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2003-04 Football League First Division Season

552 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

Norwich City

94 pts

West Brom · 86 pts

Crystal Palace · via playoff

Relegated

Wimbledon

29 pts

Bradford City · 36 pts

Walsall · 51 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Norwich City

18.85 points above expected

94 points · 75.15 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Wimbledon FC

23.03 points below expected

29 points · 52.03 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Norwich City Promoted 46 28 10 8 94 79 39 +40 75.15 +18.85
2 West Brom Promoted 46 25 11 10 86 64 42 +22 73.41 +12.59
3 Sunderland 46 22 13 11 79 62 45 +17 67.18 +11.82
4 West Ham 46 19 17 10 74 67 45 +22 81.15 -7.15
5 Ipswich Town 46 21 10 15 73 84 72 +12 73.75 -0.75
6 Crystal Palace Promoted 46 21 10 15 73 72 61 +11 65.20 +7.80
7 Wigan Athletic 46 18 17 11 71 60 45 +15 69.57 +1.43
8 Sheffield United 46 20 11 15 71 65 56 +9 73.24 -2.24
9 Reading 46 20 10 16 70 55 57 -2 66.73 +3.27
10 Millwall 46 18 15 13 69 55 48 +7 66.59 +2.41
11 Stoke City 46 18 12 16 66 58 55 +3 56.17 +9.83
12 Coventry City 46 17 14 15 65 67 54 +13 57.28 +7.72
13 Cardiff City 46 17 14 15 65 68 58 +10 59.67 +5.33
14 Nottingham Forest 46 15 15 16 60 61 58 +3 70.04 -10.04
15 Preston North End 46 15 14 17 59 69 71 -2 65.51 -6.51
16 Watford 46 15 12 19 57 54 68 -14 53.37 +3.63
17 Rotherham United 46 13 15 18 54 53 61 -8 55.94 -1.94
18 Crewe Alexandra 46 14 11 21 53 57 66 -9 58.11 -5.11
19 Burnley 46 13 14 19 53 60 77 -17 53.04 -0.04
20 Derby County 46 13 13 20 52 53 67 -14 50.44 +1.56
21 Gillingham 46 14 9 23 51 48 67 -19 53.63 -2.63
22 Walsall Relegated 46 13 12 21 51 45 65 -20 55.54 -4.54
23 Bradford City Relegated 46 10 6 30 36 38 69 -31 47.31 -11.31
24 Wimbledon FC 46 8 5 33 29 41 89 -48 52.03 -23.03

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Sunderland 4
Crystal Palace 4

Leg 1: Crystal Palace 3-2 Sunderland

Leg 2: Sunderland 2-1 Crystal Palace

Sim: 69.0%

West Ham 2
Ipswich Town 1

Leg 1: Ipswich Town 1-0 West Ham

Leg 2: West Ham 2-0 Ipswich Town

Sim: 208.0%

Finals

Crystal Palace 1
West Ham 0

Sim: 50.0%

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Norwich City 1834 94 75.15 +18.85 99.0% 38 61 70 75 81 89 106
West Ham 1803 74 81.15 -7.15 21.9% 47 67 75 81 87 95 112
Crystal Palace 1770 73 65.20 +7.80 83.7% 30 51 59 65 71 79 97
West Brom 1770 86 73.41 +12.59 93.3% 42 59 68 73 79 88 103
Ipswich Town 1750 73 73.75 -0.75 49.2% 41 60 68 74 79 88 102
Sunderland 1750 79 67.18 +11.82 92.6% 35 54 61 67 73 81 109
Wigan Athletic 1747 71 69.57 +1.43 58.8% 36 55 64 69 75 84 103
Nottingham Forest 1734 60 70.04 -10.04 12.9% 39 56 64 70 76 84 112
Sheffield United 1729 71 73.24 -2.24 42.1% 41 59 67 73 79 87 103
Coventry City 1718 65 57.28 +7.72 83.6% 26 44 52 57 63 71 89
Millwall 1715 69 66.59 +2.41 63.2% 36 53 61 67 72 80 106
Reading 1703 70 66.73 +3.27 67.2% 33 53 61 67 72 81 97
Stoke City 1692 66 56.17 +9.83 88.9% 22 43 51 56 62 70 91
Cardiff City 1691 65 59.67 +5.33 75.6% 30 46 54 60 65 74 94
Preston North End 1677 59 65.51 -6.51 24.0% 31 51 60 65 71 80 99
Rotherham United 1665 54 55.94 -1.94 43.6% 23 42 50 56 62 70 98
Crewe Alexandra 1659 53 58.11 -5.11 29.1% 26 45 53 58 64 72 92
Derby County 1638 52 50.44 +1.56 60.5% 23 37 45 50 56 64 84
Watford 1638 57 53.37 +3.63 69.2% 25 40 48 53 59 67 83
Burnley 1623 53 53.04 -0.04 52.7% 23 40 48 53 59 67 87
Gillingham 1619 51 53.63 -2.63 39.9% 19 40 48 54 59 67 82
Walsall 1606 51 55.54 -4.54 31.4% 25 42 50 55 61 69 87
Wimbledon FC 1571 29 52.03 -23.03 0.2% 20 39 46 52 57 66 85
Bradford City 1563 36 47.31 -11.31 8.7% 19 34 42 47 53 61 83

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BC BUR CC CC CA CP DC GIL IT MIL NC NF PNE REA RU SU SC SUN WAL WAT WB WH WA WIM
Bradford City —
0-0-2
2.56
1-0-1
2.38
1-1-0
2.20
1-1-0
2.10
1-0-1
1.95
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
1.69
1-0-1
1.83
1-1-0
1.83
0-0-2
1.71
1-0-1
2.11
1-1-0
1.81
1-0-1
2.15
0-0-2
1.70
0-0-2
2.20
0-0-2
2.17
0-1-1
2.20
1-0-1
2.34
0-0-2
1.46
0-0-2
1.47
0-1-1
1.72
0-0-2
2.63
Burnley
2-0-0
2.84
 —
0-1-1
2.35
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
2.50
1-0-1
1.94
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
1.84
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.17
1-1-0
2.07
0-1-1
2.65
1-0-1
1.89
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.02
2-0-0
2.65
0-1-1
2.80
0-1-1
1.94
0-2-0
1.58
0-1-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.81
Cardiff City
1-0-1
3.03
1-1-0
3.07
 —
1-0-1
2.77
2-0-0
2.66
0-0-2
2.50
1-1-0
2.96
2-0-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.06
1-1-0
2.23
0-2-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.40
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.16
2-0-0
3.19
1-1-0
2.31
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.24
0-1-1
1.83
0-1-1
2.26
1-1-0
3.37
Coventry City
0-1-1
3.23
2-0-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.63
 —
1-0-1
2.81
1-1-0
2.38
2-0-0
3.03
1-1-0
3.07
0-2-0
1.99
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
1.94
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.94
0-0-2
1.94
1-0-1
2.72
0-2-0
2.19
1-1-0
2.53
0-2-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.01
0-1-1
1.86
0-1-1
2.20
2-0-0
2.85
Crewe Alexandra
0-1-1
3.33
1-0-1
3.02
0-0-2
2.74
1-0-1
2.58
 —
1-0-1
2.34
1-1-0
3.02
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-2
1.84
1-0-1
2.21
1-1-0
2.41
1-1-0
2.30
1-1-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.20
1-1-0
2.73
1-1-0
2.19
1-1-0
2.91
0-0-2
2.98
0-1-1
2.03
0-0-2
1.84
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.73
Crystal Palace
1-0-1
3.49
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
2.92
0-1-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.07
 —
0-1-1
3.46
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.65
1-1-0
3.24
1-0-1
2.48
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
3.25
2-0-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.96
Derby County
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.45
0-0-2
2.40
0-1-1
2.39
1-1-0
1.97
 —
1-1-0
2.44
0-1-1
1.65
1-1-0
2.03
0-0-2
1.75
1-1-0
1.93
1-0-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.01
1-1-0
2.36
1-1-0
1.66
0-0-2
2.58
0-1-1
2.05
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
1.88
0-1-1
1.56
0-1-1
1.89
1-0-1
2.94
Gillingham
2-0-0
2.96
0-0-2
2.93
0-0-2
2.49
0-1-1
2.34
1-1-0
2.45
1-0-1
2.12
0-1-1
2.97
 —
1-0-1
1.80
2-0-0
2.27
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
2.16
0-1-1
2.15
0-0-2
2.16
1-1-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.02
1-1-0
2.49
0-0-2
2.07
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.80
0-0-2
1.82
1-0-1
1.56
0-0-2
1.93
1-0-1
2.96
Ipswich Town
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
3.22
0-2-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.30
1-1-0
3.85
1-0-1
3.67
 —
0-1-1
3.06
0-0-2
2.59
0-1-1
3.05
1-1-0
3.07
0-2-0
3.07
2-0-0
3.43
1-1-0
2.76
1-0-1
3.46
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
3.37
2-0-0
3.50
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
2.36
0-0-2
3.00
2-0-0
3.58
Millwall
1-0-1
3.65
1-1-0
3.26
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
2.93
1-1-0
2.76
0-1-1
3.41
0-0-2
3.16
1-1-0
2.35
 —
0-1-1
2.37
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.71
1-1-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.39
0-2-0
3.04
2-0-0
2.74
1-1-0
3.41
0-0-2
3.34
0-1-1
2.37
1-1-0
2.12
1-1-0
2.61
2-0-0
3.44
Norwich City
0-1-1
3.69
2-0-0
3.61
1-0-1
3.37
1-1-0
3.51
2-0-0
3.61
1-0-1
3.08
2-0-0
3.72
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-0
2.84
1-1-0
3.05
 —
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
3.36
2-0-0
3.12
1-1-0
3.40
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.67
1-0-1
3.83
0-1-1
2.86
0-2-0
2.42
1-1-0
2.92
2-0-0
3.38
Nottingham Forest
2-0-0
3.77
1-1-0
3.47
0-1-1
3.23
1-0-1
3.24
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
2.87
0-1-1
3.54
0-1-1
3.27
1-1-0
2.37
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.64
 —
0-1-1
3.02
0-0-2
2.90
0-2-0
3.23
2-0-0
2.58
0-1-1
3.29
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
3.37
0-2-0
3.45
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.58
2-0-0
3.49
Preston North End
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.26
0-2-0
2.71
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
3.01
1-1-0
2.99
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.29
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.41
 —
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
3.10
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
3.07
0-1-1
2.84
0-0-2
3.20
1-0-1
3.43
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.07
0-1-1
2.76
1-1-0
3.34
Reading
0-1-1
3.66
0-1-1
3.35
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
3.08
0-1-1
3.12
0-1-1
2.80
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.29
0-2-0
2.34
2-0-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.29
2-0-0
2.51
1-0-1
2.78
 —
0-1-1
3.19
2-0-0
2.42
0-1-1
3.22
0-0-2
2.82
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.31
1-1-0
2.28
1-0-1
2.16
2-0-0
2.68
1-0-1
3.20
Rotherham United
1-0-1
3.30
1-1-0
2.77
0-1-1
2.80
1-1-0
2.49
0-1-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.19
0-1-1
3.05
0-1-1
2.73
0-0-2
2.02
0-1-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.03
0-2-0
2.23
1-0-1
2.33
1-1-0
2.24
 —
0-1-1
2.03
2-0-0
2.46
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.73
1-0-1
1.99
1-0-1
1.74
1-0-1
2.33
2-0-0
2.69
Sheffield United
2-0-0
3.79
1-0-1
3.57
1-0-1
3.28
2-0-0
3.52
2-0-0
3.24
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
3.83
1-1-0
3.41
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.68
0-0-2
2.85
1-1-0
3.06
0-0-2
2.99
1-1-0
3.41
 —
0-1-1
3.41
0-0-2
2.88
2-0-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.53
1-0-1
2.67
0-2-0
2.40
0-2-0
2.93
2-0-0
3.62
Stoke City
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.67
0-0-2
2.38
2-0-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.00
0-2-0
2.38
0-1-1
2.03
1-1-0
2.13
0-1-1
2.34
1-1-0
2.20
0-0-2
2.96
1-1-0
2.02
 —
1-1-0
2.31
1-1-0
2.80
2-0-0
2.80
1-0-1
1.97
1-0-1
1.72
0-1-1
2.08
2-0-0
2.53
Sunderland
2-0-0
3.29
1-1-0
3.42
0-1-1
3.11
0-2-0
3.24
0-1-1
3.24
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.38
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-2
2.66
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.58
2-0-0
2.58
1-1-0
3.22
2-0-0
2.55
0-1-1
3.11
 —
2-0-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.28
0-1-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.00
0-2-0
2.57
2-0-0
3.71
Walsall
1-1-0
3.22
0-0-2
2.76
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
2.79
0-0-2
2.06
0-1-1
2.02
0-0-2
1.84
1-1-0
2.06
2-0-0
2.24
1-1-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.59
0-0-2
1.94
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.15
 —
0-1-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.17
0-2-0
1.62
1-0-1
1.98
2-0-0
3.03
Watford
1-0-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.61
1-0-1
2.44
0-2-0
2.68
2-0-0
2.44
0-0-2
2.31
1-0-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.61
0-0-2
1.96
2-0-0
2.11
1-0-1
1.66
0-2-0
2.00
1-0-1
2.01
1-0-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
1.93
0-0-2
2.62
0-1-1
2.14
1-1-0
2.63
 —
0-0-2
2.01
0-1-1
1.66
0-1-1
1.91
2-0-0
2.81
West Brom
2-0-0
4.09
1-1-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.43
1-1-0
3.41
1-1-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.68
2-0-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.05
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.46
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
3.47
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.27
2-0-0
3.46
 —
1-1-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
3.58
West Ham
2-0-0
4.05
0-2-0
3.93
1-1-0
3.63
1-1-0
3.59
2-0-0
3.63
1-0-1
3.20
1-1-0
3.96
1-0-1
3.95
1-0-1
3.06
0-1-1
3.33
0-2-0
3.01
1-1-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.37
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
3.74
0-2-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.79
1-0-1
3.45
0-2-0
3.89
1-1-0
3.84
0-1-1
3.11
 —
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
4.08
Wigan Athletic
1-1-0
3.75
1-1-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.57
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
2.41
0-1-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.83
1-1-0
2.65
0-0-2
2.73
1-0-1
3.10
0-2-0
2.49
1-1-0
3.36
0-2-0
2.84
1-0-1
3.47
1-1-0
3.54
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.28
 —
1-0-1
3.40
Wimbledon FC
2-0-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.63
0-1-1
2.09
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
2.71
0-0-2
2.49
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-2
2.00
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
1.95
0-1-1
2.09
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.72
0-0-2
1.86
0-0-2
2.87
0-0-2
1.76
0-0-2
2.39
0-0-2
2.61
1-1-0
1.87
0-1-1
1.47
1-0-1
2.10
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.60 +10.4
Allowed 0.69 -10.0
Differential 0.92 +7.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.79%9.96%5.43%3.08%0.82%0.54%27.63%
19.96%13.22%8.42%3.26%1.18%0.45%36.50%
25.43%8.42%4.17%2.17%0.63%0.09%20.92%
33.08%3.26%2.17%0.91%0.36%0.36%10.14%
40.82%1.18%0.63%0.36%0.18%0.09%3.26%
5+0.54%0.45%0.09%0.36%0.09%—1.54%
Total27.63%36.50%20.92%10.14%3.26%1.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.65
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 552

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%26.09%8.70%2.17%4.35%—45.65%
16.52%2.17%17.39%2.17%——28.26%
24.35%8.70%6.52%4.35%——23.91%
3——2.17%———2.17%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.22%36.96%34.78%8.70%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.50 -0.67
SD 0.88 1.01 1.32
CV 1.06 0.67 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%4.35%10.87%4.35%2.17%—26.09%
18.70%19.57%4.35%2.17%2.17%2.17%39.13%
22.17%4.35%6.52%4.35%——17.39%
34.35%2.17%2.17%——4.35%13.04%
42.17%—2.17%———4.35%
5+———————
Total21.74%30.43%26.09%10.87%4.35%6.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.67 -0.37
SD 1.13 1.46 1.84
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.04%6.52%4.35%2.17%——26.09%
16.52%10.87%8.70%2.17%2.17%—30.43%
22.17%8.70%6.52%4.35%——21.74%
34.35%4.35%4.35%——2.17%15.22%
42.17%2.17%————4.35%
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total30.43%32.61%23.91%8.70%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.26 +0.22
SD 1.28 1.18 1.70
CV 0.86 0.94 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%6.52%6.52%2.17%——23.91%
18.70%19.57%8.70%6.52%——43.48%
24.35%6.52%2.17%—2.17%—15.22%
32.17%2.17%————4.35%
44.35%2.17%2.17%———8.70%
5+—2.17%2.17%———4.35%
Total28.26%39.13%21.74%8.70%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.17 +0.28
SD 1.44 1.02 1.81
CV 0.99 0.87 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%10.87%8.70%4.35%——30.43%
18.70%13.04%8.70%4.35%——34.78%
24.35%2.17%4.35%4.35%2.17%—17.39%
34.35%8.70%2.17%———15.22%
4—————2.17%2.17%
5+———————
Total23.91%34.78%23.91%13.04%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.43 -0.20
SD 1.12 1.26 1.54
CV 0.90 0.88 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%6.52%2.17%2.17%—2.17%17.39%
115.22%13.04%10.87%2.17%2.17%—43.48%
22.17%6.52%4.35%2.17%——15.22%
36.52%6.52%4.35%—2.17%—19.57%
4———————
5+—2.17%—2.17%——4.35%
Total28.26%34.78%21.74%8.70%4.35%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.33 +0.24
SD 1.31 1.23 1.75
CV 0.84 0.93 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%10.87%4.35%6.52%2.17%—34.78%
14.35%10.87%10.87%4.35%2.17%—32.61%
26.52%6.52%6.52%2.17%——21.74%
3—2.17%4.35%———6.52%
4——2.17%———2.17%
5+—2.17%————2.17%
Total21.74%32.61%28.26%13.04%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.46 -0.30
SD 1.17 1.11 1.62
CV 1.02 0.76 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%13.04%2.17%8.70%—2.17%36.96%
18.70%4.35%19.57%2.17%——34.78%
26.52%6.52%4.35%——2.17%19.57%
32.17%2.17%————4.35%
4———4.35%——4.35%
5+———————
Total28.26%26.09%26.09%15.22%—4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.46 -0.41
SD 1.07 1.29 1.63
CV 1.03 0.89 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.17%4.35%4.35%———10.87%
16.52%17.39%4.35%8.70%2.17%—39.13%
22.17%15.22%2.17%4.35%2.17%—26.09%
32.17%6.52%2.17%—2.17%—13.04%
4—4.35%—2.17%——6.52%
5+—2.17%——2.17%—4.35%
Total13.04%50.00%13.04%15.22%8.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.57 +0.26
SD 1.39 1.17 1.67
CV 0.76 0.75 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.22%6.52%2.17%—2.17%—26.09%
110.87%15.22%8.70%4.35%——39.13%
28.70%13.04%2.17%2.17%——26.09%
3—4.35%——2.17%—6.52%
4—2.17%————2.17%
5+———————
Total34.78%41.30%13.04%6.52%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.04 +0.15
SD 0.98 1.07 1.33
CV 0.82 1.03 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%10.87%2.17%———19.57%
115.22%10.87%4.35%———30.43%
210.87%10.87%2.17%———23.91%
32.17%8.70%4.35%———15.22%
42.17%2.17%——2.17%—6.52%
5+2.17%——2.17%——4.35%
Total39.13%43.48%13.04%2.17%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.85 +0.87
SD 1.36 0.89 1.41
CV 0.79 1.05 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%15.22%2.17%4.35%——28.26%
14.35%15.22%6.52%2.17%2.17%—30.43%
28.70%8.70%8.70%—2.17%—28.26%
32.17%4.35%2.17%2.17%——10.87%
4———————
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total23.91%43.48%19.57%8.70%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.26 +0.07
SD 1.21 1.06 1.67
CV 0.91 0.84 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%4.35%8.70%———19.57%
113.04%10.87%13.04%—2.17%2.17%41.30%
2—6.52%6.52%4.35%2.17%—19.57%
34.35%——6.52%——10.87%
4—4.35%2.17%———6.52%
5+———2.17%——2.17%
Total23.91%26.09%30.43%13.04%4.35%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.54 -0.04
SD 1.24 1.24 1.55
CV 0.83 0.80 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%10.87%4.35%8.70%——30.43%
113.04%8.70%8.70%——2.17%32.61%
24.35%13.04%6.52%———23.91%
34.35%2.17%6.52%———13.04%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.26%34.78%26.09%8.70%—2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.24 -0.04
SD 1.02 1.10 1.59
CV 0.86 0.89 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.04%4.35%8.70%4.35%—2.17%32.61%
16.52%15.22%10.87%2.17%2.17%—36.96%
28.70%4.35%2.17%4.35%——19.57%
34.35%2.17%————6.52%
4————2.17%—2.17%
5+—2.17%————2.17%
Total32.61%28.26%21.74%10.87%4.35%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.33 -0.17
SD 1.15 1.28 1.76
CV 1.00 0.97 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%6.52%4.35%6.52%——21.74%
110.87%10.87%10.87%2.17%——34.78%
213.04%13.04%4.35%2.17%——32.61%
32.17%——4.35%——6.52%
4———————
5+2.17%——2.17%——4.35%
Total32.61%30.43%19.57%17.39%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.22 +0.20
SD 1.17 1.09 1.63
CV 0.82 0.90 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%10.87%6.52%2.17%——28.26%
113.04%15.22%4.35%4.35%——36.96%
24.35%6.52%2.17%2.17%2.17%—17.39%
34.35%6.52%2.17%——2.17%15.22%
4—2.17%————2.17%
5+———————
Total30.43%41.30%15.22%8.70%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.20 +0.07
SD 1.10 1.24 1.54
CV 0.88 1.04 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%8.70%2.17%4.35%2.17%—28.26%
18.70%13.04%2.17%2.17%——26.09%
213.04%13.04%2.17%2.17%——30.43%
34.35%4.35%2.17%2.17%——13.04%
42.17%—————2.17%
5+———————
Total39.13%39.13%8.70%10.87%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 0.98 +0.37
SD 1.10 1.06 1.62
CV 0.82 1.09 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%17.39%6.52%2.17%—2.17%34.78%
113.04%17.39%4.35%8.70%—2.17%45.65%
22.17%6.52%—2.17%——10.87%
3——2.17%2.17%——4.35%
4—4.35%————4.35%
5+———————
Total21.74%45.65%13.04%15.22%—4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.98 1.41 -0.43
SD 1.02 1.31 1.64
CV 1.04 0.93 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%8.70%6.52%2.17%2.17%—23.91%
110.87%15.22%8.70%6.52%2.17%2.17%45.65%
22.17%10.87%6.52%2.17%——21.74%
3—4.35%2.17%———6.52%
42.17%—————2.17%
5+———————
Total19.57%39.13%23.91%10.87%4.35%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.48 -0.30
SD 0.95 1.19 1.62
CV 0.81 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%10.87%4.35%2.17%——26.09%
117.39%10.87%——4.35%—32.61%
28.70%10.87%4.35%———23.91%
36.52%2.17%2.17%———10.87%
4—4.35%—2.17%——6.52%
5+———————
Total41.30%39.13%10.87%4.35%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 0.91 +0.48
SD 1.18 1.05 1.56
CV 0.85 1.15 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%6.52%6.52%———23.91%
18.70%21.74%4.35%—2.17%—36.96%
26.52%10.87%2.17%———19.57%
34.35%—2.17%2.17%2.17%—10.87%
44.35%—2.17%———6.52%
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total36.96%39.13%17.39%2.17%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 0.98 +0.48
SD 1.28 1.02 1.62
CV 0.88 1.04 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%6.52%8.70%—2.17%—28.26%
113.04%21.74%4.35%———39.13%
24.35%4.35%4.35%2.17%——15.22%
36.52%2.17%2.17%———10.87%
4——4.35%———4.35%
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total36.96%34.78%23.91%2.17%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 0.98 +0.33
SD 1.24 0.95 1.59
CV 0.95 0.98 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.17%21.74%4.35%4.35%2.17%4.35%39.13%
16.52%4.35%17.39%10.87%2.17%—41.30%
2—4.35%2.17%2.17%2.17%—10.87%
32.17%2.17%2.17%2.17%——8.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.87%32.61%26.09%19.57%6.52%4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.93 -1.04
SD 0.92 1.34 1.66
CV 1.04 0.69 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 46

