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2026-27 EFL League Two Season

72 games played · 24 teams

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Top Promotion Contender

York City

66% promotion probability

Biggest Overachiever

Cheltenham Town

4.26 points above expected

11 points · 6.74 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Exeter City

3.99 points below expected

5 points · 8.99 expected points

League Table

Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Barnet 6 3 3 0 12 14 9 +5 10.10 +1.90
2 Bristol Rovers 6 4 0 2 12 12 8 +4 8.65 +3.35
3 York City 6 3 2 1 11 13 8 +5 8.78 +2.22
4 Cheltenham Town 6 3 2 1 11 13 10 +3 6.74 +4.26
5 Walsall 6 2 4 0 10 8 4 +4 8.77 +1.23
6 Grimsby Town 6 2 4 0 10 9 6 +3 9.18 +0.82
7 Fleetwood Town 6 2 4 0 10 7 4 +3 8.71 +1.29
8 Crewe Alexandra 6 2 4 0 10 6 4 +2 8.40 +1.60
9 Swindon Town 6 3 1 2 10 8 10 -2 7.99 +2.01
10 Tranmere Rovers 6 2 3 1 9 9 7 +2 7.02 +1.98
11 Gillingham 6 2 3 1 9 8 6 +2 6.44 +2.56
12 Chesterfield 6 2 2 2 8 8 8 0 8.49 -0.49
13 Colchester United 6 2 2 2 8 7 9 -2 8.53 -0.53
14 Oldham Athletic 6 2 1 3 7 8 7 +1 9.20 -2.20
15 Salford City 6 2 1 3 7 7 9 -2 8.29 -1.29
16 Rotherham United 6 1 3 2 6 9 10 -1 8.65 -2.65
17 Northampton Town 6 1 3 2 6 3 5 -2 9.47 -3.47
18 Shrewsbury Town 6 2 0 4 6 4 10 -6 6.18 -0.18
19 Newport County 6 1 2 3 5 10 11 -1 7.21 -2.21
20 Exeter City 6 1 2 3 5 4 5 -1 8.99 -3.99
21 Accrington Stanley 6 1 2 3 5 10 13 -3 6.16 -1.16
22 Port Vale 6 1 2 3 5 3 7 -4 8.37 -3.37
23 Crawley Town 6 1 1 4 4 6 11 -5 7.10 -3.10
24 Rochdale 6 1 1 4 4 5 10 -5 7.96 -3.96

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cheltenham Town 11 6.74 +4.26
2 Bristol Rovers 12 8.65 +3.35
3 Gillingham 9 6.44 +2.56
4 York City 11 8.78 +2.22
5 Swindon Town 10 7.99 +2.01

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Exeter City 5 8.99 -3.99
2 Rochdale 4 7.96 -3.96
3 Northampton Town 6 9.47 -3.47
4 Port Vale 5 8.37 -3.37
5 Crawley Town 4 7.10 -3.10

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bristol Rovers 4 Aug 22 – Sep 5 1 in 30
2 Gillingham 2 Sep 5 – Sep 12 1 in 12
3 Swindon Town 2 Sep 1 – Sep 5 1 in 7
4 Crewe Alexandra 2 Aug 15 – Aug 22 1 in 7
5 Salford City 2 Sep 1 – Sep 5 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Salford City 3 Aug 15 – Aug 29 1 in 25
2 Rochdale 3 Aug 15 – Aug 29 1 in 21
3 Oldham Athletic 2 Sep 5 – Sep 12 1 in 15
4 Port Vale 2 Sep 1 – Sep 5 1 in 7
5 Crawley Town 2 Sep 5 – Sep 12 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gillingham 5 Aug 22 – Sep 12 1 in 27
2 Tranmere Rovers 5 Aug 15 – Sep 5 1 in 17
3 Fleetwood Town 6 Aug 15 – Sep 12 1 in 12
4 Crewe Alexandra 6 Aug 15 – Sep 12 1 in 12
5 Walsall 6 Aug 15 – Sep 12 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Port Vale 5 Aug 15 – Sep 5 1 in 11
2 Grimsby Town 4 Aug 22 – Sep 5 1 in 10
3 Northampton Town 4 Aug 15 – Sep 1 1 in 8
4 Exeter City 4 Aug 29 – Sep 12 1 in 7
5 Newport County 5 Aug 22 – Sep 12 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Elo Movers

Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?

Biggest Elo Gainers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 Gillingham +78.30 1507
2 York City +49.38 1622
3 Grimsby Town +28.19 1613
4 Cheltenham Town +25.10 1530
5 Shrewsbury Town +22.83 1422

Biggest Elo Losers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 Oldham Athletic -57.38 1549
2 Rochdale -44.85 1440
3 Crawley Town -38.57 1413
4 Northampton Town -27.79 1486
5 Swindon Town -26.09 1512

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Bristol Rovers 1582 12 +57 12 7.6 +4.4
Barnet 1617 12 +23 9 8.5 +0.5
York City 1622 11 +48 8 7.1 +0.9
Cheltenham Town 1530 11 +34 8 5.6 +2.4
Swindon Town 1512 10 -24 9 6.8 +2.2
Walsall 1555 10 +8 7 7.4 -0.4
Fleetwood Town 1551 10 +13 7 7.7 -0.7
Grimsby Town 1613 10 +26 7 7.7 -0.7
Crewe Alexandra 1552 10 +14 7 7.0 -0.0
Gillingham 1507 9 +88 9 5.1 +3.9
Tranmere Rovers 1485 9 +12 6 5.6 +0.4
Chesterfield 1563 8 +19 8 6.8 +1.2
Colchester United 1520 8 -26 7 7.1 -0.1
Salford City 1523 7 -8 7 7.2 -0.2
Oldham Athletic 1549 7 -36 4 7.8 -3.8
Shrewsbury Town 1422 6 -14 6 4.9 +1.1
Rotherham United 1548 6 -1 6 7.1 -1.1
Northampton Town 1486 6 -45 5 7.9 -2.9
Exeter City 1563 5 -16 5 7.7 -2.7
Port Vale 1523 5 -27 5 7.1 -2.1
Accrington Stanley 1454 5 -21 4 4.9 -0.9
Newport County 1459 5 -43 2 6.0 -4.0
Rochdale 1440 4 -34 4 6.5 -2.5
Crawley Town 1413 4 -46 4 5.8 -1.8

Upcoming Matches

The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.

Date Favored By Home Win% – Draw% – Win% Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-09-19 0.12 Accrington Stanley 5 pts·1454 41% – 29% – 30% Newport County 5 pts·1459 63.9
2026-09-19 0.20 Salford City 7 pts·1523 43% – 29% – 28% Swindon Town 10 pts·1512 61.8
2026-09-19 Rochdale 4 pts·1440 27% – 29% – 44% Oldham Athletic 7 pts·1549 0.3742.3
2026-09-19 Northampton Town 6 pts·1486 33% – 29% – 38% Rotherham United 6 pts·1548 0.1450.7
2026-09-19 1.09 Grimsby Town 10 pts·1613 63% – 25% – 12% Crawley Town 4 pts·1413 36.6
2026-09-19 Gillingham 9 pts·1507 31% – 29% – 40% Bristol Rovers 12 pts·1582 0.2159.0
2026-09-19 0.30 Walsall 10 pts·1555 46% – 29% – 26% Port Vale 5 pts·1523 55.8
2026-09-19 0.46 Barnet 12 pts·1617 50% – 28% – 22% Fleetwood Town 10 pts·1551 62.8
2026-09-19 0.52 Exeter City 5 pts·1563 51% – 28% – 21% Tranmere Rovers 9 pts·1485 47.9
2026-09-19 0.76 Crewe Alexandra 10 pts·1552 57% – 27% – 16% Shrewsbury Town 6 pts·1422 34.8
2026-09-19 0.10 Colchester United 8 pts·1520 40% – 29% – 31% Cheltenham Town 11 pts·1530 68.3
2026-09-19 Chesterfield 8 pts·1563 33% – 29% – 38% York City 11 pts·1622 0.1365.6
2026-09-26 0.42 Swindon Town 10 pts·1512 49% – 28% – 23% Accrington Stanley 5 pts·1454 54.5
2026-09-26 Shrewsbury Town 6 pts·1422 28% – 29% – 43% Colchester United 8 pts·1520 0.3240.2
2026-09-26 0.13 Rotherham United 6 pts·1548 41% – 29% – 30% Crewe Alexandra 10 pts·1552 65.1
2026-09-26 0.32 Port Vale 5 pts·1523 46% – 29% – 25% Northampton Town 6 pts·1486 49.4
2026-09-26 0.27 Oldham Athletic 7 pts·1549 45% – 29% – 26% Salford City 7 pts·1523 60.7
2026-09-26 0.67 Fleetwood Town 10 pts·1551 55% – 27% – 18% Rochdale 4 pts·1440 39.5
2026-09-26 Crawley Town 4 pts·1413 17% – 27% – 55% Barnet 12 pts·1617 0.8244.2
2026-09-26 Cheltenham Town 11 pts·1530 37% – 29% – 34% Chesterfield 8 pts·1563 0.0167.2
2026-09-26 0.24 Bristol Rovers 12 pts·1582 44% – 29% – 27% Exeter City 5 pts·1563 65.4
2026-09-26 Tranmere Rovers 9 pts·1485 32% – 29% – 39% Walsall 10 pts·1555 0.1954.9
2026-09-26 Newport County 5 pts·1459 22% – 28% – 50% Grimsby Town 10 pts·1613 0.5847.5
2026-09-26 0.69 York City 11 pts·1622 55% – 27% – 17% Gillingham 9 pts·1507 53.5

Recent Matches

The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.

Date Favored By Home Score Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-09-12 0.00 Colchester United 8 pts·1520·-0.31 1 – 1 Crewe Alexandra 10 pts·1552·+0.31 64.2
2026-09-12 Crawley Town 4 pts·1438·-25.06 1 – 3 Cheltenham Town 11 pts·1505·+25.06 0.1748.5
2026-09-12 0.20 York City 11 pts·1573·+49.40 4 – 0 Swindon Town 10 pts·1561·-49.40 47.1
2026-09-12 Shrewsbury Town 6 pts·1382·+39.53 2 – 0 Northampton Town 6 pts·1526·-39.52 0.5346.1
2026-09-12 0.27 Rotherham United 6 pts·1549·-1.06 3 – 3 Salford City 7 pts·1522·+1.06 74.0
2026-09-12 Port Vale 5 pts·1505·+17.88 1 – 0 Exeter City 5 pts·1581·-17.88 0.2154.4
2026-09-12 0.25 Oldham Athletic 7 pts·1568·-18.41 1 – 2 Chesterfield 8 pts·1545·+18.41 62.4
2026-09-12 Newport County 5 pts·1458·+1.22 1 – 1 Fleetwood Town 10 pts·1552·-1.22 0.3061.9
2026-09-12 0.01 Grimsby Town 10 pts·1584·+29.47 2 – 0 Bristol Rovers 12 pts·1612·-29.47 51.2
2026-09-12 Gillingham 9 pts·1477·+30.44 2 – 0 Tranmere Rovers 9 pts·1515·-30.44 0.0445.1
2026-09-12 0.84 Barnet 12 pts·1609·+7.73 2 – 1 Accrington Stanley 5 pts·1462·-7.72 51.5
2026-09-12 0.73 Walsall 10 pts·1559·-4.25 0 – 0 Rochdale 4 pts·1435·+4.25 57.1
2026-09-05 0.32 Bristol Rovers 12 pts·1599·+12.61 1 – 0 Rotherham United 6 pts·1561·-12.61 52.0
2026-09-05 Tranmere Rovers 9 pts·1477·+38.35 2 – 0 Oldham Athletic 7 pts·1606·-38.35 0.4751.9
2026-09-05 0.11 Swindon Town 10 pts·1537·+23.93 3 – 1 Colchester United 8 pts·1544·-23.93 53.0
2026-09-05 0.08 Salford City 7 pts·1507·+14.94 1 – 0 Port Vale 5 pts·1520·-14.94 49.7
2026-09-05 0.41 Rochdale 4 pts·1484·-48.48 1 – 4 Gillingham 9 pts·1428·+48.48 49.8
2026-09-05 0.35 Northampton Town 6 pts·1513·+12.35 1 – 0 Newport County 5 pts·1470·-12.35 45.8
2026-09-05 0.80 Fleetwood Town 10 pts·1536·+16.08 2 – 0 Shrewsbury Town 6 pts·1399·-16.08 36.6
2026-09-05 Chesterfield 8 pts·1545·+0.31 3 – 3 Barnet 12 pts·1609·-0.31 0.1676.5
2026-09-05 0.27 Exeter City 5 pts·1583·-1.88 0 – 0 Walsall 10 pts·1557·+1.88 61.7
2026-09-05 0.05 Crewe Alexandra 10 pts·1552·-0.60 1 – 1 York City 11 pts·1572·+0.60 65.9
2026-09-05 Cheltenham Town 11 pts·1504·+0.66 2 – 2 Grimsby Town 10 pts·1584·-0.66 0.2370.7
2026-09-05 0.14 Accrington Stanley 5 pts·1449·+12.88 3 – 2 Crawley Town 4 pts·1451·-12.89 55.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS BAR BR CT CHE CU CT CA EC FT GIL GT NC NT OA PV ROC RU SC ST ST TR WAL YC
Accrington Stanley —
0-0-1
0.72
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.24
1-0-0
1.53
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.82
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.99
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.86
0-0-0
0.00
Barnet
1-0-0
2.02
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.97
0-1-0
1.44
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.28
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.61
1-0-0
1.79
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Bristol Rovers
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.54
1-0-0
1.45
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.29
1-0-0
1.62
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.68
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.08
Cheltenham Town
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.76
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.45
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.20
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.18
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.02
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.12
Chesterfield
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.27
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.72
0-1-0
1.96
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.09
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.23
1-0-0
1.23
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Colchester United
0-1-0
1.47
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.17
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.41
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.37
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.90
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.20
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Crawley Town
0-0-1
1.18
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.26
0-0-1
1.26
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-1
1.35
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.93
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.12
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Crewe Alexandra
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.30
1-0-0
1.36
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.56
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.19
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.52
0-1-0
1.46
Exeter City
1-0-0
1.90
0-1-0
1.43
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.26
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.49
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.64
0-0-1
1.27
Fleetwood Town
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-1-0
1.94
0-1-0
0.98
0-1-0
1.56
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.24
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.99
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Gillingham
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.77
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.79
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.15
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
0.97
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.38
0-0-1
1.39
0-0-0
0.00
Grimsby Town
0-1-0
1.73
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.42
0-1-0
1.51
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.45
0-1-0
1.74
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.34
0-0-0
0.00
Newport County
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.09
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.15
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-1
1.01
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.26
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.13
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Northampton Town
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.79
0-0-1
1.15
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.56
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.70
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.74
0-1-0
1.53
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Oldham Athletic
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.63
0-0-1
1.33
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.47
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
1-0-0
1.45
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.63
0-0-1
1.69
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Port Vale
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.52
1-0-0
1.22
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.26
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.23
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.32
0-1-0
1.82
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Rochdale
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.82
0-0-1
1.59
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.75
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.45
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.77
0-0-0
0.00
Rotherham United
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.03
0-0-1
1.54
1-0-0
1.48
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-1-0
1.64
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.53
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.43
Salford City
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.10
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.48
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.58
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.48
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.07
 —
0-0-1
1.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Shrewsbury Town
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.93
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.74
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
0.97
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.14
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.15
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.26
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Swindon Town
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.69
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.51
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.18
0-0-1
1.09
1-0-0
1.39
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.13
Tranmere Rovers
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.33
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.14
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.02
0-1-0
0.90
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.18
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.45
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Walsall
1-0-0
1.86
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.19
0-1-0
1.08
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.32
0-1-0
1.37
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.96
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
York City
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.64
0-0-1
1.59
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.25
1-0-0
1.44
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.28
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.58
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.43 +5.5
Allowed 0.12 -3.6
Differential 0.75 +6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%7.64%6.94%2.78%0.69%—26.39%
17.64%13.89%6.25%3.47%0.69%—31.94%
26.94%6.25%11.11%2.78%——27.08%
32.78%3.47%2.78%2.78%—0.69%12.50%
40.69%0.69%————1.39%
5+———0.69%——0.69%
Total26.39%31.94%27.08%12.50%1.39%0.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.08 1.08 1.44
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 72

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——16.67%———16.67%
1——16.67%———16.67%
2——33.33%16.67%——50.00%
3——16.67%———16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total——83.33%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 2.17 -0.50
SD 1.03 0.41 1.05
CV 0.62 0.19 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 2 -2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—16.67%————16.67%
2—16.67%16.67%———33.33%
3—33.33%—16.67%——50.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total—66.67%16.67%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.33 1.50 +0.83
SD 0.82 0.84 0.98
CV 0.35 0.56 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 1 1 +0

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——16.67%———16.67%
116.67%—————16.67%
233.33%——16.67%——50.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———16.67%——16.67%
Total50.00%—16.67%33.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.33 +0.67
SD 1.67 1.51 1.75
CV 0.84 1.13 —
Max 5 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1——16.67%———16.67%
2—16.67%33.33%———50.00%
3—16.67%16.67%———33.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total—33.33%66.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.17 1.67 +0.50
SD 0.75 0.52 1.05
CV 0.35 0.31 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 1 1 -1

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—16.67%————16.67%
116.67%16.67%16.67%———50.00%
2—16.67%————16.67%
3———16.67%——16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%50.00%16.67%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.03 1.03 0.89
CV 0.77 0.77 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——16.67%———16.67%
116.67%16.67%—16.67%——50.00%
2—16.67%16.67%———33.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%33.33%33.33%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.50 -0.33
SD 0.75 1.05 1.37
CV 0.65 0.70 —
Max 2 3 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—16.67%16.67%———33.33%
1—16.67%—16.67%——33.33%
2—16.67%—16.67%——33.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—50.00%16.67%33.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.83 -0.83
SD 0.89 0.98 1.17
CV 0.89 0.54 —
Max 2 3 +1
Min 0 1 -2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%—————16.67%
133.33%33.33%————66.67%
2——16.67%———16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%33.33%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.67 +0.33
SD 0.63 0.82 0.52
CV 0.63 1.22 —
Max 2 2 +1
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%33.33%————50.00%
1—16.67%16.67%———33.33%
216.67%—————16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%50.00%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 0.83 -0.17
SD 0.82 0.75 1.17
CV 1.22 0.90 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%—————16.67%
116.67%33.33%————50.00%
216.67%—16.67%———33.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%33.33%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.67 +0.50
SD 0.75 0.82 0.84
CV 0.65 1.22 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%——16.67%——33.33%
1—33.33%————33.33%
216.67%—————16.67%
3———————
4—16.67%————16.67%
5+———————
Total33.33%50.00%—16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.00 +0.33
SD 1.51 1.10 2.07
CV 1.13 1.10 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%—————16.67%
116.67%—————16.67%
216.67%—50.00%———66.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%—50.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.00 +0.50
SD 0.84 1.10 0.84
CV 0.56 1.10 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—16.67%————16.67%
1—16.67%16.67%———33.33%
2——16.67%———16.67%
316.67%————16.67%33.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%33.33%33.33%——16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.83 -0.17
SD 1.21 1.72 1.72
CV 0.73 0.94 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%16.67%———50.00%
116.67%33.33%————50.00%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%50.00%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 0.83 -0.33
SD 0.55 0.75 1.03
CV 1.10 0.90 —
Max 1 2 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——16.67%———16.67%
1—16.67%33.33%———50.00%
216.67%—————16.67%
316.67%—————16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%16.67%50.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.17 +0.17
SD 1.03 0.98 1.94
CV 0.77 0.84 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%16.67%———50.00%
116.67%16.67%—16.67%——50.00%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%16.67%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 1.17 -0.67
SD 0.55 1.17 1.21
CV 1.10 1.00 —
Max 1 3 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%—16.67%——50.00%
1——16.67%—16.67%—33.33%
2———————
316.67%—————16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%16.67%16.67%16.67%16.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.67 -0.83
SD 1.17 1.63 2.23
CV 1.40 0.98 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—16.67%————16.67%
1—16.67%16.67%———33.33%
2—16.67%16.67%———33.33%
3———16.67%——16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total—50.00%33.33%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.67 -0.17
SD 1.05 0.82 0.75
CV 0.70 0.49 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 1 -1

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—33.33%————33.33%
116.67%——16.67%——33.33%
2—16.67%————16.67%
3———16.67%——16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%50.00%—33.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.50 -0.33
SD 1.17 1.22 1.21
CV 1.00 0.82 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——33.33%16.67%——50.00%
116.67%——16.67%——33.33%
216.67%—————16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%—33.33%33.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.67 -1.00
SD 0.82 1.37 2.00
CV 1.22 0.82 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%——16.67%16.67%—50.00%
1———————
2—16.67%————16.67%
3—33.33%————33.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%50.00%—16.67%16.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.67 -0.33
SD 1.51 1.51 2.58
CV 1.13 0.90 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——16.67%———16.67%
1—16.67%————16.67%
233.33%—33.33%———66.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%16.67%50.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.17 +0.33
SD 0.84 0.98 1.51
CV 0.56 0.84 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
050.00%—————50.00%
1———————
2——16.67%———16.67%
316.67%—16.67%———33.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total66.67%—33.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.67 +0.67
SD 1.51 1.03 1.21
CV 1.13 1.55 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—33.33%————33.33%
2—16.67%—16.67%——33.33%
3——16.67%———16.67%
416.67%—————16.67%
5+———————
Total16.67%50.00%16.67%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.17 1.33 +0.83
SD 1.17 1.03 1.72
CV 0.54 0.77 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 6

Season Summary

Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.

