1995-96 Bundesliga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rapid Wien

73 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rapid Wien

11.95 points above expected

73 points · 61.05 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vorwarts Steyr

14.83 points below expected

6 points · 20.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rapid Wien	36	22	7	7	73	68	38	+30	61.05	+11.95
2	Sturm Graz	36	20	7	9	67	61	35	+26	66.20	+0.80
3	Tirol Innsbruck	36	18	8	10	62	64	40	+24	56.92	+5.08
4	Grazer AK	36	14	15	7	57	46	36	+10	55.30	+1.70
5	Austria Wien	36	14	9	13	51	42	35	+7	53.40	-2.40
6	Linzer ASK	36	13	9	14	48	36	35	+1	47.25	+0.75
7	Ried	36	11	14	11	47	47	53	-6	43.31	+3.69
8	Austria Salzburg	36	10	14	12	44	53	51	+2	51.57	-7.57
9	Admira Wacker	36	7	13	16	34	35	61	-26	34.54	-0.54
10	Vorwarts Steyr	36	0	6	30	6	25	93	-68	20.83	-14.83

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Rapid Wien	73	61.05	+11.95
2	Tirol Innsbruck	62	56.92	+5.08
3	Ried	47	43.31	+3.69
4	Grazer AK	57	55.30	+1.70
5	Sturm Graz	67	66.20	+0.80

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Vorwarts Steyr	6	20.83	-14.83
2	Austria Salzburg	44	51.57	-7.57
3	Austria Wien	51	53.40	-2.40
4	Admira Wacker	34	34.54	-0.54
5	Linzer ASK	48	47.25	+0.75

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tirol Innsbruck	8	Mar 2 – Apr 10	1 in 586
2	Rapid Wien	4	Aug 5 – Aug 26	1 in 46
3	Sturm Graz	6	Nov 19 – Mar 23	1 in 39
4	Linzer ASK	3	Nov 11 – Nov 21	1 in 20
5	Austria Wien	3	Apr 27 – May 11	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vorwarts Steyr	14	Oct 28 – Apr 16	1 in 231
2	Linzer ASK	4	Oct 14 – Nov 4	1 in 51
3	Austria Wien	3	Aug 5 – Aug 19	1 in 23
4	Sturm Graz	2	Sep 20 – Sep 23	1 in 16
5	Rapid Wien	2	Nov 19 – Nov 21	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Admira Wacker	6	Oct 6 – Nov 8	1 in 62
2	Rapid Wien	10	Aug 5 – Oct 6	1 in 33
3	Sturm Graz	13	Oct 3 – Mar 23	1 in 23
4	Vorwarts Steyr	3	Oct 6 – Oct 20	1 in 19
5	Austria Salzburg	8	Oct 6 – Nov 25	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vorwarts Steyr	36	Aug 2 – Jun 1	1 in 96
2	Austria Salzburg	8	Nov 25 – Apr 6	1 in 28
3	Grazer AK	6	Nov 4 – Mar 2	1 in 14
4	Linzer ASK	6	Oct 3 – Nov 4	1 in 10
5	Tirol Innsbruck	5	Oct 3 – Oct 28	1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Rapid Wien	1901	73	+81	13	8.7	+4.3
Sturm Graz	1861	67	+9	8	8.2	-0.2
Tirol Innsbruck	1835	62	-75	5	8.9	-3.9
Grazer AK	1805	57	-3	7	9.0	-2.0
Austria Wien	1730	51	-65	4	5.7	-1.7
Linzer ASK	1705	48	+17	7	6.6	+0.4
Ried	1718	47	+79	8	4.9	+3.1
Austria Salzburg	1689	44	-10	5	7.0	-2.0
Admira Wacker	1552	34	-18	5	4.9	+0.1
Vorwarts Steyr	1332	6	-36	0	2.3	-2.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AW	AS	AW	GA	LA	RW	RIE	SG	TI	VS
Admira Wacker	—	0-3-1 3.36	1-1-2 3.37	0-2-2 3.14	0-1-3 4.18	0-3-1 2.63	2-1-1 4.23	0-1-3 2.73	0-1-3 3.44	4-0-0 7.22
Austria Salzburg	1-3-0 7.53	—	0-2-2 5.57	1-2-1 4.86	1-2-1 5.64	1-0-3 4.19	0-3-1 6.47	1-1-2 3.72	1-1-2 4.71	4-0-0 8.97
Austria Wien	2-1-1 7.52	2-2-0 5.25	—	1-2-1 5.07	2-0-2 6.43	2-0-2 4.35	1-2-1 6.58	0-0-4 4.33	2-0-2 4.94	2-2-0 8.76
Grazer AK	2-2-0 7.76	1-2-1 5.96	1-2-1 5.75	—	2-2-0 5.95	0-1-3 4.92	1-3-0 6.94	3-1-0 3.84	1-1-2 5.40	3-1-0 8.81
Linzer ASK	3-1-0 6.65	1-2-1 5.18	2-0-2 4.38	0-2-2 4.87	—	1-1-2 4.05	0-2-2 6.03	2-0-2 3.50	0-1-3 4.11	4-0-0 8.45
Rapid Wien	1-3-0 8.33	3-0-1 6.65	2-0-2 6.47	3-1-0 5.90	2-1-1 6.79	—	2-1-1 7.29	2-0-2 4.94	3-1-0 5.16	4-0-0 9.41
Ried	1-1-2 6.59	1-3-0 4.39	1-2-1 4.26	0-3-1 3.90	2-2-0 4.78	1-1-2 3.59	—	0-1-3 3.51	2-0-2 4.27	3-1-0 8.28
Sturm Graz	3-1-0 8.27	2-1-1 7.14	4-0-0 6.50	0-1-3 7.01	2-0-2 7.38	2-0-2 5.88	3-1-0 7.36	—	1-2-1 6.60	3-1-0 9.94
Tirol Innsbruck	3-1-0 7.48	2-1-1 6.14	2-0-2 5.89	2-1-1 5.40	3-1-0 6.76	0-1-3 5.67	2-0-2 6.60	1-2-1 4.23	—	3-1-0 9.02
Vorwarts Steyr	0-0-4 3.67	0-0-4 2.10	0-2-2 2.29	0-1-3 2.29	0-0-4 2.54	0-0-4 1.78	0-1-3 2.69	0-1-3 1.36	0-1-3 2.09	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.76	+11.9
Allowed	0.82	-9.3
Differential	0.97	+6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.89%	6.94%	7.50%	4.44%	0.83%	0.83%	29.44%
1	6.94%	13.33%	5.28%	5.00%	1.11%	0.56%	32.22%
2	7.50%	5.28%	6.11%	1.67%	1.39%	—	21.94%
3	4.44%	5.00%	1.67%	—	0.28%	—	11.39%
4	0.83%	1.11%	1.39%	0.28%	—	—	3.61%
5+	0.83%	0.56%	—	—	—	—	1.39%
Total	29.44%	32.22%	21.94%	11.39%	3.61%	1.39%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.32	+0.00
SD	1.22	1.22	1.86
CV	0.92	0.92	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	—	2.78%	41.67%
1	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	33.33%
2	2.78%	—	11.11%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	22.22%	36.11%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.69	-0.72
SD	1.08	1.41	1.86
CV	1.11	0.83	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	27.78%
1	—	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	2.78%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	25.00%	27.78%	27.78%	19.44%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.42	+0.06
SD	1.44	1.08	2.10
CV	0.98	0.76	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	44.44%
1	11.11%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
2	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	27.78%	22.22%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	0.97	+0.19
SD	1.30	1.00	1.82
CV	1.11	1.03	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	13.89%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	47.22%
2	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	30.56%	22.22%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.00	+0.28
SD	0.97	0.99	1.16
CV	0.76	0.99	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
1	11.11%	13.89%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	41.67%
2	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	38.89%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	0.97	+0.03
SD	0.93	0.94	1.48
CV	0.93	0.97	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
1	8.33%	16.67%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	30.56%
2	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
4	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	30.56%	47.22%	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.89	1.06	+0.83
SD	1.37	1.04	1.73
CV	0.72	0.99	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	25.00%
1	8.33%	16.67%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	30.56%
2	2.78%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	—	33.33%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	33.33%	13.89%	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.47	-0.17
SD	0.98	1.52	1.75
CV	0.75	1.03	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
3	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	33.33%	38.89%	25.00%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	0.97	+0.72
SD	1.31	0.84	1.54
CV	0.77	0.87	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
1	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	30.56%
2	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	30.56%	41.67%	13.89%	13.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	1.11	+0.67
SD	1.40	1.01	2.04
CV	0.79	0.91	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	13.89%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	50.00%
1	—	5.56%	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	33.33%
2	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	13.89%
3	—	—	—	—	2.78%	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.56%	13.89%	27.78%	30.56%	16.67%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.69	2.58	-1.89
SD	0.82	1.32	1.41
CV	1.18	0.51	—
Max	3	6	+0
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rapid Wien	1901	73	61.05	+11.95	95.2%	39	48	56	61	66	73	88
Sturm Graz	1861	67	66.20	+0.80	56.7%	42	53	61	66	71	78	94
Tirol Innsbruck	1835	62	56.92	+5.08	77.2%	35	44	52	57	62	70	79
Grazer AK	1805	57	55.30	+1.70	62.0%	34	43	50	55	60	68	82
Austria Wien	1730	51	53.40	-2.40	39.9%	30	41	48	53	59	66	76
Ried	1718	47	43.31	+3.69	73.7%	17	32	38	43	48	56	72
Linzer ASK	1705	48	47.25	+0.75	55.9%	26	35	42	47	52	60	70
Austria Salzburg	1689	44	51.57	-7.57	17.9%	30	39	47	51	56	64	78
Admira Wacker	1552	34	34.54	-0.54	51.2%	11	24	30	34	39	46	62
Vorwarts Steyr	1332	6	20.83	-14.83	0.0%	7	12	17	20	25	31	37

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+16.11%

Clear Edge

43.89%28.33%27.78%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 56.47 Elo pts.

