95% -7.5 0
1973-08-25 @ West Ham W 2-1 1904 1899 16.95% 33.34% 49.71% +7.5 2
1973-08-25 Norwich City W 3-1 1911 1822 58.50% 30.73% 10.76% +3.9 2
1973-08-25 @ Wolverhampton L 1-3 1822 1911 10.76% 30.73% 58.50% -4.0 0
1973-08-27 Ipswich Town D 3-3 1892 1886 50.80% 33.13% 16.07% -0.7 1
1973-08-27 @ West Ham D 3-3 1886 1892 16.07% 33.13% 50.80% +0.7 2
1973-08-28 Leeds United L 1-2 1947 1969 47.96% 33.63% 18.41% -7.2 2
1973-08-28 @ Arsenal W 2-1 1969 1947 18.41% 33.63% 47.96% +7.2 4
1973-08-28 Tottenham L 1-2 1880 1915 46.57% 33.82% 19.61% -7.1 0
1973-08-28 @ Birmingham City W 2-1 1915 1880 19.61% 33.82% 46.57% +7.1 2
1973-08-28 Chelsea W 1-0 1871 1871 50.29% 33.23% 16.47% +3.5 4
1973-08-28 @ Burnley L 0-1 1871 1871 16.47% 33.23% 50.29% -3.5 0
1973-08-28 Liverpool W 1-0 1829 1981 31.71% 33.86% 34.43% +5.9 4
1973-08-28 @ Coventry City L 0-1 1981 1829 34.43% 33.86% 31.71% -5.9 2
1973-08-28 Leicester City D 1-1 1849 1873 47.68% 33.67% 18.65% -1.0 1
1973-08-28 @ Everton D 1-1 1873 1849 18.65% 33.67% 47.68% +1.0 2
1973-08-28 Sheffield United W 2-0 1914 1851 56.34% 31.57% 12.09% +5.1 4
1973-08-28 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 1851 1914 12.09% 31.57% 56.34% -5.1 0
1973-08-29 Manchester City W 1-0 1921 1908 51.62% 32.95% 15.43% +3.3 4
1973-08-29 @ Derby County L 0-1 1908 1921 15.43% 32.95% 51.62% -3.3 2
1973-08-29 Stoke City W 1-0 1851 1885 46.64% 33.81% 19.55% +4.0 2
1973-08-29 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1885 1851 19.55% 33.81% 46.64% -4.0 0
1973-08-29 Southampton L 0-1 1912 1854 55.79% 31.76% 12.45% -8.8 2
1973-08-29 @ Newcastle United W 1-0 1854 1912 12.45% 31.76% 55.79% +8.8 3
1973-08-29 Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1818 1868 44.77% 34.00% 21.23% -0.9 1
1973-08-29 @ Norwich City D 0-0 1868 1818 21.23% 34.00% 44.77% +0.9 2
1973-09-01 Derby County D 0-0 1873 1925 44.69% 34.00% 21.30% -0.9 1
1973-09-01 @ Birmingham City D 0-0 1925 1873 21.30% 34.00% 44.69% +0.9 5
1973-09-01 Coventry City D 2-2 1874 1835 54.13% 32.29% 13.58% -1.1 5
1973-09-01 @ Burnley D 2-2 1835 1874 13.58% 32.29% 54.13% +1.1 5
1973-09-01 Sheffield United L 1-2 1867 1846 52.41% 32.76% 14.83% -7.8 0
1973-09-01 @ Chelsea W 2-1 1846 1867 14.83% 32.76% 52.41% +7.8 2
1973-09-01 Ipswich Town W 3-0 1848 1887 46.03% 33.88% 20.10% +11.2 3
1973-09-01 @ Everton L 0-3 1887 1848 20.10% 33.88% 46.03% -11.2 2
1973-09-01 Liverpool D 1-1 1874 1975 38.61% 34.21% 27.18% -0.3 3
1973-09-01 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1975 1874 27.18% 34.21% 38.61% +0.4 3
1973-09-01 Queens Park Rangers W 2-1 1855 1869 48.81% 33.50% 17.69% +3.5 4
1973-09-01 @ Manchester United L 1-2 1869 1855 17.69% 33.50% 48.81% -3.5 2
1973-09-01 Arsenal D 1-1 1903 1940 46.37% 33.84% 19.79% -0.9 3
1973-09-01 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1940 1903 19.79% 33.84% 46.37% +0.9 3
1973-09-01 West Ham D 2-2 1817 1891 42.00% 34.17% 23.83% -0.4 2
1973-09-01 @ Norwich City D 2-2 1891 1817 23.83% 34.17% 42.00% +0.4 2
1973-09-01 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1863 1920 44.07% 34.05% 21.88% +4.1 5
1973-09-01 @ Southampton L 1-2 1920 1863 21.88% 34.05% 44.07% -4.1 4
1973-09-01 Manchester City D 1-1 1881 1904 47.81% 33.65% 18.53% -1.0 1
1973-09-01 @ Stoke City D 1-1 1904 1881 18.53% 33.65% 47.81% +1.0 3
1973-09-01 Leeds United L 0-3 1922 1976 44.37% 34.03% 21.60% -19.7 2
1973-09-01 @ Tottenham W 3-0 1976 1922 21.60% 34.03% 44.37% +19.7 6
1973-09-04 Newcastle United L 1-3 1876 1902 47.47% 33.70% 18.83% -12.4 2
1973-09-04 @ Ipswich Town W 3-1 1902 1876 18.83% 33.70% 47.47% +12.4 5
1973-09-04 Derby County W 2-0 1975 1925 55.07% 32.00% 12.93% +5.4 5
1973-09-04 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1925 1975 12.93% 32.00% 55.07% -5.4 5
1973-09-04 West Ham D 0-0 1866 1891 47.58% 33.69% 18.73% -1.1 3
1973-09-04 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1891 1866 18.73% 33.69% 47.58% +1.1 3
1973-09-04 Arsenal W 5-0 1853 1940 40.34% 34.21% 25.45% +21.4 4
1973-09-04 @ Sheffield United L 0-5 1940 1853 25.45% 34.21% 40.34% -21.4 3
1973-09-04 Norwich City D 2-2 1867 1817 55.16% 31.97% 12.87% -1.1 6
1973-09-04 @ Southampton D 2-2 1817 1867 12.87% 31.97% 55.16% +1.1 3
1973-09-05 Birmingham City W 3-1 1859 1873 48.88% 33.49% 17.63% +6.1 2
1973-09-05 @ Chelsea L 1-3 1873 1859 17.63% 33.49% 48.88% -6.1 1
1973-09-05 Wolverhampton W 4-1 1996 1915 57.80% 31.02% 11.18% +5.8 8
1973-09-05 @ Leeds United L 1-4 1915 1996 11.18% 31.02% 57.80% -5.8 4
1973-09-05 Manchester United W 1-0 1874 1859 51.79% 32.91% 15.30% +3.3 5
1973-09-05 @ Leicester City L 0-1 1859 1874 15.30% 32.91% 51.79% -3.3 4
1973-09-05 Coventry City W 1-0 1905 1836 56.85% 31.38% 11.76% +2.6 5
1973-09-05 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1836 1905 11.76% 31.38% 56.85% -2.6 5
1973-09-05 Everton D 0-0 1880 1859 52.40% 32.76% 14.84% -1.5 2
1973-09-05 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1859 1880 14.84% 32.76% 52.40% +1.5 4
1973-09-05 Burnley L 2-3 1902 1873 53.16% 32.56% 14.28% -7.5 2
1973-09-05 @ Tottenham W 3-2 1873 1902 14.28% 32.56% 53.16% +7.5 7
1973-09-08 Leicester City L 0-2 1919 1877 54.37% 32.22% 13.41% -16.1 3
1973-09-08 @ Arsenal W 2-0 1877 1919 13.41% 32.22% 54.37% +16.1 7
1973-09-08 Southampton W 2-0 1833 1866 46.77% 33.79% 19.44% +7.5 7
1973-09-08 @ Coventry City L 0-2 1866 1833 19.44% 33.79% 46.77% -7.5 6
1973-09-08 Everton W 2-1 1920 1860 55.98% 31.69% 12.32% +2.6 7
1973-09-08 @ Derby County L 1-2 1860 1920 12.32% 31.69% 55.98% -2.6 4
1973-09-08 Manchester United W 2-1 1863 1855 51.09% 33.07% 15.85% +3.2 4
1973-09-08 @ Ipswich Town L 1-2 1855 1863 15.85% 33.07% 51.09% -3.2 4
1973-09-08 Birmingham City W 3-0 2002 1867 62.30% 28.96% 8.74% +5.3 10
1973-09-08 @ Leeds United L 0-3 1867 2002 8.74% 28.96% 62.30% -5.3 1
1973-09-08 Chelsea W 1-0 1980 1865 60.71% 29.75% 9.54% +2.1 7
1973-09-08 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1865 1980 9.54% 29.75% 60.71% -2.1 2
1973-09-08 Norwich City W 2-1 1908 1818 58.64% 30.68% 10.68% +2.3 7
1973-09-08 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1818 1908 10.68% 30.68% 58.64% -2.3 3
1973-09-08 Stoke City D 3-3 1865 1879 48.81% 33.50% 17.69% -0.7 4
1973-09-08 @ Queens Park Rangers D 3-3 1879 1865 17.69% 33.50% 48.81% +0.6 3
1973-09-08 Newcastle United D 1-1 1875 1915 45.98% 33.88% 20.14% -0.8 5
1973-09-08 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1915 1875 20.14% 33.88% 45.98% +0.8 6
1973-09-08 Tottenham L 0-1 1892 1895 50.00% 33.29% 16.71% -8.0 3
1973-09-08 @ West Ham W 1-0 1895 1892 16.71% 33.29% 50.00% +8.0 4
1973-09-08 Burnley L 0-2 1910 1881 53.13% 32.57% 14.30% -15.8 4
1973-09-08 @ Wolverhampton W 2-0 1881 1910 14.30% 32.57% 53.13% +15.8 9
1973-09-10 Queens Park Rangers L 2-3 1884 1864 52.30% 32.78% 14.91% -7.4 3
1973-09-10 @ West Ham W 3-2 1864 1884 14.91% 32.78% 52.30% +7.4 6
1973-09-11 Sheffield United W 1-0 1903 1874 53.14% 32.57% 14.29% +3.1 5
1973-09-11 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1874 1903 14.29% 32.57% 53.14% -3.1 5
1973-09-11 Chelsea L 2-4 1861 1863 50.07% 33.28% 16.66% -11.6 1
1973-09-11 @ Birmingham City W 4-2 1863 1861 16.66% 33.28% 50.07% +11.6 4
1973-09-11 Tottenham D 2-2 1897 1903 49.62% 33.36% 17.02% -0.8 10
1973-09-11 @ Burnley D 2-2 1903 1897 17.02% 33.36% 49.62% +0.8 5
1973-09-11 Manchester City W 2-1 1841 1910 42.51% 34.14% 23.35% +4.3 9
1973-09-11 @ Coventry City L 1-2 1910 1841 23.35% 34.14% 42.51% -4.3 7
1973-09-11 Stoke City D 1-1 1858 1879 48.00% 33.63% 18.37% -1.0 5
1973-09-11 @ Everton D 1-1 1879 1858 18.37% 33.63% 48.00% +1.0 4
1973-09-11 Leeds United L 0-2 1894 2007 36.97% 34.18% 28.85% -11.8 4
1973-09-11 @ Wolverhampton W 2-0 2007 1894 28.85% 34.18% 36.97% +11.8 12
1973-09-12 Liverpool W 3-1 1923 1983 43.65% 34.08% 22.27% +7.2 9
1973-09-12 @ Derby County L 1-3 1983 1923 22.27% 34.08% 43.65% -7.2 7
1973-09-12 Leicester City L 1-2 1852 1893 45.85% 33.90% 20.26% -7.0 4
1973-09-12 @ Manchester United W 2-1 1893 1852 20.26% 33.90% 45.85% +7.0 9
1973-09-12 Ipswich Town W 3-1 1916 1867 55.01% 32.02% 12.97% +4.7 8
1973-09-12 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1867 1916 12.97% 32.02% 55.01% -4.7 4
1973-09-12 Southampton W 2-0 1816 1859 45.62% 33.92% 20.46% +7.9 5
1973-09-12 @ Norwich City L 0-2 1859 1816 20.46% 33.92% 45.62% -7.8 6
1973-09-15 Liverpool D 1-1 1850 1975 35.26% 34.11% 30.63% -0.1 2
1973-09-15 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1975 1850 30.63% 34.11% 35.26% +0.1 8
1973-09-15 Derby County D 1-1 1896 1930 46.63% 33.81% 19.56% -0.9 11
1973-09-15 @ Burnley D 1-1 1930 1896 19.56% 33.81% 46.63% +0.9 10
1973-09-15 Coventry City W 1-0 1875 1845 53.21% 32.55% 14.24% +3.1 6
1973-09-15 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1845 1875 14.24% 32.55% 53.21% -3.1 9
1973-09-15 Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1857 1871 48.74% 33.51% 17.75% +3.7 7
1973-09-15 @ Everton L 0-1 1871 1857 17.75% 33.51% 48.74% -3.7 6