Team Elo Points Avg Exp. Pts. Rem. Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
York City 1622 11 80.69 69.69 53 67 75 81 86 94 108
Barnet 1617 12 80.10 68.10 52 67 75 80 86 93 108
Grimsby Town 1613 10 78.17 68.17 49 65 73 78 84 91 108
Bristol Rovers 1582 12 75.31 63.31 45 62 70 75 81 88 107
Chesterfield 1563 8 68.85 60.85 40 56 64 69 74 82 102
Exeter City 1563 5 66.31 61.31 38 53 61 66 72 79 94
Walsall 1555 10 69.09 59.09 39 56 64 69 74 83 98
Crewe Alexandra 1552 10 68.37 58.37 39 55 63 68 74 81 99
Fleetwood Town 1551 10 68.27 58.27 33 55 63 68 74 82 102
Oldham Athletic 1549 7 65.09 58.09 36 52 60 65 71 78 92
Rotherham United 1548 6 64.51 58.51 36 51 59 64 70 78 94
Cheltenham Town 1530 11 66.63 55.63 38 54 61 67 72 80 101
Port Vale 1523 5 59.31 54.31 29 47 54 59 65 72 90
Salford City 1523 7 60.94 53.94 32 48 56 61 66 74 91
Colchester United 1520 8 61.40 53.40 34 49 56 61 67 75 92
Swindon Town 1512 10 62.53 52.53 34 50 57 62 68 76 95
Gillingham 1507 9 60.18 51.18 33 48 55 60 65 73 90
Northampton Town 1486 6 53.14 47.14 27 40 48 53 58 66 86
Tranmere Rovers 1485 9 56.48 47.48 31 44 51 56 62 69 87
Newport County 1459 5 48.83 43.83 19 37 44 49 54 61 76
Accrington Stanley 1454 5 48.82 43.82 22 36 43 49 54 62 77
Rochdale 1440 4 44.32 40.32 21 32 39 44 49 57 76
Shrewsbury Town 1422 6 44.87 38.87 20 33 40 45 50 57 74
Crawley Town 1413 4 41.38 37.38 17 30 36 41 46 54 74

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Season metrics are available for completed seasons.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415161718192021222324
Barnet27.71%20.55%14.89%10.83%6.99%5.77%3.52%2.61%2.16%1.45%1.08%0.84%0.60%0.40%0.30%0.17%0.04%0.06%0.01%0.02%————
Bristol Rovers10.06%13.94%13.84%11.81%10.85%8.30%6.76%5.47%4.80%3.50%2.88%2.26%1.68%1.38%0.94%0.74%0.39%0.19%0.11%0.07%0.02%0.01%——
York City30.60%20.61%14.78%10.32%7.04%4.80%3.47%2.66%1.79%1.15%0.78%0.86%0.37%0.35%0.18%0.09%0.10%0.03%0.01%—0.01%———
Cheltenham Town1.35%2.70%3.90%5.21%6.62%6.83%7.59%7.50%7.53%7.43%7.17%6.57%6.21%5.25%4.65%3.91%3.64%2.17%1.83%1.02%0.58%0.25%0.07%0.02%
Walsall2.91%4.87%6.24%7.45%8.29%8.73%7.92%8.31%7.35%7.11%5.50%5.68%4.19%3.97%3.39%2.46%2.27%1.37%0.96%0.54%0.25%0.18%0.05%0.01%
Grimsby Town17.63%17.54%15.79%12.83%9.26%6.93%5.26%4.01%3.25%2.32%1.57%1.36%0.77%0.53%0.30%0.27%0.18%0.13%0.02%0.05%————
Fleetwood Town2.21%3.61%5.74%6.43%8.06%7.99%8.37%7.06%7.39%7.27%6.87%5.76%5.14%4.36%3.72%3.21%2.50%1.85%1.33%0.63%0.35%0.08%0.06%0.01%
Crewe Alexandra1.92%3.52%5.39%6.99%7.92%7.91%8.49%8.16%7.49%6.75%6.51%5.24%5.47%4.88%3.65%3.16%2.28%1.75%1.26%0.71%0.35%0.13%0.05%0.02%
Swindon Town0.40%0.90%1.36%2.10%2.61%3.95%4.59%5.63%5.76%6.77%7.01%7.01%7.59%7.16%6.96%7.31%6.44%5.62%4.06%3.32%1.81%0.94%0.57%0.13%
Tranmere Rovers0.07%0.15%0.27%0.51%0.89%1.34%1.47%2.36%2.51%3.33%4.03%5.06%5.32%6.94%7.58%8.34%9.66%10.11%8.91%7.72%6.25%3.97%2.36%0.85%
Gillingham0.15%0.43%0.80%1.42%2.14%2.76%3.54%4.10%4.92%5.38%6.25%6.30%7.55%7.48%7.91%7.94%7.57%7.36%5.79%4.07%3.12%1.79%0.92%0.31%
Chesterfield2.02%4.15%5.51%7.13%7.60%8.74%7.93%8.26%7.74%7.13%6.45%5.93%4.63%4.12%3.42%3.13%2.17%1.71%1.03%0.60%0.35%0.21%0.03%0.01%
Colchester United0.26%0.55%1.18%1.72%2.24%3.06%4.05%4.47%5.07%5.84%6.42%7.01%6.94%7.17%7.88%7.94%7.49%6.15%5.56%4.05%2.80%1.22%0.75%0.18%
Oldham Athletic0.80%1.64%2.69%4.53%5.30%5.53%6.30%6.78%6.99%7.04%7.40%6.81%6.82%6.33%5.90%5.16%4.31%3.62%2.58%1.61%0.99%0.60%0.22%0.05%
Salford City0.21%0.54%1.02%1.60%2.05%2.80%3.91%3.96%5.01%5.33%6.38%6.71%7.30%7.79%8.03%8.21%7.49%6.35%5.70%3.99%2.77%1.89%0.69%0.27%
Rotherham United0.63%1.51%2.58%3.19%4.37%4.90%6.17%6.23%6.56%7.23%7.53%7.74%7.13%7.17%6.38%5.08%4.63%3.94%2.70%2.17%1.28%0.58%0.20%0.10%
Northampton Town—0.04%0.05%0.18%0.30%0.49%0.66%1.04%1.22%1.77%2.06%2.99%3.61%4.53%5.58%7.40%8.40%10.14%11.53%11.65%10.51%7.95%5.11%2.79%
Shrewsbury Town———0.01%0.01%0.01%—0.02%0.09%0.13%0.25%0.46%0.58%0.97%1.31%1.90%3.04%4.00%6.45%9.98%12.88%17.14%20.09%20.68%
Newport County———0.06%0.04%0.13%0.17%0.22%0.47%0.60%0.84%1.21%1.80%2.57%3.26%4.45%5.60%8.03%11.28%13.17%14.08%13.23%11.03%7.76%
Exeter City0.95%2.48%3.39%4.58%5.90%6.88%6.81%7.40%7.66%7.17%6.89%6.60%6.74%5.82%5.42%4.10%3.70%2.98%2.06%1.06%0.72%0.43%0.16%0.10%
Accrington Stanley———0.05%0.10%0.16%0.14%0.37%0.42%0.58%0.80%1.25%1.80%2.06%3.40%4.19%5.74%8.10%9.76%12.31%14.05%13.81%12.27%8.64%
Port Vale0.12%0.27%0.57%1.05%1.40%1.98%2.82%3.33%3.69%4.47%5.03%5.82%7.03%7.62%8.46%8.23%8.47%8.19%7.11%5.80%4.15%2.53%1.39%0.47%
Crawley Town————0.02%——0.01%0.03%0.07%0.06%0.11%0.25%0.29%0.43%0.88%1.38%2.32%3.66%6.44%10.04%15.89%22.43%35.69%
Rochdale——0.01%——0.01%0.06%0.04%0.10%0.18%0.24%0.42%0.48%0.86%0.95%1.73%2.51%3.83%6.29%9.02%12.64%17.17%21.55%21.91%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
York City 65.99% 25.63% 8.38% —
Barnet 63.15% 27.11% 9.74% —
Grimsby Town 50.96% 34.28% 14.76% —
Bristol Rovers 37.84% 37.72% 24.44% —
Walsall 14.02% 32.39% 53.53% 0.06%
Chesterfield 11.68% 31.40% 56.88% 0.04%
Fleetwood Town 11.56% 30.85% 57.52% 0.07%
Crewe Alexandra 10.83% 31.31% 57.79% 0.07%
Cheltenham Town 7.95% 26.25% 65.71% 0.09%
Exeter City 6.82% 24.17% 68.75% 0.26%
Oldham Athletic 5.13% 21.66% 72.94% 0.27%
Rotherham United 4.72% 18.63% 76.35% 0.30%
Swindon Town 2.66% 13.25% 83.39% 0.70%
Colchester United 1.99% 11.07% 86.01% 0.93%
Salford City 1.77% 10.36% 86.91% 0.96%
Gillingham 1.38% 9.86% 87.53% 1.23%
Port Vale 0.96% 7.25% 89.93% 1.86%
Tranmere Rovers 0.49% 4.21% 92.09% 3.21%
Northampton Town 0.09% 1.63% 90.38% 7.90%
Newport County — 0.40% 80.81% 18.79%
Accrington Stanley — 0.45% 78.64% 20.91%
Shrewsbury Town — 0.03% 59.20% 40.77%
Rochdale 0.01% 0.07% 56.46% 43.46%
Crawley Town — 0.02% 41.86% 58.12%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2026-08-15 Rochdale W 3-044.2 1454 1522 32.26% 29.00% 38.74%-0.17 +47.9 3
2026-08-15 @ Newport County L 0-344.2 1522 1454 38.74% 29.00% 32.26%+0.17 -47.9 0
2026-08-15 Port Vale W 2-049.4 1557 1579 38.53% 29.00% 32.47%+0.04 +29.0 3
2026-08-15 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-249.4 1579 1557 32.47% 29.00% 38.53%-0.04 -29.0 0
2026-08-15 Colchester United D 2-268.3 1475 1547 31.58% 28.98% 39.44%-0.19 +0.5 1
2026-08-15 @ Accrington Stanley D 2-268.3 1547 1475 39.44% 28.98% 31.58%+0.19 -0.5 1
2026-08-15 Rotherham United W 2-159.2 1478 1566 29.55% 28.90% 41.54%-0.27 +17.4 3
2026-08-15 @ Cheltenham Town L 1-259.2 1566 1478 41.54% 28.90% 29.55%+0.27 -17.4 0
2026-08-15 Crewe Alexandra L 0-149.7 1476 1522 35.18% 29.03% 35.79%-0.07 -16.3 0
2026-08-15 @ Crawley Town W 1-049.7 1522 1476 35.79% 29.03% 35.18%+0.07 +16.3 3
2026-08-15 Salford City W 3-153.3 1571 1553 44.09% 28.76% 27.15%+0.23 +22.0 3
2026-08-15 @ Barnet L 1-353.3 1553 1571 27.15% 28.76% 44.09%-0.23 -22.0 0
2026-08-15 Fleetwood Town L 0-156.5 1566 1517 47.82% 28.44% 23.75%+0.37 -20.7 0
2026-08-15 @ Chesterfield W 1-056.5 1517 1566 23.75% 28.44% 47.82%-0.37 +20.7 3
2026-08-15 Walsall L 0-343.1 1465 1502 36.52% 29.03% 34.45%-0.03 -45.8 0
2026-08-15 @ Gillingham W 3-043.1 1502 1465 34.45% 29.03% 36.52%+0.03 +45.8 3
2026-08-15 Exeter City W 1-054.6 1572 1595 38.53% 29.00% 32.46%+0.04 +15.4 3
2026-08-15 @ Grimsby Town L 0-154.6 1595 1572 32.46% 29.00% 38.53%-0.04 -15.4 0
2026-08-15 Swindon Town D 0-059.2 1532 1535 41.33% 28.91% 29.76%+0.14 -1.1 1
2026-08-15 @ Northampton Town D 0-059.2 1535 1532 29.76% 28.91% 41.33%-0.14 +1.1 1
2026-08-15 Shrewsbury Town W 2-041.4 1443 1465 38.67% 29.00% 32.33%+0.04 +28.9 3
2026-08-15 @ Tranmere Rovers L 0-241.4 1465 1443 32.33% 29.00% 38.67%-0.04 -28.9 0
2026-08-15 Bristol Rovers W 3-261.6 1562 1536 45.02% 28.69% 26.29%+0.27 +11.8 3
2026-08-15 @ York City L 2-361.6 1536 1562 26.29% 28.69% 45.02%-0.27 -11.8 0
2026-08-22 Newport County W 5-355.2 1525 1502 44.57% 28.72% 26.70%+0.25 +18.4 3
2026-08-22 @ Bristol Rovers L 3-555.2 1502 1525 26.70% 28.72% 44.57%-0.25 -18.4 3
2026-08-22 Oldham Athletic W 2-160.1 1546 1586 36.15% 29.03% 34.82%-0.04 +15.2 4
2026-08-22 @ Colchester United L 1-260.1 1586 1546 34.82% 29.03% 36.15%+0.04 -15.2 3
2026-08-22 Northampton Town W 1-050.4 1538 1531 42.55% 28.85% 28.60%+0.18 +14.0 6
2026-08-22 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-150.4 1531 1538 28.60% 28.85% 42.55%-0.18 -14.0 1
2026-08-22 Accrington Stanley W 2-042.0 1580 1475 54.16% 27.53% 18.32%+0.64 +18.5 3
2026-08-22 @ Exeter City L 0-242.0 1475 1580 18.32% 27.53% 54.16%-0.64 -18.5 1
2026-08-22 Gillingham D 0-055.7 1538 1419 55.66% 27.23% 17.11%+0.71 -4.2 4
2026-08-22 @ Fleetwood Town D 0-055.7 1419 1538 17.11% 27.23% 55.66%-0.71 +4.1 1
2026-08-22 Tranmere Rovers D 1-162.7 1550 1472 51.30% 28.00% 20.70%+0.52 -2.9 1
2026-08-22 @ Port Vale D 1-162.7 1472 1550 20.70% 28.00% 51.30%-0.52 +2.9 4
2026-08-22 Crawley Town L 1-255.6 1474 1459 43.55% 28.79% 27.66%+0.21 -18.0 0
2026-08-22 @ Rochdale W 2-155.6 1459 1474 27.66% 28.79% 43.55%-0.21 +18.0 3
2026-08-22 York City D 1-165.8 1548 1574 38.13% 29.01% 32.86%+0.03 -0.5 1
2026-08-22 @ Rotherham United D 1-165.8 1574 1548 32.86% 29.01% 38.13%-0.03 +0.5 4
2026-08-22 Chesterfield L 0-154.0 1531 1545 39.71% 28.97% 31.32%+0.08 -17.8 0
2026-08-22 @ Salford City W 1-054.0 1545 1531 31.32% 28.97% 39.71%-0.08 +17.8 3
2026-08-22 Barnet L 1-348.3 1436 1593 21.59% 28.15% 50.26%-0.60 -18.4 0
2026-08-22 @ Shrewsbury Town W 3-148.3 1593 1436 50.26% 28.15% 21.59%+0.60 +18.4 6
2026-08-22 Cheltenham Town W 2-153.5 1536 1496 46.82% 28.54% 24.65%+0.34 +11.8 4
2026-08-22 @ Swindon Town L 1-253.5 1496 1536 24.65% 28.54% 46.82%-0.34 -11.8 3
2026-08-22 Grimsby Town D 0-061.4 1548 1588 36.04% 29.03% 34.92%-0.04 -0.1 4
2026-08-22 @ Walsall D 0-061.4 1588 1548 34.92% 29.03% 36.04%+0.04 +0.1 4
2026-08-29 Rochdale W 1-044.9 1562 1456 54.32% 27.50% 18.18%+0.65 +9.7 7
2026-08-29 @ Colchester United L 0-144.9 1456 1562 18.18% 27.50% 54.32%-0.65 -9.7 0
2026-08-29 Bristol Rovers L 0-245.5 1477 1543 32.45% 29.00% 38.55%-0.16 -29.0 3
2026-08-29 @ Crawley Town W 2-045.5 1543 1477 38.55% 29.00% 32.45%+0.16 +29.0 6
2026-08-29 Cheltenham Town D 2-271.5 1612 1484 56.55% 27.04% 16.42%+0.75 -2.9 7
2026-08-29 @ Barnet D 2-271.5 1484 1612 16.42% 27.04% 56.55%-0.75 +2.9 4
2026-08-29 Northampton Town D 1-159.4 1423 1517 28.71% 28.86% 42.43%-0.30 +1.2 2
2026-08-29 @ Gillingham D 1-159.4 1517 1423 42.43% 28.86% 28.71%+0.30 -1.2 2
2026-08-29 Fleetwood Town D 2-271.9 1588 1534 48.51% 28.36% 23.13%+0.40 -1.7 5
2026-08-29 @ Grimsby Town D 2-271.9 1534 1588 23.13% 28.36% 48.51%-0.40 +1.7 5
2026-08-29 Tranmere Rovers D 2-266.0 1484 1475 42.81% 28.84% 28.35%+0.19 -1.0 4
2026-08-29 @ Newport County D 2-266.0 1475 1484 28.35% 28.84% 42.81%-0.19 +1.0 5
2026-08-29 Swindon Town W 3-045.5 1571 1548 44.65% 28.72% 26.63%+0.25 +36.4 6
2026-08-29 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-345.5 1548 1571 26.63% 28.72% 44.65%-0.25 -36.3 4
2026-08-29 Crewe Alexandra D 0-060.3 1548 1552 41.02% 28.92% 30.05%+0.12 -1.1 2
2026-08-29 @ Port Vale D 0-060.3 1552 1548 30.05% 28.92% 41.02%-0.12 +1.1 7
2026-08-29 Chesterfield W 2-158.4 1548 1563 39.64% 28.97% 31.39%+0.08 +14.2 4
2026-08-29 @ Rotherham United L 1-258.4 1563 1548 31.39% 28.97% 39.64%-0.08 -14.2 3
2026-08-29 Salford City W 1-049.5 1418 1513 28.59% 28.85% 42.56%-0.30 +18.8 3
2026-08-29 @ Shrewsbury Town L 0-149.5 1513 1418 42.56% 28.85% 28.59%+0.30 -18.8 0
2026-08-29 Accrington Stanley W 3-255.9 1547 1457 52.69% 27.78% 19.53%+0.57 +9.2 7
2026-08-29 @ Walsall L 2-355.9 1457 1547 19.53% 27.78% 52.69%-0.57 -9.2 1
2026-08-29 Exeter City W 2-160.6 1574 1598 38.40% 29.01% 32.60%+0.03 +14.5 7
2026-08-29 @ York City L 1-260.6 1598 1574 32.60% 29.01% 38.40%-0.03 -14.5 3
2026-09-01 Grimsby Town D 2-268.9 1448 1586 23.53% 28.41% 48.06%-0.51 +1.7 2
2026-09-01 @ Accrington Stanley D 2-268.9 1586 1448 48.06% 28.41% 23.53%+0.51 -1.7 6
2026-09-01 Colchester United W 2-048.7 1572 1571 41.73% 28.89% 29.38%+0.15 +27.0 9
2026-09-01 @ Bristol Rovers L 0-248.7 1571 1572 29.38% 28.89% 41.73%-0.15 -27.0 7
2026-09-01 York City W 3-266.0 1487 1589 27.71% 28.80% 43.49%-0.34 +17.1 7
2026-09-01 @ Cheltenham Town L 2-366.0 1589 1487 43.49% 28.80% 27.71%+0.34 -17.1 7
2026-09-01 Walsall D 2-271.4 1553 1557 41.17% 28.92% 29.91%+0.13 -0.7 8
2026-09-01 @ Crewe Alexandra D 2-271.4 1557 1553 29.91% 28.92% 41.17%-0.13 +0.7 8
2026-09-01 Barnet D 1-167.7 1583 1609 38.15% 29.01% 32.84%+0.03 -0.5 4
2026-09-01 @ Exeter City D 1-167.7 1609 1583 32.84% 29.01% 38.15%-0.03 +0.5 8
2026-09-01 Gillingham D 1-161.1 1549 1424 56.20% 27.11% 16.69%+0.73 -3.8 4
2026-09-01 @ Chesterfield D 1-161.1 1424 1549 16.69% 27.11% 56.20%-0.73 +3.8 3
2026-09-01 Oldham Athletic D 1-166.4 1535 1607 31.68% 28.98% 39.34%-0.19 +0.7 6
2026-09-01 @ Fleetwood Town D 1-166.4 1607 1535 39.34% 28.98% 31.68%+0.19 -0.7 7
2026-09-01 Crawley Town D 1-160.4 1516 1448 50.12% 28.17% 21.71%+0.47 -2.6 3
2026-09-01 @ Northampton Town D 1-160.4 1448 1516 21.71% 28.17% 50.12%-0.47 +2.6 4
2026-09-01 Shrewsbury Town W 3-037.7 1446 1437 42.88% 28.83% 28.28%+0.19 +38.0 3
2026-09-01 @ Rochdale L 0-337.7 1437 1446 28.28% 28.83% 42.88%-0.19 -38.0 3
2026-09-01 Newport County W 2-152.6 1494 1483 43.11% 28.82% 28.07%+0.20 +13.0 3
2026-09-01 @ Salford City L 1-252.6 1483 1494 28.07% 28.82% 43.11%-0.20 -13.0 4
2026-09-01 Port Vale W 3-153.3 1511 1546 36.75% 29.03% 34.22%-0.02 +26.1 7
2026-09-01 @ Swindon Town L 1-353.3 1546 1511 34.22% 29.03% 36.75%+0.02 -26.1 2
2026-09-01 Rotherham United D 2-268.9 1476 1562 29.75% 28.91% 41.34%-0.26 +0.8 6
2026-09-01 @ Tranmere Rovers D 2-268.9 1562 1476 41.34% 28.91% 29.75%+0.26 -0.8 5
2026-09-05 Crawley Town W 3-255.5 1449 1451 41.40% 28.91% 29.69%+0.14 +12.9 5
2026-09-05 @ Accrington Stanley L 2-355.5 1451 1449 29.69% 28.91% 41.40%-0.14 -12.9 4
2026-09-05 Rotherham United W 1-052.0 1599 1561 46.50% 28.57% 24.94%+0.32 +12.6 12
2026-09-05 @ Bristol Rovers L 0-152.0 1561 1599 24.94% 28.57% 46.50%-0.32 -12.6 5
2026-09-05 Grimsby Town D 2-270.7 1504 1584 30.47% 28.94% 40.59%-0.23 +0.7 8
2026-09-05 @ Cheltenham Town D 2-270.7 1584 1504 40.59% 28.94% 30.47%+0.23 -0.7 7
2026-09-05 York City D 1-165.9 1552 1572 38.97% 28.99% 32.03%+0.05 -0.6 9
2026-09-05 @ Crewe Alexandra D 1-165.9 1572 1552 32.03% 28.99% 38.97%-0.05 +0.6 8
2026-09-05 Walsall D 0-061.7 1583 1557 45.00% 28.69% 26.31%+0.27 -1.9 5
2026-09-05 @ Exeter City D 0-061.7 1557 1583 26.31% 28.69% 45.00%-0.27 +1.9 9
2026-09-05 Barnet D 3-376.5 1545 1609 32.61% 29.01% 38.38%-0.16 +0.3 5
2026-09-05 @ Chesterfield D 3-376.5 1609 1545 38.38% 29.01% 32.61%+0.16 -0.3 9
2026-09-05 Shrewsbury Town W 2-036.6 1536 1399 57.51% 26.81% 15.68%+0.80 +16.1 9
2026-09-05 @ Fleetwood Town L 0-236.6 1399 1536 15.68% 26.81% 57.51%-0.80 -16.1 3
2026-09-05 Newport County W 1-045.8 1513 1470 47.22% 28.50% 24.28%+0.35 +12.3 6
2026-09-05 @ Northampton Town L 0-145.8 1470 1513 24.28% 28.50% 47.22%-0.35 -12.3 4
2026-09-05 Gillingham L 1-449.8 1484 1428 48.73% 28.34% 22.94%+0.41 -48.5 3
2026-09-05 @ Rochdale W 4-149.8 1428 1484 22.94% 28.34% 48.73%-0.41 +48.5 6
2026-09-05 Port Vale W 1-049.7 1507 1520 39.83% 28.97% 31.20%+0.08 +14.9 6
2026-09-05 @ Salford City L 0-149.7 1520 1507 31.20% 28.97% 39.83%-0.08 -14.9 2
2026-09-05 Colchester United W 3-153.0 1537 1544 40.69% 28.94% 30.37%+0.11 +23.9 10
2026-09-05 @ Swindon Town L 1-353.0 1544 1537 30.37% 28.94% 40.69%-0.11 -23.9 7
2026-09-05 Oldham Athletic W 2-051.9 1477 1606 24.54% 28.53% 46.93%-0.47 +38.3 9
2026-09-05 @ Tranmere Rovers L 0-251.9 1606 1477 46.93% 28.53% 24.54%+0.47 -38.3 7
2026-09-12 Crewe Alexandra D 1-164.2 1520 1552 37.30% 29.02% 33.68%+0.00 -0.3 8
2026-09-12 @ Colchester United D 1-164.2 1552 1520 33.68% 29.02% 37.30%+0.00 +0.3 10
2026-09-12 Cheltenham Town L 1-348.5 1438 1505 32.34% 29.00% 38.66%-0.17 -25.1 4
2026-09-12 @ Crawley Town W 3-148.5 1505 1438 38.66% 29.00% 32.34%+0.17 +25.1 11
2026-09-12 Accrington Stanley W 2-151.5 1609 1462 58.39% 26.59% 15.01%+0.84 +7.7 12
2026-09-12 @ Barnet L 1-251.5 1462 1609 15.01% 26.59% 58.39%-0.84 -7.7 5
2026-09-12 Tranmere Rovers W 2-045.1 1477 1515 36.26% 29.03% 34.71%-0.04 +30.4 9
2026-09-12 @ Gillingham L 0-245.1 1515 1477 34.71% 29.03% 36.26%+0.04 -30.4 9
2026-09-12 Bristol Rovers W 2-051.2 1584 1612 37.80% 29.02% 33.18%+0.01 +29.5 10
2026-09-12 @ Grimsby Town L 0-251.2 1612 1584 33.18% 29.02% 37.80%-0.01 -29.5 12
2026-09-12 Fleetwood Town D 1-161.9 1458 1552 28.66% 28.86% 42.48%-0.30 +1.2 5
2026-09-12 @ Newport County D 1-161.9 1552 1458 42.48% 28.86% 28.66%+0.30 -1.2 10
2026-09-12 Chesterfield L 1-262.4 1568 1545 44.64% 28.72% 26.64%+0.25 -18.4 7
2026-09-12 @ Oldham Athletic W 2-162.4 1545 1568 26.64% 28.72% 44.64%-0.25 +18.4 8
2026-09-12 Exeter City W 1-054.4 1505 1581 31.11% 28.96% 39.93%-0.21 +17.9 5
2026-09-12 @ Port Vale L 0-154.4 1581 1505 39.93% 28.96% 31.11%+0.21 -17.9 5
2026-09-12 Salford City D 3-374.0 1549 1522 45.13% 28.68% 26.18%+0.27 -1.1 6
2026-09-12 @ Rotherham United D 3-374.0 1522 1549 26.18% 28.68% 45.13%-0.27 +1.1 7
2026-09-12 Northampton Town W 2-046.1 1382 1526 23.02% 28.35% 48.63%-0.53 +39.5 6
2026-09-12 @ Shrewsbury Town L 0-246.1 1526 1382 48.63% 28.35% 23.02%+0.53 -39.5 6
2026-09-12 Swindon Town W 4-047.1 1573 1561 43.13% 28.82% 28.05%+0.20 +49.4 11
2026-09-12 @ York City L 0-447.1 1561 1573 28.05% 28.82% 43.13%-0.20 -49.4 10
2026-09-12 Rochdale D 0-057.1 1559 1435 56.15% 27.13% 16.73%+0.73 -4.2 10
2026-09-12 @ Walsall D 0-057.1 1435 1559 16.73% 27.13% 56.15%-0.73 +4.2 4

