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1973-74 Football League Second Division Season

462 games

Final

Promoted

Middlesbrough

65 pts

Luton Town · 50 pts

Carlisle United · 49 pts

Relegated

Swindon Town

25 pts

Preston North End · 31 pts

Crystal Palace · 34 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Middlesbrough

15.82 points above expected

65 points · 49.18 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Swindon Town

11.85 points below expected

25 points · 36.85 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Middlesbrough Promoted 42 27 11 4 65 77 30 +47 49.18 +15.82
2 Luton Town Promoted 42 19 12 11 50 64 51 +13 44.47 +5.53
3 Carlisle United Promoted 42 20 9 13 49 61 48 +13 43.26 +5.74
4 Leyton Orient 42 15 18 9 48 55 42 +13 44.89 +3.11
5 Blackpool 42 17 13 12 47 57 40 +17 45.85 +1.15
6 Sunderland 42 19 9 14 47 58 44 +14 46.23 +0.77
7 Nottingham Forest 42 15 15 12 45 57 43 +14 45.02 -0.02
8 West Brom 42 14 16 12 44 48 45 +3 46.72 -2.72
9 Hull City 42 13 17 12 43 46 47 -1 42.74 +0.26
10 Notts County 42 15 13 14 43 55 60 -5 35.45 +7.55
11 Bolton Wanderers 42 15 12 15 42 44 40 +4 34.88 +7.12
12 Millwall 42 14 14 14 42 51 51 0 43.82 -1.82
13 Fulham 42 16 10 16 42 39 43 -4 41.72 +0.28
14 Aston Villa 42 13 15 14 41 48 45 +3 42.62 -1.62
15 Portsmouth 42 14 12 16 40 45 62 -17 39.04 +0.96
16 Bristol City 42 14 10 18 38 47 54 -7 44.69 -6.69
17 Oxford United 42 10 16 16 36 35 46 -11 39.81 -3.81
18 Cardiff City 42 10 16 16 36 49 62 -13 37.65 -1.65
19 Sheffield Wednesday 42 12 11 19 35 51 63 -12 40.50 -5.50
20 Crystal Palace Relegated 42 11 12 19 34 43 56 -13 42.58 -8.58
21 Preston North End Relegated 42 9 14 19 32 40 62 -22 35.02 -3.02
22 Swindon Town Relegated 42 7 11 24 25 36 72 -36 36.85 -11.85

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Middlesbrough 1866 65 49.18 +15.82 100.0% 29 41 46 49 52 57 67
Blackpool 1751 47 45.85 +1.15 63.2% 29 38 43 46 49 54 64
Sunderland 1749 47 46.23 +0.77 60.4% 27 38 43 46 49 54 66
West Brom 1734 44 46.72 -2.72 32.0% 27 39 44 47 50 55 66
Carlisle United 1734 49 43.26 +5.74 90.5% 26 35 40 43 47 51 62
Luton Town 1729 50 44.47 +5.53 89.6% 26 37 41 45 48 52 62
Nottingham Forest 1727 45 45.02 -0.02 53.6% 27 37 42 45 48 53 65
Leyton Orient 1726 48 44.89 +3.11 77.4% 26 37 42 45 48 53 63
Millwall 1716 42 43.82 -1.82 38.8% 25 36 41 44 47 52 60
Hull City 1697 43 42.74 +0.26 56.2% 25 35 39 43 46 51 60
Aston Villa 1691 41 42.62 -1.62 40.7% 27 35 39 43 46 50 61
Crystal Palace 1687 34 42.58 -8.58 4.3% 26 35 39 43 46 51 61
Bristol City 1674 38 44.69 -6.69 9.9% 25 37 41 45 48 53 63
Fulham 1674 42 41.72 +0.28 56.4% 24 34 39 42 45 50 59
Sheffield Wednesday 1664 35 40.50 -5.50 14.9% 23 33 37 41 44 48 56
Oxford United 1650 36 39.81 -3.81 24.7% 22 32 37 40 43 48 58
Bolton Wanderers 1648 42 34.88 +7.12 94.5% 17 27 32 35 38 43 52
Portsmouth 1637 40 39.04 +0.96 61.7% 21 31 36 39 42 47 57
Cardiff City 1626 36 37.65 -1.65 40.7% 19 30 34 38 41 45 54
Notts County 1616 43 35.45 +7.55 95.0% 18 28 32 35 39 44 53
Preston North End 1586 32 35.02 -3.02 24.0% 17 27 32 35 38 43 53
Swindon Town 1563 25 36.85 -11.85 0.8% 20 29 34 37 40 45 55

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AV BLA BW BC CC CU CP FUL HC LO LT MID MIL NF NC OU POR PNE SW SUN ST WB
Aston Villa —
0-0-2
2.49
1-1-0
3.18
1-1-0
2.52
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.41
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.68
0-2-0
2.77
0-2-0
2.60
0-0-2
2.59
0-2-0
2.30
0-2-0
2.58
2-0-0
2.56
0-1-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
3.05
1-1-0
3.07
2-0-0
2.79
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
3.29
0-0-2
2.28
Blackpool
2-0-0
2.85
 —
0-1-1
3.59
1-1-0
2.71
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
2.79
2-0-0
2.73
1-1-0
2.79
0-0-2
2.99
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.76
0-2-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.80
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.24
2-0-0
3.30
0-2-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.72
1-0-1
3.59
0-1-1
2.51
Bolton Wanderers
0-1-1
2.17
1-1-0
1.78
 —
1-0-1
2.04
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.11
1-1-0
2.05
0-1-1
2.40
1-1-0
1.99
0-1-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.07
1-1-0
1.58
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
1.96
0-1-1
2.70
2-0-0
2.41
2-0-0
2.17
0-0-2
2.77
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
1.68
1-1-0
2.47
0-2-0
1.87
Bristol City
0-1-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.65
1-0-1
3.34
 —
2-0-0
3.10
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.85
0-0-2
2.93
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
2.84
0-1-1
2.61
2-0-0
2.65
1-1-0
2.46
0-1-1
3.12
0-1-1
3.07
0-0-2
3.09
0-2-0
3.28
1-0-1
2.94
2-0-0
2.48
2-0-0
3.06
0-2-0
2.52
Cardiff City
0-0-2
2.47
1-0-1
2.24
1-1-0
2.70
0-0-2
2.24
 —
0-2-0
2.34
0-2-0
2.38
1-1-0
2.47
0-1-1
2.45
1-1-0
2.09
0-1-1
2.19
1-0-1
1.51
0-0-2
2.24
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.50
1-1-0
2.07
1-1-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.11
Carlisle United
1-0-1
2.93
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
3.23
1-0-1
2.72
0-2-0
2.99
 —
2-0-0
2.72
2-0-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.73
2-0-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.33
1-1-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.60
2-0-0
3.10
2-0-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.78
1-1-0
3.16
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
3.18
0-1-1
2.40
Crystal Palace
0-1-1
2.64
0-0-2
2.61
0-1-1
3.30
2-0-0
2.51
0-2-0
2.95
0-0-2
2.63
 —
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-2
2.66
0-1-1
2.35
0-0-2
2.52
0-0-2
2.48
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
3.20
1-1-0
2.80
0-2-0
2.94
1-1-0
2.92
0-1-1
2.81
1-1-0
2.33
2-0-0
3.15
1-0-1
2.29
Fulham
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.96
2-0-0
2.40
0-1-1
2.88
0-0-2
2.64
1-0-1
2.48
 —
0-1-1
2.53
0-0-2
2.70
1-1-0
2.54
1-0-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.82
1-1-0
3.05
2-0-0
2.74
0-0-2
2.47
1-1-0
3.02
0-1-1
2.34
Hull City
0-2-0
2.56
2-0-0
2.36
0-1-1
3.37
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
2.90
0-1-1
2.59
2-0-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.80
 —
0-2-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.53
0-0-2
2.31
0-1-1
2.63
0-2-0
2.58
1-0-1
3.18
0-2-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
3.18
1-1-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
3.21
1-1-0
2.32
Leyton Orient
0-2-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.61
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
3.26
0-0-2
2.88
1-1-0
2.99
2-0-0
2.66
0-2-0
2.81
 —
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.52
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
3.24
0-2-0
3.04
1-1-0
3.24
1-1-0
3.34
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.64
0-2-0
3.15
1-0-1
2.59
Luton Town
2-0-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
3.29
2-0-0
2.51
1-1-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.62
2-0-0
2.82
0-1-1
2.79
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.73
 —
0-0-2
2.17
2-0-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.58
0-2-0
3.34
0-1-1
3.20
0-2-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.29
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.54
2-0-0
3.30
0-1-1
2.62
Middlesbrough
0-2-0
3.03
0-2-0
2.75
0-1-1
3.83
1-1-0
2.72
1-0-1
3.89
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
3.26
2-0-0
3.03
1-1-0
2.82
2-0-0
3.16
 —
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
3.00
1-1-0
3.66
2-0-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.14
2-0-0
3.97
1-1-0
3.41
2-0-0
2.89
2-0-0
3.36
1-1-0
2.78
Millwall
0-2-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.53
2-0-0
3.15
0-0-2
2.67
2-0-0
3.10
0-1-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.79
1-0-1
2.81
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-2
2.67
0-0-2
2.36
 —
0-1-1
2.65
0-2-0
3.17
1-1-0
2.93
0-2-0
3.00
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.48
2-0-0
3.08
1-1-0
2.56
Nottingham Forest
0-0-2
2.77
1-1-0
2.66
1-0-1
3.41
0-1-1
2.87
1-1-0
3.22
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
3.02
0-2-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.71
1-1-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.33
1-1-0
2.68
 —
1-1-0
3.29
0-1-1
2.89
2-0-0
3.11
0-1-1
3.29
1-1-0
3.03
0-2-0
2.61
1-1-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.54
Notts County
1-1-0
2.13
1-0-1
2.01
1-1-0
2.62
1-1-0
2.24
0-1-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.25
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
2.18
0-1-1
2.12
0-2-0
2.02
0-1-1
1.76
0-2-0
2.18
0-1-1
2.08
 —
0-1-1
2.30
2-0-0
2.34
2-0-0
2.52
0-1-1
2.44
1-0-1
1.99
2-0-0
2.35
1-0-1
1.93
Oxford United
1-0-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.19
0-0-2
2.92
1-1-0
2.27
1-0-1
2.82
0-0-2
2.51
0-1-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.47
0-2-0
2.59
0-2-0
2.32
1-1-0
2.16
0-0-2
1.98
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.46
1-1-0
3.05
 —
1-0-1
2.73
0-2-0
2.90
2-0-0
2.48
0-1-1
2.36
0-1-1
2.93
1-0-1
2.16
Portsmouth
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.10
0-0-2
3.18
2-0-0
2.25
1-1-0
2.72
2-0-0
2.56
0-2-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.11
0-2-0
2.39
0-0-2
2.23
0-2-0
2.33
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
3.00
1-0-1
2.61
 —
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.14
2-0-0
2.82
1-1-0
2.06
Preston North End
0-1-1
2.27
0-0-2
2.08
2-0-0
2.61
0-2-0
2.07
0-1-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.20
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.17
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.09
0-0-2
1.43
1-0-1
2.17
1-1-0
2.06
0-0-2
2.81
0-2-0
2.43
1-0-1
2.55
 —
0-1-1
2.16
1-0-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.48
2-0-0
2.09
Sheffield Wednesday
0-0-2
2.55
0-2-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.40
2-0-0
2.83
1-1-0
2.55
1-1-0
2.53
0-0-2
2.60
0-1-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.37
0-1-1
1.98
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
2.91
0-0-2
2.86
0-1-1
2.81
1-1-0
3.19
 —
0-0-2
2.30
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.35
Sunderland
2-0-0
2.87
2-0-0
2.62
1-0-1
3.71
0-0-2
2.87
0-1-1
3.27
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
3.02
2-0-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
2.84
0-2-0
2.73
1-0-1
3.37
1-1-0
2.99
1-1-0
3.21
1-0-1
3.23
2-0-0
3.03
 —
2-0-0
3.47
0-2-0
2.68
Swindon Town
1-1-0
2.08
1-0-1
1.77
0-1-1
2.86
0-0-2
2.30
0-1-1
2.46
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-2
2.19
0-1-1
2.34
1-1-0
2.16
0-2-0
2.19
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
2.04
0-0-2
2.28
0-1-1
2.37
0-0-2
2.98
1-1-0
2.42
0-0-2
2.51
1-1-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.53
0-0-2
1.89
 —
1-0-1
2.12
West Brom
2-0-0
3.06
1-1-0
2.82
0-2-0
3.50
0-2-0
2.84
1-1-0
3.25
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
3.00
0-1-1
3.03
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
3.43
1-0-1
3.20
0-1-1
3.29
0-0-2
3.27
1-0-1
2.98
0-2-0
2.65
1-0-1
3.25
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.76 +7.0
Allowed 0.63 -6.3
Differential 0.93 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.61%9.74%6.82%3.03%1.08%0.65%31.93%
19.74%14.07%6.71%2.60%1.08%0.54%34.74%
26.82%6.71%5.41%1.30%0.76%0.11%21.10%
33.03%2.60%1.30%0.87%0.11%—7.90%
41.08%1.08%0.76%0.11%——3.03%
5+0.65%0.54%0.11%———1.30%
Total31.93%34.74%21.10%7.90%3.03%1.30%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.20 +0.00
SD 1.16 1.16 1.70
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 462