1973-09-15 Manchester City D 1-1 1900 1906 49.67% 33.35% 16.98% -1.1 10
1973-09-15 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1906 1900 16.98% 33.35% 49.67% +1.1 8
1973-09-15 West Ham W 3-1 1845 1877 46.89% 33.78% 19.33% +6.5 6
1973-09-15 @ Manchester United L 1-3 1877 1845 19.33% 33.78% 46.89% -6.5 3
1973-09-15 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1920 1882 54.01% 32.32% 13.66% +5.7 10
1973-09-15 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1882 1920 13.66% 32.32% 54.01% -5.7 4
1973-09-15 Arsenal L 0-4 1823 1906 40.89% 34.20% 24.92% -24.1 5
1973-09-15 @ Norwich City W 4-0 1906 1823 24.92% 34.20% 40.89% +24.1 7
1973-09-15 Leeds United L 1-2 1851 2019 29.57% 33.63% 36.80% -5.0 6
1973-09-15 @ Southampton W 2-1 2019 1851 36.80% 33.63% 29.57% +5.0 14
1973-09-15 Ipswich Town D 1-1 1880 1862 52.12% 32.83% 15.05% -1.3 5
1973-09-15 @ Stoke City D 1-1 1862 1880 15.05% 32.83% 52.12% +1.3 5
1973-09-15 Sheffield United L 1-2 1904 1871 53.51% 32.47% 14.02% -8.0 5
1973-09-15 @ Tottenham W 2-1 1871 1904 14.02% 32.47% 53.51% +8.0 7
1973-09-18 Derby County W 1-0 1842 1931 40.13% 34.21% 25.66% +4.9 11
1973-09-18 @ Coventry City L 0-1 1931 1842 25.66% 34.21% 40.13% -4.9 10
1973-09-22 Stoke City W 2-1 1930 1879 55.21% 31.95% 12.84% +2.7 9
1973-09-22 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1879 1930 12.84% 31.95% 55.21% -2.7 5
1973-09-22 Newcastle United D 2-2 1847 1926 41.34% 34.19% 24.47% -0.4 12
1973-09-22 @ Coventry City D 2-2 1926 1847 24.47% 34.19% 41.34% +0.4 11
1973-09-22 Southampton W 6-2 1926 1846 57.78% 31.03% 11.19% +6.3 12
1973-09-22 @ Derby County L 2-6 1846 1926 11.19% 31.03% 57.78% -6.3 6
1973-09-22 Burnley W 3-2 1863 1895 46.90% 33.78% 19.32% +3.6 7
1973-09-22 @ Ipswich Town L 2-3 1895 1863 19.32% 33.78% 46.90% -3.6 11
1973-09-22 Manchester United D 0-0 2024 1852 65.16% 27.38% 7.45% -2.4 15
1973-09-22 @ Leeds United D 0-0 1852 2024 7.45% 27.38% 65.16% +2.4 7
1973-09-22 Tottenham W 3-2 1976 1896 57.74% 31.04% 11.21% +2.2 10
1973-09-22 @ Liverpool L 2-3 1896 1976 11.21% 31.04% 57.74% -2.2 5
1973-09-22 Chelsea W 3-2 1907 1878 53.16% 32.56% 14.28% +2.8 10
1973-09-22 @ Manchester City L 2-3 1878 1907 14.28% 32.56% 53.16% -2.8 6
1973-09-22 Birmingham City D 2-2 1868 1849 52.10% 32.83% 15.06% -1.0 7
1973-09-22 @ Queens Park Rangers D 2-2 1849 1868 15.06% 32.83% 52.10% +0.9 3
1973-09-22 Norwich City W 1-0 1879 1799 57.73% 31.05% 11.22% +2.5 9
1973-09-22 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1799 1879 11.22% 31.05% 57.73% -2.5 5
1973-09-22 Leicester City D 1-1 1870 1899 47.23% 33.73% 19.04% -0.9 4
1973-09-22 @ West Ham D 1-1 1899 1870 19.04% 33.73% 47.23% +0.9 11
1973-09-22 Everton D 1-1 1876 1860 51.87% 32.89% 15.24% -1.3 5
1973-09-22 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1860 1876 15.24% 32.89% 51.87% +1.3 8
1973-09-29 Ipswich Town L 0-3 1850 1867 48.56% 33.54% 17.90% -21.2 3
1973-09-29 @ Birmingham City W 3-0 1867 1850 17.90% 33.54% 48.56% +21.3 9
1973-09-29 Manchester City W 3-0 1891 1910 48.32% 33.58% 18.10% +10.4 13
1973-09-29 @ Burnley L 0-3 1910 1891 18.10% 33.58% 48.32% -10.4 10
1973-09-29 Wolverhampton D 2-2 1875 1875 50.28% 33.24% 16.49% -0.9 7
1973-09-29 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1875 1875 16.49% 33.24% 50.28% +0.9 6
1973-09-29 Arsenal W 1-0 1862 1933 42.31% 34.15% 23.54% +4.6 10
1973-09-29 @ Everton L 0-1 1933 1862 23.54% 34.15% 42.31% -4.6 9
1973-09-29 Coventry City L 0-2 1900 1847 55.42% 31.88% 12.69% -16.4 11
1973-09-29 @ Leicester City W 2-0 1847 1900 12.69% 31.88% 55.42% +16.4 14
1973-09-29 Liverpool D 0-0 1854 1978 35.55% 34.12% 30.33% -0.2 8
1973-09-29 @ Manchester United D 0-0 1978 1854 30.33% 34.12% 35.55% +0.2 11
1973-09-29 Queens Park Rangers L 2-3 1926 1867 55.98% 31.70% 12.33% -7.8 11
1973-09-29 @ Newcastle United W 3-2 1867 1926 12.33% 31.70% 55.98% +7.8 9
1973-09-29 Leeds United L 0-1 1797 2021 23.03% 32.41% 44.56% -4.4 5
1973-09-29 @ Norwich City W 1-0 2021 1797 44.56% 32.41% 23.03% +4.4 17
1973-09-29 Sheffield United W 3-0 1839 1881 45.74% 33.91% 20.35% +11.4 8
1973-09-29 @ Southampton L 0-3 1881 1839 20.35% 33.91% 45.74% -11.4 9
1973-09-29 West Ham W 2-0 1876 1869 50.97% 33.09% 15.94% +6.5 7
1973-09-29 @ Stoke City L 0-2 1869 1876 15.94% 33.09% 50.97% -6.5 4
1973-09-29 Derby County W 1-0 1894 1932 46.12% 33.87% 20.01% +4.1 7
1973-09-29 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1932 1894 20.01% 33.87% 46.12% -4.1 12
1973-10-06 Birmingham City W 1-0 1928 1829 59.39% 30.35% 10.26% +2.3 11
1973-10-06 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1829 1928 10.26% 30.35% 59.39% -2.3 3
1973-10-06 Everton L 1-2 1863 1866 49.92% 33.30% 16.77% -7.5 14
1973-10-06 @ Coventry City W 2-1 1866 1863 16.77% 33.30% 49.92% +7.5 12
1973-10-06 Norwich City D 1-1 1928 1792 62.36% 28.93% 8.71% -2.0 13
1973-10-06 @ Derby County D 1-1 1792 1928 8.71% 28.93% 62.36% +2.0 6
1973-10-06 Tottenham D 0-0 1888 1898 49.28% 33.42% 17.30% -1.2 10
1973-10-06 @ Ipswich Town D 0-0 1898 1888 17.30% 33.42% 49.28% +1.2 8
1973-10-06 Stoke City D 1-1 2026 1883 62.92% 28.63% 8.45% -2.0 18
1973-10-06 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1883 2026 8.45% 28.63% 62.92% +2.0 8
1973-10-06 Newcastle United W 2-1 1978 1919 55.96% 31.70% 12.34% +2.6 13
1973-10-06 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1919 1978 12.34% 31.70% 55.96% -2.6 11
1973-10-06 Southampton D 1-1 1900 1851 55.00% 32.02% 12.98% -1.5 11
1973-10-06 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1851 1900 12.98% 32.02% 55.00% +1.5 9
1973-10-06 Chelsea D 1-1 1875 1874 50.30% 33.23% 16.47% -1.1 10
1973-10-06 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1874 1875 16.47% 33.23% 50.30% +1.2 8
1973-10-06 Leicester City D 1-1 1870 1884 48.85% 33.49% 17.65% -1.0 10
1973-10-06 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1884 1870 17.65% 33.49% 48.85% +1.1 12
1973-10-06 Burnley L 0-1 1863 1902 46.12% 33.87% 20.02% -7.4 4
1973-10-06 @ West Ham W 1-0 1902 1863 20.02% 33.87% 46.12% +7.4 15
1973-10-06 Manchester United W 2-1 1876 1854 52.47% 32.74% 14.78% +3.0 8
1973-10-06 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1854 1876 14.78% 32.74% 52.47% -3.0 8
1973-10-13 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1827 1879 44.57% 34.01% 21.42% +4.0 5
1973-10-13 @ Birmingham City L 1-2 1879 1827 21.42% 34.01% 44.57% -4.1 8
1973-10-13 Queens Park Rangers W 2-1 1909 1873 53.78% 32.39% 13.83% +2.9 17
1973-10-13 @ Burnley L 1-2 1873 1909 13.83% 32.39% 53.78% -2.9 10
1973-10-13 Ipswich Town L 2-3 1875 1887 49.09% 33.45% 17.46% -7.0 8
1973-10-13 @ Chelsea W 3-2 1887 1875 17.46% 33.45% 49.09% +7.0 12
1973-10-13 West Ham W 1-0 1874 1856 52.10% 32.83% 15.06% +3.3 14
1973-10-13 @ Everton L 0-1 1856 1874 15.06% 32.83% 52.10% -3.3 4
1973-10-13 Leeds United D 2-2 1885 2024 33.45% 34.00% 32.56% -0.0 13
1973-10-13 @ Leicester City D 2-2 2024 1885 32.56% 34.00% 33.45% +0.0 19
1973-10-13 Derby County L 0-1 1851 1926 41.81% 34.17% 24.02% -6.9 8
1973-10-13 @ Manchester United W 1-0 1926 1851 24.02% 34.17% 41.81% +6.9 15
1973-10-13 Manchester City W 1-0 1916 1898 52.06% 32.84% 15.09% +3.3 13
1973-10-13 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1898 1916 15.09% 32.84% 52.06% -3.3 11
1973-10-13 Coventry City D 0-0 1794 1855 43.52% 34.09% 22.39% -0.8 7
1973-10-13 @ Norwich City D 0-0 1855 1794 22.39% 34.09% 43.52% +0.8 15
1973-10-13 Liverpool W 1-0 1852 1981 34.91% 34.09% 31.00% +5.5 11
1973-10-13 @ Southampton L 0-1 1981 1852 31.00% 34.09% 34.91% -5.5 13
1973-10-13 Sheffield United L 1-2 1885 1869 51.87% 32.89% 15.24% -7.8 8
1973-10-13 @ Stoke City W 2-1 1869 1885 15.24% 32.89% 51.87% +7.8 12
1973-10-13 Arsenal W 2-0 1899 1931 46.89% 33.78% 19.33% +7.5 10
1973-10-13 @ Tottenham L 0-2 1931 1899 19.33% 33.78% 46.89% -7.5 11
1973-10-20 Ipswich Town D 1-1 1923 1894 53.16% 32.56% 14.27% -1.4 12
1973-10-20 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1894 1923 14.27% 32.56% 53.16% +1.4 13
1973-10-20 West Ham L 0-1 1856 1852 50.67% 33.16% 16.18% -8.0 15
1973-10-20 @ Coventry City W 1-0 1852 1856 16.18% 33.16% 50.67% +8.0 6
1973-10-20 Leicester City W 2-1 1933 1885 54.95% 32.04% 13.01% +2.7 17
1973-10-20 @ Derby County L 1-2 1885 1933 13.01% 32.04% 54.95% -2.7 13
1973-10-20 Burnley W 1-0 1877 1912 46.54% 33.82% 19.64% +4.0 16
1973-10-20 @ Everton L 0-1 1912 1877 19.64% 33.82% 46.54% -4.0 17
1973-10-20 Liverpool W 1-0 2024 1975 54.99% 32.02% 12.99% +2.9 21
1973-10-20 @ Leeds United L 0-1 1975 2024 12.99% 32.02% 54.99% -2.9 13
1973-10-20 Birmingham City W 1-0 1844 1831 51.60% 32.95% 15.45% +3.3 10
1973-10-20 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1831 1844 15.45% 32.95% 51.60% -3.3 5
1973-10-20 Chelsea W 2-0 1919 1868 55.17% 31.97% 12.86% +5.4 15
1973-10-20 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1868 1919 12.86% 31.97% 55.17% -5.4 8
1973-10-20 Tottenham D 1-1 1794 1906 37.00% 34.18% 28.82% -0.2 8
