2024-25 EFL League Two Season

552 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

AFC Wimbledon

via playoff

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Doncaster Rovers

13.85 points above expected

84 points · 70.15 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fleetwood Town

17.25 points below expected

60 points · 77.25 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Doncaster Rovers	46	24	12	10	84	73	50	+23	70.2	+13.85
2	Port Vale	46	22	14	10	80	65	46	+19	72.7	+7.31
3	Bradford City	46	22	12	12	78	64	45	+19	70.2	+7.83
4	Walsall	46	21	14	11	77	75	54	+21	73.8	+3.19
5	AFC Wimbledon	46	20	13	13	73	56	35	+21	74.0	-1.01
6	Notts County	46	20	12	14	72	68	49	+19	71.3	+0.67
7	Chesterfield	46	19	13	14	70	73	54	+19	64.1	+5.87
8	Salford City	46	18	15	13	69	64	54	+10	60.5	+8.48
9	Grimsby Town	46	20	8	18	68	61	67	-6	56.7	+11.33
10	Colchester United	46	16	19	11	67	52	47	+5	57.8	+9.17
11	Bromley	46	17	15	14	66	64	59	+5	57.4	+8.60
12	Swindon Town	46	15	17	14	62	71	63	+8	57.0	+5.00
13	Crewe Alexandra	46	15	17	14	62	49	48	+1	61.0	+1.00
14	Fleetwood Town	46	15	15	16	60	60	60	0	77.2	-17.25
15	Cheltenham Town	46	16	12	18	60	60	70	-10	70.6	-10.56
16	Barrow	46	15	14	17	59	52	50	+2	61.9	-2.91
17	Gillingham	46	14	16	16	58	41	46	-5	58.2	-0.24
18	Harrogate Town	46	14	11	21	53	43	61	-18	53.5	-0.45
19	Milton Keynes Dons	46	14	10	22	52	52	66	-14	64.0	-12.05
20	Tranmere Rovers	46	12	15	19	51	45	65	-20	51.6	-0.56
21	Accrington Stanley	46	12	14	20	50	53	69	-16	55.3	-5.29
22	Newport County	46	13	10	23	49	52	76	-24	52.4	-3.43
23	Carlisle United	46	10	12	24	42	44	71	-27	52.5	-10.47
24	Morecambe	46	10	6	30	36	40	72	-32	49.8	-13.75

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

AFC Wimbledon 2

Notts County 0

Leg 1: Notts County 0-1 AFC Wimbledon

Leg 2: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Notts County

Walsall 4

Chesterfield 1

Leg 1: Chesterfield 0-2 Walsall

Leg 2: Walsall 2-1 Chesterfield

Finals

AFC Wimbledon 1

Walsall 0

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Doncaster Rovers	1510	84	70.15	+13.85	97.0%	52	56	65	71	75	82	91
Port Vale	1498	80	72.69	+7.31	83.0%	53	60	67	72	79	85	97
AFC Wimbledon	1489	73	74.01	-1.01	45.0%	53	59	68	75	79	86	95
Bradford City	1486	78	70.17	+7.83	88.0%	46	56	65	70	76	84	89
Walsall	1459	77	73.81	+3.19	67.0%	52	59	66	73	80	88	96
Notts County	1451	72	71.33	+0.67	56.0%	48	58	65	71	78	85	97
Swindon Town	1442	62	57.00	+5.00	73.0%	35	44	51	58	63	67	74
Salford City	1430	69	60.52	+8.48	89.0%	45	47	56	60	66	73	81
Fleetwood Town	1429	60	77.25	-17.25	1.0%	58	64	71	77	83	92	104
Chesterfield	1429	70	64.13	+5.87	79.0%	41	49	58	63	70	78	90
Barrow	1414	59	61.91	-2.91	40.0%	43	48	55	62	68	76	82
Colchester United	1411	67	57.83	+9.17	86.0%	37	40	52	58	64	71	85
Bromley	1407	66	57.40	+8.60	88.0%	36	45	52	57	63	70	79
Cheltenham Town	1400	60	70.56	-10.56	11.0%	52	58	65	70	75	84	90
Crewe Alexandra	1384	62	61.00	+1.00	59.0%	45	46	57	60	66	74	83
Gillingham	1376	58	58.24	-0.24	49.0%	37	40	52	59	65	71	80
Grimsby Town	1371	68	56.67	+11.33	91.0%	33	43	51	56	62	71	81
Tranmere Rovers	1363	51	51.56	-0.56	48.0%	32	36	46	52	56	65	73
Milton Keynes Dons	1356	52	64.05	-12.05	7.0%	42	50	59	63	70	78	85
Accrington Stanley	1355	50	55.29	-5.29	27.0%	37	42	50	55	60	67	77
Harrogate Town	1345	53	53.45	-0.45	54.0%	34	39	47	53	59	69	74
Carlisle United	1335	42	52.47	-10.47	11.0%	32	40	47	52	58	65	78
Newport County	1304	49	52.43	-3.43	39.0%	31	37	46	53	59	67	76
Morecambe	1289	36	49.75	-13.75	5.0%	24	34	44	49	54	64	76

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AW	AS	BAR	BC	BRO	CU	CT	CHE	CU	CA	DR	FT	GIL	GT	HT	MKD	MOR	NC	NC	PV	SC	ST	TR	WAL
AFC Wimbledon	—	0-2-0 3.46	1-1-0 3.24	1-1-0 2.79	0-0-2 3.43	2-0-0 3.57	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-1 3.15	1-1-0 3.39	1-1-0 3.16	1-1-0 2.79	1-1-0 2.51	1-0-1 3.50	1-0-1 3.48	2-0-0 3.68	1-1-0 2.92	1-0-1 3.80	1-1-0 3.61	1-0-1 2.78	0-0-2 2.57	1-0-1 3.29	0-1-1 3.55	2-0-0 3.62	0-1-1 2.81
Accrington Stanley	0-2-0 1.98	—	1-0-1 2.39	0-1-1 1.88	0-0-2 2.69	0-1-1 2.80	0-1-1 2.06	1-0-1 2.15	1-1-0 2.67	1-0-1 2.40	0-0-2 2.12	0-1-1 1.95	1-1-0 2.56	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.24	1-0-1 2.89	1-0-1 2.67	0-0-2 2.13	0-1-1 2.06	1-0-1 2.33	0-2-0 2.71	1-1-0 2.87	1-1-0 2.03
Barrow	0-1-1 2.19	1-0-1 2.99	—	0-2-0 2.37	0-2-0 3.04	0-0-2 2.88	1-0-1 2.38	0-0-2 2.52	0-2-0 2.97	1-0-1 2.69	0-0-2 2.44	1-1-0 2.28	1-0-1 2.77	2-0-0 2.96	1-0-1 3.16	2-0-0 2.62	0-1-1 3.30	1-0-1 3.14	1-1-0 2.17	2-0-0 2.16	0-1-1 2.62	0-1-1 3.09	0-2-0 3.22	1-0-1 2.21
Bradford City	0-1-1 2.58	1-1-0 3.58	0-2-0 3.00	—	2-0-0 3.31	2-0-0 3.25	1-1-0 2.82	1-1-0 2.97	1-1-0 3.24	1-1-0 3.01	0-0-2 2.67	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 3.44	1-0-1 3.26	1-0-1 3.43	2-0-0 2.88	1-1-0 3.56	1-1-0 3.33	0-1-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.62	1-1-0 3.19	1-0-1 3.33	1-0-1 3.63	1-0-1 2.53
Bromley	2-0-0 2.01	2-0-0 2.68	0-2-0 2.33	0-0-2 2.10	—	0-1-1 2.94	1-1-0 2.25	0-1-1 2.37	0-1-1 2.79	0-0-2 2.66	2-0-0 2.03	1-1-0 1.75	2-0-0 2.51	0-0-2 2.75	2-0-0 2.67	1-1-0 2.18	2-0-0 3.17	1-1-0 2.92	0-1-1 2.07	0-1-1 1.98	0-1-1 2.39	1-1-0 2.60	0-0-2 3.01	0-2-0 2.02
Carlisle United	0-0-2 1.90	1-1-0 2.57	2-0-0 2.50	0-0-2 2.16	1-1-0 2.43	—	0-0-2 2.08	0-0-2 2.09	0-2-0 2.48	0-1-1 2.20	0-1-1 1.93	1-0-1 1.85	0-1-1 2.71	0-0-2 2.69	0-1-1 2.64	0-1-1 2.43	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.43	0-0-2 2.09	1-1-0 1.70	1-1-0 2.22	1-0-1 2.59	0-0-2 2.75	0-1-1 1.86
Cheltenham Town	1-0-1 2.71	1-1-0 3.36	1-0-1 3.00	0-1-1 2.55	0-1-1 3.17	2-0-0 3.33	—	1-1-0 3.08	1-0-1 3.17	2-0-0 2.75	0-1-1 2.42	0-0-2 2.45	0-2-0 3.09	0-1-1 3.45	1-0-1 3.51	0-0-2 2.93	1-0-1 3.61	2-0-0 3.40	1-0-1 2.52	0-2-0 2.62	1-0-1 3.09	0-1-1 3.20	1-0-1 3.50	0-1-1 2.78
Chesterfield	1-1-0 2.25	1-0-1 3.26	2-0-0 2.84	0-1-1 2.40	1-1-0 3.00	2-0-0 3.35	0-1-1 2.30	—	0-1-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.62	2-0-0 2.28	1-0-1 2.38	0-1-1 2.87	1-1-0 2.92	0-1-1 3.33	0-0-2 2.40	2-0-0 3.52	2-0-0 3.07	1-1-0 2.35	0-1-1 2.32	1-1-0 2.72	0-1-1 2.75	1-0-1 3.34	0-1-1 2.40
Colchester United	0-1-1 2.03	0-1-1 2.70	0-2-0 2.43	0-1-1 2.16	1-1-0 2.58	0-2-0 2.89	1-0-1 2.22	1-1-0 2.43	—	0-2-0 2.61	0-1-1 2.25	1-1-0 1.97	1-1-0 2.86	1-0-1 2.80	0-1-1 2.75	2-0-0 2.33	1-1-0 2.93	1-1-0 3.19	1-1-0 2.14	1-1-0 2.17	0-0-2 2.63	1-0-1 2.86	2-0-0 2.79	1-0-1 2.11
Crewe Alexandra	0-1-1 2.24	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 2.68	0-1-1 2.38	2-0-0 2.72	1-1-0 3.20	0-0-2 2.63	1-0-1 2.75	0-2-0 2.79	—	0-2-0 2.31	1-0-1 2.12	1-1-0 2.69	2-0-0 2.91	1-1-0 3.01	0-1-1 2.87	2-0-0 3.15	0-0-2 3.16	1-1-0 2.30	0-1-1 2.27	0-2-0 2.78	0-2-0 3.00	1-0-1 3.06	0-1-1 2.30
Doncaster Rovers	0-1-1 2.57	2-0-0 3.29	2-0-0 2.93	2-0-0 2.70	0-0-2 3.40	1-1-0 3.54	1-1-0 2.95	0-0-2 3.11	1-1-0 3.14	0-2-0 3.08	—	2-0-0 2.37	2-0-0 3.14	1-0-1 3.23	1-0-1 3.42	1-1-0 2.91	2-0-0 3.47	1-0-1 3.40	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.77	0-2-0 3.23	1-1-0 3.22	2-0-0 3.61	0-1-1 2.59
Fleetwood Town	0-1-1 2.86	1-1-0 3.49	0-1-1 3.10	1-0-1 2.72	0-1-1 3.77	1-0-1 3.63	2-0-0 2.92	1-0-1 3.00	0-1-1 3.49	1-0-1 3.31	0-0-2 3.01	—	1-1-0 3.52	1-0-1 3.57	0-1-1 3.67	2-0-0 3.19	0-1-1 3.91	1-1-0 3.67	0-2-0 2.98	0-1-1 3.00	1-1-0 3.25	0-0-2 3.64	0-2-0 3.99	2-0-0 2.84
Gillingham	1-0-1 1.94	0-1-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.60	1-0-1 2.01	0-0-2 2.85	1-1-0 2.65	0-2-0 2.29	1-1-0 2.52	0-1-1 2.51	0-1-1 2.68	0-0-2 2.25	0-1-1 1.93	—	0-1-1 3.01	0-1-1 2.95	2-0-0 2.42	2-0-0 2.92	0-0-2 2.96	1-0-1 2.18	2-0-0 1.91	1-1-0 2.52	0-2-0 2.52	1-1-0 2.86	0-2-0 1.82
Grimsby Town	1-0-1 1.96	1-0-1 2.65	0-0-2 2.41	1-0-1 2.15	2-0-0 2.62	2-0-0 2.71	1-1-0 1.98	0-1-1 2.45	1-0-1 2.58	0-0-2 2.46	1-0-1 2.17	1-0-1 1.90	1-1-0 2.39	—	1-1-0 3.06	0-1-1 2.45	2-0-0 3.02	1-1-0 2.88	0-0-2 2.24	1-1-0 1.91	1-0-1 2.61	0-0-2 2.65	1-1-0 2.96	1-0-1 2.09
Harrogate Town	0-0-2 1.81	1-1-0 2.59	1-0-1 2.24	1-0-1 2.02	0-0-2 2.72	1-1-0 2.73	1-0-1 1.94	1-1-0 2.10	1-1-0 2.62	0-1-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.01	1-1-0 1.82	1-1-0 2.43	0-1-1 2.32	—	0-0-2 2.22	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 2.75	0-0-2 1.95	0-1-1 1.88	0-0-2 2.27	1-1-0 2.44	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-1 1.81
Milton Keynes Dons	0-1-1 2.45	1-0-1 3.15	0-0-2 2.75	0-0-2 2.51	0-1-1 3.22	1-1-0 2.94	2-0-0 2.47	2-0-0 2.98	0-0-2 3.05	1-1-0 2.52	0-1-1 2.46	0-0-2 2.21	0-0-2 2.98	1-1-0 2.92	2-0-0 3.18	—	2-0-0 3.25	0-1-1 3.25	0-0-2 2.42	0-0-2 2.36	0-0-2 2.97	1-1-0 2.71	0-2-0 3.36	1-0-1 2.47
Morecambe	1-0-1 1.71	1-0-1 2.48	1-1-0 2.12	0-1-1 1.92	0-0-2 2.23	1-0-1 2.52	1-0-1 1.87	0-0-2 1.94	0-1-1 2.46	0-0-2 2.25	0-0-2 1.97	1-1-0 1.64	0-0-2 2.45	0-0-2 2.37	1-0-1 2.38	0-0-2 2.16	—	0-0-2 2.51	0-1-1 1.84	0-0-2 1.70	0-0-2 1.93	2-0-0 2.24	1-1-0 2.50	0-0-2 2.06
Newport County	0-1-1 1.86	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 2.26	0-1-1 2.08	0-1-1 2.45	1-0-1 2.95	0-0-2 2.04	0-0-2 2.31	0-1-1 2.20	2-0-0 2.25	1-0-1 2.03	0-1-1 1.81	2-0-0 2.43	0-1-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.16	2-0-0 2.86	—	0-1-1 1.90	0-0-2 2.19	1-1-0 2.31	0-0-2 2.68	0-0-2 2.51	0-1-1 1.78
Notts County	1-0-1 2.59	2-0-0 3.28	0-1-1 3.26	1-1-0 2.51	1-1-0 3.35	2-0-0 3.36	1-0-1 2.88	0-1-1 3.03	0-1-1 3.27	0-1-1 3.09	0-1-1 2.56	0-2-0 2.40	1-0-1 3.22	2-0-0 3.15	2-0-0 3.50	2-0-0 3.00	1-1-0 3.65	1-1-0 3.55	—	0-0-2 2.82	0-0-2 3.22	2-0-0 3.32	1-1-0 3.42	0-0-2 2.48
Port Vale	2-0-0 2.80	1-1-0 3.37	0-0-2 3.25	1-0-1 2.75	1-1-0 3.45	0-1-1 3.81	0-2-0 2.74	1-1-0 3.06	0-1-1 3.24	1-1-0 3.12	1-0-1 2.60	1-1-0 2.37	0-0-2 3.56	0-1-1 3.55	1-1-0 3.59	2-0-0 3.04	2-0-0 3.82	2-0-0 3.23	2-0-0 2.54	—	2-0-0 3.09	1-1-0 3.25	0-2-0 3.58	1-0-1 2.80
Salford City	1-0-1 2.12	1-0-1 3.07	1-1-0 2.74	0-1-1 2.20	1-1-0 3.00	0-1-1 3.17	1-0-1 2.29	0-1-1 2.65	2-0-0 2.73	0-2-0 2.60	0-2-0 2.18	0-1-1 2.18	0-1-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.76	2-0-0 3.12	2-0-0 2.40	2-0-0 3.52	0-1-1 3.10	2-0-0 2.18	0-0-2 2.29	—	1-1-0 2.76	1-1-0 3.12	0-1-1 2.32
Swindon Town	1-1-0 1.91	0-2-0 2.67	1-1-0 2.30	1-0-1 2.09	0-1-1 2.81	1-0-1 2.77	1-1-0 2.21	1-1-0 2.61	1-0-1 2.50	0-2-0 2.38	0-1-1 2.18	2-0-0 1.84	0-2-0 2.86	2-0-0 2.71	0-1-1 2.93	0-1-1 2.74	0-0-2 3.15	2-0-0 2.68	0-0-2 2.10	0-1-1 2.16	0-1-1 2.61	—	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.30
Tranmere Rovers	0-0-2 1.87	0-1-1 2.49	0-2-0 2.18	1-0-1 1.89	2-0-0 2.38	2-0-0 2.61	1-0-1 1.95	1-0-1 2.07	0-0-2 2.58	1-0-1 2.32	0-0-2 1.86	0-2-0 1.58	0-1-1 2.51	0-1-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.66	0-2-0 2.06	0-1-1 2.87	2-0-0 2.86	0-1-1 2.07	0-2-0 1.89	0-1-1 2.32	0-1-1 2.58	—	1-0-1 2.11
Walsall	1-1-0 2.56	0-1-1 3.41	1-0-1 3.19	1-0-1 2.84	0-2-0 3.41	1-1-0 3.61	1-1-0 2.59	1-1-0 2.98	1-0-1 3.30	1-1-0 3.08	1-1-0 2.78	0-0-2 2.53	0-2-0 3.67	1-0-1 3.33	1-1-0 3.68	1-0-1 2.93	2-0-0 3.38	1-1-0 3.72	2-0-0 2.89	1-0-1 2.57	1-1-0 3.07	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 3.37	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.70%	10.42%	5.89%	3.62%	1.00%	0.27%	29.89%
1	10.42%	13.04%	7.34%	2.54%	1.09%	0.27%	34.69%
2	5.89%	7.34%	5.43%	1.99%	0.54%	0.45%	21.65%
3	3.62%	2.54%	1.99%	1.45%	—	0.18%	9.78%
4	1.00%	1.09%	0.54%	—	—	0.09%	2.72%
5+	0.27%	0.27%	0.45%	0.18%	0.09%	—	1.27%
Total	29.89%	34.69%	21.65%	9.78%	2.72%	1.27%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.25
Mean allowed	1.25
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.49
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.011
Sample size (games)	552

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.87%	17.39%	4.35%	—	—	—	32.61%
1	17.39%	10.87%	4.35%	—	—	—	32.61%
2	6.52%	4.35%	6.52%	2.17%	—	—	19.57%
3	8.70%	2.17%	—	—	—	—	10.87%
4	2.17%	—	2.17%	—	—	—	4.35%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	45.65%	34.78%	17.39%	2.17%	—	—	100%

AFC Wimbledon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.22
Mean allowed	0.76
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	0.82
Mean total goals/game	1.98
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.014
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.87%	6.52%	8.70%	2.17%	2.17%	—	30.43%
1	8.70%	8.70%	15.22%	2.17%	4.35%	—	39.13%
2	4.35%	6.52%	6.52%	—	—	2.17%	19.57%
3	2.17%	—	2.17%	4.35%	—	—	8.70%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.17%	—	—	—	—	—	2.17%
Total	28.26%	21.74%	32.61%	8.70%	6.52%	2.17%	100%

Accrington Stanley — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	2.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.024
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.52%	19.57%	6.52%	4.35%	—	—	36.96%
1	6.52%	15.22%	—	4.35%	—	—	26.09%
2	8.70%	8.70%	6.52%	2.17%	—	—	26.09%
3	6.52%	—	—	2.17%	—	—	8.70%
4	2.17%	—	—	—	—	—	2.17%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.43%	43.48%	13.04%	13.04%	—	—	100%

Barrow — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.09
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	2.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.177
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.70%	8.70%	2.17%	2.17%	—	—	21.74%
1	15.22%	13.04%	10.87%	—	—	—	39.13%
2	6.52%	13.04%	2.17%	—	—	—	21.74%
3	4.35%	6.52%	—	2.17%	—	—	13.04%
4	—	2.17%	—	—	—	2.17%	4.35%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.78%	43.48%	15.22%	4.35%	—	2.17%	100%

Bradford City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.39
Mean allowed	0.98
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.224
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.35%	6.52%	2.17%	2.17%	—	2.17%	17.39%
1	15.22%	17.39%	8.70%	2.17%	2.17%	—	45.65%
2	8.70%	4.35%	6.52%	2.17%	2.17%	—	23.91%
3	4.35%	—	—	4.35%	—	—	8.70%
4	2.17%	—	—	—	—	—	2.17%
5+	—	—	2.17%	—	—	—	2.17%
Total	34.78%	28.26%	19.57%	10.87%	4.35%	2.17%	100%

Bromley — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.39
Mean allowed	1.28
StdDev scored	1.08
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.017
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.87%	15.22%	4.35%	4.35%	2.17%	—	36.96%
1	6.52%	10.87%	10.87%	2.17%	2.17%	2.17%	34.78%
2	4.35%	6.52%	4.35%	8.70%	—	—	23.91%
3	—	—	4.35%	—	—	—	4.35%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.74%	32.61%	23.91%	15.22%	4.35%	2.17%	100%

