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1998-99 First League Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vorwarts Steyr

19.97 points above expected

0 points · -19.97 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

SV Spittal Drau

11.62 points below expected

40 points · 51.62 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 36 20 9 7 69 66 48 +18 56.96 +12.04
2 FCN St. Polten 36 16 10 10 58 54 41 +13 53.63 +4.37
3 Admira Wacker Modling 36 14 12 10 54 44 42 +2 49.19 +4.81
4 First Vienna 36 15 7 14 52 51 43 +8 54.15 -2.15
5 SV Braunau 36 13 9 14 48 31 34 -3 51.92 -3.92
6 Austria VSV 36 11 12 13 45 41 41 0 41.50 +3.50
7 SV Worgl 36 12 9 15 45 46 56 -10 44.31 +0.69
8 Leoben 36 12 8 16 44 47 44 +3 49.45 -5.45
9 SV Spittal Drau 36 10 10 16 40 33 40 -7 51.62 -11.62
10 SV Stockerau 36 9 10 17 37 35 59 -24 40.63 -3.63
11 Vorwarts Steyr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -19.97 +19.97

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vorwarts Steyr 0 -19.97 +19.97
2 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 69 56.96 +12.04
3 Admira Wacker Modling 54 49.19 +4.81
4 FCN St. Polten 58 53.63 +4.37
5 Austria VSV 45 41.50 +3.50

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 SV Spittal Drau 40 51.62 -11.62
2 Leoben 44 49.45 -5.45
3 SV Braunau 48 51.92 -3.92
4 SV Stockerau 37 40.63 -3.63
5 First Vienna 52 54.15 -2.15

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria VSV 4 May 23 – Jun 9 1 in 188
2 FCN St. Polten 5 Jul 25 – Aug 15 1 in 157
3 SV Worgl 3 Jul 25 – Aug 1 1 in 22
4 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 4 Oct 2 – Oct 24 1 in 22
5 SV Stockerau 2 Oct 3 – Oct 7 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 SV Braunau 8 Oct 21 – Mar 13 1 in 4,286
2 SV Spittal Drau 4 Jul 25 – Aug 8 1 in 107
3 SV Worgl 4 Aug 29 – Sep 19 1 in 52
4 Leoben 4 May 15 – Jun 2 1 in 39
5 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 3 May 23 – Jun 1 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 22 Aug 29 – Apr 17 1 in 2,129
2 FCN St. Polten 9 Jul 25 – Sep 19 1 in 58
3 Admira Wacker Modling 8 Nov 28 – Apr 14 1 in 38
4 SV Spittal Drau 7 May 1 – Jun 2 1 in 29
5 SV Braunau 7 Jul 29 – Sep 9 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 First Vienna 8 Jul 24 – Sep 16 1 in 102
2 Leoben 9 Mar 20 – May 8 1 in 95
3 Austria VSV 10 Nov 21 – Apr 17 1 in 49
4 SV Braunau 8 Oct 21 – Mar 13 1 in 49
5 SV Spittal Drau 7 Sep 2 – Oct 17 1 in 40

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1544 69 -17 6 7.6 -1.6
FCN St. Polten 1513 58 +2 7 7.7 -0.7
Admira Wacker Modling 1485 54 -24 6 7.3 -1.3
First Vienna 1553 52 +21 12 7.5 +4.5
SV Braunau 1485 48 -9 7 7.2 -0.2
Austria VSV 1481 45 +35 12 5.3 +6.7
SV Worgl 1451 45 +10 7 6.2 +0.8
Leoben 1483 44 -15 3 6.5 -3.5
SV Spittal Drau 1497 40 +8 6 7.6 -1.6
SV Stockerau 1399 37 -12 6 5.6 +0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AWM AV FSP FV LEO SB SSD SS SW SB VS
Admira Wacker Modling —
1-2-1
6.26
1-1-2
5.20
3-0-1
5.06
2-1-1
5.50
2-2-0
5.15
1-1-2
5.32
1-2-1
6.35
3-1-0
5.94
0-2-2
4.63
0-0-0
0.00
Austria VSV
1-2-1
4.70
 —
1-1-2
4.21
1-1-2
4.09
1-0-3
4.76
2-1-1
4.56
1-2-1
4.55
0-3-1
5.72
2-1-1
5.18
2-1-1
3.84
0-0-0
0.00
FCN St. Polten
2-1-1
5.78
2-1-1
6.77
 —
1-1-2
5.26
2-1-1
5.74
2-2-0
5.73
3-1-0
5.70
1-0-3
6.92
2-1-1
6.38
1-2-1
5.06
0-0-0
0.00
First Vienna
1-0-3
5.89
2-1-1
6.91
2-1-1
5.67
 —
1-1-2
5.96
2-1-1
5.70
3-0-1
5.68
1-2-1
6.85
2-1-1
6.44
1-0-3
5.40
0-0-0
0.00
Leoben
1-1-2
5.45
3-0-1
6.20
1-1-2
5.19
2-1-1
5.00
 —
1-1-2
5.20
1-1-2
5.26
1-1-2
6.50
2-2-0
5.94
0-0-4
4.73
0-0-0
0.00
SV Braunau
0-2-2
5.79
1-1-2
6.42
0-2-2
5.24
1-1-2
5.25
2-1-1
5.76
 —
2-1-1
5.56
3-0-1
6.52
2-0-2
6.40
2-1-1
4.81
0-0-0
0.00
SV Spittal Drau
2-1-1
5.64
1-2-1
6.45
0-1-3
5.27
1-0-3
5.26
2-1-1
5.67
1-1-2
5.37
 —
3-1-0
6.60
0-1-3
6.30
0-2-2
5.05
0-0-0
0.00
SV Stockerau
1-2-1
4.61
1-3-0
5.23
3-0-1
4.07
1-2-1
4.15
2-1-1
4.47
1-0-3
4.48
0-1-3
4.37
 —
0-1-3
5.14
0-0-4
3.87
0-0-0
0.00
SV Worgl
0-1-3
5.01
1-1-2
5.76
1-1-2
4.57
1-1-2
4.54
0-2-2
5.03
2-0-2
4.58
3-1-0
4.66
3-1-0
5.81
 —
1-1-2
4.25
0-0-0
0.00
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz
2-2-0
6.33
1-1-2
7.18
1-2-1
5.88
3-0-1
5.57
4-0-0
6.24
1-1-2
6.16
2-2-0
5.91
4-0-0
7.16
2-1-1
6.74
 —
0-0-0
0.00
Vorwarts Steyr
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +9.7
Allowed 0.50 +8.0
Differential 0.20 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%9.44%9.17%2.50%0.83%0.28%30.56%
19.44%12.22%6.39%2.78%1.39%0.28%32.50%
29.17%6.39%6.11%1.67%1.39%0.28%25.00%
32.50%2.78%1.67%———6.94%
40.83%1.39%1.39%——0.28%3.89%
5+0.28%0.28%0.28%—0.28%—1.11%
Total30.56%32.50%25.00%6.94%3.89%1.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.24 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.14 1.64
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%13.89%2.78%——30.56%
113.89%13.89%—2.78%2.78%—33.33%
28.33%8.33%8.33%—2.78%—27.78%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total36.11%27.78%25.00%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.17 +0.06
SD 1.17 1.16 1.69
CV 0.96 0.99 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%19.44%5.56%—2.78%—41.67%
1—19.44%—2.78%2.78%—25.00%
28.33%8.33%———2.78%19.44%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total27.78%52.78%8.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.14 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.20 1.79
CV 1.13 1.05 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%————13.89%
111.11%5.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%—36.11%
216.67%8.33%13.89%———38.89%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
4—————2.78%2.78%
5+———————
Total41.67%19.44%30.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.14 +0.36
SD 0.94 1.25 1.38
CV 0.63 1.09 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%2.78%—2.78%—27.78%
15.56%8.33%8.33%———22.22%
211.11%8.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%—33.33%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%41.67%19.44%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.19 +0.22
SD 1.13 1.09 1.61
CV 0.80 0.91 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%5.56%———25.00%
15.56%13.89%16.67%2.78%——38.89%
28.33%8.33%2.78%5.56%——25.00%
3—2.78%————2.78%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+———————
Total22.22%41.67%27.78%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.22 +0.08
SD 1.14 0.90 1.46
CV 0.87 0.73 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%19.44%———47.22%
113.89%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
28.33%5.56%————13.89%
3—5.56%————5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total41.67%30.56%22.22%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 0.94 -0.08
SD 1.05 1.01 1.59
CV 1.21 1.07 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%11.11%2.78%——36.11%
18.33%19.44%8.33%5.56%——41.67%
28.33%5.56%2.78%———16.67%
35.56%—————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%41.67%22.22%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.11 -0.19
SD 0.87 0.92 1.47
CV 0.95 0.83 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%19.44%5.56%2.78%—41.67%
18.33%11.11%2.78%5.56%2.78%—30.56%
25.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———————
5+————2.78%—2.78%
Total25.00%22.22%27.78%13.89%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.64 -0.67
SD 1.11 1.31 1.59
CV 1.14 0.80 —
Max 5 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%5.56%11.11%—2.78%27.78%
18.33%11.11%8.33%———27.78%
213.89%2.78%11.11%2.78%5.56%—36.11%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%22.22%27.78%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.56 -0.28
SD 1.03 1.34 1.89
CV 0.81 0.86 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%—8.33%2.78%——13.89%
119.44%11.11%2.78%2.78%—2.78%38.89%
22.78%2.78%11.11%———16.67%
32.78%5.56%5.56%———13.89%
4—5.56%8.33%———13.89%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total27.78%25.00%38.89%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.33 +0.50
SD 1.38 1.12 1.72
CV 0.75 0.84 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
First Vienna 1553 52 54.15 -2.15 41.7% 31 41 49 54 59 67 76
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1544 69 56.96 +12.04 94.4% 32 45 52 57 62 70 80
FCN St. Polten 1513 58 53.63 +4.37 73.4% 31 41 48 54 59 66 77
SV Spittal Drau 1497 40 51.62 -11.62 6.7% 29 39 46 52 57 64 77
Vorwarts Steyr 1488 0 27.36 -27.36 1.7% 7 16 23 27 32 39 52
Admira Wacker Modling 1485 54 49.19 +4.81 76.6% 25 37 44 49 54 62 74
SV Braunau 1485 48 51.92 -3.92 31.3% 20 40 47 52 57 64 78
Leoben 1483 44 49.45 -5.45 26.0% 22 37 44 49 55 63 71
Austria VSV 1481 45 41.50 +3.50 71.2% 22 30 36 41 46 54 69
SV Worgl 1451 45 44.31 +0.69 57.4% 23 32 39 44 49 57 68
SV Stockerau 1399 37 40.63 -3.63 34.1% 19 29 36 41 46 53 63

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.22%
Clear Edge
47.78%26.67%25.56%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 78.52 Elo pts.
