1998-99 Bundesliga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Sturm Graz

73 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rapid Wien

8.90 points above expected

70 points · 61.10 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Austria Lustenau

12.21 points below expected

23 points · 35.21 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sturm Graz	36	23	4	9	73	72	32	+40	68.36	+4.64
2	Rapid Wien	36	19	13	4	70	50	25	+25	61.10	+8.90
3	Grazer AK	36	20	5	11	65	46	29	+17	57.14	+7.86
4	Austria Salzburg	36	15	12	9	57	55	40	+15	57.27	-0.27
5	LASK Linz	36	17	6	13	57	53	44	+9	54.73	+2.27
6	Tirol Innsbruck	36	15	10	11	55	49	41	+8	47.88	+7.12
7	Austria Wien	36	13	11	12	50	41	44	-3	42.54	+7.46
8	Ried	36	8	8	20	32	25	47	-22	42.08	-10.08
9	Austria Lustenau	36	4	11	21	23	24	61	-37	35.21	-12.21
10	Vorwarts Steyr	36	3	6	27	15	29	81	-52	—	—

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Rapid Wien	70	61.10	+8.90
2	Grazer AK	65	57.14	+7.86
3	Austria Wien	50	42.54	+7.46
4	Tirol Innsbruck	55	47.88	+7.12
5	Sturm Graz	73	68.36	+4.64

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Austria Lustenau	23	35.21	-12.21
2	Ried	32	42.08	-10.08
3	Austria Salzburg	57	57.27	-0.27
4	LASK Linz	57	54.73	+2.27
5	Sturm Graz	73	68.36	+4.64

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sturm Graz	9	Sep 19 – Nov 11	1 in 229
2	Rapid Wien	5	Aug 5 – Sep 8	1 in 70
3	LASK Linz	4	Sep 26 – Oct 23	1 in 40
4	Grazer AK	3	Aug 5 – Aug 15	1 in 36
5	Tirol Innsbruck	4	May 7 – May 23	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sturm Graz	3	Aug 15 – Sep 9	1 in 64
2	Tirol Innsbruck	4	Aug 8 – Sep 9	1 in 36
3	Grazer AK	2	Mar 12 – Mar 16	1 in 23
4	LASK Linz	3	Nov 22 – Dec 4	1 in 22
5	Austria Lustenau	4	Sep 26 – Oct 24	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Austria Salzburg	12	Mar 13 – May 11	1 in 100
2	Rapid Wien	15	Nov 15 – May 1	1 in 78
3	Tirol Innsbruck	8	Apr 14 – May 23	1 in 34
4	Austria Wien	6	Mar 31 – Apr 24	1 in 34
5	LASK Linz	9	Sep 23 – Nov 15	1 in 33

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tirol Innsbruck	8	Aug 1 – Sep 23	1 in 25
2	Rapid Wien	4	May 1 – May 15	1 in 22
3	LASK Linz	6	Apr 3 – May 1	1 in 20
4	Austria Lustenau	8	Jul 29 – Sep 19	1 in 17
5	Sturm Graz	4	Aug 8 – Sep 9	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Sturm Graz	1849	73	+9	10	9.4	+0.6
Rapid Wien	1788	70	-13	6	8.3	-2.3
Grazer AK	1751	65	+18	9	7.7	+1.3
LASK Linz	1709	57	+7	12	8.4	+3.6
Austria Salzburg	1783	57	+3	8	8.3	-0.3
Tirol Innsbruck	1721	55	+33	12	7.4	+4.6
Austria Wien	1645	50	-13	7	7.1	-0.1
Ried	1596	32	-17	4	5.1	-1.1
Austria Lustenau	1540	23	-7	3	4.2	-1.2
Vorwarts Steyr	1488	15	-20	0	3.2	-3.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AL	AS	AW	GA	LL	RW	RIE	SG	TI
Austria Lustenau	—	1-2-1 3.22	0-3-1 4.61	1-0-3 3.24	0-0-4 3.70	2-0-2 2.86	0-1-3 4.57	0-0-4 2.51	0-2-2 3.92
Austria Salzburg	1-2-1 7.89	—	2-0-2 7.00	3-0-1 5.41	1-0-3 5.98	0-3-1 5.10	1-3-0 7.05	2-1-1 4.13	1-3-0 6.40
Austria Wien	1-3-0 6.38	2-0-2 4.01	—	0-2-2 4.12	3-1-0 4.02	0-2-2 3.64	2-0-2 5.50	1-1-2 3.01	0-2-2 5.00
Grazer AK	3-0-1 7.85	1-0-3 5.53	2-2-0 6.88	—	2-1-1 5.73	1-1-2 5.14	4-0-0 7.16	2-0-2 4.30	1-1-2 6.39
LASK Linz	4-0-0 7.33	3-0-1 4.97	0-1-3 6.97	1-1-2 5.23	—	0-1-3 5.13	3-1-0 6.69	1-1-2 4.05	2-0-2 6.21
Rapid Wien	2-0-2 8.29	1-3-0 5.87	2-2-0 7.40	2-1-1 5.81	3-1-0 5.84	—	2-2-0 7.62	2-1-1 4.54	2-2-0 6.86
Ried	3-1-0 6.39	0-3-1 3.99	2-0-2 5.44	0-0-4 3.86	0-1-3 4.30	0-2-2 3.45	—	0-0-4 3.01	1-0-3 4.80
Sturm Graz	4-0-0 8.72	1-1-2 6.85	2-1-1 8.13	2-0-2 6.69	2-1-1 6.95	1-1-2 6.44	4-0-0 8.13	—	3-0-1 7.56
Tirol Innsbruck	2-2-0 7.09	0-3-1 4.58	2-2-0 5.97	2-1-1 4.58	2-0-2 4.76	0-2-2 4.14	3-0-1 6.15	1-0-3 3.51	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.77	+11.6
Allowed	0.87	-11.3
Differential	0.98	+6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.56%	10.00%	6.94%	4.44%	1.39%	0.83%	34.17%
1	10.00%	11.67%	5.00%	4.17%	1.94%	0.56%	33.33%
2	6.94%	5.00%	1.11%	1.67%	0.28%	0.83%	15.83%
3	4.44%	4.17%	1.67%	0.56%	—	—	10.83%
4	1.39%	1.94%	0.28%	—	—	—	3.61%
5+	0.83%	0.56%	0.83%	—	—	—	2.22%
Total	34.17%	33.33%	15.83%	10.83%	3.61%	2.22%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	1.23	+0.00
SD	1.26	1.26	1.91
CV	1.02	1.02	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	50.00%
1	—	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	25.00%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.67	1.69	-1.03
SD	0.76	1.26	1.52
CV	1.13	0.74	—
Max	2	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	11.11%	19.44%	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	44.44%
2	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
3	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	36.11%	33.33%	13.89%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.11	+0.42
SD	1.21	1.09	1.56
CV	0.79	0.98	—
Max	5	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	2.78%	5.56%	13.89%	—	—	38.89%
1	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
3	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	13.89%	16.67%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.22	-0.08
SD	1.25	1.17	1.86
CV	1.09	0.96	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	30.56%
1	19.44%	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	33.33%
2	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	55.56%	25.00%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	0.81	+0.47
SD	1.16	1.21	1.93
CV	0.91	1.51	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	5.56%	13.89%	—	2.78%	2.78%	38.89%
1	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	19.44%
2	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	33.33%	30.56%	25.00%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.22	+0.25
SD	1.58	1.22	2.20
CV	1.07	1.00	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	22.22%	19.44%	2.78%	—	—	—	44.44%
2	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	47.22%	38.89%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	0.69	+0.69
SD	1.27	0.79	1.43
CV	0.92	1.13	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	27.78%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	58.33%
1	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	19.44%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	41.67%	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.69	1.31	-0.61
SD	0.95	1.41	1.68
CV	1.37	1.08	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
2	11.11%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
3	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	44.44%	30.56%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	0.89	+1.11
SD	1.59	0.98	1.95
CV	0.79	1.10	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	25.00%
1	19.44%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	44.44%
2	—	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
3	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	30.56%	19.44%	11.11%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.14	+0.22
SD	1.25	1.13	1.85
CV	0.92	0.99	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	41.67%
1	—	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	38.89%
2	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	5.56%	16.67%
3	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	36.11%	13.89%	16.67%	13.89%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	2.25	-1.44
SD	0.82	1.56	1.61
CV	1.02	0.69	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Sturm Graz	1849	73	68.36	+4.64	75.1%	44	56	64	68	73	80	94
Rapid Wien	1788	70	61.10	+8.90	90.2%	36	49	56	61	66	74	88
Austria Salzburg	1783	57	57.27	-0.27	49.4%	33	45	52	58	62	70	81
Grazer AK	1751	65	57.14	+7.86	88.1%	32	45	52	58	62	70	83
Tirol Innsbruck	1721	55	47.88	+7.12	84.8%	25	36	43	48	53	61	69
LASK Linz	1709	57	54.73	+2.27	64.4%	31	42	50	54	60	68	79
Austria Wien	1645	50	42.54	+7.46	85.9%	20	30	38	42	47	55	70
Ried	1596	32	42.08	-10.08	9.9%	21	30	37	42	47	54	66
Austria Lustenau	1540	23	35.21	-12.21	3.7%	17	24	30	35	40	47	57