Carlisle United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.96
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	0.89
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.182
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.35%	6.52%	13.04%	4.35%	—	—	28.26%
1	8.70%	13.04%	6.52%	—	—	—	28.26%
2	2.17%	13.04%	6.52%	6.52%	—	—	28.26%
3	2.17%	—	8.70%	2.17%	—	2.17%	15.22%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	17.39%	32.61%	34.78%	13.04%	—	2.17%	100%

Cheltenham Town — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.52
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.211
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.35%	10.87%	2.17%	4.35%	2.17%	—	23.91%
1	8.70%	15.22%	6.52%	4.35%	—	—	34.78%
2	2.17%	8.70%	6.52%	—	—	—	17.39%
3	10.87%	—	—	2.17%	—	—	13.04%
4	2.17%	2.17%	—	—	—	—	4.35%
5+	2.17%	—	4.35%	—	—	—	6.52%
Total	30.43%	36.96%	19.57%	10.87%	2.17%	—	100%

Chesterfield — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.59
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.44
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	2.76
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.199
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	17.39%	2.17%	2.17%	2.17%	2.17%	—	26.09%
1	15.22%	21.74%	6.52%	—	4.35%	—	47.83%
2	6.52%	4.35%	—	2.17%	2.17%	—	15.22%
3	4.35%	2.17%	—	2.17%	—	—	8.70%
4	2.17%	—	—	—	—	—	2.17%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	45.65%	30.43%	8.70%	6.52%	8.70%	—	100%

Colchester United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.02
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	2.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.015
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.04%	10.87%	4.35%	4.35%	—	2.17%	34.78%
1	8.70%	23.91%	4.35%	—	2.17%	—	39.13%
2	8.70%	2.17%	—	2.17%	—	—	13.04%
3	4.35%	4.35%	2.17%	—	—	—	10.87%
4	—	2.17%	—	—	—	—	2.17%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.78%	43.48%	10.87%	6.52%	2.17%	2.17%	100%

Crewe Alexandra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	1.04
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	1.13
Mean total goals/game	2.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.150
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.17%	6.52%	4.35%	2.17%	—	—	15.22%
1	13.04%	17.39%	4.35%	2.17%	—	—	36.96%
2	2.17%	15.22%	6.52%	—	—	2.17%	26.09%
3	10.87%	4.35%	2.17%	—	—	—	17.39%
4	—	2.17%	2.17%	—	—	—	4.35%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.26%	45.65%	19.57%	4.35%	—	2.17%	100%

Doncaster Rovers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.59
Mean allowed	1.09
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.088
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	17.39%	8.70%	2.17%	4.35%	2.17%	—	34.78%
1	4.35%	6.52%	6.52%	6.52%	—	—	23.91%
2	13.04%	4.35%	8.70%	—	4.35%	—	30.43%
3	—	—	2.17%	—	—	—	2.17%
4	—	4.35%	2.17%	—	—	—	6.52%
5+	—	—	2.17%	—	—	—	2.17%
Total	34.78%	23.91%	23.91%	10.87%	6.52%	—	100%

Fleetwood Town — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	1.35
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	2.61
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.129
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.70%	8.70%	6.52%	4.35%	—	—	28.26%
1	23.91%	21.74%	13.04%	2.17%	—	—	60.87%
2	2.17%	—	4.35%	—	—	—	6.52%
3	2.17%	—	—	—	—	—	2.17%
4	—	2.17%	—	—	—	—	2.17%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.96%	32.61%	23.91%	6.52%	—	—	100%

Gillingham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.89
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	0.80
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	1.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.119
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.35%	8.70%	6.52%	4.35%	2.17%	—	26.09%
1	10.87%	8.70%	4.35%	6.52%	4.35%	—	34.78%
2	2.17%	15.22%	4.35%	2.17%	—	—	23.91%
3	4.35%	4.35%	4.35%	—	—	—	13.04%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.17%	—	—	—	2.17%
Total	21.74%	36.96%	21.74%	13.04%	6.52%	—	100%

Grimsby Town — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.131
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.70%	15.22%	10.87%	6.52%	—	—	41.30%
1	8.70%	8.70%	8.70%	2.17%	—	2.17%	30.43%
2	6.52%	10.87%	4.35%	—	—	—	21.74%
3	—	2.17%	2.17%	2.17%	—	—	6.52%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.91%	36.96%	26.09%	10.87%	—	2.17%	100%

Harrogate Town — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.26
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.022
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.70%	15.22%	8.70%	8.70%	—	—	41.30%
1	6.52%	10.87%	8.70%	—	—	—	26.09%
2	—	8.70%	2.17%	—	4.35%	—	15.22%
3	4.35%	6.52%	2.17%	—	—	2.17%	15.22%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.17%	—	—	—	—	2.17%
Total	19.57%	43.48%	21.74%	8.70%	4.35%	2.17%	100%

Milton Keynes Dons — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.063
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	30.43%	10.87%	4.35%	—	—	45.65%
1	8.70%	4.35%	8.70%	6.52%	2.17%	—	30.43%
2	6.52%	2.17%	6.52%	—	—	2.17%	17.39%
3	—	—	2.17%	2.17%	—	—	4.35%
4	—	—	2.17%	—	—	—	2.17%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.22%	36.96%	30.43%	13.04%	2.17%	2.17%	100%

Morecambe — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	1.00
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.148
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.22%	4.35%	10.87%	6.52%	2.17%	2.17%	41.30%
1	6.52%	4.35%	8.70%	2.17%	4.35%	—	26.09%
2	2.17%	4.35%	2.17%	6.52%	—	2.17%	17.39%
3	4.35%	8.70%	—	—	—	—	13.04%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	2.17%	—	—	2.17%
Total	28.26%	21.74%	21.74%	17.39%	6.52%	4.35%	100%

Newport County — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.013
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.52%	8.70%	4.35%	2.17%	—	—	21.74%
1	6.52%	13.04%	10.87%	2.17%	—	—	32.61%
2	15.22%	6.52%	6.52%	2.17%	—	—	30.43%
3	6.52%	2.17%	—	—	—	—	8.70%
4	—	2.17%	2.17%	—	—	—	4.35%
5+	—	—	—	2.17%	—	—	2.17%
Total	34.78%	32.61%	23.91%	8.70%	—	—	100%

Notts County — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.48
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	2.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.011
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.87%	8.70%	—	2.17%	2.17%	—	23.91%
1	17.39%	13.04%	4.35%	—	—	—	34.78%
2	6.52%	8.70%	4.35%	4.35%	—	—	23.91%
3	2.17%	2.17%	6.52%	2.17%	—	—	13.04%
4	—	2.17%	—	—	—	—	2.17%
5+	2.17%	—	—	—	—	—	2.17%
Total	39.13%	34.78%	15.22%	8.70%	2.17%	—	100%

Port Vale — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.41
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	2.41
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.125
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.35%	6.52%	6.52%	—	2.17%	—	19.57%
1	10.87%	15.22%	10.87%	2.17%	—	—	39.13%
2	8.70%	6.52%	10.87%	—	—	—	26.09%
3	4.35%	4.35%	2.17%	2.17%	—	—	13.04%
4	—	2.17%	—	—	—	—	2.17%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.26%	34.78%	30.43%	4.35%	2.17%	—	100%

Salford City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.39
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	0.97
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.092
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.87%	8.70%	4.35%	—	4.35%	—	28.26%
1	4.35%	15.22%	8.70%	2.17%	—	—	30.43%
2	2.17%	4.35%	6.52%	2.17%	—	—	15.22%
3	—	6.52%	4.35%	4.35%	—	—	15.22%
4	6.52%	—	—	—	—	—	6.52%
5+	—	2.17%	—	—	2.17%	—	4.35%
Total	23.91%	36.96%	23.91%	8.70%	6.52%	—	100%

Swindon Town — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.44
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.91
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.091
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.04%	6.52%	10.87%	8.70%	—	—	39.13%
1	6.52%	15.22%	2.17%	8.70%	—	2.17%	34.78%
2	4.35%	10.87%	2.17%	2.17%	—	—	19.57%
3	—	—	—	2.17%	—	—	2.17%
4	2.17%	2.17%	—	—	—	—	4.35%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.09%	34.78%	15.22%	21.74%	—	2.17%	100%

Tranmere Rovers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.98
Mean allowed	1.41
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	2.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.080
Games played	46

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.52%	8.70%	4.35%	2.17%	—	—	21.74%
1	10.87%	8.70%	2.17%	2.17%	—	—	23.91%
2	10.87%	6.52%	15.22%	2.17%	—	2.17%	36.96%
3	—	4.35%	2.17%	—	—	—	6.52%
4	4.35%	2.17%	2.17%	—	—	—	8.70%
5+	—	2.17%	—	—	—	—	2.17%
Total	32.61%	32.61%	26.09%	6.52%	—	2.17%	100%

Walsall — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.63
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	1.18
Mean total goals/game	2.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.029
Games played	46

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Doncaster Rovers	84	70.2	+13.85
2	Grimsby Town	68	56.7	+11.33
3	Colchester United	67	57.8	+9.17
4	Bromley	66	57.4	+8.60
5	Salford City	69	60.5	+8.48

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fleetwood Town	60	77.2	-17.25
2	Morecambe	36	49.8	-13.75
3	Milton Keynes Dons	52	64.0	-12.05
4	Cheltenham Town	60	70.6	-10.56
5	Carlisle United	42	52.5	-10.47

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Walsall	9	Dec 3 – Jan 18	1 in 1,545
2	Salford City	6	Dec 14 – Jan 4	1 in 384
3	Colchester United	5	Mar 1 – Mar 15	1 in 376
4	Port Vale	5	Oct 5 – Oct 26	1 in 183
5	Milton Keynes Dons	6	Oct 19 – Dec 3	1 in 152

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Gillingham	5	Oct 1 – Oct 22	1 in 573
2	Cheltenham Town	4	Mar 22 – Apr 5	1 in 182
3	Morecambe	6	Apr 5 – May 3	1 in 154
4	Harrogate Town	5	Dec 3 – Dec 26	1 in 73
5	Chesterfield	4	Feb 15 – Mar 4	1 in 61

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Gillingham	12	Mar 8 – May 3	1 in 1,335
2	Bromley	12	Oct 22 – Jan 2	1 in 475
3	Colchester United	13	Jan 18 – Mar 15	1 in 462
4	Crewe Alexandra	12	Oct 5 – Dec 20	1 in 274
5	Walsall	16	Oct 5 – Jan 18	1 in 174

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Walsall	13	Feb 25 – Apr 26	1 in 2,606
2	Gillingham	13	Dec 20 – Feb 25	1 in 102
3	Port Vale	8	Nov 25 – Jan 1	1 in 83
4	Barrow	9	Oct 12 – Dec 14	1 in 59
5	Fleetwood Town	5	Oct 5 – Oct 29	1 in 45

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Doncaster Rovers	4.00%	6.00%	10.00%	14.00%	12.00%	10.00%	6.00%	7.00%	3.00%	6.00%	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Port Vale	10.00%	12.00%	15.00%	4.00%	8.00%	12.00%	8.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Bradford City	7.00%	4.00%	13.00%	10.00%	8.00%	5.00%	8.00%	9.00%	7.00%	4.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Walsall	16.00%	14.00%	8.00%	11.00%	7.00%	7.00%	4.00%	8.00%	6.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
AFC Wimbledon	17.00%	14.00%	10.00%	12.00%	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%	3.00%	7.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	3.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Notts County	10.00%	8.00%	9.00%	11.00%	7.00%	9.00%	10.00%	5.00%	8.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—
Chesterfield	2.00%	2.00%	7.00%	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	11.00%	3.00%	10.00%	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	—	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Salford City	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	5.00%	4.00%	6.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	7.00%	11.00%	4.00%	13.00%	6.00%	8.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—
Grimsby Town	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	5.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	6.00%	4.00%	8.00%	7.00%	7.00%	4.00%	12.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%
Colchester United	1.00%	—	2.00%	—	2.00%	—	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%	3.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	3.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%
Bromley	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	10.00%	8.00%	5.00%	4.00%	6.00%	7.00%	2.00%	5.00%
Swindon Town	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	3.00%	8.00%	9.00%	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%
Crewe Alexandra	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	3.00%	7.00%	—	10.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	1.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Fleetwood Town	24.00%	18.00%	11.00%	10.00%	8.00%	8.00%	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	7.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cheltenham Town	6.00%	9.00%	5.00%	11.00%	11.00%	5.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	4.00%	9.00%	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Barrow	—	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	10.00%	11.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—
Gillingham	—	2.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	7.00%	2.00%	8.00%	7.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	8.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	4.00%
Harrogate Town	—	—	—	2.00%	—	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	6.00%	3.00%	5.00%	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%	7.00%	15.00%	9.00%
Milton Keynes Dons	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	7.00%	4.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	8.00%	5.00%	7.00%	7.00%	3.00%	9.00%	5.00%	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Tranmere Rovers	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	5.00%	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	6.00%	4.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	16.00%	12.00%	6.00%	14.00%
Accrington Stanley	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	7.00%	5.00%	8.00%	8.00%	6.00%	11.00%	11.00%	5.00%	7.00%	4.00%	5.00%
Newport County	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	—	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	10.00%	7.00%	12.00%	15.00%
Carlisle United	—	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	12.00%	9.00%	8.00%	11.00%	12.00%	10.00%
Morecambe	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	3.00%	—	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	13.00%	12.00%	17.00%	17.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability — day by day.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Semifinals

