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2024-25 Challenger Pro League Season

210 games

Final

Promoted

Zulte Waregem

59 pts

La Louviere · 59 pts

Relegated

Deinze

-3 pts

Biggest Overachiever

La Louviere

15.37 points above expected

59 points · 43.63 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Genk II

13.37 points below expected

14 points · 27.37 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Zulte Waregem Promoted 28 18 5 5 59 55 30 +25 50.70 +8.30
2 La Louviere Promoted 28 17 8 3 59 50 24 +26 43.63 +15.37
3 RWD Molenbeek 28 17 6 5 57 42 21 +21 46.92 +10.08
4 Beveren 28 14 9 5 51 41 27 +14 43.06 +7.94
5 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 28 13 10 5 49 51 28 +23 45.61 +3.39
6 Club NXT 28 14 5 9 47 46 35 +11 38.98 +8.02
7 Lokeren-Temse 28 12 5 11 41 32 35 -3 33.20 +7.80
8 K Lierse SK 28 11 7 10 40 40 35 +5 36.42 +3.58
9 RFC Liege 28 9 7 12 34 38 44 -6 37.69 -3.69
10 Eupen 28 8 6 14 30 38 47 -9 36.36 -6.36
11 Lommel 28 8 5 15 29 32 46 -14 38.24 -9.24
12 Francs Borains 28 8 4 16 28 29 50 -21 30.07 -2.07
13 Anderlecht II 28 5 8 15 23 41 54 -13 33.81 -10.81
14 Seraing 28 3 10 15 19 28 55 -27 28.05 -9.05
15 Genk II 28 3 5 20 14 30 62 -32 27.37 -13.37

Notes

  • Deinze declared bankruptcy and all results were voided.

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Zulte Waregem 1775 59 50.70 +8.30 91.5% 26 40 46 51 55 61 76
La Louviere 1772 59 43.63 +15.37 99.3% 18 33 39 44 48 54 67
RWD Molenbeek 1757 57 46.92 +10.08 94.9% 25 36 42 47 51 58 69
Beveren 1750 51 43.06 +7.94 89.8% 20 32 39 43 48 54 66
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1746 49 45.61 +3.39 71.9% 21 35 41 46 50 57 69
Club NXT 1672 47 38.98 +8.02 90.1% 16 28 35 39 43 50 64
Lokeren-Temse 1654 41 33.20 +7.80 90.7% 12 23 29 33 37 44 58
K Lierse SK 1649 40 36.42 +3.58 73.1% 15 26 32 36 41 47 62
RFC Liege 1616 34 37.69 -3.69 31.8% 14 27 33 38 42 49 61
Eupen 1594 30 36.36 -6.36 18.3% 13 26 32 36 41 47 61
Lommel 1590 29 38.24 -9.24 8.8% 15 28 34 38 43 49 66
Anderlecht II 1542 23 33.81 -10.81 4.9% 11 24 29 34 38 44 60
Francs Borains 1536 28 30.07 -2.07 40.6% 9 20 26 30 34 41 55
Genk II 1476 14 27.37 -13.37 1.1% 7 18 23 27 31 38 53
Seraing 1472 19 28.05 -9.05 7.8% 8 18 24 28 32 38 52

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AI BEV CN EUP FB GI KLS LL LOK LOM PEM RL RM SER ZW
Anderlecht II —
0-1-1
1.87
0-0-2
2.47
0-2-0
2.64
0-0-2
3.05
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.02
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
1.70
0-2-0
3.10
0-0-2
1.68
Beveren
1-1-0
3.56
 —
0-1-1
3.11
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.55
1-1-0
3.57
2-0-0
3.14
0-1-1
2.69
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.16
1-1-0
2.43
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.41
1-1-0
3.67
1-0-1
2.08
Club NXT
2-0-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.30
 —
0-0-2
3.20
2-0-0
3.45
2-0-0
3.56
2-0-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
3.12
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.21
1-1-0
3.50
0-0-2
1.95
Eupen
0-2-0
2.75
0-1-1
2.29
2-0-0
2.21
 —
1-0-1
3.24
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-2
2.77
0-0-2
2.08
0-1-1
3.02
1-1-0
2.45
0-0-2
2.12
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
2.21
2-0-0
3.35
0-0-2
2.06
Francs Borains
2-0-0
2.36
0-1-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.99
1-0-1
2.17
 —
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.19
0-0-2
2.08
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
1.90
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
1.67
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
1.38
Genk II
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
1.86
0-0-2
1.89
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.71
 —
0-1-1
1.81
0-0-2
1.39
0-0-2
2.09
0-0-2
2.07
0-0-2
1.38
1-0-1
1.57
0-0-2
1.81
1-1-0
2.69
0-0-2
1.31
K Lierse SK
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
2.27
0-0-2
2.72
2-0-0
2.62
1-0-1
3.22
1-1-0
3.63
 —
0-0-2
2.36
0-2-0
2.98
1-1-0
2.31
1-1-0
1.88
1-0-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.06
2-0-0
3.08
1-1-0
1.80
La Louviere
1-1-0
3.26
1-1-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.96
2-0-0
3.37
2-0-0
3.40
2-0-0
4.11
2-0-0
3.07
 —
2-0-0
3.61
2-0-0
3.10
0-1-1
2.60
1-1-0
3.11
0-2-0
2.35
2-0-0
3.93
0-1-1
2.08
Lokeren-Temse
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.39
1-0-1
2.60
2-0-0
3.36
0-2-0
2.42
0-0-2
1.83
 —
1-1-0
2.37
0-1-1
2.02
2-0-0
2.15
0-0-2
1.78
1-0-1
3.40
1-0-1
1.69
Lommel
1-0-1
3.05
0-0-2
2.24
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.17
2-0-0
3.35
0-1-1
3.10
0-0-2
2.31
0-1-1
3.07
 —
0-0-2
1.98
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
1.71
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
1-1-0
3.39
0-1-1
2.98
1-1-0
3.10
2-0-0
3.33
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
4.13
0-1-1
3.55
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.43
 —
1-1-0
3.35
0-2-0
2.52
0-1-1
3.81
0-0-2
2.31
RFC Liege
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-1
2.30
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
3.90
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.29
0-0-2
3.26
1-1-0
2.42
0-1-1
2.06
 —
1-0-1
2.07
2-0-0
3.25
0-1-1
1.77
RWD Molenbeek
1-0-1
3.76
1-0-1
3.00
2-0-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.19
2-0-0
3.81
2-0-0
3.66
1-1-0
3.35
0-2-0
3.08
2-0-0
3.68
1-0-1
3.22
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
3.36
 —
1-1-0
4.02
1-0-1
2.62
Seraing
0-2-0
2.32
0-1-1
1.77
0-1-1
1.92
0-0-2
2.07
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.71
0-0-2
2.32
0-0-2
1.56
1-0-1
2.02
0-1-1
2.12
1-1-0
1.67
0-0-2
2.18
0-1-1
1.49
 —
0-1-1
1.27
Zulte Waregem
2-0-0
3.80
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.42
1-1-0
4.12
2-0-0
4.23
0-1-1
3.64
1-1-0
3.34
1-0-1
3.76
1-0-1
3.78
2-0-0
3.10
1-1-0
3.66
1-0-1
2.78
1-1-0
4.26
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.64 +14.1
Allowed 0.95 -11.4
Differential 0.95 +7.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.19%9.05%4.52%2.38%2.62%0.48%25.24%
19.05%8.57%8.81%4.76%1.43%0.48%33.10%
24.52%8.81%7.14%3.10%0.24%—23.81%
32.38%4.76%3.10%1.43%0.24%—11.90%
42.62%1.43%0.24%0.24%0.48%—5.00%
5+0.48%0.48%————0.95%
Total25.24%33.10%23.81%11.90%5.00%0.95%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.76
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 210