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+19.44%

Clear Edge

47.78%23.89%28.33%

Elo Value

Home Edge

145 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

068.43400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.44 goals

Neutral

-2+0.47+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.5

Top-Heavy

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

60%

Sturm Graz, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

0.08/gm

Photo Finish

00.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.99 * Some Luck: 5.99 to 8.98 * Lucky: 8.98 to 11.98 * Wild Swing: 11.98 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.43 points

Some Luck

07.4919

Average Finish Error

0.22

00.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

90.20%

Rapid Wien

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

3.70%

Austria Lustenau

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Top-Heavy

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

2.21

Wide Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

69%

Slight Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

86%

Strong Edge

50%87%100%

Close Games

Expected

57%

Very Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

20%

Frequent

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.55

Highly Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.37

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.96

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.88

Near-Lock

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Chalky

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

16%

As Expected

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.57

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.46

Very Underconfident

0.3980411.001.60196

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.078

Well Within Noise

00.1210.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Sturm Graz	59.90%	22.70%	10.20%	4.40%	2.00%	0.70%	0.10%	—	—
Rapid Wien	17.00%	29.50%	22.40%	13.40%	11.00%	4.50%	1.50%	0.60%	0.10%
Grazer AK	8.20%	16.90%	21.60%	21.20%	15.40%	10.20%	4.30%	2.00%	0.20%
Austria Salzburg	7.70%	16.90%	21.10%	20.90%	16.50%	9.70%	5.00%	2.00%	0.20%
LASK Linz	6.40%	10.60%	14.20%	21.10%	20.90%	13.70%	8.40%	3.70%	1.00%
Tirol Innsbruck	0.50%	2.30%	6.80%	10.90%	17.80%	24.30%	19.90%	11.80%	5.70%
Austria Wien	0.20%	0.60%	1.60%	4.70%	7.40%	16.60%	24.30%	29.20%	15.40%
Ried	0.10%	0.50%	2.00%	2.60%	6.70%	15.40%	27.00%	28.30%	17.40%
Austria Lustenau	—	—	0.10%	0.80%	2.30%	4.90%	9.50%	22.40%	60.00%
Vorwarts Steyr	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level
Austria Lustenau	100%
Austria Salzburg	100%
Austria Wien	100%
Grazer AK	100%
LASK Linz	100%
Rapid Wien	100%
Ried	100%
Sturm Graz	100%
Tirol Innsbruck	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1998-07-28	Austria Wien	W 2-0	49.2	1799	1623	67.67%	18.79%	13.54%	+1.69	+4.0	3
1998-07-28	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-2	49.2	1623	1799	13.54%	18.79%	67.67%	-1.69	-4.0	0
1998-07-29	Austria Lustenau	W 3-0	49.6	1704	1623	56.81%	23.55%	19.64%	+1.03	+8.8	3
1998-07-29	@ LASK Linz	L 0-3	49.6	1623	1704	19.64%	23.55%	56.81%	-1.03	-8.8	0
1998-07-29	Grazer AK	L 0-1	58.4	1588	1719	28.49%	26.62%	44.90%	-0.43	-4.5	0
1998-07-29	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 1-0	58.4	1719	1588	44.90%	26.62%	28.49%	+0.43	+4.5	3
1998-07-29	Ried	W 1-0	56.8	1690	1652	51.33%	25.27%	23.39%	+0.73	+3.8	3
1998-07-29	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-1	56.8	1652	1690	23.39%	25.27%	51.33%	-0.73	-3.8	0
1998-08-01	Tirol Innsbruck	D 2-2	77.4	1614	1694	35.11%	27.24%	37.66%	-0.08	+0.1	1
1998-08-01	@ Austria Lustenau	D 2-2	77.4	1694	1614	37.66%	27.24%	35.11%	+0.08	-0.1	4
1998-08-01	Vorwarts Steyr	W 4-1	54.2	1619	1584	51.01%	25.36%	23.63%	+0.72	+8.9	3
1998-08-01	@ Austria Wien	L 1-4	54.2	1584	1619	23.63%	25.36%	51.01%	-0.72	-8.9	0
1998-08-01	Sturm Graz	L 0-1	58.6	1648	1803	25.93%	26.06%	48.01%	-0.59	-4.2	0
1998-08-01	@ Ried	W 1-0	58.6	1803	1648	48.01%	26.06%	25.93%	+0.59	+4.2	6
1998-08-01	LASK Linz	L 1-3	68.4	1747	1712	50.92%	25.38%	23.69%	+0.71	-11.5	0
1998-08-01	@ Austria Salzburg	W 3-1	68.4	1712	1747	23.69%	25.38%	50.92%	-0.71	+11.5	6
1998-08-02	Rapid Wien	D 1-1	73.1	1724	1726	46.10%	26.42%	27.47%	+0.46	-0.6	4
1998-08-02	@ Grazer AK	D 1-1	73.1	1726	1724	27.47%	26.42%	46.10%	-0.46	+0.5	1
1998-08-04	Austria Lustenau	W 3-0	46.6	1807	1614	69.43%	17.89%	12.68%	+1.81	+5.4	9
1998-08-04	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-3	46.6	1614	1807	12.68%	17.89%	69.43%	-1.81	-5.4	1
1998-08-05	Ried	W 1-0	58.1	1627	1644	44.03%	26.74%	29.23%	+0.36	+4.6	6
1998-08-05	@ Austria Wien	L 0-1	58.1	1644	1627	29.23%	26.74%	44.03%	-0.36	-4.6	0
1998-08-05	Grazer AK	L 0-1	64.8	1724	1723	46.43%	26.37%	27.20%	+0.48	-6.6	6
1998-08-05	@ LASK Linz	W 1-0	64.8	1723	1724	27.20%	26.37%	46.43%	-0.48	+6.6	7
1998-08-05	Rapid Wien	L 1-2	63.3	1575	1726	26.22%	26.14%	47.65%	-0.57	-4.0	0
1998-08-05	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 2-1	63.3	1726	1575	47.65%	26.14%	26.22%	+0.57	+4.0	4
1998-08-08	Austria Wien	D 1-1	70.8	1608	1632	43.10%	26.86%	30.04%	+0.31	-0.4	2
1998-08-08	@ Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	70.8	1632	1608	30.04%	26.86%	43.10%	-0.31	+0.4	7
1998-08-08	Tirol Innsbruck	W 2-0	54.2	1730	1694	51.16%	25.32%	23.52%	+0.72	+7.2	10
1998-08-08	@ Grazer AK	L 0-2	54.2	1694	1730	23.52%	25.32%	51.16%	-0.72	-7.2	4
1998-08-08	LASK Linz	W 5-0	52.9	1730	1717	48.06%	26.05%	25.89%	+0.56	+18.3	7
1998-08-08	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-5	52.9	1717	1730	25.89%	26.05%	48.06%	-0.56	-18.4	6