AFC Wimbledon 2

Notts County 0

Leg 1: Notts County 0-1 AFC Wimbledon

Leg 2: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Notts County

Walsall 4

Chesterfield 1

Leg 1: Chesterfield 0-2 Walsall

Leg 2: Walsall 2-1 Chesterfield

Finals

AFC Wimbledon 1

Walsall 0

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Direct promotion	Qualified for promotion playoff	Same level	Direct relegation
Fleetwood Town	53.0%	28.0%	19.0%	—
AFC Wimbledon	41.0%	35.0%	24.0%	—
Walsall	38.0%	29.0%	33.0%	—
Port Vale	37.0%	32.0%	31.0%	—
Notts County	27.0%	37.0%	36.0%	—
Bradford City	24.0%	31.0%	45.0%	—
Cheltenham Town	20.0%	35.0%	45.0%	—
Doncaster Rovers	20.0%	42.0%	38.0%	—
Chesterfield	11.0%	17.0%	70.0%	2.0%
Milton Keynes Dons	9.0%	21.0%	67.0%	3.0%
Barrow	4.0%	17.0%	77.0%	2.0%
Crewe Alexandra	3.0%	10.0%	83.0%	4.0%
Salford City	2.0%	15.0%	79.0%	4.0%
Bromley	1.0%	6.0%	86.0%	7.0%
Accrington Stanley	1.0%	4.0%	86.0%	9.0%
Colchester United	3.0%	6.0%	80.0%	11.0%
Gillingham	2.0%	11.0%	77.0%	10.0%
Grimsby Town	2.0%	7.0%	80.0%	11.0%
Swindon Town	—	4.0%	86.0%	10.0%
Tranmere Rovers	—	2.0%	78.0%	20.0%
Carlisle United	1.0%	2.0%	75.0%	22.0%
Harrogate Town	—	6.0%	70.0%	24.0%
Newport County	1.0%	2.0%	70.0%	27.0%
Morecambe	—	1.0%	65.0%	34.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2024-08-09	Swindon Town	D 1-1	1367	1387	34.2%	32.0%	33.8%	-0.0	1
2024-08-09	@ Chesterfield	D 1-1	1387	1367	33.8%	32.0%	34.2%	+0.0	1
2024-08-10	Colchester United	W 4-2	1425	1357	47.3%	28.6%	24.1%	+6.1	3
2024-08-10	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 2-4	1357	1425	24.1%	28.6%	47.3%	-6.2	0
2024-08-10	Crewe Alexandra	W 1-0	1404	1386	39.7%	31.3%	29.0%	+5.0	3
2024-08-10	@ Barrow	L 0-1	1386	1404	29.0%	31.3%	39.7%	-5.0	0
2024-08-10	Newport County	W 3-2	1481	1373	53.4%	25.4%	21.2%	+3.2	3
2024-08-10	@ Cheltenham Town	L 2-3	1373	1481	21.2%	25.4%	53.4%	-3.2	0
2024-08-10	Accrington Stanley	W 4-1	1442	1394	44.3%	29.9%	25.8%	+10.4	3
2024-08-10	@ Doncaster Rovers	L 1-4	1394	1442	25.8%	29.9%	44.3%	-10.4	0
2024-08-10	Grimsby Town	W 1-0	1496	1367	56.8%	23.3%	19.9%	+3.3	3
2024-08-10	@ Fleetwood Town	L 0-1	1367	1496	19.9%	23.3%	56.8%	-3.3	0
2024-08-10	Carlisle United	W 4-1	1389	1427	31.6%	31.8%	36.5%	+13.6	3
2024-08-10	@ Gillingham	L 1-4	1427	1389	36.5%	31.8%	31.6%	-13.6	0
2024-08-10	Bromley	L 0-2	1391	1352	43.0%	30.4%	26.6%	-12.4	0
2024-08-10	@ Harrogate Town	W 2-0	1352	1391	26.6%	30.4%	43.0%	+12.4	3
2024-08-10	Bradford City	L 1-2	1438	1430	38.2%	31.6%	30.2%	-5.7	0
2024-08-10	@ Milton Keynes Dons	W 2-1	1430	1438	30.2%	31.6%	38.2%	+5.7	3
2024-08-10	Port Vale	L 0-2	1383	1447	28.6%	31.2%	40.3%	-9.3	0
2024-08-10	@ Salford City	W 2-0	1447	1383	40.3%	31.2%	28.6%	+9.3	3
2024-08-10	Notts County	D 0-0	1402	1419	34.6%	32.0%	33.4%	-0.0	1
2024-08-10	@ Tranmere Rovers	D 0-0	1419	1402	33.4%	32.0%	34.6%	+0.0	1
2024-08-10	Morecambe	W 1-0	1393	1383	38.6%	31.5%	29.8%	+5.1	3
2024-08-10	@ Walsall	L 0-1	1383	1393	29.8%	31.5%	38.6%	-5.1	0
2024-08-17	Harrogate Town	D 3-3	1384	1379	37.8%	31.7%	30.6%	-0.1	1
2024-08-17	@ Accrington Stanley	D 3-3	1379	1384	30.6%	31.7%	37.8%	+0.1	1
2024-08-17	Salford City	D 0-0	1436	1374	46.4%	29.0%	24.6%	-0.8	4
2024-08-17	@ Bradford City	D 0-0	1374	1436	24.6%	29.0%	46.4%	+0.8	1
2024-08-17	AFC Wimbledon	W 2-0	1364	1432	28.1%	31.0%	40.8%	+12.0	6
2024-08-17	@ Bromley	L 0-2	1432	1364	40.8%	31.0%	28.1%	-12.0	3
2024-08-17	Barrow	W 1-0	1414	1409	37.8%	31.7%	30.5%	+5.2	3
2024-08-17	@ Carlisle United	L 0-1	1409	1414	30.5%	31.7%	37.8%	-5.2	3
2024-08-17	Milton Keynes Dons	W 2-0	1351	1432	26.8%	30.4%	42.8%	+12.4	3
2024-08-17	@ Colchester United	L 0-2	1432	1351	42.8%	30.4%	26.8%	-12.4	0
2024-08-17	Chesterfield	L 0-5	1381	1367	39.2%	31.4%	29.4%	-27.3	0
2024-08-17	@ Crewe Alexandra	W 5-0	1367	1381	29.4%	31.4%	39.2%	+27.3	4
2024-08-17	Cheltenham Town	W 3-2	1364	1484	23.3%	27.9%	48.9%	+6.4	3
2024-08-17	@ Grimsby Town	L 2-3	1484	1364	48.9%	27.9%	23.3%	-6.4	3
2024-08-17	Gillingham	L 0-1	1378	1402	33.5%	32.0%	34.5%	-5.5	0
2024-08-17	@ Morecambe	W 1-0	1402	1378	34.5%	32.0%	33.5%	+5.6	6
2024-08-17	Doncaster Rovers	W 3-1	1370	1452	26.5%	30.3%	43.2%	+10.8	3
2024-08-17	@ Newport County	L 1-3	1452	1370	43.2%	30.3%	26.5%	-10.8	3
2024-08-17	Tranmere Rovers	D 0-0	1456	1402	45.3%	29.5%	25.2%	-0.7	4
2024-08-17	@ Port Vale	D 0-0	1402	1456	25.2%	29.5%	45.3%	+0.7	2
2024-08-17	Walsall	L 0-4	1387	1398	35.4%	31.9%	32.7%	-20.6	1
2024-08-17	@ Swindon Town	W 4-0	1398	1387	32.7%	31.9%	35.4%	+20.6	6
2024-08-18	Fleetwood Town	D 2-2	1419	1500	26.7%	30.4%	42.9%	+0.4	2
2024-08-18	@ Notts County	D 2-2	1500	1419	42.9%	30.4%	26.7%	-0.4	4
2024-08-22	Grimsby Town	W 4-1	1419	1370	44.4%	29.8%	25.7%	+10.4	5
2024-08-22	@ Notts County	L 1-4	1370	1419	25.7%	29.8%	44.4%	-10.4	3
2024-08-24	Port Vale	W 4-0	1403	1455	29.9%	31.5%	38.5%	+21.9	6
2024-08-24	@ Barrow	L 0-4	1455	1403	38.5%	31.5%	29.9%	-21.9	4
2024-08-24	Bromley	W 3-1	1435	1376	45.9%	29.2%	24.8%	+7.1	7
2024-08-24	@ Bradford City	L 1-3	1376	1435	24.8%	29.2%	45.9%	-7.1	6
2024-08-24	AFC Wimbledon	L 0-1	1477	1420	45.8%	29.3%	24.9%	-6.9	3
2024-08-24	@ Cheltenham Town	W 1-0	1420	1477	24.9%	29.3%	45.8%	+6.9	6
2024-08-24	Salford City	D 1-1	1394	1375	40.0%	31.2%	28.8%	-0.3	5
2024-08-24	@ Chesterfield	D 1-1	1375	1394	28.8%	31.2%	40.0%	+0.3	2
2024-08-24	Harrogate Town	L 0-1	1364	1379	34.8%	31.9%	33.2%	-5.7	3
2024-08-24	@ Colchester United	W 1-0	1379	1364	33.2%	31.9%	34.8%	+5.7	4
2024-08-24	Swindon Town	D 0-0	1354	1366	35.3%	31.9%	32.8%	-0.1	1
2024-08-24	@ Crewe Alexandra	D 0-0	1366	1354	32.8%	31.9%	35.3%	+0.1	2
2024-08-24	Morecambe	W 1-0	1442	1372	47.6%	28.5%	23.9%	+4.2	6
2024-08-24	@ Doncaster Rovers	L 0-1	1372	1442	23.9%	28.5%	47.6%	-4.2	0
2024-08-24	Gillingham	D 0-0	1499	1408	50.9%	26.8%	22.3%	-1.0	5
2024-08-24	@ Fleetwood Town	D 0-0	1408	1499	22.3%	26.8%	50.9%	+1.0	7
2024-08-24	Carlisle United	W 3-0	1420	1419	37.2%	31.8%	31.0%	+14.4	3
2024-08-24	@ Milton Keynes Dons	L 0-3	1419	1420	31.0%	31.8%	37.2%	-14.4	3
2024-08-24	Accrington Stanley	W 3-1	1380	1383	36.6%	31.8%	31.5%	+8.7	6
2024-08-24	@ Newport County	L 1-3	1383	1380	31.5%	31.8%	36.6%	-8.7	1
2024-08-24	Walsall	W 1-0	1402	1419	34.7%	32.0%	33.4%	+5.5	5
2024-08-24	@ Tranmere Rovers	L 0-1	1419	1402	33.4%	32.0%	34.7%	-5.5	6
2024-08-31	Colchester United	D 1-1	1375	1358	39.6%	31.3%	29.1%	-0.3	2
2024-08-31	@ Accrington Stanley	D 1-1	1358	1375	29.1%	31.3%	39.6%	+0.3	4
2024-08-31	Fleetwood Town	W 1-0	1426	1498	27.7%	30.8%	41.5%	+6.4	9
2024-08-31	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-1	1498	1426	41.5%	30.8%	27.7%	-6.4	5
2024-08-31	Crewe Alexandra	L 1-2	1369	1354	39.4%	31.4%	29.2%	-5.9	6
2024-08-31	@ Bromley	W 2-1	1354	1369	29.2%	31.4%	39.4%	+5.8	4
2024-08-31	Tranmere Rovers	L 1-2	1404	1408	36.6%	31.8%	31.6%	-5.6	3
2024-08-31	@ Carlisle United	W 2-1	1408	1404	31.6%	31.8%	36.6%	+5.6	8
2024-08-31	Chesterfield	W 1-0	1409	1394	39.3%	31.4%	29.3%	+5.0	10
2024-08-31	@ Gillingham	L 0-1	1394	1409	29.3%	31.4%	39.3%	-5.0	5
2024-08-31	Bradford City	W 2-1	1360	1442	26.6%	30.3%	43.1%	+6.2	6
2024-08-31	@ Grimsby Town	L 1-2	1442	1360	43.1%	30.3%	26.6%	-6.2	7
2024-08-31	Barrow	L 0-1	1385	1425	31.4%	31.8%	36.8%	-5.3	4
2024-08-31	@ Harrogate Town	W 1-0	1425	1385	36.8%	31.8%	31.4%	+5.3	9
2024-08-31	Newport County	L 0-1	1368	1389	34.0%	32.0%	34.1%	-5.6	0
2024-08-31	@ Morecambe	W 1-0	1389	1368	34.1%	32.0%	34.0%	+5.6	9
2024-08-31	Doncaster Rovers	L 2-3	1433	1446	35.3%	31.9%	32.8%	-5.2	4
2024-08-31	@ Port Vale	W 3-2	1446	1433	32.8%	31.9%	35.3%	+5.2	9
2024-08-31	Notts County	L 1-2	1366	1429	28.6%	31.2%	40.2%	-4.7	2
2024-08-31	@ Swindon Town	W 2-1	1429	1366	40.2%	31.2%	28.6%	+4.7	8
2024-08-31	Cheltenham Town	W 2-1	1413	1471	29.3%	31.4%	39.3%	+5.8	9
2024-08-31	@ Walsall	L 1-2	1471	1413	39.3%	31.4%	29.3%	-5.8	3
2024-09-02	Milton Keynes Dons	W 1-0	1375	1434	29.1%	31.3%	39.6%	+6.2	5
2024-09-02	@ Salford City	L 0-1	1434	1375	39.6%	31.3%	29.1%	-6.2	3
2024-09-07	Swindon Town	D 1-1	1431	1361	47.5%	28.5%	23.9%	-0.7	10
2024-09-07	@ Barrow	D 1-1	1361	1431	23.9%	28.5%	47.5%	+0.7	3
2024-09-07	Carlisle United	W 2-1	1436	1399	42.7%	30.5%	26.9%	+4.4	10
2024-09-07	@ Bradford City	L 1-2	1399	1436	26.9%	30.5%	42.7%	-4.4	3
2024-09-07	Harrogate Town	W 1-0	1465	1380	50.0%	27.3%	22.7%	+4.0	6
2024-09-07	@ Cheltenham Town	L 0-1	1380	1465	22.7%	27.3%	50.0%	-3.9	4
2024-09-07	Grimsby Town	W 2-1	1389	1366	40.5%	31.1%	28.4%	+4.6	8
2024-09-07	@ Chesterfield	L 1-2	1366	1389	28.4%	31.1%	40.5%	-4.6	6
2024-09-07	Bromley	D 1-1	1358	1363	36.3%	31.9%	31.8%	-0.1	5
2024-09-07	@ Colchester United	D 1-1	1363	1358	31.8%	31.9%	36.3%	+0.1	7
2024-09-07	Morecambe	W 1-0	1360	1362	36.7%	31.8%	31.5%	+5.3	7
2024-09-07	@ Crewe Alexandra	L 0-1	1362	1360	31.5%	31.8%	36.7%	-5.3	0
2024-09-07	Gillingham	W 1-0	1451	1414	42.6%	30.5%	26.9%	+4.7	12
2024-09-07	@ Doncaster Rovers	L 0-1	1414	1451	26.9%	30.5%	42.6%	-4.7	10
2024-09-07	Walsall	W 1-0	1428	1419	38.3%	31.6%	30.1%	+5.1	6
2024-09-07	@ Milton Keynes Dons	L 0-1	1419	1428	30.1%	31.6%	38.3%	-5.1	9
2024-09-07	Port Vale	L 1-4	1395	1428	32.3%	31.9%	35.8%	-12.5	9
2024-09-07	@ Newport County	W 4-1	1428	1395	35.8%	31.9%	32.3%	+12.5	7
2024-09-07	Accrington Stanley	W 2-0	1434	1374	46.1%	29.2%	24.8%	+8.2	11
2024-09-07	@ Notts County	L 0-2	1374	1434	24.8%	29.2%	46.1%	-8.2	2
2024-09-12	Doncaster Rovers	W 2-0	1376	1456	26.8%	30.4%	42.8%	+12.4	7
2024-09-12	@ Harrogate Town	L 0-2	1456	1376	42.8%	30.4%	26.8%	-12.4	12
2024-09-14	Crewe Alexandra	L 0-1	1366	1365	37.3%	31.7%	31.0%	-6.0	2
2024-09-14	@ Accrington Stanley	W 1-0	1365	1366	31.0%	31.7%	37.3%	+6.0	10
2024-09-14	Milton Keynes Dons	W 3-0	1433	1433	37.1%	31.8%	31.1%	+14.4	12
2024-09-14	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-3	1433	1433	31.1%	31.8%	37.1%	-14.4	6
2024-09-14	Notts County	L 2-4	1363	1442	26.9%	30.5%	42.5%	-6.8	7
2024-09-14	@ Bromley	W 4-2	1442	1363	42.5%	30.5%	26.9%	+6.8	14
2024-09-14	Fleetwood Town	L 2-3	1394	1492	25.1%	29.5%	45.4%	-3.9	3
2024-09-14	@ Carlisle United	W 3-2	1492	1394	45.4%	29.5%	25.1%	+3.9	8
2024-09-14	Tranmere Rovers	W 3-0	1409	1413	36.5%	31.8%	31.7%	+14.6	13
2024-09-14	@ Gillingham	L 0-3	1413	1409	31.7%	31.8%	36.5%	-14.6	8
2024-09-14	Barrow	L 1-2	1361	1430	28.0%	31.0%	41.0%	-4.6	6
2024-09-14	@ Grimsby Town	W 2-1	1430	1361	41.0%	31.0%	28.0%	+4.6	13
2024-09-14	Colchester United	D 3-3	1357	1358	36.9%	31.8%	31.3%	-0.1	1
2024-09-14	@ Morecambe	D 3-3	1358	1357	31.3%	31.8%	36.9%	+0.1	6
2024-09-14	Chesterfield	W 1-0	1441	1393	44.2%	29.9%	25.9%	+4.5	10
2024-09-14	@ Port Vale	L 0-1	1393	1441	25.9%	29.9%	44.2%	-4.5	8
2024-09-14	Cheltenham Town	W 2-1	1381	1469	26.1%	30.0%	43.9%	+6.3	8
2024-09-14	@ Salford City	L 1-2	1469	1381	43.9%	30.0%	26.1%	-6.3	6
2024-09-14	Newport County	W 4-0	1362	1382	34.1%	32.0%	33.9%	+20.0	6
2024-09-14	@ Swindon Town	L 0-4	1382	1362	33.9%	32.0%	34.1%	-20.0	9
2024-09-14	Bradford City	W 2-1	1414	1440	33.3%	31.9%	34.8%	+5.4	12
2024-09-14	@ Walsall	L 1-2	1440	1414	34.8%	31.9%	33.3%	-5.4	10
2024-09-21	Port Vale	D 2-2	1360	1445	26.3%	30.2%	43.5%	+0.4	3
2024-09-21	@ Accrington Stanley	D 2-2	1445	1360	43.5%	30.2%	26.3%	-0.4	11
2024-09-21	Newport County	W 2-0	1434	1362	48.0%	28.3%	23.7%	+7.8	16
2024-09-21	@ Barrow	L 0-2	1362	1434	23.7%	28.3%	48.0%	-7.8	9
2024-09-21	AFC Wimbledon	D 0-0	1435	1447	35.3%	31.9%	32.8%	-0.1	11
2024-09-21	@ Bradford City	D 0-0	1447	1435	32.8%	31.9%	35.3%	+0.1	13
2024-09-21	Cheltenham Town	D 1-1	1389	1462	27.5%	30.8%	41.8%	+0.4	9
2024-09-21	@ Chesterfield	D 1-1	1462	1389	41.8%	30.8%	27.5%	-0.4	7
2024-09-21	Tranmere Rovers	W 3-0	1358	1399	31.4%	31.8%	36.9%	+16.2	9
2024-09-21	@ Colchester United	L 0-3	1399	1358	36.9%	31.8%	31.4%	-16.2	8
2024-09-21	Harrogate Town	W 3-0	1371	1388	34.6%	32.0%	33.5%	+15.2	13
2024-09-21	@ Crewe Alexandra	L 0-3	1388	1371	33.5%	32.0%	34.6%	-15.2	7
2024-09-21	Bromley	W 1-0	1357	1357	37.1%	31.8%	31.1%	+5.3	9
2024-09-21	@ Grimsby Town	L 0-1	1357	1357	31.1%	31.8%	37.1%	-5.3	7
2024-09-21	Doncaster Rovers	D 1-1	1418	1443	33.5%	32.0%	34.6%	+0.0	7
2024-09-21	@ Milton Keynes Dons	D 1-1	1443	1418	34.6%	32.0%	33.5%	-0.0	13
2024-09-21	Gillingham	L 0-1	1449	1424	40.8%	31.0%	28.1%	-6.4	14
2024-09-21	@ Notts County	W 1-0	1424	1449	28.1%	31.0%	40.8%	+6.4	16
2024-09-21	Walsall	L 0-2	1388	1419	32.5%	31.9%	35.6%	-10.2	8
2024-09-21	@ Salford City	W 2-0	1419	1388	35.6%	31.9%	32.5%	+10.3	15
2024-09-21	Carlisle United	L 0-2	1382	1390	35.9%	31.9%	32.2%	-11.0	6
2024-09-21	@ Swindon Town	W 2-0	1390	1382	32.2%	31.9%	35.9%	+11.0	6
2024-09-23	Morecambe	D 2-2	1496	1357	58.3%	22.3%	19.4%	-0.9	9
2024-09-23	@ Fleetwood Town	D 2-2	1357	1496	19.4%	22.3%	58.3%	+0.9	2
2024-09-27	Salford City	D 0-0	1383	1377	37.9%	31.7%	30.5%	-0.2	9
2024-09-27	@ Tranmere Rovers	D 0-0	1377	1383	30.5%	31.7%	37.9%	+0.2	9
2024-09-28	Milton Keynes Dons	D 1-1	1351	1418	28.2%	31.0%	40.8%	+0.4	8
2024-09-28	@ Bromley	D 1-1	1418	1351	40.8%	31.0%	28.2%	-0.4	8
2024-09-28	Grimsby Town	L 2-3	1401	1362	43.0%	30.4%	26.7%	-5.9	6
2024-09-28	@ Carlisle United	W 3-2	1362	1401	26.7%	30.4%	43.0%	+5.9	12
2024-09-28	Fleetwood Town	L 0-2	1462	1495	32.4%	31.9%	35.7%	-10.2	7
2024-09-28	@ Cheltenham Town	W 2-0	1495	1462	35.7%	31.9%	32.4%	+10.2	12
2024-09-28	Chesterfield	L 0-3	1443	1389	45.2%	29.5%	25.3%	-18.7	13
2024-09-28	@ Doncaster Rovers	W 3-0	1389	1443	25.3%	29.5%	45.2%	+18.7	12
2024-09-28	Barrow	W 2-0	1430	1442	35.3%	31.9%	32.8%	+10.3	19
2024-09-28	@ Gillingham	L 0-2	1442	1430	32.8%	31.9%	35.3%	-10.3	16
2024-09-28	Bradford City	W 2-1	1373	1435	28.7%	31.2%	40.1%	+5.9	10
2024-09-28	@ Harrogate Town	L 1-2	1435	1373	40.1%	31.2%	28.7%	-5.9	11
2024-09-28	Notts County	D 1-1	1358	1443	26.3%	30.2%	43.5%	+0.5	3
2024-09-28	@ Morecambe	D 1-1	1443	1358	43.5%	30.2%	26.3%	-0.5	15
2024-09-28	Crewe Alexandra	W 2-1	1354	1386	32.5%	31.9%	35.5%	+5.5	12
2024-09-28	@ Newport County	L 1-2	1386	1354	35.5%	31.9%	32.5%	-5.5	13
2024-09-28	Swindon Town	W 2-1	1445	1371	48.2%	28.2%	23.6%	+3.9	14
2024-09-28	@ Port Vale	L 1-2	1371	1445	23.6%	28.2%	48.2%	-3.9	6
2024-09-28	Colchester United	W 4-0	1430	1375	45.4%	29.5%	25.1%	+15.8	18
2024-09-28	@ Walsall	L 0-4	1375	1430	25.1%	29.5%	45.4%	-15.8	9
2024-10-01	Chesterfield	D 2-2	1352	1408	29.4%	31.4%	39.2%	+0.2	9
2024-10-01	@ Bromley	D 2-2	1408	1352	39.2%	31.4%	29.4%	-0.2	13
2024-10-01	Notts County	L 0-2	1395	1442	30.6%	31.7%	37.8%	-9.8	6
2024-10-01	@ Carlisle United	W 2-0	1442	1395	37.8%	31.7%	30.6%	+9.8	18
2024-10-01	Accrington Stanley	W 2-1	1452	1361	50.9%	26.8%	22.3%	+3.6	10
2024-10-01	@ Cheltenham Town	L 1-2	1361	1452	22.3%	26.8%	50.9%	-3.6	3
2024-10-01	Barrow	W 1-0	1425	1432	36.0%	31.9%	32.1%	+5.4	16
2024-10-01	@ Doncaster Rovers	L 0-1	1432	1425	32.1%	31.9%	36.0%	-5.4	16
2024-10-01	Grimsby Town	L 0-1	1440	1368	48.0%	28.3%	23.7%	-7.1	19
2024-10-01	@ Gillingham	W 1-0	1368	1440	23.7%	28.3%	48.0%	+7.1	15
2024-10-01	Milton Keynes Dons	L 1-5	1379	1418	31.5%	31.8%	36.7%	-15.9	10
2024-10-01	@ Harrogate Town	W 5-1	1418	1379	36.7%	31.8%	31.5%	+15.9	11
2024-10-01	Bradford City	D 1-1	1358	1429	27.8%	30.9%	41.4%	+0.4	4
2024-10-01	@ Morecambe	D 1-1	1429	1358	41.4%	30.9%	27.8%	-0.4	12
2024-10-01	Salford City	W 3-1	1360	1378	34.5%	32.0%	33.5%	+9.1	15
2024-10-01	@ Newport County	L 1-3	1378	1360	33.5%	32.0%	34.5%	-9.1	9
2024-10-01	Colchester United	D 1-1	1449	1359	50.7%	26.9%	22.4%	-0.9	15
2024-10-01	@ Port Vale	D 1-1	1359	1449	22.4%	26.9%	50.7%	+0.9	10
2024-10-01	Swindon Town	D 1-1	1382	1367	39.3%	31.4%	29.3%	-0.3	10
2024-10-01	@ Tranmere Rovers	D 1-1	1367	1382	29.3%	31.4%	39.3%	+0.3	7
2024-10-01	Fleetwood Town	L 2-6	1445	1505	29.0%	31.3%	39.7%	-12.6	18
