2003-04 Football Conference Season

462 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

Chester City

92 pts

Shrewsbury Town · via playoff

Relegated

Telford United

via dissolution

Margate · administratively relegated

Biggest Overachiever

Chester City

25.33 points above expected

92 points · 66.67 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Tamworth

28.13 points below expected

49 points · 77.13 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Chester City Promoted 42 27 11 4 92 85 34 +51 66.67 +25.33
2 Hereford United 42 28 7 7 91 103 44 +59 69.58 +21.42
3 Shrewsbury Town Promoted 42 20 14 8 74 67 42 +25 64.90 +9.10
4 Barnet 42 19 14 9 71 61 47 +14 51.50 +19.50
5 Aldershot Town 42 20 10 12 70 80 67 +13 87.63 -17.63
6 Exeter City 42 19 12 11 69 71 57 +14 66.45 +2.55
7 Morecambe 42 20 7 15 67 66 66 0 64.84 +2.16
8 Stevenage Borough 42 18 9 15 63 58 52 +6 58.91 +4.09
9 Woking 42 15 16 11 61 65 52 +13 50.55 +10.45
10 Accrington Stanley 42 15 13 14 58 68 61 +7 85.86 -27.86
11 Gravesend and Northfleet 42 14 15 13 57 69 66 +3 46.41 +10.59
12 Telford United Dissolved 42 15 10 17 55 49 51 -2 51.58 +3.42
13 Dagenham and Redbridge 42 15 9 18 54 59 64 -5 55.87 -1.87
14 Burton Albion* 42 15 7 20 51 57 59 -2 49.40 +1.60
15 Scarborough 42 12 15 15 51 51 54 -3 54.25 -3.25
16 Margate Demoted 42 14 9 19 51 56 64 -8 50.38 +0.62
17 Tamworth 42 13 10 19 49 49 68 -19 77.13 -28.13
18 Forest Green Rovers 42 12 12 18 48 58 80 -22 49.25 -1.25
19 Halifax Town 42 12 8 22 44 43 65 -22 43.77 +0.23
20 Farnborough Town 42 10 9 23 39 54 75 -21 45.64 -6.64
21 Leigh RMI 42 7 8 27 29 46 97 -51 36.27 -7.27
22 Northwich Victoria 42 4 11 27 23 30 80 -50 37.00 -14.00

* Point deductions: Burton Albion (-1 pts)

Notes

  • Telford United folded at the end of the season due to financial difficulties.
  • Margate was administratively relegated to the Football Conference South due to issues regarding their home grounds.

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Hereford United 1
Aldershot Town 1

Leg 1: Aldershot Town 1-1 Hereford United

Leg 2: Hereford United 0-0 Aldershot Town

Shrewsbury Town 2
Barnet 2

Leg 1: Barnet 2-1 Shrewsbury Town

Leg 2: Shrewsbury Town 1-0 Barnet

Finals

Aldershot Town 1
Shrewsbury Town 1

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Hereford United 1267 91 69.58 +21.42 99.6% 41 57 64 70 75 82 98
Aldershot Town 1244 70 87.63 -17.63 1.4% 57 75 82 88 93 100 112
Accrington Stanley 1237 58 85.86 -27.86 0.0% 56 73 81 86 91 98 112
Chester City 1237 92 66.67 +25.33 99.9% 39 54 61 67 72 80 99
Shrewsbury Town 1166 74 64.90 +9.10 88.2% 38 52 59 65 70 78 93
Exeter City 1163 69 66.45 +2.55 64.2% 33 53 61 66 72 80 94
Tamworth 1157 49 77.13 -28.13 0.0% 42 64 72 77 82 90 110
Morecambe 1127 67 64.84 +2.16 63.1% 33 52 59 65 70 78 93
Stevenage Borough 1100 63 58.91 +4.09 71.4% 31 46 53 59 64 72 93
Gravesend and Northfleet 1094 57 46.41 +10.59 92.3% 16 34 41 46 52 59 74
Barnet 1089 71 51.50 +19.50 99.4% 24 39 46 51 57 65 83
Woking 1086 61 50.55 +10.45 91.6% 21 38 45 50 56 64 83
Scarborough 1071 51 54.25 -3.25 36.8% 23 41 49 54 60 67 86
Dagenham and Redbridge 1055 54 55.87 -1.87 43.4% 29 43 50 56 61 69 86
Margate 1051 51 50.38 +0.62 56.0% 22 38 45 50 56 63 79
Telford United 1049 55 51.58 +3.42 69.3% 25 39 46 52 57 65 85
Burton Albion 1038 51 49.40 +1.60 61.0% 20 37 44 49 55 62 85
Forest Green Rovers 1037 48 49.25 -1.25 46.9% 21 37 44 49 55 62 77
Farnborough Town 1025 39 45.64 -6.64 21.8% 20 33 40 45 51 59 77
Halifax Town 975 44 43.77 +0.23 55.1% 17 32 38 44 49 57 73
Leigh RMI 905 29 36.27 -7.27 18.0% 13 25 31 36 41 49 65
Northwich Victoria 903 23 37.00 -14.00 2.7% 13 25 32 37 42 50 69

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS AT BAR BA CC DAR EC FT FGR GAN HT HU LR MAR MOR NV SCA ST SB TAM TU WOK
Accrington Stanley
1-0-1
2.56
1-1-0
4.42
1-1-0
4.46
0-1-1
3.45
1-0-1
4.15
0-0-2
3.62
1-1-0
4.58
1-0-1
4.36
0-2-0
4.31
1-1-0
4.66
1-0-1
3.43
2-0-0
4.83
1-0-1
4.44
1-0-1
3.79
0-2-0
4.89
1-0-1
4.20
0-1-1
3.98
1-0-1
4.02
1-1-0
3.14
0-0-2
4.23
0-2-0
4.40
Aldershot Town
1-0-1
2.85
0-1-1
4.42
2-0-0
4.42
0-1-1
3.48
2-0-0
4.17
1-0-1
3.77
1-0-1
4.66
1-0-1
4.41
1-1-0
4.54
2-0-0
4.61
0-0-2
3.61
1-1-0
4.87
1-0-1
4.61
0-1-1
4.05
1-1-0
4.89
0-0-2
4.29
1-1-0
3.74
2-0-0
4.02
0-2-0
3.24
2-0-0
4.50
1-1-0
4.41
Barnet
0-1-1
1.18
1-1-0
1.19
2-0-0
2.75
0-1-1
2.00
0-0-2
2.31
0-1-1
2.17
0-1-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.90
1-1-0
3.10
2-0-0
2.85
0-1-1
1.75
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-0
2.82
2-0-0
1.94
1-1-0
3.73
0-2-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
1.77
2-0-0
2.62
0-2-0
2.70
Burton Albion
0-1-1
1.16
0-0-2
1.19
0-0-2
2.68
0-1-1
1.85
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
2.04
1-0-1
3.04
0-1-1
2.72
2-0-0
2.87
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
1.75
2-0-0
3.58
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-2
1.94
1-0-1
3.58
2-0-0
2.39
0-0-2
2.05
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
1.91
1-1-0
2.50
1-0-1
2.64
Chester City
1-1-0
1.98
1-1-0
2.01
1-1-0
3.44
1-1-0
3.63
1-1-0
3.14
1-0-1
2.77
2-0-0
3.64
1-0-1
3.49
1-1-0
3.61
2-0-0
3.57
0-1-1
2.48
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-0
3.33
2-0-0
2.97
2-0-0
4.02
1-1-0
3.50
1-1-0
2.83
0-1-1
2.84
2-0-0
1.71
1-1-0
3.65
2-0-0
3.54
Dagenham and Redbridge
1-0-1
1.39
0-0-2
1.38
2-0-0
3.13
1-0-1
2.99
0-1-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.48
1-1-0
3.16
2-0-0
2.84
1-0-1
3.08
0-0-2
3.36
0-1-1
2.23
0-0-2
3.59
1-1-0
3.01
0-0-2
2.26
2-0-0
3.41
1-1-0
2.66
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
1.83
0-1-1
2.99
1-1-0
2.93
Exeter City
2-0-0
1.87
1-0-1
1.72
1-1-0
3.25
2-0-0
3.40
1-0-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.94
1-1-0
3.57
1-1-0
3.55
0-0-2
3.78
0-1-1
3.82
0-1-1
2.45
1-1-0
4.34
1-1-0
3.39
2-0-0
2.93
1-1-0
4.15
1-1-0
3.32
1-1-0
2.79
1-1-0
3.09
1-0-1
2.27
0-0-2
3.55
0-0-2
3.54
Farnborough Town
0-1-1
1.07
1-0-1
1.00
1-1-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
1.84
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
1.88
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.60
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
1.79
1-1-0
3.19
0-1-1
2.50
0-0-2
1.78
1-1-0
3.24
0-0-2
2.19
0-0-2
1.96
1-0-1
2.02
0-1-1
1.35
2-0-0
2.37
1-0-1
2.36
Forest Green Rovers
1-0-1
1.23
1-0-1
1.20
0-1-1
2.51
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
1.95
0-0-2
2.58
0-1-1
1.92
1-1-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.04
0-0-2
2.14
1-1-0
3.17
0-0-2
2.77
0-0-2
2.13
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
2.30
0-1-1
1.95
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
1.59
1-1-0
2.30
0-2-0
2.59
Gravesend and Northfleet
0-2-0
1.27
0-1-1
1.09
0-1-1
2.33
0-0-2
2.57
0-1-1
1.89
1-0-1
2.33
2-0-0
1.71
2-0-0
2.85
1-1-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
1.64
2-0-0
3.23
2-0-0
2.47
1-1-0
1.72
0-2-0
3.40
0-1-1
2.07
0-1-1
1.91
0-1-1
2.06
2-0-0
1.59
0-1-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.42
Halifax Town
0-1-1
1.00
0-0-2
1.05
0-0-2
2.55
0-1-1
2.44
0-0-2
1.89
2-0-0
2.08
1-1-0
1.67
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.74
0-0-2
1.43
1-1-0
2.97
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
1.71
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.14
0-1-1
1.76
1-0-1
1.99
0-0-2
1.26
0-1-1
2.38
0-2-0
2.21
Hereford United
1-0-1
2.04
2-0-0
1.85
1-1-0
3.74
0-0-2
3.72
1-1-0
2.93
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
3.71
2-0-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.86
2-0-0
4.10
1-0-1
4.55
2-0-0
3.83
1-1-0
2.59
2-0-0
4.27
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
1.96
2-0-0
3.67
1-0-1
3.60
Leigh RMI
0-0-2
0.88
0-1-1
0.84
0-0-2
1.89
0-0-2
1.88
0-0-2
1.26
2-0-0
1.88
0-1-1
1.25
0-1-1
2.23
0-1-1
2.26
0-0-2
2.19
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
1.08
1-0-1
2.03
1-0-1
1.37
2-0-0
2.63
0-0-2
1.87
0-1-1
1.34
0-0-2
1.75
0-1-1
1.12
0-1-1
1.83
0-0-2
2.24
Margate
1-0-1
1.18
1-0-1
1.04
0-0-2
2.61
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-2
2.12
0-1-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.06
1-1-0
2.91
2-0-0
2.64
0-0-2
2.95
2-0-0
2.86
0-0-2
1.66
1-0-1
3.40
0-2-0
2.11
2-0-0
3.31
1-0-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.01
0-0-2
2.43
1-1-0
1.68
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.69
Morecambe
1-0-1
1.70
1-1-0
1.48
0-0-2
3.50
2-0-0
3.52
0-0-2
2.49
2-0-0
3.17
0-0-2
2.48
2-0-0
3.71
2-0-0
3.29
0-1-1
3.77
1-0-1
3.77
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
4.19
0-2-0
3.34
1-1-0
4.04
1-0-1
3.24
0-1-1
2.64
2-0-0
2.71
2-0-0
2.03
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
3.65
Northwich Victoria
0-2-0
0.83
0-1-1
0.83
0-1-1
1.74
1-0-1
1.90
0-0-2
1.50
0-0-2
2.05
0-1-1
1.40
0-1-1
2.17
0-1-1
2.27
0-2-0
2.11
0-0-2
2.59
0-0-2
1.33
0-0-2
2.80
0-0-2
2.11
0-1-1
1.50
0-1-1
2.02
0-0-2
1.25
0-0-2
1.81
1-0-1
1.13
2-0-0
1.69
0-0-2
2.05
Scarborough
1-0-1
1.36
2-0-0
1.29
0-2-0
2.68
0-0-2
3.04
0-1-1
1.99
0-1-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.11
2-0-0
3.22
0-1-1
3.12
1-1-0
3.36
1-0-1
3.30
0-1-1
2.05
2-0-0
3.60
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.18
1-1-0
3.47
0-1-1
2.22
0-2-0
2.54
0-1-1
1.80
0-1-1
2.85
0-1-1
3.07
Shrewsbury Town
1-1-0
1.56
0-1-1
1.77
1-0-1
3.32
2-0-0
3.40
0-1-1
2.57
1-0-1
3.16
0-1-1
2.62
2-0-0
3.48
1-1-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.72
1-0-1
2.42
1-1-0
4.23
1-1-0
3.42
1-1-0
2.76
2-0-0
4.34
1-1-0
3.21
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
1.86
0-1-1
3.42
1-1-0
3.46
Stevenage Borough
1-0-1
1.50
0-0-2
1.50
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.32
1-0-1
3.42
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
3.46
0-0-2
2.33
2-0-0
3.72
2-0-0
2.99
0-0-2
2.71
2-0-0
3.65
0-2-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.28
2-0-0
1.99
1-0-1
2.96
0-2-0
3.12
Tamworth
0-1-1
2.31
0-2-0
2.20
1-0-1
3.75
1-1-0
3.55
0-0-2
3.77
1-1-0
3.67
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
4.20
1-0-1
3.91
0-0-2
3.96
2-0-0
4.32
1-0-1
3.58
1-1-0
4.51
0-1-1
3.86
0-0-2
3.43
1-0-1
4.50
1-1-0
3.72
0-1-1
3.59
0-0-2
3.49
0-0-2
4.00
1-0-1
3.74
Telford United
2-0-0
1.35
0-0-2
1.12
0-0-2
2.79
0-1-1
2.91
0-1-1
1.81
1-1-0
2.44
2-0-0
1.90
0-0-2
3.05
0-1-1
3.12
1-1-0
2.68
1-1-0
3.06
0-0-2
1.80
1-1-0
3.62
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.02
0-0-2
3.80
1-1-0
2.58
1-1-0
2.02
1-0-1
2.45
2-0-0
1.52
1-0-1
2.74
Woking
0-2-0
1.21
0-1-1
1.21
0-2-0
2.71
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
1.91
0-1-1
2.48
2-0-0
1.91
1-0-1
3.04
0-2-0
2.85
1-1-0
2.98
0-2-0
3.20
1-0-1
1.86
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
1.84
2-0-0
3.44
1-1-0
2.34
0-1-1
1.98
0-2-0
2.29
1-0-1
1.73
1-0-1
2.68

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.79 +9.8
Allowed 0.68 -9.8
Differential 0.94 +6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.98%8.66%5.41%1.73%1.41%0.87%23.05%
18.66%11.47%9.31%3.35%1.52%0.65%34.96%
25.41%9.31%6.49%2.49%0.65%0.65%25.00%
31.73%3.35%2.49%2.60%0.43%0.11%10.71%
41.41%1.52%0.65%0.43%4.00%
5+0.87%0.65%0.65%0.11%2.27%
Total23.05%34.96%25.00%10.71%4.00%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.46 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.80
CV 0.85 0.85
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 462