1998-08-08	Vorwarts Steyr	D 0-0	66.1	1640	1571	55.33%	24.07%	20.61%	+0.95	-1.2	1
1998-08-08	@ Ried	D 0-0	66.1	1571	1640	20.61%	24.07%	55.33%	-0.95	+1.2	1
1998-08-08	Sturm Graz	D 1-1	73.2	1735	1812	35.52%	27.24%	37.24%	-0.06	+0.1	1
1998-08-08	@ Austria Salzburg	D 1-1	73.2	1812	1735	37.24%	27.24%	35.52%	+0.06	-0.0	10
1998-08-14	Rapid Wien	L 1-3	64.8	1686	1748	37.65%	27.24%	35.12%	+0.04	-9.1	4
1998-08-14	@ Tirol Innsbruck	W 3-1	64.8	1748	1686	35.12%	27.24%	37.65%	-0.04	+9.1	10
1998-08-15	Austria Salzburg	W 3-2	73.5	1632	1735	31.98%	27.07%	40.95%	-0.24	+5.3	10
1998-08-15	@ Austria Wien	L 2-3	73.5	1735	1632	40.95%	27.07%	31.98%	+0.24	-5.3	1
1998-08-15	Austria Lustenau	W 3-1	58.3	1639	1608	50.40%	25.52%	24.08%	+0.68	+6.4	4
1998-08-15	@ Ried	L 1-3	58.3	1608	1639	24.08%	25.52%	50.40%	-0.68	-6.4	2
1998-08-15	Grazer AK	L 2-3	78.0	1812	1737	56.09%	23.81%	20.11%	+0.99	-6.8	10
1998-08-15	@ Sturm Graz	W 3-2	78.0	1737	1812	20.11%	23.81%	56.09%	-0.99	+6.8	13
1998-08-15	LASK Linz	L 1-4	57.5	1572	1699	28.97%	26.70%	44.32%	-0.41	-10.6	1
1998-08-15	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 4-1	57.5	1699	1572	44.32%	26.70%	28.97%	+0.41	+10.6	9
1998-08-28	Austria Wien	D 0-0	68.9	1744	1638	59.82%	22.39%	17.79%	+1.21	-1.5	14
1998-08-28	@ Grazer AK	D 0-0	68.9	1638	1744	17.79%	22.39%	59.82%	-1.21	+1.5	11
1998-08-29	Vorwarts Steyr	D 1-1	69.6	1602	1561	51.70%	25.18%	23.12%	+0.75	-0.9	3
1998-08-29	@ Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	69.6	1561	1602	23.12%	25.18%	51.70%	-0.75	+0.9	2
1998-08-29	Tirol Innsbruck	W 3-2	68.1	1710	1677	50.65%	25.45%	23.90%	+0.70	+3.5	12
1998-08-29	@ LASK Linz	L 2-3	68.1	1677	1710	23.90%	25.45%	50.65%	-0.70	-3.5	4
1998-08-29	Ried	W 3-2	66.0	1730	1645	57.31%	23.37%	19.32%	+1.06	+2.8	4
1998-08-29	@ Austria Salzburg	L 2-3	66.0	1645	1730	19.32%	23.37%	57.31%	-1.06	-2.8	4
1998-08-30	Sturm Graz	W 2-0	58.2	1758	1805	39.69%	27.16%	33.16%	+0.14	+9.6	13
1998-08-30	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-2	58.2	1805	1758	33.16%	27.16%	39.69%	-0.14	-9.6	10
1998-09-08	Rapid Wien	L 0-1	59.4	1639	1767	28.87%	26.68%	44.44%	-0.41	-4.6	11
1998-09-08	@ Austria Wien	W 1-0	59.4	1767	1639	44.44%	26.68%	28.87%	+0.41	+4.6	16
1998-09-09	Austria Salzburg	D 1-1	72.2	1601	1733	28.40%	26.60%	45.00%	-0.44	+0.5	4
1998-09-09	@ Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	72.2	1733	1601	45.00%	26.60%	28.40%	+0.44	-0.5	5
1998-09-09	Grazer AK	L 0-1	60.4	1642	1742	32.33%	27.10%	40.57%	-0.22	-5.0	4
1998-09-09	@ Ried	W 1-0	60.4	1742	1642	40.57%	27.10%	32.33%	+0.22	+5.0	17
1998-09-09	LASK Linz	L 0-1	67.4	1796	1713	57.02%	23.47%	19.51%	+1.05	-7.7	10
1998-09-09	@ Sturm Graz	W 1-0	67.4	1713	1796	19.51%	23.47%	57.02%	-1.05	+7.7	15
1998-09-09	Tirol Innsbruck	W 2-1	67.3	1562	1674	30.88%	26.96%	42.16%	-0.30	+5.7	5
1998-09-09	@ Vorwarts Steyr	L 1-2	67.3	1674	1562	42.16%	26.96%	30.88%	+0.30	-5.7	4
1998-09-15	Austria Salzburg	D 1-1	72.6	1668	1732	37.33%	27.24%	35.43%	+0.03	-0.0	5
1998-09-15	@ Tirol Innsbruck	D 1-1	72.6	1732	1668	35.43%	27.24%	37.33%	-0.03	+0.0	6
1998-09-18	Austria Wien	L 1-3	69.0	1721	1635	57.43%	23.32%	19.25%	+1.07	-12.7	15
1998-09-18	@ LASK Linz	W 3-1	69.0	1635	1721	19.25%	23.32%	57.43%	-1.07	+12.7	14
1998-09-19	Austria Lustenau	W 4-0	47.0	1747	1601	64.39%	20.38%	15.23%	+1.48	+8.7	20
1998-09-19	@ Grazer AK	L 0-4	47.0	1601	1747	15.23%	20.38%	64.39%	-1.48	-8.7	4
1998-09-19	Vorwarts Steyr	W 5-2	53.6	1732	1568	66.42%	19.41%	14.17%	+1.61	+4.5	9
1998-09-19	@ Austria Salzburg	L 2-5	53.6	1568	1732	14.17%	19.41%	66.42%	-1.61	-4.5	5
1998-09-19	Sturm Graz	L 0-1	60.0	1668	1788	29.82%	26.83%	43.35%	-0.36	-4.7	5
1998-09-19	@ Tirol Innsbruck	W 1-0	60.0	1788	1668	43.35%	26.83%	29.82%	+0.36	+4.7	13
1998-09-20	Ried	D 1-1	74.5	1772	1637	63.12%	20.97%	15.91%	+1.40	-1.5	17
1998-09-20	@ Rapid Wien	D 1-1	74.5	1637	1772	15.91%	20.97%	63.12%	-1.40	+1.5	5
1998-09-22	Grazer AK	W 1-0	60.1	1737	1756	43.71%	26.78%	29.50%	+0.34	+4.6	12
1998-09-22	@ Austria Salzburg	L 0-1	60.1	1756	1737	29.50%	26.78%	43.71%	-0.34	-4.6	20
1998-09-23	Rapid Wien	W 2-0	62.1	1593	1770	23.57%	25.34%	51.10%	-0.75	+13.3	7
1998-09-23	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-2	62.1	1770	1593	51.10%	25.34%	23.57%	+0.75	-13.3	17
1998-09-23	Tirol Innsbruck	D 1-1	71.9	1647	1663	44.15%	26.72%	29.13%	+0.36	-0.4	15
1998-09-23	@ Austria Wien	D 1-1	71.9	1663	1647	29.13%	26.72%	44.15%	-0.36	+0.4	6
1998-09-23	LASK Linz	D 0-0	67.2	1639	1708	36.58%	27.25%	36.17%	-0.01	-0.0	6
1998-09-23	@ Ried	D 0-0	67.2	1708	1639	36.17%	27.25%	36.58%	+0.01	+0.0	16
1998-09-23	Vorwarts Steyr	W 5-2	52.2	1793	1563	73.04%	15.97%	10.99%	+2.06	+3.3	16
1998-09-23	@ Sturm Graz	L 2-5	52.2	1563	1793	10.99%	15.97%	73.04%	-2.06	-3.3	5
1998-09-25	Austria Salzburg	W 3-1	61.3	1751	1742	47.68%	26.13%	26.19%	+0.54	+6.9	23
1998-09-25	@ Grazer AK	L 1-3	61.3	1742	1751	26.19%	26.13%	47.68%	-0.54	-6.9	12
1998-09-26	Ried	W 3-1	58.1	1708	1639	55.39%	24.04%	20.56%	+0.95	+5.5	19
1998-09-26	@ LASK Linz	L 1-3	58.1	1639	1708	20.56%	24.04%	55.39%	-0.95	-5.5	6
1998-09-26	Austria Lustenau	W 1-0	52.9	1757	1606	64.93%	20.13%	14.94%	+1.52	+2.4	20
1998-09-26	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-1	52.9	1606	1757	14.94%	20.13%	64.93%	-1.52	-2.4	7
1998-09-26	Sturm Graz	L 0-1	54.8	1560	1796	18.66%	22.96%	58.38%	-1.16	-3.0	5
1998-09-26	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 1-0	54.8	1796	1560	58.38%	22.96%	18.66%	+1.16	+3.0	19
1998-09-27	Austria Wien	W 3-0	51.9	1664	1647	48.61%	25.93%	25.45%	+0.59	+11.2	9
1998-09-27	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-3	51.9	1647	1664	25.45%	25.93%	48.61%	-0.59	-11.2	15
1998-10-02	Rapid Wien	D 1-1	73.1	1735	1759	42.95%	26.88%	30.17%	+0.30	-0.4	13