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%11.90%11.90%———33.33%
17.14%21.43%7.14%2.38%——38.10%
24.76%9.52%4.76%———19.05%
3—2.38%————2.38%
4—2.38%2.38%———4.76%
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total23.81%47.62%26.19%2.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.07 +0.07
SD 1.20 0.78 1.47
CV 1.05 0.73 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%9.52%7.14%2.38%——33.33%
19.52%7.14%4.76%———21.43%
27.14%7.14%9.52%4.76%——28.57%
37.14%2.38%2.38%———11.90%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total42.86%26.19%23.81%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 0.95 +0.40
SD 1.27 0.99 1.67
CV 0.93 1.04 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%14.29%2.38%4.76%——35.71%
19.52%11.90%9.52%2.38%——33.33%
214.29%7.14%2.38%2.38%——26.19%
3———————
42.38%—2.38%———4.76%
5+———————
Total40.48%33.33%16.67%9.52%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 0.95 +0.10
SD 1.03 0.99 1.46
CV 0.99 1.04 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%14.29%7.14%——2.38%28.57%
114.29%9.52%11.90%7.14%——42.86%
29.52%2.38%9.52%———21.43%
3—2.38%2.38%———4.76%
4———————
5+——2.38%———2.38%
Total28.57%28.57%33.33%7.14%—2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.29 -0.17
SD 1.04 1.11 1.53
CV 0.93 0.86 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%14.29%2.38%2.38%—4.76%28.57%
19.52%23.81%4.76%4.76%——42.86%
22.38%4.76%7.14%2.38%2.38%—19.05%
3——2.38%2.38%——4.76%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total19.05%45.24%16.67%11.90%2.38%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.48 -0.31
SD 1.12 1.27 1.75
CV 0.96 0.86 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%9.52%—2.38%—19.05%
116.67%11.90%7.14%——2.38%38.10%
27.14%9.52%9.52%2.38%——28.57%
39.52%—————9.52%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total35.71%30.95%26.19%2.38%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.14 +0.31
SD 1.13 1.24 1.92
CV 0.78 1.09 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%11.90%9.52%4.76%2.38%—42.86%
17.14%9.52%9.52%—2.38%—28.57%
24.76%2.38%2.38%4.76%——14.29%
32.38%7.14%—2.38%——11.90%
4——2.38%———2.38%
5+———————
Total28.57%30.95%23.81%11.90%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.02 1.33 -0.31
SD 1.14 1.16 1.58
CV 1.11 0.87 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%9.52%11.90%9.52%2.38%—50.00%
19.52%7.14%2.38%2.38%——21.43%
214.29%4.76%————19.05%
32.38%2.38%————4.76%
4—4.76%————4.76%
5+———————
Total42.86%28.57%14.29%11.90%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.02 -0.10
SD 1.16 1.14 1.86
CV 1.24 1.11 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%9.52%2.38%2.38%2.38%—30.95%
17.14%23.81%—9.52%——40.48%
27.14%7.14%2.38%2.38%——19.05%
32.38%2.38%2.38%———7.14%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+———————
Total30.95%45.24%7.14%14.29%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.12 -0.02
SD 1.01 1.09 1.49
CV 0.92 0.97 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%—2.38%——21.43%
17.14%26.19%4.76%2.38%——40.48%
27.14%9.52%7.14%2.38%——26.19%
37.14%—2.38%———9.52%
4——2.38%———2.38%
5+———————
Total30.95%45.24%16.67%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.00 +0.31
SD 1.00 0.88 1.28
CV 0.76 0.88 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%7.14%7.14%2.38%2.38%—23.81%
114.29%11.90%4.76%———30.95%
22.38%11.90%9.52%———23.81%
34.76%7.14%—2.38%2.38%—16.67%
4——2.38%———2.38%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total26.19%40.48%23.81%4.76%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.21 +0.31
SD 1.31 1.05 1.66
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%—2.38%———16.67%
119.05%7.14%2.38%——2.38%30.95%
29.52%9.52%4.76%2.38%——26.19%
37.14%2.38%4.76%———14.29%
47.14%—2.38%———9.52%
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total59.52%19.05%16.67%2.38%—2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 0.71 +1.12
SD 1.54 1.09 1.89
CV 0.84 1.52 —
Max 8 5 +8
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%9.52%7.14%4.76%2.38%—35.71%
19.52%16.67%4.76%———30.95%
22.38%4.76%2.38%2.38%—2.38%14.29%
37.14%4.76%2.38%2.38%——16.67%
4———————
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total30.95%38.10%16.67%9.52%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.21 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.20 1.74
CV 1.02 0.99 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%9.52%2.38%———26.19%
14.76%11.90%11.90%2.38%2.38%—33.33%
211.90%7.14%7.14%———26.19%
34.76%—2.38%2.38%——9.52%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total38.10%30.95%23.81%4.76%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.02 +0.33
SD 1.19 1.02 1.54
CV 0.87 1.00 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%7.14%2.38%7.14%2.38%—30.95%
14.76%11.90%4.76%2.38%2.38%2.38%28.57%
27.14%11.90%4.76%—2.38%—26.19%
3—2.38%2.38%2.38%——7.14%
42.38%4.76%————7.14%
5+———————
Total26.19%38.10%14.29%11.90%7.14%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.43 -0.12
SD 1.20 1.33 1.86
CV 0.92 0.93 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.90%11.90%2.38%—2.38%45.24%
111.90%19.05%7.14%2.38%——40.48%
2—4.76%2.38%———7.14%
32.38%—————2.38%
4——2.38%———2.38%
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total33.33%35.71%23.81%4.76%—2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.10 -0.26
SD 1.10 1.08 1.62
CV 1.32 0.98 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%2.38%9.52%7.14%4.76%2.38%38.10%
14.76%11.90%7.14%—4.76%—28.57%
27.14%11.90%2.38%———21.43%
34.76%4.76%—2.38%——11.90%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%30.95%19.05%9.52%9.52%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.48 -0.40
SD 1.05 1.38 1.98
CV 0.98 0.94 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%11.90%9.52%7.14%——40.48%
12.38%11.90%4.76%4.76%—2.38%26.19%
29.52%7.14%9.52%—4.76%—30.95%
3—2.38%————2.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.81%33.33%23.81%11.90%4.76%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.48 -0.52
SD 0.91 1.25 1.52
CV 0.95 0.85 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%11.90%4.76%2.38%—2.38%33.33%
111.90%7.14%11.90%4.76%2.38%—38.10%
2—2.38%7.14%—4.76%—14.29%
3—4.76%2.38%———7.14%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+2.38%2.38%————4.76%
Total28.57%28.57%26.19%7.14%7.14%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.50 -0.29
SD 1.32 1.57 2.12
CV 1.08 1.04 —
Max 5 8 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%9.52%7.14%2.38%——26.19%
19.52%11.90%11.90%—2.38%—35.71%
29.52%9.52%2.38%———21.43%
34.76%2.38%————7.14%
42.38%4.76%—2.38%——9.52%
5+———————
Total33.33%38.10%21.43%4.76%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.05 +0.33
SD 1.23 0.99 1.68
CV 0.89 0.94 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%9.52%16.67%2.38%——33.33%
111.90%14.29%11.90%4.76%7.14%2.38%52.38%
2——7.14%—2.38%—9.52%
3—4.76%————4.76%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%28.57%35.71%7.14%9.52%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.71 -0.86
SD 0.78 1.25 1.42
CV 0.91 0.73 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%11.90%4.76%—2.38%—28.57%
111.90%21.43%2.38%4.76%——40.48%
211.90%2.38%4.76%2.38%——21.43%
3—2.38%2.38%2.38%——7.14%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+———————
Total33.33%40.48%14.29%9.52%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.07 +0.07
SD 1.00 1.05 1.39
CV 0.88 0.98 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Middlesbrough 65 49.18 +15.82
2 Notts County 43 35.45 +7.55
3 Bolton Wanderers 42 34.88 +7.12
4 Carlisle United 49 43.26 +5.74
5 Luton Town 50 44.47 +5.53

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Swindon Town 25 36.85 -11.85
2 Crystal Palace 34 42.58 -8.58
3 Bristol City 38 44.69 -6.69
4 Sheffield Wednesday 35 40.50 -5.50
5 Oxford United 36 39.81 -3.81

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Middlesbrough 9 Feb 16 – Apr 6 1 in 5,597
2 Blackpool 5 Oct 22 – Nov 17 1 in 167
3 Aston Villa 4 Mar 13 – Apr 1 1 in 150
4 Luton Town 4 Sep 22 – Oct 13 1 in 143
5 Sheffield Wednesday 3 Mar 9 – Mar 23 1 in 84

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Millwall 4 Sep 29 – Oct 13 1 in 198
2 Crystal Palace 3 Aug 25 – Sep 8 1 in 179
3 Bristol City 3 Oct 27 – Nov 10 1 in 157
4 West Brom 3 Mar 16 – Mar 23 1 in 148
5 Sheffield Wednesday 4 Nov 3 – Nov 24 1 in 131

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Middlesbrough 24 Sep 8 – Jan 19 1 in 3,333
2 Bolton Wanderers 11 Dec 26 – Mar 9 1 in 553
3 Blackpool 12 Dec 8 – Feb 23 1 in 117
4 Preston North End 8 Sep 11 – Oct 13 1 in 62
5 Notts County 8 Sep 22 – Nov 3 1 in 54

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Crystal Palace 15 Aug 25 – Nov 3 1 in 1,628
2 Sheffield Wednesday 13 Oct 24 – Jan 12 1 in 211
3 Aston Villa 12 Nov 10 – Feb 2 1 in 137
4 West Brom 10 Sep 8 – Oct 20 1 in 110
5 Swindon Town 13 Jan 19 – Apr 6 1 in 95

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516171819202122
Middlesbrough28.34%17.21%11.10%8.89%6.84%6.05%4.39%3.61%2.90%2.52%2.00%1.60%1.43%0.98%0.72%0.46%0.32%0.29%0.16%0.08%0.08%0.03%
Luton Town5.33%6.57%7.46%6.95%6.99%6.67%6.76%6.39%6.33%5.79%5.54%5.06%4.76%3.82%3.84%3.41%2.44%2.08%1.58%1.16%0.74%0.33%
Carlisle United3.48%4.25%5.25%6.02%6.32%5.65%5.86%6.13%6.43%6.02%6.15%5.83%5.84%4.73%4.67%4.22%3.83%3.00%2.52%1.72%1.43%0.65%
Leyton Orient6.43%7.23%7.27%6.97%7.55%7.54%7.14%6.84%6.44%5.65%5.06%5.06%4.34%3.72%3.02%2.65%2.13%1.74%1.29%0.96%0.70%0.27%
Blackpool9.32%9.90%9.16%8.50%7.81%7.18%6.75%6.40%5.22%5.19%4.23%4.24%3.49%3.00%2.41%2.13%1.79%1.13%0.85%0.72%0.38%0.20%
Sunderland10.27%10.10%9.91%8.85%7.90%7.27%6.58%6.20%5.62%4.89%4.24%3.56%3.09%2.84%2.44%1.80%1.48%1.05%0.94%0.56%0.23%0.18%
Nottingham Forest6.55%7.73%7.66%8.22%7.38%6.88%6.95%6.28%5.63%5.81%5.23%4.53%4.10%3.76%3.45%2.93%1.95%1.77%1.34%0.95%0.64%0.26%
West Brom11.22%10.73%10.37%8.75%8.47%6.99%6.95%5.48%5.19%4.80%4.30%3.19%3.04%2.51%2.28%1.80%1.28%1.13%0.72%0.49%0.19%0.12%
Hull City2.60%3.00%4.36%4.67%4.90%5.49%5.63%5.60%6.45%6.16%6.04%6.12%5.97%5.39%5.90%5.09%4.54%3.68%3.26%2.40%1.76%0.99%
Notts County0.02%0.12%0.18%0.39%0.29%0.60%0.84%1.29%1.36%1.64%2.00%2.57%2.85%4.03%5.05%5.94%7.30%9.17%10.19%12.04%14.54%17.59%
Bolton Wanderers0.03%0.12%0.15%0.27%0.30%0.56%0.61%0.78%1.14%1.43%1.84%2.31%3.10%3.68%4.16%5.73%6.95%8.67%10.36%12.64%15.48%19.69%
Millwall3.84%4.62%5.74%6.07%6.20%6.20%6.45%6.37%6.08%6.46%5.91%5.74%5.10%5.02%4.37%4.01%3.08%2.92%2.49%1.73%1.02%0.58%
Fulham1.54%2.14%2.79%3.41%4.16%4.45%4.78%4.77%5.48%5.96%6.75%6.56%5.99%6.74%6.35%5.80%5.43%4.95%4.48%3.50%2.44%1.53%
Aston Villa2.21%3.26%4.32%4.74%4.80%5.39%5.74%6.20%5.87%5.85%6.37%6.09%5.84%5.77%5.55%4.88%4.77%4.04%3.14%2.74%1.59%0.84%
Portsmouth0.36%0.69%0.84%1.34%1.71%2.11%2.58%2.87%3.45%3.77%4.25%5.10%5.54%6.59%6.88%7.56%7.92%8.07%7.92%7.93%7.16%5.36%
Bristol City4.77%6.55%6.32%6.71%6.76%6.97%6.49%6.99%6.35%5.89%5.36%5.04%4.83%4.38%3.93%3.55%2.87%2.22%1.55%1.28%0.82%0.37%
Oxford United0.56%0.92%1.32%1.72%2.22%2.96%3.15%3.65%4.03%4.17%4.95%5.83%6.22%6.67%6.87%7.01%7.46%8.05%6.90%6.52%5.23%3.59%
Cardiff City0.16%0.35%0.54%0.59%1.01%1.40%1.52%1.86%2.58%2.91%3.18%4.21%5.08%5.43%6.29%7.59%7.95%8.84%10.27%10.43%9.72%8.09%
Sheffield Wednesday0.69%1.28%1.60%2.33%2.69%3.12%4.00%4.18%4.55%5.43%5.61%5.68%6.37%6.61%6.82%6.79%7.26%6.14%6.17%5.22%4.66%2.80%
Crystal Palace2.17%2.93%3.20%3.85%4.80%5.05%4.93%5.84%5.86%6.15%6.53%6.30%6.69%6.57%5.80%5.17%5.06%4.05%3.36%2.60%2.01%1.08%
Preston North End0.01%0.08%0.11%0.18%0.28%0.49%0.66%0.86%1.02%1.37%1.67%2.04%2.39%3.49%3.91%5.28%6.66%8.26%10.00%12.29%16.49%22.46%
Swindon Town0.10%0.22%0.35%0.58%0.62%0.98%1.24%1.41%2.02%2.14%2.79%3.34%3.94%4.27%5.29%6.20%7.53%8.75%10.51%12.04%12.69%12.99%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.73%
Clear Edge
45.89%30.95%23.16%
Elo Value
Home Edge
202 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
080.37600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.48 goals
Neutral
-2+0.40+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th * Middle of the Pack: 5th to 11th * Longshot: 12th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
7.7
Wide Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
28%
Middlesbrough, 1st of 22
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.36/gm
Tight Race
00.060.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.85 * Some Luck: 3.85 to 5.77 * Lucky: 5.77 to 7.69 * Wild Swing: 7.69 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 3.39 * Close: 3.39 to 5.08 * Off: 5.08 to 6.78 * Way Off: 6.78 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 22 * As Expected: 22 to 35.2 * Several Outliers: 35.2 to 48.4 * Many Outliers: 48.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.57 * A Surprise: 1.57 to 2.51 * Several Surprises: 2.51 to 3.45 * Many Surprises: 3.45 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.92 points
Lucky
04.8112
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.73
Close
04.2410
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.73%
99.96%
Middlesbrough
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.27%
0.84%
Swindon Town
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 22
Minimal Outliers
02.211
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 3
A Surprise
01.63

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.10
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.23
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
61%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Strong Edge
50%82%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Occasional
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.48
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.52
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.17
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Chalky
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.07 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.07 to 0.1 * Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.14 * Well Above Noise: 0.14 and up.
Probability calibration
0.13
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.57
Overconfident
0.4463181.001.55368
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.082
Near Noise Ceiling
00.0690.2