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%9.52%2.38%19.05%
17.14%9.52%11.90%2.38%2.38%33.33%
24.76%7.14%4.76%4.76%21.43%
32.38%4.76%2.38%9.52%19.05%
44.76%2.38%7.14%
5+
Total21.43%35.71%23.81%16.67%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.45 +0.17
SD 1.21 1.15 1.46
CV 0.75 0.79
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%4.76%2.38%9.52%
12.38%11.90%9.52%2.38%26.19%
27.14%16.67%9.52%4.76%38.10%
32.38%9.52%2.38%2.38%2.38%19.05%
42.38%2.38%4.76%
5+2.38%2.38%
Total11.90%42.86%28.57%7.14%9.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.90 1.60 +0.31
SD 1.12 1.11 1.58
CV 0.59 0.69
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%4.76%7.14%23.81%
111.90%16.67%2.38%30.95%
22.38%16.67%4.76%2.38%2.38%2.38%30.95%
34.76%2.38%7.14%
44.76%4.76%
5+2.38%2.38%
Total28.57%47.62%14.29%4.76%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.12 +0.33
SD 1.21 1.11 1.52
CV 0.84 0.99
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%2.38%23.81%
14.76%11.90%7.14%7.14%2.38%33.33%
27.14%14.29%4.76%4.76%30.95%
32.38%2.38%2.38%7.14%
44.76%4.76%
5+
Total14.29%52.38%16.67%11.90%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.40 -0.05
SD 1.08 1.04 1.46
CV 0.79 0.74
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%14.29%
111.90%4.76%9.52%26.19%
27.14%16.67%4.76%28.57%
34.76%2.38%4.76%2.38%14.29%
47.14%2.38%9.52%
5+2.38%2.38%2.38%7.14%
Total47.62%26.19%23.81%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.02 0.81 +1.21
SD 1.49 0.89 1.55
CV 0.74 1.10
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%7.14%7.14%2.38%2.38%2.38%30.95%
111.90%7.14%14.29%2.38%35.71%
24.76%2.38%2.38%4.76%14.29%
32.38%2.38%2.38%7.14%
42.38%2.38%4.76%
5+2.38%4.76%7.14%
Total30.95%19.05%33.33%11.90%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.52 -0.12
SD 1.48 1.63 2.29
CV 1.06 1.07
Max 5 9 +5
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%7.14%4.76%2.38%16.67%
14.76%19.05%7.14%30.95%
27.14%9.52%7.14%4.76%28.57%
32.38%14.29%16.67%
42.38%2.38%4.76%
5+2.38%2.38%
Total19.05%35.71%35.71%9.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.36 +0.33
SD 1.22 0.91 1.39
CV 0.72 0.67
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%9.52%4.76%2.38%21.43%
14.76%16.67%14.29%7.14%42.86%
27.14%4.76%2.38%9.52%2.38%26.19%
32.38%2.38%4.76%
42.38%2.38%4.76%
5+
Total14.29%28.57%28.57%23.81%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.79 -0.50
SD 1.02 1.18 1.69
CV 0.79 0.66
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%4.76%4.76%2.38%2.38%2.38%21.43%
12.38%14.29%11.90%2.38%2.38%4.76%38.10%
22.38%9.52%9.52%4.76%26.19%
37.14%2.38%9.52%
44.76%4.76%
5+
Total14.29%35.71%28.57%4.76%4.76%11.90%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.90 -0.52
SD 1.08 1.64 2.16
CV 0.78 0.86
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%4.76%2.38%4.76%2.38%19.05%
14.76%11.90%7.14%2.38%26.19%
24.76%9.52%14.29%4.76%2.38%35.71%
37.14%2.38%4.76%14.29%
42.38%2.38%
5+2.38%2.38%
Total19.05%33.33%26.19%16.67%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.57 +0.07
SD 1.25 1.19 1.83
CV 0.76 0.76
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%14.29%11.90%2.38%30.95%
111.90%9.52%14.29%2.38%4.76%2.38%45.24%
24.76%7.14%7.14%19.05%
32.38%2.38%
4
5+2.38%2.38%
Total21.43%30.95%33.33%7.14%4.76%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.02 1.55 -0.52
SD 1.00 1.37 1.69
CV 0.98 0.88
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%7.14%2.38%11.90%
111.90%7.14%2.38%4.76%26.19%
27.14%16.67%2.38%26.19%
34.76%4.76%4.76%14.29%
42.38%2.38%
5+7.14%9.52%2.38%19.05%
Total33.33%45.24%9.52%7.14%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 1.05 +1.40
SD 2.07 1.08 2.41
CV 0.85 1.03
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%9.52%2.38%7.14%26.19%
17.14%11.90%11.90%7.14%9.52%47.62%
24.76%7.14%4.76%2.38%19.05%
32.38%2.38%4.76%
42.38%2.38%
5+
Total7.14%26.19%30.95%11.90%14.29%9.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 2.31 -1.21
SD 0.93 1.49 1.80
CV 0.85 0.64
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%4.76%4.76%2.38%2.38%16.67%
19.52%14.29%16.67%7.14%2.38%50.00%
29.52%2.38%2.38%2.38%16.67%
34.76%4.76%2.38%4.76%16.67%
4
5+
Total26.19%26.19%23.81%16.67%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.52 -0.19
SD 0.95 1.25 1.67
CV 0.72 0.82
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%2.38%4.76%2.38%2.38%21.43%
111.90%4.76%7.14%4.76%2.38%30.95%
24.76%11.90%7.14%23.81%
32.38%2.38%7.14%4.76%16.67%
44.76%2.38%7.14%
5+
Total23.81%28.57%26.19%14.29%4.76%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.57 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.35 2.02
CV 0.77 0.86
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%19.05%9.52%7.14%7.14%47.62%
19.52%14.29%7.14%4.76%2.38%2.38%40.48%
24.76%4.76%
32.38%2.38%2.38%7.14%
4
5+
Total14.29%33.33%21.43%14.29%11.90%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.71 1.90 -1.19
SD 0.86 1.41 1.44
CV 1.21 0.74
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%14.29%2.38%2.38%28.57%
19.52%9.52%11.90%2.38%33.33%
24.76%9.52%14.29%2.38%30.95%
32.38%2.38%
44.76%4.76%
5+
Total23.81%38.10%28.57%4.76%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.29 -0.07
SD 1.05 1.04 1.35
CV 0.86 0.81
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%4.76%2.38%2.38%19.05%
111.90%14.29%7.14%33.33%
211.90%2.38%4.76%2.38%21.43%
34.76%11.90%4.76%21.43%
44.76%4.76%
5+
Total38.10%38.10%14.29%7.14%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.00 +0.60
SD 1.17 1.10 1.58
CV 0.73 1.10
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%11.90%9.52%26.19%
17.14%7.14%9.52%4.76%28.57%
24.76%16.67%9.52%30.95%
34.76%4.76%9.52%
42.38%2.38%4.76%
5+
Total19.05%42.86%33.33%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.24 +0.14
SD 1.13 0.82 1.44
CV 0.81 0.66
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%9.52%4.76%2.38%4.76%26.19%
19.52%14.29%4.76%9.52%2.38%40.48%
29.52%9.52%7.14%26.19%
34.76%4.76%
42.38%2.38%
5+
Total23.81%33.33%9.52%26.19%4.76%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.62 -0.45
SD 0.96 1.36 1.61
CV 0.82 0.84
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%9.52%9.52%2.38%28.57%
114.29%14.29%9.52%4.76%42.86%
24.76%9.52%2.38%2.38%2.38%21.43%
32.38%2.38%
4
5+2.38%2.38%4.76%
Total30.95%35.71%21.43%7.14%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.21 -0.05
SD 1.17 1.18 1.72
CV 1.00 0.97
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%11.90%4.76%23.81%
19.52%7.14%9.52%26.19%
22.38%7.14%19.05%28.57%
32.38%2.38%4.76%4.76%14.29%
42.38%4.76%7.14%
5+
Total23.81%33.33%38.10%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.24 +0.31
SD 1.21 0.88 1.33
CV 0.78 0.71
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 42

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Chester City 92 66.67 +25.33
2 Hereford United 91 69.58 +21.42
3 Barnet 71 51.50 +19.50
4 Gravesend and Northfleet 57 46.41 +10.59
5 Woking 61 50.55 +10.45

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Tamworth 49 77.13 -28.13
2 Accrington Stanley 58 85.86 -27.86
3 Aldershot Town 70 87.63 -17.63
4 Northwich Victoria 23 37.00 -14.00
5 Leigh RMI 29 36.27 -7.27

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Barnet 5 Sep 13 – Oct 4 1 in 2,872
2 Hereford United 11 Feb 27 – Apr 24 1 in 2,282
3 Exeter City 5 Oct 3 – Nov 1 1 in 260
4 Chester City 6 Aug 26 – Sep 23 1 in 162
5 Stevenage Borough 3 Nov 1 – Nov 15 1 in 103

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tamworth 5 Nov 1 – Nov 25 1 in 7,089
2 Halifax Town 10 Feb 8 – Apr 3 1 in 906
3 Northwich Victoria 7 Nov 29 – Jan 1 1 in 125
4 Gravesend and Northfleet 4 Aug 9 – Aug 23 1 in 78
5 Accrington Stanley 2 Aug 16 – Aug 23 1 in 58

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chester City 18 Aug 26 – Dec 6 1 in 1,151
2 Gravesend and Northfleet 12 Feb 21 – Apr 24 1 in 1,062
3 Barnet 9 Aug 23 – Oct 4 1 in 652
4 Woking 9 Dec 13 – Feb 21 1 in 88
5 Scarborough 6 Sep 20 – Oct 11 1 in 40

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tamworth 8 Oct 18 – Dec 6 1 in 475
2 Accrington Stanley 5 Jan 24 – Feb 28 1 in 279
3 Farnborough Town 14 Aug 9 – Oct 11 1 in 108
4 Northwich Victoria 15 Aug 23 – Nov 22 1 in 97
5 Morecambe 7 Oct 4 – Nov 15 1 in 68

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516171819202122
Chester City0.63%2.72%8.40%13.28%14.49%14.11%12.07%9.87%8.05%5.41%3.46%2.38%1.78%1.30%0.95%0.45%0.28%0.23%0.11%0.03%
Hereford United1.70%4.89%13.44%18.73%17.15%12.90%9.80%7.28%5.07%3.33%2.15%1.33%0.80%0.67%0.36%0.22%0.08%0.07%0.03%
Shrewsbury Town0.37%1.80%5.97%9.84%12.65%13.81%12.84%11.13%8.40%6.40%5.06%3.79%2.41%1.89%1.34%0.94%0.61%0.36%0.26%0.11%0.02%
Barnet0.01%0.19%0.49%1.01%1.90%3.27%4.06%5.19%7.01%8.07%8.65%8.56%8.57%8.54%7.72%7.40%6.53%5.30%3.86%2.57%1.10%
Aldershot Town51.01%31.11%11.23%4.00%1.60%0.62%0.26%0.03%0.09%0.03%0.02%
Exeter City0.61%2.67%7.41%12.54%14.23%14.13%11.98%9.86%8.05%5.55%4.07%3.23%1.76%1.33%0.97%0.72%0.44%0.21%0.15%0.05%0.04%
Morecambe0.27%1.57%5.46%9.39%11.54%13.20%13.31%11.43%9.08%7.27%5.27%3.59%2.70%2.14%1.44%0.87%0.68%0.46%0.18%0.08%0.05%0.02%
Stevenage Borough0.07%0.25%1.36%3.17%5.09%7.72%9.07%10.51%10.77%9.93%8.67%7.31%6.47%4.91%4.25%3.39%2.71%1.73%1.26%0.86%0.36%0.14%
Woking0.02%0.11%0.46%0.73%1.22%2.43%3.64%5.02%6.17%6.98%7.98%8.32%8.91%8.69%9.23%7.75%7.02%6.12%4.62%3.18%1.40%
Accrington Stanley38.32%37.35%14.39%5.42%2.49%1.07%0.56%0.26%0.10%0.02%0.01%0.01%
Gravesend and Northfleet0.10%0.19%0.53%0.70%1.42%2.03%3.30%4.29%5.20%5.90%7.02%8.22%9.36%9.74%10.32%10.00%9.48%7.78%4.42%
Telford United0.03%0.12%0.47%1.00%1.84%2.70%4.12%5.67%6.33%7.89%7.92%9.08%8.91%8.34%8.28%7.43%6.40%5.61%4.22%2.53%1.11%
Dagenham and Redbridge0.03%0.15%0.57%1.49%2.84%4.13%5.98%7.90%8.56%9.42%9.65%9.24%7.79%7.34%6.43%5.04%4.50%3.46%2.67%1.65%0.89%0.27%
Burton Albion0.01%0.12%0.17%0.48%1.06%1.70%2.54%3.61%5.30%6.00%7.63%7.42%8.81%8.95%8.45%8.93%8.64%7.70%6.21%4.25%2.02%
Scarborough0.01%0.07%0.44%1.08%1.94%2.93%4.54%6.04%7.97%8.98%8.68%9.04%9.11%8.37%7.15%6.31%5.09%4.75%3.26%2.31%1.48%0.45%
Margate0.01%0.09%0.30%0.73%1.18%2.14%3.26%4.55%5.54%7.22%7.54%8.38%8.35%8.80%8.86%8.19%8.11%6.75%5.02%3.13%1.85%
Tamworth6.98%17.34%30.58%18.79%11.01%6.06%4.07%2.28%1.29%0.70%0.48%0.20%0.09%0.05%0.05%0.02%0.01%
Forest Green Rovers0.09%0.20%0.55%0.96%1.58%2.43%3.58%4.54%6.04%6.78%7.43%7.88%8.68%8.88%9.32%8.94%8.40%7.50%4.30%1.92%
Halifax Town0.01%0.05%0.08%0.18%0.28%0.61%0.94%1.80%2.04%3.13%4.60%5.27%5.92%7.94%8.65%10.72%12.38%14.34%12.65%8.41%
Farnborough Town0.02%0.03%0.18%0.42%0.66%1.23%1.78%2.55%3.38%3.99%5.26%5.78%7.36%8.45%10.02%10.61%12.04%11.39%9.35%5.50%
Leigh RMI0.02%0.03%0.02%0.08%0.15%0.23%0.48%0.99%1.07%1.69%2.35%3.92%5.46%8.04%13.79%24.12%37.56%
Northwich Victoria0.02%0.01%0.03%0.08%0.12%0.27%0.36%0.57%1.14%1.43%1.87%2.54%4.26%5.96%9.73%14.48%23.30%33.83%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.02%
Clear Edge
45.24%25.54%29.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 56.13 Elo pts.
322 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
01000
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.27 goals
Neutral
-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th * Middle of the Pack: 5th to 11th * Longshot: 12th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
1%
Chester City, 5th of 22
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.02/gm
Photo Finish
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.25 * Some Luck: 6.25 to 9.38 * Lucky: 9.38 to 12.51 * Wild Swing: 12.51 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.13 * Close: 2.13 to 3.19 * Off: 3.19 to 4.25 * Way Off: 4.25 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 22 * As Expected: 22 to 35.2 * Several Outliers: 35.2 to 48.4 * Many Outliers: 48.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.53 * A Surprise: 0.53 to 0.85 * Several Surprises: 0.85 to 1.16 * Many Surprises: 1.16 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
13.51 points
Wild Swing
07.8220
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.36
Off
02.666
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.73%
99.90%
Chester City
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.27%
0.01%
Accrington Stanley
050
Season Outliers
Expected
7 of 22
Minimal Outliers
02.211
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 2
Many Surprises
00.52

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.74
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Strong Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Occasional
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
3.03
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.36
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.08 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.08 to 0.12 * Above Noise: 0.12 to 0.16 * Well Above Noise: 0.16 and up.
Probability calibration
0.02
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.54
Overconfident
0.4053851.001.59462
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.064
Well Within Noise
00.0810.2