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.71%3.57%3.57%3.57%—21.43%
13.57%10.71%7.14%10.71%——32.14%
23.57%3.57%14.29%10.71%3.57%—35.71%
3———3.57%——3.57%
4—3.57%————3.57%
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total10.71%28.57%25.00%28.57%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.93 -0.46
SD 1.20 1.15 1.79
CV 0.82 0.60 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
017.86%3.57%10.71%—3.57%—35.71%
110.71%3.57%————14.29%
27.14%10.71%7.14%———25.00%
33.57%3.57%7.14%3.57%——17.86%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total46.43%21.43%25.00%3.57%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 0.96 +0.50
SD 1.35 1.10 1.75
CV 0.92 1.15 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%—3.57%3.57%—21.43%
1—10.71%7.14%3.57%——21.43%
210.71%14.29%7.14%———32.14%
37.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+———————
Total21.43%46.43%21.43%7.14%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.25 +0.39
SD 1.16 1.00 1.83
CV 0.71 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%3.57%7.14%3.57%—35.71%
13.57%3.57%3.57%7.14%——17.86%
2—7.14%10.71%7.14%——25.00%
33.57%7.14%3.57%—3.57%—17.86%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+———————
Total17.86%32.14%21.43%21.43%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.68 -0.32
SD 1.25 1.22 1.81
CV 0.92 0.73 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%10.71%3.57%—7.14%—25.00%
114.29%3.57%17.86%14.29%3.57%—53.57%
2—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total17.86%21.43%35.71%14.29%10.71%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.79 -0.75
SD 0.84 1.23 1.51
CV 0.81 0.69 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%10.71%3.57%7.14%7.14%—32.14%
13.57%—14.29%17.86%3.57%—39.29%
23.57%—10.71%7.14%——21.43%
3———3.57%——3.57%
4—3.57%————3.57%
5+———————
Total10.71%14.29%28.57%35.71%10.71%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 2.21 -1.14
SD 1.02 1.17 1.60
CV 0.95 0.53 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%10.71%3.57%3.57%——25.00%
110.71%7.14%10.71%7.14%——35.71%
23.57%3.57%7.14%———14.29%
33.57%10.71%3.57%3.57%——21.43%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+———————
Total28.57%32.14%25.00%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.25 +0.18
SD 1.20 1.04 1.63
CV 0.84 0.83 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%—3.57%———14.29%
110.71%14.29%7.14%———32.14%
210.71%21.43%3.57%———35.71%
3—3.57%————3.57%
4—3.57%—3.57%——7.14%
5+3.57%3.57%————7.14%
Total35.71%46.43%14.29%3.57%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 0.86 +0.93
SD 1.37 0.80 1.46
CV 0.77 0.94 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%21.43%3.57%—3.57%3.57%35.71%
114.29%7.14%——7.14%—28.57%
27.14%14.29%7.14%———28.57%
3———————
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total32.14%42.86%10.71%—10.71%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.25 -0.11
SD 1.15 1.40 2.08
CV 1.00 1.12 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.71%10.71%—3.57%3.57%28.57%
17.14%14.29%17.86%——3.57%42.86%
23.57%7.14%3.57%3.57%——17.86%
3—7.14%————7.14%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+———————
Total14.29%39.29%32.14%3.57%3.57%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.64 -0.50
SD 1.04 1.31 1.95
CV 0.91 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%————14.29%
114.29%14.29%3.57%———32.14%
27.14%—10.71%7.14%——25.00%
3—10.71%—3.57%——14.29%
47.14%7.14%————14.29%
5+———————
Total35.71%39.29%14.29%10.71%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.00 +0.82
SD 1.28 0.98 1.49
CV 0.70 0.98 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%7.14%3.57%3.57%——17.86%
13.57%14.29%14.29%10.71%3.57%—46.43%
23.57%14.29%3.57%———21.43%
33.57%3.57%—3.57%——10.71%
4——3.57%———3.57%
5+———————
Total14.29%39.29%25.00%17.86%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.57 -0.21
SD 1.03 1.07 1.55
CV 0.76 0.68 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%3.57%———14.29%
125.00%10.71%10.71%———46.43%
27.14%14.29%————21.43%
310.71%—————10.71%
4—3.57%——3.57%—7.14%
5+———————
Total50.00%32.14%14.29%—3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.75 +0.75
SD 1.11 0.97 1.32
CV 0.74 1.29 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%3.57%10.71%7.14%3.57%—35.71%
17.14%10.71%14.29%—3.57%3.57%39.29%
2——10.71%7.14%——17.86%
3——3.57%———3.57%
4————3.57%—3.57%
5+———————
Total17.86%14.29%39.29%14.29%10.71%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.96 -0.96
SD 1.02 1.35 1.43
CV 1.02 0.69 —
Max 4 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%7.14%3.57%———21.43%
17.14%3.57%3.57%———14.29%
2—14.29%3.57%3.57%——21.43%
33.57%17.86%14.29%———35.71%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total25.00%46.43%25.00%3.57%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.07 +0.89
SD 1.37 0.81 1.45
CV 0.70 0.76 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

No data available.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 La Louviere 59 43.63 +15.37
2 RWD Molenbeek 57 46.92 +10.08
3 Zulte Waregem 59 50.70 +8.30
4 Club NXT 47 38.98 +8.02
5 Beveren 51 43.06 +7.94

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Genk II 14 27.37 -13.37
2 Anderlecht II 23 33.81 -10.81
3 Lommel 29 38.24 -9.24
4 Seraing 19 28.05 -9.05
5 Eupen 30 36.36 -6.36

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lokeren-Temse 5 Mar 15 – Apr 18 1 in 344
2 Beveren 5 Feb 9 – Mar 9 1 in 150
3 Zulte Waregem 7 Nov 10 – Jan 11 1 in 128
4 Club NXT 4 Jan 19 – Feb 7 1 in 109
5 RWD Molenbeek 6 Feb 8 – Mar 28 1 in 51

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lommel 9 Dec 8 – Feb 22 1 in 15,514
2 Eupen 5 Dec 1 – Jan 25 1 in 144
3 Francs Borains 5 Sep 14 – Oct 18 1 in 82
4 Genk II 7 Feb 21 – Apr 18 1 in 73
5 Beveren 3 Sep 28 – Oct 18 1 in 37

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 RWD Molenbeek 15 Dec 1 – Apr 4 1 in 75
2 Beveren 10 Dec 13 – Mar 9 1 in 35
3 Francs Borains 6 Dec 8 – Jan 29 1 in 34
4 Anderlecht II 6 Oct 20 – Nov 30 1 in 24
5 La Louviere 11 Feb 2 – Sep 22 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lommel 12 Nov 24 – Mar 2 1 in 361
2 Genk II 20 Oct 25 – Apr 18 1 in 141
3 Seraing 14 Jan 19 – Sep 1 1 in 46
4 Anderlecht II 8 Feb 22 – Apr 18 1 in 27
5 Beveren 5 Sep 20 – Oct 26 1 in 22

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112131415
Zulte Waregem41.63%21.98%12.80%8.94%5.42%3.39%2.23%1.55%0.99%0.49%0.28%0.20%0.05%0.03%0.02%
La Louviere8.88%12.98%14.25%13.51%11.45%10.31%8.33%5.77%4.93%3.96%2.52%1.42%1.02%0.48%0.19%
RWD Molenbeek18.95%19.98%16.31%12.95%9.89%6.78%5.10%3.50%2.51%1.69%1.17%0.59%0.41%0.12%0.05%
Beveren7.58%10.75%12.87%13.03%12.58%10.23%8.67%6.97%5.55%4.26%3.02%2.16%1.28%0.71%0.34%
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen14.94%17.27%15.14%12.84%10.66%8.97%6.43%4.58%3.33%2.51%1.58%1.03%0.41%0.25%0.06%
Club NXT2.51%4.29%6.37%8.41%9.48%11.16%10.40%10.24%9.86%8.20%6.73%4.94%3.77%2.35%1.29%
Lokeren-Temse0.19%0.81%1.46%2.44%3.44%4.65%6.57%7.99%9.47%10.93%11.83%12.33%11.45%9.78%6.66%
K Lierse SK0.95%2.07%4.19%5.40%7.31%8.08%9.30%10.33%10.08%10.08%9.34%8.28%6.73%4.92%2.94%
RFC Liege1.44%2.91%4.98%6.35%8.39%9.13%9.86%10.70%10.13%9.56%8.24%6.96%5.42%3.89%2.04%
Eupen0.82%2.29%3.53%5.26%6.25%8.01%9.43%9.62%10.03%10.88%10.14%9.12%6.77%5.04%2.81%
Lommel1.73%3.41%5.35%6.95%8.28%9.33%10.51%10.23%10.38%9.21%8.00%6.61%5.06%3.36%1.59%
Francs Borains0.07%0.22%0.54%0.74%1.43%2.29%3.16%4.89%5.66%7.58%10.27%13.05%16.06%17.69%16.35%
Anderlecht II0.28%0.86%1.75%2.47%4.06%5.40%6.83%8.14%9.72%10.30%11.27%12.44%11.28%9.45%5.75%
Seraing0.02%0.07%0.27%0.37%0.81%1.37%1.74%2.78%3.94%5.30%8.32%11.40%15.55%21.01%27.05%
Genk II0.01%0.11%0.19%0.34%0.55%0.90%1.44%2.71%3.42%5.05%7.29%9.47%14.74%20.92%32.86%
Team12345613141516
Zulte Waregem——————————
La Louviere——————————
RWD Molenbeek——————————
Beveren——————————
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen——————————
Club NXT——————————
Lokeren-Temse——————————
K Lierse SK——————————
RFC Liege——————————
Eupen——————————
Lommel——————————
Francs Borains——————————
Anderlecht II——————————
Seraing——————————
Genk II——————————

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Points Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
No playoff-sim mean data.
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
No playoff-sim percentile data.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.81%
No Edge
40.00%23.81%36.19%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 13.24 Elo pts.
156 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.14 goals
Neutral
-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.1
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Zulte Waregem, 1st of 15
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.17 * Some Luck: 5.17 to 7.76 * Lucky: 7.76 to 10.34 * Wild Swing: 10.34 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.96 * Close: 1.96 to 2.94 * Off: 2.94 to 3.93 * Way Off: 3.93 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 15 * As Expected: 15 to 24 * Several Outliers: 24 to 33 * Many Outliers: 33 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.67 * A Surprise: 0.67 to 1.07 * Several Surprises: 1.07 to 1.48 * Many Surprises: 1.48 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.69 points
Lucky
06.4616
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
02.455
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.67%
99.25%
La Louviere
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.33%
1.12%
Genk II
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 15
Minimal Outliers
01.57
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 1
A Surprise
00.71