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Middlesbrough 56.65% 43.16% 0.19%
West Brom 32.32% 66.88% 0.80%
Sunderland 30.28% 68.75% 0.97%
Blackpool 28.38% 70.32% 1.30%
Nottingham Forest 21.94% 76.21% 1.85%
Leyton Orient 20.93% 77.14% 1.93%
Luton Town 19.36% 78.41% 2.23%
Bristol City 17.64% 79.89% 2.47%
Millwall 14.20% 82.47% 3.33%
Carlisle United 12.98% 83.22% 3.80%
Hull City 9.96% 84.89% 5.15%
Aston Villa 9.79% 85.04% 5.17%
Crystal Palace 8.30% 86.01% 5.69%
Fulham 6.47% 86.06% 7.47%
Sheffield Wednesday 3.57% 83.75% 12.68%
Oxford United 2.80% 81.86% 15.34%
Portsmouth 1.89% 77.66% 20.45%
Cardiff City 1.05% 70.71% 28.24%
Swindon Town 0.67% 61.61% 37.72%
Notts County 0.32% 55.51% 44.17%
Bolton Wanderers 0.30% 51.89% 47.81%
Preston North End 0.20% 48.56% 51.24%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1973-08-25 Preston North End W 2-0 1693 1617 57.42% 31.17% 11.41% +4.8 2
1973-08-25 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1617 1693 11.41% 31.17% 57.42% -4.8 0
1973-08-25 West Brom L 2-3 1726 1754 47.22% 33.74% 19.05% -6.8 0
1973-08-25 @ Blackpool W 3-2 1754 1726 19.05% 33.74% 47.22% +6.8 2
1973-08-25 Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1738 1572 64.73% 27.64% 7.64% +1.7 2
1973-08-25 @ Bristol City L 0-1 1572 1738 7.64% 27.64% 64.73% -1.7 0
1973-08-25 Cardiff City D 1-1 1681 1653 53.04% 32.59% 14.36% -1.3 1
1973-08-25 @ Carlisle United D 1-1 1653 1681 14.36% 32.59% 53.04% +1.4 1
1973-08-25 Notts County L 1-4 1761 1580 65.82% 26.99% 7.18% -23.0 0
1973-08-25 @ Crystal Palace W 4-1 1580 1761 7.18% 26.99% 65.82% +23.0 2
1973-08-25 Millwall W 2-0 1698 1731 46.81% 33.79% 19.40% +7.5 2
1973-08-25 @ Fulham L 0-2 1731 1698 19.40% 33.79% 46.81% -7.5 0
1973-08-25 Oxford United D 0-0 1702 1696 50.95% 33.10% 15.96% -1.3 1
1973-08-25 @ Hull City D 0-0 1696 1702 15.96% 33.10% 50.95% +1.4 1
1973-08-25 Luton Town W 4-0 1702 1683 52.17% 32.82% 15.01% +11.7 2
1973-08-25 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-4 1683 1702 15.01% 32.82% 52.17% -11.7 0
1973-08-25 Middlesbrough L 0-1 1667 1721 44.30% 34.03% 21.66% -7.2 0
1973-08-25 @ Portsmouth W 1-0 1721 1667 21.66% 34.03% 44.30% +7.2 2
1973-08-25 Leyton Orient D 1-1 1723 1678 54.64% 32.13% 13.22% -1.5 1
1973-08-25 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1678 1723 13.22% 32.13% 54.64% +1.5 1
1973-08-25 Sheffield Wednesday W 3-1 1674 1694 48.15% 33.61% 18.25% +6.2 2
1973-08-25 @ Swindon Town L 1-3 1694 1674 18.25% 33.61% 48.15% -6.2 0
1973-09-01 Hull City W 1-0 1571 1701 34.64% 34.07% 31.28% +5.6 2
1973-09-01 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1701 1571 31.28% 34.07% 34.64% -5.6 1
1973-09-01 Portsmouth D 1-1 1654 1659 49.76% 33.34% 16.91% -1.1 2
1973-09-01 @ Cardiff City D 1-1 1659 1654 16.91% 33.34% 49.76% +1.1 1
1973-09-01 Bristol City L 0-1 1680 1740 43.63% 34.08% 22.29% -7.1 1
1973-09-01 @ Leyton Orient W 1-0 1740 1680 22.29% 34.08% 43.63% +7.1 4
1973-09-01 Carlisle United W 6-1 1671 1680 49.36% 33.41% 17.23% +13.3 2
1973-09-01 @ Luton Town L 1-6 1680 1671 17.23% 33.41% 49.36% -13.3 1
1973-09-01 Fulham L 0-2 1728 1706 52.51% 32.73% 14.76% -15.7 2
1973-09-01 @ Middlesbrough W 2-0 1706 1728 14.76% 32.73% 52.51% +15.7 4
1973-09-01 Aston Villa D 1-1 1723 1698 52.81% 32.66% 14.53% -1.3 1
1973-09-01 @ Millwall D 1-1 1698 1723 14.53% 32.66% 52.81% +1.3 3
1973-09-01 Sunderland L 1-4 1603 1722 36.19% 34.15% 29.66% -14.2 2
1973-09-01 @ Notts County W 4-1 1722 1603 29.66% 34.15% 36.19% +14.2 3
1973-09-01 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1697 1713 48.56% 33.54% 17.90% +3.8 3
1973-09-01 @ Oxford United L 0-1 1713 1697 17.90% 33.54% 48.56% -3.8 2
1973-09-01 Swindon Town D 1-1 1612 1680 42.65% 34.14% 23.21% -0.6 1
1973-09-01 @ Preston North End D 1-1 1680 1612 23.21% 34.14% 42.65% +0.6 3
1973-09-01 Blackpool D 0-0 1688 1719 47.02% 33.76% 19.22% -1.0 1
1973-09-01 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 0-0 1719 1688 19.22% 33.76% 47.02% +1.0 1
1973-09-01 Crystal Palace W 1-0 1761 1738 52.59% 32.71% 14.70% +3.2 4
1973-09-01 @ West Brom L 0-1 1738 1761 14.70% 32.71% 52.59% -3.2 0
1973-09-08 Oxford United W 2-0 1699 1701 50.11% 33.27% 16.62% +6.7 5
1973-09-08 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1701 1699 16.62% 33.27% 50.11% -6.7 3
1973-09-08 Millwall W 1-0 1720 1722 50.05% 33.28% 16.67% +3.6 3
1973-09-08 @ Blackpool L 0-1 1722 1720 16.67% 33.28% 50.05% -3.6 1
1973-09-08 Luton Town L 1-3 1747 1684 56.27% 31.59% 12.13% -14.4 4
1973-09-08 @ Bristol City W 3-1 1684 1747 12.13% 31.59% 56.27% +14.4 4
1973-09-08 Notts County W 3-0 1666 1589 57.54% 31.12% 11.34% +7.0 3
1973-09-08 @ Carlisle United L 0-3 1589 1666 11.34% 31.12% 57.54% -7.0 2
1973-09-08 Middlesbrough L 2-3 1735 1713 52.47% 32.74% 14.79% -7.4 0
1973-09-08 @ Crystal Palace W 3-2 1713 1735 14.79% 32.74% 52.47% +7.4 4
1973-09-08 Leyton Orient L 0-3 1722 1673 54.98% 32.03% 12.99% -23.7 4
1973-09-08 @ Fulham W 3-0 1673 1722 12.99% 32.03% 54.98% +23.7 3
1973-09-08 Preston North End W 1-0 1695 1611 58.09% 30.90% 11.00% +2.5 3
1973-09-08 @ Hull City L 0-1 1611 1695 11.00% 30.90% 58.09% -2.5 1
1973-09-08 Sheffield Wednesday W 2-1 1709 1687 52.50% 32.74% 14.77% +3.0 4
1973-09-08 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1687 1709 14.77% 32.74% 52.50% -3.0 1
1973-09-08 Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1661 1576 58.15% 30.88% 10.97% -17.1 1
1973-09-08 @ Portsmouth W 2-0 1576 1661 10.97% 30.88% 58.15% +17.1 4
1973-09-08 Cardiff City D 1-1 1736 1653 58.01% 30.94% 11.05% -1.7 4
1973-09-08 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1653 1736 11.05% 30.94% 58.01% +1.7 3
1973-09-08 West Brom W 1-0 1681 1764 40.81% 34.20% 24.99% +4.8 5
1973-09-08 @ Swindon Town L 0-1 1764 1681 24.99% 34.20% 40.81% -4.8 4
1973-09-11 Leyton Orient D 1-1 1593 1697 38.25% 34.21% 27.55% -0.3 5
1973-09-11 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1697 1593 27.55% 34.21% 38.25% +0.3 4
1973-09-11 Aston Villa D 0-0 1727 1706 52.41% 32.76% 14.83% -1.5 1
1973-09-11 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 1706 1727 14.83% 32.76% 52.41% +1.5 6
1973-09-11 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1698 1713 48.73% 33.51% 17.75% -1.2 4
1973-09-11 @ Hull City D 0-0 1713 1698 17.75% 33.51% 48.73% +1.2 5
1973-09-11 Carlisle United W 1-0 1720 1673 54.81% 32.08% 13.11% +2.9 6
1973-09-11 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1673 1720 13.11% 32.08% 54.81% -2.9 3
1973-09-11 Luton Town D 1-1 1582 1699 36.49% 34.16% 29.35% -0.2 3
1973-09-11 @ Notts County D 1-1 1699 1582 29.35% 34.16% 36.49% +0.2 5
1973-09-11 Sunderland D 1-1 1643 1734 39.84% 34.21% 25.95% -0.4 2
1973-09-11 @ Portsmouth D 1-1 1734 1643 25.95% 34.21% 39.84% +0.4 5
1973-09-11 Millwall W 2-0 1609 1718 37.46% 34.19% 28.35% +9.8 3
1973-09-11 @ Preston North End L 0-2 1718 1609 28.35% 34.19% 37.46% -9.8 1
1973-09-11 Bristol City L 0-1 1686 1733 45.17% 33.96% 20.87% -7.3 5
1973-09-11 @ Swindon Town W 1-0 1733 1686 20.87% 33.96% 45.17% +7.3 6
1973-09-12 Oxford United W 5-0 1655 1694 46.09% 33.87% 20.04% +18.1 5
1973-09-12 @ Cardiff City L 0-5 1694 1655 20.04% 33.87% 46.09% -18.1 3
1973-09-12 Blackpool D 0-0 1698 1723 47.58% 33.69% 18.73% -1.1 5
1973-09-12 @ Fulham D 0-0 1723 1698 18.73% 33.69% 47.58% +1.1 4
1973-09-12 West Brom W 3-1 1684 1760 41.79% 34.17% 24.04% +7.6 3
1973-09-12 @ Sheffield Wednesday L 1-3 1760 1684 24.04% 34.17% 41.79% -7.6 4
1973-09-15 Crystal Palace W 2-0 1593 1726 34.29% 34.05% 31.65% +10.6 7
1973-09-15 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1726 1593 31.65% 34.05% 34.29% -10.6 1
1973-09-15 Fulham D 0-0 1673 1697 47.77% 33.66% 18.57% -1.1 6
1973-09-15 @ Cardiff City D 0-0 1697 1673 18.57% 33.66% 47.77% +1.1 6
1973-09-15 Blackpool W 3-2 1697 1724 47.35% 33.72% 18.93% +3.5 6
1973-09-15 @ Leyton Orient L 2-3 1724 1697 18.93% 33.72% 47.35% -3.5 4
1973-09-15 Portsmouth D 3-3 1699 1643 55.63% 31.81% 12.55% -0.9 6
1973-09-15 @ Luton Town D 3-3 1643 1699 12.55% 31.81% 55.63% +1.0 3
1973-09-15 Aston Villa D 0-0 1723 1707 51.85% 32.89% 15.25% -1.4 7
1973-09-15 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1707 1723 15.25% 32.89% 51.85% +1.4 7
1973-09-15 Hull City W 3-0 1709 1697 51.48% 32.98% 15.54% +9.2 3
1973-09-15 @ Millwall L 0-3 1697 1709 15.54% 32.98% 51.48% -9.2 4
1973-09-15 Swindon Town W 2-0 1582 1679 39.09% 34.21% 26.69% +9.5 5
1973-09-15 @ Notts County L 0-2 1679 1582 26.69% 34.21% 39.09% -9.5 5
1973-09-15 Sunderland L 0-1 1676 1735 43.77% 34.07% 22.16% -7.1 3
1973-09-15 @ Oxford United W 1-0 1735 1676 22.16% 34.07% 43.77% +7.1 7
1973-09-15 Bristol City D 1-1 1619 1740 35.87% 34.14% 29.99% -0.2 4
1973-09-15 @ Preston North End D 1-1 1740 1619 29.99% 34.14% 35.87% +0.2 7
1973-09-15 Carlisle United W 1-0 1692 1670 52.41% 32.76% 14.84% +3.2 5
1973-09-15 @ Sheffield Wednesday L 0-1 1670 1692 14.84% 32.76% 52.41% -3.2 3
1973-09-15 Nottingham Forest D 3-3 1752 1714 54.01% 32.32% 13.66% -0.9 5
1973-09-15 @ West Brom D 3-3 1714 1752 13.66% 32.32% 54.01% +0.9 6
1973-09-17 Crystal Palace W 1-0 1721 1715 50.86% 33.12% 16.03% +3.5 6
1973-09-17 @ Blackpool L 0-1 1715 1721 16.03% 33.12% 50.86% -3.5 1
1973-09-17 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1700 1722 48.05% 33.62% 18.33% -1.1 7
1973-09-17 @ Leyton Orient D 0-0 1722 1700 18.33% 33.62% 48.05% +1.1 8
1973-09-17 Sheffield Wednesday W 1-0 1718 1695 52.54% 32.72% 14.73% +3.2 5
1973-09-17 @ Millwall L 0-1 1695 1718 14.73% 32.72% 52.54% -3.2 5
1973-09-18 Hull City W 3-1 1740 1687 55.37% 31.90% 12.73% +4.6 9
1973-09-18 @ Bristol City L 1-3 1687 1740 12.73% 31.90% 55.37% -4.6 4
1973-09-18 Portsmouth L 0-2 1667 1644 52.58% 32.71% 14.71% -15.7 3
1973-09-18 @ Carlisle United W 2-0 1644 1667 14.71% 32.71% 52.58% +15.7 5
1973-09-18 Swindon Town W 2-0 1715 1669 54.69% 32.12% 13.19% +5.5 8
1973-09-18 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1669 1715 13.19% 32.12% 54.69% -5.5 5
1973-09-18 Preston North End L 0-2 1751 1619 62.09% 29.07% 8.84% -18.0 5
1973-09-18 @ West Brom W 2-0 1619 1751 8.84% 29.07% 62.09% +18.0 6
1973-09-19 Fulham D 1-1 1709 1698 51.36% 33.01% 15.63% -1.2 8
1973-09-19 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1698 1709 15.63% 33.01% 51.36% +1.2 7
1973-09-19 Notts County W 2-1 1669 1591 57.56% 31.12% 11.33% +2.4 5
1973-09-19 @ Oxford United L 1-2 1591 1669 11.33% 31.12% 57.56% -2.4 5
1973-09-22 Leyton Orient D 2-2 1707 1699 51.10% 33.06% 15.84% -0.9 9
1973-09-22 @ Aston Villa D 2-2 1699 1707 15.84% 33.06% 51.10% +0.9 8
1973-09-22 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1724 1723 50.45% 33.20% 16.35% -1.3 7
1973-09-22 @ Blackpool D 0-0 1723 1724 16.35% 33.20% 50.45% +1.3 9
1973-09-22 Sheffield Wednesday W 2-0 1745 1692 55.39% 31.89% 12.72% +5.3 11
1973-09-22 @ Bristol City L 0-2 1692 1745 12.72% 31.89% 55.39% -5.3 5
1973-09-22 Oxford United W 2-1 1651 1671 48.21% 33.60% 18.20% +3.6 5
1973-09-22 @ Carlisle United L 1-2 1671 1651 18.20% 33.60% 48.21% -3.6 5
1973-09-22 Cardiff City D 3-3 1712 1672 54.16% 32.28% 13.56% -0.9 2
1973-09-22 @ Crystal Palace D 3-3 1672 1712 13.56% 32.28% 54.16% +0.9 7
1973-09-22 Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1699 1603 59.10% 30.48% 10.42% +2.3 9
1973-09-22 @ Fulham L 0-1 1603 1699 10.42% 30.48% 59.10% -2.3 7
1973-09-22 West Brom D 0-0 1683 1733 44.80% 34.00% 21.21% -0.9 5
1973-09-22 @ Hull City D 0-0 1733 1683 21.21% 34.00% 44.80% +0.9 6
1973-09-22 Preston North End D 1-1 1720 1637 58.06% 30.92% 11.03% -1.7 9
1973-09-22 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1637 1720 11.03% 30.92% 58.06% +1.7 7
1973-09-22 Notts County L 1-2 1660 1589 56.97% 31.34% 11.69% -8.4 5
1973-09-22 @ Portsmouth W 2-1 1589 1660 11.69% 31.34% 56.97% +8.4 7
1973-09-22 Luton Town L 0-1 1742 1698 54.56% 32.16% 13.28% -8.6 7
1973-09-22 @ Sunderland W 1-0 1698 1742 13.28% 32.16% 54.56% +8.6 8
1973-09-22 Millwall L 1-3 1664 1721 43.96% 34.06% 21.98% -11.7 5
1973-09-22 @ Swindon Town W 3-1 1721 1664 21.98% 34.06% 43.96% +11.7 7
1973-09-26 Fulham D 0-0 1668 1701 46.65% 33.81% 19.54% -1.0 6
1973-09-26 @ Oxford United D 0-0 1701 1668 19.54% 33.81% 46.65% +1.0 10
1973-09-29 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1601 1718 36.41% 34.16% 29.44% +5.4 9
1973-09-29 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1718 1601 29.44% 34.16% 36.41% -5.4 9
1973-09-29 Hull City L 1-3 1673 1682 49.34% 33.41% 17.25% -12.9 7
1973-09-29 @ Cardiff City W 3-1 1682 1673 17.25% 33.41% 49.34% +12.8 7
1973-09-29 Swindon Town D 0-0 1700 1652 54.94% 32.04% 13.02% -1.7 9
1973-09-29 @ Leyton Orient D 0-0 1652 1700 13.02% 32.04% 54.94% +1.7 6
1973-09-29 Blackpool W 3-0 1706 1723 48.54% 33.54% 17.92% +10.3 10
1973-09-29 @ Luton Town L 0-3 1723 1706 17.92% 33.54% 48.54% -10.3 7
1973-09-29 Bristol City W 2-0 1724 1750 47.49% 33.70% 18.81% +7.4 11
1973-09-29 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1750 1724 18.81% 33.70% 47.49% -7.4 11
1973-09-29 Carlisle United L 1-2 1733 1655 57.55% 31.12% 11.33% -8.5 7
1973-09-29 @ Millwall W 2-1 1655 1733 11.33% 31.12% 57.55% +8.5 7
1973-09-29 Aston Villa W 2-0 1597 1707 37.46% 34.19% 28.34% +9.8 9
1973-09-29 @ Notts County L 0-2 1707 1597 28.34% 34.19% 37.46% -9.8 9
1973-09-29 Portsmouth W 2-1 1638 1651 48.93% 33.48% 17.59% +3.5 9
1973-09-29 @ Preston North End L 1-2 1651 1638 17.59% 33.48% 48.93% -3.5 5
1973-09-29 Crystal Palace W 4-0 1686 1711 47.70% 33.67% 18.63% +13.9 7
1973-09-29 @ Sheffield Wednesday L 0-4 1711 1686 18.63% 33.67% 47.70% -13.9 2
1973-09-29 Sunderland D 1-1 1734 1733 50.31% 33.23% 16.46% -1.1 7
1973-09-29 @ West Brom D 1-1 1733 1734 16.46% 33.23% 50.31% +1.2 8
1973-10-01 West Brom W 3-1 1642 1733 39.86% 34.21% 25.93% +8.0 11
1973-10-01 @ Preston North End L 1-3 1733 1642 25.93% 34.21% 39.86% -8.0 7
1973-10-02 Blackpool L 1-2 1697 1713 48.62% 33.53% 17.85% -7.3 2
1973-10-02 @ Crystal Palace W 2-1 1713 1697 17.85% 33.53% 48.62% +7.3 9
1973-10-02 Aston Villa W 1-0 1702 1697 50.86% 33.12% 16.02% +3.4 12
