2026-27 Bundesliga Season
33 games played · 12 teams
Season Status
In Progress
Awaiting final results
Title Favorite
LASK
54.20% chance to win the title
Biggest Overachiever
Rapid Wien
6.28 points above expected
15 points · 8.72 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
SCR Altach
4.41 points below expected
3 points · 7.41 expected points
League Table
Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LASK | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 2 | +13 | 9.07 | +5.93 |
| 2 | Rapid Wien | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | 7 | +11 | 8.72 | +6.28 |
| 3 | Salzburg | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 15 | 4 | +11 | 10.14 | +3.86 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 8.50 | -0.50 |
| 5 | WSG Tirol | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5.30 | +1.70 |
| 6 | Grazer AK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 6.69 | +0.31 |
| 7 | Hartberg | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6.49 | -0.49 |
| 8 | Wolfsberg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8.87 | -3.87 |
| 9 | Ried | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7.44 | -2.44 |
| 10 | Austria Lustenau | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
| 11 | SCR Altach | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7.41 | -4.41 |
| 12 | Austria Wien | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 5.97 | -2.97 |
Phase 1 points were halved (rounded down) going into Phase 2. Phase 2 split the league into a Championship Round and a Relegation Round, each played as its own round-robin.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Wien | 15 | 8.72 | +6.28 |
| 2 | LASK | 15 | 9.07 | +5.93 |
| 3 | Salzburg | 14 | 10.14 | +3.86 |
| 4 | WSG Tirol | 7 | 5.30 | +1.70 |
| 5 | Grazer AK | 7 | 6.69 | +0.31 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SCR Altach | 3 | 7.41 | -4.41 |
| 2 | Wolfsberg | 5 | 8.87 | -3.87 |
| 3 | Austria Wien | 3 | 5.97 | -2.97 |
| 4 | Ried | 5 | 7.44 | -2.44 |
| 5 | Austria Lustenau | 5 | 5.62 | -0.62 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Wien | 4 | Aug 2 – Aug 30 | 1 in 32 |
| 2 | LASK | 5 | Jul 31 – Sep 1 | 1 in 28 |
| 3 | WSG Tirol | 2 | Aug 28 – Sep 2 | 1 in 13 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 3 | Aug 16 – Sep 2 | 1 in 8 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 2 | Aug 22 – Aug 30 | 1 in 8 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SCR Altach | 4 | Aug 15 – Sep 12 | 1 in 38 |
| 2 | Hartberg | 3 | Aug 1 – Aug 16 | 1 in 17 |
| 3 | Wolfsberg | 2 | Sep 1 – Sep 12 | 1 in 6 |
| 4 | Austria Wien | 2 | Aug 2 – Aug 9 | 1 in 5 |
| 5 | Ried | 2 | Aug 9 – Aug 14 | 1 in 5 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salzburg | 6 | Aug 1 – Sep 11 | 1 in 6 |
| 2 | Austria Lustenau | 2 | Aug 15 – Aug 22 | 1 in 5 |
| 3 | Rapid Wien | 4 | Aug 2 – Aug 30 | 1 in 4 |
| 4 | Grazer AK | 2 | Aug 29 – Sep 12 | 1 in 4 |
| 5 | LASK | 5 | Jul 31 – Sep 1 | 1 in 4 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wolfsberg | 5 | Aug 9 – Sep 12 | 1 in 13 |
| 2 | SCR Altach | 4 | Aug 15 – Sep 12 | 1 in 5 |
| 3 | Sturm Graz | 2 | Aug 22 – Aug 30 | 1 in 4 |
| 4 | Hartberg | 3 | Aug 1 – Aug 16 | 1 in 3 |
| 5 | Ried | 3 | Aug 2 – Aug 14 | 1 in 3 |
Position Race
Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.
Recent Elo Movers
Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?
Biggest Elo Gainers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salzburg | +39.63 | 1758 |
| 2 | Rapid Wien | +14.84 | 1720 |
| 3 | LASK | +11.85 | 1769 |
| 4 | WSG Tirol | +10.00 | 1588 |
| 5 | Grazer AK | +9.38 | 1540 |
Biggest Elo Losers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wolfsberg | -49.24 | 1609 |
| 2 | Austria Wien | -33.30 | 1587 |
| 3 | Sturm Graz | -20.57 | 1698 |
| 4 | SCR Altach | -16.50 | 1550 |
| 5 | Ried | -10.26 | 1584 |
Recent Form
Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.
| Team | Elo | Season Pts | Form | Elo Δ (5) | Points (5) | Expected (5) | Actual − Exp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LASK | 1769 | 15 | +83 | 15 | 9.1 | +5.9 | |
| Rapid Wien | 1720 | 15 | +88 | 12 | 7.1 | +4.9 | |
| Salzburg | 1758 | 14 | +65 | 11 | 8.4 | +2.6 | |
| Sturm Graz | 1698 | 8 | +4 | 8 | 8.5 | -0.5 | |
| Grazer AK | 1540 | 7 | -44 | 7 | 5.8 | +1.2 | |
| WSG Tirol | 1588 | 7 | +26 | 7 | 5.3 | +1.7 | |
| Hartberg | 1599 | 6 | -31 | 6 | 6.5 | -0.5 | |
| Austria Lustenau | 1505 | 5 | -39 | 5 | 5.6 | -0.6 | |
| Ried | 1584 | 5 | -24 | 4 | 6.0 | -2.0 | |
| Wolfsberg | 1609 | 5 | -61 | 2 | 7.3 | -5.3 | |
| Austria Wien | 1587 | 3 | -50 | 3 | 6.0 | -3.0 | |
| SCR Altach | 1550 | 3 | -31 | 3 | 6.3 | -3.3 |
Upcoming Matches
The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.
| Date | Favored By | Home | Win% – Draw% – Win% | Away | Favored By | Excitement | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sturm Graz | 8 pts·1698 | 32% – 27% – 41% | LASK | 15 pts·1769 | 0.20 | 69.0 | |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.53 | Austria Wien | 3 pts·1587 | 52% – 26% – 22% | Austria Lustenau | 5 pts·1505 | 49.8 | |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.47 | WSG Tirol | 7 pts·1588 | 40% – 27% – 32% | Hartberg | 6 pts·1599 | 66.2 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 1.26 | Salzburg | 14 pts·1758 | 50% – 27% – 24% | Sturm Graz | 8 pts·1698 | 67.9 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 2.09 | Rapid Wien | 15 pts·1720 | 58% – 25% – 17% | WSG Tirol | 7 pts·1588 | 58.1 | |
| 2026-09-19 | Hartberg | 6 pts·1599 | 21% – 26% – 53% | LASK | 15 pts·1769 | 1.32 | 55.3 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.32 | Ried | 5 pts·1584 | 38% – 27% – 34% | Wolfsberg | 5 pts·1609 | 63.9 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.07 | Grazer AK | 7 pts·1540 | 35% – 27% – 37% | Austria Wien | 3 pts·1587 | 56.4 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.09 | Austria Lustenau | 5 pts·1505 | 36% – 27% – 37% | SCR Altach | 3 pts·1550 | 56.0 |
Recent Matches
The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.