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.86
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
74%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Strong Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Frequent
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.85
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.59
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
As Expected
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.57
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.28
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.078
Well Within Noise
00.1140.3

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Zulte Waregem 64.94% 29.22% 5.82% 0.02%
RWD Molenbeek 40.31% 44.55% 15.09% 0.05%
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 33.32% 46.50% 20.12% 0.06%
La Louviere 22.83% 48.55% 28.43% 0.19%
Beveren 19.08% 47.96% 32.62% 0.34%
Lommel 5.59% 29.46% 63.36% 1.59%
RFC Liege 4.57% 28.63% 64.76% 2.04%
Eupen 3.28% 22.88% 71.03% 2.81%
K Lierse SK 3.31% 24.69% 69.06% 2.94%
Club NXT — — 98.71% 1.29%
Anderlecht II 1.25% 13.57% 79.43% 5.75%
Lokeren-Temse 1.08% 11.91% 80.35% 6.66%
Francs Borains 0.33% 4.96% 78.36% 16.35%
Seraing 0.10% 2.81% 70.04% 27.05%
Genk II — — 67.14% 32.86%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
La Louviere 100% — — —
Zulte Waregem 100% — — —
Anderlecht II — — 100% —
Beveren — 100% — —
Club NXT — — 100% —
Eupen — — 100% —
Francs Borains — — 100% —
K Lierse SK — — 100% —
Lokeren-Temse — — 100% —
Lommel — — 100% —
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen — 100% — —
RFC Liege — — 100% —
RWD Molenbeek — 100% — —
Seraing — — 100% —
Genk II — — — 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2024-08-16 Genk II L 0-2 1592 1611 40.38% 30.26% 29.36% -18.4 0
2024-08-16 @ Seraing W 2-0 1611 1592 29.36% 30.26% 40.38% +18.4 3
2024-08-17 Lokeren-Temse W 4-0 1619 1632 41.17% 30.18% 28.65% +27.2 3
2024-08-17 @ Club NXT L 0-4 1632 1619 28.65% 30.18% 41.17% -27.2 0
2024-08-17 Lommel W 2-1 1680 1696 40.66% 30.23% 29.11% +7.2 3
2024-08-17 @ Beveren L 1-2 1696 1680 29.11% 30.23% 40.66% -7.2 0
2024-08-17 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 1-1 1660 1636 46.09% 29.48% 24.43% -1.0 1
2024-08-17 @ RWD Molenbeek D 1-1 1636 1660 24.43% 29.48% 46.09% +1.0 1
2024-08-18 Eupen L 0-3 1660 1640 45.61% 29.57% 24.82% -29.3 0
2024-08-18 @ RFC Liege W 3-0 1640 1660 24.82% 29.57% 45.61% +29.3 3
2024-08-18 K Lierse SK L 0-1 1699 1609 54.23% 27.35% 18.42% -12.2 0
2024-08-18 @ Zulte Waregem W 1-0 1609 1699 18.42% 27.35% 54.23% +12.2 3
2024-08-18 La Louviere L 0-1 1618 1632 40.98% 30.20% 28.82% -9.8 0
2024-08-18 @ Francs Borains W 1-0 1632 1618 28.82% 30.20% 40.98% +9.9 3
2024-08-23 Francs Borains L 0-1 1605 1608 42.51% 30.03% 27.46% -10.1 0
2024-08-23 @ Lokeren-Temse W 1-0 1608 1605 27.46% 30.03% 42.51% +10.1 3
2024-08-23 Beveren D 2-2 1669 1687 40.44% 30.25% 29.30% -0.4 4
2024-08-23 @ Eupen D 2-2 1687 1669 29.30% 30.25% 40.44% +0.4 4
2024-08-24 Anderlecht II W 3-1 1637 1616 45.70% 29.55% 24.75% +11.1 4
2024-08-24 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 1-3 1616 1637 24.75% 29.55% 45.70% -11.1 0
2024-08-24 Club NXT D 1-1 1642 1647 42.33% 30.05% 27.62% -0.7 4
2024-08-24 @ La Louviere D 1-1 1647 1642 27.62% 30.05% 42.33% +0.7 4
2024-08-24 Seraing W 3-2 1621 1574 49.07% 28.84% 22.09% +5.5 6
2024-08-24 @ K Lierse SK L 2-3 1574 1621 22.09% 28.84% 49.07% -5.5 0
2024-08-25 RWD Molenbeek L 0-2 1689 1659 46.94% 29.31% 23.75% -20.6 0
2024-08-25 @ Lommel W 2-0 1659 1689 23.75% 29.31% 46.94% +20.6 4
2024-08-30 Eupen W 2-1 1679 1668 44.39% 29.77% 25.84% +6.6 7
2024-08-30 @ RWD Molenbeek L 1-2 1668 1679 25.84% 29.77% 44.39% -6.6 4
2024-08-30 Lokeren-Temse W 1-0 1686 1595 54.43% 27.28% 18.29% +5.2 3
2024-08-30 @ Zulte Waregem L 0-1 1595 1686 18.29% 27.28% 54.43% -5.2 0
2024-08-31 Club NXT D 2-2 1648 1647 43.04% 29.96% 27.00% -0.6 5
2024-08-31 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 2-2 1647 1648 27.00% 29.96% 43.04% +0.6 5
2024-08-31 La Louviere L 1-2 1605 1641 37.90% 30.43% 31.67% -8.8 0
2024-08-31 @ Anderlecht II W 2-1 1641 1605 31.67% 30.43% 37.90% +8.8 7
2024-08-31 Beveren D 0-0 1631 1687 34.97% 30.50% 34.53% -0.0 1
2024-08-31 @ RFC Liege D 0-0 1687 1631 34.53% 30.50% 34.97% +0.0 5
2024-09-01 Francs Borains L 1-2 1629 1618 44.42% 29.76% 25.81% -9.9 3
2024-09-01 @ Genk II W 2-1 1618 1629 25.81% 29.76% 44.42% +9.9 6
2024-09-13 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 2-2 1590 1648 34.86% 30.50% 34.64% -0.0 1
2024-09-13 @ Lokeren-Temse D 2-2 1648 1590 34.64% 30.50% 34.86% +0.0 6
2024-09-13 Seraing D 1-1 1648 1569 52.99% 27.75% 19.26% -1.7 6
2024-09-13 @ Club NXT D 1-1 1569 1648 19.26% 27.75% 52.99% +1.7 1
2024-09-14 Anderlecht II D 3-3 1631 1596 47.42% 29.21% 23.36% -0.7 2
2024-09-14 @ RFC Liege D 3-3 1596 1631 23.36% 29.21% 47.42% +0.7 1
2024-09-14 K Lierse SK W 3-0 1686 1627 50.57% 28.46% 20.97% +16.1 10
2024-09-14 @ RWD Molenbeek L 0-3 1627 1686 20.97% 28.46% 50.57% -16.1 6
2024-09-14 Lommel L 1-3 1628 1669 37.33% 30.45% 32.22% -15.0 6
2024-09-14 @ Francs Borains W 3-1 1669 1628 32.22% 30.45% 37.33% +15.0 3
2024-09-15 Genk II W 3-2 1687 1620 51.62% 28.17% 20.21% +5.1 8
2024-09-15 @ Beveren L 2-3 1620 1687 20.21% 28.17% 51.62% -5.1 3
2024-09-15 Zulte Waregem L 1-3 1662 1692 38.83% 30.37% 30.80% -15.4 4
2024-09-15 @ Eupen W 3-1 1692 1662 30.80% 30.37% 38.83% +15.4 6
2024-09-20 Anderlecht II W 2-1 1684 1597 53.85% 27.48% 18.67% +5.0 6
2024-09-20 @ Lommel L 1-2 1597 1684 18.67% 27.48% 53.85% -5.0 1
2024-09-20 Seraing D 0-0 1693 1570 57.94% 25.97% 16.09% -2.4 9
2024-09-20 @ Beveren D 0-0 1570 1693 16.09% 25.97% 57.94% +2.4 2
2024-09-21 Eupen W 3-0 1611 1646 37.98% 30.42% 31.59% +22.4 9
2024-09-21 @ K Lierse SK L 0-3 1646 1611 31.59% 30.42% 37.98% -22.4 4
2024-09-21 Francs Borains W 4-1 1648 1613 47.45% 29.21% 23.34% +14.9 9
2024-09-21 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 1-4 1613 1648 23.34% 29.21% 47.45% -14.9 6
2024-09-21 RWD Molenbeek L 0-3 1615 1702 30.74% 30.37% 38.89% -21.9 3
2024-09-21 @ Genk II W 3-0 1702 1615 38.89% 30.37% 30.74% +21.9 13
2024-09-22 RFC Liege W 3-1 1707 1630 52.76% 27.83% 19.41% +9.0 9
2024-09-22 @ Zulte Waregem L 1-3 1630 1707 19.41% 27.83% 52.76% -9.0 2
2024-09-27 Genk II W 3-1 1624 1593 47.08% 29.29% 23.64% +10.7 7