1973-10-02 @ Fulham L 0-1 1697 1702 16.02% 33.12% 50.86% -3.5 9
1973-10-02 Bristol City W 2-1 1695 1743 45.04% 33.97% 20.99% +4.0 9
1973-10-02 @ Hull City L 1-2 1743 1695 20.99% 33.97% 45.04% -4.0 11
1973-10-02 Leyton Orient W 3-2 1731 1699 53.51% 32.47% 14.03% +2.8 13
1973-10-02 @ Middlesbrough L 2-3 1699 1731 14.03% 32.47% 53.51% -2.8 9
1973-10-02 Oxford United D 0-0 1607 1667 43.70% 34.08% 22.22% -0.8 10
1973-10-02 @ Notts County D 0-0 1667 1607 22.22% 34.08% 43.70% +0.8 7
1973-10-02 Carlisle United W 2-1 1648 1664 48.63% 33.53% 17.84% +3.5 7
1973-10-02 @ Portsmouth L 1-2 1664 1648 17.84% 33.53% 48.63% -3.5 7
1973-10-02 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1654 1713 43.72% 34.08% 22.21% -0.8 7
1973-10-02 @ Swindon Town D 0-0 1713 1654 22.21% 34.08% 43.72% +0.8 10
1973-10-03 Millwall W 3-2 1700 1724 47.76% 33.66% 18.58% +3.5 9
1973-10-03 @ Sheffield Wednesday L 2-3 1724 1700 18.58% 33.66% 47.76% -3.5 7
1973-10-06 Cardiff City W 5-0 1693 1660 53.54% 32.46% 14.00% +13.6 11
1973-10-06 @ Aston Villa L 0-5 1660 1693 14.00% 32.46% 53.54% -13.6 7
1973-10-06 Notts County L 0-1 1720 1606 60.60% 29.80% 9.60% -9.4 9
1973-10-06 @ Blackpool W 1-0 1606 1720 9.60% 29.80% 60.60% +9.4 12
1973-10-06 West Brom D 1-1 1739 1725 51.70% 32.93% 15.37% -1.2 12
1973-10-06 @ Bristol City D 1-1 1725 1739 15.37% 32.93% 51.70% +1.2 8
1973-10-06 Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1660 1606 55.43% 31.88% 12.69% +2.8 9
1973-10-06 @ Carlisle United L 0-1 1606 1660 12.69% 31.88% 55.43% -2.8 9
1973-10-06 Luton Town L 1-2 1690 1717 47.39% 33.71% 18.89% -7.2 2
1973-10-06 @ Crystal Palace W 2-1 1717 1690 18.89% 33.71% 47.39% +7.2 12
1973-10-06 Preston North End D 0-0 1706 1650 55.65% 31.81% 12.54% -1.7 13
1973-10-06 @ Fulham D 0-0 1650 1706 12.54% 31.81% 55.65% +1.7 12
1973-10-06 Leyton Orient D 1-1 1699 1696 50.58% 33.17% 16.25% -1.2 10
1973-10-06 @ Hull City D 1-1 1696 1699 16.25% 33.17% 50.58% +1.2 10
1973-10-06 Millwall W 3-0 1714 1721 49.56% 33.37% 17.07% +9.9 12
1973-10-06 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1721 1714 17.07% 33.37% 49.56% -9.9 7
1973-10-06 Oxford United W 2-1 1651 1667 48.60% 33.53% 17.87% +3.5 9
1973-10-06 @ Portsmouth L 1-2 1667 1651 17.87% 33.53% 48.60% -3.5 7
1973-10-06 Sheffield Wednesday W 3-1 1735 1704 53.31% 32.52% 14.16% +5.1 10
1973-10-06 @ Sunderland L 1-3 1704 1735 14.16% 32.52% 53.31% -5.1 9
1973-10-06 Middlesbrough L 0-1 1653 1734 41.06% 34.19% 24.75% -6.8 7
1973-10-06 @ Swindon Town W 1-0 1734 1653 24.75% 34.19% 41.06% +6.8 15
1973-10-13 Aston Villa L 1-2 1604 1707 38.27% 34.21% 27.52% -6.0 9
1973-10-13 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1707 1604 27.52% 34.21% 38.27% +6.0 13
1973-10-13 Blackpool W 1-0 1646 1711 43.14% 34.11% 22.74% +4.5 9
1973-10-13 @ Cardiff City L 0-1 1711 1646 22.74% 34.11% 43.14% -4.5 9
1973-10-13 Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1697 1724 47.43% 33.71% 18.86% +3.7 12
1973-10-13 @ Leyton Orient L 1-2 1724 1697 18.86% 33.71% 47.43% -3.7 12
1973-10-13 Swindon Town W 2-1 1724 1646 57.59% 31.10% 11.31% +2.4 14
1973-10-13 @ Luton Town L 1-2 1646 1724 11.31% 31.10% 57.59% -2.4 7
1973-10-13 Hull City W 1-0 1741 1698 54.49% 32.18% 13.33% +3.0 17
1973-10-13 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1698 1741 13.33% 32.18% 54.49% -2.9 10
1973-10-13 Bristol City L 0-2 1711 1738 47.43% 33.71% 18.86% -14.3 7
1973-10-13 @ Millwall W 2-0 1738 1711 18.86% 33.71% 47.43% +14.3 14
1973-10-13 Fulham W 2-1 1616 1704 40.15% 34.21% 25.64% +4.6 14
1973-10-13 @ Notts County L 1-2 1704 1616 25.64% 34.21% 40.15% -4.6 13
1973-10-13 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1664 1682 48.32% 33.58% 18.10% -1.0 8
1973-10-13 @ Oxford United D 1-1 1682 1664 18.10% 33.58% 48.32% +1.0 3
1973-10-13 Sunderland W 1-0 1652 1740 40.21% 34.21% 25.58% +4.9 14
1973-10-13 @ Preston North End L 0-1 1740 1652 25.58% 34.21% 40.21% -4.9 10
1973-10-13 Portsmouth L 1-2 1699 1655 54.54% 32.17% 13.29% -8.1 9
1973-10-13 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 2-1 1655 1699 13.29% 32.17% 54.54% +8.1 11
1973-10-13 Carlisle United D 1-1 1726 1663 56.29% 31.59% 12.13% -1.6 9
1973-10-13 @ West Brom D 1-1 1663 1726 12.13% 31.59% 56.29% +1.6 10
1973-10-20 Bristol City D 2-2 1713 1752 46.07% 33.87% 20.06% -0.6 14
1973-10-20 @ Aston Villa D 2-2 1752 1713 20.06% 33.87% 46.07% +0.6 15
1973-10-20 Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1706 1720 48.83% 33.50% 17.67% -0.8 10
1973-10-20 @ Blackpool D 2-2 1720 1706 17.67% 33.50% 48.83% +0.8 13
1973-10-20 Millwall L 0-1 1598 1696 38.83% 34.21% 26.96% -6.5 9
1973-10-20 @ Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1696 1598 26.96% 34.21% 38.83% +6.5 9
1973-10-20 Sheffield Wednesday L 0-1 1651 1691 46.00% 33.88% 20.12% -7.4 9
1973-10-20 @ Cardiff City W 1-0 1691 1651 20.12% 33.88% 46.00% +7.4 11
1973-10-20 Carlisle United L 0-1 1683 1664 52.18% 32.81% 15.00% -8.3 3
1973-10-20 @ Crystal Palace W 1-0 1664 1683 15.00% 32.81% 52.18% +8.3 12
1973-10-20 Sunderland L 0-2 1700 1735 46.51% 33.82% 19.67% -14.1 13
1973-10-20 @ Fulham W 2-0 1735 1700 19.67% 33.82% 46.51% +14.1 12
1973-10-20 Portsmouth W 4-1 1695 1663 53.40% 32.50% 14.10% +7.1 12
1973-10-20 @ Hull City L 1-4 1663 1695 14.10% 32.50% 53.40% -7.2 11
1973-10-20 Luton Town W 2-0 1701 1726 47.55% 33.69% 18.76% +7.4 14
1973-10-20 @ Leyton Orient L 0-2 1726 1701 18.76% 33.69% 47.55% -7.3 14
1973-10-20 West Brom D 0-0 1744 1724 52.22% 32.81% 14.98% -1.5 18
1973-10-20 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1724 1744 14.98% 32.81% 52.22% +1.5 10
1973-10-20 Preston North End W 2-1 1620 1657 46.39% 33.84% 19.78% +3.8 16
1973-10-20 @ Notts County L 1-2 1657 1620 19.78% 33.84% 46.39% -3.8 14
1973-10-20 Oxford United W 1-0 1644 1663 48.27% 33.59% 18.15% +3.8 9
1973-10-20 @ Swindon Town L 0-1 1663 1644 18.15% 33.59% 48.27% -3.8 8
1973-10-22 Fulham W 2-0 1705 1686 52.27% 32.79% 14.94% +6.1 12
1973-10-22 @ Blackpool L 0-2 1686 1705 14.94% 32.79% 52.27% -6.1 13
1973-10-22 Bolton Wanderers W 3-0 1708 1591 60.85% 29.68% 9.47% +5.8 16
1973-10-22 @ Leyton Orient L 0-3 1591 1708 9.47% 29.68% 60.85% -5.8 9
1973-10-22 Preston North End W 5-1 1703 1653 55.13% 31.98% 12.89% +8.5 11
1973-10-22 @ Millwall L 1-5 1653 1703 12.89% 31.98% 55.13% -8.5 14
1973-10-23 Crystal Palace W 2-1 1712 1675 53.90% 32.36% 13.75% +2.8 16
1973-10-23 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1675 1712 13.75% 32.36% 53.90% -2.9 3
1973-10-23 Swindon Town W 1-0 1753 1647 59.89% 30.13% 9.98% +2.2 17
1973-10-23 @ Bristol City L 0-1 1647 1753 9.98% 30.13% 59.89% -2.2 9
1973-10-23 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1673 1742 42.49% 34.14% 23.37% -0.6 13
1973-10-23 @ Carlisle United D 1-1 1742 1673 23.37% 34.14% 42.49% +0.6 19
1973-10-23 Hull City D 0-0 1721 1702 52.18% 32.81% 15.01% -1.4 14
1973-10-23 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1702 1721 15.01% 32.81% 52.18% +1.4 13
1973-10-24 Cardiff City W 4-2 1659 1644 51.82% 32.90% 15.28% +4.8 10
1973-10-24 @ Oxford United L 2-4 1644 1659 15.28% 32.90% 51.82% -4.8 9
1973-10-24 Sheffield Wednesday W 2-0 1726 1698 53.02% 32.60% 14.38% +5.9 12
1973-10-24 @ West Brom L 0-2 1698 1726 14.38% 32.60% 53.02% -5.9 11
1973-10-27 Blackpool L 0-1 1755 1712 54.49% 32.18% 13.33% -8.6 17
1973-10-27 @ Bristol City W 1-0 1712 1755 13.33% 32.18% 54.49% +8.6 14
1973-10-27 Fulham W 3-0 1672 1679 49.52% 33.38% 17.10% +10.0 15
1973-10-27 @ Carlisle United L 0-3 1679 1672 17.10% 33.38% 49.52% -9.9 13
1973-10-27 Hull City D 2-2 1719 1703 51.86% 32.89% 15.25% -1.0 15
1973-10-27 @ Luton Town D 2-2 1703 1719 15.25% 32.89% 51.86% +1.0 14
1973-10-27 Middlesbrough L 0-1 1711 1743 46.91% 33.77% 19.31% -7.5 11
1973-10-27 @ Millwall W 1-0 1743 1711 19.31% 33.77% 46.91% +7.5 21
1973-10-27 Aston Villa L 1-2 1719 1715 50.71% 33.15% 16.14% -7.6 14
1973-10-27 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1715 1719 16.14% 33.15% 50.71% +7.6 18
1973-10-27 Leyton Orient D 1-1 1664 1714 44.83% 33.99% 21.18% -0.8 11
1973-10-27 @ Oxford United D 1-1 1714 1664 21.18% 33.99% 44.83% +0.8 17
1973-10-27 Swindon Town W 3-1 1656 1645 51.34% 33.01% 15.65% +5.5 13
1973-10-27 @ Portsmouth L 1-3 1645 1656 15.65% 33.01% 51.34% -5.5 9
1973-10-27 Cardiff City D 2-2 1644 1639 50.83% 33.12% 16.05% -0.9 15
1973-10-27 @ Preston North End D 2-2 1639 1644 16.05% 33.12% 50.83% +0.9 10
1973-10-27 Notts County D 0-0 1692 1624 56.72% 31.43% 11.85% -1.8 12
1973-10-27 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 0-0 1624 1692 11.85% 31.43% 56.72% +1.8 17
1973-10-27 Crystal Palace D 0-0 1749 1672 57.47% 31.15% 11.38% -1.9 13
1973-10-27 @ Sunderland D 0-0 1672 1749 11.38% 31.15% 57.47% +1.9 4
1973-10-27 Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1732 1585 63.20% 28.49% 8.32% -2.3 13
1973-10-27 @ West Brom D 0-0 1585 1732 8.32% 28.49% 63.20% +2.3 10
1973-11-03 Sheffield Wednesday W 1-0 1723 1690 53.46% 32.48% 14.06% +3.1 20
1973-11-03 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1690 1723 14.06% 32.48% 53.46% -3.1 12
1973-11-03 Portsmouth W 5-0 1720 1661 55.90% 31.72% 12.37% +12.2 16
1973-11-03 @ Blackpool L 0-5 1661 1720 12.37% 31.72% 55.90% -12.1 13
1973-11-03 Oxford United W 2-1 1588 1663 41.78% 34.17% 24.05% +4.4 12
1973-11-03 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1663 1588 24.05% 34.17% 41.78% -4.4 11
1973-11-03 West Brom L 0-1 1640 1729 39.98% 34.21% 25.81% -6.6 10
1973-11-03 @ Cardiff City W 1-0 1729 1640 25.81% 34.21% 39.98% +6.6 15
1973-11-03 Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1674 1712 46.24% 33.85% 19.90% -7.5 4
1973-11-03 @ Crystal Palace W 1-0 1712 1674 19.90% 33.85% 46.24% +7.4 16
1973-11-03 Bristol City W 2-1 1669 1746 41.61% 34.18% 24.21% +4.4 15
1973-11-03 @ Fulham L 1-2 1746 1669 24.21% 34.18% 41.61% -4.4 17
1973-11-03 Sunderland W 2-0 1704 1747 45.64% 33.92% 20.44% +7.8 16
1973-11-03 @ Hull City L 0-2 1747 1704 20.44% 33.92% 45.64% -7.8 13
1973-11-03 Preston North End D 2-2 1715 1643 57.01% 31.33% 11.67% -1.2 18
1973-11-03 @ Leyton Orient D 2-2 1643 1715 11.67% 31.33% 57.01% +1.2 16
1973-11-03 Luton Town W 2-1 1751 1718 53.47% 32.48% 14.05% +2.9 23
1973-11-03 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1718 1751 14.05% 32.48% 53.47% -2.9 15
1973-11-03 Millwall D 3-3 1626 1704 41.46% 34.18% 24.35% -0.3 18
1973-11-03 @ Notts County D 3-3 1704 1626 24.35% 34.18% 41.46% +0.3 12
1973-11-03 Carlisle United D 2-2 1640 1682 45.71% 33.91% 20.38% -0.6 10
1973-11-03 @ Swindon Town D 2-2 1682 1640 20.38% 33.91% 45.71% +0.6 16
1973-11-10 Crystal Palace L 0-1 1742 1667 57.34% 31.20% 11.46% -9.0 17
1973-11-10 @ Bristol City W 1-0 1667 1742 11.46% 31.20% 57.34% +9.0 6
1973-11-10 Hull City W 4-0 1683 1712 47.15% 33.74% 19.10% +14.1 18
1973-11-10 @ Carlisle United L 0-4 1712 1683 19.10% 33.74% 47.15% -14.2 16
1973-11-10 Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1715 1592 61.36% 29.44% 9.21% +1.9 17
1973-11-10 @ Luton Town L 1-2 1592 1715 9.21% 29.44% 61.36% -1.9 12
1973-11-10 Cardiff City W 2-0 1704 1633 57.01% 31.33% 11.67% +4.9 14
1973-11-10 @ Millwall L 0-2 1633 1704 11.67% 31.33% 57.01% -4.9 10
1973-11-10 Fulham W 3-0 1719 1674 54.68% 32.12% 13.20% +8.0 18
1973-11-10 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1674 1719 13.20% 32.12% 54.68% -8.0 15
1973-11-10 Middlesbrough L 0-2 1659 1753 39.36% 34.21% 26.43% -12.3 11
1973-11-10 @ Oxford United W 2-0 1753 1659 26.43% 34.21% 39.36% +12.3 25
1973-11-10 Aston Villa W 2-0 1649 1726 41.64% 34.18% 24.18% +8.8 15
1973-11-10 @ Portsmouth L 0-2 1726 1649 24.18% 34.18% 41.64% -8.8 20
1973-11-10 Blackpool L 1-3 1644 1732 40.24% 34.21% 25.55% -10.9 16
1973-11-10 @ Preston North End W 3-1 1732 1644 25.55% 34.21% 40.24% +10.9 18
1973-11-10 Leyton Orient L 1-2 1687 1713 47.51% 33.70% 18.79% -7.2 12
1973-11-10 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 2-1 1713 1687 18.79% 33.70% 47.51% +7.2 20
1973-11-10 Swindon Town W 4-1 1739 1639 59.47% 30.32% 10.21% +5.3 15
1973-11-10 @ Sunderland L 1-4 1639 1739 10.21% 30.32% 59.47% -5.3 10
1973-11-10 Notts County W 2-1 1736 1626 60.33% 29.93% 9.74% +2.1 17
1973-11-10 @ West Brom L 1-2 1626 1736 9.74% 29.93% 60.33% -2.1 18
1973-11-13 Bolton Wanderers W 3-0 1745 1590 63.82% 28.14% 8.03% +4.8 17
1973-11-13 @ Sunderland L 0-3 1590 1745 8.03% 28.14% 63.82% -4.8 12
1973-11-14 Luton Town D 0-0 1628 1717 40.09% 34.21% 25.70% -0.5 11
1973-11-14 @ Cardiff City D 0-0 1717 1628 25.70% 34.21% 40.09% +0.5 18
1973-11-17 Hull City D 1-1 1717 1698 52.18% 32.81% 15.01% -1.3 21
1973-11-17 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1698 1717 15.01% 32.81% 52.18% +1.3 17
1973-11-17 Swindon Town W 2-0 1743 1634 60.23% 29.97% 9.79% +4.1 20
1973-11-17 @ Blackpool L 0-2 1634 1743 9.79% 29.97% 60.23% -4.1 10
1973-11-17 Notts County L 1-3 1585 1623 46.16% 33.86% 19.98% -12.1 12
1973-11-17 @ Bolton Wanderers W 3-1 1623 1585 19.98% 33.86% 46.16% +12.1 20
1973-11-17 Sunderland W 2-0 1733 1749 48.55% 33.54% 17.91% +7.1 19
1973-11-17 @ Bristol City L 0-2 1749 1733 17.91% 33.54% 48.55% -7.1 17
1973-11-17 Millwall D 1-1 1676 1709 46.71% 33.80% 19.49% -0.9 7
1973-11-17 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 1709 1676 19.49% 33.80% 46.71% +0.9 15
1973-11-17 Portsmouth W 2-0 1666 1658 51.07% 33.07% 15.86% +6.5 17
1973-11-17 @ Fulham L 0-2 1658 1666 15.86% 33.07% 51.07% -6.5 15
1973-11-17 West Brom W 2-0 1721 1738 48.43% 33.56% 18.01% +7.1 22
1973-11-17 @ Leyton Orient L 0-2 1738 1721 18.01% 33.56% 48.43% -7.1 17
1973-11-17 Sheffield Wednesday W 2-1 1718 1680 53.95% 32.34% 13.71% +2.9 20
1973-11-17 @ Luton Town L 1-2 1680 1718 13.71% 32.34% 53.95% -2.8 12
1973-11-17 Cardiff City W 3-0 1766 1628 62.55% 28.83% 8.62% +5.2 27
1973-11-17 @ Middlesbrough L 0-3 1628 1766 8.62% 28.83% 62.55% -5.2 11
1973-11-17 Carlisle United W 2-0 1727 1697 53.28% 32.53% 14.19% +5.9 20
1973-11-17 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1697 1727 14.19% 32.53% 53.28% -5.9 18
1973-11-17 Preston North End D 1-1 1646 1634 51.56% 32.96% 15.48% -1.2 12