Upcoming Games

Remaining games on the team's schedule

Date Opponent Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. MarginExcitement
2026-09-19 Newport County 1454 1459 41.03% 28.92% 30.05%+0.1263.9
2026-09-19 @ Accrington Stanley 1459 1454 30.05% 28.92% 41.03%-0.1263.9
2026-09-19 Cheltenham Town 1520 1530 40.35% 28.95% 30.70%+0.1068.3
2026-09-19 @ Colchester United 1530 1520 30.70% 28.95% 40.35%-0.1068.3
2026-09-19 Shrewsbury Town 1552 1422 56.78% 26.98% 16.23%+0.7634.8
2026-09-19 @ Crewe Alexandra 1422 1552 16.23% 26.98% 56.78%-0.7634.8
2026-09-19 Tranmere Rovers 1563 1485 51.34% 28.00% 20.67%+0.5247.9
2026-09-19 @ Exeter City 1485 1563 20.67% 28.00% 51.34%-0.5247.9
2026-09-19 Fleetwood Town 1617 1551 49.88% 28.20% 21.93%+0.4662.8
2026-09-19 @ Barnet 1551 1617 21.93% 28.20% 49.88%-0.4662.8
2026-09-19 York City 1563 1622 33.45% 29.02% 37.53%-0.1365.6
2026-09-19 @ Chesterfield 1622 1563 37.53% 29.02% 33.45%+0.1365.6
2026-09-19 Bristol Rovers 1507 1582 31.18% 28.97% 39.85%-0.2159.0
2026-09-19 @ Gillingham 1582 1507 39.85% 28.97% 31.18%+0.2159.0
2026-09-19 Crawley Town 1613 1413 63.10% 25.18% 11.72%+1.0936.6
2026-09-19 @ Grimsby Town 1413 1613 11.72% 25.18% 63.10%-1.0936.6
2026-09-19 Rotherham United 1486 1548 33.03% 29.01% 37.96%-0.1450.7
2026-09-19 @ Northampton Town 1548 1486 37.96% 29.01% 33.03%+0.1450.7
2026-09-19 Oldham Athletic 1440 1549 26.80% 28.73% 44.47%-0.3742.3
2026-09-19 @ Rochdale 1549 1440 44.47% 28.73% 26.80%+0.3742.3
2026-09-19 Swindon Town 1523 1512 43.14% 28.82% 28.05%+0.2061.8
2026-09-19 @ Salford City 1512 1523 28.05% 28.82% 43.14%-0.2061.8
2026-09-19 Port Vale 1555 1523 45.76% 28.63% 25.61%+0.3055.8
2026-09-19 @ Walsall 1523 1555 25.61% 28.63% 45.76%-0.3055.8
2026-09-26 Exeter City 1582 1563 44.12% 28.76% 27.12%+0.2465.4
2026-09-26 @ Bristol Rovers 1563 1582 27.12% 28.76% 44.12%-0.2465.4
2026-09-26 Chesterfield 1530 1563 36.96% 29.03% 34.02%-0.0167.2
2026-09-26 @ Cheltenham Town 1563 1530 34.02% 29.03% 36.96%+0.0167.2
2026-09-26 Barnet 1413 1617 17.39% 27.30% 55.31%-0.8244.2
2026-09-26 @ Crawley Town 1617 1413 55.31% 27.30% 17.39%+0.8244.2
2026-09-26 Rochdale 1551 1440 54.88% 27.39% 17.74%+0.6739.5
2026-09-26 @ Fleetwood Town 1440 1551 17.74% 27.39% 54.88%-0.6739.5
2026-09-26 Grimsby Town 1459 1613 21.88% 28.19% 49.93%-0.5847.5
2026-09-26 @ Newport County 1613 1459 49.93% 28.19% 21.88%+0.5847.5
2026-09-26 Salford City 1549 1523 45.08% 28.69% 26.23%+0.2760.7
2026-09-26 @ Oldham Athletic 1523 1549 26.23% 28.69% 45.08%-0.2760.7
2026-09-26 Northampton Town 1523 1486 46.44% 28.57% 24.99%+0.3249.4
2026-09-26 @ Port Vale 1486 1523 24.99% 28.57% 46.44%-0.3249.4
2026-09-26 Crewe Alexandra 1548 1552 41.04% 28.92% 30.03%+0.1365.1
2026-09-26 @ Rotherham United 1552 1548 30.03% 28.92% 41.04%-0.1365.1
2026-09-26 Colchester United 1422 1520 28.21% 28.83% 42.96%-0.3240.2
2026-09-26 @ Shrewsbury Town 1520 1422 42.96% 28.83% 28.21%+0.3240.2
2026-09-26 Accrington Stanley 1512 1454 48.92% 28.31% 22.76%+0.4254.5
2026-09-26 @ Swindon Town 1454 1512 22.76% 28.31% 48.92%-0.4254.5
2026-09-26 Walsall 1485 1555 31.84% 28.99% 39.17%-0.1954.9
2026-09-26 @ Tranmere Rovers 1555 1485 39.17% 28.99% 31.84%+0.1954.9
2026-09-26 Gillingham 1622 1507 55.25% 27.31% 17.44%+0.6953.5
2026-09-26 @ York City 1507 1622 17.44% 27.31% 55.25%-0.6953.5
2026-10-03 Cheltenham Town 1454 1530 31.16% 28.97% 39.87%-0.2157.5
2026-10-03 @ Accrington Stanley 1530 1454 39.87% 28.97% 31.16%+0.2157.5
2026-10-03 Port Vale 1520 1523 41.20% 28.92% 29.88%+0.1358.3
2026-10-03 @ Colchester United 1523 1520 29.88% 28.92% 41.20%-0.1358.3
2026-10-03 Bristol Rovers 1552 1582 37.50% 29.02% 33.48%+0.0066.2
2026-10-03 @ Crewe Alexandra 1582 1552 33.48% 29.02% 37.50%+0.0066.2
2026-10-03 Rotherham United 1563 1548 43.69% 28.78% 27.53%+0.2261.5
2026-10-03 @ Exeter City 1548 1563 27.53% 28.78% 43.69%-0.2261.5
2026-10-03 York City 1617 1622 40.93% 28.93% 30.14%+0.1278.3
2026-10-03 @ Barnet 1622 1617 30.14% 28.93% 40.93%-0.1278.3
2026-10-03 Tranmere Rovers 1563 1485 51.36% 27.99% 20.65%+0.5252.5
2026-10-03 @ Chesterfield 1485 1563 20.65% 27.99% 51.36%-0.5252.5
2026-10-03 Newport County 1507 1459 47.80% 28.44% 23.76%+0.3756.3
2026-10-03 @ Gillingham 1459 1507 23.76% 28.44% 47.80%-0.3756.3
2026-10-03 Shrewsbury Town 1613 1422 62.35% 25.44% 12.21%+1.0535.2
2026-10-03 @ Grimsby Town 1422 1613 12.21% 25.44% 62.35%-1.0535.2
2026-10-03 Oldham Athletic 1486 1549 32.79% 29.01% 38.20%-0.1549.5
2026-10-03 @ Northampton Town 1549 1486 38.20% 29.01% 32.79%+0.1549.5
2026-10-03 Swindon Town 1440 1512 31.58% 28.98% 39.44%-0.1946.7
2026-10-03 @ Rochdale 1512 1440 39.44% 28.98% 31.58%+0.1946.7
2026-10-03 Fleetwood Town 1523 1551 37.80% 29.02% 33.18%+0.0159.9
2026-10-03 @ Salford City 1551 1523 33.18% 29.02% 37.80%-0.0159.9
2026-10-03 Crawley Town 1555 1413 57.93% 26.71% 15.36%+0.8237.2
2026-10-03 @ Walsall 1413 1555 15.36% 26.71% 57.93%-0.8237.2
2026-10-10 Barnet 1582 1617 36.85% 29.03% 34.12%-0.0273.0
2026-10-10 @ Bristol Rovers 1617 1582 34.12% 29.03% 36.85%+0.0273.0
2026-10-10 Salford City 1530 1523 42.50% 28.85% 28.65%+0.1868.7
2026-10-10 @ Cheltenham Town 1523 1530 28.65% 28.85% 42.50%-0.1868.7
2026-10-10 Chesterfield 1413 1563 22.28% 28.25% 49.47%-0.5738.6
2026-10-10 @ Crawley Town 1563 1413 49.47% 28.25% 22.28%+0.5738.6
2026-10-10 Walsall 1551 1555 41.10% 28.92% 29.98%+0.1365.4
2026-10-10 @ Fleetwood Town 1555 1551 29.98% 28.92% 41.10%-0.1365.4
2026-10-10 Colchester United 1459 1520 33.06% 29.01% 37.92%-0.1454.2
2026-10-10 @ Newport County 1520 1459 37.92% 29.01% 33.06%+0.1454.2
2026-10-10 Accrington Stanley 1549 1454 53.17% 27.70% 19.12%+0.6049.1
2026-10-10 @ Oldham Athletic 1454 1549 19.12% 27.70% 53.17%-0.6049.1
2026-10-10 Grimsby Town 1523 1613 29.26% 28.89% 41.86%-0.2849.3
2026-10-10 @ Port Vale 1613 1523 41.86% 28.89% 29.26%+0.2849.3
2026-10-10 Gillingham 1548 1507 46.89% 28.53% 24.58%+0.3459.9
2026-10-10 @ Rotherham United 1507 1548 24.58% 28.53% 46.89%-0.3459.9
2026-10-10 Exeter City 1422 1563 23.23% 28.38% 48.39%-0.5234.6
2026-10-10 @ Shrewsbury Town 1563 1422 48.39% 28.38% 23.23%+0.5234.6
2026-10-10 Crewe Alexandra 1512 1552 36.04% 29.03% 34.93%-0.0457.5
2026-10-10 @ Swindon Town 1552 1512 34.93% 29.03% 36.04%+0.0457.5
2026-10-10 Rochdale 1485 1440 47.42% 28.48% 24.10%+0.3650.8
2026-10-10 @ Tranmere Rovers 1440 1485 24.10% 28.48% 47.42%-0.3650.8
2026-10-10 Northampton Town 1622 1486 57.32% 26.86% 15.82%+0.7945.2
2026-10-10 @ York City 1486 1622 15.82% 26.86% 57.32%-0.7945.2
2026-10-17 Gillingham 1454 1507 34.27% 29.03% 36.70%-0.1056.2
2026-10-17 @ Accrington Stanley 1507 1454 36.70% 29.03% 34.27%+0.1056.2
2026-10-17 Exeter City 1520 1563 35.62% 29.04% 35.34%-0.0654.7
2026-10-17 @ Colchester United 1563 1520 35.34% 29.04% 35.62%+0.0654.7
2026-10-17 Rochdale 1552 1440 54.99% 27.36% 17.64%+0.6838.5
2026-10-17 @ Crewe Alexandra 1440 1552 17.64% 27.36% 54.99%-0.6838.5
2026-10-17 Rotherham United 1551 1548 42.07% 28.88% 29.05%+0.1666.3
2026-10-17 @ Fleetwood Town 1548 1551 29.05% 28.88% 42.07%-0.1666.3
2026-10-17 Northampton Town 1613 1486 56.47% 27.05% 16.48%+0.7541.4
2026-10-17 @ Grimsby Town 1486 1613 16.48% 27.05% 56.47%-0.7541.4
2026-10-17 York City 1459 1622 21.02% 28.06% 50.93%-0.6250.6
2026-10-17 @ Newport County 1622 1459 50.93% 28.06% 21.02%+0.6250.6
2026-10-17 Cheltenham Town 1549 1530 44.25% 28.75% 27.00%+0.2468.5
2026-10-17 @ Oldham Athletic 1530 1549 27.00% 28.75% 44.25%-0.2468.5
2026-10-17 Chesterfield 1523 1563 36.06% 29.03% 34.91%-0.0455.4
2026-10-17 @ Port Vale 1563 1523 34.91% 29.03% 36.06%+0.0455.4
2026-10-17 Crawley Town 1523 1413 54.76% 27.41% 17.83%+0.6738.6
2026-10-17 @ Salford City 1413 1523 17.83% 27.41% 54.76%-0.6738.6
2026-10-17 Bristol Rovers 1422 1582 21.30% 28.10% 50.60%-0.6141.2
2026-10-17 @ Shrewsbury Town 1582 1422 50.60% 28.10% 21.30%+0.6141.2
2026-10-17 Walsall 1512 1555 35.63% 29.04% 35.34%-0.0659.5
2026-10-17 @ Swindon Town 1555 1512 35.34% 29.04% 35.63%+0.0659.5
2026-10-17 Barnet 1485 1617 24.26% 28.50% 47.25%-0.4853.9
2026-10-17 @ Tranmere Rovers 1617 1485 47.25% 28.50% 24.26%+0.4853.9
2026-10-20 Salford City 1582 1523 49.09% 28.29% 22.62%+0.4260.4
2026-10-20 @ Bristol Rovers 1523 1582 22.62% 28.29% 49.09%-0.4260.4
2026-10-20 Fleetwood Town 1530 1551 38.71% 29.00% 32.30%+0.0567.8
2026-10-20 @ Cheltenham Town 1551 1530 32.30% 29.00% 38.71%-0.0567.8
2026-10-20 Shrewsbury Town 1413 1422 40.42% 28.95% 30.63%+0.1050.5
2026-10-20 @ Crawley Town 1422 1413 30.63% 28.95% 40.42%-0.1050.5
2026-10-20 Crewe Alexandra 1563 1552 43.11% 28.82% 28.07%+0.2059.6
2026-10-20 @ Exeter City 1552 1563 28.07% 28.82% 43.11%-0.2059.6
2026-10-20 Swindon Town 1617 1512 54.20% 27.52% 18.28%+0.6455.7
2026-10-20 @ Barnet 1512 1617 18.28% 27.52% 54.20%-0.6455.7
2026-10-20 Colchester United 1563 1520 47.21% 28.50% 24.29%+0.3558.0
2026-10-20 @ Chesterfield 1520 1563 24.29% 28.50% 47.21%-0.3558.0
2026-10-20 Port Vale 1507 1523 39.41% 28.98% 31.61%+0.0757.0
2026-10-20 @ Gillingham 1523 1507 31.61% 28.98% 39.41%-0.0757.0
2026-10-20 Tranmere Rovers 1486 1485 41.83% 28.89% 29.28%+0.1557.5
2026-10-20 @ Northampton Town 1485 1486 29.28% 28.89% 41.83%-0.1557.5
2026-10-20 Grimsby Town 1440 1613 20.02% 27.88% 52.10%-0.6739.9
2026-10-20 @ Rochdale 1613 1440 52.10% 27.88% 20.02%+0.6739.9
2026-10-20 Newport County 1548 1459 52.49% 27.82% 19.69%+0.5751.3
2026-10-20 @ Rotherham United 1459 1548 19.69% 27.82% 52.49%-0.5751.3
2026-10-20 Oldham Athletic 1555 1549 42.38% 28.86% 28.76%+0.1766.2
2026-10-20 @ Walsall 1549 1555 28.76% 28.86% 42.38%-0.1766.2
2026-10-20 Accrington Stanley 1622 1454 60.29% 26.08% 13.63%+0.9448.2
2026-10-20 @ York City 1454 1622 13.63% 26.08% 60.29%-0.9448.2
2026-10-24 Swindon Town 1582 1512 50.40% 28.13% 21.47%+0.4858.8
2026-10-24 @ Bristol Rovers 1512 1582 21.47% 28.13% 50.40%-0.4858.8
2026-10-24 Newport County 1530 1459 50.46% 28.12% 21.42%+0.4857.3
2026-10-24 @ Cheltenham Town 1459 1530 21.42% 28.12% 50.46%-0.4857.3
2026-10-24 Tranmere Rovers 1413 1485 31.62% 28.98% 39.40%-0.1947.2
2026-10-24 @ Crawley Town 1485 1413 39.40% 28.98% 31.62%+0.1947.2
2026-10-24 Fleetwood Town 1563 1551 43.26% 28.81% 27.92%+0.2060.2
2026-10-24 @ Exeter City 1551 1563 27.92% 28.81% 43.26%-0.2060.2
2026-10-24 Oldham Athletic 1617 1549 50.06% 28.17% 21.77%+0.4663.2
2026-10-24 @ Barnet 1549 1617 21.77% 28.17% 50.06%-0.4663.2
2026-10-24 Crewe Alexandra 1563 1552 43.14% 28.82% 28.04%+0.2063.4
2026-10-24 @ Chesterfield 1552 1563 28.04% 28.82% 43.14%-0.2063.4
2026-10-24 Grimsby Town 1507 1613 27.22% 28.76% 44.01%-0.3652.0
2026-10-24 @ Gillingham 1613 1507 44.01% 28.76% 27.22%+0.3652.0
2026-10-24 Colchester United 1486 1520 36.95% 29.03% 34.02%-0.0152.7
2026-10-24 @ Northampton Town 1520 1486 34.02% 29.03% 36.95%+0.0152.7
2026-10-24 Accrington Stanley 1440 1454 39.65% 28.97% 31.38%+0.0856.5
2026-10-24 @ Rochdale 1454 1440 31.38% 28.97% 39.65%-0.0856.5
2026-10-24 Shrewsbury Town 1548 1422 56.35% 27.08% 16.57%+0.7437.8
2026-10-24 @ Rotherham United 1422 1548 16.57% 27.08% 56.35%-0.7437.8
2026-10-24 Salford City 1555 1523 45.78% 28.63% 25.59%+0.3060.0
2026-10-24 @ Walsall 1523 1555 25.59% 28.63% 45.78%-0.3060.0
2026-10-24 Port Vale 1622 1523 53.54% 27.64% 18.82%+0.6151.1
2026-10-24 @ York City 1523 1622 18.82% 27.64% 53.54%-0.6151.1
2026-10-31 Northampton Town 1454 1486 37.23% 29.02% 33.75%+0.0053.3
2026-10-31 @ Accrington Stanley 1486 1454 33.75% 29.02% 37.23%+0.0053.3
2026-10-31 Walsall 1520 1555 36.80% 29.03% 34.17%-0.0260.0
2026-10-31 @ Colchester United 1555 1520 34.17% 29.03% 36.80%+0.0260.0
2026-10-31 Barnet 1552 1617 32.61% 29.01% 38.38%-0.1663.3
2026-10-31 @ Crewe Alexandra 1617 1552 38.38% 29.01% 32.61%+0.1663.3
2026-10-31 Bristol Rovers 1551 1582 37.34% 29.02% 33.64%+0.0067.0
2026-10-31 @ Fleetwood Town 1582 1551 33.64% 29.02% 37.34%+0.0067.0
2026-10-31 York City 1613 1622 40.46% 28.95% 30.59%+0.1175.3
2026-10-31 @ Grimsby Town 1622 1613 30.59% 28.95% 40.46%-0.1175.3
2026-10-31 Chesterfield 1459 1563 27.43% 28.78% 43.80%-0.3549.9
2026-10-31 @ Newport County 1563 1459 43.80% 28.78% 27.43%+0.3549.9
2026-10-31 Crawley Town 1549 1413 57.40% 26.84% 15.76%+0.7937.5
2026-10-31 @ Oldham Athletic 1413 1549 15.76% 26.84% 57.40%-0.7937.5
2026-10-31 Rochdale 1523 1440 51.91% 27.91% 20.18%+0.5439.8
2026-10-31 @ Port Vale 1440 1523 20.18% 27.91% 51.91%-0.5439.8
2026-10-31 Exeter City 1523 1563 36.06% 29.03% 34.91%-0.0455.3
2026-10-31 @ Salford City 1563 1523 34.91% 29.03% 36.06%+0.0455.3
2026-10-31 Gillingham 1422 1507 29.88% 28.92% 41.21%-0.2642.7
2026-10-31 @ Shrewsbury Town 1507 1422 41.21% 28.92% 29.88%+0.2642.7
2026-10-31 Rotherham United 1512 1548 36.66% 29.03% 34.31%-0.0261.6
2026-10-31 @ Swindon Town 1548 1512 34.31% 29.03% 36.66%+0.0261.6