210 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.32 goals

Neutral

-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.0

Top-Heavy

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

22%

Rapid Wien, 2nd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.17/gm

Tight Race

00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.76 * Some Luck: 5.76 to 8.63 * Lucky: 8.63 to 11.51 * Wild Swing: 11.51 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.93 * Close: 0.93 to 1.4 * Off: 1.4 to 1.87 * Way Off: 1.87 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.85 points

Some Luck

07.2018

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.60

Pinpoint

01.172.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

95.20%

Rapid Wien

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

0.00%

Vorwarts Steyr

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

2.11

Strong Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

68%

Slight Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

96%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

57%

Very Frequent

0%58%100%

Blowouts

Expected

16%

Frequent

0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.41

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.15

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.68

Strong Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

18%

Chalky

0%21%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

15%

Solid Favorites

0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.97

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.24

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.052

Well Within Noise

00.1330.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Rapid Wien	22.00%	27.20%	20.50%	13.20%	7.70%	5.80%	2.90%	0.70%	—	—
Sturm Graz	51.70%	25.40%	10.30%	6.00%	4.50%	1.30%	0.80%	—	—	—
Tirol Innsbruck	10.70%	16.60%	20.40%	18.90%	14.00%	9.40%	6.10%	3.40%	0.50%	—
Grazer AK	7.70%	13.10%	15.10%	19.00%	15.50%	14.00%	10.20%	4.90%	0.50%	—
Austria Wien	3.80%	8.90%	15.40%	16.10%	17.90%	17.20%	13.00%	6.90%	0.80%	—
Linzer ASK	0.60%	1.90%	4.80%	9.30%	13.50%	19.20%	23.30%	21.00%	6.00%	0.40%
Ried	0.50%	0.50%	2.90%	4.10%	6.10%	12.10%	20.60%	37.40%	15.40%	0.40%
Austria Salzburg	3.00%	6.40%	10.40%	12.90%	20.00%	19.10%	16.50%	9.70%	2.00%	—
Admira Wacker	—	—	0.20%	0.50%	0.80%	1.90%	6.60%	15.70%	68.20%	6.10%
Vorwarts Steyr	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.30%	6.60%	93.10%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Rapid Wien	100%	—	—
Sturm Graz	100%	—	—
Grazer AK	99.50%	0.50%	—
Tirol Innsbruck	99.50%	0.50%	—
Austria Wien	99.20%	0.80%	—
Austria Salzburg	98.00%	2.00%	—
Linzer ASK	93.60%	6.00%	0.40%
Ried	84.20%	15.40%	0.40%
Vorwarts Steyr	0.30%	6.60%	93.10%
Admira Wacker	—	100%	—