1973-10-20 @ Norwich City D 1-1 1906 1794 28.82% 34.18% 37.00% +0.2 11
1973-10-20 Manchester City L 1-2 1877 1895 48.38% 33.57% 18.05% -7.3 12
1973-10-20 @ Sheffield United W 2-1 1895 1877 18.05% 33.57% 48.38% +7.3 13
1973-10-20 Stoke City W 3-0 1858 1877 48.24% 33.59% 18.17% +10.4 13
1973-10-20 @ Southampton L 0-3 1877 1858 18.17% 33.59% 48.24% -10.4 8
1973-10-20 Queens Park Rangers L 2-4 1875 1871 50.72% 33.14% 16.13% -11.8 8
1973-10-20 @ Wolverhampton W 4-2 1871 1875 16.13% 33.14% 50.72% +11.8 12
1973-10-26 Norwich City W 3-0 1863 1793 56.87% 31.38% 11.75% +7.2 10
1973-10-26 @ Chelsea L 0-3 1793 1863 11.75% 31.38% 56.87% -7.2 8
1973-10-27 Everton L 0-2 1828 1881 44.40% 34.03% 21.57% -13.6 5
1973-10-27 @ Birmingham City W 2-0 1881 1828 21.57% 34.03% 44.40% +13.6 18
1973-10-27 Manchester United D 0-0 1908 1847 56.06% 31.67% 12.27% -1.7 18
1973-10-27 @ Burnley D 0-0 1847 1908 12.27% 31.67% 56.06% +1.8 11
1973-10-27 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1895 1863 53.43% 32.49% 14.08% +5.8 15
1973-10-27 @ Ipswich Town L 0-2 1863 1895 14.08% 32.49% 53.43% -5.8 8
1973-10-27 Southampton L 0-1 1882 1868 51.66% 32.94% 15.40% -8.2 13
1973-10-27 @ Leicester City W 1-0 1868 1882 15.40% 32.94% 51.66% +8.2 15
1973-10-27 Sheffield United W 1-0 1972 1869 59.69% 30.22% 10.09% +2.3 15
1973-10-27 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1869 1972 10.09% 30.22% 59.69% -2.3 12
1973-10-27 Leeds United L 0-1 1902 2027 35.43% 34.12% 30.45% -6.0 13
1973-10-27 @ Manchester City W 1-0 2027 1902 30.45% 34.12% 35.43% +6.0 23
1973-10-27 Arsenal W 2-0 1882 1922 46.04% 33.88% 20.09% +7.7 14
1973-10-27 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-2 1922 1882 20.09% 33.88% 46.04% -7.7 12
1973-10-27 Coventry City W 3-0 1867 1848 52.13% 32.83% 15.04% +9.0 10
1973-10-27 @ Stoke City L 0-3 1848 1867 15.04% 32.83% 52.13% -9.0 15
1973-10-27 Newcastle United L 0-2 1907 1925 48.39% 33.57% 18.04% -14.6 11
1973-10-27 @ Tottenham W 2-0 1925 1907 18.04% 33.57% 48.39% +14.6 17
1973-10-27 Derby County D 0-0 1860 1936 41.80% 34.17% 24.03% -0.6 7
1973-10-27 @ West Ham D 0-0 1936 1860 24.03% 34.17% 41.80% +0.6 18
1973-11-03 Liverpool L 0-2 1914 1974 43.60% 34.08% 22.32% -13.4 12
1973-11-03 @ Arsenal W 2-0 1974 1914 22.32% 34.08% 43.60% +13.4 17
1973-11-03 Ipswich Town L 0-1 1839 1901 43.43% 34.09% 22.47% -7.1 15
1973-11-03 @ Coventry City W 1-0 1901 1839 22.47% 34.09% 43.43% +7.1 17
1973-11-03 Queens Park Rangers L 1-2 1936 1890 54.76% 32.10% 13.14% -8.1 18
1973-11-03 @ Derby County W 2-1 1890 1936 13.14% 32.10% 54.76% +8.1 16
1973-11-03 Tottenham D 1-1 1895 1892 50.55% 33.18% 16.27% -1.2 19
1973-11-03 @ Everton D 1-1 1892 1895 16.27% 33.18% 50.55% +1.2 12
1973-11-03 West Ham W 4-1 2033 1860 65.23% 27.34% 7.42% +3.7 25
1973-11-03 @ Leeds United L 1-4 1860 2033 7.42% 27.34% 65.23% -3.7 7
1973-11-03 Chelsea D 2-2 1849 1870 48.05% 33.62% 18.33% -0.8 12
1973-11-03 @ Manchester United D 2-2 1870 1849 18.33% 33.62% 48.05% +0.8 11
1973-11-03 Stoke City W 2-1 1939 1876 56.32% 31.57% 12.10% +2.5 19
1973-11-03 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1876 1939 12.10% 31.57% 56.32% -2.6 10
1973-11-03 Leicester City W 1-0 1786 1874 40.27% 34.21% 25.53% +4.9 10
1973-11-03 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1874 1786 25.53% 34.21% 40.27% -4.9 13
1973-11-03 Birmingham City D 1-1 1867 1814 55.39% 31.89% 12.71% -1.5 13
1973-11-03 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1814 1867 12.71% 31.89% 55.39% +1.5 6
1973-11-03 Burnley D 2-2 1876 1906 47.10% 33.75% 19.15% -0.7 16
1973-11-03 @ Southampton D 2-2 1906 1876 19.15% 33.75% 47.10% +0.7 19
1973-11-03 Manchester City D 0-0 1857 1896 46.12% 33.87% 20.01% -1.0 9
1973-11-03 @ Wolverhampton D 0-0 1896 1857 20.01% 33.87% 46.12% +1.0 14
1973-11-10 Southampton D 1-1 1815 1876 43.63% 34.08% 22.29% -0.7 7
1973-11-10 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1876 1815 22.29% 34.08% 43.63% +0.7 17
1973-11-10 Leeds United D 0-0 1907 2036 34.76% 34.08% 31.16% -0.1 20
1973-11-10 @ Burnley D 0-0 2036 1907 31.16% 34.08% 34.76% +0.1 26
1973-11-10 Everton W 3-1 1871 1894 47.90% 33.64% 18.46% +6.3 13
1973-11-10 @ Chelsea L 1-3 1894 1871 18.46% 33.64% 47.90% -6.3 19
1973-11-10 Derby County W 3-0 1908 1928 48.16% 33.60% 18.24% +10.5 19
1973-11-10 @ Ipswich Town L 0-3 1928 1908 18.24% 33.60% 48.16% -10.5 18
1973-11-10 Newcastle United W 1-0 1869 1942 42.10% 34.16% 23.74% +4.6 15
1973-11-10 @ Leicester City L 0-1 1942 1869 23.74% 34.16% 42.10% -4.6 19
1973-11-10 Wolverhampton W 1-0 1988 1856 62.01% 29.11% 8.88% +2.0 19
1973-11-10 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1856 1988 8.88% 29.11% 62.01% -2.0 9
1973-11-10 Arsenal L 1-2 1897 1901 49.90% 33.31% 16.79% -7.5 14
1973-11-10 @ Manchester City W 2-1 1901 1897 16.79% 33.31% 49.90% +7.5 14
1973-11-10 Coventry City W 3-0 1898 1832 56.55% 31.49% 11.96% +7.3 18
1973-11-10 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-3 1832 1898 11.96% 31.49% 56.55% -7.3 15
1973-11-10 Norwich City W 2-0 1873 1791 57.95% 30.96% 11.09% +4.7 12
1973-11-10 @ Stoke City L 0-2 1791 1873 11.09% 30.96% 57.95% -4.7 10
1973-11-10 Manchester United W 2-1 1893 1848 54.63% 32.14% 13.23% +2.8 14
1973-11-10 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1848 1893 13.23% 32.14% 54.63% -2.8 12
1973-11-10 Sheffield United D 2-2 1856 1866 49.27% 33.42% 17.30% -0.8 8
1973-11-10 @ West Ham D 2-2 1866 1856 17.30% 33.42% 49.27% +0.8 14
1973-11-17 Chelsea D 0-0 1908 1877 53.31% 32.52% 14.17% -1.5 15
1973-11-17 @ Arsenal D 0-0 1877 1908 14.17% 32.52% 53.31% +1.5 14
1973-11-17 Coventry City W 3-0 2037 1825 68.10% 25.58% 6.31% +3.6 28
1973-11-17 @ Leeds United L 0-3 1825 2037 6.31% 25.58% 68.10% -3.6 15
1973-11-17 Burnley W 2-0 1873 1907 46.72% 33.80% 19.48% +7.6 17
1973-11-17 @ Leicester City L 0-2 1907 1873 19.48% 33.80% 46.72% -7.6 20
1973-11-17 Ipswich Town W 4-2 1990 1919 57.00% 31.33% 11.67% +3.8 21
1973-11-17 @ Liverpool L 2-4 1919 1990 11.67% 31.33% 57.00% -3.8 19
1973-11-17 Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1889 1905 48.60% 33.53% 17.86% +3.8 16
1973-11-17 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1905 1889 17.86% 33.53% 48.60% -3.8 18
1973-11-17 Manchester United W 3-2 1937 1846 58.74% 30.63% 10.62% +2.1 21
1973-11-17 @ Newcastle United L 2-3 1846 1937 10.62% 30.63% 58.74% -2.1 12
1973-11-17 Everton L 1-3 1786 1887 38.56% 34.21% 27.23% -10.5 10
1973-11-17 @ Norwich City W 3-1 1887 1786 27.23% 34.21% 38.56% +10.5 21
1973-11-17 Derby County W 3-0 1866 1918 44.67% 34.01% 21.33% +11.8 16
1973-11-17 @ Sheffield United L 0-3 1918 1866 21.33% 34.01% 44.67% -11.8 18
1973-11-17 Tottenham D 1-1 1876 1896 48.21% 33.59% 18.19% -1.0 18
1973-11-17 @ Southampton D 1-1 1896 1876 18.19% 33.59% 48.21% +1.0 15
1973-11-17 Birmingham City W 5-2 1878 1815 56.28% 31.59% 12.13% +5.4 14
1973-11-17 @ Stoke City L 2-5 1815 1878 12.13% 31.59% 56.28% -5.4 7
1973-11-17 West Ham D 0-0 1854 1855 50.19% 33.25% 16.55% -1.3 10
1973-11-17 @ Wolverhampton D 0-0 1855 1854 16.55% 33.25% 50.19% +1.3 9
1973-11-24 Leicester City W 3-0 1809 1881 42.24% 34.16% 23.60% +12.6 9
1973-11-24 @ Birmingham City L 0-3 1881 1809 23.60% 34.16% 42.24% -12.6 17
1973-11-24 Stoke City W 1-0 1899 1883 51.88% 32.89% 15.23% +3.3 22
1973-11-24 @ Burnley L 0-1 1883 1899 15.23% 32.89% 51.88% -3.3 14
1973-11-24 Southampton W 4-0 1879 1875 50.63% 33.16% 16.21% +12.5 16
1973-11-24 @ Chelsea L 0-4 1875 1879 16.21% 33.16% 50.63% -12.5 18
1973-11-24 Sheffield United W 3-1 1821 1878 44.00% 34.06% 21.94% +7.1 17
1973-11-24 @ Coventry City L 1-3 1878 1821 21.94% 34.06% 44.00% -7.2 16
1973-11-24 Leeds United D 0-0 1906 2040 34.12% 34.04% 31.84% -0.1 19
1973-11-24 @ Derby County D 0-0 2040 1906 31.84% 34.04% 34.12% +0.1 29
1973-11-24 Newcastle United D 1-1 1898 1939 45.80% 33.90% 20.30% -0.8 22
1973-11-24 @ Everton D 1-1 1939 1898 20.30% 33.90% 45.80% +0.8 22
1973-11-24 Manchester City W 2-1 1915 1893 52.42% 32.76% 14.83% +3.0 21
1973-11-24 @ Ipswich Town L 1-2 1893 1915 14.83% 32.76% 52.42% -3.0 16
1973-11-24 Norwich City D 0-0 1843 1776 56.69% 31.44% 11.86% -1.8 13
1973-11-24 @ Manchester United D 0-0 1776 1843 11.86% 31.44% 56.69% +1.8 11
1973-11-24 Liverpool D 2-2 1902 1994 39.73% 34.21% 26.05% -0.3 19
1973-11-24 @ Queens Park Rangers D 2-2 1994 1902 26.05% 34.21% 39.73% +0.3 22
1973-11-24 Wolverhampton L 1-3 1897 1853 54.54% 32.17% 13.30% -14.0 15
1973-11-24 @ Tottenham W 3-1 1853 1897 13.30% 32.17% 54.54% +14.0 12
1973-11-24 Arsenal L 1-3 1856 1907 44.81% 33.99% 21.19% -11.9 9
1973-11-24 @ West Ham W 3-1 1907 1856 21.19% 33.99% 44.81% +11.9 17
1973-12-01 Coventry City D 2-2 1918 1828 58.63% 30.68% 10.69% -1.3 18
1973-12-01 @ Arsenal D 2-2 1828 1918 10.69% 30.68% 58.63% +1.3 18
1973-12-01 Queens Park Rangers D 2-2 2040 1901 62.60% 28.80% 8.60% -1.5 30
1973-12-01 @ Leeds United D 2-2 1901 2040 8.60% 28.80% 62.60% +1.5 20
1973-12-01 Tottenham W 3-0 1868 1883 48.76% 33.51% 17.73% +10.2 19