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Norwich City 94 75.15 +18.85
2 West Brom 86 73.41 +12.59
3 Sunderland 79 67.18 +11.82
4 Stoke City 66 56.17 +9.83
5 Crystal Palace 73 65.20 +7.80

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Wimbledon FC 29 52.03 -23.03
2 Bradford City 36 47.31 -11.31
3 Nottingham Forest 60 70.04 -10.04
4 West Ham 74 81.15 -7.15
5 Preston North End 59 65.51 -6.51

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wigan Athletic 6 Aug 23 – Sep 20 1 in 316
2 Crystal Palace 5 Jan 17 – Feb 14 1 in 109
3 West Brom 6 Mar 6 – Apr 10 1 in 97
4 Norwich City 7 Mar 27 – May 1 1 in 70
5 Burnley 3 Aug 25 – Sep 6 1 in 49

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wimbledon FC 11 Jan 10 – Mar 27 1 in 3,571
2 Nottingham Forest 5 Dec 13 – Jan 17 1 in 149
3 Sheffield United 4 Jan 28 – Feb 21 1 in 145
4 Millwall 3 Apr 20 – May 1 1 in 75
5 Cardiff City 4 Dec 13 – Dec 28 1 in 74

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stoke City 9 Dec 9 – Feb 7 1 in 138
2 Wigan Athletic 14 Aug 16 – Oct 21 1 in 122
3 Coventry City 8 Oct 21 – Nov 29 1 in 89
4 Nottingham Forest 8 Mar 27 – May 9 1 in 52
5 Burnley 6 Jan 10 – Feb 24 1 in 41

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nottingham Forest 17 Nov 1 – Feb 25 1 in 5,351
2 West Ham 8 Oct 15 – Nov 25 1 in 329
3 Wimbledon FC 12 Aug 16 – Oct 18 1 in 113
4 Millwall 8 Mar 27 – May 1 1 in 91
5 Walsall 10 Dec 28 – Mar 6 1 in 38

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415161718192021222324
Norwich City13.99%14.57%12.89%11.18%9.00%7.91%6.76%5.28%4.28%3.30%2.77%1.90%1.75%1.20%1.19%0.71%0.46%0.34%0.21%0.13%0.10%0.04%0.02%0.02%
West Brom10.33%11.53%10.98%10.37%9.51%7.95%7.42%6.45%5.35%4.50%3.74%2.86%2.35%1.96%1.28%1.25%0.75%0.53%0.32%0.27%0.15%0.12%0.03%—
Sunderland2.64%4.09%5.06%6.30%6.59%7.33%7.52%7.26%6.75%7.06%6.40%6.45%5.31%4.43%4.24%3.12%2.72%1.93%1.62%1.12%0.88%0.67%0.33%0.18%
West Ham37.01%18.62%12.85%8.86%6.21%4.81%3.28%2.58%1.84%1.29%0.85%0.61%0.42%0.25%0.19%0.10%0.09%0.06%0.06%—0.02%———
Ipswich Town10.33%11.95%11.24%10.25%9.40%8.37%7.05%6.62%5.13%4.57%3.28%3.04%2.31%1.70%1.40%0.97%0.85%0.60%0.40%0.21%0.16%0.07%0.06%0.04%
Crystal Palace1.50%2.82%3.33%4.69%5.54%6.40%6.60%6.42%7.18%6.98%6.96%6.45%6.07%5.41%4.54%4.54%3.75%2.78%2.62%2.03%1.33%1.00%0.72%0.34%
Wigan Athletic4.52%6.15%7.27%8.50%8.27%8.13%8.03%7.12%6.65%6.46%5.75%4.56%4.24%3.24%2.73%2.42%1.74%1.28%0.98%0.78%0.58%0.34%0.17%0.09%
Sheffield United8.63%11.20%10.90%10.47%9.13%8.73%7.30%6.27%5.51%4.70%3.96%3.23%2.55%2.12%1.54%1.31%0.90%0.55%0.47%0.20%0.21%0.07%0.04%0.01%
Reading1.95%3.37%4.54%5.30%6.33%6.67%7.38%7.43%7.31%7.20%6.43%6.84%5.28%4.71%4.09%3.50%3.15%2.47%1.90%1.49%0.99%0.75%0.57%0.35%
Millwall1.90%3.71%4.87%5.29%6.67%6.40%7.32%7.03%7.35%7.18%6.04%5.84%5.80%5.06%4.44%3.35%3.11%2.57%2.26%1.29%1.10%0.70%0.49%0.23%
Stoke City0.10%0.32%0.44%0.77%1.22%1.33%1.80%2.31%3.00%3.28%4.23%5.01%5.36%5.95%6.12%7.03%7.60%7.56%6.83%7.17%6.97%6.38%4.99%4.23%
Coventry City0.15%0.36%0.64%1.00%1.32%1.89%2.25%3.17%3.37%4.18%4.87%5.82%6.16%6.35%6.43%6.79%6.93%7.08%6.92%6.44%5.51%5.12%4.42%2.83%
Cardiff City0.31%0.60%1.25%1.57%2.43%3.03%3.43%4.10%4.61%5.37%5.86%6.41%6.23%7.09%7.08%6.39%6.23%5.54%5.31%4.83%4.31%3.34%3.00%1.68%
Nottingham Forest4.73%6.62%7.46%7.70%8.08%8.36%7.83%7.76%7.49%5.82%5.71%4.92%3.81%3.19%2.88%2.15%1.65%1.17%1.03%0.69%0.44%0.25%0.20%0.06%
Preston North End1.43%3.05%4.06%4.25%5.54%5.34%6.53%6.93%7.32%6.69%6.72%6.74%6.01%5.78%4.73%4.48%3.42%3.09%2.35%1.94%1.39%1.14%0.70%0.37%
Watford0.02%0.14%0.16%0.36%0.46%0.62%0.77%1.40%1.78%2.28%2.76%3.29%4.14%4.75%5.48%5.91%6.77%7.77%7.92%8.34%9.38%8.64%8.67%8.19%
Rotherham United0.08%0.19%0.49%0.59%0.85%1.22%1.80%2.12%2.71%3.41%4.20%4.49%5.53%6.13%6.44%7.08%6.92%7.53%7.11%7.15%7.11%6.65%5.94%4.26%
Crewe Alexandra0.23%0.32%0.70%1.00%1.38%2.06%2.61%3.09%3.74%4.37%4.95%5.35%6.67%7.00%7.35%6.82%6.56%6.93%6.42%6.20%5.21%4.66%3.53%2.85%
Burnley0.03%0.06%0.20%0.28%0.36%0.70%0.76%1.11%1.72%1.95%2.86%3.05%3.78%4.52%5.53%6.10%6.40%7.11%8.31%8.50%9.27%9.23%9.58%8.59%
Derby County—0.03%0.08%0.12%0.14%0.41%0.43%0.53%1.11%1.29%1.59%2.04%2.76%3.25%3.97%4.47%5.67%6.63%7.69%9.50%9.73%11.57%13.35%13.64%
Gillingham0.04%0.02%0.16%0.30%0.48%0.63%0.94%1.49%1.75%2.31%3.02%3.22%4.36%4.57%5.51%6.42%6.99%7.70%7.97%8.07%8.46%9.12%8.86%7.61%
Walsall0.07%0.23%0.29%0.53%0.63%1.13%1.52%2.23%2.41%3.13%3.89%4.55%4.65%5.80%5.84%6.53%7.47%7.19%7.49%7.77%7.69%7.53%6.33%5.10%
Bradford City——0.05%0.05%0.14%0.13%0.16%0.30%0.39%0.65%0.88%0.97%1.30%1.80%2.44%3.11%3.86%4.71%5.96%7.25%9.57%12.27%16.67%27.34%
Wimbledon FC0.01%0.05%0.09%0.27%0.32%0.45%0.51%1.00%1.25%2.03%2.28%2.36%3.16%3.74%4.56%5.45%6.01%6.88%7.85%8.63%9.44%10.34%11.33%11.99%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.76%
Clear Edge
44.75%26.27%28.99%
Elo Value
Home Edge
197 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
055.22500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.36 goals
Neutral
-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th * Middle of the Pack: 5th to 12th * Longshot: 13th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.2
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
14%
Norwich City, 2nd of 24
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.73 * Some Luck: 6.73 to 10.09 * Lucky: 10.09 to 13.45 * Wild Swing: 13.45 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 3.13 * Close: 3.13 to 4.69 * Off: 4.69 to 6.25 * Way Off: 6.25 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 24 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 24 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 24 * As Expected: 24 to 38.4 * Several Outliers: 38.4 to 52.8 * Many Outliers: 52.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.72 * A Surprise: 1.72 to 2.74 * Several Surprises: 2.74 to 3.77 * Many Surprises: 3.77 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.76 points
Some Luck
08.4121
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.67
Pinpoint
03.918
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.92%
99.02%
Norwich City
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.08%
0.21%
Wimbledon FC
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 24
Minimal Outliers
02.412
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 3
A Surprise
01.73

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.44
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Strong Edge
50%84%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Occasional
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.09
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.47
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
As Expected
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.07 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.07 to 0.1 * Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.14 * Well Above Noise: 0.14 and up.
Probability calibration
0.86
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.93
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.028
Well Within Noise
00.0690.2