| Date | Favored By | Home | Score | Away | Favored By | Excitement | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 0.02 | Wolfsberg | 5 pts·1639·-30.02 | 0 – 3 | Rapid Wien | 15 pts·1690·+30.02 | 57.0 | |
| 2026-09-12 | 1.00 | SCR Altach | 3 pts·1563·-12.97 | 1 – 2 | Grazer AK | 7 pts·1527·+12.97 | 64.3 | |
| 2026-09-11 | Ried | 5 pts·1582·+2.22 | 1 – 1 | Salzburg | 14 pts·1760·-2.22 | 1.41 | 70.8 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
Beat expectations
Fell short
Within expectations
| Team | AL | AW | GA | HAR | LAS | RW | RIE | SA | SAL | SG | WT | WOL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Lustenau | — |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.05
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.26
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
0.68
|
0-0-1
1.63
|
1-0-0
1.00
|
| Austria Wien |
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.16
|
0-0-1
1.13
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.86
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.63
|
0-0-1
1.18
|
| Grazer AK |
1-0-0
1.68
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.91
|
0-0-1
1.01
|
0-0-1
1.02
|
1-0-0
1.06
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.01
|
| Hartberg |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.57
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.53
|
1-0-0
1.15
|
0-0-1
1.00
|
0-0-1
1.23
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| LASK |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.60
|
1-0-0
1.83
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.97
|
1-0-0
2.06
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.61
|
| Rapid Wien |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.73
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
1-0-0
1.30
|
1-0-0
1.66
|
0-0-1
1.15
|
1-0-0
1.47
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.41
|
| Ried |
0-1-0
1.47
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.71
|
0-0-1
1.20
|
0-0-1
0.78
|
0-0-1
1.43
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
0.86
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| SCR Altach |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.67
|
0-0-1
1.57
|
0-0-1
0.70
|
0-0-1
1.07
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.81
|
1-0-0
1.60
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Salzburg |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.88
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.73
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.58
|
0-1-0
1.88
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.77
|
0-1-0
1.29
|
| Sturm Graz |
0-1-0
2.08
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.49
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.26
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.94
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-1-0
1.73
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| WSG Tirol |
1-0-0
1.10
|
1-0-0
1.10
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.13
|
0-0-1
0.96
|
0-1-0
1.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Wolfsberg |
0-0-1
1.73
|
1-0-0
1.55
|
0-1-0
1.72
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.12
|
0-0-1
1.31
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.43
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.89 | +8.3 |
| Allowed | 0.50 | -9.6 |
| Differential | 0.86 | +5.4 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.03% | 7.58% | 4.55% | 7.58% | 1.52% | 1.52% | 25.76% |
| 1 | 7.58% | 15.15% | 7.58% | 4.55% | 3.03% | 1.52% | 39.39% |
| 2 | 4.55% | 7.58% | — | 1.52% | — | — | 13.64% |
| 3 | 7.58% | 4.55% | 1.52% | — | — | — | 13.64% |
| 4 | 1.52% | 3.03% | — | — | — | — | 4.55% |
| 5+ | 1.52% | 1.52% | — | — | — | — | 3.03% |
| Total | 25.76% | 39.39% | 13.64% | 13.64% | 4.55% | 3.03% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.45 | 1.45 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.47 | 1.47 | 2.44 |
| CV | 1.01 | 1.01 | — |
| Max | 8 | 8 | +8 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -8 |
Games Played: 33
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | 20.00% | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | — | 40.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 60.00% | 20.00% | — | 20.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.80 | -0.80 |
| SD | 0.71 | 1.30 | 1.92 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.72 | — |
| Max | 2 | 4 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -4 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 60.00% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | 20.00% | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.60 | 2.00 | -1.40 |
| SD | 0.89 | 1.58 | 2.07 |
| CV | 1.49 | 0.79 | — |
| Max | 2 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.67% | 16.67% | — | 16.67% | — | 16.67% | 66.67% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 16.67% | 50.00% | — | 16.67% | — | 16.67% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.67 | 2.33 | -1.67 |
| SD | 1.03 | 2.94 | 3.44 |
| CV | 1.55 | 1.26 | — |
| Max | 2 | 8 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -8 |
Games Played: 6
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | 40.00% | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 40.00% | 60.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| SD | 1.41 | 0.55 | 1.52 |
| CV | 1.41 | 0.34 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | 40.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 4 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 60.00% | 40.00% | — | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 3.00 | 0.40 | +2.60 |
| SD | 0.71 | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| CV | 0.24 | 1.37 | — |
| Max | 4 | 1 | +3 |
| Min | 2 | 0 | +2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 16.67% | — | — | — | — | 16.67% | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | 16.67% | — | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 16.67% | 16.67% | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 16.67% | — | — | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| Total | 50.00% | 33.33% | — | — | — | 16.67% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 3.00 | 1.17 | +1.83 |
| SD | 2.61 | 1.94 | 3.87 |
| CV | 0.87 | 1.66 | — |
| Max | 8 | 5 | +8 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 6
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 16.67% | 33.33% | 16.67% | — | 16.67% | — | 83.33% |
| 2 | — | — | — | 16.67% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 16.67% | 33.33% | 16.67% | 16.67% | 16.67% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.17 | 1.83 | -0.67 |
| SD | 0.41 | 1.47 | 1.37 |
| CV | 0.35 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 2 | 4 | +1 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 6
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 33.33% | — | 16.67% | — | — | 50.00% |
| 1 | — | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | 16.67% | — | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 50.00% | 33.33% | 16.67% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.83 | 1.67 | -0.83 |
| SD | 1.17 | 0.82 | 1.60 |
| CV | 1.40 | 0.49 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -3 |
Games Played: 6
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 16.67% | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 16.67% | — | — | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 4 | — | 16.67% | — | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 5+ | — | 16.67% | — | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| Total | 33.33% | 66.67% | — | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.50 | 0.67 | +1.83 |
| SD | 1.76 | 0.52 | 1.72 |
| CV | 0.70 | 0.77 | — |
| Max | 5 | 1 | +4 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 6
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 20.00% | 40.00% | — | 20.00% | — | — | 80.00% |
| 2 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | 40.00% | — | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.20 | 1.00 | +0.20 |
| SD | 0.45 | 1.22 | 1.48 |
| CV | 0.37 | 1.22 | — |
| Max | 2 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | 20.00% | — | — | 60.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | 20.00% | — | 40.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 1.40 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.52 | 1.52 | 2.74 |
| CV | 1.08 | 1.08 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.67% | — | — | 16.67% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | — | 16.67% | 16.67% | 16.67% | — | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 16.67% | — | — | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 16.67% | 16.67% | 33.33% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.50 | -0.50 |
| SD | 1.10 | 1.38 | 2.07 |
| CV | 1.10 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 6
Season Summary
Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Exp. Pts. Rem. | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LASK | 1769 | 15 | 46.64 | 31.64 | 29 | 38 | 43 | 47 | 50 | 55 | 64 |
| Salzburg | 1758 | 14 | 43.78 | 29.78 | 27 | 36 | 40 | 44 | 47 | 52 | 62 |
| Rapid Wien | 1720 | 15 | 42.98 | 27.98 | 22 | 35 | 40 | 43 | 46 | 51 | 60 |
| Sturm Graz | 1698 | 8 | 35.89 | 27.89 | 17 | 27 | 32 | 36 | 39 | 44 | 54 |
| Wolfsberg | 1609 | 5 | 26.16 | 21.16 | 9 | 18 | 23 | 26 | 30 | 34 | 46 |
| Hartberg | 1599 | 6 | 27.58 | 21.58 | 11 | 19 | 24 | 28 | 31 | 36 | 46 |
| WSG Tirol | 1588 | 7 | 27.87 | 20.87 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 28 | 31 | 36 | 48 |
| Austria Wien | 1587 | 3 | 24.48 | 21.48 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 24 | 28 | 33 | 45 |
| Ried | 1584 | 5 | 24.70 | 19.70 | 9 | 17 | 21 | 25 | 28 | 33 | 45 |
| SCR Altach | 1550 | 3 | 20.51 | 17.51 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 24 | 29 | 40 |
| Grazer AK | 1540 | 7 | 23.58 | 16.58 | 9 | 16 | 20 | 23 | 27 | 32 | 43 |
| Austria Lustenau | 1505 | 5 | 20.03 | 15.03 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 23 | 28 | 41 |
Point Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Season metrics are available for completed seasons.