1998-10-02	@ Austria Salzburg	D 1-1	73.1	1759	1735	30.17%	26.88%	42.95%	-0.30	+0.4	21
1998-10-03	LASK Linz	L 0-4	53.4	1604	1714	31.08%	26.98%	41.94%	-0.29	-17.3	7
1998-10-03	@ Austria Lustenau	W 4-0	53.4	1714	1604	41.94%	26.98%	31.08%	+0.29	+17.3	22
1998-10-03	Sturm Graz	L 0-3	52.7	1636	1799	24.97%	25.79%	49.24%	-0.66	-11.0	15
1998-10-03	@ Austria Wien	W 3-0	52.7	1799	1636	49.24%	25.79%	24.97%	+0.66	+11.1	22
1998-10-03	Vorwarts Steyr	W 2-0	47.6	1758	1557	70.26%	17.46%	12.28%	+1.86	+3.6	26
1998-10-03	@ Grazer AK	L 0-2	47.6	1557	1758	12.28%	17.46%	70.26%	-1.86	-3.6	5
1998-10-04	Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-1	62.1	1633	1675	40.52%	27.10%	32.38%	+0.18	-5.9	6
1998-10-04	@ Ried	W 1-0	62.1	1675	1633	32.38%	27.10%	40.52%	-0.18	+5.9	12
1998-10-17	Grazer AK	L 0-2	61.7	1760	1762	46.05%	26.43%	27.52%	+0.46	-12.3	21
1998-10-17	@ Rapid Wien	W 2-0	61.7	1762	1760	27.52%	26.43%	46.05%	-0.46	+12.3	29
1998-10-17	Ried	W 4-0	46.4	1810	1627	68.38%	18.43%	13.19%	+1.74	+7.3	25
1998-10-17	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-4	46.4	1627	1810	13.19%	18.43%	68.38%	-1.74	-7.3	6
1998-10-17	Austria Wien	L 0-1	58.6	1554	1625	36.36%	27.25%	36.39%	-0.02	-5.4	5
1998-10-17	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 1-0	58.6	1625	1554	36.39%	27.25%	36.36%	+0.02	+5.5	18
1998-10-17	Austria Lustenau	W 3-1	56.2	1681	1586	58.45%	22.94%	18.62%	+1.13	+5.0	15
1998-10-17	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 1-3	56.2	1586	1681	18.62%	22.94%	58.45%	-1.13	-5.0	7
1998-10-18	Austria Salzburg	W 3-1	61.8	1731	1734	45.88%	26.46%	27.66%	+0.45	+7.2	25
1998-10-18	@ LASK Linz	L 1-3	61.8	1734	1731	27.66%	26.46%	45.88%	-0.45	-7.2	13
1998-10-23	LASK Linz	L 0-2	62.9	1774	1738	51.13%	25.33%	23.54%	+0.72	-13.3	29
1998-10-23	@ Grazer AK	W 2-0	62.9	1738	1774	23.54%	25.33%	51.13%	-0.72	+13.3	28
1998-10-24	Sturm Graz	L 1-2	61.0	1581	1818	18.64%	22.95%	58.41%	-1.16	-2.9	7
1998-10-24	@ Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	61.0	1818	1581	58.41%	22.95%	18.64%	+1.16	+2.9	28
1998-10-24	Vorwarts Steyr	W 5-1	48.3	1747	1548	70.06%	17.56%	12.38%	+1.85	+5.7	24
1998-10-24	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-5	48.3	1548	1747	12.38%	17.56%	70.06%	-1.85	-5.7	5
1998-10-25	Austria Wien	W 2-1	63.3	1620	1630	44.95%	26.61%	28.44%	+0.40	+4.2	9
1998-10-25	@ Ried	L 1-2	63.3	1630	1620	28.44%	26.61%	44.95%	-0.40	-4.2	18
1998-10-25	Tirol Innsbruck	D 1-1	73.3	1727	1686	51.81%	25.14%	23.04%	+0.76	-0.9	14
1998-10-25	@ Austria Salzburg	D 1-1	73.3	1686	1727	23.04%	25.14%	51.81%	-0.76	+0.9	16
1998-10-27	Rapid Wien	D 0-0	68.4	1751	1753	46.13%	26.42%	27.46%	+0.46	-0.6	29
1998-10-27	@ LASK Linz	D 0-0	68.4	1753	1751	27.46%	26.42%	46.13%	-0.46	+0.6	25
1998-10-28	Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	70.6	1626	1578	52.59%	24.92%	22.49%	+0.80	-0.9	19
1998-10-28	@ Austria Wien	D 1-1	70.6	1578	1626	22.49%	24.92%	52.59%	-0.80	+0.9	8
1998-10-28	Austria Salzburg	W 2-0	52.5	1820	1726	58.39%	22.96%	18.65%	+1.12	+5.7	31
1998-10-28	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-2	52.5	1726	1820	18.65%	22.96%	58.39%	-1.12	-5.7	14
1998-10-28	Ried	L 0-3	52.4	1542	1624	34.86%	27.23%	37.91%	-0.09	-14.5	5
1998-10-28	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 3-0	52.4	1624	1542	37.91%	27.23%	34.86%	+0.09	+14.5	12
1998-10-28	Grazer AK	D 1-1	72.8	1687	1761	35.93%	27.25%	36.82%	-0.04	+0.0	17
1998-10-28	@ Tirol Innsbruck	D 1-1	72.8	1761	1687	36.82%	27.25%	35.93%	+0.04	-0.0	30
1998-11-03	Austria Salzburg	W 1-0	57.9	1754	1721	50.76%	25.42%	23.81%	+0.70	+3.9	28
1998-11-03	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-1	57.9	1721	1754	23.81%	25.42%	50.76%	-0.70	-3.9	14
1998-11-06	Tirol Innsbruck	W 1-0	56.3	1758	1687	55.55%	23.99%	20.46%	+0.96	+3.4	31
1998-11-06	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-1	56.3	1687	1758	20.46%	23.99%	55.55%	-0.96	-3.3	17
1998-11-07	Austria Wien	W 2-0	51.5	1717	1625	58.11%	23.07%	18.83%	+1.11	+5.8	17
1998-11-07	@ Austria Salzburg	L 0-2	51.5	1625	1717	18.83%	23.07%	58.11%	-1.11	-5.8	19
1998-11-08	Ried	L 0-2	56.7	1579	1639	38.07%	27.23%	34.71%	+0.06	-10.6	8
1998-11-08	@ Austria Lustenau	W 2-0	56.7	1639	1579	34.71%	27.23%	38.07%	-0.06	+10.6	15
1998-11-08	Sturm Graz	L 0-5	57.1	1761	1826	37.18%	27.24%	35.58%	+0.02	-24.4	30
1998-11-08	@ Grazer AK	W 5-0	57.1	1826	1761	35.58%	27.24%	37.18%	-0.02	+24.4	34
1998-11-08	Vorwarts Steyr	W 2-1	55.5	1751	1528	72.41%	16.31%	11.28%	+2.01	+1.6	32
1998-11-08	@ LASK Linz	L 1-2	55.5	1528	1751	11.28%	16.31%	72.41%	-2.01	-1.6	5
1998-11-11	Grazer AK	D 0-0	67.4	1619	1736	30.18%	26.88%	42.95%	-0.34	+0.4	20
1998-11-11	@ Austria Wien	D 0-0	67.4	1736	1619	42.95%	26.88%	30.18%	+0.34	-0.4	31
1998-11-11	Austria Salzburg	D 0-0	67.4	1649	1722	36.04%	27.25%	36.71%	-0.03	+0.0	16
1998-11-11	@ Ried	D 0-0	67.4	1722	1649	36.71%	27.25%	36.04%	+0.03	-0.0	18
1998-11-11	Rapid Wien	W 2-1	61.9	1851	1761	57.85%	23.17%	18.99%	+1.09	+2.9	37
1998-11-11	@ Sturm Graz	L 1-2	61.9	1761	1851	18.99%	23.17%	57.85%	-1.09	-2.9	31
1998-11-11	LASK Linz	L 1-4	61.5	1683	1752	36.65%	27.25%	36.10%	+0.00	-12.7	17
1998-11-11	@ Tirol Innsbruck	W 4-1	61.5	1752	1683	36.10%	27.25%	36.65%	+0.00	+12.7	35
1998-11-14	Ried	W 1-0	55.4	1736	1649	57.50%	23.30%	19.21%	+1.07	+3.1	34
1998-11-14	@ Grazer AK	L 0-1	55.4	1649	1736	19.21%	23.30%	57.50%	-1.07	-3.1	16
1998-11-14	Austria Lustenau	L 1-2	73.0	1722	1569	65.23%	19.99%	14.78%	+1.54	-8.1	18
1998-11-14	@ Austria Salzburg	W 2-1	73.0	1569	1722	14.78%	19.99%	65.23%	-1.54	+8.1	11
1998-11-14	Vorwarts Steyr	W 3-2	61.3	1671	1526	64.20%	20.47%	15.33%	+1.47	+2.2	20
1998-11-14	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 2-3	61.3	1526	1671	15.33%	20.47%	64.20%	-1.47	-2.2	5