1973-11-17 @ Oxford United D 1-1 1634 1646 15.48% 32.96% 51.56% +1.2 17
1973-11-24 Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1622 1573 55.04% 32.01% 12.95% +2.9 13
1973-11-24 @ Cardiff City L 0-1 1573 1622 12.95% 32.01% 55.04% -2.9 12
1973-11-24 Bristol City W 2-1 1691 1740 44.93% 33.98% 21.09% +4.0 20
1973-11-24 @ Carlisle United L 1-2 1740 1691 21.09% 33.98% 44.93% -4.0 19
1973-11-24 Blackpool W 1-0 1699 1747 45.04% 33.97% 20.99% +4.2 19
1973-11-24 @ Hull City L 0-1 1747 1699 20.99% 33.97% 45.04% -4.2 20
1973-11-24 Leyton Orient L 0-1 1710 1728 48.43% 33.56% 18.01% -7.7 15
1973-11-24 @ Millwall W 1-0 1728 1710 18.01% 33.56% 48.43% +7.7 24
1973-11-24 Middlesbrough D 2-2 1636 1771 33.95% 34.03% 32.02% -0.0 21
1973-11-24 @ Notts County D 2-2 1771 1636 32.02% 34.03% 33.95% +0.0 28
1973-11-24 Crystal Palace D 2-2 1652 1675 47.82% 33.65% 18.53% -0.7 16
1973-11-24 @ Portsmouth D 2-2 1675 1652 18.53% 33.65% 47.82% +0.7 8
1973-11-24 Luton Town D 2-2 1635 1720 40.52% 34.21% 25.27% -0.4 18
1973-11-24 @ Preston North End D 2-2 1720 1635 25.27% 34.21% 40.52% +0.4 21
1973-11-24 Oxford United L 0-1 1677 1645 53.44% 32.49% 14.07% -8.4 12
1973-11-24 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 1-0 1645 1677 14.07% 32.49% 53.44% +8.4 14
1973-11-24 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1742 1733 51.20% 33.04% 15.76% -1.4 18
1973-11-24 @ Sunderland D 0-0 1733 1742 15.76% 33.04% 51.20% +1.4 21
1973-11-24 Aston Villa W 1-0 1630 1716 40.48% 34.21% 25.32% +4.8 12
1973-11-24 @ Swindon Town L 0-1 1716 1630 25.32% 34.21% 40.48% -4.8 21
1973-11-24 Fulham W 2-0 1731 1672 55.90% 31.72% 12.38% +5.2 19
1973-11-24 @ West Brom L 0-2 1672 1731 12.38% 31.72% 55.90% -5.2 17
1973-12-01 Sunderland L 0-2 1743 1741 50.49% 33.19% 16.31% -15.1 20
1973-12-01 @ Blackpool W 2-0 1741 1743 16.31% 33.19% 50.49% +15.1 20
1973-12-01 Notts County D 2-2 1736 1636 59.49% 30.31% 10.20% -1.3 20
1973-12-01 @ Bristol City D 2-2 1636 1736 10.20% 30.31% 59.49% +1.3 22
1973-12-01 Swindon Town W 4-2 1676 1634 54.28% 32.24% 13.48% +4.4 10
1973-12-01 @ Crystal Palace L 2-4 1634 1676 13.48% 32.24% 54.28% -4.3 12
1973-12-01 Hull City D 0-0 1667 1703 46.38% 33.84% 19.78% -1.0 18
1973-12-01 @ Fulham D 0-0 1703 1667 19.78% 33.84% 46.38% +1.0 20
1973-12-01 Cardiff City L 1-2 1735 1625 60.30% 29.94% 9.76% -8.8 24
1973-12-01 @ Leyton Orient W 2-1 1625 1735 9.76% 29.94% 60.30% +8.8 15
1973-12-01 West Brom L 0-2 1721 1736 48.66% 33.52% 17.81% -14.7 21
1973-12-01 @ Luton Town W 2-0 1736 1721 17.81% 33.52% 48.66% +14.7 21
1973-12-05 Sunderland W 1-0 1570 1756 27.35% 33.31% 39.34% +6.5 14
1973-12-05 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1756 1570 39.34% 33.31% 27.35% -6.5 20
1973-12-08 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1634 1734 38.62% 34.21% 27.17% -0.3 16
1973-12-08 @ Cardiff City D 1-1 1734 1634 27.17% 34.21% 38.62% +0.4 22
1973-12-08 Blackpool L 2-3 1695 1728 46.75% 33.79% 19.46% -6.7 20
1973-12-08 @ Carlisle United W 3-2 1728 1695 19.46% 33.79% 46.75% +6.7 22
1973-12-08 Crystal Palace W 3-0 1704 1680 52.71% 32.68% 14.61% +8.8 22
1973-12-08 @ Hull City L 0-3 1680 1704 14.61% 32.68% 52.71% -8.8 10
1973-12-08 Luton Town L 0-1 1702 1706 49.88% 33.31% 16.81% -7.9 15
1973-12-08 @ Millwall W 1-0 1706 1702 16.81% 33.31% 49.88% +7.9 23
1973-12-08 Leyton Orient L 2-4 1637 1727 40.01% 34.21% 25.78% -9.7 22
1973-12-08 @ Notts County W 4-2 1727 1637 25.78% 34.21% 40.01% +9.7 26
1973-12-08 Bristol City W 1-0 1651 1735 40.75% 34.20% 25.05% +4.8 18
1973-12-08 @ Portsmouth L 0-1 1735 1651 25.05% 34.20% 40.75% -4.8 20
1973-12-08 Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1634 1577 55.81% 31.75% 12.43% +2.6 20
1973-12-08 @ Preston North End L 1-2 1577 1634 12.43% 31.75% 55.81% -2.6 14
1973-12-08 Middlesbrough D 2-2 1669 1771 38.39% 34.21% 27.41% -0.2 13
1973-12-08 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 2-2 1771 1669 27.41% 34.21% 38.39% +0.2 29
1973-12-08 Aston Villa W 2-0 1750 1711 54.07% 32.31% 13.63% +5.7 22
1973-12-08 @ Sunderland L 0-2 1711 1750 13.63% 32.31% 54.07% -5.7 21
1973-12-08 Fulham D 1-1 1630 1666 46.42% 33.83% 19.74% -0.9 13
1973-12-08 @ Swindon Town D 1-1 1666 1630 19.74% 33.83% 46.42% +0.9 19
1973-12-08 Oxford United W 1-0 1751 1654 59.24% 30.42% 10.34% +2.3 23
1973-12-08 @ West Brom L 0-1 1654 1751 10.34% 30.42% 59.24% -2.3 14
1973-12-11 Preston North End W 3-0 1771 1637 62.24% 28.99% 8.77% +5.3 31
1973-12-11 @ Middlesbrough L 0-3 1637 1771 8.77% 28.99% 62.24% -5.3 20
1973-12-12 Cardiff City W 1-0 1714 1634 57.80% 31.02% 11.18% +2.5 25
1973-12-12 @ Luton Town L 0-1 1634 1714 11.18% 31.02% 57.80% -2.5 16
1973-12-15 Swindon Town W 2-0 1574 1629 44.21% 34.04% 21.75% +8.2 16
1973-12-15 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1629 1574 21.75% 34.04% 44.21% -8.2 13
1973-12-15 Bristol City L 0-1 1631 1730 38.85% 34.21% 26.94% -6.5 16
1973-12-15 @ Cardiff City W 1-0 1730 1631 26.94% 34.21% 38.85% +6.5 22
1973-12-15 Carlisle United L 0-1 1736 1688 54.93% 32.04% 13.03% -8.6 26
1973-12-15 @ Leyton Orient W 1-0 1688 1736 13.03% 32.04% 54.93% +8.6 22
1973-12-15 Aston Villa W 1-0 1717 1705 51.43% 32.99% 15.58% +3.4 27
1973-12-15 @ Luton Town L 0-1 1705 1717 15.58% 32.99% 51.43% -3.4 21
1973-12-15 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1777 1735 54.35% 32.22% 13.43% +3.0 33
1973-12-15 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1735 1777 13.43% 32.22% 54.35% -3.0 22
1973-12-15 Sunderland W 2-1 1694 1755 43.55% 34.09% 22.36% +4.2 17
1973-12-15 @ Millwall L 1-2 1755 1694 22.36% 34.09% 43.55% -4.2 22
1973-12-15 Hull City W 3-2 1627 1713 40.48% 34.21% 25.31% +4.3 24
1973-12-15 @ Notts County L 2-3 1713 1627 25.31% 34.21% 40.48% -4.3 22
1973-12-15 Blackpool D 2-2 1651 1735 40.79% 34.20% 25.01% -0.4 15
1973-12-15 @ Oxford United D 2-2 1735 1651 25.01% 34.20% 40.79% +0.4 23
1973-12-15 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1632 1671 46.03% 33.88% 20.09% -0.9 21
1973-12-15 @ Preston North End D 1-1 1671 1632 20.09% 33.88% 46.03% +0.9 11
1973-12-15 Fulham L 0-3 1669 1667 50.43% 33.20% 16.37% -22.0 13
1973-12-15 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 3-0 1667 1669 16.37% 33.20% 50.43% +22.0 21
1973-12-15 Portsmouth L 1-2 1753 1656 59.26% 30.41% 10.33% -8.7 23
1973-12-15 @ West Brom W 2-1 1656 1753 10.33% 30.41% 59.26% +8.7 20
1973-12-22 Notts County D 1-1 1702 1632 56.91% 31.36% 11.73% -1.6 22
1973-12-22 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1632 1702 11.73% 31.36% 56.91% +1.6 25
1973-12-22 Luton Town W 3-0 1735 1720 51.79% 32.91% 15.30% +9.1 25
1973-12-22 @ Blackpool L 0-3 1720 1735 15.30% 32.91% 51.79% -9.1 27
1973-12-22 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1736 1780 45.59% 33.92% 20.48% -0.8 23
1973-12-22 @ Bristol City D 1-1 1780 1736 20.48% 33.92% 45.59% +0.8 34
1973-12-22 Millwall D 1-1 1697 1699 50.10% 33.27% 16.63% -1.1 23
1973-12-22 @ Carlisle United D 1-1 1699 1697 16.63% 33.27% 50.10% +1.1 18
1973-12-22 Sheffield Wednesday D 0-0 1672 1647 52.80% 32.66% 14.54% -1.5 12
1973-12-22 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 1647 1672 14.54% 32.66% 52.80% +1.5 14
1973-12-22 Oxford United W 3-1 1689 1651 54.01% 32.33% 13.67% +4.9 23
1973-12-22 @ Fulham L 1-3 1651 1689 13.67% 32.33% 54.01% -4.9 15
1973-12-22 Cardiff City D 1-1 1709 1625 58.12% 30.89% 10.99% -1.7 23
1973-12-22 @ Hull City D 1-1 1625 1709 10.99% 30.89% 58.12% +1.7 17
1973-12-22 Bolton Wanderers W 3-2 1732 1582 63.45% 28.35% 8.20% +1.6 24
1973-12-22 @ Nottingham Forest L 2-3 1582 1732 8.20% 28.35% 63.45% -1.6 16
1973-12-22 Preston North End W 3-0 1664 1631 53.56% 32.45% 13.99% +8.4 22
1973-12-22 @ Portsmouth L 0-3 1631 1664 13.99% 32.45% 53.56% -8.4 21
1973-12-22 West Brom D 1-1 1751 1745 50.93% 33.10% 15.97% -1.2 23
1973-12-22 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1745 1751 15.97% 33.10% 50.93% +1.2 24
1973-12-22 Leyton Orient D 2-2 1621 1728 37.83% 34.20% 27.97% -0.2 14
1973-12-22 @ Swindon Town D 2-2 1728 1621 27.97% 34.20% 37.83% +0.2 27
1973-12-26 Blackpool D 1-1 1581 1744 30.15% 33.70% 36.15% +0.2 17
1973-12-26 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1744 1581 36.15% 33.70% 30.15% -0.2 26
1973-12-26 Swindon Town W 2-1 1626 1621 50.83% 33.12% 16.05% +3.2 19
1973-12-26 @ Cardiff City L 1-2 1621 1626 16.05% 33.12% 50.83% -3.2 14
1973-12-26 Crystal Palace W 3-0 1728 1671 55.77% 31.77% 12.46% +7.6 29
1973-12-26 @ Leyton Orient L 0-3 1671 1728 12.46% 31.77% 55.77% -7.6 12
1973-12-26 Fulham D 1-1 1711 1694 51.98% 32.86% 15.16% -1.3 28
1973-12-26 @ Luton Town D 1-1 1694 1711 15.16% 32.86% 51.98% +1.3 24
1973-12-26 Sunderland W 2-1 1780 1750 53.30% 32.53% 14.18% +2.9 36
1973-12-26 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1750 1780 14.18% 32.53% 53.30% -2.9 23
1973-12-26 Portsmouth D 1-1 1700 1673 52.95% 32.62% 14.43% -1.3 19
1973-12-26 @ Millwall D 1-1 1673 1700 14.43% 32.62% 52.95% +1.3 23
1973-12-26 Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1633 1733 38.64% 34.21% 27.15% -6.5 25
1973-12-26 @ Notts County W 1-0 1733 1633 27.15% 34.21% 38.64% +6.5 26
1973-12-26 Bristol City W 5-0 1646 1736 40.02% 34.21% 25.77% +21.6 17
1973-12-26 @ Oxford United L 0-5 1736 1646 25.77% 34.21% 40.02% -21.6 23
1973-12-26 Carlisle United L 0-1 1622 1696 42.06% 34.16% 23.78% -6.9 21
1973-12-26 @ Preston North End W 1-0 1696 1622 23.78% 34.16% 42.06% +6.9 25
1973-12-26 Hull City D 1-1 1648 1707 43.76% 34.07% 22.16% -0.7 15
1973-12-26 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 1-1 1707 1648 22.16% 34.07% 43.76% +0.7 24
1973-12-26 Aston Villa W 2-0 1746 1700 54.70% 32.12% 13.18% +5.5 26
1973-12-26 @ West Brom L 0-2 1700 1746 13.18% 32.12% 54.70% -5.5 22
1973-12-29 Portsmouth W 4-0 1581 1674 39.55% 34.21% 26.24% +17.7 19
1973-12-29 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-4 1674 1581 26.24% 34.21% 39.55% -17.7 23
1973-12-29 Sunderland W 4-1 1630 1747 36.41% 34.16% 29.43% +12.4 21
1973-12-29 @ Cardiff City L 1-4 1747 1630 29.43% 34.16% 36.41% -12.4 23
1973-12-29 Fulham W 1-0 1735 1695 54.21% 32.26% 13.52% +3.0 31
1973-12-29 @ Leyton Orient L 0-1 1695 1735 13.52% 32.26% 54.21% -3.0 24
1973-12-29 Bristol City W 1-0 1710 1714 49.83% 33.32% 16.85% +3.6 30
1973-12-29 @ Luton Town L 0-1 1714 1710 16.85% 33.32% 49.83% -3.6 23
1973-12-29 Crystal Palace W 2-0 1783 1663 61.13% 29.54% 9.32% +3.9 38
1973-12-29 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1663 1783 9.32% 29.54% 61.13% -3.9 12
1973-12-29 Blackpool D 2-2 1698 1744 45.33% 33.95% 20.72% -0.6 20
1973-12-29 @ Millwall D 2-2 1744 1698 20.72% 33.95% 45.33% +0.6 27
1973-12-29 Carlisle United L 0-3 1627 1703 41.73% 34.17% 24.09% -18.8 25
1973-12-29 @ Notts County W 3-0 1703 1627 24.09% 34.17% 41.73% +18.8 27
1973-12-29 Aston Villa W 2-1 1667 1695 47.40% 33.71% 18.89% +3.7 19
1973-12-29 @ Oxford United L 1-2 1695 1667 18.89% 33.71% 47.40% -3.7 22
1973-12-29 Hull City W 2-0 1616 1708 39.69% 34.21% 26.10% +9.3 23
1973-12-29 @ Preston North End L 0-2 1708 1616 26.10% 34.21% 39.69% -9.3 24
1973-12-29 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1647 1740 39.64% 34.21% 26.15% -0.4 16
1973-12-29 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 1-1 1740 1647 26.15% 34.21% 39.64% +0.4 27
1973-12-29 Swindon Town W 2-0 1751 1618 62.19% 29.02% 8.79% +3.7 28
1973-12-29 @ West Brom L 0-2 1618 1751 8.79% 29.02% 62.19% -3.7 14
1974-01-01 Millwall D 0-0 1691 1698 49.57% 33.37% 17.06% -1.2 23
1974-01-01 @ Aston Villa D 0-0 1698 1691 17.06% 33.37% 49.57% +1.2 21
1974-01-01 Sheffield Wednesday D 0-0 1745 1647 59.26% 30.41% 10.33% -2.0 28
1974-01-01 @ Blackpool D 0-0 1647 1745 10.33% 30.41% 59.26% +2.0 17
1974-01-01 Leyton Orient L 0-2 1710 1738 47.29% 33.73% 18.98% -14.3 23
1974-01-01 @ Bristol City W 2-0 1738 1710 18.98% 33.73% 47.29% +14.3 33
1974-01-01 Luton Town W 2-0 1721 1713 51.10% 33.06% 15.84% +6.4 29
1974-01-01 @ Carlisle United L 0-2 1713 1721 15.84% 33.06% 51.10% -6.4 30
1974-01-01 West Brom W 1-0 1659 1755 39.21% 34.21% 26.57% +5.0 14
1974-01-01 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1755 1659 26.57% 34.21% 39.21% -5.0 28
1974-01-01 Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1698 1599 59.45% 30.33% 10.22% -2.0 25
1974-01-01 @ Hull City D 0-0 1599 1698 10.22% 30.33% 59.45% +2.0 20
1974-01-01 Oxford United D 1-1 1740 1671 56.82% 31.39% 11.78% -1.6 28
1974-01-01 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1671 1740 11.78% 31.39% 56.82% +1.6 20
1974-01-01 Cardiff City W 1-0 1656 1642 51.72% 32.92% 15.36% +3.3 25
1974-01-01 @ Portsmouth L 0-1 1642 1656 15.36% 32.92% 51.72% -3.3 21
1974-01-01 Notts County L 1-2 1735 1608 61.63% 29.30% 9.07% -9.0 23
1974-01-01 @ Sunderland W 2-1 1608 1735 9.07% 29.30% 61.63% +9.0 27
1974-01-01 Preston North End W 3-1 1614 1625 49.13% 33.45% 17.42% +6.0 16
1974-01-01 @ Swindon Town L 1-3 1625 1614 17.42% 33.45% 49.13% -6.0 23
1974-01-12 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1690 1787 38.99% 34.21% 26.79% -0.4 24
1974-01-12 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1787 1690 26.79% 34.21% 38.99% +0.4 39
1974-01-12 Leyton Orient D 1-1 1743 1753 49.21% 33.43% 17.35% -1.1 29
1974-01-12 @ Blackpool D 1-1 1753 1743 17.35% 33.43% 49.21% +1.1 34
1974-01-12 Preston North End D 0-0 1696 1619 57.52% 31.13% 11.35% -1.8 24
1974-01-12 @ Bristol City D 0-0 1619 1696 11.35% 31.13% 57.52% +1.9 24
1974-01-12 Sheffield Wednesday D 2-2 1728 1649 57.67% 31.07% 11.26% -1.2 30
1974-01-12 @ Carlisle United D 2-2 1649 1728 11.26% 31.07% 57.67% +1.2 18
1974-01-12 Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1664 1601 56.32% 31.58% 12.11% -1.8 15
1974-01-12 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 1601 1664 12.11% 31.58% 56.32% +1.8 21
1974-01-12 Cardiff City L 0-1 1692 1639 55.42% 31.88% 12.69% -8.7 24
1974-01-12 @ Fulham W 1-0 1639 1692 12.69% 31.88% 55.42% +8.7 23
1974-01-12 Millwall D 1-1 1696 1699 50.01% 33.29% 16.70% -1.1 26