Final Table Odds
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LASK | 54.20% | 26.33% | 14.77% | 4.09% | 0.50% | 0.07% | 0.04% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rapid Wien | 18.49% | 31.32% | 36.17% | 11.05% | 2.20% | 0.55% | 0.11% | 0.08% | — | 0.03% | — | — |
| Salzburg | 25.16% | 35.45% | 28.15% | 9.24% | 1.55% | 0.33% | 0.09% | 0.03% | — | — | — | — |
| Sturm Graz | 2.07% | 6.05% | 16.43% | 47.02% | 15.49% | 6.83% | 3.29% | 1.58% | 0.73% | 0.37% | 0.11% | 0.03% |
| WSG Tirol | — | 0.35% | 1.42% | 8.27% | 21.88% | 19.18% | 15.13% | 11.84% | 9.14% | 6.60% | 4.36% | 1.83% |
| Grazer AK | — | — | 0.17% | 1.83% | 5.50% | 8.31% | 10.89% | 13.06% | 15.31% | 16.57% | 16.15% | 12.21% |
| Hartberg | 0.02% | 0.24% | 1.41% | 7.16% | 19.22% | 18.49% | 16.41% | 12.58% | 10.29% | 7.15% | 4.67% | 2.36% |
| Wolfsberg | 0.04% | 0.07% | 0.52% | 5.16% | 13.96% | 15.95% | 15.81% | 14.52% | 12.65% | 10.00% | 6.99% | 4.33% |
| Ried | 0.01% | 0.11% | 0.42% | 2.77% | 8.43% | 12.17% | 13.81% | 15.05% | 14.30% | 14.25% | 11.22% | 7.46% |
| Austria Lustenau | — | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.25% | 1.72% | 3.01% | 5.73% | 8.25% | 11.46% | 15.73% | 22.75% | 31.07% |
| SCR Altach | — | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.38% | 1.98% | 3.80% | 6.01% | 8.82% | 11.61% | 16.22% | 21.33% | 29.79% |
| Austria Wien | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.47% | 2.78% | 7.57% | 11.31% | 12.68% | 14.19% | 14.51% | 13.08% | 12.42% | 10.92% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Qualified for Championship Round | Relegated |
|---|---|---|
| LASK | 100% | — |
| Rapid Wien | 100% | — |
| Salzburg | 100% | — |
| Sturm Graz | 99.96% | 0.04% |
| Hartberg | 96.69% | 3.31% |
| Wolfsberg | 96.02% | 3.98% |
| WSG Tirol | 95.91% | 4.09% |
| Ried | 92.57% | 7.43% |
| Austria Wien | 92.16% | 7.84% |
| Grazer AK | 84.96% | 15.04% |
| SCR Altach | 78.60% | 21.40% |
| Austria Lustenau | 63.13% | 36.87% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Excitement | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Grazer AK | W 3-0 | 52.3 | 1686 | 1604 | 52.26% | 26.12% | 21.62% | +1.52 | +20.6 | 3 |
| 2026-07-31 | @ LASK | L 0-3 | 52.3 | 1604 | 1686 | 21.62% | 26.12% | 52.26% | -1.52 | -20.6 | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Sturm Graz | D 1-1 | 69.4 | 1562 | 1694 | 24.60% | 26.63% | 48.77% | -0.89 | +1.5 | 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | @ WSG Tirol | D 1-1 | 69.4 | 1694 | 1562 | 48.77% | 26.63% | 24.60% | +0.89 | -1.5 | 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Hartberg | W 1-0 | 57.1 | 1684 | 1631 | 48.85% | 26.62% | 24.53% | +1.20 | +8.4 | 3 |
| 2026-08-01 | @ Salzburg | L 0-1 | 57.1 | 1631 | 1684 | 24.53% | 26.62% | 48.85% | -1.20 | -8.4 | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Austria Wien | W 3-0 | 55.0 | 1642 | 1638 | 42.55% | 27.18% | 30.27% | +0.65 | +27.1 | 3 |
| 2026-08-02 | @ Wolfsberg | L 0-3 | 55.0 | 1638 | 1642 | 30.27% | 27.18% | 42.55% | -0.65 | -27.1 | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Ried | D 1-1 | 66.9 | 1544 | 1608 | 32.90% | 27.29% | 39.81% | -0.12 | +0.4 | 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | @ Austria Lustenau | D 1-1 | 66.9 | 1608 | 1544 | 39.81% | 27.29% | 32.90% | +0.12 | -0.4 | 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | SCR Altach | W 1-0 | 56.2 | 1623 | 1590 | 46.38% | 26.89% | 26.73% | +0.98 | +9.0 | 3 |
| 2026-08-02 | @ Rapid Wien | L 0-1 | 56.2 | 1590 | 1623 | 26.73% | 26.89% | 46.38% | -0.98 | -9.0 | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | WSG Tirol | W 3-1 | 59.1 | 1581 | 1564 | 44.16% | 27.07% | 28.77% | +0.79 | +15.5 | 3 |
| 2026-08-07 | @ SCR Altach | L 1-3 | 59.1 | 1564 | 1581 | 28.77% | 27.07% | 44.16% | -0.79 | -15.5 | 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Austria Lustenau | W 2-1 | 59.4 | 1583 | 1544 | 47.05% | 26.82% | 26.13% | +1.04 | +8.3 | 3 |
| 2026-08-08 | @ Grazer AK | L 1-2 | 59.4 | 1544 | 1583 | 26.13% | 26.82% | 47.05% | -1.04 | -8.3 | 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Sturm Graz | L 0-2 | 57.5 | 1622 | 1693 | 32.03% | 27.26% | 40.71% | -0.20 | -19.5 | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | @ Hartberg | W 2-0 | 57.5 | 1693 | 1622 | 40.71% | 27.26% | 32.03% | +0.20 | +19.5 | 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | Rapid Wien | L 1-2 | 65.9 | 1608 | 1632 | 38.44% | 27.32% | 34.23% | +0.32 | -11.2 | 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Ried | W 2-1 | 65.9 | 1632 | 1608 | 34.23% | 27.32% | 38.44% | -0.32 | +11.1 | 6 |
| 2026-08-09 | Salzburg | D 1-1 | 70.5 | 1670 | 1692 | 38.72% | 27.32% | 33.96% | +0.34 | -0.3 | 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Wolfsberg | D 1-1 | 70.5 | 1692 | 1670 | 33.96% | 27.32% | 38.72% | -0.34 | +0.3 | 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | LASK | L 0-2 | 56.5 | 1610 | 1707 | 28.75% | 27.07% | 44.18% | -0.49 | -17.9 | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Austria Wien | W 2-0 | 56.5 | 1707 | 1610 | 44.18% | 27.07% | 28.75% | +0.49 | +17.9 | 6 |
| 2026-08-14 | Ried | W 4-1 | 56.5 | 1724 | 1597 | 57.34% | 25.08% | 17.58% | +2.04 | +14.5 | 9 |
| 2026-08-14 | @ LASK | L 1-4 | 56.5 | 1597 | 1724 | 17.58% | 25.08% | 57.34% | -2.04 | -14.5 | 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Wolfsberg | W 2-1 | 68.2 | 1536 | 1669 | 24.47% | 26.61% | 48.92% | -0.90 | +13.5 | 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | @ Austria Lustenau | L 1-2 | 68.2 | 1669 | 1536 | 48.92% | 26.61% | 24.47% | +0.90 | -13.5 | 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | SCR Altach | W 1-0 | 54.8 | 1712 | 1596 | 56.08% | 25.37% | 18.55% | +1.91 | +6.6 | 7 |
| 2026-08-15 | @ Sturm Graz | L 0-1 | 54.8 | 1596 | 1712 | 18.55% | 25.37% | 56.08% | -1.91 | -6.6 | 3 |
| 2026-08-16 | Austria Wien | L 0-2 | 58.8 | 1603 | 1593 | 43.27% | 27.13% | 29.60% | +0.71 | -24.4 | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | @ Hartberg | W 2-0 | 58.8 | 1593 | 1603 | 29.60% | 27.13% | 43.27% | -0.71 | +24.4 | 3 |
| 2026-08-16 | Salzburg | L 0-3 | 52.1 | 1548 | 1693 | 23.29% | 26.43% | 50.28% | -1.03 | -22.0 | 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | @ WSG Tirol | W 3-0 | 52.1 | 1693 | 1548 | 50.28% | 26.43% | 23.29% | +1.03 | +22.0 | 7 |
| 2026-08-16 | Grazer AK | W 8-0 | 52.3 | 1644 | 1592 | 48.66% | 26.64% | 24.70% | +1.18 | +58.0 | 9 |
| 2026-08-16 | @ Rapid Wien | L 0-8 | 52.3 | 1592 | 1644 | 24.70% | 26.64% | 48.66% | -1.18 | -58.0 | 3 |