1973-12-01 @ Leicester City L 0-3 1883 1868 17.73% 33.51% 48.76% -10.2 15
1973-12-01 West Ham W 1-0 1994 1845 63.42% 28.37% 8.22% +1.8 24
1973-12-01 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1845 1994 8.22% 28.37% 63.42% -1.8 9
1973-12-01 Everton W 2-0 1863 1897 46.63% 33.81% 19.56% +7.6 20
1973-12-01 @ Southampton L 0-2 1897 1863 19.56% 33.81% 46.63% -7.6 22
1973-12-04 Wolverhampton D 2-2 1917 1867 55.10% 31.99% 12.91% -1.1 19
1973-12-04 @ Arsenal D 2-2 1867 1917 12.91% 31.99% 55.10% +1.1 13
1973-12-08 Newcastle United W 1-0 1822 1940 36.30% 34.15% 29.54% +5.4 11
1973-12-08 @ Birmingham City L 0-1 1940 1822 29.54% 34.15% 36.30% -5.4 22
1973-12-08 Norwich City W 1-0 1903 1778 61.50% 29.37% 9.14% +2.0 24
1973-12-08 @ Burnley L 0-1 1778 1903 9.14% 29.37% 61.50% -2.0 11
1973-12-08 Leicester City W 3-2 1891 1879 51.54% 32.97% 15.49% +3.0 18
1973-12-08 @ Chelsea L 2-3 1879 1891 15.49% 32.97% 51.54% -3.0 19
1973-12-08 Wolverhampton W 1-0 1830 1868 46.12% 33.87% 20.02% +4.1 20
1973-12-08 @ Coventry City L 0-1 1868 1830 20.02% 33.87% 46.12% -4.1 13
1973-12-08 Arsenal D 1-1 1906 1916 49.23% 33.43% 17.34% -1.1 20
1973-12-08 @ Derby County D 1-1 1916 1906 17.34% 33.43% 49.23% +1.1 20
1973-12-08 Liverpool L 0-1 1889 1996 37.86% 34.20% 27.94% -6.3 22
1973-12-08 @ Everton W 1-0 1996 1889 27.94% 34.20% 37.86% +6.3 26
1973-12-08 Leeds United L 0-3 1918 2039 35.91% 34.14% 29.95% -16.7 21
1973-12-08 @ Ipswich Town W 3-0 2039 1918 29.95% 34.14% 35.91% +16.8 32
1973-12-08 Southampton D 0-0 1842 1870 47.22% 33.74% 19.05% -1.0 14
1973-12-08 @ Manchester United D 0-0 1870 1842 19.05% 33.74% 47.22% +1.0 21
1973-12-08 Sheffield United D 0-0 1903 1871 53.42% 32.49% 14.09% -1.5 21
1973-12-08 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1871 1903 14.09% 32.49% 53.42% +1.5 17
1973-12-08 Stoke City W 2-1 1873 1880 49.53% 33.38% 17.09% +3.4 17
1973-12-08 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1880 1873 17.09% 33.38% 49.53% -3.4 14
1973-12-08 Manchester City W 2-1 1843 1890 45.12% 33.97% 20.91% +4.0 11
1973-12-08 @ West Ham L 1-2 1890 1843 20.91% 33.97% 45.12% -4.0 16
1973-12-15 West Ham W 3-1 1827 1847 48.23% 33.59% 18.17% +6.2 13
1973-12-15 @ Birmingham City L 1-3 1847 1827 18.17% 33.59% 48.23% -6.2 11
1973-12-15 Arsenal W 2-1 1905 1917 48.97% 33.47% 17.55% +3.5 26
1973-12-15 @ Burnley L 1-2 1917 1905 17.55% 33.47% 48.97% -3.5 20
1973-12-15 Leeds United L 1-2 1894 2056 30.44% 33.73% 35.83% -5.1 18
1973-12-15 @ Chelsea W 2-1 2056 1894 35.83% 33.73% 30.44% +5.1 34
1973-12-15 Sheffield United D 1-1 1883 1873 51.33% 33.01% 15.66% -1.2 23
1973-12-15 @ Everton D 1-1 1873 1883 15.66% 33.01% 51.33% +1.2 18
1973-12-15 Queens Park Rangers W 2-0 1876 1901 47.56% 33.69% 18.75% +7.3 21
1973-12-15 @ Leicester City L 0-2 1901 1876 18.75% 33.69% 47.56% -7.3 21
1973-12-15 Coventry City L 2-3 1841 1834 50.98% 33.09% 15.93% -7.2 14
1973-12-15 @ Manchester United W 3-2 1834 1841 15.93% 33.09% 50.98% +7.2 22
1973-12-15 Derby County L 0-2 1935 1905 53.22% 32.55% 14.23% -15.8 22
1973-12-15 @ Newcastle United W 2-0 1905 1935 14.23% 32.55% 53.22% +15.8 22
1973-12-15 Liverpool D 1-1 1776 2002 22.83% 32.36% 44.81% +0.7 12
1973-12-15 @ Norwich City D 1-1 2002 1776 44.81% 32.36% 22.83% -0.7 27
1973-12-15 Ipswich Town W 2-0 1872 1901 47.14% 33.75% 19.12% +7.5 23
1973-12-15 @ Southampton L 0-2 1901 1872 19.12% 33.75% 47.14% -7.5 21
1973-12-15 Wolverhampton L 2-3 1876 1864 51.51% 32.97% 15.52% -7.3 14
1973-12-15 @ Stoke City W 3-2 1864 1876 15.52% 32.97% 51.51% +7.3 15
1973-12-15 Manchester City L 0-2 1876 1886 49.23% 33.43% 17.34% -14.8 17
1973-12-15 @ Tottenham W 2-0 1886 1876 17.34% 33.43% 49.23% +14.8 18
1973-12-22 Everton W 1-0 1914 1882 53.41% 32.49% 14.10% +3.1 22
1973-12-22 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1882 1914 14.10% 32.49% 53.41% -3.1 23
1973-12-22 Leicester City L 1-2 1841 1883 45.73% 33.91% 20.36% -7.0 22
1973-12-22 @ Coventry City W 2-1 1883 1841 20.36% 33.91% 45.73% +7.0 23
1973-12-22 Tottenham W 2-0 1921 1861 55.95% 31.71% 12.34% +5.2 24
1973-12-22 @ Derby County L 0-2 1861 1921 12.34% 31.71% 55.95% -5.2 17
1973-12-22 Birmingham City W 3-0 1894 1834 56.01% 31.69% 12.31% +7.5 23
1973-12-22 @ Ipswich Town L 0-3 1834 1894 12.31% 31.69% 56.01% -7.5 13
1973-12-22 Norwich City W 1-0 2061 1776 73.17% 22.16% 4.68% +0.9 36
1973-12-22 @ Leeds United L 0-1 1776 2061 4.68% 22.16% 73.17% -0.9 12
1973-12-22 Manchester United W 2-0 2001 1833 64.85% 27.56% 7.58% +3.1 29
1973-12-22 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1833 2001 7.58% 27.56% 64.85% -3.1 14
1973-12-22 Burnley W 2-0 1901 1908 49.55% 33.37% 17.08% +6.8 20
1973-12-22 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1908 1901 17.08% 33.37% 49.55% -6.8 26
1973-12-22 Newcastle United W 3-2 1894 1919 47.65% 33.68% 18.68% +3.5 23
1973-12-22 @ Queens Park Rangers L 2-3 1919 1894 18.68% 33.68% 47.65% -3.5 22
1973-12-22 Southampton W 4-2 1874 1879 49.74% 33.34% 16.92% +5.3 20
1973-12-22 @ Sheffield United L 2-4 1879 1874 16.92% 33.34% 49.74% -5.3 23
1973-12-22 Stoke City L 0-2 1841 1869 47.24% 33.73% 19.03% -14.3 11
1973-12-22 @ West Ham W 2-0 1869 1841 19.03% 33.73% 47.24% +14.3 16
1973-12-22 Chelsea W 2-0 1871 1889 48.43% 33.56% 18.01% +7.1 17
1973-12-22 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 1889 1871 18.01% 33.56% 48.43% -7.1 18
1973-12-26 Coventry City W 1-0 1826 1834 49.45% 33.39% 17.16% +3.6 15
1973-12-26 @ Birmingham City L 0-1 1834 1826 17.16% 33.39% 49.45% -3.6 22
1973-12-26 Liverpool W 2-1 1901 2004 38.26% 34.21% 27.53% +4.8 28
1973-12-26 @ Burnley L 1-2 2004 1901 27.53% 34.21% 38.26% -4.8 29
1973-12-26 West Ham L 2-4 1882 1826 55.62% 31.82% 12.56% -12.8 18
1973-12-26 @ Chelsea W 4-2 1826 1882 12.56% 31.82% 55.62% +12.8 13
1973-12-26 Manchester City W 2-0 1879 1908 47.17% 33.74% 19.09% +7.4 25
1973-12-26 @ Everton L 0-2 1908 1879 19.09% 33.74% 47.17% -7.4 20
1973-12-26 Wolverhampton D 2-2 1890 1879 51.42% 32.99% 15.59% -0.9 24
1973-12-26 @ Leicester City D 2-2 1879 1890 15.59% 32.99% 51.42% +0.9 18
1973-12-26 Sheffield United L 1-2 1830 1879 44.96% 33.98% 21.06% -6.8 14
1973-12-26 @ Manchester United W 2-1 1879 1830 21.06% 33.98% 44.96% +6.9 22
1973-12-26 Leeds United L 0-1 1915 2062 32.46% 33.92% 33.61% -5.7 22
1973-12-26 @ Newcastle United W 1-0 2062 1915 33.61% 33.92% 32.46% +5.7 38
1973-12-26 Ipswich Town L 1-2 1775 1901 35.27% 34.11% 30.63% -5.7 12
1973-12-26 @ Norwich City W 2-1 1901 1775 30.63% 34.11% 35.27% +5.7 25
1973-12-26 Arsenal D 1-1 1874 1917 45.63% 33.92% 20.45% -0.8 24
1973-12-26 @ Southampton D 1-1 1917 1874 20.45% 33.92% 45.63% +0.8 23
1973-12-26 Derby County D 0-0 1883 1926 45.69% 33.91% 20.40% -0.9 17
1973-12-26 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1926 1883 20.40% 33.91% 45.69% +0.9 25
1973-12-26 Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1856 1897 45.82% 33.90% 20.28% -0.9 18
1973-12-26 @ Tottenham D 0-0 1897 1856 20.28% 33.90% 45.82% +0.9 24
1973-12-29 Leeds United D 1-1 1830 2067 21.73% 32.05% 46.22% +0.8 16
1973-12-29 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 2067 1830 46.22% 32.05% 21.73% -0.8 39
1973-12-29 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1906 1880 52.90% 32.63% 14.47% -1.3 29
1973-12-29 @ Burnley D 1-1 1880 1906 14.47% 32.63% 52.90% +1.3 19
1973-12-29 Liverpool L 0-1 1869 2000 34.64% 34.07% 31.29% -6.0 18
1973-12-29 @ Chelsea W 1-0 2000 1869 31.29% 34.07% 34.64% +6.0 31
1973-12-29 Derby County W 2-1 1886 1927 45.89% 33.89% 20.22% +3.9 27
1973-12-29 @ Everton L 1-2 1927 1886 20.22% 33.89% 45.89% -3.9 25
1973-12-29 Arsenal W 2-0 1889 1917 47.26% 33.73% 19.01% +7.4 26
1973-12-29 @ Leicester City L 0-2 1917 1889 19.01% 33.73% 47.26% -7.4 23
1973-12-29 Ipswich Town W 2-0 1823 1907 40.80% 34.20% 25.00% +9.0 16
1973-12-29 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1907 1823 25.00% 34.20% 40.80% -9.0 25
1973-12-29 Sheffield United W 1-0 1910 1886 52.64% 32.70% 14.66% +3.2 24
1973-12-29 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1886 1910 14.66% 32.70% 52.64% -3.2 22
1973-12-29 Manchester City D 1-1 1770 1900 34.58% 34.07% 31.34% -0.1 13
1973-12-29 @ Norwich City D 1-1 1900 1770 31.34% 34.07% 34.58% +0.1 21
1973-12-29 Coventry City D 1-1 1873 1830 54.42% 32.20% 13.38% -1.5 25
1973-12-29 @ Southampton D 1-1 1830 1873 13.38% 32.20% 54.42% +1.5 23
1973-12-29 Queens Park Rangers W 4-1 1883 1898 48.61% 33.53% 17.85% +8.7 19
1973-12-29 @ Stoke City L 1-4 1898 1883 17.85% 33.53% 48.61% -8.7 24
1973-12-29 West Ham W 2-0 1855 1839 51.90% 32.88% 15.22% +6.2 20
1973-12-29 @ Tottenham L 0-2 1839 1855 15.22% 32.88% 51.90% -6.2 13
1974-01-01 Newcastle United L 0-1 1910 1913 49.98% 33.29% 16.73% -8.0 23
1974-01-01 @ Arsenal W 1-0 1913 1910 16.73% 33.29% 49.98% +8.0 26
1974-01-01 Burnley D 1-1 1832 1905 42.09% 34.16% 23.74% -0.6 24
1974-01-01 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1905 1832 23.74% 34.16% 42.09% +0.6 30
1974-01-01 Birmingham City D 1-1 1923 1830 58.82% 30.60% 10.58% -1.8 26