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Norwich City 28.56% 40.98% 30.38% 0.08%
West Brom 21.86% 38.81% 39.18% 0.15%
Sheffield United 19.83% 39.23% 40.82% 0.12%
Nottingham Forest 11.35% 31.60% 56.54% 0.51%
Wigan Athletic 10.67% 32.17% 56.56% 0.60%
Millwall 5.61% 23.23% 69.74% 1.42%
Reading 5.32% 22.84% 70.17% 1.67%
Preston North End 4.48% 19.19% 74.12% 2.21%
Crystal Palace — 100% — —
Ipswich Town — 100% — —
Sunderland — 100% — —
West Ham — 100% — —
Cardiff City 0.91% 8.28% 82.79% 8.02%
Crewe Alexandra 0.55% 5.14% 83.27% 11.04%
Coventry City 0.51% 4.85% 82.27% 12.37%
Stoke City 0.42% 3.76% 80.22% 15.60%
Rotherham United 0.27% 3.15% 79.73% 16.85%
Walsall 0.30% 2.58% 78.16% 18.96%
Watford 0.16% 1.60% 72.74% 25.50%
Gillingham 0.06% 1.57% 72.78% 25.59%
Burnley 0.09% 1.54% 70.97% 27.40%
Wimbledon FC 0.06% 1.13% 65.15% 33.66%
Derby County 0.03% 0.75% 60.66% 38.56%
Bradford City — 0.37% 43.35% 56.28%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Bradford CityBurnleyCardiff CityCoventry CityCrewe AlexandraCrystal PalaceDerby CountyGillinghamIpswich TownMillwallNorwich CityNottingham ForestPreston North EndReadingRotherham UnitedSheffield UnitedStoke CitySunderlandWalsallWatfordWest BromWest HamWigan AthleticWimbledon FC
Bradford City0.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%
Burnley0.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%35.3%17.00%14.3%7.00%25.0%12.00%66.7%9.00%50.0%12.00%14.3%7.00%33.3%12.00%60.0%5.00%30.0%10.00%18.2%11.00%14.3%7.00%
Cardiff City100.0%2.00%40.0%10.00%40.0%5.00%29.5%44.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%48.6%74.00%40.4%47.00%27.2%114.00%33.9%62.00%53.3%45.00%45.5%55.00%75.0%4.00%42.9%77.00%85.7%7.00%46.5%43.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%37.2%78.00%28.6%70.00%30.0%60.00%100.0%1.00%
Coventry City100.0%3.00%60.0%10.00%16.7%6.00%71.4%21.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%50.00%35.7%28.00%30.6%49.00%60.5%43.00%42.1%19.00%61.9%21.00%40.0%5.00%50.0%60.00%50.0%2.00%41.2%34.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%48.00%30.0%40.00%29.0%31.00%66.7%3.00%
Crewe Alexandra0.0%2.00%60.0%5.00%83.3%6.00%33.3%27.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%26.0%50.00%37.5%24.00%17.2%58.00%40.0%40.00%56.5%23.00%52.2%23.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%46.00%80.0%5.00%21.6%37.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%26.2%61.00%13.3%60.00%35.7%42.00%
Crystal Palace100.0%4.00%100.0%4.00%70.5%44.00%28.6%21.00%66.7%27.00%66.7%6.00%80.0%5.00%51.1%223.00%55.7%115.00%41.2%216.00%59.5%173.00%68.9%103.00%55.9%111.00%63.2%19.00%56.0%200.00%61.1%18.00%48.5%134.00%70.0%10.00%33.3%3.00%57.4%235.00%44.4%189.00%45.8%179.00%66.7%3.00%
Derby County0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%6.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%4.00%14.3%7.00%33.3%3.00%40.0%5.00%20.0%10.00%0.0%1.00%57.1%7.00%0.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%0.0%8.00%40.0%5.00%
Gillingham0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%35.3%17.00%20.0%5.00%14.3%14.00%33.3%12.00%25.0%8.00%33.3%9.00%0.0%1.00%35.0%20.00%100.0%1.00%28.6%14.00%13.0%23.00%26.7%15.00%38.5%13.00%
Ipswich Town100.0%2.00%64.7%17.00%51.4%74.00%50.0%50.00%74.0%50.00%48.9%223.00%75.0%4.00%64.7%17.00%56.7%254.00%38.6%435.00%53.9%347.00%59.7%201.00%61.3%261.00%68.0%25.00%53.9%464.00%63.4%41.00%54.2%277.00%65.5%29.00%68.4%19.00%48.0%435.00%36.2%326.00%51.3%351.00%75.0%12.00%
Millwall100.0%3.00%85.7%7.00%59.6%47.00%64.3%28.00%62.5%24.00%44.3%115.00%100.0%3.00%80.0%5.00%43.3%254.00%30.4%270.00%39.6%192.00%58.5%106.00%52.0%127.00%64.3%14.00%48.0%246.00%50.0%16.00%46.2%156.00%80.0%20.00%33.3%3.00%38.2%259.00%33.3%222.00%45.3%214.00%75.0%4.00%
Norwich City0.0%1.00%75.0%12.00%72.8%114.00%69.4%49.00%82.8%58.00%58.8%216.00%100.0%4.00%85.7%14.00%61.4%435.00%69.6%270.00%65.9%372.00%78.0%218.00%70.7%280.00%80.0%40.00%66.7%475.00%63.9%36.00%63.5%249.00%81.8%33.00%78.9%19.00%60.6%439.00%54.5%290.00%65.0%357.00%89.5%19.00%
Nottingham Forest100.0%1.00%33.3%9.00%66.1%62.00%39.5%43.00%60.0%40.00%40.5%173.00%85.7%7.00%66.7%12.00%46.1%347.00%60.4%192.00%34.1%372.00%65.1%166.00%54.0%187.00%62.5%24.00%50.4%349.00%45.7%35.00%46.6%236.00%80.0%30.00%72.2%18.00%45.2%361.00%37.3%295.00%46.2%303.00%54.5%11.00%
Preston North End100.0%1.00%50.0%12.00%46.7%45.00%57.9%19.00%43.5%23.00%31.1%103.00%66.7%3.00%75.0%8.00%40.3%201.00%41.5%106.00%22.0%218.00%34.9%166.00%47.2%108.00%61.5%13.00%36.1%216.00%50.0%18.00%38.2%123.00%57.1%14.00%80.0%10.00%27.9%215.00%33.7%193.00%27.0%148.00%33.3%3.00%
Reading100.0%1.00%85.7%7.00%54.5%55.00%38.1%21.00%47.8%23.00%44.1%111.00%60.0%5.00%66.7%9.00%38.7%261.00%48.0%127.00%29.3%280.00%46.0%187.00%52.8%108.00%56.2%16.00%41.9%260.00%50.0%12.00%39.3%145.00%57.1%14.00%100.0%9.00%37.3%252.00%34.6%214.00%40.9%159.00%100.0%7.00%
Rotherham United25.0%4.00%60.0%5.00%50.0%2.00%36.8%19.00%100.0%1.00%32.0%25.00%35.7%14.00%20.0%40.00%37.5%24.00%38.5%13.00%43.8%16.00%30.0%30.00%100.0%4.00%26.3%19.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%46.7%30.00%42.9%28.00%20.7%29.00%0.0%1.00%
Sheffield United66.7%3.00%66.7%12.00%57.1%77.00%50.0%60.00%50.0%46.00%44.0%200.00%80.0%10.00%65.0%20.00%46.1%464.00%52.0%246.00%33.3%475.00%49.6%349.00%63.9%216.00%58.1%260.00%70.0%30.00%56.2%32.00%50.2%269.00%71.4%21.00%60.0%15.00%47.3%421.00%36.7%305.00%43.2%359.00%81.8%11.00%
Stoke City14.3%7.00%50.0%2.00%20.0%5.00%38.9%18.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%36.6%41.00%50.0%16.00%36.1%36.00%54.3%35.00%50.0%18.00%50.0%12.00%0.0%4.00%43.8%32.00%42.3%26.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%42.00%50.0%32.00%38.5%26.00%100.0%2.00%
Sunderland0.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%53.5%43.00%58.8%34.00%78.4%37.00%51.5%134.00%42.9%7.00%71.4%14.00%45.8%277.00%53.8%156.00%36.5%249.00%53.4%236.00%61.8%123.00%60.7%145.00%73.7%19.00%49.8%269.00%57.7%26.00%82.4%17.00%80.0%5.00%51.0%255.00%47.1%225.00%52.8%218.00%46.2%13.00%
Walsall50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%30.0%10.00%34.5%29.00%20.0%20.00%18.2%33.00%20.0%30.00%42.9%14.00%42.9%14.00%100.0%1.00%28.6%21.00%66.7%3.00%17.6%17.00%0.0%1.00%32.4%34.00%16.7%24.00%37.5%32.00%100.0%1.00%
Watford0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%31.6%19.00%66.7%3.00%21.1%19.00%27.8%18.00%20.0%10.00%0.0%9.00%0.0%1.00%40.0%15.00%100.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%20.0%15.00%41.2%17.00%28.6%14.00%
West Brom100.0%2.00%70.0%10.00%62.8%78.00%50.0%48.00%73.8%61.00%42.6%235.00%80.0%5.00%87.0%23.00%52.0%435.00%61.8%259.00%39.4%439.00%54.8%361.00%72.1%215.00%62.7%252.00%53.3%30.00%52.7%421.00%66.7%42.00%49.0%255.00%67.6%34.00%80.0%15.00%45.7%337.00%57.7%385.00%88.9%9.00%
West Ham100.0%1.00%81.8%11.00%71.4%70.00%70.0%40.00%86.7%60.00%55.6%189.00%100.0%8.00%73.3%15.00%63.8%326.00%66.7%222.00%45.5%290.00%62.7%295.00%66.3%193.00%65.4%214.00%57.1%28.00%63.3%305.00%50.0%32.00%52.9%225.00%83.3%24.00%58.8%17.00%54.3%337.00%61.1%275.00%72.7%11.00%
Wigan Athletic50.0%4.00%85.7%7.00%70.0%60.00%71.0%31.00%64.3%42.00%54.2%179.00%60.0%5.00%61.5%13.00%48.7%351.00%54.7%214.00%35.0%357.00%53.8%303.00%73.0%148.00%59.1%159.00%79.3%29.00%56.8%359.00%61.5%26.00%47.2%218.00%62.5%32.00%71.4%14.00%42.3%385.00%38.9%275.00%69.2%13.00%
Wimbledon FC0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%33.3%3.00%25.0%12.00%25.0%4.00%10.5%19.00%45.5%11.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%7.00%100.0%1.00%18.2%11.00%0.0%2.00%53.8%13.00%0.0%1.00%11.1%9.00%27.3%11.00%30.8%13.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Bradford CityBurnleyCardiff CityCoventry CityCrewe AlexandraCrystal PalaceDerby CountyGillinghamIpswich TownMillwallNorwich CityNottingham ForestPreston North EndReadingRotherham UnitedSheffield UnitedStoke CitySunderlandWalsallWatfordWest BromWest HamWigan AthleticWimbledon FC
Bradford City0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Burnley0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%40.0%5.00%0.0%6.00%0.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%20.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%75.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%
Cardiff City25.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%34.8%23.00%0.0%2.00%54.1%37.00%53.3%15.00%35.0%40.00%22.7%22.00%50.0%10.00%66.7%12.00%50.0%2.00%52.6%19.00%25.0%4.00%61.5%13.00%100.0%1.00%42.2%45.00%30.0%40.00%42.9%21.00%
Coventry City100.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%38.5%13.00%33.3%18.00%56.2%16.00%39.4%33.00%69.2%13.00%70.0%10.00%75.0%8.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%14.00%100.0%3.00%62.5%8.00%100.0%1.00%35.7%28.00%20.8%24.00%34.8%23.00%
Crewe Alexandra0.0%2.00%42.9%7.00%26.3%19.00%11.1%9.00%48.1%27.00%33.3%12.00%57.1%7.00%28.6%7.00%0.0%1.00%30.0%10.00%0.0%1.00%44.4%9.00%50.0%2.00%27.3%22.00%42.9%21.00%23.1%13.00%
Crystal Palace100.0%2.00%65.2%23.00%61.5%13.00%57.1%7.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%58.7%109.00%43.9%66.00%38.3%154.00%63.0%100.00%51.7%29.00%52.1%48.00%83.3%6.00%54.1%109.00%55.6%9.00%55.8%77.00%66.7%6.00%66.7%6.00%47.7%128.00%42.4%118.00%50.7%71.00%100.0%1.00%
Derby County0.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Gillingham100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%28.6%7.00%0.0%4.00%66.7%3.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%2.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%6.00%0.0%2.00%
Ipswich Town100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%45.9%37.00%66.7%18.00%73.7%19.00%41.3%109.00%100.0%2.00%50.9%114.00%38.2%293.00%48.4%155.00%57.7%71.00%68.5%89.00%66.7%12.00%50.5%210.00%62.5%16.00%56.2%146.00%45.5%11.00%60.0%5.00%45.3%256.00%40.7%209.00%46.4%224.00%83.3%6.00%
Millwall46.7%15.00%43.8%16.00%88.9%9.00%56.1%66.00%66.7%3.00%49.1%114.00%37.0%162.00%43.7%80.00%60.7%28.00%55.8%52.00%50.0%4.00%51.9%104.00%71.4%7.00%49.1%53.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%42.9%119.00%43.7%103.00%48.8%80.00%50.0%2.00%
Norwich City100.0%1.00%60.0%5.00%65.0%40.00%60.6%33.00%51.9%27.00%61.7%154.00%80.0%5.00%71.4%7.00%61.8%293.00%63.0%162.00%60.7%234.00%69.0%113.00%68.2%154.00%64.3%14.00%63.5%274.00%72.2%18.00%63.6%231.00%75.0%16.00%60.0%5.00%55.2%324.00%55.4%258.00%60.9%258.00%75.0%4.00%
Nottingham Forest100.0%6.00%77.3%22.00%30.8%13.00%66.7%12.00%37.0%100.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%4.00%51.6%155.00%56.2%80.00%39.3%234.00%73.5%49.00%51.4%72.00%100.0%5.00%50.0%166.00%63.6%11.00%50.0%114.00%78.6%14.00%66.7%3.00%37.4%190.00%42.0%181.00%43.2%118.00%100.0%2.00%
Preston North End100.0%1.00%50.0%10.00%30.0%10.00%42.9%7.00%48.3%29.00%33.3%3.00%42.3%71.00%39.3%28.00%31.0%113.00%26.5%49.00%38.5%26.00%33.3%3.00%49.3%67.00%66.7%6.00%30.2%43.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%41.0%83.00%37.5%80.00%46.0%63.00%
Reading100.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%33.3%12.00%25.0%8.00%71.4%7.00%47.9%48.00%75.0%4.00%31.5%89.00%44.2%52.00%31.8%154.00%48.6%72.00%61.5%26.00%42.9%7.00%45.6%90.00%25.0%4.00%43.1%51.00%83.3%6.00%75.0%4.00%42.6%115.00%29.0%93.00%38.2%89.00%66.7%3.00%
Rotherham United50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%16.7%6.00%33.3%12.00%50.0%4.00%35.7%14.00%0.0%5.00%66.7%3.00%57.1%7.00%50.0%14.00%33.3%6.00%100.0%1.00%28.6%14.00%20.0%10.00%66.7%6.00%
Sheffield United80.0%5.00%47.4%19.00%50.0%14.00%70.0%10.00%45.9%109.00%100.0%3.00%49.5%210.00%48.1%104.00%36.5%274.00%50.0%166.00%50.7%67.00%54.4%90.00%50.0%14.00%50.0%12.00%39.0%105.00%83.3%6.00%100.0%2.00%44.1%229.00%38.7%222.00%41.9%186.00%75.0%4.00%
Stoke City0.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%44.4%9.00%37.5%16.00%28.6%7.00%27.8%18.00%36.4%11.00%33.3%6.00%75.0%4.00%50.0%12.00%36.4%11.00%50.0%16.00%27.8%18.00%66.7%12.00%
Sunderland100.0%1.00%38.5%13.00%37.5%8.00%55.6%9.00%44.2%77.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%43.8%146.00%50.9%53.00%36.4%231.00%50.0%114.00%69.8%43.00%56.9%51.00%66.7%6.00%61.0%105.00%63.6%11.00%50.0%2.00%40.0%5.00%43.0%149.00%44.7%152.00%48.5%103.00%100.0%3.00%
Walsall0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%33.3%6.00%54.5%11.00%0.0%3.00%25.0%16.00%21.4%14.00%50.0%2.00%16.7%6.00%16.7%6.00%50.0%2.00%28.6%7.00%33.3%6.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Watford100.0%1.00%33.3%6.00%40.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%60.0%5.00%20.0%5.00%33.3%3.00%25.0%4.00%
West Brom100.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%57.8%45.00%64.3%28.00%72.7%22.00%52.3%128.00%100.0%2.00%75.0%4.00%54.7%256.00%57.1%119.00%44.8%324.00%62.6%190.00%59.0%83.00%57.4%115.00%71.4%14.00%55.9%229.00%50.0%16.00%57.0%149.00%71.4%7.00%80.0%5.00%47.6%206.00%52.7%182.00%100.0%2.00%
West Ham25.0%4.00%70.0%40.00%79.2%24.00%57.1%21.00%57.6%118.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%6.00%59.3%209.00%56.3%103.00%44.6%258.00%58.0%181.00%62.5%80.00%71.0%93.00%80.0%10.00%61.3%222.00%72.2%18.00%55.3%152.00%66.7%6.00%66.7%3.00%52.4%206.00%58.7%179.00%75.0%4.00%
Wigan Athletic50.0%2.00%57.1%21.00%65.2%23.00%76.9%13.00%49.3%71.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%53.6%224.00%51.2%80.00%39.1%258.00%56.8%118.00%54.0%63.00%61.8%89.00%33.3%6.00%58.1%186.00%33.3%12.00%51.5%103.00%50.0%2.00%75.0%4.00%47.3%182.00%41.3%179.00%100.0%1.00%
Wimbledon FC0.0%1.00%16.7%6.00%50.0%2.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Semifinals Finals
West Ham 59.21% 33.56%
Crystal Palace 52.79% 25.67%
Sunderland 47.21% 20.53%
Ipswich Town 40.79% 20.24%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Crystal PalaceIpswich TownSunderlandWest Ham
Crystal Palace52.8%100.00%
Ipswich Town40.8%100.00%
Sunderland47.2%100.00%
West Ham59.2%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Crystal PalaceIpswich TownSunderlandWest Ham
Crystal Palace53.5%21.56%45.3%31.23%
Ipswich Town46.5%21.56%53.1%19.23%
Sunderland46.9%19.23%41.1%27.98%
West Ham54.7%31.23%58.9%27.98%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2003-08-09 Cardiff City D 0-0 1675 1638 48.08% 28.29% 23.64% -0.8 1
2003-08-09 @ Rotherham United D 0-0 1638 1675 23.64% 28.29% 48.08% +0.8 1
2003-08-09 Crewe Alexandra W 3-1 1729 1680 49.59% 27.84% 22.57% +6.2 3
2003-08-09 @ Wimbledon FC L 1-3 1680 1729 22.57% 27.84% 49.59% -6.2 0
2003-08-09 Crystal Palace L 2-3 1643 1709 33.71% 30.14% 36.15% -4.7 0
2003-08-09 @ Burnley W 3-2 1709 1643 36.15% 30.14% 33.71% +4.7 3
2003-08-09 Gillingham D 0-0 1740 1672 52.21% 26.94% 20.85% -1.1 1
2003-08-09 @ Sheffield United D 0-0 1672 1740 20.85% 26.94% 52.21% +1.1 1
2003-08-09 Norwich City D 2-2 1647 1722 32.40% 30.08% 37.52% +0.1 1
2003-08-09 @ Bradford City D 2-2 1722 1647 37.52% 30.08% 32.40% -0.1 1
2003-08-09 Reading D 1-1 1758 1736 46.15% 28.80% 25.06% -0.6 1
2003-08-09 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 1736 1758 25.06% 28.80% 46.15% +0.6 1
2003-08-09 Stoke City L 0-3 1657 1643 44.99% 29.06% 25.95% -17.7 0
2003-08-09 @ Derby County W 3-0 1643 1657 25.95% 29.06% 44.99% +17.7 3
2003-08-09 Sunderland W 2-0 1759 1678 53.88% 26.31% 19.82% +6.3 3
2003-08-09 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1678 1759 19.82% 26.31% 53.88% -6.3 0
2003-08-09 West Brom W 4-1 1658 1718 34.56% 30.15% 35.29% +12.5 3
2003-08-09 @ Walsall L 1-4 1718 1658 35.29% 30.15% 34.56% -12.5 0
2003-08-09 West Ham L 1-2 1708 1795 30.74% 29.95% 39.32% -4.6 0
2003-08-09 @ Preston North End W 2-1 1795 1708 39.32% 29.95% 30.74% +4.6 3
2003-08-09 Wigan Athletic W 2-0 1696 1706 41.68% 29.66% 28.66% +8.7 3
2003-08-09 @ Millwall L 0-2 1706 1696 28.66% 29.66% 41.68% -8.7 0
2003-08-16 Bradford City L 0-2 1639 1647 41.99% 29.62% 28.39% -11.5 1
2003-08-16 @ Cardiff City W 2-0 1647 1639 28.39% 29.62% 41.99% +11.5 4
2003-08-16 Burnley W 4-1 1706 1638 52.13% 26.97% 20.90% +8.1 3
2003-08-16 @ West Brom L 1-4 1638 1706 20.90% 26.97% 52.13% -8.1 0
2003-08-16 Derby County D 0-0 1673 1640 47.56% 28.43% 24.01% -0.8 2
2003-08-16 @ Gillingham D 0-0 1640 1673 24.01% 28.43% 47.56% +0.8 1
2003-08-16 Ipswich Town W 1-0 1674 1757 31.35% 30.01% 38.64% +5.8 3
2003-08-16 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-1 1757 1674 38.64% 30.01% 31.35% -5.8 1
2003-08-16 Millwall L 0-1 1672 1705 38.41% 30.02% 31.57% -5.7 0
2003-08-16 @ Sunderland W 1-0 1705 1672 31.57% 30.02% 38.41% +5.7 6
2003-08-16 Wimbledon FC W 2-1 1661 1735 32.58% 30.09% 37.32% +5.3 6
2003-08-16 @ Stoke City L 1-2 1735 1661 37.32% 30.09% 32.58% -5.3 3
2003-08-16 Nottingham Forest W 3-0 1736 1765 38.92% 29.98% 31.10% +13.5 4
2003-08-16 @ Reading L 0-3 1765 1736 31.10% 29.98% 38.92% -13.5 3
2003-08-16 Preston North End D 1-1 1697 1703 42.22% 29.58% 28.20% -0.4 1
2003-08-16 @ Wigan Athletic D 1-1 1703 1697 28.20% 29.58% 42.22% +0.4 1
2003-08-16 Rotherham United W 2-0 1722 1674 49.49% 27.87% 22.64% +7.2 4
2003-08-16 @ Norwich City L 0-2 1674 1722 22.64% 27.87% 49.49% -7.2 1
2003-08-16 Sheffield United D 0-0 1800 1739 51.34% 27.25% 21.40% -1.0 4
2003-08-16 @ West Ham D 0-0 1739 1800 21.40% 27.25% 51.34% +1.0 2
2003-08-16 Walsall D 0-0 1644 1671 39.21% 29.96% 30.83% -0.3 1
2003-08-16 @ Coventry City D 0-0 1671 1644 30.83% 29.96% 39.21% +0.3 4
2003-08-16 Watford W 1-0 1713 1653 51.12% 27.33% 21.55% +3.6 6
2003-08-16 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1653 1713 21.55% 27.33% 51.12% -3.6 0
2003-08-23 Cardiff City L 1-2 1752 1628 59.26% 23.92% 16.82% -7.5 3
2003-08-23 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1628 1752 16.82% 23.92% 59.26% +7.5 4
2003-08-23 Coventry City D 1-1 1752 1643 57.31% 24.84% 17.85% -1.2 2
2003-08-23 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 1643 1752 17.85% 24.84% 57.31% +1.2 2
2003-08-23 Crewe Alexandra D 1-1 1710 1680 47.21% 28.53% 24.26% -0.7 7
2003-08-23 @ Millwall D 1-1 1680 1710 24.26% 28.53% 47.21% +0.7 4
2003-08-23 Crystal Palace L 1-3 1730 1717 44.80% 29.10% 26.10% -10.5 3
2003-08-23 @ Wimbledon FC W 3-1 1717 1730 26.10% 29.10% 44.80% +10.5 9
2003-08-23 Gillingham L 0-1 1658 1672 41.16% 29.74% 29.10% -6.0 4
2003-08-23 @ Bradford City W 1-0 1672 1658 29.10% 29.74% 41.16% +6.0 5
2003-08-23 Norwich City W 1-0 1740 1729 44.51% 29.16% 26.32% +4.3 5
2003-08-23 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1729 1740 26.32% 29.16% 44.51% -4.3 4
2003-08-23 Reading L 2-3 1640 1750 28.11% 29.57% 42.32% -4.1 1
2003-08-23 @ Derby County W 3-2 1750 1640 42.32% 29.57% 28.11% +4.1 7
2003-08-23 Stoke City D 1-1 1671 1666 43.73% 29.32% 26.95% -0.5 5
2003-08-23 @ Walsall D 1-1 1666 1671 26.95% 29.32% 43.73% +0.5 7
2003-08-23 Sunderland L 0-2 1703 1666 48.14% 28.27% 23.59% -12.8 1
2003-08-23 @ Preston North End W 2-0 1666 1703 23.59% 28.27% 48.14% +12.8 3
2003-08-23 West Brom L 0-1 1650 1714 33.97% 30.14% 35.89% -5.3 0
2003-08-23 @ Watford W 1-0 1714 1650 35.89% 30.14% 33.97% +5.3 6
2003-08-23 West Ham W 1-0 1667 1799 25.60% 28.96% 45.44% +6.5 4
2003-08-23 @ Rotherham United L 0-1 1799 1667 45.44% 28.96% 25.60% -6.5 4