250 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.8
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
29%
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz, 1st of 11
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.33/gm
Tight Race
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.76 * Some Luck: 5.76 to 8.64 * Lucky: 8.64 to 11.52 * Wild Swing: 11.52 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.5 * Close: 1.5 to 2.25 * Off: 2.25 to 3 * Way Off: 3 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 11 * As Expected: 11 to 17.6 * Several Outliers: 17.6 to 24.2 * Many Outliers: 24.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.95 points
Some Luck
07.2018
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.64
Close
01.884
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.45%
100.00%
Vorwarts Steyr
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.55%
6.02%
SV Spittal Drau
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 11
Minimal Outliers
01.111

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.01
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
53%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
71%
Clear Edge
50%69%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Occasional
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.27
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
269465.57
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
-0.20
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
As Expected
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.72
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.21
Overconfident
01.002.02207
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.059
Well Within Noise
00.1140.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz29.40%21.00%13.80%12.50%8.30%5.90%4.30%3.10%0.70%0.70%0.30%
FCN St. Polten17.10%15.20%14.70%12.40%11.20%9.70%7.80%6.00%4.20%1.70%—
Admira Wacker Modling6.30%7.40%9.60%12.10%12.60%12.40%14.60%10.30%8.80%5.40%0.50%
First Vienna17.30%17.30%16.30%11.00%12.50%8.10%6.70%6.00%3.10%1.60%0.10%
SV Braunau10.00%13.50%14.70%11.40%12.60%12.10%10.20%6.70%5.60%2.30%0.90%
Austria VSV1.10%1.30%2.80%4.50%6.00%7.40%11.10%15.50%20.90%23.90%5.50%
SV Worgl1.80%3.60%3.80%5.80%7.50%11.60%14.10%16.70%16.50%14.60%4.00%
Leoben6.90%8.70%9.90%13.10%11.90%13.60%11.40%11.10%7.30%5.20%0.90%
SV Spittal Drau9.30%11.00%11.90%15.00%12.70%12.60%9.60%8.80%5.60%3.20%0.30%
SV Stockerau0.80%1.00%2.40%2.20%4.70%6.50%9.80%15.00%22.40%27.20%8.00%
Vorwarts Steyr——0.10%——0.10%0.40%0.80%4.90%14.20%79.50%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 29.40% 69.20% 0.70% 0.70%
First Vienna 17.30% 78.00% 3.10% 1.60%
FCN St. Polten 17.10% 77.00% 4.20% 1.70%
SV Braunau 10.00% 82.10% 5.60% 2.30%
SV Spittal Drau 9.30% 81.90% 5.60% 3.20%
Leoben 6.90% 80.60% 7.30% 5.20%
Admira Wacker Modling 6.30% 79.50% 8.80% 5.40%
SV Worgl 1.80% 67.10% 16.50% 14.60%
Vorwarts Steyr — 80.90% 4.90% 14.20%
Austria VSV 1.10% 54.10% 20.90% 23.90%
SV Stockerau 0.80% 49.60% 22.40% 27.20%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1998-07-24 First Vienna D 0-057.5 1431 1544 30.73% 26.94% 42.33%-0.14 +0.4 1
1998-07-24 @ Austria VSV D 0-057.5 1544 1431 42.33% 26.94% 30.73%+0.14 -0.4 1
1998-07-25 Admira Wacker Modling L 1-357.0 1516 1471 52.24% 25.02% 22.73%+0.49 -11.8 0
1998-07-25 @ SV Braunau W 3-157.0 1471 1516 22.73% 25.02% 52.24%-0.49 +11.8 3
1998-07-25 SV Spittal Drau W 3-154.1 1498 1547 39.57% 27.16% 33.26%+0.12 +8.3 3
1998-07-25 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 1-354.1 1547 1498 33.26% 27.16% 39.57%-0.12 -8.3 0
1998-07-25 SV Stockerau W 4-039.9 1476 1464 47.88% 26.09% 26.03%+0.36 +15.0 3
1998-07-25 @ SV Worgl L 0-439.9 1464 1476 26.03% 26.09% 47.88%-0.36 -15.0 0
1998-07-25 Leoben W 2-152.7 1468 1475 45.36% 26.55% 28.09%+0.28 +4.2 3
1998-07-25 @ FCN St. Polten L 1-252.7 1475 1468 28.09% 26.55% 45.36%-0.28 -4.2 0
1998-07-29 FCN St. Polten L 0-248.8 1483 1472 47.77% 26.11% 26.12%+0.36 -12.6 3
1998-07-29 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 2-048.8 1472 1483 26.12% 26.11% 47.77%-0.36 +12.6 6
1998-07-29 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 2-462.7 1543 1507 51.22% 25.31% 23.48%+0.46 -10.3 1
1998-07-29 @ First Vienna W 4-262.7 1507 1543 23.48% 25.31% 51.22%-0.46 +10.4 6
1998-07-29 Austria VSV W 4-037.4 1471 1431 51.62% 25.20% 23.18%+0.47 +13.5 3
1998-07-29 @ Leoben L 0-437.4 1431 1471 23.18% 25.20% 51.62%-0.47 -13.5 1
1998-07-29 SV Worgl L 0-156.8 1539 1491 52.67% 24.90% 22.43%+0.50 -7.2 0
1998-07-29 @ SV Spittal Drau W 1-056.8 1491 1539 22.43% 24.90% 52.67%-0.50 +7.2 6
1998-07-29 SV Braunau L 0-246.4 1449 1504 38.71% 27.20% 34.09%+0.10 -10.8 0
1998-07-29 @ SV Stockerau W 2-046.4 1504 1449 34.09% 27.20% 38.71%-0.10 +10.8 3
1998-08-01 SV Spittal Drau W 1-051.0 1515 1531 44.07% 26.74% 29.20%+0.25 +4.6 6
1998-08-01 @ SV Braunau L 0-151.0 1531 1515 29.20% 26.74% 44.07%-0.25 -4.6 0
1998-08-01 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 5-147.9 1418 1517 32.47% 27.11% 40.42%-0.08 +17.6 4
1998-08-01 @ Austria VSV L 1-547.9 1517 1418 40.42% 27.11% 32.47%+0.08 -17.6 6
1998-08-01 Admira Wacker Modling D 2-268.0 1485 1470 48.28% 26.01% 25.72%+0.37 -0.5 4
1998-08-01 @ Leoben D 2-268.0 1470 1485 25.72% 26.01% 48.28%-0.37 +0.5 4
1998-08-01 First Vienna W 3-262.1 1498 1533 41.49% 27.02% 31.49%+0.17 +4.4 9
1998-08-01 @ SV Worgl L 2-362.1 1533 1498 31.49% 27.02% 41.49%-0.17 -4.4 1
1998-08-01 SV Stockerau W 3-037.8 1485 1438 52.47% 24.96% 22.57%+0.50 +10.1 9
1998-08-01 @ FCN St. Polten L 0-337.8 1438 1485 22.57% 24.96% 52.47%-0.50 -10.1 0
1998-08-07 SV Worgl W 3-042.6 1499 1502 45.96% 26.45% 27.59%+0.30 +12.0 9
1998-08-07 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 0-342.6 1502 1499 27.59% 26.45% 45.96%-0.30 -12.0 9
1998-08-08 Austria VSV D 0-055.5 1471 1435 51.05% 25.35% 23.60%+0.45 -0.9 5
1998-08-08 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 0-055.5 1435 1471 23.60% 25.35% 51.05%-0.45 +0.9 5
1998-08-08 SV Braunau D 1-165.5 1529 1519 47.59% 26.15% 26.26%+0.35 -0.6 2