1974-01-01 @ Derby County D 1-1 1830 1923 10.58% 30.60% 58.82% +1.8 17
1974-01-01 Everton W 3-0 1898 1890 51.06% 33.07% 15.87% +9.4 27
1974-01-01 @ Ipswich Town L 0-3 1890 1898 15.87% 33.07% 51.06% -9.4 27
1974-01-01 Tottenham D 1-1 2066 1861 67.61% 25.89% 6.49% -2.3 40
1974-01-01 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1861 2066 6.49% 25.89% 67.61% +2.3 21
1974-01-01 Leicester City D 1-1 2006 1896 60.21% 29.98% 9.81% -1.8 32
1974-01-01 @ Liverpool D 1-1 1896 2006 9.81% 29.98% 60.21% +1.8 27
1974-01-01 Stoke City D 0-0 1900 1891 51.22% 33.04% 15.75% -1.4 22
1974-01-01 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1891 1900 15.75% 33.04% 51.22% +1.4 20
1974-01-01 Manchester United W 3-0 1890 1832 55.77% 31.77% 12.47% +7.6 26
1974-01-01 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-3 1832 1890 12.47% 31.77% 55.77% -7.6 16
1974-01-01 Chelsea L 1-2 1883 1863 52.22% 32.81% 14.98% -7.8 22
1974-01-01 @ Sheffield United W 2-1 1863 1883 14.98% 32.81% 52.22% +7.8 20
1974-01-01 Norwich City W 4-2 1833 1770 56.30% 31.58% 12.12% +4.0 15
1974-01-01 @ West Ham L 2-4 1770 1833 12.12% 31.58% 56.30% -4.0 13
1974-01-01 Southampton W 2-1 1881 1871 51.23% 33.04% 15.74% +3.2 21
1974-01-01 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1871 1881 15.74% 33.04% 51.23% -3.2 25
1974-01-12 Norwich City W 2-0 1902 1766 62.42% 28.90% 8.68% +3.6 25
1974-01-12 @ Arsenal L 0-2 1766 1902 8.68% 28.90% 62.42% -3.6 13
1974-01-12 Chelsea D 2-2 1831 1871 45.98% 33.88% 20.14% -0.6 25
1974-01-12 @ Coventry City D 2-2 1871 1831 20.14% 33.88% 45.98% +0.6 21
1974-01-12 Burnley W 5-1 1921 1905 51.87% 32.89% 15.24% +9.9 28
1974-01-12 @ Derby County L 1-5 1905 1921 15.24% 32.89% 51.87% -9.9 30
1974-01-12 Stoke City D 1-1 1907 1893 51.74% 32.92% 15.34% -1.3 28
1974-01-12 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 1893 1907 15.34% 32.92% 51.74% +1.2 21
1974-01-12 Southampton W 2-1 2064 1868 66.95% 26.31% 6.74% +1.4 42
1974-01-12 @ Leeds United L 1-2 1868 2064 6.74% 26.31% 66.95% -1.3 25
1974-01-12 Birmingham City W 3-2 2004 1832 65.12% 27.41% 7.47% +1.5 34
1974-01-12 @ Liverpool L 2-3 1832 2004 7.47% 27.41% 65.12% -1.5 17
1974-01-12 Leicester City W 2-0 1899 1898 50.36% 33.22% 16.43% +6.6 24
1974-01-12 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1898 1899 16.43% 33.22% 50.36% -6.6 27
1974-01-12 Everton W 1-0 1897 1881 51.95% 32.87% 15.18% +3.3 28
1974-01-12 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-1 1881 1897 15.18% 32.87% 51.95% -3.3 27
1974-01-12 Tottenham D 2-2 1875 1864 51.41% 33.00% 15.60% -0.9 23
1974-01-12 @ Sheffield United D 2-2 1864 1875 15.60% 33.00% 51.41% +0.9 22
1974-01-12 Manchester United W 2-1 1837 1825 51.47% 32.98% 15.55% +3.2 17
1974-01-12 @ West Ham L 1-2 1825 1837 15.55% 32.98% 51.47% -3.2 16
1974-01-12 Newcastle United W 1-0 1884 1921 46.33% 33.84% 19.83% +4.1 23
1974-01-12 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1921 1884 19.83% 33.84% 46.33% -4.1 26
1974-01-19 Manchester City D 1-1 1831 1906 41.84% 34.17% 23.99% -0.6 18
1974-01-19 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1906 1831 23.99% 34.17% 41.84% +0.6 25
1974-01-19 Sheffield United L 1-2 1895 1874 52.41% 32.76% 14.83% -7.8 30
1974-01-19 @ Burnley W 2-1 1874 1895 14.83% 32.76% 52.41% +7.8 25
1974-01-19 Derby County D 1-1 1872 1931 43.73% 34.08% 22.19% -0.7 22
1974-01-19 @ Chelsea D 1-1 1931 1872 22.19% 34.08% 43.73% +0.7 29
1974-01-19 Leeds United D 0-0 1877 2066 27.07% 33.26% 39.67% +0.4 28
1974-01-19 @ Everton D 0-0 2066 1877 39.67% 33.26% 27.07% -0.4 43
1974-01-19 Ipswich Town W 5-0 1892 1906 48.80% 33.50% 17.70% +16.5 29
1974-01-19 @ Leicester City L 0-5 1906 1892 17.70% 33.50% 48.80% -16.4 28
1974-01-19 Arsenal D 1-1 1822 1906 40.72% 34.20% 25.08% -0.5 17
1974-01-19 @ Manchester United D 1-1 1906 1822 25.08% 34.20% 40.72% +0.5 26
1974-01-19 West Ham D 1-1 1917 1840 57.49% 31.14% 11.37% -1.7 27
1974-01-19 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1840 1917 11.37% 31.14% 57.49% +1.7 18
1974-01-19 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1762 1888 35.21% 34.11% 30.69% -0.1 14
1974-01-19 @ Norwich City D 1-1 1888 1762 30.69% 34.11% 35.21% +0.1 24
1974-01-19 Queens Park Rangers D 2-2 1867 1901 46.67% 33.80% 19.53% -0.7 26
1974-01-19 @ Southampton D 2-2 1901 1867 19.53% 33.80% 46.67% +0.7 29
1974-01-19 Liverpool D 1-1 1894 2005 37.19% 34.18% 28.62% -0.3 22
1974-01-19 @ Stoke City D 1-1 2005 1894 28.62% 34.18% 37.19% +0.3 35
1974-01-19 Coventry City W 2-1 1865 1831 53.62% 32.44% 13.94% +2.9 24
1974-01-19 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1831 1865 13.94% 32.44% 53.62% -2.9 25
1974-01-27 Chelsea W 1-0 1894 1871 52.52% 32.73% 14.75% +3.2 24
1974-01-27 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1871 1894 14.75% 32.73% 52.52% -3.2 22
1974-02-02 Burnley D 1-1 1906 1888 52.14% 32.82% 15.04% -1.3 27
1974-02-02 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1888 1906 15.04% 32.82% 52.14% +1.3 31
1974-02-02 Manchester United W 1-0 1828 1821 50.93% 33.10% 15.97% +3.4 27
1974-02-02 @ Coventry City L 0-1 1821 1828 15.97% 33.10% 50.93% -3.4 17
1974-02-02 Newcastle United W 1-0 1932 1915 51.94% 32.87% 15.19% +3.3 31
1974-02-02 @ Derby County L 0-1 1915 1932 15.19% 32.87% 51.94% -3.3 27
1974-02-02 Southampton W 7-0 1889 1866 52.58% 32.71% 14.70% +19.5 30
1974-02-02 @ Ipswich Town L 0-7 1866 1889 14.70% 32.71% 52.58% -19.5 26
1974-02-02 Chelsea D 1-1 2065 1868 67.05% 26.25% 6.70% -2.2 44
1974-02-02 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1868 2065 6.70% 26.25% 67.05% +2.2 23
1974-02-02 Norwich City W 1-0 2005 1762 70.38% 24.09% 5.53% +1.1 37
1974-02-02 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1762 2005 5.53% 24.09% 70.38% -1.1 14
1974-02-02 Tottenham D 0-0 1906 1868 54.07% 32.31% 13.62% -1.6 26
1974-02-02 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1868 1906 13.62% 32.31% 54.07% +1.6 25
1974-02-02 Leicester City D 0-0 1901 1908 49.57% 33.37% 17.06% -1.2 30
1974-02-02 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1908 1901 17.06% 33.37% 49.57% +1.2 30
1974-02-02 Everton D 1-1 1882 1878 50.68% 33.15% 16.16% -1.2 26
1974-02-02 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1878 1882 16.16% 33.15% 50.68% +1.2 29
1974-02-02 Birmingham City D 0-0 1842 1830 51.42% 32.99% 15.59% -1.4 19
1974-02-02 @ West Ham D 0-0 1830 1842 15.59% 32.99% 51.42% +1.4 19
1974-02-02 Stoke City D 1-1 1888 1897 49.39% 33.40% 17.21% -1.1 25
1974-02-02 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1897 1888 17.21% 33.40% 49.39% +1.1 25
1974-02-05 West Ham L 1-3 1909 1840 56.78% 31.41% 11.81% -14.5 30
1974-02-05 @ Ipswich Town W 3-1 1840 1909 11.81% 31.41% 56.78% +14.5 21
1974-02-05 Arsenal W 3-1 2063 1905 64.09% 28.00% 7.92% +2.8 46
1974-02-05 @ Leeds United L 1-3 1905 2063 7.92% 28.00% 64.09% -2.8 27
1974-02-05 Coventry City W 2-1 2007 1831 65.42% 27.23% 7.35% +1.5 39
1974-02-05 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1831 2007 7.35% 27.23% 65.42% -1.5 27
1974-02-05 Norwich City L 1-2 1900 1761 62.65% 28.78% 8.58% -9.1 30
1974-02-05 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-1 1761 1900 8.58% 28.78% 62.65% +9.1 16
1974-02-05 Wolverhampton W 1-0 1881 1887 49.60% 33.36% 17.04% +3.6 28
1974-02-05 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1887 1881 17.04% 33.36% 49.60% -3.6 25
1974-02-05 Newcastle United W 3-1 1847 1912 43.05% 34.12% 22.84% +7.3 28
1974-02-05 @ Southampton L 1-3 1912 1847 22.84% 34.12% 43.05% -7.4 27
1974-02-06 Derby County W 1-0 1905 1935 47.05% 33.76% 19.19% +4.0 28
1974-02-06 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1935 1905 19.19% 33.76% 47.05% -4.0 31
1974-02-06 Birmingham City W 4-2 1869 1832 53.95% 32.34% 13.71% +4.4 27
1974-02-06 @ Tottenham L 2-4 1832 1869 13.71% 32.34% 53.95% -4.4 19
1974-02-09 Ipswich Town L 0-1 1889 1894 49.71% 33.34% 16.95% -7.9 31
1974-02-09 @ Burnley W 1-0 1894 1889 16.95% 33.34% 49.71% +7.9 32
1974-02-09 Manchester City W 1-0 1870 1909 46.12% 33.87% 20.02% +4.1 25
1974-02-09 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1909 1870 20.02% 33.87% 46.12% -4.1 28
1974-02-09 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1879 1884 49.80% 33.33% 16.87% +3.4 31
1974-02-09 @ Everton L 1-2 1884 1879 16.87% 33.33% 49.80% -3.4 25
1974-02-09 West Ham L 0-1 1909 1855 55.53% 31.85% 12.62% -8.7 30
1974-02-09 @ Leicester City W 1-0 1855 1909 12.62% 31.85% 55.53% +8.7 23
1974-02-09 Leeds United L 0-2 1818 2066 20.75% 31.73% 47.52% -7.7 17
1974-02-09 @ Manchester United W 2-0 2066 1818 47.52% 31.73% 20.75% +7.7 48
1974-02-09 Coventry City W 5-1 1904 1830 57.32% 31.21% 11.47% +7.7 29
1974-02-09 @ Newcastle United L 1-5 1830 1904 11.47% 31.21% 57.32% -7.6 27
1974-02-09 Sheffield United W 2-1 1770 1884 36.78% 34.17% 29.05% +5.0 18
1974-02-09 @ Norwich City L 1-2 1884 1770 29.05% 34.17% 36.78% -5.0 28