1974-01-12 @ Hull City D 1-1 1699 1696 16.70% 33.29% 50.01% +1.1 22
1974-01-12 West Brom L 1-4 1739 1750 49.11% 33.45% 17.44% -18.1 28
1974-01-12 @ Nottingham Forest W 4-1 1750 1739 17.44% 33.45% 49.11% +18.1 30
1974-01-12 Luton Town D 0-0 1660 1707 45.16% 33.96% 20.88% -0.9 26
1974-01-12 @ Portsmouth D 0-0 1707 1660 20.88% 33.96% 45.16% +0.9 31
1974-01-12 Oxford United D 0-0 1726 1673 55.36% 31.91% 12.74% -1.7 24
1974-01-12 @ Sunderland D 0-0 1673 1726 12.74% 31.91% 55.36% +1.7 21
1974-01-19 Carlisle United D 2-2 1647 1727 41.32% 34.19% 24.49% -0.4 24
1974-01-19 @ Cardiff City D 2-2 1727 1647 24.49% 34.19% 41.32% +0.4 31
1974-01-19 Sunderland W 2-1 1754 1724 53.23% 32.54% 14.23% +2.9 36
1974-01-19 @ Leyton Orient L 1-2 1724 1754 14.23% 32.54% 53.23% -3.0 24
1974-01-19 Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1708 1721 48.92% 33.48% 17.60% -0.8 32
1974-01-19 @ Luton Town D 2-2 1721 1708 17.60% 33.48% 48.92% +0.8 29
1974-01-19 Portsmouth W 3-0 1788 1659 61.81% 29.21% 8.98% +5.5 41
1974-01-19 @ Middlesbrough L 0-3 1659 1788 8.98% 29.21% 61.81% -5.5 26
1974-01-19 Hull City D 1-1 1674 1695 48.08% 33.61% 18.30% -1.0 22
1974-01-19 @ Oxford United D 1-1 1695 1674 18.30% 33.61% 48.08% +1.0 27
1974-01-19 Aston Villa D 0-0 1621 1689 42.62% 34.14% 23.24% -0.7 25
1974-01-19 @ Preston North End D 0-0 1689 1621 23.24% 34.14% 42.62% +0.7 25
1974-01-19 Swindon Town W 2-1 1650 1620 53.26% 32.54% 14.20% +2.9 20
1974-01-19 @ Sheffield Wednesday L 1-2 1620 1650 14.20% 32.54% 53.26% -2.9 16
1974-01-19 Blackpool D 1-1 1768 1741 52.91% 32.63% 14.46% -1.3 31
1974-01-19 @ West Brom D 1-1 1741 1768 14.46% 32.63% 52.91% +1.3 30
1974-01-20 Bristol City W 2-1 1602 1694 39.73% 34.21% 26.05% +4.7 23
1974-01-20 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1694 1602 26.05% 34.21% 39.73% -4.7 24
1974-01-20 Fulham W 1-0 1700 1683 51.95% 32.87% 15.18% +3.3 24
1974-01-20 @ Millwall L 0-1 1683 1700 15.18% 32.87% 51.95% -3.3 24
1974-01-20 Crystal Palace L 1-3 1617 1662 45.36% 33.94% 20.69% -12.0 27
1974-01-20 @ Notts County W 3-1 1662 1617 20.69% 33.94% 45.36% +12.0 17
1974-01-26 Notts County W 1-0 1647 1605 54.37% 32.22% 13.42% +3.0 26
1974-01-26 @ Cardiff City L 0-1 1605 1647 13.42% 32.22% 54.37% -3.0 27
1974-01-26 Millwall L 0-3 1674 1703 47.09% 33.75% 19.16% -20.7 22
1974-01-26 @ Oxford United W 3-0 1703 1674 19.16% 33.75% 47.09% +20.7 26
1974-01-26 Hull City D 1-1 1617 1696 41.30% 34.19% 24.51% -0.5 17
1974-01-26 @ Swindon Town D 1-1 1696 1617 24.51% 34.19% 41.30% +0.5 28
1974-02-02 Luton Town L 0-1 1690 1707 48.51% 33.55% 17.94% -7.8 25
1974-02-02 @ Aston Villa W 1-0 1707 1690 17.94% 33.55% 48.51% +7.8 34
1974-02-02 Oxford United W 2-0 1743 1653 58.62% 30.68% 10.69% +4.5 32
1974-02-02 @ Blackpool L 0-2 1653 1743 10.69% 30.68% 58.62% -4.5 22
1974-02-02 Cardiff City W 3-2 1689 1650 54.14% 32.29% 13.57% +2.7 26
1974-02-02 @ Bristol City L 2-3 1650 1689 13.57% 32.29% 54.14% -2.7 26
1974-02-02 Leyton Orient W 3-0 1727 1757 47.10% 33.75% 19.15% +10.8 33
1974-02-02 @ Carlisle United L 0-3 1757 1727 19.15% 33.75% 47.10% -10.8 36
1974-02-02 Sheffield Wednesday W 4-1 1680 1653 52.96% 32.62% 14.43% +7.3 26
1974-02-02 @ Fulham L 1-4 1653 1680 14.43% 32.62% 52.96% -7.3 20
1974-02-02 Notts County W 1-0 1697 1602 59.03% 30.51% 10.46% +2.4 30
1974-02-02 @ Hull City L 0-1 1602 1697 10.46% 30.51% 59.03% -2.3 27
1974-02-02 Middlesbrough W 5-1 1721 1793 42.24% 34.16% 23.60% +13.7 31
1974-02-02 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-5 1793 1721 23.60% 34.16% 42.24% -13.7 41
1974-02-02 Millwall W 4-0 1721 1724 49.95% 33.30% 16.75% +12.8 26
1974-02-02 @ Sunderland L 0-4 1724 1721 16.75% 33.30% 49.95% -12.8 26
1974-02-03 Preston North End W 2-0 1674 1620 55.48% 31.86% 12.65% +5.3 19
1974-02-03 @ Crystal Palace L 0-2 1620 1674 12.65% 31.86% 55.48% -5.3 25
1974-02-03 West Brom D 1-1 1653 1767 36.93% 34.18% 28.89% -0.2 27
1974-02-03 @ Portsmouth D 1-1 1767 1653 28.89% 34.18% 36.93% +0.2 32
1974-02-03 Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1616 1607 51.23% 33.03% 15.73% -0.9 18
1974-02-03 @ Swindon Town D 2-2 1607 1616 15.73% 33.03% 51.23% +0.9 24
1974-02-05 Notts County D 1-1 1715 1600 60.69% 29.76% 9.55% -1.9 35
1974-02-05 @ Luton Town D 1-1 1600 1715 9.55% 29.76% 60.69% +1.9 28
1974-02-09 Blackpool D 0-0 1779 1747 53.44% 32.49% 14.08% -1.5 42
1974-02-09 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1747 1779 14.08% 32.49% 53.44% +1.6 33
1974-02-09 Portsmouth W 4-0 1602 1653 44.64% 34.01% 21.35% +15.4 30
1974-02-09 @ Notts County L 0-4 1653 1602 21.35% 34.01% 44.64% -15.3 27
1974-02-10 Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1615 1735 35.99% 34.14% 29.87% +5.1 27
1974-02-10 @ Preston North End L 1-2 1735 1615 29.87% 34.14% 35.99% -5.1 31
1974-02-10 Bristol City W 3-1 1646 1692 45.24% 33.96% 20.80% +6.9 22
1974-02-10 @ Sheffield Wednesday L 1-3 1692 1646 20.80% 33.96% 45.24% -6.9 26
1974-02-16 Cardiff City W 2-1 1749 1647 59.60% 30.26% 10.14% +2.1 35
1974-02-16 @ Blackpool L 1-2 1647 1749 10.14% 30.26% 59.60% -2.1 26
1974-02-16 Sheffield Wednesday W 4-2 1608 1653 45.42% 33.94% 20.64% +6.1 26
1974-02-16 @ Bolton Wanderers L 2-4 1653 1608 20.64% 33.94% 45.42% -6.1 22
1974-02-16 Notts County W 2-0 1687 1617 56.94% 31.35% 11.71% +4.9 28
1974-02-16 @ Fulham L 0-2 1617 1687 11.71% 31.35% 56.94% -4.9 30
1974-02-16 Middlesbrough L 1-3 1699 1778 41.39% 34.19% 24.43% -11.1 30
1974-02-16 @ Hull City W 3-1 1778 1699 24.43% 34.19% 41.39% +11.1 44
1974-02-16 Swindon Town W 3-0 1711 1616 59.11% 30.48% 10.41% +6.4 28
1974-02-16 @ Millwall L 0-3 1616 1711 10.41% 30.48% 59.11% -6.4 18
1974-02-16 Preston North End W 2-1 1734 1620 60.60% 29.80% 9.60% +2.0 28
1974-02-16 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1620 1734 9.60% 29.80% 60.60% -2.0 27
1974-02-17 Oxford United W 2-0 1680 1648 53.36% 32.51% 14.13% +5.8 21
1974-02-17 @ Crystal Palace L 0-2 1648 1680 14.13% 32.51% 53.36% -5.9 22
1974-02-19 Notts County L 1-4 1609 1612 49.98% 33.29% 16.72% -18.4 18
1974-02-19 @ Swindon Town W 4-1 1612 1609 16.72% 33.29% 49.98% +18.4 32
1974-02-20 Sheffield Wednesday D 1-1 1638 1647 49.36% 33.41% 17.24% -1.1 28
1974-02-20 @ Portsmouth D 1-1 1647 1638 17.24% 33.41% 49.36% +1.1 23
1974-02-23 Carlisle United W 2-0 1614 1738 35.53% 34.12% 30.34% +10.3 28
1974-02-23 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1738 1614 30.34% 34.12% 35.53% -10.3 33
1974-02-23 Aston Villa L 0-1 1645 1682 46.29% 33.85% 19.86% -7.5 26
1974-02-23 @ Cardiff City W 1-0 1682 1645 19.86% 33.85% 46.29% +7.5 27
1974-02-23 Hull City D 1-1 1746 1688 55.81% 31.75% 12.43% -1.5 37
1974-02-23 @ Leyton Orient D 1-1 1688 1746 12.43% 31.75% 55.81% +1.5 31
1974-02-23 Crystal Palace W 2-1 1713 1685 52.99% 32.61% 14.41% +3.0 37
1974-02-23 @ Luton Town L 1-2 1685 1713 14.41% 32.61% 52.99% -3.0 21
1974-02-23 Swindon Town W 2-1 1789 1591 67.12% 26.21% 6.68% +1.3 46
1974-02-23 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1591 1789 6.68% 26.21% 67.12% -1.3 18
1974-02-23 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1718 1730 48.99% 33.47% 17.54% -1.2 29
1974-02-23 @ Millwall D 0-0 1730 1718 17.54% 33.47% 48.99% +1.2 32
1974-02-23 Blackpool L 0-3 1630 1751 35.95% 34.14% 29.91% -16.8 32
1974-02-23 @ Notts County W 3-0 1751 1630 29.91% 34.14% 35.95% +16.8 37
1974-02-23 Portsmouth W 3-0 1642 1637 50.86% 33.12% 16.02% +9.4 24
1974-02-23 @ Oxford United L 0-3 1637 1642 16.02% 33.12% 50.86% -9.4 28
1974-02-23 Fulham L 0-1 1618 1692 41.89% 34.17% 23.94% -6.9 27
1974-02-23 @ Preston North End W 1-0 1692 1618 23.94% 34.17% 41.89% +6.9 30
1974-02-23 Sunderland L 0-1 1648 1736 40.21% 34.21% 25.58% -6.7 23
1974-02-23 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 1-0 1736 1648 25.58% 34.21% 40.21% +6.7 30
1974-02-23 Bristol City D 2-2 1767 1685 57.91% 30.98% 11.12% -1.3 33
1974-02-23 @ West Brom D 2-2 1685 1767 11.12% 30.98% 57.91% +1.3 27
1974-02-25 West Brom L 0-1 1727 1766 46.17% 33.86% 19.97% -7.4 33
1974-02-25 @ Carlisle United W 1-0 1766 1727 19.97% 33.86% 46.17% +7.4 35
1974-02-26 Millwall W 5-2 1687 1717 47.08% 33.75% 19.16% +7.9 29
1974-02-26 @ Bristol City L 2-5 1717 1687 19.16% 33.75% 47.08% -7.9 29
1974-02-26 Leyton Orient W 2-1 1731 1744 48.91% 33.48% 17.61% +3.5 34
1974-02-26 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1744 1731 17.61% 33.48% 48.91% -3.5 37
1974-02-26 Luton Town L 0-2 1589 1716 35.20% 34.10% 30.70% -11.4 18
1974-02-26 @ Swindon Town W 2-0 1716 1589 30.70% 34.10% 35.20% +11.4 39
1974-02-27 Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1690 1624 56.49% 31.52% 11.99% -1.6 28
1974-02-27 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1624 1690 11.99% 31.52% 56.49% +1.6 29
1974-03-02 West Brom L 1-3 1688 1773 40.60% 34.20% 25.20% -10.9 28
1974-03-02 @ Aston Villa W 3-1 1773 1688 25.20% 34.20% 40.60% +10.9 37
1974-03-02 Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1768 1626 62.84% 28.68% 8.48% -18.2 37
1974-03-02 @ Blackpool W 2-0 1626 1768 8.48% 28.68% 62.84% +18.2 31
1974-03-02 Oxford United D 0-0 1694 1652 54.43% 32.20% 13.37% -1.6 30
1974-03-02 @ Bristol City D 0-0 1652 1694 13.37% 32.20% 54.43% +1.6 25
1974-03-02 Preston North End D 2-2 1720 1611 60.21% 29.98% 9.81% -1.4 34
1974-03-02 @ Carlisle United D 2-2 1611 1720 9.81% 29.98% 60.21% +1.4 28
1974-03-02 Sheffield Wednesday W 2-1 1690 1641 54.98% 32.03% 12.99% +2.7 33
1974-03-02 @ Hull City L 1-2 1641 1690 12.99% 32.03% 54.98% -2.7 23
1974-03-02 Millwall D 0-0 1627 1709 41.04% 34.19% 24.76% -0.6 29
1974-03-02 @ Portsmouth D 0-0 1709 1627 24.76% 34.19% 41.04% +0.6 30
1974-03-02 Middlesbrough L 0-2 1742 1790 45.06% 33.97% 20.96% -13.7 30
1974-03-02 @ Sunderland W 2-0 1790 1742 20.96% 33.97% 45.06% +13.7 48
1974-03-02 Cardiff City D 1-1 1578 1638 43.70% 34.08% 22.22% -0.7 19
1974-03-02 @ Swindon Town D 1-1 1638 1578 22.22% 34.08% 43.70% +0.7 27
1974-03-03 Leyton Orient D 0-0 1682 1741 43.83% 34.07% 22.10% -0.8 22
1974-03-03 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 1741 1682 22.10% 34.07% 43.83% +0.8 38
1974-03-03 Notts County D 0-0 1735 1614 61.20% 29.51% 9.29% -2.1 35
1974-03-03 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1614 1735 9.29% 29.51% 61.20% +2.1 33
1974-03-05 Luton Town W 2-1 1699 1727 47.32% 33.72% 18.95% +3.7 32
1974-03-05 @ Fulham L 1-2 1727 1699 18.95% 33.72% 47.32% -3.7 39
1974-03-05 Portsmouth W 3-0 1729 1627 59.63% 30.25% 10.12% +6.2 32
1974-03-05 @ Sunderland L 0-3 1627 1729 10.12% 30.25% 59.63% -6.2 29
1974-03-09 West Brom D 1-1 1644 1784 33.32% 33.99% 32.69% -0.0 32
1974-03-09 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1784 1644 32.69% 33.99% 33.32% +0.0 38
1974-03-09 Preston North End W 2-0 1638 1612 52.85% 32.64% 14.50% +6.0 29
1974-03-09 @ Cardiff City L 0-2 1612 1638 14.50% 32.64% 52.85% -6.0 28
1974-03-09 Sunderland W 3-0 1682 1735 44.44% 34.02% 21.53% +11.8 24
1974-03-09 @ Crystal Palace L 0-3 1735 1682 21.53% 34.02% 44.44% -11.8 32
1974-03-09 Carlisle United L 0-2 1703 1719 48.63% 33.53% 17.84% -14.7 32
1974-03-09 @ Fulham W 2-0 1719 1703 17.84% 33.53% 48.63% +14.6 36
1974-03-09 Luton Town L 1-3 1692 1723 46.97% 33.77% 19.26% -12.3 33
1974-03-09 @ Hull City W 3-1 1723 1692 19.26% 33.77% 46.97% +12.3 41
1974-03-09 Millwall W 2-1 1804 1709 59.03% 30.51% 10.46% +2.2 50
1974-03-09 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1709 1804 10.46% 30.51% 59.03% -2.2 30
1974-03-09 Sheffield Wednesday L 1-5 1616 1638 47.89% 33.64% 18.46% -22.9 33
1974-03-09 @ Notts County W 5-1 1638 1616 18.46% 33.64% 47.89% +22.9 25
1974-03-09 Portsmouth L 1-2 1577 1620 45.62% 33.92% 20.46% -6.9 19
1974-03-09 @ Swindon Town W 2-1 1620 1577 20.46% 33.92% 45.62% +6.9 31
1974-03-10 Oxford United D 1-1 1742 1653 58.46% 30.75% 10.79% -1.7 39
1974-03-10 @ Leyton Orient D 1-1 1653 1742 10.79% 30.75% 58.46% +1.7 26
1974-03-13 Carlisle United W 2-1 1677 1733 44.10% 34.05% 21.85% +4.1 30
1974-03-13 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1733 1677 21.85% 34.05% 44.10% -4.1 36
1974-03-16 Aston Villa L 0-1 1693 1681 51.44% 32.99% 15.57% -8.2 30
1974-03-16 @ Bristol City W 1-0 1681 1693 15.57% 32.99% 51.44% +8.2 32
1974-03-16 Crystal Palace W 1-0 1729 1693 53.79% 32.39% 13.83% +3.0 38
1974-03-16 @ Carlisle United L 0-1 1693 1729 13.83% 32.39% 53.79% -3.0 24
1974-03-16 Leyton Orient W 3-1 1736 1740 49.84% 33.32% 16.84% +5.9 43
1974-03-16 @ Luton Town L 1-3 1740 1736 16.84% 33.32% 49.84% -5.9 39
1974-03-16 Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1707 1644 56.27% 31.59% 12.13% +2.6 32
1974-03-16 @ Millwall L 1-2 1644 1707 12.13% 31.59% 56.27% -2.5 32
1974-03-16 Blackpool W 2-0 1733 1750 48.50% 33.55% 17.95% +7.1 37
1974-03-16 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1750 1733 17.95% 33.55% 48.50% -7.1 37
1974-03-16 Hull City W 3-1 1627 1680 44.51% 34.02% 21.47% +7.0 33
1974-03-16 @ Portsmouth L 1-3 1680 1627 21.47% 34.02% 44.51% -7.0 33
1974-03-16 Notts County L 0-2 1606 1593 51.63% 32.94% 15.42% -15.4 28
1974-03-16 @ Preston North End W 2-0 1593 1606 15.42% 32.94% 51.63% +15.4 35
1974-03-16 Cardiff City W 5-0 1661 1644 51.96% 32.87% 15.17% +14.5 27
1974-03-16 @ Sheffield Wednesday L 0-5 1644 1661 15.17% 32.87% 51.96% -14.5 29
1974-03-16 Fulham W 1-0 1723 1688 53.69% 32.42% 13.90% +3.1 34
1974-03-16 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1688 1723 13.90% 32.42% 53.69% -3.1 32
1974-03-16 Middlesbrough L 0-4 1784 1806 47.93% 33.64% 18.43% -27.5 38
1974-03-16 @ West Brom W 4-0 1806 1784 18.43% 33.64% 47.93% +27.5 52
1974-03-17 Swindon Town D 1-1 1655 1570 58.17% 30.87% 10.96% -1.7 27
1974-03-17 @ Oxford United D 1-1 1570 1655 10.96% 30.87% 58.17% +1.7 20
1974-03-19 Bristol City D 2-2 1742 1685 55.81% 31.75% 12.44% -1.2 38
1974-03-19 @ Blackpool D 2-2 1685 1742 12.44% 31.75% 55.81% +1.2 31
1974-03-19 Middlesbrough L 0-4 1685 1834 32.15% 33.90% 33.96% -20.2 32
1974-03-19 @ Fulham W 4-0 1834 1685 33.96% 33.90% 32.15% +20.2 54
1974-03-19 Hull City L 2-3 1757 1673 58.07% 30.91% 11.02% -8.1 38