1998-11-15	Sturm Graz	D 0-0	68.4	1765	1853	33.93%	27.20%	38.87%	-0.14	+0.2	36
1998-11-15	@ LASK Linz	D 0-0	68.4	1853	1765	38.87%	27.20%	33.93%	+0.14	-0.2	38
1998-11-15	Austria Wien	W 3-1	55.9	1758	1620	63.54%	20.78%	15.68%	+1.43	+4.1	34
1998-11-15	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-3	55.9	1620	1758	15.68%	20.78%	63.54%	-1.43	-4.1	20
1998-11-20	Tirol Innsbruck	W 2-0	49.5	1853	1673	68.10%	18.57%	13.33%	+1.72	+3.9	41
1998-11-20	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-2	49.5	1673	1853	13.33%	18.57%	68.10%	-1.72	-3.9	20
1998-11-21	Grazer AK	L 0-3	51.8	1577	1739	25.10%	25.83%	49.07%	-0.65	-11.1	11
1998-11-21	@ Austria Lustenau	W 3-0	51.8	1739	1577	49.07%	25.83%	25.10%	+0.65	+11.1	37
1998-11-21	Rapid Wien	L 0-1	59.9	1646	1762	30.32%	26.89%	42.78%	-0.33	-4.8	16
1998-11-21	@ Ried	W 1-0	59.9	1762	1646	42.78%	26.89%	30.32%	+0.33	+4.8	37
1998-11-21	Austria Salzburg	L 0-1	55.0	1524	1714	22.40%	24.89%	52.71%	-0.84	-3.7	5
1998-11-21	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 1-0	55.0	1714	1524	52.71%	24.89%	22.40%	+0.84	+3.7	21
1998-11-22	LASK Linz	W 2-0	61.3	1615	1765	26.40%	26.18%	47.42%	-0.56	+12.6	23
1998-11-22	@ Austria Wien	L 0-2	61.3	1765	1615	47.42%	26.18%	26.40%	+0.56	-12.6	36
1998-11-27	Austria Salzburg	L 0-3	57.2	1669	1718	39.52%	27.17%	33.31%	+0.13	-15.9	20
1998-11-27	@ Tirol Innsbruck	W 3-0	57.2	1718	1669	33.31%	27.17%	39.52%	-0.13	+15.9	24
1998-11-28	Sturm Graz	W 1-0	67.4	1628	1857	19.16%	23.27%	57.57%	-1.11	+7.8	26
1998-11-28	@ Austria Wien	L 0-1	67.4	1857	1628	57.57%	23.27%	19.16%	+1.11	-7.8	41
1998-11-28	Vorwarts Steyr	W 1-0	49.4	1750	1521	73.07%	15.96%	10.98%	+2.06	+1.6	40
1998-11-28	@ Grazer AK	L 0-1	49.4	1521	1750	10.98%	15.96%	73.07%	-2.06	-1.6	5
1998-11-29	Rapid Wien	L 1-3	67.0	1753	1767	44.41%	26.69%	28.90%	+0.38	-10.3	36
1998-11-29	@ LASK Linz	W 3-1	67.0	1767	1753	28.90%	26.69%	44.41%	-0.38	+10.3	40
1998-12-01	Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	66.6	1519	1566	39.83%	27.15%	33.03%	+0.15	-0.2	6
1998-12-01	@ Vorwarts Steyr	D 1-1	66.6	1566	1519	33.03%	27.15%	39.83%	-0.15	+0.2	12
1998-12-04	LASK Linz	W 2-0	52.1	1849	1742	59.93%	22.35%	17.72%	+1.21	+5.4	44
1998-12-04	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-2	52.1	1742	1849	17.72%	22.35%	59.93%	-1.21	-5.4	36
1998-12-05	Austria Lustenau	W 1-0	51.7	1734	1566	66.78%	19.23%	13.99%	+1.63	+2.2	27
1998-12-05	@ Austria Salzburg	L 0-1	51.7	1566	1734	13.99%	19.23%	66.78%	-1.63	-2.2	12
1998-12-06	Grazer AK	W 1-0	58.4	1777	1752	49.74%	25.68%	24.58%	+0.65	+4.0	43
1998-12-06	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-1	58.4	1752	1777	24.58%	25.68%	49.74%	-0.65	-4.0	40
1999-02-27	Austria Wien	W 2-1	63.1	1641	1636	47.10%	26.24%	26.66%	+0.51	+4.0	19
1999-02-27	@ Ried	L 1-2	63.1	1636	1641	26.66%	26.24%	47.10%	-0.51	-4.0	26
1999-03-02	Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-1	55.7	1519	1653	28.12%	26.55%	45.33%	-0.46	-4.5	6
1999-03-02	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 1-0	55.7	1653	1519	45.33%	26.55%	28.12%	+0.46	+4.5	23
1999-03-05	Grazer AK	D 0-0	68.2	1737	1748	44.85%	26.62%	28.52%	+0.40	-0.5	37
1999-03-05	@ LASK Linz	D 0-0	68.2	1748	1737	28.52%	26.62%	44.85%	-0.40	+0.5	41
1999-03-06	Vorwarts Steyr	D 1-1	67.1	1564	1514	52.87%	24.84%	22.29%	+0.82	-0.9	13
1999-03-06	@ Austria Lustenau	D 1-1	67.1	1514	1564	22.29%	24.84%	52.87%	-0.82	+0.9	7
1999-03-06	Austria Salzburg	W 3-1	65.4	1632	1736	31.81%	27.05%	41.14%	-0.25	+9.8	29
1999-03-06	@ Austria Wien	L 1-3	65.4	1736	1632	41.14%	27.05%	31.81%	+0.25	-9.8	27
1999-03-06	Ried	W 4-2	57.9	1855	1645	71.10%	17.02%	11.89%	+1.92	+2.7	47
1999-03-06	@ Sturm Graz	L 2-4	57.9	1645	1855	11.89%	17.02%	71.10%	-1.92	-2.6	19
1999-03-06	Rapid Wien	D 0-0	68.0	1658	1781	29.41%	26.77%	43.82%	-0.38	+0.5	24
1999-03-06	@ Tirol Innsbruck	D 0-0	68.0	1781	1658	43.82%	26.77%	29.41%	+0.38	-0.5	44
1999-03-09	Ried	D 0-0	65.0	1563	1643	35.10%	27.24%	37.66%	-0.08	+0.1	14
1999-03-09	@ Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	65.0	1643	1563	37.66%	27.24%	35.10%	+0.08	-0.1	20
1999-03-12	Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-1	67.1	1748	1658	57.92%	23.14%	18.94%	+1.10	-7.8	41
1999-03-12	@ Grazer AK	W 1-0	67.1	1658	1748	18.94%	23.14%	57.92%	-1.10	+7.8	27
1999-03-13	Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	56.5	1781	1563	71.92%	16.58%	11.50%	+1.98	+1.6	47
1999-03-13	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-2	56.5	1563	1781	11.50%	16.58%	71.92%	-1.98	-1.6	14
1999-03-13	LASK Linz	L 1-2	66.5	1643	1736	33.20%	27.16%	39.64%	-0.18	-4.8	20
1999-03-13	@ Ried	W 2-1	66.5	1736	1643	39.64%	27.16%	33.20%	+0.18	+4.8	40
1999-03-13	Sturm Graz	W 3-1	67.3	1726	1858	28.50%	26.62%	44.88%	-0.43	+10.4	30
1999-03-13	@ Austria Salzburg	L 1-3	67.3	1858	1726	44.88%	26.62%	28.50%	+0.43	-10.4	47
1999-03-13	Austria Wien	L 1-3	58.1	1515	1642	29.08%	26.72%	44.21%	-0.40	-7.5	7
1999-03-13	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 3-1	58.1	1642	1515	44.21%	26.72%	29.08%	+0.40	+7.5	32
1999-03-16	Grazer AK	W 2-1	70.5	1561	1741	23.41%	25.28%	51.31%	-0.77	+6.7	17
1999-03-16	@ Austria Lustenau	L 1-2	70.5	1741	1561	51.31%	25.28%	23.41%	+0.77	-6.7	41
1999-03-16	Rapid Wien	D 1-1	72.9	1649	1782	28.25%	26.58%	45.18%	-0.45	+0.5	33
1999-03-16	@ Austria Wien	D 1-1	72.9	1782	1649	45.18%	26.58%	28.25%	+0.45	-0.5	48
1999-03-16	Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-1	66.7	1741	1666	56.10%	23.80%	20.10%	+0.99	-7.6	40
1999-03-16	@ LASK Linz	W 1-0	66.7	1666	1741	20.10%	23.80%	56.10%	-0.99	+7.6	30
1999-03-16	Austria Salzburg	D 1-1	72.4	1638	1737	32.51%	27.11%	40.38%	-0.21	+0.2	21
1999-03-16	@ Ried	D 1-1	72.4	1737	1638	40.38%	27.11%	32.51%	+0.21	-0.2	31