2003-08-23 Wigan Athletic L 0-2 1630 1697 33.59% 30.13% 36.28% -9.8 0
2003-08-23 @ Burnley W 2-0 1697 1630 36.28% 30.13% 33.59% +9.9 4
2003-08-25 Burnley L 0-3 1678 1620 50.85% 27.42% 21.73% -19.4 5
2003-08-25 @ Gillingham W 3-0 1620 1678 21.73% 27.42% 50.85% +19.4 3
2003-08-25 Derby County W 4-1 1635 1636 42.88% 29.47% 27.64% +10.4 7
2003-08-25 @ Cardiff City L 1-4 1636 1635 27.64% 29.47% 42.88% -10.4 1
2003-08-25 Preston North End W 1-0 1719 1691 46.96% 28.59% 24.45% +4.1 9
2003-08-25 @ West Brom L 0-1 1691 1719 24.45% 28.59% 46.96% -4.1 1
2003-08-25 Rotherham United D 0-0 1754 1674 53.74% 26.36% 19.90% -1.2 8
2003-08-25 @ Reading D 0-0 1674 1754 19.90% 26.36% 53.74% +1.2 5
2003-08-25 Walsall W 1-0 1681 1671 44.44% 29.18% 26.38% +4.3 7
2003-08-25 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-1 1671 1681 26.38% 29.18% 44.44% -4.3 5
2003-08-25 Watford W 2-0 1679 1645 47.74% 28.38% 23.88% +7.5 6
2003-08-25 @ Sunderland L 0-2 1645 1679 23.88% 28.38% 47.74% -7.5 0
2003-08-26 Bradford City W 1-0 1793 1652 61.18% 22.97% 15.85% +2.6 7
2003-08-26 @ West Ham L 0-1 1652 1793 15.85% 22.97% 61.18% -2.6 4
2003-08-26 Ipswich Town W 1-0 1706 1750 36.82% 30.12% 33.07% +5.2 7
2003-08-26 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-1 1750 1706 33.07% 30.12% 36.82% -5.2 2
2003-08-26 Millwall D 0-0 1667 1710 36.95% 30.11% 32.94% -0.1 8
2003-08-26 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1710 1667 32.94% 30.11% 36.95% +0.1 8
2003-08-26 Wimbledon FC W 3-2 1725 1719 43.83% 29.30% 26.87% +3.9 7
2003-08-26 @ Norwich City L 2-3 1719 1725 26.87% 29.30% 43.83% -3.9 3
2003-08-26 Sheffield United L 1-2 1727 1744 40.72% 29.79% 29.49% -5.6 9
2003-08-26 @ Crystal Palace W 2-1 1744 1727 29.49% 29.79% 40.72% +5.6 8
2003-08-27 Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1645 1744 29.23% 29.76% 41.01% -7.7 2
2003-08-27 @ Coventry City W 3-1 1744 1645 41.01% 29.76% 29.23% +7.7 6
2003-08-30 Cardiff City D 1-1 1666 1646 45.90% 28.86% 25.25% -0.6 6
2003-08-30 @ Walsall D 1-1 1646 1666 25.25% 28.86% 45.90% +0.6 8
2003-08-30 Coventry City W 2-1 1750 1637 57.85% 24.59% 17.56% +2.8 11
2003-08-30 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1637 1750 17.56% 24.59% 57.85% -2.8 2
2003-08-30 Crewe Alexandra W 1-0 1640 1685 36.59% 30.12% 33.28% +5.2 6
2003-08-30 @ Burnley L 0-1 1685 1640 33.28% 30.12% 36.59% -5.2 7
2003-08-30 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1710 1722 41.39% 29.70% 28.90% -0.4 9
2003-08-30 @ Millwall D 1-1 1722 1710 28.90% 29.70% 41.39% +0.4 10
2003-08-30 Gillingham D 2-2 1637 1658 40.04% 29.87% 30.09% -0.2 1
2003-08-30 @ Watford D 2-2 1658 1637 30.09% 29.87% 40.04% +0.2 6
2003-08-30 Norwich City W 2-0 1752 1729 46.29% 28.76% 24.95% +7.8 9
2003-08-30 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1729 1752 24.95% 28.76% 46.29% -7.8 7
2003-08-30 Reading L 0-3 1715 1753 37.75% 30.07% 32.18% -15.5 3
2003-08-30 @ Wimbledon FC W 3-0 1753 1715 32.18% 30.07% 37.75% +15.5 11
2003-08-30 Stoke City W 1-0 1686 1667 45.78% 28.88% 25.33% +4.2 4
2003-08-30 @ Preston North End L 0-1 1667 1686 25.33% 28.88% 45.78% -4.2 8
2003-08-30 Sunderland L 0-4 1650 1686 37.87% 30.06% 32.07% -20.3 4
2003-08-30 @ Bradford City W 4-0 1686 1650 32.07% 30.06% 37.87% +20.3 9
2003-08-30 West Brom L 0-1 1626 1723 29.57% 29.81% 40.62% -4.8 1
2003-08-30 @ Derby County W 1-0 1723 1626 40.62% 29.81% 29.57% +4.8 12
2003-08-30 West Ham L 1-2 1745 1795 35.98% 30.14% 33.88% -5.2 2
2003-08-30 @ Ipswich Town W 2-1 1795 1745 33.88% 30.14% 35.98% +5.2 10
2003-08-30 Wigan Athletic L 0-3 1675 1712 37.87% 30.06% 32.07% -15.6 5
2003-08-30 @ Rotherham United W 3-0 1712 1675 32.07% 30.06% 37.87% +15.6 10
2003-09-06 Burnley L 1-2 1662 1645 45.48% 28.95% 25.56% -6.1 8
2003-09-06 @ Stoke City W 2-1 1645 1662 25.56% 28.95% 45.48% +6.1 9
2003-09-06 Millwall W 4-3 1659 1710 35.83% 30.15% 34.02% +4.6 9
2003-09-06 @ Gillingham L 3-4 1710 1659 34.02% 30.15% 35.83% -4.6 9
2003-09-13 Burnley W 2-0 1721 1651 52.45% 26.86% 20.70% +6.6 10
2003-09-13 @ Norwich City L 0-2 1651 1721 20.70% 26.86% 52.45% -6.6 9
2003-09-13 Crewe Alexandra L 0-2 1659 1680 40.16% 29.86% 29.98% -11.2 5
2003-09-13 @ Rotherham United W 2-0 1680 1659 29.98% 29.86% 40.16% +11.2 10
2003-09-13 Crystal Palace W 2-1 1707 1722 40.89% 29.77% 29.33% +4.5 12
2003-09-13 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1722 1707 29.33% 29.77% 40.89% -4.5 10
2003-09-13 Derby County L 0-1 1666 1621 49.10% 27.99% 22.91% -6.9 6
2003-09-13 @ Walsall W 1-0 1621 1666 22.91% 27.99% 49.10% +6.9 4
2003-09-13 Gillingham W 5-0 1646 1663 40.65% 29.80% 29.54% +20.9 11
2003-09-13 @ Cardiff City L 0-5 1663 1646 29.54% 29.80% 40.65% -20.9 9
2003-09-13 Ipswich Town W 4-1 1728 1740 41.32% 29.71% 28.96% +10.8 15
2003-09-13 @ West Brom L 1-4 1740 1728 28.96% 29.71% 41.32% -10.8 2
2003-09-13 Millwall W 3-1 1637 1705 33.39% 30.13% 36.49% +9.0 4
2003-09-13 @ Watford L 1-3 1705 1637 36.49% 30.13% 33.39% -9.0 9
2003-09-13 Preston North End W 2-1 1629 1691 34.34% 30.15% 35.51% +5.1 7
2003-09-13 @ Bradford City L 1-2 1691 1629 35.51% 30.15% 34.34% -5.1 4
2003-09-13 Reading W 1-0 1800 1768 47.45% 28.46% 24.09% +4.0 13
2003-09-13 @ West Ham L 0-1 1768 1800 24.09% 28.46% 47.45% -4.0 11
2003-09-13 Sheffield United W 3-1 1760 1752 44.10% 29.25% 26.65% +7.1 12
2003-09-13 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1752 1760 26.65% 29.25% 44.10% -7.1 11
2003-09-13 Stoke City W 4-2 1634 1656 39.94% 29.89% 30.18% +7.1 5
2003-09-13 @ Coventry City L 2-4 1656 1634 30.18% 29.89% 39.94% -7.0 8
2003-09-13 Wigan Athletic L 2-4 1700 1727 39.16% 29.96% 30.88% -8.5 3
2003-09-13 @ Wimbledon FC W 4-2 1727 1700 30.88% 29.96% 39.16% +8.5 13
2003-09-16 Bradford City L 0-1 1718 1634 54.14% 26.20% 19.66% -7.4 10
2003-09-16 @ Crystal Palace W 1-0 1634 1718 19.66% 26.20% 54.14% +7.4 10
2003-09-16 Cardiff City W 2-1 1764 1667 55.89% 25.47% 18.64% +3.0 14
2003-09-16 @ Reading L 1-2 1667 1764 18.64% 25.47% 55.89% -3.0 11
2003-09-16 Coventry City W 4-2 1686 1641 49.09% 27.99% 22.92% +5.6 7
2003-09-16 @ Preston North End L 2-4 1641 1686 22.92% 27.99% 49.09% -5.6 5
2003-09-16 Wimbledon FC W 2-0 1696 1691 43.72% 29.32% 26.96% +8.3 12
2003-09-16 @ Millwall L 0-2 1691 1696 26.96% 29.32% 43.72% -8.3 3
2003-09-16 Norwich City L 1-2 1642 1727 31.11% 29.98% 38.91% -4.6 9
2003-09-16 @ Gillingham W 2-1 1727 1642 38.91% 29.98% 31.11% +4.7 13
2003-09-16 Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1644 1767 26.56% 29.22% 44.21% -12.0 9
2003-09-16 @ Burnley W 3-0 1767 1644 44.21% 29.22% 26.56% +12.0 15
2003-09-16 Rotherham United W 5-0 1745 1648 55.89% 25.47% 18.64% +13.8 14
2003-09-16 @ Sheffield United L 0-5 1648 1745 18.64% 25.47% 55.89% -13.8 5
2003-09-16 Sunderland W 3-1 1649 1711 34.24% 30.15% 35.61% +8.9 11
2003-09-16 @ Stoke City L 1-3 1711 1649 35.61% 30.15% 34.24% -8.9 12
2003-09-16 Walsall W 2-1 1729 1659 52.52% 26.83% 20.65% +3.3 5
2003-09-16 @ Ipswich Town L 1-2 1659 1729 20.65% 26.83% 52.52% -3.3 6
2003-09-16 West Brom W 1-0 1736 1739 42.63% 29.52% 27.86% +4.5 16
2003-09-16 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-1 1739 1736 27.86% 29.52% 42.63% -4.5 15
2003-09-16 West Ham L 0-3 1691 1804 27.65% 29.47% 42.88% -12.3 10
2003-09-16 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-0 1804 1691 42.88% 29.47% 27.65% +12.3 16
2003-09-17 Watford W 3-2 1628 1646 40.55% 29.82% 29.64% +4.3 7
2003-09-17 @ Derby County L 2-3 1646 1628 29.64% 29.82% 40.55% -4.3 4
2003-09-20 Bradford City W 4-0 1632 1642 41.70% 29.66% 28.64% +16.6 12
2003-09-20 @ Burnley L 0-4 1642 1632 28.64% 29.66% 41.70% -16.6 10
2003-09-20 Cardiff City W 5-3 1759 1664 55.62% 25.59% 18.80% +4.4 17
2003-09-20 @ Sheffield United L 3-5 1664 1759 18.80% 25.59% 55.62% -4.4 11
2003-09-20 Coventry City L 1-2 1767 1636 60.14% 23.50% 16.37% -7.6 14
2003-09-20 @ Reading W 2-1 1636 1767 16.37% 23.50% 60.14% +7.6 8
2003-09-20 Wimbledon FC W 4-1 1733 1683 49.82% 27.76% 22.42% +8.7 8
2003-09-20 @ Ipswich Town L 1-4 1683 1733 22.42% 27.76% 49.82% -8.7 3
2003-09-20 Norwich City D 1-1 1658 1732 32.58% 30.09% 37.33% +0.1 12
2003-09-20 @ Stoke City D 1-1 1732 1658 37.33% 30.09% 32.58% -0.1 14
2003-09-20 Nottingham Forest W 3-1 1679 1779 29.18% 29.75% 41.07% +9.8 13
2003-09-20 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-3 1779 1679 41.07% 29.75% 29.18% -9.8 15
2003-09-20 Rotherham United W 4-1 1691 1634 50.72% 27.47% 21.81% +8.5 10
2003-09-20 @ Preston North End L 1-4 1634 1691 21.81% 27.47% 50.72% -8.5 5
2003-09-20 Sunderland D 1-1 1632 1702 33.13% 30.12% 36.75% +0.1 8
2003-09-20 @ Derby County D 1-1 1702 1632 36.75% 30.12% 33.13% -0.1 13
2003-09-20 Walsall W 2-1 1704 1656 49.66% 27.81% 22.52% +3.6 15
2003-09-20 @ Millwall L 1-2 1656 1704 22.52% 27.81% 49.66% -3.6 6
2003-09-20 Watford W 1-0 1740 1642 56.09% 25.38% 18.53% +3.1 19
2003-09-20 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-1 1642 1740 18.53% 25.38% 56.09% -3.1 4
2003-09-20 West Brom D 2-2 1710 1734 39.68% 29.91% 30.41% -0.2 11
2003-09-20 @ Crystal Palace D 2-2 1734 1710 30.41% 29.91% 39.68% +0.2 16
2003-09-20 West Ham W 2-0 1638 1817 21.14% 27.11% 51.75% +13.5 12
2003-09-20 @ Gillingham L 0-2 1817 1638 51.75% 27.11% 21.14% -13.5 16
2003-09-27 Burnley D 2-2 1674 1649 46.50% 28.71% 24.79% -0.5 4
2003-09-27 @ Wimbledon FC D 2-2 1649 1674 24.79% 28.71% 46.50% +0.5 13
2003-09-27 Crewe Alexandra W 3-0 1660 1689 39.00% 29.98% 31.03% +13.5 14
2003-09-27 @ Cardiff City L 0-3 1689 1660 31.03% 29.98% 39.00% -13.5 13
2003-09-27 Crystal Palace W 2-1 1732 1710 46.06% 28.82% 25.12% +3.9 17
2003-09-27 @ Norwich City L 1-2 1710 1732 25.12% 28.82% 46.06% -3.9 11
2003-09-27 Derby County D 1-1 1769 1632 60.77% 23.18% 16.05% -1.4 16
2003-09-27 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1632 1769 16.05% 23.18% 60.77% +1.4 9
2003-09-27 Gillingham D 1-1 1626 1651 39.49% 29.93% 30.58% -0.2 6
2003-09-27 @ Rotherham United D 1-1 1651 1626 30.58% 29.93% 39.49% +0.2 13
2003-09-27 Ipswich Town L 1-2 1639 1741 28.88% 29.70% 41.42% -4.4 4
2003-09-27 @ Watford W 2-1 1741 1639 41.42% 29.70% 28.88% +4.4 11
2003-09-27 Preston North End W 2-1 1652 1700 36.30% 30.13% 33.57% +4.9 9
2003-09-27 @ Walsall L 1-2 1700 1652 33.57% 30.13% 36.30% -4.9 10
2003-09-27 Reading W 2-0 1702 1759 34.91% 30.15% 34.94% +10.1 16
2003-09-27 @ Sunderland L 0-2 1759 1702 34.94% 30.15% 34.91% -10.1 14
2003-09-27 Sheffield United L 1-2 1625 1763 24.95% 28.76% 46.29% -3.9 10
2003-09-27 @ Bradford City W 2-1 1763 1625 46.29% 28.76% 24.95% +3.9 20
2003-09-27 Stoke City W 1-0 1734 1658 53.24% 26.56% 20.21% +3.4 19
2003-09-27 @ West Brom L 0-1 1658 1734 20.21% 26.56% 53.24% -3.4 12
2003-09-27 Wigan Athletic D 1-1 1643 1743 29.20% 29.75% 41.05% +0.3 9
2003-09-27 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1743 1643 41.05% 29.75% 29.20% -0.3 20
2003-09-28 Millwall D 1-1 1803 1708 55.68% 25.56% 18.76% -1.1 17
2003-09-28 @ West Ham D 1-1 1708 1803 18.76% 25.56% 55.68% +1.2 16
2003-09-29 Gillingham W 2-1 1657 1651 43.80% 29.31% 26.90% +4.1 12
2003-09-29 @ Walsall L 1-2 1651 1657 26.90% 29.31% 43.80% -4.2 13
2003-09-30 Burnley D 1-1 1634 1649 40.91% 29.77% 29.32% -0.3 5
2003-09-30 @ Watford D 1-1 1649 1634 29.32% 29.77% 40.91% +0.3 14
2003-09-30 Derby County L 1-2 1621 1634 41.31% 29.72% 28.98% -5.7 10
2003-09-30 @ Bradford City W 2-1 1634 1621 28.98% 29.72% 41.31% +5.7 12
2003-09-30 Ipswich Town W 3-2 1712 1746 38.34% 30.03% 31.64% +4.5 19
2003-09-30 @ Sunderland L 2-3 1746 1712 31.64% 30.03% 38.34% -4.5 11
2003-09-30 Millwall W 2-1 1738 1709 46.99% 28.58% 24.42% +3.8 22
2003-09-30 @ West Brom L 1-2 1709 1738 24.42% 28.58% 46.99% -3.8 16
2003-09-30 Reading W 2-1 1736 1749 41.15% 29.74% 29.11% +4.4 20
2003-09-30 @ Norwich City L 1-2 1749 1736 29.11% 29.74% 41.15% -4.4 14
2003-09-30 Sheffield United L 1-2 1674 1767 30.00% 29.86% 40.14% -4.5 4
2003-09-30 @ Wimbledon FC W 2-1 1767 1674 40.14% 29.86% 30.00% +4.5 23
2003-09-30 Stoke City W 3-0 1626 1655 38.94% 29.98% 31.08% +13.5 9
2003-09-30 @ Rotherham United L 0-3 1655 1626 31.08% 29.98% 38.94% -13.5 12
2003-09-30 Wigan Athletic D 0-0 1673 1743 33.17% 30.12% 36.71% +0.1 15
2003-09-30 @ Cardiff City D 0-0 1743 1673 36.71% 30.12% 33.17% -0.1 21
2003-10-01 Crewe Alexandra W 2-0 1643 1675 38.59% 30.01% 31.40% +9.4 12
2003-10-01 @ Coventry City L 0-2 1675 1643 31.40% 30.01% 38.59% -9.4 13
2003-10-01 Crystal Palace W 3-0 1802 1706 55.76% 25.53% 18.71% +8.6 20
2003-10-01 @ West Ham L 0-3 1706 1802 18.71% 25.53% 55.76% -8.6 11
2003-10-01 Preston North End L 0-1 1768 1695 52.86% 26.70% 20.44% -7.3 16
2003-10-01 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1695 1768 20.44% 26.70% 52.86% +7.3 13
2003-10-04 Bradford City D 2-2 1745 1616 59.86% 23.63% 16.51% -1.0 15
2003-10-04 @ Reading D 2-2 1616 1745 16.51% 23.63% 59.86% +1.0 11
2003-10-04 Cardiff City W 2-1 1697 1673 46.35% 28.75% 24.91% +3.9 14
2003-10-04 @ Crystal Palace L 1-2 1673 1697 24.91% 28.75% 46.35% -3.9 15
2003-10-04 Coventry City W 2-1 1705 1653 50.13% 27.66% 22.20% +3.5 19
2003-10-04 @ Millwall L 1-2 1653 1705 22.20% 27.66% 50.13% -3.5 12
2003-10-04 Wimbledon FC W 1-0 1702 1669 47.56% 28.43% 24.01% +4.0 16
2003-10-04 @ Preston North End L 0-1 1669 1702 24.01% 28.43% 47.56% -4.0 4
2003-10-04 Norwich City D 1-1 1743 1740 43.41% 29.38% 27.21% -0.5 22
2003-10-04 @ Wigan Athletic D 1-1 1740 1743 27.21% 29.38% 43.41% +0.5 21
2003-10-04 Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1641 1761 26.96% 29.32% 43.71% +6.0 15
2003-10-04 @ Stoke City L 1-2 1761 1641 43.71% 29.32% 26.96% -6.0 16
2003-10-04 Rotherham United W 2-1 1741 1639 56.52% 25.19% 18.28% +2.9 14
2003-10-04 @ Ipswich Town L 1-2 1639 1741 18.28% 25.19% 56.52% -2.9 9
2003-10-04 Sunderland L 0-1 1772 1717 50.50% 27.54% 21.96% -7.0 23
2003-10-04 @ Sheffield United W 1-0 1717 1772 21.96% 27.54% 50.50% +7.0 22
2003-10-04 Walsall W 3-1 1650 1661 41.46% 29.70% 28.84% +7.6 17
2003-10-04 @ Burnley L 1-3 1661 1650 28.84% 29.70% 41.46% -7.6 12
2003-10-04 Watford L 0-1 1666 1634 47.42% 28.47% 24.11% -6.7 13
2003-10-04 @ Crewe Alexandra W 1-0 1634 1666 24.11% 28.47% 47.42% +6.7 8
2003-10-04 West Brom L 0-2 1647 1742 29.93% 29.85% 40.21% -9.0 13
2003-10-04 @ Gillingham W 2-0 1742 1647 40.21% 29.85% 29.93% +9.0 25
2003-10-04 West Ham L 0-1 1640 1811 21.82% 27.47% 50.71% -3.7 12
2003-10-04 @ Derby County W 1-0 1811 1640 50.71% 27.47% 21.82% +3.7 23
2003-10-11 Ipswich Town L 0-1 1617 1744 26.07% 29.10% 44.84% -4.3 11
2003-10-11 @ Bradford City W 1-0 1744 1617 44.84% 29.10% 26.07% +4.3 17
2003-10-11 Millwall D 0-0 1636 1709 32.80% 30.10% 37.09% +0.1 10
2003-10-11 @ Rotherham United D 0-0 1709 1636 37.09% 30.10% 32.80% -0.1 20
2003-10-11 Wigan Athletic D 2-2 1636 1742 28.44% 29.63% 41.94% +0.3 13
2003-10-11 @ Derby County D 2-2 1742 1636 41.94% 29.63% 28.44% -0.3 23
2003-10-14 Bradford City D 2-2 1659 1612 49.38% 27.90% 22.72% -0.6 14
2003-10-14 @ Crewe Alexandra D 2-2 1612 1659 22.72% 27.90% 49.38% +0.6 12
2003-10-14 Burnley W 6-1 1748 1657 55.15% 25.79% 19.06% +11.7 20
2003-10-14 @ Ipswich Town L 1-6 1657 1748 19.06% 25.79% 55.15% -11.7 17
2003-10-14 Cardiff City D 0-0 1724 1670 50.40% 27.58% 22.03% -1.0 23
2003-10-14 @ Sunderland D 0-0 1670 1724 22.03% 27.58% 50.40% +1.0 16
2003-10-14 Derby County D 1-1 1701 1636 51.83% 27.08% 21.09% -0.9 15
2003-10-14 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 1636 1701 21.09% 27.08% 51.83% +0.9 14
2003-10-14 Gillingham W 2-1 1744 1638 56.98% 24.99% 18.03% +2.8 18
2003-10-14 @ Reading L 1-2 1638 1744 18.03% 24.99% 56.98% -2.8 13
2003-10-14 Preston North End L 0-1 1708 1706 43.39% 29.38% 27.23% -6.3 20
2003-10-14 @ Millwall W 1-0 1706 1708 27.23% 29.38% 43.39% +6.3 19
2003-10-14 Rotherham United D 2-2 1755 1636 58.52% 24.28% 17.20% -1.0 17
2003-10-14 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1636 1755 17.20% 24.28% 58.52% +1.0 11
2003-10-14 Sheffield United L 0-2 1751 1765 41.06% 29.75% 29.19% -11.4 25
2003-10-14 @ West Brom W 2-0 1765 1751 29.19% 29.75% 41.06% +11.4 26
2003-10-14 Stoke City W 2-1 1742 1647 55.62% 25.59% 18.79% +3.0 26
2003-10-14 @ Wigan Athletic L 1-2 1647 1742 18.79% 25.59% 55.62% -3.0 15
2003-10-14 Walsall D 1-1 1640 1653 41.24% 29.73% 29.04% -0.3 9
2003-10-14 @ Watford D 1-1 1653 1640 29.04% 29.73% 41.24% +0.3 13
2003-10-15 Wimbledon FC W 1-0 1649 1665 40.84% 29.78% 29.38% +4.7 15
2003-10-15 @ Coventry City L 0-1 1665 1649 29.38% 29.78% 40.84% -4.7 4
2003-10-15 Norwich City D 1-1 1814 1741 52.91% 26.68% 20.41% -1.0 24
2003-10-15 @ West Ham D 1-1 1741 1814 20.41% 26.68% 52.91% +1.0 22
2003-10-18 Bradford City W 1-0 1640 1613 46.77% 28.64% 24.59% +4.1 12
2003-10-18 @ Watford L 0-1 1613 1640 24.59% 28.64% 46.77% -4.1 12
2003-10-18 Burnley D 2-2 1813 1646 64.39% 21.28% 14.33% -1.2 25
2003-10-18 @ West Ham D 2-2 1646 1813 14.33% 21.28% 64.39% +1.2 18
2003-10-18 Cardiff City L 1-3 1654 1670 40.74% 29.79% 29.47% -9.8 15
2003-10-18 @ Coventry City W 3-1 1670 1654 29.47% 29.79% 40.74% +9.8 19
2003-10-18 Derby County W 3-0 1658 1637 45.98% 28.84% 25.19% +11.4 17
2003-10-18 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-3 1637 1658 25.19% 28.84% 45.98% -11.4 14
2003-10-18 Gillingham W 1-0 1745 1635 57.47% 24.77% 17.76% +3.0 29
2003-10-18 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-1 1635 1745 17.76% 24.77% 57.47% -3.0 13
2003-10-18 Wimbledon FC W 6-0 1754 1660 55.43% 25.67% 18.90% +16.6 20
2003-10-18 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-6 1660 1754 18.90% 25.67% 55.43% -16.6 4
2003-10-18 Norwich City W 1-0 1739 1742 42.69% 29.50% 27.80% +4.5 28
2003-10-18 @ West Brom L 0-1 1742 1739 27.80% 29.50% 42.69% -4.5 22
2003-10-18 Preston North End W 3-2 1747 1712 47.77% 28.37% 23.86% +3.6 21
2003-10-18 @ Reading L 2-3 1712 1747 23.86% 28.37% 47.77% -3.6 19
2003-10-18 Rotherham United D 1-1 1700 1637 51.55% 27.18% 21.27% -0.9 16
2003-10-18 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 1637 1700 21.27% 27.18% 51.55% +0.9 12
2003-10-18 Sheffield United W 2-0 1702 1776 32.59% 30.09% 37.32% +10.6 23
2003-10-18 @ Millwall L 0-2 1776 1702 37.32% 30.09% 32.59% -10.6 26
2003-10-18 Stoke City W 1-0 1760 1644 58.23% 24.41% 17.35% +2.9 23
2003-10-18 @ Ipswich Town L 0-1 1644 1760 17.35% 24.41% 58.23% -2.9 15
2003-10-18 Walsall W 1-0 1723 1654 52.33% 26.90% 20.77% +3.5 26
2003-10-18 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1654 1723 20.77% 26.90% 52.33% -3.5 13
2003-10-21 Coventry City D 1-1 1644 1644 43.04% 29.45% 27.51% -0.5 13
2003-10-21 @ Watford D 1-1 1644 1644 27.51% 29.45% 43.04% +0.5 16
2003-10-21 Derby County W 2-1 1737 1626 57.70% 24.66% 17.64% +2.8 25
2003-10-21 @ Norwich City L 1-2 1626 1737 17.64% 24.66% 57.70% -2.8 14
2003-10-21 Ipswich Town L 3-4 1699 1763 34.02% 30.15% 35.83% -4.6 16
2003-10-21 @ Crystal Palace W 4-3 1763 1699 35.83% 30.15% 34.02% +4.6 26
2003-10-21 Wimbledon FC L 0-1 1744 1644 56.28% 25.30% 18.42% -7.6 28
2003-10-21 @ West Brom W 1-0 1644 1744 18.42% 25.30% 56.28% +7.6 7
2003-10-21 Preston North End W 2-1 1670 1709 37.56% 30.08% 32.36% +4.8 20