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1995-08-02	Sturm Graz	L 1-5	57.7	1671	1781	27.88%	29.79%	42.32%	-0.25	-36.8	0
1995-08-02	@ Admira Wacker	W 5-1	57.7	1781	1671	42.32%	29.79%	27.88%	+0.25	+36.8	3
1995-08-02	Vorwarts Steyr	W 4-0	49.9	1721	1632	53.47%	28.24%	18.29%	+0.69	+31.4	3
1995-08-02	@ Austria Wien	L 0-4	49.9	1632	1721	18.29%	28.24%	53.47%	-0.69	-31.4	0
1995-08-02	Rapid Wien	W 2-1	66.8	1675	1728	35.46%	30.04%	34.50%	+0.02	+13.6	3
1995-08-02	@ Ried	L 1-2	66.8	1728	1675	34.50%	30.04%	35.46%	-0.02	-13.6	0
1995-08-02	Linzer ASK	D 1-1	71.6	1781	1686	54.02%	28.12%	17.86%	+0.72	-3.1	1
1995-08-02	@ Austria Salzburg	D 1-1	71.6	1686	1781	17.86%	28.12%	54.02%	-0.72	+3.1	1
1995-08-04	Ried	D 1-1	70.6	1689	1689	42.86%	29.76%	27.39%	+0.27	-1.2	2
1995-08-04	@ Linzer ASK	D 1-1	70.6	1689	1689	27.39%	29.76%	42.86%	-0.27	+1.2	4
1995-08-05	Austria Wien	W 1-0	60.7	1715	1753	37.62%	30.01%	32.37%	+0.09	+13.8	3
1995-08-05	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-1	60.7	1753	1715	32.37%	30.01%	37.62%	-0.09	-13.8	3
1995-08-05	Austria Salzburg	L 0-2	62.2	1818	1778	47.85%	29.23%	22.92%	+0.46	-34.9	3
1995-08-05	@ Sturm Graz	W 2-0	62.2	1778	1818	22.92%	29.23%	47.85%	-0.46	+34.9	4
1995-08-05	Grazer AK	L 1-2	63.7	1601	1720	26.72%	29.70%	43.58%	-0.30	-11.3	0
1995-08-05	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 2-1	63.7	1720	1601	43.58%	29.70%	26.72%	+0.30	+11.3	3
1995-08-05	Admira Wacker	W 3-0	50.0	1731	1634	54.29%	28.05%	17.66%	+0.73	+23.3	3
1995-08-05	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-3	50.0	1634	1731	17.66%	28.05%	54.29%	-0.73	-23.3	0
1995-08-11	Linzer ASK	L 0-1	65.2	1739	1688	49.14%	29.05%	21.81%	+0.51	-18.9	3
1995-08-11	@ Austria Wien	W 1-0	65.2	1688	1739	21.81%	29.05%	49.14%	-0.51	+18.9	5
1995-08-12	Austria Salzburg	L 1-2	61.6	1611	1812	18.36%	28.26%	53.38%	-0.69	-8.3	0
1995-08-12	@ Admira Wacker	W 2-1	61.6	1812	1611	53.38%	28.26%	18.36%	+0.69	+8.3	7
1995-08-12	Rapid Wien	L 1-2	69.6	1731	1729	43.10%	29.74%	27.16%	+0.28	-16.0	3
1995-08-12	@ Grazer AK	W 2-1	69.6	1729	1731	27.16%	29.74%	43.10%	-0.28	+16.0	6
1995-08-12	Sturm Graz	L 2-4	66.6	1690	1783	30.02%	29.93%	40.05%	-0.17	-19.0	4
1995-08-12	@ Ried	W 4-2	66.6	1783	1690	40.05%	29.93%	30.02%	+0.17	+19.0	6
1995-08-12	Vorwarts Steyr	W 5-1	51.4	1755	1589	60.99%	26.08%	12.93%	+1.05	+18.9	6
1995-08-12	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 1-5	51.4	1589	1755	12.93%	26.08%	60.99%	-1.05	-18.9	0
1995-08-18	Admira Wacker	L 0-1	58.8	1571	1603	38.40%	29.99%	31.61%	+0.11	-15.6	0
1995-08-18	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 1-0	58.8	1603	1571	31.61%	29.99%	38.40%	-0.11	+15.6	3
1995-08-19	Grazer AK	D 0-0	66.0	1707	1715	41.74%	29.83%	28.43%	+0.23	-1.2	6
1995-08-19	@ Linzer ASK	D 0-0	66.0	1715	1707	28.43%	29.83%	41.74%	-0.23	+1.2	4
1995-08-19	Tirol Innsbruck	W 3-1	63.3	1745	1774	38.88%	29.97%	31.15%	+0.13	+21.9	9
1995-08-19	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-3	63.3	1774	1745	31.15%	29.97%	38.88%	-0.13	-21.9	6
1995-08-19	Ried	D 1-1	72.1	1821	1671	59.56%	26.57%	13.86%	+0.98	-4.0	8
1995-08-19	@ Austria Salzburg	D 1-1	72.1	1671	1821	13.86%	26.57%	59.56%	-0.98	+4.0	5
1995-08-19	Austria Wien	W 2-0	53.1	1802	1720	52.66%	28.41%	18.93%	+0.66	+17.1	9
1995-08-19	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-2	53.1	1720	1802	18.93%	28.41%	52.66%	-0.66	-17.1	3
1995-08-25	Ried	W 3-2	71.1	1618	1675	34.96%	30.04%	35.00%	+0.00	+13.0	6
1995-08-25	@ Admira Wacker	L 2-3	71.1	1675	1618	35.00%	30.04%	34.96%	+0.00	-13.0	5
1995-08-26	Austria Salzburg	W 3-0	58.9	1703	1817	27.36%	29.75%	42.89%	-0.27	+46.3	6
1995-08-26	@ Austria Wien	L 0-3	58.9	1817	1703	42.89%	29.75%	27.36%	+0.27	-46.4	8
1995-08-26	Sturm Graz	W 3-2	74.6	1716	1819	28.73%	29.85%	41.42%	-0.22	+14.7	7
1995-08-26	@ Grazer AK	L 2-3	74.6	1819	1716	41.42%	29.85%	28.73%	+0.22	-14.7	9
1995-08-26	Rapid Wien	L 0-2	51.3	1555	1767	17.51%	28.01%	54.48%	-0.74	-15.9	0
1995-08-26	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 2-0	51.3	1767	1555	54.48%	28.01%	17.51%	+0.74	+15.9	12
1995-08-26	Linzer ASK	W 2-1	63.2	1752	1706	48.54%	29.13%	22.32%	+0.49	+9.8	9
1995-08-26	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 1-2	63.2	1706	1752	22.32%	29.13%	48.54%	-0.49	-9.8	6
1995-08-30	Vorwarts Steyr	W 1-0	51.5	1696	1539	60.25%	26.34%	13.41%	+1.02	+6.6	9
1995-08-30	@ Linzer ASK	L 0-1	51.5	1539	1696	13.41%	26.34%	60.25%	-1.02	-6.6	0
1995-08-30	Admira Wacker	D 1-1	71.8	1782	1631	59.69%	26.53%	13.78%	+0.99	-4.0	13
1995-08-30	@ Rapid Wien	D 1-1	71.8	1631	1782	13.78%	26.53%	59.69%	-0.99	+4.0	7
1995-08-30	Austria Wien	D 0-0	65.9	1662	1749	30.71%	29.96%	39.33%	-0.15	+0.7	6
1995-08-30	@ Ried	D 0-0	65.9	1749	1662	39.33%	29.96%	30.71%	+0.15	-0.8	7
1995-08-30	Grazer AK	W 2-1	63.6	1770	1731	47.78%	29.24%	22.97%	+0.46	+10.0	11
1995-08-30	@ Austria Salzburg	L 1-2	63.6	1731	1770	22.97%	29.24%	47.78%	-0.46	-10.0	7
1995-08-30	Tirol Innsbruck	W 2-0	54.6	1804	1761	48.16%	29.19%	22.65%	+0.47	+19.8	12
1995-08-30	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-2	54.6	1761	1804	22.65%	29.19%	48.16%	-0.47	-19.8	9
1995-09-02	Tirol Innsbruck	W 3-0	54.9	1721	1742	40.00%	29.93%	30.07%	+0.17	+35.8	10
1995-09-02	@ Grazer AK	L 0-3	54.9	1742	1721	30.07%	29.93%	40.00%	-0.17	-35.8	9
1995-09-16	Austria Wien	D 1-1	70.6	1635	1749	27.42%	29.76%	42.82%	-0.27	+1.2	8
1995-09-16	@ Admira Wacker	D 1-1	70.6	1749	1635	42.82%	29.76%	27.42%	+0.27	-1.2	8
1995-09-16	Ried	W 4-2	62.2	1757	1663	53.98%	28.13%	17.89%	+0.72	+12.6	13
1995-09-16	@ Grazer AK	L 2-4	62.2	1663	1757	17.89%	28.13%	53.98%	-0.72	-12.6	6
1995-09-16	Sturm Graz	L 1-3	55.4	1532	1824	12.17%	25.64%	62.19%	-1.12	-9.8	0
1995-09-16	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 3-1	55.4	1824	1532	62.19%	25.64%	12.17%	+1.12	+9.8	15
1995-09-16	Austria Salzburg	D 1-1	71.1	1706	1780	32.44%	30.01%	37.55%	-0.09	+0.4	10
1995-09-16	@ Tirol Innsbruck	D 1-1	71.1	1780	1706	37.55%	30.01%	32.44%	+0.09	-0.4	12
1995-09-17	Linzer ASK	D 1-1	71.5	1778	1703	52.00%	28.55%	19.45%	+0.63	-2.7	14
1995-09-17	@ Rapid Wien	D 1-1	71.5	1703	1778	19.45%	28.55%	52.00%	-0.63	+2.7	10
1995-09-20	Grazer AK	W 3-2	71.3	1747	1769	39.85%	29.93%	30.21%	+0.16	+11.7	11