1999-03-16	Vorwarts Steyr	W 5-0	42.0	1847	1508	82.37%	10.70%	6.93%	+2.82	+4.1	50
1999-03-16	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-5	42.0	1508	1847	6.93%	10.70%	82.37%	-2.82	-4.1	7
1999-03-19	LASK Linz	W 2-0	55.8	1737	1734	46.75%	26.31%	26.95%	+0.49	+8.1	34
1999-03-19	@ Austria Salzburg	L 0-2	55.8	1734	1737	26.95%	26.31%	46.75%	-0.49	-8.1	40
1999-03-20	Austria Wien	W 3-0	50.0	1734	1649	57.21%	23.40%	19.39%	+1.06	+8.7	44
1999-03-20	@ Grazer AK	L 0-3	50.0	1649	1734	19.39%	23.40%	57.21%	-1.06	-8.7	33
1999-03-20	Ried	W 2-0	56.8	1504	1638	28.12%	26.55%	45.33%	-0.46	+12.1	10
1999-03-20	@ Vorwarts Steyr	L 0-2	56.8	1638	1504	45.33%	26.55%	28.12%	+0.46	-12.1	21
1999-03-20	Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	67.2	1674	1568	59.76%	22.42%	17.83%	+1.20	-1.5	31
1999-03-20	@ Tirol Innsbruck	D 0-0	67.2	1568	1674	17.83%	22.42%	59.76%	-1.20	+1.5	18
1999-03-21	Sturm Graz	W 2-0	59.2	1782	1851	36.60%	27.25%	36.15%	-0.01	+10.2	51
1999-03-21	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-2	59.2	1851	1782	36.15%	27.25%	36.60%	+0.01	-10.2	50
1999-03-30	Grazer AK	L 0-1	67.9	1841	1743	58.91%	22.76%	18.34%	+1.15	-7.9	50
1999-03-30	@ Sturm Graz	W 1-0	67.9	1743	1841	18.34%	22.76%	58.91%	-1.15	+7.9	47
1999-03-31	Tirol Innsbruck	D 1-1	71.8	1641	1672	42.03%	26.97%	31.00%	+0.26	-0.3	34
1999-03-31	@ Austria Wien	D 1-1	71.8	1672	1641	31.00%	26.97%	42.03%	-0.26	+0.3	32
1999-03-31	Austria Lustenau	W 2-0	48.7	1725	1569	65.49%	19.86%	14.65%	+1.55	+4.4	43
1999-03-31	@ LASK Linz	L 0-2	48.7	1569	1725	14.65%	19.86%	65.49%	-1.55	-4.4	18
1999-03-31	Rapid Wien	D 0-0	68.2	1626	1792	24.70%	25.71%	49.59%	-0.68	+0.8	22
1999-03-31	@ Ried	D 0-0	68.2	1792	1626	49.59%	25.71%	24.70%	+0.68	-0.8	52
1999-03-31	Vorwarts Steyr	W 1-0	49.3	1745	1516	73.00%	15.99%	11.01%	+2.06	+1.6	37
1999-03-31	@ Austria Salzburg	L 0-1	49.3	1516	1745	11.01%	15.99%	73.00%	-2.06	-1.7	10
1999-04-03	Austria Wien	D 0-0	65.0	1565	1641	35.73%	27.25%	37.03%	-0.05	+0.0	19
1999-04-03	@ Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	65.0	1641	1565	37.03%	27.25%	35.73%	+0.05	-0.0	35
1999-04-03	Ried	W 1-0	54.0	1750	1627	61.86%	21.53%	16.61%	+1.33	+2.7	50
1999-04-03	@ Grazer AK	L 0-1	54.0	1627	1750	16.61%	21.53%	61.86%	-1.33	-2.7	22
1999-04-03	Austria Salzburg	D 1-1	73.8	1791	1746	52.28%	25.01%	22.71%	+0.78	-0.9	53
1999-04-03	@ Rapid Wien	D 1-1	73.8	1746	1791	22.71%	25.01%	52.28%	-0.78	+0.9	38
1999-04-03	LASK Linz	D 1-1	71.7	1514	1730	20.21%	23.86%	55.93%	-1.02	+1.1	11
1999-04-03	@ Vorwarts Steyr	D 1-1	71.7	1730	1514	55.93%	23.86%	20.21%	+1.02	-1.1	44
1999-04-03	Sturm Graz	W 3-1	68.1	1672	1833	25.25%	25.88%	48.87%	-0.64	+11.1	35
1999-04-03	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 1-3	68.1	1833	1672	48.87%	25.88%	25.25%	+0.64	-11.1	50
1999-04-09	Austria Lustenau	W 5-2	51.7	1822	1565	75.61%	14.56%	9.83%	+2.25	+2.9	53
1999-04-09	@ Sturm Graz	L 2-5	51.7	1565	1822	9.83%	14.56%	75.61%	-2.25	-2.9	19
1999-04-10	Tirol Innsbruck	W 2-0	57.1	1624	1684	38.02%	27.23%	34.75%	+0.06	+9.9	25
1999-04-10	@ Ried	L 0-2	57.1	1684	1624	34.75%	27.23%	38.02%	-0.06	-9.9	35
1999-04-10	Grazer AK	W 3-0	54.1	1747	1753	45.54%	26.52%	27.94%	+0.43	+12.2	41
1999-04-10	@ Austria Salzburg	L 0-3	54.1	1753	1747	27.94%	26.52%	45.54%	-0.43	-12.2	50
1999-04-10	Rapid Wien	D 3-3	82.8	1515	1790	16.00%	21.04%	62.96%	-1.43	+0.9	12
1999-04-10	@ Vorwarts Steyr	D 3-3	82.8	1790	1515	62.96%	21.04%	16.00%	+1.43	-0.9	54
1999-04-11	LASK Linz	W 2-0	59.0	1640	1729	33.95%	27.20%	38.86%	-0.14	+10.8	38
1999-04-11	@ Austria Wien	L 0-2	59.0	1729	1640	38.86%	27.20%	33.95%	+0.14	-10.8	44
1999-04-13	Sturm Graz	L 1-2	60.0	1562	1825	16.81%	21.68%	61.52%	-1.34	-2.6	19
1999-04-13	@ Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	60.0	1825	1562	61.52%	21.68%	16.81%	+1.34	+2.6	56
1999-04-14	Austria Salzburg	L 1-4	63.8	1741	1759	43.82%	26.77%	29.42%	+0.35	-14.5	50
1999-04-14	@ Grazer AK	W 4-1	63.8	1759	1741	29.42%	26.77%	43.82%	-0.35	+14.5	44
1999-04-14	Austria Wien	D 0-0	68.3	1718	1651	55.03%	24.17%	20.80%	+0.93	-1.2	45
1999-04-14	@ LASK Linz	D 0-0	68.3	1651	1718	20.80%	24.17%	55.03%	-0.93	+1.2	39
1999-04-14	Vorwarts Steyr	W 2-1	54.5	1789	1516	77.08%	13.73%	9.19%	+2.36	+1.2	57
1999-04-14	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-2	54.5	1516	1789	9.19%	13.73%	77.08%	-2.36	-1.2	12
1999-04-14	Ried	W 1-0	56.4	1674	1634	51.59%	25.20%	23.20%	+0.75	+3.8	38
1999-04-14	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-1	56.4	1634	1674	23.20%	25.20%	51.59%	-0.75	-3.8	25
1999-04-17	LASK Linz	W 2-0	53.1	1791	1717	55.93%	23.86%	20.21%	+0.98	+6.2	60
1999-04-17	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-2	53.1	1717	1791	20.21%	23.86%	55.93%	-0.98	-6.2	45
1999-04-17	Austria Lustenau	W 1-0	53.1	1630	1560	55.52%	24.00%	20.48%	+0.96	+3.3	28
1999-04-17	@ Ried	L 0-1	53.1	1560	1630	20.48%	24.00%	55.52%	-0.96	-3.4	19
1999-04-17	Tirol Innsbruck	D 2-2	79.9	1774	1677	58.67%	22.85%	18.48%	+1.14	-0.9	45
1999-04-17	@ Austria Salzburg	D 2-2	79.9	1677	1774	18.48%	22.85%	58.67%	-1.14	+0.9	39
1999-04-17	Grazer AK	L 0-3	48.8	1515	1726	20.55%	24.04%	55.42%	-0.99	-9.2	12
1999-04-17	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 3-0	48.8	1726	1515	55.42%	24.04%	20.55%	+0.99	+9.2	53
1999-04-18	Austria Wien	D 0-0	70.5	1827	1652	67.53%	18.86%	13.61%	+1.68	-1.9	57
1999-04-18	@ Sturm Graz	D 0-0	70.5	1652	1827	13.61%	18.86%	67.53%	-1.68	+1.9	40
1999-04-23	Sturm Graz	L 1-2	66.3	1711	1825	30.46%	26.91%	42.63%	-0.32	-4.5	45
1999-04-23	@ LASK Linz	W 2-1	66.3	1825	1711	42.63%	26.91%	30.46%	+0.32	+4.5	60
1999-04-24	Austria Salzburg	D 0-0	68.0	1556	1773	20.14%	23.83%	56.03%	-1.02	+1.2	20
1999-04-24	@ Austria Lustenau	D 0-0	68.0	1773	1556	56.03%	23.83%	20.14%	+1.02	-1.2	46