2024-10-01	@ Walsall	W 6-2	1505	1445	39.7%	31.3%	29.0%	+12.6	15
2024-10-05	Morecambe	W 2-1	1357	1359	36.8%	31.8%	31.4%	+5.0	6
2024-10-05	@ Accrington Stanley	L 1-2	1359	1357	31.4%	31.8%	36.8%	-5.0	4
2024-10-05	Cheltenham Town	W 2-1	1427	1455	32.9%	31.9%	35.1%	+5.4	19
2024-10-05	@ Barrow	L 1-2	1455	1427	35.1%	31.9%	32.9%	-5.4	10
2024-10-05	Walsall	D 2-2	1408	1433	33.4%	32.0%	34.6%	+0.0	14
2024-10-05	@ Chesterfield	D 2-2	1433	1408	34.6%	32.0%	33.4%	-0.0	19
2024-10-05	Carlisle United	D 0-0	1360	1386	33.3%	32.0%	34.7%	+0.0	11
2024-10-05	@ Colchester United	D 0-0	1386	1360	34.7%	32.0%	33.3%	-0.1	7
2024-10-05	Gillingham	W 2-0	1381	1433	29.8%	31.5%	38.7%	+11.6	16
2024-10-05	@ Crewe Alexandra	L 0-2	1433	1381	38.7%	31.5%	29.8%	-11.6	19
2024-10-05	Bromley	D 0-0	1518	1352	62.4%	19.6%	18.0%	-1.6	16
2024-10-05	@ Fleetwood Town	D 0-0	1352	1518	18.0%	19.6%	62.4%	+1.6	10
2024-10-05	Doncaster Rovers	L 0-3	1375	1430	29.5%	31.5%	39.0%	-13.9	15
2024-10-05	@ Grimsby Town	W 3-0	1430	1375	39.0%	31.5%	29.5%	+13.9	19
2024-10-05	Tranmere Rovers	D 1-1	1434	1382	44.9%	29.7%	25.4%	-0.6	12
2024-10-05	@ Milton Keynes Dons	D 1-1	1382	1434	25.4%	29.7%	44.9%	+0.6	11
2024-10-05	Port Vale	L 0-1	1452	1448	37.7%	31.7%	30.6%	-6.0	18
2024-10-05	@ Notts County	W 1-0	1448	1452	30.6%	31.7%	37.7%	+6.0	18
2024-10-05	AFC Wimbledon	W 1-0	1368	1447	26.9%	30.5%	42.6%	+6.5	12
2024-10-05	@ Salford City	L 0-1	1447	1368	42.6%	30.5%	26.9%	-6.5	13
2024-10-05	Harrogate Town	D 0-0	1368	1363	37.8%	31.7%	30.6%	-0.2	8
2024-10-05	@ Swindon Town	D 0-0	1363	1368	30.6%	31.7%	37.8%	+0.2	11
2024-10-07	Newport County	W 3-1	1429	1369	46.1%	29.2%	24.8%	+7.1	15
2024-10-07	@ Bradford City	L 1-3	1369	1429	24.8%	29.2%	46.1%	-7.1	15
2024-10-12	Carlisle United	W 4-0	1441	1386	45.4%	29.5%	25.1%	+15.7	16
2024-10-12	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-4	1386	1441	25.1%	29.5%	45.4%	-15.8	7
2024-10-12	Morecambe	L 0-1	1432	1354	48.9%	27.8%	23.2%	-7.2	19
2024-10-12	@ Barrow	W 1-0	1354	1432	23.2%	27.8%	48.9%	+7.2	7
2024-10-12	Swindon Town	L 2-3	1450	1367	49.6%	27.5%	22.9%	-6.5	10
2024-10-12	@ Cheltenham Town	W 3-2	1367	1450	22.9%	27.5%	49.6%	+6.5	11
2024-10-12	Notts County	D 2-2	1408	1446	31.6%	31.8%	36.5%	+0.1	15
2024-10-12	@ Chesterfield	D 2-2	1446	1408	36.5%	31.8%	31.6%	-0.1	19
2024-10-12	Crewe Alexandra	D 1-1	1444	1392	44.9%	29.7%	25.5%	-0.6	20
2024-10-12	@ Doncaster Rovers	D 1-1	1392	1444	25.5%	29.7%	44.9%	+0.6	17
2024-10-12	Accrington Stanley	L 1-2	1422	1362	46.1%	29.2%	24.8%	-6.5	19
2024-10-12	@ Gillingham	W 2-1	1362	1422	24.8%	29.2%	46.1%	+6.5	9
2024-10-12	Newport County	W 1-0	1363	1362	37.3%	31.8%	31.0%	+5.2	14
2024-10-12	@ Harrogate Town	L 0-1	1362	1363	31.0%	31.8%	37.3%	-5.3	15
2024-10-12	Port Vale	L 0-1	1433	1454	34.1%	32.0%	34.0%	-5.6	12
2024-10-12	@ Milton Keynes Dons	W 1-0	1454	1433	34.0%	32.0%	34.1%	+5.6	21
2024-10-12	Grimsby Town	L 1-2	1375	1361	39.1%	31.4%	29.4%	-5.8	12
2024-10-12	@ Salford City	W 2-1	1361	1375	29.4%	31.4%	39.1%	+5.8	18
2024-10-12	Bradford City	L 0-2	1383	1436	29.8%	31.5%	38.7%	-9.6	11
2024-10-12	@ Tranmere Rovers	W 2-0	1436	1383	38.7%	31.5%	29.8%	+9.6	18
2024-10-18	Chesterfield	L 0-3	1357	1408	30.0%	31.6%	38.4%	-14.1	15
2024-10-18	@ Newport County	W 3-0	1408	1357	38.4%	31.6%	30.0%	+14.0	18
2024-10-19	Barrow	W 1-0	1369	1425	29.4%	31.4%	39.2%	+6.2	12
2024-10-19	@ Accrington Stanley	L 0-1	1425	1369	39.2%	31.4%	29.4%	-6.2	19
2024-10-19	Gillingham	W 2-1	1445	1415	41.6%	30.8%	27.6%	+4.5	21
2024-10-19	@ Bradford City	L 1-2	1415	1445	27.6%	30.8%	41.6%	-4.5	19
2024-10-19	Tranmere Rovers	L 1-2	1354	1373	34.2%	32.0%	33.8%	-5.3	10
2024-10-19	@ Bromley	W 2-1	1373	1354	33.8%	32.0%	34.2%	+5.3	14
2024-10-19	Harrogate Town	D 1-1	1370	1368	37.3%	31.7%	30.9%	-0.2	8
2024-10-19	@ Carlisle United	D 1-1	1368	1370	30.9%	31.7%	37.3%	+0.2	15
2024-10-19	Cheltenham Town	L 1-2	1360	1443	26.4%	30.2%	43.3%	-4.3	11
2024-10-19	@ Colchester United	W 2-1	1443	1360	43.3%	30.2%	26.4%	+4.3	13
2024-10-19	Salford City	D 1-1	1393	1369	40.6%	31.1%	28.3%	-0.4	18
2024-10-19	@ Crewe Alexandra	D 1-1	1369	1393	28.3%	31.1%	40.6%	+0.4	13
2024-10-19	Walsall	L 1-4	1367	1433	28.3%	31.1%	40.6%	-11.3	18
2024-10-19	@ Grimsby Town	W 4-1	1433	1367	40.6%	31.1%	28.3%	+11.3	22
2024-10-19	Milton Keynes Dons	L 1-3	1361	1428	28.2%	31.0%	40.8%	-8.0	7
2024-10-19	@ Morecambe	W 3-1	1428	1361	40.8%	31.0%	28.2%	+8.0	15
2024-10-19	AFC Wimbledon	W 1-0	1446	1457	35.5%	31.9%	32.6%	+5.5	22
2024-10-19	@ Notts County	L 0-1	1457	1446	32.6%	31.9%	35.5%	-5.5	16
2024-10-19	Fleetwood Town	W 3-1	1460	1516	29.4%	31.4%	39.2%	+10.1	24
2024-10-19	@ Port Vale	L 1-3	1516	1460	39.2%	31.4%	29.4%	-10.1	16
2024-10-19	Doncaster Rovers	L 1-2	1374	1443	27.9%	30.9%	41.2%	-4.6	11
2024-10-19	@ Swindon Town	W 2-1	1443	1374	41.2%	30.9%	27.9%	+4.6	23
2024-10-22	Morecambe	W 3-0	1451	1353	52.0%	26.2%	21.8%	+10.3	19
2024-10-22	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-3	1353	1451	21.8%	26.2%	52.0%	-10.3	7
2024-10-22	Notts County	D 1-1	1419	1451	32.4%	31.9%	35.7%	+0.1	20
2024-10-22	@ Barrow	D 1-1	1451	1419	35.7%	31.9%	32.4%	-0.1	23
2024-10-22	Bradford City	D 1-1	1448	1450	36.8%	31.8%	31.4%	-0.2	14
2024-10-22	@ Cheltenham Town	D 1-1	1450	1448	31.4%	31.8%	36.8%	+0.2	22
2024-10-22	Colchester United	D 1-1	1422	1355	47.1%	28.7%	24.2%	-0.7	19
2024-10-22	@ Chesterfield	D 1-1	1355	1422	24.2%	28.7%	47.1%	+0.7	12
2024-10-22	Bromley	L 0-1	1448	1348	52.2%	26.1%	21.7%	-7.5	23
2024-10-22	@ Doncaster Rovers	W 1-0	1348	1448	21.7%	26.1%	52.2%	+7.5	13
2024-10-22	Crewe Alexandra	L 0-1	1506	1392	54.4%	24.8%	20.8%	-7.7	16
2024-10-22	@ Fleetwood Town	W 1-0	1392	1506	20.8%	24.8%	54.4%	+7.7	21
2024-10-22	Newport County	L 0-2	1411	1343	47.4%	28.6%	24.0%	-13.2	19
2024-10-22	@ Gillingham	W 2-0	1343	1411	24.0%	28.6%	47.4%	+13.2	18
2024-10-22	Port Vale	L 0-1	1369	1470	24.8%	29.2%	46.0%	-4.3	15
2024-10-22	@ Harrogate Town	W 1-0	1470	1369	46.0%	29.2%	24.8%	+4.3	27
2024-10-22	Accrington Stanley	W 2-1	1436	1375	46.3%	29.1%	24.6%	+4.1	18
2024-10-22	@ Milton Keynes Dons	L 1-2	1375	1436	24.6%	29.1%	46.3%	-4.1	12
2024-10-22	Swindon Town	W 2-1	1370	1369	37.1%	31.8%	31.1%	+5.0	16
2024-10-22	@ Salford City	L 1-2	1369	1370	31.1%	31.8%	37.1%	-5.0	11
2024-10-22	Grimsby Town	L 0-1	1378	1356	40.5%	31.1%	28.4%	-6.3	14
2024-10-22	@ Tranmere Rovers	W 1-0	1356	1378	28.4%	31.1%	40.5%	+6.3	21
2024-10-22	Carlisle United	W 3-1	1444	1370	48.3%	28.1%	23.5%	+6.7	25
2024-10-22	@ Walsall	L 1-3	1370	1444	23.5%	28.1%	48.3%	-6.7	8
2024-10-26	Walsall	D 0-0	1371	1451	26.8%	30.4%	42.8%	+0.5	13
2024-10-26	@ Accrington Stanley	D 0-0	1451	1371	42.8%	30.4%	26.8%	-0.5	26
2024-10-26	Doncaster Rovers	L 1-2	1450	1440	38.5%	31.6%	29.9%	-5.8	22
2024-10-26	@ Bradford City	W 2-1	1440	1450	29.9%	31.6%	38.5%	+5.8	26
2024-10-26	Barrow	D 1-1	1356	1419	28.6%	31.2%	40.2%	+0.3	14
2024-10-26	@ Bromley	D 1-1	1419	1356	40.2%	31.2%	28.6%	-0.4	21
2024-10-26	Cheltenham Town	L 0-1	1363	1448	26.3%	30.2%	43.5%	-4.6	8
2024-10-26	@ Carlisle United	W 1-0	1448	1363	43.5%	30.2%	26.3%	+4.6	17
2024-10-26	Salford City	L 1-2	1356	1374	34.4%	32.0%	33.6%	-5.3	12
2024-10-26	@ Colchester United	W 2-1	1374	1356	33.6%	32.0%	34.4%	+5.3	19
2024-10-26	Tranmere Rovers	W 3-1	1400	1372	41.3%	30.9%	27.8%	+7.9	24
2024-10-26	@ Crewe Alexandra	L 1-3	1372	1400	27.8%	30.9%	41.3%	-7.9	14
2024-10-26	Milton Keynes Dons	L 1-3	1362	1440	27.0%	30.6%	42.4%	-7.7	21
2024-10-26	@ Grimsby Town	W 3-1	1440	1362	42.4%	30.6%	27.0%	+7.7	21
2024-10-26	Chesterfield	L 2-5	1343	1421	27.0%	30.5%	42.5%	-9.4	7
2024-10-26	@ Morecambe	W 5-2	1421	1343	42.5%	30.5%	27.0%	+9.4	22
2024-10-26	Fleetwood Town	D 0-0	1356	1498	21.7%	26.0%	52.3%	+1.1	19
2024-10-26	@ Newport County	D 0-0	1498	1356	52.3%	26.0%	21.7%	-1.1	17
2024-10-26	Harrogate Town	W 1-0	1451	1364	50.3%	27.2%	22.6%	+3.9	26
2024-10-26	@ Notts County	L 0-1	1364	1451	22.6%	27.2%	50.3%	-3.9	15
2024-10-26	AFC Wimbledon	W 3-2	1474	1461	38.9%	31.5%	29.6%	+4.5	30
2024-10-26	@ Port Vale	L 2-3	1461	1474	29.6%	31.5%	38.9%	-4.5	19
2024-10-26	Gillingham	D 1-1	1364	1398	32.3%	31.9%	35.8%	+0.1	12
2024-10-26	@ Swindon Town	D 1-1	1398	1364	35.8%	31.9%	32.3%	-0.1	20
2024-10-29	Salford City	D 2-2	1497	1380	54.9%	24.4%	20.6%	-0.8	18
2024-10-29	@ Fleetwood Town	D 2-2	1380	1497	20.6%	24.4%	54.9%	+0.8	20
2024-11-09	Grimsby Town	L 0-1	1457	1354	52.7%	25.8%	21.5%	-7.5	19
2024-11-09	@ AFC Wimbledon	W 1-0	1354	1457	21.5%	25.8%	52.7%	+7.5	24
2024-11-09	Colchester United	D 1-1	1418	1351	47.3%	28.6%	24.1%	-0.7	22
2024-11-09	@ Barrow	D 1-1	1351	1418	24.1%	28.6%	47.3%	+0.7	13
2024-11-09	Bromley	D 1-1	1452	1356	51.7%	26.4%	21.9%	-0.9	18
2024-11-09	@ Cheltenham Town	D 1-1	1356	1452	21.9%	26.4%	51.7%	+0.9	15
2024-11-09	Accrington Stanley	L 0-3	1431	1371	46.0%	29.2%	24.8%	-18.9	22
2024-11-09	@ Chesterfield	W 3-0	1371	1431	24.8%	29.2%	46.0%	+18.9	16
2024-11-09	Notts County	D 1-1	1446	1455	35.8%	31.9%	32.3%	-0.1	27
2024-11-09	@ Doncaster Rovers	D 1-1	1455	1446	32.3%	31.9%	35.8%	+0.1	27
2024-11-09	Bradford City	W 1-0	1496	1444	44.9%	29.7%	25.4%	+4.5	21
2024-11-09	@ Fleetwood Town	L 0-1	1444	1496	25.4%	29.7%	44.9%	-4.5	22
2024-11-09	Port Vale	W 1-0	1397	1479	26.7%	30.4%	42.9%	+6.6	23
2024-11-09	@ Gillingham	L 0-1	1479	1397	42.9%	30.4%	26.7%	-6.6	30
2024-11-09	Morecambe	L 1-2	1360	1333	41.1%	30.9%	27.9%	-6.0	15
2024-11-09	@ Harrogate Town	W 2-1	1333	1360	27.9%	30.9%	41.1%	+6.0	10
2024-11-09	Swindon Town	W 3-1	1447	1364	49.6%	27.5%	22.9%	+6.5	24
2024-11-09	@ Milton Keynes Dons	L 1-3	1364	1447	22.9%	27.5%	49.6%	-6.5	12
2024-11-09	Carlisle United	L 0-1	1381	1358	40.4%	31.1%	28.5%	-6.3	20
2024-11-09	@ Salford City	W 1-0	1358	1381	28.5%	31.1%	40.4%	+6.3	11
2024-11-09	Newport County	W 2-1	1364	1357	38.1%	31.6%	30.2%	+4.9	17
2024-11-09	@ Tranmere Rovers	L 1-2	1357	1364	30.2%	31.6%	38.1%	-4.9	19
2024-11-09	Crewe Alexandra	D 1-1	1450	1408	43.4%	30.2%	26.4%	-0.5	27
2024-11-09	@ Walsall	D 1-1	1408	1450	26.4%	30.2%	43.4%	+0.5	25
2024-11-16	Swindon Town	D 2-2	1390	1358	41.9%	30.7%	27.4%	-0.3	17
2024-11-16	@ Accrington Stanley	D 2-2	1358	1390	27.4%	30.7%	41.9%	+0.3	13
2024-11-16	AFC Wimbledon	L 1-3	1418	1449	32.5%	31.9%	35.6%	-8.9	22
2024-11-16	@ Barrow	W 3-1	1449	1418	35.6%	31.9%	32.5%	+8.9	22
2024-11-16	Carlisle United	D 1-1	1357	1365	36.0%	31.9%	32.2%	-0.1	16
2024-11-16	@ Bromley	D 1-1	1365	1357	32.2%	31.9%	36.0%	+0.1	12
2024-11-16	Bradford City	D 1-1	1351	1440	26.0%	30.0%	44.0%	+0.6	14
2024-11-16	@ Colchester United	D 1-1	1440	1351	44.0%	30.0%	26.0%	-0.6	23
2024-11-16	Notts County	W 2-0	1408	1455	30.6%	31.7%	37.8%	+11.4	28
2024-11-16	@ Crewe Alexandra	L 0-2	1455	1408	37.8%	31.7%	30.6%	-11.4	27
2024-11-16	Salford City	D 1-1	1446	1374	47.9%	28.3%	23.8%	-0.8	28
2024-11-16	@ Doncaster Rovers	D 1-1	1374	1446	23.8%	28.3%	47.9%	+0.8	21
2024-11-16	Chesterfield	W 2-1	1354	1412	29.3%	31.4%	39.4%	+5.8	18
2024-11-16	@ Harrogate Town	L 1-2	1412	1354	39.4%	31.4%	29.3%	-5.9	22
2024-11-16	Cheltenham Town	W 3-2	1454	1451	37.5%	31.7%	30.8%	+4.7	27
2024-11-16	@ Milton Keynes Dons	L 2-3	1451	1454	30.8%	31.7%	37.5%	-4.7	18
2024-11-16	Port Vale	L 0-1	1339	1472	22.3%	26.8%	50.8%	-3.9	10
2024-11-16	@ Morecambe	W 1-0	1472	1339	50.8%	26.8%	22.3%	+3.9	33
2024-11-16	Grimsby Town	D 0-0	1352	1362	35.6%	31.9%	32.4%	-0.1	20
2024-11-16	@ Newport County	D 0-0	1362	1352	32.4%	31.9%	35.6%	+0.1	25
2024-11-19	Accrington Stanley	D 2-2	1458	1390	47.4%	28.6%	24.0%	-0.5	23
2024-11-19	@ AFC Wimbledon	D 2-2	1390	1458	24.0%	28.6%	47.4%	+0.5	18
2024-11-22	Tranmere Rovers	W 1-0	1447	1369	48.8%	27.9%	23.3%	+4.1	21
2024-11-22	@ Cheltenham Town	L 0-1	1369	1447	23.3%	27.9%	48.8%	-4.1	17
2024-11-23	Walsall	L 0-1	1458	1450	38.3%	31.6%	30.1%	-6.1	23
2024-11-23	@ AFC Wimbledon	W 1-0	1450	1458	30.1%	31.6%	38.3%	+6.1	30
2024-11-23	Doncaster Rovers	D 0-0	1365	1445	26.8%	30.4%	42.8%	+0.5	13
2024-11-23	@ Carlisle United	D 0-0	1445	1365	42.8%	30.4%	26.8%	-0.5	29
2024-11-23	Barrow	W 1-0	1406	1409	36.6%	31.8%	31.5%	+5.3	25
2024-11-23	@ Chesterfield	L 0-1	1409	1406	31.5%	31.8%	36.6%	-5.3	22
2024-11-23	Harrogate Town	L 1-2	1404	1360	43.7%	30.1%	26.2%	-6.3	23
2024-11-23	@ Gillingham	W 2-1	1360	1404	26.2%	30.1%	43.7%	+6.3	21
2024-11-23	Colchester United	L 0-1	1362	1352	38.6%	31.5%	29.9%	-6.1	25
2024-11-23	@ Grimsby Town	W 1-0	1352	1362	29.9%	31.5%	38.6%	+6.1	17
2024-11-23	Newport County	D 0-0	1444	1352	51.0%	26.7%	22.2%	-1.0	28
2024-11-23	@ Notts County	D 0-0	1352	1444	22.2%	26.7%	51.0%	+1.0	21
2024-11-23	Morecambe	L 2-3	1358	1335	40.5%	31.1%	28.4%	-5.7	13
2024-11-23	@ Swindon Town	W 3-2	1335	1358	28.4%	31.1%	40.5%	+5.6	13
2024-11-25	Crewe Alexandra	D 1-1	1476	1420	45.5%	29.4%	25.1%	-0.6	34
2024-11-25	@ Port Vale	D 1-1	1420	1476	25.1%	29.4%	45.5%	+0.6	29
2024-11-26	AFC Wimbledon	L 0-2	1365	1452	26.1%	30.1%	43.8%	-8.6	17
2024-11-26	@ Tranmere Rovers	W 2-0	1452	1365	43.8%	30.1%	26.1%	+8.6	26
2024-11-26	Bromley	D 2-2	1456	1357	52.1%	26.1%	21.8%	-0.7	31
2024-11-26	@ Walsall	D 2-2	1357	1456	21.8%	26.1%	52.1%	+0.7	17
2024-11-30	Colchester United	D 0-0	1501	1358	58.9%	22.0%	19.2%	-1.4	22
2024-11-30	@ Fleetwood Town	D 0-0	1358	1501	19.2%	22.0%	58.9%	+1.4	18
2024-11-30	Crewe Alexandra	D 1-1	1365	1420	29.5%	31.4%	39.0%	+0.3	14
2024-11-30	@ Carlisle United	D 1-1	1420	1365	39.0%	31.4%	29.5%	-0.3	30
2024-12-03	Newport County	D 2-2	1460	1353	53.4%	25.4%	21.2%	-0.8	27
2024-12-03	@ AFC Wimbledon	D 2-2	1353	1460	21.2%	25.4%	53.4%	+0.8	22
2024-12-03	Barrow	D 1-1	1439	1403	42.4%	30.6%	27.0%	-0.5	24
2024-12-03	@ Bradford City	D 1-1	1403	1439	27.0%	30.6%	42.4%	+0.5	23
2024-12-03	Port Vale	D 1-1	1451	1475	33.5%	32.0%	34.5%	+0.0	22
2024-12-03	@ Cheltenham Town	D 1-1	1475	1451	34.5%	32.0%	33.5%	-0.0	35
2024-12-03	Swindon Town	W 4-0	1360	1353	38.1%	31.6%	30.3%	+18.5	21
2024-12-03	@ Colchester United	L 0-4	1353	1360	30.3%	31.6%	38.1%	-18.5	13
2024-12-03	Accrington Stanley	W 5-2	1356	1390	32.1%	31.9%	36.0%	+11.7	28
2024-12-03	@ Grimsby Town	L 2-5	1390	1356	36.0%	31.9%	32.1%	-11.7	18
2024-12-03	Chesterfield	W 3-0	1459	1411	44.2%	29.9%	25.9%	+12.4	30
2024-12-03	@ Milton Keynes Dons	L 0-3	1411	1459	25.9%	29.9%	44.2%	-12.4	25
2024-12-03	Harrogate Town	W 2-0	1375	1366	38.4%	31.6%	30.1%	+9.7	24
2024-12-03	@ Salford City	L 0-2	1366	1375	30.1%	31.6%	38.4%	-9.7	21
2024-12-03	Morecambe	D 2-2	1356	1341	39.3%	31.4%	29.3%	-0.2	18
2024-12-03	@ Tranmere Rovers	D 2-2	1341	1356	29.3%	31.4%	39.3%	+0.2	14
2024-12-03	Notts County	W 3-2	1455	1443	38.9%	31.5%	29.6%	+4.5	34
2024-12-03	@ Walsall	L 2-3	1443	1455	29.6%	31.5%	38.9%	-4.5	28
2024-12-04	Gillingham	W 2-1	1358	1398	31.4%	31.8%	36.8%	+5.6	20
2024-12-04	@ Bromley	L 1-2	1398	1358	36.8%	31.8%	31.4%	-5.6	23
2024-12-04	Doncaster Rovers	L 2-4	1499	1445	45.3%	29.5%	25.2%	-10.0	22
2024-12-04	@ Fleetwood Town	W 4-2	1445	1499	25.2%	29.5%	45.3%	+10.0	32
2024-12-07	Bromley	L 1-2	1379	1363	39.4%	31.4%	29.3%	-5.8	18
2024-12-07	@ Accrington Stanley	W 2-1	1363	1379	29.3%	31.4%	39.4%	+5.8	23
2024-12-07	Tranmere Rovers	W 3-0	1399	1356	43.5%	30.2%	26.3%	+12.6	28
2024-12-07	@ Chesterfield	L 0-3	1356	1399	26.3%	30.2%	43.5%	-12.6	18
2024-12-07	Bradford City	D 1-1	1420	1439	34.4%	32.0%	33.7%	-0.0	31
2024-12-07	@ Crewe Alexandra	D 1-1	1439	1420	33.7%	32.0%	34.4%	+0.0	25
2024-12-07	Cheltenham Town	D 2-2	1455	1451	37.7%	31.7%	30.6%	-0.2	33
2024-12-07	@ Doncaster Rovers	D 2-2	1451	1455	30.6%	31.7%	37.7%	+0.2	23
2024-12-07	Salford City	W 1-0	1392	1385	38.2%	31.6%	30.2%	+5.2	26
2024-12-07	@ Gillingham	L 0-1	1385	1392	30.2%	31.6%	38.2%	-5.2	24
2024-12-07	AFC Wimbledon	L 0-3	1357	1460	24.7%	29.1%	46.2%	-11.8	21
2024-12-07	@ Harrogate Town	W 3-0	1460	1357	46.2%	29.1%	24.7%	+11.8	30