2003-10-21 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-2 1709 1670 32.36% 30.08% 37.56% -4.8 19
2003-10-21 Rotherham United D 0-0 1726 1638 54.76% 25.95% 19.29% -1.2 27
2003-10-21 @ Sunderland D 0-0 1638 1726 19.29% 25.95% 54.76% +1.2 13
2003-10-21 Sheffield United D 1-1 1748 1765 40.59% 29.81% 29.60% -0.3 30
2003-10-21 @ Wigan Athletic D 1-1 1765 1748 29.60% 29.81% 40.59% +0.3 27
2003-10-21 Walsall L 0-1 1750 1650 56.28% 25.30% 18.42% -7.6 21
2003-10-21 @ Reading W 1-0 1650 1750 18.42% 25.30% 56.28% +7.6 16
2003-10-22 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1812 1770 48.75% 28.09% 23.16% -0.8 26
2003-10-22 @ West Ham D 1-1 1770 1812 23.16% 28.09% 48.75% +0.8 21
2003-10-24 Reading L 1-2 1766 1743 46.23% 28.78% 25.00% -6.2 27
2003-10-24 @ Sheffield United W 2-1 1743 1766 25.00% 28.78% 46.23% +6.2 24
2003-10-25 Coventry City L 1-3 1623 1645 39.98% 29.88% 30.14% -9.7 14
2003-10-25 @ Derby County W 3-1 1645 1623 30.14% 29.88% 39.98% +9.6 19
2003-10-25 Crewe Alexandra D 1-1 1641 1675 38.36% 30.03% 31.61% -0.2 16
2003-10-25 @ Stoke City D 1-1 1675 1641 31.61% 30.03% 38.36% +0.2 21
2003-10-25 Crystal Palace W 1-0 1632 1695 34.17% 30.15% 35.68% +5.4 16
2003-10-25 @ Gillingham L 0-1 1695 1632 35.68% 30.15% 34.17% -5.4 16
2003-10-25 Ipswich Town D 1-1 1704 1768 34.00% 30.15% 35.86% +0.1 20
2003-10-25 @ Preston North End D 1-1 1768 1704 35.86% 30.15% 34.00% -0.0 27
2003-10-25 Millwall D 1-1 1647 1713 33.67% 30.14% 36.19% +0.1 19
2003-10-25 @ Burnley D 1-1 1713 1647 36.19% 30.14% 33.67% -0.1 24
2003-10-25 Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1609 1771 22.62% 27.86% 49.52% -3.6 12
2003-10-25 @ Bradford City W 2-1 1771 1609 49.52% 27.86% 22.62% +3.6 24
2003-10-25 Sunderland W 1-0 1740 1725 45.10% 29.04% 25.86% +4.3 28
2003-10-25 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1725 1740 25.86% 29.04% 45.10% -4.3 27
2003-10-25 Watford L 1-3 1651 1644 44.09% 29.25% 26.66% -10.4 7
2003-10-25 @ Wimbledon FC W 3-1 1644 1651 26.66% 29.25% 44.09% +10.4 16
2003-10-25 West Brom L 0-3 1640 1736 29.64% 29.82% 40.54% -13.0 13
2003-10-25 @ Rotherham United W 3-0 1736 1640 40.54% 29.82% 29.64% +13.0 31
2003-10-25 West Ham D 0-0 1680 1811 25.68% 28.99% 45.34% +0.7 20
2003-10-25 @ Cardiff City D 0-0 1811 1680 45.34% 28.99% 25.68% -0.6 27
2003-10-25 Wigan Athletic W 2-0 1658 1748 30.49% 29.92% 39.58% +11.1 19
2003-10-25 @ Walsall L 0-2 1748 1658 39.58% 29.92% 30.49% -11.1 30
2003-10-28 Watford W 3-0 1681 1654 46.72% 28.65% 24.62% +11.2 23
2003-10-28 @ Cardiff City L 0-3 1654 1681 24.62% 28.65% 46.72% -11.2 16
2003-11-01 Bradford City W 2-1 1641 1605 47.91% 28.34% 23.75% +3.7 10
2003-11-01 @ Wimbledon FC L 1-2 1605 1641 23.75% 28.34% 47.91% -3.7 12
2003-11-01 Cardiff City D 1-1 1647 1692 36.64% 30.12% 33.24% -0.1 20
2003-11-01 @ Burnley D 1-1 1692 1647 33.24% 30.12% 36.64% +0.1 24
2003-11-01 Crystal Palace W 5-0 1737 1689 49.46% 27.88% 22.66% +16.8 33
2003-11-01 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-5 1689 1737 22.66% 27.88% 49.46% -16.8 16
2003-11-01 Derby County W 3-0 1704 1613 55.10% 25.81% 19.09% +8.8 23
2003-11-01 @ Preston North End L 0-3 1613 1704 19.09% 25.81% 55.10% -8.8 14
2003-11-01 Gillingham L 3-4 1768 1638 59.92% 23.60% 16.48% -7.0 27
2003-11-01 @ Ipswich Town W 4-3 1638 1768 16.48% 23.60% 59.92% +7.0 19
2003-11-01 Norwich City L 1-3 1669 1744 32.40% 30.08% 37.51% -8.3 19
2003-11-01 @ Walsall W 3-1 1744 1669 37.51% 30.08% 32.40% +8.3 31
2003-11-01 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1713 1775 34.26% 30.15% 35.59% +5.4 27
2003-11-01 @ Millwall L 0-1 1775 1713 35.59% 30.15% 34.26% -5.4 24
2003-11-01 Reading W 1-0 1675 1749 32.56% 30.09% 37.35% +5.6 24
2003-11-01 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-1 1749 1675 37.35% 30.09% 32.56% -5.6 24
2003-11-01 Rotherham United W 1-0 1643 1626 45.32% 28.99% 25.69% +4.2 19
2003-11-01 @ Watford L 0-1 1626 1643 25.69% 28.99% 45.32% -4.2 13
2003-11-01 Sheffield United D 2-2 1641 1760 27.06% 29.34% 43.60% +0.4 17
2003-11-01 @ Stoke City D 2-2 1760 1641 43.60% 29.34% 27.06% -0.4 28
2003-11-01 Sunderland D 0-0 1749 1721 46.93% 28.60% 24.47% -0.8 32
2003-11-01 @ West Brom D 0-0 1721 1749 24.47% 28.60% 46.93% +0.8 28
2003-11-01 West Ham D 1-1 1654 1811 23.15% 28.09% 48.76% +0.8 20
2003-11-01 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1811 1654 48.76% 28.09% 23.15% -0.8 28
2003-11-04 Crewe Alexandra W 2-0 1759 1680 53.59% 26.42% 19.99% +6.3 31
2003-11-04 @ Sheffield United L 0-2 1680 1759 19.99% 26.42% 53.59% -6.4 24
2003-11-04 Nottingham Forest W 4-1 1661 1769 28.20% 29.58% 42.22% +14.2 22
2003-11-04 @ Walsall L 1-4 1769 1661 42.22% 29.58% 28.20% -14.2 24
2003-11-04 Sunderland L 1-3 1645 1722 32.21% 30.07% 37.72% -8.3 19
2003-11-04 @ Gillingham W 3-1 1722 1645 37.72% 30.07% 32.21% +8.3 31
2003-11-04 Watford W 2-1 1713 1647 51.87% 27.07% 21.06% +3.3 26
2003-11-04 @ Preston North End L 1-2 1647 1713 21.06% 27.07% 51.87% -3.4 19
2003-11-05 Bradford City D 0-0 1655 1602 50.30% 27.61% 22.10% -1.0 21
2003-11-05 @ Coventry City D 0-0 1602 1655 22.10% 27.61% 50.30% +1.0 13
2003-11-08 Burnley W 1-0 1766 1647 58.60% 24.24% 17.16% +2.9 34
2003-11-08 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1647 1766 17.16% 24.24% 58.60% -2.8 20
2003-11-08 Coventry City D 0-0 1730 1654 53.19% 26.58% 20.24% -1.1 32
2003-11-08 @ Sunderland D 0-0 1654 1730 20.24% 26.58% 53.19% +1.1 22
2003-11-08 Crewe Alexandra W 2-0 1637 1674 37.75% 30.07% 32.18% +9.5 22
2003-11-08 @ Gillingham L 0-2 1674 1637 32.18% 30.07% 37.75% -9.5 24
2003-11-08 Ipswich Town D 2-2 1604 1761 23.17% 28.10% 48.73% +0.6 15
2003-11-08 @ Derby County D 2-2 1761 1604 48.73% 28.10% 23.17% -0.6 28
2003-11-08 Millwall W 3-1 1753 1718 47.75% 28.38% 23.87% +6.5 34
2003-11-08 @ Norwich City L 1-3 1718 1753 23.87% 28.38% 47.75% -6.5 27
2003-11-08 Wimbledon FC W 3-1 1622 1645 39.90% 29.89% 30.22% +7.9 16
2003-11-08 @ Rotherham United L 1-3 1645 1622 30.22% 29.89% 39.90% -7.9 10
2003-11-08 Preston North End D 1-1 1673 1716 36.91% 30.11% 32.98% -0.1 17
2003-11-08 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 1716 1673 32.98% 30.11% 36.91% +0.1 27
2003-11-08 Stoke City W 3-1 1692 1642 49.93% 27.73% 22.35% +6.1 27
2003-11-08 @ Cardiff City L 1-3 1642 1692 22.35% 27.73% 49.93% -6.1 17
2003-11-08 Walsall D 1-1 1603 1675 32.81% 30.10% 37.09% +0.1 14
2003-11-08 @ Bradford City D 1-1 1675 1603 37.09% 30.10% 32.81% -0.1 23
2003-11-08 Watford D 1-1 1755 1644 57.65% 24.69% 17.67% -1.2 25
2003-11-08 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1644 1755 17.67% 24.69% 57.65% +1.2 20
2003-11-08 West Brom L 3-4 1810 1748 51.35% 27.25% 21.40% -6.2 28
2003-11-08 @ West Ham W 4-3 1748 1810 21.40% 27.25% 51.35% +6.2 35
2003-11-08 Wigan Athletic W 1-0 1743 1753 41.63% 29.67% 28.70% +4.6 27
2003-11-08 @ Reading L 0-1 1753 1743 28.70% 29.67% 41.63% -4.7 33
2003-11-15 Burnley W 2-0 1605 1644 37.55% 30.08% 32.37% +9.6 18
2003-11-15 @ Derby County L 0-2 1644 1605 32.37% 30.08% 37.55% -9.6 20
2003-11-15 Millwall W 1-0 1748 1712 48.00% 28.31% 23.69% +4.0 30
2003-11-15 @ Reading L 0-1 1712 1748 23.69% 28.31% 48.00% -4.0 27
2003-11-15 Wimbledon FC L 1-2 1646 1637 44.34% 29.20% 26.46% -6.0 22
2003-11-15 @ Gillingham W 2-1 1637 1646 26.46% 29.20% 44.34% +6.0 13
2003-11-15 Watford L 1-2 1759 1645 58.00% 24.52% 17.48% -7.4 34
2003-11-15 @ Norwich City W 2-1 1645 1759 17.48% 24.52% 58.00% +7.4 23
2003-11-22 Bradford City W 1-0 1635 1603 47.53% 28.44% 24.03% +4.0 20
2003-11-22 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1603 1635 24.03% 28.44% 47.53% -4.0 14
2003-11-22 Cardiff City L 0-1 1643 1698 35.16% 30.15% 34.69% -5.4 13
2003-11-22 @ Wimbledon FC W 1-0 1698 1643 34.69% 30.15% 35.16% +5.4 30
2003-11-22 Crystal Palace D 0-0 1675 1673 43.35% 29.39% 27.26% -0.5 24
2003-11-22 @ Walsall D 0-0 1673 1675 27.26% 29.39% 43.35% +0.5 18
2003-11-22 Derby County D 0-0 1708 1615 55.40% 25.68% 18.92% -1.3 28
2003-11-22 @ Millwall D 0-0 1615 1708 18.92% 25.68% 55.40% +1.3 19
2003-11-22 Gillingham D 2-2 1655 1640 45.14% 29.03% 25.83% -0.4 23
2003-11-22 @ Coventry City D 2-2 1640 1655 25.83% 29.03% 45.14% +0.4 23
2003-11-22 Norwich City D 0-0 1716 1752 38.04% 30.05% 31.91% -0.2 28
2003-11-22 @ Preston North End D 0-0 1752 1716 31.91% 30.05% 38.04% +0.2 35
2003-11-22 Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1749 1754 42.35% 29.56% 28.08% -0.3 34
2003-11-22 @ Wigan Athletic D 2-2 1754 1749 28.08% 29.56% 42.35% +0.3 26
2003-11-22 Reading D 0-0 1755 1752 43.42% 29.38% 27.20% -0.5 36
2003-11-22 @ West Brom D 0-0 1752 1755 27.20% 29.38% 43.42% +0.5 31
2003-11-22 Rotherham United D 1-1 1634 1630 43.62% 29.34% 27.04% -0.5 21
2003-11-22 @ Burnley D 1-1 1630 1634 27.04% 29.34% 43.62% +0.5 17
2003-11-22 Sheffield United W 3-0 1760 1768 41.86% 29.64% 28.50% +12.7 31
2003-11-22 @ Ipswich Town L 0-3 1768 1760 28.50% 29.64% 41.86% -12.6 34
2003-11-22 Sunderland W 3-0 1665 1729 33.93% 30.14% 35.93% +15.0 27
2003-11-22 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-3 1729 1665 35.93% 30.14% 33.93% -15.0 32
2003-11-22 West Ham D 0-0 1652 1804 23.64% 28.29% 48.08% +0.8 24
2003-11-22 @ Watford D 0-0 1804 1652 48.08% 28.29% 23.64% -0.8 29
2003-11-25 Coventry City D 1-1 1752 1655 55.89% 25.47% 18.64% -1.1 36
2003-11-25 @ Norwich City D 1-1 1655 1752 18.64% 25.47% 55.89% +1.1 24
2003-11-25 Crystal Palace L 0-1 1639 1673 38.30% 30.03% 31.67% -5.7 20
2003-11-25 @ Stoke City W 1-0 1673 1639 31.67% 30.03% 38.30% +5.7 21
2003-11-25 Reading W 3-0 1634 1752 27.04% 29.34% 43.62% +17.3 24
2003-11-25 @ Burnley L 0-3 1752 1634 43.62% 29.34% 27.04% -17.3 31
2003-11-25 West Brom D 1-1 1704 1754 35.91% 30.14% 33.94% -0.1 31
2003-11-25 @ Cardiff City D 1-1 1754 1704 33.94% 30.14% 35.91% +0.0 37
2003-11-25 West Ham D 1-1 1637 1803 22.31% 27.71% 49.97% +0.8 14
2003-11-25 @ Wimbledon FC D 1-1 1803 1637 49.97% 27.71% 22.31% -0.8 30
2003-11-29 Burnley D 1-1 1714 1651 51.50% 27.20% 21.30% -0.9 33
2003-11-29 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1651 1714 21.30% 27.20% 51.50% +0.9 25
2003-11-29 Coventry City D 1-1 1679 1656 46.18% 28.79% 25.03% -0.6 22
2003-11-29 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 1656 1679 25.03% 28.79% 46.18% +0.6 25
2003-11-29 Crewe Alexandra W 1-0 1751 1680 52.60% 26.80% 20.60% +3.5 39
2003-11-29 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1680 1751 20.60% 26.80% 52.60% -3.5 27
2003-11-29 Ipswich Town L 2-3 1704 1773 33.27% 30.12% 36.61% -4.6 31
2003-11-29 @ Cardiff City W 3-2 1773 1704 36.61% 30.12% 33.27% +4.6 34
2003-11-29 Millwall W 3-2 1599 1706 28.29% 29.60% 42.11% +5.5 17
2003-11-29 @ Bradford City L 2-3 1706 1599 42.11% 29.60% 28.29% -5.5 28
2003-11-29 Wimbledon FC W 3-1 1616 1638 39.90% 29.89% 30.21% +7.9 22
2003-11-29 @ Derby County L 1-3 1638 1616 30.21% 29.89% 39.90% -7.9 14
2003-11-29 Preston North End W 2-0 1756 1716 48.48% 28.17% 23.35% +7.4 37
2003-11-29 @ Sheffield United L 0-2 1716 1756 23.35% 28.17% 48.48% -7.4 28
2003-11-29 Stoke City W 3-1 1641 1634 43.99% 29.27% 26.74% +7.2 26
2003-11-29 @ Gillingham L 1-3 1634 1641 26.74% 29.27% 43.99% -7.2 20
2003-11-29 Walsall W 2-0 1631 1674 36.88% 30.11% 33.01% +9.7 20
2003-11-29 @ Rotherham United L 0-2 1674 1631 33.01% 30.11% 36.88% -9.7 24
2003-11-29 Watford W 2-1 1735 1653 53.98% 26.27% 19.76% +3.1 34
2003-11-29 @ Reading L 1-2 1653 1735 19.76% 26.27% 53.98% -3.1 24
2003-11-29 West Brom L 0-3 1754 1754 43.03% 29.45% 27.52% -17.1 26
2003-11-29 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-0 1754 1754 27.52% 29.45% 43.03% +17.1 40
2003-11-29 Wigan Athletic W 4-0 1802 1748 50.31% 27.61% 22.09% +13.3 33
2003-11-29 @ West Ham L 0-4 1748 1802 22.09% 27.61% 50.31% -13.3 34
2003-12-02 Coventry City W 2-0 1640 1657 40.76% 29.79% 29.45% +8.9 23
2003-12-02 @ Rotherham United L 0-2 1657 1640 29.45% 29.79% 40.76% -8.9 25
2003-12-02 Wigan Athletic D 1-1 1713 1735 39.90% 29.89% 30.21% -0.3 34
2003-12-02 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1735 1713 30.21% 29.89% 39.90% +0.3 35
2003-12-03 Ipswich Town D 1-1 1737 1777 37.34% 30.09% 32.57% -0.1 27
2003-12-03 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1777 1737 32.57% 30.09% 37.34% +0.1 35
2003-12-06 Bradford City W 1-0 1665 1604 51.19% 27.31% 21.50% +3.6 27
2003-12-06 @ Walsall L 0-1 1604 1665 21.50% 27.31% 51.19% -3.6 17
2003-12-06 Cardiff City L 2-3 1627 1699 32.78% 30.10% 37.12% -4.6 20
2003-12-06 @ Stoke City W 3-2 1699 1627 37.12% 30.10% 32.78% +4.6 34
2003-12-06 Crystal Palace W 4-1 1709 1678 47.22% 28.52% 24.26% +9.3 31
2003-12-06 @ Preston North End L 1-4 1678 1709 24.26% 28.52% 47.22% -9.3 22
2003-12-06 Derby County W 2-1 1777 1624 62.77% 22.15% 15.08% +2.3 38
2003-12-06 @ Ipswich Town L 1-2 1624 1777 15.08% 22.15% 62.77% -2.3 22
2003-12-06 Gillingham D 1-1 1676 1648 46.94% 28.60% 24.47% -0.7 28
2003-12-06 @ Crewe Alexandra D 1-1 1648 1676 24.47% 28.60% 46.94% +0.7 27
2003-12-06 Norwich City D 0-0 1701 1754 35.50% 30.15% 34.35% -0.0 29
2003-12-06 @ Millwall D 0-0 1754 1701 34.35% 30.15% 35.50% +0.0 40
2003-12-06 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1650 1737 30.90% 29.96% 39.14% +0.2 25
2003-12-06 @ Watford D 1-1 1737 1650 39.14% 29.96% 30.90% -0.2 28
2003-12-06 Reading L 0-2 1735 1738 42.65% 29.51% 27.84% -11.7 35
2003-12-06 @ Wigan Athletic W 2-0 1738 1735 27.84% 29.51% 42.65% +11.7 37
2003-12-06 Rotherham United L 1-2 1630 1649 40.39% 29.83% 29.77% -5.6 14
2003-12-06 @ Wimbledon FC W 2-1 1649 1630 29.77% 29.83% 40.39% +5.6 26
2003-12-06 Sheffield United W 3-2 1652 1763 27.89% 29.52% 42.59% +5.5 28
2003-12-06 @ Burnley L 2-3 1763 1652 42.59% 29.52% 27.89% -5.5 37
2003-12-06 West Ham D 1-1 1771 1815 36.81% 30.12% 33.08% -0.1 41
2003-12-06 @ West Brom D 1-1 1815 1771 33.08% 30.12% 36.81% +0.1 34
2003-12-08 Sunderland D 1-1 1648 1713 33.84% 30.14% 36.02% +0.1 26
2003-12-08 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1713 1648 36.02% 30.14% 33.84% -0.1 35
2003-12-09 Crewe Alexandra L 1-3 1669 1675 42.13% 29.60% 28.27% -10.0 22
2003-12-09 @ Crystal Palace W 3-1 1675 1669 28.27% 29.60% 42.13% +10.0 31
2003-12-09 Preston North End D 2-2 1704 1718 41.04% 29.75% 29.21% -0.2 35
2003-12-09 @ Cardiff City D 2-2 1718 1704 29.21% 29.75% 41.04% +0.2 32
2003-12-09 Stoke City L 0-1 1815 1622 67.30% 19.66% 13.03% -8.7 34
2003-12-09 @ West Ham W 1-0 1622 1815 13.03% 19.66% 67.30% +8.7 23
2003-12-09 Walsall W 2-0 1758 1668 54.95% 25.87% 19.18% +6.1 40
2003-12-09 @ Sheffield United L 0-2 1668 1758 19.18% 25.87% 54.95% -6.1 27
2003-12-09 West Brom L 0-1 1601 1771 21.86% 27.49% 50.64% -3.7 17
2003-12-09 @ Bradford City W 1-0 1771 1601 50.64% 27.49% 21.86% +3.7 44
2003-12-13 Bradford City W 1-0 1724 1597 59.58% 23.77% 16.65% +2.8 38
2003-12-13 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-1 1597 1724 16.65% 23.77% 59.58% -2.8 17
2003-12-13 Cardiff City W 4-1 1754 1703 49.94% 27.72% 22.33% +8.7 43
2003-12-13 @ Norwich City L 1-4 1703 1754 22.33% 27.72% 49.94% -8.7 35
2003-12-13 Coventry City L 1-2 1658 1648 44.40% 29.19% 26.42% -6.0 28
2003-12-13 @ Burnley W 2-1 1648 1658 26.42% 29.19% 44.40% +6.0 29
2003-12-13 Crewe Alexandra D 2-2 1775 1685 54.93% 25.88% 19.19% -0.8 45
2003-12-13 @ West Brom D 2-2 1685 1775 19.19% 25.88% 54.93% +0.8 32
2003-12-13 Derby County D 0-0 1655 1621 47.62% 28.41% 23.96% -0.8 27
2003-12-13 @ Rotherham United D 0-0 1621 1655 23.96% 28.41% 47.62% +0.8 23
2003-12-13 Ipswich Town D 0-0 1701 1780 31.93% 30.05% 38.02% +0.2 30
2003-12-13 @ Millwall D 0-0 1780 1701 38.02% 30.05% 31.93% -0.2 39
2003-12-13 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1659 1737 32.07% 30.06% 37.87% +5.7 25
2003-12-13 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1737 1659 37.87% 30.06% 32.07% -5.7 28
2003-12-13 Preston North End L 0-1 1648 1718 33.14% 30.12% 36.74% -5.2 27
2003-12-13 @ Gillingham W 1-0 1718 1648 36.74% 30.12% 33.14% +5.2 35
2003-12-13 Reading W 3-0 1631 1750 26.95% 29.32% 43.73% +17.3 26
2003-12-13 @ Stoke City L 0-3 1750 1631 43.73% 29.32% 26.95% -17.3 37
2003-12-13 Sunderland W 3-2 1807 1712 55.54% 25.62% 18.84% +2.8 37
2003-12-13 @ West Ham L 2-3 1712 1807 18.84% 25.62% 55.54% -2.8 35
2003-12-13 Walsall L 0-1 1625 1662 37.78% 30.07% 32.15% -5.7 14
2003-12-13 @ Wimbledon FC W 1-0 1662 1625 32.15% 30.07% 37.78% +5.7 30
2003-12-13 Watford D 2-2 1764 1650 57.92% 24.56% 17.52% -0.9 41
2003-12-13 @ Sheffield United D 2-2 1650 1764 17.52% 24.56% 57.92% +0.9 26
2003-12-20 Burnley W 5-3 1723 1652 52.69% 26.76% 20.54% +4.8 38
2003-12-20 @ Preston North End L 3-5 1652 1723 20.54% 26.76% 52.69% -4.8 28
2003-12-20 Crystal Palace L 0-3 1733 1665 52.21% 26.94% 20.85% -19.8 37
2003-12-20 @ Reading W 3-0 1665 1733 20.85% 26.94% 52.21% +19.8 28
2003-12-20 Millwall L 1-3 1695 1701 42.15% 29.59% 28.25% -10.0 35
2003-12-20 @ Cardiff City W 3-1 1701 1695 28.25% 29.59% 42.15% +10.0 33
2003-12-20 Wimbledon FC W 2-1 1710 1619 55.08% 25.81% 19.10% +3.0 38
2003-12-20 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1619 1710 19.10% 25.81% 55.08% -3.0 14
2003-12-20 Rotherham United L 0-2 1594 1654 34.53% 30.15% 35.32% -10.0 17
2003-12-20 @ Bradford City W 2-0 1654 1594 35.32% 30.15% 34.53% +10.0 30
2003-12-20 Stoke City L 1-3 1651 1648 43.52% 29.36% 27.12% -10.3 26
2003-12-20 @ Watford W 3-1 1648 1651 27.12% 29.36% 43.52% +10.3 29
2003-12-20 West Brom W 1-0 1654 1774 26.86% 29.30% 43.84% +6.3 32
2003-12-20 @ Coventry City L 0-1 1774 1654 43.84% 29.30% 26.86% -6.3 45
2003-12-20 West Ham D 1-1 1668 1810 24.56% 28.63% 46.81% +0.7 31
2003-12-20 @ Walsall D 1-1 1810 1668 46.81% 28.63% 24.56% -0.7 38
2003-12-20 Wigan Athletic L 2-3 1686 1727 37.35% 30.09% 32.56% -5.0 32
2003-12-20 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-2 1727 1686 32.56% 30.09% 37.35% +5.0 41
2003-12-21 Norwich City L 0-2 1780 1763 45.34% 28.98% 25.67% -12.2 39
2003-12-21 @ Ipswich Town W 2-0 1763 1780 25.67% 28.98% 45.34% +12.2 46
2003-12-26 Bradford City W 3-0 1713 1584 59.78% 23.67% 16.55% +7.5 41
2003-12-26 @ Sunderland L 0-3 1584 1713 16.55% 23.67% 59.78% -7.5 17
2003-12-26 Burnley W 3-1 1681 1647 47.76% 28.38% 23.86% +6.5 35
2003-12-26 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-3 1647 1681 23.86% 28.38% 47.76% -6.5 28
2003-12-26 Derby County D 1-1 1768 1622 61.80% 22.66% 15.55% -1.5 46
2003-12-26 @ West Brom D 1-1 1622 1768 15.55% 22.66% 61.80% +1.5 24
2003-12-26 Ipswich Town L 1-2 1809 1767 48.72% 28.10% 23.18% -6.5 38
2003-12-26 @ West Ham W 2-1 1767 1809 23.18% 28.10% 48.72% +6.5 42
2003-12-26 Millwall L 0-1 1684 1711 39.27% 29.95% 30.78% -5.8 28
2003-12-26 @ Crystal Palace W 1-0 1711 1684 30.78% 29.95% 39.27% +5.8 36
2003-12-26 Wimbledon FC L 0-3 1713 1616 55.87% 25.48% 18.65% -20.8 37
2003-12-26 @ Reading W 3-0 1616 1713 18.65% 25.48% 55.87% +20.8 17
2003-12-26 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1775 1731 49.07% 28.00% 22.93% +3.8 49
2003-12-26 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1731 1775 22.93% 28.00% 49.07% -3.8 28