1999-04-24	Ried	W 3-0	51.4	1654	1634	49.13%	25.82%	25.05%	+0.62	+11.1	43
1999-04-24	@ Austria Wien	L 0-3	51.4	1634	1654	25.05%	25.82%	49.13%	-0.62	-11.1	28
1999-04-24	Rapid Wien	L 0-1	62.8	1736	1797	37.78%	27.23%	34.99%	+0.05	-5.6	53
1999-04-24	@ Grazer AK	W 1-0	62.8	1797	1736	34.99%	27.23%	37.78%	-0.05	+5.6	63
1999-04-24	Vorwarts Steyr	W 4-0	43.5	1678	1506	67.29%	18.98%	13.73%	+1.67	+7.7	42
1999-04-24	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-4	43.5	1506	1678	13.73%	18.98%	67.29%	-1.67	-7.7	12
1999-05-01	LASK Linz	W 2-1	63.8	1730	1706	49.56%	25.72%	24.72%	+0.64	+3.8	56
1999-05-01	@ Grazer AK	L 1-2	63.8	1706	1730	24.72%	25.72%	49.56%	-0.64	-3.8	45
1999-05-01	Tirol Innsbruck	D 1-1	74.6	1802	1686	61.03%	21.89%	17.09%	+1.28	-1.4	64
1999-05-01	@ Rapid Wien	D 1-1	74.6	1686	1802	17.09%	21.89%	61.03%	-1.28	+1.4	43
1999-05-01	Sturm Graz	L 0-3	51.1	1623	1830	20.90%	24.21%	54.89%	-0.96	-9.3	28
1999-05-01	@ Ried	W 3-0	51.1	1830	1623	54.89%	24.21%	20.90%	+0.96	+9.3	63
1999-05-01	Austria Wien	W 3-0	49.6	1772	1665	59.83%	22.39%	17.78%	+1.21	+7.9	49
1999-05-01	@ Austria Salzburg	L 0-3	49.6	1665	1772	17.78%	22.39%	59.83%	-1.21	-7.9	43
1999-05-01	Austria Lustenau	W 2-0	51.0	1498	1558	38.00%	27.23%	34.77%	+0.06	+9.9	15
1999-05-01	@ Vorwarts Steyr	L 0-2	51.0	1558	1498	34.77%	27.23%	38.00%	-0.06	-9.9	20
1999-05-07	Grazer AK	W 1-0	60.9	1687	1734	39.88%	27.14%	32.97%	+0.15	+5.1	46
1999-05-07	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-1	60.9	1734	1687	32.97%	27.14%	39.88%	-0.15	-5.1	56
1999-05-08	Rapid Wien	W 2-0	63.8	1548	1801	17.41%	22.13%	60.46%	-1.28	+15.2	23
1999-05-08	@ Austria Lustenau	L 0-2	63.8	1801	1548	60.46%	22.13%	17.41%	+1.28	-15.2	64
1999-05-08	Vorwarts Steyr	W 4-1	49.2	1658	1508	64.79%	20.20%	15.02%	+1.51	+5.5	46
1999-05-08	@ Austria Wien	L 1-4	49.2	1508	1658	15.02%	20.20%	64.79%	-1.51	-5.5	15
1999-05-08	Ried	W 6-1	51.3	1702	1613	57.79%	23.19%	19.03%	+1.09	+11.3	48
1999-05-08	@ LASK Linz	L 1-6	51.3	1613	1702	19.03%	23.19%	57.79%	-1.09	-11.3	28
1999-05-08	Austria Salzburg	L 1-2	72.8	1839	1780	54.16%	24.45%	21.39%	+0.89	-7.0	63
1999-05-08	@ Sturm Graz	W 2-1	72.8	1780	1839	21.39%	24.45%	54.16%	-0.89	+7.0	52
1999-05-11	Austria Lustenau	W 2-0	48.4	1729	1563	66.57%	19.34%	14.09%	+1.62	+4.2	59
1999-05-11	@ Grazer AK	L 0-2	48.4	1563	1729	14.09%	19.34%	66.57%	-1.62	-4.2	23
1999-05-11	Austria Wien	D 0-0	69.6	1786	1663	61.76%	21.57%	16.67%	+1.32	-1.6	65
1999-05-11	@ Rapid Wien	D 0-0	69.6	1663	1786	16.67%	21.57%	61.76%	-1.32	+1.6	47
1999-05-11	Ried	D 0-0	70.2	1787	1602	68.56%	18.34%	13.10%	+1.75	-2.0	53
1999-05-11	@ Austria Salzburg	D 0-0	70.2	1602	1787	13.10%	18.34%	68.56%	-1.75	+2.0	29
1999-05-11	Sturm Graz	L 1-4	50.9	1502	1832	12.93%	18.16%	68.91%	-1.81	-4.6	15
1999-05-11	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 4-1	50.9	1832	1502	68.91%	18.16%	12.93%	+1.81	+4.6	66
1999-05-11	LASK Linz	W 4-0	53.7	1692	1714	43.44%	26.82%	29.74%	+0.33	+16.7	49
1999-05-11	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-4	53.7	1714	1692	29.74%	26.82%	43.44%	-0.33	-16.7	48
1999-05-14	Grazer AK	L 0-3	56.5	1665	1733	36.75%	27.25%	36.00%	+0.00	-15.0	47
1999-05-14	@ Austria Wien	W 3-0	56.5	1733	1665	36.00%	27.25%	36.75%	+0.00	+15.0	62
1999-05-15	Austria Salzburg	W 3-2	73.6	1697	1785	34.02%	27.20%	38.78%	-0.13	+5.1	51
1999-05-15	@ LASK Linz	L 2-3	73.6	1785	1697	38.78%	27.20%	34.02%	+0.13	-5.1	53
1999-05-15	Vorwarts Steyr	W 1-0	49.3	1604	1498	59.81%	22.39%	17.80%	+1.21	+2.9	32
1999-05-15	@ Ried	L 0-1	49.3	1498	1604	17.80%	22.39%	59.81%	-1.21	-2.9	15
1999-05-15	Rapid Wien	D 1-1	74.1	1837	1784	53.27%	24.72%	22.01%	+0.84	-1.0	67
1999-05-15	@ Sturm Graz	D 1-1	74.1	1784	1837	22.01%	24.72%	53.27%	-0.84	+1.0	66
1999-05-16	Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-3	51.6	1559	1709	26.32%	26.16%	47.51%	-0.57	-11.6	23
1999-05-16	@ Austria Lustenau	W 3-0	51.6	1709	1559	47.51%	26.16%	26.32%	+0.57	+11.6	52
1999-05-22	Sturm Graz	L 1-2	67.6	1748	1836	33.99%	27.20%	38.81%	-0.14	-4.9	62
1999-05-22	@ Grazer AK	W 2-1	67.6	1836	1748	38.81%	27.20%	33.99%	+0.14	+4.9	70
1999-05-22	Ried	W 1-0	52.3	1785	1607	67.91%	18.67%	13.42%	+1.71	+2.1	69
1999-05-22	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-1	52.3	1607	1785	13.42%	18.67%	67.91%	-1.71	-2.1	32
1999-05-22	Austria Salzburg	L 1-3	54.6	1495	1779	15.42%	20.55%	64.02%	-1.49	-4.0	15
1999-05-22	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 3-1	54.6	1779	1495	64.02%	20.55%	15.42%	+1.49	+4.0	56
1999-05-23	Austria Wien	W 4-1	55.3	1721	1650	55.59%	23.98%	20.43%	+0.97	+7.7	55
1999-05-23	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 1-4	55.3	1650	1721	20.43%	23.98%	55.59%	-0.97	-7.7	47
1999-05-24	LASK Linz	L 0-1	56.5	1547	1702	25.86%	26.04%	48.10%	-0.60	-4.2	23
1999-05-24	@ Austria Lustenau	W 1-0	56.5	1702	1547	48.10%	26.04%	25.86%	+0.60	+4.2	54
1999-05-29	Austria Lustenau	W 2-1	57.8	1642	1543	58.97%	22.73%	18.30%	+1.16	+2.8	50
1999-05-29	@ Austria Wien	L 1-2	57.8	1543	1642	18.30%	22.73%	58.97%	-1.16	-2.8	23
1999-05-29	Vorwarts Steyr	W 2-0	45.1	1706	1491	71.67%	16.71%	11.62%	+1.96	+3.3	57
1999-05-29	@ LASK Linz	L 0-2	45.1	1491	1706	11.62%	16.71%	71.67%	-1.96	-3.3	15
1999-05-29	Grazer AK	L 0-2	55.2	1605	1743	27.65%	26.46%	45.88%	-0.48	-8.3	32
1999-05-29	@ Ried	W 2-0	55.2	1743	1605	45.88%	26.46%	27.65%	+0.48	+8.3	65
1999-05-29	Rapid Wien	D 0-0	68.5	1784	1787	45.83%	26.47%	27.70%	+0.45	-0.6	57
1999-05-29	@ Austria Salzburg	D 0-0	68.5	1787	1784	27.70%	26.47%	45.83%	-0.45	+0.6	70
1999-05-29	Tirol Innsbruck	W 3-0	49.8	1841	1728	60.55%	22.09%	17.36%	+1.25	+7.7	73
1999-05-29	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-3	49.8	1728	1841	17.36%	22.09%	60.55%	-1.25	-7.7	55