| 2026-08-21 | Grazer AK | W 1-0 | 53.1 | 1582 | 1534 | 48.22% | 26.69% | 25.09% | +1.14 | +8.5 | 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | @ Ried | L 0-1 | 53.1 | 1534 | 1582 | 25.09% | 26.69% | 48.22% | -1.14 | -8.5 | 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | Austria Lustenau | D 1-1 | 70.4 | 1719 | 1550 | 61.46% | 23.93% | 14.61% | +2.51 | -3.2 | 8 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Sturm Graz | D 1-1 | 70.4 | 1550 | 1719 | 14.61% | 23.93% | 61.46% | -2.51 | +3.2 | 5 |
| 2026-08-22 | Hartberg | L 1-2 | 65.8 | 1590 | 1578 | 43.43% | 27.12% | 29.44% | +0.73 | -12.2 | 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ SCR Altach | W 2-1 | 65.8 | 1578 | 1590 | 29.44% | 27.12% | 43.43% | -0.73 | +12.2 | 3 |
| 2026-08-28 | WSG Tirol | L 0-4 | 54.0 | 1553 | 1526 | 45.42% | 26.97% | 27.60% | +0.90 | -48.2 | 5 |
| 2026-08-28 | @ Austria Lustenau | W 4-0 | 54.0 | 1526 | 1553 | 27.60% | 26.97% | 45.42% | -0.90 | +48.2 | 4 |
| 2026-08-29 | Wolfsberg | D 0-0 | 63.5 | 1525 | 1656 | 24.75% | 26.65% | 48.60% | -0.87 | +1.7 | 4 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Grazer AK | D 0-0 | 63.5 | 1656 | 1525 | 48.60% | 26.65% | 24.75% | +0.87 | -1.7 | 5 |
| 2026-08-29 | SCR Altach | W 3-0 | 50.1 | 1739 | 1577 | 60.73% | 24.15% | 15.12% | +2.42 | +14.8 | 12 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ LASK | L 0-3 | 50.1 | 1577 | 1739 | 15.12% | 24.15% | 60.73% | -2.42 | -14.8 | 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | Sturm Graz | W 3-1 | 64.6 | 1702 | 1716 | 39.95% | 27.29% | 32.76% | +0.44 | +17.2 | 12 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Rapid Wien | L 1-3 | 64.6 | 1716 | 1702 | 32.76% | 27.29% | 39.95% | -0.44 | -17.2 | 8 |
| 2026-08-30 | Ried | W 3-2 | 67.8 | 1590 | 1591 | 41.87% | 27.21% | 30.92% | +0.60 | +9.0 | 6 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Hartberg | L 2-3 | 67.8 | 1591 | 1590 | 30.92% | 27.21% | 41.87% | -0.60 | -9.0 | 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | Austria Wien | W 4-1 | 57.6 | 1715 | 1617 | 54.06% | 25.79% | 20.15% | +1.70 | +16.4 | 10 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Salzburg | L 1-4 | 57.6 | 1617 | 1715 | 20.15% | 25.79% | 54.06% | -1.70 | -16.4 | 3 |
| 2026-09-01 | LASK | L 1-3 | 63.1 | 1654 | 1754 | 28.31% | 27.04% | 44.66% | -0.53 | -15.3 | 5 |
| 2026-09-01 | @ Wolfsberg | W 3-1 | 63.1 | 1754 | 1654 | 44.66% | 27.04% | 28.31% | +0.53 | +15.4 | 15 |
| 2026-09-02 | WSG Tirol | L 0-1 | 60.9 | 1601 | 1575 | 45.37% | 26.98% | 27.65% | +0.89 | -13.5 | 3 |
| 2026-09-02 | @ Austria Wien | W 1-0 | 60.9 | 1575 | 1601 | 27.65% | 26.98% | 45.37% | -0.89 | +13.5 | 7 |
| 2026-09-02 | Rapid Wien | W 5-1 | 59.8 | 1731 | 1719 | 43.53% | 27.12% | 29.35% | +0.74 | +28.8 | 13 |
| 2026-09-02 | @ Salzburg | L 1-5 | 59.8 | 1719 | 1731 | 29.35% | 27.12% | 43.53% | -0.74 | -28.8 | 12 |
| 2026-09-11 | Salzburg | D 1-1 | 70.8 | 1582 | 1760 | 20.02% | 25.76% | 54.21% | -1.41 | +2.2 | 5 |
| 2026-09-11 | @ Ried | D 1-1 | 70.8 | 1760 | 1582 | 54.21% | 25.76% | 20.02% | +1.41 | -2.2 | 14 |
| 2026-09-12 | Rapid Wien | L 0-3 | 57.0 | 1639 | 1690 | 34.67% | 27.33% | 38.00% | +0.02 | -30.0 | 5 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Wolfsberg | W 3-0 | 57.0 | 1690 | 1639 | 38.00% | 27.33% | 34.67% | -0.02 | +30.0 | 15 |
| 2026-09-12 | Grazer AK | L 1-2 | 64.3 | 1563 | 1527 | 46.61% | 26.86% | 26.52% | +1.00 | -13.0 | 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ SCR Altach | W 2-1 | 64.3 | 1527 | 1563 | 26.52% | 26.86% | 46.61% | -1.00 | +13.0 | 7 |
Upcoming Games
Remaining games on the team's schedule
| Date | Opponent | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Excitement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | LASK | 1698 | 1769 | 32.01% | 27.26% | 40.73% | -0.20 | 69.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Sturm Graz | 1769 | 1698 | 40.73% | 27.26% | 32.01% | +0.20 | 69.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Austria Lustenau | 1587 | 1505 | 52.34% | 26.11% | 21.55% | +1.53 | 49.8 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Austria Wien | 1505 | 1587 | 21.55% | 26.11% | 52.34% | -1.53 | 49.8 |
| 2026-09-13 | Hartberg | 1588 | 1599 | 40.30% | 27.28% | 32.42% | +0.47 | 66.2 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ WSG Tirol | 1599 | 1588 | 32.42% | 27.28% | 40.30% | -0.47 | 66.2 |
| 2026-09-19 | Sturm Graz | 1758 | 1698 | 49.55% | 26.53% | 23.93% | +1.26 | 67.9 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Salzburg | 1698 | 1758 | 23.93% | 26.53% | 49.55% | -1.26 | 67.9 |
| 2026-09-19 | WSG Tirol | 1720 | 1588 | 57.76% | 24.97% | 17.26% | +2.09 | 58.1 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Rapid Wien | 1588 | 1720 | 17.26% | 24.97% | 57.76% | -2.09 | 58.1 |
| 2026-09-19 | LASK | 1599 | 1769 | 20.80% | 25.94% | 53.26% | -1.32 | 55.3 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Hartberg | 1769 | 1599 | 53.26% | 25.94% | 20.80% | +1.32 | 55.3 |
| 2026-09-19 | Wolfsberg | 1584 | 1609 | 38.43% | 27.33% | 34.25% | +0.32 | 63.9 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Ried | 1609 | 1584 | 34.25% | 27.33% | 38.43% | -0.32 | 63.9 |
| 2026-09-19 | Austria Wien | 1540 | 1587 | 35.23% | 27.34% | 37.43% | +0.07 | 56.4 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Grazer AK | 1587 | 1540 | 37.43% | 27.34% | 35.23% | -0.07 | 56.4 |
| 2026-09-19 | SCR Altach | 1505 | 1550 | 35.55% | 27.34% | 37.11% | +0.09 | 56.0 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Austria Lustenau | 1550 | 1505 | 37.11% | 27.34% | 35.55% | -0.09 | 56.0 |
| 2026-10-10 | Rapid Wien | 1769 | 1720 | 48.33% | 26.68% | 24.99% | +1.15 | 74.9 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ LASK | 1720 | 1769 | 24.99% | 26.68% | 48.33% | -1.15 | 74.9 |
| 2026-10-10 | Austria Lustenau | 1599 | 1505 | 53.76% | 25.85% | 20.39% | +1.67 | 49.6 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Hartberg | 1505 | 1599 | 20.39% | 25.85% | 53.76% | -1.67 | 49.6 |
| 2026-10-10 | Sturm Graz | 1587 | 1698 | 26.92% | 26.91% | 46.17% | -0.66 | 52.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Austria Wien | 1698 | 1587 | 46.17% | 26.91% | 26.92% | +0.66 | 52.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | Salzburg | 1540 | 1758 | 16.77% | 24.80% | 58.43% | -1.86 | 48.0 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Grazer AK | 1758 | 1540 | 58.43% | 24.80% | 16.77% | +1.86 | 48.0 |