2024-09-27 @ Eupen L 1-3 1593 1624 23.64% 29.29% 47.08% -10.7 3
2024-09-27 RWD Molenbeek L 1-2 1598 1724 26.07% 29.81% 44.12% -6.7 6
2024-09-27 @ Francs Borains W 2-1 1724 1598 44.12% 29.81% 26.07% +6.7 16
2024-09-28 K Lierse SK D 1-1 1689 1633 50.12% 28.58% 21.30% -1.4 7
2024-09-28 @ Lommel D 1-1 1633 1689 21.30% 28.58% 50.12% +1.4 10
2024-09-28 Beveren W 2-0 1646 1690 36.82% 30.47% 32.71% +15.8 9
2024-09-28 @ Club NXT L 0-2 1690 1646 32.71% 30.47% 36.82% -15.8 9
2024-09-29 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 0-2 1650 1662 41.26% 30.17% 28.56% -18.7 7
2024-09-29 @ La Louviere W 2-0 1662 1650 28.56% 30.17% 41.26% +18.7 12
2024-09-29 RFC Liege L 0-3 1573 1621 36.24% 30.48% 33.28% -24.7 2
2024-09-29 @ Seraing W 3-0 1621 1573 33.28% 30.48% 36.24% +24.6 5
2024-09-29 Zulte Waregem L 2-3 1592 1716 26.28% 29.85% 43.87% -6.4 1
2024-09-29 @ Anderlecht II W 3-2 1716 1592 43.87% 29.85% 26.28% +6.4 12
2024-10-04 Lommel D 1-1 1645 1687 37.15% 30.46% 32.39% -0.2 6
2024-10-04 @ RFC Liege D 1-1 1687 1645 32.39% 30.46% 37.15% +0.2 8
2024-10-05 Eupen L 1-2 1548 1635 30.87% 30.38% 38.76% -7.6 2
2024-10-05 @ Seraing W 2-1 1635 1548 38.76% 30.38% 30.87% +7.6 10
2024-10-05 Lokeren-Temse L 0-1 1674 1590 53.62% 27.55% 18.83% -12.1 9
2024-10-05 @ Beveren W 1-0 1590 1674 18.83% 27.55% 53.62% +12.1 4
2024-10-05 La Louviere D 1-1 1731 1632 55.32% 26.97% 17.71% -1.9 17
2024-10-05 @ RWD Molenbeek D 1-1 1632 1731 17.71% 26.97% 55.32% +1.9 8
2024-10-06 Anderlecht II W 1-0 1582 1586 42.41% 30.04% 27.54% +7.4 6
2024-10-06 @ Genk II L 0-1 1586 1582 27.54% 30.04% 42.41% -7.4 1
2024-10-06 Club NXT W 2-1 1722 1662 50.72% 28.42% 20.86% +5.5 15
2024-10-06 @ Zulte Waregem L 1-2 1662 1722 20.86% 28.42% 50.72% -5.5 9
2024-10-06 Francs Borains W 4-0 1634 1592 48.53% 28.97% 22.50% +22.4 13
2024-10-06 @ K Lierse SK L 0-4 1592 1634 22.50% 28.97% 48.53% -22.4 6
2024-10-18 RFC Liege L 1-2 1569 1645 32.28% 30.45% 37.26% -7.8 6
2024-10-18 @ Francs Borains W 2-1 1645 1569 37.26% 30.45% 32.28% +7.8 9
2024-10-18 Beveren W 2-0 1633 1662 38.98% 30.36% 30.66% +15.1 11
2024-10-18 @ La Louviere L 0-2 1662 1633 30.66% 30.36% 38.98% -15.1 9
2024-10-19 Eupen D 1-1 1687 1642 48.81% 28.91% 22.29% -1.3 9
2024-10-19 @ Lommel D 1-1 1642 1687 22.29% 28.91% 48.81% +1.3 11
2024-10-19 K Lierse SK W 3-1 1656 1657 42.87% 29.99% 27.14% +11.9 12
2024-10-19 @ Club NXT L 1-3 1657 1656 27.14% 29.99% 42.87% -11.9 13
2024-10-20 RWD Molenbeek W 2-1 1578 1729 23.43% 29.23% 47.34% +10.4 4
2024-10-20 @ Anderlecht II L 1-2 1729 1578 47.34% 29.23% 23.43% -10.4 17
2024-10-20 Seraing L 0-1 1602 1541 50.84% 28.39% 20.77% -11.6 4
2024-10-20 @ Lokeren-Temse W 1-0 1541 1602 20.77% 28.39% 50.84% +11.6 5
2024-10-20 Zulte Waregem L 0-1 1681 1728 36.42% 30.48% 33.10% -9.0 12
2024-10-20 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen W 1-0 1728 1681 33.10% 30.48% 36.42% +9.0 18
2024-10-25 Lommel L 0-4 1589 1686 29.56% 30.28% 40.17% -27.8 6
2024-10-25 @ Genk II W 4-0 1686 1589 40.17% 30.28% 29.56% +27.8 12
2024-10-25 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 0-0 1552 1672 26.74% 29.92% 43.33% +0.9 6
2024-10-25 @ Seraing D 0-0 1672 1552 43.33% 29.92% 26.74% -0.9 13
2024-10-26 Anderlecht II D 1-1 1647 1589 50.47% 28.49% 21.04% -1.5 10
2024-10-26 @ Beveren D 1-1 1589 1647 21.04% 28.49% 50.47% +1.5 5
2024-10-26 Francs Borains D 2-2 1737 1561 63.63% 23.40% 12.97% -2.0 19
2024-10-26 @ Zulte Waregem D 2-2 1561 1737 12.97% 23.40% 63.63% +2.0 7
2024-10-27 Club NXT D 1-1 1653 1668 40.85% 30.21% 28.94% -0.5 10
2024-10-27 @ RFC Liege D 1-1 1668 1653 28.94% 30.21% 40.85% +0.6 13
2024-10-27 Lokeren-Temse L 0-1 1644 1590 49.83% 28.65% 21.51% -11.5 11
2024-10-27 @ Eupen W 1-0 1590 1644 21.51% 28.65% 49.83% +11.5 7
2024-10-27 La Louviere L 1-2 1645 1649 42.44% 30.04% 27.52% -9.5 13
2024-10-27 @ K Lierse SK W 2-1 1649 1645 27.52% 30.04% 42.44% +9.5 14
2024-11-01 Lommel L 1-3 1669 1714 36.68% 30.47% 32.85% -14.8 13
2024-11-01 @ Club NXT W 3-1 1714 1669 32.85% 30.47% 36.68% +14.8 15
2024-11-01 Zulte Waregem W 2-1 1718 1735 40.67% 30.23% 29.10% +7.2 20
2024-11-01 @ RWD Molenbeek L 1-2 1735 1718 29.10% 30.23% 40.67% -7.2 19
2024-11-02 Eupen D 2-2 1590 1632 37.11% 30.46% 32.43% -0.2 6
2024-11-02 @ Anderlecht II D 2-2 1632 1590 32.43% 30.46% 37.11% +0.2 12
2024-11-02 RFC Liege W 3-1 1658 1653 43.68% 29.88% 26.45% +11.7 17
2024-11-02 @ La Louviere L 1-3 1653 1658 26.45% 29.88% 43.68% -11.7 10
2024-11-03 Seraing L 0-1 1563 1553 44.31% 29.78% 25.91% -10.4 7
2024-11-03 @ Francs Borains W 1-0 1553 1563 25.91% 29.78% 44.31% +10.4 9
2024-11-08 Lokeren-Temse D 2-2 1635 1602 47.36% 29.23% 23.42% -0.9 14
2024-11-08 @ K Lierse SK D 2-2 1602 1635 23.42% 29.23% 47.36% +0.9 8
2024-11-08 RWD Molenbeek W 2-1 1641 1726 31.10% 30.39% 38.50% +8.9 13
2024-11-08 @ RFC Liege L 1-2 1726 1641 38.50% 30.39% 31.10% -8.9 20
2024-11-09 Club NXT L 1-2 1561 1654 30.09% 30.32% 39.59% -7.4 6
2024-11-09 @ Genk II W 2-1 1654 1561 39.59% 30.32% 30.09% +7.4 16
2024-11-09 Francs Borains W 4-0 1646 1553 54.58% 27.23% 18.19% +18.5 13
2024-11-09 @ Beveren L 0-4 1553 1646 18.19% 27.23% 54.58% -18.5 7
2024-11-10 Anderlecht II D 2-2 1563 1590 39.28% 30.34% 30.38% -0.3 10
2024-11-10 @ Seraing D 2-2 1590 1563 30.38% 30.34% 39.28% +0.3 7
2024-11-10 La Louviere W 2-1 1728 1670 50.42% 28.50% 21.08% +5.6 22
2024-11-10 @ Zulte Waregem L 1-2 1670 1728 21.08% 28.50% 50.42% -5.6 17
2024-11-10 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 0-4 1632 1671 37.54% 30.44% 32.02% -33.0 12
2024-11-10 @ Eupen W 4-0 1671 1632 32.02% 30.44% 37.54% +33.0 16
2024-11-22 Eupen L 0-4 1662 1599 50.94% 28.36% 20.70% -41.7 16
2024-11-22 @ Club NXT W 4-0 1599 1662 20.70% 28.36% 50.94% +41.7 15
2024-11-22 Genk II D 2-2 1635 1554 53.14% 27.71% 19.15% -1.3 15
2024-11-22 @ K Lierse SK D 2-2 1554 1635 19.15% 27.71% 53.14% +1.3 7
2024-11-23 Anderlecht II L 0-1 1603 1590 44.57% 29.74% 25.68% -10.5 8
2024-11-23 @ Lokeren-Temse W 1-0 1590 1603 25.68% 29.74% 44.57% +10.5 10
2024-11-23 Beveren L 0-2 1717 1664 49.76% 28.67% 21.57% -21.6 20
2024-11-23 @ RWD Molenbeek W 2-0 1664 1717 21.57% 28.67% 49.76% +21.6 16
2024-11-24 Lommel W 5-1 1664 1729 33.88% 30.49% 35.62% +26.5 20
2024-11-24 @ La Louviere L 1-5 1729 1664 35.62% 30.49% 33.88% -26.5 15
2024-11-24 RFC Liege W 2-0 1704 1650 49.99% 28.61% 21.40% +11.3 19