1974-02-16 Tottenham L 0-1 1902 1874 53.10% 32.58% 14.32% -8.4 27
1974-02-16 @ Arsenal W 1-0 1874 1902 14.32% 32.58% 53.10% +8.4 29
1974-02-16 Manchester United D 2-2 1931 1810 61.18% 29.52% 9.30% -1.4 32
1974-02-16 @ Derby County D 2-2 1810 1931 9.30% 29.52% 61.18% +1.4 18
1974-02-16 Stoke City D 0-0 1879 1898 48.32% 33.58% 18.10% -1.1 29
1974-02-16 @ Sheffield United D 0-0 1898 1879 18.10% 33.58% 48.32% +1.1 26
1974-02-16 Everton W 4-3 1863 1882 48.29% 33.58% 18.13% +3.3 25
1974-02-16 @ West Ham L 3-4 1882 1863 18.13% 33.58% 48.29% -3.3 31
1974-02-16 Birmingham City W 1-0 1880 1827 55.38% 31.90% 12.72% +2.8 27
1974-02-16 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1827 1880 12.72% 31.90% 55.38% -2.8 19
1974-02-23 Arsenal W 3-1 1824 1894 42.53% 34.14% 23.33% +7.5 21
1974-02-23 @ Birmingham City L 1-3 1894 1824 23.33% 34.14% 42.53% -7.5 27
1974-02-23 West Ham D 1-1 1881 1867 51.71% 32.93% 15.37% -1.3 32
1974-02-23 @ Burnley D 1-1 1867 1881 15.37% 32.93% 51.71% +1.3 26
1974-02-23 Queens Park Rangers D 3-3 1874 1891 48.51% 33.55% 17.94% -0.6 26
1974-02-23 @ Chelsea D 3-3 1891 1874 17.94% 33.55% 48.51% +0.6 31
1974-02-23 Coventry City W 1-0 1879 1822 55.75% 31.78% 12.48% +2.8 33
1974-02-23 @ Everton L 0-1 1822 1879 12.48% 31.78% 55.75% -2.8 27
1974-02-23 Sheffield United D 1-1 1901 1878 52.52% 32.73% 14.75% -1.3 31
1974-02-23 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1878 1901 14.75% 32.73% 52.52% +1.3 30
1974-02-23 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1812 1883 42.27% 34.15% 23.58% -0.7 19
1974-02-23 @ Manchester United D 0-0 1883 1812 23.58% 34.15% 42.27% +0.7 28
1974-02-23 Liverpool D 0-0 1912 2008 39.20% 34.21% 26.58% -0.4 30
1974-02-23 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 2008 1912 26.58% 34.21% 39.20% +0.4 40
1974-02-23 Derby County L 2-4 1775 1930 31.29% 33.82% 34.90% -8.1 18
1974-02-23 @ Norwich City W 4-2 1930 1775 34.90% 33.82% 31.29% +8.1 34
1974-02-23 Manchester City L 0-2 1854 1905 44.76% 34.00% 21.24% -13.7 28
1974-02-23 @ Southampton W 2-0 1905 1854 21.24% 34.00% 44.76% +13.7 30
1974-02-23 Leeds United W 3-2 1899 2073 28.76% 33.52% 37.72% +5.6 28
1974-02-23 @ Stoke City L 2-3 2073 1899 37.72% 33.52% 28.76% -5.6 48
1974-02-23 Ipswich Town D 1-1 1882 1902 48.13% 33.61% 18.26% -1.0 30
1974-02-23 @ Tottenham D 1-1 1902 1882 18.26% 33.61% 48.13% +1.0 33
1974-02-26 Norwich City W 1-0 1819 1767 55.33% 31.91% 12.75% +2.8 29
1974-02-26 @ Coventry City L 0-1 1767 1819 12.75% 31.91% 55.33% -2.8 18
1974-02-26 Chelsea D 1-1 1903 1873 53.22% 32.55% 14.24% -1.4 34
1974-02-26 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 1873 1903 14.24% 32.55% 53.22% +1.4 27
1974-02-26 Leicester City D 1-1 2068 1899 64.89% 27.54% 7.57% -2.1 49
1974-02-26 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1899 2068 7.57% 27.54% 64.89% +2.1 32
1974-02-26 Southampton W 1-0 2009 1840 64.86% 27.56% 7.58% +1.7 42
1974-02-26 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1840 2009 7.58% 27.56% 64.86% -1.7 28
1974-02-27 Burnley W 2-1 1892 1880 51.48% 32.98% 15.54% +3.2 33
1974-02-27 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-2 1880 1892 15.54% 32.98% 51.48% -3.2 32
1974-03-02 Everton W 2-1 1901 1882 52.24% 32.80% 14.96% +3.1 34
1974-03-02 @ Leicester City L 1-2 1882 1901 14.96% 32.80% 52.24% -3.1 33
1974-03-02 Southampton W 1-0 1886 1839 54.87% 32.06% 13.07% +2.9 29
1974-03-02 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1839 1886 13.07% 32.06% 54.87% -2.9 28
1974-03-02 Birmingham City L 0-1 1822 1832 49.25% 33.43% 17.32% -7.9 29
1974-03-02 @ Coventry City W 1-0 1832 1822 17.32% 33.43% 49.25% +7.9 23
1974-03-02 Stoke City D 1-1 1938 1905 53.53% 32.46% 14.01% -1.4 35
1974-03-02 @ Derby County D 1-1 1905 1938 14.01% 32.46% 53.53% +1.4 29
1974-03-02 Norwich City D 1-1 1902 1764 62.54% 28.83% 8.62% -2.0 35
1974-03-02 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 1764 1902 8.62% 28.83% 62.54% +2.0 19
1974-03-02 Newcastle United D 1-1 2066 1912 63.78% 28.17% 8.05% -2.1 50
1974-03-02 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1912 2066 8.05% 28.17% 63.78% +2.1 31
1974-03-02 Burnley W 1-0 2010 1877 62.19% 29.02% 8.79% +2.0 44
1974-03-02 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1877 2010 8.79% 29.02% 62.19% -2.0 32
1974-03-02 Tottenham W 3-1 1895 1881 51.67% 32.94% 15.39% +5.5 35
1974-03-02 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-3 1881 1895 15.39% 32.94% 51.67% -5.4 30
1974-03-02 Manchester United L 0-1 1879 1811 56.77% 31.41% 11.82% -8.9 30
1974-03-02 @ Sheffield United W 1-0 1811 1879 11.82% 31.41% 56.77% +8.9 21
1974-03-02 Chelsea W 3-0 1868 1875 49.56% 33.37% 17.07% +9.9 28
1974-03-02 @ West Ham L 0-3 1875 1868 17.07% 33.37% 49.56% -9.9 27
1974-03-05 Derby County D 1-1 1836 1936 38.62% 34.21% 27.17% -0.4 29
1974-03-05 @ Southampton D 1-1 1936 1836 27.17% 34.21% 38.62% +0.4 36
1974-03-09 Stoke City W 2-0 1814 1906 39.73% 34.21% 26.06% +9.3 31
1974-03-09 @ Coventry City L 0-2 1906 1814 26.06% 34.21% 39.73% -9.3 29
1974-03-09 West Ham D 1-1 1937 1878 55.90% 31.72% 12.38% -1.6 37
1974-03-09 @ Derby County D 1-1 1878 1937 12.38% 31.72% 55.90% +1.5 29
1974-03-09 Birmingham City W 4-1 1879 1840 54.09% 32.30% 13.61% +6.9 35
1974-03-09 @ Everton L 1-4 1840 1879 13.61% 32.30% 54.09% -6.9 23
1974-03-09 Manchester City W 1-0 2064 1918 63.11% 28.54% 8.36% +1.8 52
1974-03-09 @ Leeds United L 0-1 1918 2064 8.36% 28.54% 63.11% -1.8 30
1974-03-09 Chelsea D 2-2 1766 1865 38.80% 34.21% 26.99% -0.3 20
1974-03-09 @ Norwich City D 2-2 1865 1766 26.99% 34.21% 38.80% +0.3 28
1974-03-09 Ipswich Town W 3-1 1884 1900 48.58% 33.54% 17.89% +6.1 30
1974-03-09 @ Wolverhampton L 1-3 1900 1884 17.89% 33.54% 48.58% -6.1 35
1974-03-12 Ipswich Town L 0-3 1871 1894 47.82% 33.65% 18.52% -21.0 30
1974-03-12 @ Sheffield United W 3-0 1894 1871 18.52% 33.65% 47.82% +21.0 37
1974-03-13 Manchester United D 0-0 1916 1820 59.18% 30.44% 10.37% -2.0 31
1974-03-13 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1820 1916 10.37% 30.44% 59.18% +2.0 22
1974-03-13 Burnley W 3-0 1865 1875 49.30% 33.42% 17.28% +10.0 30
1974-03-13 @ Chelsea L 0-3 1875 1865 17.28% 33.42% 49.30% -10.0 32
1974-03-16 Manchester United W 1-0 1833 1822 51.39% 33.00% 15.61% +3.4 25
1974-03-16 @ Birmingham City L 0-1 1822 1833 15.61% 33.00% 51.39% -3.4 22
1974-03-16 Everton W 3-1 1865 1886 48.05% 33.62% 18.33% +6.3 34
1974-03-16 @ Burnley L 1-3 1886 1865 18.33% 33.62% 48.05% -6.3 35
1974-03-16 Newcastle United W 1-0 1875 1914 46.14% 33.87% 20.00% +4.1 32
1974-03-16 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1914 1875 20.00% 33.87% 46.14% -4.1 31
1974-03-16 Arsenal D 2-2 1915 1889 52.82% 32.65% 14.53% -1.0 38
1974-03-16 @ Ipswich Town D 2-2 1889 1915 14.53% 32.65% 52.82% +1.0 30
1974-03-16 Derby County L 0-1 1905 1935 47.02% 33.76% 19.22% -7.5 34
1974-03-16 @ Leicester City W 1-0 1935 1905 19.22% 33.76% 47.02% +7.6 39
1974-03-16 Leeds United W 1-0 2012 2065 44.44% 34.02% 21.53% +4.3 46
1974-03-16 @ Liverpool L 0-1 2065 2012 21.53% 34.02% 44.44% -4.3 52
1974-03-16 Sheffield United L 0-1 1914 1850 56.44% 31.53% 12.02% -8.8 31
1974-03-16 @ Manchester City W 1-0 1850 1914 12.02% 31.53% 56.44% +8.8 32
1974-03-16 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1900 1890 51.33% 33.01% 15.66% -1.4 36
1974-03-16 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1890 1900 15.66% 33.01% 51.33% +1.4 31
1974-03-16 Southampton W 4-1 1897 1836 56.11% 31.65% 12.24% +6.3 31
1974-03-16 @ Stoke City L 1-4 1836 1897 12.24% 31.65% 56.11% -6.3 29
1974-03-16 Norwich City D 0-0 1875 1766 60.28% 29.95% 9.77% -2.1 31
1974-03-16 @ Tottenham D 0-0 1766 1875 9.77% 29.95% 60.28% +2.1 21
1974-03-16 Coventry City L 2-3 1879 1823 55.65% 31.81% 12.54% -7.8 29
1974-03-16 @ West Ham W 3-2 1823 1879 12.54% 31.81% 55.65% +7.8 33
1974-03-18 Leicester City W 1-0 1829 1897 42.72% 34.13% 23.15% +4.5 31
1974-03-18 @ Southampton L 0-1 1897 1829 23.15% 34.13% 42.72% -4.5 34
1974-03-20 Birmingham City W 2-1 1768 1836 42.63% 34.14% 23.23% +4.3 23
1974-03-20 @ Norwich City L 1-2 1836 1768 23.23% 34.14% 42.63% -4.3 25
1974-03-23 Manchester City W 2-0 1890 1906 48.66% 33.53% 17.82% +7.1 32
1974-03-23 @ Arsenal L 0-2 1906 1890 17.82% 33.53% 48.66% -7.1 31
1974-03-23 Queens Park Rangers L 0-1 1831 1899 42.74% 34.13% 23.13% -7.0 33
1974-03-23 @ Coventry City W 1-0 1899 1831 23.13% 34.13% 42.74% +7.0 38
1974-03-23 Ipswich Town W 2-0 1943 1914 53.14% 32.57% 14.29% +5.9 41
1974-03-23 @ Derby County L 0-2 1914 1943 14.29% 32.57% 53.14% -5.9 38
1974-03-23 Chelsea D 1-1 1879 1879 50.28% 33.23% 16.48% -1.2 36
1974-03-23 @ Everton D 1-1 1879 1879 16.48% 33.23% 50.28% +1.2 33
1974-03-23 Burnley L 1-4 2061 1871 66.53% 26.57% 6.90% -23.2 52
1974-03-23 @ Leeds United W 4-1 1871 2061 6.90% 26.57% 66.53% +23.2 36
1974-03-23 Tottenham L 0-1 1818 1873 44.23% 34.04% 21.73% -7.2 22
1974-03-23 @ Manchester United W 1-0 1873 1818 21.73% 34.04% 44.23% +7.2 33