1995-09-20	@ Austria Wien	L 2-3	71.3	1769	1747	30.21%	29.93%	39.85%	-0.16	-11.7	13
1995-09-20	Admira Wacker	W 2-0	52.5	1705	1637	51.22%	28.69%	20.09%	+0.60	+18.0	13
1995-09-20	@ Linzer ASK	L 0-2	52.5	1637	1705	20.09%	28.69%	51.22%	-0.60	-18.0	8
1995-09-20	Tirol Innsbruck	W 2-1	66.6	1650	1706	35.04%	30.04%	34.92%	+0.00	+13.7	9
1995-09-20	@ Ried	L 1-2	66.6	1706	1650	34.92%	30.04%	35.04%	+0.00	-13.7	10
1995-09-20	Vorwarts Steyr	W 4-0	44.8	1780	1523	68.64%	22.77%	8.59%	+1.49	+14.7	15
1995-09-20	@ Austria Salzburg	L 0-4	44.8	1523	1780	8.59%	22.77%	68.64%	-1.49	-14.7	0
1995-09-20	Rapid Wien	L 0-1	66.0	1834	1776	49.98%	28.91%	21.11%	+0.54	-19.2	15
1995-09-20	@ Sturm Graz	W 1-0	66.0	1776	1834	21.11%	28.91%	49.98%	-0.54	+19.2	17
1995-09-23	Admira Wacker	D 1-1	71.4	1758	1619	58.53%	26.90%	14.57%	+0.93	-3.8	14
1995-09-23	@ Grazer AK	D 1-1	71.4	1619	1758	14.57%	26.90%	58.53%	-0.93	+3.8	9
1995-09-23	Sturm Graz	W 2-1	69.0	1723	1814	30.22%	29.94%	39.85%	-0.16	+15.1	16
1995-09-23	@ Linzer ASK	L 1-2	69.0	1814	1723	39.85%	29.94%	30.22%	+0.16	-15.1	15
1995-09-23	Austria Salzburg	W 3-1	62.3	1795	1795	42.82%	29.76%	27.42%	+0.27	+19.9	20
1995-09-23	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-3	62.3	1795	1795	27.42%	29.76%	42.82%	-0.27	-19.9	15
1995-09-23	Ried	L 0-2	50.5	1508	1664	22.61%	29.18%	48.21%	-0.47	-19.8	0
1995-09-23	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 2-0	50.5	1664	1508	48.21%	29.18%	22.61%	+0.47	+19.8	12
1995-09-23	Austria Wien	W 3-1	64.6	1693	1759	33.55%	30.03%	36.42%	-0.05	+24.5	13
1995-09-23	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 1-3	64.6	1759	1693	36.42%	30.03%	33.55%	+0.05	-24.4	11
1995-10-03	Grazer AK	L 0-2	54.6	1623	1754	25.30%	29.55%	45.14%	-0.36	-21.6	9
1995-10-03	@ Admira Wacker	W 2-0	54.6	1754	1623	45.14%	29.55%	25.30%	+0.36	+21.6	17
1995-10-03	Tirol Innsbruck	W 1-0	58.3	1735	1717	45.08%	29.56%	25.36%	+0.35	+11.5	14
1995-10-03	@ Austria Wien	L 0-1	58.3	1717	1735	25.36%	29.56%	45.08%	-0.35	-11.5	13
1995-10-03	Vorwarts Steyr	W 3-1	51.9	1684	1488	63.66%	25.06%	11.28%	+1.20	+9.0	15
1995-10-03	@ Ried	L 1-3	51.9	1488	1684	11.28%	25.06%	63.66%	-1.20	-9.0	0
1995-10-03	Rapid Wien	L 0-3	57.4	1775	1815	37.32%	30.02%	32.66%	+0.08	-41.7	15
1995-10-03	@ Austria Salzburg	W 3-0	57.4	1815	1775	32.66%	30.02%	37.32%	-0.08	+41.7	23
1995-10-03	Linzer ASK	W 3-1	59.9	1799	1738	50.32%	28.85%	20.82%	+0.56	+16.0	18
1995-10-03	@ Sturm Graz	L 1-3	59.9	1738	1799	20.82%	28.85%	50.32%	-0.56	-16.0	16
1995-10-06	Austria Salzburg	D 0-0	66.2	1722	1733	41.38%	29.86%	28.76%	+0.22	-1.1	17
1995-10-06	@ Linzer ASK	D 0-0	66.2	1733	1722	28.76%	29.86%	41.38%	-0.22	+1.1	16
1995-10-06	Ried	W 4-1	54.1	1857	1693	60.87%	26.12%	13.00%	+1.05	+14.8	26
1995-10-06	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-4	54.1	1693	1857	13.00%	26.12%	60.87%	-1.05	-14.8	15
1995-10-06	Admira Wacker	D 0-0	67.6	1815	1601	65.25%	24.38%	10.37%	+1.29	-5.5	19
1995-10-06	@ Sturm Graz	D 0-0	67.6	1601	1815	10.37%	24.38%	65.25%	-1.29	+5.5	10
1995-10-06	Austria Wien	D 0-0	64.7	1479	1746	13.59%	26.44%	59.97%	-1.00	+4.5	1
1995-10-06	@ Vorwarts Steyr	D 0-0	64.7	1746	1479	59.97%	26.44%	13.59%	+1.00	-4.6	15
1995-10-06	Grazer AK	D 1-1	71.1	1706	1775	33.09%	30.03%	36.88%	-0.06	+0.3	14
1995-10-06	@ Tirol Innsbruck	D 1-1	71.1	1775	1706	36.88%	30.03%	33.09%	+0.06	-0.3	18
1995-10-14	Rapid Wien	W 4-1	64.8	1742	1871	25.47%	29.57%	44.96%	-0.35	+40.6	18
1995-10-14	@ Austria Wien	L 1-4	64.8	1871	1742	44.96%	29.57%	25.47%	+0.35	-40.6	26
1995-10-14	Vorwarts Steyr	D 1-1	71.6	1775	1484	71.15%	21.45%	7.40%	+1.65	-5.7	19
1995-10-14	@ Grazer AK	D 1-1	71.6	1484	1775	7.40%	21.45%	71.15%	-1.65	+5.7	2
1995-10-14	Linzer ASK	W 1-0	60.5	1678	1721	36.85%	30.03%	33.13%	+0.06	+14.0	18
1995-10-14	@ Ried	L 0-1	60.5	1721	1678	33.13%	30.03%	36.85%	-0.06	-14.0	17
1995-10-14	Sturm Graz	D 1-1	71.3	1734	1810	32.26%	30.01%	37.73%	-0.09	+0.4	17
1995-10-14	@ Austria Salzburg	D 1-1	71.3	1810	1734	37.73%	30.01%	32.26%	+0.09	-0.4	20
1995-10-15	Tirol Innsbruck	D 0-0	65.1	1606	1706	29.14%	29.88%	40.98%	-0.20	+1.0	11
1995-10-15	@ Admira Wacker	D 0-0	65.1	1706	1606	40.98%	29.88%	29.14%	+0.20	-1.0	15
1995-10-20	Tirol Innsbruck	D 2-2	74.5	1489	1705	17.21%	27.91%	54.88%	-0.76	+2.4	3
1995-10-20	@ Vorwarts Steyr	D 2-2	74.5	1705	1489	54.88%	27.91%	17.21%	+0.76	-2.4	16
1995-10-21	Austria Wien	L 0-1	60.7	1707	1782	32.39%	30.01%	37.60%	-0.09	-13.8	17
1995-10-21	@ Linzer ASK	W 1-0	60.7	1782	1707	37.60%	30.01%	32.39%	+0.09	+13.8	21
1995-10-21	Admira Wacker	D 2-2	77.0	1735	1607	57.39%	27.24%	15.36%	+0.87	-2.7	18
1995-10-21	@ Austria Salzburg	D 2-2	77.0	1607	1735	15.36%	27.24%	57.39%	-0.87	+2.7	12
1995-10-21	Ried	W 1-0	55.1	1810	1692	56.44%	27.51%	16.05%	+0.83	+7.8	23
1995-10-21	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-1	55.1	1692	1810	16.05%	27.51%	56.44%	-0.83	-7.8	18
1995-10-22	Grazer AK	W 3-1	60.0	1831	1769	50.38%	28.84%	20.78%	+0.56	+16.0	29
1995-10-22	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-3	60.0	1769	1831	20.78%	28.84%	50.38%	-0.56	-16.0	19
1995-10-28	Vorwarts Steyr	W 4-1	49.4	1610	1492	56.51%	27.49%	15.99%	+0.83	+18.0	15
1995-10-28	@ Admira Wacker	L 1-4	49.4	1492	1610	15.99%	27.49%	56.51%	-0.83	-18.0	3
1995-10-28	Sturm Graz	L 0-3	58.2	1796	1817	39.92%	29.93%	30.15%	+0.17	-43.9	21
1995-10-28	@ Austria Wien	W 3-0	58.2	1817	1796	30.15%	29.93%	39.92%	-0.17	+43.9	26
1995-10-28	Austria Salzburg	D 0-0	65.9	1684	1732	36.23%	30.03%	33.73%	+0.04	-0.2	19
1995-10-28	@ Ried	D 0-0	65.9	1732	1684	33.73%	30.03%	36.23%	-0.04	+0.2	19
1995-10-28	Rapid Wien	L 1-2	64.1	1702	1847	23.84%	29.37%	46.80%	-0.42	-10.3	16
1995-10-28	@ Tirol Innsbruck	W 2-1	64.1	1847	1702	46.80%	29.37%	23.84%	+0.42	+10.3	32
1995-10-29	Linzer ASK	W 1-0	56.8	1753	1694	50.19%	28.88%	20.94%	+0.55	+9.9	22
1995-10-29	@ Grazer AK	L 0-1	56.8	1694	1753	20.94%	28.88%	50.19%	-0.55	-9.9	17
1995-11-04	Tirol Innsbruck	L 1-2	68.7	1684	1692	41.68%	29.84%	28.48%	+0.23	-15.6	17
1995-11-04	@ Linzer ASK	W 2-1	68.7	1692	1684	28.48%	29.84%	41.68%	-0.23	+15.6	19
1995-11-04	Admira Wacker	D 2-2	76.2	1684	1628	49.73%	28.95%	21.32%	+0.53	-1.8	20
1995-11-04	@ Ried	D 2-2	76.2	1628	1684	21.32%	28.95%	49.73%	-0.53	+1.8	16