1974-03-19 @ West Brom W 3-2 1673 1757 11.02% 30.91% 58.07% +8.1 35
1974-03-23 Portsmouth W 4-1 1689 1634 55.56% 31.84% 12.60% +6.5 34
1974-03-23 @ Aston Villa L 1-4 1634 1689 12.60% 31.84% 55.56% -6.5 33
1974-03-23 Preston North End W 3-0 1741 1591 63.51% 28.32% 8.18% +5.0 40
1974-03-23 @ Blackpool L 0-3 1591 1741 8.18% 28.32% 63.51% -4.9 28
1974-03-23 Luton Town W 1-0 1641 1742 38.68% 34.21% 27.11% +5.1 34
1974-03-23 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1742 1641 27.11% 34.21% 38.68% -5.1 43
1974-03-23 Millwall L 1-3 1630 1710 41.25% 34.19% 24.56% -11.1 29
1974-03-23 @ Cardiff City W 3-1 1710 1630 24.56% 34.19% 41.25% +11.1 34
1974-03-23 Bristol City W 3-1 1690 1686 50.73% 33.14% 16.12% +5.7 26
1974-03-23 @ Crystal Palace L 1-3 1686 1690 16.12% 33.14% 50.73% -5.7 31
1974-03-23 Nottingham Forest W 2-0 1665 1740 41.87% 34.17% 23.96% +8.8 34
1974-03-23 @ Fulham L 0-2 1740 1665 23.96% 34.17% 41.87% -8.8 37
1974-03-23 Carlisle United D 1-1 1681 1732 44.69% 34.00% 21.31% -0.8 36
1974-03-23 @ Hull City D 1-1 1732 1681 21.31% 34.00% 44.69% +0.8 39
1974-03-23 Sheffield Wednesday L 0-1 1734 1676 55.86% 31.74% 12.40% -8.8 39
1974-03-23 @ Leyton Orient W 1-0 1676 1734 12.40% 31.74% 55.86% +8.8 29
1974-03-23 Oxford United W 1-0 1854 1653 67.28% 26.10% 6.62% +1.4 56
1974-03-23 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1653 1854 6.62% 26.10% 67.28% -1.4 27
1974-03-23 West Brom W 1-0 1608 1749 33.28% 33.99% 32.73% +5.7 37
1974-03-23 @ Notts County L 0-1 1749 1608 32.73% 33.99% 33.28% -5.7 38
1974-03-23 Sunderland L 0-2 1572 1726 31.41% 33.83% 34.77% -10.5 20
1974-03-23 @ Swindon Town W 2-0 1726 1572 34.77% 33.83% 31.41% +10.5 36
1974-03-26 Portsmouth W 2-0 1731 1628 59.71% 30.21% 10.08% +4.2 39
1974-03-26 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1628 1731 10.08% 30.21% 59.71% -4.3 33
1974-03-30 Fulham L 0-1 1680 1674 50.92% 33.10% 15.97% -8.1 31
1974-03-30 @ Bristol City W 1-0 1674 1680 15.97% 33.10% 50.92% +8.1 36
1974-03-30 Swindon Town W 5-1 1733 1562 65.11% 27.41% 7.47% +4.9 41
1974-03-30 @ Carlisle United L 1-5 1562 1733 7.47% 27.41% 65.11% -4.9 20
1974-03-30 Middlesbrough L 0-1 1736 1855 36.19% 34.15% 29.66% -6.2 43
1974-03-30 @ Luton Town W 1-0 1855 1736 29.66% 34.15% 36.19% +6.1 58
1974-03-30 Notts County D 0-0 1721 1614 60.01% 30.08% 9.92% -2.1 35
1974-03-30 @ Millwall D 0-0 1614 1721 9.92% 30.08% 60.01% +2.0 38
1974-03-30 Crystal Palace L 1-2 1735 1696 54.10% 32.30% 13.60% -8.0 39
1974-03-30 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1696 1735 13.60% 32.30% 54.10% +8.0 28
1974-03-30 Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1652 1647 50.83% 33.12% 16.04% -15.2 27
1974-03-30 @ Oxford United W 2-0 1647 1652 16.04% 33.12% 50.83% +15.2 36
1974-03-30 Blackpool D 0-0 1624 1746 35.69% 34.13% 30.18% -0.2 34
1974-03-30 @ Portsmouth D 0-0 1746 1624 30.18% 34.13% 35.69% +0.2 41
1974-03-30 Leyton Orient L 0-1 1586 1725 33.41% 33.99% 32.60% -5.8 28
1974-03-30 @ Preston North End W 1-0 1725 1586 32.60% 33.99% 33.41% +5.8 41
1974-03-30 Hull City W 1-0 1737 1680 55.67% 31.80% 12.53% +2.8 38
1974-03-30 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1680 1737 12.53% 31.80% 55.67% -2.8 36
1974-03-30 Cardiff City D 2-2 1743 1619 61.43% 29.40% 9.17% -1.4 39
1974-03-30 @ West Brom D 2-2 1619 1743 9.17% 29.40% 61.43% +1.4 30
1974-04-01 Aston Villa L 2-4 1684 1696 49.08% 33.45% 17.46% -11.4 29
1974-04-01 @ Sheffield Wednesday W 4-2 1696 1684 17.46% 33.45% 49.08% +11.4 36
1974-04-02 Fulham D 0-0 1662 1682 48.16% 33.60% 18.23% -1.1 37
1974-04-02 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1682 1662 18.23% 33.60% 48.16% +1.1 37
1974-04-06 Swindon Town D 1-1 1707 1557 63.52% 28.31% 8.17% -2.0 37
1974-04-06 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1557 1707 8.17% 28.31% 63.52% +2.0 21
1974-04-06 Hull City L 1-2 1746 1678 56.80% 31.40% 11.80% -8.4 41
1974-04-06 @ Blackpool W 2-1 1678 1746 11.80% 31.40% 56.80% +8.4 38
1974-04-06 Cardiff City D 1-1 1661 1620 54.23% 32.26% 13.51% -1.4 38
1974-04-06 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1620 1661 13.51% 32.26% 54.23% +1.4 31
1974-04-06 Carlisle United W 2-0 1672 1738 42.96% 34.12% 22.92% +8.5 33
1974-04-06 @ Bristol City L 0-2 1738 1672 22.92% 34.12% 42.96% -8.5 41
1974-04-06 Portsmouth D 0-0 1704 1623 57.82% 31.01% 11.17% -1.9 29
1974-04-06 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 1623 1704 11.17% 31.01% 57.82% +1.9 35
1974-04-06 West Brom D 0-0 1683 1741 43.85% 34.07% 22.09% -0.8 38
1974-04-06 @ Fulham D 0-0 1741 1683 22.09% 34.07% 43.85% +0.8 40
1974-04-06 Millwall D 1-1 1731 1719 51.54% 32.97% 15.50% -1.2 42
1974-04-06 @ Leyton Orient D 1-1 1719 1731 15.50% 32.97% 51.54% +1.2 36
1974-04-06 Preston North End W 4-2 1730 1580 63.49% 28.33% 8.18% +2.6 45
1974-04-06 @ Luton Town L 2-4 1580 1730 8.18% 28.33% 63.49% -2.6 28
1974-04-06 Notts County W 4-0 1862 1616 70.51% 24.00% 5.49% +4.0 60
1974-04-06 @ Middlesbrough L 0-4 1616 1862 5.49% 24.00% 70.51% -4.0 38
1974-04-06 Sunderland D 2-2 1727 1739 49.00% 33.47% 17.53% -0.8 40
1974-04-06 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1739 1727 17.53% 33.47% 49.00% +0.8 39
1974-04-06 Sheffield Wednesday W 1-0 1637 1673 46.40% 33.84% 19.76% +4.1 29
1974-04-06 @ Oxford United L 0-1 1673 1637 19.76% 33.84% 46.40% -4.1 29
1974-04-09 Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1866 1659 67.71% 25.83% 6.46% -2.5 61
1974-04-09 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1659 1866 6.46% 25.83% 67.71% +2.5 39
1974-04-12 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1681 1726 45.31% 33.95% 20.74% +4.2 35
1974-04-12 @ Bristol City L 0-1 1726 1681 20.74% 33.95% 45.31% -4.2 40
1974-04-12 Crystal Palace L 1-3 1682 1702 48.17% 33.60% 18.22% -12.6 38
1974-04-12 @ Fulham W 3-1 1702 1682 18.22% 33.60% 48.17% +12.6 31
1974-04-12 West Brom W 1-0 1720 1742 47.92% 33.64% 18.44% +3.9 38
1974-04-12 @ Millwall L 0-1 1742 1720 18.44% 33.64% 47.92% -3.9 40
1974-04-12 Luton Town D 1-1 1641 1733 39.71% 34.21% 26.08% -0.4 30
1974-04-12 @ Oxford United D 1-1 1733 1641 26.08% 34.21% 39.71% +0.4 46
1974-04-12 Leyton Orient D 0-0 1625 1730 38.09% 34.20% 27.70% -0.3 36
1974-04-12 @ Portsmouth D 0-0 1730 1625 27.70% 34.20% 38.09% +0.4 43
1974-04-12 Sheffield Wednesday D 0-0 1578 1669 39.78% 34.21% 26.00% -0.5 29
1974-04-12 @ Preston North End D 0-0 1669 1578 26.00% 34.21% 39.78% +0.5 30
1974-04-12 Carlisle United W 2-1 1740 1729 51.37% 33.01% 15.63% +3.2 41
1974-04-12 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1729 1740 15.63% 33.01% 51.37% -3.2 41
1974-04-13 Middlesbrough W 3-2 1622 1863 21.36% 31.93% 46.71% +6.6 33
1974-04-13 @ Cardiff City L 2-3 1863 1622 46.71% 31.93% 21.36% -6.6 61
1974-04-13 Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1726 1722 50.68% 33.15% 16.17% +3.3 43
1974-04-13 @ Carlisle United L 1-2 1722 1726 16.17% 33.15% 50.68% -3.3 40
1974-04-13 Aston Villa D 1-1 1686 1705 48.24% 33.59% 18.17% -1.0 39
1974-04-13 @ Hull City D 1-1 1705 1686 18.17% 33.59% 48.24% +1.0 38
1974-04-13 Crystal Palace W 3-2 1724 1715 51.17% 33.05% 15.78% +3.0 40
1974-04-13 @ Millwall L 2-3 1715 1724 15.78% 33.05% 51.17% -3.0 31
1974-04-13 Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1612 1662 44.85% 33.99% 21.16% -0.9 39
1974-04-13 @ Notts County D 0-0 1662 1612 21.16% 33.99% 44.85% +0.9 40
1974-04-13 Fulham W 3-0 1625 1670 45.44% 33.94% 20.62% +11.5 38
1974-04-13 @ Portsmouth L 0-3 1670 1625 20.62% 33.94% 45.44% -11.5 38
1974-04-13 Oxford United D 0-0 1577 1640 43.24% 34.11% 22.66% -0.7 30
1974-04-13 @ Preston North End D 0-0 1640 1577 22.66% 34.11% 43.24% +0.7 31
1974-04-13 Luton Town D 2-2 1669 1733 43.18% 34.11% 22.71% -0.5 31
1974-04-13 @ Sheffield Wednesday D 2-2 1733 1669 22.71% 34.11% 43.18% +0.5 47
1974-04-13 Bristol City L 1-2 1743 1685 55.88% 31.73% 12.39% -8.3 41
1974-04-13 @ Sunderland W 2-1 1685 1743 12.39% 31.73% 55.88% +8.3 37
1974-04-13 Blackpool W 1-0 1559 1738 28.16% 33.43% 38.41% +6.4 23
1974-04-13 @ Swindon Town L 0-1 1738 1559 38.41% 33.43% 28.16% -6.4 41
1974-04-13 Leyton Orient W 1-0 1738 1730 51.09% 33.07% 15.84% +3.4 42
1974-04-13 @ West Brom L 0-1 1730 1738 15.84% 33.07% 51.09% -3.4 43
1974-04-15 Blackpool L 0-1 1706 1732 47.59% 33.69% 18.72% -7.6 38
1974-04-15 @ Aston Villa W 1-0 1732 1706 18.72% 33.69% 47.59% +7.6 43
1974-04-15 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1663 1856 26.41% 33.15% 40.44% +6.2 42
1974-04-15 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1856 1663 40.44% 33.15% 26.41% -6.2 61
1974-04-15 Swindon Town L 0-1 1685 1565 61.08% 29.57% 9.35% -9.4 39
1974-04-15 @ Hull City W 1-0 1565 1685 9.35% 29.57% 61.08% +9.4 25
1974-04-15 Portsmouth W 2-1 1727 1636 58.65% 30.67% 10.68% +2.3 45
1974-04-15 @ Leyton Orient L 1-2 1636 1727 10.68% 30.67% 58.65% -2.3 38
1974-04-15 Cardiff City D 1-1 1611 1628 48.50% 33.55% 17.95% -1.0 40
1974-04-15 @ Notts County D 1-1 1628 1611 17.95% 33.55% 48.50% +1.0 34
1974-04-15 Preston North End W 1-0 1669 1576 58.84% 30.59% 10.57% +2.4 33
1974-04-15 @ Sheffield Wednesday L 0-1 1576 1669 10.57% 30.59% 58.84% -2.4 30
1974-04-16 Aston Villa W 2-1 1739 1699 54.24% 32.26% 13.50% +2.8 45
1974-04-16 @ Blackpool L 1-2 1699 1739 13.50% 32.26% 54.24% -2.8 38
1974-04-16 Sunderland W 1-0 1729 1735 49.69% 33.35% 16.96% +3.6 45
1974-04-16 @ Carlisle United L 0-1 1735 1729 16.96% 33.35% 49.69% -3.6 41
1974-04-16 Fulham L 0-2 1712 1658 55.43% 31.88% 12.69% -16.4 31
1974-04-16 @ Crystal Palace W 2-0 1658 1712 12.69% 31.88% 55.43% +16.4 40
1974-04-16 Oxford United L 0-1 1734 1641 58.84% 30.59% 10.57% -9.2 47
1974-04-16 @ Luton Town W 1-0 1641 1734 10.57% 30.59% 58.84% +9.2 33
1974-04-16 Bristol City D 1-1 1719 1693 52.84% 32.65% 14.51% -1.3 41
1974-04-16 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1693 1719 14.51% 32.65% 52.84% +1.3 38
1974-04-17 Millwall D 1-1 1742 1727 51.78% 32.91% 15.31% -1.3 43
1974-04-17 @ West Brom D 1-1 1727 1742 15.31% 32.91% 51.78% +1.3 41
1974-04-20 Sunderland L 1-2 1696 1732 46.46% 33.83% 19.71% -7.0 38
1974-04-20 @ Aston Villa W 2-1 1732 1696 19.71% 33.83% 46.46% +7.0 43
1974-04-20 Carlisle United W 4-0 1742 1733 51.19% 33.04% 15.76% +12.2 47
1974-04-20 @ Blackpool L 0-4 1733 1742 15.76% 33.04% 51.19% -12.2 45
1974-04-20 Preston North End L 0-2 1669 1574 59.04% 30.51% 10.46% -17.3 42
1974-04-20 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-0 1574 1669 10.46% 30.51% 59.04% +17.3 32
1974-04-20 Portsmouth L 0-2 1694 1634 56.03% 31.68% 12.29% -16.6 38
1974-04-20 @ Bristol City W 2-0 1634 1694 12.29% 31.68% 56.03% +16.6 40
1974-04-20 Hull City L 0-2 1695 1675 52.26% 32.80% 14.95% -15.6 31
1974-04-20 @ Crystal Palace W 2-0 1675 1695 14.95% 32.80% 52.26% +15.6 41
1974-04-20 Swindon Town W 4-1 1675 1575 59.45% 30.33% 10.22% +5.3 42
1974-04-20 @ Fulham L 1-4 1575 1675 10.22% 30.33% 59.45% -5.3 25
1974-04-20 Notts County D 1-1 1729 1610 61.01% 29.60% 9.38% -1.9 46
1974-04-20 @ Leyton Orient D 1-1 1610 1729 9.38% 29.60% 61.01% +1.9 41
1974-04-20 Millwall W 3-0 1725 1728 49.94% 33.30% 16.76% +9.8 49
1974-04-20 @ Luton Town L 0-3 1728 1725 16.76% 33.30% 49.94% -9.8 41
1974-04-20 Sheffield Wednesday W 8-0 1850 1671 65.68% 27.08% 7.24% +10.8 63
1974-04-20 @ Middlesbrough L 0-8 1671 1850 7.24% 27.08% 65.68% -10.8 33
1974-04-20 Cardiff City W 2-1 1718 1629 58.48% 30.74% 10.77% +2.3 43
1974-04-20 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1629 1718 10.77% 30.74% 58.48% -2.3 34
1974-04-20 West Brom W 1-0 1650 1740 39.96% 34.21% 25.83% +4.9 35
1974-04-20 @ Oxford United L 0-1 1740 1650 25.83% 34.21% 39.96% -4.9 43
1974-04-23 Carlisle United L 0-1 1655 1721 42.98% 34.12% 22.90% -7.0 35
1974-04-23 @ Oxford United W 1-0 1721 1655 22.90% 34.12% 42.98% +7.0 47
1974-04-24 Nottingham Forest W 3-1 1689 1720 46.97% 33.77% 19.26% +6.5 40
1974-04-24 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1720 1689 19.26% 33.77% 46.97% -6.5 43
1974-04-27 Leyton Orient D 1-1 1627 1727 38.65% 34.21% 27.14% -0.4 35
1974-04-27 @ Cardiff City D 1-1 1727 1627 27.14% 34.21% 38.65% +0.3 47
1974-04-27 Aston Villa W 2-0 1728 1695 53.48% 32.47% 14.04% +5.8 49
1974-04-27 @ Carlisle United L 0-2 1695 1728 14.04% 32.47% 53.48% -5.8 40
1974-04-27 Fulham W 2-0 1691 1680 51.41% 33.00% 15.60% +6.4 43
1974-04-27 @ Hull City L 0-2 1680 1691 15.60% 33.00% 51.41% -6.3 42
1974-04-27 Oxford United D 0-0 1718 1648 56.89% 31.37% 11.74% -1.8 42
1974-04-27 @ Millwall D 0-0 1648 1718 11.74% 31.37% 56.89% +1.8 36
1974-04-27 Bristol City W 2-1 1612 1678 42.95% 34.12% 22.92% +4.3 43
1974-04-27 @ Notts County L 1-2 1678 1612 22.92% 34.12% 42.95% -4.2 38
1974-04-27 Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1651 1713 43.34% 34.10% 22.56% -13.3 40
1974-04-27 @ Portsmouth W 2-0 1713 1651 22.56% 34.10% 43.34% +13.3 45
1974-04-27 Middlesbrough L 2-4 1591 1861 18.83% 31.03% 50.15% -5.5 32
1974-04-27 @ Preston North End W 4-2 1861 1591 50.15% 31.03% 18.83% +5.5 65
1974-04-27 Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1661 1652 51.18% 33.05% 15.77% +3.4 35
1974-04-27 @ Sheffield Wednesday L 0-1 1652 1661 15.77% 33.05% 51.18% -3.4 42
1974-04-27 Blackpool W 2-1 1739 1754 48.63% 33.53% 17.84% +3.5 45
1974-04-27 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1754 1739 17.84% 33.53% 48.63% -3.5 47
1974-04-27 Crystal Palace L 0-1 1569 1680 37.32% 34.19% 28.49% -6.3 25
1974-04-27 @ Swindon Town W 1-0 1680 1569 28.49% 34.19% 37.32% +6.3 33
1974-04-27 Luton Town D 1-1 1736 1735 50.38% 33.22% 16.41% -1.2 44
1974-04-27 @ West Brom D 1-1 1735 1736 16.41% 33.22% 50.38% +1.2 50
1974-04-30 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1627 1686 43.71% 34.08% 22.21% -0.7 36
1974-04-30 @ Cardiff City D 1-1 1686 1627 22.21% 34.08% 43.71% +0.7 34
1974-05-01 Sunderland L 3-4 1736 1742 49.61% 33.36% 17.03% -6.9 50
1974-05-01 @ Luton Town W 4-3 1742 1736 17.03% 33.36% 49.61% +6.9 47
1974-05-03 Aston Villa D 1-1 1728 1690 54.00% 32.33% 13.68% -1.4 48
1974-05-03 @ Leyton Orient D 1-1 1690 1728 13.68% 32.33% 54.00% +1.4 41