1998-08-08 @ First Vienna D 1-165.5 1519 1529 26.26% 26.15% 47.59%-0.35 +0.6 7
1998-08-08 FCN St. Polten L 0-156.1 1527 1495 50.57% 25.47% 23.95%+0.44 -7.0 0
1998-08-08 @ SV Spittal Drau W 1-056.1 1495 1527 23.95% 25.47% 50.57%-0.44 +7.0 12
1998-08-08 Leoben W 2-043.6 1428 1484 38.58% 27.21% 34.21%+0.09 +9.8 3
1998-08-08 @ SV Stockerau L 0-243.6 1484 1428 34.21% 27.21% 38.58%-0.09 -9.8 4
1998-08-14 SV Spittal Drau D 1-163.2 1474 1520 40.02% 27.14% 32.85%+0.13 -0.2 5
1998-08-14 @ Leoben D 1-163.2 1520 1474 32.85% 27.14% 40.02%-0.13 +0.2 1
1998-08-15 SV Stockerau W 2-039.9 1470 1438 50.54% 25.48% 23.98%+0.44 +7.3 8
1998-08-15 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 0-239.9 1438 1470 23.98% 25.48% 50.54%-0.44 -7.3 3
1998-08-15 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-045.3 1520 1511 47.50% 26.17% 26.34%+0.35 +8.0 10
1998-08-15 @ SV Braunau L 0-245.3 1511 1520 26.34% 26.17% 47.50%-0.35 -8.0 9
1998-08-15 SV Worgl L 0-149.6 1436 1490 38.81% 27.20% 33.99%+0.10 -5.7 5
1998-08-15 @ Austria VSV W 1-049.6 1490 1436 33.99% 27.20% 38.81%-0.10 +5.7 12
1998-08-15 First Vienna W 2-046.6 1502 1528 42.77% 26.90% 30.33%+0.21 +9.0 15
1998-08-15 @ FCN St. Polten L 0-246.6 1528 1502 30.33% 26.90% 42.77%-0.21 -9.0 2
1998-08-28 Admira Wacker Modling W 3-040.6 1520 1477 52.01% 25.09% 22.90%+0.48 +10.2 4
1998-08-28 @ SV Spittal Drau L 0-340.6 1477 1520 22.90% 25.09% 52.01%-0.48 -10.2 8
1998-08-29 Leoben L 1-261.3 1519 1474 52.29% 25.01% 22.70%+0.49 -6.8 2
1998-08-29 @ First Vienna W 2-161.3 1474 1519 22.70% 25.01% 52.29%-0.49 +6.8 8
1998-08-29 FCN St. Polten D 2-270.1 1503 1511 45.32% 26.55% 28.12%+0.28 -0.4 10
1998-08-29 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 2-270.1 1511 1503 28.12% 26.55% 45.32%-0.28 +0.4 16
1998-08-29 Austria VSV D 1-158.9 1431 1430 46.40% 26.37% 27.23%+0.32 -0.6 4
1998-08-29 @ SV Stockerau D 1-158.9 1430 1431 27.23% 26.37% 46.40%-0.32 +0.6 6
1998-08-29 SV Braunau L 0-154.0 1496 1528 41.92% 26.98% 31.10%+0.19 -6.1 12
1998-08-29 @ SV Worgl W 1-054.0 1528 1496 31.10% 26.98% 41.92%-0.19 +6.1 13
1998-09-01 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 0-152.9 1481 1503 43.28% 26.84% 29.89%+0.22 -6.2 8
1998-09-01 @ Leoben W 1-052.9 1503 1481 29.89% 26.84% 43.28%-0.22 +6.2 13
1998-09-01 SV Worgl W 3-041.6 1511 1490 49.22% 25.80% 24.98%+0.40 +11.0 19
1998-09-01 @ FCN St. Polten L 0-341.6 1490 1511 24.98% 25.80% 49.22%-0.40 -11.0 12
1998-09-02 SV Braunau L 0-148.9 1431 1534 32.00% 27.07% 40.93%-0.10 -5.0 6
1998-09-02 @ Austria VSV W 1-048.9 1534 1431 40.93% 27.07% 32.00%+0.10 +5.0 16
1998-09-02 SV Spittal Drau D 0-056.9 1430 1530 32.41% 27.10% 40.49%-0.08 +0.3 5
1998-09-02 @ SV Stockerau D 0-056.9 1530 1430 40.49% 27.10% 32.41%+0.08 -0.3 5
1998-09-08 Admira Wacker Modling D 1-163.1 1509 1467 51.96% 25.10% 22.94%+0.48 -0.9 14
1998-09-08 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 1-163.1 1467 1509 22.94% 25.10% 51.96%-0.48 +0.9 9
1998-09-09 FCN St. Polten D 0-061.0 1539 1522 48.57% 25.94% 25.48%+0.38 -0.8 17
1998-09-09 @ SV Braunau D 0-061.0 1522 1539 25.48% 25.94% 48.57%-0.38 +0.8 20
1998-09-09 SV Stockerau D 0-057.4 1512 1431 56.87% 23.53% 19.60%+0.64 -1.3 3
1998-09-09 @ First Vienna D 0-057.4 1431 1512 19.60% 23.53% 56.87%-0.64 +1.3 6
1998-09-09 Austria VSV D 1-163.2 1530 1426 59.53% 22.51% 17.96%+0.73 -1.3 6
1998-09-09 @ SV Spittal Drau D 1-163.2 1426 1530 17.96% 22.51% 59.53%-0.73 +1.3 7
1998-09-09 Leoben L 0-248.6 1479 1475 46.91% 26.28% 26.81%+0.33 -12.5 12
1998-09-09 @ SV Worgl W 2-048.6 1475 1479 26.81% 26.28% 46.91%-0.33 +12.5 11
1998-09-16 First Vienna W 2-155.5 1468 1511 40.35% 27.11% 32.53%+0.14 +4.7 12
1998-09-16 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 1-255.5 1511 1468 32.53% 27.11% 40.35%-0.14 -4.7 3
1998-09-18 SV Braunau W 2-047.5 1487 1538 39.22% 27.18% 33.60%+0.11 +9.7 14
1998-09-18 @ Leoben L 0-247.5 1538 1487 33.60% 27.18% 39.22%-0.11 -9.7 17
1998-09-19 SV Worgl W 4-251.5 1472 1466 47.18% 26.23% 26.59%+0.34 +6.2 15
1998-09-19 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 2-451.5 1466 1472 26.59% 26.23% 47.18%-0.34 -6.2 12
1998-09-19 First Vienna L 0-252.2 1529 1506 49.35% 25.77% 24.88%+0.40 -13.0 6
1998-09-19 @ SV Spittal Drau W 2-052.2 1506 1529 24.88% 25.77% 49.35%-0.40 +13.0 6
1998-09-19 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 1-448.0 1432 1508 35.58% 27.24% 37.17%+0.01 -12.4 6
1998-09-19 @ SV Stockerau W 4-148.0 1508 1432 37.17% 27.24% 35.58%-0.01 +12.4 17
1998-09-19 Austria VSV W 1-043.1 1523 1427 58.58% 22.89% 18.54%+0.70 +3.0 23
1998-09-19 @ FCN St. Polten L 0-143.1 1427 1523 18.54% 22.89% 58.58%-0.70 -3.0 7
1998-09-22 Leoben W 3-150.1 1528 1497 50.57% 25.47% 23.96%+0.44 +6.3 20
1998-09-22 @ SV Braunau L 1-350.1 1497 1528 23.96% 25.47% 50.57%-0.44 -6.4 14
1998-09-22 SV Stockerau W 1-042.5 1521 1420 59.24% 22.62% 18.14%+0.72 +3.0 20
1998-09-22 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 0-142.5 1420 1521 18.14% 22.62% 59.24%-0.72 -3.0 6
1998-09-23 FCN St. Polten W 2-156.9 1424 1526 32.15% 27.08% 40.77%-0.09 +5.6 10
1998-09-23 @ Austria VSV L 1-256.9 1526 1424 40.77% 27.08% 32.15%+0.09 -5.6 23
1998-09-23 SV Spittal Drau W 2-045.6 1519 1516 46.83% 26.29% 26.88%+0.33 +8.1 9
1998-09-23 @ First Vienna L 0-245.6 1516 1519 26.88% 26.29% 46.83%-0.33 -8.1 6
1998-09-23 Admira Wacker Modling D 1-161.3 1460 1479 43.79% 26.77% 29.44%+0.24 -0.4 13
1998-09-23 @ SV Worgl D 1-161.3 1479 1460 29.44% 26.77% 43.79%-0.24 +0.4 16
1998-09-26 SV Braunau D 1-163.9 1479 1535 38.57% 27.21% 34.22%+0.09 -0.1 17
1998-09-26 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 1-163.9 1535 1479 34.22% 27.21% 38.57%-0.09 +0.1 21
1998-09-26 Austria VSV W 4-142.1 1527 1430 58.76% 22.81% 18.43%+0.70 +6.9 12
1998-09-26 @ First Vienna L 1-442.1 1430 1527 18.43% 22.81% 58.76%-0.70 -6.9 10
1998-09-26 FCN St. Polten L 2-364.6 1490 1521 42.18% 26.96% 30.86%+0.19 -5.4 14
1998-09-26 @ Leoben W 3-264.6 1521 1490 30.86% 26.96% 42.18%-0.19 +5.5 26
1998-09-26 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 1-164.7 1507 1524 44.11% 26.73% 29.16%+0.25 -0.4 7