2026-10-31 Cheltenham Town 1485 1530 35.39% 29.04% 35.58%-0.0763.3
2026-10-31 @ Tranmere Rovers 1530 1485 35.58% 29.04% 35.39%+0.0763.3
2026-11-14 Chesterfield 1582 1563 44.10% 28.76% 27.14%+0.2369.9
2026-11-14 @ Bristol Rovers 1563 1582 27.14% 28.76% 44.10%-0.2369.9
2026-11-14 Gillingham 1520 1507 43.38% 28.80% 27.82%+0.2161.2
2026-11-14 @ Colchester United 1507 1520 27.82% 28.80% 43.38%-0.2161.2
2026-11-14 Newport County 1552 1459 52.97% 27.74% 19.29%+0.5947.4
2026-11-14 @ Crewe Alexandra 1459 1552 19.29% 27.74% 52.97%-0.5947.4
2026-11-14 Cheltenham Town 1563 1530 46.01% 28.61% 25.38%+0.3162.5
2026-11-14 @ Exeter City 1530 1563 25.38% 28.61% 46.01%-0.3162.5
2026-11-14 Tranmere Rovers 1551 1485 49.94% 28.19% 21.87%+0.4653.2
2026-11-14 @ Fleetwood Town 1485 1551 21.87% 28.19% 49.94%-0.4653.2
2026-11-14 Accrington Stanley 1523 1454 50.26% 28.15% 21.59%+0.4747.0
2026-11-14 @ Port Vale 1454 1523 21.59% 28.15% 50.26%-0.4747.0
2026-11-14 York City 1440 1622 19.23% 27.72% 53.04%-0.7244.3
2026-11-14 @ Rochdale 1622 1440 53.04% 27.72% 19.23%+0.7244.3
2026-11-14 Crawley Town 1548 1413 57.23% 26.88% 15.89%+0.7838.8
2026-11-14 @ Rotherham United 1413 1548 15.89% 26.88% 57.23%-0.7838.8
2026-11-14 Northampton Town 1523 1486 46.42% 28.57% 25.01%+0.3251.6
2026-11-14 @ Salford City 1486 1523 25.01% 28.57% 46.42%-0.3251.6
2026-11-14 Oldham Athletic 1422 1549 24.74% 28.55% 46.71%-0.4638.5
2026-11-14 @ Shrewsbury Town 1549 1422 46.71% 28.55% 24.74%+0.4638.5
2026-11-14 Grimsby Town 1512 1613 27.82% 28.80% 43.38%-0.3352.8
2026-11-14 @ Swindon Town 1613 1512 43.38% 28.80% 27.82%+0.3352.8
2026-11-14 Barnet 1555 1617 33.00% 29.01% 37.98%-0.1565.5
2026-11-14 @ Walsall 1617 1555 37.98% 29.01% 33.00%+0.1565.5
2026-11-21 Salford City 1454 1523 32.03% 28.99% 38.98%-0.1852.9
2026-11-21 @ Accrington Stanley 1523 1454 38.98% 28.99% 32.03%+0.1852.9
2026-11-21 Bristol Rovers 1530 1582 34.29% 29.03% 36.68%-0.1067.2
2026-11-21 @ Cheltenham Town 1582 1530 36.68% 29.03% 34.29%+0.1067.2
2026-11-21 Fleetwood Town 1413 1551 23.59% 28.42% 48.00%-0.5138.1
2026-11-21 @ Crawley Town 1551 1413 48.00% 28.42% 23.59%+0.5138.1
2026-11-21 Port Vale 1617 1523 52.98% 27.74% 19.28%+0.5952.9
2026-11-21 @ Barnet 1523 1617 19.28% 27.74% 52.98%-0.5952.9
2026-11-21 Shrewsbury Town 1563 1422 57.88% 26.72% 15.40%+0.8235.8
2026-11-21 @ Chesterfield 1422 1563 15.40% 26.72% 57.88%-0.8235.8
2026-11-21 Crewe Alexandra 1507 1552 35.34% 29.04% 35.63%-0.0756.5
2026-11-21 @ Gillingham 1552 1507 35.63% 29.04% 35.34%+0.0756.5
2026-11-21 Rotherham United 1613 1548 49.85% 28.20% 21.95%+0.4659.7
2026-11-21 @ Grimsby Town 1548 1613 21.95% 28.20% 49.85%-0.4659.7
2026-11-21 Swindon Town 1459 1512 34.22% 29.03% 36.76%-0.1056.5
2026-11-21 @ Newport County 1512 1459 36.76% 29.03% 34.22%+0.1056.5
2026-11-21 Rochdale 1486 1440 47.60% 28.46% 23.94%+0.3745.4
2026-11-21 @ Northampton Town 1440 1486 23.94% 28.46% 47.60%-0.3745.4
2026-11-21 Exeter City 1549 1563 39.76% 28.97% 31.27%+0.0861.1
2026-11-21 @ Oldham Athletic 1563 1549 31.27% 28.97% 39.76%-0.0861.1
2026-11-21 Colchester United 1485 1520 36.75% 29.03% 34.23%-0.0258.5
2026-11-21 @ Tranmere Rovers 1520 1485 34.23% 29.03% 36.75%+0.0258.5
2026-11-21 Walsall 1622 1555 50.02% 28.18% 21.80%+0.4662.8
2026-11-21 @ York City 1555 1622 21.80% 28.18% 50.02%-0.4662.8
2026-11-28 Tranmere Rovers 1582 1485 53.40% 27.66% 18.93%+0.6154.1
2026-11-28 @ Bristol Rovers 1485 1582 18.93% 27.66% 53.40%-0.6154.1
2026-11-28 York City 1520 1622 27.77% 28.80% 43.43%-0.3456.4
2026-11-28 @ Colchester United 1622 1520 43.43% 28.80% 27.77%+0.3456.4
2026-11-28 Grimsby Town 1552 1613 33.09% 29.01% 37.90%-0.1458.2
2026-11-28 @ Crewe Alexandra 1613 1552 37.90% 29.01% 33.09%+0.1458.2
2026-11-28 Crawley Town 1563 1413 58.71% 26.51% 14.78%+0.8632.9
2026-11-28 @ Exeter City 1413 1563 14.78% 26.51% 58.71%-0.8632.9
2026-11-28 Accrington Stanley 1551 1454 53.34% 27.67% 18.99%+0.6047.8
2026-11-28 @ Fleetwood Town 1454 1551 18.99% 27.67% 53.34%-0.6047.8
2026-11-28 Newport County 1523 1459 49.74% 28.21% 22.05%+0.4548.1
2026-11-28 @ Port Vale 1459 1523 22.05% 28.21% 49.74%-0.4548.1
2026-11-28 Barnet 1440 1617 19.70% 27.82% 52.48%-0.6945.5
2026-11-28 @ Rochdale 1617 1440 52.48% 27.82% 19.70%+0.6945.5
2026-11-28 Oldham Athletic 1548 1549 41.41% 28.91% 29.69%+0.1467.7
2026-11-28 @ Rotherham United 1549 1548 29.69% 28.91% 41.41%-0.1467.7
2026-11-28 Gillingham 1523 1507 43.77% 28.78% 27.45%+0.2260.9
2026-11-28 @ Salford City 1507 1523 27.45% 28.78% 43.77%-0.2260.9
2026-11-28 Cheltenham Town 1422 1530 27.05% 28.75% 44.20%-0.3645.7
2026-11-28 @ Shrewsbury Town 1530 1422 44.20% 28.75% 27.05%+0.3645.7
2026-11-28 Chesterfield 1512 1563 34.42% 29.03% 36.55%-0.1058.3
2026-11-28 @ Swindon Town 1563 1512 36.55% 29.03% 34.42%+0.1058.3
2026-11-28 Northampton Town 1555 1486 50.23% 28.15% 21.62%+0.4747.5
2026-11-28 @ Walsall 1486 1555 21.62% 28.15% 50.23%-0.4747.5
2026-12-01 Crewe Alexandra 1454 1552 28.26% 28.83% 42.91%-0.3248.0
2026-12-01 @ Accrington Stanley 1552 1454 42.91% 28.83% 28.26%+0.3248.0
2026-12-01 Rochdale 1530 1440 52.60% 27.80% 19.60%+0.5748.7
2026-12-01 @ Cheltenham Town 1440 1530 19.60% 27.80% 52.60%-0.5748.7
2026-12-01 Port Vale 1413 1523 26.73% 28.73% 44.55%-0.3836.8
2026-12-01 @ Crawley Town 1523 1413 44.55% 28.73% 26.73%+0.3836.8
2026-12-01 Rotherham United 1617 1548 50.25% 28.15% 21.60%+0.4763.5
2026-12-01 @ Barnet 1548 1617 21.60% 28.15% 50.25%-0.4763.5
2026-12-01 Exeter City 1563 1563 41.66% 28.90% 29.44%+0.1563.2
2026-12-01 @ Chesterfield 1563 1563 29.44% 28.90% 41.66%-0.1563.2
2026-12-01 Swindon Town 1507 1512 40.98% 28.93% 30.10%+0.1263.4
2026-12-01 @ Gillingham 1512 1507 30.10% 28.93% 40.98%-0.1263.4
2026-12-01 Colchester United 1613 1520 52.96% 27.74% 19.30%+0.5951.6
2026-12-01 @ Grimsby Town 1520 1613 19.30% 27.74% 52.96%-0.5951.6
2026-12-01 Walsall 1459 1555 28.47% 28.84% 42.69%-0.3150.8
2026-12-01 @ Newport County 1555 1459 42.69% 28.84% 28.47%+0.3150.8
2026-12-01 Fleetwood Town 1486 1551 32.58% 29.00% 38.41%-0.1648.5
2026-12-01 @ Northampton Town 1551 1486 38.41% 29.00% 32.58%+0.1648.5
2026-12-01 Bristol Rovers 1549 1582 37.12% 29.03% 33.85%-0.0167.7
2026-12-01 @ Oldham Athletic 1582 1549 33.85% 29.03% 37.12%+0.0167.7
2026-12-01 Salford City 1485 1523 36.31% 29.03% 34.66%-0.0458.1
2026-12-01 @ Tranmere Rovers 1523 1485 34.66% 29.03% 36.31%+0.0458.1
2026-12-01 Shrewsbury Town 1622 1422 63.08% 25.19% 11.73%+1.0939.6
2026-12-01 @ York City 1422 1622 11.73% 25.19% 63.08%-1.0939.6
2026-12-12 Accrington Stanley 1582 1454 56.54% 27.04% 16.42%+0.7549.6
2026-12-12 @ Bristol Rovers 1454 1582 16.42% 27.04% 56.54%-0.7549.6
2026-12-12 Crewe Alexandra 1530 1552 38.55% 29.00% 32.45%+0.0466.7
2026-12-12 @ Cheltenham Town 1552 1530 32.45% 29.00% 38.55%-0.0466.7
2026-12-12 Newport County 1413 1459 35.23% 29.03% 35.74%-0.0752.1
2026-12-12 @ Crawley Town 1459 1413 35.74% 29.03% 35.23%+0.0752.1
2026-12-12 Rochdale 1563 1440 56.12% 27.13% 16.75%+0.7335.9
2026-12-12 @ Exeter City 1440 1563 16.75% 27.13% 56.12%-0.7335.9
2026-12-12 Northampton Town 1617 1486 56.81% 26.98% 16.22%+0.7646.7
2026-12-12 @ Barnet 1486 1617 16.22% 26.98% 56.81%-0.7646.7
2026-12-12 Grimsby Town 1563 1613 34.67% 29.03% 36.30%-0.0962.8
2026-12-12 @ Chesterfield 1613 1563 36.30% 29.03% 34.67%+0.0962.8
2026-12-12 Swindon Town 1551 1512 46.69% 28.55% 24.76%+0.3358.1
2026-12-12 @ Fleetwood Town 1512 1551 24.76% 28.55% 46.69%-0.3358.1
2026-12-12 Gillingham 1549 1507 47.10% 28.51% 24.39%+0.3558.4
2026-12-12 @ Oldham Athletic 1507 1549 24.39% 28.51% 47.10%-0.3558.4
2026-12-12 Walsall 1548 1555 40.66% 28.94% 30.41%+0.1167.2
2026-12-12 @ Rotherham United 1555 1548 30.41% 28.94% 40.66%-0.1167.2
2026-12-12 Colchester United 1523 1520 42.04% 28.88% 29.08%+0.1662.1
2026-12-12 @ Salford City 1520 1523 29.08% 28.88% 42.04%-0.1662.1
2026-12-12 Port Vale 1422 1523 27.81% 28.80% 43.38%-0.3337.3
2026-12-12 @ Shrewsbury Town 1523 1422 43.38% 28.80% 27.81%+0.3337.3
2026-12-12 York City 1485 1622 23.69% 28.43% 47.88%-0.5052.8
2026-12-12 @ Tranmere Rovers 1622 1485 47.88% 28.43% 23.69%+0.5052.8
2026-12-19 Chesterfield 1454 1563 26.88% 28.74% 44.38%-0.3749.2
2026-12-19 @ Accrington Stanley 1563 1454 44.38% 28.74% 26.88%+0.3749.2
2026-12-19 Fleetwood Town 1520 1551 37.37% 29.02% 33.61%+0.0059.3
2026-12-19 @ Colchester United 1551 1520 33.61% 29.02% 37.37%+0.0059.3
2026-12-19 Salford City 1552 1523 45.42% 28.66% 25.92%+0.2858.1
2026-12-19 @ Crewe Alexandra 1523 1552 25.92% 28.66% 45.42%-0.2858.1
2026-12-19 Cheltenham Town 1507 1530 38.54% 29.00% 32.46%+0.0466.9
2026-12-19 @ Gillingham 1530 1507 32.46% 29.00% 38.54%-0.0466.9
2026-12-19 Barnet 1613 1617 41.17% 28.92% 29.91%+0.1376.5
2026-12-19 @ Grimsby Town 1617 1613 29.91% 28.92% 41.17%-0.1376.5
2026-12-19 Oldham Athletic 1459 1549 29.16% 28.88% 41.95%-0.2851.5
2026-12-19 @ Newport County 1549 1459 41.95% 28.88% 29.16%+0.2851.5
2026-12-19 Exeter City 1486 1563 30.93% 28.96% 40.11%-0.2245.0
2026-12-19 @ Northampton Town 1563 1486 40.11% 28.96% 30.93%+0.2245.0
2026-12-19 Rotherham United 1523 1548 38.28% 29.01% 32.71%+0.0358.2
2026-12-19 @ Port Vale 1548 1523 32.71% 29.01% 38.28%-0.0358.2
2026-12-19 Bristol Rovers 1440 1582 23.12% 28.36% 48.52%-0.5344.5
2026-12-19 @ Rochdale 1582 1440 48.52% 28.36% 23.12%+0.5344.5
2026-12-19 Tranmere Rovers 1512 1485 45.18% 28.68% 26.14%+0.2760.2
2026-12-19 @ Swindon Town 1485 1512 26.14% 28.68% 45.18%-0.2760.2
2026-12-19 Shrewsbury Town 1555 1422 57.06% 26.92% 16.02%+0.7836.3
2026-12-19 @ Walsall 1422 1555 16.02% 26.92% 57.06%-0.7836.3
2026-12-19 Crawley Town 1622 1413 63.81% 24.93% 11.26%+1.1341.1
2026-12-19 @ York City 1413 1622 11.26% 24.93% 63.81%-1.1341.1
2026-12-26 Walsall 1582 1555 45.18% 28.68% 26.14%+0.2768.2
2026-12-26 @ Bristol Rovers 1555 1582 26.14% 28.68% 45.18%-0.2768.2
2026-12-26 Port Vale 1530 1523 42.47% 28.86% 28.67%+0.1864.3
2026-12-26 @ Cheltenham Town 1523 1530 28.67% 28.86% 42.47%-0.1864.3
2026-12-26 Gillingham 1413 1507 28.73% 28.86% 42.41%-0.3043.1
2026-12-26 @ Crawley Town 1507 1413 42.41% 28.86% 28.73%+0.3043.1
2026-12-26 Newport County 1563 1459 54.16% 27.53% 18.31%+0.6443.7
2026-12-26 @ Exeter City 1459 1563 18.31% 27.53% 54.16%-0.6443.7
2026-12-26 Colchester United 1617 1520 53.33% 27.68% 19.00%+0.6056.4
2026-12-26 @ Barnet 1520 1617 19.00% 27.68% 53.33%-0.6056.4
2026-12-26 Northampton Town 1563 1486 51.19% 28.02% 20.79%+0.5146.3
2026-12-26 @ Chesterfield 1486 1563 20.79% 28.02% 51.19%-0.5146.3
2026-12-26 Crewe Alexandra 1551 1552 41.48% 28.90% 29.61%+0.1463.4
2026-12-26 @ Fleetwood Town 1552 1551 29.61% 28.90% 41.48%-0.1463.4
2026-12-26 York City 1549 1622 31.54% 28.98% 39.48%-0.2062.8
2026-12-26 @ Oldham Athletic 1622 1549 39.48% 28.98% 31.54%+0.2062.8
2026-12-26 Rochdale 1548 1440 54.54% 27.45% 18.01%+0.6641.9
2026-12-26 @ Rotherham United 1440 1548 18.01% 27.45% 54.54%-0.6641.9
2026-12-26 Grimsby Town 1523 1613 29.23% 28.89% 41.88%-0.2853.7
2026-12-26 @ Salford City 1613 1523 41.88% 28.89% 29.23%+0.2853.7
2026-12-26 Swindon Town 1422 1512 29.25% 28.89% 41.86%-0.2842.1
2026-12-26 @ Shrewsbury Town 1512 1422 41.86% 28.89% 29.25%+0.2842.1
2026-12-26 Accrington Stanley 1485 1454 45.61% 28.64% 25.75%+0.2959.7
2026-12-26 @ Tranmere Rovers 1454 1485 25.75% 28.64% 45.61%-0.2959.7
2026-12-29 Rotherham United 1454 1548 28.81% 28.86% 42.33%-0.3051.9
2026-12-29 @ Accrington Stanley 1548 1454 42.33% 28.86% 28.81%+0.3051.9
2026-12-29 Crawley Town 1520 1413 54.45% 27.47% 18.08%+0.6539.0
2026-12-29 @ Colchester United 1413 1520 18.08% 27.47% 54.45%-0.6539.0
2026-12-29 Tranmere Rovers 1552 1485 50.07% 28.17% 21.76%+0.4651.8
2026-12-29 @ Crewe Alexandra 1485 1552 21.76% 28.17% 50.07%-0.4651.8
2026-12-29 Barnet 1507 1617 26.81% 28.73% 44.46%-0.3756.5
2026-12-29 @ Gillingham 1617 1507 44.46% 28.73% 26.81%+0.3756.5
2026-12-29 Oldham Athletic 1613 1549 49.65% 28.23% 22.12%+0.4558.9
2026-12-29 @ Grimsby Town 1549 1613 22.12% 28.23% 49.65%-0.4558.9
2026-12-29 Shrewsbury Town 1459 1422 46.42% 28.57% 25.01%+0.3250.9
2026-12-29 @ Newport County 1422 1459 25.01% 28.57% 46.42%-0.3250.9
2026-12-29 Cheltenham Town 1486 1530 35.59% 29.04% 35.37%-0.0657.6
2026-12-29 @ Northampton Town 1530 1486 35.37% 29.04% 35.59%+0.0657.6
2026-12-29 Bristol Rovers 1523 1582 33.41% 29.02% 37.57%-0.1356.9
2026-12-29 @ Port Vale 1582 1523 37.57% 29.02% 33.41%+0.1356.9
2026-12-29 Salford City 1440 1523 30.09% 28.93% 40.99%-0.2544.2
2026-12-29 @ Rochdale 1523 1440 40.99% 28.93% 30.09%+0.2544.2
2026-12-29 Exeter City 1512 1563 34.45% 29.03% 36.52%-0.1053.9
2026-12-29 @ Swindon Town 1563 1512 36.52% 29.03% 34.45%+0.1053.9
2026-12-29 Chesterfield 1555 1563 40.49% 28.94% 30.56%+0.1166.4
2026-12-29 @ Walsall 1563 1555 30.56% 28.94% 40.49%-0.1166.4
2026-12-29 Fleetwood Town 1622 1551 50.48% 28.12% 21.40%+0.4861.0