2024-12-07	Grimsby Town	L 0-3	1341	1367	33.3%	31.9%	34.8%	-15.2	14
2024-12-07	@ Morecambe	W 3-0	1367	1341	34.8%	31.9%	33.3%	+15.2	31
2024-12-07	Walsall	L 0-1	1475	1460	39.4%	31.4%	29.2%	-6.2	35
2024-12-07	@ Port Vale	W 1-0	1460	1475	29.2%	31.4%	39.4%	+6.2	37
2024-12-07	Fleetwood Town	W 3-1	1334	1489	20.8%	24.8%	54.3%	+12.6	16
2024-12-07	@ Swindon Town	L 1-3	1489	1334	54.3%	24.8%	20.8%	-12.5	22
2024-12-14	Doncaster Rovers	W 1-0	1471	1455	39.6%	31.3%	29.1%	+5.0	33
2024-12-14	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-1	1455	1471	29.1%	31.3%	39.6%	-5.0	33
2024-12-14	Swindon Town	W 1-0	1439	1347	51.1%	26.7%	22.2%	+3.9	28
2024-12-14	@ Bradford City	L 0-1	1347	1439	22.2%	26.7%	51.1%	-3.9	16
2024-12-14	Port Vale	D 0-0	1369	1469	24.9%	29.3%	45.8%	+0.7	24
2024-12-14	@ Bromley	D 0-0	1469	1369	45.8%	29.3%	24.9%	-0.7	36
2024-12-14	Chesterfield	L 0-2	1366	1411	30.7%	31.7%	37.6%	-9.8	14
2024-12-14	@ Carlisle United	W 2-0	1411	1366	37.6%	31.7%	30.7%	+9.8	31
2024-12-14	Morecambe	W 2-0	1451	1326	56.1%	23.7%	20.2%	+6.4	26
2024-12-14	@ Cheltenham Town	L 0-2	1326	1451	20.2%	23.7%	56.1%	-6.4	14
2024-12-14	Newport County	D 0-0	1378	1354	40.7%	31.1%	28.2%	-0.4	22
2024-12-14	@ Colchester United	D 0-0	1354	1378	28.2%	31.1%	40.7%	+0.4	23
2024-12-14	Crewe Alexandra	L 0-2	1383	1420	31.7%	31.8%	36.4%	-10.1	31
2024-12-14	@ Grimsby Town	W 2-0	1420	1383	36.4%	31.8%	31.7%	+10.1	34
2024-12-14	Gillingham	L 0-1	1471	1397	48.2%	28.2%	23.6%	-7.1	30
2024-12-14	@ Milton Keynes Dons	W 1-0	1397	1471	23.6%	28.2%	48.2%	+7.1	29
2024-12-14	Notts County	W 3-0	1380	1438	29.1%	31.3%	39.5%	+17.0	27
2024-12-14	@ Salford City	L 0-3	1438	1380	39.5%	31.3%	29.1%	-17.0	28
2024-12-14	Harrogate Town	W 2-1	1343	1345	36.9%	31.8%	31.3%	+5.0	21
2024-12-14	@ Tranmere Rovers	L 1-2	1345	1343	31.3%	31.8%	36.9%	-5.0	21
2024-12-14	Barrow	W 1-0	1466	1404	46.4%	29.0%	24.6%	+4.3	40
2024-12-14	@ Walsall	L 0-1	1404	1466	24.6%	29.0%	46.4%	-4.3	23
2024-12-16	Accrington Stanley	D 1-1	1477	1373	52.9%	25.7%	21.4%	-1.0	23
2024-12-16	@ Fleetwood Town	D 1-1	1373	1477	21.4%	25.7%	52.9%	+1.0	19
2024-12-20	Colchester United	D 0-0	1430	1378	45.0%	29.6%	25.4%	-0.7	35
2024-12-20	@ Crewe Alexandra	D 0-0	1378	1430	25.4%	29.6%	45.0%	+0.7	23
2024-12-20	Cheltenham Town	D 2-2	1404	1457	29.8%	31.5%	38.7%	+0.2	30
2024-12-20	@ Gillingham	D 2-2	1457	1404	38.7%	31.5%	29.8%	-0.2	27
2024-12-21	Salford City	L 0-2	1374	1397	33.8%	32.0%	34.3%	-10.5	19
2024-12-21	@ Accrington Stanley	W 2-0	1397	1374	34.3%	32.0%	33.8%	+10.5	30
2024-12-21	Fleetwood Town	W 2-0	1400	1476	27.2%	30.6%	42.2%	+12.3	26
2024-12-21	@ Barrow	L 0-2	1476	1400	42.2%	30.6%	27.2%	-12.2	23
2024-12-21	AFC Wimbledon	W 1-0	1421	1476	29.5%	31.4%	39.0%	+6.2	34
2024-12-21	@ Chesterfield	L 0-1	1476	1421	39.0%	31.4%	29.5%	-6.2	33
2024-12-21	Tranmere Rovers	W 3-1	1450	1348	52.4%	25.9%	21.6%	+6.1	36
2024-12-21	@ Doncaster Rovers	L 1-3	1348	1450	21.6%	25.9%	52.4%	-6.1	21
2024-12-21	Walsall	L 0-2	1340	1470	22.5%	27.1%	50.4%	-7.4	21
2024-12-21	@ Harrogate Town	W 2-0	1470	1340	50.4%	27.1%	22.5%	+7.4	43
2024-12-21	Bromley	L 0-2	1320	1370	30.1%	31.6%	38.3%	-9.7	14
2024-12-21	@ Morecambe	W 2-0	1370	1320	38.3%	31.6%	30.1%	+9.7	27
2024-12-21	Milton Keynes Dons	W 6-3	1354	1464	24.1%	28.6%	47.3%	+13.0	26
2024-12-21	@ Newport County	L 3-6	1464	1354	47.3%	28.6%	24.1%	-13.0	30
2024-12-21	Bradford City	W 3-0	1421	1443	34.0%	32.0%	34.1%	+15.4	31
2024-12-21	@ Notts County	L 0-3	1443	1421	34.1%	32.0%	34.0%	-15.4	28
2024-12-21	Carlisle United	D 0-0	1468	1356	54.2%	24.9%	20.9%	-1.2	37
2024-12-21	@ Port Vale	D 0-0	1356	1468	20.9%	24.9%	54.2%	+1.2	15
2024-12-21	Grimsby Town	W 3-1	1343	1373	32.8%	31.9%	35.3%	+9.4	19
2024-12-21	@ Swindon Town	L 1-3	1373	1343	35.3%	31.9%	32.8%	-9.4	31
2024-12-26	Swindon Town	D 1-1	1470	1352	55.0%	24.4%	20.6%	-1.1	34
2024-12-26	@ AFC Wimbledon	D 1-1	1352	1470	20.6%	24.4%	55.0%	+1.1	20
2024-12-26	Port Vale	W 2-1	1427	1467	31.4%	31.8%	36.8%	+5.6	31
2024-12-26	@ Bradford City	L 1-2	1467	1427	36.8%	31.8%	31.4%	-5.6	37
2024-12-26	Newport County	W 5-2	1379	1367	38.9%	31.5%	29.6%	+10.2	30
2024-12-26	@ Bromley	L 2-5	1367	1379	29.6%	31.5%	38.9%	-10.2	26
2024-12-26	Morecambe	L 0-1	1357	1310	44.1%	30.0%	25.9%	-6.7	15
2024-12-26	@ Carlisle United	W 1-0	1310	1357	25.9%	30.0%	44.1%	+6.7	17
2024-12-26	Crewe Alexandra	W 2-1	1457	1430	41.2%	30.9%	27.9%	+4.6	30
2024-12-26	@ Cheltenham Town	L 1-2	1430	1457	27.9%	30.9%	41.2%	-4.6	35
2024-12-26	Gillingham	W 2-0	1378	1405	33.3%	31.9%	34.8%	+10.8	26
2024-12-26	@ Colchester United	L 0-2	1405	1378	34.8%	31.9%	33.3%	-10.8	30
2024-12-26	Chesterfield	W 2-0	1464	1427	42.5%	30.5%	27.0%	+8.8	26
2024-12-26	@ Fleetwood Town	L 0-2	1427	1464	27.0%	30.5%	42.5%	-8.9	34
2024-12-26	Harrogate Town	W 2-1	1363	1332	41.6%	30.8%	27.6%	+4.5	34
2024-12-26	@ Grimsby Town	L 1-2	1332	1363	27.6%	30.8%	41.6%	-4.5	21
2024-12-26	Notts County	L 0-2	1451	1437	39.2%	31.4%	29.4%	-11.7	30
2024-12-26	@ Milton Keynes Dons	W 2-0	1437	1451	29.4%	31.4%	39.2%	+11.7	34
2024-12-26	Barrow	W 3-0	1407	1412	36.4%	31.9%	31.8%	+14.6	33
2024-12-26	@ Salford City	L 0-3	1412	1407	31.8%	31.9%	36.4%	-14.7	26
2024-12-26	Doncaster Rovers	W 2-0	1478	1456	40.3%	31.1%	28.5%	+9.3	46
2024-12-26	@ Walsall	L 0-2	1456	1478	28.5%	31.1%	40.3%	-9.3	36
2024-12-29	Chesterfield	W 2-1	1433	1418	39.2%	31.4%	29.4%	+4.8	34
2024-12-29	@ Bradford City	L 1-2	1418	1433	29.4%	31.4%	39.2%	-4.8	34
2024-12-29	Swindon Town	D 1-1	1390	1353	42.5%	30.5%	27.0%	-0.5	31
2024-12-29	@ Bromley	D 1-1	1353	1390	27.0%	30.5%	42.5%	+0.5	21
2024-12-29	Accrington Stanley	W 2-1	1350	1363	35.2%	31.9%	32.9%	+5.2	18
2024-12-29	@ Carlisle United	L 1-2	1363	1350	32.9%	31.9%	35.2%	-5.2	19
2024-12-29	Notts County	L 3-5	1462	1448	39.1%	31.4%	29.5%	-8.5	30
2024-12-29	@ Cheltenham Town	W 5-3	1448	1462	29.5%	31.4%	39.1%	+8.5	37
2024-12-29	Doncaster Rovers	D 1-1	1389	1446	29.3%	31.4%	39.3%	+0.3	27
2024-12-29	@ Colchester United	D 1-1	1446	1389	39.3%	31.4%	29.3%	-0.3	37
2024-12-29	Harrogate Town	D 1-1	1472	1328	59.1%	21.8%	19.1%	-1.3	27
2024-12-29	@ Fleetwood Town	D 1-1	1328	1472	19.1%	21.8%	59.1%	+1.3	22
2024-12-29	Port Vale	W 3-0	1368	1462	25.5%	29.7%	44.9%	+18.5	37
2024-12-29	@ Grimsby Town	L 0-3	1462	1368	44.9%	29.7%	25.5%	-18.5	37
2024-12-29	Crewe Alexandra	D 1-1	1439	1425	39.2%	31.4%	29.4%	-0.3	31
2024-12-29	@ Milton Keynes Dons	D 1-1	1425	1439	29.4%	31.4%	39.2%	+0.3	36
2024-12-29	Morecambe	W 1-0	1422	1317	53.1%	25.6%	21.4%	+3.7	36
2024-12-29	@ Salford City	L 0-1	1317	1422	21.4%	25.6%	53.1%	-3.7	17
2024-12-29	Barrow	D 1-1	1342	1397	29.6%	31.5%	39.0%	+0.3	22
2024-12-29	@ Tranmere Rovers	D 1-1	1397	1342	39.0%	31.5%	29.6%	-0.3	27
2024-12-29	Newport County	W 2-0	1487	1357	56.9%	23.2%	19.9%	+6.3	49
2024-12-29	@ Walsall	L 0-2	1357	1487	19.9%	23.2%	56.9%	-6.3	26
2024-12-30	Gillingham	W 1-0	1469	1394	48.4%	28.1%	23.5%	+4.1	37
2024-12-30	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-1	1394	1469	23.5%	28.1%	48.4%	-4.1	30
2025-01-01	Grimsby Town	W 3-2	1358	1386	33.0%	31.9%	35.0%	+5.1	22
2025-01-01	@ Accrington Stanley	L 2-3	1386	1358	35.0%	31.9%	33.0%	-5.1	37
2025-01-01	Bradford City	D 2-2	1397	1438	31.3%	31.8%	36.9%	+0.1	28
2025-01-01	@ Barrow	D 2-2	1438	1397	36.9%	31.8%	31.3%	-0.1	35
2025-01-01	Milton Keynes Dons	L 1-2	1414	1439	33.4%	32.0%	34.6%	-5.2	34
2025-01-01	@ Chesterfield	W 2-1	1439	1414	34.6%	32.0%	33.4%	+5.2	34
2025-01-01	Carlisle United	W 3-2	1425	1355	47.6%	28.5%	23.9%	+3.7	39
2025-01-01	@ Crewe Alexandra	L 2-3	1355	1425	23.9%	28.5%	47.6%	-3.7	18
2025-01-01	Fleetwood Town	W 2-1	1446	1471	33.4%	32.0%	34.6%	+5.4	40
2025-01-01	@ Doncaster Rovers	L 1-2	1471	1446	34.6%	32.0%	33.4%	-5.4	27
2025-01-01	Salford City	L 0-2	1329	1426	25.2%	29.5%	45.2%	-8.3	22
2025-01-01	@ Harrogate Town	W 2-0	1426	1329	45.2%	29.5%	25.2%	+8.3	39
2025-01-01	Tranmere Rovers	W 2-0	1313	1343	32.8%	31.9%	35.3%	+10.9	20
2025-01-01	@ Morecambe	L 0-2	1343	1313	35.3%	31.9%	32.8%	-10.9	22
2025-01-01	Walsall	L 1-2	1457	1493	31.9%	31.9%	36.2%	-5.1	37
2025-01-01	@ Notts County	W 2-1	1493	1457	36.2%	31.9%	31.9%	+5.1	52
2025-01-01	Cheltenham Town	D 0-0	1443	1453	35.6%	31.9%	32.5%	-0.1	38
2025-01-01	@ Port Vale	D 0-0	1453	1443	32.5%	31.9%	35.6%	+0.1	31
2025-01-01	Colchester United	W 3-2	1354	1389	32.0%	31.9%	36.1%	+5.2	24
2025-01-01	@ Swindon Town	L 2-3	1389	1354	36.1%	31.9%	32.0%	-5.2	27
2025-01-02	Bromley	L 0-3	1390	1389	37.2%	31.8%	31.1%	-16.3	30
2025-01-02	@ Gillingham	W 3-0	1389	1390	31.1%	31.8%	37.2%	+16.3	34
2025-01-02	AFC Wimbledon	L 1-2	1351	1473	23.1%	27.7%	49.2%	-3.8	26
2025-01-02	@ Newport County	W 2-1	1473	1351	49.2%	27.7%	23.1%	+3.8	40
2025-01-04	Harrogate Town	L 0-2	1397	1321	48.6%	28.0%	23.4%	-13.5	28
2025-01-04	@ Barrow	W 2-0	1321	1397	23.4%	28.0%	48.6%	+13.5	25
2025-01-04	Grimsby Town	W 3-1	1437	1381	45.6%	29.4%	25.1%	+7.2	38
2025-01-04	@ Bradford City	L 1-3	1381	1437	25.1%	29.4%	45.6%	-7.2	37
2025-01-04	Accrington Stanley	L 0-2	1384	1363	40.2%	31.2%	28.6%	-11.9	27
2025-01-04	@ Colchester United	W 2-0	1363	1384	28.6%	31.2%	40.2%	+11.9	25
2025-01-04	Port Vale	L 1-2	1451	1443	38.3%	31.6%	30.1%	-5.7	40
2025-01-04	@ Doncaster Rovers	W 2-1	1443	1451	30.1%	31.6%	38.3%	+5.7	41
2025-01-04	Salford City	L 0-1	1444	1434	38.6%	31.5%	29.9%	-6.1	34
2025-01-04	@ Milton Keynes Dons	W 1-0	1434	1444	29.9%	31.5%	38.6%	+6.1	42
2025-01-04	Swindon Town	W 2-0	1452	1359	51.1%	26.7%	22.2%	+7.2	40
2025-01-04	@ Notts County	L 0-2	1359	1452	22.2%	26.7%	51.1%	-7.2	24
2025-01-04	Carlisle United	W 1-0	1332	1352	34.2%	32.0%	33.9%	+5.6	25
2025-01-04	@ Tranmere Rovers	L 0-1	1352	1332	33.9%	32.0%	34.2%	-5.6	18
2025-01-05	Bromley	W 4-1	1429	1406	40.6%	31.1%	28.3%	+11.3	42
2025-01-05	@ Crewe Alexandra	L 1-4	1406	1429	28.3%	31.1%	40.6%	-11.3	34
2025-01-11	Crewe Alexandra	D 0-0	1352	1440	26.0%	30.0%	44.1%	+0.6	25
2025-01-11	@ Swindon Town	D 0-0	1440	1352	44.1%	30.0%	26.0%	-0.6	43
2025-01-11	Tranmere Rovers	W 5-1	1498	1337	61.6%	20.1%	18.2%	+8.7	55
2025-01-11	@ Walsall	L 1-5	1337	1498	18.2%	20.1%	61.6%	-8.7	25
2025-01-17	Cheltenham Town	W 2-0	1334	1453	23.4%	28.0%	48.7%	+13.5	28
2025-01-17	@ Harrogate Town	L 0-2	1453	1334	48.7%	28.0%	23.4%	-13.5	31
2025-01-18	Notts County	L 0-3	1375	1459	26.4%	30.2%	43.4%	-12.6	25
2025-01-18	@ Accrington Stanley	W 3-0	1459	1375	43.4%	30.2%	26.4%	+12.6	43
2025-01-18	Tranmere Rovers	W 2-0	1477	1329	59.7%	21.4%	18.9%	+5.8	43
2025-01-18	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-2	1329	1477	18.9%	21.4%	59.7%	-5.8	25
2025-01-18	Colchester United	L 0-1	1394	1372	40.3%	31.1%	28.5%	-6.3	34
2025-01-18	@ Bromley	W 1-0	1372	1394	28.5%	31.1%	40.3%	+6.3	30
2025-01-18	Bradford City	L 0-1	1346	1445	25.0%	29.4%	45.6%	-4.4	18
2025-01-18	@ Carlisle United	W 1-0	1445	1346	45.6%	29.4%	25.0%	+4.4	41
2025-01-18	Doncaster Rovers	L 0-1	1373	1446	27.6%	30.8%	41.6%	-4.8	30
2025-01-18	@ Gillingham	W 1-0	1446	1373	41.6%	30.8%	27.6%	+4.8	43
2025-01-18	Chesterfield	D 1-1	1374	1408	32.1%	31.9%	36.0%	+0.1	38
2025-01-18	@ Grimsby Town	D 1-1	1408	1374	36.0%	31.9%	32.1%	-0.1	35
2025-01-18	Crewe Alexandra	L 0-1	1324	1440	23.6%	28.2%	48.2%	-4.1	20
2025-01-18	@ Morecambe	W 1-0	1440	1324	48.2%	28.2%	23.6%	+4.1	46
2025-01-18	Newport County	W 3-2	1449	1347	52.5%	25.9%	21.6%	+3.3	44
2025-01-18	@ Port Vale	L 2-3	1347	1449	21.6%	25.9%	52.5%	-3.3	26
2025-01-18	Fleetwood Town	L 0-2	1440	1466	33.3%	32.0%	34.7%	-10.5	42
2025-01-18	@ Salford City	W 2-0	1466	1440	34.7%	32.0%	33.3%	+10.4	30
2025-01-18	Barrow	W 2-0	1352	1384	32.6%	31.9%	35.5%	+10.9	28
2025-01-18	@ Swindon Town	L 0-2	1384	1352	35.5%	31.9%	32.6%	-10.9	28
2025-01-18	Milton Keynes Dons	W 4-2	1507	1438	47.5%	28.5%	24.0%	+6.1	58
2025-01-18	@ Walsall	L 2-4	1438	1507	24.0%	28.5%	47.5%	-6.1	34
2025-01-21	Milton Keynes Dons	W 2-1	1476	1432	43.7%	30.1%	26.2%	+4.3	33
2025-01-21	@ Fleetwood Town	L 1-2	1432	1476	26.2%	30.1%	43.7%	-4.3	34
2025-01-21	Colchester United	D 0-0	1348	1379	32.7%	31.9%	35.4%	+0.1	29
2025-01-21	@ Harrogate Town	D 0-0	1379	1348	35.4%	31.9%	32.7%	-0.1	31
2025-01-24	Swindon Town	L 1-2	1344	1363	34.2%	32.0%	33.8%	-5.3	26
2025-01-24	@ Newport County	W 2-1	1363	1344	33.8%	32.0%	34.2%	+5.3	31
2025-01-25	Grimsby Town	W 3-0	1373	1374	36.9%	31.8%	31.3%	+14.5	31
2025-01-25	@ Barrow	L 0-3	1374	1373	31.3%	31.8%	36.9%	-14.5	38
2025-01-25	Walsall	W 3-0	1449	1513	28.5%	31.1%	40.3%	+17.3	44
2025-01-25	@ Bradford City	L 0-3	1513	1449	40.3%	31.1%	28.5%	-17.3	58
2025-01-25	Salford City	W 2-1	1440	1430	38.6%	31.5%	29.9%	+4.8	34
2025-01-25	@ Cheltenham Town	L 1-2	1430	1440	29.9%	31.5%	38.6%	-4.8	42
2025-01-25	Port Vale	D 1-1	1408	1452	31.0%	31.7%	37.3%	+0.2	36
2025-01-25	@ Chesterfield	D 1-1	1452	1408	37.3%	31.7%	31.0%	-0.2	45
2025-01-25	Morecambe	W 1-0	1378	1320	45.9%	29.2%	24.9%	+4.3	34
2025-01-25	@ Colchester United	L 0-1	1320	1378	24.9%	29.2%	45.9%	-4.3	20
2025-01-25	Accrington Stanley	L 0-1	1444	1362	49.4%	27.6%	23.0%	-7.2	46
2025-01-25	@ Crewe Alexandra	W 1-0	1362	1444	23.0%	27.6%	49.4%	+7.2	28
2025-01-25	Harrogate Town	W 1-0	1450	1348	52.6%	25.8%	21.5%	+3.7	46
2025-01-25	@ Doncaster Rovers	L 0-1	1348	1450	21.5%	25.8%	52.6%	-3.7	29
2025-01-25	Carlisle United	L 1-2	1481	1342	58.3%	22.4%	19.4%	-7.6	33
2025-01-25	@ Fleetwood Town	W 2-1	1342	1481	19.4%	22.4%	58.3%	+7.6	21
2025-01-25	AFC Wimbledon	D 0-0	1428	1483	29.5%	31.4%	39.0%	+0.3	35
2025-01-25	@ Milton Keynes Dons	D 0-0	1483	1428	39.0%	31.4%	29.5%	-0.3	44
2025-01-25	Bromley	D 1-1	1472	1388	49.8%	27.4%	22.8%	-0.8	44
2025-01-25	@ Notts County	D 1-1	1388	1472	22.8%	27.4%	49.8%	+0.8	35
2025-01-25	Gillingham	D 1-1	1323	1369	30.7%	31.7%	37.6%	+0.2	26
2025-01-25	@ Tranmere Rovers	D 1-1	1369	1323	37.6%	31.7%	30.7%	-0.2	31
2025-01-28	Cheltenham Town	D 0-0	1370	1445	27.3%	30.7%	42.0%	+0.5	29
2025-01-28	@ Accrington Stanley	D 0-0	1445	1370	42.0%	30.7%	27.3%	-0.5	35
2025-01-28	Morecambe	W 1-0	1466	1315	60.1%	21.1%	18.8%	+3.0	47
2025-01-28	@ Bradford City	L 0-1	1315	1466	18.8%	21.1%	60.1%	-3.0	20
2025-01-28	Bromley	W 3-0	1409	1389	40.0%	31.2%	28.7%	+13.6	39
2025-01-28	@ Chesterfield	L 0-3	1389	1409	28.7%	31.2%	40.0%	-13.6	35
2025-01-28	AFC Wimbledon	D 1-1	1437	1482	30.7%	31.7%	37.6%	+0.2	47
2025-01-28	@ Crewe Alexandra	D 1-1	1482	1437	37.6%	31.7%	30.7%	-0.2	45
2025-01-28	Walsall	W 2-0	1473	1496	33.8%	32.0%	34.2%	+10.6	36
2025-01-28	@ Fleetwood Town	L 0-2	1496	1473	34.2%	32.0%	33.8%	-10.6	58
2025-01-28	Gillingham	D 1-1	1360	1368	35.8%	31.9%	32.3%	-0.1	39
2025-01-28	@ Grimsby Town	D 1-1	1368	1360	32.3%	31.9%	35.8%	+0.1	32
2025-01-28	Harrogate Town	W 2-1	1428	1344	49.7%	27.4%	22.8%	+3.8	38
2025-01-28	@ Milton Keynes Dons	L 1-2	1344	1428	22.8%	27.4%	49.7%	-3.7	29
2025-01-28	Carlisle United	W 1-0	1471	1349	55.6%	24.1%	20.4%	+3.4	47
2025-01-28	@ Notts County	L 0-1	1349	1471	20.4%	24.1%	55.6%	-3.4	21
2025-01-28	Newport County	D 1-1	1425	1338	50.2%	27.2%	22.6%	-0.9	43
2025-01-28	@ Salford City	D 1-1	1338	1425	22.6%	27.2%	50.2%	+0.9	27
2025-01-28	Tranmere Rovers	W 3-1	1369	1323	43.9%	30.0%	26.1%	+7.4	34
2025-01-28	@ Swindon Town	L 1-3	1323	1369	26.1%	30.0%	43.9%	-7.4	26
2025-01-29	Doncaster Rovers	L 1-3	1387	1454	28.2%	31.0%	40.8%	-8.0	31
2025-01-29	@ Barrow	W 3-1	1454	1387	40.8%	31.0%	28.2%	+8.0	49
2025-02-01	Bradford City	W 1-0	1482	1469	39.0%	31.4%	29.5%	+5.1	48
2025-02-01	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-1	1469	1482	29.5%	31.4%	39.0%	-5.1	47
2025-02-01	Grimsby Town	L 0-2	1375	1359	39.4%	31.4%	29.2%	-11.7	35
2025-02-01	@ Bromley	W 2-0	1359	1375	29.2%	31.4%	39.4%	+11.7	42
2025-02-01	Swindon Town	L 1-5	1346	1376	32.7%	31.9%	35.3%	-16.3	21