1974-03-23 Leicester City D 1-1 1910 1892 52.00% 32.86% 15.14% -1.3 32
1974-03-23 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1892 1910 15.14% 32.86% 52.00% +1.3 35
1974-03-23 Stoke City W 4-0 1772 1903 34.54% 34.07% 31.39% +20.0 25
1974-03-23 @ Norwich City L 0-4 1903 1772 31.39% 34.07% 34.54% -20.0 31
1974-03-23 West Ham W 1-0 1858 1872 48.89% 33.49% 17.62% +3.7 34
1974-03-23 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1872 1858 17.62% 33.49% 48.89% -3.7 29
1974-03-23 Birmingham City L 0-2 1834 1832 50.47% 33.20% 16.33% -15.1 31
1974-03-23 @ Southampton W 2-0 1832 1834 16.33% 33.20% 50.47% +15.1 27
1974-03-23 Liverpool L 0-1 1891 2016 35.33% 34.11% 30.56% -6.0 31
1974-03-23 @ Wolverhampton W 1-0 2016 1891 30.56% 34.11% 35.33% +6.0 48
1974-03-27 Newcastle United W 2-1 1899 1908 49.25% 33.43% 17.32% +3.5 33
1974-03-27 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1908 1899 17.32% 33.43% 49.25% -3.5 32
1974-03-30 Arsenal D 0-0 1883 1897 48.80% 33.50% 17.70% -1.2 32
1974-03-30 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1897 1883 17.70% 33.50% 48.80% +1.2 33
1974-03-30 Sheffield United W 1-0 1847 1862 48.69% 33.52% 17.79% +3.7 29
1974-03-30 @ Birmingham City L 0-1 1862 1847 17.79% 33.52% 48.69% -3.8 34
1974-03-30 Manchester United L 1-3 1880 1811 56.83% 31.39% 11.78% -14.5 33
1974-03-30 @ Chelsea W 3-1 1811 1880 11.78% 31.39% 56.83% +14.5 24
1974-03-30 Coventry City W 3-0 1908 1824 58.07% 30.91% 11.02% +6.8 40
1974-03-30 @ Ipswich Town L 0-3 1824 1908 11.02% 30.91% 58.07% -6.8 33
1974-03-30 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1902 1885 51.96% 32.87% 15.17% -1.3 34
1974-03-30 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1885 1902 15.17% 32.87% 51.96% +1.3 32
1974-03-30 Derby County D 0-0 1906 1949 45.65% 33.92% 20.43% -0.9 39
1974-03-30 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1949 1906 20.43% 33.92% 45.65% +0.9 42
1974-03-30 Everton L 0-2 1881 1878 50.51% 33.19% 16.30% -15.1 33
1974-03-30 @ Tottenham W 2-0 1878 1881 16.30% 33.19% 50.51% +15.1 38
1974-03-30 Leeds United W 3-1 1868 2038 29.32% 33.59% 37.09% +10.2 31
1974-03-30 @ West Ham L 1-3 2038 1868 37.09% 33.59% 29.32% -10.2 52
1974-04-02 Everton D 1-1 1901 1893 51.02% 33.08% 15.90% -1.2 35
1974-04-02 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1893 1901 15.90% 33.08% 51.02% +1.2 39
1974-04-03 Burnley D 3-3 1826 1894 42.65% 34.14% 23.21% -0.4 25
1974-04-03 @ Manchester United D 3-3 1894 1826 23.21% 34.14% 42.65% +0.4 37
1974-04-03 Newcastle United W 2-1 1882 1905 47.85% 33.65% 18.51% +3.6 34
1974-04-03 @ Stoke City L 1-2 1905 1882 18.51% 33.65% 47.85% -3.6 32
1974-04-03 Chelsea L 1-2 1865 1866 50.22% 33.25% 16.53% -7.5 33
1974-04-03 @ Tottenham W 2-1 1866 1865 16.53% 33.25% 50.22% +7.5 35
1974-04-06 West Ham D 0-0 1898 1878 52.30% 32.79% 14.92% -1.5 34
1974-04-06 @ Arsenal D 0-0 1878 1898 14.92% 32.79% 52.30% +1.5 32
1974-04-06 Derby County W 2-0 2028 1950 57.61% 31.10% 11.30% +4.8 54
1974-04-06 @ Leeds United L 0-2 1950 2028 11.30% 31.10% 57.61% -4.8 42
1974-04-06 Birmingham City D 3-3 1894 1851 54.46% 32.19% 13.35% -0.9 36
1974-04-06 @ Leicester City D 3-3 1851 1894 13.35% 32.19% 54.46% +0.9 30
1974-04-06 Queens Park Rangers W 2-1 2023 1905 60.90% 29.66% 9.44% +2.0 50
1974-04-06 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1905 2023 9.44% 29.66% 60.90% -2.0 39
1974-04-06 Ipswich Town L 1-3 1900 1915 48.70% 33.52% 17.78% -12.7 35
1974-04-06 @ Manchester City W 3-1 1915 1900 17.78% 33.52% 48.70% +12.7 42
1974-04-06 Everton W 2-1 1901 1895 50.95% 33.10% 15.95% +3.2 34
1974-04-06 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1895 1901 15.95% 33.10% 50.95% -3.2 39
1974-04-06 Manchester United L 0-2 1792 1825 46.70% 33.80% 19.50% -14.2 25
1974-04-06 @ Norwich City W 2-0 1825 1792 19.50% 33.80% 46.70% +14.2 27
1974-04-06 Coventry City L 0-1 1858 1818 54.26% 32.25% 13.49% -8.5 34
1974-04-06 @ Sheffield United W 1-0 1818 1858 13.49% 32.25% 54.26% +8.5 35
1974-04-06 Chelsea D 0-0 1819 1873 44.26% 34.04% 21.70% -0.8 32
1974-04-06 @ Southampton D 0-0 1873 1819 21.70% 34.04% 44.26% +0.8 36
1974-04-06 Burnley W 4-0 1886 1894 49.35% 33.41% 17.24% +13.1 36
1974-04-06 @ Stoke City L 0-4 1894 1886 17.24% 33.41% 49.35% -13.1 37
1974-04-06 Tottenham D 1-1 1886 1858 53.10% 32.58% 14.32% -1.4 33
1974-04-06 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1858 1886 14.32% 32.58% 53.10% +1.3 34
1974-04-08 Liverpool W 1-0 1850 2024 28.72% 33.52% 37.76% +6.3 36
1974-04-08 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 2024 1850 37.76% 33.52% 28.72% -6.3 50
1974-04-09 Derby County W 4-0 1885 1945 43.68% 34.08% 22.24% +15.8 35
1974-04-09 @ Wolverhampton L 0-4 1945 1885 22.24% 34.08% 43.68% -15.8 42
1974-04-09 Manchester City W 3-0 1903 1887 51.89% 32.88% 15.22% +9.0 41
1974-04-09 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-3 1887 1903 15.22% 32.88% 51.89% -9.0 35
1974-04-10 Burnley L 1-2 1905 1881 52.58% 32.71% 14.70% -7.8 34
1974-04-10 @ Newcastle United W 2-1 1881 1905 14.70% 32.71% 52.58% +7.8 39
1974-04-12 Birmingham City W 2-1 1889 1852 53.95% 32.34% 13.71% +2.8 41
1974-04-12 @ Burnley L 1-2 1852 1889 13.71% 32.34% 53.95% -2.8 30
1974-04-12 Liverpool D 1-1 1878 2018 33.26% 33.98% 32.76% -0.0 36
1974-04-12 @ Manchester City D 1-1 2018 1878 32.76% 33.98% 33.26% +0.0 51
1974-04-12 Ipswich Town L 0-1 1912 1927 48.67% 33.52% 17.80% -7.8 41
1974-04-12 @ Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1927 1912 17.80% 33.52% 48.67% +7.8 44
1974-04-12 Southampton W 4-1 1880 1818 56.16% 31.63% 12.21% +6.3 34
1974-04-12 @ West Ham L 1-4 1818 1880 12.21% 31.63% 56.16% -6.3 32
1974-04-13 Stoke City D 0-0 1849 1899 44.84% 33.99% 21.17% -0.9 31
1974-04-13 @ Birmingham City D 0-0 1899 1849 21.17% 33.99% 44.84% +0.9 37
1974-04-13 Leicester City D 0-0 1892 1893 50.19% 33.25% 16.56% -1.3 42
1974-04-13 @ Burnley D 0-0 1893 1892 16.56% 33.25% 50.19% +1.3 37
1974-04-13 Arsenal L 1-3 1874 1897 47.89% 33.64% 18.47% -12.5 36
1974-04-13 @ Chelsea W 3-1 1897 1874 18.47% 33.64% 47.89% +12.5 36
1974-04-13 Leeds United D 0-0 1826 2033 24.97% 32.87% 42.16% +0.6 36
1974-04-13 @ Coventry City D 0-0 2033 1826 42.16% 32.87% 24.97% -0.6 55
1974-04-13 Sheffield United W 4-1 1929 1856 57.14% 31.27% 11.58% +6.0 44
1974-04-13 @ Derby County L 1-4 1856 1929 11.58% 31.27% 57.14% -6.0 36
1974-04-13 Norwich City W 4-1 1891 1778 60.59% 29.81% 9.61% +5.0 41
1974-04-13 @ Everton L 1-4 1778 1891 9.61% 29.81% 60.59% -5.0 25
1974-04-13 Liverpool D 1-1 1935 2018 40.83% 34.20% 24.97% -0.5 45
1974-04-13 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 2018 1935 24.97% 34.20% 40.83% +0.5 52
1974-04-13 Newcastle United W 1-0 1839 1897 43.98% 34.06% 21.96% +4.4 29
1974-04-13 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1897 1839 21.96% 34.06% 43.98% -4.4 34
1974-04-13 Southampton W 3-1 1859 1812 54.89% 32.05% 13.05% +4.7 36
1974-04-13 @ Tottenham L 1-3 1812 1859 13.05% 32.05% 54.89% -4.7 32
1974-04-13 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1886 1901 48.70% 33.52% 17.78% -1.2 35
1974-04-13 @ West Ham D 0-0 1901 1886 17.78% 33.52% 48.70% +1.2 36
1974-04-15 Tottenham D 0-0 1862 1864 50.05% 33.28% 16.67% -1.3 37
1974-04-15 @ Chelsea D 0-0 1864 1862 16.67% 33.28% 50.05% +1.3 37
1974-04-15 Coventry City W 1-0 1935 1827 60.14% 30.01% 9.84% +2.2 46
1974-04-15 @ Derby County L 0-1 1827 1935 9.84% 30.01% 60.14% -2.2 36
1974-04-15 Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1935 1904 53.27% 32.53% 14.19% +3.1 47
1974-04-15 @ Ipswich Town L 0-1 1904 1935 14.19% 32.53% 53.27% -3.1 41
1974-04-15 Sheffield United D 0-0 2032 1850 65.89% 26.95% 7.15% -2.4 56
1974-04-15 @ Leeds United D 0-0 1850 2032 7.15% 26.95% 65.89% +2.4 37
1974-04-15 Everton W 3-0 1844 1896 44.53% 34.02% 21.45% +11.8 31
1974-04-15 @ Manchester United L 0-3 1896 1844 21.45% 34.02% 44.53% -11.8 41
1974-04-15 Norwich City D 0-0 1892 1773 61.06% 29.58% 9.36% -2.1 35
1974-04-15 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 1773 1892 9.36% 29.58% 61.06% +2.1 26
1974-04-15 West Ham D 1-1 1807 1885 41.49% 34.18% 24.33% -0.5 33
1974-04-15 @ Southampton D 1-1 1885 1807 24.33% 34.18% 41.49% +0.5 36
1974-04-15 Leicester City W 1-0 1899 1894 50.82% 33.12% 16.06% +3.5 39
1974-04-15 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1894 1899 16.06% 33.12% 50.82% -3.5 37
1974-04-15 Arsenal W 3-1 1902 1909 49.51% 33.38% 17.11% +5.9 38
1974-04-15 @ Wolverhampton L 1-3 1909 1902 17.11% 33.38% 49.51% -5.9 36
1974-04-16 Stoke City D 1-1 1891 1903 49.00% 33.47% 17.53% -1.1 38
1974-04-16 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1903 1891 17.53% 33.47% 49.00% +1.1 40
1974-04-16 Leeds United L 0-2 1853 2029 28.45% 33.48% 38.08% -9.8 37
1974-04-16 @ Sheffield United W 2-0 2029 1853 38.08% 33.48% 28.45% +9.8 58
1974-04-16 Burnley D 2-2 1848 1891 45.65% 33.92% 20.44% -0.6 32
1974-04-16 @ Birmingham City D 2-2 1891 1848 20.44% 33.92% 45.65% +0.6 43
1974-04-16 Manchester City W 4-0 2019 1878 62.77% 28.71% 8.52% +6.8 54