2024-11-24 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 0-2 1650 1704 21.40% 28.61% 49.99% -11.3 13
2024-11-24 Seraing W 5-1 1733 1563 63.07% 23.67% 13.26% +11.0 25
2024-11-24 @ Zulte Waregem L 1-5 1563 1733 13.26% 23.67% 63.07% -11.0 10
2024-11-29 Lokeren-Temse D 1-1 1702 1592 56.57% 26.51% 16.92% -2.0 16
2024-11-29 @ Lommel D 1-1 1592 1702 16.92% 26.51% 56.57% +2.0 9
2024-11-29 Zulte Waregem L 2-3 1555 1744 19.85% 28.02% 52.14% -5.0 7
2024-11-29 @ Genk II W 3-2 1744 1555 52.14% 28.02% 19.85% +5.0 28
2024-11-30 K Lierse SK W 2-0 1601 1633 38.45% 30.40% 31.15% +15.2 13
2024-11-30 @ Anderlecht II L 0-2 1633 1601 31.15% 30.40% 38.45% -15.2 15
2024-11-30 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 0-0 1686 1716 38.82% 30.37% 30.81% -0.4 17
2024-11-30 @ Beveren D 0-0 1716 1686 30.81% 30.37% 38.82% +0.4 20
2024-12-01 Club NXT L 1-2 1534 1620 31.03% 30.39% 38.58% -7.6 7
2024-12-01 @ Francs Borains W 2-1 1620 1534 38.58% 30.39% 31.03% +7.6 19
2024-12-01 La Louviere L 3-4 1641 1691 36.00% 30.49% 33.51% -7.8 15
2024-12-01 @ Eupen W 4-3 1691 1641 33.51% 30.49% 36.00% +7.8 23
2024-12-01 RWD Molenbeek D 4-4 1552 1695 24.19% 29.42% 46.39% +0.6 11
2024-12-01 @ Seraing D 4-4 1695 1552 46.39% 29.42% 24.19% -0.6 21
2024-12-06 Anderlecht II W 3-0 1627 1616 44.44% 29.76% 25.80% +19.2 22
2024-12-06 @ Club NXT L 0-3 1616 1627 25.80% 29.76% 44.44% -19.2 13
2024-12-06 RFC Liege W 2-1 1618 1638 40.14% 30.28% 29.59% +7.3 18
2024-12-06 @ K Lierse SK L 1-2 1638 1618 29.59% 30.28% 40.14% -7.3 13
2024-12-07 Genk II W 2-1 1699 1550 60.77% 24.76% 14.48% +3.8 26
2024-12-07 @ La Louviere L 1-2 1550 1699 14.48% 24.76% 60.77% -3.8 7
2024-12-07 Beveren W 4-0 1749 1685 51.16% 28.30% 20.54% +20.7 31
2024-12-07 @ Zulte Waregem L 0-4 1685 1749 20.54% 28.30% 51.16% -20.7 17
2024-12-08 Eupen W 3-2 1527 1633 28.36% 30.15% 41.49% +8.9 10
2024-12-08 @ Francs Borains L 2-3 1633 1527 41.49% 30.15% 28.36% -8.9 15
2024-12-08 Lommel W 4-0 1716 1700 45.03% 29.67% 25.30% +24.7 23
2024-12-08 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 0-4 1700 1716 25.30% 29.67% 45.03% -24.7 16
2024-12-08 RWD Molenbeek L 1-4 1594 1695 29.09% 30.23% 40.68% -17.8 9
2024-12-08 @ Lokeren-Temse W 4-1 1695 1594 40.68% 30.23% 29.09% +17.8 24
2024-12-13 K Lierse SK W 1-0 1665 1625 48.07% 29.07% 22.85% +6.3 20
2024-12-13 @ Beveren L 0-1 1625 1665 22.85% 29.07% 48.07% -6.3 18
2024-12-13 La Louviere L 0-1 1553 1702 23.51% 29.25% 47.24% -6.5 11
2024-12-13 @ Seraing W 1-0 1702 1553 47.24% 29.25% 23.51% +6.5 29
2024-12-14 Francs Borains L 0-1 1597 1536 50.81% 28.40% 20.80% -11.6 13
2024-12-14 @ Anderlecht II W 1-0 1536 1597 20.80% 28.40% 50.81% +11.6 13
2024-12-14 Zulte Waregem L 1-2 1675 1770 29.84% 30.30% 39.86% -7.4 16
2024-12-14 @ Lommel W 2-1 1770 1675 39.86% 30.30% 29.84% +7.4 34
2024-12-15 Club NXT W 1-0 1712 1647 51.38% 28.24% 20.39% +5.7 27
2024-12-15 @ RWD Molenbeek L 0-1 1647 1712 20.39% 28.24% 51.38% -5.7 22
2024-12-15 Lokeren-Temse L 0-1 1631 1576 50.00% 28.61% 21.39% -11.5 13
2024-12-15 @ RFC Liege W 1-0 1576 1631 21.39% 28.61% 50.00% +11.5 12
2024-12-15 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 1-3 1546 1741 19.42% 27.83% 52.76% -9.0 7
2024-12-15 @ Genk II W 3-1 1741 1546 52.76% 27.83% 19.42% +9.0 26
2024-12-20 Genk II D 2-2 1547 1538 44.25% 29.79% 25.96% -0.7 14
2024-12-20 @ Francs Borains D 2-2 1538 1547 25.96% 29.79% 44.25% +0.7 8
2024-12-20 Zulte Waregem L 0-3 1641 1777 24.88% 29.58% 45.54% -18.6 22
2024-12-20 @ Club NXT W 3-0 1777 1641 45.54% 29.58% 24.88% +18.6 37
2024-12-21 RFC Liege L 0-1 1624 1620 43.56% 29.89% 26.55% -10.3 15
2024-12-21 @ Eupen W 1-0 1620 1624 26.55% 29.89% 43.56% +10.3 16
2024-12-21 RWD Molenbeek D 0-0 1709 1718 41.67% 30.13% 28.20% -0.7 30
2024-12-21 @ La Louviere D 0-0 1718 1709 28.20% 30.13% 41.67% +0.7 28
2024-12-22 Lommel W 1-0 1619 1668 36.09% 30.49% 33.42% +8.5 21
2024-12-22 @ K Lierse SK L 0-1 1668 1619 33.42% 30.49% 36.09% -8.5 16
2024-12-22 Seraing L 2-3 1750 1546 66.42% 21.97% 11.62% -12.8 26
2024-12-22 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen W 3-2 1546 1750 11.62% 21.97% 66.42% +12.8 14
2024-12-22 Beveren L 0-1 1588 1671 31.34% 30.41% 38.25% -8.1 12
2024-12-22 @ Lokeren-Temse W 1-0 1671 1588 38.25% 30.41% 31.34% +8.1 23
2025-01-11 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen W 3-2 1796 1737 50.57% 28.46% 20.97% +5.3 40
2025-01-11 @ Zulte Waregem L 2-3 1737 1796 20.97% 28.46% 50.57% -5.3 26
2025-01-11 RFC Liege W 2-1 1719 1630 54.14% 27.38% 18.48% +4.9 31
2025-01-11 @ RWD Molenbeek L 1-2 1630 1719 18.48% 27.38% 54.14% -4.9 16
2025-01-12 La Louviere D 0-0 1679 1708 38.93% 30.37% 30.71% -0.4 24
2025-01-12 @ Beveren D 0-0 1708 1679 30.71% 30.37% 38.93% +0.4 31
2025-01-17 Lokeren-Temse W 4-1 1732 1580 61.14% 24.59% 14.27% +9.3 29
2025-01-17 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 1-4 1580 1732 14.27% 24.59% 61.14% -9.3 12
2025-01-18 Anderlecht II D 2-2 1709 1585 58.06% 25.92% 16.02% -1.6 32
2025-01-18 @ La Louviere D 2-2 1585 1709 16.02% 25.92% 58.06% +1.6 14
2025-01-18 RWD Molenbeek L 0-1 1614 1724 27.94% 30.10% 41.97% -7.5 15
2025-01-18 @ Eupen W 1-0 1724 1614 41.97% 30.10% 27.94% +7.5 34
2025-01-18 Beveren D 0-0 1547 1679 25.38% 29.68% 44.93% +1.1 15
2025-01-18 @ Francs Borains D 0-0 1679 1547 44.93% 29.68% 25.38% -1.1 25
2025-01-19 Club NXT L 1-3 1628 1622 43.64% 29.88% 26.48% -16.9 21
2025-01-19 @ K Lierse SK W 3-1 1622 1628 26.48% 29.88% 43.64% +16.9 25
2025-01-19 Seraing D 2-2 1538 1559 40.07% 30.28% 29.65% -0.4 9
2025-01-19 @ Genk II D 2-2 1559 1538 29.65% 30.28% 40.07% +0.4 15
2025-01-19 Zulte Waregem D 1-1 1625 1801 20.95% 28.45% 50.60% +1.5 17
2025-01-19 @ RFC Liege D 1-1 1801 1625 50.60% 28.45% 20.95% -1.5 41
2025-01-24 Genk II W 1-0 1731 1538 65.44% 22.48% 12.08% +3.3 37
2025-01-24 @ RWD Molenbeek L 0-1 1538 1731 12.08% 22.48% 65.44% -3.3 9
2025-01-24 K Lierse SK D 1-1 1571 1611 37.37% 30.45% 32.18% -0.2 13
2025-01-24 @ Lokeren-Temse D 1-1 1611 1571 32.18% 30.45% 37.37% +0.2 22
2025-01-25 Eupen W 3-2 1800 1607 65.43% 22.49% 12.09% +3.0 44
2025-01-25 @ Zulte Waregem L 2-3 1607 1800 12.09% 22.49% 65.43% -3.0 15
2025-01-25 Francs Borains D 1-1 1559 1548 44.48% 29.76% 25.76% -0.9 16
2025-01-25 @ Seraing D 1-1 1548 1559 25.76% 29.76% 44.48% +0.9 16