2025-02-01	@ Carlisle United	W 5-1	1376	1346	35.3%	31.9%	32.7%	+16.3	37
2025-02-01	Chesterfield	W 1-0	1444	1422	40.3%	31.1%	28.5%	+4.9	38
2025-02-01	@ Cheltenham Town	L 0-1	1422	1444	28.5%	31.1%	40.3%	-4.9	39
2025-02-01	Milton Keynes Dons	W 2-1	1462	1432	41.6%	30.8%	27.6%	+4.5	52
2025-02-01	@ Doncaster Rovers	L 1-2	1432	1462	27.6%	30.8%	41.6%	-4.5	38
2025-02-01	Notts County	L 1-2	1369	1474	24.4%	28.9%	46.7%	-4.0	32
2025-02-01	@ Gillingham	W 2-1	1474	1369	46.7%	28.9%	24.4%	+4.0	50
2025-02-01	Crewe Alexandra	D 1-1	1341	1437	25.2%	29.5%	45.2%	+0.6	30
2025-02-01	@ Harrogate Town	D 1-1	1437	1341	45.2%	29.5%	25.2%	-0.6	48
2025-02-01	Fleetwood Town	W 4-2	1312	1484	19.9%	23.3%	56.8%	+11.5	23
2025-02-01	@ Morecambe	L 2-4	1484	1312	56.8%	23.3%	19.9%	-11.6	36
2025-02-01	Barrow	W 1-0	1339	1379	31.4%	31.8%	36.8%	+5.9	30
2025-02-01	@ Newport County	L 0-1	1379	1339	36.8%	31.8%	31.4%	-5.9	31
2025-02-01	Accrington Stanley	W 2-1	1452	1370	49.4%	27.6%	23.0%	+3.8	48
2025-02-01	@ Port Vale	L 1-2	1370	1452	23.0%	27.6%	49.4%	-3.8	29
2025-02-01	Colchester United	L 1-3	1316	1383	28.2%	31.0%	40.8%	-8.0	26
2025-02-01	@ Tranmere Rovers	W 3-1	1383	1316	40.8%	31.0%	28.2%	+8.0	37
2025-02-01	Salford City	D 2-2	1485	1424	46.3%	29.1%	24.6%	-0.5	59
2025-02-01	@ Walsall	D 2-2	1424	1485	24.6%	29.1%	46.3%	+0.5	44
2025-02-04	Bromley	D 3-3	1424	1363	46.2%	29.1%	24.6%	-0.4	45
2025-02-04	@ Salford City	D 3-3	1363	1424	24.6%	29.1%	46.2%	+0.4	36
2025-02-04	Morecambe	W 2-1	1345	1324	40.2%	31.2%	28.6%	+4.7	33
2025-02-04	@ Newport County	L 1-2	1324	1345	28.6%	31.2%	40.2%	-4.7	23
2025-02-06	Doncaster Rovers	W 5-2	1417	1467	30.2%	31.6%	38.2%	+12.1	42
2025-02-06	@ Chesterfield	L 2-5	1467	1417	38.2%	31.6%	30.2%	-12.1	52
2025-02-08	AFC Wimbledon	D 0-0	1366	1487	23.2%	27.8%	49.0%	+0.9	30
2025-02-08	@ Accrington Stanley	D 0-0	1487	1366	49.0%	27.8%	23.2%	-0.9	49
2025-02-08	Gillingham	W 3-0	1373	1365	38.4%	31.6%	30.0%	+14.1	34
2025-02-08	@ Barrow	L 0-3	1365	1373	30.0%	31.6%	38.4%	-14.1	32
2025-02-08	Harrogate Town	W 1-0	1464	1341	55.8%	23.9%	20.3%	+3.4	50
2025-02-08	@ Bradford City	L 0-1	1341	1464	20.3%	23.9%	55.8%	-3.4	30
2025-02-08	Walsall	W 2-1	1391	1485	25.5%	29.7%	44.8%	+6.4	40
2025-02-08	@ Colchester United	L 1-2	1485	1391	44.8%	29.7%	25.5%	-6.4	59
2025-02-08	Newport County	L 0-3	1436	1350	50.2%	27.2%	22.6%	-20.0	48
2025-02-08	@ Crewe Alexandra	W 3-0	1350	1436	22.6%	27.2%	50.2%	+20.0	36
2025-02-08	Cheltenham Town	W 2-0	1472	1449	40.5%	31.1%	28.4%	+9.2	39
2025-02-08	@ Fleetwood Town	L 0-2	1449	1472	28.4%	31.1%	40.5%	-9.2	38
2025-02-08	Carlisle United	W 2-1	1371	1330	43.3%	30.3%	26.4%	+4.3	45
2025-02-08	@ Grimsby Town	L 1-2	1330	1371	26.4%	30.3%	43.3%	-4.3	21
2025-02-08	Bromley	L 0-1	1427	1364	46.6%	28.9%	24.4%	-7.0	38
2025-02-08	@ Milton Keynes Dons	W 1-0	1364	1427	24.4%	28.9%	46.6%	+7.0	39
2025-02-08	Morecambe	W 2-0	1478	1319	61.4%	20.3%	18.3%	+5.5	53
2025-02-08	@ Notts County	L 0-2	1319	1478	18.3%	20.3%	61.4%	-5.5	23
2025-02-08	Tranmere Rovers	W 2-0	1424	1308	54.8%	24.6%	20.7%	+6.6	48
2025-02-08	@ Salford City	L 0-2	1308	1424	20.7%	24.6%	54.8%	-6.6	26
2025-02-08	Port Vale	D 3-3	1392	1456	28.6%	31.2%	40.2%	+0.2	38
2025-02-08	@ Swindon Town	D 3-3	1456	1392	40.2%	31.2%	28.6%	-0.2	49
2025-02-11	Crewe Alexandra	W 3-0	1486	1416	47.7%	28.4%	23.9%	+11.4	52
2025-02-11	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-3	1416	1486	23.9%	28.4%	47.7%	-11.4	48
2025-02-11	Fleetwood Town	D 0-0	1301	1481	19.4%	22.4%	58.2%	+1.4	27
2025-02-11	@ Tranmere Rovers	D 0-0	1481	1301	58.2%	22.4%	19.4%	-1.4	40
2025-02-11	Gillingham	D 1-1	1478	1350	56.5%	23.4%	20.0%	-1.2	60
2025-02-11	@ Walsall	D 1-1	1350	1478	20.0%	23.4%	56.5%	+1.2	33
2025-02-11	Accrington Stanley	W 1-0	1468	1367	52.3%	26.0%	21.7%	+3.7	53
2025-02-11	@ Bradford City	L 0-1	1367	1468	21.7%	26.0%	52.3%	-3.7	30
2025-02-11	Milton Keynes Dons	W 2-1	1387	1420	32.4%	31.9%	35.7%	+5.5	37
2025-02-11	@ Barrow	L 1-2	1420	1387	35.7%	31.9%	32.4%	-5.5	38
2025-02-11	Carlisle United	W 1-0	1370	1325	43.8%	30.1%	26.2%	+4.6	39
2025-02-11	@ Newport County	L 0-1	1325	1370	26.2%	30.1%	43.8%	-4.6	21
2025-02-13	Notts County	W 1-0	1455	1484	33.0%	31.9%	35.1%	+5.7	52
2025-02-13	@ Port Vale	L 0-1	1484	1455	35.1%	31.9%	33.0%	-5.7	53
2025-02-15	Salford City	W 1-0	1498	1431	47.2%	28.7%	24.1%	+4.2	55
2025-02-15	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-1	1431	1498	24.1%	28.7%	47.2%	-4.2	48
2025-02-15	Fleetwood Town	W 1-0	1371	1480	24.1%	28.7%	47.2%	+7.0	42
2025-02-15	@ Bromley	L 0-1	1480	1371	47.2%	28.7%	24.1%	-7.0	40
2025-02-15	Colchester United	D 0-0	1321	1397	27.2%	30.6%	42.2%	+0.5	22
2025-02-15	@ Carlisle United	D 0-0	1397	1321	42.2%	30.6%	27.2%	-0.5	41
2025-02-15	Barrow	W 3-2	1440	1393	44.1%	30.0%	25.9%	+4.1	41
2025-02-15	@ Cheltenham Town	L 2-3	1393	1440	25.9%	30.0%	44.1%	-4.0	37
2025-02-15	Grimsby Town	L 1-2	1454	1375	49.0%	27.8%	23.2%	-6.8	52
2025-02-15	@ Doncaster Rovers	W 2-1	1375	1454	23.2%	27.8%	49.0%	+6.8	48
2025-02-15	Crewe Alexandra	D 0-0	1352	1405	29.8%	31.5%	38.7%	+0.3	34
2025-02-15	@ Gillingham	D 0-0	1405	1352	38.7%	31.5%	29.8%	-0.3	49
2025-02-15	Swindon Town	W 1-0	1338	1393	29.6%	31.5%	39.0%	+6.2	33
2025-02-15	@ Harrogate Town	L 0-1	1393	1338	39.0%	31.5%	29.6%	-6.2	38
2025-02-15	Accrington Stanley	W 2-0	1314	1364	30.2%	31.6%	38.2%	+11.5	26
2025-02-15	@ Morecambe	L 0-2	1364	1314	38.2%	31.6%	30.2%	-11.5	30
2025-02-15	Bradford City	D 0-0	1374	1471	25.2%	29.5%	45.4%	+0.7	40
2025-02-15	@ Newport County	D 0-0	1471	1374	45.4%	29.5%	25.2%	-0.7	54
2025-02-15	Milton Keynes Dons	D 1-1	1303	1415	23.9%	28.5%	47.7%	+0.7	28
2025-02-15	@ Tranmere Rovers	D 1-1	1415	1303	47.7%	28.5%	23.9%	-0.8	39
2025-02-15	Chesterfield	W 3-1	1477	1429	44.2%	29.9%	25.9%	+7.4	63
2025-02-15	@ Walsall	L 1-3	1429	1477	25.9%	29.9%	44.2%	-7.4	42
2025-02-18	Colchester United	D 1-1	1478	1397	49.4%	27.6%	23.0%	-0.8	54
2025-02-18	@ Notts County	D 1-1	1397	1478	23.0%	27.6%	49.4%	+0.8	42
2025-02-18	AFC Wimbledon	D 0-0	1473	1502	32.9%	31.9%	35.2%	+0.1	41
2025-02-18	@ Fleetwood Town	D 0-0	1502	1473	35.2%	31.9%	32.9%	-0.1	56
2025-02-18	Doncaster Rovers	L 0-1	1325	1448	23.1%	27.7%	49.2%	-4.0	26
2025-02-18	@ Morecambe	W 1-0	1448	1325	49.2%	27.7%	23.1%	+4.0	55
2025-02-22	Doncaster Rovers	L 1-2	1352	1452	24.9%	29.3%	45.7%	-4.1	30
2025-02-22	@ Accrington Stanley	W 2-1	1452	1352	45.7%	29.3%	24.9%	+4.1	58
2025-02-22	Milton Keynes Dons	W 2-0	1471	1414	45.6%	29.4%	25.0%	+8.3	57
2025-02-22	@ Bradford City	L 0-2	1414	1471	25.0%	29.4%	45.6%	-8.2	39
2025-02-22	Harrogate Town	W 2-0	1378	1344	42.1%	30.6%	27.2%	+8.9	45
2025-02-22	@ Bromley	L 0-2	1344	1378	27.2%	30.6%	42.1%	-8.9	33
2025-02-22	Gillingham	D 0-0	1321	1352	32.6%	31.9%	35.4%	+0.1	23
2025-02-22	@ Carlisle United	D 0-0	1352	1321	35.4%	31.9%	32.6%	-0.1	35
2025-02-22	AFC Wimbledon	D 1-1	1397	1502	24.5%	29.0%	46.5%	+0.7	43
2025-02-22	@ Colchester United	D 1-1	1502	1397	46.5%	29.0%	24.5%	-0.7	57
2025-02-22	Barrow	W 3-0	1405	1389	39.4%	31.4%	29.2%	+13.8	52
2025-02-22	@ Crewe Alexandra	L 0-3	1389	1405	29.2%	31.4%	39.4%	-13.8	37
2025-02-22	Fleetwood Town	W 2-1	1382	1473	25.8%	29.9%	44.4%	+6.3	51
2025-02-22	@ Grimsby Town	L 1-2	1473	1382	44.4%	29.9%	25.8%	-6.3	41
2025-02-22	Walsall	L 0-2	1321	1484	20.4%	24.1%	55.5%	-6.5	26
2025-02-22	@ Morecambe	W 2-0	1484	1321	55.5%	24.1%	20.4%	+6.5	66
2025-02-22	Cheltenham Town	L 0-3	1375	1444	28.0%	31.0%	41.0%	-13.3	40
2025-02-22	@ Newport County	W 3-0	1444	1375	41.0%	31.0%	28.0%	+13.3	44
2025-02-22	Tranmere Rovers	W 2-1	1477	1303	63.6%	18.8%	17.6%	+2.6	57
2025-02-22	@ Notts County	L 1-2	1303	1477	17.6%	18.8%	63.6%	-2.6	28
2025-02-22	Salford City	W 2-1	1461	1426	42.3%	30.6%	27.1%	+4.5	55
2025-02-22	@ Port Vale	L 1-2	1426	1461	27.1%	30.6%	42.3%	-4.5	48
2025-02-22	Chesterfield	W 1-0	1386	1422	32.0%	31.9%	36.1%	+5.8	41
2025-02-22	@ Swindon Town	L 0-1	1422	1386	36.1%	31.9%	32.0%	-5.8	42
2025-02-25	Accrington Stanley	L 0-1	1301	1348	30.5%	31.7%	37.9%	-5.2	28
2025-02-25	@ Tranmere Rovers	W 1-0	1348	1301	37.9%	31.7%	30.5%	+5.2	33
2025-02-25	Walsall	D 2-2	1457	1491	32.2%	31.9%	35.9%	+0.1	45
2025-02-25	@ Cheltenham Town	D 2-2	1491	1457	35.9%	31.9%	32.2%	-0.1	67
2025-02-25	Bradford City	L 0-1	1387	1479	25.6%	29.8%	44.6%	-4.5	45
2025-02-25	@ Bromley	W 1-0	1479	1387	44.6%	29.8%	25.6%	+4.5	60
2025-02-25	Fleetwood Town	L 1-2	1352	1467	23.7%	28.3%	48.1%	-3.9	35
2025-02-25	@ Gillingham	W 2-1	1467	1352	48.1%	28.3%	23.7%	+3.9	44
2025-02-27	Carlisle United	L 0-1	1375	1321	45.2%	29.6%	25.3%	-6.8	37
2025-02-27	@ Barrow	W 1-0	1321	1375	25.3%	29.6%	45.2%	+6.8	26
2025-03-01	Bromley	L 0-1	1501	1382	55.2%	24.3%	20.5%	-7.8	57
2025-03-01	@ AFC Wimbledon	W 1-0	1382	1501	20.5%	24.3%	55.2%	+7.8	48
2025-03-01	Grimsby Town	D 1-1	1457	1389	47.4%	28.6%	24.0%	-0.7	46
2025-03-01	@ Cheltenham Town	D 1-1	1389	1457	24.0%	28.6%	47.4%	+0.7	52
2025-03-01	Crewe Alexandra	L 1-3	1416	1418	36.8%	31.8%	31.4%	-9.7	42
2025-03-01	@ Chesterfield	W 3-1	1418	1416	31.4%	31.8%	36.8%	+9.7	55
2025-03-01	Newport County	W 3-0	1456	1362	51.3%	26.6%	22.1%	+10.5	61
2025-03-01	@ Doncaster Rovers	L 0-3	1362	1456	22.1%	26.6%	51.3%	-10.5	40
2025-03-01	Notts County	D 2-2	1471	1480	35.7%	31.9%	32.4%	-0.1	45
2025-03-01	@ Fleetwood Town	D 2-2	1480	1471	32.4%	31.9%	35.7%	+0.1	58
2025-03-01	Morecambe	W 1-0	1348	1315	42.0%	30.7%	27.3%	+4.7	38
2025-03-01	@ Gillingham	L 0-1	1315	1348	27.3%	30.7%	42.0%	-4.8	26
2025-03-01	Accrington Stanley	W 2-1	1335	1353	34.4%	32.0%	33.6%	+5.2	36
2025-03-01	@ Harrogate Town	L 1-2	1353	1335	33.6%	32.0%	34.4%	-5.2	33
2025-03-01	Colchester United	L 0-1	1406	1398	38.2%	31.6%	30.2%	-6.1	39
2025-03-01	@ Milton Keynes Dons	W 1-0	1398	1406	30.2%	31.6%	38.2%	+6.1	46
2025-03-01	Bradford City	L 1-2	1422	1483	28.8%	31.2%	40.0%	-4.7	48
2025-03-01	@ Salford City	W 2-1	1483	1422	40.0%	31.2%	28.8%	+4.7	63
2025-03-01	Port Vale	D 1-1	1295	1465	20.0%	23.4%	56.6%	+1.2	29
2025-03-01	@ Tranmere Rovers	D 1-1	1465	1295	56.6%	23.4%	20.0%	-1.2	56
2025-03-01	Swindon Town	L 0-1	1491	1392	52.0%	26.2%	21.8%	-7.5	67
2025-03-01	@ Walsall	W 1-0	1392	1491	21.8%	26.2%	52.0%	+7.5	44
2025-03-04	Milton Keynes Dons	W 2-0	1348	1400	29.9%	31.6%	38.5%	+11.5	36
2025-03-04	@ Accrington Stanley	L 0-2	1400	1348	38.5%	31.6%	29.9%	-11.5	39
2025-03-04	Cheltenham Town	W 3-0	1488	1456	41.8%	30.7%	27.4%	+13.1	66
2025-03-04	@ Bradford City	L 0-3	1456	1488	27.4%	30.7%	41.8%	-13.1	46
2025-03-04	Doncaster Rovers	W 1-0	1390	1466	27.2%	30.6%	42.2%	+6.5	51
2025-03-04	@ Bromley	L 0-1	1466	1390	42.2%	30.6%	27.2%	-6.5	61
2025-03-04	Walsall	D 1-1	1328	1483	20.9%	24.8%	54.3%	+1.1	27
2025-03-04	@ Carlisle United	D 1-1	1483	1328	54.3%	24.8%	20.9%	-1.1	68
2025-03-04	Chesterfield	W 1-0	1404	1406	36.8%	31.8%	31.4%	+5.3	49
2025-03-04	@ Colchester United	L 0-1	1406	1404	31.4%	31.8%	36.8%	-5.3	42
2025-03-04	Fleetwood Town	L 1-4	1428	1471	31.1%	31.8%	37.1%	-12.2	55
2025-03-04	@ Crewe Alexandra	W 4-1	1471	1428	37.1%	31.8%	31.1%	+12.2	48
2025-03-04	Tranmere Rovers	D 1-1	1389	1297	51.1%	26.7%	22.2%	-0.9	53
2025-03-04	@ Grimsby Town	D 1-1	1297	1389	22.2%	26.7%	51.1%	+0.9	30
2025-03-04	AFC Wimbledon	W 1-0	1310	1494	19.2%	22.1%	58.7%	+8.1	29
2025-03-04	@ Morecambe	L 0-1	1494	1310	58.7%	22.1%	19.2%	-8.1	57
2025-03-04	Gillingham	W 3-1	1351	1353	36.9%	31.8%	31.3%	+8.7	43
2025-03-04	@ Newport County	L 1-3	1353	1351	31.3%	31.8%	36.9%	-8.7	38
2025-03-04	Barrow	L 1-2	1480	1368	54.1%	25.0%	20.9%	-7.2	58
2025-03-04	@ Notts County	W 2-1	1368	1480	20.9%	25.0%	54.1%	+7.2	40
2025-03-04	Harrogate Town	D 0-0	1464	1340	56.0%	23.8%	20.2%	-1.3	57
2025-03-04	@ Port Vale	D 0-0	1340	1464	20.2%	23.8%	56.0%	+1.3	37
2025-03-04	Salford City	D 2-2	1400	1417	34.5%	32.0%	33.5%	-0.0	45
2025-03-04	@ Swindon Town	D 2-2	1417	1400	33.5%	32.0%	34.5%	+0.0	49
2025-03-08	Notts County	W 2-0	1485	1473	39.0%	31.5%	29.6%	+9.6	60
2025-03-08	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-2	1473	1485	29.6%	31.5%	39.0%	-9.6	58
2025-03-08	Accrington Stanley	W 2-0	1375	1359	39.5%	31.4%	29.2%	+9.5	43
2025-03-08	@ Barrow	L 0-2	1359	1375	29.2%	31.4%	39.5%	-9.5	36
2025-03-08	Colchester United	L 0-1	1443	1410	42.1%	30.6%	27.2%	-6.5	46
2025-03-08	@ Cheltenham Town	W 1-0	1410	1443	27.2%	30.6%	42.1%	+6.5	52
2025-03-08	Newport County	W 2-1	1401	1360	43.2%	30.3%	26.5%	+4.4	45
2025-03-08	@ Chesterfield	L 1-2	1360	1401	26.5%	30.3%	43.2%	-4.4	43
2025-03-08	Swindon Town	D 2-2	1460	1400	46.1%	29.1%	24.7%	-0.5	62
2025-03-08	@ Doncaster Rovers	D 2-2	1400	1460	24.7%	29.1%	46.1%	+0.5	46
2025-03-08	Port Vale	D 1-1	1483	1463	40.0%	31.2%	28.8%	-0.3	49
2025-03-08	@ Fleetwood Town	D 1-1	1463	1483	28.8%	31.2%	40.0%	+0.3	58
2025-03-08	Bradford City	W 1-0	1344	1501	20.7%	24.7%	54.6%	+7.7	41
2025-03-08	@ Gillingham	L 0-1	1501	1344	54.6%	24.7%	20.7%	-7.7	66
2025-03-08	Carlisle United	W 1-0	1342	1329	38.9%	31.5%	29.6%	+5.1	40
2025-03-08	@ Harrogate Town	L 0-1	1329	1342	29.6%	31.5%	38.9%	-5.1	27
2025-03-08	Morecambe	W 2-1	1388	1318	47.7%	28.5%	23.9%	+3.9	42
2025-03-08	@ Milton Keynes Dons	L 1-2	1318	1388	23.9%	28.5%	47.7%	-3.9	29
2025-03-08	Crewe Alexandra	D 1-1	1417	1416	37.3%	31.7%	31.0%	-0.2	50
2025-03-08	@ Salford City	D 1-1	1416	1417	31.0%	31.7%	37.3%	+0.2	56
2025-03-08	Bromley	W 2-1	1298	1397	25.0%	29.4%	45.6%	+6.5	33
2025-03-08	@ Tranmere Rovers	L 1-2	1397	1298	45.6%	29.4%	25.0%	-6.5	51
2025-03-08	Grimsby Town	L 1-3	1482	1388	51.3%	26.6%	22.1%	-12.1	68
2025-03-08	@ Walsall	W 3-1	1388	1482	22.1%	26.6%	51.3%	+12.1	56
2025-03-11	Newport County	W 5-0	1350	1356	36.3%	31.9%	31.9%	+23.7	39
2025-03-11	@ Accrington Stanley	L 0-5	1356	1350	31.9%	31.9%	36.3%	-23.7	43
2025-03-11	Cheltenham Town	L 1-2	1495	1437	45.8%	29.3%	24.9%	-6.5	60
2025-03-11	@ AFC Wimbledon	W 2-1	1437	1495	24.9%	29.3%	45.8%	+6.5	49
2025-03-11	Notts County	L 0-2	1401	1463	28.7%	31.2%	40.1%	-9.3	56
2025-03-11	@ Grimsby Town	W 2-0	1463	1401	40.1%	31.2%	28.7%	+9.3	61
2025-03-11	Chesterfield	L 0-4	1417	1406	38.8%	31.5%	29.7%	-22.0	50
2025-03-11	@ Salford City	W 4-0	1406	1417	29.7%	31.5%	38.8%	+22.0	48
2025-03-11	Port Vale	W 2-1	1416	1463	30.5%	31.7%	37.9%	+5.7	55
2025-03-11	@ Colchester United	L 1-2	1463	1416	37.9%	31.7%	30.5%	-5.7	58
2025-03-13	Walsall	D 2-2	1390	1470	26.8%	30.4%	42.8%	+0.4	52
2025-03-13	@ Bromley	D 2-2	1470	1390	42.8%	30.4%	26.8%	-0.4	69
2025-03-15	Gillingham	D 1-1	1374	1352	40.3%	31.1%	28.5%	-0.4	40
2025-03-15	@ Accrington Stanley	D 1-1	1352	1374	28.5%	31.1%	40.3%	+0.4	42
2025-03-15	Tranmere Rovers	L 0-1	1493	1304	66.0%	17.2%	16.9%	-8.7	66
2025-03-15	@ Bradford City	W 1-0	1304	1493	16.9%	17.2%	66.0%	+8.7	36
2025-03-15	AFC Wimbledon	L 1-2	1324	1489	20.3%	24.0%	55.7%	-3.2	27
2025-03-15	@ Carlisle United	W 2-1	1489	1324	55.7%	24.0%	20.3%	+3.2	63
2025-03-15	Fleetwood Town	W 3-0	1422	1482	28.9%	31.3%	39.8%	+17.1	58
2025-03-15	@ Colchester United	L 0-3	1482	1422	39.8%	31.3%	28.9%	-17.1	49
2025-03-15	Doncaster Rovers	D 1-1	1416	1459	31.0%	31.8%	37.3%	+0.2	57
2025-03-15	@ Crewe Alexandra	D 1-1	1459	1416	37.3%	31.8%	31.0%	-0.2	63
2025-03-15	Salford City	L 0-1	1391	1395	36.5%	31.8%	31.6%	-5.9	56
2025-03-15	@ Grimsby Town	W 1-0	1395	1391	31.6%	31.8%	36.5%	+5.9	53
2025-03-15	Barrow	D 2-2	1314	1385	27.8%	30.9%	41.4%	+0.3	30
2025-03-15	@ Morecambe	D 2-2	1385	1314	41.4%	30.9%	27.8%	-0.3	44
2025-03-15	Harrogate Town	W 3-0	1332	1347	34.9%	31.9%	33.1%	+15.1	46
2025-03-15	@ Newport County	L 0-3	1347	1332	33.1%	31.9%	34.9%	-15.1	40
2025-03-15	Chesterfield	L 1-2	1472	1427	43.8%	30.1%	26.1%	-6.3	61
2025-03-15	@ Notts County	W 2-1	1427	1472	26.1%	30.1%	43.8%	+6.3	51
2025-03-15	Milton Keynes Dons	W 3-0	1458	1392	47.0%	28.8%	24.2%	+11.6	61