1974-04-16 @ Liverpool L 0-4 1878 2019 8.52% 28.71% 62.77% -6.8 36
1974-04-17 Newcastle United D 1-1 1775 1890 36.67% 34.17% 29.16% -0.2 27
1974-04-17 @ Norwich City D 1-1 1890 1775 29.16% 34.17% 36.67% +0.2 36
1974-04-20 Derby County W 2-0 1904 1937 46.68% 33.80% 19.52% +7.6 38
1974-04-20 @ Arsenal L 0-2 1937 1904 19.52% 33.80% 46.68% -7.6 46
1974-04-20 Ipswich Town W 3-2 2039 1938 59.59% 30.27% 10.15% +2.0 60
1974-04-20 @ Leeds United L 2-3 1938 2039 10.15% 30.27% 59.59% -2.0 47
1974-04-20 Chelsea W 3-0 1890 1860 53.15% 32.57% 14.28% +8.6 40
1974-04-20 @ Leicester City L 0-3 1860 1890 14.28% 32.57% 53.15% -8.6 37
1974-04-20 Everton D 0-0 2025 1885 62.77% 28.72% 8.52% -2.2 55
1974-04-20 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1885 2025 8.52% 28.72% 62.77% +2.2 42
1974-04-20 West Ham W 2-1 1871 1885 48.79% 33.50% 17.71% +3.5 38
1974-04-20 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1885 1871 17.71% 33.50% 48.79% -3.5 36
1974-04-20 Birmingham City D 1-1 1890 1847 54.47% 32.19% 13.34% -1.5 37
1974-04-20 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1847 1890 13.34% 32.19% 54.47% +1.5 33
1974-04-20 Burnley W 1-0 1775 1891 36.48% 34.16% 29.36% +5.3 29
1974-04-20 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1891 1775 29.36% 34.16% 36.48% -5.3 43
1974-04-20 Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1843 1901 43.85% 34.07% 22.08% -0.7 38
1974-04-20 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1901 1843 22.08% 34.07% 43.85% +0.7 42
1974-04-20 Manchester United D 1-1 1806 1856 44.90% 33.99% 21.12% -0.8 34
1974-04-20 @ Southampton D 1-1 1856 1806 21.12% 33.99% 44.90% +0.8 32
1974-04-20 Tottenham W 1-0 1904 1865 54.06% 32.31% 13.63% +3.0 42
1974-04-20 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1865 1904 13.63% 32.31% 54.06% -3.0 37
1974-04-20 Coventry City D 1-1 1908 1824 58.07% 30.91% 11.02% -1.7 39
1974-04-20 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1824 1908 11.02% 30.91% 58.07% +1.7 37
1974-04-22 Southampton W 3-0 1886 1805 57.81% 31.02% 11.18% +6.9 45
1974-04-22 @ Burnley L 0-3 1805 1886 11.18% 31.02% 57.81% -6.8 34
1974-04-23 Queens Park Rangers W 4-0 1849 1902 44.46% 34.02% 21.51% +15.5 35
1974-04-23 @ Birmingham City L 0-4 1902 1849 21.51% 34.02% 44.46% -15.4 42
1974-04-23 Leicester City W 1-0 1906 1898 51.09% 33.07% 15.84% +3.4 41
1974-04-23 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1898 1906 15.84% 33.07% 51.09% -3.4 40
1974-04-23 Manchester United W 1-0 1887 1856 53.27% 32.53% 14.20% +3.1 44
1974-04-23 @ Everton L 0-1 1856 1887 14.20% 32.53% 53.27% -3.1 32
1974-04-24 Arsenal L 0-1 2023 1911 60.46% 29.87% 9.67% -9.4 55
1974-04-24 @ Liverpool W 1-0 1911 2023 9.67% 29.87% 60.46% +9.4 40
1974-04-27 Norwich City W 2-1 1864 1780 58.13% 30.89% 10.99% +2.3 37
1974-04-27 @ Birmingham City L 1-2 1780 1864 10.99% 30.89% 58.13% -2.3 29
1974-04-27 Newcastle United D 1-1 1893 1889 50.67% 33.16% 16.17% -1.2 46
1974-04-27 @ Burnley D 1-1 1889 1893 16.17% 33.16% 50.67% +1.2 38
1974-04-27 Stoke City L 0-1 1852 1907 44.23% 34.04% 21.73% -7.2 37
1974-04-27 @ Chelsea W 1-0 1907 1852 21.73% 34.04% 44.23% +7.2 44
1974-04-27 Arsenal D 3-3 1826 1920 39.42% 34.21% 26.37% -0.3 38
1974-04-27 @ Coventry City D 3-3 1920 1826 26.37% 34.21% 39.42% +0.2 41
1974-04-27 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1930 1910 52.26% 32.79% 14.94% +6.1 48
1974-04-27 @ Derby County L 0-2 1910 1930 14.94% 32.79% 52.26% -6.1 41
1974-04-27 Southampton L 0-3 1890 1799 58.72% 30.64% 10.63% -25.0 44
1974-04-27 @ Everton W 3-0 1799 1890 10.63% 30.64% 58.72% +25.0 36
1974-04-27 Sheffield United L 0-1 1936 1842 58.92% 30.56% 10.52% -9.2 47
1974-04-27 @ Ipswich Town W 1-0 1842 1936 10.52% 30.56% 58.92% +9.2 40
1974-04-27 Manchester City L 0-1 1853 1875 48.04% 33.62% 18.34% -7.7 32
1974-04-27 @ Manchester United W 1-0 1875 1853 18.34% 33.62% 48.04% +7.7 40
1974-04-27 Leeds United L 0-1 1886 2041 31.28% 33.82% 34.90% -5.6 42
1974-04-27 @ Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 2041 1886 34.90% 33.82% 31.28% +5.5 62
1974-04-27 Leicester City W 1-0 1862 1895 46.81% 33.79% 19.41% +4.0 39
1974-04-27 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1895 1862 19.41% 33.79% 46.81% -4.0 40
1974-04-27 Liverpool D 2-2 1882 2014 34.39% 34.06% 31.55% -0.1 37
1974-04-27 @ West Ham D 2-2 2014 1882 31.55% 34.06% 34.39% +0.1 56
1974-04-29 Manchester United W 1-0 1914 1846 56.77% 31.41% 11.82% +2.6 46
1974-04-29 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1846 1914 11.82% 31.41% 56.77% -2.6 32
1974-04-29 Norwich City W 3-0 1891 1778 60.54% 29.83% 9.63% +5.9 42
1974-04-29 @ Leicester City L 0-3 1778 1891 9.63% 29.83% 60.54% -5.9 29
1974-04-30 Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1921 1881 54.17% 32.28% 13.55% -1.4 42
1974-04-30 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1881 1921 13.55% 32.28% 54.17% +1.4 43
1974-05-08 Liverpool D 1-1 1866 2014 32.26% 33.91% 33.84% +0.0 40
1974-05-08 @ Tottenham D 1-1 2014 1866 33.84% 33.91% 32.26% -0.0 57
1974-05-11 Tottenham L 0-2 1890 1866 52.65% 32.70% 14.66% -15.7 38
1974-05-11 @ Newcastle United W 2-0 1866 1890 14.66% 32.70% 52.65% +15.7 42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1974-03-23 6.90% Burnley 1871 4 @ Leeds United 2061 1
2 1974-02-05 8.58% Norwich City 1761 2 @ Queens Park Rangers 1900 1
3 1974-04-24 9.67% Arsenal 1911 1 @ Liverpool 2023 0
4 1974-04-27 10.52% Sheffield United 1842 1 @ Ipswich Town 1936 0
5 1974-04-27 10.63% Southampton 1799 3 @ Everton 1890 0
6 1974-03-30 11.78% Manchester United 1811 3 @ Chelsea 1880 1
7 1974-02-05 11.81% West Ham 1840 3 @ Ipswich Town 1909 1
8 1974-03-02 11.82% Manchester United 1811 1 @ Sheffield United 1879 0
9 1974-03-16 12.02% Sheffield United 1850 1 @ Manchester City 1914 0
10 1973-09-29 12.33% Queens Park Rangers 1867 3 @ Newcastle United 1926 2
11 1973-08-29 12.45% Southampton 1854 1 @ Newcastle United 1912 0
12 1974-03-16 12.54% Coventry City 1823 3 @ West Ham 1879 2
13 1973-12-26 12.56% West Ham 1826 4 @ Chelsea 1882 2
14 1974-02-09 12.62% West Ham 1855 1 @ Leicester City 1909 0
15 1973-09-29 12.69% Coventry City 1847 2 @ Leicester City 1900 0
16 1973-11-03 13.14% Queens Park Rangers 1890 2 @ Derby County 1936 1
17 1973-11-24 13.30% Wolverhampton 1853 3 @ Tottenham 1897 1
18 1973-09-08 13.41% Leicester City 1877 2 @ Arsenal 1919 0
19 1974-04-06 13.49% Coventry City 1818 1 @ Sheffield United 1858 0
20 1973-09-15 14.02% Sheffield United 1871 2 @ Tottenham 1904 1
21 1973-12-15 14.23% Derby County 1905 2 @ Newcastle United 1935 0
22 1973-09-05 14.28% Burnley 1873 3 @ Tottenham 1902 2
23 1973-09-08 14.30% Burnley 1881 2 @ Wolverhampton 1910 0
24 1974-02-16 14.32% Tottenham 1874 1 @ Arsenal 1902 0
25 1974-05-11 14.66% Tottenham 1866 2 @ Newcastle United 1890 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1974-04-27 25.03 Southampton 3 1799 10.63% @ Everton 0 1890 58.72% 30.64%
2 1973-09-15 24.11 Arsenal 4 1906 24.92% @ Norwich City 0 1823 40.89% 34.20%
3 1974-03-23 23.19 Burnley 4 1871 6.90% @ Leeds United 1 2061 66.53% 26.57%
4 1973-09-04 21.42 @ Sheffield United 5 1853 40.34% Arsenal 0 1940 25.45% 34.21%
5 1973-09-29 21.26 Ipswich Town 3 1867 17.90% @ Birmingham City 0 1850 48.56% 33.54%
6 1974-03-12 20.98 Ipswich Town 3 1894 18.52% @ Sheffield United 0 1871 47.82% 33.65%
7 1974-03-23 19.97 @ Norwich City 4 1772 34.54% Stoke City 0 1903 31.39% 34.07%
8 1973-09-01 19.71 Leeds United 3 1976 21.60% @ Tottenham 0 1922 44.37% 34.03%
9 1974-02-02 19.46 @ Ipswich Town 7 1889 52.58% Southampton 0 1866 14.70% 32.71%
10 1973-12-08 16.75 Leeds United 3 2039 29.95% @ Ipswich Town 0 1918 35.91% 34.14%
11 1974-01-19 16.45 @ Leicester City 5 1892 48.80% Ipswich Town 0 1906 17.70% 33.50%
12 1973-09-29 16.41 Coventry City 2 1847 12.69% @ Leicester City 0 1900 55.42% 31.88%
13 1973-09-08 16.14 Leicester City 2 1877 13.41% @ Arsenal 0 1919 54.37% 32.22%
14 1973-12-15 15.84 Derby County 2 1905 14.23% @ Newcastle United 0 1935 53.22% 32.55%
15 1973-09-08 15.83 Burnley 2 1881 14.30% @ Wolverhampton 0 1910 53.13% 32.57%
16 1974-04-09 15.81 @ Wolverhampton 4 1885 43.68% Derby County 0 1945 22.24% 34.08%
17 1974-05-11 15.70 Tottenham 2 1866 14.66% @ Newcastle United 0 1890 52.65% 32.70%
18 1974-04-23 15.45 @ Birmingham City 4 1849 44.46% Queens Park Rangers 0 1902 21.51% 34.02%
19 1973-08-25 15.36 Burnley 2 1855 15.64% @ Sheffield United 0 1866 51.35% 33.01%
20 1974-03-30 15.14 Everton 2 1878 16.30% @ Tottenham 0 1881 50.51% 33.19%
21 1974-03-23 15.13 Birmingham City 2 1832 16.33% @ Southampton 0 1834 50.47% 33.20%
22 1973-12-15 14.81 Manchester City 2 1886 17.34% @ Tottenham 0 1876 49.23% 33.43%
23 1973-10-27 14.60 Newcastle United 2 1925 18.04% @ Tottenham 0 1907 48.39% 33.57%
24 1974-03-30 14.52 Manchester United 3 1811 11.78% @ Chelsea 1 1880 56.83% 31.39%
25 1974-02-05 14.51 West Ham 3 1840 11.81% @ Ipswich Town 1 1909 56.78% 31.41%