1998-09-26 @ SV Spittal Drau D 1-164.7 1524 1507 29.16% 26.73% 44.11%-0.25 +0.4 21
1998-09-26 SV Worgl D 2-265.0 1417 1460 40.36% 27.11% 32.53%+0.14 -0.2 7
1998-09-26 @ SV Stockerau D 2-265.0 1460 1417 32.53% 27.11% 40.36%-0.14 +0.2 14
1998-10-02 First Vienna W 1-051.1 1524 1534 44.98% 26.61% 28.41%+0.27 +4.5 24
1998-10-02 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 0-151.1 1534 1524 28.41% 26.61% 44.98%-0.27 -4.5 12
1998-10-03 SV Stockerau L 0-155.6 1535 1416 61.26% 21.79% 16.95%+0.79 -8.2 21
1998-10-03 @ SV Braunau W 1-055.6 1416 1535 16.95% 21.79% 61.26%-0.79 +8.2 10
1998-10-03 Leoben W 2-043.7 1423 1485 37.68% 27.24% 35.08%+0.07 +10.0 13
1998-10-03 @ Austria VSV L 0-243.7 1485 1423 35.08% 27.24% 37.68%-0.07 -10.0 14
1998-10-03 SV Spittal Drau W 2-045.2 1460 1507 39.78% 27.15% 33.07%+0.13 +9.6 17
1998-10-03 @ SV Worgl L 0-245.2 1507 1460 33.07% 27.15% 39.78%-0.13 -9.6 7
1998-10-03 Admira Wacker Modling W 2-042.8 1526 1479 52.55% 24.94% 22.52%+0.50 +6.9 29
1998-10-03 @ FCN St. Polten L 0-242.8 1479 1526 22.52% 24.94% 52.55%-0.50 -6.9 17
1998-10-06 Leoben L 0-248.1 1472 1475 45.96% 26.45% 27.59%+0.30 -12.3 17
1998-10-06 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 2-048.1 1475 1472 27.59% 26.45% 45.96%-0.30 +12.3 17
1998-10-06 SV Worgl W 3-040.0 1530 1469 54.23% 24.43% 21.35%+0.55 +9.5 15
1998-10-06 @ First Vienna L 0-340.0 1469 1530 21.35% 24.43% 54.23%-0.55 -9.6 17
1998-10-07 Austria VSV W 5-244.6 1529 1433 58.56% 22.89% 18.54%+0.70 +6.0 27
1998-10-07 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 2-544.6 1433 1529 18.54% 22.89% 58.56%-0.70 -6.0 13
1998-10-07 FCN St. Polten W 2-157.4 1425 1533 31.29% 27.00% 41.70%-0.12 +5.7 13
1998-10-07 @ SV Stockerau L 1-257.4 1533 1425 41.70% 27.00% 31.29%+0.12 -5.7 29
1998-10-17 First Vienna W 4-045.5 1527 1539 44.64% 26.66% 28.70%+0.26 +16.2 24
1998-10-17 @ SV Braunau L 0-445.5 1539 1527 28.70% 26.66% 44.64%-0.26 -16.2 15
1998-10-17 Admira Wacker Modling L 0-149.1 1427 1460 41.81% 26.99% 31.19%+0.18 -6.0 13
1998-10-17 @ Austria VSV W 1-049.1 1460 1427 31.19% 26.99% 41.81%-0.18 +6.0 20
1998-10-17 SV Stockerau W 4-248.7 1487 1430 53.81% 24.56% 21.63%+0.54 +5.1 20
1998-10-17 @ Leoben L 2-448.7 1430 1487 21.63% 24.56% 53.81%-0.54 -5.2 13
1998-10-17 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 2-456.6 1460 1535 35.82% 27.25% 36.94%+0.01 -7.9 17
1998-10-17 @ SV Worgl W 4-256.6 1535 1460 36.94% 27.25% 35.82%-0.01 +7.9 30
1998-10-17 SV Spittal Drau W 2-154.2 1527 1497 50.32% 25.54% 24.14%+0.43 +3.7 32
1998-10-17 @ FCN St. Polten L 1-254.2 1497 1527 24.14% 25.54% 50.32%-0.43 -3.7 7
1998-10-21 SV Braunau W 1-052.0 1494 1543 39.48% 27.17% 33.35%+0.12 +5.1 10
1998-10-21 @ SV Spittal Drau L 0-152.0 1543 1494 33.35% 27.17% 39.48%-0.12 -5.1 24
1998-10-24 FCN St. Polten D 2-271.5 1523 1531 45.26% 26.56% 28.18%+0.28 -0.4 16
1998-10-24 @ First Vienna D 2-271.5 1531 1523 28.18% 26.56% 45.26%-0.28 +0.4 33
1998-10-24 SV Braunau W 4-150.2 1543 1538 46.98% 26.27% 26.75%+0.33 +9.9 33
1998-10-24 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 1-450.2 1538 1543 26.75% 26.27% 46.98%-0.33 -9.9 24
1998-10-24 Leoben W 2-153.9 1499 1492 47.22% 26.22% 26.56%+0.34 +4.0 13
1998-10-24 @ SV Spittal Drau L 1-253.9 1492 1499 26.56% 26.22% 47.22%-0.34 -4.0 20
1998-10-24 Admira Wacker Modling D 2-265.5 1425 1466 40.68% 27.09% 32.23%+0.15 -0.2 14
1998-10-24 @ SV Stockerau D 2-265.5 1466 1425 32.23% 27.09% 40.68%-0.15 +0.2 21
1998-10-24 Austria VSV L 0-344.7 1452 1421 50.48% 25.50% 24.03%+0.44 -19.2 17
1998-10-24 @ SV Worgl W 3-044.7 1421 1452 24.03% 25.50% 50.48%-0.44 +19.2 16
1998-10-30 SV Stockerau D 0-054.1 1440 1425 48.40% 25.98% 25.62%+0.37 -0.8 17
1998-10-30 @ Austria VSV D 0-054.1 1425 1440 25.62% 25.98% 48.40%-0.37 +0.8 15
1998-11-06 First Vienna W 2-156.3 1488 1523 41.61% 27.01% 31.38%+0.18 +4.6 23
1998-11-06 @ Leoben L 1-256.3 1523 1488 31.38% 27.01% 41.61%-0.18 -4.6 16
1998-11-07 SV Spittal Drau W 2-044.8 1466 1503 41.24% 27.05% 31.71%+0.17 +9.3 24
1998-11-07 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 0-244.8 1503 1466 31.71% 27.05% 41.24%-0.17 -9.3 13
1998-11-07 SV Worgl L 0-251.3 1528 1433 58.52% 22.91% 18.57%+0.69 -14.8 24
1998-11-07 @ SV Braunau W 2-051.3 1433 1528 18.57% 22.91% 58.52%-0.69 +14.9 20
1998-11-07 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 2-272.5 1531 1552 43.43% 26.82% 29.75%+0.23 -0.3 34
1998-11-07 @ FCN St. Polten D 2-272.5 1552 1531 29.75% 26.82% 43.43%-0.23 +0.3 34
1998-11-14 Austria VSV L 0-250.5 1513 1439 55.91% 23.87% 20.22%+0.61 -14.3 24
1998-11-14 @ SV Braunau W 2-050.5 1439 1513 20.22% 23.87% 55.91%-0.61 +14.3 20
1998-11-14 Admira Wacker Modling L 0-155.3 1518 1475 51.99% 25.10% 22.92%+0.48 -7.2 16
1998-11-14 @ First Vienna W 1-055.3 1475 1518 22.92% 25.10% 51.99%-0.48 +7.2 27
1998-11-14 Leoben W 3-258.8 1553 1493 54.18% 24.44% 21.38%+0.55 +3.1 37
1998-11-14 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 2-358.8 1493 1553 21.38% 24.44% 54.18%-0.55 -3.1 23
1998-11-14 SV Stockerau W 2-038.9 1494 1426 55.19% 24.11% 20.70%+0.58 +6.4 16
1998-11-14 @ SV Spittal Drau L 0-238.9 1426 1494 20.70% 24.11% 55.19%-0.58 -6.4 15
1998-11-14 FCN St. Polten W 2-157.2 1448 1531 34.62% 27.22% 38.15%-0.02 +5.3 23
1998-11-14 @ SV Worgl L 1-257.2 1531 1448 38.15% 27.22% 34.62%+0.02 -5.3 34
1998-11-21 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 2-458.3 1482 1556 36.02% 27.25% 36.73%+0.02 -7.9 27
1998-11-21 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 4-258.3 1556 1482 36.73% 27.25% 36.02%-0.02 +7.9 40
1998-11-21 SV Spittal Drau D 1-161.7 1454 1500 39.91% 27.14% 32.95%+0.13 -0.2 21
1998-11-21 @ Austria VSV D 1-161.7 1500 1454 32.95% 27.14% 39.91%-0.13 +0.2 17
1998-11-21 SV Worgl D 0-056.8 1490 1453 51.24% 25.30% 23.46%+0.46 -1.0 24
1998-11-21 @ Leoben D 0-056.8 1453 1490 23.46% 25.30% 51.24%-0.46 +0.9 24
1998-11-21 First Vienna W 1-049.9 1419 1511 33.51% 27.18% 39.32%-0.05 +5.8 18
1998-11-21 @ SV Stockerau L 0-149.9 1511 1419 39.32% 27.18% 33.51%+0.05 -5.8 16
1998-11-21 SV Braunau W 1-048.4 1526 1499 49.93% 25.63% 24.44%+0.42 +3.9 37