| 2026-10-10 | Wolfsberg | 1550 | 1609 | 33.57% | 27.31% | 39.11% | -0.07 | 57.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ SCR Altach | 1609 | 1550 | 39.11% | 27.31% | 33.57% | +0.07 | 57.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | Ried | 1588 | 1584 | 42.45% | 27.18% | 30.36% | +0.65 | 67.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ WSG Tirol | 1584 | 1588 | 30.36% | 27.18% | 42.45% | -0.65 | 67.1 |
| 2026-10-17 | Grazer AK | 1698 | 1540 | 60.44% | 24.24% | 15.32% | +2.39 | 44.3 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Sturm Graz | 1540 | 1698 | 15.32% | 24.24% | 60.44% | -2.39 | 44.3 |
| 2026-10-17 | SCR Altach | 1758 | 1550 | 65.00% | 22.70% | 12.29% | +2.94 | 47.4 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Salzburg | 1550 | 1758 | 12.29% | 22.70% | 65.00% | -2.94 | 47.4 |
| 2026-10-17 | Hartberg | 1720 | 1599 | 56.56% | 25.26% | 18.18% | +1.96 | 58.5 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Rapid Wien | 1599 | 1720 | 18.18% | 25.26% | 56.56% | -1.96 | 58.5 |
| 2026-10-17 | Austria Wien | 1584 | 1587 | 41.44% | 27.23% | 31.33% | +0.56 | 64.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Ried | 1587 | 1584 | 31.33% | 27.23% | 41.44% | -0.56 | 64.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | WSG Tirol | 1609 | 1588 | 44.67% | 27.03% | 28.29% | +0.83 | 65.0 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Wolfsberg | 1588 | 1609 | 28.29% | 27.03% | 44.67% | -0.83 | 65.0 |
| 2026-10-17 | LASK | 1505 | 1769 | 13.59% | 23.43% | 62.98% | -2.39 | 48.7 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Austria Lustenau | 1769 | 1505 | 62.98% | 23.43% | 13.59% | +2.39 | 48.7 |
| 2026-10-24 | Ried | 1698 | 1584 | 55.93% | 25.40% | 18.67% | +1.89 | 52.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Sturm Graz | 1584 | 1698 | 18.67% | 25.40% | 55.93% | -1.89 | 52.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | Salzburg | 1769 | 1758 | 43.46% | 27.12% | 29.41% | +0.73 | 79.6 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ LASK | 1758 | 1769 | 29.41% | 27.12% | 43.46% | -0.73 | 79.6 |
| 2026-10-24 | Austria Lustenau | 1720 | 1505 | 65.65% | 22.45% | 11.89% | +3.03 | 48.2 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Rapid Wien | 1505 | 1720 | 11.89% | 22.45% | 65.65% | -3.03 | 48.2 |
| 2026-10-24 | Wolfsberg | 1599 | 1609 | 40.62% | 27.26% | 32.11% | +0.49 | 65.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Hartberg | 1609 | 1599 | 32.11% | 27.26% | 40.62% | -0.49 | 65.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | Austria Wien | 1550 | 1587 | 36.62% | 27.34% | 36.04% | +0.17 | 58.4 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ SCR Altach | 1587 | 1550 | 36.04% | 27.34% | 36.62% | -0.17 | 58.4 |
| 2026-10-24 | Grazer AK | 1588 | 1540 | 48.19% | 26.70% | 25.11% | +1.14 | 58.0 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ WSG Tirol | 1540 | 1588 | 25.11% | 26.70% | 48.19% | -1.14 | 58.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | Austria Lustenau | 1758 | 1505 | 68.78% | 21.15% | 10.07% | +3.45 | 45.1 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Salzburg | 1505 | 1758 | 10.07% | 21.15% | 68.78% | -3.45 | 45.1 |
| 2026-10-31 | WSG Tirol | 1769 | 1588 | 62.59% | 23.56% | 13.85% | +2.64 | 53.6 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ LASK | 1588 | 1769 | 13.85% | 23.56% | 62.59% | -2.64 | 53.6 |
| 2026-10-31 | Sturm Graz | 1609 | 1698 | 29.54% | 27.13% | 43.33% | -0.41 | 57.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Wolfsberg | 1698 | 1609 | 43.33% | 27.13% | 29.54% | +0.41 | 57.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | Rapid Wien | 1587 | 1720 | 24.50% | 26.61% | 48.89% | -0.90 | 57.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Austria Wien | 1720 | 1587 | 48.89% | 26.61% | 24.50% | +0.90 | 57.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | Hartberg | 1540 | 1599 | 33.51% | 27.31% | 39.18% | -0.07 | 56.2 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Grazer AK | 1599 | 1540 | 39.18% | 27.31% | 33.51% | +0.07 | 56.2 |
| 2026-10-31 | Ried | 1550 | 1584 | 37.09% | 27.34% | 35.57% | +0.21 | 60.6 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ SCR Altach | 1584 | 1550 | 35.57% | 27.34% | 37.09% | -0.21 | 60.6 |
| 2026-11-07 | Salzburg | 1698 | 1758 | 33.59% | 27.31% | 39.10% | -0.07 | 68.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Sturm Graz | 1758 | 1698 | 39.10% | 27.31% | 33.59% | +0.07 | 68.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | Wolfsberg | 1720 | 1609 | 55.57% | 25.48% | 18.95% | +1.85 | 59.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Rapid Wien | 1609 | 1720 | 18.95% | 25.48% | 55.57% | -1.85 | 59.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | SCR Altach | 1599 | 1550 | 48.42% | 26.67% | 24.91% | +1.16 | 57.5 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Hartberg | 1550 | 1599 | 24.91% | 26.67% | 48.42% | -1.16 | 57.5 |
| 2026-11-07 | LASK | 1584 | 1769 | 19.39% | 25.60% | 55.01% | -1.49 | 54.5 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Ried | 1769 | 1584 | 55.01% | 25.60% | 19.39% | +1.49 | 54.5 |
| 2026-11-07 | Austria Wien | 1588 | 1587 | 42.01% | 27.20% | 30.79% | +0.61 | 65.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ WSG Tirol | 1587 | 1588 | 30.79% | 27.20% | 42.01% | -0.61 | 65.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | Grazer AK | 1505 | 1540 | 36.94% | 27.34% | 35.72% | +0.20 | 56.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Austria Lustenau | 1540 | 1505 | 35.72% | 27.34% | 36.94% | -0.20 | 56.3 |
| 2026-11-21 | Hartberg | 1769 | 1599 | 61.50% | 23.91% | 14.58% | +2.51 | 53.4 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ LASK | 1599 | 1769 | 14.58% | 23.91% | 61.50% | -2.51 | 53.4 |
| 2026-11-21 | Ried | 1609 | 1584 | 45.22% | 26.99% | 27.79% | +0.88 | 63.5 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Wolfsberg | 1584 | 1609 | 27.79% | 26.99% | 45.22% | -0.88 | 63.5 |
| 2026-11-21 | Salzburg | 1587 | 1758 | 20.73% | 25.93% | 53.34% | -1.32 | 51.5 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Austria Wien | 1758 | 1587 | 53.34% | 25.93% | 20.73% | +1.32 | 51.5 |
| 2026-11-21 | Rapid Wien | 1540 | 1720 | 19.85% | 25.72% | 54.43% | -1.43 | 51.9 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Grazer AK | 1720 | 1540 | 54.43% | 25.72% | 19.85% | +1.43 | 51.9 |
| 2026-11-21 | Sturm Graz | 1550 | 1698 | 22.82% | 26.35% | 50.84% | -1.08 | 47.9 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ SCR Altach | 1698 | 1550 | 50.84% | 26.35% | 22.82% | +1.08 | 47.9 |