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Aldershot Town 51.01% 47.94% 1.05%
Accrington Stanley 38.32% 59.65% 2.03%
Tamworth 6.98% 77.72% 15.30%
Hereford United 1.70% 54.21% 44.09%
Chester City 0.63% 38.89% 60.45% 0.03%
Exeter City 0.61% 36.85% 62.45% 0.09%
Shrewsbury Town 0.37% 30.26% 69.24% 0.13%
Morecambe 0.27% 27.96% 71.62% 0.15%
Stevenage Borough 0.07% 9.87% 88.70% 1.36%
Dagenham and Redbridge 0.03% 5.05% 92.11% 2.81%
Scarborough 0.01% 3.53% 92.22% 4.24%
Barnet 1.70% 90.77% 7.53%
Telford United 1.62% 90.52% 7.86%
Woking 1.32% 89.48% 9.20%
Margate 1.13% 88.87% 10.00%
Burton Albion 0.78% 86.74% 12.48%
Forest Green Rovers 0.84% 85.44% 13.72%
Gravesend and Northfleet 0.29% 78.03% 21.68%
Farnborough Town 0.23% 73.53% 26.24%
Halifax Town 0.14% 64.46% 35.40%
Northwich Victoria 0.02% 28.37% 71.61%
Leigh RMI 24.53% 75.47%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2003-08-09 Burton Albion L 1-2 1026 1012 44.93% 29.08% 26.00% -6.1 0
2003-08-09 @ Gravesend and Northfleet W 2-1 1012 1026 26.00% 29.08% 44.93% +6.1 3
2003-08-09 Chester City D 0-0 1084 1069 45.05% 29.05% 25.90% -0.6 1
2003-08-09 @ Stevenage Borough D 0-0 1069 1084 25.90% 29.05% 45.05% +0.6 1
2003-08-09 Dagenham and Redbridge W 2-1 996 1093 29.59% 29.81% 40.61% +5.6 3
2003-08-09 @ Leigh RMI L 1-2 1093 996 40.61% 29.81% 29.59% -5.6 0
2003-08-09 Farnborough Town W 2-1 1081 1053 46.84% 28.62% 24.54% +3.9 3
2003-08-09 @ Scarborough L 1-2 1053 1081 24.54% 28.62% 46.84% -3.9 0
2003-08-09 Halifax Town D 1-1 1139 1002 60.69% 23.22% 16.09% -1.4 1
2003-08-09 @ Exeter City D 1-1 1002 1139 16.09% 23.22% 60.69% +1.4 1
2003-08-09 Hereford United L 1-3 1332 1082 73.34% 16.15% 10.52% -15.0 0
2003-08-09 @ Tamworth W 3-1 1082 1332 10.52% 16.15% 73.34% +15.0 3
2003-08-09 Margate D 1-1 1102 1057 49.23% 27.95% 22.82% -0.8 1
2003-08-09 @ Shrewsbury Town D 1-1 1057 1102 22.82% 27.95% 49.23% +0.8 1
2003-08-09 Northwich Victoria D 0-0 1066 1029 48.11% 28.28% 23.61% -0.8 1
2003-08-09 @ Forest Green Rovers D 0-0 1029 1066 23.61% 28.28% 48.11% +0.8 1
2003-08-09 Telford United W 2-0 996 1018 39.84% 29.90% 30.27% +9.1 3
2003-08-09 @ Barnet L 0-2 1018 996 30.27% 29.90% 39.84% -9.1 0
2003-08-09 Woking W 2-1 1166 1007 63.39% 21.82% 14.79% +2.3 3
2003-08-09 @ Morecambe L 1-2 1007 1166 14.79% 21.82% 63.39% -2.3 0
2003-08-10 Accrington Stanley W 2-1 1332 1332 43.04% 29.45% 27.51% +4.2 3
2003-08-10 @ Aldershot Town L 1-2 1332 1332 27.51% 29.45% 43.04% -4.2 0
2003-08-12 Aldershot Town L 1-2 1057 1337 14.48% 21.46% 64.06% -2.2 1
2003-08-12 @ Margate W 2-1 1337 1057 64.06% 21.46% 14.48% +2.2 6
2003-08-12 Barnet D 1-1 1049 1005 49.09% 27.99% 22.92% -0.8 1
2003-08-12 @ Farnborough Town D 1-1 1005 1049 22.92% 27.99% 49.09% +0.8 4
2003-08-12 Gravesend and Northfleet W 3-2 1005 1020 40.97% 29.76% 29.27% +4.2 3
2003-08-12 @ Woking L 2-3 1020 1005 29.27% 29.76% 40.97% -4.2 0
2003-08-12 Exeter City W 2-0 1009 1137 26.02% 29.08% 44.90% +12.1 3
2003-08-12 @ Telford United L 0-2 1137 1009 44.90% 29.08% 26.02% -12.2 1
2003-08-12 Forest Green Rovers W 5-1 1097 1065 47.33% 28.50% 24.18% +12.0 6
2003-08-12 @ Hereford United L 1-5 1065 1097 24.18% 28.50% 47.33% -12.0 1
2003-08-12 Morecambe W 1-0 1004 1169 22.37% 27.74% 49.89% +7.0 4
2003-08-12 @ Halifax Town L 0-1 1169 1004 49.89% 27.74% 22.37% -7.0 3
2003-08-12 Scarborough D 1-1 1030 1084 35.33% 30.15% 34.52% -0.0 2
2003-08-12 @ Northwich Victoria D 1-1 1084 1030 34.52% 30.15% 35.33% +0.0 4
2003-08-12 Shrewsbury Town L 0-1 1018 1101 31.41% 30.01% 38.58% -5.0 3
2003-08-12 @ Burton Albion W 1-0 1101 1018 38.58% 30.01% 31.41% +5.0 4
2003-08-12 Stevenage Borough L 1-2 1087 1083 43.57% 29.35% 27.08% -5.9 0
2003-08-12 @ Dagenham and Redbridge W 2-1 1083 1087 27.08% 29.35% 43.57% +5.9 4
2003-08-12 Tamworth W 1-0 1070 1317 16.28% 23.41% 60.32% +8.0 4
2003-08-12 @ Chester City L 0-1 1317 1070 60.32% 23.41% 16.28% -8.0 0
2003-08-13 Leigh RMI W 4-1 1328 1001 80.30% 11.95% 7.75% +2.5 3
2003-08-13 @ Accrington Stanley L 1-4 1001 1328 7.75% 11.95% 80.30% -2.4 3
2003-08-16 Aldershot Town L 2-5 1021 1339 12.59% 19.07% 68.34% -3.9 3
2003-08-16 @ Telford United W 5-2 1339 1021 68.34% 19.07% 12.59% +3.9 9
2003-08-16 Barnet W 5-2 1081 1006 53.17% 26.58% 20.25% +6.8 3
2003-08-16 @ Dagenham and Redbridge L 2-5 1006 1081 20.25% 26.58% 53.17% -6.8 4
2003-08-16 Gravesend and Northfleet W 1-0 1011 1016 42.36% 29.56% 28.08% +4.6 7
2003-08-16 @ Halifax Town L 0-1 1016 1011 28.08% 29.56% 42.36% -4.6 0
2003-08-16 Exeter City L 0-1 1055 1125 33.14% 30.12% 36.74% -5.2 1
2003-08-16 @ Margate W 1-0 1125 1055 36.74% 30.12% 33.14% +5.2 4
2003-08-16 Forest Green Rovers W 1-0 1078 1053 46.43% 28.73% 24.84% +4.1 7
2003-08-16 @ Chester City L 0-1 1053 1078 24.84% 28.73% 46.43% -4.1 1
2003-08-16 Leigh RMI D 1-1 1048 999 49.77% 27.78% 22.45% -0.8 2
2003-08-16 @ Farnborough Town D 1-1 999 1048 22.45% 27.78% 49.77% +0.8 4
2003-08-16 Morecambe W 3-0 1109 1162 35.53% 30.15% 34.32% +14.5 9
2003-08-16 @ Hereford United L 0-3 1162 1109 34.32% 30.15% 35.53% -14.5 3
2003-08-16 Scarborough W 2-1 1009 1084 32.43% 30.08% 37.49% +5.3 6
2003-08-16 @ Woking L 1-2 1084 1009 37.49% 30.08% 32.43% -5.3 4
2003-08-16 Shrewsbury Town L 0-1 1331 1106 70.64% 17.74% 11.62% -9.0 3
2003-08-16 @ Accrington Stanley W 1-0 1106 1331 11.62% 17.74% 70.64% +9.0 7
2003-08-16 Stevenage Borough D 1-1 1013 1089 32.35% 30.08% 37.57% +0.1 4
2003-08-16 @ Burton Albion D 1-1 1089 1013 37.57% 30.08% 32.35% -0.1 5
2003-08-16 Tamworth W 1-0 1030 1309 14.47% 21.45% 64.08% +8.4 5
2003-08-16 @ Northwich Victoria L 0-1 1309 1030 64.08% 21.45% 14.47% -8.4 0
2003-08-23 Accrington Stanley W 2-1 1049 1322 14.85% 21.89% 63.27% +7.8 4
2003-08-23 @ Forest Green Rovers L 1-2 1322 1049 63.27% 21.89% 14.85% -7.8 3
2003-08-23 Burton Albion L 1-2 1079 1014 51.86% 27.07% 21.07% -6.8 4
2003-08-23 @ Scarborough W 2-1 1014 1079 21.07% 27.07% 51.86% +6.8 7
2003-08-23 Chester City W 2-1 1130 1082 49.57% 27.84% 22.58% +3.6 7
2003-08-23 @ Exeter City L 1-2 1082 1130 22.58% 27.84% 49.57% -3.6 7
2003-08-23 Dagenham and Redbridge W 3-2 1147 1088 51.05% 27.36% 21.60% +3.2 6
2003-08-23 @ Morecambe L 2-3 1088 1147 21.60% 27.36% 51.05% -3.2 3
2003-08-23 Farnborough Town W 3-0 1115 1048 52.15% 26.97% 20.89% +9.6 10
2003-08-23 @ Shrewsbury Town L 0-3 1048 1115 20.89% 26.97% 52.15% -9.6 2
2003-08-23 Halifax Town D 1-1 1000 1015 40.84% 29.78% 29.38% -0.3 5
2003-08-23 @ Leigh RMI D 1-1 1015 1000 29.38% 29.78% 40.84% +0.3 8
2003-08-23 Hereford United D 1-1 999 1123 26.39% 29.18% 44.43% +0.5 5
2003-08-23 @ Barnet D 1-1 1123 999 44.43% 29.18% 26.39% -0.5 10
2003-08-23 Margate D 1-1 1301 1050 73.36% 16.13% 10.51% -2.0 1
2003-08-23 @ Tamworth D 1-1 1050 1301 10.51% 16.13% 73.36% +2.0 2
2003-08-23 Northwich Victoria W 1-0 1089 1038 49.92% 27.73% 22.35% +3.8 8
2003-08-23 @ Stevenage Borough L 0-1 1038 1089 22.35% 27.73% 49.92% -3.8 5
2003-08-23 Telford United L 1-2 1011 1018 42.15% 29.59% 28.26% -5.8 0
2003-08-23 @ Gravesend and Northfleet W 2-1 1018 1011 28.26% 29.59% 42.15% +5.8 6
2003-08-23 Woking W 2-1 1343 1015 80.40% 11.89% 7.71% +1.0 12
2003-08-23 @ Aldershot Town L 1-2 1015 1343 7.71% 11.89% 80.40% -1.0 6
2003-08-25 Aldershot Town W 4-3 1123 1344 17.97% 24.94% 57.10% +6.7 13
2003-08-25 @ Hereford United L 3-4 1344 1123 57.10% 24.94% 17.97% -6.7 12
2003-08-25 Barnet L 2-3 1020 999 45.96% 28.84% 25.20% -5.9 7
2003-08-25 @ Burton Albion W 3-2 999 1020 25.20% 28.84% 45.96% +5.9 8
2003-08-25 Gravesend and Northfleet L 1-2 1038 1005 47.50% 28.45% 24.05% -6.3 2
2003-08-25 @ Farnborough Town W 2-1 1005 1038 24.05% 28.45% 47.50% +6.3 3
2003-08-25 Exeter City W 1-0 1014 1134 26.87% 29.30% 43.83% +6.3 9
2003-08-25 @ Woking L 0-1 1134 1014 43.83% 29.30% 26.87% -6.3 7
2003-08-25 Forest Green Rovers W 5-2 1085 1057 46.83% 28.63% 24.55% +8.2 6
2003-08-25 @ Dagenham and Redbridge L 2-5 1057 1085 24.55% 28.63% 46.83% -8.2 4
2003-08-25 Leigh RMI L 0-1 1035 999 47.87% 28.35% 23.78% -6.8 5
2003-08-25 @ Northwich Victoria W 1-0 999 1035 23.78% 28.35% 47.87% +6.8 8
2003-08-25 Morecambe W 2-1 1023 1150 26.10% 29.11% 44.79% +6.1 9
2003-08-25 @ Telford United L 1-2 1150 1023 44.79% 29.11% 26.10% -6.1 6
2003-08-25 Scarborough W 1-0 1314 1072 72.40% 16.70% 10.90% +1.6 6
2003-08-25 @ Accrington Stanley L 0-1 1072 1314 10.90% 16.70% 72.40% -1.6 4
2003-08-25 Stevenage Borough L 1-4 1052 1093 37.28% 30.10% 32.63% -13.0 2
2003-08-25 @ Margate W 4-1 1093 1052 32.63% 30.10% 37.28% +13.0 11
2003-08-25 Tamworth L 1-2 1016 1299 14.26% 21.21% 64.53% -2.2 8
2003-08-25 @ Halifax Town W 2-1 1299 1016 64.53% 21.21% 14.26% +2.2 4
2003-08-26 Shrewsbury Town W 2-1 1079 1125 36.50% 30.13% 33.37% +4.9 10
2003-08-26 @ Chester City L 1-2 1125 1079 33.37% 30.13% 36.50% -4.9 10
2003-08-30 Accrington Stanley D 1-1 1301 1315 41.05% 29.75% 29.20% -0.3 5
2003-08-30 @ Tamworth D 1-1 1315 1301 29.20% 29.75% 41.05% +0.3 7
2003-08-30 Burton Albion W 2-1 1144 1015 59.93% 23.60% 16.47% +2.6 9
2003-08-30 @ Morecambe L 1-2 1015 1144 16.47% 23.60% 59.93% -2.6 7
2003-08-30 Chester City L 0-4 1012 1083 32.88% 30.11% 37.01% -18.4 3
2003-08-30 @ Gravesend and Northfleet W 4-0 1083 1012 37.01% 30.11% 32.88% +18.4 13
2003-08-30 Dagenham and Redbridge W 2-1 1120 1093 46.76% 28.64% 24.60% +3.9 13
2003-08-30 @ Shrewsbury Town L 1-2 1093 1120 24.60% 28.64% 46.76% -3.8 6
2003-08-30 Farnborough Town D 1-1 1127 1032 55.75% 25.53% 18.72% -1.2 8
2003-08-30 @ Exeter City D 1-1 1032 1127 18.72% 25.53% 55.75% +1.1 3
2003-08-30 Halifax Town W 4-1 1005 1014 41.87% 29.64% 28.50% +10.7 11
2003-08-30 @ Barnet L 1-4 1014 1005 28.50% 29.64% 41.87% -10.7 8
2003-08-30 Hereford United L 0-2 1106 1129 39.72% 29.91% 30.37% -11.1 11
2003-08-30 @ Stevenage Borough W 2-0 1129 1106 30.37% 29.91% 39.72% +11.1 16
2003-08-30 Margate L 1-2 1049 1039 44.42% 29.18% 26.39% -6.0 4
2003-08-30 @ Forest Green Rovers W 2-1 1039 1049 26.39% 29.18% 44.42% +6.0 5
2003-08-30 Northwich Victoria W 4-3 1337 1028 78.80% 12.86% 8.35% +1.0 15
2003-08-30 @ Aldershot Town L 3-4 1028 1337 8.35% 12.86% 78.80% -1.0 5
2003-08-30 Telford United D 1-1 1071 1029 48.68% 28.11% 23.21% -0.8 5
2003-08-30 @ Scarborough D 1-1 1029 1071 23.21% 28.11% 48.68% +0.8 10
2003-08-30 Woking L 0-1 1006 1020 41.10% 29.75% 29.16% -6.0 8
2003-08-30 @ Leigh RMI W 1-0 1020 1006 29.16% 29.75% 41.10% +6.0 12
2003-09-06 Accrington Stanley D 0-0 1016 1316 13.42% 20.16% 66.42% +1.9 12
2003-09-06 @ Barnet D 0-0 1316 1016 66.42% 20.16% 13.42% -1.9 8
2003-09-06 Aldershot Town W 2-0 1147 1338 20.16% 26.53% 53.31% +13.8 12
2003-09-06 @ Morecambe L 0-2 1338 1147 53.31% 26.53% 20.16% -13.8 15
2003-09-06 Chester City L 1-2 1045 1102 34.97% 30.15% 34.87% -5.1 5
2003-09-06 @ Margate W 2-1 1102 1045 34.87% 30.15% 34.97% +5.1 16
2003-09-06 Gravesend and Northfleet W 2-0 1070 993 53.31% 26.53% 20.16% +6.4 8
2003-09-06 @ Scarborough L 0-2 993 1070 20.16% 26.53% 53.31% -6.4 3
2003-09-06 Forest Green Rovers L 1-2 1000 1043 36.98% 30.11% 32.91% -5.3 8
2003-09-06 @ Leigh RMI W 2-1 1043 1000 32.91% 30.11% 36.98% +5.3 7
2003-09-06 Hereford United L 0-5 1033 1140 28.28% 29.60% 42.12% -20.2 3
2003-09-06 @ Farnborough Town W 5-0 1140 1033 42.12% 29.60% 28.28% +20.2 19
2003-09-06 Northwich Victoria W 5-3 1003 1027 39.68% 29.91% 30.41% +6.7 11
2003-09-06 @ Halifax Town L 3-5 1027 1003 30.41% 29.91% 39.68% -6.7 5
2003-09-06 Stevenage Borough W 1-0 1126 1095 47.38% 28.48% 24.14% +4.0 11
2003-09-06 @ Exeter City L 0-1 1095 1126 24.14% 28.48% 47.38% -4.0 11
2003-09-06 Telford United D 1-1 1089 1030 50.99% 27.37% 21.63% -0.9 7
2003-09-06 @ Dagenham and Redbridge D 1-1 1030 1089 21.63% 27.37% 50.99% +0.9 11
2003-09-06 Woking W 2-0 1012 1026 41.08% 29.75% 29.17% +8.9 10
2003-09-06 @ Burton Albion L 0-2 1026 1012 29.17% 29.75% 41.08% -8.9 12
2003-09-07 Tamworth W 3-1 1124 1301 21.30% 27.20% 51.50% +11.7 16
2003-09-07 @ Shrewsbury Town L 1-3 1301 1124 51.50% 27.20% 21.30% -11.7 5
2003-09-13 Barnet L 1-2 1091 1018 52.84% 26.71% 20.45% -6.9 11
2003-09-13 @ Stevenage Borough W 2-1 1018 1091 20.45% 26.71% 52.84% +6.9 15
2003-09-13 Burton Albion D 2-2 1031 1021 44.46% 29.17% 26.37% -0.4 12
2003-09-13 @ Telford United D 2-2 1021 1031 26.37% 29.17% 44.46% +0.4 11
2003-09-13 Dagenham and Redbridge L 0-1 1020 1088 33.41% 30.13% 36.46% -5.2 5
2003-09-13 @ Northwich Victoria W 1-0 1088 1020 36.46% 30.13% 33.41% +5.2 10
2003-09-13 Exeter City L 2-5 1048 1130 31.49% 30.02% 38.49% -10.0 7
2003-09-13 @ Forest Green Rovers W 5-2 1130 1048 38.49% 30.02% 31.49% +10.0 14
2003-09-13 Farnborough Town W 3-2 1017 1012 43.70% 29.33% 26.98% +4.0 15
2003-09-13 @ Woking L 2-3 1012 1017 26.98% 29.33% 43.70% -4.0 3
2003-09-13 Halifax Town W 2-0 1107 1010 55.93% 25.45% 18.61% +5.9 19
2003-09-13 @ Chester City L 0-2 1010 1107 18.61% 25.45% 55.93% -5.9 11
2003-09-13 Leigh RMI W 3-1 987 995 41.94% 29.63% 28.43% +7.5 6
2003-09-13 @ Gravesend and Northfleet L 1-3 995 987 28.43% 29.63% 41.94% -7.5 8
2003-09-13 Margate W 3-2 1314 1040 75.60% 14.79% 9.61% +1.2 11
2003-09-13 @ Accrington Stanley L 2-3 1040 1314 9.61% 14.79% 75.60% -1.2 5
2003-09-13 Morecambe L 2-3 1289 1161 59.76% 23.68% 16.56% -7.1 5
2003-09-13 @ Tamworth W 3-2 1161 1289 16.56% 23.68% 59.76% +7.1 15
2003-09-13 Scarborough W 2-1 1161 1076 54.29% 26.14% 19.57% +3.1 22
2003-09-13 @ Hereford United L 1-2 1076 1161 19.57% 26.14% 54.29% -3.1 8
2003-09-13 Shrewsbury Town D 1-1 1324 1135 66.78% 19.96% 13.26% -1.7 16
2003-09-13 @ Aldershot Town D 1-1 1135 1324 13.26% 19.96% 66.78% +1.7 17