2003-12-26 Preston North End D 1-1 1658 1728 33.13% 30.12% 36.76% +0.1 30
2003-12-26 @ Stoke City D 1-1 1728 1658 36.76% 30.12% 33.13% -0.1 39
2003-12-26 Rotherham United L 1-2 1732 1664 52.12% 26.98% 20.91% -6.8 41
2003-12-26 @ Wigan Athletic W 2-1 1664 1732 20.91% 26.98% 52.12% +6.8 33
2003-12-26 Sheffield United L 0-1 1660 1763 28.90% 29.70% 41.40% -4.7 32
2003-12-26 @ Coventry City W 1-0 1763 1660 41.40% 29.70% 28.90% +4.7 44
2003-12-26 Walsall L 0-1 1685 1668 45.30% 28.99% 25.71% -6.5 35
2003-12-26 @ Cardiff City W 1-0 1668 1685 25.71% 28.99% 45.30% +6.5 34
2003-12-26 Watford W 1-0 1643 1641 43.34% 29.39% 27.26% +4.5 30
2003-12-26 @ Gillingham L 0-1 1641 1643 27.26% 29.39% 43.34% -4.5 26
2003-12-28 Cardiff City W 2-1 1637 1678 37.16% 30.10% 32.74% +4.8 29
2003-12-28 @ Watford L 1-2 1678 1637 32.74% 30.10% 37.16% -4.8 35
2003-12-28 Coventry City W 1-0 1577 1655 31.92% 30.05% 38.03% +5.7 20
2003-12-28 @ Bradford City L 0-1 1655 1577 38.03% 30.05% 31.92% -5.7 32
2003-12-28 Crewe Alexandra D 0-0 1728 1688 48.55% 28.15% 23.30% -0.8 40
2003-12-28 @ Preston North End D 0-0 1688 1728 23.30% 28.15% 48.55% +0.8 36
2003-12-28 Crystal Palace L 1-3 1774 1678 55.68% 25.56% 18.76% -12.4 42
2003-12-28 @ Ipswich Town W 3-1 1678 1774 18.76% 25.56% 55.68% +12.4 31
2003-12-28 Gillingham L 1-2 1717 1648 52.36% 26.89% 20.75% -6.8 36
2003-12-28 @ Millwall W 2-1 1648 1717 20.75% 26.89% 52.36% +6.8 33
2003-12-28 Norwich City L 0-4 1624 1779 23.25% 28.13% 48.62% -13.9 24
2003-12-28 @ Derby County W 4-0 1779 1624 48.62% 28.13% 23.25% +13.9 52
2003-12-28 Reading D 1-1 1675 1692 40.63% 29.81% 29.57% -0.3 35
2003-12-28 @ Walsall D 1-1 1692 1675 29.57% 29.81% 40.63% +0.3 38
2003-12-28 Stoke City L 0-1 1640 1658 40.51% 29.82% 29.67% -6.0 28
2003-12-28 @ Burnley W 1-0 1658 1640 29.67% 29.82% 40.51% +6.0 33
2003-12-28 Sunderland L 0-2 1671 1720 36.06% 30.14% 33.80% -10.4 33
2003-12-28 @ Rotherham United W 2-0 1720 1671 33.80% 30.14% 36.06% +10.3 44
2003-12-28 West Ham L 0-2 1727 1802 32.39% 30.08% 37.53% -9.6 28
2003-12-28 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-0 1802 1727 37.53% 30.08% 32.39% +9.6 41
2003-12-28 Wigan Athletic D 1-1 1767 1725 48.86% 28.06% 23.08% -0.8 45
2003-12-28 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1725 1767 23.08% 28.06% 48.86% +0.8 42
2003-12-30 West Brom D 0-0 1637 1766 25.86% 29.04% 45.10% +0.6 18
2003-12-30 @ Wimbledon FC D 0-0 1766 1637 45.10% 29.04% 25.86% -0.6 47
2004-01-09 Walsall W 2-0 1766 1675 55.14% 25.79% 19.07% +6.0 50
2004-01-09 @ West Brom L 0-2 1675 1766 19.07% 25.79% 55.14% -6.0 35
2004-01-10 Bradford City L 0-1 1793 1582 69.17% 18.59% 12.23% -8.8 52
2004-01-10 @ Norwich City W 1-0 1582 1793 12.23% 18.59% 69.17% +8.8 23
2004-01-10 Burnley D 0-0 1691 1634 50.70% 27.47% 21.83% -1.0 32
2004-01-10 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 1634 1691 21.83% 27.47% 50.70% +1.0 29
2004-01-10 Derby County W 2-1 1664 1610 50.43% 27.57% 22.01% +3.5 36
2004-01-10 @ Stoke City L 1-2 1610 1664 22.01% 27.57% 50.43% -3.5 24
2004-01-10 Ipswich Town D 1-1 1692 1761 33.26% 30.12% 36.61% +0.1 39
2004-01-10 @ Reading D 1-1 1761 1692 36.61% 30.12% 33.26% -0.1 43
2004-01-10 Millwall D 0-0 1726 1710 45.17% 29.02% 25.81% -0.6 43
2004-01-10 @ Wigan Athletic D 0-0 1710 1726 25.81% 29.02% 45.17% +0.6 37
2004-01-10 Wimbledon FC W 1-0 1689 1637 49.98% 27.71% 22.31% +3.7 39
2004-01-10 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-1 1637 1689 22.31% 27.71% 49.98% -3.7 18
2004-01-10 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1731 1717 44.85% 29.09% 26.05% +4.3 47
2004-01-10 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1717 1731 26.05% 29.09% 44.85% -4.3 28
2004-01-10 Preston North End L 1-2 1812 1727 54.35% 26.12% 19.53% -7.0 41
2004-01-10 @ West Ham W 2-1 1727 1812 19.53% 26.12% 54.35% +7.0 43
2004-01-10 Rotherham United W 3-2 1673 1661 44.82% 29.10% 26.08% +3.8 38
2004-01-10 @ Cardiff City L 2-3 1661 1673 26.08% 29.10% 44.82% -3.8 33
2004-01-10 Sheffield United L 0-3 1654 1767 27.77% 29.50% 42.73% -12.4 33
2004-01-10 @ Gillingham W 3-0 1767 1654 42.73% 29.50% 27.77% +12.4 48
2004-01-10 Watford D 0-0 1650 1641 44.20% 29.23% 26.57% -0.6 33
2004-01-10 @ Coventry City D 0-0 1641 1650 26.57% 29.23% 44.20% +0.6 30
2004-01-17 Cardiff City L 0-1 1591 1677 30.97% 29.97% 39.06% -4.9 23
2004-01-17 @ Bradford City W 1-0 1677 1591 39.06% 29.97% 30.97% +4.9 41
2004-01-17 Coventry City L 1-6 1668 1649 45.71% 28.90% 25.39% -23.8 35
2004-01-17 @ Walsall W 6-1 1649 1668 25.39% 28.90% 45.71% +23.8 36
2004-01-17 Crewe Alexandra W 6-4 1761 1692 52.32% 26.90% 20.78% +4.7 46
2004-01-17 @ Ipswich Town L 4-6 1692 1761 20.78% 26.90% 52.32% -4.7 39
2004-01-17 Crystal Palace L 1-5 1642 1690 36.27% 30.14% 33.60% -16.4 30
2004-01-17 @ Watford W 5-1 1690 1642 33.60% 30.14% 36.27% +16.4 35
2004-01-17 Gillingham W 2-1 1606 1642 37.99% 30.05% 31.96% +4.8 27
2004-01-17 @ Derby County L 1-2 1642 1606 31.96% 30.05% 37.99% -4.8 33
2004-01-17 Norwich City D 4-4 1657 1784 26.08% 29.10% 44.83% +0.3 34
2004-01-17 @ Rotherham United D 4-4 1784 1657 44.83% 29.10% 26.08% -0.3 53
2004-01-17 Reading L 0-1 1713 1692 45.89% 28.86% 25.25% -6.5 28
2004-01-17 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1692 1713 25.25% 28.86% 45.89% +6.5 42
2004-01-17 Stoke City L 0-1 1634 1668 38.25% 30.04% 31.71% -5.7 18
2004-01-17 @ Wimbledon FC W 1-0 1668 1634 31.71% 30.04% 38.25% +5.7 39
2004-01-17 Sunderland W 2-1 1711 1735 39.67% 29.91% 30.42% +4.6 40
2004-01-17 @ Millwall L 1-2 1735 1711 30.42% 29.91% 39.67% -4.6 47
2004-01-17 West Brom D 1-1 1635 1772 25.12% 28.82% 46.06% +0.6 30
2004-01-17 @ Burnley D 1-1 1772 1635 46.06% 28.82% 25.12% -0.6 51
2004-01-17 West Ham D 3-3 1779 1805 39.40% 29.94% 30.66% -0.2 49
2004-01-17 @ Sheffield United D 3-3 1805 1779 30.66% 29.94% 39.40% +0.2 42
2004-01-17 Wigan Athletic L 2-4 1734 1725 44.34% 29.20% 26.46% -9.3 43
2004-01-17 @ Preston North End W 4-2 1725 1734 26.46% 29.20% 44.34% +9.3 46
2004-01-24 Crystal Palace L 1-2 1586 1706 26.87% 29.30% 43.83% -4.2 23
2004-01-24 @ Bradford City W 2-1 1706 1586 43.83% 29.30% 26.87% +4.2 38
2004-01-28 Sheffield United W 2-0 1611 1779 22.10% 27.61% 50.29% +13.2 30
2004-01-28 @ Derby County L 0-2 1779 1611 50.29% 27.61% 22.10% -13.2 49
2004-01-31 Bradford City W 1-0 1637 1582 50.53% 27.53% 21.94% +3.7 36
2004-01-31 @ Gillingham L 0-1 1582 1637 21.94% 27.53% 50.53% -3.7 23
2004-01-31 Burnley D 0-0 1734 1636 56.06% 25.40% 18.54% -1.3 47
2004-01-31 @ Wigan Athletic D 0-0 1636 1734 18.54% 25.40% 56.06% +1.3 31
2004-01-31 Derby County W 3-1 1699 1624 53.07% 26.62% 20.31% +5.6 45
2004-01-31 @ Reading L 1-3 1624 1699 20.31% 26.62% 53.07% -5.6 30
2004-01-31 Ipswich Town D 1-1 1673 1766 30.10% 29.88% 40.03% +0.3 37
2004-01-31 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1766 1673 40.03% 29.88% 30.10% -0.3 47
2004-01-31 Millwall L 1-2 1688 1715 39.14% 29.96% 30.89% -5.5 39
2004-01-31 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-1 1715 1688 30.89% 29.96% 39.14% +5.5 43
2004-01-31 Wimbledon FC W 3-1 1710 1628 54.05% 26.24% 19.71% +5.4 41
2004-01-31 @ Crystal Palace L 1-3 1628 1710 19.71% 26.24% 54.05% -5.4 18
2004-01-31 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1682 1707 39.61% 29.92% 30.47% -0.3 42
2004-01-31 @ Cardiff City D 0-0 1707 1682 30.47% 29.92% 39.61% +0.3 29
2004-01-31 Rotherham United W 2-1 1805 1657 62.12% 22.49% 15.39% +2.4 45
2004-01-31 @ West Ham L 1-2 1657 1805 15.39% 22.49% 62.12% -2.4 34
2004-01-31 Sheffield United W 1-0 1784 1766 45.54% 28.94% 25.52% +4.2 56
2004-01-31 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1766 1784 25.52% 28.94% 45.54% -4.2 49
2004-01-31 Walsall W 3-2 1673 1645 47.00% 28.58% 24.42% +3.6 42
2004-01-31 @ Stoke City L 2-3 1645 1673 24.42% 28.58% 47.00% -3.6 35
2004-01-31 Watford W 3-1 1771 1626 61.80% 22.66% 15.55% +4.2 54
2004-01-31 @ West Brom L 1-3 1626 1771 15.55% 22.66% 61.80% -4.2 30
2004-02-07 Cardiff City D 2-2 1619 1682 34.07% 30.15% 35.78% +0.0 31
2004-02-07 @ Derby County D 2-2 1682 1619 35.78% 30.15% 34.07% -0.0 43
2004-02-07 Coventry City L 0-1 1707 1673 47.64% 28.41% 23.95% -6.7 29
2004-02-07 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1673 1707 23.95% 28.41% 47.64% +6.7 40
2004-02-07 Crewe Alexandra D 1-1 1641 1682 37.23% 30.10% 32.67% -0.1 36
2004-02-07 @ Walsall D 1-1 1682 1641 32.67% 30.10% 37.23% +0.1 40
2004-02-07 Crystal Palace L 0-3 1761 1716 49.25% 27.94% 22.81% -18.9 49
2004-02-07 @ Sheffield United W 3-0 1716 1761 22.81% 27.94% 49.25% +18.9 44
2004-02-07 Gillingham W 1-0 1637 1641 42.51% 29.54% 27.96% +4.5 34
2004-02-07 @ Burnley L 0-1 1641 1637 27.96% 29.54% 42.51% -4.5 36
2004-02-07 Norwich City L 0-1 1623 1788 22.32% 27.72% 49.96% -3.8 18
2004-02-07 @ Wimbledon FC W 1-0 1788 1623 49.96% 27.72% 22.32% +3.8 59
2004-02-07 Reading W 5-1 1655 1705 35.96% 30.14% 33.89% +15.7 37
2004-02-07 @ Rotherham United L 1-5 1705 1655 33.89% 30.14% 35.96% -15.7 45
2004-02-07 Stoke City D 1-1 1721 1677 49.00% 28.02% 22.98% -0.8 44
2004-02-07 @ Millwall D 1-1 1677 1721 22.98% 28.02% 49.00% +0.8 43
2004-02-07 Sunderland D 2-2 1621 1730 28.16% 29.57% 42.27% +0.3 31
2004-02-07 @ Watford D 2-2 1730 1621 42.27% 29.57% 28.16% -0.3 48
2004-02-07 West Brom W 3-0 1725 1775 35.93% 30.14% 33.93% +14.4 46
2004-02-07 @ Preston North End L 0-3 1775 1725 33.93% 30.14% 35.93% -14.4 54
2004-02-07 West Ham L 1-2 1578 1808 17.43% 24.48% 58.10% -2.7 23
2004-02-07 @ Bradford City W 2-1 1808 1578 58.10% 24.48% 17.43% +2.7 48
2004-02-07 Wigan Athletic L 1-3 1766 1733 47.53% 28.44% 24.03% -11.0 47
2004-02-07 @ Ipswich Town W 3-1 1733 1766 24.03% 28.44% 47.53% +11.0 50
2004-02-14 Bradford City W 3-1 1755 1576 65.69% 20.57% 13.74% +3.6 50
2004-02-14 @ Ipswich Town L 1-3 1576 1755 13.74% 20.57% 65.69% -3.6 23
2004-02-14 Cardiff City W 2-1 1761 1682 53.60% 26.42% 19.99% +3.2 57
2004-02-14 @ West Brom L 1-2 1682 1761 19.99% 26.42% 53.60% -3.2 43
2004-02-14 Derby County W 2-0 1744 1619 59.37% 23.87% 16.76% +5.2 53
2004-02-14 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-2 1619 1744 16.76% 23.87% 59.37% -5.2 31
2004-02-14 Norwich City L 0-2 1680 1792 27.83% 29.51% 42.66% -8.5 40
2004-02-14 @ Coventry City W 2-0 1792 1680 42.66% 29.51% 27.83% +8.5 62
2004-02-14 Preston North End W 2-0 1622 1739 27.15% 29.37% 43.49% +11.9 34
2004-02-14 @ Watford L 0-2 1739 1622 43.49% 29.37% 27.15% -11.8 46
2004-02-14 Stoke City W 6-3 1735 1678 50.74% 27.46% 21.80% +6.8 47
2004-02-14 @ Crystal Palace L 3-6 1678 1735 21.80% 27.46% 50.74% -6.8 43
2004-02-14 Walsall D 3-3 1700 1641 51.05% 27.35% 21.59% -0.6 30
2004-02-14 @ Nottingham Forest D 3-3 1641 1700 21.59% 27.35% 51.05% +0.6 37
2004-02-21 Coventry City L 0-3 1619 1672 35.58% 30.15% 34.27% -14.9 18
2004-02-21 @ Wimbledon FC W 3-0 1672 1619 34.27% 30.15% 35.58% +14.9 43
2004-02-21 Crewe Alexandra W 2-1 1572 1682 27.99% 29.54% 42.46% +5.8 26
2004-02-21 @ Bradford City L 1-2 1682 1572 42.46% 29.54% 27.99% -5.8 40
2004-02-21 Crystal Palace W 2-1 1613 1742 25.99% 29.07% 44.93% +6.1 34
2004-02-21 @ Derby County L 1-2 1742 1613 44.93% 29.07% 25.99% -6.1 47
2004-02-21 Ipswich Town W 4-2 1642 1758 27.27% 29.39% 43.34% +9.2 37
2004-02-21 @ Burnley L 2-4 1758 1642 43.34% 29.39% 27.27% -9.2 50
2004-02-21 Millwall L 1-2 1727 1720 44.07% 29.25% 26.68% -6.0 46
2004-02-21 @ Preston North End W 2-1 1720 1727 26.68% 29.25% 44.07% +6.0 47
2004-02-21 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1670 1700 38.92% 29.98% 31.10% -0.2 38
2004-02-21 @ Rotherham United D 1-1 1700 1670 31.10% 29.98% 38.92% +0.2 31
2004-02-21 Reading L 0-1 1636 1689 35.60% 30.15% 34.25% -5.4 36
2004-02-21 @ Gillingham W 1-0 1689 1636 34.25% 30.15% 35.60% +5.4 48
2004-02-21 Sunderland W 4-0 1679 1730 35.77% 30.15% 34.08% +18.9 46
2004-02-21 @ Cardiff City L 0-4 1730 1679 34.08% 30.15% 35.77% -18.9 48
2004-02-21 Watford L 0-1 1641 1634 44.14% 29.24% 26.62% -6.4 37
2004-02-21 @ Walsall W 1-0 1634 1641 26.62% 29.24% 44.14% +6.4 37
2004-02-21 West Brom L 1-2 1743 1764 40.04% 29.87% 30.08% -5.6 49
2004-02-21 @ Sheffield United W 2-1 1764 1743 30.08% 29.87% 40.04% +5.6 60
2004-02-21 West Ham D 1-1 1800 1810 41.64% 29.67% 28.69% -0.4 63
2004-02-21 @ Norwich City D 1-1 1810 1800 28.69% 29.67% 41.64% +0.4 49
2004-02-21 Wigan Athletic D 1-1 1671 1749 32.03% 30.06% 37.91% +0.2 44
2004-02-21 @ Stoke City D 1-1 1749 1671 37.91% 30.06% 32.03% -0.2 54
2004-02-24 Burnley D 2-2 1694 1651 48.97% 28.03% 23.00% -0.6 49
2004-02-24 @ Reading D 2-2 1651 1694 23.00% 28.03% 48.97% +0.6 38
2004-02-24 Rotherham United W 2-1 1726 1670 50.62% 27.50% 21.88% +3.5 50
2004-02-24 @ Millwall L 1-2 1670 1726 21.88% 27.50% 50.62% -3.5 38
2004-02-24 Sheffield United L 0-1 1676 1737 34.45% 30.15% 35.39% -5.3 40
2004-02-24 @ Crewe Alexandra W 1-0 1737 1676 35.39% 30.15% 34.45% +5.3 52
2004-02-25 Gillingham D 0-0 1700 1631 52.29% 26.91% 20.79% -1.1 32
2004-02-25 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1631 1700 20.79% 26.91% 52.29% +1.1 37
2004-02-28 Bradford City W 2-1 1699 1578 58.85% 24.12% 17.03% +2.7 35
2004-02-28 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1578 1699 17.03% 24.12% 58.85% -2.7 26
2004-02-28 Burnley W 2-0 1730 1651 53.49% 26.46% 20.05% +6.4 53
2004-02-28 @ Millwall L 0-2 1651 1730 20.05% 26.46% 53.49% -6.4 38
2004-02-28 Cardiff City W 1-0 1811 1698 57.90% 24.57% 17.53% +2.9 52
2004-02-28 @ West Ham L 0-1 1698 1811 17.53% 24.57% 57.90% -2.9 46
2004-02-28 Derby County W 2-0 1686 1620 52.04% 27.00% 20.95% +6.6 46
2004-02-28 @ Coventry City L 0-2 1620 1686 20.95% 27.00% 52.04% -6.6 34
2004-02-28 Gillingham W 1-0 1735 1632 56.69% 25.12% 18.19% +3.0 50
2004-02-28 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1632 1735 18.19% 25.12% 56.69% -3.1 37
2004-02-28 Wimbledon FC W 4-0 1640 1604 47.96% 28.32% 23.72% +14.2 40
2004-02-28 @ Watford L 0-4 1604 1640 23.72% 28.32% 47.96% -14.2 18
2004-02-28 Preston North End W 2-0 1749 1721 46.84% 28.62% 24.54% +7.7 53
2004-02-28 @ Ipswich Town L 0-2 1721 1749 24.54% 28.62% 46.84% -7.7 46
2004-02-28 Rotherham United L 0-1 1769 1667 56.62% 25.15% 18.23% -7.7 60
2004-02-28 @ West Brom W 1-0 1667 1769 18.23% 25.15% 56.62% +7.7 41
2004-02-28 Sheffield United W 2-1 1694 1742 36.18% 30.14% 33.68% +4.9 52
2004-02-28 @ Reading L 1-2 1742 1694 33.68% 30.14% 36.18% -4.9 52
2004-02-28 Walsall W 1-0 1749 1635 57.99% 24.53% 17.48% +2.9 57
2004-02-28 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-1 1635 1749 17.48% 24.53% 57.99% -2.9 37
2004-03-02 Coventry City L 0-1 1695 1693 43.26% 29.41% 27.33% -6.3 46
2004-03-02 @ Cardiff City W 1-0 1693 1695 27.33% 29.41% 43.26% +6.3 49
2004-03-02 Ipswich Town W 2-0 1671 1757 31.04% 29.98% 38.98% +10.9 47
2004-03-02 @ Stoke City L 0-2 1757 1671 38.98% 29.98% 31.04% -10.9 53
2004-03-02 Millwall W 2-1 1737 1736 43.24% 29.41% 27.35% +4.2 55
2004-03-02 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1736 1737 27.35% 29.41% 43.24% -4.2 53
2004-03-02 Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1590 1701 27.83% 29.51% 42.66% -4.5 18
2004-03-02 @ Wimbledon FC W 1-0 1701 1590 42.66% 29.51% 27.83% +4.5 38
2004-03-02 Reading W 2-1 1714 1699 45.12% 29.03% 25.85% +4.0 49
2004-03-02 @ Preston North End L 1-2 1699 1714 25.85% 29.03% 45.12% -4.0 52
2004-03-02 West Brom D 0-0 1800 1762 48.24% 28.24% 23.52% -0.8 64
2004-03-02 @ Norwich City D 0-0 1762 1800 23.52% 28.24% 48.24% +0.8 61
2004-03-02 West Ham D 1-1 1645 1814 22.05% 27.58% 50.37% +0.9 39
2004-03-02 @ Burnley D 1-1 1814 1645 50.37% 27.58% 22.05% -0.9 53
2004-03-03 Crewe Alexandra D 0-0 1613 1671 34.77% 30.15% 35.07% +0.0 35
2004-03-03 @ Derby County D 0-0 1671 1613 35.07% 30.15% 34.77% -0.0 41
2004-03-03 Sunderland L 1-3 1632 1711 31.91% 30.05% 38.03% -8.2 37
2004-03-03 @ Walsall W 3-1 1711 1632 38.03% 30.05% 31.91% +8.2 51
2004-03-06 Bradford City L 1-2 1674 1575 56.16% 25.35% 18.49% -7.2 41
2004-03-06 @ Rotherham United W 2-1 1575 1674 18.49% 25.35% 56.16% +7.2 29
2004-03-06 Coventry City W 3-0 1763 1699 51.59% 27.17% 21.25% +9.8 64
2004-03-06 @ West Brom L 0-3 1699 1763 21.25% 27.17% 51.59% -9.8 49
2004-03-06 Crewe Alexandra L 2-3 1752 1671 53.83% 26.32% 19.84% -6.6 57
2004-03-06 @ Wigan Athletic W 3-2 1671 1752 19.84% 26.32% 53.83% +6.6 44
2004-03-06 Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1629 1706 32.19% 30.07% 37.74% +5.3 40
2004-03-06 @ Gillingham L 1-2 1706 1629 37.74% 30.07% 32.19% -5.3 38
2004-03-06 Preston North End D 1-1 1646 1718 32.87% 30.11% 37.02% +0.1 40
2004-03-06 @ Burnley D 1-1 1718 1646 37.02% 30.11% 32.87% -0.1 50
2004-03-06 Reading D 2-2 1739 1695 49.01% 28.01% 22.97% -0.6 51
2004-03-06 @ Crystal Palace D 2-2 1695 1739 22.97% 28.01% 49.01% +0.6 53
2004-03-06 Walsall D 0-0 1813 1624 66.78% 19.96% 13.26% -1.9 54
2004-03-06 @ West Ham D 0-0 1624 1813 13.26% 19.96% 66.78% +1.9 38
2004-03-06 Watford W 3-1 1682 1654 46.90% 28.61% 24.49% +6.6 50
2004-03-06 @ Stoke City L 1-3 1654 1682 24.49% 28.61% 46.90% -6.6 40
2004-03-07 Ipswich Town W 3-1 1799 1746 50.25% 27.62% 22.12% +6.1 67
2004-03-07 @ Norwich City L 1-3 1746 1799 22.12% 27.62% 50.25% -6.1 53
2004-03-09 Wimbledon FC W 5-0 1811 1585 70.76% 17.67% 11.57% +7.8 57
2004-03-09 @ West Ham L 0-5 1585 1811 11.57% 17.67% 70.76% -7.8 18
2004-03-09 Watford W 2-0 1582 1647 33.81% 30.14% 36.05% +10.3 32
2004-03-09 @ Bradford City L 0-2 1647 1582 36.05% 30.14% 33.81% -10.4 40
2004-03-10 Preston North End D 3-3 1719 1718 43.27% 29.40% 27.33% -0.3 52
2004-03-10 @ Sunderland D 3-3 1718 1719 27.33% 29.40% 43.27% +0.3 51
2004-03-13 Burnley W 4-0 1690 1646 48.96% 28.03% 23.01% +13.8 52
2004-03-13 @ Coventry City L 0-4 1646 1690 23.01% 28.03% 48.96% -13.8 40
2004-03-13 Crystal Palace W 3-2 1701 1738 37.77% 30.07% 32.16% +4.5 41
2004-03-13 @ Nottingham Forest L 2-3 1738 1701 32.16% 30.07% 37.77% -4.5 51
2004-03-13 Gillingham D 0-0 1718 1634 54.19% 26.18% 19.63% -1.2 52
2004-03-13 @ Preston North End D 0-0 1634 1718 19.63% 26.18% 54.19% +1.2 41
2004-03-13 Millwall L 1-3 1740 1732 44.17% 29.23% 26.60% -10.4 53
2004-03-13 @ Ipswich Town W 3-1 1732 1740 26.60% 29.23% 44.17% +10.4 56
2004-03-13 Wimbledon FC W 1-0 1626 1578 49.62% 27.83% 22.56% +3.8 41
2004-03-13 @ Walsall L 0-1 1578 1626 22.56% 27.83% 49.62% -3.8 18
2004-03-13 Norwich City W 2-1 1688 1805 27.24% 29.39% 43.37% +5.9 49
2004-03-13 @ Cardiff City L 1-2 1805 1688 43.37% 29.39% 27.24% -5.9 67
2004-03-13 Rotherham United W 1-0 1613 1667 35.35% 30.15% 34.49% +5.3 38
2004-03-13 @ Derby County L 0-1 1667 1613 34.49% 30.15% 35.35% -5.3 41
2004-03-13 Sheffield United L 0-2 1637 1742 28.68% 29.67% 41.65% -8.7 40
2004-03-13 @ Watford W 2-0 1742 1637 41.65% 29.67% 28.68% +8.8 58
2004-03-13 Stoke City D 0-0 1695 1689 43.94% 29.28% 26.78% -0.6 54
2004-03-13 @ Reading D 0-0 1689 1695 26.78% 29.28% 43.94% +0.6 51
2004-03-13 West Brom L 1-2 1678 1772 29.88% 29.85% 40.28% -4.5 44
2004-03-13 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-1 1772 1678 40.28% 29.85% 29.88% +4.5 67
2004-03-13 West Ham W 2-0 1719 1819 29.27% 29.76% 40.97% +11.3 55