1995-11-04	Grazer AK	D 1-1	72.0	1861	1763	54.42%	28.02%	17.55%	+0.73	-3.1	27
1995-11-04	@ Sturm Graz	D 1-1	72.0	1763	1861	17.55%	28.02%	54.42%	-0.73	+3.1	23
1995-11-05	Vorwarts Steyr	W 4-3	61.4	1857	1474	77.24%	17.82%	4.94%	+2.09	+1.9	35
1995-11-05	@ Rapid Wien	L 3-4	61.4	1474	1857	4.94%	17.82%	77.24%	-2.09	-1.9	3
1995-11-08	Rapid Wien	D 1-1	71.8	1630	1859	16.16%	27.55%	56.29%	-0.82	+3.4	17
1995-11-08	@ Admira Wacker	D 1-1	71.8	1859	1630	56.29%	27.55%	16.16%	+0.82	-3.5	36
1995-11-08	Ried	D 0-0	66.4	1752	1682	51.35%	28.67%	19.98%	+0.60	-2.9	22
1995-11-08	@ Austria Wien	D 0-0	66.4	1682	1752	19.98%	28.67%	51.35%	-0.60	+2.9	21
1995-11-08	Austria Salzburg	D 0-0	66.5	1766	1732	47.15%	29.32%	23.53%	+0.43	-2.1	24
1995-11-08	@ Grazer AK	D 0-0	66.5	1732	1766	23.53%	29.32%	47.15%	-0.43	+2.2	20
1995-11-08	Sturm Graz	D 2-2	77.6	1708	1858	23.19%	29.27%	47.54%	-0.45	+1.5	20
1995-11-08	@ Tirol Innsbruck	D 2-2	77.6	1858	1708	47.54%	29.27%	23.19%	+0.45	-1.5	28
1995-11-11	Linzer ASK	L 0-3	46.4	1472	1668	18.80%	28.38%	52.83%	-0.66	-24.6	3
1995-11-11	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 3-0	46.4	1668	1472	52.83%	28.38%	18.80%	+0.66	+24.6	20
1995-11-18	Linzer ASK	L 0-1	60.3	1633	1693	34.56%	30.04%	35.40%	-0.01	-14.4	17
1995-11-18	@ Admira Wacker	W 1-0	60.3	1693	1633	35.40%	30.04%	34.56%	+0.01	+14.4	23
1995-11-18	Austria Wien	D 0-0	66.5	1764	1749	44.73%	29.59%	25.67%	+0.34	-1.7	25
1995-11-18	@ Grazer AK	D 0-0	66.5	1749	1764	25.67%	29.59%	44.73%	-0.34	+1.7	23
1995-11-18	Austria Salzburg	L 0-6	45.9	1447	1734	12.43%	25.79%	61.78%	-1.10	-32.0	3
1995-11-18	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 6-0	45.9	1734	1447	61.78%	25.79%	12.43%	+1.10	+32.0	23
1995-11-18	Ried	W 2-0	54.6	1709	1685	45.88%	29.47%	24.64%	+0.38	+21.2	23
1995-11-18	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-2	54.6	1685	1709	24.64%	29.47%	45.88%	-0.38	-21.2	21
1995-11-19	Sturm Graz	L 0-2	60.9	1855	1857	42.64%	29.77%	27.59%	+0.26	-31.8	36
1995-11-19	@ Rapid Wien	W 2-0	60.9	1857	1855	27.59%	29.77%	42.64%	-0.26	+31.8	31
1995-11-21	Admira Wacker	W 3-1	56.8	1751	1619	57.87%	27.10%	15.03%	+0.90	+12.0	26
1995-11-21	@ Austria Wien	L 1-3	56.8	1619	1751	15.03%	27.10%	57.87%	-0.90	-12.0	17
1995-11-21	Rapid Wien	W 2-0	60.8	1707	1824	27.02%	29.72%	43.26%	-0.29	+32.1	26
1995-11-21	@ Linzer ASK	L 0-2	60.8	1824	1707	43.26%	29.72%	27.02%	+0.29	-32.1	36
1995-11-21	Grazer AK	D 0-0	66.0	1664	1762	29.25%	29.88%	40.86%	-0.20	+1.0	22
1995-11-21	@ Ried	D 0-0	66.0	1762	1664	40.86%	29.88%	29.25%	+0.20	-1.0	26
1995-11-21	Tirol Innsbruck	W 3-1	60.7	1766	1730	47.34%	29.30%	23.36%	+0.44	+17.6	26
1995-11-21	@ Austria Salzburg	L 1-3	60.7	1730	1766	23.36%	29.30%	47.34%	-0.44	-17.6	23
1995-11-22	Vorwarts Steyr	W 4-2	52.6	1888	1415	82.27%	14.44%	3.28%	+2.52	+1.9	34
1995-11-22	@ Sturm Graz	L 2-4	52.6	1415	1888	3.28%	14.44%	82.27%	-2.52	-1.9	3
1995-11-25	Austria Wien	D 2-2	77.5	1784	1763	45.48%	29.52%	25.00%	+0.37	-1.2	27
1995-11-25	@ Austria Salzburg	D 2-2	77.5	1763	1784	25.00%	29.52%	45.48%	-0.37	+1.2	27
1996-02-28	Grazer AK	W 1-0	58.2	1792	1761	46.64%	29.39%	23.97%	+0.41	+11.0	39
1996-02-28	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-1	58.2	1761	1792	23.97%	29.39%	46.64%	-0.41	-11.0	26
1996-03-02	Vorwarts Steyr	W 2-0	42.6	1764	1413	75.20%	19.09%	5.71%	+1.94	+4.8	30
1996-03-02	@ Austria Wien	L 0-2	42.6	1413	1764	5.71%	19.09%	75.20%	-1.94	-4.8	3
1996-03-02	Rapid Wien	L 0-2	58.2	1739	1803	34.01%	30.04%	35.95%	-0.03	-26.9	26
1996-03-02	@ Linzer ASK	W 2-0	58.2	1803	1739	35.95%	30.04%	34.01%	+0.03	+26.9	42
1996-03-02	Ried	L 0-3	62.0	1783	1665	56.44%	27.51%	16.05%	+0.83	-58.3	27
1996-03-02	@ Austria Salzburg	W 3-0	62.0	1665	1783	16.05%	27.51%	56.44%	-0.83	+58.3	25
1996-03-02	Grazer AK	W 2-0	57.4	1713	1750	37.65%	30.01%	32.34%	+0.09	+26.0	26
1996-03-02	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-2	57.4	1750	1713	32.34%	30.01%	37.65%	-0.09	-26.0	26
1996-03-09	Tirol Innsbruck	L 1-4	57.7	1607	1739	25.23%	29.54%	45.23%	-0.36	-26.4	17
1996-03-09	@ Admira Wacker	W 4-1	57.7	1739	1607	45.23%	29.54%	25.23%	+0.36	+26.4	29
1996-03-09	Linzer ASK	W 1-0	58.5	1724	1712	44.36%	29.63%	26.01%	+0.33	+11.7	29
1996-03-09	@ Grazer AK	L 0-1	58.5	1712	1724	26.01%	29.63%	44.36%	-0.33	-11.7	26
1996-03-09	Austria Wien	W 1-0	61.1	1723	1769	36.52%	30.03%	33.45%	+0.05	+14.1	28
1996-03-09	@ Ried	L 0-1	61.1	1769	1723	33.45%	30.03%	36.52%	-0.05	-14.1	30
1996-03-10	Austria Salzburg	W 3-1	58.5	1829	1724	55.17%	27.84%	16.99%	+0.77	+13.4	45
1996-03-10	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-3	58.5	1724	1829	16.99%	27.84%	55.17%	-0.77	-13.4	27
1996-03-13	Admira Wacker	D 0-0	65.4	1701	1580	56.70%	27.44%	15.86%	+0.84	-3.9	27
1996-03-13	@ Linzer ASK	D 0-0	65.4	1580	1701	15.86%	27.44%	56.70%	-0.84	+3.9	18
1996-03-13	Austria Wien	D 1-1	71.0	1711	1755	36.76%	30.03%	33.21%	+0.06	-0.3	28
1996-03-13	@ Austria Salzburg	D 1-1	71.0	1755	1711	33.21%	30.03%	36.76%	-0.06	+0.3	31
1996-03-13	Ried	W 3-1	57.2	1890	1737	59.87%	26.47%	13.66%	+1.00	+11.0	37
1996-03-13	@ Sturm Graz	L 1-3	57.2	1737	1890	13.66%	26.47%	59.87%	-1.00	-11.0	28
1996-03-13	Vorwarts Steyr	W 3-0	40.5	1765	1409	75.57%	18.86%	5.56%	+1.96	+6.8	32
1996-03-13	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-3	40.5	1409	1765	5.56%	18.86%	75.57%	-1.96	-6.8	3
1996-03-16	Sturm Graz	L 0-1	58.3	1755	1901	23.64%	29.34%	47.02%	-0.43	-10.9	31
1996-03-16	@ Austria Wien	W 1-0	58.3	1901	1755	47.02%	29.34%	23.64%	+0.43	+10.9	40
1996-03-16	Austria Salzburg	W 2-1	63.9	1736	1711	46.09%	29.45%	24.46%	+0.39	+10.5	32
1996-03-16	@ Grazer AK	L 1-2	63.9	1711	1736	24.46%	29.45%	46.09%	-0.39	-10.5	28
1996-03-16	Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-6	58.1	1726	1772	36.54%	30.03%	33.43%	+0.05	-78.6	28
1996-03-16	@ Ried	W 6-0	58.1	1772	1726	33.43%	30.03%	36.54%	-0.05	+78.6	35
1996-03-16	Linzer ASK	L 1-2	53.2	1402	1697	11.99%	25.52%	62.49%	-1.13	-5.5	3
1996-03-16	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 2-1	53.2	1697	1402	62.49%	25.52%	11.99%	+1.13	+5.5	30
1996-03-17	Rapid Wien	D 0-0	67.0	1584	1843	14.13%	26.70%	59.17%	-0.96	+4.4	19