2025-01-25 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 1-1 1587 1741 23.07% 29.14% 47.79% +1.2 15
2025-01-25 @ Anderlecht II D 1-1 1741 1587 47.79% 29.14% 23.07% -1.2 30
2025-01-26 La Louviere W 2-1 1639 1707 33.41% 30.49% 36.10% +8.5 28
2025-01-26 @ Club NXT L 1-2 1707 1639 36.10% 30.49% 33.41% -8.5 32
2025-01-26 RFC Liege L 0-2 1660 1626 47.29% 29.24% 23.46% -20.7 16
2025-01-26 @ Lommel W 2-0 1626 1660 23.46% 29.24% 47.29% +20.7 20
2025-01-28 Eupen D 0-0 1570 1604 38.34% 30.40% 31.26% -0.4 14
2025-01-28 @ Lokeren-Temse D 0-0 1604 1570 31.26% 30.40% 38.34% +0.4 16
2025-01-28 Genk II W 4-1 1588 1534 49.88% 28.64% 21.48% +13.9 18
2025-01-28 @ Anderlecht II L 1-4 1534 1588 21.48% 28.64% 49.88% -13.9 9
2025-01-28 K Lierse SK L 0-2 1559 1611 35.62% 30.49% 33.88% -16.8 16
2025-01-28 @ Seraing W 2-0 1611 1559 33.88% 30.49% 35.62% +16.8 25
2025-01-29 Francs Borains L 1-2 1639 1549 54.28% 27.33% 18.38% -11.6 16
2025-01-29 @ Lommel W 2-1 1549 1639 18.38% 27.33% 54.28% +11.6 19
2025-01-31 Seraing W 2-1 1647 1542 56.04% 26.71% 17.25% +4.6 23
2025-01-31 @ RFC Liege L 1-2 1542 1647 17.25% 26.71% 56.04% -4.6 16
2025-02-01 Club NXT L 2-3 1602 1648 36.60% 30.47% 32.93% -8.1 18
2025-02-01 @ Anderlecht II W 3-2 1648 1602 32.93% 30.47% 36.60% +8.1 31
2025-02-01 Lommel W 3-2 1604 1627 39.72% 30.31% 29.97% +7.0 19
2025-02-01 @ Eupen L 2-3 1627 1604 29.97% 30.31% 39.72% -7.0 16
2025-02-01 RWD Molenbeek D 0-0 1628 1735 28.29% 30.14% 41.57% +0.7 26
2025-02-01 @ K Lierse SK D 0-0 1735 1628 41.57% 30.14% 28.29% -0.7 38
2025-02-02 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 1-3 1560 1740 20.68% 28.35% 50.97% -9.5 19
2025-02-02 @ Francs Borains W 3-1 1740 1560 50.97% 28.35% 20.68% +9.5 33
2025-02-02 Beveren D 3-3 1521 1678 22.77% 29.05% 48.18% +0.8 10
2025-02-02 @ Genk II D 3-3 1678 1521 48.18% 29.05% 22.77% -0.8 26
2025-02-02 Zulte Waregem D 0-0 1698 1803 28.61% 30.18% 41.21% +0.7 33
2025-02-02 @ La Louviere D 0-0 1803 1698 41.21% 30.18% 28.61% -0.7 45
2025-02-07 Club NXT L 0-2 1620 1656 38.04% 30.42% 31.54% -17.6 16
2025-02-07 @ Lommel W 2-0 1656 1620 31.54% 30.42% 38.04% +17.6 34
2025-02-08 Anderlecht II W 1-0 1734 1594 59.89% 25.15% 14.96% +4.2 41
2025-02-08 @ RWD Molenbeek L 0-1 1594 1734 14.96% 25.15% 59.89% -4.2 18
2025-02-08 Francs Borains L 0-1 1652 1551 55.54% 26.89% 17.57% -12.5 23
2025-02-08 @ RFC Liege W 1-0 1551 1652 17.57% 26.89% 55.54% +12.5 22
2025-02-08 Genk II W 1-0 1749 1521 68.77% 20.68% 10.55% +2.8 36
2025-02-08 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 0-1 1521 1749 10.55% 20.68% 68.77% -2.8 10
2025-02-09 K Lierse SK L 1-3 1611 1628 40.55% 30.24% 29.21% -16.0 19
2025-02-09 @ Eupen W 3-1 1628 1611 29.21% 30.24% 40.55% +16.0 29
2025-02-09 La Louviere L 0-5 1570 1699 25.68% 29.74% 44.58% -30.8 14
2025-02-09 @ Lokeren-Temse W 5-0 1699 1570 44.58% 29.74% 25.68% +30.8 36
2025-02-09 Beveren L 0-2 1537 1677 24.54% 29.50% 45.95% -12.7 16
2025-02-09 @ Seraing W 2-0 1677 1537 45.95% 29.50% 24.54% +12.7 29
2025-02-14 Zulte Waregem D 0-0 1644 1802 22.69% 29.03% 48.29% +1.4 30
2025-02-14 @ K Lierse SK D 0-0 1802 1644 48.29% 29.03% 22.69% -1.4 46
2025-02-15 Lommel W 5-0 1590 1603 41.15% 30.18% 28.67% +33.5 21
2025-02-15 @ Anderlecht II L 0-5 1603 1590 28.67% 30.18% 41.15% -33.5 16
2025-02-15 RFC Liege W 3-1 1690 1639 49.46% 28.75% 21.80% +9.9 32
2025-02-15 @ Beveren L 1-3 1639 1690 21.80% 28.75% 49.46% -10.0 23
2025-02-15 Seraing W 4-1 1730 1524 66.63% 21.85% 11.52% +7.2 39
2025-02-15 @ La Louviere L 1-4 1524 1730 11.52% 21.85% 66.63% -7.2 16
2025-02-16 Eupen D 0-0 1519 1595 32.23% 30.45% 37.32% +0.3 11
2025-02-16 @ Genk II D 0-0 1595 1519 37.32% 30.45% 32.23% -0.3 20
2025-02-16 Lokeren-Temse L 1-2 1563 1539 46.12% 29.47% 24.40% -10.2 22
2025-02-16 @ Francs Borains W 2-1 1539 1563 24.40% 29.47% 46.12% +10.2 17
2025-02-16 RWD Molenbeek L 0-1 1673 1738 33.83% 30.49% 35.67% -8.6 34
2025-02-16 @ Club NXT W 1-0 1738 1673 35.67% 30.49% 33.83% +8.6 44
2025-02-21 Francs Borains W 1-0 1747 1553 65.45% 22.47% 12.07% +3.3 47
2025-02-21 @ RWD Molenbeek L 0-1 1553 1747 12.07% 22.47% 65.45% -3.3 22
2025-02-21 Genk II W 3-1 1801 1519 73.67% 17.84% 8.49% +3.5 49
2025-02-21 @ Zulte Waregem L 1-3 1519 1801 8.49% 17.84% 73.67% -3.5 11
2025-02-22 Anderlecht II D 2-2 1595 1623 39.01% 30.36% 30.62% -0.3 21
2025-02-22 @ Eupen D 2-2 1623 1595 30.62% 30.36% 39.01% +0.3 22
2025-02-22 Club NXT W 2-1 1549 1665 27.28% 30.01% 42.72% +9.6 20
2025-02-22 @ Lokeren-Temse L 1-2 1665 1549 42.72% 30.01% 27.28% -9.6 34
2025-02-22 Beveren L 1-2 1569 1699 25.56% 29.72% 44.72% -6.6 16
2025-02-22 @ Lommel W 2-1 1699 1569 44.72% 29.72% 25.56% +6.6 35
2025-02-23 K Lierse SK W 2-1 1629 1646 40.69% 30.23% 29.08% +7.2 26
2025-02-23 @ RFC Liege L 1-2 1646 1629 29.08% 30.23% 40.69% -7.2 30
2025-02-23 La Louviere D 1-1 1752 1737 44.89% 29.69% 25.42% -0.9 37
2025-02-23 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 1-1 1737 1752 25.42% 29.69% 44.89% +0.9 40
2025-02-28 Eupen W 2-0 1738 1594 60.28% 24.97% 14.74% +7.8 43
2025-02-28 @ La Louviere L 0-2 1594 1738 14.74% 24.97% 60.28% -7.8 21
2025-02-28 Zulte Waregem W 3-2 1706 1804 29.37% 30.26% 40.38% +8.7 38
2025-02-28 @ Beveren L 2-3 1804 1706 40.38% 30.26% 29.37% -8.7 49
2025-03-01 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 0-1 1655 1751 29.66% 30.28% 40.05% -7.8 34
2025-03-01 @ Club NXT W 1-0 1751 1655 40.05% 30.28% 29.66% +7.8 40
2025-03-01 RFC Liege L 2-4 1623 1637 41.14% 30.19% 28.68% -14.4 22
2025-03-01 @ Anderlecht II W 4-2 1637 1623 28.68% 30.19% 41.14% +14.4 29
2025-03-02 K Lierse SK W 1-0 1550 1638 30.59% 30.36% 39.05% +9.5 25
2025-03-02 @ Francs Borains L 0-1 1638 1550 39.05% 30.36% 30.59% -9.5 30
2025-03-02 Lokeren-Temse L 1-2 1515 1559 36.88% 30.47% 32.66% -8.6 11
2025-03-02 @ Genk II W 2-1 1559 1515 32.66% 30.47% 36.88% +8.6 23
2025-03-02 Seraing D 2-2 1563 1517 48.85% 28.89% 22.25% -1.0 17
2025-03-02 @ Lommel D 2-2 1517 1563 22.25% 28.89% 48.85% +1.0 17
2025-03-07 Club NXT L 2-3 1518 1647 25.70% 29.74% 44.56% -6.2 17
2025-03-07 @ Seraing W 3-2 1647 1518 44.56% 29.74% 25.70% +6.2 37
2025-03-08 Anderlecht II W 3-1 1629 1609 45.58% 29.57% 24.85% +11.1 33
2025-03-08 @ K Lierse SK L 1-3 1609 1629 24.85% 29.57% 45.58% -11.1 22
2025-03-08 Francs Borains W 3-1 1587 1559 46.54% 29.39% 24.06% +10.8 24
2025-03-08 @ Eupen L 1-3 1559 1587 24.06% 29.39% 46.54% -10.8 25