2026-12-29 @ York City 1551 1622 21.40% 28.12% 50.48%-0.4861.0
2027-01-01 Shrewsbury Town 1454 1422 45.85% 28.62% 25.52%+0.3051.5
2027-01-01 @ Accrington Stanley 1422 1454 25.52% 28.62% 45.85%-0.3051.5
2027-01-01 Rotherham United 1520 1548 37.83% 29.02% 33.15%+0.0262.0
2027-01-01 @ Colchester United 1548 1520 33.15% 29.02% 37.83%-0.0262.0
2027-01-01 Oldham Athletic 1552 1549 42.00% 28.88% 29.12%+0.1664.2
2027-01-01 @ Crewe Alexandra 1549 1552 29.12% 28.88% 42.00%-0.1664.2
2027-01-01 Exeter City 1507 1563 33.76% 29.02% 37.22%-0.1252.9
2027-01-01 @ Gillingham 1563 1507 37.22% 29.02% 33.76%+0.1252.9
2027-01-01 Tranmere Rovers 1613 1485 56.61% 27.02% 16.37%+0.7547.9
2027-01-01 @ Grimsby Town 1485 1613 16.37% 27.02% 56.61%-0.7547.9
2027-01-01 Barnet 1459 1617 21.53% 28.14% 50.33%-0.6051.3
2027-01-01 @ Newport County 1617 1459 50.33% 28.14% 21.53%+0.6051.3
2027-01-01 Bristol Rovers 1486 1582 28.50% 28.85% 42.65%-0.3149.4
2027-01-01 @ Northampton Town 1582 1486 42.65% 28.85% 28.50%+0.3149.4
2027-01-01 Fleetwood Town 1523 1551 37.83% 29.02% 33.16%+0.0256.1
2027-01-01 @ Port Vale 1551 1523 33.16% 29.02% 37.83%-0.0256.1
2027-01-01 Chesterfield 1440 1563 25.17% 28.59% 46.24%-0.4441.1
2027-01-01 @ Rochdale 1563 1440 46.24% 28.59% 25.17%+0.4441.1
2027-01-01 Crawley Town 1512 1413 53.58% 27.63% 18.79%+0.6141.0
2027-01-01 @ Swindon Town 1413 1512 18.79% 27.63% 53.58%-0.6141.0
2027-01-01 Cheltenham Town 1555 1530 44.96% 28.70% 26.34%+0.2767.7
2027-01-01 @ Walsall 1530 1555 26.34% 28.70% 44.96%-0.2767.7
2027-01-01 Salford City 1622 1523 53.56% 27.63% 18.80%+0.6155.4
2027-01-01 @ York City 1523 1622 18.80% 27.63% 53.56%-0.6155.4
2027-01-09 Rochdale 1582 1440 57.96% 26.70% 15.33%+0.8242.6
2027-01-09 @ Bristol Rovers 1440 1582 15.33% 26.70% 57.96%-0.8242.6
2027-01-09 Gillingham 1530 1507 44.61% 28.72% 26.67%+0.2566.5
2027-01-09 @ Cheltenham Town 1507 1530 26.67% 28.72% 44.61%-0.2566.5
2027-01-09 York City 1413 1622 16.97% 27.19% 55.84%-0.8443.2
2027-01-09 @ Crawley Town 1622 1413 55.84% 27.19% 16.97%+0.8443.2
2027-01-09 Northampton Town 1563 1486 51.18% 28.02% 20.81%+0.5143.7
2027-01-09 @ Exeter City 1486 1563 20.81% 28.02% 51.18%-0.5143.7
2027-01-09 Grimsby Town 1617 1613 42.10% 28.88% 29.03%+0.1676.5
2027-01-09 @ Barnet 1613 1617 29.03% 28.88% 42.10%-0.1676.5
2027-01-09 Accrington Stanley 1563 1454 54.65% 27.43% 17.92%+0.6647.5
2027-01-09 @ Chesterfield 1454 1563 17.92% 27.43% 54.65%-0.6647.5
2027-01-09 Colchester United 1551 1520 45.66% 28.64% 25.70%+0.2958.7
2027-01-09 @ Fleetwood Town 1520 1551 25.70% 28.64% 45.66%-0.2958.7
2027-01-09 Newport County 1549 1459 52.68% 27.79% 19.53%+0.5750.0
2027-01-09 @ Oldham Athletic 1459 1549 19.53% 27.79% 52.68%-0.5750.0
2027-01-09 Port Vale 1548 1523 44.84% 28.70% 26.46%+0.2657.7
2027-01-09 @ Rotherham United 1523 1548 26.46% 28.70% 44.84%-0.2657.7
2027-01-09 Crewe Alexandra 1523 1552 37.64% 29.02% 33.34%+0.0158.7
2027-01-09 @ Salford City 1552 1523 33.34% 29.02% 37.64%-0.0158.7
2027-01-09 Walsall 1422 1555 24.13% 28.48% 47.39%-0.4838.1
2027-01-09 @ Shrewsbury Town 1555 1422 47.39% 28.48% 24.13%+0.4838.1
2027-01-09 Swindon Town 1485 1512 37.91% 29.01% 33.07%+0.0260.7
2027-01-09 @ Tranmere Rovers 1512 1485 33.07% 29.01% 37.91%-0.0260.7
2027-01-16 Shrewsbury Town 1582 1422 59.62% 26.27% 14.11%+0.9039.3
2027-01-16 @ Bristol Rovers 1422 1582 14.11% 26.27% 59.62%-0.9039.3
2027-01-16 Oldham Athletic 1530 1549 38.92% 28.99% 32.09%+0.0568.9
2027-01-16 @ Cheltenham Town 1549 1530 32.09% 28.99% 38.92%-0.0568.9
2027-01-16 Salford City 1413 1523 26.75% 28.73% 44.52%-0.3740.3
2027-01-16 @ Crawley Town 1523 1413 44.52% 28.73% 26.75%+0.3740.3
2027-01-16 Colchester United 1563 1520 47.19% 28.50% 24.31%+0.3553.9
2027-01-16 @ Exeter City 1520 1563 24.31% 28.50% 47.19%-0.3553.9
2027-01-16 Tranmere Rovers 1617 1485 56.95% 26.95% 16.11%+0.7752.1
2027-01-16 @ Barnet 1485 1617 16.11% 26.95% 56.95%-0.7752.1
2027-01-16 Port Vale 1563 1523 46.81% 28.54% 24.65%+0.3454.6
2027-01-16 @ Chesterfield 1523 1563 24.65% 28.54% 46.81%-0.3454.6
2027-01-16 Accrington Stanley 1507 1454 48.34% 28.38% 23.28%+0.4055.3
2027-01-16 @ Gillingham 1454 1507 23.28% 28.38% 48.34%-0.4055.3
2027-01-16 Grimsby Town 1486 1613 24.80% 28.55% 46.64%-0.4543.2
2027-01-16 @ Northampton Town 1613 1486 46.64% 28.55% 24.80%+0.4543.2
2027-01-16 Crewe Alexandra 1440 1552 26.48% 28.71% 44.81%-0.3940.1
2027-01-16 @ Rochdale 1552 1440 44.81% 28.71% 26.48%+0.3940.1
2027-01-16 Fleetwood Town 1548 1551 41.20% 28.92% 29.89%+0.1366.4
2027-01-16 @ Rotherham United 1551 1548 29.89% 28.92% 41.20%-0.1366.4
2027-01-16 Swindon Town 1555 1512 47.18% 28.50% 24.31%+0.3558.7
2027-01-16 @ Walsall 1512 1555 24.31% 28.50% 47.18%-0.3558.7
2027-01-16 Newport County 1622 1459 59.88% 26.19% 13.92%+0.9248.6
2027-01-16 @ York City 1459 1622 13.92% 26.19% 59.88%-0.9248.6
2027-01-19 York City 1454 1622 20.58% 27.98% 51.44%-0.6550.1
2027-01-19 @ Accrington Stanley 1622 1454 51.44% 27.98% 20.58%+0.6550.1
2027-01-19 Chesterfield 1520 1563 35.60% 29.04% 35.37%-0.0658.9
2027-01-19 @ Colchester United 1563 1520 35.37% 29.04% 35.60%+0.0658.9
2027-01-19 Exeter City 1552 1563 40.13% 28.96% 30.92%+0.0959.8
2027-01-19 @ Crewe Alexandra 1563 1552 30.92% 28.96% 40.13%-0.0959.8
2027-01-19 Cheltenham Town 1551 1530 44.45% 28.73% 26.81%+0.2567.4
2027-01-19 @ Fleetwood Town 1530 1551 26.81% 28.73% 44.45%-0.2567.4
2027-01-19 Rochdale 1613 1440 60.82% 25.92% 13.26%+0.9737.9
2027-01-19 @ Grimsby Town 1440 1613 13.26% 25.92% 60.82%-0.9737.9
2027-01-19 Rotherham United 1459 1548 29.38% 28.89% 41.72%-0.2752.8
2027-01-19 @ Newport County 1548 1459 41.72% 28.89% 29.38%+0.2752.8
2027-01-19 Walsall 1549 1555 40.89% 28.93% 30.18%+0.1266.3
2027-01-19 @ Oldham Athletic 1555 1549 30.18% 28.93% 40.89%-0.1266.3
2027-01-19 Gillingham 1523 1507 43.80% 28.78% 27.42%+0.2256.7
2027-01-19 @ Port Vale 1507 1523 27.42% 28.78% 43.80%-0.2256.7
2027-01-19 Bristol Rovers 1523 1582 33.38% 29.02% 37.60%-0.1361.4
2027-01-19 @ Salford City 1582 1523 37.60% 29.02% 33.38%+0.1361.4
2027-01-19 Crawley Town 1422 1413 42.83% 28.84% 28.33%+0.1950.3
2027-01-19 @ Shrewsbury Town 1413 1422 28.33% 28.84% 42.83%-0.1950.3
2027-01-19 Barnet 1512 1617 27.40% 28.78% 43.83%-0.3557.3
2027-01-19 @ Swindon Town 1617 1512 43.83% 28.78% 27.40%+0.3557.3
2027-01-19 Northampton Town 1485 1486 41.44% 28.91% 29.65%+0.1457.5
2027-01-19 @ Tranmere Rovers 1486 1485 29.65% 28.91% 41.44%-0.1457.5
2027-01-23 Rochdale 1454 1440 43.57% 28.79% 27.64%+0.2256.2
2027-01-23 @ Accrington Stanley 1440 1454 27.64% 28.79% 43.57%-0.2256.2
2027-01-23 Northampton Town 1520 1486 46.04% 28.61% 25.35%+0.3152.0
2027-01-23 @ Colchester United 1486 1520 25.35% 28.61% 46.04%-0.3152.0
2027-01-23 Chesterfield 1552 1563 40.10% 28.96% 30.94%+0.0963.6
2027-01-23 @ Crewe Alexandra 1563 1552 30.94% 28.96% 40.10%-0.0963.6
2027-01-23 Exeter City 1551 1563 39.97% 28.96% 31.07%+0.0960.4
2027-01-23 @ Fleetwood Town 1563 1551 31.07% 28.96% 39.97%-0.0960.4
2027-01-23 Gillingham 1613 1507 54.35% 27.49% 18.16%+0.6550.4
2027-01-23 @ Grimsby Town 1507 1613 18.16% 27.49% 54.35%-0.6550.4
2027-01-23 Cheltenham Town 1459 1530 31.77% 28.98% 39.25%-0.1958.5
2027-01-23 @ Newport County 1530 1459 39.25% 28.98% 31.77%+0.1958.5
2027-01-23 Barnet 1549 1617 32.25% 29.00% 38.76%-0.1764.4
2027-01-23 @ Oldham Athletic 1617 1549 38.76% 29.00% 32.25%+0.1764.4
2027-01-23 York City 1523 1622 28.16% 28.83% 43.01%-0.3252.6
2027-01-23 @ Port Vale 1622 1523 43.01% 28.83% 28.16%+0.3252.6
2027-01-23 Walsall 1523 1555 37.24% 29.02% 33.74%+0.0060.6
2027-01-23 @ Salford City 1555 1523 33.74% 29.02% 37.24%+0.0060.6
2027-01-23 Rotherham United 1422 1548 24.93% 28.57% 46.50%-0.4539.6
2027-01-23 @ Shrewsbury Town 1548 1422 46.50% 28.57% 24.93%+0.4539.6
2027-01-23 Bristol Rovers 1512 1582 31.84% 28.99% 39.17%-0.1960.0
2027-01-23 @ Swindon Town 1582 1512 39.17% 28.99% 31.84%+0.1960.0
2027-01-23 Crawley Town 1485 1413 50.59% 28.10% 21.31%+0.4945.9
2027-01-23 @ Tranmere Rovers 1413 1485 21.31% 28.10% 50.59%-0.4945.9
2027-01-30 Fleetwood Town 1582 1551 45.69% 28.64% 25.67%+0.2966.4
2027-01-30 @ Bristol Rovers 1551 1582 25.67% 28.64% 45.69%-0.2966.4
2027-01-30 Tranmere Rovers 1530 1485 47.39% 28.48% 24.13%+0.3662.5
2027-01-30 @ Cheltenham Town 1485 1530 24.13% 28.48% 47.39%-0.3662.5
2027-01-30 Oldham Athletic 1413 1549 23.75% 28.44% 47.81%-0.5039.3
2027-01-30 @ Crawley Town 1549 1413 47.81% 28.44% 23.75%+0.5039.3
2027-01-30 Salford City 1563 1523 46.81% 28.54% 24.65%+0.3454.6
2027-01-30 @ Exeter City 1523 1563 24.65% 28.54% 46.81%-0.3454.6
2027-01-30 Crewe Alexandra 1617 1552 49.74% 28.21% 22.04%+0.4562.1
2027-01-30 @ Barnet 1552 1617 22.04% 28.21% 49.74%-0.4562.1
2027-01-30 Newport County 1563 1459 54.18% 27.52% 18.30%+0.6448.4
2027-01-30 @ Chesterfield 1459 1563 18.30% 27.52% 54.18%-0.6448.4
2027-01-30 Shrewsbury Town 1507 1422 52.07% 27.88% 20.04%+0.5541.3
2027-01-30 @ Gillingham 1422 1507 20.04% 27.88% 52.07%-0.5541.3
2027-01-30 Accrington Stanley 1486 1454 45.79% 28.63% 25.58%+0.3052.7
2027-01-30 @ Northampton Town 1454 1486 25.58% 28.63% 45.79%-0.3052.7
2027-01-30 Port Vale 1440 1523 30.07% 28.92% 41.01%-0.2541.2
2027-01-30 @ Rochdale 1523 1440 41.01% 28.92% 30.07%+0.2541.2
2027-01-30 Swindon Town 1548 1512 46.29% 28.59% 25.13%+0.3260.9
2027-01-30 @ Rotherham United 1512 1548 25.13% 28.59% 46.29%-0.3260.9
2027-01-30 Colchester United 1555 1520 46.16% 28.60% 25.24%+0.3159.3
2027-01-30 @ Walsall 1520 1555 25.24% 28.60% 46.16%-0.3159.3
2027-01-30 Grimsby Town 1622 1613 42.79% 28.84% 28.37%+0.1975.2
2027-01-30 @ York City 1613 1622 28.37% 28.84% 42.79%-0.1975.2
2027-02-06 Walsall 1454 1555 27.91% 28.81% 43.29%-0.3350.0
2027-02-06 @ Accrington Stanley 1555 1454 43.29% 28.81% 27.91%+0.3350.0
2027-02-06 Crawley Town 1582 1413 60.43% 26.04% 13.54%+0.9540.7
2027-02-06 @ Bristol Rovers 1413 1582 13.54% 26.04% 60.43%-0.9540.7
2027-02-06 Barnet 1530 1617 29.62% 28.90% 41.48%-0.2763.0
2027-02-06 @ Cheltenham Town 1617 1530 41.48% 28.90% 29.62%+0.2763.0
2027-02-06 Port Vale 1552 1523 45.40% 28.66% 25.94%+0.2854.7
2027-02-06 @ Crewe Alexandra 1523 1552 25.94% 28.66% 45.40%-0.2854.7
2027-02-06 York City 1563 1622 33.43% 29.02% 37.55%-0.1361.5
2027-02-06 @ Exeter City 1622 1563 37.55% 29.02% 33.43%+0.1361.5
2027-02-06 Rotherham United 1563 1548 43.71% 28.78% 27.50%+0.2266.1
2027-02-06 @ Chesterfield 1548 1563 27.50% 28.78% 43.71%-0.2266.1
2027-02-06 Grimsby Town 1551 1613 32.93% 29.01% 38.06%-0.1559.2
2027-02-06 @ Fleetwood Town 1613 1551 38.06% 29.01% 32.93%+0.1559.2
2027-02-06 Gillingham 1486 1507 38.79% 29.00% 32.21%+0.0555.0
2027-02-06 @ Northampton Town 1507 1486 32.21% 29.00% 38.79%-0.0555.0
2027-02-06 Colchester United 1440 1520 30.49% 28.94% 40.57%-0.2344.6
2027-02-06 @ Rochdale 1520 1440 40.57% 28.94% 30.49%+0.2344.6
2027-02-06 Shrewsbury Town 1523 1422 53.82% 27.59% 18.59%+0.6238.3
2027-02-06 @ Salford City 1422 1523 18.59% 27.59% 53.82%-0.6238.3
2027-02-06 Oldham Athletic 1512 1549 36.42% 29.03% 34.55%-0.0360.2
2027-02-06 @ Swindon Town 1549 1512 34.55% 29.03% 36.42%+0.0360.2
2027-02-06 Newport County 1485 1459 45.04% 28.69% 26.27%+0.2760.6
2027-02-06 @ Tranmere Rovers 1459 1485 26.27% 28.69% 45.04%-0.2760.6
2027-02-09 Bristol Rovers 1520 1582 32.96% 29.01% 38.02%-0.1560.8
2027-02-09 @ Colchester United 1582 1520 38.02% 29.01% 32.96%+0.1560.8
2027-02-09 Northampton Town 1413 1486 31.43% 28.97% 39.60%-0.2041.3
2027-02-09 @ Crawley Town 1486 1413 39.60% 28.97% 31.43%+0.2041.3
2027-02-09 Exeter City 1617 1563 48.43% 28.37% 23.20%+0.4062.5
2027-02-09 @ Barnet 1563 1617 23.20% 28.37% 48.43%-0.4062.5
2027-02-09 Chesterfield 1507 1563 33.74% 29.02% 37.24%-0.1257.3
2027-02-09 @ Gillingham 1563 1507 37.24% 29.02% 33.74%+0.1257.3
2027-02-09 Accrington Stanley 1613 1454 59.50% 26.30% 14.20%+0.9045.1
2027-02-09 @ Grimsby Town 1454 1613 14.20% 26.30% 59.50%-0.9045.1
2027-02-09 Salford City 1459 1523 32.65% 29.01% 38.35%-0.1653.8
2027-02-09 @ Newport County 1523 1459 38.35% 29.01% 32.65%+0.1653.8
2027-02-09 Fleetwood Town 1549 1551 41.43% 28.91% 29.66%+0.1465.5
2027-02-09 @ Oldham Athletic 1551 1549 29.66% 28.91% 41.43%-0.1465.5
2027-02-09 Swindon Town 1523 1512 43.16% 28.82% 28.02%+0.2057.6
2027-02-09 @ Port Vale 1512 1523 28.02% 28.82% 43.16%-0.2057.6
2027-02-09 Tranmere Rovers 1548 1485 49.56% 28.24% 22.21%+0.4456.0
2027-02-09 @ Rotherham United 1485 1548 22.21% 28.24% 49.56%-0.4456.0
2027-02-09 Rochdale 1422 1440 39.21% 28.99% 31.81%+0.0649.4
2027-02-09 @ Shrewsbury Town 1440 1422 31.81% 28.99% 39.21%-0.0649.4
2027-02-09 Crewe Alexandra 1555 1552 42.02% 28.88% 29.10%+0.1664.3
2027-02-09 @ Walsall 1552 1555 29.10% 28.88% 42.02%-0.1664.3
2027-02-09 Cheltenham Town 1622 1530 52.87% 27.75% 19.38%+0.5860.5