2003-09-19 Hereford United W 4-1 1021 1164 24.48% 28.60% 46.91% +15.4 14
2003-09-19 @ Burton Albion L 1-4 1164 1021 46.91% 28.60% 24.48% -15.4 22
2003-09-20 Accrington Stanley L 0-1 1093 1315 17.91% 24.89% 57.19% -3.0 10
2003-09-20 @ Dagenham and Redbridge W 1-0 1315 1093 57.19% 24.89% 17.91% +3.0 14
2003-09-20 Aldershot Town W 2-1 1025 1322 13.52% 20.29% 66.20% +8.1 18
2003-09-20 @ Barnet L 1-2 1322 1025 66.20% 20.29% 13.52% -8.1 16
2003-09-20 Chester City L 1-2 1008 1113 28.70% 29.67% 41.63% -4.4 3
2003-09-20 @ Farnborough Town W 2-1 1113 1008 41.63% 29.67% 28.70% +4.4 22
2003-09-20 Exeter City W 3-2 994 1140 24.16% 28.49% 47.35% +6.0 9
2003-09-20 @ Gravesend and Northfleet L 2-3 1140 994 47.35% 28.49% 24.16% -6.0 14
2003-09-20 Forest Green Rovers D 2-2 1073 1038 47.84% 28.36% 23.81% -0.5 9
2003-09-20 @ Scarborough D 2-2 1038 1073 23.81% 28.36% 47.84% +0.5 8
2003-09-20 Margate L 0-1 1004 1039 38.10% 30.05% 31.85% -5.7 11
2003-09-20 @ Halifax Town W 1-0 1039 1004 31.85% 30.05% 38.10% +5.7 8
2003-09-20 Morecambe D 1-1 1015 1168 23.47% 28.22% 48.31% +0.7 6
2003-09-20 @ Northwich Victoria D 1-1 1168 1015 48.31% 28.22% 23.47% -0.8 16
2003-09-20 Shrewsbury Town D 3-3 1021 1137 27.33% 29.41% 43.26% +0.3 16
2003-09-20 @ Woking D 3-3 1137 1021 43.26% 29.41% 27.33% -0.3 18
2003-09-20 Stevenage Borough L 0-2 1031 1084 35.52% 30.15% 34.33% -10.2 12
2003-09-20 @ Telford United W 2-0 1084 1031 34.33% 30.15% 35.52% +10.2 14
2003-09-20 Tamworth D 1-1 987 1282 13.68% 20.49% 65.83% +1.6 9
2003-09-20 @ Leigh RMI D 1-1 1282 987 65.83% 20.49% 13.68% -1.7 6
2003-09-22 Dagenham and Redbridge D 1-1 1134 1090 49.03% 28.01% 22.96% -0.8 15
2003-09-22 @ Exeter City D 1-1 1090 1134 22.96% 28.01% 49.03% +0.8 11
2003-09-23 Barnet L 0-1 1044 1033 44.68% 29.13% 26.19% -6.4 8
2003-09-23 @ Margate W 1-0 1033 1044 26.19% 29.13% 44.68% +6.4 21
2003-09-23 Burton Albion W 3-1 1318 1037 76.31% 14.36% 9.33% +2.2 17
2003-09-23 @ Accrington Stanley L 1-3 1037 1318 9.33% 14.36% 76.31% -2.2 14
2003-09-23 Gravesend and Northfleet D 2-2 1094 1000 55.46% 25.65% 18.89% -0.8 15
2003-09-23 @ Stevenage Borough D 2-2 1000 1094 18.89% 25.65% 55.46% +0.9 10
2003-09-23 Farnborough Town W 2-0 1314 1004 78.89% 12.80% 8.31% +2.2 19
2003-09-23 @ Aldershot Town L 0-2 1004 1314 8.31% 12.80% 78.89% -2.2 3
2003-09-23 Halifax Town W 2-0 1137 998 61.01% 23.06% 15.93% +5.0 21
2003-09-23 @ Shrewsbury Town L 0-2 998 1137 15.93% 23.06% 61.01% -5.0 11
2003-09-23 Leigh RMI W 1-0 1167 989 65.60% 20.62% 13.78% +2.2 19
2003-09-23 @ Morecambe L 0-1 989 1167 13.78% 20.62% 65.60% -2.2 9
2003-09-23 Northwich Victoria W 4-0 1117 1016 56.45% 25.22% 18.32% +11.0 25
2003-09-23 @ Chester City L 0-4 1016 1117 18.32% 25.22% 56.45% -11.0 6
2003-09-23 Scarborough D 0-0 1280 1073 68.85% 18.78% 12.37% -2.0 7
2003-09-23 @ Tamworth D 0-0 1073 1280 12.37% 18.78% 68.85% +2.0 10
2003-09-23 Telford United W 2-1 1148 1020 59.71% 23.70% 16.58% +2.6 25
2003-09-23 @ Hereford United L 1-2 1020 1148 16.58% 23.70% 59.71% -2.6 12
2003-09-23 Woking D 2-2 1039 1021 45.44% 28.96% 25.60% -0.4 9
2003-09-23 @ Forest Green Rovers D 2-2 1021 1039 25.60% 28.96% 45.44% +0.4 17
2003-09-27 Barnet L 0-1 1142 1039 56.61% 25.16% 18.24% -7.7 21
2003-09-27 @ Shrewsbury Town W 1-0 1039 1142 18.24% 25.16% 56.61% +7.7 24
2003-09-27 Burton Albion W 3-1 1317 1034 76.37% 14.33% 9.30% +2.2 22
2003-09-27 @ Aldershot Town L 1-3 1034 1317 9.30% 14.33% 76.37% -2.2 14
2003-09-27 Dagenham and Redbridge W 2-0 1278 1091 66.62% 20.05% 13.33% +4.0 10
2003-09-27 @ Tamworth L 0-2 1091 1278 13.33% 20.05% 66.62% -4.0 11
2003-09-27 Gravesend and Northfleet D 3-3 1151 1001 62.31% 22.39% 15.30% -0.9 26
2003-09-27 @ Hereford United D 3-3 1001 1151 15.30% 22.39% 62.31% +0.9 11
2003-09-27 Farnborough Town W 3-2 1169 1002 64.36% 21.30% 14.34% +2.1 22
2003-09-27 @ Morecambe L 2-3 1002 1169 14.34% 21.30% 64.36% -2.1 3
2003-09-27 Halifax Town L 1-2 1038 993 49.21% 27.95% 22.84% -6.5 9
2003-09-27 @ Forest Green Rovers W 2-1 993 1038 22.84% 27.95% 49.21% +6.5 14
2003-09-27 Leigh RMI W 4-0 1093 987 57.07% 24.95% 17.98% +10.8 18
2003-09-27 @ Stevenage Borough L 0-4 987 1093 17.98% 24.95% 57.07% -10.8 9
2003-09-27 Northwich Victoria W 3-1 1038 1005 47.60% 28.42% 23.98% +6.5 11
2003-09-27 @ Margate L 1-3 1005 1038 23.98% 28.42% 47.60% -6.5 6
2003-09-27 Scarborough D 0-0 1133 1075 50.99% 27.38% 21.63% -1.0 16
2003-09-27 @ Exeter City D 0-0 1075 1133 21.63% 27.38% 50.99% +1.0 11
2003-09-27 Telford United D 0-0 1128 1018 57.55% 24.73% 17.72% -1.4 26
2003-09-27 @ Chester City D 0-0 1018 1128 17.72% 24.73% 57.55% +1.4 13
2003-09-27 Woking D 3-3 1320 1022 77.86% 13.43% 8.71% -1.3 18
2003-09-27 @ Accrington Stanley D 3-3 1022 1320 8.71% 13.43% 77.86% +1.3 18
2003-10-03 Exeter City L 3-4 1032 1132 29.19% 29.75% 41.06% -4.1 14
2003-10-03 @ Burton Albion W 4-3 1132 1032 41.06% 29.75% 29.19% +4.1 19
2003-10-04 Accrington Stanley D 3-3 998 1319 12.43% 18.86% 68.72% +1.1 7
2003-10-04 @ Northwich Victoria D 3-3 1319 998 68.72% 18.86% 12.43% -1.1 19
2003-10-04 Aldershot Town D 2-2 976 1319 11.45% 17.50% 71.06% +1.4 10
2003-10-04 @ Leigh RMI D 2-2 1319 976 71.06% 17.50% 11.45% -1.4 23
2003-10-04 Chester City D 0-0 1087 1127 37.44% 30.09% 32.48% -0.1 12
2003-10-04 @ Dagenham and Redbridge D 0-0 1127 1087 32.48% 30.09% 37.44% +0.2 27
2003-10-04 Forest Green Rovers D 1-1 1002 1032 38.87% 29.99% 31.14% -0.2 12
2003-10-04 @ Gravesend and Northfleet D 1-1 1032 1002 31.14% 29.99% 38.87% +0.2 10
2003-10-04 Hereford United L 0-1 1023 1150 26.11% 29.11% 44.78% -4.3 18
2003-10-04 @ Woking W 1-0 1150 1023 44.78% 29.11% 26.11% +4.3 29
2003-10-04 Margate D 1-1 1019 1045 39.49% 29.93% 30.58% -0.2 14
2003-10-04 @ Telford United D 1-1 1045 1019 30.58% 29.93% 39.49% +0.2 12
2003-10-04 Morecambe W 2-1 1047 1171 26.36% 29.17% 44.47% +6.0 27
2003-10-04 @ Barnet L 1-2 1171 1047 44.47% 29.17% 26.36% -6.0 22
2003-10-04 Shrewsbury Town D 1-1 1076 1134 34.76% 30.15% 35.09% +0.0 12
2003-10-04 @ Scarborough D 1-1 1134 1076 35.09% 30.15% 34.76% -0.0 22
2003-10-04 Stevenage Borough W 2-1 1000 1104 28.69% 29.67% 41.64% +5.7 17
2003-10-04 @ Halifax Town L 1-2 1104 1000 41.64% 29.67% 28.69% -5.7 18
2003-10-04 Tamworth D 3-3 1000 1282 14.31% 21.26% 64.44% +1.0 4
2003-10-04 @ Farnborough Town D 3-3 1282 1000 64.44% 21.26% 14.31% -1.0 11
2003-10-07 Accrington Stanley D 1-1 1005 1318 12.81% 19.37% 67.82% +1.7 18
2003-10-07 @ Halifax Town D 1-1 1318 1005 67.82% 19.37% 12.81% -1.7 20
2003-10-07 Aldershot Town L 1-3 1002 1317 12.68% 19.20% 68.13% -3.2 12
2003-10-07 @ Gravesend and Northfleet W 3-1 1317 1002 68.13% 19.20% 12.68% +3.2 26
2003-10-07 Exeter City L 2-3 1053 1137 31.26% 30.00% 38.74% -4.4 27
2003-10-07 @ Barnet W 3-2 1137 1053 38.74% 30.00% 31.26% +4.4 22
2003-10-07 Forest Green Rovers L 1-3 1001 1032 38.65% 30.01% 31.34% -9.4 4
2003-10-07 @ Farnborough Town W 3-1 1032 1001 31.34% 30.01% 38.65% +9.4 13
2003-10-07 Hereford United L 1-5 999 1154 23.26% 28.14% 48.60% -11.6 7
2003-10-07 @ Northwich Victoria W 5-1 1154 999 48.60% 28.14% 23.26% +11.6 32
2003-10-07 Margate W 4-0 1087 1045 48.79% 28.08% 23.13% +13.8 15
2003-10-07 @ Dagenham and Redbridge L 0-4 1045 1087 23.13% 28.08% 48.79% -13.8 12
2003-10-07 Morecambe W 1-0 1076 1165 30.51% 29.92% 39.57% +5.9 15
2003-10-07 @ Scarborough L 0-1 1165 1076 39.57% 29.92% 30.51% -5.9 22
2003-10-07 Stevenage Borough D 1-1 1019 1098 31.86% 30.05% 38.09% +0.2 19
2003-10-07 @ Woking D 1-1 1098 1019 38.09% 30.05% 31.86% -0.2 19
2003-10-07 Tamworth W 2-0 1019 1281 15.40% 22.50% 62.10% +15.5 17
2003-10-07 @ Telford United L 0-2 1281 1019 62.10% 22.50% 15.40% -15.5 11
2003-10-08 Chester City D 1-1 1028 1127 29.37% 29.78% 40.86% +0.3 15
2003-10-08 @ Burton Albion D 1-1 1127 1028 40.86% 29.78% 29.37% -0.3 28
2003-10-11 Barnet W 2-0 1266 1048 69.92% 18.16% 11.92% +3.5 14
2003-10-11 @ Tamworth L 0-2 1048 1266 11.92% 18.16% 69.92% -3.5 27
2003-10-11 Burton Albion D 1-1 1041 1028 44.84% 29.10% 26.07% -0.6 14
2003-10-11 @ Forest Green Rovers D 1-1 1028 1041 26.07% 29.10% 44.84% +0.5 16
2003-10-11 Gravesend and Northfleet D 2-2 1160 999 63.60% 21.71% 14.69% -1.2 23
2003-10-11 @ Morecambe D 2-2 999 1160 14.69% 21.71% 63.60% +1.1 13
2003-10-11 Farnborough Town W 3-1 1316 991 80.12% 12.06% 7.82% +1.8 23
2003-10-11 @ Accrington Stanley L 1-3 991 1316 7.82% 12.06% 80.12% -1.8 4
2003-10-11 Halifax Town W 3-1 1321 1007 79.18% 12.63% 8.19% +1.9 29
2003-10-11 @ Aldershot Town L 1-3 1007 1321 8.19% 12.63% 79.18% -1.9 18
2003-10-11 Leigh RMI W 2-0 1031 977 50.31% 27.61% 22.09% +7.0 15
2003-10-11 @ Margate L 0-2 977 1031 22.09% 27.61% 50.31% -7.0 10
2003-10-11 Northwich Victoria W 2-0 1141 988 62.73% 22.17% 15.10% +4.6 25
2003-10-11 @ Exeter City L 0-2 988 1141 15.10% 22.17% 62.73% -4.6 7
2003-10-11 Scarborough D 2-2 1098 1082 45.31% 28.99% 25.70% -0.4 20
2003-10-11 @ Stevenage Borough D 2-2 1082 1098 25.70% 28.99% 45.31% +0.4 16
2003-10-11 Woking W 2-1 1127 1019 57.21% 24.88% 17.90% +2.8 31
2003-10-11 @ Chester City L 1-2 1019 1127 17.90% 24.88% 57.21% -2.8 19
2003-10-13 Dagenham and Redbridge D 1-1 1166 1101 51.83% 27.08% 21.09% -0.9 33
2003-10-13 @ Hereford United D 1-1 1101 1166 21.09% 27.08% 51.83% +0.9 16
2003-10-18 Aldershot Town D 3-3 1269 1322 35.51% 30.15% 34.33% -0.0 15
2003-10-18 @ Tamworth D 3-3 1322 1269 34.33% 30.15% 35.51% +0.0 30
2003-10-18 Barnet L 1-4 970 1045 32.51% 30.09% 37.40% -11.8 10
2003-10-18 @ Leigh RMI W 4-1 1045 970 37.40% 30.09% 32.51% +11.8 30
2003-10-18 Burton Albion L 0-2 1102 1029 52.80% 26.72% 20.48% -13.7 16
2003-10-18 @ Dagenham and Redbridge W 2-0 1029 1102 20.48% 26.72% 52.80% +13.7 19
2003-10-18 Gravesend and Northfleet D 0-0 983 1000 40.68% 29.80% 29.52% -0.4 8
2003-10-18 @ Northwich Victoria D 0-0 1000 983 29.52% 29.80% 40.68% +0.4 14
2003-10-18 Exeter City L 1-2 1318 1146 64.92% 20.99% 14.09% -8.0 23
2003-10-18 @ Accrington Stanley W 2-1 1146 1318 14.09% 20.99% 64.92% +8.0 28
2003-10-18 Halifax Town D 2-2 1016 1005 44.57% 29.15% 26.28% -0.4 20
2003-10-18 @ Woking D 2-2 1005 1016 26.28% 29.15% 44.57% +0.4 19
2003-10-18 Hereford United D 0-0 1129 1165 38.01% 30.05% 31.93% -0.2 32
2003-10-18 @ Chester City D 0-0 1165 1129 31.93% 30.05% 38.01% +0.2 34
2003-10-18 Morecambe W 2-0 1134 1158 39.63% 29.92% 30.45% +9.2 25
2003-10-18 @ Shrewsbury Town L 0-2 1158 1134 30.45% 29.92% 39.63% -9.2 23
2003-10-18 Scarborough W 1-0 1038 1082 36.81% 30.12% 33.08% +5.2 18
2003-10-18 @ Margate L 0-1 1082 1038 33.08% 30.12% 36.81% -5.2 16
2003-10-18 Stevenage Borough W 3-1 1041 1098 35.00% 30.15% 34.84% +8.8 17
2003-10-18 @ Forest Green Rovers L 1-3 1098 1041 34.84% 30.15% 35.00% -8.7 20
2003-10-18 Telford United W 2-1 990 1034 36.71% 30.12% 33.17% +4.9 7
2003-10-18 @ Farnborough Town L 1-2 1034 990 33.17% 30.12% 36.71% -4.9 17
2003-11-01 Accrington Stanley D 0-0 1000 1310 12.95% 19.55% 67.50% +1.9 15
2003-11-01 @ Gravesend and Northfleet D 0-0 1310 1000 67.50% 19.55% 12.95% -1.9 24
2003-11-01 Chester City D 2-2 1077 1129 35.61% 30.15% 34.24% -0.0 17
2003-11-01 @ Scarborough D 2-2 1129 1077 34.24% 30.15% 35.61% +0.0 33
2003-11-01 Dagenham and Redbridge W 3-0 1006 1088 31.45% 30.01% 38.54% +15.8 22
2003-11-01 @ Halifax Town L 0-3 1088 1006 38.54% 30.01% 31.45% -15.8 16
2003-11-01 Farnborough Town W 1-0 1043 995 49.60% 27.83% 22.57% +3.8 22
2003-11-01 @ Burton Albion L 0-1 995 1043 22.57% 27.83% 49.60% -3.8 7
2003-11-01 Forest Green Rovers W 3-0 1322 1050 75.49% 14.86% 9.65% +3.8 33
2003-11-01 @ Aldershot Town L 0-3 1050 1322 9.65% 14.86% 75.49% -3.8 17
2003-11-01 Leigh RMI L 0-1 1165 959 68.75% 18.84% 12.41% -8.8 34
2003-11-01 @ Hereford United W 1-0 959 1165 12.41% 18.84% 68.75% +8.8 13
2003-11-01 Margate D 3-3 1149 1043 57.03% 24.97% 18.00% -0.8 24
2003-11-01 @ Morecambe D 3-3 1043 1149 18.00% 24.97% 57.03% +0.8 19
2003-11-01 Northwich Victoria W 1-0 1057 983 52.96% 26.66% 20.38% +3.4 33
2003-11-01 @ Barnet L 0-1 983 1057 20.38% 26.66% 52.96% -3.4 8
2003-11-01 Shrewsbury Town W 2-0 1089 1143 35.33% 30.15% 34.52% +10.0 23
2003-11-01 @ Stevenage Borough L 0-2 1143 1089 34.52% 30.15% 35.33% -10.0 25
2003-11-01 Tamworth W 3-2 1154 1269 27.37% 29.41% 43.22% +5.6 31
2003-11-01 @ Exeter City L 2-3 1269 1154 43.22% 29.41% 27.37% -5.6 15
2003-11-01 Woking W 1-0 1030 1016 44.95% 29.07% 25.98% +4.3 20
2003-11-01 @ Telford United L 0-1 1016 1030 25.98% 29.07% 44.95% -4.3 20
2003-11-11 Chester City L 0-1 1148 1129 45.69% 28.91% 25.41% -6.5 24
2003-11-11 @ Morecambe W 1-0 1129 1148 25.41% 28.91% 45.69% +6.5 36
2003-11-11 Gravesend and Northfleet W 1-0 1060 1002 50.87% 27.42% 21.71% +3.7 36
2003-11-11 @ Barnet L 0-1 1002 1060 21.71% 27.42% 50.87% -3.6 15
2003-11-11 Exeter City W 2-1 1326 1159 64.32% 21.32% 14.36% +2.2 36
2003-11-11 @ Aldershot Town L 1-2 1159 1326 14.36% 21.32% 64.32% -2.2 31
2003-11-11 Farnborough Town W 1-0 1072 991 53.92% 26.29% 19.79% +3.3 19
2003-11-11 @ Dagenham and Redbridge L 0-1 991 1072 19.79% 26.29% 53.92% -3.3 7
2003-11-11 Forest Green Rovers W 2-0 1133 1046 54.68% 25.98% 19.34% +6.1 28
2003-11-11 @ Shrewsbury Town L 0-2 1046 1133 19.34% 25.98% 54.68% -6.1 17
2003-11-11 Hereford United W 2-0 1308 1156 62.52% 22.28% 15.20% +4.7 27
2003-11-11 @ Accrington Stanley L 0-2 1156 1308 15.20% 22.28% 62.52% -4.7 34
2003-11-11 Scarborough L 1-4 967 1077 28.09% 29.56% 42.35% -10.5 13
2003-11-11 @ Leigh RMI W 4-1 1077 967 42.35% 29.56% 28.09% +10.5 20
2003-11-11 Stevenage Borough L 1-2 1264 1099 64.07% 21.46% 14.48% -7.9 15