2025-03-08 Lommel L 0-1 1796 1562 69.35% 20.36% 10.29% -14.7 49
2025-03-08 @ Zulte Waregem W 1-0 1562 1796 10.29% 20.36% 69.35% +14.7 20
2025-03-09 Lokeren-Temse W 1-0 1750 1567 64.34% 23.04% 12.62% +3.5 50
2025-03-09 @ RWD Molenbeek L 0-1 1567 1750 12.62% 23.04% 64.34% -3.5 23
2025-03-09 La Louviere D 1-1 1651 1746 29.78% 30.30% 39.92% +0.5 30
2025-03-09 @ RFC Liege D 1-1 1746 1651 39.92% 30.30% 29.78% -0.5 44
2025-03-09 Beveren L 1-2 1759 1715 48.68% 28.94% 22.39% -10.6 40
2025-03-09 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen W 2-1 1715 1759 22.39% 28.94% 48.68% +10.6 41
2025-03-14 Genk II W 3-0 1654 1507 60.62% 24.82% 14.56% +11.2 40
2025-03-14 @ Club NXT L 0-3 1507 1654 14.56% 24.82% 60.62% -11.2 11
2025-03-14 K Lierse SK W 2-1 1746 1640 56.04% 26.71% 17.25% +4.6 47
2025-03-14 @ La Louviere L 1-2 1640 1746 17.25% 26.71% 56.04% -4.6 33
2025-03-14 RWD Molenbeek L 0-2 1725 1753 39.05% 30.36% 30.59% -17.9 41
2025-03-14 @ Beveren W 2-0 1753 1725 30.59% 30.36% 39.05% +17.9 53
2025-03-15 Seraing D 1-1 1598 1512 53.79% 27.49% 18.71% -1.8 23
2025-03-15 @ Anderlecht II D 1-1 1512 1598 18.71% 27.49% 53.79% +1.8 18
2025-03-15 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 0-1 1576 1748 21.36% 28.60% 50.04% -6.0 20
2025-03-15 @ Lommel W 1-0 1748 1576 50.04% 28.60% 21.36% +6.0 43
2025-03-15 RFC Liege W 2-1 1564 1651 30.75% 30.37% 38.88% +8.9 26
2025-03-15 @ Lokeren-Temse L 1-2 1651 1564 38.88% 30.37% 30.75% -8.9 30
2025-03-15 Zulte Waregem L 1-3 1548 1781 16.55% 26.27% 57.18% -7.7 25
2025-03-15 @ Francs Borains W 3-1 1781 1548 57.18% 26.27% 16.55% +7.7 52
2025-03-28 Seraing W 3-0 1771 1514 71.54% 19.10% 9.36% +6.7 56
2025-03-28 @ RWD Molenbeek L 0-3 1514 1771 9.36% 19.10% 71.54% -6.7 18
2025-03-29 Anderlecht II W 3-1 1788 1596 65.33% 22.54% 12.13% +5.5 55
2025-03-29 @ Zulte Waregem L 1-3 1596 1788 12.13% 22.54% 65.33% -5.5 23
2025-03-29 La Louviere L 0-1 1495 1750 15.10% 25.26% 59.64% -4.3 11
2025-03-29 @ Genk II W 1-0 1750 1495 59.64% 25.26% 15.10% +4.3 50
2025-03-29 Beveren L 0-1 1635 1707 32.84% 30.47% 36.68% -8.4 33
2025-03-29 @ K Lierse SK W 1-0 1707 1635 36.68% 30.47% 32.84% +8.4 44
2025-03-30 Club NXT W 1-0 1597 1665 33.49% 30.49% 36.02% +9.0 27
2025-03-30 @ Eupen L 0-1 1665 1597 36.02% 30.49% 33.49% -9.0 40
2025-03-30 Lommel W 1-0 1573 1570 43.27% 29.93% 26.80% +7.2 29
2025-03-30 @ Lokeren-Temse L 0-1 1570 1573 26.80% 29.93% 43.27% -7.2 20
2025-03-30 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 2-2 1643 1754 27.72% 30.07% 42.21% +0.5 31
2025-03-30 @ RFC Liege D 2-2 1754 1643 42.21% 30.07% 27.72% -0.5 44
2025-04-04 Eupen W 3-0 1716 1606 56.50% 26.53% 16.96% +13.2 47
2025-04-04 @ Beveren L 0-3 1606 1716 16.96% 26.53% 56.50% -13.2 27
2025-04-04 RWD Molenbeek D 1-1 1754 1778 39.58% 30.32% 30.10% -0.4 45
2025-04-04 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 1-1 1778 1754 30.10% 30.32% 39.58% +0.4 57
2025-04-05 Genk II W 2-0 1563 1491 52.12% 28.02% 19.86% +10.6 23
2025-04-05 @ Lommel L 0-2 1491 1563 19.86% 28.02% 52.12% -10.6 11
2025-04-05 Lokeren-Temse L 0-2 1591 1580 44.35% 29.78% 25.88% -19.7 23
2025-04-05 @ Anderlecht II W 2-0 1580 1591 25.88% 29.78% 44.35% +19.7 32
2025-04-05 RFC Liege W 2-1 1656 1643 44.63% 29.73% 25.64% +6.6 43
2025-04-05 @ Club NXT L 1-2 1643 1656 25.64% 29.73% 44.63% -6.6 31
2025-04-06 Francs Borains W 2-1 1754 1541 67.42% 21.43% 11.15% +2.8 53
2025-04-06 @ La Louviere L 1-2 1541 1754 11.15% 21.43% 67.42% -2.8 25
2025-04-06 Zulte Waregem D 0-0 1507 1794 13.26% 23.68% 63.06% +2.9 19
2025-04-06 @ Seraing D 0-0 1794 1507 63.06% 23.68% 13.26% -2.9 56
2025-04-11 Lommel L 0-1 1779 1574 66.56% 21.89% 11.55% -14.3 57
2025-04-11 @ RWD Molenbeek W 1-0 1574 1779 11.55% 21.89% 66.56% +14.3 26
2025-04-11 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen W 1-0 1627 1753 26.03% 29.80% 44.17% +10.4 36
2025-04-11 @ K Lierse SK L 0-1 1753 1627 44.17% 29.80% 26.03% -10.4 45
2025-04-12 Seraing W 2-1 1593 1510 53.47% 27.60% 18.93% +5.0 30
2025-04-12 @ Eupen L 1-2 1510 1593 18.93% 27.60% 53.47% -5.1 19
2025-04-12 Zulte Waregem W 2-0 1600 1791 19.66% 27.94% 52.40% +22.5 35
2025-04-12 @ Lokeren-Temse L 0-2 1791 1600 52.40% 27.94% 19.66% -22.5 56
2025-04-13 Anderlecht II W 3-2 1538 1571 38.36% 30.40% 31.24% +7.2 28
2025-04-13 @ Francs Borains L 2-3 1571 1538 31.24% 30.40% 38.36% -7.2 23
2025-04-13 Club NXT D 2-2 1729 1662 51.48% 28.21% 20.31% -1.2 48
2025-04-13 @ Beveren D 2-2 1662 1729 20.31% 28.21% 51.48% +1.2 44
2025-04-13 Genk II W 3-1 1636 1481 61.58% 24.38% 14.03% +6.4 34
2025-04-13 @ RFC Liege L 1-3 1481 1636 14.03% 24.38% 61.58% -6.4 11
2025-04-18 Francs Borains W 2-0 1664 1545 57.50% 26.15% 16.35% +8.8 47
2025-04-18 @ Club NXT L 0-2 1545 1664 16.35% 26.15% 57.50% -8.7 28
2025-04-18 La Louviere L 1-2 1588 1757 21.61% 28.68% 49.71% -5.7 26
2025-04-18 @ Lommel W 2-1 1757 1588 49.71% 28.68% 21.61% +5.7 56
2025-04-18 RWD Molenbeek W 2-1 1769 1764 43.51% 29.90% 26.59% +6.8 59
2025-04-18 @ Zulte Waregem L 1-2 1764 1769 26.59% 29.90% 43.51% -6.8 57
2025-04-18 Beveren L 0-4 1564 1728 22.08% 28.84% 49.08% -22.0 23
2025-04-18 @ Anderlecht II W 4-0 1728 1564 49.08% 28.84% 22.08% +22.0 51
2025-04-18 Eupen W 1-0 1743 1598 60.38% 24.93% 14.69% +4.1 48
2025-04-18 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 0-1 1598 1743 14.69% 24.93% 60.38% -4.1 30
2025-04-18 K Lierse SK L 1-3 1474 1637 22.16% 28.87% 48.98% -10.1 11
2025-04-18 @ Genk II W 3-1 1637 1474 48.98% 28.87% 22.16% +10.1 39
2025-04-18 Lokeren-Temse L 0-4 1505 1622 27.03% 29.97% 43.00% -26.0 19
2025-04-18 @ Seraing W 4-0 1622 1505 43.00% 29.97% 27.03% +26.0 38
2025-08-25 RFC Liege W 4-1 1464 1643 20.73% 28.37% 50.90% +26.9 14
2025-08-25 @ Genk II L 1-4 1643 1464 50.90% 28.37% 20.73% -26.9 34
2025-09-01 Lommel L 1-2 1479 1582 28.71% 30.19% 41.10% -7.2 19
2025-09-01 @ Seraing W 2-1 1582 1479 41.10% 30.19% 28.71% +7.2 29
2025-09-22 Lokeren-Temse W 2-0 1763 1648 57.09% 26.31% 16.60% +8.9 59
2025-09-22 @ La Louviere L 0-2 1648 1763 16.60% 26.31% 57.09% -8.9 38
2025-11-03 Genk II W 4-0 1639 1491 60.79% 24.75% 14.46% +14.6 41
2025-11-03 @ Lokeren-Temse L 0-4 1491 1639 14.46% 24.75% 60.79% -14.6 14
2025-11-03 K Lierse SK D 3-3 1747 1648 55.35% 26.96% 17.69% -1.2 49
2025-11-03 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 3-3 1648 1747 17.69% 26.96% 55.35% +1.2 40