2004-03-13 @ Sunderland L 0-2 1819 1719 40.97% 29.76% 29.27% -11.3 57
2004-03-13 Wigan Athletic D 0-0 1593 1745 23.51% 28.24% 48.25% +0.8 33
2004-03-13 @ Bradford City D 0-0 1745 1593 48.25% 28.24% 23.51% -0.8 58
2004-03-16 Derby County W 2-1 1628 1618 44.45% 29.18% 26.38% +4.1 43
2004-03-16 @ Watford L 1-2 1618 1628 26.38% 29.18% 44.45% -4.1 38
2004-03-16 Gillingham W 3-0 1799 1636 63.92% 21.53% 14.54% +6.4 70
2004-03-16 @ Norwich City L 0-3 1636 1799 14.54% 21.53% 63.92% -6.4 41
2004-03-16 Ipswich Town L 1-3 1630 1729 29.25% 29.76% 40.99% -7.7 41
2004-03-16 @ Walsall W 3-1 1729 1630 40.99% 29.76% 29.25% +7.7 56
2004-03-16 Reading L 2-3 1694 1695 42.97% 29.46% 27.57% -5.6 49
2004-03-16 @ Cardiff City W 3-2 1695 1694 27.57% 29.46% 42.97% +5.6 57
2004-03-16 Sheffield United D 1-1 1662 1750 30.66% 29.94% 39.40% +0.2 42
2004-03-16 @ Rotherham United D 1-1 1750 1662 39.40% 29.94% 30.66% -0.2 59
2004-03-16 Stoke City D 1-1 1730 1689 48.63% 28.13% 23.24% -0.8 56
2004-03-16 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1689 1730 23.24% 28.13% 48.63% +0.8 52
2004-03-16 Wigan Athletic W 2-1 1777 1744 47.50% 28.45% 24.05% +3.8 70
2004-03-16 @ West Brom L 1-2 1744 1777 24.05% 28.45% 47.50% -3.8 58
2004-03-17 Burnley D 1-1 1705 1632 52.82% 26.72% 20.47% -1.0 42
2004-03-17 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1632 1705 20.47% 26.72% 52.82% +1.0 41
2004-03-17 Crewe Alexandra W 4-2 1807 1673 60.44% 23.35% 16.22% +3.9 60
2004-03-17 @ West Ham L 2-4 1673 1807 16.22% 23.35% 60.44% -3.9 44
2004-03-17 Preston North End W 4-1 1703 1717 41.16% 29.74% 29.11% +10.8 55
2004-03-17 @ Coventry City L 1-4 1717 1703 29.11% 29.74% 41.16% -10.8 52
2004-03-20 Bradford City W 2-0 1750 1594 63.10% 21.97% 14.93% +4.6 62
2004-03-20 @ Sheffield United L 0-2 1594 1750 14.93% 21.97% 63.10% -4.6 33
2004-03-20 Cardiff City L 0-1 1669 1689 40.33% 29.84% 29.83% -5.9 44
2004-03-20 @ Crewe Alexandra W 1-0 1689 1669 29.83% 29.84% 40.33% +5.9 52
2004-03-20 Coventry City W 2-1 1741 1714 46.69% 28.66% 24.65% +3.9 61
2004-03-20 @ Wigan Athletic L 1-2 1714 1741 24.65% 28.66% 46.69% -3.9 55
2004-03-20 Norwich City W 1-0 1733 1806 32.82% 30.10% 37.08% +5.6 54
2004-03-20 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1806 1733 37.08% 30.10% 32.82% -5.6 70
2004-03-20 Nottingham Forest W 4-2 1614 1704 30.47% 29.92% 39.62% +8.6 41
2004-03-20 @ Derby County L 2-4 1704 1614 39.62% 29.92% 30.47% -8.6 42
2004-03-20 Rotherham United W 2-0 1629 1662 38.41% 30.02% 31.57% +9.4 44
2004-03-20 @ Gillingham L 0-2 1662 1629 31.57% 30.02% 38.41% -9.4 42
2004-03-20 Sunderland L 0-2 1700 1730 38.92% 29.98% 31.09% -10.9 57
2004-03-20 @ Reading W 2-0 1730 1700 31.09% 29.98% 38.92% +10.9 59
2004-03-20 Walsall L 1-2 1706 1622 54.25% 26.16% 19.59% -7.0 52
2004-03-20 @ Preston North End W 2-1 1622 1706 19.59% 26.16% 54.25% +7.0 44
2004-03-20 Watford W 4-1 1737 1632 56.85% 25.05% 18.10% +7.0 59
2004-03-20 @ Ipswich Town L 1-4 1632 1737 18.10% 25.05% 56.85% -7.0 43
2004-03-21 West Ham W 4-1 1742 1811 33.25% 30.12% 36.63% +12.8 59
2004-03-21 @ Millwall L 1-4 1811 1742 36.63% 30.12% 33.25% -12.8 60
2004-03-23 Derby County D 1-1 1755 1623 60.19% 23.47% 16.34% -1.4 63
2004-03-23 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1623 1755 16.34% 23.47% 60.19% +1.4 42
2004-03-23 Gillingham W 2-1 1741 1639 56.51% 25.20% 18.29% +2.9 62
2004-03-23 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1639 1741 18.29% 25.20% 56.51% -2.9 44
2004-03-23 Stoke City W 2-0 1663 1690 39.27% 29.95% 30.78% +9.2 47
2004-03-23 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-2 1690 1663 30.78% 29.95% 39.27% -9.2 52
2004-03-24 Millwall L 0-1 1574 1755 20.96% 27.01% 52.03% -3.5 18
2004-03-24 @ Wimbledon FC W 1-0 1755 1574 52.03% 27.01% 20.96% +3.5 62
2004-03-27 Burnley L 1-2 1589 1633 36.78% 30.12% 33.11% -5.2 33
2004-03-27 @ Bradford City W 2-1 1633 1589 33.11% 30.12% 36.78% +5.2 44
2004-03-27 Crewe Alexandra W 2-0 1696 1673 46.20% 28.78% 25.01% +7.8 45
2004-03-27 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1673 1696 25.01% 28.78% 46.20% -7.8 47
2004-03-27 Crystal Palace W 2-0 1781 1739 48.73% 28.10% 23.17% +7.3 73
2004-03-27 @ West Brom L 0-2 1739 1781 23.17% 28.10% 48.73% -7.3 54
2004-03-27 Derby County W 2-1 1743 1624 58.66% 24.21% 17.13% +2.7 65
2004-03-27 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1624 1743 17.13% 24.21% 58.66% -2.7 42
2004-03-27 Gillingham W 2-1 1798 1636 63.82% 21.59% 14.59% +2.2 63
2004-03-27 @ West Ham L 1-2 1636 1798 14.59% 21.59% 63.82% -2.2 44
2004-03-27 Ipswich Town L 1-2 1570 1744 21.57% 27.34% 51.08% -3.4 18
2004-03-27 @ Wimbledon FC W 2-1 1744 1570 51.08% 27.34% 21.57% +3.4 62
2004-03-27 Millwall D 1-1 1629 1758 25.84% 29.03% 45.12% +0.6 45
2004-03-27 @ Walsall D 1-1 1758 1629 45.12% 29.03% 25.84% -0.6 63
2004-03-27 Preston North End W 1-0 1653 1699 36.49% 30.13% 33.38% +5.2 45
2004-03-27 @ Rotherham United L 0-1 1699 1653 33.38% 30.13% 36.49% -5.2 52
2004-03-27 Reading L 1-2 1710 1689 45.92% 28.85% 25.23% -6.2 55
2004-03-27 @ Coventry City W 2-1 1689 1710 25.23% 28.85% 45.92% +6.2 60
2004-03-27 Sheffield United W 2-1 1695 1753 34.72% 30.15% 35.13% +5.1 55
2004-03-27 @ Cardiff City L 1-2 1753 1695 35.13% 30.15% 34.72% -5.1 63
2004-03-27 Stoke City W 1-0 1800 1681 58.63% 24.23% 17.14% +2.9 73
2004-03-27 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1681 1800 17.14% 24.23% 58.63% -2.9 52
2004-03-27 Wigan Athletic D 1-1 1625 1745 26.98% 29.33% 43.69% +0.5 44
2004-03-27 @ Watford D 1-1 1745 1625 43.69% 29.33% 26.98% -0.5 62
2004-04-03 Bradford City W 1-0 1694 1584 57.51% 24.75% 17.74% +3.0 55
2004-04-03 @ Preston North End L 0-1 1584 1694 17.74% 24.75% 57.51% -3.0 33
2004-04-03 Cardiff City L 1-2 1633 1700 33.64% 30.14% 36.22% -4.9 44
2004-04-03 @ Gillingham W 2-1 1700 1633 36.22% 30.14% 33.64% +4.9 58
2004-04-03 Coventry City W 1-0 1678 1704 39.39% 29.94% 30.67% +4.9 55
2004-04-03 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1704 1678 30.67% 29.94% 39.39% -4.9 55
2004-04-03 Wimbledon FC L 0-1 1744 1567 65.49% 20.68% 13.83% -8.5 62
2004-04-03 @ Wigan Athletic W 1-0 1567 1744 13.83% 20.68% 65.49% +8.5 21
2004-04-03 Norwich City L 3-5 1639 1803 22.41% 27.76% 49.83% -5.2 44
2004-04-03 @ Burnley W 5-3 1803 1639 49.83% 27.76% 22.41% +5.2 76
2004-04-03 Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1748 1703 49.14% 27.98% 22.88% -6.5 63
2004-04-03 @ Sheffield United W 2-1 1703 1748 22.88% 27.98% 49.14% +6.5 48
2004-04-03 Rotherham United D 0-0 1665 1658 44.01% 29.27% 26.73% -0.6 48
2004-04-03 @ Crewe Alexandra D 0-0 1658 1665 26.73% 29.27% 44.01% +0.6 46
2004-04-03 Walsall L 0-1 1621 1630 41.91% 29.63% 28.46% -6.1 42
2004-04-03 @ Derby County W 1-0 1630 1621 28.46% 29.63% 41.91% +6.1 48
2004-04-03 West Ham W 2-0 1696 1801 28.61% 29.66% 41.73% +11.5 63
2004-04-03 @ Reading L 0-2 1801 1696 41.73% 29.66% 28.61% -11.5 63
2004-04-04 West Brom L 2-3 1748 1788 37.32% 30.09% 32.59% -5.0 62
2004-04-04 @ Ipswich Town W 3-2 1788 1748 32.59% 30.09% 37.32% +5.0 76
2004-04-06 Crystal Palace L 1-2 1658 1732 32.67% 30.10% 37.23% -4.8 46
2004-04-06 @ Rotherham United W 2-1 1732 1658 37.23% 30.10% 32.67% +4.8 57
2004-04-06 Sunderland L 1-2 1575 1746 21.84% 27.48% 50.68% -3.5 21
2004-04-06 @ Wimbledon FC W 2-1 1746 1575 50.68% 27.48% 21.84% +3.5 68
2004-04-06 Wigan Athletic L 0-3 1629 1736 28.38% 29.62% 42.01% -12.6 44
2004-04-06 @ Gillingham W 3-0 1736 1629 42.01% 29.62% 28.38% +12.6 65
2004-04-07 Cardiff City D 0-0 1758 1705 50.26% 27.62% 22.12% -1.0 64
2004-04-07 @ Millwall D 0-0 1705 1758 22.12% 27.62% 50.26% +1.0 59
2004-04-09 Sheffield United W 3-0 1750 1742 44.14% 29.24% 26.62% +12.0 71
2004-04-09 @ Sunderland L 0-3 1742 1750 26.62% 29.24% 44.14% -12.0 63
2004-04-09 Wigan Athletic W 2-0 1808 1748 51.14% 27.32% 21.53% +6.8 79
2004-04-09 @ Norwich City L 0-2 1748 1808 21.53% 27.32% 51.14% -6.8 65
2004-04-10 Burnley L 0-1 1636 1633 43.36% 29.39% 27.25% -6.3 48
2004-04-10 @ Walsall W 1-0 1633 1636 27.25% 29.39% 43.36% +6.3 47
2004-04-10 Crewe Alexandra W 2-1 1626 1664 37.64% 30.08% 32.29% +4.8 47
2004-04-10 @ Watford L 1-2 1664 1626 32.29% 30.08% 37.64% -4.8 48
2004-04-10 Crystal Palace L 0-2 1706 1737 38.68% 30.00% 31.31% -10.9 59
2004-04-10 @ Cardiff City W 2-0 1737 1706 31.31% 30.00% 38.68% +10.9 60
2004-04-10 Derby County D 0-0 1789 1615 65.10% 20.90% 14.01% -1.8 64
2004-04-10 @ West Ham D 0-0 1615 1789 14.01% 20.90% 65.10% +1.8 43
2004-04-10 Gillingham W 1-0 1793 1616 65.47% 20.69% 13.84% +2.2 79
2004-04-10 @ West Brom L 0-1 1616 1793 13.84% 20.69% 65.47% -2.2 44
2004-04-10 Ipswich Town L 1-3 1654 1742 30.61% 29.93% 39.46% -8.0 46
2004-04-10 @ Rotherham United W 3-1 1742 1654 39.46% 29.93% 30.61% +8.0 65
2004-04-10 Millwall W 4-0 1699 1757 34.85% 30.15% 34.99% +19.2 58
2004-04-10 @ Coventry City L 0-4 1757 1699 34.99% 30.15% 34.85% -19.2 64
2004-04-10 Preston North End D 3-3 1572 1697 26.34% 29.17% 44.49% +0.3 22
2004-04-10 @ Wimbledon FC D 3-3 1697 1572 44.49% 29.17% 26.34% -0.3 56
2004-04-10 Reading W 2-1 1581 1707 26.18% 29.13% 44.69% +6.0 36
2004-04-10 @ Bradford City L 1-2 1707 1581 44.69% 29.13% 26.18% -6.0 63
2004-04-10 Stoke City D 0-0 1710 1683 46.74% 28.65% 24.61% -0.7 49
2004-04-10 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1683 1710 24.61% 28.65% 46.74% +0.7 56
2004-04-12 Bradford City W 3-2 1617 1587 47.19% 28.53% 24.28% +3.6 46
2004-04-12 @ Derby County L 2-3 1587 1617 24.28% 28.53% 47.19% -3.6 36
2004-04-12 Coventry City W 3-1 1659 1718 34.67% 30.15% 35.18% +8.8 51
2004-04-12 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-3 1718 1659 35.18% 30.15% 34.67% -8.8 58
2004-04-12 Wimbledon FC W 2-1 1730 1572 63.22% 21.91% 14.87% +2.3 66
2004-04-12 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1572 1730 14.87% 21.91% 63.22% -2.3 22
2004-04-12 Norwich City L 0-1 1701 1815 27.57% 29.46% 42.97% -4.5 63
2004-04-12 @ Reading W 1-0 1815 1701 42.97% 29.46% 27.57% +4.5 82
2004-04-12 Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1696 1709 41.25% 29.72% 29.02% -0.3 57
2004-04-12 @ Preston North End D 2-2 1709 1696 29.02% 29.72% 41.25% +0.3 50
2004-04-12 Rotherham United L 0-2 1684 1646 48.25% 28.24% 23.51% -12.8 56
2004-04-12 @ Stoke City W 2-0 1646 1684 23.51% 28.24% 48.25% +12.8 49
2004-04-12 Sunderland W 1-0 1750 1762 41.50% 29.69% 28.81% +4.6 68
2004-04-12 @ Ipswich Town L 0-1 1762 1750 28.81% 29.69% 41.50% -4.7 71
2004-04-12 Walsall W 3-0 1614 1629 40.85% 29.78% 29.37% +12.9 47
2004-04-12 @ Gillingham L 0-3 1629 1614 29.37% 29.78% 40.85% -12.9 48
2004-04-12 Watford L 2-3 1640 1631 44.28% 29.21% 26.51% -5.7 47
2004-04-12 @ Burnley W 3-2 1631 1640 26.51% 29.21% 44.28% +5.7 50
2004-04-12 West Brom D 1-1 1738 1795 34.87% 30.15% 34.98% +0.0 65
2004-04-12 @ Millwall D 1-1 1795 1738 34.98% 30.15% 34.87% -0.0 80
2004-04-12 West Ham W 1-0 1747 1787 37.41% 30.09% 32.50% +5.1 63
2004-04-12 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1787 1747 32.50% 30.09% 37.41% -5.1 64
2004-04-13 Cardiff City W 3-0 1741 1695 49.38% 27.90% 22.72% +10.4 68
2004-04-13 @ Wigan Athletic L 0-3 1695 1741 22.72% 27.90% 49.38% -10.4 59
2004-04-17 Burnley W 2-0 1684 1634 49.88% 27.74% 22.38% +7.1 62
2004-04-17 @ Cardiff City L 0-2 1634 1684 22.38% 27.74% 49.88% -7.1 47
2004-04-17 Coventry City W 2-0 1782 1710 52.78% 26.73% 20.49% +6.5 67
2004-04-17 @ West Ham L 0-2 1710 1782 20.49% 26.73% 52.78% -6.5 58
2004-04-17 Crewe Alexandra D 1-1 1697 1668 46.93% 28.60% 24.47% -0.7 64
2004-04-17 @ Reading D 1-1 1668 1697 24.47% 28.60% 46.93% +0.7 52
2004-04-17 Ipswich Town L 1-2 1627 1755 25.95% 29.06% 44.98% -4.0 47
2004-04-17 @ Gillingham W 2-1 1755 1627 44.98% 29.06% 25.95% +4.0 71
2004-04-17 Millwall D 2-2 1709 1738 39.07% 29.97% 30.96% -0.2 51
2004-04-17 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1738 1709 30.96% 29.97% 39.07% +0.2 66
2004-04-17 Wimbledon FC L 2-3 1583 1570 44.89% 29.08% 26.03% -5.8 36
2004-04-17 @ Bradford City W 3-2 1570 1583 26.03% 29.08% 44.89% +5.8 25
2004-04-17 Preston North End W 5-1 1621 1696 32.38% 30.08% 37.54% +16.8 49
2004-04-17 @ Derby County L 1-5 1696 1621 37.54% 30.08% 32.38% -16.8 57
2004-04-17 Stoke City L 0-1 1732 1671 51.29% 27.27% 21.44% -7.1 66
2004-04-17 @ Sheffield United W 1-0 1671 1732 21.44% 27.27% 51.29% +7.1 59
2004-04-17 Walsall W 5-0 1819 1616 68.35% 19.07% 12.58% +8.6 85
2004-04-17 @ Norwich City L 0-5 1616 1819 12.58% 19.07% 68.35% -8.6 48
2004-04-17 Watford D 1-1 1658 1636 46.08% 28.81% 25.11% -0.6 50
2004-04-17 @ Rotherham United D 1-1 1636 1658 25.11% 28.81% 46.08% +0.6 51
2004-04-17 Wigan Athletic D 1-1 1752 1752 43.15% 29.43% 27.42% -0.5 64
2004-04-17 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 1752 1752 27.42% 29.43% 43.15% +0.5 69
2004-04-18 West Brom L 0-1 1757 1795 37.62% 30.08% 32.30% -5.7 71
2004-04-18 @ Sunderland W 1-0 1795 1757 32.30% 30.08% 37.62% +5.7 83
2004-04-20 Wimbledon FC W 2-0 1627 1576 49.99% 27.71% 22.30% +7.1 50
2004-04-20 @ Burnley L 0-2 1576 1627 22.30% 27.71% 49.99% -7.1 25
2004-04-20 Watford L 1-2 1738 1637 56.37% 25.26% 18.37% -7.2 66
2004-04-20 @ Millwall W 2-1 1637 1738 18.37% 25.26% 56.37% +7.2 54
2004-04-21 Sunderland W 3-0 1752 1751 43.16% 29.42% 27.42% +12.3 67
2004-04-21 @ Crystal Palace L 0-3 1751 1752 27.42% 29.42% 43.16% -12.3 71
2004-04-24 Bradford City W 2-0 1801 1577 70.55% 17.80% 11.66% +3.3 86
2004-04-24 @ West Brom L 0-2 1577 1801 11.66% 17.80% 70.55% -3.4 36
2004-04-24 Cardiff City D 2-2 1679 1691 41.35% 29.71% 28.94% -0.3 58
2004-04-24 @ Preston North End D 2-2 1691 1679 28.94% 29.71% 41.35% +0.3 63
2004-04-24 Crystal Palace L 2-3 1669 1764 29.79% 29.84% 40.38% -4.3 52
2004-04-24 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-2 1764 1669 40.38% 29.84% 29.79% +4.3 70
2004-04-24 Derby County W 1-0 1634 1638 42.54% 29.53% 27.93% +4.5 53
2004-04-24 @ Burnley L 0-1 1638 1634 27.93% 29.53% 42.54% -4.5 49
2004-04-24 Gillingham L 1-2 1569 1623 35.38% 30.15% 34.47% -5.1 25
2004-04-24 @ Wimbledon FC W 2-1 1623 1569 34.47% 30.15% 35.38% +5.1 50
2004-04-24 Norwich City L 1-2 1644 1828 20.74% 26.88% 52.37% -3.3 54
2004-04-24 @ Watford W 2-1 1828 1644 52.37% 26.88% 20.74% +3.3 88
2004-04-24 Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1759 1709 49.82% 27.76% 22.42% -6.6 71
2004-04-24 @ Ipswich Town W 2-1 1709 1759 22.42% 27.76% 49.82% +6.6 54
2004-04-24 Reading L 0-1 1731 1696 47.80% 28.37% 23.83% -6.8 66
2004-04-24 @ Millwall W 1-0 1696 1731 23.83% 28.37% 47.80% +6.8 67
2004-04-24 Rotherham United D 1-1 1703 1658 49.21% 27.95% 22.83% -0.8 59
2004-04-24 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1658 1703 22.83% 27.95% 49.21% +0.8 51
2004-04-24 Sheffield United L 0-1 1608 1725 27.21% 29.38% 43.41% -4.5 48
2004-04-24 @ Walsall W 1-0 1725 1608 43.41% 29.38% 27.21% +4.5 69
2004-04-24 Sunderland D 0-0 1752 1739 44.87% 29.09% 26.04% -0.6 70
2004-04-24 @ Wigan Athletic D 0-0 1739 1752 26.04% 29.09% 44.87% +0.6 72
2004-04-24 West Ham L 0-2 1678 1789 27.94% 29.53% 42.52% -8.6 59
2004-04-24 @ Stoke City W 2-0 1789 1678 42.52% 29.53% 27.94% +8.6 70
2004-04-30 Ipswich Town D 1-1 1729 1753 39.77% 29.90% 30.32% -0.3 70
2004-04-30 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1753 1729 30.32% 29.90% 39.77% +0.3 72
2004-05-01 Burnley W 3-0 1659 1638 45.82% 28.87% 25.30% +11.5 54
2004-05-01 @ Rotherham United L 0-3 1638 1659 25.30% 28.87% 45.82% -11.5 53
2004-05-01 Coventry City L 2-5 1628 1702 32.49% 30.09% 37.42% -10.2 50
2004-05-01 @ Gillingham W 5-2 1702 1628 37.42% 30.09% 32.49% +10.2 62
2004-05-01 Crewe Alexandra D 1-1 1740 1665 53.09% 26.61% 20.30% -1.0 73
2004-05-01 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1665 1740 20.30% 26.61% 53.09% +1.0 53
2004-05-01 Millwall W 2-0 1633 1724 30.35% 29.91% 39.74% +11.1 52
2004-05-01 @ Derby County L 0-2 1724 1633 39.74% 29.91% 30.35% -11.1 66
2004-05-01 Wimbledon FC D 1-1 1692 1563 59.73% 23.70% 16.57% -1.3 64
2004-05-01 @ Cardiff City D 1-1 1563 1692 16.57% 23.70% 59.73% +1.4 26
2004-05-01 Preston North End W 3-2 1831 1679 62.61% 22.23% 15.16% +2.2 91
2004-05-01 @ Norwich City L 2-3 1679 1831 15.16% 22.23% 62.61% -2.2 58
2004-05-01 Stoke City L 0-2 1574 1669 29.79% 29.84% 40.37% -9.0 36
2004-05-01 @ Bradford City W 2-0 1669 1574 40.37% 29.84% 29.79% +9.0 62
2004-05-01 Walsall W 1-0 1769 1603 64.12% 21.43% 14.45% +2.3 73
2004-05-01 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1603 1769 14.45% 21.43% 64.12% -2.3 48
2004-05-01 Watford W 4-0 1797 1641 63.08% 21.99% 14.94% +8.7 73
2004-05-01 @ West Ham L 0-4 1641 1797 14.94% 21.99% 63.08% -8.7 54
2004-05-01 West Brom W 1-0 1703 1804 29.02% 29.72% 41.26% +6.1 70
2004-05-01 @ Reading L 0-1 1804 1703 41.26% 29.72% 29.02% -6.0 86
2004-05-01 Wigan Athletic W 1-0 1716 1752 38.00% 30.05% 31.95% +5.0 57
2004-05-01 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1752 1716 31.95% 30.05% 38.00% -5.0 70
2004-05-04 Norwich City W 1-0 1739 1834 29.84% 29.84% 40.32% +5.9 76
2004-05-04 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1834 1739 40.32% 29.84% 29.84% -5.9 91
2004-05-04 West Brom W 4-1 1678 1798 26.90% 29.31% 43.79% +14.6 65
2004-05-04 @ Stoke City L 1-4 1798 1678 43.79% 29.31% 26.90% -14.6 86
2004-05-09 Bradford City W 1-0 1713 1565 62.07% 22.52% 15.42% +2.5 69
2004-05-09 @ Millwall L 0-1 1565 1713 15.42% 22.52% 62.07% -2.5 36
2004-05-09 Cardiff City D 1-1 1753 1690 51.49% 27.20% 21.31% -0.9 73
2004-05-09 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 1690 1753 21.31% 27.20% 51.49% +0.9 65
2004-05-09 Crystal Palace W 2-1 1713 1771 34.75% 30.15% 35.09% +5.1 65
2004-05-09 @ Coventry City L 1-2 1771 1713 35.09% 30.15% 34.75% -5.1 73
2004-05-09 Derby County W 1-0 1565 1644 31.87% 30.05% 38.08% +5.7 29
2004-05-09 @ Wimbledon FC L 0-1 1644 1565 38.08% 30.05% 31.87% -5.7 52
2004-05-09 Gillingham D 0-0 1693 1618 53.16% 26.59% 20.25% -1.1 66
2004-05-09 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1618 1693 20.25% 26.59% 53.16% +1.1 51
2004-05-09 Norwich City L 1-3 1666 1828 22.63% 27.86% 49.51% -6.2 53
2004-05-09 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-1 1828 1666 49.51% 27.86% 22.63% +6.2 94
2004-05-09 Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1784 1721 51.51% 27.19% 21.29% -13.5 86
2004-05-09 @ West Brom W 2-0 1721 1784 21.29% 27.19% 51.51% +13.5 60
2004-05-09 Reading W 1-0 1632 1709 32.25% 30.07% 37.68% +5.7 57
2004-05-09 @ Watford L 0-1 1709 1632 37.68% 30.07% 32.25% -5.7 70
2004-05-09 Rotherham United W 3-2 1601 1670 33.25% 30.12% 36.63% +5.0 51
2004-05-09 @ Walsall L 2-3 1670 1601 36.63% 30.12% 33.25% -5.0 54
2004-05-09 Sheffield United D 3-3 1677 1729 35.64% 30.15% 34.21% -0.0 59
2004-05-09 @ Preston North End D 3-3 1729 1677 34.21% 30.15% 35.64% +0.0 71
2004-05-09 Sunderland L 1-2 1627 1745 27.15% 29.37% 43.48% -4.2 53
2004-05-09 @ Burnley W 2-1 1745 1627 43.48% 29.37% 27.15% +4.2 79
2004-05-09 West Ham D 1-1 1747 1806 34.61% 30.15% 35.24% +0.0 71
2004-05-09 @ Wigan Athletic D 1-1 1806 1747 35.24% 30.15% 34.61% -0.0 74