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1998-11-14	14.78%	Austria Lustenau	1569	2	@ Austria Salzburg	1722	1
2	1999-05-08	17.41%	@ Austria Lustenau	1548	2	Rapid Wien	1801	0
3	1999-03-30	18.34%	Grazer AK	1743	1	@ Sturm Graz	1841	0
4	1999-03-12	18.94%	Tirol Innsbruck	1658	1	@ Grazer AK	1748	0
5	1998-11-28	19.16%	@ Austria Wien	1628	1	Sturm Graz	1857	0
6	1998-09-18	19.25%	Austria Wien	1635	3	@ LASK Linz	1721	1
7	1998-09-09	19.51%	LASK Linz	1713	1	@ Sturm Graz	1796	0
8	1999-03-16	20.10%	Tirol Innsbruck	1666	1	@ LASK Linz	1741	0
9	1998-08-15	20.11%	Grazer AK	1737	3	@ Sturm Graz	1812	2
10	1999-05-08	21.39%	Austria Salzburg	1780	2	@ Sturm Graz	1839	1
11	1999-03-16	23.41%	@ Austria Lustenau	1561	2	Grazer AK	1741	1
12	1998-10-23	23.54%	LASK Linz	1738	2	@ Grazer AK	1774	0
13	1998-09-23	23.57%	@ Austria Lustenau	1593	2	Rapid Wien	1770	0
14	1998-08-01	23.69%	LASK Linz	1712	3	@ Austria Salzburg	1747	1
15	1999-04-03	25.25%	@ Tirol Innsbruck	1672	3	Sturm Graz	1833	1
16	1998-11-22	26.40%	@ Austria Wien	1615	2	LASK Linz	1765	0
17	1998-08-05	27.20%	Grazer AK	1723	1	@ LASK Linz	1724	0
18	1998-10-17	27.52%	Grazer AK	1762	2	@ Rapid Wien	1760	0
19	1999-03-20	28.12%	@ Vorwarts Steyr	1504	2	Ried	1638	0
20	1999-03-13	28.50%	@ Austria Salzburg	1726	3	Sturm Graz	1858	1
21	1998-11-29	28.90%	Rapid Wien	1767	3	@ LASK Linz	1753	1
22	1999-04-14	29.42%	Austria Salzburg	1759	4	@ Grazer AK	1741	1
23	1998-09-09	30.88%	@ Vorwarts Steyr	1562	2	Tirol Innsbruck	1674	1
24	1999-03-06	31.81%	@ Austria Wien	1632	3	Austria Salzburg	1736	1
25	1998-08-15	31.98%	@ Austria Wien	1632	3	Austria Salzburg	1735	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1998-11-08	24.42	Sturm Graz	5	1826	35.58%	@ Grazer AK	0	1761	37.18%	27.24%
2	1998-08-08	18.35	@ Rapid Wien	5	1730	48.06%	LASK Linz	0	1717	25.89%	26.05%
3	1998-10-03	17.32	LASK Linz	4	1714	41.94%	@ Austria Lustenau	0	1604	31.08%	26.98%
4	1999-05-11	16.73	@ Tirol Innsbruck	4	1692	43.44%	LASK Linz	0	1714	29.74%	26.82%
5	1998-11-27	15.87	Austria Salzburg	3	1718	33.31%	@ Tirol Innsbruck	0	1669	39.52%	27.17%
6	1999-05-08	15.23	@ Austria Lustenau	2	1548	17.41%	Rapid Wien	0	1801	60.46%	22.13%
7	1999-05-14	15.04	Grazer AK	3	1733	36.00%	@ Austria Wien	0	1665	36.75%	27.25%
8	1998-10-28	14.47	Ried	3	1624	37.91%	@ Vorwarts Steyr	0	1542	34.86%	27.23%
9	1999-04-14	14.47	Austria Salzburg	4	1759	29.42%	@ Grazer AK	1	1741	43.82%	26.77%
10	1998-10-23	13.34	LASK Linz	2	1738	23.54%	@ Grazer AK	0	1774	51.13%	25.33%
11	1998-09-23	13.34	@ Austria Lustenau	2	1593	23.57%	Rapid Wien	0	1770	51.10%	25.34%
12	1998-09-18	12.67	Austria Wien	3	1635	19.25%	@ LASK Linz	1	1721	57.43%	23.32%
13	1998-11-11	12.66	LASK Linz	4	1752	36.10%	@ Tirol Innsbruck	1	1683	36.65%	27.25%
14	1998-11-22	12.58	@ Austria Wien	2	1615	26.40%	LASK Linz	0	1765	47.42%	26.18%
15	1998-10-17	12.29	Grazer AK	2	1762	27.52%	@ Rapid Wien	0	1760	46.05%	26.43%
16	1999-04-10	12.16	@ Austria Salzburg	3	1747	45.54%	Grazer AK	0	1753	27.94%	26.52%
17	1999-03-20	12.14	@ Vorwarts Steyr	2	1504	28.12%	Ried	0	1638	45.33%	26.55%
18	1999-05-16	11.57	Tirol Innsbruck	3	1709	47.51%	@ Austria Lustenau	0	1559	26.32%	26.16%
19	1998-08-01	11.52	LASK Linz	3	1712	23.69%	@ Austria Salzburg	1	1747	50.92%	25.38%
20	1999-05-08	11.33	@ LASK Linz	6	1702	57.79%	Ried	1	1613	19.03%	23.19%
21	1998-09-27	11.24	@ Tirol Innsbruck	3	1664	48.61%	Austria Wien	0	1647	25.45%	25.93%
22	1999-04-03	11.15	@ Tirol Innsbruck	3	1672	25.25%	Sturm Graz	1	1833	48.87%	25.88%
23	1998-11-21	11.09	Grazer AK	3	1739	49.07%	@ Austria Lustenau	0	1577	25.10%	25.83%
24	1999-04-24	11.07	@ Austria Wien	3	1654	49.13%	Ried	0	1634	25.05%	25.82%
25	1998-10-03	11.05	Sturm Graz	3	1799	49.24%	@ Austria Wien	0	1636	24.97%	25.79%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1999-04-10	82.8	@ Vorwarts Steyr	3	1515	16.00%	Rapid Wien	3	1790	62.96%	21.04%
2	1999-04-17	79.9	@ Austria Salzburg	2	1774	58.67%	Tirol Innsbruck	2	1677	18.48%	22.85%
3	1998-08-15	78.0	Grazer AK	3	1737	20.11%	@ Sturm Graz	2	1812	56.09%	23.81%
4	1998-08-01	77.4	@ Austria Lustenau	2	1614	35.11%	Tirol Innsbruck	2	1694	37.66%	27.24%
5	1999-05-01	74.6	@ Rapid Wien	1	1802	61.03%	Tirol Innsbruck	1	1686	17.09%	21.89%
6	1998-09-20	74.5	@ Rapid Wien	1	1772	63.12%	Ried	1	1637	15.91%	20.97%
7	1999-05-15	74.1	@ Sturm Graz	1	1837	53.27%	Rapid Wien	1	1784	22.01%	24.72%
8	1999-04-03	73.8	@ Rapid Wien	1	1791	52.28%	Austria Salzburg	1	1746	22.71%	25.01%
9	1999-05-15	73.6	@ LASK Linz	3	1697	34.02%	Austria Salzburg	2	1785	38.78%	27.20%
10	1998-08-15	73.5	@ Austria Wien	3	1632	31.98%	Austria Salzburg	2	1735	40.95%	27.07%
11	1998-10-25	73.3	@ Austria Salzburg	1	1727	51.81%	Tirol Innsbruck	1	1686	23.04%	25.14%
12	1998-08-08	73.2	@ Austria Salzburg	1	1735	35.52%	Sturm Graz	1	1812	37.24%	27.24%
13	1998-08-02	73.1	@ Grazer AK	1	1724	46.10%	Rapid Wien	1	1726	27.47%	26.42%
14	1998-10-02	73.1	@ Austria Salzburg	1	1735	42.95%	Rapid Wien	1	1759	30.17%	26.88%
15	1998-11-14	73.0	Austria Lustenau	2	1569	14.78%	@ Austria Salzburg	1	1722	65.23%	19.99%
16	1999-03-16	72.9	@ Austria Wien	1	1649	28.25%	Rapid Wien	1	1782	45.18%	26.58%
17	1998-10-28	72.8	@ Tirol Innsbruck	1	1687	35.93%	Grazer AK	1	1761	36.82%	27.25%
18	1999-05-08	72.8	Austria Salzburg	2	1780	21.39%	@ Sturm Graz	1	1839	54.16%	24.45%
19	1998-09-15	72.6	@ Tirol Innsbruck	1	1668	37.33%	Austria Salzburg	1	1732	35.43%	27.24%
20	1999-03-16	72.4	@ Ried	1	1638	32.51%	Austria Salzburg	1	1737	40.38%	27.11%
21	1998-09-09	72.2	@ Austria Lustenau	1	1601	28.40%	Austria Salzburg	1	1733	45.00%	26.60%
22	1998-09-23	71.9	@ Austria Wien	1	1647	44.15%	Tirol Innsbruck	1	1663	29.13%	26.72%
23	1999-03-31	71.8	@ Austria Wien	1	1641	42.03%	Tirol Innsbruck	1	1672	31.00%	26.97%
24	1999-04-03	71.7	@ Vorwarts Steyr	1	1514	20.21%	LASK Linz	1	1730	55.93%	23.86%
25	1998-08-08	70.8	@ Austria Lustenau	1	1608	43.10%	Austria Wien	1	1632	30.04%	26.86%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1999-03-16	42.0	@ Sturm Graz	5	1847	82.37%	Vorwarts Steyr	0	1508	6.93%	10.70%
2	1999-04-24	43.5	@ Tirol Innsbruck	4	1678	67.29%	Vorwarts Steyr	0	1506	13.73%	18.98%
3	1999-05-29	45.1	@ LASK Linz	2	1706	71.67%	Vorwarts Steyr	0	1491	11.62%	16.71%
4	1998-10-17	46.4	@ Sturm Graz	4	1810	68.38%	Ried	0	1627	13.19%	18.43%
5	1998-08-04	46.6	@ Sturm Graz	3	1807	69.43%	Austria Lustenau	0	1614	12.68%	17.89%
6	1998-09-19	47.0	@ Grazer AK	4	1747	64.39%	Austria Lustenau	0	1601	15.23%	20.38%
7	1998-10-03	47.6	@ Grazer AK	2	1758	70.26%	Vorwarts Steyr	0	1557	12.28%	17.46%
8	1998-10-24	48.3	@ Rapid Wien	5	1747	70.06%	Vorwarts Steyr	1	1548	12.38%	17.56%
9	1999-05-11	48.4	@ Grazer AK	2	1729	66.57%	Austria Lustenau	0	1563	14.09%	19.34%
10	1999-03-31	48.7	@ LASK Linz	2	1725	65.49%	Austria Lustenau	0	1569	14.65%	19.86%
11	1999-04-17	48.8	Grazer AK	3	1726	55.42%	@ Vorwarts Steyr	0	1515	20.55%	24.04%
12	1998-07-28	49.2	@ Sturm Graz	2	1799	67.67%	Austria Wien	0	1623	13.54%	18.79%
13	1999-05-08	49.2	@ Austria Wien	4	1658	64.79%	Vorwarts Steyr	1	1508	15.02%	20.20%
14	1999-03-31	49.3	@ Austria Salzburg	1	1745	73.00%	Vorwarts Steyr	0	1516	11.01%	15.99%
15	1999-05-15	49.3	@ Ried	1	1604	59.81%	Vorwarts Steyr	0	1498	17.80%	22.39%
16	1998-11-28	49.4	@ Grazer AK	1	1750	73.07%	Vorwarts Steyr	0	1521	10.98%	15.96%
17	1998-11-20	49.5	@ Sturm Graz	2	1853	68.10%	Tirol Innsbruck	0	1673	13.33%	18.57%
18	1998-07-29	49.6	@ LASK Linz	3	1704	56.81%	Austria Lustenau	0	1623	19.64%	23.55%
19	1999-05-01	49.6	@ Austria Salzburg	3	1772	59.83%	Austria Wien	0	1665	17.78%	22.39%
20	1999-05-29	49.8	@ Sturm Graz	3	1841	60.55%	Tirol Innsbruck	0	1728	17.36%	22.09%
21	1999-03-20	50.0	@ Grazer AK	3	1734	57.21%	Austria Wien	0	1649	19.39%	23.40%
22	1999-05-11	50.9	Sturm Graz	4	1832	68.91%	@ Vorwarts Steyr	1	1502	12.93%	18.16%
23	1999-05-01	51.0	@ Vorwarts Steyr	2	1498	38.00%	Austria Lustenau	0	1558	34.77%	27.23%
24	1999-05-01	51.1	Sturm Graz	3	1830	54.89%	@ Ried	0	1623	20.90%	24.21%
25	1999-05-08	51.3	@ LASK Linz	6	1702	57.79%	Ried	1	1613	19.03%	23.19%