| 2026-11-21 | Austria Lustenau | 1588 | 1505 | 52.44% | 26.09% | 21.47% | +1.54 | 52.6 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ WSG Tirol | 1505 | 1588 | 21.47% | 26.09% | 52.44% | -1.54 | 52.6 |
| 2026-11-28 | WSG Tirol | 1698 | 1588 | 55.48% | 25.50% | 19.02% | +1.84 | 53.9 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Sturm Graz | 1588 | 1698 | 19.02% | 25.50% | 55.48% | -1.84 | 53.9 |
| 2026-11-28 | LASK | 1758 | 1769 | 40.29% | 27.28% | 32.44% | +0.47 | 79.8 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Salzburg | 1769 | 1758 | 32.44% | 27.28% | 40.29% | -0.47 | 79.8 |
| 2026-11-28 | Hartberg | 1584 | 1599 | 39.73% | 27.29% | 32.98% | +0.42 | 64.7 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Ried | 1599 | 1584 | 32.98% | 27.29% | 39.73% | -0.42 | 64.7 |
| 2026-11-28 | Wolfsberg | 1587 | 1609 | 38.89% | 27.32% | 33.79% | +0.36 | 62.4 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Austria Wien | 1609 | 1587 | 33.79% | 27.32% | 38.89% | -0.36 | 62.4 |
| 2026-11-28 | SCR Altach | 1540 | 1550 | 40.56% | 27.27% | 32.18% | +0.49 | 60.3 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Grazer AK | 1550 | 1540 | 32.18% | 27.27% | 40.56% | -0.49 | 60.3 |
| 2026-11-28 | Rapid Wien | 1505 | 1720 | 16.94% | 24.86% | 58.21% | -1.83 | 50.2 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Austria Lustenau | 1720 | 1505 | 58.21% | 24.86% | 16.94% | +1.83 | 50.2 |
| 2026-12-05 | Austria Wien | 1698 | 1587 | 55.57% | 25.48% | 18.94% | +1.85 | 50.6 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Sturm Graz | 1587 | 1698 | 18.94% | 25.48% | 55.57% | -1.85 | 50.6 |
| 2026-12-05 | LASK | 1720 | 1769 | 34.96% | 27.34% | 37.70% | +0.04 | 75.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Rapid Wien | 1769 | 1720 | 37.70% | 27.34% | 34.96% | -0.04 | 75.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | Grazer AK | 1599 | 1540 | 49.61% | 26.52% | 23.87% | +1.27 | 55.2 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Hartberg | 1540 | 1599 | 23.87% | 26.52% | 49.61% | -1.27 | 55.2 |
| 2026-12-05 | WSG Tirol | 1584 | 1588 | 41.32% | 27.24% | 31.44% | +0.55 | 67.2 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Ried | 1588 | 1584 | 31.44% | 27.24% | 41.32% | -0.55 | 67.2 |
| 2026-12-05 | Austria Lustenau | 1609 | 1505 | 54.79% | 25.65% | 19.57% | +1.77 | 48.5 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Wolfsberg | 1505 | 1609 | 19.57% | 25.65% | 54.79% | -1.77 | 48.5 |
| 2026-12-05 | Salzburg | 1550 | 1758 | 17.51% | 25.05% | 57.43% | -1.75 | 49.4 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ SCR Altach | 1758 | 1550 | 57.43% | 25.05% | 17.51% | +1.75 | 49.4 |
| 2026-12-12 | Wolfsberg | 1758 | 1609 | 59.47% | 24.52% | 16.01% | +2.28 | 53.6 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Salzburg | 1609 | 1758 | 16.01% | 24.52% | 59.47% | -2.28 | 53.6 |
| 2026-12-12 | Austria Wien | 1769 | 1587 | 62.67% | 23.54% | 13.80% | +2.65 | 50.8 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ LASK | 1587 | 1769 | 13.80% | 23.54% | 62.67% | -2.65 | 50.8 |
| 2026-12-12 | Ried | 1720 | 1584 | 58.19% | 24.86% | 16.95% | +2.13 | 56.8 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Rapid Wien | 1584 | 1720 | 16.95% | 24.86% | 58.19% | -2.13 | 56.8 |
| 2026-12-12 | Sturm Graz | 1540 | 1698 | 21.85% | 26.17% | 51.98% | -1.19 | 46.2 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Grazer AK | 1698 | 1540 | 51.98% | 26.17% | 21.85% | +1.19 | 46.2 |
| 2026-12-12 | SCR Altach | 1588 | 1550 | 46.97% | 26.83% | 26.20% | +1.03 | 60.4 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ WSG Tirol | 1550 | 1588 | 26.20% | 26.83% | 46.97% | -1.03 | 60.4 |
| 2026-12-12 | Hartberg | 1505 | 1599 | 28.90% | 27.08% | 44.02% | -0.47 | 51.0 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Austria Lustenau | 1599 | 1505 | 44.02% | 27.08% | 28.90% | +0.47 | 51.0 |
| 2027-01-23 | Wolfsberg | 1698 | 1609 | 53.17% | 25.96% | 20.87% | +1.61 | 55.7 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Sturm Graz | 1609 | 1698 | 20.87% | 25.96% | 53.17% | -1.61 | 55.7 |
| 2027-01-23 | Rapid Wien | 1599 | 1720 | 25.87% | 26.79% | 47.34% | -0.76 | 60.1 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Hartberg | 1720 | 1599 | 47.34% | 26.79% | 25.87% | +0.76 | 60.1 |
| 2027-01-23 | SCR Altach | 1584 | 1550 | 46.44% | 26.88% | 26.68% | +0.99 | 60.0 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Ried | 1550 | 1584 | 26.68% | 26.88% | 46.44% | -0.99 | 60.0 |
| 2027-01-23 | Grazer AK | 1587 | 1540 | 48.09% | 26.71% | 25.21% | +1.13 | 55.5 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Austria Wien | 1540 | 1587 | 25.21% | 26.71% | 48.09% | -1.13 | 55.5 |
| 2027-01-23 | LASK | 1588 | 1769 | 19.75% | 25.70% | 54.55% | -1.45 | 55.5 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ WSG Tirol | 1769 | 1588 | 54.55% | 25.70% | 19.75% | +1.45 | 55.5 |
| 2027-01-23 | Salzburg | 1505 | 1758 | 14.31% | 23.79% | 61.90% | -2.26 | 47.2 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Austria Lustenau | 1758 | 1505 | 61.90% | 23.79% | 14.31% | +2.26 | 47.2 |
| 2027-01-30 | Ried | 1758 | 1584 | 61.89% | 23.79% | 14.32% | +2.56 | 51.6 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Salzburg | 1584 | 1758 | 14.32% | 23.79% | 61.89% | -2.56 | 51.6 |
| 2027-01-30 | Sturm Graz | 1769 | 1698 | 50.95% | 26.33% | 22.72% | +1.40 | 67.8 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ LASK | 1698 | 1769 | 22.72% | 26.33% | 50.95% | -1.40 | 67.8 |
| 2027-01-30 | Austria Wien | 1720 | 1587 | 57.85% | 24.95% | 17.20% | +2.10 | 55.3 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Rapid Wien | 1587 | 1720 | 17.20% | 24.95% | 57.85% | -2.10 | 55.3 |
| 2027-01-30 | Hartberg | 1609 | 1599 | 43.14% | 27.14% | 29.72% | +0.70 | 65.1 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Wolfsberg | 1599 | 1609 | 29.72% | 27.14% | 43.14% | -0.70 | 65.1 |
| 2027-01-30 | WSG Tirol | 1540 | 1588 | 35.11% | 27.34% | 37.55% | +0.06 | 58.9 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Grazer AK | 1588 | 1540 | 37.55% | 27.34% | 35.11% | -0.06 | 58.9 |
| 2027-01-30 | Austria Lustenau | 1550 | 1505 | 47.80% | 26.74% | 25.46% | +1.11 | 55.2 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ SCR Altach | 1505 | 1550 | 25.46% | 26.74% | 47.80% | -1.11 | 55.2 |