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2004-05-14 Sunderland W 3-2 1766 1749 45.41% 28.97% 25.62% +3.8 1-0
2004-05-14 @ Crystal Palace L 2-3 1749 1766 25.62% 28.97% 45.41% -3.8 0-1
2004-05-15 West Ham W 1-0 1752 1806 35.38% 30.15% 34.46% +5.3 1-0
2004-05-15 @ Ipswich Town L 0-1 1806 1752 34.46% 30.15% 35.38% -5.3 0-1
2004-05-17 Crystal Palace W 2-1 1745 1770 39.57% 29.92% 30.51% +4.6 1-1
2004-05-17 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1770 1745 30.51% 29.92% 39.57% -4.6 1-1
2004-05-18 Ipswich Town W 2-0 1801 1757 48.95% 28.03% 23.01% +7.3 1-1
2004-05-18 @ West Ham L 0-2 1757 1801 23.01% 28.03% 48.95% -7.3 1-1
2004-05-29 West Ham W 1-0 1765 1808 36.99% 30.11% 32.90% +5.2 2-1
2004-05-29 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1808 1765 32.90% 30.11% 36.99% -5.1 1-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2004-01-10 12.23% Bradford City 1582 1 @ Norwich City 1793 0
2 2003-12-09 13.03% Stoke City 1622 1 @ West Ham 1815 0
3 2004-04-03 13.83% Wimbledon FC 1567 1 @ Wigan Athletic 1744 0
4 2003-09-20 16.37% Coventry City 1636 2 @ Reading 1767 1
5 2003-11-01 16.48% Gillingham 1638 4 @ Ipswich Town 1768 3
6 2003-08-23 16.82% Cardiff City 1628 2 @ Nottingham Forest 1752 1
7 2003-11-15 17.48% Watford 1645 2 @ Norwich City 1759 1
8 2004-02-28 18.23% Rotherham United 1667 1 @ West Brom 1769 0
9 2004-04-20 18.37% Watford 1637 2 @ Millwall 1738 1
10 2003-10-21 18.42% Wimbledon FC 1644 1 @ West Brom 1744 0
11 2003-10-21 18.42% Walsall 1650 1 @ Reading 1750 0
12 2004-03-06 18.49% Bradford City 1575 2 @ Rotherham United 1674 1
13 2003-12-26 18.65% Wimbledon FC 1616 3 @ Reading 1713 0
14 2003-12-28 18.76% Crystal Palace 1678 3 @ Ipswich Town 1774 1
15 2004-01-10 19.53% Preston North End 1727 2 @ West Ham 1812 1
16 2004-03-20 19.59% Walsall 1622 2 @ Preston North End 1706 1
17 2003-09-16 19.66% Bradford City 1634 1 @ Crystal Palace 1718 0
18 2004-03-06 19.84% Crewe Alexandra 1671 3 @ Wigan Athletic 1752 2
19 2003-10-01 20.44% Preston North End 1695 1 @ Nottingham Forest 1768 0
20 2003-12-28 20.75% Gillingham 1648 2 @ Millwall 1717 1
21 2003-12-20 20.85% Crystal Palace 1665 3 @ Reading 1733 0
22 2003-12-26 20.91% Rotherham United 1664 2 @ Wigan Athletic 1732 1
23 2003-09-20 21.14% @ Gillingham 1638 2 West Ham 1817 0
24 2004-05-09 21.29% Nottingham Forest 1721 2 @ West Brom 1784 0
25 2003-11-08 21.40% West Brom 1748 4 @ West Ham 1810 3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-01-17 23.84 Coventry City 6 1649 25.39% @ Walsall 1 1668 45.71% 28.90%
2 2003-09-13 20.93 @ Cardiff City 5 1646 40.65% Gillingham 0 1663 29.54% 29.80%
3 2003-12-26 20.81 Wimbledon FC 3 1616 18.65% @ Reading 0 1713 55.87% 25.48%
4 2003-08-30 20.33 Sunderland 4 1686 32.07% @ Bradford City 0 1650 37.87% 30.06%
5 2003-12-20 19.78 Crystal Palace 3 1665 20.85% @ Reading 0 1733 52.21% 26.94%
6 2003-08-25 19.38 Burnley 3 1620 21.73% @ Gillingham 0 1678 50.85% 27.42%
7 2004-04-10 19.22 @ Coventry City 4 1699 34.85% Millwall 0 1757 34.99% 30.15%
8 2004-02-07 18.92 Crystal Palace 3 1716 22.81% @ Sheffield United 0 1761 49.25% 27.94%
9 2004-02-21 18.87 @ Cardiff City 4 1679 35.77% Sunderland 0 1730 34.08% 30.15%
10 2003-08-09 17.66 Stoke City 3 1643 25.95% @ Derby County 0 1657 44.99% 29.06%
11 2003-12-13 17.29 @ Stoke City 3 1631 26.95% Reading 0 1750 43.73% 29.32%
12 2003-11-25 17.26 @ Burnley 3 1634 27.04% Reading 0 1752 43.62% 29.34%
13 2003-11-29 17.09 West Brom 3 1754 27.52% @ Nottingham Forest 0 1754 43.03% 29.45%
14 2004-04-17 16.83 @ Derby County 5 1621 32.38% Preston North End 1 1696 37.54% 30.08%
15 2003-11-01 16.76 @ Wigan Athletic 5 1737 49.46% Crystal Palace 0 1689 22.66% 27.88%
16 2003-10-18 16.63 @ Nottingham Forest 6 1754 55.43% Wimbledon FC 0 1660 18.90% 25.67%
17 2003-09-20 16.58 @ Burnley 4 1632 41.70% Bradford City 0 1642 28.64% 29.66%
18 2004-01-17 16.42 Crystal Palace 5 1690 33.60% @ Watford 1 1642 36.27% 30.14%
19 2004-02-07 15.66 @ Rotherham United 5 1655 35.96% Reading 1 1705 33.89% 30.14%
20 2003-08-30 15.56 Wigan Athletic 3 1712 32.07% @ Rotherham United 0 1675 37.87% 30.06%
21 2003-08-30 15.52 Reading 3 1753 32.18% @ Wimbledon FC 0 1715 37.75% 30.07%
22 2003-11-22 14.99 @ Crewe Alexandra 3 1665 33.93% Sunderland 0 1729 35.93% 30.14%
23 2004-02-21 14.89 Coventry City 3 1672 34.27% @ Wimbledon FC 0 1619 35.58% 30.15%
24 2004-05-04 14.59 @ Stoke City 4 1678 26.90% West Brom 1 1798 43.79% 29.31%
25 2004-02-07 14.39 @ Preston North End 3 1725 35.93% West Brom 0 1775 33.93% 30.14%