1996-03-17	@ Admira Wacker	D 0-0	67.0	1843	1584	59.17%	26.70%	14.13%	+0.96	-4.4	46
1996-03-20	Admira Wacker	W 2-0	46.8	1912	1589	73.38%	20.18%	6.44%	+1.81	+5.5	43
1996-03-20	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-2	46.8	1589	1912	6.44%	20.18%	73.38%	-1.81	-5.5	19
1996-03-23	Admira Wacker	W 2-0	49.5	1747	1583	60.84%	26.14%	13.03%	+1.05	+12.1	35
1996-03-23	@ Grazer AK	L 0-2	49.5	1583	1747	13.03%	26.14%	60.84%	-1.05	-12.1	19
1996-03-23	Ried	D 0-0	65.7	1702	1648	49.58%	28.98%	21.44%	+0.53	-2.6	31
1996-03-23	@ Linzer ASK	D 0-0	65.7	1648	1702	21.44%	28.98%	49.58%	-0.53	+2.6	29
1996-03-23	Sturm Graz	L 1-2	61.7	1700	1918	17.02%	27.85%	55.12%	-0.77	-7.8	28
1996-03-23	@ Austria Salzburg	W 2-1	61.7	1918	1700	55.12%	27.85%	17.02%	+0.77	+7.8	46
1996-03-23	Austria Wien	W 2-0	52.5	1850	1744	55.28%	27.81%	16.90%	+0.77	+15.5	38
1996-03-23	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-2	52.5	1744	1850	16.90%	27.81%	55.28%	-0.77	-15.5	31
1996-03-24	Vorwarts Steyr	W 2-0	42.2	1838	1396	80.65%	15.57%	3.78%	+2.37	+3.0	49
1996-03-24	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-2	42.2	1396	1838	3.78%	15.57%	80.65%	-2.37	-3.0	3
1996-03-29	Linzer ASK	W 3-0	52.8	1729	1700	46.51%	29.40%	24.09%	+0.41	+30.2	34
1996-03-29	@ Austria Wien	L 0-3	52.8	1700	1729	24.09%	29.40%	46.51%	-0.41	-30.2	31
1996-03-30	Austria Salzburg	D 2-2	75.3	1571	1692	26.48%	29.68%	43.85%	-0.31	+1.0	20
1996-03-30	@ Admira Wacker	D 2-2	75.3	1692	1571	43.85%	29.68%	26.48%	+0.31	-1.0	29
1996-03-30	Rapid Wien	D 1-1	71.6	1650	1841	19.24%	28.49%	52.27%	-0.64	+2.8	30
1996-03-30	@ Ried	D 1-1	71.6	1841	1650	52.27%	28.49%	19.24%	+0.64	-2.8	50
1996-03-30	Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-1	66.2	1925	1866	50.16%	28.88%	20.96%	+0.55	-19.2	46
1996-03-30	@ Sturm Graz	W 1-0	66.2	1866	1925	20.96%	28.88%	50.16%	-0.55	+19.2	41
1996-03-30	Grazer AK	L 0-1	47.2	1393	1759	8.77%	22.96%	68.27%	-1.47	-4.2	3
1996-03-30	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 1-0	47.2	1759	1393	68.27%	22.96%	8.77%	+1.47	+4.2	38
1996-04-06	Ried	D 1-1	71.4	1763	1653	55.66%	27.72%	16.63%	+0.79	-3.3	39
1996-04-06	@ Grazer AK	D 1-1	71.4	1653	1763	16.63%	27.72%	55.66%	-0.79	+3.3	31
1996-04-06	Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-2	53.3	1691	1885	18.98%	28.43%	52.59%	-0.65	-17.1	29
1996-04-06	@ Austria Salzburg	W 2-0	53.3	1885	1691	52.59%	28.43%	18.98%	+0.65	+17.1	44
1996-04-07	Vorwarts Steyr	W 3-0	37.3	1572	1389	62.59%	25.48%	11.93%	+1.14	+16.0	23
1996-04-07	@ Admira Wacker	L 0-3	37.3	1389	1572	11.93%	25.48%	62.59%	-1.14	-16.0	3
1996-04-07	Sturm Graz	W 2-1	73.5	1669	1906	15.60%	27.34%	57.06%	-0.86	+20.3	34
1996-04-07	@ Linzer ASK	L 1-2	73.5	1906	1669	57.06%	27.34%	15.60%	+0.86	-20.3	46
1996-04-07	Austria Wien	L 0-1	66.6	1839	1759	52.44%	28.46%	19.10%	+0.65	-20.0	50
1996-04-07	@ Rapid Wien	W 1-0	66.6	1759	1839	19.10%	28.46%	52.44%	-0.65	+20.0	37
1996-04-10	Grazer AK	L 0-1	64.6	1779	1760	45.29%	29.54%	25.18%	+0.36	-17.7	37
1996-04-10	@ Austria Wien	W 1-0	64.6	1760	1779	25.18%	29.54%	45.29%	-0.36	+17.7	42
1996-04-10	Admira Wacker	L 2-3	74.8	1656	1588	51.16%	28.71%	20.14%	+0.59	-17.5	31
1996-04-10	@ Ried	W 3-2	74.8	1588	1656	20.14%	28.71%	51.16%	-0.59	+17.5	26
1996-04-10	Rapid Wien	W 1-0	57.1	1886	1819	51.05%	28.73%	20.23%	+0.59	+9.6	49
1996-04-10	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-1	57.1	1819	1886	20.23%	28.73%	51.05%	-0.59	-9.6	50
1996-04-10	Austria Salzburg	L 1-3	48.2	1373	1674	11.67%	25.31%	63.02%	-1.16	-9.3	3
1996-04-10	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 3-1	48.2	1674	1373	63.02%	25.31%	11.67%	+1.16	+9.4	32
1996-04-10	Linzer ASK	W 2-1	58.7	1902	1690	65.09%	24.45%	10.46%	+1.28	+4.8	47
1996-04-10	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 1-2	58.7	1690	1902	10.46%	24.45%	65.09%	-1.28	-4.8	34
1996-04-13	Austria Wien	L 0-3	51.8	1606	1761	22.65%	29.19%	48.16%	-0.47	-28.8	26
1996-04-13	@ Admira Wacker	W 3-0	51.8	1761	1606	48.16%	29.19%	22.65%	+0.47	+28.8	40
1996-04-13	Sturm Graz	W 1-0	64.3	1777	1896	26.82%	29.71%	43.48%	-0.29	+17.1	45
1996-04-13	@ Grazer AK	L 0-1	64.3	1896	1777	43.48%	29.71%	26.82%	+0.29	-17.1	49
1996-04-13	Austria Salzburg	W 3-0	53.4	1685	1683	42.98%	29.75%	27.27%	+0.28	+33.3	37
1996-04-13	@ Linzer ASK	L 0-3	53.4	1683	1685	27.27%	29.75%	42.98%	-0.28	-33.3	32
1996-04-13	Tirol Innsbruck	W 3-1	66.5	1809	1907	29.32%	29.89%	40.79%	-0.20	+26.6	53
1996-04-13	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-3	66.5	1907	1809	40.79%	29.89%	29.32%	+0.20	-26.6	47
1996-04-13	Ried	L 1-2	50.3	1364	1639	13.10%	26.17%	60.73%	-1.04	-6.1	3
1996-04-13	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 2-1	50.3	1639	1364	60.73%	26.17%	13.10%	+1.04	+6.1	34
1996-04-16	Sturm Graz	L 1-3	48.8	1358	1878	4.42%	16.87%	78.71%	-2.21	-3.1	3
1996-04-16	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 3-1	48.8	1878	1358	78.71%	16.87%	4.42%	+2.21	+3.1	52
1996-04-16	Admira Wacker	L 0-1	68.2	1790	1577	65.14%	24.43%	10.43%	+1.28	-24.0	40
1996-04-16	@ Austria Wien	W 1-0	68.2	1577	1790	10.43%	24.43%	65.14%	-1.28	+24.0	29
1996-04-20	Sturm Graz	L 0-2	50.4	1601	1881	12.79%	26.00%	61.21%	-1.07	-11.8	29
1996-04-20	@ Admira Wacker	W 2-0	50.4	1881	1601	61.21%	26.00%	12.79%	+1.07	+11.8	55
1996-04-20	Tirol Innsbruck	L 1-3	63.5	1794	1881	30.88%	29.96%	39.16%	-0.14	-21.7	45
1996-04-20	@ Grazer AK	W 3-1	63.5	1881	1794	39.16%	29.96%	30.88%	+0.14	+21.7	50
1996-04-20	Austria Salzburg	D 1-1	69.7	1645	1650	42.11%	29.81%	28.08%	+0.24	-1.1	35
1996-04-20	@ Ried	D 1-1	69.7	1650	1645	28.08%	29.81%	42.11%	-0.24	+1.1	33
1996-04-20	Austria Wien	D 2-2	74.5	1355	1766	7.17%	21.16%	71.66%	-1.69	+4.3	4
1996-04-20	@ Vorwarts Steyr	D 2-2	74.5	1766	1355	71.66%	21.16%	7.17%	+1.69	-4.3	41
1996-04-21	Linzer ASK	W 2-1	61.2	1836	1718	56.43%	27.51%	16.05%	+0.83	+7.4	56
1996-04-21	@ Rapid Wien	L 1-2	61.2	1718	1836	16.05%	27.51%	56.43%	-0.83	-7.4	37
1996-04-26	Vorwarts Steyr	D 0-0	69.5	1893	1359	85.20%	12.35%	2.46%	+2.81	-7.9	56
1996-04-26	@ Sturm Graz	D 0-0	69.5	1359	1893	2.46%	12.35%	85.20%	-2.81	+7.8	5
1996-04-26	Admira Wacker	W 2-0	47.0	1902	1589	72.69%	20.58%	6.73%	+1.76	+5.8	53
1996-04-26	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-2	47.0	1589	1902	6.73%	20.58%	72.69%	-1.76	-5.8	29