2003-11-11 @ Tamworth W 2-1 1099 1264 14.48% 21.46% 64.07% +7.9 26
2003-11-11 Telford United D 1-1 1021 1034 41.29% 29.72% 28.99% -0.4 23
2003-11-11 @ Halifax Town D 1-1 1034 1021 28.99% 29.72% 41.29% +0.4 21
2003-11-11 Woking L 1-2 1044 1012 47.47% 28.46% 24.07% -6.3 19
2003-11-11 @ Margate W 2-1 1012 1044 24.07% 28.46% 47.47% +6.3 23
2003-11-14 Halifax Town D 2-2 1047 1021 46.56% 28.69% 24.75% -0.5 23
2003-11-14 @ Burton Albion D 2-2 1021 1047 24.75% 28.69% 46.56% +0.5 24
2003-11-15 Accrington Stanley W 2-1 1107 1313 19.04% 25.77% 55.20% +7.1 29
2003-11-15 @ Stevenage Borough L 1-2 1313 1107 55.20% 25.77% 19.04% -7.1 27
2003-11-15 Aldershot Town W 1-0 1087 1328 16.67% 23.78% 59.55% +8.0 23
2003-11-15 @ Scarborough L 0-1 1328 1087 59.55% 23.78% 16.67% -8.0 36
2003-11-15 Barnet W 1-0 1136 1064 52.72% 26.75% 20.52% +3.5 39
2003-11-15 @ Chester City L 0-1 1064 1136 20.52% 26.75% 52.72% -3.5 36
2003-11-15 Dagenham and Redbridge D 0-0 1018 1076 34.85% 30.15% 35.00% +0.0 24
2003-11-15 @ Woking D 0-0 1076 1018 35.00% 30.15% 34.85% +0.0 20
2003-11-15 Leigh RMI W 5-0 1034 957 53.40% 26.49% 20.11% +14.9 24
2003-11-15 @ Telford United L 0-5 957 1034 20.11% 26.49% 53.40% -14.9 13
2003-11-15 Margate W 2-1 1152 1038 58.04% 24.50% 17.46% +2.7 37
2003-11-15 @ Hereford United L 1-2 1038 1152 17.46% 24.50% 58.04% -2.8 19
2003-11-15 Morecambe W 4-0 1157 1142 45.13% 29.03% 25.83% +15.3 34
2003-11-15 @ Exeter City L 0-4 1142 1157 25.83% 29.03% 45.13% -15.2 24
2003-11-15 Northwich Victoria W 2-0 987 979 44.18% 29.23% 26.59% +8.2 10
2003-11-15 @ Farnborough Town L 0-2 979 987 26.59% 29.23% 44.18% -8.2 8
2003-11-15 Shrewsbury Town L 0-3 999 1139 24.66% 28.67% 46.67% -11.2 15
2003-11-15 @ Gravesend and Northfleet W 3-0 1139 999 46.67% 28.67% 24.66% +11.2 31
2003-11-15 Tamworth W 2-1 1040 1256 18.31% 25.21% 56.48% +7.2 20
2003-11-15 @ Forest Green Rovers L 1-2 1256 1040 56.48% 25.21% 18.31% -7.2 15
2003-11-18 Shrewsbury Town D 2-2 942 1151 18.84% 25.62% 55.54% +0.8 14
2003-11-18 @ Leigh RMI D 2-2 1151 942 55.54% 25.62% 18.84% -0.8 32
2003-11-22 Burton Albion L 1-2 1035 1046 41.46% 29.70% 28.84% -5.7 19
2003-11-22 @ Margate W 2-1 1046 1035 28.84% 29.70% 41.46% +5.7 26
2003-11-22 Chester City D 1-1 1320 1139 65.94% 20.43% 13.63% -1.7 37
2003-11-22 @ Aldershot Town D 1-1 1139 1320 13.63% 20.43% 65.94% +1.7 40
2003-11-22 Gravesend and Northfleet L 1-3 1249 987 74.38% 15.52% 10.10% -15.1 15
2003-11-22 @ Tamworth W 3-1 987 1249 10.10% 15.52% 74.38% +15.1 18
2003-11-22 Exeter City D 1-1 943 1172 17.40% 24.45% 58.15% +1.3 15
2003-11-22 @ Leigh RMI D 1-1 1172 943 58.15% 24.45% 17.40% -1.3 35
2003-11-22 Farnborough Town W 2-0 1021 996 46.59% 28.69% 24.73% +7.7 27
2003-11-22 @ Halifax Town L 0-2 996 1021 24.73% 28.69% 46.59% -7.8 10
2003-11-22 Forest Green Rovers W 5-0 1060 1047 44.89% 29.08% 26.03% +18.9 39
2003-11-22 @ Barnet L 0-5 1047 1060 26.03% 29.08% 44.89% -18.9 20
2003-11-22 Hereford United W 4-1 1150 1155 42.37% 29.56% 28.07% +10.5 35
2003-11-22 @ Shrewsbury Town L 1-4 1155 1150 28.07% 29.56% 42.37% -10.5 37
2003-11-22 Scarborough W 1-0 1076 1095 40.27% 29.85% 29.88% +4.8 23
2003-11-22 @ Dagenham and Redbridge L 0-1 1095 1076 29.88% 29.85% 40.27% -4.8 23
2003-11-22 Stevenage Borough W 2-1 1127 1114 44.81% 29.10% 26.09% +4.0 27
2003-11-22 @ Morecambe L 1-2 1114 1127 26.09% 29.10% 44.81% -4.0 29
2003-11-22 Telford United L 1-5 1306 1049 73.90% 15.81% 10.29% -27.5 27
2003-11-22 @ Accrington Stanley W 5-1 1049 1306 10.29% 15.81% 73.90% +27.5 27
2003-11-22 Woking L 1-4 971 1018 36.41% 30.13% 33.46% -12.8 8
2003-11-22 @ Northwich Victoria W 4-1 1018 971 33.46% 30.13% 36.41% +12.8 27
2003-11-25 Accrington Stanley D 3-3 1141 1278 25.03% 28.79% 46.18% +0.4 41
2003-11-25 @ Chester City D 3-3 1278 1141 46.18% 28.79% 25.03% -0.4 28
2003-11-25 Barnet D 2-2 1091 1079 44.62% 29.14% 26.24% -0.4 24
2003-11-25 @ Scarborough D 2-2 1079 1091 26.24% 29.14% 44.62% +0.4 40
2003-11-25 Dagenham and Redbridge L 1-2 1002 1080 32.04% 30.06% 37.90% -4.8 18
2003-11-25 @ Gravesend and Northfleet W 2-1 1080 1002 37.90% 30.06% 32.04% +4.8 26
2003-11-25 Halifax Town W 7-1 1144 1029 58.10% 24.47% 17.42% +12.6 40
2003-11-25 @ Hereford United L 1-7 1029 1144 17.42% 24.47% 58.10% -12.6 27
2003-11-25 Leigh RMI W 3-2 1052 944 57.23% 24.87% 17.89% +2.7 29
2003-11-25 @ Burton Albion L 2-3 944 1052 17.89% 24.87% 57.23% -2.7 15
2003-11-25 Morecambe L 1-2 1028 1131 28.89% 29.70% 41.41% -4.4 20
2003-11-25 @ Forest Green Rovers W 2-1 1131 1028 41.41% 29.70% 28.89% +4.4 30
2003-11-25 Northwich Victoria L 0-1 1077 958 58.54% 24.27% 17.19% -7.9 27
2003-11-25 @ Telford United W 1-0 958 1077 17.19% 24.27% 58.54% +7.9 11
2003-11-25 Shrewsbury Town W 3-2 1171 1160 44.54% 29.16% 26.30% +3.9 38
2003-11-25 @ Exeter City L 2-3 1160 1171 26.30% 29.16% 44.54% -3.9 35
2003-11-25 Tamworth W 4-0 1031 1233 19.26% 25.93% 54.81% +26.8 30
2003-11-25 @ Woking L 0-4 1233 1031 54.81% 25.93% 19.26% -26.8 15
2003-11-29 Barnet W 2-0 1278 1080 67.82% 19.37% 12.81% +3.8 31
2003-11-29 @ Accrington Stanley L 0-2 1080 1278 12.81% 19.37% 67.82% -3.8 40
2003-11-29 Burton Albion W 1-0 1057 1054 43.45% 29.37% 27.17% +4.4 33
2003-11-29 @ Woking L 0-1 1054 1057 27.17% 29.37% 43.45% -4.4 29
2003-11-29 Dagenham and Redbridge W 1-0 1069 1085 40.75% 29.79% 29.46% +4.7 30
2003-11-29 @ Telford United L 0-1 1085 1069 29.46% 29.79% 40.75% -4.7 26
2003-11-29 Exeter City D 2-2 1110 1175 33.80% 30.14% 36.06% +0.0 30
2003-11-29 @ Stevenage Borough D 2-2 1175 1110 36.06% 30.14% 33.80% -0.1 39
2003-11-29 Farnborough Town W 2-0 1157 988 64.50% 21.22% 14.28% +4.3 43
2003-11-29 @ Hereford United L 0-2 988 1157 14.28% 21.22% 64.50% -4.3 10
2003-11-29 Halifax Town L 0-1 966 1017 35.88% 30.14% 33.97% -5.5 11
2003-11-29 @ Northwich Victoria W 1-0 1017 966 33.97% 30.14% 35.88% +5.5 30
2003-11-29 Leigh RMI D 2-2 1024 941 54.03% 26.25% 19.73% -0.8 21
2003-11-29 @ Forest Green Rovers D 2-2 941 1024 19.73% 26.25% 54.03% +0.8 16
2003-11-29 Margate W 3-0 1141 1029 57.79% 24.62% 17.59% +8.0 44
2003-11-29 @ Chester City L 0-3 1029 1141 17.59% 24.62% 57.79% -8.0 19
2003-11-29 Morecambe D 2-2 1319 1135 66.22% 20.28% 13.51% -1.2 38
2003-11-29 @ Aldershot Town D 2-2 1135 1319 13.51% 20.28% 66.22% +1.2 31
2003-11-29 Scarborough D 1-1 998 1090 30.15% 29.88% 39.97% +0.3 19
2003-11-29 @ Gravesend and Northfleet D 1-1 1090 998 39.97% 29.88% 30.15% -0.3 25
2003-11-29 Shrewsbury Town D 1-1 1207 1156 49.87% 27.75% 22.38% -0.8 16
2003-11-29 @ Tamworth D 1-1 1156 1207 22.38% 27.75% 49.87% +0.8 36
2003-12-02 Burton Albion L 1-2 961 1050 30.55% 29.93% 39.52% -4.6 11
2003-12-02 @ Northwich Victoria W 2-1 1050 961 39.52% 29.93% 30.55% +4.6 32
2003-12-06 Chester City L 0-3 1022 1149 26.08% 29.10% 44.82% -11.8 30
2003-12-06 @ Halifax Town W 3-0 1149 1022 44.82% 29.10% 26.08% +11.8 47
2003-12-06 Forest Green Rovers D 2-2 1175 1023 62.58% 22.25% 15.17% -1.1 40
2003-12-06 @ Exeter City D 2-2 1023 1175 15.17% 22.25% 62.58% +1.1 22
2003-12-06 Margate D 1-1 984 1021 37.77% 30.07% 32.17% -0.2 11
2003-12-06 @ Farnborough Town D 1-1 1021 984 32.17% 30.07% 37.77% +0.2 20
2003-12-06 Northwich Victoria W 2-0 1080 956 59.27% 23.92% 16.81% +5.3 29
2003-12-06 @ Dagenham and Redbridge L 0-2 956 1080 16.81% 23.92% 59.27% -5.3 11
2003-12-06 Tamworth W 4-0 1136 1206 33.19% 30.12% 36.68% +19.9 34
2003-12-06 @ Morecambe L 0-4 1206 1136 36.68% 30.12% 33.19% -19.9 16
2003-12-09 Telford United D 0-0 1157 1073 54.21% 26.17% 19.62% -1.2 37
2003-12-09 @ Shrewsbury Town D 0-0 1073 1157 19.62% 26.17% 54.21% +1.2 31
2003-12-09 Woking W 1-0 983 1062 31.98% 30.06% 37.96% +5.7 14
2003-12-09 @ Farnborough Town L 0-1 1062 983 37.96% 30.06% 31.98% -5.7 33
2003-12-13 Aldershot Town W 4-2 1281 1318 37.95% 30.06% 32.00% +7.4 34
2003-12-13 @ Accrington Stanley L 2-4 1318 1281 32.00% 30.06% 37.95% -7.4 38
2003-12-13 Barnet L 1-2 1075 1076 42.89% 29.47% 27.64% -5.9 31
2003-12-13 @ Telford United W 2-1 1076 1075 27.64% 29.47% 42.89% +5.9 43
2003-12-13 Gravesend and Northfleet W 3-0 1055 998 50.72% 27.47% 21.82% +10.0 35
2003-12-13 @ Burton Albion L 0-3 998 1055 21.82% 27.47% 50.72% -10.0 19
2003-12-13 Exeter City W 2-0 1010 1174 22.50% 27.80% 49.70% +13.1 33
2003-12-13 @ Halifax Town L 0-2 1174 1010 49.70% 27.80% 22.50% -13.1 40
2003-12-13 Forest Green Rovers L 0-4 951 1024 32.69% 30.10% 37.21% -18.3 11
2003-12-13 @ Northwich Victoria W 4-0 1024 951 37.21% 30.10% 32.69% +18.3 25
2003-12-13 Leigh RMI L 1-2 1086 942 61.57% 22.77% 15.66% -7.7 29
2003-12-13 @ Dagenham and Redbridge W 2-1 942 1086 15.66% 22.77% 61.57% +7.7 19
2003-12-13 Morecambe W 4-1 1056 1156 29.21% 29.75% 41.03% +13.9 36
2003-12-13 @ Woking L 1-4 1156 1056 41.03% 29.75% 29.21% -13.9 34
2003-12-13 Scarborough L 1-2 989 1090 29.13% 29.74% 41.13% -4.4 14
2003-12-13 @ Farnborough Town W 2-1 1090 989 41.13% 29.74% 29.13% +4.4 28
2003-12-13 Stevenage Borough L 1-2 1161 1110 50.00% 27.71% 22.30% -6.6 47
2003-12-13 @ Chester City W 2-1 1110 1161 22.30% 27.71% 50.00% +6.6 33
2003-12-13 Tamworth L 0-1 1161 1186 39.52% 29.93% 30.55% -5.9 43
2003-12-13 @ Hereford United W 1-0 1186 1161 30.55% 29.93% 39.52% +5.9 19
2003-12-14 Shrewsbury Town L 0-2 1021 1156 25.27% 28.86% 45.86% -7.9 20
2003-12-14 @ Margate W 2-0 1156 1021 45.86% 28.86% 25.27% +7.9 40
2003-12-16 Aldershot Town L 0-1 1116 1310 19.95% 26.39% 53.66% -3.4 33
2003-12-16 @ Stevenage Borough W 1-0 1310 1116 53.66% 26.39% 19.95% +3.4 41
2003-12-19 Hereford United L 1-7 1042 1155 27.70% 29.48% 42.82% -19.5 25
2003-12-19 @ Forest Green Rovers W 7-1 1155 1042 42.82% 29.48% 27.70% +19.5 46
2003-12-20 Accrington Stanley L 1-2 950 1289 11.61% 17.73% 70.66% -1.7 19
2003-12-20 @ Leigh RMI W 2-1 1289 950 70.66% 17.73% 11.61% +1.7 37
2003-12-20 Chester City L 1-5 1192 1155 48.14% 28.27% 23.59% -20.2 19
2003-12-20 @ Tamworth W 5-1 1155 1192 23.59% 28.27% 48.14% +20.2 50
2003-12-20 Dagenham and Redbridge L 0-2 1113 1078 47.85% 28.35% 23.80% -12.7 33
2003-12-20 @ Stevenage Borough W 2-0 1078 1113 23.80% 28.35% 47.85% +12.7 32
2003-12-20 Farnborough Town L 1-3 1082 985 55.88% 25.47% 18.64% -12.4 43
2003-12-20 @ Barnet W 3-1 985 1082 18.64% 25.47% 55.88% +12.4 17
2003-12-20 Halifax Town W 2-0 1142 1023 58.60% 24.24% 17.16% +5.4 37
2003-12-20 @ Morecambe L 0-2 1023 1142 17.16% 24.24% 58.60% -5.4 33
2003-12-20 Margate L 0-2 1314 1013 78.02% 13.33% 8.65% -17.9 41
2003-12-20 @ Aldershot Town W 2-0 1013 1314 8.65% 13.33% 78.02% +17.9 23
2003-12-20 Northwich Victoria W 1-0 1094 932 63.72% 21.65% 14.64% +2.4 31
2003-12-20 @ Scarborough L 0-1 932 1094 14.64% 21.65% 63.72% -2.4 11
2003-12-20 Telford United L 0-3 1161 1069 55.24% 25.75% 19.01% -20.6 40
2003-12-20 @ Exeter City W 3-0 1069 1161 19.01% 25.75% 55.24% +20.6 34
2003-12-20 Woking D 2-2 988 1070 31.48% 30.02% 38.50% +0.1 20
2003-12-20 @ Gravesend and Northfleet D 2-2 1070 988 38.50% 30.02% 31.48% -0.1 37
2003-12-26 Aldershot Town L 2-3 1091 1296 19.11% 25.82% 55.08% -2.9 32
2003-12-26 @ Dagenham and Redbridge W 3-2 1296 1091 55.08% 25.82% 19.11% +2.9 44
2003-12-26 Barnet D 2-2 1070 1069 43.14% 29.43% 27.43% -0.3 38
2003-12-26 @ Woking D 2-2 1069 1070 27.43% 29.43% 43.14% +0.3 44
2003-12-26 Exeter City D 1-1 1175 1140 47.77% 28.37% 23.86% -0.7 47
2003-12-26 @ Hereford United D 1-1 1140 1175 23.86% 28.37% 47.77% +0.7 41
2003-12-26 Leigh RMI W 5-0 1175 948 70.87% 17.60% 11.52% +7.7 53
2003-12-26 @ Chester City L 0-5 948 1175 11.52% 17.60% 70.87% -7.7 19
2003-12-26 Morecambe W 1-0 1290 1148 61.49% 22.81% 15.70% +2.6 40
2003-12-26 @ Accrington Stanley L 0-1 1148 1290 15.70% 22.81% 61.49% -2.6 37
2003-12-26 Northwich Victoria W 3-1 1164 930 71.62% 17.16% 11.22% +2.8 43
2003-12-26 @ Shrewsbury Town L 1-3 930 1164 11.22% 17.16% 71.62% -2.8 11
2003-12-26 Scarborough W 1-0 1018 1097 31.96% 30.05% 37.99% +5.7 36
2003-12-26 @ Halifax Town L 0-1 1097 1018 37.99% 30.05% 31.96% -5.7 31
2003-12-26 Stevenage Borough W 2-0 997 1100 28.83% 29.69% 41.48% +11.5 20
2003-12-26 @ Farnborough Town L 0-2 1100 997 41.48% 29.69% 28.83% -11.4 33
2003-12-26 Tamworth L 0-1 1065 1172 28.38% 29.62% 42.00% -4.6 35
2003-12-26 @ Burton Albion W 1-0 1172 1065 42.00% 29.62% 28.38% +4.6 22
2003-12-27 Gravesend and Northfleet L 1-3 1031 988 48.93% 28.04% 23.03% -11.2 23
2003-12-27 @ Margate W 3-1 988 1031 23.03% 28.04% 48.93% +11.2 23
2004-01-01 Accrington Stanley W 1-0 1145 1293 23.95% 28.41% 47.64% +6.7 40
2004-01-01 @ Morecambe L 0-1 1293 1145 47.64% 28.41% 23.95% -6.7 40
2004-01-01 Burton Albion D 1-1 1176 1060 58.27% 24.40% 17.34% -1.3 23
2004-01-01 @ Tamworth D 1-1 1060 1176 17.34% 24.40% 58.27% +1.3 36
2004-01-01 Chester City L 2-6 940 1182 16.60% 23.72% 59.67% -7.0 19
2004-01-01 @ Leigh RMI W 6-2 1182 940 59.67% 23.72% 16.60% +7.0 56
2004-01-01 Dagenham and Redbridge W 2-1 1298 1088 69.19% 18.59% 12.23% +1.8 47
2004-01-01 @ Aldershot Town L 1-2 1088 1298 12.23% 18.59% 69.19% -1.8 32
2004-01-01 Farnborough Town W 3-2 1089 1009 53.78% 26.34% 19.88% +3.0 36
2004-01-01 @ Stevenage Borough L 2-3 1009 1089 19.88% 26.34% 53.78% -3.0 20
2004-01-01 Hereford United L 0-1 1141 1174 38.38% 30.03% 31.60% -5.7 41
2004-01-01 @ Exeter City W 1-0 1174 1141 31.60% 30.03% 38.38% +5.7 50
2004-01-01 Margate W 2-1 999 1020 40.14% 29.86% 30.00% +4.5 26
2004-01-01 @ Gravesend and Northfleet L 1-2 1020 999 30.00% 29.86% 40.14% -4.5 23
2004-01-01 Shrewsbury Town L 0-2 927 1167 16.78% 23.89% 59.34% -5.3 11
2004-01-01 @ Northwich Victoria W 2-0 1167 927 59.34% 23.89% 16.78% +5.2 46