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-03-08 10.29% Lommel 1562 1 @ Zulte Waregem 1796 0
2 2025-04-11 11.55% Lommel 1574 1 @ RWD Molenbeek 1779 0
3 2024-12-22 11.62% Seraing 1546 3 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1750 2
4 2025-02-08 17.57% Francs Borains 1551 1 @ RFC Liege 1652 0
5 2025-01-29 18.38% Francs Borains 1549 2 @ Lommel 1639 1
6 2024-08-18 18.42% K Lierse SK 1609 1 @ Zulte Waregem 1699 0
7 2024-10-05 18.83% Lokeren-Temse 1590 1 @ Beveren 1674 0
8 2025-04-12 19.66% @ Lokeren-Temse 1600 2 Zulte Waregem 1791 0
9 2024-11-22 20.70% Eupen 1599 4 @ Club NXT 1662 0
10 2025-08-25 20.73% @ Genk II 1464 4 RFC Liege 1643 1
11 2024-10-20 20.77% Seraing 1541 1 @ Lokeren-Temse 1602 0
12 2024-12-14 20.80% Francs Borains 1536 1 @ Anderlecht II 1597 0
13 2024-12-15 21.39% Lokeren-Temse 1576 1 @ RFC Liege 1631 0
14 2024-10-27 21.51% Lokeren-Temse 1590 1 @ Eupen 1644 0
15 2024-11-23 21.57% Beveren 1664 2 @ RWD Molenbeek 1717 0
16 2025-03-09 22.39% Beveren 1715 2 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1759 1
17 2024-10-20 23.43% @ Anderlecht II 1578 2 RWD Molenbeek 1729 1
18 2025-01-26 23.46% RFC Liege 1626 2 @ Lommel 1660 0
19 2024-08-25 23.75% RWD Molenbeek 1659 2 @ Lommel 1689 0
20 2025-02-16 24.40% Lokeren-Temse 1539 2 @ Francs Borains 1563 1
21 2024-08-18 24.82% Eupen 1640 3 @ RFC Liege 1660 0
22 2024-11-23 25.68% Anderlecht II 1590 1 @ Lokeren-Temse 1603 0
23 2024-09-01 25.81% Francs Borains 1618 2 @ Genk II 1629 1
24 2025-04-05 25.88% Lokeren-Temse 1580 2 @ Anderlecht II 1591 0
25 2024-11-03 25.91% Seraing 1553 1 @ Francs Borains 1563 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-11-22 41.71 Eupen 4 1599 20.70% @ Club NXT 0 1662 50.94% 28.36%
2 2025-02-15 33.53 @ Anderlecht II 5 1590 41.15% Lommel 0 1603 28.67% 30.18%
3 2024-11-10 33.02 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 4 1671 32.02% @ Eupen 0 1632 37.54% 30.44%
4 2025-02-09 30.79 La Louviere 5 1699 44.58% @ Lokeren-Temse 0 1570 25.68% 29.74%
5 2024-08-18 29.26 Eupen 3 1640 24.82% @ RFC Liege 0 1660 45.61% 29.57%
6 2024-10-25 27.84 Lommel 4 1686 40.17% @ Genk II 0 1589 29.56% 30.28%
7 2024-08-17 27.19 @ Club NXT 4 1619 41.17% Lokeren-Temse 0 1632 28.65% 30.18%
8 2025-08-25 26.91 @ Genk II 4 1464 20.73% RFC Liege 1 1643 50.90% 28.37%
9 2024-11-24 26.51 @ La Louviere 5 1664 33.88% Lommel 1 1729 35.62% 30.49%
10 2025-04-18 26.01 Lokeren-Temse 4 1622 43.00% @ Seraing 0 1505 27.03% 29.97%
11 2024-12-08 24.69 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 4 1716 45.03% Lommel 0 1700 25.30% 29.67%
12 2024-09-29 24.65 RFC Liege 3 1621 33.28% @ Seraing 0 1573 36.24% 30.48%
13 2025-04-12 22.49 @ Lokeren-Temse 2 1600 19.66% Zulte Waregem 0 1791 52.40% 27.94%
14 2024-10-06 22.40 @ K Lierse SK 4 1634 48.53% Francs Borains 0 1592 22.50% 28.97%
15 2024-09-21 22.37 @ K Lierse SK 3 1611 37.98% Eupen 0 1646 31.59% 30.42%
16 2025-04-18 22.04 Beveren 4 1728 49.08% @ Anderlecht II 0 1564 22.08% 28.84%
17 2024-09-21 21.93 RWD Molenbeek 3 1702 38.89% @ Genk II 0 1615 30.74% 30.37%
18 2024-11-23 21.58 Beveren 2 1664 21.57% @ RWD Molenbeek 0 1717 49.76% 28.67%
19 2025-01-26 20.73 RFC Liege 2 1626 23.46% @ Lommel 0 1660 47.29% 29.24%
20 2024-12-07 20.68 @ Zulte Waregem 4 1749 51.16% Beveren 0 1685 20.54% 28.30%
21 2024-08-25 20.60 RWD Molenbeek 2 1659 23.75% @ Lommel 0 1689 46.94% 29.31%
22 2025-04-05 19.71 Lokeren-Temse 2 1580 25.88% @ Anderlecht II 0 1591 44.35% 29.78%
23 2024-12-06 19.19 @ Club NXT 3 1627 44.44% Anderlecht II 0 1616 25.80% 29.76%
24 2024-09-29 18.66 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 2 1662 28.56% @ La Louviere 0 1650 41.26% 30.17%
25 2024-12-20 18.64 Zulte Waregem 3 1777 45.54% @ Club NXT 0 1641 24.88% 29.58%