| 2027-02-06 | Wolfsberg | 1769 | 1609 | 60.62% | 24.19% | 15.20% | +2.41 | 54.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ LASK | 1609 | 1769 | 15.20% | 24.19% | 60.62% | -2.41 | 54.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | Salzburg | 1599 | 1758 | 21.91% | 26.18% | 51.92% | -1.18 | 54.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Hartberg | 1758 | 1599 | 51.92% | 26.18% | 21.91% | +1.18 | 54.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | SCR Altach | 1587 | 1550 | 46.86% | 26.84% | 26.30% | +1.02 | 57.7 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Austria Wien | 1550 | 1587 | 26.30% | 26.84% | 46.86% | -1.02 | 57.7 |
| 2027-02-06 | Ried | 1540 | 1584 | 35.70% | 27.34% | 36.96% | +0.10 | 58.5 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Grazer AK | 1584 | 1540 | 36.96% | 27.34% | 35.70% | -0.10 | 58.5 |
| 2027-02-06 | Rapid Wien | 1588 | 1720 | 24.59% | 26.63% | 48.78% | -0.89 | 59.8 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ WSG Tirol | 1720 | 1588 | 48.78% | 26.63% | 24.59% | +0.89 | 59.8 |
| 2027-02-06 | Sturm Graz | 1505 | 1698 | 18.65% | 25.40% | 55.94% | -1.59 | 43.8 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Austria Lustenau | 1698 | 1505 | 55.94% | 25.40% | 18.65% | +1.59 | 43.8 |
| 2027-02-13 | Rapid Wien | 1698 | 1720 | 38.90% | 27.32% | 33.78% | +0.36 | 75.3 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Sturm Graz | 1720 | 1698 | 33.78% | 27.32% | 38.90% | -0.36 | 75.3 |
| 2027-02-13 | WSG Tirol | 1758 | 1588 | 61.49% | 23.92% | 14.59% | +2.51 | 52.9 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Salzburg | 1588 | 1758 | 14.59% | 23.92% | 61.49% | -2.51 | 52.9 |
| 2027-02-13 | Austria Lustenau | 1584 | 1505 | 51.96% | 26.17% | 21.87% | +1.49 | 52.2 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Ried | 1505 | 1584 | 21.87% | 26.17% | 51.96% | -1.49 | 52.2 |
| 2027-02-13 | Grazer AK | 1609 | 1540 | 50.73% | 26.36% | 22.91% | +1.38 | 54.0 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Wolfsberg | 1540 | 1609 | 22.91% | 26.36% | 50.73% | -1.38 | 54.0 |
| 2027-02-13 | Hartberg | 1587 | 1599 | 40.18% | 27.28% | 32.54% | +0.46 | 63.1 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Austria Wien | 1599 | 1587 | 32.54% | 27.28% | 40.18% | -0.46 | 63.1 |
| 2027-02-13 | LASK | 1550 | 1769 | 16.62% | 24.75% | 58.63% | -1.88 | 50.8 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ SCR Altach | 1769 | 1550 | 58.63% | 24.75% | 16.62% | +1.88 | 50.8 |
| 2027-02-20 | Salzburg | 1720 | 1758 | 36.62% | 27.34% | 36.04% | +0.18 | 76.7 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Rapid Wien | 1758 | 1720 | 36.04% | 27.34% | 36.62% | -0.18 | 76.7 |
| 2027-02-20 | WSG Tirol | 1599 | 1588 | 43.45% | 27.12% | 29.43% | +0.73 | 66.0 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Hartberg | 1588 | 1599 | 29.43% | 27.12% | 43.45% | -0.73 | 66.0 |
| 2027-02-20 | Sturm Graz | 1584 | 1698 | 26.54% | 26.87% | 46.59% | -0.69 | 53.8 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Ried | 1698 | 1584 | 46.59% | 26.87% | 26.54% | +0.69 | 53.8 |
| 2027-02-20 | SCR Altach | 1609 | 1550 | 49.56% | 26.53% | 23.92% | +1.27 | 56.3 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Wolfsberg | 1550 | 1609 | 23.92% | 26.53% | 49.56% | -1.27 | 56.3 |
| 2027-02-20 | LASK | 1540 | 1769 | 15.91% | 24.48% | 59.61% | -1.99 | 49.6 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Grazer AK | 1769 | 1540 | 59.61% | 24.48% | 15.91% | +1.99 | 49.6 |
| 2027-02-20 | Austria Wien | 1505 | 1587 | 30.46% | 27.19% | 42.36% | -0.33 | 51.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Austria Lustenau | 1587 | 1505 | 42.36% | 27.19% | 30.46% | +0.33 | 51.1 |
| 2027-02-27 | Hartberg | 1698 | 1599 | 54.21% | 25.76% | 20.02% | +1.72 | 54.1 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Sturm Graz | 1599 | 1698 | 20.02% | 25.76% | 54.21% | -1.72 | 54.1 |
| 2027-02-27 | Grazer AK | 1758 | 1540 | 65.85% | 22.38% | 11.78% | +3.05 | 46.0 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Salzburg | 1540 | 1758 | 11.78% | 22.38% | 65.85% | -3.05 | 46.0 |
| 2027-02-27 | Austria Lustenau | 1769 | 1505 | 69.70% | 20.73% | 9.57% | +3.58 | 46.7 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ LASK | 1505 | 1769 | 9.57% | 20.73% | 69.70% | -3.58 | 46.7 |
| 2027-02-27 | Ried | 1587 | 1584 | 42.34% | 27.19% | 30.48% | +0.64 | 64.1 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Austria Wien | 1584 | 1587 | 30.48% | 27.19% | 42.34% | -0.64 | 64.1 |
| 2027-02-27 | Rapid Wien | 1550 | 1720 | 20.73% | 25.93% | 53.34% | -1.32 | 53.5 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ SCR Altach | 1720 | 1550 | 53.34% | 25.93% | 20.73% | +1.32 | 53.5 |
| 2027-02-27 | Wolfsberg | 1588 | 1609 | 39.01% | 27.31% | 33.67% | +0.36 | 65.4 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ WSG Tirol | 1609 | 1588 | 33.67% | 27.31% | 39.01% | -0.36 | 65.4 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2026-08-15 | 24.47% | @ Austria Lustenau | 1536 | 2 | Wolfsberg | 1669 | 1 |
| 2 | 2026-09-12 | 26.52% | Grazer AK | 1527 | 2 | @ SCR Altach | 1563 | 1 |
| 3 | 2026-08-28 | 27.60% | WSG Tirol | 1526 | 4 | @ Austria Lustenau | 1553 | 0 |
| 4 | 2026-09-02 | 27.65% | WSG Tirol | 1575 | 1 | @ Austria Wien | 1601 | 0 |
| 5 | 2026-08-22 | 29.44% | Hartberg | 1578 | 2 | @ SCR Altach | 1590 | 1 |
| 6 | 2026-08-16 | 29.60% | Austria Wien | 1593 | 2 | @ Hartberg | 1603 | 0 |
| 7 | 2026-08-09 | 34.23% | Rapid Wien | 1632 | 2 | @ Ried | 1608 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-08-16 | 58.01 | @ Rapid Wien | 8 | 1644 | 48.66% | Grazer AK | 0 | 1592 | 24.70% | 26.64% |
| 2 | 2026-08-28 | 48.20 | WSG Tirol | 4 | 1526 | 27.60% | @ Austria Lustenau | 0 | 1553 | 45.42% | 26.97% |
| 3 | 2026-09-12 | 30.02 | Rapid Wien | 3 | 1690 | 38.00% | @ Wolfsberg | 0 | 1639 | 34.67% | 27.33% |
| 4 | 2026-09-02 | 28.82 | @ Salzburg | 5 | 1731 | 43.53% | Rapid Wien | 1 | 1719 | 29.35% | 27.12% |
| 5 | 2026-08-02 | 27.11 | @ Wolfsberg | 3 | 1642 | 42.55% | Austria Wien | 0 | 1638 | 30.27% | 27.18% |
| 6 | 2026-08-16 | 24.43 | Austria Wien | 2 | 1593 | 29.60% | @ Hartberg | 0 | 1603 | 43.27% | 27.13% |
| 7 | 2026-08-16 | 21.97 | Salzburg | 3 | 1693 | 50.28% | @ WSG Tirol | 0 | 1548 | 23.29% | 26.43% |
| 8 | 2026-07-31 | 20.63 | @ LASK | 3 | 1686 | 52.26% | Grazer AK | 0 | 1604 | 21.62% | 26.12% |
| 9 | 2026-08-08 | 19.48 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 1693 | 40.71% | @ Hartberg | 0 | 1622 | 32.03% | 27.26% |
| 10 | 2026-08-09 | 17.94 | LASK | 2 | 1707 | 44.18% | @ Austria Wien | 0 | 1610 | 28.75% | 27.07% |
| 11 | 2026-08-30 | 17.16 | @ Rapid Wien | 3 | 1702 | 39.95% | Sturm Graz | 1 | 1716 | 32.76% | 27.29% |
| 12 | 2026-08-30 | 16.36 | @ Salzburg | 4 | 1715 | 54.06% | Austria Wien | 1 | 1617 | 20.15% | 25.79% |