2004-01-01 Telford United D 0-0 1023 1089 33.58% 30.13% 36.29% +0.1 26
2004-01-01 @ Forest Green Rovers D 0-0 1089 1023 36.29% 30.13% 33.58% -0.1 35
2004-01-01 Woking D 0-0 1070 1070 43.04% 29.45% 27.51% -0.5 45
2004-01-01 @ Barnet D 0-0 1070 1070 27.51% 29.45% 43.04% +0.5 39
2004-01-03 Aldershot Town D 1-1 922 1300 10.00% 15.38% 74.63% +2.0 12
2004-01-03 @ Northwich Victoria D 1-1 1300 922 74.63% 15.38% 10.00% -2.0 48
2004-01-03 Barnet L 1-2 1024 1069 36.63% 30.12% 33.25% -5.2 36
2004-01-03 @ Halifax Town W 2-1 1069 1024 33.25% 30.12% 36.63% +5.2 48
2004-01-03 Gravesend and Northfleet D 2-2 1189 1004 66.44% 20.15% 13.41% -1.2 57
2004-01-03 @ Chester City D 2-2 1004 1189 13.41% 20.15% 66.44% +1.2 27
2004-01-03 Exeter City L 1-2 1006 1135 25.85% 29.03% 45.12% -4.0 20
2004-01-03 @ Farnborough Town W 2-1 1135 1006 45.12% 29.03% 25.85% +4.0 44
2004-01-03 Leigh RMI W 2-0 1070 933 60.75% 23.19% 16.06% +5.0 42
2004-01-03 @ Woking L 0-2 933 1070 16.06% 23.19% 60.75% -5.0 19
2004-01-03 Morecambe L 0-1 1061 1152 30.40% 29.91% 39.69% -4.8 36
2004-01-03 @ Burton Albion W 1-0 1152 1061 39.69% 29.91% 30.40% +4.9 43
2004-01-03 Shrewsbury Town W 5-0 1086 1172 31.00% 29.97% 39.03% +25.6 35
2004-01-03 @ Dagenham and Redbridge L 0-5 1172 1086 39.03% 29.97% 31.00% -25.6 46
2004-01-03 Stevenage Borough W 1-0 1180 1092 54.71% 25.97% 19.32% +3.2 53
2004-01-03 @ Hereford United L 0-1 1092 1180 19.32% 25.97% 54.71% -3.2 36
2004-01-04 Forest Green Rovers W 2-0 1015 1023 42.01% 29.61% 28.37% +8.7 26
2004-01-04 @ Margate L 0-2 1023 1015 28.37% 29.61% 42.01% -8.7 26
2004-01-17 Accrington Stanley D 0-0 1146 1286 24.74% 28.69% 46.57% +0.7 47
2004-01-17 @ Shrewsbury Town D 0-0 1286 1146 46.57% 28.69% 24.74% -0.7 41
2004-01-17 Burton Albion W 1-0 1089 1056 47.45% 28.46% 24.09% +4.0 39
2004-01-17 @ Stevenage Borough L 0-1 1056 1089 24.09% 28.46% 47.45% -4.0 36
2004-01-17 Chester City W 2-1 1014 1188 21.56% 27.34% 51.10% +6.7 29
2004-01-17 @ Forest Green Rovers L 1-2 1188 1014 51.10% 27.34% 21.56% -6.7 57
2004-01-17 Dagenham and Redbridge L 2-4 1074 1112 37.77% 30.07% 32.16% -8.3 48
2004-01-17 @ Barnet W 4-2 1112 1074 32.16% 30.07% 37.77% +8.3 38
2004-01-17 Farnborough Town L 0-2 928 1002 32.70% 30.10% 37.20% -9.7 19
2004-01-17 @ Leigh RMI W 2-0 1002 928 37.20% 30.10% 32.70% +9.7 23
2004-01-17 Halifax Town W 1-0 1005 1019 41.16% 29.74% 29.11% +4.7 30
2004-01-17 @ Gravesend and Northfleet L 0-1 1019 1005 29.11% 29.74% 41.16% -4.7 36
2004-01-17 Hereford United D 2-2 1157 1183 39.38% 29.94% 30.68% -0.2 44
2004-01-17 @ Morecambe D 2-2 1183 1157 30.68% 29.94% 39.38% +0.2 54
2004-01-17 Margate D 1-1 1139 1024 58.11% 24.47% 17.42% -1.3 45
2004-01-17 @ Exeter City D 1-1 1024 1139 17.42% 24.47% 58.11% +1.3 27
2004-01-17 Northwich Victoria W 2-1 1175 924 73.35% 16.14% 10.51% +1.5 26
2004-01-17 @ Tamworth L 1-2 924 1175 10.51% 16.14% 73.35% -1.5 12
2004-01-17 Telford United W 3-1 1298 1089 68.99% 18.70% 12.31% +3.1 51
2004-01-17 @ Aldershot Town L 1-3 1089 1298 12.31% 18.70% 68.99% -3.1 35
2004-01-17 Woking D 2-2 1091 1075 45.23% 29.01% 25.76% -0.4 32
2004-01-17 @ Scarborough D 2-2 1075 1091 25.76% 29.01% 45.23% +0.4 43
2004-01-20 Tamworth W 3-0 1286 1176 57.42% 24.79% 17.79% +8.2 44
2004-01-20 @ Accrington Stanley L 0-3 1176 1286 17.79% 24.79% 57.42% -8.1 26
2004-01-24 Accrington Stanley D 1-1 1052 1294 16.65% 23.77% 59.58% +1.3 37
2004-01-24 @ Burton Albion D 1-1 1294 1052 59.58% 23.77% 16.65% -1.3 45
2004-01-24 Aldershot Town W 4-0 1011 1301 13.91% 20.77% 65.32% +30.4 26
2004-01-24 @ Farnborough Town L 0-4 1301 1011 65.32% 20.77% 13.91% -30.4 51
2004-01-24 Chester City L 0-4 923 1181 15.60% 22.71% 61.68% -9.1 12
2004-01-24 @ Northwich Victoria W 4-0 1181 923 61.68% 22.71% 15.60% +9.2 60
2004-01-24 Exeter City L 0-2 1120 1138 40.55% 29.82% 29.64% -11.3 38
2004-01-24 @ Dagenham and Redbridge W 2-0 1138 1120 29.64% 29.82% 40.55% +11.3 48
2004-01-24 Forest Green Rovers D 1-1 1076 1021 50.45% 27.56% 21.99% -0.9 44
2004-01-24 @ Woking D 1-1 1021 1076 21.99% 27.56% 50.45% +0.9 30
2004-01-24 Margate W 3-1 1066 1025 48.59% 28.14% 23.27% +6.4 51
2004-01-24 @ Barnet L 1-3 1025 1066 23.27% 28.14% 48.59% -6.4 27
2004-01-24 Morecambe W 3-1 919 1157 16.88% 23.98% 59.14% +12.9 22
2004-01-24 @ Leigh RMI L 1-3 1157 919 59.14% 23.98% 16.88% -12.9 44
2004-01-24 Shrewsbury Town D 0-0 1014 1147 25.45% 28.92% 45.64% +0.7 37
2004-01-24 @ Halifax Town D 0-0 1147 1014 45.64% 28.92% 25.45% -0.7 48
2004-01-24 Stevenage Borough L 2-3 1010 1093 31.38% 30.01% 38.61% -4.5 30
2004-01-24 @ Gravesend and Northfleet W 3-2 1093 1010 38.61% 30.01% 31.38% +4.4 42
2004-02-03 Hereford United D 3-3 1091 1183 30.16% 29.88% 39.96% +0.2 33
2004-02-03 @ Scarborough D 3-3 1183 1091 39.96% 29.88% 30.16% -0.2 55
2004-02-06 Barnet D 1-1 1271 1072 67.87% 19.34% 12.79% -1.7 52
2004-02-06 @ Aldershot Town D 1-1 1072 1271 12.79% 19.34% 67.87% +1.7 52
2004-02-07 Burton Albion L 1-2 1183 1054 59.84% 23.64% 16.52% -7.5 55
2004-02-07 @ Hereford United W 2-1 1054 1183 16.52% 23.64% 59.84% +7.5 40
2004-02-07 Dagenham and Redbridge L 2-3 1292 1109 66.22% 20.27% 13.50% -7.7 45
2004-02-07 @ Accrington Stanley W 3-2 1109 1292 13.50% 20.27% 66.22% +7.7 41
2004-02-07 Gravesend and Northfleet L 0-1 1149 1005 61.60% 22.76% 15.65% -8.2 48
2004-02-07 @ Exeter City W 1-0 1005 1149 15.65% 22.76% 61.60% +8.2 33
2004-02-07 Farnborough Town W 3-2 1191 1042 62.22% 22.43% 15.34% +2.2 63
2004-02-07 @ Chester City L 2-3 1042 1191 15.34% 22.43% 62.22% -2.2 26
2004-02-07 Leigh RMI W 4-3 1168 932 71.90% 17.00% 11.10% +1.5 29
2004-02-07 @ Tamworth L 3-4 932 1168 11.10% 17.00% 71.90% -1.4 22
2004-02-07 Northwich Victoria W 3-0 1144 914 71.24% 17.39% 11.37% +4.7 47
2004-02-07 @ Morecambe L 0-3 914 1144 11.37% 17.39% 71.24% -4.7 12
2004-02-07 Scarborough W 4-0 1022 1091 33.26% 30.12% 36.62% +19.8 33
2004-02-07 @ Forest Green Rovers L 0-4 1091 1022 36.62% 30.12% 33.26% -19.8 33
2004-02-07 Telford United L 0-1 1097 1086 44.55% 29.16% 26.30% -6.4 42
2004-02-07 @ Stevenage Borough W 1-0 1086 1097 26.30% 29.16% 44.55% +6.4 38
2004-02-08 Halifax Town W 2-0 1019 1014 43.67% 29.33% 27.00% +8.3 30
2004-02-08 @ Margate L 0-2 1014 1019 27.00% 29.33% 43.67% -8.3 37
2004-02-14 Accrington Stanley D 2-2 1075 1285 18.73% 25.54% 55.73% +0.8 45
2004-02-14 @ Woking D 2-2 1285 1075 55.73% 25.54% 18.73% -0.9 46
2004-02-14 Hereford United L 2-5 1013 1175 22.64% 27.87% 49.49% -7.6 33
2004-02-14 @ Gravesend and Northfleet W 5-2 1175 1013 49.49% 27.87% 22.64% +7.6 58
2004-02-14 Margate L 0-3 909 1027 27.04% 29.34% 43.63% -12.1 12
2004-02-14 @ Northwich Victoria W 3-0 1027 909 43.63% 29.34% 27.04% +12.1 33
2004-02-14 Morecambe L 2-4 1039 1148 28.15% 29.57% 42.28% -6.7 26
2004-02-14 @ Farnborough Town W 4-2 1148 1039 42.28% 29.57% 28.15% +6.7 50
2004-02-14 Stevenage Borough L 1-3 930 1091 22.77% 27.93% 49.30% -6.2 22
2004-02-14 @ Leigh RMI W 3-1 1091 930 49.30% 27.93% 22.77% +6.2 45
2004-02-21 Barnet L 1-3 1155 1074 53.85% 26.32% 19.83% -12.1 50
2004-02-21 @ Morecambe W 3-1 1074 1155 19.83% 26.32% 53.85% +12.1 55
2004-02-21 Burton Albion W 2-0 1141 1061 53.67% 26.39% 19.94% +6.3 51
2004-02-21 @ Exeter City L 0-2 1061 1141 19.94% 26.39% 53.67% -6.3 40
2004-02-21 Dagenham and Redbridge W 2-1 1193 1116 53.30% 26.53% 20.17% +3.2 66
2004-02-21 @ Chester City L 1-2 1116 1193 20.17% 26.53% 53.30% -3.2 41
2004-02-21 Gravesend and Northfleet L 1-2 1042 1006 47.93% 28.33% 23.74% -6.4 33
2004-02-21 @ Forest Green Rovers W 2-1 1006 1042 23.74% 28.33% 47.93% +6.4 36
2004-02-21 Farnborough Town W 2-1 1170 1033 60.79% 23.17% 16.04% +2.5 32
2004-02-21 @ Tamworth L 1-2 1033 1170 16.04% 23.17% 60.79% -2.5 26
2004-02-21 Halifax Town W 1-0 1097 1006 55.11% 25.80% 19.09% +3.2 48
2004-02-21 @ Stevenage Borough L 0-1 1006 1097 19.09% 25.80% 55.11% -3.2 37
2004-02-21 Leigh RMI W 2-0 1269 924 81.77% 11.05% 7.17% +1.8 55
2004-02-21 @ Aldershot Town L 0-2 924 1269 7.17% 11.05% 81.77% -1.8 22
2004-02-21 Northwich Victoria D 2-2 1284 897 84.86% 9.18% 5.96% -1.8 47
2004-02-21 @ Accrington Stanley D 2-2 897 1284 5.96% 9.18% 84.86% +1.8 13
2004-02-21 Scarborough W 4-1 1146 1071 53.16% 26.59% 20.25% +7.9 51
2004-02-21 @ Shrewsbury Town L 1-4 1071 1146 20.25% 26.59% 53.16% -7.9 33
2004-02-21 Telford United W 1-0 1039 1093 35.51% 30.15% 34.34% +5.3 36
2004-02-21 @ Margate L 0-1 1093 1039 34.34% 30.15% 35.51% -5.3 38
2004-02-21 Woking L 0-1 1183 1076 57.19% 24.90% 17.92% -7.7 58
2004-02-21 @ Hereford United W 1-0 1076 1183 17.92% 24.90% 57.19% +7.7 48
2004-02-24 Aldershot Town L 1-2 1003 1271 15.08% 22.15% 62.77% -2.3 37
2004-02-24 @ Halifax Town W 2-1 1271 1003 62.77% 22.15% 15.08% +2.3 58
2004-02-24 Burton Albion W 1-0 1154 1055 56.17% 25.35% 18.48% +3.1 54
2004-02-24 @ Shrewsbury Town L 0-1 1055 1154 18.48% 25.35% 56.17% -3.1 40
2004-02-27 Hereford United L 0-9 1113 1175 34.24% 30.15% 35.61% -40.8 41
2004-02-27 @ Dagenham and Redbridge W 9-0 1175 1113 35.61% 30.15% 34.24% +40.8 61
2004-02-28 Accrington Stanley D 1-1 1030 1282 16.01% 23.14% 60.85% +1.4 27
2004-02-28 @ Farnborough Town D 1-1 1282 1030 60.85% 23.14% 16.01% -1.4 48
2004-02-28 Chester City L 1-2 1083 1196 27.69% 29.48% 42.83% -4.2 48
2004-02-28 @ Woking W 2-1 1196 1083 42.83% 29.48% 27.69% +4.3 69
2004-02-28 Forest Green Rovers L 2-3 1052 1035 45.36% 28.98% 25.66% -5.8 40
2004-02-28 @ Burton Albion W 3-2 1035 1052 25.66% 28.98% 45.36% +5.8 36
2004-02-28 Margate W 4-2 922 1045 26.60% 29.23% 44.17% +9.3 25
2004-02-28 @ Leigh RMI L 2-4 1045 922 44.17% 29.23% 26.60% -9.3 36
2004-02-28 Morecambe W 6-0 1012 1143 25.71% 29.00% 45.29% +34.0 39
2004-02-28 @ Gravesend and Northfleet L 0-6 1143 1012 45.29% 29.00% 25.71% -34.0 50
2004-02-28 Tamworth W 1-0 1086 1172 30.98% 29.97% 39.04% +5.8 58
2004-02-28 @ Barnet L 0-1 1172 1086 39.04% 29.97% 30.98% -5.8 32
2004-03-02 Hereford United L 0-3 1087 1216 25.94% 29.06% 45.00% -11.7 38
2004-03-02 @ Telford United W 3-0 1216 1087 45.00% 29.06% 25.94% +11.7 64
2004-03-02 Woking W 1-0 1157 1079 53.53% 26.44% 20.03% +3.4 57
2004-03-02 @ Shrewsbury Town L 0-1 1079 1157 20.03% 26.44% 53.53% -3.4 48
2004-03-06 Barnet D 1-1 1147 1092 50.52% 27.54% 21.95% -0.9 52
2004-03-06 @ Exeter City D 1-1 1092 1147 21.95% 27.54% 50.52% +0.9 59
2004-03-06 Burton Albion W 3-1 1200 1046 62.84% 22.11% 15.05% +4.0 72
2004-03-06 @ Chester City L 1-3 1046 1200 15.05% 22.11% 62.84% -4.0 40
2004-03-06 Dagenham and Redbridge D 3-3 1036 1072 37.84% 30.06% 32.10% -0.1 37
2004-03-06 @ Margate D 3-3 1072 1036 32.10% 30.06% 37.84% +0.1 42
2004-03-06 Gravesend and Northfleet D 2-2 1273 1046 70.93% 17.57% 11.50% -1.4 59
2004-03-06 @ Aldershot Town D 2-2 1046 1273 11.50% 17.57% 70.93% +1.4 40
2004-03-06 Farnborough Town D 1-1 1041 1032 44.34% 29.20% 26.46% -0.5 37
2004-03-06 @ Forest Green Rovers D 1-1 1032 1041 26.46% 29.20% 44.34% +0.5 28
2004-03-06 Halifax Town W 2-1 1281 1001 76.18% 14.44% 9.38% +1.3 51
2004-03-06 @ Accrington Stanley L 1-2 1001 1281 9.38% 14.44% 76.18% -1.3 37
2004-03-06 Northwich Victoria W 1-0 1228 898 80.50% 11.83% 7.68% +1.0 67
2004-03-06 @ Hereford United L 0-1 898 1228 7.68% 11.83% 80.50% -1.0 13
2004-03-06 Scarborough W 2-1 1109 1063 49.30% 27.93% 22.77% +3.6 53
2004-03-06 @ Morecambe L 1-2 1063 1109 22.77% 27.93% 49.30% -3.6 33
2004-03-06 Telford United L 0-1 1166 1076 55.10% 25.80% 19.09% -7.5 32
2004-03-06 @ Tamworth W 1-0 1076 1166 19.09% 25.80% 55.10% +7.5 41
2004-03-06 Woking D 1-1 1100 1076 46.42% 28.73% 24.85% -0.6 49
2004-03-06 @ Stevenage Borough D 1-1 1076 1100 24.85% 28.73% 46.42% +0.6 49
2004-03-08 Leigh RMI W 3-1 1161 932 71.14% 17.45% 11.41% +2.8 60
2004-03-08 @ Shrewsbury Town L 1-3 932 1161 11.41% 17.45% 71.14% -2.8 25
2004-03-09 Forest Green Rovers L 0-1 999 1040 37.24% 30.10% 32.67% -5.6 37
2004-03-09 @ Halifax Town W 1-0 1040 999 32.67% 30.10% 37.24% +5.6 40
2004-03-09 Stevenage Borough D 0-0 1093 1099 42.12% 29.60% 28.29% -0.4 60
2004-03-09 @ Barnet D 0-0 1099 1093 28.29% 29.60% 42.12% +0.5 50
2004-03-09 Tamworth D 0-0 1072 1159 30.93% 29.97% 39.10% +0.2 43
2004-03-09 @ Dagenham and Redbridge D 0-0 1159 1072 39.10% 29.97% 30.93% -0.3 33
2004-03-09 Telford United W 2-1 1042 1083 37.24% 30.10% 32.66% +4.8 43
2004-03-09 @ Burton Albion L 1-2 1083 1042 32.66% 30.10% 37.24% -4.8 41
2004-03-13 Accrington Stanley W 1-0 1229 1282 35.48% 30.15% 34.36% +5.3 70
2004-03-13 @ Hereford United L 0-1 1282 1229 34.36% 30.15% 35.48% -5.3 51
2004-03-13 Aldershot Town W 2-1 1146 1272 26.25% 29.14% 44.60% +6.0 55
2004-03-13 @ Exeter City L 1-2 1272 1146 44.60% 29.14% 26.25% -6.0 59
2004-03-13 Barnet D 1-1 1048 1092 36.70% 30.12% 33.18% -0.1 41
2004-03-13 @ Gravesend and Northfleet D 1-1 1092 1048 33.18% 30.12% 36.70% +0.1 61
2004-03-13 Dagenham and Redbridge D 2-2 1032 1073 37.31% 30.09% 32.60% -0.1 29
2004-03-13 @ Farnborough Town D 2-2 1073 1032 32.60% 30.09% 37.31% +0.1 44
2004-03-13 Halifax Town W 2-1 1078 994 54.32% 26.13% 19.55% +3.1 44
2004-03-13 @ Telford United L 1-2 994 1078 19.55% 26.13% 54.32% -3.1 37
2004-03-13 Leigh RMI W 4-1 1059 929 60.03% 23.55% 16.42% +6.3 36
2004-03-13 @ Scarborough L 1-4 929 1059 16.42% 23.55% 60.03% -6.3 25
2004-03-13 Margate D 0-0 1076 1035 48.62% 28.13% 23.25% -0.8 50
2004-03-13 @ Woking D 0-0 1035 1076 23.25% 28.13% 48.62% +0.8 38
2004-03-13 Morecambe W 2-1 1204 1113 55.24% 25.75% 19.01% +3.0 75
2004-03-13 @ Chester City L 1-2 1113 1204 19.01% 25.75% 55.24% -3.0 53
2004-03-13 Northwich Victoria L 0-1 1047 897 62.29% 22.40% 15.31% -8.2 43