1996-04-27	Ried	W 2-0	51.5	1762	1644	56.46%	27.51%	16.03%	+0.83	+14.7	44
1996-04-27	@ Austria Wien	L 0-2	51.5	1644	1762	16.03%	27.51%	56.46%	-0.83	-14.7	35
1996-04-27	Grazer AK	D 1-1	71.1	1711	1773	34.20%	30.04%	35.76%	-0.03	+0.1	38
1996-04-27	@ Linzer ASK	D 1-1	71.1	1773	1711	35.76%	30.04%	34.20%	+0.03	-0.1	46
1996-04-27	Rapid Wien	W 4-2	72.9	1651	1843	19.18%	28.48%	52.35%	-0.64	+29.1	36
1996-04-27	@ Austria Salzburg	L 2-4	72.9	1843	1651	52.35%	28.48%	19.18%	+0.64	-29.1	56
1996-04-30	Vorwarts Steyr	D 1-1	63.7	1629	1367	69.02%	22.58%	8.40%	+1.52	-5.5	36
1996-04-30	@ Ried	D 1-1	63.7	1367	1629	8.40%	22.58%	69.02%	-1.52	+5.5	6
1996-04-30	Linzer ASK	W 3-0	54.9	1680	1711	38.65%	29.98%	31.36%	+0.12	+36.9	39
1996-04-30	@ Austria Salzburg	L 0-3	54.9	1711	1680	31.36%	29.98%	38.65%	-0.12	-36.9	38
1996-04-30	Grazer AK	L 0-2	64.2	1885	1773	55.96%	27.64%	16.40%	+0.81	-39.8	56
1996-04-30	@ Sturm Graz	W 2-0	64.2	1773	1885	16.40%	27.64%	55.96%	-0.81	+39.8	49
1996-04-30	Rapid Wien	D 1-1	72.1	1908	1814	54.01%	28.12%	17.87%	+0.72	-3.1	54
1996-04-30	@ Tirol Innsbruck	D 1-1	72.1	1814	1908	17.87%	28.12%	54.01%	-0.72	+3.1	57
1996-05-02	Linzer ASK	L 0-1	58.0	1583	1674	30.26%	29.94%	39.80%	-0.16	-13.1	29
1996-05-02	@ Admira Wacker	W 1-0	58.0	1674	1583	39.80%	29.94%	30.26%	+0.16	+13.1	41
1996-05-02	Austria Salzburg	W 2-0	53.8	1776	1717	50.12%	28.89%	20.99%	+0.55	+18.6	47
1996-05-02	@ Austria Wien	L 0-2	53.8	1717	1776	20.99%	28.89%	50.12%	-0.55	-18.6	39
1996-05-02	Tirol Innsbruck	L 0-3	41.4	1372	1905	4.19%	16.41%	79.41%	-2.27	-4.8	6
1996-05-02	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 3-0	41.4	1905	1372	79.41%	16.41%	4.19%	+2.27	+4.8	57
1996-05-10	Grazer AK	D 1-1	71.4	1570	1812	15.21%	27.18%	57.61%	-0.88	+3.7	30
1996-05-10	@ Admira Wacker	D 1-1	71.4	1812	1570	57.61%	27.18%	15.21%	+0.88	-3.7	50
1996-05-11	Tirol Innsbruck	W 1-0	64.3	1795	1910	27.23%	29.74%	43.03%	-0.28	+17.0	50
1996-05-11	@ Austria Wien	L 0-1	64.3	1910	1795	43.03%	29.74%	27.23%	+0.28	-17.0	57
1996-05-11	Linzer ASK	W 1-0	60.6	1624	1687	33.99%	30.04%	35.97%	-0.03	+14.8	39
1996-05-11	@ Ried	L 0-1	60.6	1687	1624	35.97%	30.04%	33.99%	+0.03	-14.8	41
1996-05-11	Austria Salzburg	W 2-1	60.3	1846	1699	59.31%	26.66%	14.04%	+0.97	+6.5	59
1996-05-11	@ Sturm Graz	L 1-2	60.3	1699	1846	14.04%	26.66%	59.31%	-0.97	-6.5	39
1996-05-11	Rapid Wien	L 2-3	57.3	1367	1817	6.07%	19.65%	74.28%	-1.87	-2.5	6
1996-05-11	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 3-2	57.3	1817	1367	74.28%	19.65%	6.07%	+1.87	+2.5	60
1996-05-14	Vorwarts Steyr	W 3-1	45.1	1672	1365	72.28%	20.81%	6.90%	+1.73	+5.2	44
1996-05-14	@ Linzer ASK	L 1-3	45.1	1365	1672	6.90%	20.81%	72.28%	-1.73	-5.2	6
1996-05-14	Admira Wacker	W 6-0	47.2	1819	1574	67.74%	23.22%	9.04%	+1.44	+22.8	63
1996-05-14	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-6	47.2	1574	1819	9.04%	23.22%	67.74%	-1.44	-22.8	30
1996-05-14	Grazer AK	D 0-0	66.4	1692	1809	27.01%	29.72%	43.27%	-0.29	+1.4	40
1996-05-14	@ Austria Salzburg	D 0-0	66.4	1809	1692	43.27%	29.72%	27.01%	+0.29	-1.4	51
1996-05-14	Austria Wien	W 3-0	53.0	1852	1812	47.85%	29.23%	22.91%	+0.46	+29.1	62
1996-05-14	@ Sturm Graz	L 0-3	53.0	1812	1852	22.91%	29.23%	47.85%	-0.46	-29.1	50
1996-05-14	Ried	L 0-3	64.5	1893	1639	68.41%	22.89%	8.71%	+1.48	-68.3	57
1996-05-14	@ Tirol Innsbruck	W 3-0	64.5	1639	1893	8.71%	22.89%	68.41%	-1.48	+68.3	42
1996-05-18	Vorwarts Steyr	W 3-2	54.9	1807	1360	80.94%	15.37%	3.69%	+2.40	+1.4	54
1996-05-18	@ Grazer AK	L 2-3	54.9	1360	1807	3.69%	15.37%	80.94%	-2.40	-1.4	6
1996-05-18	Austria Wien	W 2-0	60.2	1678	1783	28.37%	29.83%	41.80%	-0.23	+31.3	47
1996-05-18	@ Linzer ASK	L 0-2	60.2	1783	1678	41.80%	29.83%	28.37%	+0.23	-31.3	50
1996-05-18	Ried	W 4-2	61.4	1842	1707	58.20%	27.01%	14.80%	+0.91	+10.6	66
1996-05-18	@ Rapid Wien	L 2-4	61.4	1707	1842	14.80%	27.01%	58.20%	-0.91	-10.6	42
1996-05-18	Admira Wacker	D 2-2	75.9	1694	1551	58.89%	26.79%	14.32%	+0.95	-2.9	41
1996-05-18	@ Austria Salzburg	D 2-2	75.9	1551	1694	14.32%	26.79%	58.89%	-0.95	+2.9	31
1996-05-18	Sturm Graz	D 1-1	71.5	1825	1881	34.97%	30.04%	34.99%	+0.00	+0.0	58
1996-05-18	@ Tirol Innsbruck	D 1-1	71.5	1881	1825	34.99%	30.04%	34.97%	+0.00	+0.0	63
1996-05-21	Rapid Wien	D 1-1	71.4	1809	1853	36.74%	30.03%	33.23%	+0.06	-0.3	55
1996-05-21	@ Grazer AK	D 1-1	71.4	1853	1809	33.23%	30.03%	36.74%	-0.06	+0.3	67
1996-05-21	Sturm Graz	D 2-2	77.8	1696	1881	19.80%	28.63%	51.57%	-0.61	+2.0	43
1996-05-21	@ Ried	D 2-2	77.8	1881	1696	51.57%	28.63%	19.80%	+0.61	-2.0	64
1996-05-25	Rapid Wien	L 0-2	56.7	1752	1853	28.89%	29.86%	41.24%	-0.21	-23.9	50
1996-05-25	@ Austria Wien	W 2-0	56.7	1853	1752	41.24%	29.86%	28.89%	+0.21	+23.9	70
1996-05-25	Grazer AK	D 2-2	77.3	1698	1808	27.80%	29.79%	42.41%	-0.26	+0.9	44
1996-05-25	@ Ried	D 2-2	77.3	1808	1698	42.41%	29.79%	27.80%	+0.26	-0.9	56
1996-05-25	Linzer ASK	W 2-1	59.7	1879	1709	61.46%	25.91%	12.63%	+1.08	+5.8	67
1996-05-25	@ Sturm Graz	L 1-2	59.7	1709	1879	12.63%	25.91%	61.46%	-1.08	-5.8	47
1996-05-25	Admira Wacker	L 0-2	40.3	1358	1554	18.85%	28.39%	52.76%	-0.66	-17.0	6
1996-05-25	@ Vorwarts Steyr	W 2-0	40.3	1554	1358	52.76%	28.39%	18.85%	+0.66	+17.0	34
1996-05-25	Austria Salzburg	W 3-1	57.5	1825	1691	58.06%	27.05%	14.89%	+0.91	+11.9	61
1996-05-25	@ Tirol Innsbruck	L 1-3	57.5	1691	1825	14.89%	27.05%	58.06%	-0.91	-11.9	41
1996-06-01	Ried	L 1-3	59.6	1571	1699	25.64%	29.59%	44.77%	-0.34	-18.9	34
1996-06-01	@ Admira Wacker	W 3-1	59.6	1699	1571	44.77%	29.59%	25.64%	+0.34	+18.9	47
1996-06-01	Austria Wien	D 2-2	77.8	1808	1728	52.44%	28.46%	19.10%	+0.65	-2.1	57
1996-06-01	@ Grazer AK	D 2-2	77.8	1728	1808	19.10%	28.46%	52.44%	-0.65	+2.1	51
1996-06-01	Tirol Innsbruck	D 1-1	71.4	1703	1837	25.03%	29.52%	45.45%	-0.37	+1.6	48
1996-06-01	@ Linzer ASK	D 1-1	71.4	1837	1703	45.45%	29.52%	25.03%	+0.37	-1.6	62
1996-06-01	Sturm Graz	W 2-0	56.7	1877	1885	41.72%	29.83%	28.44%	+0.23	+23.6	73
1996-06-01	@ Rapid Wien	L 0-2	56.7	1885	1877	28.44%	29.83%	41.72%	-0.23	-23.6	67
1996-06-01	Vorwarts Steyr	W 4-0	35.7	1679	1341	74.33%	19.62%	6.05%	+1.87	+9.8	44
1996-06-01	@ Austria Salzburg	L 0-4	35.7	1341	1679	6.05%	19.62%	74.33%	-1.87	-9.8	6