1998-11-21 @ FCN St. Polten L 0-148.4 1499 1526 24.44% 25.63% 49.93%-0.42 -4.0 24
1998-11-28 First Vienna L 0-153.9 1495 1505 44.96% 26.61% 28.43%+0.27 -6.4 24
1998-11-28 @ SV Braunau W 1-053.9 1505 1495 28.43% 26.61% 44.96%-0.27 +6.4 19
1998-11-28 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 1-260.2 1500 1564 37.43% 27.24% 35.33%+0.06 -5.2 17
1998-11-28 @ SV Spittal Drau W 2-160.2 1564 1500 35.33% 27.24% 37.43%-0.06 +5.2 43
1998-11-28 Austria VSV W 2-041.4 1425 1454 42.42% 26.93% 30.65%+0.20 +9.0 21
1998-11-28 @ SV Stockerau L 0-241.4 1454 1425 30.65% 26.93% 42.42%-0.20 -9.0 21
1998-11-28 Leoben L 1-256.9 1454 1489 41.51% 27.02% 31.47%+0.17 -5.7 24
1998-11-28 @ SV Worgl W 2-156.9 1489 1454 31.47% 27.02% 41.51%-0.17 +5.7 27
1998-11-28 Admira Wacker Modling L 1-262.0 1530 1475 53.57% 24.63% 21.80%+0.53 -6.9 37
1998-11-28 @ FCN St. Polten W 2-162.0 1475 1530 21.80% 24.63% 53.57%-0.53 +6.9 30
1999-03-06 SV Braunau W 2-043.6 1482 1488 45.39% 26.54% 28.06%+0.29 +8.4 33
1999-03-06 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 0-243.6 1488 1482 28.06% 26.54% 45.39%-0.29 -8.4 24
1999-03-06 SV Worgl D 1-159.8 1445 1448 45.83% 26.47% 27.70%+0.30 -0.5 22
1999-03-06 @ Austria VSV D 1-159.8 1448 1445 27.70% 26.47% 45.83%-0.30 +0.5 25
1999-03-06 SV Spittal Drau W 3-150.0 1511 1495 48.56% 25.95% 25.49%+0.38 +6.7 22
1999-03-06 @ First Vienna L 1-350.0 1495 1511 25.49% 25.95% 48.56%-0.38 -6.7 17
1999-03-07 SV Stockerau W 3-254.6 1569 1434 63.15% 20.96% 15.90%+0.85 +2.3 46
1999-03-07 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 2-354.6 1434 1569 15.90% 20.96% 63.15%-0.85 -2.3 21
1999-03-12 Austria VSV W 3-146.1 1495 1444 53.00% 24.80% 22.19%+0.52 +5.9 30
1999-03-12 @ Leoben L 1-346.1 1444 1495 22.19% 24.80% 53.00%-0.52 -5.9 22
1999-03-13 Admira Wacker Modling D 1-162.8 1488 1490 46.11% 26.42% 27.47%+0.31 -0.6 18
1999-03-13 @ SV Spittal Drau D 1-162.8 1490 1488 27.47% 26.42% 46.11%-0.31 +0.6 34
1999-03-13 First Vienna D 1-161.5 1432 1518 34.21% 27.21% 38.58%-0.03 +0.1 22
1999-03-13 @ SV Stockerau D 1-161.5 1518 1432 38.58% 27.21% 34.21%+0.03 -0.1 23
1999-03-13 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 2-270.2 1449 1571 29.53% 26.79% 43.69%-0.18 +0.3 26
1999-03-13 @ SV Worgl D 2-270.2 1571 1449 43.69% 26.79% 29.53%+0.18 -0.3 47
1999-03-13 SV Braunau W 2-042.9 1523 1480 51.99% 25.10% 22.92%+0.48 +7.0 40
1999-03-13 @ FCN St. Polten L 0-242.9 1480 1523 22.92% 25.10% 51.99%-0.48 -7.0 24
1999-03-16 FCN St. Polten W 4-149.8 1500 1530 42.30% 26.95% 30.75%+0.20 +11.1 33
1999-03-16 @ Leoben L 1-449.8 1530 1500 30.75% 26.95% 42.30%-0.20 -11.1 40
1999-03-20 SV Stockerau D 0-056.4 1490 1432 54.01% 24.50% 21.49%+0.55 -1.1 35
1999-03-20 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 0-056.4 1432 1490 21.49% 24.50% 54.01%-0.55 +1.1 23
1999-03-20 SV Spittal Drau W 1-047.7 1473 1488 44.34% 26.70% 28.96%+0.26 +4.6 27
1999-03-20 @ SV Braunau L 0-147.7 1488 1473 28.96% 26.70% 44.34%-0.26 -4.6 18
1999-03-20 FCN St. Polten D 0-056.8 1438 1519 35.01% 27.23% 37.76%-0.01 +0.1 23
1999-03-20 @ Austria VSV D 0-056.8 1519 1438 37.76% 27.23% 35.01%+0.01 -0.1 41
1999-03-20 SV Worgl D 2-269.0 1518 1449 55.31% 24.07% 20.62%+0.59 -0.8 24
1999-03-20 @ First Vienna D 2-269.0 1449 1518 20.62% 24.07% 55.31%-0.59 +0.8 27
1999-03-20 Leoben W 1-049.2 1571 1512 54.13% 24.46% 21.41%+0.55 +3.5 50
1999-03-20 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 0-149.2 1512 1571 21.41% 24.46% 54.13%-0.55 -3.5 33
1999-03-27 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 1-164.1 1438 1574 27.90% 26.51% 45.59%-0.23 +0.5 24
1999-03-27 @ Austria VSV D 1-164.1 1574 1438 45.59% 26.51% 27.90%+0.23 -0.5 51
1999-03-27 SV Braunau L 1-255.4 1433 1478 40.15% 27.13% 32.72%+0.14 -5.5 23
1999-03-27 @ SV Stockerau W 2-155.4 1478 1433 32.72% 27.13% 40.15%-0.14 +5.5 30
1999-03-30 Admira Wacker Modling L 0-545.5 1450 1489 40.87% 27.08% 32.05%+0.16 -26.2 27
1999-03-30 @ SV Worgl W 5-045.5 1489 1450 32.05% 27.08% 40.87%-0.16 +26.2 38
1999-03-31 First Vienna D 1-164.5 1508 1517 45.09% 26.59% 28.32%+0.28 -0.5 34
1999-03-31 @ Leoben D 1-164.5 1517 1508 28.32% 26.59% 45.09%-0.28 +0.5 25
1999-03-31 SV Spittal Drau W 2-153.2 1519 1483 51.06% 25.35% 23.59%+0.46 +3.6 44
1999-03-31 @ FCN St. Polten L 1-253.2 1483 1519 23.59% 25.35% 51.06%-0.46 -3.6 18
1999-04-03 Leoben W 1-049.1 1516 1508 47.43% 26.18% 26.39%+0.35 +4.2 41
1999-04-03 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 0-149.1 1508 1516 26.39% 26.18% 47.43%-0.35 -4.2 34
1999-04-03 SV Worgl W 2-148.8 1483 1424 54.13% 24.46% 21.41%+0.55 +3.3 33
1999-04-03 @ SV Braunau L 1-248.8 1424 1483 21.41% 24.46% 54.13%-0.55 -3.3 27
1999-04-03 Austria VSV W 1-043.9 1518 1439 56.56% 23.64% 19.80%+0.63 +3.2 28
1999-04-03 @ First Vienna L 0-143.9 1439 1518 19.80% 23.64% 56.56%-0.63 -3.2 24
1999-04-03 FCN St. Polten W 1-050.0 1574 1522 53.16% 24.76% 22.08%+0.52 +3.6 54
1999-04-03 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 0-150.0 1522 1574 22.08% 24.76% 53.16%-0.52 -3.6 44
1999-04-03 SV Stockerau W 2-039.0 1479 1428 53.18% 24.75% 22.07%+0.52 +6.8 21
1999-04-03 @ SV Spittal Drau L 0-239.0 1428 1479 22.07% 24.75% 53.18%-0.52 -6.8 23
1999-04-10 Admira Wacker Modling D 1-161.7 1435 1520 34.48% 27.22% 38.30%-0.02 +0.1 25
1999-04-10 @ Austria VSV D 1-161.7 1520 1435 38.30% 27.22% 34.48%+0.02 -0.1 42
1999-04-10 SV Braunau D 0-058.4 1503 1486 48.61% 25.93% 25.45%+0.38 -0.8 35
1999-04-10 @ Leoben D 0-058.4 1486 1503 25.45% 25.93% 48.61%-0.38 +0.8 34
1999-04-10 First Vienna W 1-049.9 1578 1521 53.78% 24.57% 21.65%+0.54 +3.5 57
1999-04-10 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 0-149.9 1521 1578 21.65% 24.57% 53.78%-0.54 -3.5 28
1999-04-10 SV Spittal Drau W 1-048.0 1420 1486 37.11% 27.25% 35.65%+0.05 +5.4 30
1999-04-10 @ SV Worgl L 0-148.0 1486 1420 35.65% 27.25% 37.11%-0.05 -5.4 21
1999-04-10 SV Stockerau L 0-154.7 1519 1421 58.83% 22.79% 18.38%+0.70 -7.9 44
1999-04-10 @ FCN St. Polten W 1-054.7 1421 1519 18.38% 22.79% 58.83%-0.70 +7.9 26