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1973-08-25 7.18% Notts County 1580 4 @ Crystal Palace 1761 1
2 1974-03-02 8.48% Bolton Wanderers 1626 2 @ Blackpool 1768 0
3 1973-09-18 8.84% Preston North End 1619 2 @ West Brom 1751 0
4 1974-01-01 9.07% Notts County 1608 2 @ Sunderland 1735 1
5 1974-04-15 9.35% Swindon Town 1565 1 @ Hull City 1685 0
6 1973-10-06 9.60% Notts County 1606 1 @ Blackpool 1720 0
7 1973-12-01 9.76% Cardiff City 1625 2 @ Leyton Orient 1735 1
8 1973-12-15 10.33% Portsmouth 1656 2 @ West Brom 1753 1
9 1974-04-20 10.46% Preston North End 1574 2 @ Bolton Wanderers 1669 0
10 1974-04-16 10.57% Oxford United 1641 1 @ Luton Town 1734 0
11 1973-09-08 10.97% Bolton Wanderers 1576 2 @ Portsmouth 1661 0
12 1974-03-19 11.02% Hull City 1673 3 @ West Brom 1757 2
13 1973-09-29 11.33% Carlisle United 1655 2 @ Millwall 1733 1
14 1973-11-10 11.46% Crystal Palace 1667 1 @ Bristol City 1742 0
15 1973-09-22 11.69% Notts County 1589 2 @ Portsmouth 1660 1
16 1974-04-06 11.80% Hull City 1678 2 @ Blackpool 1746 1
17 1973-09-08 12.13% Luton Town 1684 3 @ Bristol City 1747 1
18 1974-04-20 12.29% Portsmouth 1634 2 @ Bristol City 1694 0
19 1974-04-13 12.39% Bristol City 1685 2 @ Sunderland 1743 1
20 1974-03-23 12.40% Sheffield Wednesday 1676 1 @ Leyton Orient 1734 0
21 1974-01-12 12.69% Cardiff City 1639 1 @ Fulham 1692 0
22 1974-04-16 12.69% Fulham 1658 2 @ Crystal Palace 1712 0
23 1973-09-08 12.99% Leyton Orient 1673 3 @ Fulham 1722 0
24 1973-12-15 13.03% Carlisle United 1688 1 @ Leyton Orient 1736 0
25 1973-09-22 13.28% Luton Town 1698 1 @ Sunderland 1742 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1974-03-16 27.46 Middlesbrough 4 1806 18.43% @ West Brom 0 1784 47.93% 33.64%
2 1973-09-08 23.67 Leyton Orient 3 1673 12.99% @ Fulham 0 1722 54.98% 32.03%
3 1973-08-25 23.03 Notts County 4 1580 7.18% @ Crystal Palace 1 1761 65.82% 26.99%
4 1974-03-09 22.88 Sheffield Wednesday 5 1638 18.46% @ Notts County 1 1616 47.89% 33.64%
5 1973-12-15 21.96 Fulham 3 1667 16.37% @ Sheffield Wednesday 0 1669 50.43% 33.20%
6 1973-12-26 21.60 @ Oxford United 5 1646 40.02% Bristol City 0 1736 25.77% 34.21%
7 1974-01-26 20.71 Millwall 3 1703 19.16% @ Oxford United 0 1674 47.09% 33.75%
8 1974-03-19 20.24 Middlesbrough 4 1834 33.96% @ Fulham 0 1685 32.15% 33.90%
9 1973-12-29 18.76 Carlisle United 3 1703 24.09% @ Notts County 0 1627 41.73% 34.17%
10 1974-02-19 18.38 Notts County 4 1612 16.72% @ Swindon Town 1 1609 49.98% 33.29%
11 1974-03-02 18.19 Bolton Wanderers 2 1626 8.48% @ Blackpool 0 1768 62.84% 28.68%
12 1974-01-12 18.10 West Brom 4 1750 17.44% @ Nottingham Forest 1 1739 49.11% 33.45%
13 1973-09-12 18.08 @ Cardiff City 5 1655 46.09% Oxford United 0 1694 20.04% 33.87%
14 1973-09-18 18.02 Preston North End 2 1619 8.84% @ West Brom 0 1751 62.09% 29.07%
15 1973-12-29 17.74 @ Bolton Wanderers 4 1581 39.55% Portsmouth 0 1674 26.24% 34.21%
16 1974-04-20 17.31 Preston North End 2 1574 10.46% @ Bolton Wanderers 0 1669 59.04% 30.51%
17 1973-09-08 17.10 Bolton Wanderers 2 1576 10.97% @ Portsmouth 0 1661 58.15% 30.88%
18 1974-02-23 16.76 Blackpool 3 1751 29.91% @ Notts County 0 1630 35.95% 34.14%
19 1974-04-20 16.57 Portsmouth 2 1634 12.29% @ Bristol City 0 1694 56.03% 31.68%
20 1974-04-16 16.41 Fulham 2 1658 12.69% @ Crystal Palace 0 1712 55.43% 31.88%
21 1973-09-18 15.68 Portsmouth 2 1644 14.71% @ Carlisle United 0 1667 52.58% 32.71%
22 1973-09-01 15.66 Fulham 2 1706 14.76% @ Middlesbrough 0 1728 52.51% 32.73%
23 1974-04-20 15.60 Hull City 2 1675 14.95% @ Crystal Palace 0 1695 52.26% 32.80%
24 1974-03-16 15.44 Notts County 2 1593 15.42% @ Preston North End 0 1606 51.63% 32.94%
25 1974-02-09 15.36 @ Notts County 4 1602 44.64% Portsmouth 0 1653 21.35% 34.01%