2025-03-15	@ Port Vale	L 0-3	1392	1458	24.2%	28.8%	47.0%	-11.6	42
2025-03-15	Cheltenham Town	D 3-3	1400	1443	31.0%	31.8%	37.2%	+0.1	47
2025-03-15	@ Swindon Town	D 3-3	1443	1400	37.2%	31.8%	31.0%	-0.1	50
2025-03-22	Barrow	D 2-2	1492	1385	53.4%	25.4%	21.2%	-0.8	64
2025-03-22	@ AFC Wimbledon	D 2-2	1385	1492	21.2%	25.4%	53.4%	+0.8	45
2025-03-22	Colchester United	W 4-1	1485	1439	44.0%	30.0%	26.0%	+10.5	69
2025-03-22	@ Bradford City	L 1-4	1439	1485	26.0%	30.0%	44.0%	-10.5	58
2025-03-22	Bromley	W 2-1	1321	1390	27.9%	30.9%	41.2%	+6.0	30
2025-03-22	@ Carlisle United	L 1-2	1390	1321	41.2%	30.9%	27.9%	-6.0	52
2025-03-22	Milton Keynes Dons	L 0-1	1443	1380	46.5%	29.0%	24.5%	-7.0	50
2025-03-22	@ Cheltenham Town	W 1-0	1380	1443	24.5%	29.0%	46.5%	+7.0	45
2025-03-22	Harrogate Town	D 0-0	1434	1332	52.6%	25.8%	21.5%	-1.1	52
2025-03-22	@ Chesterfield	D 0-0	1332	1434	21.5%	25.8%	52.6%	+1.1	41
2025-03-22	Tranmere Rovers	D 0-0	1465	1313	60.4%	21.0%	18.7%	-1.5	50
2025-03-22	@ Fleetwood Town	D 0-0	1313	1465	18.7%	21.0%	60.4%	+1.5	37
2025-03-22	Walsall	D 0-0	1352	1470	23.4%	28.1%	48.5%	+0.9	43
2025-03-22	@ Gillingham	D 0-0	1470	1352	48.5%	28.1%	23.4%	-0.9	70
2025-03-22	Newport County	W 1-0	1385	1347	42.8%	30.4%	26.8%	+4.7	59
2025-03-22	@ Grimsby Town	L 0-1	1347	1385	26.8%	30.4%	42.8%	-4.7	46
2025-03-22	Crewe Alexandra	D 0-0	1466	1416	44.6%	29.8%	25.6%	-0.7	62
2025-03-22	@ Notts County	D 0-0	1416	1466	25.6%	29.8%	44.6%	+0.6	58
2025-03-22	Morecambe	W 1-0	1469	1314	60.7%	20.7%	18.5%	+3.0	64
2025-03-22	@ Port Vale	L 0-1	1314	1469	18.5%	20.7%	60.7%	-3.0	30
2025-03-22	Accrington Stanley	D 0-0	1400	1373	41.1%	30.9%	27.9%	-0.5	48
2025-03-22	@ Swindon Town	D 0-0	1373	1400	27.9%	30.9%	41.1%	+0.4	41
2025-03-25	Milton Keynes Dons	D 2-2	1327	1387	28.9%	31.3%	39.8%	+0.2	31
2025-03-25	@ Carlisle United	D 2-2	1387	1327	39.8%	31.3%	28.9%	-0.2	46
2025-03-25	Barrow	L 0-1	1472	1385	50.2%	27.2%	22.6%	-7.3	64
2025-03-25	@ Port Vale	W 1-0	1385	1472	22.6%	27.2%	50.2%	+7.3	48
2025-03-28	Grimsby Town	L 1-2	1428	1390	42.8%	30.4%	26.8%	-6.2	58
2025-03-28	@ Colchester United	W 2-1	1390	1428	26.8%	30.4%	42.8%	+6.2	62
2025-03-28	Cheltenham Town	W 2-0	1314	1436	23.1%	27.7%	49.2%	+13.6	40
2025-03-28	@ Tranmere Rovers	L 0-2	1436	1314	49.2%	27.7%	23.1%	-13.6	50
2025-03-29	Bradford City	D 0-0	1374	1495	23.2%	27.8%	49.1%	+0.9	42
2025-03-29	@ Accrington Stanley	D 0-0	1495	1374	49.1%	27.8%	23.2%	-0.9	70
2025-03-29	Chesterfield	L 0-1	1393	1433	31.4%	31.8%	36.8%	-5.3	48
2025-03-29	@ Barrow	W 1-0	1433	1393	36.8%	31.8%	31.4%	+5.3	55
2025-03-29	Salford City	L 2-3	1384	1401	34.7%	32.0%	33.4%	-5.1	52
2025-03-29	@ Bromley	W 3-2	1401	1384	33.4%	32.0%	34.7%	+5.1	56
2025-03-29	Port Vale	L 0-1	1417	1465	30.4%	31.6%	38.0%	-5.2	58
2025-03-29	@ Crewe Alexandra	W 1-0	1465	1417	38.0%	31.6%	30.4%	+5.2	67
2025-03-29	Carlisle United	W 3-0	1459	1327	57.2%	23.0%	19.8%	+9.0	66
2025-03-29	@ Doncaster Rovers	L 0-3	1327	1459	19.8%	23.0%	57.2%	-9.0	31
2025-03-29	Gillingham	D 1-1	1333	1353	34.1%	32.0%	33.9%	-0.0	42
2025-03-29	@ Harrogate Town	D 1-1	1353	1333	33.9%	32.0%	34.1%	+0.0	44
2025-03-29	Fleetwood Town	L 2-4	1387	1464	27.2%	30.6%	42.2%	-6.9	46
2025-03-29	@ Milton Keynes Dons	W 4-2	1464	1387	42.2%	30.6%	27.2%	+6.9	53
2025-03-29	Swindon Town	W 1-0	1311	1400	26.0%	30.0%	44.0%	+6.7	33
2025-03-29	@ Morecambe	L 0-1	1400	1311	44.0%	30.0%	26.0%	-6.7	48
2025-03-29	Notts County	L 0-2	1342	1465	23.0%	27.6%	49.3%	-7.6	46
2025-03-29	@ Newport County	W 2-0	1465	1342	49.3%	27.6%	23.0%	+7.6	65
2025-03-29	AFC Wimbledon	D 1-1	1469	1491	33.9%	32.0%	34.2%	+0.0	71
2025-03-29	@ Walsall	D 1-1	1491	1469	34.2%	32.0%	33.9%	-0.0	65
2025-04-01	Fleetwood Town	L 1-4	1375	1471	25.3%	29.5%	45.2%	-10.2	42
2025-04-01	@ Accrington Stanley	W 4-1	1471	1375	45.2%	29.5%	25.3%	+10.2	56
2025-04-01	Salford City	D 1-1	1387	1406	34.4%	32.0%	33.7%	-0.0	49
2025-04-01	@ Barrow	D 1-1	1406	1387	33.7%	32.0%	34.4%	+0.0	57
2025-04-01	Carlisle United	W 2-1	1438	1318	55.3%	24.2%	20.4%	+3.3	58
2025-04-01	@ Chesterfield	L 1-2	1318	1438	20.4%	24.2%	55.3%	-3.2	31
2025-04-01	Grimsby Town	W 2-0	1412	1396	39.4%	31.4%	29.2%	+9.5	61
2025-04-01	@ Crewe Alexandra	L 0-2	1396	1412	29.2%	31.4%	39.4%	-9.5	62
2025-04-01	Walsall	D 2-2	1468	1469	37.0%	31.8%	31.2%	-0.1	67
2025-04-01	@ Doncaster Rovers	D 2-2	1469	1468	31.2%	31.8%	37.0%	+0.1	72
2025-04-01	Colchester United	D 1-1	1353	1422	27.9%	30.9%	41.1%	+0.4	45
2025-04-01	@ Gillingham	D 1-1	1422	1353	41.1%	30.9%	27.9%	-0.4	59
2025-04-01	Tranmere Rovers	W 3-2	1333	1328	37.8%	31.7%	30.5%	+4.7	45
2025-04-01	@ Harrogate Town	L 2-3	1328	1333	30.5%	31.7%	37.8%	-4.7	40
2025-04-01	Cheltenham Town	W 2-0	1318	1423	24.5%	29.0%	46.5%	+13.1	36
2025-04-01	@ Morecambe	L 0-2	1423	1318	46.5%	29.0%	24.5%	-13.1	50
2025-04-01	Bromley	D 1-1	1335	1379	30.8%	31.7%	37.4%	+0.2	47
2025-04-01	@ Newport County	D 1-1	1379	1335	37.4%	31.7%	30.8%	-0.2	53
2025-04-01	Bradford City	W 2-0	1470	1494	33.6%	32.0%	34.5%	+10.7	70
2025-04-01	@ Port Vale	L 0-2	1494	1470	34.5%	32.0%	33.6%	-10.7	70
2025-04-01	AFC Wimbledon	W 2-1	1393	1491	25.1%	29.4%	45.5%	+6.4	51
2025-04-01	@ Swindon Town	L 1-2	1491	1393	45.5%	29.4%	25.1%	-6.4	65
2025-04-02	Milton Keynes Dons	W 3-0	1473	1380	51.2%	26.7%	22.2%	+10.5	68
2025-04-02	@ Notts County	L 0-3	1380	1473	22.2%	26.7%	51.2%	-10.5	46
2025-04-05	Harrogate Town	W 1-0	1485	1337	59.6%	21.5%	18.9%	+3.1	68
2025-04-05	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-1	1337	1485	18.9%	21.5%	59.6%	-3.1	45
2025-04-05	Crewe Alexandra	W 2-0	1484	1421	46.5%	29.0%	24.5%	+8.1	73
2025-04-05	@ Bradford City	L 0-2	1421	1484	24.5%	29.0%	46.5%	-8.1	61
2025-04-05	Accrington Stanley	W 4-0	1379	1364	39.3%	31.4%	29.3%	+18.0	56
2025-04-05	@ Bromley	L 0-4	1364	1379	29.3%	31.4%	39.3%	-18.0	42
2025-04-05	Newport County	W 3-2	1315	1335	34.2%	32.0%	33.9%	+5.0	34
2025-04-05	@ Carlisle United	L 2-3	1335	1315	33.9%	32.0%	34.2%	-5.0	47
2025-04-05	Doncaster Rovers	L 0-2	1410	1468	29.1%	31.4%	39.5%	-9.4	50
2025-04-05	@ Cheltenham Town	W 2-0	1468	1410	39.5%	31.4%	29.1%	+9.5	70
2025-04-05	Notts County	W 1-0	1422	1484	28.8%	31.2%	40.0%	+6.3	62
2025-04-05	@ Colchester United	L 0-1	1484	1422	40.0%	31.2%	28.8%	-6.3	68
2025-04-05	Swindon Town	L 0-4	1481	1400	49.4%	27.6%	23.0%	-25.8	56
2025-04-05	@ Fleetwood Town	W 4-0	1400	1481	23.0%	27.6%	49.4%	+25.8	54
2025-04-05	Morecambe	W 3-1	1387	1331	45.4%	29.4%	25.1%	+7.2	65
2025-04-05	@ Grimsby Town	L 1-3	1331	1387	25.1%	29.4%	45.4%	-7.2	36
2025-04-05	Barrow	L 0-3	1370	1387	34.5%	32.0%	33.5%	-15.5	46
2025-04-05	@ Milton Keynes Dons	W 3-0	1387	1370	33.5%	32.0%	34.5%	+15.5	52
2025-04-05	Gillingham	D 2-2	1406	1353	45.0%	29.6%	25.4%	-0.5	58
2025-04-05	@ Salford City	D 2-2	1353	1406	25.4%	29.6%	45.0%	+0.4	46
2025-04-05	Chesterfield	W 4-0	1323	1441	23.4%	28.0%	48.6%	+25.6	43
2025-04-05	@ Tranmere Rovers	L 0-4	1441	1323	48.6%	28.0%	23.4%	-25.6	58
2025-04-05	Port Vale	L 2-3	1469	1481	35.4%	31.9%	32.7%	-5.2	72
2025-04-05	@ Walsall	W 3-2	1481	1469	32.7%	31.9%	35.4%	+5.2	73
2025-04-08	Gillingham	D 1-1	1416	1354	46.4%	29.0%	24.6%	-0.7	59
2025-04-08	@ Chesterfield	D 1-1	1354	1416	24.6%	29.0%	46.4%	+0.7	47
2025-04-10	Cheltenham Town	L 2-3	1413	1400	39.0%	31.5%	29.6%	-5.5	61
2025-04-10	@ Crewe Alexandra	W 3-2	1400	1413	29.6%	31.5%	39.0%	+5.5	53
2025-04-11	Salford City	L 1-3	1477	1406	47.9%	28.3%	23.8%	-11.6	68
2025-04-11	@ Notts County	W 3-1	1406	1477	23.8%	28.3%	47.9%	+11.6	61
2025-04-12	Tranmere Rovers	D 3-3	1346	1349	36.8%	31.8%	31.4%	-0.1	43
2025-04-12	@ Accrington Stanley	D 3-3	1349	1346	31.4%	31.8%	36.8%	+0.1	44
2025-04-12	Walsall	W 2-0	1403	1464	28.8%	31.3%	39.9%	+11.8	55
2025-04-12	@ Barrow	L 0-2	1464	1403	39.9%	31.3%	28.8%	-11.8	72
2025-04-12	Fleetwood Town	W 3-0	1415	1455	31.4%	31.8%	36.8%	+16.2	62
2025-04-12	@ Chesterfield	L 0-3	1455	1415	36.8%	31.8%	31.4%	-16.2	56
2025-04-12	AFC Wimbledon	D 1-1	1477	1488	35.6%	31.9%	32.5%	-0.1	71
2025-04-12	@ Doncaster Rovers	D 1-1	1488	1477	32.5%	31.9%	35.6%	+0.1	69
2025-04-12	Milton Keynes Dons	W 1-0	1355	1354	37.1%	31.8%	31.1%	+5.3	50
2025-04-12	@ Gillingham	L 0-1	1354	1355	31.1%	31.8%	37.1%	-5.3	46
2025-04-12	Grimsby Town	D 2-2	1334	1394	29.0%	31.3%	39.7%	+0.2	46
2025-04-12	@ Harrogate Town	D 2-2	1394	1334	39.7%	31.3%	29.0%	-0.2	66
2025-04-12	Carlisle United	L 0-2	1324	1320	37.7%	31.7%	30.6%	-11.3	36
2025-04-12	@ Morecambe	W 2-0	1320	1324	30.6%	31.7%	37.7%	+11.4	37
2025-04-12	Colchester United	L 0-2	1330	1428	25.1%	29.4%	45.5%	-8.3	47
2025-04-12	@ Newport County	W 2-0	1428	1330	45.5%	29.4%	25.1%	+8.3	65
2025-04-12	Bromley	W 5-0	1486	1397	50.5%	27.0%	22.5%	+17.2	76
2025-04-12	@ Port Vale	L 0-5	1397	1486	22.5%	27.0%	50.5%	-17.2	56
2025-04-12	Bradford City	W 5-4	1425	1492	28.2%	31.1%	40.7%	+5.5	57
2025-04-12	@ Swindon Town	L 4-5	1492	1425	40.7%	31.1%	28.2%	-5.5	73
2025-04-15	Doncaster Rovers	D 1-1	1417	1477	28.9%	31.3%	39.8%	+0.3	62
2025-04-15	@ Salford City	D 1-1	1477	1417	39.8%	31.3%	28.9%	-0.3	72
2025-04-17	Notts County	D 1-1	1486	1466	40.2%	31.2%	28.7%	-0.3	74
2025-04-17	@ Bradford City	D 1-1	1466	1486	28.7%	31.2%	40.2%	+0.3	69
2025-04-18	Chesterfield	D 0-0	1488	1431	45.6%	29.4%	25.0%	-0.7	70
2025-04-18	@ AFC Wimbledon	D 0-0	1431	1488	25.0%	29.4%	45.6%	+0.7	63
2025-04-18	Morecambe	W 1-0	1380	1313	47.2%	28.6%	24.1%	+4.2	59
2025-04-18	@ Bromley	L 0-1	1313	1380	24.1%	28.6%	47.2%	-4.2	36
2025-04-18	Port Vale	W 3-2	1331	1503	19.9%	23.2%	56.9%	+7.1	40
2025-04-18	@ Carlisle United	L 2-3	1503	1331	56.9%	23.2%	19.9%	-7.1	76
2025-04-18	Gillingham	D 1-1	1406	1360	44.0%	30.0%	26.0%	-0.6	54
2025-04-18	@ Cheltenham Town	D 1-1	1360	1406	26.0%	30.0%	44.0%	+0.5	51
2025-04-18	Crewe Alexandra	D 0-0	1436	1408	41.4%	30.9%	27.8%	-0.5	66
2025-04-18	@ Colchester United	D 0-0	1408	1436	27.8%	30.9%	41.4%	+0.5	62
2025-04-18	Barrow	D 0-0	1439	1415	40.7%	31.1%	28.3%	-0.4	57
2025-04-18	@ Fleetwood Town	D 0-0	1415	1439	28.3%	31.1%	40.7%	+0.4	56
2025-04-18	Swindon Town	L 0-4	1394	1431	31.8%	31.9%	36.4%	-19.1	66
2025-04-18	@ Grimsby Town	W 4-0	1431	1394	36.4%	31.9%	31.8%	+19.1	60
2025-04-18	Newport County	D 0-0	1349	1322	41.1%	30.9%	27.9%	-0.5	47
2025-04-18	@ Milton Keynes Dons	D 0-0	1322	1349	27.9%	30.9%	41.1%	+0.4	48
2025-04-18	Accrington Stanley	L 1-2	1417	1346	47.8%	28.4%	23.8%	-6.7	62
2025-04-18	@ Salford City	W 2-1	1346	1417	23.8%	28.4%	47.8%	+6.7	46
2025-04-18	Doncaster Rovers	L 0-3	1349	1477	22.7%	27.2%	50.1%	-10.8	44
2025-04-18	@ Tranmere Rovers	W 3-0	1477	1349	50.1%	27.2%	22.7%	+10.8	75
2025-04-18	Harrogate Town	D 2-2	1452	1334	55.0%	24.4%	20.6%	-0.8	73
2025-04-18	@ Walsall	D 2-2	1334	1452	20.6%	24.4%	55.0%	+0.8	47
2025-04-21	Carlisle United	D 1-1	1353	1338	39.3%	31.4%	29.3%	-0.3	47
2025-04-21	@ Accrington Stanley	D 1-1	1338	1353	29.3%	31.4%	39.3%	+0.3	41
2025-04-21	Tranmere Rovers	D 0-0	1415	1338	48.7%	27.9%	23.3%	-0.9	57
2025-04-21	@ Barrow	D 0-0	1338	1415	23.3%	27.9%	48.7%	+0.9	45
2025-04-21	Bradford City	D 3-3	1432	1486	29.7%	31.5%	38.9%	+0.2	64
2025-04-21	@ Chesterfield	D 3-3	1486	1432	38.9%	31.5%	29.7%	-0.2	75
2025-04-21	Milton Keynes Dons	L 0-1	1408	1348	46.0%	29.2%	24.8%	-6.9	62
2025-04-21	@ Crewe Alexandra	W 1-0	1348	1408	24.8%	29.2%	46.0%	+6.9	50
2025-04-21	Colchester United	W 3-0	1488	1436	44.9%	29.7%	25.4%	+12.2	78
2025-04-21	@ Doncaster Rovers	L 0-3	1436	1488	25.4%	29.7%	44.9%	-12.2	66
2025-04-21	AFC Wimbledon	W 1-0	1360	1487	22.8%	27.3%	49.9%	+7.3	54
2025-04-21	@ Gillingham	L 0-1	1487	1360	49.9%	27.3%	22.8%	-7.3	70
2025-04-21	Fleetwood Town	W 3-1	1335	1438	24.6%	29.1%	46.3%	+11.3	50
2025-04-21	@ Harrogate Town	L 1-3	1438	1335	46.3%	29.1%	24.6%	-11.3	57
2025-04-21	Salford City	L 1-3	1308	1411	24.7%	29.1%	46.2%	-7.1	36
2025-04-21	@ Morecambe	W 3-1	1411	1308	46.2%	29.1%	24.7%	+7.1	65
2025-04-21	Walsall	D 0-0	1322	1451	22.6%	27.1%	50.3%	+1.0	49
2025-04-21	@ Newport County	D 0-0	1451	1322	50.3%	27.1%	22.6%	-1.0	74
2025-04-21	Cheltenham Town	L 1-2	1466	1405	46.3%	29.1%	24.6%	-6.5	69
2025-04-21	@ Notts County	W 2-1	1405	1466	24.6%	29.1%	46.3%	+6.5	57
2025-04-21	Grimsby Town	D 2-2	1496	1374	55.6%	24.0%	20.3%	-0.8	77
2025-04-21	@ Port Vale	D 2-2	1374	1496	20.3%	24.0%	55.6%	+0.8	67
2025-04-21	Bromley	L 0-1	1450	1384	47.0%	28.8%	24.2%	-7.0	60
2025-04-21	@ Swindon Town	W 1-0	1384	1450	24.2%	28.8%	47.0%	+7.0	62
2025-04-26	Port Vale	L 0-2	1480	1495	34.8%	31.9%	33.2%	-10.8	70
2025-04-26	@ AFC Wimbledon	W 2-0	1495	1480	33.2%	31.9%	34.8%	+10.8	80
2025-04-26	Bromley	D 3-3	1414	1391	40.5%	31.1%	28.4%	-0.2	58
2025-04-26	@ Barrow	D 3-3	1391	1414	28.4%	31.1%	40.5%	+0.2	63
2025-04-26	Carlisle United	W 3-2	1412	1339	48.1%	28.2%	23.6%	+3.7	60
2025-04-26	@ Cheltenham Town	L 2-3	1339	1412	23.6%	28.2%	48.1%	-3.7	41
2025-04-26	Morecambe	W 4-1	1432	1301	57.0%	23.2%	19.8%	+7.6	67
2025-04-26	@ Chesterfield	L 1-4	1301	1432	19.8%	23.2%	57.0%	-7.6	36
2025-04-26	Bradford City	W 2-1	1500	1486	39.2%	31.4%	29.4%	+4.8	81
2025-04-26	@ Doncaster Rovers	L 1-2	1486	1500	29.4%	31.4%	39.2%	-4.8	75
2025-04-26	Newport County	W 2-0	1427	1323	52.9%	25.7%	21.4%	+6.9	60
2025-04-26	@ Fleetwood Town	L 0-2	1323	1427	21.4%	25.7%	52.9%	-6.9	49
2025-04-26	Swindon Town	D 1-1	1368	1443	27.3%	30.7%	42.1%	+0.5	55
2025-04-26	@ Gillingham	D 1-1	1443	1368	42.1%	30.7%	27.3%	-0.4	61
2025-04-26	Notts County	L 1-3	1347	1460	23.8%	28.4%	47.8%	-6.8	50
2025-04-26	@ Harrogate Town	W 3-1	1460	1347	47.8%	28.4%	23.8%	+6.8	72
2025-04-26	Grimsby Town	D 0-0	1355	1375	34.2%	32.0%	33.9%	-0.0	51
2025-04-26	@ Milton Keynes Dons	D 0-0	1375	1355	33.9%	32.0%	34.2%	+0.0	68
2025-04-26	Colchester United	W 4-1	1418	1424	36.2%	31.9%	31.9%	+12.4	68
2025-04-26	@ Salford City	L 1-4	1424	1418	31.9%	31.9%	36.2%	-12.4	66
2025-04-26	Crewe Alexandra	W 2-0	1339	1401	28.7%	31.2%	40.1%	+11.8	48
2025-04-26	@ Tranmere Rovers	L 0-2	1401	1339	40.1%	31.2%	28.7%	-11.8	62
2025-04-26	Accrington Stanley	L 0-1	1450	1353	51.9%	26.2%	21.9%	-7.5	74
2025-04-26	@ Walsall	W 1-0	1353	1450	21.9%	26.2%	51.9%	+7.5	50
2025-05-03	Chesterfield	L 0-1	1360	1440	26.8%	30.5%	42.7%	-4.7	50
2025-05-03	@ Accrington Stanley	W 1-0	1440	1360	42.7%	30.5%	26.8%	+4.7	70
2025-05-03	Fleetwood Town	W 1-0	1481	1434	44.1%	30.0%	25.9%	+4.5	78
2025-05-03	@ Bradford City	L 0-1	1434	1481	25.9%	30.0%	44.1%	-4.5	60
2025-05-03	Cheltenham Town	W 3-0	1391	1415	33.6%	32.0%	34.4%	+15.5	66
2025-05-03	@ Bromley	L 0-3	1415	1391	34.4%	32.0%	33.6%	-15.5	60
2025-05-03	Salford City	D 2-2	1335	1430	25.3%	29.6%	45.1%	+0.5	42
2025-05-03	@ Carlisle United	D 2-2	1430	1335	45.1%	29.6%	25.3%	-0.5	69
2025-05-03	Barrow	D 0-0	1411	1414	36.7%	31.8%	31.5%	-0.2	67
2025-05-03	@ Colchester United	D 0-0	1414	1411	31.5%	31.8%	36.7%	+0.2	59
2025-05-03	Walsall	L 0-1	1389	1443	29.7%	31.5%	38.8%	-5.1	62
2025-05-03	@ Crewe Alexandra	W 1-0	1443	1389	38.8%	31.5%	29.7%	+5.1	77
2025-05-03	AFC Wimbledon	L 0-1	1375	1469	25.5%	29.7%	44.8%	-4.5	68
2025-05-03	@ Grimsby Town	W 1-0	1469	1375	44.8%	29.7%	25.5%	+4.5	73
2025-05-03	Harrogate Town	L 1-2	1294	1340	30.6%	31.7%	37.7%	-4.9	36
2025-05-03	@ Morecambe	W 2-1	1340	1294	37.7%	31.7%	30.6%	+4.9	53
2025-05-03	Tranmere Rovers	L 1-4	1316	1351	32.1%	31.9%	36.0%	-12.5	49
2025-05-03	@ Newport County	W 4-1	1351	1316	36.0%	31.9%	32.1%	+12.5	51
2025-05-03	Doncaster Rovers	L 1-2	1466	1505	31.6%	31.8%	36.5%	-5.0	72
2025-05-03	@ Notts County	W 2-1	1505	1466	36.5%	31.8%	31.6%	+5.0	84
2025-05-03	Gillingham	L 0-1	1506	1368	58.1%	22.4%	19.4%	-8.0	80
2025-05-03	@ Port Vale	W 1-0	1368	1506	19.4%	22.4%	58.1%	+8.0	58
2025-05-03	Milton Keynes Dons	D 0-0	1443	1355	50.3%	27.1%	22.6%	-1.0	62
2025-05-03	@ Swindon Town	D 0-0	1355	1443	22.6%	27.1%	50.3%	+1.0	52