2027-02-09 @ York City 1530 1622 19.38% 27.75% 52.87%-0.5860.5
2027-02-13 Swindon Town 1520 1512 42.73% 28.84% 28.42%+0.1962.1
2027-02-13 @ Colchester United 1512 1520 28.42% 28.84% 42.73%-0.1962.1
2027-02-13 Accrington Stanley 1413 1454 35.88% 29.03% 35.09%-0.0552.7
2027-02-13 @ Crawley Town 1454 1413 35.09% 29.03% 35.88%+0.0552.7
2027-02-13 Chesterfield 1617 1563 48.41% 28.37% 23.21%+0.4066.2
2027-02-13 @ Barnet 1563 1617 23.21% 28.37% 48.41%-0.4066.2
2027-02-13 Rochdale 1507 1440 50.06% 28.17% 21.77%+0.4646.2
2027-02-13 @ Gillingham 1440 1507 21.77% 28.17% 50.06%-0.4646.2
2027-02-13 Cheltenham Town 1613 1530 51.91% 27.91% 20.18%+0.5459.6
2027-02-13 @ Grimsby Town 1530 1613 20.18% 27.91% 51.91%-0.5459.6
2027-02-13 Northampton Town 1459 1486 37.87% 29.02% 33.12%+0.0254.1
2027-02-13 @ Newport County 1486 1459 33.12% 29.02% 37.87%-0.0254.1
2027-02-13 Tranmere Rovers 1549 1485 49.76% 28.21% 22.03%+0.4554.6
2027-02-13 @ Oldham Athletic 1485 1549 22.03% 28.21% 49.76%-0.4554.6
2027-02-13 Salford City 1523 1523 41.66% 28.90% 29.44%+0.1558.8
2027-02-13 @ Port Vale 1523 1523 29.44% 28.90% 41.66%-0.1558.8
2027-02-13 Bristol Rovers 1548 1582 36.88% 29.03% 34.09%-0.0268.3
2027-02-13 @ Rotherham United 1582 1548 34.09% 29.03% 36.88%+0.0268.3
2027-02-13 Fleetwood Town 1422 1551 24.57% 28.53% 46.90%-0.4637.5
2027-02-13 @ Shrewsbury Town 1551 1422 46.90% 28.53% 24.57%+0.4637.5
2027-02-13 Exeter City 1555 1563 40.52% 28.94% 30.54%+0.1162.0
2027-02-13 @ Walsall 1563 1555 30.54% 28.94% 40.52%-0.1162.0
2027-02-13 Crewe Alexandra 1622 1552 50.35% 28.13% 21.52%+0.4860.3
2027-02-13 @ York City 1552 1622 21.52% 28.13% 50.35%-0.4860.3
2027-02-20 Barnet 1454 1617 21.09% 28.07% 50.85%-0.6250.9
2027-02-20 @ Accrington Stanley 1617 1454 50.85% 28.07% 21.09%+0.6250.9
2027-02-20 Grimsby Town 1582 1613 37.34% 29.02% 33.64%+0.0070.5
2027-02-20 @ Bristol Rovers 1613 1582 33.64% 29.02% 37.34%+0.0070.5
2027-02-20 Crawley Town 1530 1413 55.43% 27.28% 17.30%+0.7044.8
2027-02-20 @ Cheltenham Town 1413 1530 17.30% 27.28% 55.43%-0.7044.8
2027-02-20 Colchester United 1552 1520 45.81% 28.63% 25.57%+0.3057.5
2027-02-20 @ Crewe Alexandra 1520 1552 25.57% 28.63% 45.81%-0.3057.5
2027-02-20 Port Vale 1563 1523 46.79% 28.54% 24.67%+0.3352.0
2027-02-20 @ Exeter City 1523 1563 24.67% 28.54% 46.79%-0.3352.0
2027-02-20 Oldham Athletic 1563 1549 43.49% 28.80% 27.71%+0.2165.2
2027-02-20 @ Chesterfield 1549 1563 27.71% 28.80% 43.49%-0.2165.2
2027-02-20 Newport County 1551 1459 52.85% 27.76% 19.39%+0.5848.7
2027-02-20 @ Fleetwood Town 1459 1551 19.39% 27.76% 52.85%-0.5848.7
2027-02-20 Shrewsbury Town 1486 1422 49.72% 28.22% 22.07%+0.4540.9
2027-02-20 @ Northampton Town 1422 1486 22.07% 28.22% 49.72%-0.4540.9
2027-02-20 Walsall 1440 1555 26.15% 28.68% 45.17%-0.4041.8
2027-02-20 @ Rochdale 1555 1440 45.17% 28.68% 26.15%+0.4041.8
2027-02-20 Rotherham United 1523 1548 38.26% 29.01% 32.73%+0.0362.6
2027-02-20 @ Salford City 1548 1523 32.73% 29.01% 38.26%-0.0362.6
2027-02-20 York City 1512 1622 26.77% 28.73% 44.50%-0.3756.0
2027-02-20 @ Swindon Town 1622 1512 44.50% 28.73% 26.77%+0.3756.0
2027-02-20 Gillingham 1485 1507 38.59% 29.00% 32.40%+0.0461.2
2027-02-20 @ Tranmere Rovers 1507 1485 32.40% 29.00% 38.59%-0.0461.2
2027-02-27 Port Vale 1454 1523 32.00% 28.99% 39.00%-0.1848.2
2027-02-27 @ Accrington Stanley 1523 1454 39.00% 28.99% 32.00%+0.1848.2
2027-02-27 Exeter City 1530 1563 36.98% 29.03% 33.99%-0.0163.1
2027-02-27 @ Cheltenham Town 1563 1530 33.99% 29.03% 36.98%+0.0163.1
2027-02-27 Rotherham United 1413 1548 23.94% 28.46% 47.60%-0.4940.6
2027-02-27 @ Crawley Town 1548 1413 47.60% 28.46% 23.94%+0.4940.6
2027-02-27 Walsall 1617 1555 49.41% 28.26% 22.33%+0.4464.4
2027-02-27 @ Barnet 1555 1617 22.33% 28.26% 49.41%-0.4464.4
2027-02-27 Bristol Rovers 1563 1582 39.08% 28.99% 31.93%+0.0670.2
2027-02-27 @ Chesterfield 1582 1563 31.93% 28.99% 39.08%-0.0670.2
2027-02-27 Colchester United 1507 1520 39.85% 28.97% 31.18%+0.0861.5
2027-02-27 @ Gillingham 1520 1507 31.18% 28.97% 39.85%-0.0861.5
2027-02-27 Swindon Town 1613 1512 53.84% 27.58% 18.58%+0.6351.2
2027-02-27 @ Grimsby Town 1512 1613 18.58% 27.58% 53.84%-0.6351.2
2027-02-27 Crewe Alexandra 1459 1552 28.82% 28.86% 42.31%-0.2948.9
2027-02-27 @ Newport County 1552 1459 42.31% 28.86% 28.82%+0.2948.9
2027-02-27 Salford City 1486 1523 36.52% 29.03% 34.45%-0.0352.3
2027-02-27 @ Northampton Town 1523 1486 34.45% 29.03% 36.52%+0.0352.3
2027-02-27 Shrewsbury Town 1549 1422 56.52% 27.04% 16.44%+0.7536.7
2027-02-27 @ Oldham Athletic 1422 1549 16.44% 27.04% 56.52%-0.7536.7
2027-02-27 Fleetwood Town 1485 1551 32.39% 29.00% 38.61%-0.1754.3
2027-02-27 @ Tranmere Rovers 1551 1485 38.61% 29.00% 32.39%+0.1754.3
2027-02-27 Rochdale 1622 1440 61.57% 25.69% 12.74%+1.0142.3
2027-02-27 @ York City 1440 1622 12.74% 25.69% 61.57%-1.0142.3
2027-03-06 York City 1582 1622 36.10% 29.03% 34.86%-0.0471.8
2027-03-06 @ Bristol Rovers 1622 1582 34.86% 29.03% 36.10%+0.0471.8
2027-03-06 Accrington Stanley 1520 1454 49.89% 28.20% 21.92%+0.4652.1
2027-03-06 @ Colchester United 1454 1520 21.92% 28.20% 49.89%-0.4652.1
2027-03-06 Crawley Town 1552 1413 57.66% 26.78% 15.57%+0.8035.2
2027-03-06 @ Crewe Alexandra 1413 1552 15.57% 26.78% 57.66%-0.8035.2
2027-03-06 Grimsby Town 1563 1613 34.65% 29.03% 36.32%-0.0958.2
2027-03-06 @ Exeter City 1613 1563 36.32% 29.03% 34.65%+0.0958.2
2027-03-06 Chesterfield 1551 1563 39.95% 28.96% 31.09%+0.0964.6
2027-03-06 @ Fleetwood Town 1563 1551 31.09% 28.96% 39.95%-0.0964.6
2027-03-06 Oldham Athletic 1523 1549 38.04% 29.01% 32.95%+0.0257.1
2027-03-06 @ Port Vale 1549 1523 32.95% 29.01% 38.04%-0.0257.1
2027-03-06 Newport County 1440 1459 39.02% 28.99% 31.99%+0.0656.0
2027-03-06 @ Rochdale 1459 1440 31.99% 28.99% 39.02%-0.0656.0
2027-03-06 Cheltenham Town 1548 1530 44.03% 28.76% 27.21%+0.2369.5
2027-03-06 @ Rotherham United 1530 1548 27.21% 28.76% 44.03%-0.2369.5
2027-03-06 Barnet 1523 1617 28.79% 28.86% 42.34%-0.3058.5
2027-03-06 @ Salford City 1617 1523 42.34% 28.86% 28.79%+0.3058.5
2027-03-06 Tranmere Rovers 1422 1485 32.84% 29.01% 38.15%-0.1546.8
2027-03-06 @ Shrewsbury Town 1485 1422 38.15% 29.01% 32.84%+0.1546.8
2027-03-06 Northampton Town 1512 1486 45.00% 28.69% 26.31%+0.2754.0
2027-03-06 @ Swindon Town 1486 1512 26.31% 28.69% 45.00%-0.2754.0
2027-03-06 Gillingham 1555 1507 47.78% 28.44% 23.78%+0.3757.6
2027-03-06 @ Walsall 1507 1555 23.78% 28.44% 47.78%-0.3757.6
2027-03-13 Exeter City 1454 1563 26.90% 28.74% 44.36%-0.3744.5
2027-03-13 @ Accrington Stanley 1563 1454 44.36% 28.74% 26.90%+0.3744.5
2027-03-13 Swindon Town 1530 1512 43.98% 28.77% 27.26%+0.2367.5
2027-03-13 @ Cheltenham Town 1512 1530 27.26% 28.77% 43.98%-0.2367.5
2027-03-13 Rochdale 1413 1440 37.95% 29.01% 33.03%+0.0249.3
2027-03-13 @ Crawley Town 1440 1413 33.03% 29.01% 37.95%-0.0249.3
2027-03-13 Shrewsbury Town 1617 1422 62.64% 25.34% 12.02%+1.0740.8
2027-03-13 @ Barnet 1422 1617 12.02% 25.34% 62.64%-1.0740.8
2027-03-13 Salford City 1563 1523 46.83% 28.54% 24.63%+0.3458.7
2027-03-13 @ Chesterfield 1523 1563 24.63% 28.54% 46.83%-0.3458.7
2027-03-13 Fleetwood Town 1507 1551 35.50% 29.04% 35.47%-0.0657.8
2027-03-13 @ Gillingham 1551 1507 35.47% 29.04% 35.50%+0.0657.8
2027-03-13 Walsall 1613 1555 49.00% 28.30% 22.69%+0.4260.1
2027-03-13 @ Grimsby Town 1555 1613 22.69% 28.30% 49.00%-0.4260.1
2027-03-13 Bristol Rovers 1459 1582 25.23% 28.60% 46.18%-0.4452.0
2027-03-13 @ Newport County 1582 1459 46.18% 28.60% 25.23%+0.4452.0
2027-03-13 Crewe Alexandra 1486 1552 32.43% 29.00% 38.57%-0.1747.6
2027-03-13 @ Northampton Town 1552 1486 38.57% 29.00% 32.43%+0.1747.6
2027-03-13 Colchester United 1549 1520 45.47% 28.66% 25.88%+0.2860.1
2027-03-13 @ Oldham Athletic 1520 1549 25.88% 28.66% 45.47%-0.2860.1
2027-03-13 Port Vale 1485 1523 36.29% 29.03% 34.68%-0.0453.7
2027-03-13 @ Tranmere Rovers 1523 1485 34.68% 29.03% 36.29%+0.0453.7
2027-03-13 Rotherham United 1622 1548 50.85% 28.07% 21.08%+0.5062.0
2027-03-13 @ York City 1548 1622 21.08% 28.07% 50.85%-0.5062.0
2027-03-20 Cheltenham Town 1582 1530 48.32% 28.38% 23.30%+0.3966.2
2027-03-20 @ Bristol Rovers 1530 1582 23.30% 28.38% 48.32%-0.3966.2
2027-03-20 Tranmere Rovers 1520 1485 46.22% 28.59% 25.19%+0.3157.8
2027-03-20 @ Colchester United 1485 1520 25.19% 28.59% 46.22%-0.3157.8
2027-03-20 Gillingham 1552 1507 47.43% 28.48% 24.09%+0.3655.7
2027-03-20 @ Crewe Alexandra 1507 1552 24.09% 28.48% 47.43%-0.3655.7
2027-03-20 Oldham Athletic 1563 1549 43.47% 28.80% 27.74%+0.2160.8
2027-03-20 @ Exeter City 1549 1563 27.74% 28.80% 43.47%-0.2160.8
2027-03-20 Crawley Town 1551 1413 57.55% 26.80% 15.65%+0.8036.3
2027-03-20 @ Fleetwood Town 1413 1551 15.65% 26.80% 57.55%-0.8036.3
2027-03-20 Barnet 1523 1617 28.82% 28.86% 42.32%-0.3054.4
2027-03-20 @ Port Vale 1617 1523 42.32% 28.86% 28.82%+0.3054.4
2027-03-20 Northampton Town 1440 1486 35.14% 29.03% 35.83%-0.0746.3
2027-03-20 @ Rochdale 1486 1440 35.83% 29.03% 35.14%+0.0746.3
2027-03-20 Grimsby Town 1548 1613 32.48% 29.00% 38.51%-0.1660.8
2027-03-20 @ Rotherham United 1613 1548 38.51% 29.00% 32.48%+0.1660.8
2027-03-20 Accrington Stanley 1523 1454 50.24% 28.15% 21.61%+0.4751.7
2027-03-20 @ Salford City 1454 1523 21.61% 28.15% 50.24%-0.4751.7
2027-03-20 Chesterfield 1422 1563 23.22% 28.37% 48.41%-0.5237.6
2027-03-20 @ Shrewsbury Town 1563 1422 48.41% 28.37% 23.22%+0.5237.6
2027-03-20 Newport County 1512 1459 48.38% 28.38% 23.24%+0.4055.6
2027-03-20 @ Swindon Town 1459 1512 23.24% 28.38% 48.38%-0.4055.6
2027-03-20 York City 1555 1622 32.29% 29.00% 38.71%-0.1763.9
2027-03-20 @ Walsall 1622 1555 38.71% 29.00% 32.29%+0.1763.9
2027-03-26 Northampton Town 1582 1486 53.25% 27.69% 19.06%+0.6047.9
2027-03-26 @ Bristol Rovers 1486 1582 19.06% 27.69% 53.25%-0.6047.9
2027-03-26 Walsall 1530 1555 38.15% 29.01% 32.84%+0.0368.2
2027-03-26 @ Cheltenham Town 1555 1530 32.84% 29.01% 38.15%-0.0368.2
2027-03-26 Swindon Town 1413 1512 28.12% 28.82% 43.05%-0.3242.5
2027-03-26 @ Crawley Town 1512 1413 43.05% 28.82% 28.12%+0.3242.5
2027-03-26 Gillingham 1563 1507 48.77% 28.33% 22.90%+0.4151.9
2027-03-26 @ Exeter City 1507 1563 22.90% 28.33% 48.77%-0.4151.9
2027-03-26 Newport County 1617 1459 59.41% 26.33% 14.27%+0.8949.4
2027-03-26 @ Barnet 1459 1617 14.27% 26.33% 59.41%-0.8949.4
2027-03-26 Rochdale 1563 1440 56.14% 27.13% 16.73%+0.7339.3
2027-03-26 @ Chesterfield 1440 1563 16.73% 27.13% 56.14%-0.7339.3
2027-03-26 Port Vale 1551 1523 45.25% 28.67% 26.07%+0.2855.6
2027-03-26 @ Fleetwood Town 1523 1551 26.07% 28.67% 45.25%-0.2855.6
2027-03-26 Crewe Alexandra 1549 1552 41.27% 28.91% 29.81%+0.1364.2
2027-03-26 @ Oldham Athletic 1552 1549 29.81% 28.91% 41.27%-0.1364.2
2027-03-26 Colchester United 1548 1520 45.25% 28.67% 26.08%+0.2861.5
2027-03-26 @ Rotherham United 1520 1548 26.08% 28.67% 45.25%-0.2861.5
2027-03-26 York City 1523 1622 28.14% 28.82% 43.04%-0.3257.0
2027-03-26 @ Salford City 1622 1523 43.04% 28.82% 28.14%+0.3257.0
2027-03-26 Accrington Stanley 1422 1454 37.16% 29.03% 33.82%-0.0152.1
2027-03-26 @ Shrewsbury Town 1454 1422 33.82% 29.03% 37.16%+0.0152.1
2027-03-26 Grimsby Town 1485 1613 24.64% 28.54% 46.82%-0.4649.7
2027-03-26 @ Tranmere Rovers 1613 1485 46.82% 28.54% 24.64%+0.4649.7
2027-03-29 Tranmere Rovers 1454 1485 37.43% 29.02% 33.55%+0.0060.3
2027-03-29 @ Accrington Stanley 1485 1454 33.55% 29.02% 37.43%+0.0060.3
2027-03-29 Barnet 1520 1617 28.41% 28.84% 42.75%-0.3157.9
2027-03-29 @ Colchester United 1617 1520 42.75% 28.84% 28.41%+0.3157.9
2027-03-29 Fleetwood Town 1552 1551 41.79% 28.89% 29.32%+0.1563.3
2027-03-29 @ Crewe Alexandra 1551 1552 29.32% 28.89% 41.79%-0.1563.3
2027-03-29 Crawley Town 1507 1413 53.05% 27.72% 19.22%+0.5941.6
2027-03-29 @ Gillingham 1413 1507 19.22% 27.72% 53.05%-0.5941.6
2027-03-29 Salford City 1613 1523 52.63% 27.79% 19.58%+0.5752.2
2027-03-29 @ Grimsby Town 1523 1613 19.58% 27.79% 52.63%-0.5752.2
2027-03-29 Exeter City 1459 1563 27.45% 28.78% 43.77%-0.3545.3
2027-03-29 @ Newport County 1563 1459 43.77% 28.78% 27.45%+0.3545.3
2027-03-29 Chesterfield 1486 1563 30.91% 28.96% 40.13%-0.2247.6
2027-03-29 @ Northampton Town 1563 1486 40.13% 28.96% 30.91%+0.2247.6
2027-03-29 Cheltenham Town 1523 1530 40.79% 28.93% 30.28%+0.1264.4
2027-03-29 @ Port Vale 1530 1523 30.28% 28.93% 40.79%-0.1264.4
2027-03-29 Rotherham United 1440 1548 27.01% 28.75% 44.24%-0.3643.5
2027-03-29 @ Rochdale 1548 1440 44.24% 28.75% 27.01%+0.3643.5
2027-03-29 Shrewsbury Town 1512 1422 52.61% 27.80% 19.59%+0.5740.7
2027-03-29 @ Swindon Town 1422 1512 19.59% 27.80% 52.61%-0.5740.7
2027-03-29 Bristol Rovers 1555 1582 37.90% 29.01% 33.08%+0.0268.7
2027-03-29 @ Walsall 1582 1555 33.08% 29.01% 37.90%-0.0268.7
2027-03-29 Oldham Athletic 1622 1549 50.66% 28.09% 21.25%+0.4961.6
2027-03-29 @ York City 1549 1622 21.25% 28.09% 50.66%-0.4961.6