2004-03-13 @ Burton Albion W 1-0 897 1047 15.31% 22.40% 62.29% +8.2 16
2004-03-13 Shrewsbury Town D 1-1 1046 1164 27.16% 29.37% 43.47% +0.5 41
2004-03-13 @ Forest Green Rovers D 1-1 1164 1046 43.47% 29.37% 27.16% -0.5 61
2004-03-13 Tamworth W 3-1 1100 1159 34.72% 30.15% 35.13% +8.8 53
2004-03-13 @ Stevenage Borough L 1-3 1159 1100 35.13% 30.15% 34.72% -8.8 33
2004-03-16 Accrington Stanley W 3-1 1036 1277 16.71% 23.82% 59.47% +13.0 41
2004-03-16 @ Margate L 1-3 1277 1036 59.47% 23.82% 16.71% -13.0 51
2004-03-16 Aldershot Town L 1-4 1039 1266 17.55% 24.59% 57.86% -6.8 43
2004-03-16 @ Burton Albion W 4-1 1266 1039 57.86% 24.59% 17.55% +6.8 62
2004-03-16 Exeter City D 1-1 906 1152 16.32% 23.45% 60.24% +1.4 17
2004-03-16 @ Northwich Victoria D 1-1 1152 906 60.24% 23.45% 16.32% -1.4 56
2004-03-16 Tamworth L 0-1 1066 1150 31.22% 30.00% 38.78% -5.0 36
2004-03-16 @ Scarborough W 1-0 1150 1066 38.78% 30.00% 31.22% +5.0 36
2004-03-20 Chester City D 0-0 1092 1207 27.46% 29.43% 43.11% +0.5 62
2004-03-20 @ Barnet D 0-0 1207 1092 43.11% 29.43% 27.46% -0.5 76
2004-03-20 Exeter City L 0-3 1110 1151 37.19% 30.10% 32.71% -15.4 53
2004-03-20 @ Morecambe W 3-0 1151 1110 32.71% 30.10% 37.19% +15.4 59
2004-03-20 Farnborough Town D 1-1 907 1032 26.32% 29.16% 44.52% +0.5 18
2004-03-20 @ Northwich Victoria D 1-1 1032 907 44.52% 29.16% 26.32% -0.5 30
2004-03-20 Forest Green Rovers W 1-0 1155 1047 57.29% 24.85% 17.86% +3.0 39
2004-03-20 @ Tamworth L 0-1 1047 1155 17.86% 24.85% 57.29% -3.0 41
2004-03-20 Hereford United L 1-3 1049 1234 20.67% 26.84% 52.49% -5.7 41
2004-03-20 @ Margate W 3-1 1234 1049 52.49% 26.84% 20.67% +5.7 73
2004-03-20 Scarborough L 1-2 1273 1061 69.33% 18.51% 12.17% -8.3 62
2004-03-20 @ Aldershot Town W 2-1 1061 1273 12.17% 18.51% 69.33% +8.3 39
2004-03-20 Stevenage Borough W 2-1 1264 1109 62.92% 22.07% 15.01% +2.3 54
2004-03-20 @ Accrington Stanley L 1-2 1109 1264 15.01% 22.07% 62.92% -2.3 53
2004-03-20 Telford United D 1-1 922 1081 22.90% 27.98% 49.11% +0.8 26
2004-03-20 @ Leigh RMI D 1-1 1081 922 49.11% 27.98% 22.90% -0.8 45
2004-03-20 Woking W 1-0 1073 1075 42.68% 29.51% 27.81% +4.5 47
2004-03-20 @ Dagenham and Redbridge L 0-1 1075 1073 27.81% 29.51% 42.68% -4.5 50
2004-03-23 Aldershot Town L 1-2 1163 1264 29.06% 29.73% 41.21% -4.4 61
2004-03-23 @ Shrewsbury Town W 2-1 1264 1163 41.21% 29.73% 29.06% +4.4 65
2004-03-23 Exeter City L 2-3 1069 1166 29.55% 29.80% 40.64% -4.2 39
2004-03-23 @ Scarborough W 3-2 1166 1069 40.64% 29.80% 29.55% +4.2 62
2004-03-23 Forest Green Rovers L 0-2 1081 1044 48.11% 28.28% 23.61% -12.8 45
2004-03-23 @ Telford United W 2-0 1044 1081 23.61% 28.28% 48.11% +12.8 44
2004-03-25 Halifax Town W 1-0 1065 991 52.99% 26.65% 20.36% +3.4 42
2004-03-25 @ Scarborough L 0-1 991 1065 20.36% 26.65% 52.99% -3.4 37
2004-03-27 Barnet D 1-1 1056 1093 37.87% 30.06% 32.07% -0.2 45
2004-03-27 @ Forest Green Rovers D 1-1 1093 1056 32.07% 30.06% 37.87% +0.2 63
2004-03-27 Dagenham and Redbridge D 0-0 1068 1077 41.77% 29.65% 28.58% -0.4 43
2004-03-27 @ Scarborough D 0-0 1077 1068 28.58% 29.65% 41.77% +0.4 48
2004-03-27 Halifax Town W 1-0 1032 987 49.08% 27.99% 22.93% +3.8 33
2004-03-27 @ Farnborough Town L 0-1 987 1032 22.93% 27.99% 49.08% -3.8 37
2004-03-27 Leigh RMI W 3-2 1171 923 73.00% 16.35% 10.65% +1.4 65
2004-03-27 @ Exeter City L 2-3 923 1171 10.65% 16.35% 73.00% -1.4 26
2004-03-27 Margate L 0-1 1032 1044 41.42% 29.70% 28.88% -6.1 43
2004-03-27 @ Burton Albion W 1-0 1044 1032 28.88% 29.70% 41.42% +6.1 44
2004-03-27 Morecambe L 0-1 1106 1094 44.74% 29.12% 26.14% -6.4 53
2004-03-27 @ Stevenage Borough W 1-0 1094 1106 26.14% 29.12% 44.74% +6.4 56
2004-03-27 Northwich Victoria W 3-0 1071 908 63.90% 21.55% 14.55% +6.4 53
2004-03-27 @ Woking L 0-3 908 1071 14.55% 21.55% 63.90% -6.4 18
2004-03-27 Shrewsbury Town W 2-1 1240 1159 53.87% 26.31% 19.82% +3.1 76
2004-03-27 @ Hereford United L 1-2 1159 1240 19.82% 26.31% 53.87% -3.2 61
2004-03-27 Tamworth W 2-0 1047 1158 27.99% 29.54% 42.46% +11.6 44
2004-03-27 @ Gravesend and Northfleet L 0-2 1158 1047 42.46% 29.54% 27.99% -11.6 39
2004-03-30 Burton Albion L 1-4 983 1026 37.04% 30.11% 32.86% -12.9 37
2004-03-30 @ Halifax Town W 4-1 1026 983 32.86% 30.11% 37.04% +12.9 46
2004-03-30 Chester City L 0-2 1068 1207 24.84% 28.73% 46.43% -7.8 45
2004-03-30 @ Telford United W 2-0 1207 1068 46.43% 28.73% 24.84% +7.8 79
2004-03-30 Gravesend and Northfleet L 1-2 922 1059 25.02% 28.78% 46.20% -3.9 26
2004-03-30 @ Leigh RMI W 2-1 1059 922 46.20% 28.78% 25.02% +3.9 47
2004-03-30 Shrewsbury Town L 0-1 1093 1155 34.19% 30.15% 35.66% -5.3 63
2004-03-30 @ Barnet W 1-0 1155 1093 35.66% 30.15% 34.19% +5.3 64
2004-03-30 Stevenage Borough W 2-0 1269 1100 64.52% 21.21% 14.27% +4.3 68
2004-03-30 @ Aldershot Town L 0-2 1100 1269 14.27% 21.21% 64.52% -4.3 53
2004-04-03 Burton Albion L 0-1 918 1039 26.78% 29.28% 43.94% -4.4 26
2004-04-03 @ Leigh RMI W 1-0 1039 918 43.94% 29.28% 26.78% +4.4 49
2004-04-03 Chester City L 0-2 1266 1215 50.01% 27.70% 22.29% -13.2 54
2004-04-03 @ Accrington Stanley W 2-0 1215 1266 22.29% 27.70% 50.01% +13.2 82
2004-04-03 Gravesend and Northfleet L 0-4 1078 1063 45.08% 29.04% 25.88% -23.1 48
2004-04-03 @ Dagenham and Redbridge W 4-0 1063 1078 25.88% 29.04% 45.08% +23.1 50
2004-04-03 Exeter City D 2-2 1161 1172 41.48% 29.69% 28.83% -0.3 65
2004-04-03 @ Shrewsbury Town D 2-2 1172 1161 28.83% 29.69% 41.48% +0.3 66
2004-04-03 Farnborough Town W 3-0 1050 1035 45.02% 29.06% 25.93% +11.7 47
2004-04-03 @ Margate L 0-3 1035 1050 25.93% 29.06% 45.02% -11.7 33
2004-04-03 Forest Green Rovers W 4-0 1101 1056 49.09% 27.99% 22.92% +13.7 59
2004-04-03 @ Morecambe L 0-4 1056 1101 22.92% 27.99% 49.09% -13.7 45
2004-04-03 Hereford United L 1-2 970 1243 14.85% 21.88% 63.27% -2.3 37
2004-04-03 @ Halifax Town W 2-1 1243 970 63.27% 21.88% 14.85% +2.3 79
2004-04-03 Scarborough D 0-0 1088 1068 45.81% 28.88% 25.31% -0.7 64
2004-04-03 @ Barnet D 0-0 1068 1088 25.31% 28.88% 45.81% +0.7 44
2004-04-03 Woking W 2-0 1146 1077 52.29% 26.91% 20.80% +6.6 42
2004-04-03 @ Tamworth L 0-2 1077 1146 20.80% 26.91% 52.29% -6.6 53
2004-04-06 Aldershot Town W 4-2 1228 1273 36.64% 30.12% 33.24% +7.6 85
2004-04-06 @ Chester City L 2-4 1273 1228 33.24% 30.12% 36.64% -7.6 68
2004-04-06 Shrewsbury Town W 1-0 1060 1160 29.16% 29.75% 41.09% +6.0 48
2004-04-06 @ Telford United L 0-1 1160 1060 41.09% 29.75% 29.16% -6.0 65
2004-04-06 Stevenage Borough D 2-2 1068 1096 39.22% 29.96% 30.83% -0.2 45
2004-04-06 @ Scarborough D 2-2 1096 1068 30.83% 29.96% 39.22% +0.2 54
2004-04-08 Accrington Stanley W 1-0 1066 1253 20.51% 26.74% 52.75% +7.3 51
2004-04-08 @ Telford United L 0-1 1253 1066 52.75% 26.74% 20.51% -7.3 54
2004-04-09 Leigh RMI W 2-1 968 914 50.45% 27.56% 21.99% +3.5 40
2004-04-09 @ Halifax Town L 1-2 914 968 21.99% 27.56% 50.45% -3.5 26
2004-04-10 Aldershot Town D 2-2 1071 1266 19.87% 26.34% 53.79% +0.8 54
2004-04-10 @ Woking D 2-2 1266 1071 53.79% 26.34% 19.87% -0.8 69
2004-04-10 Barnet W 2-0 1245 1087 63.26% 21.89% 14.85% +4.5 82
2004-04-10 @ Hereford United L 0-2 1087 1245 14.85% 21.89% 63.26% -4.5 64
2004-04-10 Gravesend and Northfleet D 1-1 1073 1086 41.26% 29.72% 29.02% -0.4 52
2004-04-10 @ Telford United D 1-1 1086 1073 29.02% 29.72% 41.26% +0.3 51
2004-04-10 Exeter City W 3-2 1235 1172 51.56% 27.18% 21.26% +3.2 88
2004-04-10 @ Chester City L 2-3 1172 1235 21.26% 27.18% 51.56% -3.2 66
2004-04-10 Forest Green Rovers W 4-1 1246 1042 68.36% 19.06% 12.58% +4.5 57
2004-04-10 @ Accrington Stanley L 1-4 1042 1246 12.58% 19.06% 68.36% -4.5 45
2004-04-10 Morecambe L 1-3 1055 1114 34.57% 30.15% 35.28% -8.7 48
2004-04-10 @ Dagenham and Redbridge W 3-1 1114 1055 35.28% 30.15% 34.57% +8.7 62
2004-04-10 Scarborough W 2-0 1043 1068 39.51% 29.93% 30.56% +9.2 52
2004-04-10 @ Burton Albion L 0-2 1068 1043 30.56% 29.93% 39.51% -9.2 45
2004-04-10 Shrewsbury Town L 1-3 1024 1154 25.70% 28.99% 45.31% -6.9 33
2004-04-10 @ Farnborough Town W 3-1 1154 1024 45.31% 28.99% 25.70% +6.9 68
2004-04-10 Stevenage Borough L 1-2 901 1096 19.87% 26.34% 53.79% -3.2 18
2004-04-10 @ Northwich Victoria W 2-1 1096 901 53.79% 26.34% 19.87% +3.2 57
2004-04-10 Tamworth W 3-2 1061 1153 30.30% 29.90% 39.80% +5.3 50
2004-04-10 @ Margate L 2-3 1153 1061 39.80% 29.90% 30.30% -5.3 42
2004-04-12 Accrington Stanley W 2-1 1059 1250 20.17% 26.53% 53.29% +6.9 48
2004-04-12 @ Scarborough L 1-2 1250 1059 53.29% 26.53% 20.17% -6.9 57
2004-04-12 Burton Albion W 2-1 1083 1052 47.20% 28.53% 24.27% +3.8 67
2004-04-12 @ Barnet L 1-2 1052 1083 24.27% 28.53% 47.20% -3.8 52
2004-04-12 Dagenham and Redbridge L 1-3 1038 1046 41.92% 29.63% 28.45% -10.0 45
2004-04-12 @ Forest Green Rovers W 3-1 1046 1038 28.45% 29.63% 41.92% +10.0 51
2004-04-12 Farnborough Town W 2-0 1086 1017 52.42% 26.86% 20.71% +6.6 54
2004-04-12 @ Gravesend and Northfleet L 0-2 1017 1086 20.71% 26.86% 52.42% -6.6 33
2004-04-12 Halifax Town W 2-0 1147 972 65.32% 20.77% 13.91% +4.2 45
2004-04-12 @ Tamworth L 0-2 972 1147 13.91% 20.77% 65.32% -4.2 40
2004-04-12 Hereford United L 1-2 1265 1250 45.13% 29.03% 25.84% -6.1 69
2004-04-12 @ Aldershot Town W 2-1 1250 1265 25.84% 29.03% 45.13% +6.1 85
2004-04-12 Margate W 2-1 1099 1067 47.48% 28.45% 24.06% +3.8 60
2004-04-12 @ Stevenage Borough L 1-2 1067 1099 24.06% 28.45% 47.48% -3.8 50
2004-04-12 Northwich Victoria W 1-0 910 898 44.72% 29.12% 26.16% +4.3 29
2004-04-12 @ Leigh RMI L 0-1 898 910 26.16% 29.12% 44.72% -4.3 18
2004-04-12 Telford United W 1-0 1123 1073 49.84% 27.76% 22.40% +3.8 65
2004-04-12 @ Morecambe L 0-1 1073 1123 22.40% 27.76% 49.84% -3.8 52
2004-04-12 Woking L 1-2 1169 1071 55.96% 25.44% 18.60% -7.2 66
2004-04-12 @ Exeter City W 2-1 1071 1169 18.60% 25.44% 55.96% +7.2 57
2004-04-13 Chester City D 0-0 1161 1239 32.15% 30.07% 37.79% +0.2 69
2004-04-13 @ Shrewsbury Town D 0-0 1239 1161 37.79% 30.07% 32.15% -0.2 89
2004-04-14 Scarborough W 2-1 1069 1066 43.49% 29.36% 27.14% +4.2 55
2004-04-14 @ Telford United L 1-2 1066 1069 27.14% 29.36% 43.49% -4.2 48
2004-04-17 Aldershot Town W 3-1 1028 1259 17.32% 24.39% 58.29% +12.8 48
2004-04-17 @ Forest Green Rovers L 1-3 1259 1028 58.29% 24.39% 17.32% -12.8 69
2004-04-17 Barnet D 1-1 894 1086 20.02% 26.44% 53.54% +1.0 19
2004-04-17 @ Northwich Victoria D 1-1 1086 894 53.54% 26.44% 20.02% -1.0 68
2004-04-17 Burton Albion W 2-1 1010 1049 37.62% 30.08% 32.30% +4.8 36
2004-04-17 @ Farnborough Town L 1-2 1049 1010 32.30% 30.08% 37.62% -4.8 52
2004-04-17 Gravesend and Northfleet D 3-3 1243 1093 62.35% 22.37% 15.28% -0.9 58
2004-04-17 @ Accrington Stanley D 3-3 1093 1243 15.28% 22.37% 62.35% +0.9 55
2004-04-17 Exeter City W 2-1 1152 1162 41.61% 29.67% 28.72% +4.4 48
2004-04-17 @ Tamworth L 1-2 1162 1152 28.72% 29.67% 41.61% -4.4 66
2004-04-17 Halifax Town L 0-1 1056 967 54.82% 25.92% 19.26% -7.5 51
2004-04-17 @ Dagenham and Redbridge W 1-0 967 1056 19.26% 25.92% 54.82% +7.5 43
2004-04-17 Hereford United L 0-5 914 1256 11.51% 17.58% 70.91% -7.7 29
2004-04-17 @ Leigh RMI W 5-0 1256 914 70.91% 17.58% 11.51% +7.7 88
2004-04-17 Scarborough W 1-0 1238 1062 65.41% 20.72% 13.87% +2.2 92
2004-04-17 @ Chester City L 0-1 1062 1238 13.87% 20.72% 65.41% -2.2 48
2004-04-17 Stevenage Borough W 3-1 1162 1103 50.99% 27.38% 21.63% +5.9 72
2004-04-17 @ Shrewsbury Town L 1-3 1103 1162 21.63% 27.38% 50.99% -5.9 60
2004-04-17 Telford United W 3-1 1079 1073 43.77% 29.31% 26.92% +7.2 60
2004-04-17 @ Woking L 1-3 1073 1079 26.92% 29.31% 43.77% -7.2 55
2004-04-18 Morecambe D 1-1 1063 1127 33.96% 30.14% 35.90% +0.1 51
2004-04-18 @ Margate D 1-1 1127 1063 35.90% 30.14% 33.96% -0.1 66
2004-04-20 Gravesend and Northfleet D 1-1 1168 1094 52.91% 26.68% 20.41% -1.0 73
2004-04-20 @ Shrewsbury Town D 1-1 1094 1168 20.41% 26.68% 52.91% +1.0 56
2004-04-21 Telford United W 1-0 895 1066 21.77% 27.45% 50.78% +7.1 22
2004-04-21 @ Northwich Victoria L 0-1 1066 895 50.78% 27.45% 21.77% -7.1 55
2004-04-24 Accrington Stanley W 3-2 1157 1242 31.15% 29.99% 38.86% +5.2 69
2004-04-24 @ Exeter City L 2-3 1242 1157 38.86% 29.99% 31.15% -5.2 58
2004-04-24 Chester City W 2-1 1263 1241 46.18% 28.79% 25.03% +3.9 91
2004-04-24 @ Hereford United L 1-2 1241 1263 25.03% 28.79% 46.18% -3.9 92
2004-04-24 Dagenham and Redbridge L 0-1 1044 1048 42.39% 29.56% 28.06% -6.2 52
2004-04-24 @ Burton Albion W 1-0 1048 1044 28.06% 29.56% 42.39% +6.2 54
2004-04-24 Farnborough Town L 2-4 1059 1015 49.07% 28.00% 22.93% -10.1 55
2004-04-24 @ Telford United W 4-2 1015 1059 22.93% 28.00% 49.07% +10.1 39
2004-04-24 Forest Green Rovers W 2-1 1097 1041 50.64% 27.49% 21.86% +3.5 63
2004-04-24 @ Stevenage Borough L 1-2 1041 1097 21.86% 27.49% 50.64% -3.5 48
2004-04-24 Leigh RMI W 2-1 1085 907 65.67% 20.58% 13.75% +2.1 71
2004-04-24 @ Barnet L 1-2 907 1085 13.75% 20.58% 65.67% -2.1 29
2004-04-24 Northwich Victoria D 2-2 1095 902 67.29% 19.67% 13.04% -1.3 57
2004-04-24 @ Gravesend and Northfleet D 2-2 902 1095 13.04% 19.67% 67.29% +1.3 23
2004-04-24 Scarborough L 0-2 1063 1060 43.50% 29.36% 27.14% -11.9 51
2004-04-24 @ Margate W 2-0 1060 1063 27.14% 29.36% 43.50% +11.9 51
2004-04-24 Shrewsbury Town D 3-3 1127 1167 37.42% 30.09% 32.49% -0.1 67
2004-04-24 @ Morecambe D 3-3 1167 1127 32.49% 30.09% 37.42% +0.1 74
2004-04-24 Tamworth D 1-1 1246 1156 54.99% 25.85% 19.16% -1.1 70
2004-04-24 @ Aldershot Town D 1-1 1156 1246 19.16% 25.85% 54.99% +1.1 49
2004-04-24 Woking D 2-2 975 1086 27.92% 29.53% 42.55% +0.3 44
2004-04-24 @ Halifax Town D 2-2 1086 975 42.55% 29.53% 27.92% -0.3 61