1999-04-14 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 0-062.0 1520 1581 37.74% 27.23% 35.03%+0.07 -0.1 43
1999-04-14 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 0-062.0 1581 1520 35.03% 27.23% 37.74%-0.07 +0.1 58
1999-04-14 Austria VSV D 0-056.3 1487 1436 53.14% 24.76% 22.10%+0.52 -1.1 35
1999-04-14 @ SV Braunau D 0-056.3 1436 1487 22.10% 24.76% 53.14%-0.52 +1.1 26
1999-04-14 FCN St. Polten W 3-151.2 1517 1511 47.25% 26.21% 26.53%+0.34 +6.9 31
1999-04-14 @ First Vienna L 1-351.2 1511 1517 26.53% 26.21% 47.25%-0.34 -6.9 44
1999-04-14 Leoben W 2-154.8 1481 1503 43.37% 26.83% 29.81%+0.23 +4.4 24
1999-04-14 @ SV Spittal Drau L 1-254.8 1503 1481 29.81% 26.83% 43.37%-0.23 -4.4 35
1999-04-14 SV Worgl L 0-245.3 1429 1426 46.74% 26.31% 26.95%+0.33 -12.4 26
1999-04-14 @ SV Stockerau W 2-045.3 1426 1429 26.95% 26.31% 46.74%-0.33 +12.4 33
1999-04-17 SV Spittal Drau L 0-245.5 1437 1485 39.56% 27.16% 33.28%+0.12 -10.9 26
1999-04-17 @ Austria VSV W 2-045.5 1485 1437 33.28% 27.16% 39.56%-0.12 +10.9 27
1999-04-17 SV Stockerau D 1-161.4 1498 1416 56.91% 23.51% 19.58%+0.64 -1.2 36
1999-04-17 @ Leoben D 1-161.4 1416 1498 19.58% 23.51% 56.91%-0.64 +1.2 27
1999-04-17 SV Braunau D 1-167.1 1581 1486 58.50% 22.91% 18.58%+0.69 -1.2 59
1999-04-17 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 1-167.1 1486 1581 18.58% 22.91% 58.50%-0.69 +1.2 36
1999-04-18 Admira Wacker Modling W 2-045.9 1524 1520 46.99% 26.26% 26.75%+0.33 +8.1 34
1999-04-18 @ First Vienna L 0-245.9 1520 1524 26.75% 26.26% 46.99%-0.33 -8.1 43
1999-04-21 FCN St. Polten D 2-267.2 1438 1504 37.16% 27.24% 35.60%+0.05 -0.0 34
1999-04-21 @ SV Worgl D 2-267.2 1504 1438 35.60% 27.24% 37.16%-0.05 +0.0 45
1999-04-24 First Vienna W 1-051.1 1512 1532 43.47% 26.81% 29.71%+0.23 +4.7 46
1999-04-24 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 0-151.1 1532 1512 29.71% 26.81% 43.47%-0.23 -4.7 34
1999-04-24 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-050.8 1487 1580 33.36% 27.17% 39.47%-0.06 +10.9 39
1999-04-24 @ SV Braunau L 0-250.8 1580 1487 39.47% 27.17% 33.36%+0.06 -10.9 59
1999-04-24 Austria VSV L 0-347.3 1496 1426 55.52% 24.00% 20.48%+0.60 -20.7 27
1999-04-24 @ SV Spittal Drau W 3-047.3 1426 1496 20.48% 24.00% 55.52%-0.60 +20.7 29
1999-04-24 Leoben W 2-154.8 1417 1497 35.15% 27.24% 37.61%+0.00 +5.3 30
1999-04-24 @ SV Stockerau L 1-254.8 1497 1417 37.61% 27.24% 35.15%+0.00 -5.3 36
1999-04-24 SV Worgl W 2-039.7 1504 1438 54.90% 24.21% 20.89%+0.58 +6.4 48
1999-04-24 @ FCN St. Polten L 0-239.7 1438 1504 20.89% 24.21% 54.90%-0.58 -6.4 34
1999-05-01 FCN St. Polten D 2-270.6 1516 1510 47.16% 26.23% 26.61%+0.34 -0.5 47
1999-05-01 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 2-270.6 1510 1516 26.61% 26.23% 47.16%-0.34 +0.5 49
1999-05-01 SV Stockerau D 1-159.3 1446 1423 49.52% 25.73% 24.75%+0.41 -0.8 30
1999-05-01 @ Austria VSV D 1-159.3 1423 1446 24.75% 25.73% 49.52%-0.41 +0.8 31
1999-05-01 SV Braunau W 2-154.3 1528 1498 50.27% 25.55% 24.18%+0.43 +3.7 37
1999-05-01 @ First Vienna L 1-254.3 1498 1528 24.18% 25.55% 50.27%-0.43 -3.7 39
1999-05-01 SV Worgl D 1-161.4 1492 1432 54.19% 24.44% 21.37%+0.55 -1.0 37
1999-05-01 @ Leoben D 1-161.4 1432 1492 21.37% 24.44% 54.19%-0.55 +1.0 35
1999-05-01 SV Spittal Drau D 2-272.2 1569 1476 58.31% 22.99% 18.70%+0.69 -0.9 60
1999-05-01 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 2-272.2 1476 1569 18.70% 22.99% 58.31%-0.69 +0.9 28
1999-05-08 Admira Wacker Modling D 0-058.9 1495 1516 43.44% 26.82% 29.74%+0.23 -0.4 40
1999-05-08 @ SV Braunau D 0-058.9 1516 1495 29.74% 26.82% 43.44%-0.23 +0.5 48
1999-05-08 First Vienna W 1-051.2 1476 1531 38.67% 27.21% 34.13%+0.09 +5.2 31
1999-05-08 @ SV Spittal Drau L 0-151.2 1531 1476 34.13% 27.21% 38.67%-0.09 -5.2 37
1999-05-08 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 1-349.9 1423 1568 26.96% 26.31% 46.73%-0.26 -7.0 31
1999-05-08 @ SV Stockerau W 3-149.9 1568 1423 46.73% 26.31% 26.96%+0.26 +7.0 63
1999-05-08 Austria VSV L 1-255.5 1433 1446 44.58% 26.66% 28.75%+0.26 -6.0 35
1999-05-08 @ SV Worgl W 2-155.5 1446 1433 28.75% 26.66% 44.58%-0.26 +6.0 33
1999-05-08 Leoben D 1-163.8 1511 1491 49.03% 25.84% 25.13%+0.39 -0.7 50
1999-05-08 @ FCN St. Polten D 1-163.8 1491 1511 25.13% 25.84% 49.03%-0.39 +0.7 38
1999-05-11 SV Spittal Drau L 0-155.3 1516 1482 50.94% 25.38% 23.68%+0.45 -7.1 48
1999-05-11 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 1-055.3 1482 1516 23.68% 25.38% 50.94%-0.45 +7.0 34
1999-05-11 FCN St. Polten D 0-058.7 1494 1510 44.18% 26.72% 29.10%+0.25 -0.5 41
1999-05-11 @ SV Braunau D 0-058.7 1510 1494 29.10% 26.72% 44.18%-0.25 +0.5 51
1999-05-11 Leoben L 0-150.7 1452 1491 40.82% 27.08% 32.10%+0.15 -5.9 33
1999-05-11 @ Austria VSV W 1-050.7 1491 1452 32.10% 27.08% 40.82%-0.15 +5.9 41
1999-05-11 SV Stockerau W 2-038.1 1526 1416 60.26% 22.21% 17.53%+0.75 +5.4 40
1999-05-11 @ First Vienna L 0-238.1 1416 1526 17.53% 22.21% 60.26%-0.75 -5.4 31
1999-05-11 SV Worgl L 1-359.8 1575 1427 64.65% 20.26% 15.09%+0.91 -13.9 63
1999-05-11 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 3-159.8 1427 1575 15.09% 20.26% 64.65%-0.91 +13.9 38
1999-05-15 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 0-154.0 1497 1561 37.38% 27.24% 35.38%+0.06 -5.6 41
1999-05-15 @ Leoben W 1-054.0 1561 1497 35.38% 27.24% 37.38%-0.06 +5.6 66
1999-05-15 SV Braunau D 0-057.9 1489 1494 45.67% 26.50% 27.83%+0.29 -0.6 35
1999-05-15 @ SV Spittal Drau D 0-057.9 1494 1489 27.83% 26.50% 45.67%-0.29 +0.6 42
1999-05-15 Admira Wacker Modling W 3-151.6 1411 1509 32.62% 27.12% 40.26%-0.08 +9.6 34
1999-05-15 @ SV Stockerau L 1-351.6 1509 1411 40.26% 27.12% 32.62%+0.08 -9.6 48
1999-05-15 First Vienna L 2-360.6 1441 1532 33.58% 27.18% 39.24%-0.05 -4.6 38
1999-05-15 @ SV Worgl W 3-260.6 1532 1441 39.24% 27.18% 33.58%+0.05 +4.6 43
1999-05-15 Austria VSV W 1-044.4 1510 1446 54.79% 24.24% 20.96%+0.57 +3.4 54
1999-05-15 @ FCN St. Polten L 0-144.4 1446 1510 20.96% 24.24% 54.79%-0.57 -3.4 33
1999-05-21 SV Stockerau W 3-144.4 1494 1421 55.90% 23.87% 20.23%+0.61 +5.4 45
1999-05-21 @ SV Braunau L 1-344.4 1421 1494 20.23% 23.87% 55.90%-0.61 -5.4 34