2027-04-03 Port Vale 1582 1523 49.07% 28.30% 22.63%+0.4255.8
2027-04-03 @ Bristol Rovers 1523 1582 22.63% 28.30% 49.07%-0.4255.8
2027-04-03 Northampton Town 1530 1486 47.21% 28.50% 24.29%+0.3556.8
2027-04-03 @ Cheltenham Town 1486 1530 24.29% 28.50% 47.21%-0.3556.8
2027-04-03 Colchester United 1413 1520 27.11% 28.76% 44.13%-0.3640.6
2027-04-03 @ Crawley Town 1520 1413 44.13% 28.76% 27.11%+0.3640.6
2027-04-03 Swindon Town 1563 1512 48.19% 28.40% 23.41%+0.3953.0
2027-04-03 @ Exeter City 1512 1563 23.41% 28.40% 48.19%-0.3953.0
2027-04-03 Gillingham 1617 1507 54.71% 27.42% 17.87%+0.6654.9
2027-04-03 @ Barnet 1507 1617 17.87% 27.42% 54.71%-0.6654.9
2027-04-03 Walsall 1563 1555 42.76% 28.84% 28.40%+0.1966.2
2027-04-03 @ Chesterfield 1555 1563 28.40% 28.84% 42.76%-0.1966.2
2027-04-03 York City 1551 1622 31.75% 28.98% 39.27%-0.1962.2
2027-04-03 @ Fleetwood Town 1622 1551 39.27% 28.98% 31.75%+0.1962.2
2027-04-03 Grimsby Town 1549 1613 32.72% 29.01% 38.27%-0.1660.0
2027-04-03 @ Oldham Athletic 1613 1549 38.27% 29.01% 32.72%+0.1660.0
2027-04-03 Accrington Stanley 1548 1454 52.99% 27.73% 19.28%+0.5950.4
2027-04-03 @ Rotherham United 1454 1548 19.28% 27.73% 52.99%-0.5950.4
2027-04-03 Rochdale 1523 1440 51.89% 27.91% 20.20%+0.5442.8
2027-04-03 @ Salford City 1440 1523 20.20% 27.91% 51.89%-0.5442.8
2027-04-03 Newport County 1422 1459 36.51% 29.03% 34.45%-0.0351.6
2027-04-03 @ Shrewsbury Town 1459 1422 34.45% 29.03% 36.51%+0.0351.6
2027-04-03 Crewe Alexandra 1485 1552 32.23% 29.00% 38.77%-0.1753.0
2027-04-03 @ Tranmere Rovers 1552 1485 38.77% 29.00% 32.23%+0.1753.0
2027-04-10 Bristol Rovers 1454 1582 24.71% 28.54% 46.74%-0.4651.3
2027-04-10 @ Accrington Stanley 1582 1454 46.74% 28.54% 24.71%+0.4651.3
2027-04-10 Salford City 1520 1523 41.23% 28.92% 29.86%+0.1362.2
2027-04-10 @ Colchester United 1523 1520 29.86% 28.92% 41.23%-0.1362.2
2027-04-10 Cheltenham Town 1552 1530 44.60% 28.72% 26.68%+0.2566.2
2027-04-10 @ Crewe Alexandra 1530 1552 26.68% 28.72% 44.60%-0.2566.2
2027-04-10 Oldham Athletic 1507 1549 35.72% 29.03% 35.24%-0.0559.2
2027-04-10 @ Gillingham 1549 1507 35.24% 29.03% 35.72%+0.0559.2
2027-04-10 Chesterfield 1613 1563 48.00% 28.42% 23.58%+0.3861.9
2027-04-10 @ Grimsby Town 1563 1613 23.58% 28.42% 48.00%-0.3861.9
2027-04-10 Crawley Town 1459 1413 47.52% 28.47% 24.01%+0.3651.2
2027-04-10 @ Newport County 1413 1459 24.01% 28.47% 47.52%-0.3651.2
2027-04-10 Barnet 1486 1617 24.42% 28.51% 47.07%-0.4748.5
2027-04-10 @ Northampton Town 1617 1486 47.07% 28.51% 24.42%+0.4748.5
2027-04-10 Shrewsbury Town 1523 1422 53.84% 27.58% 18.57%+0.6335.7
2027-04-10 @ Port Vale 1422 1523 18.57% 27.58% 53.84%-0.6335.7
2027-04-10 Exeter City 1440 1563 25.19% 28.59% 46.21%-0.4437.7
2027-04-10 @ Rochdale 1563 1440 46.21% 28.59% 25.19%+0.4437.7
2027-04-10 Fleetwood Town 1512 1551 36.20% 29.03% 34.77%-0.0458.8
2027-04-10 @ Swindon Town 1551 1512 34.77% 29.03% 36.20%+0.0458.8
2027-04-10 Rotherham United 1555 1548 42.60% 28.85% 28.55%+0.1867.1
2027-04-10 @ Walsall 1548 1555 28.55% 28.85% 42.60%-0.1867.1
2027-04-10 Tranmere Rovers 1622 1485 57.46% 26.83% 15.72%+0.7951.0
2027-04-10 @ York City 1485 1622 15.72% 26.83% 57.46%-0.7951.0
2027-04-13 Oldham Athletic 1454 1549 28.59% 28.85% 42.56%-0.3050.6
2027-04-13 @ Accrington Stanley 1549 1454 42.56% 28.85% 28.59%+0.3050.6
2027-04-13 Newport County 1520 1459 49.36% 28.26% 22.38%+0.4453.2
2027-04-13 @ Colchester United 1459 1520 22.38% 28.26% 49.36%-0.4453.2
2027-04-13 Swindon Town 1552 1512 46.83% 28.54% 24.63%+0.3456.8
2027-04-13 @ Crewe Alexandra 1512 1552 24.63% 28.54% 46.83%-0.3456.8
2027-04-13 Shrewsbury Town 1563 1422 57.86% 26.73% 15.41%+0.8132.8
2027-04-13 @ Exeter City 1422 1563 15.41% 26.73% 57.86%-0.8132.8
2027-04-13 Bristol Rovers 1617 1582 46.13% 28.60% 25.27%+0.3172.3
2027-04-13 @ Barnet 1582 1617 25.27% 28.60% 46.13%-0.3172.3
2027-04-13 Crawley Town 1563 1413 58.73% 26.51% 14.77%+0.8636.7
2027-04-13 @ Chesterfield 1413 1563 14.77% 26.51% 58.73%-0.8636.7
2027-04-13 Rotherham United 1507 1548 35.97% 29.03% 35.00%-0.0560.6
2027-04-13 @ Gillingham 1548 1507 35.00% 29.03% 35.97%+0.0560.6
2027-04-13 Port Vale 1613 1523 52.61% 27.80% 19.60%+0.5747.8
2027-04-13 @ Grimsby Town 1523 1613 19.60% 27.80% 52.61%-0.5747.8
2027-04-13 York City 1486 1622 23.84% 28.45% 47.71%-0.5047.0
2027-04-13 @ Northampton Town 1622 1486 47.71% 28.45% 23.84%+0.5047.0
2027-04-13 Tranmere Rovers 1440 1485 35.34% 29.04% 35.62%-0.0751.6
2027-04-13 @ Rochdale 1485 1440 35.62% 29.04% 35.34%+0.0751.6
2027-04-13 Cheltenham Town 1523 1530 40.76% 28.93% 30.30%+0.1268.8
2027-04-13 @ Salford City 1530 1523 30.30% 28.93% 40.76%-0.1268.8
2027-04-13 Fleetwood Town 1555 1551 42.17% 28.87% 28.96%+0.1765.3
2027-04-13 @ Walsall 1551 1555 28.96% 28.87% 42.17%-0.1765.3
2027-04-17 Gillingham 1582 1507 50.96% 28.05% 20.99%+0.5057.8
2027-04-17 @ Bristol Rovers 1507 1582 20.99% 28.05% 50.96%-0.5057.8
2027-04-17 Colchester United 1530 1520 42.90% 28.83% 28.27%+0.1968.1
2027-04-17 @ Cheltenham Town 1520 1530 28.27% 28.83% 42.90%-0.1968.1
2027-04-17 Grimsby Town 1413 1613 17.67% 27.37% 54.95%-0.8038.6
2027-04-17 @ Crawley Town 1613 1413 54.95% 27.37% 17.67%+0.8038.6
2027-04-17 Barnet 1551 1617 32.46% 29.00% 38.54%-0.1663.9
2027-04-17 @ Fleetwood Town 1617 1551 38.54% 29.00% 32.46%+0.1663.9
2027-04-17 Accrington Stanley 1459 1454 42.24% 28.87% 28.89%+0.1763.8
2027-04-17 @ Newport County 1454 1459 28.89% 28.87% 42.24%-0.1763.8
2027-04-17 Rochdale 1549 1440 54.72% 27.42% 17.86%+0.6640.6
2027-04-17 @ Oldham Athletic 1440 1549 17.86% 27.42% 54.72%-0.6640.6
2027-04-17 Walsall 1523 1555 37.26% 29.02% 33.71%+0.0056.4
2027-04-17 @ Port Vale 1555 1523 33.71% 29.02% 37.26%+0.0056.4
2027-04-17 Northampton Town 1548 1486 49.39% 28.26% 22.35%+0.4449.6
2027-04-17 @ Rotherham United 1486 1548 22.35% 28.26% 49.39%-0.4449.6
2027-04-17 Crewe Alexandra 1422 1552 24.44% 28.52% 47.04%-0.4736.6
2027-04-17 @ Shrewsbury Town 1552 1422 47.04% 28.52% 24.44%+0.4736.6
2027-04-17 Salford City 1512 1523 40.10% 28.96% 30.94%+0.0962.0
2027-04-17 @ Swindon Town 1523 1512 30.94% 28.96% 40.10%-0.0962.0
2027-04-17 Exeter City 1485 1563 30.74% 28.95% 40.31%-0.2249.2
2027-04-17 @ Tranmere Rovers 1563 1485 40.31% 28.95% 30.74%+0.2249.2
2027-04-17 Chesterfield 1622 1563 49.03% 28.30% 22.66%+0.4264.6
2027-04-17 @ York City 1563 1622 22.66% 28.30% 49.03%-0.4264.6
2027-04-24 Swindon Town 1454 1512 33.58% 29.02% 37.40%-0.1355.6
2027-04-24 @ Accrington Stanley 1512 1454 37.40% 29.02% 33.58%+0.1355.6
2027-04-24 Shrewsbury Town 1520 1422 53.50% 27.65% 18.86%+0.6138.7
2027-04-24 @ Colchester United 1422 1520 18.86% 27.65% 53.50%-0.6138.7
2027-04-24 Rotherham United 1552 1548 42.23% 28.87% 28.91%+0.1765.0
2027-04-24 @ Crewe Alexandra 1548 1552 28.91% 28.87% 42.23%-0.1765.0
2027-04-24 Bristol Rovers 1563 1582 39.06% 28.99% 31.95%+0.0665.8
2027-04-24 @ Exeter City 1582 1563 31.95% 28.99% 39.06%-0.0665.8
2027-04-24 Crawley Town 1617 1413 63.39% 25.08% 11.53%+1.1142.2
2027-04-24 @ Barnet 1413 1617 11.53% 25.08% 63.39%-1.1142.2
2027-04-24 Cheltenham Town 1563 1530 46.03% 28.61% 25.36%+0.3166.6
2027-04-24 @ Chesterfield 1530 1563 25.36% 28.61% 46.03%-0.3166.6
2027-04-24 York City 1507 1622 26.19% 28.68% 45.13%-0.4055.2
2027-04-24 @ Gillingham 1622 1507 45.13% 28.68% 26.19%+0.4055.2
2027-04-24 Newport County 1613 1459 59.09% 26.41% 14.50%+0.8845.6
2027-04-24 @ Grimsby Town 1459 1613 14.50% 26.41% 59.09%-0.8845.6
2027-04-24 Port Vale 1486 1523 36.49% 29.03% 34.48%-0.0350.1
2027-04-24 @ Northampton Town 1523 1486 34.48% 29.03% 36.49%+0.0350.1
2027-04-24 Fleetwood Town 1440 1551 26.62% 28.72% 44.66%-0.3841.1
2027-04-24 @ Rochdale 1551 1440 44.66% 28.72% 26.62%+0.3841.1
2027-04-24 Oldham Athletic 1523 1549 38.02% 29.01% 32.97%+0.0261.2
2027-04-24 @ Salford City 1549 1523 32.97% 29.01% 38.02%-0.0261.2
2027-04-24 Tranmere Rovers 1555 1485 50.40% 28.13% 21.47%+0.4853.7
2027-04-24 @ Walsall 1485 1555 21.47% 28.13% 50.40%-0.4853.7
2027-04-27 Crewe Alexandra 1582 1552 45.54% 28.65% 25.81%+0.2965.6
2027-04-27 @ Bristol Rovers 1552 1582 25.81% 28.65% 45.54%-0.2965.6
2027-04-27 Accrington Stanley 1530 1454 50.98% 28.05% 20.97%+0.5056.3
2027-04-27 @ Cheltenham Town 1454 1530 20.97% 28.05% 50.98%-0.5056.3
2027-04-27 Walsall 1413 1555 23.16% 28.37% 48.48%-0.5339.0
2027-04-27 @ Crawley Town 1555 1413 48.48% 28.37% 23.16%+0.5339.0
2027-04-27 Salford City 1551 1523 45.28% 28.67% 26.05%+0.2859.4
2027-04-27 @ Fleetwood Town 1523 1551 26.05% 28.67% 45.28%-0.2859.4
2027-04-27 Gillingham 1459 1507 34.91% 29.03% 36.06%-0.0857.2
2027-04-27 @ Newport County 1507 1459 36.06% 29.03% 34.91%+0.0857.2
2027-04-27 Northampton Town 1549 1486 49.59% 28.23% 22.18%+0.4548.4
2027-04-27 @ Oldham Athletic 1486 1549 22.18% 28.23% 49.59%-0.4548.4
2027-04-27 Colchester United 1523 1520 42.07% 28.88% 29.06%+0.1658.3
2027-04-27 @ Port Vale 1520 1523 29.06% 28.88% 42.07%-0.1658.3
2027-04-27 Exeter City 1548 1563 39.52% 28.98% 31.50%+0.0761.8
2027-04-27 @ Rotherham United 1563 1548 31.50% 28.98% 39.52%-0.0761.8
2027-04-27 Grimsby Town 1422 1613 18.43% 27.55% 54.02%-0.7637.2
2027-04-27 @ Shrewsbury Town 1613 1422 54.02% 27.55% 18.43%+0.7637.2
2027-04-27 Rochdale 1512 1440 50.62% 28.10% 21.28%+0.4945.5
2027-04-27 @ Swindon Town 1440 1512 21.28% 28.10% 50.62%-0.4945.5
2027-04-27 Chesterfield 1485 1563 30.72% 28.95% 40.33%-0.2353.8
2027-04-27 @ Tranmere Rovers 1563 1485 40.33% 28.95% 30.72%+0.2353.8
2027-04-27 Barnet 1622 1617 42.34% 28.86% 28.80%+0.1778.2
2027-04-27 @ York City 1617 1622 28.80% 28.86% 42.34%-0.1778.2
2027-05-01 Fleetwood Town 1454 1551 28.40% 28.84% 42.76%-0.3149.3
2027-05-01 @ Accrington Stanley 1551 1454 42.76% 28.84% 28.40%+0.3149.3
2027-05-01 Shrewsbury Town 1530 1422 54.50% 27.46% 18.04%+0.6644.1
2027-05-01 @ Cheltenham Town 1422 1530 18.04% 27.46% 54.50%-0.6644.1
2027-05-01 Exeter City 1413 1563 22.30% 28.25% 49.45%-0.5634.8
2027-05-01 @ Crawley Town 1563 1413 49.45% 28.25% 22.30%+0.5634.8
2027-05-01 Rochdale 1617 1440 61.12% 25.83% 13.05%+0.9843.5
2027-05-01 @ Barnet 1440 1617 13.05% 25.83% 61.12%-0.9843.5
2027-05-01 Swindon Town 1563 1512 48.21% 28.40% 23.40%+0.3957.4
2027-05-01 @ Chesterfield 1512 1563 23.40% 28.40% 48.21%-0.3957.4
2027-05-01 Salford City 1507 1523 39.43% 28.98% 31.59%+0.0761.2
2027-05-01 @ Gillingham 1523 1507 31.59% 28.98% 39.43%-0.0761.2
2027-05-01 Crewe Alexandra 1613 1552 49.34% 28.26% 22.40%+0.4357.1
2027-05-01 @ Grimsby Town 1552 1613 22.40% 28.26% 49.34%-0.4357.1
2027-05-01 Port Vale 1459 1523 32.62% 29.01% 38.37%-0.1649.2
2027-05-01 @ Newport County 1523 1459 38.37% 29.01% 32.62%+0.1649.2
2027-05-01 Walsall 1486 1555 32.04% 28.99% 38.97%-0.1848.7
2027-05-01 @ Northampton Town 1555 1486 38.97% 28.99% 32.04%+0.1848.7
2027-05-01 Rotherham United 1549 1548 41.87% 28.89% 29.25%+0.1567.7
2027-05-01 @ Oldham Athletic 1548 1549 29.25% 28.89% 41.87%-0.1567.7
2027-05-01 Bristol Rovers 1485 1582 28.32% 28.84% 42.84%-0.3155.6
2027-05-01 @ Tranmere Rovers 1582 1485 42.84% 28.84% 28.32%+0.3155.6
2027-05-01 Colchester United 1622 1520 53.88% 27.58% 18.54%+0.6354.9
2027-05-01 @ York City 1520 1622 18.54% 27.58% 53.88%-0.6354.9
2027-05-08 Oldham Athletic 1582 1549 45.88% 28.62% 25.50%+0.3067.1
2027-05-08 @ Bristol Rovers 1549 1582 25.50% 28.62% 45.88%-0.3067.1
2027-05-08 Grimsby Town 1520 1613 28.85% 28.87% 42.29%-0.2953.1
2027-05-08 @ Colchester United 1613 1520 42.29% 28.87% 28.85%+0.2953.1
2027-05-08 Accrington Stanley 1552 1454 53.46% 27.65% 18.89%+0.6146.5
2027-05-08 @ Crewe Alexandra 1454 1552 18.89% 27.65% 53.46%-0.6146.5
2027-05-08 Chesterfield 1563 1563 41.61% 28.90% 29.49%+0.1563.2
2027-05-08 @ Exeter City 1563 1563 29.49% 28.90% 41.61%-0.1563.2
2027-05-08 Northampton Town 1551 1486 49.77% 28.21% 22.02%+0.4547.3
2027-05-08 @ Fleetwood Town 1486 1551 22.02% 28.21% 49.77%-0.4547.3
2027-05-08 Crawley Town 1523 1413 54.78% 27.41% 17.81%+0.6735.2
2027-05-08 @ Port Vale 1413 1523 17.81% 27.41% 54.78%-0.6735.2
2027-05-08 Cheltenham Town 1440 1530 29.26% 28.89% 41.86%-0.2850.1
2027-05-08 @ Rochdale 1530 1440 41.86% 28.89% 29.26%+0.2850.1
2027-05-08 Barnet 1548 1617 32.01% 28.99% 39.00%-0.1864.7
2027-05-08 @ Rotherham United 1617 1548 39.00% 28.99% 32.01%+0.1864.7
2027-05-08 Tranmere Rovers 1523 1485 46.59% 28.56% 24.85%+0.3357.4
2027-05-08 @ Salford City 1485 1523 24.85% 28.56% 46.59%-0.3357.4
2027-05-08 York City 1422 1622 17.70% 27.38% 54.92%-0.8041.7
2027-05-08 @ Shrewsbury Town 1622 1422 54.92% 27.38% 17.70%+0.8041.7
2027-05-08 Gillingham 1512 1507 42.29% 28.87% 28.85%+0.1763.3
2027-05-08 @ Swindon Town 1507 1512 28.85% 28.87% 42.29%-0.1763.3
2027-05-08 Newport County 1555 1459 53.28% 27.68% 19.04%+0.6049.3
2027-05-08 @ Walsall 1459 1555 19.04% 27.68% 53.28%-0.6049.3