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2004-04-29 Hereford United D 1-1 1245 1267 39.87% 29.89% 30.24% -0.3 0-0-1
2004-04-29 @ Aldershot Town D 1-1 1267 1245 30.24% 29.89% 39.87% +0.3 0-0-1
2004-04-29 Shrewsbury Town W 2-1 1088 1167 31.89% 30.05% 38.06% +5.4 1-0
2004-04-29 @ Barnet L 1-2 1167 1088 38.06% 30.05% 31.89% -5.4 0-1
2004-05-03 Aldershot Town D 0-0 1268 1244 46.23% 28.78% 24.99% -0.7 0-0-2
2004-05-03 @ Hereford United D 0-0 1244 1268 24.99% 28.78% 46.23% +0.7 0-0-2
2004-05-03 Barnet W 1-0 1161 1093 52.24% 26.93% 20.83% +3.5 1-1
2004-05-03 @ Shrewsbury Town L 0-1 1093 1161 20.83% 26.93% 52.24% -3.5 1-1
2004-05-16 Shrewsbury Town D 1-1 1245 1165 53.79% 26.34% 19.87% -1.1 0-0-3
2004-05-16 @ Aldershot Town D 1-1 1165 1245 19.87% 26.34% 53.79% +1.0 1-1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2003-12-20 8.65% Margate 1013 2 @ Aldershot Town 1314 0
2 2003-11-22 10.10% Gravesend and Northfleet 987 3 @ Tamworth 1249 1
3 2003-11-22 10.29% Telford United 1049 5 @ Accrington Stanley 1306 1
4 2003-08-09 10.52% Hereford United 1082 3 @ Tamworth 1332 1
5 2003-08-16 11.62% Shrewsbury Town 1106 1 @ Accrington Stanley 1331 0
6 2004-03-20 12.17% Scarborough 1061 2 @ Aldershot Town 1273 1
7 2003-11-01 12.41% Leigh RMI 959 1 @ Hereford United 1165 0
8 2004-02-07 13.50% Dagenham and Redbridge 1109 3 @ Accrington Stanley 1292 2
9 2003-09-20 13.52% @ Barnet 1025 2 Aldershot Town 1322 1
10 2004-01-24 13.91% @ Farnborough Town 1011 4 Aldershot Town 1301 0
11 2003-10-18 14.09% Exeter City 1146 2 @ Accrington Stanley 1318 1
12 2003-08-16 14.47% @ Northwich Victoria 1030 1 Tamworth 1309 0
13 2003-11-11 14.48% Stevenage Borough 1099 2 @ Tamworth 1264 1
14 2003-08-23 14.85% @ Forest Green Rovers 1049 2 Accrington Stanley 1322 1
15 2004-03-13 15.31% Northwich Victoria 897 1 @ Burton Albion 1047 0
16 2003-10-07 15.40% @ Telford United 1019 2 Tamworth 1281 0
17 2004-02-07 15.65% Gravesend and Northfleet 1005 1 @ Exeter City 1149 0
18 2003-12-13 15.66% Leigh RMI 942 2 @ Dagenham and Redbridge 1086 1
19 2003-08-12 16.28% @ Chester City 1070 1 Tamworth 1317 0
20 2004-02-07 16.52% Burton Albion 1054 2 @ Hereford United 1183 1
21 2003-09-13 16.56% Morecambe 1161 3 @ Tamworth 1289 2
22 2003-11-15 16.67% @ Scarborough 1087 1 Aldershot Town 1328 0
23 2004-03-16 16.71% @ Margate 1036 3 Accrington Stanley 1277 1
24 2004-01-24 16.88% @ Leigh RMI 919 3 Morecambe 1157 1
25 2003-11-25 17.19% Northwich Victoria 958 1 @ Telford United 1077 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-02-27 40.78 Hereford United 9 1175 35.61% @ Dagenham and Redbridge 0 1113 34.24% 30.15%
2 2004-02-28 33.95 @ Gravesend and Northfleet 6 1012 25.71% Morecambe 0 1143 45.29% 29.00%
3 2004-01-24 30.43 @ Farnborough Town 4 1011 13.91% Aldershot Town 0 1301 65.32% 20.77%
4 2003-11-22 27.47 Telford United 5 1049 10.29% @ Accrington Stanley 1 1306 73.90% 15.81%
5 2003-11-25 26.80 @ Woking 4 1031 19.26% Tamworth 0 1233 54.81% 25.93%
6 2004-01-03 25.61 @ Dagenham and Redbridge 5 1086 31.00% Shrewsbury Town 0 1172 39.03% 29.97%
7 2004-04-03 23.11 Gravesend and Northfleet 4 1063 25.88% @ Dagenham and Redbridge 0 1078 45.08% 29.04%
8 2003-12-20 20.63 Telford United 3 1069 19.01% @ Exeter City 0 1161 55.24% 25.75%
9 2003-09-06 20.24 Hereford United 5 1140 42.12% @ Farnborough Town 0 1033 28.28% 29.60%
10 2003-12-20 20.24 Chester City 5 1155 23.59% @ Tamworth 1 1192 48.14% 28.27%
11 2003-12-06 19.87 @ Morecambe 4 1136 33.19% Tamworth 0 1206 36.68% 30.12%
12 2004-02-07 19.85 @ Forest Green Rovers 4 1022 33.26% Scarborough 0 1091 36.62% 30.12%
13 2003-12-19 19.50 Hereford United 7 1155 42.82% @ Forest Green Rovers 1 1042 27.70% 29.48%
14 2003-11-22 18.92 @ Barnet 5 1060 44.89% Forest Green Rovers 0 1047 26.03% 29.08%
15 2003-08-30 18.39 Chester City 4 1083 37.01% @ Gravesend and Northfleet 0 1012 32.88% 30.11%
16 2003-12-13 18.32 Forest Green Rovers 4 1024 37.21% @ Northwich Victoria 0 951 32.69% 30.10%
17 2003-12-20 17.94 Margate 2 1013 8.65% @ Aldershot Town 0 1314 78.02% 13.33%
18 2003-11-01 15.76 @ Halifax Town 3 1006 31.45% Dagenham and Redbridge 0 1088 38.54% 30.01%
19 2003-10-07 15.48 @ Telford United 2 1019 15.40% Tamworth 0 1281 62.10% 22.50%
20 2003-09-19 15.37 @ Burton Albion 4 1021 24.48% Hereford United 1 1164 46.91% 28.60%
21 2004-03-20 15.36 Exeter City 3 1151 32.71% @ Morecambe 0 1110 37.19% 30.10%
22 2003-11-15 15.26 @ Exeter City 4 1157 45.13% Morecambe 0 1142 25.83% 29.03%
23 2003-11-22 15.10 Gravesend and Northfleet 3 987 10.10% @ Tamworth 1 1249 74.38% 15.52%
24 2003-08-09 14.98 Hereford United 3 1082 10.52% @ Tamworth 1 1332 73.34% 16.15%
25 2003-11-15 14.92 @ Telford United 5 1034 53.40% Leigh RMI 0 957 20.11% 26.49%