1999-05-22 SV Worgl W 1-043.7 1500 1436 54.64% 24.30% 21.07%+0.57 +3.4 51
1999-05-22 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 0-143.7 1436 1500 21.07% 24.30% 54.64%-0.57 -3.4 38
1999-05-22 Leoben W 2-153.8 1536 1492 52.22% 25.03% 22.75%+0.49 +3.5 46
1999-05-22 @ First Vienna L 1-253.8 1492 1536 22.75% 25.03% 52.22%-0.49 -3.5 41
1999-05-22 FCN St. Polten D 1-163.6 1488 1514 42.80% 26.89% 30.31%+0.21 -0.4 36
1999-05-22 @ SV Spittal Drau D 1-163.6 1514 1488 30.31% 26.89% 42.80%-0.21 +0.4 55
1999-05-23 Austria VSV L 1-263.8 1567 1442 61.97% 21.48% 16.55%+0.81 -7.8 66
1999-05-23 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-163.8 1442 1567 16.55% 21.48% 61.97%-0.81 +7.8 36
1999-05-28 Admira Wacker Modling L 1-259.4 1488 1503 44.33% 26.70% 28.97%+0.25 -6.0 41
1999-05-28 @ Leoben W 2-159.4 1503 1488 28.97% 26.70% 44.33%-0.25 +6.0 54
1999-05-29 First Vienna W 3-262.9 1450 1540 33.75% 27.19% 39.06%-0.04 +5.1 39
1999-05-29 @ Austria VSV L 2-362.9 1540 1450 39.06% 27.19% 33.75%+0.04 -5.1 46
1999-05-29 SV Spittal Drau L 0-341.9 1415 1488 36.14% 27.25% 36.61%+0.02 -14.9 34
1999-05-29 @ SV Stockerau W 3-041.9 1488 1415 36.61% 27.25% 36.14%-0.02 +14.8 39
1999-05-29 SV Braunau W 2-044.8 1433 1500 36.93% 27.25% 35.82%+0.05 +10.2 41
1999-05-29 @ SV Worgl L 0-244.8 1500 1433 35.82% 27.25% 36.93%-0.05 -10.2 45
1999-05-29 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-049.0 1514 1559 40.10% 27.13% 32.77%+0.13 +9.5 58
1999-05-29 @ FCN St. Polten L 0-249.0 1559 1514 32.77% 27.13% 40.10%-0.13 -9.5 66
1999-06-01 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 3-046.1 1535 1550 44.28% 26.71% 29.01%+0.25 +12.5 49
1999-06-01 @ First Vienna L 0-346.1 1550 1535 29.01% 26.71% 44.28%-0.25 -12.5 66
1999-06-02 Austria VSV L 1-453.4 1509 1455 53.41% 24.68% 21.91%+0.53 -16.9 54
1999-06-02 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 4-153.4 1455 1509 21.91% 24.68% 53.41%-0.53 +16.9 42
1999-06-02 Leoben W 1-047.2 1489 1482 47.32% 26.20% 26.48%+0.34 +4.2 48
1999-06-02 @ SV Braunau L 0-147.2 1482 1489 26.48% 26.20% 47.32%-0.34 -4.2 41
1999-06-02 SV Worgl D 1-162.2 1503 1443 54.18% 24.44% 21.38%+0.55 -1.0 40
1999-06-02 @ SV Spittal Drau D 1-162.2 1443 1503 21.38% 24.44% 54.18%-0.55 +1.0 42
1999-06-02 FCN St. Polten W 5-464.9 1400 1524 29.43% 26.77% 43.80%-0.18 +5.4 37
1999-06-02 @ SV Stockerau L 4-564.9 1524 1400 43.80% 26.77% 29.43%+0.18 -5.4 58
1999-06-09 SV Braunau W 2-044.1 1472 1494 43.36% 26.83% 29.81%+0.23 +8.8 45
1999-06-09 @ Austria VSV L 0-244.1 1494 1472 29.81% 26.83% 43.36%-0.23 -8.8 48
1999-06-09 SV Spittal Drau W 1-048.8 1478 1502 43.10% 26.86% 30.04%+0.22 +4.7 44
1999-06-09 @ Leoben L 0-148.8 1502 1478 30.04% 26.86% 43.10%-0.22 -4.7 40
1999-06-09 Admira Wacker Modling W 2-043.7 1537 1492 52.29% 25.01% 22.70%+0.49 +7.0 69
1999-06-09 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 0-243.7 1492 1537 22.70% 25.01% 52.29%-0.49 -7.0 54
1999-06-09 SV Stockerau W 2-037.8 1444 1406 51.39% 25.26% 23.35%+0.47 +7.2 45
1999-06-09 @ SV Worgl L 0-237.8 1406 1444 23.35% 25.26% 51.39%-0.47 -7.2 37
1999-06-09 First Vienna L 1-261.6 1518 1547 42.37% 26.94% 30.69%+0.20 -5.8 58
1999-06-09 @ FCN St. Polten W 2-161.6 1547 1518 30.69% 26.94% 42.37%-0.20 +5.8 52

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1999-05-11 15.09% SV Worgl 1427 3 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1575 1
2 1999-05-23 16.55% Austria VSV 1442 2 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1567 1
3 1998-10-03 16.95% SV Stockerau 1416 1 @ SV Braunau 1535 0
4 1999-04-10 18.38% SV Stockerau 1421 1 @ FCN St. Polten 1519 0
5 1998-11-07 18.57% SV Worgl 1433 2 @ SV Braunau 1528 0
6 1998-11-14 20.22% Austria VSV 1439 2 @ SV Braunau 1513 0
7 1999-04-24 20.48% Austria VSV 1426 3 @ SV Spittal Drau 1496 0
8 1998-11-28 21.80% Admira Wacker Modling 1475 2 @ FCN St. Polten 1530 1
9 1999-06-02 21.91% Austria VSV 1455 4 @ Admira Wacker Modling 1509 1
10 1998-07-29 22.43% SV Worgl 1491 1 @ SV Spittal Drau 1539 0
11 1998-08-29 22.70% Leoben 1474 2 @ First Vienna 1519 1
12 1998-07-25 22.73% Admira Wacker Modling 1471 3 @ SV Braunau 1516 1
13 1998-11-14 22.92% Admira Wacker Modling 1475 1 @ First Vienna 1518 0
14 1998-07-29 23.48% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1507 4 @ First Vienna 1543 2
15 1999-05-11 23.68% SV Spittal Drau 1482 1 @ Admira Wacker Modling 1516 0
16 1998-08-08 23.95% FCN St. Polten 1495 1 @ SV Spittal Drau 1527 0
17 1998-10-24 24.03% Austria VSV 1421 3 @ SV Worgl 1452 0
18 1998-09-19 24.88% First Vienna 1506 2 @ SV Spittal Drau 1529 0
19 1998-07-29 26.12% FCN St. Polten 1472 2 @ Admira Wacker Modling 1483 0
20 1998-09-09 26.81% Leoben 1475 2 @ SV Worgl 1479 0
21 1999-04-14 26.95% SV Worgl 1426 2 @ SV Stockerau 1429 0
22 1998-10-06 27.59% Leoben 1475 2 @ Admira Wacker Modling 1472 0
23 1998-11-28 28.43% First Vienna 1505 1 @ SV Braunau 1495 0
24 1999-05-08 28.75% Austria VSV 1446 2 @ SV Worgl 1433 1
25 1999-05-28 28.97% Admira Wacker Modling 1503 2 @ Leoben 1488 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-03-30 26.20 Admira Wacker Modling 5 1489 32.05% @ SV Worgl 0 1450 40.87% 27.08%
2 1999-04-24 20.69 Austria VSV 3 1426 20.48% @ SV Spittal Drau 0 1496 55.52% 24.00%
3 1998-10-24 19.19 Austria VSV 3 1421 24.03% @ SV Worgl 0 1452 50.48% 25.50%
4 1998-08-01 17.57 @ Austria VSV 5 1418 32.47% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1 1517 40.42% 27.11%
5 1999-06-02 16.92 Austria VSV 4 1455 21.91% @ Admira Wacker Modling 1 1509 53.41% 24.68%
6 1998-10-17 16.25 @ SV Braunau 4 1527 44.64% First Vienna 0 1539 28.70% 26.66%
7 1998-07-25 14.96 @ SV Worgl 4 1476 47.88% SV Stockerau 0 1464 26.03% 26.09%
8 1998-11-07 14.85 SV Worgl 2 1433 18.57% @ SV Braunau 0 1528 58.52% 22.91%
9 1999-05-29 14.85 SV Spittal Drau 3 1488 36.61% @ SV Stockerau 0 1415 36.14% 27.25%
10 1998-11-14 14.33 Austria VSV 2 1439 20.22% @ SV Braunau 0 1513 55.91% 23.87%
11 1999-05-11 13.88 SV Worgl 3 1427 15.09% @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1 1575 64.65% 20.26%
12 1998-07-29 13.48 @ Leoben 4 1471 51.62% Austria VSV 0 1431 23.18% 25.20%