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2025-05-10	AFC Wimbledon	L 0-1	1461	1473	35.3%	31.9%	32.8%	-5.8	0-1
2025-05-10	@ Notts County	W 1-0	1473	1461	32.8%	31.9%	35.3%	+5.8	1-0
2025-05-11	Walsall	L 0-2	1444	1448	36.6%	31.8%	31.6%	-11.1	0-1
2025-05-11	@ Chesterfield	W 2-0	1448	1444	31.6%	31.8%	36.6%	+11.1	1-0
2025-05-16	Chesterfield	W 2-1	1459	1433	40.9%	31.0%	28.1%	+4.6	2-0
2025-05-16	@ Walsall	L 1-2	1433	1459	28.1%	31.0%	40.9%	-4.6	0-2
2025-05-17	Notts County	W 1-0	1479	1456	40.6%	31.1%	28.3%	+4.9	2-0
2025-05-17	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-1	1456	1479	28.3%	31.1%	40.6%	-4.9	0-2
2025-05-26	Walsall	W 1-0	1484	1464	40.1%	31.2%	28.7%	+5.0	3-0
2025-05-26	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-1	1464	1484	28.7%	31.2%	40.1%	-4.9	2-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2025-03-15	16.86%	Tranmere Rovers	1304	1	@ Bradford City	1493	0
2	2025-03-04	19.24%	@ Morecambe	1310	1	AFC Wimbledon	1494	0
3	2025-01-25	19.38%	Carlisle United	1342	2	@ Fleetwood Town	1481	1
4	2025-05-03	19.43%	Gillingham	1368	1	@ Port Vale	1506	0
5	2025-04-18	19.88%	@ Carlisle United	1331	3	Port Vale	1503	2
6	2025-02-01	19.92%	@ Morecambe	1312	4	Fleetwood Town	1484	2
7	2025-03-01	20.50%	Bromley	1382	1	@ AFC Wimbledon	1501	0
8	2025-03-08	20.74%	@ Gillingham	1344	1	Bradford City	1501	0
9	2024-10-22	20.83%	Crewe Alexandra	1392	1	@ Fleetwood Town	1506	0
10	2024-12-07	20.85%	@ Swindon Town	1334	3	Fleetwood Town	1489	1
11	2025-03-04	20.95%	Barrow	1368	2	@ Notts County	1480	1
12	2024-11-09	21.52%	Grimsby Town	1354	1	@ AFC Wimbledon	1457	0
13	2024-10-22	21.72%	Bromley	1348	1	@ Doncaster Rovers	1448	0
14	2025-03-01	21.79%	Swindon Town	1392	1	@ Walsall	1491	0
15	2025-04-26	21.85%	Accrington Stanley	1353	1	@ Walsall	1450	0
16	2025-03-08	22.11%	Grimsby Town	1388	3	@ Walsall	1482	1
17	2025-03-25	22.60%	Barrow	1385	1	@ Port Vale	1472	0
18	2025-02-08	22.63%	Newport County	1350	3	@ Crewe Alexandra	1436	0
19	2025-04-21	22.77%	@ Gillingham	1360	1	AFC Wimbledon	1487	0
20	2024-10-12	22.91%	Swindon Town	1367	3	@ Cheltenham Town	1450	2
21	2025-01-25	23.00%	Accrington Stanley	1362	1	@ Crewe Alexandra	1444	0
22	2025-04-05	23.02%	Swindon Town	1400	4	@ Fleetwood Town	1481	0
23	2025-03-28	23.11%	@ Tranmere Rovers	1314	2	Cheltenham Town	1436	0
24	2025-02-15	23.19%	Grimsby Town	1375	2	@ Doncaster Rovers	1454	1
25	2024-10-12	23.24%	Morecambe	1354	1	@ Barrow	1432	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-08-17	27.27	Chesterfield	5	1367	29.39%	@ Crewe Alexandra	0	1381	39.20%
2	2025-04-05	25.84	Swindon Town	4	1400	23.02%	@ Fleetwood Town	0	1481	49.37%
3	2025-04-05	25.57	@ Tranmere Rovers	4	1323	23.41%	Chesterfield	0	1441	48.57%
4	2025-03-11	23.67	@ Accrington Stanley	5	1350	36.26%	Newport County	0	1356	31.88%
5	2025-03-11	21.97	Chesterfield	4	1406	29.72%	@ Salford City	0	1417	38.78%
6	2024-08-24	21.87	@ Barrow	4	1403	29.92%	Port Vale	0	1455	38.53%
7	2024-08-17	20.63	Walsall	4	1398	32.71%	@ Swindon Town	0	1387	35.37%
8	2024-09-14	20.04	@ Swindon Town	4	1362	34.14%	Newport County	0	1382	33.90%
9	2025-02-08	19.99	Newport County	3	1350	22.63%	@ Crewe Alexandra	0	1436	50.18%
10	2025-04-18	19.15	Swindon Town	4	1431	36.38%	@ Grimsby Town	0	1394	31.77%
11	2024-11-09	18.88	Accrington Stanley	3	1371	24.79%	@ Chesterfield	0	1431	46.01%
12	2024-09-28	18.65	Chesterfield	3	1389	25.26%	@ Doncaster Rovers	0	1443	45.20%
13	2024-12-29	18.55	@ Grimsby Town	3	1368	25.47%	Port Vale	0	1462	44.85%
14	2024-12-03	18.48	@ Colchester United	4	1360	38.12%	Swindon Town	0	1353	30.26%
15	2025-04-05	18.03	@ Bromley	4	1379	39.26%	Accrington Stanley	0	1364	29.34%
16	2025-01-25	17.27	@ Bradford City	3	1449	28.52%	Walsall	0	1513	40.33%
17	2025-04-12	17.18	@ Port Vale	5	1486	50.54%	Bromley	0	1397	22.46%
18	2025-03-15	17.12	@ Colchester United	3	1422	28.90%	Fleetwood Town	0	1482	39.83%
19	2024-12-14	17.04	@ Salford City	3	1380	29.12%	Notts County	0	1438	39.54%
20	2025-01-02	16.34	Bromley	3	1389	31.07%	@ Gillingham	0	1390	37.17%
21	2025-02-01	16.31	Swindon Town	5	1376	35.34%	@ Carlisle United	1	1346	32.74%
22	2024-09-21	16.24	@ Colchester United	3	1358	31.36%	Tranmere Rovers	0	1399	36.85%
23	2025-04-12	16.22	@ Chesterfield	3	1415	31.42%	Fleetwood Town	0	1455	36.78%
24	2024-10-01	15.86	Milton Keynes Dons	5	1418	36.67%	@ Harrogate Town	1	1379	31.51%
25	2024-09-28	15.75	@ Walsall	4	1430	45.38%	Colchester United	0	1375	25.15%