| 13 | 2026-08-07 | 15.54 | @ SCR Altach | 3 | 1581 | 44.16% | WSG Tirol | 1 | 1564 | 28.77% | 27.07% |
| 14 | 2026-09-01 | 15.35 | LASK | 3 | 1754 | 44.66% | @ Wolfsberg | 1 | 1654 | 28.31% | 27.04% |
| 15 | 2026-08-29 | 14.85 | @ LASK | 3 | 1739 | 60.73% | SCR Altach | 0 | 1577 | 15.12% | 24.15% |
| 16 | 2026-08-14 | 14.46 | @ LASK | 4 | 1724 | 57.34% | Ried | 1 | 1597 | 17.58% | 25.08% |
| 17 | 2026-08-15 | 13.51 | @ Austria Lustenau | 2 | 1536 | 24.47% | Wolfsberg | 1 | 1669 | 48.92% | 26.61% |
| 18 | 2026-09-02 | 13.46 | WSG Tirol | 1 | 1575 | 27.65% | @ Austria Wien | 0 | 1601 | 45.37% | 26.98% |
| 19 | 2026-09-12 | 12.97 | Grazer AK | 2 | 1527 | 26.52% | @ SCR Altach | 1 | 1563 | 46.61% | 26.86% |
| 20 | 2026-08-22 | 12.25 | Hartberg | 2 | 1578 | 29.44% | @ SCR Altach | 1 | 1590 | 43.43% | 27.12% |
| 21 | 2026-08-09 | 11.15 | Rapid Wien | 2 | 1632 | 34.23% | @ Ried | 1 | 1608 | 38.44% | 27.32% |
| 22 | 2026-08-30 | 9.00 | @ Hartberg | 3 | 1590 | 41.87% | Ried | 2 | 1591 | 30.92% | 27.21% |
| 23 | 2026-08-02 | 8.98 | @ Rapid Wien | 1 | 1623 | 46.38% | SCR Altach | 0 | 1590 | 26.73% | 26.89% |
| 24 | 2026-08-21 | 8.53 | @ Ried | 1 | 1582 | 48.22% | Grazer AK | 0 | 1534 | 25.09% | 26.69% |
| 25 | 2026-08-01 | 8.38 | @ Salzburg | 1 | 1684 | 48.85% | Hartberg | 0 | 1631 | 24.53% | 26.62% |
Most & Least Exciting Games
The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-09-11 | 70.8 | @ Ried | 1 | 1582 | 20.02% | Salzburg | 1 | 1760 | 54.21% | 25.76% |
| 2 | 2026-08-09 | 70.5 | @ Wolfsberg | 1 | 1670 | 38.72% | Salzburg | 1 | 1692 | 33.96% | 27.32% |
| 3 | 2026-08-22 | 70.4 | @ Sturm Graz | 1 | 1719 | 61.46% | Austria Lustenau | 1 | 1550 | 14.61% | 23.93% |
| 4 | 2026-08-01 | 69.4 | @ WSG Tirol | 1 | 1562 | 24.60% | Sturm Graz | 1 | 1694 | 48.77% | 26.63% |
| 5 | 2026-08-15 | 68.2 | @ Austria Lustenau | 2 | 1536 | 24.47% | Wolfsberg | 1 | 1669 | 48.92% | 26.61% |
| 6 | 2026-08-30 | 67.8 | @ Hartberg | 3 | 1590 | 41.87% | Ried | 2 | 1591 | 30.92% | 27.21% |
| 7 | 2026-08-02 | 66.9 | @ Austria Lustenau | 1 | 1544 | 32.90% | Ried | 1 | 1608 | 39.81% | 27.29% |
| 8 | 2026-08-09 | 65.9 | Rapid Wien | 2 | 1632 | 34.23% | @ Ried | 1 | 1608 | 38.44% | 27.32% |
| 9 | 2026-08-22 | 65.8 | Hartberg | 2 | 1578 | 29.44% | @ SCR Altach | 1 | 1590 | 43.43% | 27.12% |
| 10 | 2026-08-30 | 64.6 | @ Rapid Wien | 3 | 1702 | 39.95% | Sturm Graz | 1 | 1716 | 32.76% | 27.29% |
| 11 | 2026-09-12 | 64.3 | Grazer AK | 2 | 1527 | 26.52% | @ SCR Altach | 1 | 1563 | 46.61% | 26.86% |
| 12 | 2026-08-29 | 63.5 | @ Grazer AK | 0 | 1525 | 24.75% | Wolfsberg | 0 | 1656 | 48.60% | 26.65% |
| 13 | 2026-09-01 | 63.1 | LASK | 3 | 1754 | 44.66% | @ Wolfsberg | 1 | 1654 | 28.31% | 27.04% |
| 14 | 2026-09-02 | 60.9 | WSG Tirol | 1 | 1575 | 27.65% | @ Austria Wien | 0 | 1601 | 45.37% | 26.98% |
| 15 | 2026-09-02 | 59.8 | @ Salzburg | 5 | 1731 | 43.53% | Rapid Wien | 1 | 1719 | 29.35% | 27.12% |
| 16 | 2026-08-08 | 59.4 | @ Grazer AK | 2 | 1583 | 47.05% | Austria Lustenau | 1 | 1544 | 26.13% | 26.82% |
| 17 | 2026-08-07 | 59.1 | @ SCR Altach | 3 | 1581 | 44.16% | WSG Tirol | 1 | 1564 | 28.77% | 27.07% |
| 18 | 2026-08-16 | 58.8 | Austria Wien | 2 | 1593 | 29.60% | @ Hartberg | 0 | 1603 | 43.27% | 27.13% |
| 19 | 2026-08-30 | 57.6 | @ Salzburg | 4 | 1715 | 54.06% | Austria Wien | 1 | 1617 | 20.15% | 25.79% |
| 20 | 2026-08-08 | 57.5 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 1693 | 40.71% | @ Hartberg | 0 | 1622 | 32.03% | 27.26% |
| 21 | 2026-08-01 | 57.1 | @ Salzburg | 1 | 1684 | 48.85% | Hartberg | 0 | 1631 | 24.53% | 26.62% |
| 22 | 2026-09-12 | 57.0 | Rapid Wien | 3 | 1690 | 38.00% | @ Wolfsberg | 0 | 1639 | 34.67% | 27.33% |
| 23 | 2026-08-09 | 56.5 | LASK | 2 | 1707 | 44.18% | @ Austria Wien | 0 | 1610 | 28.75% | 27.07% |
| 24 | 2026-08-14 | 56.5 | @ LASK | 4 | 1724 | 57.34% | Ried | 1 | 1597 | 17.58% | 25.08% |
| 25 | 2026-08-02 | 56.2 | @ Rapid Wien | 1 | 1623 | 46.38% | SCR Altach | 0 | 1590 | 26.73% | 26.89% |
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-08-29 | 50.1 | @ LASK | 3 | 1739 | 60.73% | SCR Altach | 0 | 1577 | 15.12% | 24.15% |
| 2 | 2026-08-16 | 52.1 | Salzburg | 3 | 1693 | 50.28% | @ WSG Tirol | 0 | 1548 | 23.29% | 26.43% |
| 3 | 2026-07-31 | 52.3 | @ LASK | 3 | 1686 | 52.26% | Grazer AK | 0 | 1604 | 21.62% | 26.12% |
| 4 | 2026-08-16 | 52.3 | @ Rapid Wien | 8 | 1644 | 48.66% | Grazer AK | 0 | 1592 | 24.70% | 26.64% |
| 5 | 2026-08-21 | 53.1 | @ Ried | 1 | 1582 | 48.22% | Grazer AK | 0 | 1534 | 25.09% | 26.69% |
| 6 | 2026-08-28 | 54.0 | WSG Tirol | 4 | 1526 | 27.60% | @ Austria Lustenau | 0 | 1553 | 45.42% | 26.97% |
| 7 | 2026-08-15 | 54.8 | @ Sturm Graz | 1 | 1712 | 56.08% | SCR Altach | 0 | 1596 | 18.55% | 25.37% |
| 8 | 2026-08-02 | 55.0 | @ Wolfsberg | 3 | 1642 | 42.55% | Austria Wien | 0 | 1638 | 30.27% | 27.18% |
| 9 | 2026-08-02 | 56.2 | @ Rapid Wien | 1 | 1623 | 46.38% | SCR Altach | 0 | 1590 | 26.73% | 26.89% |
| 10 | 2026-08-09 | 56.5 | LASK | 2 | 1707 | 44.18% | @ Austria Wien | 0 | 1610 | 28.75% | 27.07% |
| 11 | 2026-08-14 | 56.5 | @ LASK | 4 | 1724 | 57.34% | Ried | 1 | 1597 | 17.58% | 25.08% |
| 12 | 2026-09-12 | 57.0 | Rapid Wien | 3 | 1690 | 38.00% | @ Wolfsberg | 0 | 1639 | 34.67% | 27.33% |
| 13 | 2026-08-01 | 57.1 | @ Salzburg | 1 | 1684 | 48.85% | Hartberg | 0 | 1631 | 24.53% | 26.62% |
| 14 | 2026-08-08 | 57.5 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 1693 | 40.71% | @ Hartberg | 0 | 1622 | 32.03% | 27.26% |
| 15 | 2026-08-30 | 57.6 | @ Salzburg | 4 | 1715 | 54.06% | Austria Wien | 1 | 1617 | 20.15% | 25.79% |
| 16 | 2026-08-16 | 58.8 | Austria Wien | 2 | 1593 | 29.60% | @ Hartberg | 0 | 1603 | 43.27% | 27.13% |
| 17 | 2026-08-07 | 59.1 | @ SCR Altach | 3 | 1581 | 44.16% | WSG Tirol | 1 | 1564 | 28.77% | 27.07% |
| 18 | 2026-08-08 | 59.4 | @ Grazer AK | 2 | 1583 | 47.05% | Austria Lustenau | 1 | 1544 | 26.13% | 26.82% |
| 19 | 2026-09-02 | 59.8 | @ Salzburg | 5 | 1731 | 43.53% | Rapid Wien | 1 | 1719 | 29.35% | 27.12% |
| 20 | 2026-09-02 | 60.9 | WSG Tirol | 1 | 1575 | 27.65% | @ Austria Wien | 0 | 1601 | 45.37% | 26.98% |
| 21 | 2026-09-01 | 63.1 | LASK | 3 | 1754 | 44.66% | @ Wolfsberg | 1 | 1654 | 28.31% | 27.04% |
| 22 | 2026-08-29 | 63.5 | @ Grazer AK | 0 | 1525 | 24.75% | Wolfsberg | 0 | 1656 | 48.60% | 26.65% |
| 23 | 2026-09-12 | 64.3 | Grazer AK | 2 | 1527 | 26.52% | @ SCR Altach | 1 | 1563 | 46.61% | 26.86% |
| 24 | 2026-08-30 | 64.6 | @ Rapid Wien | 3 | 1702 | 39.95% | Sturm Graz | 1 | 1716 | 32.76% | 27.29% |
| 25 | 2026-08-22 | 65.8 | Hartberg | 2 | 1578 | 29.44% | @ SCR Altach | 1 | 1590 | 43.43% | 27.12% |