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1996-05-14	8.71%	Ried	1639	3	@ Tirol Innsbruck	1893	0
2	1996-04-16	10.43%	Admira Wacker	1577	1	@ Austria Wien	1790	0
3	1996-04-07	15.60%	@ Linzer ASK	1669	2	Sturm Graz	1906	1
4	1996-03-02	16.05%	Ried	1665	3	@ Austria Salzburg	1783	0
5	1996-04-30	16.40%	Grazer AK	1773	2	@ Sturm Graz	1885	0
6	1996-04-07	19.10%	Austria Wien	1759	1	@ Rapid Wien	1839	0
7	1996-04-27	19.18%	@ Austria Salzburg	1651	4	Rapid Wien	1843	2
8	1996-04-10	20.14%	Admira Wacker	1588	3	@ Ried	1656	2
9	1996-03-30	20.96%	Tirol Innsbruck	1866	1	@ Sturm Graz	1925	0
10	1995-09-20	21.11%	Rapid Wien	1776	1	@ Sturm Graz	1834	0
11	1995-08-11	21.81%	Linzer ASK	1688	1	@ Austria Wien	1739	0
12	1995-08-05	22.92%	Austria Salzburg	1778	2	@ Sturm Graz	1818	0
13	1996-04-10	25.18%	Grazer AK	1760	1	@ Austria Wien	1779	0
14	1995-10-14	25.47%	@ Austria Wien	1742	4	Rapid Wien	1871	1
15	1996-04-13	26.82%	@ Grazer AK	1777	1	Sturm Graz	1896	0
16	1995-11-21	27.02%	@ Linzer ASK	1707	2	Rapid Wien	1824	0
17	1995-08-12	27.16%	Rapid Wien	1729	2	@ Grazer AK	1731	1
18	1996-05-11	27.23%	@ Austria Wien	1795	1	Tirol Innsbruck	1910	0
19	1995-08-26	27.36%	@ Austria Wien	1703	3	Austria Salzburg	1817	0
20	1995-11-19	27.59%	Sturm Graz	1857	2	@ Rapid Wien	1855	0
21	1996-05-18	28.37%	@ Linzer ASK	1678	2	Austria Wien	1783	0
22	1995-11-04	28.48%	Tirol Innsbruck	1692	2	@ Linzer ASK	1684	1
23	1995-08-26	28.73%	@ Grazer AK	1716	3	Sturm Graz	1819	2
24	1996-04-13	29.32%	@ Rapid Wien	1809	3	Tirol Innsbruck	1907	1
25	1995-10-28	30.15%	Sturm Graz	1817	3	@ Austria Wien	1796	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1996-03-16	78.60	Tirol Innsbruck	6	1772	33.43%	@ Ried	0	1726	36.54%	30.03%
2	1996-05-14	68.28	Ried	3	1639	8.71%	@ Tirol Innsbruck	0	1893	68.41%	22.89%
3	1996-03-02	58.30	Ried	3	1665	16.05%	@ Austria Salzburg	0	1783	56.44%	27.51%
4	1995-08-26	46.35	@ Austria Wien	3	1703	27.36%	Austria Salzburg	0	1817	42.89%	29.75%
5	1995-10-28	43.86	Sturm Graz	3	1817	30.15%	@ Austria Wien	0	1796	39.92%	29.93%
6	1995-10-03	41.73	Rapid Wien	3	1815	32.66%	@ Austria Salzburg	0	1775	37.32%	30.02%
7	1995-10-14	40.58	@ Austria Wien	4	1742	25.47%	Rapid Wien	1	1871	44.96%	29.57%
8	1996-04-30	39.84	Grazer AK	2	1773	16.40%	@ Sturm Graz	0	1885	55.96%	27.64%
9	1996-04-30	36.87	@ Austria Salzburg	3	1680	38.65%	Linzer ASK	0	1711	31.36%	29.98%
10	1995-08-02	36.82	Sturm Graz	5	1781	42.32%	@ Admira Wacker	1	1671	27.88%	29.79%
11	1995-09-02	35.77	@ Grazer AK	3	1721	40.00%	Tirol Innsbruck	0	1742	30.07%	29.93%
12	1995-08-05	34.86	Austria Salzburg	2	1778	22.92%	@ Sturm Graz	0	1818	47.85%	29.23%
13	1996-04-13	33.27	@ Linzer ASK	3	1685	42.98%	Austria Salzburg	0	1683	27.27%	29.75%
14	1995-11-21	32.13	@ Linzer ASK	2	1707	27.02%	Rapid Wien	0	1824	43.26%	29.72%
15	1995-11-18	31.97	Austria Salzburg	6	1734	61.78%	@ Vorwarts Steyr	0	1447	12.43%	25.79%
16	1995-11-19	31.77	Sturm Graz	2	1857	27.59%	@ Rapid Wien	0	1855	42.64%	29.77%
17	1995-08-02	31.43	@ Austria Wien	4	1721	53.47%	Vorwarts Steyr	0	1632	18.29%	28.24%
18	1996-05-18	31.28	@ Linzer ASK	2	1678	28.37%	Austria Wien	0	1783	41.80%	29.83%
19	1996-03-29	30.23	@ Austria Wien	3	1729	46.51%	Linzer ASK	0	1700	24.09%	29.40%
20	1996-04-27	29.14	@ Austria Salzburg	4	1651	19.18%	Rapid Wien	2	1843	52.35%	28.48%
21	1996-05-14	29.06	@ Sturm Graz	3	1852	47.85%	Austria Wien	0	1812	22.91%	29.23%
22	1996-04-13	28.78	Austria Wien	3	1761	48.16%	@ Admira Wacker	0	1606	22.65%	29.19%
23	1996-03-02	26.90	Rapid Wien	2	1803	35.95%	@ Linzer ASK	0	1739	34.01%	30.04%
24	1996-04-13	26.59	@ Rapid Wien	3	1809	29.32%	Tirol Innsbruck	1	1907	40.79%	29.89%
25	1996-03-09	26.43	Tirol Innsbruck	4	1739	45.23%	@ Admira Wacker	1	1607	25.23%	29.54%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1996-05-21	77.8	@ Ried	2	1696	19.80%	Sturm Graz	2	1881	51.57%	28.63%
2	1996-06-01	77.8	@ Grazer AK	2	1808	52.44%	Austria Wien	2	1728	19.10%	28.46%
3	1995-11-08	77.6	@ Tirol Innsbruck	2	1708	23.19%	Sturm Graz	2	1858	47.54%	29.27%
4	1995-11-25	77.5	@ Austria Salzburg	2	1784	45.48%	Austria Wien	2	1763	25.00%	29.52%
5	1996-05-25	77.3	@ Ried	2	1698	27.80%	Grazer AK	2	1808	42.41%	29.79%
6	1995-10-21	77.0	@ Austria Salzburg	2	1735	57.39%	Admira Wacker	2	1607	15.36%	27.24%
7	1995-11-04	76.2	@ Ried	2	1684	49.73%	Admira Wacker	2	1628	21.32%	28.95%
8	1996-05-18	75.9	@ Austria Salzburg	2	1694	58.89%	Admira Wacker	2	1551	14.32%	26.79%
9	1996-03-30	75.3	@ Admira Wacker	2	1571	26.48%	Austria Salzburg	2	1692	43.85%	29.68%
10	1996-04-10	74.8	Admira Wacker	3	1588	20.14%	@ Ried	2	1656	51.16%	28.71%
11	1995-08-26	74.6	@ Grazer AK	3	1716	28.73%	Sturm Graz	2	1819	41.42%	29.85%
12	1995-10-20	74.5	@ Vorwarts Steyr	2	1489	17.21%	Tirol Innsbruck	2	1705	54.88%	27.91%
13	1996-04-20	74.5	@ Vorwarts Steyr	2	1355	7.17%	Austria Wien	2	1766	71.66%	21.16%
14	1996-04-07	73.5	@ Linzer ASK	2	1669	15.60%	Sturm Graz	1	1906	57.06%	27.34%
15	1996-04-27	72.9	@ Austria Salzburg	4	1651	19.18%	Rapid Wien	2	1843	52.35%	28.48%
16	1995-08-19	72.1	@ Austria Salzburg	1	1821	59.56%	Ried	1	1671	13.86%	26.57%
17	1996-04-30	72.1	@ Tirol Innsbruck	1	1908	54.01%	Rapid Wien	1	1814	17.87%	28.12%
18	1995-11-04	72.0	@ Sturm Graz	1	1861	54.42%	Grazer AK	1	1763	17.55%	28.02%
19	1995-08-30	71.8	@ Rapid Wien	1	1782	59.69%	Admira Wacker	1	1631	13.78%	26.53%
20	1995-11-08	71.8	@ Admira Wacker	1	1630	16.16%	Rapid Wien	1	1859	56.29%	27.55%
21	1995-08-02	71.6	@ Austria Salzburg	1	1781	54.02%	Linzer ASK	1	1686	17.86%	28.12%
22	1995-10-14	71.6	@ Grazer AK	1	1775	71.15%	Vorwarts Steyr	1	1484	7.40%	21.45%
23	1996-03-30	71.6	@ Ried	1	1650	19.24%	Rapid Wien	1	1841	52.27%	28.49%
24	1995-09-17	71.5	@ Rapid Wien	1	1778	52.00%	Linzer ASK	1	1703	19.45%	28.55%
25	1996-05-18	71.5	@ Tirol Innsbruck	1	1825	34.97%	Sturm Graz	1	1881	34.99%	30.04%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1996-06-01	35.7	@ Austria Salzburg	4	1679	74.33%	Vorwarts Steyr	0	1341	6.05%	19.62%
2	1996-04-07	37.3	@ Admira Wacker	3	1572	62.59%	Vorwarts Steyr	0	1389	11.93%	25.48%
3	1996-05-25	40.3	Admira Wacker	2	1554	52.76%	@ Vorwarts Steyr	0	1358	18.85%	28.39%
4	1996-03-13	40.5	@ Tirol Innsbruck	3	1765	75.57%	Vorwarts Steyr	0	1409	5.56%	18.86%
5	1996-05-02	41.4	Tirol Innsbruck	3	1905	79.41%	@ Vorwarts Steyr	0	1372	4.19%	16.41%
6	1996-03-24	42.2	@ Rapid Wien	2	1838	80.65%	Vorwarts Steyr	0	1396	3.78%	15.57%
7	1996-03-02	42.6	@ Austria Wien	2	1764	75.20%	Vorwarts Steyr	0	1413	5.71%	19.09%
8	1995-09-20	44.8	@ Austria Salzburg	4	1780	68.64%	Vorwarts Steyr	0	1523	8.59%	22.77%
9	1996-05-14	45.1	@ Linzer ASK	3	1672	72.28%	Vorwarts Steyr	1	1365	6.90%	20.81%
10	1995-11-18	45.9	Austria Salzburg	6	1734	61.78%	@ Vorwarts Steyr	0	1447	12.43%	25.79%
11	1995-11-11	46.4	Linzer ASK	3	1668	52.83%	@ Vorwarts Steyr	0	1472	18.80%	28.38%
12	1996-03-20	46.8	@ Sturm Graz	2	1912	73.38%	Admira Wacker	0	1589	6.44%	20.18%
13	1996-04-26	47.0	@ Tirol Innsbruck	2	1902	72.69%	Admira Wacker	0	1589	6.73%	20.58%
14	1996-03-30	47.2	Grazer AK	1	1759	68.27%	@ Vorwarts Steyr	0	1393	8.77%	22.96%
15	1996-05-14	47.2	@ Rapid Wien	6	1819	67.74%	Admira Wacker	0	1574	9.04%	23.22%
16	1996-04-10	48.2	Austria Salzburg	3	1674	63.02%	@ Vorwarts Steyr	1	1373	11.67%	25.31%
17	1996-04-16	48.8	Sturm Graz	3	1878	78.71%	@ Vorwarts Steyr	1	1358	4.42%	16.87%
18	1995-10-28	49.4	@ Admira Wacker	4	1610	56.51%	Vorwarts Steyr	1	1492	15.99%	27.49%
19	1996-03-23	49.5	@ Grazer AK	2	1747	60.84%	Admira Wacker	0	1583	13.03%	26.14%
20	1995-08-02	49.9	@ Austria Wien	4	1721	53.47%	Vorwarts Steyr	0	1632	18.29%	28.24%
21	1995-08-05	50.0	@ Tirol Innsbruck	3	1731	54.29%	Admira Wacker	0	1634	17.66%	28.05%
22	1996-04-13	50.3	Ried	2	1639	60.73%	@ Vorwarts Steyr	1	1364	13.10%	26.17%
23	1996-04-20	50.4	Sturm Graz	2	1881	61.21%	@ Admira Wacker	0	1601	12.79%	26.00%
24	1995-09-23	50.5	Ried	2	1664	48.21%	@ Vorwarts Steyr	0	1508	22.61%	29.18%
25	1995-08-26	51.3	Rapid Wien	2	1767	54.48%	@ Vorwarts Steyr	0	1555	17.51%	28.01%