13 1998-09-19 12.98 First Vienna 2 1506 24.88% @ SV Spittal Drau 0 1529 49.35% 25.77%
14 1998-07-29 12.65 FCN St. Polten 2 1472 26.12% @ Admira Wacker Modling 0 1483 47.77% 26.11%
15 1999-06-01 12.55 @ First Vienna 3 1535 44.28% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1550 29.01% 26.71%
16 1998-09-09 12.47 Leoben 2 1475 26.81% @ SV Worgl 0 1479 46.91% 26.28%
17 1999-04-14 12.43 SV Worgl 2 1426 26.95% @ SV Stockerau 0 1429 46.74% 26.31%
18 1998-09-19 12.39 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 4 1508 37.17% @ SV Stockerau 1 1432 35.58% 27.24%
19 1998-10-06 12.27 Leoben 2 1475 27.59% @ Admira Wacker Modling 0 1472 45.96% 26.45%
20 1998-08-07 12.04 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 3 1499 45.96% SV Worgl 0 1502 27.59% 26.45%
21 1998-07-25 11.76 Admira Wacker Modling 3 1471 22.73% @ SV Braunau 1 1516 52.24% 25.02%
22 1999-03-16 11.08 @ Leoben 4 1500 42.30% FCN St. Polten 1 1530 30.75% 26.95%
23 1998-09-01 11.05 @ FCN St. Polten 3 1511 49.22% SV Worgl 0 1490 24.98% 25.80%
24 1999-04-17 10.94 SV Spittal Drau 2 1485 33.28% @ Austria VSV 0 1437 39.56% 27.16%
25 1999-04-24 10.92 @ SV Braunau 2 1487 33.36% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1580 39.47% 27.17%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-11-07 72.5 @ FCN St. Polten 2 1531 43.43% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 2 1552 29.75% 26.82%
2 1999-05-01 72.2 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 2 1569 58.31% SV Spittal Drau 2 1476 18.70% 22.99%
3 1998-10-24 71.5 @ First Vienna 2 1523 45.26% FCN St. Polten 2 1531 28.18% 26.56%
4 1999-05-01 70.6 @ Admira Wacker Modling 2 1516 47.16% FCN St. Polten 2 1510 26.61% 26.23%
5 1999-03-13 70.2 @ SV Worgl 2 1449 29.53% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 2 1571 43.69% 26.79%
6 1998-08-29 70.1 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 2 1503 45.32% FCN St. Polten 2 1511 28.12% 26.55%
7 1999-03-20 69.0 @ First Vienna 2 1518 55.31% SV Worgl 2 1449 20.62% 24.07%
8 1998-08-01 68.0 @ Leoben 2 1485 48.28% Admira Wacker Modling 2 1470 25.72% 26.01%
9 1999-04-21 67.2 @ SV Worgl 2 1438 37.16% FCN St. Polten 2 1504 35.60% 27.24%
10 1999-04-17 67.1 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1 1581 58.50% SV Braunau 1 1486 18.58% 22.91%
11 1998-08-08 65.5 @ First Vienna 1 1529 47.59% SV Braunau 1 1519 26.26% 26.15%
12 1998-10-24 65.5 @ SV Stockerau 2 1425 40.68% Admira Wacker Modling 2 1466 32.23% 27.09%
13 1998-09-26 65.0 @ SV Stockerau 2 1417 40.36% SV Worgl 2 1460 32.53% 27.11%
14 1999-06-02 64.9 @ SV Stockerau 5 1400 29.43% FCN St. Polten 4 1524 43.80% 26.77%
15 1998-09-26 64.7 @ SV Spittal Drau 1 1507 44.11% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1 1524 29.16% 26.73%
16 1998-09-26 64.6 FCN St. Polten 3 1521 30.86% @ Leoben 2 1490 42.18% 26.96%
17 1999-03-31 64.5 @ Leoben 1 1508 45.09% First Vienna 1 1517 28.32% 26.59%
18 1999-03-27 64.1 @ Austria VSV 1 1438 27.90% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1 1574 45.59% 26.51%
19 1998-09-26 63.9 @ Admira Wacker Modling 1 1479 38.57% SV Braunau 1 1535 34.22% 27.21%
20 1999-05-08 63.8 @ FCN St. Polten 1 1511 49.03% Leoben 1 1491 25.13% 25.84%
21 1999-05-23 63.8 Austria VSV 2 1442 16.55% @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1 1567 61.97% 21.48%
22 1999-05-22 63.6 @ SV Spittal Drau 1 1488 42.80% FCN St. Polten 1 1514 30.31% 26.89%
23 1998-08-14 63.2 @ Leoben 1 1474 40.02% SV Spittal Drau 1 1520 32.85% 27.14%
24 1998-09-09 63.2 @ SV Spittal Drau 1 1530 59.53% Austria VSV 1 1426 17.96% 22.51%
25 1998-09-08 63.1 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1 1509 51.96% Admira Wacker Modling 1 1467 22.94% 25.10%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-07-29 37.4 @ Leoben 4 1471 51.62% Austria VSV 0 1431 23.18% 25.20%
2 1998-08-01 37.8 @ FCN St. Polten 3 1485 52.47% SV Stockerau 0 1438 22.57% 24.96%
3 1999-06-09 37.8 @ SV Worgl 2 1444 51.39% SV Stockerau 0 1406 23.35% 25.26%
4 1999-05-11 38.1 @ First Vienna 2 1526 60.26% SV Stockerau 0 1416 17.53% 22.21%
5 1998-11-14 38.9 @ SV Spittal Drau 2 1494 55.19% SV Stockerau 0 1426 20.70% 24.11%
6 1999-04-03 39.0 @ SV Spittal Drau 2 1479 53.18% SV Stockerau 0 1428 22.07% 24.75%
7 1999-04-24 39.7 @ FCN St. Polten 2 1504 54.90% SV Worgl 0 1438 20.89% 24.21%
8 1998-07-25 39.9 @ SV Worgl 4 1476 47.88% SV Stockerau 0 1464 26.03% 26.09%
9 1998-08-15 39.9 @ Admira Wacker Modling 2 1470 50.54% SV Stockerau 0 1438 23.98% 25.48%
10 1998-10-06 40.0 @ First Vienna 3 1530 54.23% SV Worgl 0 1469 21.35% 24.43%
11 1998-08-28 40.6 @ SV Spittal Drau 3 1520 52.01% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1477 22.90% 25.09%
12 1998-11-28 41.4 @ SV Stockerau 2 1425 42.42% Austria VSV 0 1454 30.65% 26.93%
13 1998-09-01 41.6 @ FCN St. Polten 3 1511 49.22% SV Worgl 0 1490 24.98% 25.80%
14 1999-05-29 41.9 SV Spittal Drau 3 1488 36.61% @ SV Stockerau 0 1415 36.14% 27.25%
15 1998-09-26 42.1 @ First Vienna 4 1527 58.76% Austria VSV 1 1430 18.43% 22.81%
16 1998-09-22 42.5 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1 1521 59.24% SV Stockerau 0 1420 18.14% 22.62%
17 1998-08-07 42.6 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 3 1499 45.96% SV Worgl 0 1502 27.59% 26.45%
18 1998-10-03 42.8 @ FCN St. Polten 2 1526 52.55% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1479 22.52% 24.94%
19 1999-03-13 42.9 @ FCN St. Polten 2 1523 51.99% SV Braunau 0 1480 22.92% 25.10%
20 1998-09-19 43.1 @ FCN St. Polten 1 1523 58.58% Austria VSV 0 1427 18.54% 22.89%
21 1998-08-08 43.6 @ SV Stockerau 2 1428 38.58% Leoben 0 1484 34.21% 27.21%
22 1999-03-06 43.6 @ Admira Wacker Modling 2 1482 45.39% SV Braunau 0 1488 28.06% 26.54%
23 1998-10-03 43.7 @ Austria VSV 2 1423 37.68% Leoben 0 1485 35.08% 27.24%
24 1999-05-22 43.7 @ Admira Wacker Modling 1 1500 54.64% SV Worgl 0 1436 21.07% 24.30%
25 1999-06-09 43.7 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 2 1537 52.29% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1492 22.70% 25.01%