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-09-05 22.94% Gillingham 1428 4 @ Rochdale 1484 1
2 2026-09-12 23.02% @ Shrewsbury Town 1382 2 Northampton Town 1526 0
3 2026-08-15 23.75% Fleetwood Town 1517 1 @ Chesterfield 1566 0
4 2026-09-05 24.54% @ Tranmere Rovers 1477 2 Oldham Athletic 1606 0
5 2026-09-12 26.64% Chesterfield 1545 2 @ Oldham Athletic 1568 1
6 2026-08-22 27.66% Crawley Town 1459 2 @ Rochdale 1474 1
7 2026-09-01 27.71% @ Cheltenham Town 1487 3 York City 1589 2
8 2026-08-29 28.59% @ Shrewsbury Town 1418 1 Salford City 1513 0
9 2026-08-15 29.55% @ Cheltenham Town 1478 2 Rotherham United 1566 1
10 2026-09-12 31.11% @ Port Vale 1505 1 Exeter City 1581 0
11 2026-08-22 31.32% Chesterfield 1545 1 @ Salford City 1531 0
12 2026-08-15 32.26% @ Newport County 1454 3 Rochdale 1522 0
13 2026-08-15 34.45% Walsall 1502 3 @ Gillingham 1465 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-09-12 49.40 @ York City 4 1573 43.13% Swindon Town 0 1561 28.05% 28.82%
2 2026-09-05 48.48 Gillingham 4 1428 22.94% @ Rochdale 1 1484 48.73% 28.34%
3 2026-08-15 47.88 @ Newport County 3 1454 32.26% Rochdale 0 1522 38.74% 29.00%
4 2026-08-15 45.85 Walsall 3 1502 34.45% @ Gillingham 0 1465 36.52% 29.03%
5 2026-09-12 39.53 @ Shrewsbury Town 2 1382 23.02% Northampton Town 0 1526 48.63% 28.35%
6 2026-09-05 38.35 @ Tranmere Rovers 2 1477 24.54% Oldham Athletic 0 1606 46.93% 28.53%
7 2026-09-01 38.05 @ Rochdale 3 1446 42.88% Shrewsbury Town 0 1437 28.28% 28.83%
8 2026-08-29 36.35 @ Oldham Athletic 3 1571 44.65% Swindon Town 0 1548 26.63% 28.72%
9 2026-09-12 30.44 @ Gillingham 2 1477 36.26% Tranmere Rovers 0 1515 34.71% 29.03%
10 2026-09-12 29.47 @ Grimsby Town 2 1584 37.80% Bristol Rovers 0 1612 33.18% 29.02%
11 2026-08-15 29.02 @ Oldham Athletic 2 1557 38.53% Port Vale 0 1579 32.47% 29.00%
12 2026-08-29 29.00 Bristol Rovers 2 1543 38.55% @ Crawley Town 0 1477 32.45% 29.00%
13 2026-08-15 28.92 @ Tranmere Rovers 2 1443 38.67% Shrewsbury Town 0 1465 32.33% 29.00%
14 2026-09-01 26.96 @ Bristol Rovers 2 1572 41.73% Colchester United 0 1571 29.38% 28.89%
15 2026-09-01 26.10 @ Swindon Town 3 1511 36.75% Port Vale 1 1546 34.22% 29.03%
16 2026-09-12 25.06 Cheltenham Town 3 1505 38.66% @ Crawley Town 1 1438 32.34% 29.00%
17 2026-09-05 23.93 @ Swindon Town 3 1537 40.69% Colchester United 1 1544 30.37% 28.94%
18 2026-08-15 22.00 @ Barnet 3 1571 44.09% Salford City 1 1553 27.15% 28.76%
19 2026-08-15 20.67 Fleetwood Town 1 1517 23.75% @ Chesterfield 0 1566 47.82% 28.44%
20 2026-08-29 18.80 @ Shrewsbury Town 1 1418 28.59% Salford City 0 1513 42.56% 28.85%
21 2026-08-22 18.46 @ Exeter City 2 1580 54.16% Accrington Stanley 0 1475 18.32% 27.53%
22 2026-09-12 18.41 Chesterfield 2 1545 26.64% @ Oldham Athletic 1 1568 44.64% 28.72%
23 2026-08-22 18.36 Barnet 3 1593 50.26% @ Shrewsbury Town 1 1436 21.59% 28.15%
24 2026-08-22 18.36 @ Bristol Rovers 5 1525 44.57% Newport County 3 1502 26.70% 28.72%
25 2026-08-22 18.04 Crawley Town 2 1459 27.66% @ Rochdale 1 1474 43.55% 28.79%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-09-05 76.5 @ Chesterfield 3 1545 32.61% Barnet 3 1609 38.38% 29.01%
2 2026-09-12 74.0 @ Rotherham United 3 1549 45.13% Salford City 3 1522 26.18% 28.68%
3 2026-08-29 71.9 @ Grimsby Town 2 1588 48.51% Fleetwood Town 2 1534 23.13% 28.36%
4 2026-08-29 71.5 @ Barnet 2 1612 56.55% Cheltenham Town 2 1484 16.42% 27.04%
5 2026-09-01 71.4 @ Crewe Alexandra 2 1553 41.17% Walsall 2 1557 29.91% 28.92%
6 2026-09-05 70.7 @ Cheltenham Town 2 1504 30.47% Grimsby Town 2 1584 40.59% 28.94%
7 2026-09-01 68.9 @ Accrington Stanley 2 1448 23.53% Grimsby Town 2 1586 48.06% 28.41%
8 2026-09-01 68.9 @ Tranmere Rovers 2 1476 29.75% Rotherham United 2 1562 41.34% 28.91%
9 2026-08-15 68.3 @ Accrington Stanley 2 1475 31.58% Colchester United 2 1547 39.44% 28.98%
10 2026-09-01 67.7 @ Exeter City 1 1583 38.15% Barnet 1 1609 32.84% 29.01%
11 2026-09-01 66.4 @ Fleetwood Town 1 1535 31.68% Oldham Athletic 1 1607 39.34% 28.98%
12 2026-08-29 66.0 @ Newport County 2 1484 42.81% Tranmere Rovers 2 1475 28.35% 28.84%
13 2026-09-01 66.0 @ Cheltenham Town 3 1487 27.71% York City 2 1589 43.49% 28.80%
14 2026-09-05 65.9 @ Crewe Alexandra 1 1552 38.97% York City 1 1572 32.03% 28.99%
15 2026-08-22 65.8 @ Rotherham United 1 1548 38.13% York City 1 1574 32.86% 29.01%
16 2026-09-12 64.2 @ Colchester United 1 1520 37.30% Crewe Alexandra 1 1552 33.68% 29.02%
17 2026-08-22 62.7 @ Port Vale 1 1550 51.30% Tranmere Rovers 1 1472 20.70% 28.00%
18 2026-09-12 62.4 Chesterfield 2 1545 26.64% @ Oldham Athletic 1 1568 44.64% 28.72%
19 2026-09-12 61.9 @ Newport County 1 1458 28.66% Fleetwood Town 1 1552 42.48% 28.86%
20 2026-09-05 61.7 @ Exeter City 0 1583 45.00% Walsall 0 1557 26.31% 28.69%
21 2026-08-15 61.6 @ York City 3 1562 45.02% Bristol Rovers 2 1536 26.29% 28.69%
22 2026-08-22 61.4 @ Walsall 0 1548 36.04% Grimsby Town 0 1588 34.92% 29.03%
23 2026-09-01 61.1 @ Chesterfield 1 1549 56.20% Gillingham 1 1424 16.69% 27.11%
24 2026-08-29 60.6 @ York City 2 1574 38.40% Exeter City 1 1598 32.60% 29.01%
25 2026-09-01 60.4 @ Northampton Town 1 1516 50.12% Crawley Town 1 1448 21.71% 28.17%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-09-05 36.6 @ Fleetwood Town 2 1536 57.51% Shrewsbury Town 0 1399 15.68% 26.81%
2 2026-09-01 37.7 @ Rochdale 3 1446 42.88% Shrewsbury Town 0 1437 28.28% 28.83%
3 2026-08-15 41.4 @ Tranmere Rovers 2 1443 38.67% Shrewsbury Town 0 1465 32.33% 29.00%
4 2026-08-22 42.0 @ Exeter City 2 1580 54.16% Accrington Stanley 0 1475 18.32% 27.53%
5 2026-08-15 43.1 Walsall 3 1502 34.45% @ Gillingham 0 1465 36.52% 29.03%
6 2026-08-15 44.2 @ Newport County 3 1454 32.26% Rochdale 0 1522 38.74% 29.00%
7 2026-08-29 44.9 @ Colchester United 1 1562 54.32% Rochdale 0 1456 18.18% 27.50%
8 2026-09-12 45.1 @ Gillingham 2 1477 36.26% Tranmere Rovers 0 1515 34.71% 29.03%
9 2026-08-29 45.5 Bristol Rovers 2 1543 38.55% @ Crawley Town 0 1477 32.45% 29.00%
10 2026-08-29 45.5 @ Oldham Athletic 3 1571 44.65% Swindon Town 0 1548 26.63% 28.72%
11 2026-09-05 45.8 @ Northampton Town 1 1513 47.22% Newport County 0 1470 24.28% 28.50%
12 2026-09-12 46.1 @ Shrewsbury Town 2 1382 23.02% Northampton Town 0 1526 48.63% 28.35%
13 2026-09-12 47.1 @ York City 4 1573 43.13% Swindon Town 0 1561 28.05% 28.82%
14 2026-08-22 48.3 Barnet 3 1593 50.26% @ Shrewsbury Town 1 1436 21.59% 28.15%
15 2026-09-12 48.5 Cheltenham Town 3 1505 38.66% @ Crawley Town 1 1438 32.34% 29.00%
16 2026-09-01 48.7 @ Bristol Rovers 2 1572 41.73% Colchester United 0 1571 29.38% 28.89%
17 2026-08-15 49.4 @ Oldham Athletic 2 1557 38.53% Port Vale 0 1579 32.47% 29.00%
18 2026-08-29 49.5 @ Shrewsbury Town 1 1418 28.59% Salford City 0 1513 42.56% 28.85%
19 2026-08-15 49.7 Crewe Alexandra 1 1522 35.79% @ Crawley Town 0 1476 35.18% 29.03%
20 2026-09-05 49.7 @ Salford City 1 1507 39.83% Port Vale 0 1520 31.20% 28.97%
21 2026-09-05 49.8 Gillingham 4 1428 22.94% @ Rochdale 1 1484 48.73% 28.34%
22 2026-08-22 50.4 @ Crewe Alexandra 1 1538 42.55% Northampton Town 0 1531 28.60% 28.85%
23 2026-09-12 51.2 @ Grimsby Town 2 1584 37.80% Bristol Rovers 0 1612 33.18% 29.02%
24 2026-09-12 51.5 @ Barnet 2 1609 58.39% Accrington Stanley 1 1462 15.01% 26.59%
25 2026-09-05 51.9 @ Tranmere Rovers 2 1477 24.54% Oldham Athletic 0 1606 46.93% 28.53%